Asset manager Bitwise has applied to launch a spot Chainlink exchange-traded fund (ETF) in the United States, according to an Aug. 26 filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The proposed fund, called the Bitwise Chainlink ETF, would issue shares representing fractional interests in Chainlink held by the trust. These shares are expected to […]
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Bitwise filed an S-1 witht the U.S. SEC for a Chainlink ETF that would track LINK’s price as fund issuers aim to bring more crypto funds to market.
The world’s largest asset manager, BlackRock, has notably been on a Bitcoin selling spree throughout this week, triggering a wave of sell-offs in the process. These sales have occurred due to the outflows that the asset manager has witnessed from its BTC ETF. BlackRock Dumps Around $500 Million In Bitcoin Arkham data shows that BlackRock has offloaded around $500 million in Bitcoin this week, with transfers to Coinbase, a move that indicates a move to sell these coins. The asset manager has sold these coins following outflows from its iShares Bitcoin ETF, which was the norm throughout this week. Related Reading: BlackRock’s Crypto Holdings Balloon As Bitcoin, Ethereum Reach For New ATHs — Here Are The Numbers SoSo Value data shows that BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF first recorded a daily net outflow of $68.72 million on August 18. The fund then further saw net outflows of $220 million, $127.49 million, and $198.81 million on August 20, 21, and 22, respectively. Notably, the iShares Bitcoin ETF has accounted for most of the outflows, with the BTC ETFs as a group currently on a six-day streak of consecutive net outflows. These Bitcoin ETFs have seen total net outflows of almost $1.2 billion since August 15. Meanwhile, in just this week alone, over $1.1 billion has left these funds, sparking a bearish sentiment for the BTC price. Given BlackRock’s position as a major player in the Bitcoin ecosystem, outflows from its fund had sparked a wave of sell-offs. This led to a massive decline for the flagship crypto earlier in the week. The Bitcoin price had dropped to as low as $112,000 this week as BlackRock and other BTC investors took profit on their investments. This followed the flagship crypto’s rally to a new all-time high (ATH) of $124,000 last week. However, BTC has now sharply rebounded on the back of Jerome Powell’s Jackson Hole speech, in which he indicated that a rate cut might happen in September. An End To The BTC ETF Outflow Streak Notably, Powell’s speech was enough to spark fresh inflows into the Bitcoin ETFs on August 22, with BlackRock the only fund manager that recorded a net outflow on the day. Further data from SoSo Value shows that Cathie Wood’s Ark Invest recorded a daily inflow of $65.47 million, the most among the issuers on the day. Related Reading: Analyst Warns Investors To Avoid Bitcoin At All Cost As Price Is Going Below $60,000 Meanwhile, Fidelity, Van Eck, Franklin Templeton, Bitwise, and Grayscale recorded inflows of $50.88 million, $26.41 million, $13.51 million, $12.70 million, and $6.42 million, respectively. However, BlackRock recorded an outflow of $198.81 million, which led to a daily net outflow of $23.15 million for the funds as a group. With the Bitcoin price rebounding, these funds, including BlackRock’s IBIT, could return to witnessing significant daily inflows from next week. At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $115,900, up over 2% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
Institutional adoption, inflation-hedge demand, and the nature of bitcoin’s fixed supply, will propel the cryptocurrency to new highs, the report said.
Bitwise’s Matt Hougan says BTC could deliver nearly 30% in annualized returns over the next decade and remain a low-correlation diversifier for investors.
