Amid the market pullback, Solana (SOL) has hit a new local low after its price fell below a crucial support level for the first time in months. Some analysts have suggested that the altcoin is in a healthy retest of a key area, but others warned that the cryptocurrency risks another major correction if the current levels are also lost. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bull Run: Over Or Just Paused? CryptoQuant CEO Presents The Data Solana Risks 30% Correction On Monday, Solana recorded an 8.3% drop after losing the lower boundary of its three-month range. The cryptocurrency has been trading within the $175-$250 levels after the August breakout, hitting a multi-month high of $253 during the September rally. Since then, the altcoin has retraced nearly 35% to the current levels and failed to successfully reclaim the $200 psychological barrier despite multiple attempts. Following the early October correction, when SOL dropped to $168, the price has repeatedly retested the $170-$180 mark as support, bouncing from this area each time. Nonetheless, the recent market volatility, which sent Bitcoin (BTC) back to the $107,000 mark, has dragged Solana below its crucial support zone to a new local low of $165. Amid this performance, some analysts have suggested that SOL’s pullback may not be over, as the price risks another major correction. Analyst Ali Martinez highlighted the cryptocurrency’s macro range between $100-$260, emphasizing that Solana must reclaim $200 to show strength and potentially target the range highs. He previously affirmed that a confirmed breakdown from the $180 level would set the stage for further losses. Per the chart, the next support level sits around the $158 area, which marks the mid-zone of the macro range and a key support and resistance level throughout the early Q3 run and Last November’s breakout. However, the analyst considers that the next crucial support actually “sits much lower.” As he explained, if Solana fails to bounce from the current levels and reclaim $180, it could face a 30% pullback to $115. Meanwhile, analyst DonAlt affirmed that “It’s probably wise to have a bearish bias between here and $210 and then aggressively flip if SOL manages to flip the $210 resistance.” Investor Bet On SOL’s Long-Term Performance Despite the bearish outlooks, some have suggested that SOL is “showing a clean retest setup” within its long-term support. Trader Elite Crypto considers that SOL’s recent pullback “looks like a healthy correction after months of upward movement.” He noted that the cryptocurrency is still holding a major ascending support zone that has served as a crucial bounce point since 2023. Based on this, the market watcher expects Solana’s price to retest the $158 area before the next leg up. “Overall, I am still bullish on SOL,” he affirmed. Bitwise CEO Hunter Horsley suggested a bullish long-term performance for the leading altcoin. In an X post, he highlighted that the asset management firm “opened a bridge to Solana for many investors” with its recently launched SOL Staked Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF). Related Reading: Is Crypto ‘Boring’ Now? Bitwise CEO Says The Market Is Changing Notably, the second wave of crypto-based ETFs started trading last week, with the SOL-based investment product recording $400 million of inflows on its first four days. According to Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas, it led “all crypto ETPs by a country mile in weekly flows.” Horsley highlighted that “ETF investors tend to be long term oriented,” signaling that the cryptocurrency is expected to have an overall bullish performance in the future despite the current price action. As of this writing, SOL is trading at $167, a 17% decline in the weekly timeframe. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
As the early ‘Uptober’ buzz fizzles and Bitcoin struggles to hold $110,000, the overall crypto market sentiment has seemingly taken a beating. According to online reports, market participants are disappointed with the recent performance, but some experts argue that this means the industry is “winning.” Related Reading: Bitcoin (BTC) November Rally At Risk? Analysts Say This Week’s Close Holds The Key Crypto Vibes Are ‘Sad’ Despite Industry Adoption On Thursday, investor and analyst Will Clemente shared on X that “the vibes in the crypto groupchats are just sad.” He explained that investors seem “jaded, depressed, and defeated,” adding that they are “completely giving up” and switching to other asset classes after BTC’s performance this year. Bitwise’s CEO, Hunter Horsley, weighed in on the matter, affirming that “Crypto natives are now in a multi-month bear market sentiment,” while the “off-Twitter” sentiment is the “best it’s ever been.” Horsley detailed that the offline positive outlook is fueled by the notable decrease in regulatory risk, which has led to the recent spike in institutional adoption and mainstream recognition. Notably, the second wave of crypto-based exchange-traded funds (ETFs) started trading this week, with Bitwise’s Solana Staking ETF (BSOL) stealing the spotlight. Moreover, the Digital Asset Treasury (DAT) trend, led by Strategy, continues to pour millions of dollars into cryptocurrencies. “The market is changing,” the CEO asserted in his Friday X post, pointing out JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon’s recent approach shift. Dimon has been a long-time crypto skeptic, calling the flagship crypto a “Ponzi scheme” and dismissing