Bitcoin price is attempting a recovery wave above the $66,500 resistance. BTC must clear the $70,000 resistance to continue higher in the near term. Bitcoin is facing many hurdles near the $69,500 and $70,000 levels. The price is trading above $67,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $66,350 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair could start another increase if it stays above the $67,000 support zone. Bitcoin Price Eyes Recovery Bitcoin price found support near the $64,500 zone and started a recovery wave. BTC was able to rise above the $66,500 and $67,000 resistance levels to move into a short-term positive zone. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $66,350 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The pair even spiked above the $69,000 zone. A high was formed at $69,354 and the price is now consolidating gains. It traded below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $64,572 swing low to the $69,352 high. Bitcoin is now trading above $67,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. Immediate resistance is near the $68,250 level. The first major resistance could be $69,350. The main resistance now sits at $70,000. If there is a clear move above the $70,000 resistance zone, the price could start a fresh increase. In the stated case, the price could rise toward $71,200. Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com The next major resistance is near the $72,000 zone. Any more gains might send Bitcoin toward the $73,500 resistance zone in the near term. Another Decline In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $69,350 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support on the downside is near the $67,200 level. The first major support is $67,000 or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $64,572 swing low to the $69,352 high. The next support sits at $66,400. If there is a close below $66,400, the price could start a drop toward the $65,500 level. Any more losses might send the price toward the $64,500 support zone in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now declining toward the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $67,200, followed by $67,000. Major Resistance Levels – $69,350, $70,000, and $71,200.
The Bitcoin Network Value to Transactions (NVT) Golden Cross indicator attained overheated values coinciding with the recent local top in the price. Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross Surged To 3.17 During Recent Peak An analyst in a CryptoQuant Quicktake post explained that the NVT Golden Cross may have served as an indicator of the recent top in cryptocurrency prices. The “NVT” refers to an on-chain metric that tracks the ratio between Bitcoin’s market cap and transaction volume (both in USD). This ratio is generally used to determine whether the asset’s price is fair or not. Related Reading: Bitcoin Short-Term Holders Capitulate: $5.2 Billion Sold At Loss When the indicator has a high value, the asset’s price (the market cap) is high compared to its utility (the transaction volume). Such a trend may suggest that the coin could be overvalued currently. On the other hand, the low metric could suggest the network isn’t valued fairly compared to its high ability to transact capital, and as such, its price may be due to an uplift. In the context of the current discussion, the NVT itself isn’t interesting, but rather, a modified version called the NVT Golden Cross is. This metric compares the short-term trend of the NVT (10-day moving average) against its long-term trend (30-day MA). Like the NVT, this variant is also used to estimate the fairness of the asset. Historically, values greater than 2.2 have been a signal that BTC is overheated, as the short-term trend is notably outpacing the long-term at these levels. Similarly, values under the -1.6 level may indicate that the cryptocurrency is undervalued; hence, its price may likely form a bottom and find a rebound soon. Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross over the last few years: The value of the metric seems to have been going up in recent days | Source: CryptoQuant As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross rose to relatively high levels earlier. This growth happened as the asset’s price rallied towards the $71,000 level. The metric had touched the 3.17 mark in this surge, which suggests the coin may have become too overpriced. Indeed, the asset followed this by observing a sharp drawdown, which took it back under the $65,000 level. As the quant has marked in the chart, a similar pattern of the NVT Golden Cross hitting these high levels and resulting in a price correction was observed at different points over the last few years. Related Reading: Bitcoin Traders No Longer Extremely Greedy: Rebound Signal? Since the latest overheated signal, the indicator has cooled off alongside the Bitcoin price, although it hasn’t gone towards the negative side yet. BTC Price Bitcoin has recovered over the past day as its price has now climbed back to $67,800. Looks like the price of the asset has seen some uplift over the last 24 hours | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView Featured image from Kanchanara on Unsplash.com, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com
The age-old debate over how best to store wealth reignites as Bitcoin and gold lock horns. Peter Brandt, a veteran financial trader, throws his weight behind Bitcoin, claiming it will dethrone gold as the long-term champion. Related Reading: Bitcoin Champion Max Keiser Blasts Argentinian President’s Crypto Stance Brandt cites a chart showcasing the leading cryptocurrency’s […]
Data from the on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has revealed that around 9.5% of the Bitcoin supply changed hands above the $60,000 level. 1.87 Million Bitcoin Was Acquired At Price Levels Higher Than $60,000 In its latest weekly report, Glassnode has shared how the supply distribution of Bitcoin looks in terms of which levels the investors […]
The Bitcoin price took a sharp downturn recently, dipping below $67,000 and raising concerns among investors. However, a crypto analyst has encouraged the crypto community to buy more Bitcoin at this time, suggesting that the decline presents an opportunity to acquire BTC at a lower price. Bitcoin Decline Signals Prime Buying Opportunity Michael van de Poppe, a popular crypto analyst and enthusiast, has remained optimistic about Bitcoin’s future outlook, urging the broader crypto community to view the cryptocurrency’s recent dip as a buying opportunity. Related Reading: Dogecoin Hits Major Roadblock As Whales Go On Massive Selling Spree In a recent X (formerly Twitter) post, the analyst shared insights on the crypto market, noting the regular occurrence of both bullish and bearish activities, which contribute to the market’s balance and stability. He also revealed that price corrections were normal in the crypto market, independent of market performance or conditions. Poppe has encouraged investors and crypto enthusiasts to buy more Bitcoin now that the price is currently trading at $66,528, according to CoinMarketCap. Over the past week, the