The Solana (SOL) market has registered a near 2% price increase in the last 24 hours, representing slight relief for investors enduring steep losses from the last week. Between August 14 and 15, the altcoin tumbled by roughly 13%, sliding from near $210 to around $180 as broader crypto markets reacted to US Producer Price Index (PPI) data. Despite the short-term recovery, prominent market analyst Ali Martinez warns that Solana may remain in danger yet, projecting the potential for further downside in the days ahead. Related Reading: Solana Price Drops To $185 — Here’s Why The Momentum Didn’t Last Solana Rejected At $208, Key Support Levels At $180, $160 In Focus In an X post on August 16, Martinez outlines a bearish technical outlook on the Solana market following a solid rejection at a key technical price level. Solana surged above $200 this week, marking the first time in this price region since July 23. However, the altcoin was unable to sustain its upward trajectory, encountering resistance at the $208 price level. Notably, this price region forms the upper boundary of a well-established trading price channel whose lower boundary lies around $160. Therefore, there is strong potential for the current retracement to persist with initial support targets set around $180, i.e., the midline of the trading range under study. However, a decisive price break below this level would force SOL to $160, indicating a potential 17% decline from present spot market prices. On the other hand, if Solana bulls can sustain prices above $180, it would invalidate these bearish projections, perhaps pushing the altcoin into consolidation. However, Solana must decisively claim the price resistance around the $208 region to show bullish intent, with potential upside targets set around $250. Related Reading: XRP Takes On Live TV: Analyst Predicts Surge To $13 If This Happens Solana Price Outlook At the time of writing, Solana (SOL) trades at $192, representing a net gain of 2.83% over the past week. However, the asset’s trading volume has dropped sharply, plunging by 52.25% in the last 24 hours, signaling a significant decline in recent market activity. Despite the reduced volume, investor sentiment around Solana remains broadly positive. According to data from Coincodex, the current Fear & Greed Index stands at 56 (Greed), indicating a leaning toward bullishness. Meanwhile, the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) recently announced an extension of its review period for the Bitwise and 21Shares spot Ethereum ETF applications. The decision had little impact on investor sentiment toward Solana, as such extensions are a standard procedure in the SEC’s handling of crypto-related filings. The commission is expected to reach its final deadline in October. Looking ahead, Coincodex analysts maintain a cautiously optimistic outlook for SOL’s price. Their forecasts project Solana at $197 over the next month, and a potential climb to $219 within three months, should broader market conditions remain supportive. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview
Last Friday’s US July Employment Situation release has delivered the kind of statistical jolt that rarely shows up outside crises, forcing traders to re-evaluate both the macro outlook and Bitcoin’s near-term path. Payrolls grew by just 73,000, but the shock lay in the record-large negative revisions: May and June were marked down by a combined 258,000 jobs, slicing the three-month hiring average to 35,000 and erasing nearly all of the second-quarter’s reported momentum. The Bureau of Labor Statistics notes that revisions of that magnitude have been seen only during the Covid collapse. Is Bitcoin Really Facing A Black Swan Event? Bloomberg Economics chief US economist Anna Wong wrote: “The downward revisions to May and June payrolls in the July jobs report constitute a black swan event – a three-standard-deviation move with less than a 0.2% chance of occurrence in the last 30 years. Adjusted for our estimate of the job overstatement from the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ birth-death model, the three-month hiring pace turns outright negative.” The data, she wrote in a terminal note circulated Friday, “flipped the labor-market script” from re-acceleration to abrupt cooling. Related Reading: Bitcoin Could See Another Crash To Fill This Imbalance Before Rally To $120,000 The market’s crypto voice on the issue has been Bitwise Europe’s head of research, André Dragosch, who spent the morning posting a string of warnings on X. First came the news, ”According to Bloomberg chief economist Anna Wong, the most recent payroll revisions were a ‘black swan event’.Will probably get even worse before it gets better…”, then the maxim, “Yes – bad for payrolls = good for bitcoin, at least over the medium to long term.” Minutes later he argued that deeper revisions could force emergency easing: “NOTE: There is a strong case for a negative June jobs print after further downside revisions which could lead to a 50 bps rate cut in September… Plan accordingly. #Bitcoin” By mid-afternoon he pushed the point to its logical extreme: “ATTENTION: We are probably just a single negative NFP print away from a significant repricing in Fed rate cut expectations. US labor market & inflation data surprises are still as bad as during Covid but traders only price in 2 cuts until Dec 2025… Printer is coming… ” Interest-rate futures moved sharply in Dragosch’s direction. On Wednesdays, the CME FedWatch Tool showed a 91 percent probability of at least one cut at the 17–18 September FOMC meeting. Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari acknowledged that “the real underlying economy is slowing,” while Governor Lisa Cook called the size of the revisions “concerning.” Related Reading: US Delay On Bitcoin Audit Is A Bullish Red Flag, Says Strike CEO Bitcoin’s price action captured the tug-of-war between recession fear and liquidity hope. The flagship cryptocurrency slumped to $111,920 on 2 August, its lowest print since early July, immediately after the payroll release and President Donald Trump’s subsequent firing of BLS Commissioner Erika McEntarfer. A tentative rebound toward $111,500 followed as rate-cut odds ballooned this week. Yet, Bitcoin remained tethered to macro headlines rather than its own cycle. Still, the first clear sign of positioning for easier policy has emerged in fund flows. Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a net $91.6 million inflow on 7 August, snapping a four-day outflow streak that had drained more than $380 million from the vehicles. Whether Bloomberg’s and Dragosch’s black-swan framing proves prescient will depend on the next few data prints and the Fed’s tolerance for risk. For now the market is caught between those poles: one bad jobs number away from a full-blown policy response, but one more shock away from a broader risk-off spiral. The only certainty, as Wong’s probability math and Dragosch’s full-throated alerts both imply, is that the margin for error has evaporated. At press time, BTC traded at $116,359. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Market expert Mark Moss has drawn the crypto community’s attention to an indicator that has perfectly nailed Bitcoin cycle tops. Based on this indicator, the expert revealed that the cycle top is unlikely to happen this year, as other analysts may have predicted. Pi Cycle Top Indicator Reveals Next Bitcoin Cycle Top In an X post, Moss stated that the indicator is predicting a Bitcoin cycle top in the first quarter of 2027, not at the end of this year. He made this comment while describing the Pi Cycle Top indicator as the “Holy Grail” of Bitcoin indicators. The expert noted that the indicator nailed the Bitcoin cycle tops in 2013, 2017, and 2021. Related Reading: Analyst Sounds Alarm For 50% Crash If Bitcoin Doesn’t Make A New ATH Soon Moss admitted that this latest cycle top prediction is hard to believe, as everyone is expecting Bitcoin to peak in the fourth quarter of this year. However, the Pi Cycle Top indicator suggests that the Bitcoin cycle top will occur in Q1 2027 and that the BTC price could reach $395,000 by then. Crypto analyst Rekt Capital also recently alluded to the Pi Cycle Top indicator, noting how it was hinting at a possible cycle extension. He also confirmed that the indicator predicts a Bitcoin cycle top will occur in Q1 2027, with the flagship crypto possibly reaching $400,000. The analyst noted that, based on previous cycles, the Bitcoin cycle top is expected to happen in the fourth quarter of this year. However, the recent BTC rallies have caused the Moving Averages (MA) to shift to higher prices. With these MAs shifting with every Bitcoin rally, Rekt Capital stated that it could take at least until mid-early 2026 before a Pi Cycle Top crossover occurs. However, the analyst advised that it is still important to be cautious about Q4 of this year and possibly develop an exit strategy in case the Bitcoin cycle peaks then. The BTC 4-Year Cycle Is Over In a recent podcast, Bloomberg analyst James Seyffart and Bitwise Chief Investment Officer (CIO) Matt Hougan gave their opinions on whether the 4-year Bitcoin cycle is over. Seyffart stated that he expects the amplitude of these cycles to reduce as more institutional investors enter the BTC ecosystem. Related Reading: The Final Bitcoin Act: Here’s What To Expect As BTC Trends Sideways Based on his statement, a Bitcoin cycle top might not happen as many expect, as the analyst predicts there won’t be massive drawdowns again with the flagship crypto maturing. On the other hand, the Bitwise CIO opined that the 4-year cycle for BTC is over. He explained that the factors that drove this four-year cycle are now watered down. Meanwhile, there is a growing inflow into Bitcoin, which would continue to drive demand. In line with this, Hougan declared that 2026 will be an up year for Bitcoin. At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $119,000, down in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
After nearly eight years of being trapped under a long-term resistance line, XRP is set to make headlines again as it inches closer to a historic breakout against Bitcoin (BTC). With XRP Spot ETF approvals still pending, this breakout could signal the start of a significant shift in momentum and price trajectory. XRP To Break Major Resistance Against Bitcoin The XRP/BTC trading pair is rapidly approaching a critical technical breakout that could reshape its long-term value outlook. Crypto market expert Gordon noted in his chart analysis on X social media that XRP/BTC is close to breaching an 8-year descending resistance line—a move that could spark a major structural change in the market. Related Reading: XRP Open Interest Explodes To January ATH Levels, Will Price Follow Above $3? A breakout from this resistance could not only signal the end of nearly a decade of underperformance against Bitcoin but also serve as a potential precursor to a broader revaluation of XRP. Gordon’s biweekly chart illustrates XRP’s historical struggle to gain ground against Bitcoin, with repeated rejections from a strong descending line that has acted as a barrier since 2017. However, after experiencing long years of consolidation and accumulation, XRP/BTC now appears to be forming a large Symmetrical Triangle, with the current price hovering just below the upper boundary of the formation. Based on Gordon’s analysis, this technical compression suggests an imminent breakout, especially as price action builds momentum. What makes this potential breakout even more intriguing is that XRP’s rising value and current momentum have occurred without any significant bullish catalysts. The upward movement in XRP/BTC comes even before any official news concerning a potential XRP Spot ETF approval. The anticipation surrounding this ETF is already palpable, and a favorable decision could act as a powerful catalyst for continued upside. This scenario aligns with Gordon’s assessment that a breakout from the 8-year trendline could be a gateway to a generational wealth opportunity. 