Bitcoin’s price action in the past 24 hours has seen it slowly retracing from the $104,000 zone it started the week at. This range has become particularly significant as Bitcoin continues to flirt with levels last seen during its recent push toward new all-time highs. Bitcoin’s price movements over the past two days have tightened, and the candlestick behavior on the weekly chart has led to a doji formation on the weekly candlestick timeframe, an indicator of indecision. Interestingly, a technical analysis from crypto analyst Tony “The Bull” Severino has highlighted critical levels to watch that will determine whether the Bitcoin price is turning bearish or still bullish. Mixed Signals: Why the Current Resistance Zone Is Critical Crypto analyst Tony “The Bull” Severino shared a chart and in-depth breakdown on the social media platform X, pointing to horizontal support and resistance levels as the most important technical indicators in his view. As shown on his Bitcoin weekly chart, the leading cryptocurrency is now pressing against a well-defined resistance zone just below its all-time high, marked clearly in red. The proximity of this level to its all-time high means it could act as a ceiling, making it an important area to watch for either a breakout or a reversal. Related Reading: What’s Driving The Bitcoin Price Recovery Above $100,000 And Is It Sustainable? Tony outlines three possible interpretations for the current market structure around the $108,000 resistance level. The bullish case hinges on Bitcoin consolidating under resistance, a pattern often followed by upward continuation. The neutral case is that Bitcoin could be forming a broad trading range, in which case it makes sense to short the market at resistance while buying near support. On the bearish side, the presence of a doji candlestick at this key level may be a sign of fading momentum and an early signal of a price reversal. His trading strategy reflects this uncertainty. He has placed short positions within the red resistance zone, with a stop loss just above the all-time high. At the same time, he has set a stop buy order in the green breakout zone above the all-time high, ready to switch long should the Bitcoin price convincingly break through resistance. Conditions For A Bullish Breakout Are Not Yet Fulfilled Although Tony noted that the broader investment market, including altcoins and the stock market, looks strong, he cautioned that this does not guarantee a bullish breakout for Bitcoin. For confirmation, a bullish breakout must be preceded by aligning various technical indicators. These include a breakout with substantial trading volume, an RSI reading above 70 on the weekly chart, and a weekly close above the upper Bollinger Band. Related Reading: ‘The Big Short’ Coming For Bitcoin? Why BTC Will Clear $110,000 At the moment, however, the Bitcoin CME Futures chart has failed to move past 70 on the daily RSI twice, and trading volume is in decline. According to CoinMarketCap, the trading volume of Bitcoin is $44.33 billion in the past 24 hours, a 11.40% reduction from the previous 24 hours. These are early warning signs that a breakout attempt may lack the strength needed for sustainability. Nonetheless, the conditions are still very mixed and starting to lean more bullish than bearish. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $102,352, down by 1.31% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
Following the Bitcoin (BTC) price increase above $94,000, Tony Severino, a CMT-verified analyst, released a detailed technical analysis outlining a clear strategy for navigating the next major move. As the Heikin Ashi monthly candle flashes bearish signals, the analyst shares the ideal time to buy Bitcoin, warning investors of potential bear market traps. Upper Bollinger Band Reveal Time To Buy Bitcoin Severino has provided an in-depth examination of the Bitcoin market, identifying precise conditions under which investors and traders, including himself, might consider re-entering based on key market indicators and price action. The analyst broke down a Bitcoin price chart featuring monthly candlesticks, Bollinger Bands, and historical comparisons. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Prediction: The Last Leg-Up That Confirms A Resounding Rally To $150,000 The chart highlights that in late 2021, after hitting its previous ATH, Bitcoin touched the Upper Bollinger Band but failed to close above it. At the time, this move was perceived as a classic non-confirmation, which ultimately led to a sharp reversal and brutal bear market in 2022. Fast forward to today, Bitcoin is hovering above $94,000, with the Upper Bollinger Band positioned at $108,000. According to Severino, merely reaching this Upper Bollinger Band level, as it did in 2021, is not enough reason to buy Bitcoin in anticipation of a price increase. Instead, the analyst asserts that a full monthly close above $108,000 is needed to confirm a breakout and continuation of