cryptocurrency has witnessed significant price declines, plummeting by 4.64%. This unexpected price decline has been attributed to the crackdown on Silk Road Bitcoin, an online black market that allows users to purchase illegal and unethical commodities anonymously using Bitcoin. According to ZachXBT, a crypto community member, the United States government transferred 30,175 BTC worth $2.1 billion of Silk Road hack funds to Coinbase. This massive Bitcoin transaction has possibly led to the cryptocurrency’s present decline, fueled by bearish news and market volatility. “At peak bullish momentum, you’ll see a huge impact of every bearish narrative. This time, it’s the Silk Road Bitcoin being transferred. Anyway, buy the dip,” Poppe stated. BTC’s Peak Anticipated Before Halving Event In another X post, Poppe revealed disheartening news, noting that a critical price zone had been lost for Bitcoin. The crypto analyst asserted that the cryptocurrency would not witness a surge to new all-time highs during this pre-halving phase unless it breaks through resistance levels at $69,000. Related Reading: Solana Whales Are Making Moves – Here’s The Direction They’re Headed In The analyst foresees a period of consolidation for BTC, highlighting that during this time altcoins are expected to gain traction while Bitcoin undergoes a correction phase. He further disclosed that a price correction for Bitcoin indicates a healthy and organic market cycle. Poppe has stated that Bitcoin’s area of interest lies between the range of $56,000 to $60,000. Concluding his post, the analyst further encouraged investors to acquire Bitcoin, emphasizing that “dips are for buying in these markets.” BTC price recovers from dip | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com Featured image from CNBC, chart from Tradingview.com
With less than three weeks until the highly anticipated Bitcoin halving, the crypto market is facing a period of turbulence. Bitcoin (BTC), the world’s leading digital asset, has shed over 12% of its value in the past week, dipping below $66,000 for the first time since late March. This downturn comes amidst broader market anxieties, […]
Bitcoin ETF outflows are on the rise once again after a change in the tide last week. These outflows, given the ETFs’ correlation with the Bitcoin price, have a substantial impact on how well the cryptocurrency performs over time. So, as outflows are ramping up, will it trigger a crash in the BTC price? ARK Invest And Grayscale Lead Outflows While Grayscale’s Spot Bitcoin ETF has been the natural culprit for ETF outflows due to its high fees, another fund has joined the trend in a surprising turn of events. Cathie Wood’s ARK Invest saw a substantial outflow from its ETF, leading to a new record for the investment firm. Related Reading: Solana Whales Are Making Moves – Here’s The Direction They’re Headed In The Ark 21Shares Fund (ARKB) saw a record $87.5 million leave its fund on Tuesday, April 2. Interestingly, the fund’s outflows were even higher than that of Grayscale, which saw around $81.9 million in outflows in the same day. For both these funds, it marked the second consecutive day of outflows, although it was more concerning on the part of the Ark 21Shares Fund. This is because Grayscale saw a decline in outflows between Monday and Tuesday, going from $302.6 million to $81.9 million. Whereas the ARK Invest fund saw outflows go from $0.3 million on Monday to $87.5 million on Tuesday, resulting in a 29,000% increase in outflows in a single day. Only these two funds have experienced outflows this week though, as the other ETFs continue to see upside. While Monday’s net flows ended up being negative to the tune of $85.7 million, Tuesday’s numbers looked better with positive net flows of $40.3 million. How Will This Affect Bitcoin Price? Since the Spot Bitcoin ETFs were approved in January, their effect on the Bitcoin price has been positive overall. However, there have been points where outflows from the funds have affected the BTC price, causing it to crash. Related Reading: Dogecoin Hits Major Roadblock As Whales Go On Massive Selling Spree A few instances of this is back in January, a week after the ETFs were first approved. Outflows had plagued the funds and the Bitcoin price had declined as a result. Then again, in March, when outflows turned negative between March 18 and March 22 and the Bitcoin price crashed from $73,000 to $61,000. Given BTC’s performance during periods where outflows prevail in Spot ETFs, this current trend does not bode well for the price. There has been a recovery in the BTC price after inflows turned positive on Tuesday. But unless they stay positive through the end of the week, the BTC price could see further crashes toward the $60,000 level. BTC price recovers above $66,000 | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com Featured image from Business News This Week, chart from Tradingview.com
Recent Bitcoin price volatility in Asia has been closely linked to automated trading algorithms that monitor flows in US exchange-traded funds (ETFs). According to Bloomberg, this algorithmic trading response to daily US ETF flow data is causing pronounced swings in Bitcoin prices during Asian trading hours. Trading Algos Spoil The Bitcoin Price The trigger for Bitcoin’s steep decline, marking its worst drop in a month, was observed on Tuesday morning in Asia. This downturn coincided with the release of US ETF flows data, which indicated a net withdrawal of investments. Shiliang Tang, president of Arbelos Markets, highlighted the impact of algorithmic trading on these market movements. “From an algorithmic trading perspective, bots can basically auto-scrape this data and buy and sell based on this,” Tang explained. “It seems that’s basically what is happening.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Supply In Loss Hits 10% After Crash: What Happened Last Time The introduction of several Bitcoin ETFs in the United States on January 11 has since attracted a net $12 billion in investments. These ETFs experienced a surge in inflows, especially in the first half of March, propelling Bitcoin to a record high of $73,798. However, the premier cryptocurrency has seen a decline of up to 17.6% from this peak, amidst fluctuating inflows and outflows within the sector. This pattern of flows has notably impacted the Asian market’s returns, with February and early March witnessing particularly strong performance, which diminished later in the month. The influence of algorithmic protocols on Bitcoin’s price not only affects the spot market but extends to derivatives as well, with Coinglass reporting about $357 million in bullish crypto bets being liquidated on Tuesday alone. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Tumbles Below $66,000: 4 Major Reasons Charlie Morris, Chief Investment Officer at ByteTree Asset Management, pointed out the significance of ETF flows for Bitcoin compared to gold, noting that 5.5% of Bitcoin is held in ETFs, against 1% for gold. This makes ETF flows a more critical factor for Bitcoin’s market movements. Market participants like Jakob Kronbichler, co-founder of Clearpool Finance, emphasize the market’s responsiveness to ETF flow data and suggest the recent correction as a natural pause for the market to “take a bit of a breather” amidst widespread excitement. Spot ETFs Rake In $40 Million Yesterday, all spot Bitcoin ETFs experienced an inflow totaling $40.3 million, primarily due to Blackrock’s significant contribution of $150.5 million, which played a crucial role in boosting the market. On the contrary, ARK faced a challenging day with $87.9 million in outflows, despite having $200 million inflows the previous week. Grayscale’s GBTC saw rather low outflows, amounting to $81.9 million. Renowned analyst WhalePanda commented: “Maybe profit taking after Q1? Speculation though. […] Mondays always seem to have the most outflows and wondering if end of Q1 had something to do with it as I suspect. Price crashed further on US government moving/selling some of the BTC from Silk Road. Better to sell here than at $100k or $200k. 17 days until halving.” At press time, BTC traded at $66,398. Featured image created with DALL·E, chart from TradingView.com