2025 XRP Spot ETF Approval Odds Hit 95% According to new data shared by market expert Steph is Crypto, XRP has emerged as one of the front-runners in the race for Spot ETF approval in the United States (US). The analyst has stated that the probability of an XRP ETF approval by the US SEC in 2025 has increased to a whopping 95%. Related Reading: XRP Wave 3 Could Repeat 600% Surge From Nov 2025, Target Set For $15 XRP currently shares the highest projected odds of approval alongside Litecoin and Solana, signaling a major shift in sentiment toward altcoin-based ETFs. Already, a growing number of institutional asset managers are investing in this ETF, including Grayscale, Bitwise, 21Shares, WisdomTree, Canary, and others. Just a few days ago, reports also revealed that the SEC has officially approved the conversion of the Bitwise 10 Crypto Index Fund into an ETF, which will include assets such as XRP, BTC, ETH, and others. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
Crypto analyst Xanrox has declared that the Ethereum price is on the brink of recording a parabolic rally to $5,500, a new all-time high (ATH). He also outlined factors that could drive the ETH rally to this target. Ethereum Price Eyes Rally To $5,500 In The Short Term In a TradingView post, Xanrox predicted that the Ethereum price could rally to $5,500 in the short term because banks and states are buying. He also claimed that ETH is part of the USA crypto reserve, which is bullish for the altcoin. Meanwhile, the analyst also alluded to the Ethereum ETFs, as another factor that could drive demand for ETH. Related Reading: Ethereum ATH Above $4,800? Here’s How High It Will Go If 2021 Repeats According to him, these institutional investors count ETH as the future of the crypto industry, which is a positive for the Ethereum price. These institutional investors have recently been warming up to ETH amid optimism that these funds could soon include a staking feature following the SEC’s approval. For the first time last week, these funds beat the Bitcoin ETFs in daily flows. Xanrox is also bullish on the Ethereum price from a technical analysis perspective. He noted that the altcoin is currently inside an ascending channel and breaking out with strong bullish momentum. The analyst also indicated that this was still a good time to buy ETH despite how much it has rallied this month, reaching a six-month high. He claimed that the Ethereum price is somewhere in the middle. As such, those who buy now can get to sell when ETH reaches $5,500. Xanrox added that the $5,500 level is likely where the altcoin will consolidate for a long time before going higher. Interestingly, his accompanying chart showed that Ethereum could even rally to as high as $113,000 at some point. A Demand Shock Is Coming For ETH In an X post, Bitwise Chief Investment Officer (CIO) Matt Hougan declared that a demand shock is coming for ETH, which is why he predicts that the Ethereum price will continue to rally. He noted that the altcoin is up over 50% in the past month and more than 150% since its lows in April, thanks to overwhelming demand from ETFs and corporate treasuries. Related Reading: Ethereum Road To $10,000: Replay Of May’s Playbook Predicts Another Breakout Matt Hougan expects this demand to keep rising. He noted that ETF investors remain significantly underweight in terms of their ETH-to-BTC holdings ratio. The market expert further stated that although ETH’s market cap is about 19% the size of BTC, the Ethereum funds have amassed less than 12% of the assets that the Bitcoin ETFs hold. As such, he expects these investors to allocate more ETH, which is bullish for the Ethereum price. The Bitwise CIO predicted that Ethereum ETFs and treasury companies could purchase up to $20 billion of ETH in the next year, equivalent to 5.33 million ETH at today’s prices. Meanwhile, the Ethereum network is expected to produce around 800,000 ETH over the same period, resulting in demand that is seven times greater than supply. At the time of writing, the Ethereum price is trading at around $3,700, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has issued a stay order on Bitwise’s bid to convert its over-the-counter (OTC) crypto index fund into a spot exchange-traded fund (ETF). The decision came just hours after the SEC’s Division of Trading and Markets granted accelerated approval for the application on July 22. The stay, issued by […]
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Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan says Ethereum is undergoing a “demand shock” as treasury strategyes and spot ETF support growing demand for ETH.
The SEC has released multiple crypto ETF updates this week, signaling shifting regulatory priorities.
Regulatory clarity would allow major financial institutions to fully build in crypto, the report said.
The process involves daily on-chain holdings verification, reconciling balances with the number of fund shares outstanding.
We’ve got a big week ahead of us in terms of U.S. crypto legislation, so I asked Katherine Dowling, general counsel at Bitwise, to give us a rundown.
Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan predicted that Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs) could experience up to $10 billion in inflows during the second half of 2025. His forecast, made on July 2, builds on the strong momentum observed over the past months, with Ethereum ETFs already bringing in $1.17 billion in inflows in June alone. […]
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The latest Crypto Market Compass from Bitwise Europe lands like a klaxon: every major gauge of risk appetite, liquidity and macro momentum is swinging in Bitcoin’s favor, and the firm argues the move could “provide a significant tailwind” for the benchmark asset. The study notes that Bitcoin already rebounded from $101,000 to about $108,000 in the past week as traders digested a potent cocktail of cooling inflation, thawing geopolitics and an increasingly dovish Federal Reserve stance. Perfect Storm Brewing For Bitcoin Bitwise’s proprietary Cryptoasset Sentiment Index has surged to its most optimistic reading since May—“now clearly signal[ing] a bullish sentiment again,” the authors write. Behind that surge lies an unprecedented torrent of capital into exchange-traded products: cumulative net inflows to global Bitcoin ETPs have reached a year-to-date record of $14.3 billion, with five consecutive sessions last week adding another $2.2 billion—or roughly 20,763 BTC—to the pile. “Cumulative net inflows … signal potential upside opportunity for the price of Bitcoin,” Bitwise says, adding that US spot ETFs are now on a 14-day winning streak that could eclipse the 16-day record set shortly after launch in early 2024. Related Reading: Warning Signs? Long-Term Bitcoin Holders Take Profits as Leverage Spikes Why are investors suddenly embracing risk? Bitwise points to what it calls a “decline in macro uncertainty.” July may deliver new US trade accords with Canada, while Washington and Tehran have struck a surprisingly conciliatory tone; former President Donald Trump has even floated lifting sanctions if Iran remains peaceful. On top of that, Fed Chair Jerome Powell has tied the timing of a resumption of rate cuts to progress on tariff talks—an alignment that leaves the door open to looser policy within weeks. The report sums up the mood: “The trifecta of declining geopolitical risks, trade policy uncertainty and potential monetary policy stimulus should continue to lift market sentiment and provide a significant tailwind for Bitcoin and other crypto assets.” *** ???????????? *** We have just published our latest ???????????????????????????? ???????????????????????????? ???????????????????????????? ???????????????????? ???????????????????????????????? report for ???????????????? ????????????????! Here are the ???????????? ???????????????????????????????????? from the report that you need to know: ➡️ ????????????????’???? ????????????????????????????… pic.twitter.com/UYBRwvRE6e — André Dragosch, PhD⚡ (@Andre_Dragosch) July 1, 2025 On-chain signals look equally primed. Whale wallets (1,000 BTC or more) withdrew 8,740 BTC from exchanges last week, exchange reserves sank to 2.898 million BTC—just 14.6 % of supply—and net selling pressure on spot venues fell from $2.2 billion to only $0.5 billion. Related Reading: Bitcoin Freezes Over $100,000 As OG Whales ‘Dump On Wall Street’: Expert Derivatives paint a more nuanced picture: futures open interest slid by 20,000 BTC, and bearish perpetual funding rates hint at lingering short bias, but options markets show traders quietly standing down—put-call open interest fell to 0.59 while one-month implied volatilities eased toward 38%. Bitwise interprets the combination as “short-term consolidation” in the face of an intact longer-term uptrend. Traditional markets are also thawing. Bitwise’s Cross-Asset Risk Appetite (CARA) index jumped from 0.31 to 0.49, reinforcing evidence that capital is rotating back into growth-sensitive trades. Some 70% of tracked altcoins beat Bitcoin last week, a breadth thrust historically associated with early-cycle bull phases. In its bottom-line assessment, Bitwise stops short of price targets but leaves little doubt about direction: as long as geopolitical détente, trade breakthroughs and an accommodative Fed converge with relentless ETF inflows, “a decisive return in global risk appetite” is likely to keep Bitcoin on an upward trajectory. Should US spot ETFs secure just three more sessions of net inflows this week—surpassing their 2024 record—the firm suggests the market may discover how quickly a supply-constrained asset can react when the macro wind blows at its back. At press time, BTC traded at $106,840. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
The updated paperwork also suggests in-kind creations could be coming for a range of crypto ETFs, said an analyst.
