Bitcoin and the general crypto market have witnessed another significant downturn this year, with prices falling by double digits in the late hours of Friday, October 10. This bearish pressure started when rumors of a trade war between the United States and China emerged in the early hours of Friday. The downward pressure intensified after US President Donald Trump declared that the US would impose a 100% tariff on Chinese goods. As a result of this announcement, over $5.5 billion was liquidated from the crypto market in less than an hour, with the Bitcoin price briefly falling to as low as $101,500. Is This BTC Whale Linked To The US Government? In a recent post on X, on-chain analyst Maartunn highlighted a specific Satoshi-era Bitcoin investor who might have expected this downturn way before it happened. A look at the trader’s market moves suggests that the large BTC holder almost always knows something the market doesn’t. Related Reading: Bitcoin Whales Are Back: Three Indicators Suggest A Run Toward $130,000 While the price of Bitcoin steadily dropped towards $117,00 during the day, blockchain analytics platform Lookonchain revealed that this Bitcoin OG kept piling up their short positions up to $1.1 billion. Following the BTC crash below $110,000, this large investor made a profit of over $160 million, leading to speculations about them having insider information. Maartunn went further to highlight the large holder’s activities in the past few months. According to the analyst’s post on the social media platform X, this Bitcoin OG started selling part of their 86,000 Satoshi-era BTC stash when prices peaked around August 2025. Similarly, the BTC whale took to shaving off their holdings again when the Bitcoin price ran up to new highs in early October. What’s more interesting is that the Satoshi-era investor soon opened leveraged short positions on both Bitcoin and Ethereum on the Hyperliquid platform. Maartunn thought that the timing of these trades might be interesting, especially as the general crypto market soon witnessed a downturn due to President Trump’s tariff announcement. The on-chain analyst then concluded that the “Satoshi-era OG have insider ties to the US government.” Bitcoin Price At A Glance As of this writing, the price of BTC stands at around $113,250, recovering swiftly from the plunge to around $101,500. However, the premier cryptocurrency is still down by nearly 7% in the past 24 hours. Related Reading: Bitcoin Dominance Dilemma – Why Capital Flows Back To BTC Before Fuelling Altcoin Rally Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView
A weaker US jobs market has strengthened the case for easing, and investors are seeking protection in hard assets, some opine.
According to a new technical analysis, Bitcoin (BTC) and the broader crypto market could be mirroring historical post-halving cycle patterns. While the market has previously rallied through July and August, historical fractals point to a potential crash in September, followed by a push into a cycle peak later in the year. Related Reading: Trump Coin Jumps 10% On Canary Capital ETF Filing: Details September Proves Risky For Bitcoin And Crypto Market A recent X social media post by crypto analyst Benjamin Cowen has highlighted a recurring pattern in Bitcoin’s price action that could have significant implications for the market over the coming months. His analysis shows that Bitcoin has consistently followed a post-halving cycle that exhibits distinct seasonal price movements, particularly around July, August, and September. The chart shared by Cowen illustrates that in previous cycles, Bitcoin has often rallied in July and August, fueling optimism and strong market sentiment. However, each time this has been followed by a September crash, leading to a reset before the final push toward the cycle top, which usually arrives in the last quarter of the year. According to the analysis, this repeating structure is not unique to a single cycle but has appeared across multiple past cycles, giving weight to the expert’s argument that history could be repeating. In 2013, 2017, and 2021, Bitcoin’s price behavior followed this pattern almost identically, showing strength in mid-summer and weakness in September. After a final rally to a peak, each of these cycles was eventually followed by an extended bear market phase, during which valuations corrected sharply from their highs. Based on Cowen’s report, the current cycle appears to be unfolding the same way, as Bitcoin already displayed strength in July and August this year, sparking concerns that a September pullback could be approaching. BTC Cycles Suggest Market Still Has Room To Grow A new technical analysis by crypto market expert TechDev also reveals a recurring pattern in Bitcoin’s long-term price cycles, arguing that, contrary to popular belief, the current market may still be far from its peak. The analysis, supported by a historical chart of BTC’s performance, shows that every market top has consistently occurred around 14 months after a specific cyclical signal. The chart outlines multiple Bitcoin cycles dating back to 2011, with tops and bottoms clearly marked with green and red indicators. Each upward run is followed by a significant correction and then a recovery accumulation phase. The data also revealed that each cycle top often aligned with a measured time frame of approximately 420 days. Related Reading: Chainlink Breaks 3-Month High Amid Record 2025 Enthusiasm Based on this model, current projections show that Bitcoin still has room to run. The most recent green marker on the chart signals that the market could already be transitioning out of its corrective phase. If historical patterns hold, this could mean the market is entering a prolonged growth window rather than nearing exhaustion. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
After a powerful breakout last week that pushed Bitcoin into a new all-time high of $118,667, the world’s leading cryptocurrency appears to be taking a breather. As of the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $117,953, slightly below its recent peak. The move followed a string of consecutive daily gains as bullish momentum swept across the crypto industry. In a technical analysis shared on the TradingView platform, crypto analyst RLinda pointed out two scenarios that may play out over the coming days and weeks, depending on how Bitcoin reacts to nearby resistance and support levels. Related Reading: Don’t Hold Back—Expert Recommends Full Stake In XRP Support Zones Could Affect Bitcoin’s Next Big Move RLinda’s technical analysis begins with identifying the significance of Bitcoin’s recent all-time high. Although Bitcoin has entered what seems to be a consolidation phase, there’s no confirmed top just yet. The market structure still favors bullish continuation, especially considering Bitcoin is just coming out of a prolonged two-month consolidation zone and entering a realization phase. According to the 1-hour candlestick price chart, Bitcoin is currently trading just above a support area below $117,500. If Bitcoin fails to hold this zone, the leading cryptocurrency could kick off a cascade of corrections that could drive the price to $115,500, then potentially to $114,300, and even back to the previous all-time high of $111,800. Below that, the 0.5 and 0.705 Fibonacci levels around $113,031 and $111,960 respectively may act as temporary cushions. The last major defensive buy zone is around $110,400, where bulls may step in for a bounce. Basically, what this means is that if Bitcoin loses the support level at $115,500, it could slip back to $110,000 before encountering another strong buy support zone. Image From TradingView: RLinda Bitcoin To $125K, But It Must Breach Resistance First On the other hand, Bitcoin can still push above $118,000 and increase to $125,000, but only under certain conditions. The condition of the rally’s continuation depends primarily on Bitcoin registering a decisive daily close above $118,400 and $118,900. In her words, a daily close above these price levels would hint at a “breakout of structure.” This, in turn, would confirm a transition from consolidation into another impulsive phase upward. In essence, both the bearish and bullish outlooks depend on how Bitcoin reacts at any of the important zones, either support at $116,700 or resistance above $118,400 before making a directional move. However, it is important to note that the consolidation after last week’s rally could last for weeks or even months, much like we’ve seen in previous rallies this cycle. According to the Long-Term Holder Net Unrealized Profit and Loss (NUPL) metric from Glassnode, Bitcoin’s current level of long-term profitability sentiment is at 0.69. This is notably below the 0.75 mark associated with euphoric market conditions, despite Bitcoin having just printed a new all-time high. Image From X: Glassnode Related Reading: Analyst Sounds The Alarm: Shiba Inu Primed For Over 1,500% Breakout Bitcoin spent around 228 days above the 0.75 euphoria threshold in the previous bull market cycle. In contrast, this current cycle has only seen about 30 days above that level, which suggests long-term holders have not yet fully exited into profit and the leading cryptocurrency hasn’t reached overheated conditions. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin held its ground as US President Donald Trump’s “One Big Beautiful Bill” passed the Senate late Monday narrowly by 51–50 votes. Related Reading: Insane Or Insightful? VC Firm Says XRP Could Reach Nearly $9,000 In Just 5 Years Vice President J.D. Vance provided the tie‑breaking vote that sealed the deal for the $4.5 trillion package. The package contains major tax reductions, deeper border security funding, and substantial cuts to programs such as Medicaid and SNAP. No crypto‑specific language was included, but lawmakers attempted to insert a tax benefit for digital currencies during last minute wrangling. Bitcoin Dips Before Quick Rebound Based on reports from crypto exchanges, Bitcoin slid to about $106,344 just before the vote as traders held off on big bets. Once the Senate approved the bill, BTC jumped back above $107,800. That’s a swing of roughly $1,400 in a single session, or about 1.3%. Some traders said they sold into the dip and bought back in once the outcome was clear. Others just shook their heads and waited for the next news headline. Altcoins And Liquidations Take A Hit Ethereum barely moved, dipping 0.3%, while XRP fell about 0.7% on the day. Solana saw the biggest wobble, dropping as much as 6% during trading. In total, more than $219 million in liquidations hit the broader crypto market. Bitcoin alone accounted for roughly $60 million of that, as leveraged positions got squeezed when prices spiked back up. Crypto Stocks See Gains Stocks tied to digital assets also rallied on the bill’s passage. MicroStrategy (now Strategy) shares climbed around 3.2%, and Coinbase jumped 2.3% in early trading on Tuesday. Those moves outpaced the Nasdaq’s modest gains. Related Reading: Ethereum Network Awakens—Massive On-Chain Moves Signal What’s Coming Final Look The bill now goes back to the House for a final sign‑off, with Speaker Mike Johnson aiming to send it to the president’s desk before July 4. The traders will be watching closely for the next inflation reading and for any signals from the Federal Reserve. If a rise in prices drives the Fed to more increases, crypto markets may come under new strain. However, others view the Senate vote as another reminder that Bitcoin and its cousins can move on significant political news—sometimes in ways not necessarily expected. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
As Bitcoin (BTC) enters the third quarter (Q3) of 2025, bullish sentiment is growing, fueled by historical post-halving patterns that have repeatedly marked the beginning of explosive market moves. A crypto analyst now points to recurring trends observed in past cycles, where Q3 has often acted as a launchpad for significant price rallies in BTC following each halving year. Bitcoin Post-Halving Years Point To Explosive Q3 Luca, a crypto market expert on X (formerly Twitter), has doubled down on expectations for a major Bitcoin price rally in the coming quarter. He argues that expectations of an extended consolidation in Bitcoin, based on the fractals and market behavior seen in 2023 and early 2024, fail to account for a critical factor: 2025 is a post-halving year. Related Reading: TRUMP Token In Trouble? Over $4 Million Liquidity Exit Sparks Crash Fears The analyst points to a consistent pattern observed in every post-halving year throughout Bitcoin’s history. In his chart analysis published on June 26, Luca notes that Q3 in these years have consistently demonstrated strength, with no historical precedent for weakness, reinforcing the case for a bullish breakout. The chart compares Q3 performance during the post-halving years of 2013, 2017, and 2021. In each case, Bitcoin entered the third quarter with moderate or corrective price action, only to rally significantly in the weeks that followed. The left panel of the chart shows the 2013 post-halving year, where Bitcoin went from under $100 in July to over $680 in November. In 2017, the middle panel highlighted a similar trajectory, where BTC broke out from under $2,800 in early Q3 to over $16,000 by year-end. The most recent cycle in 2021, shown in the right panel of the chart, saw a Q3 recovery rally that took Bitcoin from under $39,000 in July to a former all-time high above $69,000 in November. Notably, Luca maintains that this consistent historical behavior is not coincidental, predicting that a similar rally could unfold in the current cycle, within the next few months. While he acknowledges the possibility of a short-term pullback, he emphasizes that Bitcoin’s broader market structure remains firmly bullish, with momentum still favoring further upside. Analyst Predicts $140,000 – $160,000 Bitcoin Cycle Top Moving forward, Luca’s chart reveals technical factors that align with his bullish thesis. Based on key Fibonacci Extension levels, the analyst projects that BTC’s next cycle top falls between $140,000 and $160,000, a target he believes could be attained toward the end of Q3. Related Reading: Stablecoin Skepticism Grows As IMF Official Challenges Their Money Role While acknowledging that the exact target could shift depending on how technical confluences evolve, the expectation remains that a Bitcoin rally is imminent. With BTC now trading around $107,423 after rebounding from a previous dip below $100,000, a potential move to $140,000 or even $160,000 would mark a substantial gain of approximately 30.35% and 48.97%, respectively. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
The cryptocurrency market is currently experiencing heightened volatility, particularly with Bitcoin (BTC) fluctuating dramatically. Recently, the price dipped below $99,000 before rebounding to over $106,000 within a span of just 24 hours. Bullish Bitcoin Setup Amid Geopolitical Tensions In a recent post on social media platform X (formerly Twitter), analyst Cyclop suggested that despite the current market conditions, BTC exhibits a bullish setup reminiscent of the patterns seen in March 2020. The analyst noted that Bitcoin appears to be mirroring its past movements, with a brief dip followed by a rally for both BTC and altcoins. Cyclop drew parallels between the ongoing geopolitical tensions involving Israel, Iran, and the US and the market dynamics observed during the COVID-19 crash. Related Reading: Dogecoin About To Explode? ‘Don’t Send It Too Hard,’ Analyst Warns While acknowledging that geopolitical strife and global market panic are distinct issues, he pointed out that both scenarios resulted in sharp but temporary sell-offs followed by swift recoveries. According to Cyclop, the current market setup displays similar characteristics: widespread fear, a risk-off sentiment among investors, and global uncertainty. He emphasized the importance of understanding the timing of resolution to these tensions, suggesting that for a robust rally, several bullish catalysts are necessary to alleviate market uncertainty. He identified three key factors: potential interest rate cuts, a ceasefire between Iran and Israel, and Bitcoin holding crucial support levels. $120,000 By Year-End? Recently, a ceasefire was declared following 12 days of intense conflict between Iran and Israel. In a notable public statement, President Donald Trump criticized both nations, suggesting that their actions were misguided. This period of relative calm is seen as a positive indicator for the market. Cyclop highlighted that maintaining the $100,000 level for Bitcoin was crucial, and the cryptocurrency has successfully broken through the $106,000 barrier, signaling further growth. Furthermore, Ethereum (ETH) has also shown signs of a quick recovery alongside Bitcoin with its price nearing the key $2,500 level. Cyclop advised investors not to attempt to time the market perfectly, as reversals can often feel unsettling and uncertain. Related Reading: Ethereum Bounces Hard After Support Bluff, A False Alarm Or Fresh Rally? Looking ahead, Cyclop anticipates a consolidation phase for Bitcoin within the $102,000 to $106,000 range, with expectations of a breakout that could push BTC to an all-time high of around $120,000 by November or December of this year. As of this writing, Bitcoin is trading at $106,500 per coin. Despite ongoing economic uncertainties, the market’s leading cryptocurrency has seen a 75% increase year-to-date. However, Bitcoin is still trading nearly 5% below its record high of $111,800, which was reached on May 23. The most important resistance level is $110,200, which has prevented a new price discovery phase for Bitcoin on two occasions. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
The trader also lost $12.5 million on a bitcoin long last week.
