Despite macroeconomic headwinds, Bitcoin (BTC) looks primed to create a new all-time high (ATH), charged by positive Q4 2024 seasonality. Bitcoin New ATH On The Horizon? On October 28, BTC surged past $71,000, sparking optimism for a new ATH above the $73,737 peak recorded in March this year. Although BTC has crossed the $70,000 threshold […]
According to Bitfinex, Bitcoin (BTC) volatility is set to intensify over the next week. A “potent mix” of geopolitical and macroeconomic factors has significantly influenced the flagship crypto’s performance, with anticipation for the outcome of the US election and Q4’s close setting a potential target of $80,000 by year-end. Related Reading: Neiro Breaks Above Key Level Following 10% Weekly Drop, Is $0.0020 Next? Bitcoin Volatility About To Reach Its Peak Crypto exchange Bitfinex’s recent report shared that Bitcoin’s price could hit $80,000 by the end of the year due to a convergence of geopolitical uncertainty, macroeconomic factors, seasonality, and the increasing influence of the “Trump Trade.” The report noted that, historically, global macroeconomic trends and geopolitics events influenced BTC’s price. As a result, the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization has seen its price movements driven by the anticipated US Presidential elections. The potential outcome of the elections, scheduled for next week, has affected Bitcoin’s performance throughout the year. Both presidential candidates have acknowledged the crypto industry, with the Republican candidate Donald Trump becoming the sector’s champion after fully embracing Bitcoin and crypto. Trump’s pro-crypto stance increased the correlation between the Republican candidate’s winning odds and Bitcoin’s trajectory. Moreover, the “Trump Trade” narrative reflects “the market’s view of how BTC will fare dependent on the outcome of the election.” Per the report, this narrative has fueled Bitcoin volatility, with the flagship crypto seeing sharp intra-week corrections before rebounding. Last week, BTC saw a 6.2% pullback toward the $65,000 support zone before reclaiming the $68,000 mark again. Bitfinex analysts consider that this pullback might be the first of several “whipsaw price movements” ahead of the elections, affecting BTC’s short-term price as speculation and volatility increase. Additionally, option premiums and estimated daily volatility for the US stock market and Bitcoin are projected to rise significantly next week. The report noted that BTC volatility will peak between November 6 and November 8, when the Election results are expected to be delivered. Reportedly, the highest implied volatility (IV) is for the November 8 strike price “reaching up to over 100 vol for strike prices over $100,000 for BTC.” BTC Poised To Hit $80,000 In Late December The report noted that Bitcoin has shown strength despite the increasing volatility. The flagship crypto “has remained resilient” and held its ground compared to the September lows, surging around 30% from last month’s drop. Additionally, BTC closed September, which has historically been a challenging month for the cryptocurrency, with a 7.29% increase, the highest closing for the month on record. The crypto exchange’s report predicted that October’s close could be “less impressive” due to the volatility. Nonetheless, Bitfinex analysts suggested that Q4’s historically bullish seasonality will still favor a positive rally for BTC. Market positioning shows that end-of-year options have seen a considerable rise in call open interest over the last few weeks. Related Reading: Bitcoin Hash Ribbons Flash ‘Buy’ Signal: Analysts See New Highs On The Horizon BTC is expected to continue experiencing higher-than-average volatility and potentially see deep corrections in the coming days. But the market seems poised for a post-election surge above March’s $73,666 all-time high (ATH). Lastly, call options with a December 27 expiry and an $80,000 strike price have seen a steady build-up, suggesting that this target could be in reach by year-end. As of this writing, BTC is trading at $71,197, a $3.4% increase in the daily timeframe. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
Need to know what happened in crypto today? Here is the latest news on daily trends and events impacting Bitcoin price, blockchain, DeFi, NFTs, Web3 and crypto regulation.