Bitwise CEO Hunter Horsley believes the actual competition for Bitcoin isn’t gold, but government-backed bonds like US Treasuries and UK gilts. In a June 20 post on X, Horsley argued that gold and Bitcoin are apolitical stores of value that operate outside direct government control. However, he said Bitcoin’s actual competition lies with instruments tightly […]
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Bitwise Asset Management’s European research arm argues that the sharp sell-off that followed last week’s military escalation between Iran and Israel is likely to give way to a powerful relief rally in Bitcoin, echoing the cryptocurrency’s behaviour after earlier geopolitical shocks. In its 16 June weekly newsletter Bitwise Europe points to a “Chart of the Week” that lines up the twenty most significant geopolitical risk events since July 2010 and finds that, on average, Bitcoin was “up 31.2 percent fifty days after the event, with a median gain of 10.2 percent.” According to the authors, “major geopolitical risk events tend to be good buying opportunities for bitcoin and other crypto assets.” The firm’s in-house Crypto Asset Sentiment Index briefly turned negative on Friday—its first dip below zero since May—but had already swung back into slightly bullish territory by Monday morning, a shift Bitwise attributes to renewed inflows into spot exchange-traded products and continued US-dollar weakness. At Bitcoin’s current price of around $107,000, a 31% rally would bring it to approximately $140,000. Missiles Fly, Bitcoin To $140,000? The historical analogue is being tested in real time as markets digest the first open exchange of missiles between Tehran and Jerusalem. The Associated Press reports that Iran has fired more than 370 projectiles at Israel since 13 June, killing at least twenty-four people, while Israel claims to have destroyed over 120 Iranian launchers and says it now enjoys “full aerial superiority over Tehran.” Related Reading: Bitcoin 656% Cyclical Gain Highlights Deep Market Demand – Glassnode The confrontation triggered a textbook flight to safety: gold blasted through $3,430 an ounce on Friday, establishing a fresh record high, while Brent crude spiked and global equities lurched lower. Bitcoin, which had been flirting with its all-time peak near $111,000 early last week, sank as low as $102,600 during the first wave of air-strike headlines before rebounding to the $106,000–107,000 zone. Even after that drawdown, Bitwise notes, the flagship cryptocurrency still out-performed the S&P 500 on a weekly basis thanks to a late-week equity swoon. Bitwise’s thesis rests on three pillars. First is behavioural: previous geopolitical shocks—from Russia’s 2014 annexation of Crimea to the US–Iran standoff of January 2020—produced knee-jerk liquidations in risk assets, yet Bitcoin’s selling pressure tended to exhaust quickly, setting the stage for a mean-reversion pop. Second is macroeconomic. Related Reading: Bitcoin Future Post Israel-Iran Event: On-Chain Analysis Disputes BTC’s $50K Crash The firm highlights a “pronounced depreciation of the US Dollar,” as the DXY index slid to its weakest level since March 2022 following softer-than-expected inflation prints and another uptick in continuing unemployment claims. Fed-funds futures now imply 1.9 rate cuts by December 2025, loosening global financial conditions and historically favourable for non-yielding, dollar-denominated assets such as Bitcoin. Third is structural demand: US spot Bitcoin ETFs took in a net $1.37 billion last week, while corporate treasuries kept accumulating—Strategy’s Michael Saylor announced the acquisition of 10,100 BTC for $1.05 billion today , and Tokyo-listed Metaplanet disclosed an additional 1,112 BTC purchase that brings its war chest to 10,000 coins. In derivatives, Bitwise flags that the put-call open-interest ratio on Bitcoin options ended the week at 0.61 after dipping to 0.55, while the one-month 25-delta skew flipped decisively into positive territory at +4.87 percent, indicating a premium for upside exposure despite realised volatility languishing around 30 percent. Funding rates on perpetual swaps also remained net long even during Thursday’s risk-off purge, a pattern the firm interprets as “bullish positioning or demand for topside hedging.” Behind the scenes, whales withdrew a net 169,527 BTC from exchanges, and exchange-held reserves fell to 2.92 million coins—about 14.6 percent of supply—further tightening spot liquidity. Sceptics may note that past performance is not predictive and that the explosive rally following Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine was fuelled in part by unprecedented monetary stimulus that may not be replicated. Bitwise itself concedes that realised losses spiked to $55.5 million on-chain last week and that momentum in “apparent demand” has softened. Yet the firm argues that the confluence of structural inflows, dollar weakness and depressed sentiment mirrors the set-ups that preceded its historical sample of 31-percent rallies. As the newsletter concludes, “structural demand by both ETPs and corporate treasuries as well as continued macro tailwinds via Dollar weakness and global money supply expansion still support a positive market development for bitcoin and crypto assets.” At press time, BTC traded at $107,239. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
The crypto-focused asset manager is offering a covered call strategy to provide share price exposure to GME while generating income.
Shares are up another 9% in volatile action on Monday, now having nearly quadrupled in price since the IPO late last week.