it as “useless as a pet rock.” Nonetheless, he recently admitted that he was wrong and that crypto, stablecoins, and blockchain are “real.” Is The Market ‘Boring’ Or Mature? In a response to Clemente’s post, Nic Carter stated that the sentiment shift highlights a deeper truth about the market: the space has matured significantly. He explained that crypto is “boring” now because most of the questions and uncertainties that drove much of the historical volatility have been answered. So many of the open questions have been answered, will stablecoins be allowed? yes. will we be banned? no. will we all go to jail for writing software? no. will we be incorporated into tradfi? yes. can tokens have cashflows and not be securities? Apparently. (…) There are still some unanswered questions, particularly around cash-flowing pseudoequity tokens, but we will probably get answers to those in the coming years. He also argued that the crypto industry has been largely derisked as a technological substrate, bringing large corporations to adopt these tools, which shows that “crypto natives no longer control the narrative, there’s more serious businesses (which don’t require tokens), there’s less chaos, the whole space has matured significantly.” Related Reading: Ethereum (ETH) Prepares For ‘Last Euphoric Run’ As Whales Go On $135M Buying Spree To Carter, this means that the industry has “won.” However, he noted that clarity and maturity come with less excitement, as “winning means the inherent volatility in the space is highly reduced! This applies to both startups and the underlying assets themselves.” “So if you’re sad that volatility has been dampened smile through the tears. it means we won,” he concluded. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
Multiple crypto exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are set to launch this week despite the government shutdown, with investment products based on Solana (SOL), Litecoin (LTC), and Hedera (HBAR) seemingly ready to start trading as soon as Tuesday. Related Reading: Crypto Analyst Shows The Possibility Of The Ethereum Price Reaching $16,000 Big Week For Crypto ETFs On Sunday night, Nate Geraci affirmed that the next two weeks will be key for the long-awaited spot crypto-based ETFs as Solana, XRP, LTC, and other ETF filings are “all lined up & ready for launch.” Similarly, Bitwise CEO, Hunter Horsley, hinted that this week would be a “Big week,” suggesting progress related to its Solana Staking ETF. It’s worth noting that the crypto community has been awaiting the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)’s approval of the investment products following the numerous ETF applications filed over the past few months. Between August and September, the regulatory agency postponed the decision deadline of most applications by two months, pushing back the key dates to mid-October and mid-November. However, the government’s shutdown, which started on October 1, reduced the odds of the products receiving a green line during the expected timeline. On Monday morning, ETF expert Erich Balchunas reported that multiple issuers were looking to launch their crypto-based ETFs this week, despite the government shutdown. According to the Bloomberg analyst, Canary Capital had filed 8-A forms for its spot Litecoin and Hedera ETFs, while Bitwise had filed one for its Solana Staking ETF. “These are the ones rumored to be poss looking to launch (along w Grayscale solana) this week despite shutdown. Not a done deal but clearly preparations being made. Stay tuned,” Balchunas stated. Solana, Litecoin, Hedera Products Take The Lead Later, Balchunas confirmed the reports that the exchange had posted listing notices for Bitwise’s Solana Staking ETF, and Canary’s LTC and HBAR ETFs to launch on October 28, while Grayscale’s Solana trust is set to convert on Wednesday. “Assuming there’s not some last min SEC intervention, looks like this is happening,” the analyst added. Crypto Journalist Eleanor Terret also shared the news, citing Canary’s CEO, Steven McClurg, who confirmed that the Canary spot HBAR and LTC ETFs will begin trading on Nasdaq on Tuesday. “Litecoin and Hedera are the next two token ETFs to go effective after Ethereum,” McClurg told the journalist in a statement. “We look forward to launching tomorrow.” Terret explained that despite the government shutdown, the launch is possible because “the operation of law does not always actually require an open government.” Related Reading: Ethereum Moves Higher — Buyers Strengthen Grip Amid Renewed Market Optimism According to the post, the 8-A forms are “just as important” as the S-1s filings: the former formally registers ETF shares under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, while the latter registers the investment products under the Securities Exchange Act of 1933. After NYSE certified all the 8-A filings for the ETFs above on Monday, shares can start trading, Terret affirmed, adding: “Here’s the key: The issuers included language in their amended S-1s that lets them automatically go effective 20 days after filing. Typically, issuers delay S-1s until the SEC takes them effective, but the legal default is that the S-1 goes automatically effective without SEC intervention. That means the agency doesn’t need to approve them manually and the filings can go live on their own, even during the shutdown. So, long story short, all the legal boxes are checked and these ETFs are on track for launch.” Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com