Bitcoin’s price structure is showing signs of strain, and new data from CryptoQuant shows that fresh capital is no longer entering the market. Instead of the recent drawdown acting as an attraction for buyers, it appears to be triggering withdrawals. This change in liquidity behavior is important, as it indicates that Bitcoin may be transitioning into deeper bear market conditions. Notably, on-chain metrics tracking new liquidity flows are revealing negative cumulative inflows over the past month. Selling Pressure Builds, New Investor Inflows Flip Negative According to a recent analysis that was done on the CryptoQuant platform, Bitcoin’s 30-day cumulative new investor flow has dropped to approximately $2.6 billion. Related Reading: Analyst Reveals The Best Time To Buy Bitcoin And The Best Time To Sell This metric was revealed from CryptoQuant’s ‘Bitcoin New Investor Flow’ data, which is revealing that more capital is leaving the ecosystem than entering it. The data shows that the ongoing dip is failing to attract meaningful participation from new buyers. Interestingly, the current reading of this metric is displaying a huge contrast between previous bull phases and current conditions. Large spikes in new money, visible in blue in the chart below, accompanied strong price rallies, particularly in 2017, 2021, and again during the 2024-2025 bull market. Those inflow surges coincided with powerful upside momentum in terms of price action. At present, those spikes are notably absent. Instead, the lower section of the chart is displaying growing red readings due to net capital outflows. The latest print is below zero, which shows that sell-offs are not being absorbed by fresh liquidity. This dynamic matters because markets rely on marginal buyers to sustain higher prices. When new participants step back, price action becomes vulnerable to deeper pullbacks. That is why there is a need for new buyers to absorb the selloffs. Low Liquidity Raises Crash Risks Although liquidity contraction does not automatically guarantee another major crash, it increases fragility of price action. Bitcoin, for one, is still trading below $70,000, although bulls have largely prevented further breakdowns below $60,000. This, in turn, has kept the Bitcoin price trading in a range around $70,000. Related Reading: Bitcoin Caught Between Two Liquidity Traps — Which Side Breaks First? However, many crypto analysts are of the notion that Bitcoin could still crash further to lower price levels. Calls for a deeper correction are circulating across trading platforms and social media, with projected bottoms stretching from around $55,000 to as low as $30,000. The absence of inflow spikes suggests that Bitcoin may struggle to regain momentum in the near term. If liquidity continues to dry up, the probability of another significant leg lower before a rebound increases. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is changing hands at $67,160, reflecting a modest 0.3% gain over the past 24 hours. This price behavior is unfolding alongside a slowdown in mining activity due to miners shutting down their systems, which led to the largest mining difficulty drop since 2021. Featured Image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
Michael Saylor has doubled down on his company’s plan to keep buying Bitcoin on a regular schedule, saying that short-term swings will not change the approach. Related Reading: Jim Cramer Suggests US Government Could Buy Bitcoin Near $60K The message was simple and repeated: accumulation continues. Many in markets heard it as both reassurance and a reminder of how much the firm now depends on the asset. Saylor’s Quarterly Buying Plan According to public statements and company filings, the firm will keep making purchases every quarter. Reports say Bitcoin is being treated like a long-term reserve rather than a trading position. That means buys continue no matter what headlines scream today. The tactic is deliberate and steady. It is designed to smooth the entry points over time. A Massive Position And What It Means The company holds 714,644 Bitcoins. On its own pages the value runs into the tens of billions. That level of accumulation places the firm among the largest single holders of the coin, and with such scale comes concentration risk. The position was not built overnight. It was assembled over years, and much of it was funded through debt instruments tied to the company’s strategy of growth through accumulation. Bitcoin Price Action In Context Bitcoin has been volatile. It slid back below $70,000 this week after a run higher earlier in the year, and at one stage recently it had traded near a much higher peak that recalibrated many investors’ expectations. Short-term traders are uneasy. Long-term backers are unbothered. Price swings of this size can push shares of companies with large crypto exposure down sharply, which is what happened to the firm’s stock as market sentiment shifted. How Debt And Liquidity Factor In Reports say Strategy carries more than $8 billion in total debt, including notes created specifically to fund purchases. Cash on hand is being used to cover ordinary obligations, with the company noting it has enough to pay dividends for a period measured in years. Bitcoin Correlation With Tech Stocks Meanwhile, many market players now treat Bitcoin like a high-beta asset that moves with tech stocks in risk-on episodes, rather than like a safe haven that shines when fear rises. That shift in behavior is one reason some analysts have raised questions about the sustainability of a debt-financed accumulation model when prices move sharply lower. Related Reading: After Predicting XRP’s Drop, Analyst Says The Bottom May Be In Saylor’s Pledge And What Comes Next The commitment by Saylor and his team to buy each quarter is intact. The company says selling is not on the table. For outside observers, the question is whether steady accumulation funded in part by debt becomes a strength if prices recover, or a vulnerability if volatility persists and credit conditions tighten. The answer will emerge as market conditions unfold. Featured image from Vecteezy, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin price failed to stay above $70,000 and started another decline. BTC is now trading below $68,800 and might extend losses in the near term. Bitcoin is slowly moving lower below $68,800 and $68,000. The price is trading below $68,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $68,200 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might dip again if it trades below the $66,500 and $65,000 levels. Bitcoin Price Dips Again Bitcoin price failed to remain stable above the $70,000 zone. BTC started a fresh decline and traded below the $68,800 support zone. There was a push below $68,000. The price dipped below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $60,500 swing low to the $72,256 high. There is also a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $68,200 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. Bitcoin is now trading below $68,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. If the price remains stable above $65,000, it could attempt a fresh increase. Immediate resistance is near the $68,200 level and the trend line. The first key resistance is near the $69,000 level. A close above the $69,000 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $70,000 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $71,500 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $72,000 and $72,500. More Losses In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $69,000 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $66,000 level. The first major support is near the $65,000 level or the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $60,500 swing low to the $72,256 high. The next support is now near the $63,500 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $62,000 support in the near term. The main support now sits at $61,200, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $66,000, followed by $65,000. Major Resistance Levels – $69,000 and $70,000.
Robert Kiyosaki, the author of Rich Dad Poor Dad, has once again declared his support for Bitcoin, this time making a direct comparison between the digital asset and gold. In a recent post on social media, the New York Times bestselling author said that if he were forced to choose between the two, he would select Bitcoin over gold, citing the cryptocurrency’s actual design as the deciding factor. His comments quickly led to reactions from his followers, not only because of the comparison but also due to his own recent activity in the crypto market. Bitcoin Is A Better Investment Than Gold According to Kiyosaki, investing in Bitcoin is a much better decision than buying gold, and this is mostly due to the supply dynamics of the two assets. On a surface level, Kiyosaki noted that it would be obviously better to invest in both gold and Bitcoin, while also adding silver for diversification of assets. However, if he had to choose only one asset, he would choose Bitcoin. Related Reading: Contrary To Popular Belief, This Is Not The Worst Bitcoin Crash In History – Here’s The List Kiyosaki’s view on Bitcoin as a better investment is based on its hard supply cap of 21 million coins. Unlike gold, whose total reserves are uncertain and expandable through technological advancements and exploration, Bitcoin’s issuance schedule is mathematically predetermined. The protocol behind BTC makes sure that no more than 21 million coins will ever exist. As of now, over 19 million coins have already been mined, which means the network is close to its maximum supply threshold. According to Kiyosaki, this design is brilliant, and that means the price of Bitcoin should only go up. Based on Kiyosaki’s perspective, engineered scarcity gives Bitcoin a structural advantage over gold. If demand is growing while supply remains fixed, basic economic theory implies upward price pressure over the long term. “Glad I bought my Bitcoin early,” Kiyosaki said. From Selling BTC To Defending His Early Entry Claims Robert Kiyosaki rose to prominence with his 1997 bestselling book on personal finance called Rich Dad Poor Dad, which eventually rolled over into a series of personal finance books. Over the years, he has broadened his commentary to include real estate, precious metals, commodities, and, more recently, cryptocurrencies. Related Reading: Forget A Bitcoin Yearly Top, BTC Price Might Have Hit A 16-Year Cyclical Peak In late 2025, Kiyosaki disclosed that he had sold a portion of his Bitcoin holdings. The disclosure came in November, around the time the price of Bitcoin fell below $90,000. According to him, he sold roughly $2.25 million worth of Bitcoin, explaining that the coins had originally been acquired years earlier at about $6,000 each. Speaking of buying Bitcoin at $6,000, Kiyosaki is claiming he stopped buying Bitcoin at $6,000. However, he has faced backlash for this claim. Recent community notes show Kiyosaki said on January 23, 2026, that he was continuously buying Bitcoin, alongside other assets like gold, silver, and Ethereum. Nonetheless, the gold-versus-Bitcoin discussion among investors is unlikely to stop anytime soon. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