Samson Mow, a Bitcoin expert and the Chief Executive Officer (CEO) of JAN3, a BTC-focused infrastructure firm, has shared a striking take on the current valuation of the flagship cryptocurrency. According to Mow, Bitcoin is still far from its full potential and, in his view, should already be priced at $10 million per coin. Why Bitcoin Is Not Worth $10 Million Yet In a recent post on X (formerly Twitter), Mow stated, “If the world understood Bitcoin, we would be at $10 million a coin now.” This comment reflects his belief that Bitcoin’s true value is heavily undervalued and underestimated. Related Reading: Massive $200 Million Sell Wall Holds Bitcoin At $111,000 And $113,000 – Here’s What We Know For Mow, BTC is more than just a coin to trade; it is a revolutionary asset that could shake up the foundations of the current financial system. With its capped supply, decentralized nature, and consistently growing value, many even believe that BTC has the potential to act as a global reserve currency. Yet despite growing adoption and visibility, Mow argues that most people in the world, including institutions, policymakers, and retailers, still do not fully comprehend Bitcoin and its implications. According to the JAN3 CEO, this knowledge gap is what is holding Bitcoin back from achieving the massive price surge that he and many other long-term advocates anticipate. While the $10 million mark remains speculative for now, Mow’s remarks reflect a wider sentiment among Bitcoin enthusiasts who see the current price as just the beginning. For example, top Bitcoin supporters and investors like Michael J. Saylor, the founder of MicroStrategy, have shared similar views, predicting an explosive rise in Bitcoin’s value to $10 million by 2035. Likewise, Matt Hougan, Bitwise’s Chief Investment Officer (CIO), has voiced strong confidence in Bitcoin reaching the $1 million mark. He believes this milestone could realistically be achieved within the next five years. Demand For BTC Surges Among Institutions And The Wealthy With the growing belief that the Bitcoin price will only continue to rise in the long term, social media reports indicate a significant surge in interest and demand among financial institutions and the wealthy. Notably, Saylor, one of the biggest advocates for Bitcoin, has long been accumulating the cryptocurrency in hundreds of thousands. Related Reading: Is The Bitcoin Rally Over After $111,900 ATH? Global M2 Money Supply Is Still Going Donald Trump, the United States (US) President, has also been a public supporter of Bitcoin, with reports revealing that he is actively buying the flagship cryptocurrency. Even investing legend and hedge fund manager Hugh Henry disclosed earlier this month that he intends to sell his $35 million house to buy $10 million worth of Bitcoin. Binance CEO Richard Teng also announced that the wealthy are showing significant interest in the leading cryptocurrency. He revealed that sovereign funds and high-net-worth individuals are now purchasing BTC like never before. This growing accumulation by institutions and the rich signals strong confidence in BTC’s long-term value and sustainability. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin hovered around $102,600 today after briefly touching $105,000. The dip didn’t shake everyone. Many still bet on a major rally. According to Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan in an interview yesterday, there’s a path for Bitcoin to hit $200,000 by December 31. He points to growing ETF inflows, more corporate buying, and what he sees as open‑door government policies. Related Reading: Dogecoin’s $1 Dream: Analyst Reveals When It Could Finally Happen Supply And Demand Gap Widens Supply is fixed at 21 million coins, with about 165,000 new Bitcoin mined each year. ETF funds, on the other hand, snapped up roughly 500,000 Bitcoin over the past 12 months. Based on reports, that’s more than three times the annual supply. When fresh coins can’t keep pace with big buyers, prices get pushed up. Corporate And Government Holding Rises Companies such as Strategy continue to add Bitcoin to their balance sheets. Based on reports, the US government already has over $17 billion in seized or held Bitcoin. There’s even talk of an executive order to source more without tapping taxpayers. Some say that could mean swapping gold reserves or selling other crypto assets. Abroad, Abu Dhabi reportedly paid $460 million for new Bitcoin, and at least 10 other governments may follow this year. Timing And Economic Volatility Hougan says Bitcoin’s big run was delayed by a spell of economic turbulence. Stocks have slid, and risk assets all felt the heat. He argues that once volatility eases, Bitcoin’s momentum will kick back in. It makes sense on paper. Yet markets can surprise. A sudden move by the Federal Reserve or a shift in borrowing costs might slow the climb again. Other Analyst Forecasts Align It’s not just Bitwise calling for $200,000. Bernstein senior analyst Gautam Chhugani has that number on his radar for 2025. And Intuit Trading’s Blockchaindaily team redrew a trendline after Bitcoin bottomed at $74,000 in April. Their line now points to $200,000 by July 2025. To go from $102,600 to $200,000, Bitcoin needs to climb about 95%. That’s a big leap, even if history shows crypto can move fast. Related Reading: Avalanche Rumbles 21% Amid Record-Breaking Address Activity Looking Ahead With Caution Meanwhile, there are clear risks on the horizon. Changes in tax rules, new trading fees, or a surprise rate hike could push prices down. Still, many believe those hurdles will clear. If ETF demand stays strong and big holders keep buying, Bitcoin may well break past its old highs. For now, investors will keep one eye on short‑term swings and another on that $200,000 milestone. Featured image from Gemini Imagen, chart from TradingView
Bitwise Asset Management has taken a significant step toward launching a new exchange-traded fund (ETF) based on NEAR Protocol’s native token, NEAR. According to information on Delaware’s official state website, the firm registered a new entity called Bitwise NEAR ETF on April 24. The filing, listed under number 10174379, classifies the entity as a corporate […]
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The former fund executive who became a U.S. senator from Pennsylvania this year, Dave McCormick, is BTC's biggest investor in Congress at the moment.