On-chain data suggests the whale entities have bought up around 5% of the supply of the major stablecoins over the past three weeks. Whales Have Been Gobbling Up Stablecoin Supply Recently According to data from the on-chain analytics firm Santiment, whales have been rapidly accumulating the stablecoin supply recently. Whales here refer to investors holding […]
On-chain data shows the Bitcoin supply in profit has plunged following the latest crash in the asset’s price towards the $65,000 level. Bitcoin Supply In Profit Is Now Down To Around 90% As analyst James Van Straten pointed out in a post on X, around 10% of the BTC supply is now in a state of loss. The on-chain indicator of interest here is the “Percent Supply in Profit,” which tracks the percentage of the total circulating Bitcoin supply holding an unrealized gain. This metric works by going through the blockchain history of each coin in circulation to see the price at which it was last transferred. Assuming that this previous transaction involved a change of hands, the price at its moment would serve as the cost basis for the coin. Related Reading: Bitcoin Traders Spread “Buy The Dip” As Bitcoin Plunges Below $66,000 The coins with a cost basis that is less than the current spot price of the cryptocurrency would naturally be considered to be holding a profit, and as such, they would be counted under the supply in profit. The Percent Supply in Profit adds up all such coins and calculates what part of the total supply they make up for. The opposite metric, the Percent Supply in Loss, adds up the coins not satisfying this condition. Since the total circulating supply must add up to 100%, the Percent Supply in Loss can be deduced from the Percent Supply in Profit by subtracting its value from 100. Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Percent Supply in Profit for Bitcoin over the last few months: Looks like the value of the metric has taken a plunge in recent days | Source: @jvs_btc on X As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin Percent Supply in Profit has seen a sharp drop recently as the cryptocurrency price has gone through a significant drawdown. The indicator’s value has dropped to around the 90% mark, which means that about 10% of the supply is currently carrying a loss. The chart shows that the last time the metric touched these levels was back on 22 March. Interestingly, the asset also found its bottom around then. Earlier, the Percent Supply In Profit had pushed towards the 100% mark, which was a natural consequence of the price setting a new all-time high (ATH), since at fresh highs, all of the supply must be out of the red. Generally, the investors in profit are more likely to sell their coins, so if many come into gains, the possibility of a mass selloff rises. Due to this reason, high levels of the Percent Supply In Profit have often led to tops. Related Reading: Start Selling Bitcoin When This Happens, This Quant Says Similarly, bottoms become more likely when investor profitability levels drop relatively low. The current value of 90% is still quite high, but this isn’t unusual during bull runs, as there is strong demand and ATHs are being explored. The fact that the profitability has cooled off compared to earlier levels may be constructive for the rally’s chances to see a continuation, just like it did last month. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin has been trading at around the $65,700 level, down more than 5% over the past week. The price of the asset seems to have been tumbling down over the past couple of days | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView Featured image from Shutterstock.com, Glassnode.com, chart from TradingView.com
In a move highlighting the growing interest in the stablecoin market, Nick Van Eck, son of investment management veteran Jan Van Eck, is making a significant bet on cryptocurrencies through the family business. Agora, a startup co-founded by spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) manager firm VanEck, along with crypto veterans Drake Evans and Joe McGrady, […]
On-chain data shows that the world’s largest stablecoin issuer, Tether, recently added more Bitcoin to its holdings. The magnitude of the purchase has caused the crypto community to speculate on why Bitcoin’s price has dipped instead when such a development is usually bullish for the crypto token. Tether Acquires 8,888 BTC Data from the blockchain analysis platform Arkham Intelligence shows that Tether acquired 8,888 Bitcoin on March 31, and the stablecoin issuer now holds almost 75,400 BTC. With its BTC holding, Tether now ranks as one of the largest Bitcoin holders, even having more BTC than some of the most prominent crypto exchanges and Spot Bitcoin ETF issuers. Last year, the stablecoin issuer announced its plan to regularly purchase Bitcoin for its stablecoin reserves using part of the profits realized from its operations. Therefore, it is no surprise that the company has been able to acquire this amount of BTC since then, especially with the success they have attained recently. However, what is surprising is that Bitcoin has since dropped below $70,000 following this development. Usually, a Bitcoin purchase of such size should positively impact Bitcoin’s price and not cause a price dip like the one currently experienced. However, there is reason to believe other factors have overshadowed Tether’s purchase and caused Bitcoin to see such a sharp correction. Why The Bitcoin Price Is Down Crypto trading firm QCP Capital recently provided insights into why Bitcoin’s price broke below $70,000 and dropped to as low as $66,000. The firm claimed that the sharp move to the downside was due to the “large liquidations on retail-heavy exchanges like Binance, which saw perp funding rates go from as high as 77% to flat.” Related Reading: Shiba Inu Dips Below $0.00003 Again – Can Bulls Reverse The Bullish Momentum? The Spot Bitcoin ETFs, specifically Grayscale’s GBTC, also look to have contributed to Bitcoin’s decline as Grayscale continues to experience significant outflows from its fund. On April 1, GBTC saw an outflow of $302.6 million, mainly contributing to the combined net outflows of $85.7 million recorded by these Bitcoin ETFs.This has brought about more selling pressure on Bitcoin, which is currently overwhelming the buying pressure in the ecosystem. Activity in the derivatives market has also played a part in the bearish market sentiment, with the bears looking firmly in control. Data from Coinglass shows that $409 million has been liquidated from the market in the last 24 hours, with $328 million in long positions being wiped out during this period. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at around $66,500, down over 4% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. BTC price falls to $65,000 | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com Featured image from CFA Institute Blog, chart from Tradingview.com