XRP and Bitcoin (BTC) were pitted against each other in a recent analysis, with market expert X Finance Bull revealing what early investors could have gained if they had invested $500 into both XRP and BTC in 2014. The analysis compares the performance of both cryptocurrencies over the years, highlighting the factors behind XRP’s growth and sustained momentum. What $500 In Bitcoin And XRP in 2014 Is Worth Today A new analysis by X Finance Bull reveals the dramatic growth potential of early investments in Bitcoin and XRP. According to the report, a $500 investment in XRP at the 2014 lows would be worth approximately $255,000 today. He compares XRP’s gains with those of Bitcoin, noting that if investors had bet the same amount in BTC in 2014, their investments would have grown to around $133,000. Related Reading: Analysts At Leading Wealth Manager Predict Bitcoin’s 2026 Price, And It’s Very Bullish These figures suggest that XRP outperformed Bitcoin by more than twice over the same period, delivering a 511-fold return, compared to BTC’s 266-fold gain. During that time, XRP’s performance benefited not only from early, steady adoption and speculative interest but also from the continued development of its underlying payment system. Over the years, XRP has moved beyond a purely speculative asset, gaining more traction as it evolves into a potential global settlement layer. Sharing similar sentiments, X Finance Bull highlighted how XRP’s infrastructure developments have significantly supported its significant price growth today. He noted that the cryptocurrency has seen major progress in areas such as Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs), banking licenses, and enterprise-level adoption. Notably, XRP Spot ETFs officially launched in November 2025, attracting massive inflows that have significantly boosted demand for XRP among institutional investors. In addition, the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) has conditionally approved Ripple’s application to establish a national trust bank charter. All of these developments have contributed to XRP’s price growth over the past few months. Investors Reap Rewards For Holding XRP Through Volatility In his post, X Finance Bull suggested that investors who held onto their XRP positions through the volatile years “know why they held.” Following the cryptocurrency’s dramatic rally above $3, many investors reaped the rewards of staying invested from its lows and trusting in its potential for future price appreciation. Related Reading: XRP’s 1,500% Path To $24: Analyst Warns Investors To Be Prepared For When The Correction Resolves From 2018 to 2025, XRP struggled with a lawsuit filed by the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). During those years of legal turmoil, many investors continued to hold onto their XRP despite the uncertainty and price stagnancy. Following Ripple’s legal win, XRP surpassed $3 in 2025, marking its first break above that level since 2018. Compared to XRP, Bitcoin has also experienced significant growth in the past few years. After crossing the $100,000 threshold in 2024, BTC continued its surge into 2025, finally hitting a peak above $126,000 in October. Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin’s price is often framed as the result of one dominant factor, whether it’s the halving cycle, macro liquidity, or speculative demand, and this view misses the deeper reality of how the asset actually trades. BTC exists within a complex economic environment where multiple forces act simultaneously, each influencing price in different ways. When Bitcoin Cycles And Macro Cycles Overlap Multiple interacting processes shape Bitcoin and the broader business cycle, and the dynamics are more complex than a single narrative. Crypto analyst Giovanni has highlighted on X that the FOMO halving narrative had heavily driven the early BTC cycle, and the social feedback loop matters. At the same time, the Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) also exhibited a 4-year periodicity, and this does not mean the BTC halving cycle was irrelevant. Related Reading: Bitcoin Is The Money Of The AI-Powered Economy: CryptoQuant CEO These two cycles are interacting, and that interaction is precisely what needs to be quantified and understood, rather than dismissed with hand-waving explanations. Giovanni emphasized that the halving cycle is still real for miners and never disappeared. Block rewards are reduced on a fixed schedule, and that mechanical change directly impacts miner economics. By extension, these effects propagate into the broader BTC economy in one form or another. The explanation is not credible if the pendulum swings from “the 4-year cycle is an illusion” to “the 4-year cycle halving cycle explains everything.” Replacing one oversimplified story with another doesn’t improve understanding; it just shifts the blind spot. There are solid mathematical tools designed to study cycle coupling, phase alignment, and interaction effects. Giovanni argues that applying these tools is the right path, and doing so is unlikely to produce a new simple narrative. What will likely emerge is a richer structure, where internal and external cycles interact in nontrivial ways. How The Model Estimates Up And Down Outcomes An analyst known as The Smart Ape pointed out on X about developing a theoretical probability model to estimate Bitcoin’s up and down price outcomes in the 15-minute markets on Polymarket. The model is intentionally simple, calculating probabilities by using the target price, the current BTC price, and the remaining before the market round closes. What stood out most was how closely the theoretical outputs matched real market probabilities. The difference between the market prices and model probabilities was consistently within a narrow 1-5% range, suggesting that the model tracks actual market behaviour with remarkable accuracy. Related Reading: Top Analyst Says ‘Paper Bitcoin’ Is Driving The Market, Not The 21 Million Supply Cap In this market, probabilities are directly set by traders, which clearly shows how bot-dominated these markets are and are driven by logical rules and algorithms. The Smart Ape argues that if the market were primarily driven by human traders, real probabilities wouldn’t align this tightly with a theoretical model. Featured image from Pngtree, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin’s image as a steady store of value is being tested. What once was talked about as a hedge against uncertainty now moves more like a high-upside, high-risk bet. Related Reading: Jim Cramer Suggests US Government Could Buy Bitcoin Near $60K Signals Of A Growth Asset According to Grayscale, recent trading patterns show Bitcoin tracking closely with shares of software companies rather than with gold or silver. That change in behavior has been noticeable since early 2024, when institutional flows and exchange-traded products pushed crypto into more mainstream hands. Reports say investors who chase growth — many drawn by the AI story — have been selling software names hard, and Bitcoin has followed some of that pressure. Institutional Links And Market Forces Reports note that deeper ties to traditional markets explain part of this shift. Large firms, ETF mechanics and growing institutional holdings mean movements in stock markets can spill into crypto. There has also been active selling from US-based accounts that left Bitcoin trading at a discount on some platforms. That selling happened after a string of big liquidations late in the year and again in recent weeks, which amplified losses for traders who used leverage. Where Price Stands Now Bitcoin is changing hands around $66,900, with clear resistance near $69,900 and support levels slipping under $66,600. The swings are sharp and intraday moves can be wide, reflecting a mood that is cautious and reactive. From its peak above $126,000 in October, the market has pulled back by roughly 50% in several waves, which shows how quickly sentiment can turn against even the most talked-about crypto. Gold, Geopolitics And Risk Appetite Reports point out that bullion has climbed to fresh highs while Bitcoin has failed to mirror those safe-haven flows. Rising geopolitical friction has driven some money into metals and away from riskier bets, including tech shares and crypto. Traders who expected Bitcoin to act like a fortress against turmoil have found that, for now, it behaves more like an asset whose value rises on hope and falls when fear returns. A return of fresh capital would likely be needed to steady prices. ETF inflows could help, and a renewed wave of retail buyers would too. Research suggests that retail interest is currently focused on AI stories and growth narratives, which leaves crypto out of favor for many individual investors. That concentration of attention matters: capital flows are what lift or sink these markets. Related Reading: After Predicting XRP’s Drop, Analyst Says The Bottom May Be In Bitcoin Tracks Tech, But Long-Term Value Still Intact Grayscale says Bitcoin’s recent moves mirror tech stocks, not gold, but its long-term potential as a store of value remains. Short-term swings reflect market integration and investor activity, while future performance will depend on capital flows and broader economic trends. Featured image from ETF Trends, chart from TradingView
A prominent market commentator’s offhand remark has set off fresh talk in crypto circles about whether the US might step into the Bitcoin market if prices fall to a certain level. Related Reading: Tron Accumulates TRX, Price Pops As Justin Sun Weighs In Reports say market commentator Jim Cramer told viewers on CNBC that he “heard at $60,000 the President is gonna fill the Bitcoin Reserve,” a line that quickly spread across social and financial news feeds. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Talk Gains Traction Based on reports, the comment revived talk about a possible US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and whether any purchases would come from regular Treasury funds or from assets already held by the government. Some outlets pointed out that while the idea makes for a headline, it does not line up with how the government has handled crypto so far. Officials and analysts note that most government Bitcoin holdings have come from seizures and forfeitures, not open market buys. Markets Reacted, But Not Like A Buy Signal Bitcoin prices wobbled as traders parsed the claim. There was a bounce after the recent dip, and some traders read the chatter as extra buying motivation. Yet on-chain checks and wallet scans did not show a pattern that would match a secret, large-scale government accumulation at the lows; holdings reported in public trackers looked steady rather than suddenly growing. Reports analyzing on-chain data say there’s been no clear trace of fresh government buys tied to the $60,000 mark. Why Experts Push Back Other crypto analysts warned that there’s no proof the US will swoop in to buy bitcoin with new taxpayer funds. Legal and budget limits make such purchases complicated: normally, federal bitcoin holdings are handled under rules for seized assets, and any new program to buy crypto with appropriated funds would likely need clear congressional approval or a new legal footing. Related Reading: After Predicting XRP’s Drop, Analyst Says The Bottom May Be In What Remains Unclear Reports note that Washington does hold a lot of Bitcoin on paper, and that makes the topic sensitive. But the key point is this: talk and headlines are not the same as policy. Claims circulating online and on TV have sparked more curiosity than confirmation, and the wallet data that observers can check has not flagged a recent, secret buying spree that would match Cramer’s suggestion. Featured image from So Money Podcast – Farnoosh Torabi, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin price started a recovery wave above $68,500. BTC is now struggling to clear $72,000 and might start another decline in the near term. Bitcoin is attempting to recover but is facing many hurdles near $72,000. The price is trading below $70,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is a short-term bearish trend line forming with resistance at $69,200 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might dip again if it trades below the $68,000 and $67,700 levels. Bitcoin Price Faces Resistance Bitcoin price managed to remain stable above the $66,500 zone. BTC started a recovery wave and was able to climb above the $68,000 resistance zone. The price surpassed the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $78,988 swing high to the $60,500 low. However, the bears seem to be active near the $72,200 and $72,500 levels. Besides, there is a short-term bearish trend line forming with resistance at $69,200 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. Bitcoin is now trading below $70,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. If the price remains stable above $68,000, it could attempt a fresh increase. Immediate resistance is near the $69,200 level and the trend line. The first key resistance is near the $71,000 level. A close above the $71,000 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $72,000 resistance or the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $78,988 swing high to the $60,500 low. Any more gains might send the price toward the $73,500 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $74,000 and $74,500. Another Decline In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $71,500 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $68,000 level. The first major support is near the $67,650 level. The next support is now near the $65,500 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $65,000 support in the near term. The main support now sits at $63,200, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $68,000, followed by $67,600. Major Resistance Levels – $71,500 and $72,000.
