After falling below a crucial support level, Bitcoin (BTC) is attempting to recover some of its lost ground. An analyst suggested that this week’s performance will be decisive for the cryptocurrency’s next trend. Related Reading: Pundit Says Ethereum Price Is Headed For $9,000 After This Broadening Wedge Retest Bitcoin Loses Bull Flag Formation Over the weekend, Bitcoin lost its post-breakout range for the first time in three weeks, falling to a local low of $112,296 on August 3. The flagship crypto had been trading between the $114,000-$120,000 range since the early July breakout, hitting its all-time high (ATH) of $122,838 amid the rally. As July neared its end, BTC experienced some volatility, retesting the range lows twice over its last week. However, the cryptocurrency was unable to repeat its price recovery from the previous weekend, losing the crucial area on August 1. Rekt Capital noted that Bitcoin’s rally could be at risk, explaining that BTC has formed a bull flag in the weekly chart and held the pattern’s lows as support until the latest Weekly Close. Following its recent price action, the analyst considers that this week’s performance will be pivotal to see whether the pattern’s bottom, around the $117,200 area, will become a new resistance and confirm the breakdown, or if the flagship crypto’s price will recover the structure. According to the analysis, if the price can reclaim the structure, the correction would be considered a fake downside deviation before resynchronizing with the pattern. Meanwhile, turning the pattern’s bottom into resistance would be a bearish retest, confirming the breakdown, and potentially leading to a new retest of the $112,000 area as support. BTC’s Weekly Close To Determine Next Trend Rekt Capital also detailed that this week’s performance will determine the future of BTC’s second Price Discovery uptrend, which has technically started its fifth week. Depending on what happens to the Bull Flag (reclaim or a confirmation of the breakdown), we will know whether the Price Discovery Uptrend 2 will continue or whether BTC has experienced a very short PDU2 instead. Last week, the analyst retesting that the continuation of the Price Discovery trend could fail as BTC transitioned into weeks 5-7 of this phase. Historically, the second uptrend has started to slow down around Weeks 5-6, hitting its peak during this “Danger Zone.” If Bitcoin reclaims the Bull Flag and challenges new highs, then its second Price Discovery uptrend will progress according to its historical tendencies. However, if it fails to Weekly Close above the pattern’s bottom and confirms additional downside, the second Price Discovery uptrend would have ended in Week 2, much quicker than has historically been the case. Moreover, it would reveal that BTC has been in its second Price Discovery Correction, which “would be going completely against the grain of history.” Related Reading: Analyst Warns XRP Investors Not To Let Fear Dictate Moves As Long As Price Holds This Level The analyst suggested that macro-wise, Bitcoin still has plenty of time for a third Price Discovery uptrend. If the second phase has already ended, a final uptrend could overcompensate for the current uptrend’s underperformance. Previously, Rekt Capital asserted that what comes after the second uptrend would depend on how long the corrective phase takes, as a shot correction could allow for a third uptrend before the bear market. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin (BTC) attempted to reclaim the $108,000 resistance level again but faced rejection as the third quarter (Q3) started, leading some market watchers to suggest caution for the upcoming months. Related Reading: Solana Summer Loading? SOL Eyes $180 Following Staked ETF-Fueled Breakout Bitcoin Holds Crucial Range Bitcoin’s price ended the second quarter with a retest of the $108,000 barrier before being rejected and closing Q2 and June around the $107,140 area, its highest monthly close in history. Despite the positive performance, the flagship crypto started July with a pullback toward the $105,000, hitting a one-week low of $105,623. Analyst Rekt Capital affirmed that this suggested BTC’s post-breakout retest is in progress, which would strengthen the cryptocurrency’s case for another leg up. The analyst previously explained that Bitcoin needed a weekly close above the $104,400 support after losing it, as reclaiming this area would solidify its price recovery and position the cryptocurrency for a retest and confirmation