The Bitcoin market has witnessed a significant downturn, with prices plummeting below the $66,000 mark. This abrupt -5.6% price movement can be attributed to four major factors: a long liquidation event, a rising US Dollar Index (DXY), profit-taking by investors, and spot Bitcoin ETF outflows. #1 Long Liquidations The main force leading to today’s downturn in Bitcoin’s price was a significant deleveraging event characterized by an unusually high level of long liquidations. Before the downturn, Bitcoin’s Open Interest (OI) Weighted Funding Rate was unusually high, indicating that leveraged traders were paying premiums to maintain long positions in anticipation of future price increases. This optimism, however, made the market vulnerable to sudden corrections. Related Reading: Hedge Fund Manager Predicts When Bitcoin Price Will Reach $150,000 Crypto analyst Ted, known as @tedtalksmacro on X (formerly Twitter), remarked, “Today was the largest long liquidation event since the 19th March.” He further elaborated on the effects of this correction by noting, “Nice reset in overall positioning today, even on just a 5% drop lower for Bitcoin… Next leg higher is loading I think.” This comment highlights the severity of the liquidations and suggests a potential rebound or restructuring within the market as it stabilizes. Coinglass data reveals that over the last 24 hours, 120,569 traders were liquidated, amounting to $395.53 million in total liquidations, with $311.97 million being long positions. Bitcoin-specific long liquidations were at $87.42 million. #2 DXY Puts Pressure On Bitcoin With 105.037, the DXY closed at its highest level since November yesterday, evidencing a strengthening US dollar. Given Bitcoin’s inverse correlation with the DXY, the stronger dollar might have shifted investor preference towards safer assets, moving away from riskier investments like Bitcoin. This correlation stems from the global market’s risk sentiment, where a rising DXY often signals a shift towards safer investments, detracting from riskier assets like Bitcoin. However, analyst Coosh Alemzadeh provided a counter perspective, suggesting through a Wyckoff redistribution schema that despite the DXY’s recent uptick, the next move could favor risk assets, potentially including Bitcoin. #DXY ⬆️4 weeks in a row/broke out of its downtrend so consensus is that a new uptrend is starting yet risk assets are consolidating at ATH Next move ⬆️in risk assets on deck IMO pic.twitter.com/u6ORa76vkj — “Coosh” Alemzadeh (@AlemzadehC) April 2, 2024 #3 Profit Taking By Investors Profit-taking by investors has also played a significant role in the recent price adjustments. The Bitcoin on-chain analysis platform Checkonchain reported a spike in profit-taking activities. Related Reading: Start Selling Bitcoin When This Happens, This Quant Says Glassnode’s lead on-chain analyst, Checkmatey, shared insights via X, stating, “The classic Bitcoin MVRV Ratio hits conditions we characterize as ‘heated, but not yet overcooked’. MVRV = above +0.5sd but below +1sd. This indicates that the average BTC holder is sitting on a significant unrealized profit, prompting an uptick in spending.” The profit-taking coincided with Bitcoin reaching a peak of $73,000, marking a cycle high in profit realization with over 352,000 BTC sold for profit. This selling behavior is typical in bull markets but plays a crucial role in creating resistance levels at local price tops. #4 Bitcoin ETF Outflows Lastly, the market witnessed notable outflows from Bitcoin ETFs, marking a reversal from last week’s substantial inflows. The total outflows amounted to $85.7 million in a single day, with Grayscale’s GBTC experiencing the most significant withdrawal of $302 million. Meanwhile, Blackrock’s IBIT and Fidelity’s FBTC reported positive inflows, totaling $165.9 million and $44 million, respectively. Commenting on this, WhalePanda remarked, “Overall negative day but not as negative as the price implied. Closing of Q1 so taking profit here makes sense. Some fuckery around [the] new quarter and halving is to be expected.” At press time, BTC traded at $66,647. Featured image created with DALL·E, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin price started another decline from the $70,000 resistance zone. BTC is down over 5% and there was a move below the $67,500 support. Bitcoin price is gaining bearish momentum from the $70,000 resistance zone. The price is trading below $68,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near $68,400 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair could extend its decline toward the $64,000 support zone in the near term. Bitcoin Price Turns Red Bitcoin price struggled to settle above the $70,000 resistance zone. BTC reacted to the downside after it broke the $69,200 support zone. There was a sharp move below the $68,500 level. The price even declined below the $67,000 level. Finally, it tested the $66,000 with a bearish angle. A low was formed near $65,992 and the price is now attempting a recovery wave. There was a move above the $66,800 level. The price moved above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $69,884 swing high to the $65,992 low. However, Bitcoin is now trading below $68,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near $68,400 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD. Immediate resistance is near the $68,000 level. It is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $69,884 swing high to the $65,992 low. The first major resistance could be $68,500 and the trend line. If there is a clear move above the $68,500 resistance zone, the price could start a fresh increase. Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com In the stated case, the price could rise toward the $70,000 resistance zone in the near term. The next major resistance is near the $71,500 zone. More Losses In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $68,000 resistance zone, it could continue to move down. Immediate support on the downside is near the $66,000 level. The first major support is $65,000. The next support sits at $64,000. If there is a close below $64,000, the price could start a drop toward the $62,500 level. Any more losses might send the price toward the $60,500 support zone in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $66,000, followed by $65,000. Major Resistance Levels – $68,000, $68,500, and $70,000.