Bitcoin’s mining landscape is showing clear signs of stress as network difficulty records its largest downward adjustment since 2021. The sharp drop reflects a wave of miners shutting off machines or exiting entirely, squeezed by declining profitability, higher operating costs, and prolonged price pressure. As inefficient miners step aside and difficulty adjusts lower, the stage is set for consolidation across the mining sector. What Miner Capitulation Says About Near-Term Bitcoin Sentiment One of the most telling signals in the market is happening right now. The CEO of Coinbureau, known as Nic, revealed on X that Bitcoin mining difficulty just experienced its biggest drop since 2021, which means a meaningful number of miners are either shutting machines off or exiting the network entirely. At the same time, some miners are actively pivoting away from BTC and moving into AI and hyperscale data centers. Related Reading: Retail Dumps, Bitcoin Inflows Surge: On-Chain Data Flags Capitulation Bitfarms is a clear example, as its stock surged after announcing it is no longer positioning itself primarily as a BTC mining company. It’s not just that mining is harder, but because prices are down, and margins are tight. Instead, markets are actively rewarding miners for leaving BTC and reallocating into AI infrastructure, signaling that capital sees more returns outside BTC mining. A Statistical Outlier In Bitcoin Price Action Bitcoin has just printed a 5.65 standard deviation move, an event so extreme that it has occurred only 13 times in more than 5,000 trading days. According to Front Runners on X, Standard deviation measures how far a price move deviates from the average daily change. Most daily BTC moves fall within ±1 standard deviation, which is roughly 70% of the time, and any moves beyond 3 standard deviations are already considered rare. Related Reading: Is Bitcoin’s Reset Complete? BTC Steadies Above $70K as Markets Debate the Next Move A 5+ standard deviation move sits at extreme territory. Historically, BTC has seen similar moves of volatility in January 2015, December 2018, and March 2020, all periods that closely aligned with major cycle bottoms. This doesn’t mean it is a reversal recovery to the upside, as BTC could still consolidate sideways for months. However, this is the kind of volatility move that tends to happen near exhaustion, not mid-trend. This fast and aggressive crypto bear market is likely closer to a bottom than a top. Analyst Scient has highlighted that for Bitcoin and high-quality crypto assets, this is not the environment to chase trades. Instead, it’s the phase to plan buys using a structured Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) strategy over the coming weeks and months. There is no reliable way to time an exact bottom outside of pure luck. As prices trend lower, downside targets will continue to shift lower, creating frustration for anyone trying to trade every move. Scient emphasized that a simple spot accumulation using dollar-cost averaging in BTC and strong alts will outperform gambling on leverage for most participants. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
The Bitcoin and Ethereum prices have rebounded from last week’s lows, providing optimism that the bottom may be in. This comes amid accumulation from whales while the crypto ETFs have seen notable inflows following last week’s outflows. Why The Bitcoin And Ethereum Prices Are Climbing Again The Bitcoin and Ethereum prices have pumped from their last week’s lows of around $60,000 and $1,900, respectively. BTC climbed to as high as $71,000, sparking bullish sentiments that the crash to $60,000 may have marked the bottom. These price surges have come on the back of significant accumulation from both retail and institutional investors. Related Reading: 5 Red Months In A Row: What’s Going On With Bitcoin And The Crypto Market? In an X post, on-chain analytics platform Lookonchain revealed two whales that are buying Bitcoin and Ethereum. These two newly created wallets are said to have withdrawn 3,500 BTC, worth $249 million, and 30,000 ETH, worth $63 million, from Binance, likely to hold these coins for the long term. Furthermore, Bitcoin and Ethereum prices have also rebounded due to renewed inflows into BTC and ETH ETFs. SoSoValue data shows that the BTC ETFs recorded a daily net inflow of $145 million yesterday, sustaining the momentum from last Friday, when they took in $371 million, after recording three consecutive days of outflows. Further data from SoSoValue shows that the Ethereum ETFs saw daily net inflows of $57 million yesterday, reversing the trend after seeing three consecutive daily net outflows. Tom Lee’s BitMine also continues to buy more ETH, which is a positive for the Ethereum price. Lookonchain revealed that BitMine bought 40,000 ETH, worth $83 million, yesterday. These purchases come just after the company announced it had purchased 40,613 ETH, valued at $82.85 million, last week. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Set To Break Out Against Bitcoin, But How High Can It Go? It is also worth highlighting external factors that have contributed to the recent rise in Bitcoin and Ethereum prices. Tensions between the U.S. and Iran appear to have cooled following talks last Friday, after initial reports that the talks were unlikely to proceed. Meanwhile, traders are beginning to price in the possibility of a rate cut in March after recent job reports came in weak. Bullish Case For BTC And ETH Crypto analyst Michaël van de Poppe has made a bullish case for the Bitcoin and Ethereum prices. In an X post, he stated that he expects to see more momentum coming in for BTC, with a clear breakout above $71,500 in the coming days. The analyst added that the pattern is comparable to the COVID crash, and he thinks a rally to between $78,000 and $80,000 could occur in the coming weeks. For Ethereum, Michaël van de Poppe stated that this is a “tremendous” opportunity to be looking at ETH because there is a massive gap to the ‘fair price.’ He added that ETH’s current valuation, based on the MVRV ratio, is just as underpriced as during notable crashes such as the peak of the 2018 bear market and the April 2025 crash when Trump announced reciprocal tariffs. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin is tightening between two major liquidity pools, with both bulls and bears sitting on borrowed time. As pressure builds and liquidity stacks on both sides, the next move looks less about direction and more about which side gets wiped out first. HTF Liquidity At $65,300 Remains The Primary Target Lennaert Snyder’s latest Bitcoin analysis remains focused on a significant High-Timeframe (HTF) liquidity pool located around the $65,300 zone. This area is designated as a major box of interest for hunting long positions. Rather than setting a blind entry, the strategy involves waiting for the price to penetrate this zone and then monitoring for high-probability reversal patterns to confirm a bottom. Related Reading: Bernstein Calls Bitcoin Crash A ‘Crisis Of Confidence,’ Maintains $150,000 Target Before reaching the lower HTF liquidity, there are potential local short-selling opportunities to trade the downward move. The first point of interest is the M15 liquidity sweep around $69,900. If the price reaches this level and captures the liquidity, the plan is to initiate a short position only after a confirmed bearish market structure break. A similar short-selling logic applies to the liquidity resting above the $71,450 level. Should Bitcoin push higher and sweep this liquidity, the expert is positioned for a subsequent bearish market structure shift, which signals a move back toward the primary $65,300 target. The analysis emphasizes patience and trigger-based entries over predictive guessing because the exact depth of the test into the $65,300 box is unpredictable. Liquidity Magnets Light Up On Bitcoin 24-Hour Heatmap Coin Adam pointed out that Bitcoin’s 24-hour heat map clearly highlights where liquidity is clustered, raising the key question of which side market makers may target next. According to Adam, current conditions suggest the market is being pulled between two powerful liquidity magnets. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Hovers Around $70K As Volatility Goes Quiet On the downside, the $67,800–$68,200 zone stands out as a bright liquidity pool. This area is packed with long positions, making it an attractive target for a downside sweep. Coin Adam noted that a sharp wick into this range to grab liquidity and rebuild momentum remains a very realistic scenario. On the upside, there is also notable short squeeze potential between $71,500 and $72,500, where a heavy concentration of short positions sits. If Bitcoin can hold convincingly above the $70,000 level, a strong bullish candle could push the price above to fill the gap. Overall, Adam explained that price is currently compressed between two major liquidity blocks, a setup that often resolves with a move toward the most prominent target. While both sides remain vulnerable, Coin Adam believes a sweep below $68,000 appears more likely in the near term, before any larger move toward the $72,000–$76,000 region unfolds. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin is seeing large institutional withdrawals while XRP is drawing the strongest share of fresh allocations, according to the latest digital asset fund-flow data. On paper, that rotation should support XRP’s valuation. Instead, prices across the market remain under pressure. The disconnect between capital movement and market performance is now forcing a deeper examination of liquidity conditions, regional positioning, and broader cycle dynamics driving the divergence. Bitcoin Outflows Are Driving XRP Inflows Data from CoinShares’ weekly Digital Asset Fund Flows report shows Bitcoin recorded $264 million in outflows over the measured week, making it the only major asset to post significant negative sentiment. The withdrawals extend Bitcoin’s year-to-date outflows to $984 million, reinforcing that institutions are actively reducing exposure rather than passively rebalancing. Related Reading: PlanB Lays Out Four Bitcoin Bear-Market Scenarios At the same time, XRP attracted $63.1 million in weekly inflows — the highest across all tracked assets. Its cumulative inflows have now reached $109 million year-to-date, positioning it as the strongest institutional allocation target so far this year. While Solana drew $8.2 million and Ethereum recorded $5.3 million, neither came close to XRP’s scale, confirming the rotation is concentrated rather than market-wide. Regional flow reinforces the rotation. Germany led with $87.1 million in inflows, followed by Switzerland ($30.1 million), Canada ($21.4 million), and Brazil ($16.7 million). The United States moved in the opposite direction, posting $214 million in weekly outflows and contributing to $1.464 billion in cumulative withdrawals from US -listed products. However, despite XRP’s leadership in inflows, total digital asset investment products still recorded $187 million in net outflows. This indicates that while Bitcoin capital is partly rotating into XRP, a meaningful share is exiting crypto entirely, diluting the price impact of inflows. Liquidity Contraction And Market Structure Are Pressuring Price XRP’s price behavior reflects wider liquidity constraints. The asset is currently trading at $1.42, down 12.3% over the past week. The drop highlights how inflows are being absorbed without translating into immediate price expansion. Related Reading: Expert Says If You Hold XRP, Pay Attention To These Things Moreover, total assets under management across digital asset funds have fallen to $129.8 billion, the lowest since March 2025. With the institutional capital base contracting, new allocations carry less price impact than they would in an expanding market. Trading dynamics further clarify the pressure. Exchange-traded product volumes reached a record $63.1 billion, surpassing the previous $56.4 billion peak recorded in October. High volume alongside falling prices typically signals distribution, liquidations, or hedging rather than accumulation. Bitcoin’s systemic role amplifies the effect. As the market’s primary liquidity anchor, sustained BTC outflows create correlation drag across digital assets, limiting XRP’s ability to respond positively to inflows. CoinShares analysts add that while outflows persist, their pace is slowing — a pattern often associated with late-cycle capitulation and potential bottom formation. Within that framework, XRP’s inflows may represent early institutional positioning ahead of stabilization rather than a catalyst for immediate price expansion. Featured Image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
XRP’s recent slide has left traders asking whether the worst is over. Prices have been weak since Q4 2025, and reports say the token has lost roughly half its value from an October opening near $2.80 to about $1.42 as we speak. That drop came with a sharp move in momentum indicators, which traders rarely ignore. Related Reading: After Predicting XRP’s Drop, Analyst Says The Bottom May Be In Extreme RSI Readings Near A 12-Year Low According to market reports, the daily relative strength index fell to about 17 on Feb. 5, pushing readings to levels not seen in over a decade. That is an extreme number for RSI on a daily chart. When readings hit this depth, past action has often produced strong, quick rebounds. History does not promise a repeat, but it does give a pattern that many traders watch closely. Patterns From The Past Offer Both Hope And A Warning Reports note several prior episodes when low RSI numbers lined up with sharp recoveries. After an October low, a bounce of roughly 70% came in just nearly half a month. Other lows in mid-2024 and April 2024 produced gains of about 65% and 35% within short windows of days. Those moves were fast, and they were driven by buyers jumping in when momentum looked exhausted. Still, past rebounds can be followed by renewed selling, and what happened before isn’t guaranteed to happen again. XRP just hit an RSI of 20 on the daily—the most oversold it’s ever been in its history. Every single time XRP has hit these extreme levels, a 15-40% bounce followed within two weeks. Not sometimes. Every time. Relief bounce to $2.20-$2.50 is the highest probability setup we’ve… pic.twitter.com/F8e7WBRbyu — Ripple Bull Winkle | Crypto Researcher ???????? (@RipBullWinkle) February 5, 2026 Major Bounce In The Offing? A vocal market commentator, crypto researcher Ripple Bull Winkle, has pointed to those patterns and argued that a 15%–40% bounce often follows such extreme readings. Based on reports, that view has traction with some traders, who are watching for signs of a short squeeze or a flush that shakes out weak hands. Other traders caution against leaning on a single signal. The broader market, macro news, and funds’ behavior can overwhelm technical cues. Large short-liquidity zones above $2.25 and between $4.20 and $4.40 are on the chart; if price hits those spots, moves can accelerate quickly. XRP’s Position Versus Major Coins XRP has not been alone in losing ground, but its pair trades show some relative strength. The XRP/ETH pair has been in a range since August 2025, and XRP/BTC recovered after a brief breakdown. Dominance metrics have held near the 3.5% area and have even bounced to roughly 3.6%. These data points mean XRP isn’t collapsing in isolation; it’s moving inside a market that’s broadly weak. What Traders Might Watch Next Volume will matter. So will daily closes above key resistances and whether the RSI climbs out of extreme territory with conviction. A clean break above the $2.25 level could put the next targets in view, while failure to sustain a bounce would likely keep sellers in control. Related Reading: Tron Accumulates TRX, Price Pops As Justin Sun Weighs In Risk control is expected to be important; many moves after deep oversold readings were sharp but short-lived, so position sizing and stop rules have a practical role. For now, reports say the setup is one of opportunity and danger at once. Traders who are watching momentum see a chance for a quick recovery. Others note that structural selling and wider market pressures could blunt any rally. Either way, the coming days should show whether this is a relief bounce or the start of something larger. Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin price started a recovery wave above $68,000. BTC is now consolidating gains above $70,000 and faces hurdles near the $72,200 zone. Bitcoin is attempting to recover but is facing many hurdles near $72,000. The price is trading above $70,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is a rising channel forming with support at $68,800 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might dip again if it trades below the $68,800 and $67,700 levels. Bitcoin Price Stays In A Range Bitcoin price managed to remain stable above the $66,000 zone. BTC started a recovery wave and was able to climb above the $68,800 resistance zone. The price surpassed the 50% Fib retracement level of the main slide from the $78,988 swing high to the $60,500 low. However, the bears seem to be active near the $72,000 and $72,500 levels. Besides, there is a rising channel forming with support at $68,800 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. Bitcoin is now trading above $70,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. If the price remains stable above $68,800, it could attempt a fresh increase. Immediate resistance is near the $72,000 level or the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the main slide from the $78,988 swing high to the $60,500 low. The first key resistance is near the $72,500 level. A close above the $72,500 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $74,650 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $75,880 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $76,500 and $77,200. Another Decline In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $72,500 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $69,400 level. The first major support is near the $68,500 level. The next support is now near the $67,600 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $66,500 support in the near term. The main support now sits at $65,000, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $68,500, followed by $67,600. Major Resistance Levels – $72,000 and $72,500.