Bitcoin (BTC), the leading cryptocurrency, is witnessing a notable resurgence, with its price nearing the $100,000 mark for the first time since February 2025. This upward trend has been significantly supported by substantial inflows into Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), reflecting growing investor confidence and interest once again in the cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin And Major Cryptos Bounce Back According to a recent report by Fortune, Bitcoin ETFs experienced their largest inflows since December, attracting more than $3 billion last week. The influx into these ETFs is often considered a barometer of market sentiment, indicating that investors are increasingly embracing Bitcoin as a viable asset class. The recent buying spree comes as Bitcoin has reversed its earlier downward trend, climbing from a low of $75,000 on April 7 to surpass $95,000 by April 28. Over the past week alone, Bitcoin has jumped approximately 8%, reaching a price of $95,500—levels not seen since February. Related Reading: XRP To Hit $8, No Double Digits This Cycle — Warns Crypto Analyst Gadi Chait, head of investment at Xapo Bank, emphasized that this price movement is more than just a fluctuation; it signals a renewed willingness among investors to engage in the market. Chait noted that a combination of robust institutional inflows through ETFs and strong bullish activity in options trading has paved the way for Bitcoin to potentially break the $100,000 threshold in the near future. The upswing in Bitcoin’s price is mirrored by a recovery in the broader cryptocurrency market. Other major cryptocurrencies have also posted gains in recent weeks, with Ethereum rising 11%, XRP increasing by 9%, and Solana up 8%. This resurgence follows a turbulent period triggered by President Trump’s sweeping tariff policy announcement earlier this month, which initially led to a significant market downturn. Preferred Safe-Haven Asset Amid Equity Turmoil On April 2, the S&P 500 suffered a massive blow, wiping out $2.5 trillion in a single day as investors reacted to potential disruptions in supply chains and inflationary pressures. This uncertainty prompted many to flee from riskier assets, including cryptocurrencies, as they braced for the impact of the tariffs. However, the market began to stabilize after Trump authorized a 90-day pause on most tariffs, excluding those affecting China. This announcement led to a significant rebound in the S&P 500, marking its largest single-day increase since 2008, while Bitcoin rebounded by 9% on April 9. Related Reading: Crypto Analyst Reveals XRP Price Crash In The Short-Term, Here’s The Target Since President Donald Trump’s tariff pause was announced, the S&P 500 has seen a modest increase of 1%, whereas Bitcoin has outperformed with a 14% gain. James Butterfill, head of research at CoinShares, noted a critical divergence in how investors are perceiving Bitcoin compared to traditional equities. He explained that as equities face pressure from tariffs and declining corporate earnings, BTC is increasingly viewed as a safe-haven asset—detached from centralized entities such as governments or central banks. This shift in perception could be a pivotal factor driving Bitcoin’s recent performance. “While equities are weighed down by tariffs and declining corporate earnings prospects, Bitcoin remains unaffected and has actually benefited from investors seeking alternative safe-haven assets,” Butterfill stated. On Monday, BTC retraced toward $94,640, registering a 14% price surge in the monthly time frame. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
As Bitcoin (BTC), the market’s leading cryptocurrency, continues to trend lower, recent insights from industry experts highlight critical factors influencing BTC’s trajectory. According to Ki Young Ju, CEO of market intelligence firm CryptoQuant, the current Bitcoin bull cycle may be coming to an end. This assertion is grounded in the concept of Realized Cap, a metric that quantifies the actual capital entering the BTC market through on-chain activity. Insights From Ki Young Ju For context, the Realized Cap metric operates on a straightforward premise: when Bitcoin enters a wallet, it represents a purchase, and when it leaves, it signifies a sale. By calculating the average cost basis for each wallet and multiplying it by the amount of BTC held, Ju derives the total Realized Cap. This metric reflects the total capital that has genuinely entered the BTC ecosystem, contrasting sharply with market capitalization, which is determined by the last traded price on exchanges. Related Reading: Solana Faces Defining Level At $120 – Will History Repeat? A common misconception, according to Ju, is that a small purchase, such as $10 worth of Bitcoin, only increases market capitalization by that same amount. In reality, prices are influenced by the balance of buy and sell orders on the order book. Low sell pressure means that even modest buys can significantly elevate prices and, consequently, market cap. This phenomenon was notably exploited by MicroStrategy (MSTR), which issued convertible bonds to acquire Bitcoin, thereby inflating the paper value of its holdings far beyond the initial capital deployed. Key Price Levels For Bitcoin Currently, Bitcoin appears to be in a challenging position, dropping below the key $80,000 mark. When sell pressure is high, even substantial purchases fail to affect prices, as seen when Bitcoin traded near its all-time high of nearly $100,000. Despite massive trading volumes, the price remained stagnant. Ju points out that if Realized Cap is increasing but market cap is either flat or declining, it signals a bearish trend. This indicates that while capital is entering the market, it is not translating into price appreciation—a hallmark of a bear market. Conversely, if market capitalization is rising while Realized Cap remains stable, it suggests that even minimal new investment is driving prices up, indicative of a bull market. Presently, data suggests that Bitcoin is experiencing the former scenario: capital is flowing in, but prices are not responding positively. Historically, significant market reversals require at least six months to manifest, making a short-term rally seem unlikely. Related Reading: Ethereum Tanks Nearly 50% As Bitcoin Holds Stronger In Q1 Adding to the complexity, market expert Ali Martinez has identified key resistance levels that Bitcoin must overcome to regain upward momentum. Notably, there is a major resistance cluster at $87,000, where the 50-day moving average, 200-day moving average, and a descending trendline from the all-time high converge. For Bitcoin to resume its upward trajectory, the expert asserts that BTC must break through critical resistance points at $85,470 and $92,950. Additionally, support at $80,450 remains vital; failure to hold this level could lead to further declines. As of now, the leading cryptocurrency trades at $78,379, recording a 6% decline on Sunday. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
As Bitcoin (BTC) stabilizes above the critical $80,000 support level after a significant downturn of over 25% from its January peak, market analyst Doctor Profit has released a compelling report that raises a pivotal question: is the market witnessing the onset of a bear market, or is the bullish sentiment still intact? M2 Money Supply And Bitcoin Price Doctor Profit emphasizes the crucial role of liquidity in the current market landscape. While many celebrate the increase in the M2 Money Supply—a key economic indicator—there’s a vital need to understand the timing of its effects. Historically, M2 has shown a strong correlation with Bitcoin’s price movements. Unlike stock markets, which typically react to M2 expansions after a lag of about six months, Bitcoin tends to respond more rapidly, though not instantaneously. According to the analyst, the “misconception” that money printing leads to immediate market upswings is addressed, as there are multiple factors at play, including macroeconomic conditions. Related Reading: Analyst Says Dogecoin Could Skyrocket 16% Any Moment The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decisions regarding interest rates are particularly influential. Although official data suggests inflation is declining, underlying realities, such as OPEC’s influence on oil prices, complicate the outlook. In the context of rising M2, Doctor Profit predicts that Bitcoin’s bullish trend could resume around May or June, but anticipates a period of sideways movement and potential short-term bearish pressure leading up to that point. He warns that many who are currently bullish may shift to a bearish stance as the market evolves. In the report, Doctor Profit highlights the significance of the weekly EMA50—a critical moving average he refers to as the “Golden Line”—which Bitcoin has respected in recent price action. After bouncing off this line at $76,000, the cryptocurrency reached the anticipated $87.4K, triggering several short positions. Long-Term Bullish Outlook With Short-Term Caution Looking ahead, Doctor Profit’s strategy involves targeting a potential drop to the $70,000 to $74,000 zone. This region is crucial; if Bitcoin merely wicks into it but then closes strongly above the Golden Line, he plans to take long positions. Doctor Profit maintains a bullish long-term outlook, expecting a resumption of the bull run by mid-2024, with price targets ranging from $120,000 to $140,000. He remains cautious, holding significant cash reserves and expanding short positions in anticipation of market fluctuations. Related Reading: XRP Jumps 7% After Surge In Network Activity & Whale Buying Doctor Profit outlines two bearish scenarios that traders should consider: a manageable drop to the $70,000 to $74,000 range and the more severe “Black Swan” event that could push prices down to the $50,000 region. While he is confident in a bounce at the higher target, he advises preparedness for both scenarios. At the time of writing, BTC is hovering around $84,000, recording losses of 3.5% and 12% in the fourteen and thirty days time frame respectively. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