In an investor note dated April 15, 2025, Matt Hougan, the Chief Investment Officer (CIO) of Bitwise, shared an examination of Bitcoin’s recent trading patterns that may surprise both critics and supporters. “Bitcoin is acting like an asset that wants to go higher, if only macro obstacles would get out of the way,” he wrote. According to Hougan, Bitcoin’s price on April 14 hovered around $84,379, compared to $84,317 a month earlier—a minuscule change of 0.07% during a 30-day window. This flat performance emerged against the backdrop of two significant geopolitical events: the United States announcing the creation of a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and President Donald Trump imposing sweeping tariffs on countries around the globe. The resilience that Bitcoin has shown during this period stands in stark contrast to the broader downward trend in traditional financial markets. Hougan pointed out that the S&P 500, which peaked on February 19, has lost 12.0% of its value, with Bitcoin down a comparable 12.4% since that date. He found this alignment astonishing, particularly because it departs from Bitcoin’s behavior during past market downturns. In the 2022 correction, for example, the S&P 500 slid 24.5% while Bitcoin plunged 58.3%. Similarly, at the onset of the COVID-19 crisis in early 2020, stocks fell 33.8% but Bitcoin sank 38.1%, and in late 2018, when escalating trade tensions between the United States and China dragged equities down 19.36%, Bitcoin declined 37.22%. This track record had historically reinforced the notion that, when stocks took a hit, Bitcoin would invariably suffer a far steeper pullback. Related Reading: Bitcoin Lags Gold As Wall Street Doubts Persist, Claims Expert In his latest note, Hougan emphasized how different the present situation feels. Instead of being battered well beyond the equity market’s turbulence, Bitcoin is now mirroring stock losses closely. He acknowledged that this alone does not make Bitcoin an unequivocal hedge asset, adding, “Critics will point out that matching stocks’ performance during a downturn is not the same as acting as a hedge asset, and that gold has been a better performer than Bitcoin during this pullback. That’s true.” Nonetheless, he argued that Bitcoin’s ability to stay around the $80,000 mark while global markets churn is a testament to its robust staying power in the face of multiple macroeconomic shocks. “If that doesn’t give you confidence in its staying power, I don’t know what will,” he remarked. Hougan’s view is that we are witnessing a transitional phase in Bitcoin’s evolution. He explained that the cryptocurrency has historically been driven by two competing forces: it has served as a risk asset, associated with significant upside potential and high volatility, yet it has also occasionally taken on the role of a hedge similar to gold. Related Reading: This Bitcoin Pullback Mirrors 2017’s Path To Parabolic Highs, Says Analyst In Bitcoin’s early days, the risk-asset angle tended to dominate; in major equity sell-offs, investors often shed Bitcoin faster and more aggressively than they exited stocks. Now, with more corporations integrating Bitcoin into their balance sheets, institutional investors exploring it as part of diversified portfolios, and governments—like the United States—incorporating it into strategic reserves, there appears to be a gradual tilt toward Bitcoin being treated more like “digital gold.” . Still, Hougan warned that investors should not overlook the inherent unpredictability in the current macro environment. He noted that equity markets may not yet have found a bottom, raising the possibility that deeper slides could re-expose Bitcoin’s vulnerability if broader panic sets in. He also conceded that gold’s performance remains a more classic example of a safe-haven behavior during systemic shocks, meaning Bitcoin has not conclusively demonstrated that it can replace traditional hedges during intense economic strain. Even so, in his words, “The world is unraveling, and Bitcoin is trading above $80,000.” Hougan underscored that there is no guarantee this dynamic will endure, particularly given the unpredictable repercussions that could stem from sudden tariff escalations or shifts in monetary policy. As he concluded in his note, “Our baby is growing up as a macro asset. And that’s a beautiful thing to see.” At press time, BTC traded at $85,200. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
The asset manager said it was sticking to its 2025 year-end bitcoin price target of $200,000.
Bitcoin's reserve asset status could mature as the White House's tariff strategy may weaken the dollar to boost economic activity.