Big players in crypto appear ready to buy up smaller projects, and the shakeup could speed up now that prices have cooled. Related Reading: After Predicting XRP’s Drop, Analyst Says The Bottom May Be In According to Bullish CEO Tom Farley, the same consolidation that reshaped traditional exchanges is likely to play out across digital-asset firms, with acquisitions replacing a long run of stand-alone hopefuls. Farley says overblown price tags kept many weak businesses afloat longer than they should have, and that reality is finally catching up. Bigger Crypto Firms Eye Smaller Players Farley, who led the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) until 2018, said during an interview on CNBC on Friday that many teams mistook products for businesses — a distinction he argues is costly. Companies with modest or stalled revenue were being talked about as if they were ready for blockbuster buyouts. That story, he added, ends when confidence in inflated valuations fades and buyers demand scale and repeatable income. Mergers will pick winners. Some teams will be swallowed; others will vanish. Valuations And VC Discipline Reports say venture capitalists have already tightened their grips. Eva Oberholzer, chief investment officer at Ajna Capital, said last September that VCs are far more selective now, shifting toward projects with steady revenue and clearer business models. That change in funding behavior has left many early-stage plays without the runway they once enjoyed. The money that once chased ideas now chases proof. Bitcoin Price Action Bitcoin’s swings are part of why buyers are cautious. Based on real-time data, BTC has been trading in the $68k-$70k lately, well off the October peak above $126,000. Daily moves of multiple thousands of dollars are common, and traders are jittery as broader markets wobble. Reports note that the recent volatility followed heavy losses across risk assets and a spike in hedging activity, which made short-term momentum hard to read. Related Reading: Breathe… XRP Is The ‘Oxygen’ Of The New Financial System, CEO Says What That Means For Teams And Workers When companies merge, duplication often follows. Engineers, product leads, and support staff may find roles cut as overlapping systems are folded together. Some projects will be integrated and given new life inside larger platforms; others will be wound down. For holders and small investors, the change can be abrupt. Buyers will prize clear revenue lines and strong custody, not dreams of a future payout. Featured image from AFP/Getty Images, chart from TradingView
Ross Gerber, a renowned Tesla investor and Co-founder of Gerber Kawasaki Wealth and Investment Management, has identified the primary reason Bitcoin (BTC) fell below $70,000. The CEO has attributed the decline in the leading cryptocurrency and the broader market to the rise of scam tokens and shit coins in the space. The Truth Behind Bitcoin’s Crash Below $70,000 The Bitcoin price dropped below $70,000 last week, sparking fear and uncertainty across the market. As the world’s largest cryptocurrency crashed, other major digital assets followed, fueling the broader market decline. In his X post on February 7, Gerber has shared insights into the factors driving Bitcoin’s recent downturn. Related Reading: 5 Red Months In A Row: What’s Going On With Bitcoin And The Crypto Market? According to him, the market is currently being undermined by a surge in scam tokens, citing meme-based cryptocurrencies such as the TRUMP coin. He explained that bad actors are increasingly entering the space, launching low-quality or fake tokens with little to no utility or real value while generating hype and FOMO. When investors buy these tokens, they often suffer losses from rug pulls, sudden crashes, or other fraudulent schemes. Based on Gerber’s report, scam tokens have not only eroded crypto investors’ confidence and discouraged market participation, but have also diverted capital that could have flowed into legitimate cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin. The Gerber Kawasaki CEO also highlighted that another key factor behind Bitcoin’s continued decline is the absence of new market catalysts. He suggested that the market is largely driven by the same underlying factors, with only minor fluctuations from short-term moves by bag holders. In 2024, Bitcoin experienced sharp gains following the launch of Spot Bitcoin ETFs. Additional momentum came from catalysts like an increase in institutional demand. Recently, this demand has been declining. Spot Bitcoin ETFs continue to record massive outflows, macroeconomic conditions remain uncertain, and Bitcoin continues to face strong sell-offs and volatility. Gerber also agrees that Bitcoin’s current downturn is exacerbated by selling pressure from leveraged traders, whose forced liquidations trigger a chain reaction that pushes prices lower. Related Reading: Here’s Why The Bitcoin, Ethereum, And Dogecoin Prices Are Still Crashing Today Despite the negative trend, Gerber frames the situation as an opportunity for long-term investors. He noted that the decline in Bitcoin’s price allows seasoned players to buy the cryptocurrency at discounted “panic-level” prices, positioning these investors for potential gains once market conditions stabilize. Analysts Predict Bitcoin Price Dump To $42,000 After Bitcoin’s brief decline below $70,000, analysts warn that further weakness may be imminent. Crypto expert Chiefy has forecasted that the Bitcoin price is preparing for another massive dump to $42,000 as early as next week. With its price currently trading above $69,800, this would reflect a more than 40% crash. Chiefy notes that BTC’s slight recovery a few days ago was the final bull trap of this cycle and cautioned that things are about to get much worse. He urged investors and traders to prepare for a real bear market. Featured image from Pngtree, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin price started a recovery wave from $60,000. BTC is now consolidating gains above $70,000 and faces hurdles near the $72,000 zone. Bitcoin is attempting to recover but is struggling to clear hurdles. The price is trading above $70,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There was a break above a bearish trend line with resistance at $69,800 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might dip again if it trades below the $68,500 and $67,200 levels. Bitcoin Price Holds Support Bitcoin price managed to remain stable above the $65,000 zone. BTC started a recovery wave and was able to climb above the $68,500 resistance zone. The price surpassed the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent downward move from the $78,988 swing high to the $60,500 low. Besides, there was a break above a bearish trend line with resistance at $69,800 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. Bitcoin is now trading above $70,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. If the price remains stable above $70,000, it could attempt a fresh increase. Immediate resistance is near the $71,200 level. The first key resistance is near the $72,000 level or the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the recent downward move from the $78,988 swing high to the $60,500 low. A close above the $72,000 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $73,200 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $74,650 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $75,000 and $75,500. Another Decline In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $72,000 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $70,000 level. The first major support is near the $68,500 level. The next support is now near the $67,200 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $66,000 support in the near term. The main support now sits at $65,000, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $68,500, followed by $67,200. Major Resistance Levels – $72,000 and $74,650.
Since reaching its current all-time-high price of $126,000 in October last year, the Bitcoin market has been on a sell-off, translating into surmounting bear pressure. As a result, the flagship cryptocurrency has maintained a steady decline, falling until it recently reached $60,000 — a deviation of more than 52% from its all-time high. Bitcoin currently seems to be seeing a rebound, but price action alone reflects that it could as well be one of its short-term recoveries. Interestingly, a recent on-chain evaluation suggests that the current upward movement may be driven by a significant underlying metric. Related Reading: Bitcoin Taker Buy Ratio Signals Peak Bearish Sentiment — Relief Soon? What The Bitcoin Sharpe Ratio Is Saying In a Quicktake post on CryptoQuant, Darkfost reveals that the Bitcoin Sharpe Ratio is now at a zone historically relevant to the ends of bear markets. The Sharpe Ratio is a risk-adjusted performance metric that measures how much return an asset (Bitcoin, in this case) generates for risk taken. A high ratio signals that returns are strong in relation to risks taken; a declining ratio, on the other hand, reflects weakening returns, while risk remains elevated. On the severe end of the metric, a very low or negative Sharpe Ratio is a sign that market participants are taking very high risks for poor or negative returns. It is worth noting that very low Sharpe ratios are frequently seen during deep bear markets or even capitulation phases. According to historical data, Darkfost explains that the Sharpe Ratio is currently at a level so low as to be reminiscent of the final phases of past bear markets. This means that the Bitcoin price holds a higher practical risk, compared to returns, for current investors. Notably, the Sharpe ratio is not just at a low point, but continues in a steady state of decline. This, according to the market quant, is a sign that Bitcoin’s performance is yet to be attractive to any willing risk-taker. However, it is this specific dynamic that sets the pace for a turnaround in Bitcoin’s price. This is because sustained poor returns typically force capitulation events, where weaker hands are flushed out; this eventually sets the stage for renewed accumulation among stronger hands. Related Reading: Forget A Bitcoin Yearly Top, BTC Price Might Have Hit A 16-Year Cyclical Peak Two Main Approaches To Consider In This Scenario: Analyst Seeing as the current market condition is still mostly uncertain, Darkfost offers two ways to engage the current scenario. First, the analyst states that investors could begin increasing exposure gradually, and in line with the ratio’s movement towards lower risk zones. Second, Darkfost explains that a market participant could decide to wait for clear improvements in the Sharpe Ratio before entering the market at all. This is to serve as a confirmation strategy for the purpose of investor safety. However, Darkfost notes that the present bear phase could last a couple more months before any true reversal is seen, regardless of the signal being flashed by the Sharpe Ratio. As of this writing, Bitcoin stands at a $69,064 valuation. CoinMarketCap data reflects a 1.71% loss over the past day. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview
Bitcoin is navigating one of its deepest conviction zones yet, a phase that tests nerves more than it screams opportunity. While prices drift and fear dominates the market, smart money quietly accumulates, laying the groundwork for the next potential trend shift. Testing Conviction: Bitcoin In One Of Its Deepest Bear Market Zones Over the past few weeks, volatility has intensified, causing Bitcoin’s price to fall sharply. Marcus Corvinus highlighted that Bitcoin is trading in one of the deepest bear market zones in history, an area that doesn’t shout buy now but instead tests conviction and patience. These are the zones where price can drift aimlessly, bleed, and frustrate traders for weeks or even months. It’s not a sign of weakness; rather, strong hands are quietly accumulating while fear dominates the market narrative. Related Reading: Bitcoin Hits Deep Demand As Liquidity Finally Sweeps The Lows These phases are always messy and uncomfortable. Sentiment is crushed, capitulation feels endless, and confidence is at its lowest. Retail traders often panic or step aside during these times, which is exactly why these opportunities are so often missed. The real shift in trend rarely begins with hype or dramatic rallies. Instead, it starts with stabilization, absorption, and subtle recovery signals that are only visible to those who are patient. Quiet accumulation, a slowing of selling pressure, and small rebounds all hint that the market may be preparing for its next meaningful move. History doesn’t ring a bell at the bottom. It punishes doubt before it rewards belief. Marcus concludes that he is watching this zone very closely. While it won’t last forever, when it finally ends, most market participants will wish they had paid attention. The opportunity lies in recognizing the signals while others are blinded by fear and frustration. Resistance Holds At $71,000 — What It Means For Bulls Crypto analyst Crypto Candy noted that Bitcoin is moving largely as expected. As previously mentioned, a pullback from the $61,000–$58,000 zone toward the $70,000–$67,000 area was likely, and that scenario has unfolded precisely as predicted. The market reacted within this range, confirming the anticipated short-term price dynamics. Related Reading: Bitcoin Hits Deep Demand As Liquidity Finally Sweeps The Lows Crypto Candy also highlighted that although BTC touched $71,000, it was unable to close above that level on the daily timeframe. This reinforces the idea that until Bitcoin decisively reclaims this zone, short-term retracements remain the primary expectation. Looking ahead, Crypto Candy emphasized that a bullish scenario can only be considered in the short term if BTC closes above $71,000. Until that happens, the market may continue to test lower ranges, and retracements from the current zone are expected. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
Crypto expert Tony Severino has opined that Bitcoin isn’t just showing signs of a yearly top but also that the BTC price may have hit a 16-year cyclical peak. This comes amid the flagship crypto’s recent crash to $60,000, which sparked fears of a bear market. Bitcoin May Be Showing Signs Of A Peak Amid BTC Price Crash To $60,000 In an X post, Severino alluded to the yearly Bitcoin chart, which he said looks like a 16-year cyclical peak rather than just a yearly top. The expert also outlined several reasons this appears to be a major cyclical top for the BTC price. First, he noted that the white candlesticks have been decreasing in size over time, while black candlesticks engulf more white candles with each appearance. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Just Hit A 15-Year Trendline After The Crash, What This Means Furthermore, Severino highlighted the Doji at the top of a rising wedge pattern while the Evening Star is in progress, which is a bearish reversal signal for the BTC price. Meanwhile, the Fischer Transform is crossing bearish with divergence, and the Stochastic is crossing bearish after being rejected from 80. He added that Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) is falling back below 70 after making it above this level on the highest timeframe chart. His analysis comes as the BTC price continues to decline, suggesting the crypto market may be in a bear market after topping last October. Bitcoin dropped to as low as $60,000 earlier this week, suffering its largest daily decline since the FTX collapse. Veteran trader Peter Brandt has also opined that Bitcoin is in a bear market, predicting that it could still drop to as low as $42,000 before it sees a bottom. Reason For The Recent BTC Crash BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes has commented on the reason for this recent Bitcoin crash, suggesting that it was due to external factors rather than part of an ongoing bear market. In an X post, he stated that the BTC price dump was probably due to a dealer hedging off the back of BlackRock’s BTC ETF structured products. Notably, BlackRock’s IBIT saw a record trading volume of $10 billion on the day of this crash to $60,000. Related Reading: Here’s What To Expect If The Bitcoin Price Maintains Support Above $74,400 Hayes’ comment comes on the back of Bitcoin’s rebound above $70,000, with the flagship crypto recording one of its largest ever daily gains yesterday following the crash to $60,000. Galaxy Digital’s Head of Research, Alex Thorn, suggested that the drop to $60,000 may mark the bottom for the BTC price. This came as he noted that the 200-week MA, which is around $60,000, has historically been a strong entry point for long-term investors. At the time of writing, the BTC price is trading at around $70,000, up over 6% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Pngtree, chart from Tradingview.com
Arthur Hayes, co‑founder of BitMEX, has pointed to hedging tied to BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) as a major driver behind the recent Bitcoin sell‑off. Related Reading: Bitcoin Edges Past Gold In Appeal, JPMorgan Says According to Hayes, dealer hedging related to IBIT and similar structured products can force large, mechanical selling when markets move against those positions. Reports note that such moves can amplify a price drop already set off by other pressures. Heavy Hedges Can Trigger Sudden Selling Pressure: Hayes Hayes argues that banks and dealers who underwrite structured notes and ETF‑linked products often hedge their exposure in the spot and derivatives markets. Those hedges can be heavy and fast. When a large product faces outflows or redemption triggers, hedges are adjusted quickly. That can translate into sudden selling pressure that pushes prices down further, especially if liquidity is thin. $BTC dump probably due to dealer hedging off the back of $IBIT structured products. I will be compiling a complete list of all issued notes by the banks to better understand trigger points that could cause rapid price rises and falls. As the game changes, u must as well. pic.twitter.com/9DF8VE9XBL — Arthur Hayes (@CryptoHayes) February 7, 2026 Market Moves And Liquidity Stress The market behaved like a room of people trying to leave at once. Prices plunged, then bounced. Reports say Bitcoin fell steeply from its recent highs before staging a partial recovery. Bitcoin has fallen to around $68,500 Saturday, down 16% in the last seven days, data from Coingecko shows. Trades and order books showed spikes in volume, which is one sign that hedging flows and quick rebalancing were at play. Some analysts say macro news and trader positioning also mattered. The truth likely sits in the overlap of these causes. Who Bears The Risk Dealers carry risk when they underwrite complex products. In certain moments, that risk is passed back into the market through hedging. That’s how, according to Hayes, a few large issuers can indirectly set off a chain reaction that affects many other holders and traders. The moves can be sudden and mechanical, not always driven by sentiment. A Watchful Washington Reports say the role of spot ETFs in crypto markets is now on regulators’ and policymakers’ radar. US President Donald Trump’s economic team has been monitoring big flows into and out of institutional vehicles, while market participants debate whether ETFs stabilize prices or add new stress points. Whatever the view, structured products now form a clear link between traditional finance and crypto volatility. Broader Takeaways This episode underlines how new financial plumbing can create new channels for contagion. Some see the presence of large, regulated players as a net positive for long‑term adoption. Others warn those same players introduce conventional market mechanics that can behave unpredictably when stretched. Reports note both perspectives are useful when piecing together why prices moved the way they did. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sell-Off May Be Done, Analyst Flags Recovery Signs Who Is Right, And What Next Hayes has laid out a theory that ties observable hedging flows to the crash. It is a compelling thread that fits many of the market signals seen in recent days. Still, other factors—macro shifts, concentrated profit‑taking, and liquidity gaps—likely played parts as well. Traders will watch flows closely, and structured product issuers will be asked hard questions. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