Since January 31, Bitcoin (BTC) has experienced a significant correction, with the leading cryptocurrency plummeting as much as 27.52%. Currently valued around $79,000, Bitcoin’s price is precariously balanced above a crucial support level dubbed as “the magic line,” which is set at $74,000, pivotal in determining the market’s trajectory—bullish or bearish. A Historical Buffer Against Bear Markets In a recent social media post on X (formerly Twitter), market expert Doctor Profit emphasized that “the magic line” placed at $74,000 in his analysis is not just a number but a key indicator of market sentiment. Related Reading: Charts Reveal Cardano Holds Key Support Zone – Staying Above Could ‘Set The Next Move’ According to the expert, this line has historically acted as a buffer against bear market conditions. For instance, during the 2020 market correction, Bitcoin held above this support level until a bear market was confirmed. Doctor Profit asserts, “A massive correction, even 30-50%, does NOT mean a bear market.” This market volatility is exacerbated by fears of a recession, driven in part by President Donald Trump’s aggressive tariff policies targeting countries like China, Canada, and Mexico. These actions have ignited concerns over a potential trade war, further dampening investor sentiment and leading to a retreat from riskier assets, including cryptocurrencies. However, BTC is not alone in this downtrend. Peers such as Ethereum (ETH), XRP, Solana (SOL), and Cardano (ADA), have also followed Bitcoin’s lead in this regard, experiencing 10%, 6%,5% and 6% drops respectively in the 24-hour time frame. Optimal Bitcoin Entry Point Between $52,000 and $60,000? In another recent post on social media platform X, Doctor Profit discussed a possible recession scenario, suggesting that the optimal entry point for investors might be between $52,000 and $60,000. This forecast implies a troubling potential drop of another 34% from $79,000 towards the worst case scenario for BTC’s price at $52,000 if this occurs, heightening concerns among traders and investors alike. Related Reading: Ethereum Holds Strong For Over A Year: Monthly Close Below This Level Could Be Catastrophic Doctor Profit remains vigilant, monitoring not only Bitcoin’s movements but also the stock market’s influence on crypto prices. He has set his sights on a critical short position with a target profit level (TP1) aligning with the magic line. “If Bitcoin bounces hard, I’ll re-enter,” the market expert stated. Doctor Profit concluded his analysis saying that “If it shows weakness, I’ll stay in cash and hunt for lower entries between $50,000 and $60,000.” While finding at least a temporary foothold at the $79,460 mark, the largest digital asset, BTC, is down 14% in the past two weeks, reaching its lowest level since November 2024. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
In a recent interview with CNBC, Michael Saylor, co-founder of Strategy, reiterated his bullish outlook on Bitcoin (BTC), predicting the cryptocurrency could reach a staggering $200 trillion market cap. Saylor Forecasts $10 Million Per Bitcoin Currently valued at about $2 trillion, Saylor believes Bitcoin’s trajectory will see it grow to $20 trillion and eventually hit the $200 trillion mark, translating to an approximate price of $10 million per BTC based on its capped supply of 21 million coins. Saylor attributes this potential growth to a global shift in capital investment, stating, “That capital is coming from overseas… from China, from Russia, from Europe, from Africa, from Asia, from the 20th century to the 21st century.” Related Reading: Ethereum Price Breaks Out—10% Surge Sparks Bullish Momentum His forecast comes against the backdrop of President Donald Trump’s recent announcement regarding the creation of a Crypto Strategic Reserve, which would include BTC alongside Ethereum (ETH), XRP, Solana (SOL), and Cardano (ADA), which ignited a heated debate within financial and crypto circles. While Saylor acknowledges the appeal of a Bitcoin-only reserve, he supports Trump’s broader strategy that encompasses multiple cryptocurrencies. He emphasized, “There’s no way to interpret this other than this is bullish for Bitcoin and is bullish for the entire US crypto industry.” Although some conservatives, such as Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong and Gemini co-founder Tyler Winklevoss, have advocated for more restrictive, Bitcoin-centric policies, Saylor noted that the president’s approach allows for a more inclusive economic policy. Saylor Dismisses Volatility Concerns When asked about his involvement with the White House, Saylor confirmed he has been in discussions with various lawmakers, both Democratic and Republican, as well as members of the Cabinet and administration. “For the last four and a half years, I’ve been talking about Bitcoin to anybody, anywhere in the world, every day,” Michael Saylor stated during his interview, highlighting his commitment to promoting the cryptocurrency. Saylor argues that establishing a strategic Bitcoin reserve could provide the United States with significant economic advantages, including the potential to alleviate the national debt. Saylor posits, “If the United States takes a position in the emerging crypto economy, if it buys up 10, 20% of the Bitcoin network, we’re going to pay off the national debt. And so why wouldn’t that be in the interest of the United States?” Related Reading: Dogecoin Will Start A Move To $4 If Current Demand Holds – Can Bulls Step In? Addressing concerns about Bitcoin’s notorious volatility, Saylor pointed to its historical long-term gains, asserting, “I don’t think anybody’s ever lost money in the Bitcoin network holding for four years. Presumably, you want to buy Bitcoin, you want to hold it for 100 years.” The proposal for a US Crypto Reserve is still in its infancy, and Saylor indicated that its success will depend heavily on legislative decisions made in the coming months. “There are a dozen people on it: the head of the Treasury, the SEC, the CFTC, Commerce, the Attorney General, the President… both the Republicans and the Democrats,” he noted, emphasizing the diverse range of opinions that will influence the outcome. At the time of writing, BTC has found support at around $83,869 after posting losses of 7% and 6% over the past 24 hours and seven days, respectively. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin (BTC), the market’s leading cryptocurrency, has officially entered a new downtrend phase following a period of consolidation around the mid-$90,000 levels. After reaching an all-time high of $109,000 in January, Bitcoin has now seen a significant drop of 7%, bringing its current price to approximately $87,400. This decline raises concerns about the sustainability of the broader bull market as investor sentiment shifts towards fear. Could A Drop Below $80,000 Be Imminent? Market expert Jesse Olson recently took to social media platform X (formerly Twitter) to question whether Bitcoin is nearing a local top or possibly “the” top for this market cycle. Olson referenced historical data suggesting that previous pivot points for Bitcoin often signal significant downturns. He highlighted two notable instances: In April/May 2021, the Bitcoin price experienced a pivot point about 20% below its local top, leading to a price drop of 56%. In November 2021, the pivot was around 15% from “the” top, resulting in a staggering 77% decline. Currently, the price sits approximately 15% below the recent peak, and Olson notes a pending sell signal on BTC’s 3-day chart, indicating potential further downside. Related Reading: Litecoin Trading Activity Increases Over The Past Month – Potential LTC ETF Draws Speculation The expert also mentioned that while Bitcoin has hit Target 2 of 4 in his analysis, several indicators suggest the price could drop below $80,000, with higher time frames beginning to show bearish signals. Arthur Hayes Warns Of Bitcoin Downturn Adding to the bearish sentiment, market expert Arthur Hayes expressed concerns in a recent post on X, warning of a potential extension of Bitcoin’s downturn. Hayes highlighted that many holders of BlackRock’s Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF), IBIT, are hedge funds that have gone long on the ETF while simultaneously shorting Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) futures to earn a yield greater than short-term US treasuries. Should Bitcoin’s price continue to fall, Hayes suggests that these funds may unwind their positions, selling IBIT and buying back CME futures. This profit-taking strategy could lead to further declines in Bitcoin’s price, potentially pushing it down toward the $70,000 mark. Related Reading: Dogecoin Activity Levels Crash To 4-Month Lows, Does This Spell Doom For The Meme Coin? Despite the prevailing bearish outlook, analyst Doctor Profit presents a more optimistic perspective. He emphasizes that the production cost of Bitcoin is currently at $95,000, meaning the market price is below this critical threshold. Historically, prices trading below production costs have signaled prime buying opportunities for investors. Doctor Profit argues that this situation creates a compelling case for potential investors, as the market often sees price rebounds when production costs are higher than market prices. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin (BTC) and other cryptocurrencies are experiencing renewed selling pressure as escalating trade tensions between the United States and China lead to fresh tariffs on both sides. The largest cryptocurrency dropped to as low as $91,000 on Monday, while major altcoins like Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL) also faced losses. CME Bitcoin Futures Open Interest Drops 4% The most recent installment of tariffs comes after the US enacted a 10% tax on all items from China, leading China to respond with its own tariffs on certain US imports, such as oil and liquefied natural gas, starting February 10. In another development, China has launched an inquiry into Google LLC over supposed antitrust infringements, intensifying the tension between the two economic giants. Related Reading: Solana Retraces TRUMP Meme Pump Gains – But Technicals Suggest A $300 Run This market turbulence has wiped out the benefits from a short relief rally on Monday, which occurred after the Trump administration decided to postpone tariffs on Mexico and Canada for a month. The weekend’s initial declaration of US tariffs had already triggered a steep drop in cryptocurrency prices. Investor trust in riskier assets has been notably affected, as US investors pulled a net $235 million from a set of 12 Bitcoin-centric exchange-traded funds (ETFs) on Monday. Moreover, open interest in Bitcoin futures contracts on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) Group Inc.’s derivatives market decreased by 4%, reflecting a more cautious attitude among institutional investors. President Donald Trump, recognized for his pro-crypto position, has unintentionally brought more uncertainty to digital asset markets. Although cryptocurrencies experienced a rise following Trump’s election, the market now faces a difficult landscape marked by geopolitical strife and regulatory obstacles. Historical Trends Suggest Potential For Deeper Corrections As of this writing, Bitcoin was trading at $98,970, about 13% shy of its all-time high. Meanwhile, US ETFs investing in Ethereum witnessed record trading volumes on Monday, with significant liquidation of leveraged positions rattled by ongoing trade uncertainties. The iShares Ethereum Trust, led by BlackRock, accounted for nearly half of the $1.5 billion in trading volume among a group of nine ETFs. ETH plummeted by as much as 27% on Monday, leading to over $600 million in liquidations within perpetual futures markets, according to Bloomberg data. Related Reading: TRUMP Coin Tanks 18%—Even Donald Trump Couldn’t Save It Analyzing current price trends, crypto analyst Ali Martinez identified $92,180 as a critical support level for Bitcoin, based on MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) pricing bands. If this support level fails, the next target could be $74,400. Despite the recent price correction, Bitcoin traders are still enjoying a profit margin of 3.36%. Historically, local bottoms have formed when profit margins drop below -12%, suggesting that Bitcoin could have further downside potential before reaching a true bottom. Additionally, the MVRV Momentum indicator has remained in negative territory since the beginning of the year, signaling ongoing market weakness. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