As the crypto market ended March positively, the industry gears up for an eventful April, marked by crucial developments and milestones that could significantly impact the digital asset landscape. Crypto Halvings And Regulatory Deadlines The month starts with the Bitcoin Cash (BCH) halving event scheduled for April 2nd. Similar to Bitcoin (BTC), BCH undergoes a […]
Founder and Chief Executive Officer (CEO) of Morgan Creek Capital Management, Mark Yusko has predicted a massive price increase for Bitcoin during the 2024 bull cycle. Emphasizing Bitcoin’s immense potential, the hedge fund manager has crowned it as the unrivaled “King” among digital assets. $150,000 Price Target Set For BTC Appearing in a recent interview with CNBC Television on March 27, Yusko shared a bold forecast of Bitcoin, predicting that the cryptocurrency will see a significant rise to $150,000 in 2024. When asked why he believes the cryptocurrency would have such an astronomical price increase, Yusko cited the impacts of the upcoming Bitcoin halving and Spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Fund (ETF), on the price of BTC. The hedge fund manager has revealed that historically after a BTC halving cycle is completed, the fair value of the cryptocurrency rises. Related Reading: Dogecoin Price Breaks New 3-Year High – Here Are Factors That Could Drive The Price To $1 He explained that when the upcoming 2024 Bitcoin halving occurs in April, BTC miners will face challenges, with transaction fees poised to soar, consequently driving a price increase to $75,000. After the Bitcoin halving event, the cryptocurrency is expected to surge two times its fair value to $150,000. The hedge fund manager cited factors like increased interest from investors and Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) as triggers for this price spike. Yusko also revealed that after the Bitcoin halving, there would be a surge in demand for Spot Bitcoin ETFs, while the supply of new coins would decrease from 900 BTC to 450 BTC a day. “If there’s more demand than supply, price has to rise,” the hedge fund manager stated. The investment management CEO has expressed a strong belief in BTC’S value as one of the world’s leading digital assets. He envisions the cryptocurrency “easily” skyrocketing by 10x over the next decade. “Bitcoin is the king, it is the dominant token. It is a better form of gold or digital property. And I do think it will be the best,” Yusko said. Bitcoin Price Top Expected By Year’s End During his interview, Yusko predicted that Bitcoin could reach its peak price value by the end of 2024. The hedge fund manager disclosed that historically, nine months after a Bitcoin halving event, sometime in December, BTC undergoes a surge to its peak value before entering the next bear market. Related Reading: Shiba Inu Dips Below $0.00003 Again – Can Bulls Reverse The Bullish Momentum? During this time, the investment management CEO has stated that smaller crypto projects could potentially experience substantial increases, surpassing the gains witnessed by BTC. He disclosed several altcoins and investment assets that his company, Morgan Creek Capital Management, typically buys and HODLs, including Solana, Avalanche and Coinbase. BTC bulls and bears vie for control | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com Featured image from Crypto News, chart from Tradingview.com
A non-profit organization focused on Bitcoin (BTC) education, operating out of El Salvador, has recently unveiled an updated version of its Bitcoin Diploma program. The initiative aims to promote wider adoption of the leading cryptocurrency and educate individuals about the benefits of understanding its underlying technology. BTC Education Goes Mainstream Known as “Mi Primer Bitcoin” […]
Bitcoin has started out the new week on a rather bearish note after a flash crash sent the price below $69,000 once more. There has since been some recovery in the price of the largest cryptocurrency in the space. However, the damage has already been done as tens of thousands of crypto traders were flushed out of their leveraged positions as a result. 81,000 Crypto Traders Lose $220 Million The Bitcoin flash crash hit support just above $68,800 but crypto traders are already feeling the brunt of the large move. In the last day, more than 81,000 traders have lost their leveraged positions and the volume of their liquidations have piled up. Related Reading: Shiba Inu Dips Below $0.00003 Again – Can Bulls Reverse The Bullish Momentum? According to data from Coinglass, the numbers have climbed above 81,400 crypto traders who were liquidated as a result of the crash. In total, over $223 million was also lost during this time from all of the flushed positions. Then, the single largest liquidation took place on the OKX exchange across the ETH-USD-SWAP pair. This trader alone lost $7 million when their position was liquidated. As expected, the majority of the losses have come from long traders, with Coinglass showing a total of 70.01% of the liquidated positions being longs. This means that long liquidation volumes climbed above $156 million during the last 24 hours. The crypto exchange with the largest liquidation volumes was the OKX exchange, accounting for 46.87%, or $104.61 million, of all liquidations. Binance came in second place with 38.72%, or $86.41 million. Meanwhile, Bybit saw the third-largest liquidation volume at 8.4%, or $18.75 million. Bitcoin, Ethereum, And Dogecoin Lead Liquidations Naturally, the crypto assets with the largest liquidation volumes have been Bitcoin and Ethereum, with $36.1 million and $28.98 million. However, meme coins such as Dogecoin and PEPE have seen their own numbers ramp up as well. Dogecoin’s liquidation volumes came out at $10.4 million for the 24-hour period, which put it ahead of Solana with $8.3 million. Then coming up behind Solana is PEPE, with liquidation volumes climbing as high as $7.1 million. Related Reading: Prepping For $100,000: Bitcoin Shark And Whales Spend Over $18 Billion To Buy BTC Across all of these cryptocurrencies, long traders continue to suffer massive losses. Even in the shorter timeframe, the trends for long traders continue to look bleak. Coinglass data shows that in the last 12 hours, long traders accounted for 85.64% of liquidations. Then, in the 4-hour and 1-hour timeframes, they account for 6.182% and 72.62%, respectively. As for the Bitcoin price, bulls continue to struggle as resistance at $69,500 mounts. The price is currently trading at $69,450 at the time of this writing, with a 1.1% decline in the last day, according to data from Coinmarketcap. BTC price drops below $70,000 | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com Featured image from Coinpaprika, chart from Tradingview.com
Popular cryptocurrency analyst and enthusiast Rekt Capital has delved into the recent performance of Bitcoin (BTC) citing the beginning of a breakout process from a weekly range that could possibly lead to an upswing. Bitcoin Begins The Breakout Process Rekt Capital previously highlighted that Bitcoin has been wedged within a weekly range he dubbed Black-Black, ever since it witnessed about 18% correction. The candle-bodied peak from 2021 and the upside-wicking peak from 2021 basically created this weekly range. Related Reading: Can This Bullish Chart Pattern Propel Bitcoin Price To $75,000? He then claimed that regaining the $69,200 Range High for Bitcoin could indicate that the cryptocurrency is prepared to break out of the weekly range. Additionally, it might also signal the conclusion of the aforementioned pullback period. It appears the analyst’s forecast has come to pass as BTC has surpassed the $69,200 level, triggering a breakout activity. According to Rekt Capital, the first phase in the breakout process that Bitcoin has initiated is a Weekly Close above the Range High. However, before moving higher, BTC might need to dive into the range high in order to properly retest it as new support. As a result, it would be the second phase to validate the break out from the week range properly. The crypto expert’s analysis coincides with a recent drop in the price of Bitcoin today, raising speculations about its next movement. Bitcoin opened the day around the $71,000 threshold; a few hours later, the crypto asset fell to $69,200 level. As of the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at $69,500, indicating a decline of about 1.29% in the past day. BTC’s market cap has also decreased in the last 24 hours by the same percentage, while its daily trading volume has increased by over 52%. A Bullish Month For BTC This suggests that investors are still bullish toward the digital asset despite the retrace witnessed today. Investors are even more optimistic as Bitcoin’s halving event approaches because of the possible impact on BTC. Even though BTC began the day with a decline, several analysts still believe it might perform robustly in April. This is due to the fact that Bitcoin has mostly experienced significant growth in April over the past years. Related Reading: Bitcoin Pre-Halving Dip Expected: Will BTC Rally Before US Fed Decision? Zia Ul Haque, the Founder of Open4Profit claims that in the past April has been superior to March while providing a comparison of the monthly increases in the price of Bitcoin from 2013 until 2024. According to data shared by Haque, April has witnessed an average 14.2% increase in price. Haque anticipates a better performance this time since the much-awaited Bitcoin halving event will take place this month. “Halving is just at the end of this month – April 20th, pre-halving narrative can bring lots of attention to this market,” he stated. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