A crypto wallet owned by the US government might have been compromised and infiltrated by hackers, raising concerns about the security measures being implemented by the government on digital assets. The hacking incident could be a tell-tale sign of a lenient cybersecurity practice in handling government-controlled cryptocurrencies. It might indicate the need for the government […]
Bitcoin (BTC) has surged past the $65,000 mark, renewing traders’ optimism for an “Uptober” rally that could extend the digital asset’s bullish momentum. Is The Bitcoin “Uptober” Rally Finally Here? In the early hours of October 15, Bitcoin briefly crossed $66,000 before retracing to $65,964 at the time of writing. Over the past 24 hours, BTC has gained 1.4%. According to a report by crypto exchange Bitfinex, Bitcoin’s decisive move past the crucial $63,000 resistance level, combined with encouraging on-chain metrics, points toward further potential upside move. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Holds Above $63,000 — Here’s The Next Critical Resistance Level The report mentions that Bitcoin’s realized price of unspent transactions output (UTXO) age bands are a “pivotal on-chain metric for gauging Bitcoin’s market dynamics.” For the uninitiated, Bitcoin’s UTXO age bands refer to the value at which different groups of BTC – based on their holding duration – were last moved. Essentially, it helps track the average purchase price across various age groups of BTC holders, indicating market sentiment and the profitability of specific cohorts. Notably, the average realized prices for short-term (3-6 months) and mid-term (6-12 months) holders have historically been key support or resistance levels. The short-term holder price is around $63,000, while the mid-term holder price is $55,000. When Bitcoin trades below the average purchase price of these groups, it often signals a bearish trend. Conversely, a move above these levels can indicate bullish momentum. Since BTC has surpassed the $63,000 resistance, further gains could be in sight. However, a failure to close above this level could have triggered a potential decline toward $55,000. Market Displays Strong Appetite For Digital Assets The report highlights BTC’s weak price action on October 10, when it fell to $58,943 due to lack of aggressive buying in the spot market. Per the report, the majority of the selling originated on Coinbase. Related Reading: Spot Bitcoin ETFs Back To Positive Returns With $308 Million Inflows – Details The report mentions the Coinbase Premium Gap Indicator (CPGI) – a metric that shows the difference between the BTC-dollar pair on Coinbase versus other major centralized exchanges. The CPGI decreased by 100 points as BTC’s price declined below $59,000. The report notes that during the past year, anytime the CPGI fell below 50 points, BTC price has witnessed a subsequent recovery. The report adds: Bitcoin has been trading within a broad range for the past eight months. In the event of the onset of a bear market, selling typically ensues when the Coinbase Premium turns negative. However, such selling has not been observed, suggesting that despite the fluctuations, the market remains relatively stable without widespread fear-driven divestment. This resilience could indicate underlying strength or a balanced market sentiment that may steer future price movements. This analysis aligns with a separate report by crypto firm QCP Capital, which noted that the shallow sell-off in the crypto market following geopolitical tensions between Iran and Israel indicates sustained demand for risk-on assets. In related news, BTC bulls will be relieved to learn that the defunct crypto exchange Mt. Gox has delayed its repayment until October 2025, potentially easing pressure on spot selling. However, some analysts warn that BTC may face price capitulation due to tightening on-chain liquidity. At the time of writing, Bitcoin trades at $65,964, up 1.4% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and Tradingview.com
According to a crypto analyst, Bitcoin (BTC) may be heading towards a capitulation due to tightening on-chain liquidity. However, this capitulation could be followed by a “full bull” market. Bitcoin Headed Lower Before Higher In a detailed thread on X about BTC price analysis, crypto analyst Cole Garner stated that capitulation might be on the horizon for the leading digital asset. Garner attributes the potential downturn to tightening on-chain liquidity. Related Reading: Bitcoin ETF Options Set To Supercharge Price Volatility, Expert Warns Tracking global liquidity from central banks worldwide, the analyst said he sees a “buy signal” for digital assets. However, more downsides for cryptocurrencies could come before liquidity-enhancing measures undertaken by central banks buoy them. In his analysis, Garner stated that “if China doesn’t ring that bell, the Fed or Japan should do the job,” likely pointing toward the recent economic stimulus injected by the Chinese central bank in a bid to boost the country’s grim economic outlook. Garner referenced the recent economic stimulus from China’s central bank but noted that this week, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) refrained from injecting additional liquidity, tempering expectations for risk-on assets like crypto. Garner emphasized the low supply of stablecoins compared to the beginning of October 2024. Analyzing the “Bitfinex grail,” which is essentially the total supply of two leading stablecoins on the exchange – USDT and USDC – Garner noted its quarterly rate of change is declining, potentially leading to lower prices for digital assets in the short term. Despite these concerns, Garner pointed out that Bitcoin has printed a higher high on the 8-hour chart, and the market structure remains bullish. Even if BTC dips to its range lows in the high $40k range, the overall price action is still considered positive. Garner suggested that should BTC hit its range of lows, traders and investors can consider buying at that price. Even if they are low on liquid cash, they must ensure they don’t get spooked by the market and panic-sell their current holdings. Another crypto analyst, Ali, seemed to echo Garner’s outlook, stating that Bitcoin is stuck in a descending parallel channel and runs the risk of sliding to channel lows of around $52,000. The analyst stressed that BTC must overcome the $66,000 level for a bullish breakout. Can Bitcoin Hit New All-Time Highs In 2024? With the remainder of 2024 ahead, Bitcoin bulls anticipate interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to fuel a new rally. However, BTC must clear several hurdles to sustain its bullish momentum. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Puell Multiple Signals A Bullish Surge: Could A New ATH Be Near? Crypto analyst Carl Runefelt recently noted that BTC must overcome the $64,000 resistance level to trigger a rally in Q4 2024. Failure to break through this price level could lead to further downside. Further, Bitcoin’s price finally turned green in October, giving bulls hopes of another “uptober” for the asset, which was marked by significant price increases. BTC trades at $60,711 at press time, down 2.4% in the last 24 hours. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Charts from X and TradingView.com
India ranked first in Chainalysis’ 2024 Global Crypto Adoption Index, in addition to ranking second in the CSAO region in terms of crypto value received.
Bitfinex says it’s a “challenging time” for Bitcoin traders as the US Fed’s widely expected rate cut could lead to a drop in Bitcoin’s price and not a boost as hoped by the market.