As Bitcoin (BTC) navigates a turbulent period marked by increased volatility and a significant correction in cryptocurrency prices, market analyst Lark Davis has shed light on a potentially promising trend. In a recent post on social media platform X (formerly Twitter), Davis drew parallels between Bitcoin’s current price movements and those observed during the last presidential election cycle, suggesting a potential restoration of confidence in the leading cryptocurrency. Bitcoin Mirrors 2021 Election Cycle Davis highlighted that Bitcoin appears to be mirroring its price action from the previous presidential election and inauguration in 2021. Related Reading: Ethereum Whales Absorb $1 Million Loss As Market Caution Intensifies The expert presented a chart illustrating three distinct phases that Bitcoin underwent during that time, which may be relevant again as the market approaches the upcoming inauguration of President-elect Donald Trump on January 20. The first phase, which Bitcoin already experienced in November and December 2024, saw a notable rally towards new highs culminating in a peak price of $108,000 on December 17. Following this initial surge, Bitcoin entered the second phase characterized by what Davis refers to as a “pre-inauguration dump.” Historically, this period has been marked by market corrections as investors react to uncertainties surrounding political transitions. Currently, Bitcoin seems to be navigating through this phase, with observers closely monitoring its price movements as the inauguration date approaches. Davis anticipates a potential “post-inauguration pump,” reminiscent of the price surge that propelled Bitcoin to an all-time high of $69,000 in 2021. With only days remaining until the inauguration, the market is keenly observing whether this historical pattern will repeat itself in 2025. Market Anticipates Trump’s Inauguration The sentiment around Bitcoin’s future is further buoyed by Trump’s promises to reshape the regulatory environment for cryptocurrencies. Unlike Biden, whose administration has taken a more cautious approach, Trump has signaled a desire to foster growth within the digital asset space, including plans to establish a Bitcoin stockpile aimed at addressing the national debt, which exceeds $36 trillion. While Lark Davis cautions that history may not repeat itself, he notes that it often “rhymes.” The prospect of increased support for Bitcoin from the incoming administration could serve as a catalyst, propelling the cryptocurrency toward new price highs and entering a phase of price discovery. Related Reading: Chainlink Weekly Chart Looks Promising – If Bulls Reclaim $30 ‘ATH Are Next’ In addition to Davis’s insights, fellow crypto analyst Doctor Profit has also weighed in on Bitcoin’s recent performance. He has expressed optimism about the cryptocurrency’s trajectory, indicating that it is aligning with his previous expectations. Profit emphasizes the importance of maintaining a daily close above the $95,900 mark, with a breakout above $97,500 necessary for Bitcoin to continue its upward momentum toward the coveted $100,000 threshold. At the time of writing, BTC trades at $97,000, recording gains of 3% in the 24-hour time frame. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingVew.com
In a promising development, the Bitcoin price is inching closer to the coveted $100,000 mark as it trades above $98,000 for the first time since late December. Crypto analyst Ali Martinez has highlighted several critical metrics that could signal further bullish momentum for the leading cryptocurrency as the market begins to recover. Bitcoin Price Surges Amid Coinbase Premium Index Low One of the significant indicators discussed by Martinez is the Coinbase Premium Index, which recently hit -0.23%, its lowest point in two years. This index measures the price difference between Bitcoin on Coinbase and other exchanges. A negative premium suggests that US-based investors may be less willing to pay a premium for Bitcoin, but the current rebound could indicate a shift toward growing institutional interest in the asset. Related Reading: Prepare For A Solana Sell-Off: How Grayscale’s 2025 Unlocks Could Shake The Market Martinez also noted that the recent uptick in the Bitcoin price comes amid a notable withdrawal trend, with over 48,000 BTC—valued at more than $4.5 billion—pulled from exchanges in the past week. This trend indicates a bullish sentiment among investors, despite a brief price correction that occurred late last year. Despite these positive signals, Martinez cautions that Bitcoin is at a crucial juncture. He emphasized the importance of sustaining a close above the 50-day moving average (MA), currently just above $96,000. A failure to maintain this level could lead to a potential downward correction. Conversely, a sustained close above the 50-day MA could signal the end of the recent correction and confirm a more robust bullish trend. Strong Upward Move Expected After Wave Three Breakout In addition to Martinez’s insights, the Elliot Wave Academy has provided a technical analysis of the recent Bitcoin price movements, suggesting that the cryptocurrency is currently in the fourth wave of a larger bullish cycle. The academy’s analysis indicates that after a powerful breakout from a price channel, Bitcoin has successfully surpassed the ideal level of wave three, which may signal a strong upward move. The fourth wave, according to their analysis, is characterized by a sideways pattern following the sharp rise of wave three. The potential correction zones for this wave have been identified, and should these levels be breached, the next upward wave could target a Bitcoin price range between $117,475.70 and $138,058.37. These figures represent major bullish targets that could attract further investment and drive Bitcoin’s price higher. Related Reading: Dogecoin Recovery In Sight: Strong Support Hints At Bullish 2025 All around, as the Bitcoin price continues its upward trajectory, the combination of significant withdrawals from exchanges, a low Coinbase Premium Index, and positive Elliott Wave analysis paints a compelling picture for the cryptocurrency’s future. However, investors should remain vigilant, keeping an eye on critical price levels that could determine the market’s next move. At the time of writing, the market’s leading crypto is trading at $98,320. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin (BTC) recaptured the vital $100,000 threshold on Wednesday, following weeks of consolidation below it. This rebound has been attributed to rising confidence in the digital currency sector’s future regulatory environment under President-elect Donald Trump. Bitcoin Price Nears Record Peaks The regulatory landscape is poised for significant changes, particularly with Brian Quintenz emerging as a strong candidate to lead the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Quintenz, currently the head of policy at a16z Crypto—Andreessen Horowitz’s digital asset division—and a former Republican CFTC commissioner, is seen as a favorable choice for the crypto community. Related Reading: XRP Price Defies Bearish Crypto Trend, Rallies 6%: Key Drivers Revealed This follows the recent selection of pro-crypto Paul Atkins to lead the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), giving him the ability to turn the regulatory agency 180 degrees after years of leading a regulation-by-enforcement crusade led by its retiring chair Gary Gensler. Trump’s recent efforts to reverse a Biden administration crackdown on crypto have contributed to Bitcoin’s recovery, which reached an all-time high of $104,00 on December 5. Since then, Bitcoin has fluctuated around the six-figure mark, indicating sustained interest from investors. Alongside regulatory optimism, expectations for a potential reduction in interest rates by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) have also bolstered investor sentiment. Bullish Sentiment Grows Following reports that US consumer-price inflation met forecasts, speculators have increased their bets on a new interest rate cut. This shift in monetary policy expectations has had a positive impact on markets, propelling the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 stock index to a record high. Henry Elder, a principal at UTXO Management, noted, “The market likes seeing inflation come in within expectations,” adding that traders are currently assessing whether $100,000 will act as a ceiling or a floor for BTC prices. Trump has not only indicated a willingness to foster a more favorable regulatory environment but has also supported the concept of a strategic national Bitcoin stockpile. While the feasibility of this idea remains debated, Eric Trump recently expressed on Bloomberg Television that his father would be “an unbelievable ally to the industry.” Related Reading: Solana Price At $4,000? Cup And Handle Pattern Shows Why This Is Possible Since Trump’s election victory on November 5, Bitcoin has surged nearly 50%, buoyed by approximately $11 billion in net inflows into US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Technical expert Ali Martinez has added to the positive view for the flagship cryptocurrency by stating that whales are aggressively buying dips. Notably, 342 wallets with more than 100 BTC were created when prices dropped from $104,000 to $90,000. This accumulation by major holders fuels the positive mentality, with Martinez projecting the Bitcoin price will hit $275,000 based on a cup-and-handle formation on its one-week chart. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin (BTC) achieved a new record high of $94,730, continuing a significant uptrend that began on November 5. Analysts are dubbing this rally the “Trump trade,” as the recent political developments surrounding Donald Trump’s victory have instilled renewed confidence among investors in BTC and the broader crypto market. Analyst Forecasts 42% Increase For BTC Despite the impressive surge, analysts believe Bitcoin’s price discovery is far from complete, indicating substantial potential for further growth. Among those sharing this bullish sentiment is analyst Ali Martinez, who draws parallels between Bitcoin’s current price movements and those seen in December 2020, before the notable uptrend that ultimately led to an all-time high of $69,000 in 2021. Related Reading: Dogecoin Forms A ‘Nasty Triple Top’: Analyst Reveals What’s Next Martinez notes that the relative strength index (RSI), a key technical indicator used to gauge momentum, is currently mirroring the patterns observed in late 2020. This similarity suggests that the BTC price may be poised for significant upward movements in the coming months. According to Martinez, if this trend continues, Bitcoin could target the $108,000 mark, followed by a potential correction to around $99,000, before bouncing back to a predicted milestone of $135,000. This forecast represents an increase of over 42% from current levels, although Martinez did not specify a timeline for these movements, indicating they might occur anywhere between now and the first quarter of 2025. Bitcoin To Reach $1 Million By 2029? In even more optimistic projections, market expert Timothy Peterson, who identifies as a network economist, suggests that Bitcoin’s current bullish trend could persist until November 2025, with ambitious targets set for the future. In a recent post on X (formerly Twitter), Peterson predicted that Bitcoin could reach $275,000 per coin by Thanksgiving Day 2025. He bases this projection on Metcalfe’s Law, which posits that the value of a network is proportional to the square of its number of users. This indicates that as more individuals adopt Bitcoin, its value is likely to increase significantly. Related Reading: BlackRock Bitcoin ETF Options Surge: December 20 Call Signals BTC Price Target Of $180,000 Looking further ahead, the economist also asserts that the Bitcoin price could achieve the coveted valuation of $1,000,000 per coin by 2029, representing a staggering 954% increase from current levels. Trading at $94,730 as of this writing, the largest cryptocurrency on the market has seen massive gains in recent weeks, with a 26% and 39% increase in the fourteen and thirty day time frames, respectively. Furthermore, BTC has reached a market cap valuation of $1.8 trillion, making it one of the most valuable assets in the world, currently ranked 7th, just behind companies such as Nvidia, Microsoft, Google and Amazon. But quite far from the leading asset in this matter which is gold with a market cap of $17 trillion. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