Almost every Bitcoin investor is anticipating a continued price surge as the crypto continues to trade around the $70,000 price mark. On-chain data has shown a large part of this surge can be attributed to the accumulation by large whales. Bitcoin is undoubtedly home to a lot of these whale addresses holding hundreds of millions of dollars and with transactions that can move the market. However, on-chain data has further revealed that the accumulation trend has also flowed into the next cohort of traders. These traders, also known as “Sharks,” are addresses that hold between 100 BTC and 1,000 BTC. According to Glassnode data, shark wallet addresses have accumulated 268,441 BTC in the past 30 days, which is the biggest net position change since 2012. Increased Accumulation Of BTC According to a Glassnode chart shared on social media by crypto analyst James Van Straten, Bitcoin accumulation by shark investors shot up in 2024 to reverse a multi-year consolidation since 2020. As a result, these addresses increased their holdings by 268,441 in 30 days, roughly converting to $18 billion. Related Reading: Crypto Expert Predicts Massive Shiba Inu Run As Price Mirrors 2021 While these sharks do not have as much individual power over price movement as very large whales, their collective behavior is still worth monitoring as they also relate to the sentiment among investors. Consequently, this large accumulation trend could lead to more buying which would signal a continued price surge for Bitcoin. Source: Glassnode The surge in accumulation is not really surprising, as the launch of Spot Bitcoin ETFs in the US has ushered in a bigger wave of accumulation sentiment from all cohorts of Bitcoin investors. As another analyst pointed out on social media, this shark accumulation could’ve been due to ETFs purchasing massive amounts of Bitcoins from Coinbase OTC desks. Bitcoin whales (addresses holding more than 1,000 BTC) have also upped their activity in the past few days, signaling strategic positioning in the market. Various transaction alerts from Whale Alerts have shown strategic movement from whale addresses. Notably, the crypto whale transaction tracker has revealed $1.3 billion worth of BTC exchanged between whale addresses in the past 24 hours. Among these large BTC movements was a notable transfer of 3,599 BTC worth $252 million between two unknown wallets. Another notable transaction was the transfer of 3,118 BTC from an unknown wallet to Coinbase Institutional. Bitcoin To $100,000? Data from IntoTheBlock has also reiterated this accumulation trend with its net transfer trend from exchanges. Data from ITB’s platform shows a $16.18 billion outflow from exchanges as against a $15.76 billion inflow in the past seven days. Bitcoin is now trading at $67,931 and has failed to stabilize above the $70,000 mark again. Related Reading: Crypto Analyst Predicts 600%-1000% Return For XRP, Here’s The Target However, the accumulation by whales and sharks, increasing mainstream interest from institutional investors through Spot Bitcoin ETFs, and the approaching halving all point to the possibility of substantial price appreciation to $100,000. BTC price at $70,000 | Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com Featured image from BBC, chart from Tradingview.com
On-chain data shows the Bitcoin shark cohort has participated in its largest accumulation spree over the past month since 2012. Bitcoin Sharks Have Purchased More Than 268,000 BTC In The Last Month As analyst James Van Straten explains in a new post on X, Bitcoin entities holding between 100 and 1,000 BTC have made some large […]
Data shows the total open interest in the crypto sector has recently been at an all-time high, indicating that volatility may be coming for the coins. Crypto Open Interest Has Been At Extreme Levels Recently As CryptoQuant Netherlands community manager Maartunn pointed out in a post on X, the total crypto open interest has recently […]
The outflows from the Grayscale Bitcoin ETF rocked the market hard last week, leading to a dramatic decline in the BTC price. However, with the new week, there has been a change in direction as investors begin to get bullish on Bitcoin once more. As a result, the outflows from the Grayscale ETF have slowed down, reaching one of its lowest points for the month. Grayscale Bitcoin ETF Outflows Drop 60% Grayscale outflows ramped up last week, spearheading what would turn out to be a full week of outflows from Spot Bitcoin ETFs for the first time ever. The outflows rose rapidly over the week, even moving into the new week. However, inflows into Spot Bitcoin ETFs have been on the rise, which have overshadowed the outflows from GBTC. Related Reading: Shiba Inu Going To $0.0001: Crypto Analyst Reveals What Will Drive The Rally Despite the outflows from the GBTC continuing, it has begun to spin into a more positive narrative as the number of BTC flowing out of the fund is declining fast. To put this in perspective, data shows there was 299.8 BTC moved out of the fund on Wednesday, March 27, and on Thursday, March, 20204, this figure dropped to 104.9 BTC, representing a 60% drop. This marks the second day with the lowest outflows from the Grayscale Bitcoin ETF right behind the March 12 outflows of 79 BTC. It also points to a decline in the volume of outflows as investors start to level out and find their footing elsewhere. Nevertheless, the GBTC has remained the loser of the Spot Bitcoin ETF race, nursing a full month of outflows so far. Since the ETFs were first approved in January until now, there has been more than $14.6 billion moved out of the fund, which accounts for around 50% of its total balance. These BTC have presumably found a home in other Spot ETF funds which have been seeing massive inflows. Unlike last week, inflows have also dominated Spot Bitcoin ETFs this week. Total inflows for the week crossed above $800 million, bringing the total Assets Under Management (AuM) to almost $57 billion in less than three months. Why This Could Trigger A BTC Price Rally The last time that GBTC outflows saw a slowdown after rising for about a week, it triggered a response from the Bitcoin price in the form of a rally. Inflows also continued to dominate for the next couple of weeks and during this time, the BTC price enjoyed a long stretch of recovery. It went from $40,000 to over $70,000 in the space of two months. Related Reading: Dogecoin Holder Base Reaches New Record Amid Surge In Interest If this trend repeats itself this time around, then another massive BTC price rally could be around the corner. A similar price increase would also put Bitcoin right above $100,000 in the next few months. In this case, the uptrend would be far from over. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is still struggling to break $70,000 after a 1% drop in the last day. BTC price jumps above $70,000 | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com Featured image from Which.co.uk, chart from Tradingview.com
On-chain data shows the Bitcoin Exchange Stablecoins Ratio has plunged to its lowest since March 2023. Here’s what this could mean for BTC. Bitcoin Exchange Stablecoins Ratio Has Been Heading Down Recently As explained by an analyst in a CryptoQuant Quicktake post, the Bitcoin Exchange Stablecoins Ratio has been declining recently. The “Exchange Stablecoins Ratio” […]