the bullish trend. The analyst also disclosed that he would consider buying Bitcoin once it closes sufficiently above this level. However, if the flagship cryptocurrency fails to close above the Upper Bollinger Band for a month, it could mirror the 2021 double top and fake breakout, potentially leading to another steep bear market this cycle. Overall, Severino advises investors to closely watch Bitcoin’s price action around this key Bollinger Band. He stresses that capital preservation far outweighs succumbing to the Fear Of Missing Out (FOMO). With elevated risks and rising volatility, the analyst believes that clear confirmation signals are the only way to engage with the market safely. BTC’s Heikin Ashi Candle Flips Bearish While Severino confirms the ideal time to buy BTC, the analyst also announced that the Bitcoin Heikin Ashi candles have turned bearish. The analyst shared a 12-week Heikin Ashi candlestick chart, which shows Bitcoin flashing early warning signs of a potential bear market. Related Reading: Analyst’s Bitcoin Price Prediction From March Plays Out, Here’s The Rest Of It The chart highlights a critical moment where Bitcoin’s Heikin Ashi candle turned red for the first time since its previous price peaks in 2014, 2018, and 2022. Historically, such a signal has marked the beginning of prolonged bear markets and deep price corrections. Further strengthening the bearish outlook, Severino pointed out that the Fisher Transform, a technical indicator used to detect trend reversals, is exhibiting a bearish crossover, with the green Fisher line dropping below the red Trigger line. In previous cycles, whenever these two signals — the Heikin Ashi and Fisher Transform — aligned, Bitcoin experienced substantial declines that lasted for months, if not years. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
The XRP price could be staging a parabolic rally to new all-time highs of $110. While an analyst shares a technical analysis to back this ambitious target, Bollinger Bands creator John Bollinger declares XRP to be a market leader in the crypto space. Analyst Predicts New XRP Price Target To $110 In a rather lengthy X (formerly Twitter) post, market expert Egrag Crypto went deep into his analysis for the XRP price, basing his predictions on its Elliott Wave structure. The crypto analyst confidently forecasted that XRP was heading towards a new $110 ATH. This bullish target would represent a whopping 3,974% increase from its current market value. Related Reading: XRP Price Continuation After Crash Below $2.4? New Targets Emerge Firstly, Egrag Crypto outlines XRP’s five-wave structure, underscoring that each wave could push the cryptocurrency to a new target. The analyst reveals that XRP is currently in Wave 2 of its Elliott Wave structure and is closely approaching Wave 3, which is expected to trigger the most explosive increase. In Wave 1, XRP saw an impressive 733% increase to new highs. However, in its current Wave 2, Egrag Crypto highlights that its 2017 fractal appears more profound. With the formation of a Double Bottom pattern, the analyst has predicted a potential price breakdown for the cryptocurrency. Egrag Crypto further forecasts that Wave 3 will trigger a reversal and cause the price to skyrocket by 1,185%. This massive price increase would effectively place the XRP price at a potential target between $22 and $24. For a more conservative target, the analyst estimates a surge of around $22 to $24. For Wave 4, Egrag Crypto predicts another major retracement similar to Wave 2. However, this time, the analyst believes XRP could decline by either 14.6%, 23.6%, or 38.2% from Wave 3’s price high. This correction would mark a 65% drop from Wave 3’s peak, bringing the cryptocurrency’s price down to $8. He also highlights a worse-case bearish scenario where XRP crashes as low as $3.4. Notably, Egrag Crypto shares three potential bullish targets for Wave 5, the final part of the Elliott Wave Structure. He forecasts that the altcoin could surge between $32 to $48, $60 to $70, or $95 to $110. The analyst has based his optimistic forecast on past cycle trends, where 2017 saw a major price rally for XRP. Bollinger Bands Creator Says The Asset To Become Leader In other news, Bollinger, the creator of the renowned Bollinger Band technical analysis tool, has highlighted XRP in his latest post, questioning whether it could take a leading role in the crypto market. The technical analyst asserts that Ripple has held up better than other primary crypto vehicles. Related Reading: Analyst Says Only Buy XRP If It Reaches This Level Considering its legal battles with the US SEC and present regulatory challenges, Ripple continues to remain resilient, aiming to gain clarity during the final stages of the five-year-long lawsuit. Meanwhile, the XRP price, which is currently trading at $2.4, has experienced a recent uptick, increasing by almost 4% in the last day, according to CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com