Centralized exchanges are the primary gateways for traders to buy and sell crypto. Despite the significant rise in popularity and usage of decentralized exchanges (DEXs) in the past year, CEXs still facilitate most crypto trades. As such, they provide the foundational infrastructure for market liquidity and price discovery. Understanding their health and performance is important […]
The post Despite heavy outflows, CEXs continue to be pillars of liquidity appeared first on CryptoSlate.
Sluggish U.S. retail sales and softer inflation reports have opened the way for the next leg up in the crypto rally, Swissblock said.
The latest price moves in bitcoin (BTC) and crypto markets in context for May 6, 2024. First Mover is CoinDesk’s daily newsletter that contextualizes the latest actions in the crypto markets.
Bitfinex Chief Technology Officer Paolo Ardoino has debunked rumors that the crypto exchange suffered a database exploit recently. Over the weekend, several reports suggested a potential database leak comprising 22,500 records of emails and passwords allegedly from Bitfinex users. However, Ardoino opined that the purported breach was likely fake, stating that only a small percentage […]
The post Bitfinex CTO dismisses rumors of major database breach, suggests misinformation by hackers appeared first on CryptoSlate.
In the midst of the dramatic changes that have occurred in the cryptocurrency space after the Bitcoin halving event, Bitfinex provides a perceptive analysis that reassures investors that the market dynamics of BTC have remained positive in the post-halving period. Bitfinex examines the on-chain data and finds encouraging signs for Bitcoin in spite of the United States economy’s current state of uncertainty in its most recent Alpha report, which was released on April 22. Bitcoin Market Dynamics Remains Bullish According to the Hong Kong-based crypto platform, exchange withdrawals of Bitcoin are currently at levels not seen since January 2023. This simply indicates that a lot of investors are putting their assets in cold storage in expectation of price rises. Related Reading: Bitcoin Halving: Anticipating Price Impact, Miner Challenges, And Long-Term Outlook Also, the exchange noted that long-term investors’ aggressive selling has not yet caused the usual pre-halving price decline, which suggests that new market participants are absorbing the selling pressure quite well, highlighting the tenacity of the present market structure of Bitcoin. The Bitfinex Alpha report revealed that the average daily net inflow from spot Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) is $150 million. Given the ETFs’ inflows far exceeding the $30 and $40 million daily issuance rate of BTC following the halving, this significant supply and demand imbalance could encourage further price appreciation. Bitfinex further claims the massive purchases of spot Bitcoin ETFs, which have dominated the entire year’s market narrative, may decline. However, recent ETF outflows have shown that ETF demand may be starting to stabilize. It is important to note that the recently concluded Halving cut down miners’ reward from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC. As a result, miners are now modifying their operating tactics in order to sustain their activities against the decline in reward following the Halving. Thus, the amount of Bitcoin that miners are sending to exchanges has significantly decreased, which may indicate that they are selling ahead of time or collateralizing their holdings to upgrade infrastructure. Consequently, this could possibly lead to a gradual increase in selling pressure rather than a sudden drop in value at the Halving. New BTC Whales Surpassed Old Whales Since the conclusion of the fourth Halving, on-chain data shows a significant rise in new Bitcoin whales. CryptoQuant Chief Executive Officer (CEO) Ki Young Ju, reported the development, noting that the initial investment made by the new whales in Bitcoin is nearly twice that of the old whales combined. Related Reading: Crypto Expert Predicts A Narrative Shift Post-Bitcoin Halving According to the data, the total holding by these new whales, which are short-term holders, is valued at $110.6 billion. Meanwhile, the old whales, which are long-term holders, own a whopping $67 billion worth of BTC. This change in whale demographics may impact Bitcoin’s future course and the dynamics of the cryptocurrency landscape as a whole. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
The new BTC supply added to the market could drop to $30 million per day, according to Bitfinex.
Bitfinex Securities earlier today unveiled plans to launch a tokenized debt issue to fund the construction of a “Hampton by Hilton hotel complex at El Salvador International Airport.” The issuance seeks to raise a substantial $6.25 million to facilitate the development of this 4,484-square-meter project. Bitfinex Ventures Into El Salvador’s Tourism Sector Bitfinex Securities El Salvador […]
Bitfinex Securities is issuing a tokenized debt offering to fund the construction of a new Hampton by Hilton hotel at El Salvador International Airport, according to an April 11 statement shared with CryptoSlate. The tokenized debt offering is the first of its kind in the Central American country, seeking to raise $6.25 million. The short-term […]
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Over a year after alleging fraud and money laundering associated with Tether-Bitfinex, the Journal has now removed any mention of Christopher Harborne and his business from the article.
A startling number of Bitcoin margin longs recently opened at Bitfinex, but their muted impact on BTC price raises suspicion.
According to Bitfinex chief technology officer Paolo Ardoino, an attacker attempted to make use of XRP’s partial payments feature to exploit his crypto exchange but failed.
Bitcoin remained steady around $41,000 after Monday's dramatic flush.