of this level. Additionally, it would continue building its base around this area to transition into BTC’s second Discovery Uptrend. According to the Tuesday analysis, the new weekly close suggests Bitcoin is positioned for another post-breakout retest. The analyst also noted that, in the past 40 days, BTC broke out of two 2-week downtrends but was rejected from the crucial 6-week downtrend, around the $108,000 mark, during the same timeframe. Sjuul from AltCryptoGems noted the rejection from this level, affirming that “it is mandatory for bulls to step in quickly and not allow the price to have too big of a dip.” The flagship crypto needs a “strong bounce from the most important support and resistance level, just at $106-104K,” which it has momentarily held. To the analyst, failing to hold this area would open the door for a bigger pullback, risking a drop to the Macro support between $101,000 and $102,000. He highlighted a big gap between the current support area and the Macro support, which formed on the recent price recovery. BTC Risks Massive Drop In Q3 Sjuul pointed out that below the $101,000 support, “there is not much to defend the price from falling much lower,” adding that the “historical quarterly return of BTC for Q3 has not been great, so this adds some extra caution to the picture we have taken from the chart.” Similarly, Daan Crypto Trades asserted that historical data shows that Q3 is generally the slowest period for Bitcoin and Ethereum (ETH) due to the decreasing activity, volume, and liquidity during the summer months. He added that, as a new quarter and month begin, BTC will likely see a “choppy start,” but Bitcoin is still consolidating within its current range and descending channel, suggesting that investors should give it time to “play out and watch for confirmations” of the direction it will take for the rest of the month. Related Reading: BitMine Stock Soars 700% After $250 Million Raise For Ethereum Treasury Nonetheless, analyst Ali Martinez gave a warning signal, as an indicator that had predicted “every major Bitcoin crash” has just appeared. Per Martinez, the Tom Demark Sequential indicator, a rare warning that has historically preceded violent pullbacks, flashed a sell signal in the quarterly timeframe. Notably, the same signal appeared in 2015 and 2018, with BTC retracing over 75% and 85% after the indicator flashed. If it follows its historical performance, the analyst forecasted that BTC could drop to the $40,000 mark this quarter. As of this writing, Bitcoin is trading at $105,901, a 1.16% decline in the daily timeframe. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
This week, Bitcoin (BTC) has recovered from its recent drop below the $100,000 level and is attempting to turn the crucial $108,000 resistance into support for the fourth time. As we approach the second half of 2025, a market watcher has shared his forecast for BTC. Related Reading: Solana Price At ‘A Very Delicate Level’ – Analyst Says $148 Reclaim Is Key Bitcoin Sees Transitional Period On Thursday, analyst Rekt Capital shared a roadmap for BTC for the rest of the year. He noted that this cycle has been “truly a cycle of re-accumulation ranges,” explaining that these have formed throughout the cycle since the end of 2022 and evolved since the Bitcoin Halving last year. In the pre-having period, BTC registered brief price deviations with downside wicks below the re-accumulation range lows in the weekly chart. Meanwhile, the post-halving period has seen Bitcoin deviations occur with multi-week clusters of full-bodied candles below the range lows. For instance, after its first price discovery uptrend, which lasted around seven weeks, BTC moved within its re-accumulation range for about ten weeks. Then, it transitioned into the first Price Discovery Correction, recording a nine-week downside deviation below the range lows before breaking out and rallying past the range highs toward a new ATH last month. Its past performances suggested that BTC was ready to enter its second Price Discovery Uptrend. But as Rekt Capital detailed, a transitional period has occurred for the first time, with price consolidating around the re-accumulation range high area. According to the analyst, this is “perhaps the first time that we’re seeing a deviation occur below the range high,” making this area a crucial level to transition into a new uptrend. We never really had to pull back substantially, maybe, until that final corrective period, which would last multiple months, but