The crypto community’s attention has been drawn to a Bitcoin whale who recently moved a huge portion of their BTC holdings across different wallets. This action has sparked the curiosity of those in the community about the reason for these transactions. Bitcoin Whale Moves $6 Billion In BTC Blockchain analysis platform Arkham Intelligence first brought this occurrence to the community’s attention when it mentioned in an X (formerly Twitter) post that the Bitcoin address (37XuVSE) had moved over $6 billion in BTC to three new addresses. Related Reading: Ripple CEO Responds To SEC’s Shocking $2 Billion Demand As part of the transactions, $5.03 billion worth of BTC was sent to one of these addresses (bc1q8yj), while the two other addresses (bc1q6m5 and bc1q592) received $561.46 million and $488.40 million worth of BTC respectively. Arkham added that one of the wallets (bc1q592) has since then proceeded to transfer the received funds to another wallet. Notably, the wallet which moved $6 billion in BTC was before now the fifth richest Bitcoin address having held over 94,500 BTC in its wallet. As of now, it still holds 1.31 BTC in the wallet in question. Interestingly, before now, this address was dormant as it had not moved any of this BTC which it received since 2019. Transactions of such magnitude are always sure to cause a stir in the crypto community, considering the impact such whales can have on the market. Usually, a move like this can cause community members to speculate that the whale may be looking to offload their tokens and take profits. However, the fact that these transactions weren’t made to exchange-linked wallets has quelled such speculations. Another BTC Whale On The Rise Bitcoinist recently reported on BlackRock’s Bitcoin wallet, which has continued to accumulate Bitcoin at an astonishing rate due to the impressive demand for its iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT). Despite just launching this ETF in mid-January 2024, BlackRock now holds 243,126 BTC for the fund. Related Reading: Crypto Analyst Predicts XRP Price Will Rally 800% To $6, Here’s When BlackRock’s BTC holdings has seen it rise to becoming one of the largest corporate BTC holders, only behind centralized exchanges Binance, Bitfinex, and Coinbase and fellow Bitcoin ETF issuer Grayscale. A sustained demand for the IBIT ETF could however see BlackRock surpass these entities at some point. That is also something that could reflect positively on Bitcoin’s price seeing as how instituitional demand for the flagship crypto has helped propel it to new highs. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at around $70,500, up in the last 24 hours according to data from CoinMarketCap. BTC price recovers above $71,000 | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com Featured image from Forbes, chart from Tradingview.com
Robert Kiyosaki, the best-selling author of the popular book, ‘Rich Dad Poor Dad’ has hailed Bitcoin as the perfect asset. Delving into the digital asset’s distinctive qualities, the financial expert offers a comprehensive comparison between BTC and traditional fiat currencies through a question-and-answer format. Bitcoin As The Perfect Asset In a recent X (formerly Twitter) […]
Bitcoin reaching $100,000 remains a highly feasible target, especially given the fact that the price of the cryptocurrency hit a new all-time high above $73,00 ahead of the halving. In preparation of the explosive move that is expected to follow the halving, Bitcoin whales are going all out as they fill up their wallets with BTC. Large Bitcoin Whales Buy More BTC As the Bitcoin price has retraced from its surge, large Bitcoin whales are taking advantage of the dip to buy more coins at cheap prices. These whales, which hold at least 1,000 BTC – which means they have $70 million on the low end, have bought up a large tranche of coins over the last three months. Related Reading: Crypto Analyst Predicts XRP Price Will Rally 800% To $6, Here’s When Since January, there has been a steady climb in the number of wallets that hold at least 1,000 as interest continues to grow. A lot of this interest is driven by institutional investors who are putting billions of dollars into Spot Bitcoin ETFs. Now, with the condition that issuers have to hold the BTC they sell to customers, it has seen these institutions buy up a good chunk of the supply. The number of addresses holding at least 1,000 BTC was sitting at less than 1,500 at the beginning of the year. However, by March, with institutions ramping up their buys, this number has climbed to 1,617. This is an 8% increase in the number of these large whales in the last three months. Source: Glassnode To put this increase in perspective, the last time that there were these many whales holding this much BTC was back in 2021 at the peak of the bull market. So, if this number is rising once again, it means that these large investors are expecting the price to rise, and as a result, are trying to maximize their profits. Spot ETF Inflows See 2,600% Spike After a week of consistent outflows, inflows into the Spot Bitcoin ETFs are starting to ramp up once again. For the first day of the week, inflows climbed to $14.5 million, bringing a welcome change from the almost $900 million worth of outflows that was recorded in the prior week. This change in the tide seems to have brought renewed interest for investors as Tuesday saw a whopping 2,600% increase in inflows. In total, there $418 million recorded going into Spot BTC ETFs on Tuesday, one of the highest inflow days since the ETFs were approved. Related Reading: Ripple CEO Responds To SEC’s Shocking $2 Billion Demand This change in direction is also evident in the Bitcoin price, which has recovered from last week’s low of $60,000. The price has since sprung back up above $70,000, with a 10% increase in the last week. This also validates the whales’ moves to acquire more Bitcoin, putting the vast majority of their holdings in profit. Now, as seen in the past, a return of high inflows into the Spot ETFs has always been bullish for the price. So, if the inflows were to continue throughout this week, then the price of Bitcoin could register a brand new all-time high ahead of the halving. BTC bulls push price toward $72,000 | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com Featured image from India Today, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin price is consolidating gains above the $70,000 resistance zone. BTC could rally again if there is a move above the $71,500 resistance in the near term. Bitcoin price moved in a positive zone above the $66,500 level. The price is trading above $70,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $68,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair could start another increase if it clears the $71,500 resistance zone. Bitcoin Price Regains Strength Bitcoin price started a decent increase above the $68,800 resistance zone. BTC climbed higher above the $69,500 and $70,000 resistance levels. Finally, the price tested the $71,500 resistance zone. A new weekly high was formed near $71,557 and the price is now consolidating gains. There was a minor decline below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $66,811 swing low to the $71,557 high. However, the price remained stable above $69,000. Bitcoin is now trading above $70,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support at $68,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The trend line is close to the 61.8%% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $66,811 swing low to the $71,557 high. Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com Immediate resistance is near the $70,800 level. The first major resistance could be $71,500. If there is a clear move above the $71,500 resistance zone, the price could continue to gain strength. In the stated case, the price could even clear the $72,500 resistance zone in the near term. The next key resistance sits at $73,500. Another Decline In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $71,500 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support on the downside is near the $70,000 level. The first major support is $69,000. The next support sits at $68,500 and the trend line. If there is a close below $68,500, the price could start a drop toward the $67,000 level and the 100 hourly SMA. Any more losses might send the price toward the $66,000 support zone in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $68,500, followed by $67,000. Major Resistance Levels – $70,500, $71,500, and $73,500.