The Bitcoin price displayed a staggering show of bearish pressure over the week. As the premier cryptocurrency lost its footing around the $84,000 support level, it entered a slippery slide, reaching approximately $60,000. Currently, the market is in recovery mode, with its price rising again to $70,000. Interestingly, a recent on-chain evaluation has emerged, lending more credence to expectations of a price rebound. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sentiment Worst Since 2022 Bear As Price Crash Continues MVRV Data Reveals Bitcoin Market Is Under ‘Severe Stress’ In a QuickTake post on CryptoQuant, popular market analyst Darkfost postulates that the recent Bitcoin price action has given an apparently strong buy signal. This is based on data from the Bitcoin: MVRV Percentile – Current Cycle (0-100%) indicator. For context, this metric shows where Bitcoin’s current MVRV ratio ranks in the ongoing cycle, relative to all past values. This serves as a means to identify whether the market is historically undervalued or overheated. According to Darkfost, the MVRV sits within the 0 to 10 % percentile. This is a notably low level for the present Bitcoin cycle, seeing as the MVRV has held higher levels than the current value for more than 90% of this cycle’s period. Practically, readings around this level indicate that the majority of Bitcoin holders are doing so with minimal unrealized profits, or even outright losses, compared to their cost bases. This is often a telltale sign that the Bitcoin market has experienced a period of extreme stress, accompanied by multiple liquidations and investor exhaustion. However, this period is only part of a broader cyclical trend. Darkfost explains that the Bitcoin market (like other big assets) tends to enter overheated phases, followed by corrections, and then overstressed phases, which have often preceded bullish recoveries. Notably, transitions out of the 0–10% MVRV range have often been followed by price stabilization and eventual upwards movement. On the other hand, the 90% zone often represents overheated market conditions, which precedes heavy profit-taking activity and subsequent correction. Although MVRV data alone does not singularly confirm that the Bitcoin price would achieve a full-scale recovery, it indicates strong potential for a positive momentum boost to reclaim key valuation levels. Related Reading: Analyst Who Predicted XRP’s 600% Rally Forecasts The Bottom And A Target Of $10 Bitcoin Price Overview As of press time, Bitcoin trades for approximately $67,855. According to CoinMarketCap data, the world’s leading cryptocurrency has recovered by more than 4.00% over the past 24 hours. Meanwhile, the daily trading volume is down by 38.16% and valued at $88.37 billion. Featured image from Pexels, chart from Tradingview
According to Matt Hougan, chief investment officer at Bitwise Asset Management, much of the crypto complex already went through a down cycle last year even though headline coins looked steadier. Related Reading: Russia’s Biggest Exchange To Launch XRP Indices And Futures He points to heavy buying from ETFs and companies that kept Bitcoin, Ether, and XRP from showing the full brunt of those losses. Some tokens, without that same support, fell hard — in many cases by about 50%–60% — and behaved like past bear phases. Institutional Buying Accelerates Hougan Says ETF flows and corporate accumulation have shifted the balance. When institutions buy more than new supply, price pressure changes. That is what he highlights. “We ran the four-year cycle last year,” Hougan said. “We’re already at the bottom. I think we’re coming back up.” ETF purchases and corporate hoarding at times outpaced newly mined Bitcoin, creating a persistent bid under the market. Reports note the comparison to gold, where steady central bank buying first steadied prices and later helped fuel much bigger moves. “Just like gold eventually entered a parabolic move, Bitcoin will follow suit,” Hougan said. We’re just earlier in that process.” A Selective Altcoin Cycle Expected Investors are getting pickier. The next up-cycle, according to this view, will reward projects with clear use and steady activity, not every token with hype. Networks tied to stablecoins, tokenization, and real infrastructure work stand a better chance of drawing capital. Lower-quality projects that lack users or clear purpose could see little interest and remain sidelined. Bitcoin Price Action In the middle of these structural shifts, Bitcoin’s price has kept traders busy. Recently BTC slid from earlier peaks to roughly 60,000–65,000 before finding buyers and moving back above 65,000 amid a broader rebound. Geopolitical headlines pushed risk appetite up and down, and those swings helped produce one of Bitcoin’s rougher stretches in weeks. Reports say traders are watching headlines closely because news can prompt sudden outsized moves. Related Reading: Bitcoin Edges Past Gold In Appeal, JPMorgan Says A Slow Transfer From Old Hands To New Buyers Long-term holders are selling some coins while institutions move in. That hand-off can feel messy. A sale wall forms when investors who bought early decide to take profit, and large institutions step in to absorb that supply. That process has been observed in other asset classes as they mature, and it does not automatically mean demand is weakening over the long run. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin is on course to see five red months in a row, as it is currently down over 16% to start this month after closing the last four consecutive months in the red. The Bitcoin decline has also impacted the crypto market, which has lost a significant portion of its market value during this period. Bitcoin Facing Five Red Months As Crypto Market Struggles Cryptorank data show that Bitcoin is now facing its fifth consecutive red month, down 16% this month after closing October, November, December, and January in the red. The last time this happened to BTC was in 2018, when it entered a bear market after reaching record highs in 2017. The crypto market is also facing downside pressure, having lost nearly half of its market value since October. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Just Hit A 15-Year Trendline After The Crash, What This Means Crypto analyst Benjamin Cowen has stated that October 2025 marked the top for Bitcoin and the crypto market and that they are now in a bear market. He noted that bear markets don’t last and that better times will come. He further opined that October 2026 is a good time for a market low, though he added that he is open to the bottom occurring sooner if the meltdown accelerates. Bitcoin crashed over 13% yesterday, dropping to as low as $60,000 as the crypto market sell-off accelerated. A number of factors are believed to have contributed to this bearish price action, including the Fed’s hawkish pivot following last week’s FOMC meeting, where they decided to hold rates steady. Furthermore, Trump nominated Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair, and the markets reacted negatively to the nomination. Meanwhile, Bitcoin continues to face significant selling pressure from the BTC ETFs, which have recorded three consecutive months of net outflows. SoSoValue data show these funds are on course to record a fourth straight month of net outflows, with $690 million in net outflows this month. BTC Could Still Drop To $42,000 Veteran trader Peter Brandt predicted that a Bitcoin drop to $42,000 was on the cards, but that it is unlikely to go much lower. This came as he stated that the bulls would not need to suffer too “far south of $42,000” if BTC digs into the Banana peel as deeply as in past bear market cycles. He added that it is a “hop, skip, and jump” from that level. The broader crypto market is also expected to find a bottom when BTC bottoms. Related Reading: Bitcoin Wave 3 Crash: What’s Next As Price Makes A Rebound? In an earlier X post, Brandt stated that Bitcoin’s decline has all “the fingerprints of campaign selling, not retail liquidation” and that it is always unknown when such a pattern ends. His comment came just before the BTC decline below $63,000, which he highlighted as the next target for the leading crypto. At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $65,800, down over 6% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Pngtree, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin’s role in big-money talks has shifted in recent weeks. Reports say analysts at JPMorgan now see Bitcoin as more attractive than gold for long-term investors once you adjust how risk is counted. That’s a notable twist given how deeply gold has been ingrained as the go-to safe haven for decades. Related Reading: Russia’s Biggest Exchange To Launch XRP Indices And Futures Gold’s climb has been hard to ignore. After swinging wildly, gold prices rallied back to around $5,000 per ounce following a sharp sell-off earlier in February, with major banks projecting further strength later in 2026. This rebound came after gold reached record highs, and JPMorgan even forecasts it could hit roughly $6,300 per ounce by year-end. At the same time, Bitcoin’s own numbers have looked shaky. Since peaking above $126,000, Bitcoin has slid nearly 50%, settling nearer $65,000-$70,000 in early February. That plunge left BTC below its estimated production cost of around $87,000, according to analysts. A Bridge Between Price And Risk Reports say the real math behind JPMorgan’s view isn’t just about where these assets sit today. It’s about how wild their price swings have been. The soaring price came with rising unpredictability — gold’s volatility has spiked as markets reacted to geopolitical upheaval and macroeconomic moves. Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s volatility has softened from its usual extremes. This convergence shows up in what’s called the bitcoin-to-gold volatility ratio. According to JPMorgan, that ratio has plunged to around 1.5, a record low. On its face, that means Bitcoin is carrying only about 1.5 times the risk of gold — tighter than historical norms. That shift makes risk-adjusted returns more competitive for BTC. Under this framework, analysts figure Bitcoin’s market capitalization would have to rise dramatically to match the roughly $8 trillion private sector investment held in gold. If that happened, implied models point to Bitcoin prices near $266,000. JPMorgan says that is not an expected short-term target, but the theoretical math illustrates how much room exists if sentiment changes. Market Movements Tell Another Story In the broader market, tokens like XRP, Ethereum, and Solana have been caught up in the same risk sell-off that clipped Bitcoin. These cryptos have seen sharp drops in recent sessions as traders fled riskier bets, testing buying interest and liquidity conditions. Moves like these show that the relative calm in volatility isn’t guaranteed to last, especially when markets tighten. Gold’s oscillations have also tested investor nerves. Earlier in 2026, gold endured some of its most extreme swings ever — including double-digit plunges and rebounds that challenged its reputation as the “stable” safe haven. But the rebound to near $5,000 per ounce underlines demand from defensive buyers. Related Reading: Polygon Hits $3.50 Billion In Payments As Crypto Activity Expands What Investors Are Weighing Based on reports, JPMorgan’s stance doesn’t say Bitcoin will instantly replace gold in portfolios. Instead, analysts are noting how relative risk and reward are being measured today. Bitcoin’s lower recent volatility plus its huge theoretical upside based on gold’s market size make it a compelling candidate for some long-range thinking. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