The massive Bitcoin (BTC) rally following Donald Trump’s victory in the US presidential election is beginning to show signs of slowing down, particularly in the derivatives market, as evidenced by the leading digital asset’s retreat below the $90,000 mark on Thursday. Bitcoin Experiences Significant Liquidation Activity According to Bloomberg data, the premium for CME-listed Bitcoin futures contracts—commonly used by institutional investors to speculate on price movements—has decreased, indicating a potential shift in market sentiment. K33 Research notes that the basis, or the difference between the futures price and the spot price, has dropped to around 10% after previously hovering between 13% and 16% since the election. Related Reading: New Era For Crypto Regulation? SEC Chair Gensler Suggests He May Step Down Vetle Lunde, head of research at K33, remarked, “Markets seem to be cooling down… that might have been a subtle hint of moderating risk profiles.” This shift suggests that investors may be reassessing their strategies in light of the recent price volatility. Currently, Bitcoin is trading at $87,970, down from its all-time high of $93,462 reached just a day ago. Since Trump’s election victory, the cryptocurrency has seen an increase of over 30%. However, this rally has been accompanied by significant liquidation of leveraged bullish positions. In the past 24 hours, liquidations of long positions—those betting on price increases—totaled $447 million, compared to $207 million for bearish bets. Renewed Trader Interest Profit-taking is also contributing to the recent downturn, particularly as Bitcoin approached the $90,000 mark, which has historically been a significant level for open interest in call options. James Davies, CEO of Crypto Valley Exchange, noted, “Crazy speculative days in the market, big profit taking in the last few hours… $90k is a massive level in the call options open interest.” The rally has primarily been fueled by fresh demand in the spot market, evidenced by substantial inflows into exchange-traded funds (ETFs) backed by Bitcoin and relatively moderate leverage among traders. Interestingly, the funding rate for Bitcoin perpetual futures on offshore exchanges rose after falling earlier in the week, indicating renewed interest among traders after the so-called “Trump trade” catalyst. Related Reading: Solana ‘God Candle Is Close’ As It Breaks From Crucial Resistance – Top Analyst Options traders are increasingly optimistic, with growing interest in calls with strike prices at $110,000 and $120,000, according to data from Deribit. As Davies commented, “It’s all pure speculative trading right now, expect lots of volatility and a lack of clear signals for a while whilst we wait for policy announcements in the U.S.” As the market approaches the expiry of November options, all eyes will be on whether the $90,000 price point will serve as a resistance level or if Bitcoin can surpass it once again. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin (BTC) has hit new highs in recent days, with many users of crypto betting site Kalshi predicting that the largest cryptocurrency on the market could hit the $100,000 milestone before the end of 2024. According to recent data from the event contract market, 60% of users believe Bitcoin will hit this milestone before January, while 45% are betting it could achieve this level as early as November. Analyst Predicts Six-Figure Bitcoin Prices By Year-End Kalshi, which launched in 2021, allows users to bet on various outcomes, including economic data releases and election results. The platform gained significant attention this year due to its legal battle with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), which ultimately led to US users being allowed to participate in betting markets for the presidential election. Since the US presidential election on November 5, Bitcoin has surged more than 28%. The election outcome has been viewed as bullish for cryptocurrencies, especially with President-elect Donald Trump expressing his support for the industry and hinting at more favorable regulations. Related Reading: Justin Drake Unveils ‘The Beam Chain’: A Vision For Ethereum Final Design Analyst Mike Colonnese from H.C. Wainwright commented on the current market conditions, stating: Strong positive sentiment is likely to persist through the balance of 2024, and we see Bitcoin prices potentially reaching the six-figure mark by the end of this year. The analyst further noted that Bitcoin is now in a phase of “price discovery” after breaking through its all-time highs early last Wednesday morning, following the official announcement of Trump’s election victory. This combination of market enthusiasm and regulatory optimism, he suggests, could see BTC continue its upward trajectory, attracting new investors and cementing its place in the financial landscape by the end of 2024. UBS Warns Of Historical Volatility Although betting markets and investors have set their sights on BTC hitting $100,000, Wall Street analysts are warning about the “speculative” nature of cryptocurrencies. Solita Marcelli, chief investment officer for the Americas at UBS Global Wealth Management, emphasized this point in a note to clients on Tuesday. “We continue to view crypto assets as a speculative trade rather than a strategic investment in portfolios,” she stated. Marcelli expressed skepticism regarding the potential for digital assets to make significant inroads into disruptive real-world applications, noting their propensity to increase portfolio volatility. UBS highlighted that since 2014, Bitcoin has experienced three major drawdowns exceeding 70%, with an average recovery period of three years. Related Reading: Analyst Warns Of 10% Bitcoin Price Drop Ahead Of CPI Data On a more positive note, other cryptocurrencies saw gains on Wednesday. Ethereum (ETH), Solana (SOL), and even Dogecoin (DOGE) experienced upward movement. Dogecoin surged notably after Trump announced that Tesla CEO Elon Musk and former Republican presidential candidate Vivek Ramaswamy would head a newly formed “Department of Government Efficiency,” cleverly abbreviated to DOGE. However, crypto-related equities did not follow the bullish trend of Bitcoin. Stocks like Coinbase (COIN) and Robinhood (HOOD) took a breather after recent rallies, with Coinbase shares down about 2% on Wednesday, while Robinhood remained relatively unchanged. After hitting a new all-time high of $93,000 on Wednesday, BTC has come back down to the $90,350 level, yet, still up 20% on the week. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin (BTC), the leading cryptocurrency by market capitalization, surged to a new all-time high of $76,800 buoyed by the recent US presidential election which saw Donald Trump secure another term in the White House and a more favorable monetary policy from the US Federal Reserve (Fed). Fed’s Second Consecutive Rate Cut On Thursday, the Federal Reserve announced its decision to cut its benchmark overnight lending rate by 25 basis points to a target range of 4.50%-4.75%, adding to the bullish sentiment surrounding crypto prices. This marks the second consecutive rate cut, following a half-percentage point reduction in September. The unanimous vote at this meeting, which included participation from Governor Michelle Bowman, reflects a shift in the Fed’s approach to balancing inflation control with labor market support. Related Reading: CNBC Projects Bitcoin Could Hit $100,000 Before Presidential Inauguration – Details In its post-meeting statement, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) noted a revised assessment of economic risks, indicating that the outlook for achieving employment and inflation goals is now seen as balanced, a departure from the previous month’s more optimistic stance. Crypto analyst Doctor Profit commented on the recent surge in both stock and crypto markets, suggesting that the price increases were in anticipation of the Fed’s rate cut. He predicts that continued rate cuts in the coming quarters could further drive up prices for both stocks and cryptocurrencies. Positive Trends For Bitcoin And Ethereum Post-Election In an exclusive interview with NewsBTC, Nansen’s Principal Research Analyst, Aurelie Barthere, highlighted that Bitcoin rise above its previous all-time high, coupled with high trading volumes, signals a strong positive momentum in the market. The analyst noted a period of “de-risking” in the run-up to the election, likely influenced by unfavorable polls for Trump, but observed a subsequent rush to “re-risk” as confidence returned following the election result, further evidenced by the rise in prices. Related Reading: Solana Breaks Above Key Resistance – Top Analyst Sets $300 Target Barthere also pointed out that the Republican victory in the House of Representatives could further amplify this rally. However, she cautioned that profit-taking may occur in the coming weeks as new policies are tested, particularly regarding the potential political pressure on the US SEC chair to step down. The analyst pointed out that Ethereum is also gaining traction as expectations rise for a resurgence in decentralized finance (DeFi). Barthere noted an interesting uptick in the ETH/BTC price ratio, accompanied by significant net inflows into Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs), totaling $52 million on the day of the election results. The analyst suggests that these continued inflows into the recently approved ETF market are seen as indicative of broader retail interest in the second largest cryptocurrency, which she ultimately believes has yet to see significant adoption. At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at $76,629, up nearly 10% in the seven-day time frame. Similarly, ETH has also seen significant gains, rising 14% in the same period to reach a current price of $2,885. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin price hit a new all-time high above $76,850, and multiple data points suggest that the rally has room to run higher.