The positive Bitcoin Coinbase Premium that drove the latest rally above $70,000 has dissipated, suggesting buying has already slowed down. Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap Has Returned To Neutral Levels CryptoQuant Netherlands community manager Maartunn explained in a post on X that the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap has declined back toward the neutral line. The “Coinbase Premium Gap” here refers to a metric that keeps track of the difference between the BTC prices listed on cryptocurrency exchanges Coinbase (USD pair) and Binance (USDT pair). Related Reading: Bitcoin Sentiment Returns To Extreme Greed As BTC Breaks $71,000 When the value of this metric is positive, it means that the price listed on Coinbase is greater than that on Binance right now. Such a trend implies that the buying pressure on the former is higher than that on the latter platform (or alternatively, the selling pressure on there is just lower). On the other hand, a negative value can imply the selling pressure on Coinbase is higher than on Binance as the price of the cryptocurrency listed there is lower. Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap over the past few days: The value of the metric appears to have been close to the neutral line recently | Source: @JA_Maartun on X The chart shows that the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap had taken to notably positive values as the latest upward push in the asset’s price had occurred. Since then, though, the metric has fallen, with its value approaching zero. It would seem that the buying pressure on the platform contributed to the surge. The fact that the rally has slowed since the metric returned to neutral levels may add further evidence. This isn’t unnatural for this year, however, as the Bitcoin price and Coinbase Premium Gap have shown a pretty tight relationship since the start of 2024. Coinbase is popularly known as the preferred platform of American institutional investors, while Binance hosts more global traffic. As such, the premium’s value provides insight into how the behavior of the US-based large holders differs from that of world users. Since the Coinbase Premium Gap has been the driver of the recent price surges, buying from these institutional entities could potentially have provided the fuel. Related Reading: Bitcoin Top In Yet? What The Legendary MVRV Ratio Says As the indicator’s value has now neared the neutral mark, it would imply that these whales have lifted their foot off the gas. Given the close relationship the metric and BTC price have held recently, it may be worth keeping an eye on how things develop in the coming days. BTC may register some decline if the premium flips into the red from here. Naturally, a continuation of positive values would be a bullish sign instead. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around the $70,100 level, up more than 11% over the past week. Looks like the value of the asset has been going up over the last few days | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView Featured image from Kanchanara on Unsplash.com, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com
Here’s what the latest trend in the Bitcoin Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio suggests about where the market is currently in terms of a top. Bitcoin MVRV Ratio Has Seen A Decline To The 2.34 Level According to data from the market intelligence platform IntoTheBlock, the BTC MVRV ratio surged high earlier this year as the cryptocurrency rally took place. The “MVRV ratio” is a popular indicator that tracks the ratio between the Bitcoin market cap and the realized cap. The former is simply the total valuation of the asset’s supply at the current spot price, while the latter is an on-chain capitalization model. Related Reading: Bitcoin Long-Term Holders & Price Top: Glassnode Reveals Pattern The realized cap measures the total sum of the value of the cryptocurrency’s supply, assuming that each coin in circulation has its true value at the price at which it was last transferred on the blockchain rather than the current spot value. One way to interpret the realized cap is that since it takes into account the buying price of every token in circulation (assuming that the last transaction of every token was indeed the point at which it last changed hands), it essentially sums up the total capital the investors have invested in the asset. As such, the MVRV ratio tells us how the total value that Bitcoin investors are carrying right now (that is, the market cap) compares against the value they put in (the realized cap). Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin MVRV ratio over the past few years: Looks like the value of the metric has been turning down in recent days | Source: IntoTheBlock on X As is visible in the graph, the Bitcoin MVRV ratio has had a value greater than 1 for a while now. When the indicator has such values, the market cap is greater than the realized cap, and hence, the investors carry net profits. With the latest rally in the asset, this indicator has surged to relatively high levels, a natural consequence of the holders’ profits ballooning up with the price surge. After the recent drawdown in the price, though, the MVRV ratio has also turned itself around, as it’s now heading down. At present, the ratio has a value of around 2.34. “Traditionally, an MVRV ratio above 3 has been a reliable marker for predicting price peaks,” notes IntoTheBlock. So far, in the current rally, the metric hasn’t crossed this mark. It did come close recently, but the latest decline has meant it has gained a bit more distance to the level. Related Reading: This Bitcoin Halving May Not Result In Supply Squeeze: Glassnode Why have tops historically occurred at high values of the Bitcoin MVRV ratio? The answer is that investors in profits are more likely to participate in selling, and this temptation to take profits only increases as their gains grow larger. Because of this, selloffs are most probable when the market is holding extreme levels of profits, which is exactly what high MVRV ratio values reflect. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at around $67,200, up 3% over the past 24 hours. The price of the asset appears to have rebounded over the last few days | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView Featured image from Yiğit Ali Atasoy on Unsplash.com, IntoTheBlock.com, chart from TradingView.com