each re-accumulation range would see quite a bit of upside, and that upside would be very quick and no real post-breakout retesting, no real pausing. What we’re seeing here is something very, very different. Weekly Close Key For BTC’s Future Based on its new transition period, the key level for Bitcoin to reclaim in the weekly timeframe is the $104,400 support, which it held for nearly seven weeks before the recent pullbacks. This level was lost after BTC closed last week below it and “should not become a resistance level.” To the analyst, it’s key that this week’s close solidifies the price recovery as it would position the cryptocurrency for a retest and confirmation of $104,400 as support and continue the build the base around this area to transition into the next multi-week Price Discovery Uptrend. Rekt Capital added that the timeline for BTC’s next uptrend will depend on the length of the new transitional period. However, he believes that it will take “a bit longer” to break out. Related Reading: Injective Prepares For Bullish Reversal Amid 25% Recovery – Analyst Forecasts Massive Breakout Additionally, he suggested that what comes after the upcoming uptrend will also depend on how long it takes, as it could lead to an extended cycle or a prolongation of this phase, which could push the cycle peak into deeper stages of 2025. Nonetheless, the analyst affirmed that it’s crucial that the next corrective period, which could see Bitcoin drop between 25% to 33%, is short to potentially enjoy a third Price Discovery Uptrend before the bear market. As of this writing, BTC is trading at $107,555, a 3.2% increase in the weekly timeframe. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
Amid the market’s momentary pause, Bitcoin (BTC) has seen a 2% price drop in the past 24 hours. The largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization has been hovering between key resistance and support levels, with some analysts suggesting that volatility could be in BTC’s short-term future. Related Reading: Ethereum Ready For $3,000 Breakout? Analysts Say Sideways Action Is About To End Bitcoin Price Consolidates Near ATH On Wednesday, Bitcoin, alongside the rest of the crypto market, saw a small retrace ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) release of the May 6 and 7 Meeting Minutes. The flagship cryptocurrency dropped 2.7% from the $110,000 Daily Opening to a multi-day low of $107,107, suggesting a cautious approach from investors. Notably, Bitcoin has seen a significant 15% rally over the past month, hitting a new all-time high (ATH) of $111,953 nearly a week ago, and recovering around 50% from April lows. Since reaching its new ATH, Bitcoin has moved sideways, trading between the $106,800-$109,700 levels. Despite the small retracement, analyst Crypto Jelle considers that Bitcoin’s trend into price discovery remains “intact,” pointing out that price has been consolidating above the previous highs. Per the chart, the cryptocurrency is currently forming a symmetrical triangle pattern in the lower timeframes, with the upper boundary sitting between the $109,00-$110,000 mark. To Jelle, the cryptocurrency is “building pressure for the next leg higher,” with a breakout propelling the cryptocurrency to another 30% rally. The analyst previously highlighted a Power of 3 (Po3) formation in BTC’s chart, suggesting that its price expansion targets the $140,000-$150,000 level after reclaiming the new ATH resistance. Ali Martinez stated that BTC remains “range-bound” despite today’s price drop, but added that the range’s low is the key level to watch. He warned that a breakdown below the $106,800 support could trigger increased volatility, which might send BTC’s price to lower levels. BTC Retest To Trigger Volatility? Titan of Crypto also affirmed that Bitcoin currently sits at a key level. According to the market watcher’s analysis, BTC is “still hovering around the daily Tenkan,” which is the level to watch during the potential volatility from the FOMC Minutes. A breakdown from this support zone could send the cryptocurrency’s price to the next key support at around the $102,700 mark. On the contrary, holding the current levels could set the stage for a new retest of the range’s upper boundary. Meanwhile, Daan Crypto Trades noted that as Bitcoin consolidates near ATHs, BTC-based exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have seen significant inflows over the past few weeks, recording their second-best performance last week. As he explained, one