In the wake of the US presidential election, Bitcoin (BTC) is experiencing the expected volatility that often accompanies major political events. Tuesday’s trading saw the largest cryptocurrency fluctuating between $68,000 and $70,000, with the latter level acting as resistance since Saturday. Market analysis firm Crypto Birb has released insights into the potential impacts of the election on Bitcoin’s price trajectory, suggesting that, based on current indicators, Bitcoin could reach new record highs above $73,700 in the days following the election. Bitcoin Price Could Soar To Over $263,000 In a recent social media update, Crypto Birb highlighted several key figures for traders and investors, including the upward trends in the 200-week and 50-week simple moving averages (SMAs), currently at $59,200 and $40,700, respectively, which point to a bullish long-term outlook for the Bitcoin price. The firm notes the presence of over $470 billion in volume from exchange-traded funds (ETFs) investing in BTC, further contributing to market liquidity, which is critical for Bitcoin’s price movements to the upside. Related Reading: Dogecoin Price Rally Gains Momentum, Will DOGE Smash Through $0.18? However, a market bloat of 51%, measured by the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL), indicates that a significant portion of Bitcoin holders are in profit, potentially leading to increased selling pressure if prices rise too quickly. The Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV-Z Ratio), currently at 1.86, projects a potential price target of over $263,000, suggesting substantial room for growth. Notably, Bitcoin’s low correlation of 0.16 with the S&P 500 indicates that its price movements are largely independent of traditional equity markets, which could attract investors seeking diversification. Historical Trends Suggest Strong November Ahead Despite the bullish long-term outlook, the firm suggests that traders should be cautious of short-term volatility. Crypto Birb noted that the market is experiencing a spike in “price randomness,” common occurrence during election cycles. Key resistance levels are identified at $70,700 and $72,000, which could prove critical in determining Bitcoin’s immediate path. The daily trend shows that $70,000 is a pivotal breakout point, and the firm suggests that a successful move above this threshold could trigger further upward momentum to retest all-time high records. The firm also highlights the current sentiment in the crypto market, which is currently characterized by a “Fear and Greed” index reading of 70, indicating a state of greed among investors. Crypto Birb contends that this sentiment often leads to heightened buying activity but can also signal a potential pullback if prices rise too quickly. Additionally, mining costs are estimated at around $80,700, suggesting miners are operating at a loss if Bitcoin remains below this threshold. Related Reading: XRP Price Gears Up: Is a Major Move on the Horizon? Further strengthening the case for Bitcoin, historical data shows that November has been a strong month for BTC, with an average gain of 14.96% over the past nine years. This means that if the cryptocurrency follows past movements, it could reach $79,000 by the end of the month. In addition, the fourth quarter of the past few years has shown an average gain of 50.86%, with the maximum quarterly gain recorded at 470.44%, suggesting that BTC could be poised for a significant rally in the coming weeks, regardless of the US election results between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. When writing, the largest cryptocurrency on the market was trading at $69,830, up 3% in the 24-hour time frame. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
As the US presidential election approaches, the Bitcoin price has found a stable support range between $68,000 and $69,000, just shy of its all-time high earlier this year. While the cryptocurrency has struggled to surpass this significant milestone, investor sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, with expectations for further price increases tempered by anticipated market volatility in the upcoming hours. Bitcoin Price Expected To Swing 8% Post-Election The options market indicates the Bitcoin price could see price swings of approximately 8% in either direction following the election, a notable increase compared to the typical 2% fluctuations seen on regular trading days. Caroline Mauron, co-founder of Orbit Markets, a crypto derivatives liquidity provider, noted that “no significant volatility premium is priced in after Nov. 7,” suggesting the market anticipates a relatively swift resolution to the election results. Related Reading: Solana Expected To Reach $500 By Bull Run’s End, Says Crypto Analyst The election pits Republican nominee and former President Donald Trump against Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris, with both candidates eliciting varied responses from the crypto community. Trump’s favorable stance towards cryptocurrencies has positioned Bitcoin as part of the so-called “Trump trades,” especially in light of the regulatory crackdown experienced under President Joe Biden. As Trump’s odds have fluctuated in betting markets, the Bitcoin price has mirrored these changes, briefly nearing record highs before retreating as polls indicate a tightly contested race. The options market reflects a balanced sentiment, with an even distribution of bearish and bullish positions throughout October, indicating that traders are preparing for upward and downward movements as the election draws near. Data from the Deribit exchange suggests a potential trading range of $60,000 to $80,000 for the Bitcoin price in the weeks following the election, based on peak open interest in options contracts. Path To $100,000 Remains Viable Crypto analyst Miles Deutscher has also shared his view on social media, positing that a Trump victory could lead to an immediate Bitcoin price surge, potentially establishing a new all-time high this year. Conversely, the analyst suggests that a win for Harris might result in a price drop, delaying any new highs until Q1 2025. Regardless of the election outcome, Deutscher remains confident that Bitcoin will reach $100,000. Market expert Patric H. adds another layer of analysis, observing that Bitcoin closed the past week above a daily downtrend channel, indicating a potential reversal. However, Patrick notes that the weekly candle shows weakness, prompting market participants to de-risk before the election. His bullish thesis hinges on Bitcoin holding above $65,000; a drop below this level could signal a return to extended price volatility. Related Reading: Dogecoin (DOGE) Poised for a Move: Will It Start a Fresh Increase? From a trading perspective, data indicates that perpetual traders on Binance have withdrawn limit buy orders below $50,000, suggesting a shift in sentiment. Previously, there was substantial long interest in the “multi-billion dollar range” between $42,000 and $50,000, but traders appear to have sidelined that capital in favor of higher price levels. The next significant limit buy order is $63,800, with additional smaller orders scattered down to that level, indicating that Bitcoin may not fall significantly below this point. On the upside, the next significant resistance level for the Bitcoin price is $73,000, where substantial selling interest from Coinbase and Binance is noted. Patrick anticipates a potential rejection in the $75,000 to $76,000 range, which could precede a breakout if those levels are successfully breached. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $68,360, up 0.8% over the past 24 hours. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin is stretching gains, looking at price action in the past few trading days. At spot rates, buyers are “hungry” and aiming not only to confirm the rally of the past two days but also to close above March 2024 highs of around $74,000. Bitcoin “Golden Cross” Forms The optimism has been confirmed on-chain. On […]
Bitcoin is marching higher, easing past $70,000 and $72,000 in the past two days, sparking a wave of demand. Although prices are moving within a tight range at spot rates, the uptrend remains. While there are pockets of weakness, at least seen earlier today, candlestick formation in the daily and weekly charts point to strength. Is Bitcoin Preparing For A 6X Surge To $462,000? In a post on X, one analyst thinks Bitcoin will not only break above its all-time high at $74,000 but can easily 6X to over $462,000 in the coming sessions. To support this outlook, the analyst said the coin is breaking out above key resistance levels, and Fibonacci extension levels mirror this shift in trend after the Q3 2024 plunge. Related Reading: Bitcoin Needs Daily Close Above $76,000 To Confirm True Breakout: Analyst Based on the analyst’s assessment, historical price action shows that BTC peaks between the 1.618 and 2.272 Fibonacci extension levels. Technical analysts use this tool to project how fast prices will rally or drop based on a given range. If history guides and the Fibonacci extension levels remain valid, applying the same pattern to the current cycle could easily see Bitcoin soar to between $174,000 and $462,000. These two levels mark the extension levels’ lower and upper limits that define past cycles’ peak zone. As bullish as this forecast is, it should be known that the range anchoring any Fibonacci extension is subjective. For this reason, it will change depending on the analyst, meaning potential peaks will shift accordingly. Despite everything, the consensus is that Bitcoin could break and reach new all-time highs in Q4 2024. Taking to X, another analyst said Bitcoin is already within a bullish breakout formation, easing above a descending channel or bull flag. At the same time, prices are breaking above the resistance of a “cup and handle” pattern. Institutions Buying As BTC Recovers If bulls take over, pushing prices higher, the evolution would confirm gains of Q1 2024. Subsequently, it would mark the resumption of bulls, an encouraging development following the 30% drop from March highs. Related Reading: Dogecoin Metrics Reveal Increasing Network Activity – Is DOGE Ready To Break Yearly Highs? Amid this wave of optimism, institutions are also pouring in, getting exposure via spot Bitcoin ETFs. According to SosoValue, there are massive inflows as institutions buy more shares on behalf of their clients. On October 29, spot Bitcoin ETF issuers in the United States