The Bitcoin price is currently trading under immense bearish pressure, and the downtrend might not yet be over. Bitcoin has now broken below $70,000 and has extended its decline below $65,000. This price action is part of an extended corrective phase that began after Bitcoin topped out at $126,000 in October 2025, and crypto participants have different outlooks as to when the correction will reach a bottom. Amid the uncertainty, an outlook from a crypto analyst known as Sherlock is gaining traction on X, as it points to historical market bottoms that suggest Bitcoin may still be headed significantly lower. Past Drawdowns Show A Clear Pattern Across Bitcoin Cycles Sherlock’s analysis focuses on how deep Bitcoin has fallen during past bear markets and how those declines have changed as the asset has matured over the years. According to the data he highlighted, Bitcoin’s 2011 cycle saw a drawdown of about 93% from peak to trough. This is the highest correction for the Bitcoin price to date. That figure reduced to about 86% in 2015, then to 84% in 2018, and further to around 77% during the 2022 bear market. Related Reading: One Month In And 10% Of Dogecoin Millionaires Have Already Disappeared In 2026 – Details The consistent takeaway from these cycles is that each successive drawdown has been smaller than the last. This isn’t surprising, as Bitcoin and the entire crypto market have been growing in size, liquidity, and participation over time. Using that trend as a guide, the next major bottom correction should continue this progression. The projection is that the correction should drop from 77% in the 2022 bear market to 70% in the current price action. If the drawdown compresses to about 70% in the current cycle, measured from the $126,000 all-time high, then the bottom would land around the $38,000 region. Dismissing Higher Bottom Targets Like $69,000 And $50,000 The projection by Sherlock received a lot of views and comments on X, with some market participants noting that reflexivity and increased institutional involvement should reduce downside risk this time around. One notable response suggested that when comparing prior bottom-to-top moves against top-to-bottom declines, Bitcoin’s next drawdown should be closer to 55% or 60%, instead of 70%. Sherlock pushed back on that view by noting how reflexivity can amplify downside moves just as easily as it causes rallies. “Good luck buying your bottom at $69,000, $60,000 and $50,000,” he said. Related Reading: Why The Bitcoin Price Could Quickly Revisit $81,000 Again After The Crash For the time being, Bitcoin is caught between aggressive sell-offs and growing concern that the larger corrective phase is not complete. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $64,850, having rebounded from an intraday low of $60,255, according to data from CoinGecko. The recent price action means Bitcoin is back to trading at its lowest levels since October 2024. If Bitcoin were to revisit the $38,000 area, it would represent a return to price levels last seen during the early stages of the bull market. The last time Bitcoin traded around $38,000 was in October 2023. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin price extended its decline to $60,000. BTC is down over 10% and might struggle to recover easily above the $70,000 resistance. Bitcoin is attempting to recover but struggling to clear hurdles. The price is trading below $70,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $70,600 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might dip again if it trades below the $62,500 and $61,200 levels. Bitcoin Price Dips Sharply Bitcoin price failed to remain stable above the $72,000 zone. BTC extended its decline below the $70,000 and $68,500 levels. The bears were able to push the price below $65,500. A low was formed at $60,500, and the price is now attempting to recover. There was a minor increase above the $62,000 and $63,200 levels. The price cleared the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent downward move from the $76,865 swing high to the $60,500 low. Bitcoin is now trading below $68,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. If the price remains stable above $62,000, it could attempt a fresh increase. Immediate resistance is near the $66,000 level. The first key resistance is near the $67,200 level. A close above the $67,200 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $68,500 resistance or the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent downward move from the $76,865 swing high to the $60,500 low. Any more gains might send the price toward the $70,500 level. There is also a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $70,600 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The next barrier for the bulls could be $72,500 and $75,000. Another Decline In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $68,500 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $63,200 level. The first major support is near the $62,500 level. The next support is now near the $61,200 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $60,500 support in the near term. The main support now sits at $60,000, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $62,500, followed by $61,200. Major Resistance Levels – $67,200 and $68,500.
Crypto analyst Coinvo has revealed that the Bitcoin price has just hit a 15-year trendline following its latest crash to around $70,000. He declared this a buying opportunity, noting that the trendline has historically held on four prior occasions in past cycles. Bitcoin Price Hits 15-Year Trendline Against Gold In an X post, Coinvo stated that the Bitcoin price has hit the same RSI trendline on its gold chart as in 2011, 2015, 2019, and 2022. He further noted that this development has historically created a buying opportunity, as BTC has consistently outperformed gold when this happens. He urged market participants not to miss this as it is the “biggest opportunity” they have ever had. Related Reading: Bitcoin Set To Test Resistance At $80,600 After Bottoming At $74,000 His statement comes as the Bitcoin price crashed to a new yearly low at around $70,000, with the leading crypto asset now down over 19% year-to-date (YTD). Based on Coinvo’s analysis, this may mark the bottom for BTC despite concerns that the crypto market may be entering a deep bear market. In another X post, the analyst stated that the Bitcoin price is set to repeat the entire 2023 rally. He noted that the same pattern as in 2023 is playing out now, with BTC hitting the 200-day EMA, which marked a bear-market bottom back then by flipping into support. Coinvo added that most people are too focused on the bearish noise, but urged market participants not to let it obscure the truth, as Bitcoin is going higher. However, crypto analyst Benjamin Cowen has suggested that the Bitcoin price could still drop lower, having crashed below its April 2025 low. He noted that in the previous cycles, when BTC fell below the 100-week SMA, it crashed straight to the 200-week SMA before any relief bounce occurred. BTC Could Still Crash To As Low As $63,000 Veteran trader Peter Brandt shared an accompanying chart showing that the Bitcoin price could still drop to as low as $63,000. This came as he noted that the nature of BTC’s decline, with eight consecutive days of lower lows and highs, indicates campaign selling rather than retail liquidation. He noted that he has observed this pattern several times and that it is difficult to determine when it ends. Crypto analyst PlanB highlighted potential bear-market scenarios for BTC. He stated that an 80% drawdown from the current all-time high (ATH) could put the Bitcoin price at $25,000. Furthermore, a drop to the 200-week MA and current realized price could mean a crash to between $50,000 and $60,000. Meanwhile, a crash to the previous cycle’s ATH could mean that $70,000 is the bottom. Related Reading: Here’s What To Expect If The Bitcoin Price Maintains Support Above $74,400 At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $70,700, down over 7% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
The Bitcoin price has gone through an intense bout of volatility over the past few days, with a violent sell-off that has dragged its price into the $70,000 range. The move wiped out short-term bullish positioning and forced the price below several intraday support levels. Although there are risks of further downside, Bitcoin is now looking to stabilize and push to reclaim important reference levels. A technical outlook suggests that a path back to the $81,000 region could open up faster than expected if certain conditions are met. Sweep Of The Yearly Low One of the most important developments on the chart is the sweep of the last yearly candle low around $74,456. That move flushed liquidity resting below prior lows and was a clear downside grab that had been waiting for months. Related Reading: One Month In And 10% Of Dogecoin Millionaires Have Already Disappeared In 2026 – Details In terms of a market-structure perspective, this type of sweep is a reset point that clears weak hands and allows price to build a more stable base. The bounce that followed pushed Bitcoin back to $77,000, a move that shows buyers were willing to defend the area after the liquidation event. This is now transitioning into a decision zone, which is where the next directional move becomes more important. As noted by crypto analyst Minga on the social media platform X, Bitcoin went back to testing the weekly open just below $77,000. Holding above it would mean that the recovery has real follow-through, which in turn would allow the price to revisit the monthly open at $78,700. The chart shared by the analyst also shows multiple equal highs stacked above that region, right within the previous range low. Together, these elements form a pocket of unfinished business. If Bitcoin reclaims and sustains acceptance above the weekly open, the probability of a push through the monthly open increases, with that momentum then potentially carrying price into the $80,000s, where prior range liquidity is around $81,000. Bitcoin Price Chart. Source: @Mingarithm on X Related Reading: Where’s XRP Price Headed As Exchange Reserves Plunge To 1.7 Billion? Downside Scenario And The Relief Bounce Zone Below There is a valid alternate path if Bitcoin’s advances continue to reject at the weekly open, which is looking like the case in the current price action. In that case, there is a deeper downside target between $70,800 and $69,100. This area stands out as a high-confluence zone that aligns with a higher-timeframe order block, the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement, and the last cycle’s all-time high in 2021. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $70,930, down by 7.2% in the past 24 hours and is now at risk of losing $70,000. If price holds above this zone after the current test, then Bitcoin is likely to transition into a range before attempting continuation and breaking above $81,000. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com