of the cycle’s better “indicators” to determine strength or weakness at local tops or bottoms has been the ETF flows, detailing that, generally, big inflows after a big run, while BTC’s price doesn’t continue its rally, have suggested a local top. Related Reading: Bitcoin (BTC) To Continue Price Discovery Rally If It Holds These Levels – Analyst To the trader, “it is important for the bulls to get that move going quickly because getting billions of inflows without proper price progress isn’t generally the best,” adding that “for the effort that’s put in and an ATH break, you’d want to see more.” Daan considers that if the massive inflows stop and BTC’s price holds, then its short-term performance will likely continue. However, if price doesn’t hold its current range, “we might need to see a bit of a flush & panic first before the proper breakout move.” As of this writing, Bitcoin trades at $107,700, a 1.6% decrease in the weekly chart. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
After reclaiming the crucial $100,000, Bitcoin (BTC) is testing its recently recovered levels as support, with some analysts suggesting that the price will see a short-term sideways move before breaking out of its key resistance. Related Reading: Avalanche (AVAX) Eyes 30% Rally Amid Cup-And-Handle Pattern Breakout BTC’s Next Key Levels Over the past month, Bitcoin has seen a massive performance, recovering more than 23% from the $84,000 mark. The flagship crypto has reclaimed the $100,000 barrier, lost during the February pullback, and rallied to a three-month high of $105,819. Amid the market recovery, BTC has re-entered its post-US elections range, between the $92,000 and $106,000 levels, trading just 4.4% below its January all-time high (ATH). However, the massive rally seems to have slowed after nearing the range’s upper level, which could momentarily halt its next leg up. This week, Bitcoin has ranged between $101,500-$105,000, taking out most of the liquidation clusters within the weekly range lows. Daan Crypto Trades pointed out that now the cryptocurrency is “pretty far away from any large liquidity clusters.” He explained that BTC’s price hasn’t traded in the range’s high for a significant period, and few new positions were built around this area “after the initial squeeze of shorts.” As such, the main levels to look out for are the range’s highs above the $106,000 resistance, and the range’s low around the $93,000 support, where the recent breakout occurred. Bitcoin To Trade Sideways For Two Weeks? Analyst The Cryptonomist considers that BTC’s price action is “very simple from here,” as the flagship crypto moves within a one-month rising wedge pattern. If Bitcoin remains inside the formation, it could surge to the $110,000-$112,000 levels. However, if Bitcoin falls below the lower boundary, around $100,000, it could lose the key support and attempt to fill the CME Gap around the $92,000 before a new ATH rally. Meanwhile, market watcher Ted Pillows highlighted Bitcoin’s correlation with the Global M2 money supply. The analyst noted that the cryptocurrency’s price action has resembled the Global M2 supply chart for the past several months, including the recent pump above $100,000. Related Reading: Ethereum Prepares For $2,850 Rally, But Analysts Warn Of Potential Dip To These Levels Now the chart suggests a consolidation period, which could see Bitcoin move sideways for one to two weeks, if it continues to follow the Global M2 supply path. “Once that is over, BTC’s next leg up will start, which will push it above $120K,” he affirmed. Additionally, Ted pointed out BTC’s Wyckoff accumulation is in the final phase, with some consolidation happening above the $100,000 support, “which is a good sign.” Concluding that, with liquidity entering again, the next leg up “will soon start.” As of this writing, Bitcoin trades at $104,916, a 0.5% decline in the daily timeframe. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin (BTC) is at a crucial level after a sharp 15% retrace from recent local highs. While traders and enthusiasts speculate about the causes of this downturn, the consensus is clear: demand is weakening. Related Reading: Bitcoin (BTC) Short-Term Holders At Risk As Unrealized Losses Remain High CryptoQuant’s head of research, Julio Moreno, has provided […]
Bitcoin price came within 5.7% of its peak today as the week begins with positive sentiment.
Bitcoin buyers need to ramp up pressure to squeeze the market back toward all-time highs, BTC price analysis concludes.