bought $870 million worth of shares backed by BTC for their clients. BlackRock’s IBIT received $642 million, pushing their BTC under management to over $24.9 billion. Feature image from DALLE, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin is on a tear, easing past the psychological round number at $70,000. At press time, the world’s most valuable coin is approaching $72,000, a critical resistance level that marks June 2024 highs. Bitcoin Breaks Above $70,000 And Descending Triangle As buyers press on, reversing losses of the second half of last week and soaring to print a three-month high, one analyst has also picked out another crucial development. In a post on X, the technical analyst said not only is the price firm at press time, but the explosion over the last two days means the coin is trading above a descending wedge. Related Reading: Neiro Breaks Above Key Level Following 10% Weekly Drop, Is $0.0020 Next? Technically, based on the analyst’s preview, the coin is within a key breakout formation. Accordingly, it signals that the era of discouraging lower lows, seen in the better part of Q3 2024, could be over as buyers take over. Specifically, the series of lower and lower highs seen since prices retraced from all-time highs is likely over. As it is, buyers are buoyant. According to the CoinMarketCap poll, over 70% of voters think the coin is heading higher. This preview is crucial, considering the importance of hype in the crypto scene. Usually, whenever prices tick higher, traders tend to rush in so as not to miss the leg up by opening leveraged positions on perpetual futures platforms like Binance or Bybit. Meanwhile, the more conservative ones opt to buy at the spot market, aware that though gains could be posted, risks are also mitigated. Is The Post-Halving Advance On? For the uptrend to continue, the analyst said, it is important gains posted on the last two days are confirmed. In this case, a follow-through will see Bitcoin lift off, breaking $72,000 and even $74,000 printed in March 2024. In that event, bulls could have more headroom to march on as the “post-Halving” advance begins. Looking at past cycles, Halving events are always seen as bullish. Prices rallied in the next few months when the network halved its miner rewards in 216 and 2020. Then, Bitcoin rallied to $20,000 in 2017 and $70,000 in 2021. Related Reading: Bitcoin Hash Ribbons Flash ‘Buy’ Signal: Analysts See New Highs On The Horizon After the April 20 Halving, traders have been looking forward to this phenomenon continuing. Nearly six months later, the recovery of prices amid the rising hash rate could trigger another wave of demand, pushing Bitcoin to new territory. Feature image from DALLE, chart from TradingView
As the US presidential election draws near, Bitcoin has briefly surged to the $70,000 mark for the first time in over five months. This milestone coincides with former President Donald Trump leading in polls against Vice President Kamala Harris, setting the stage for potential shifts in the cryptocurrency landscape depending on the election outcome. $70,000 As Key Level For Bitcoin To Surpass March Record The recent uptick in Bitcoin’s price has been bolstered by a rally in the stock market, with analysts noting that investors are increasingly pricing in a potential Trump victory. Tony Sycamore, a market analyst at IG Australia Pty, indicated that Bitcoin needs to maintain a solid break past $70,000 to build confidence in surpassing its previous record of $73,798 set in March. Trump has positioned himself as a pro-crypto candidate, pledging to make the US the cryptocurrency capital of the world. In contrast, Harris has taken a more cautious stance, advocating for a regulatory framework for the industry. Amidst the political backdrop, options traders have ramped up their bets, with many speculating that Bitcoin could reach $80,000 by the end of November, irrespective of who wins the election. Related Reading: Are ‘ETF Paper Bitcoins’ Suppressing BTC Prices? Analyst Provides Answers Implied volatility around Election Day on November 5 has also risen, reflecting the uncertainty in the market. Notably, spot Bitcoin ETFs in the US have seen approximately $3.1 billion in net inflows this month, further contributing to the positive sentiment surrounding cryptocurrencies. Regulatory Concerns Surround Harris’s Stance On Crypto Crypto analyst VirtualBacon recently highlighted the significance of the upcoming election for the cryptocurrency market, dubbing it the “Crypto Election.” Prediction markets currently favor Trump at 60%, although these figures may be skewed due to the crypto community’s historical support for him. National polls indicate a tighter race, with Harris holding a slight lead of just over 1%. The crypto industry has contributed approximately $119 million to campaigns this election year, representing nearly half of all corporate donations. However, major players like Coinbase and Ripple are strategically donating across party lines to promote supportive legislation rather than backing a single candidate. While both Trump and Harris have publicly expressed favorable views on cryptocurrency, their commitments to concrete legislative action remain uncertain. Harris’s regulatory approach raises concerns, as her campaign has emphasized protecting minority investors in digital assets without providing specifics. Moreover, her tenure as Vice President coincided with the appointments of prominent crypto critics such as the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) chair Gary Gensler, and US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen. On the other hand, Trump’s evolving views towards cryptocurrency, including the launch of a successful NFT project and a DeFi platform, suggest a warming to the industry. As the election approaches, VirtualBacon suggests that it’s crucial to consider that economic data released post-election will significantly influence market sentiment. The upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting in November could provide critical insights into inflation and liquidity, impacting both the broader market and the trajectory of cryptocurrencies. BTC’s Path To $100,000 Despite the speculation surrounding the impact of the presidential election, which is just 7 days away, another analyst, Ali Martinez, noted that over the past eleven years, seven of them have seen massive gains for the market’s leading crypto. As can be seen in the chart provided by Martinez, the average November gain for BTC is a massive 46%, which if the market follows these late patterns, could see a November price of just over $100,000 per coin. Related Reading: Cardano Price Prediction: Analyst Says 80-90% Correction Is Over With 100% Jump Imminent However, for BTC to confirm a breakout to retest its all-time high, it will be key for it to consolidate above the $70,000 mark in the coming days ahead of the election, positioning it well for a dramatic breakout to even higher prices. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
As the week progressed, the Bitcoin (BTC) price steadily climbed toward its all-time high of $73,700 in March of this year. This upward momentum is in line with the predictions of various market experts, expecting significant gains for the leading cryptocurrency by the end of the year. One such expert, crypto analyst Gert van Lagen, recently shared his insights on Bitcoin’s price trajectory via social media platform X (formerly Twitter). He analyzed BTC’s parabolic curve and identified a distinctive step-like formation pattern, which he believes signals a colossal wave 5 rally in the coming months. Potential ‘Shake-Out Of The Century’ In his analysis, van Lagen presented a Bitcoin chart demonstrating that the cryptocurrency has successfully navigated several hurdles since April 2023. He categorized the price movement into three distinct phases, marking the base of the uptrend pattern that has ignited the current bullish trend. Currently, van Lagen notes that Bitcoin’s price action is centered around base 4 of this pattern, indicating a consolidation phase between the $53,700 and $68,000 levels, with the former identified as bull market support for this cycle. Related Reading: Dogecoin Sees Sharp Decline: Over 106,000 Wallets Abandon The Memecoin Van Lagen asserts that the validation of Wave 4 is imminent as Bitcoin approaches its record peak. He predicts that once Bitcoin breaks through base 4 and achieves a new all-time high, it could trigger a substantial rally in wave 5, potentially targeting prices around $250,000. However, the analyst also warns of a significant downturn that may follow this surge. He suggests that once Bitcoin reaches the anticipated peak, a “recession” could ensue, with price targets plummeting to as low as $10,000, and in a more extreme scenario, down to $1,000. He describes this potential decline as the “shake-out of the century,” should these projections materialize. In the medium term, the increased volatility that has characterized Bitcoin’s price over the past month has prompted the analyst to explain that if Bitcoin fails to break through the $70,000 resistance level – a barrier it has struggled with in four previous attempts – then the $57,500 level will serve as a crucial support level for the cryptocurrency. Historical Patterns Suggest Bitcoin Price Increases Ahead In another sign of confidence in the biggest cryptocurrency’s prospects for further gains, Blockforce Capital’s Brett Munster noted that conditions are ripe for a “perfect storm” favoring Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies after six months of price consolidation. Munster highlighted the role of global liquidity in this potential surge, pointing to increased capital injections from central banks worldwide. Notably, China has implemented stimulus measures to revitalize its economy. Related Reading: Ethereum Open Interest Sees Fastest Rise In 5 Months: Brace For More Volatility? Historical data suggests that when global liquidity surpasses its moving average, it often coincides with substantial price increases for Bitcoin. In addition, optimism in the crypto market is further bolstered by a commitment from US Vice President Kamala Harris to support a regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies in response to long-standing concerns from the crypto community regarding the regulatory environment. At the time of writing, BTC has been trading at $68,300, up 3.6% in the last 24 hours. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com