A report from the on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has revealed how Bitcoin investors have recently been realizing an hourly profit 17% above the baseline. Bitcoin Realized Profit Has Spiked Alongside Recovery Rally In its latest weekly report, Glassnode has talked about the recent trend in the Realized Profit of Bitcoin. The “Realized Profit” here refers to an on-chain indicator that, as its name suggests, measures the total amount of profit that the BTC investors are realizing through their selling. Related Reading: Litecoin Conviction Remains Strong: More Than 20% Of Supply Frozen Since 5+ Years The indicator works by looking at the transaction history of each coin being transferred or sold on the network to check what price it was previously transferred at. Sales of coins that have a price lower than the latest spot value are assumed to be resulting in profit realization equal to the difference between the two. The Realized Profit sums up this difference for each token being sold at a profit to gauge the network total. Another indicator called the Realized Loss keeps track of the sales of the opposite type. Now, here is the chart for the hourly Bitcoin Realized Profit shared by the analytics firm in the report: As is visible in the above graph, the Bitcoin Realized Profit has witnessed a sharp spike recently. The increase in the indicator has come as BTC has been rallying, so it would appear that the investors have been looking to cash in on the opportunity. So far, the indicator has achieved a peak of $139 million per hour, which is about 17% higher than the baseline value of $120 million per hour. While this level isn’t too high when compared to the profit-taking sprees from the last bull rally (highlighted in green), it’s still notable, especially when considering how much lower it has been during the last couple of months. “If the market can absorb this selling pressure without breaking down, it paints a more constructive picture on the road ahead,” notes Glassnode. “Conversely, failure to hold these levels, under heavy profit realization, could mark this move as another dead cat bounce, which would be consistent with prior relief rallies that faded under similar conditions.” As for which side of the Bitcoin market is involved in this profit-taking event, data points toward the short-term holder cohort. The short-term holders (STHs) refer to the BTC investors who purchased their coins within the past 155 days. Related Reading: Bitcoin Whales Back In ‘Full Force’ For The Rally, Glassnode Reveals Below is a chart that shows the trend in the Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR), a metric that keeps track of the ratio between Realized Profit and Realized Loss, for the STHs. From the graph, it’s apparent that the Bitcoin STH SOPR has seen a sustained move above the 1.0 mark, which suggests profit-taking is now notably outweighing loss-taking from these investors. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is floating around $94,600, up almost 12% in the last week. Featured image from Dall-E, Glassnode.com, chart from TradingView.com
On-chain data shows that long-term Bitcoin holders have been selling recently as their profits have ballooned to notable levels after the price surge. Bitcoin Long-Term Holders Have Been In Huge Profits Recently As CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn explained in a new post on X, the long-term holders have sold big in the past month. The “long-term holders” (LTHs) refer to the Bitcoin investors who have been holding onto their coins for more than 155 days. This cohort includes the most relentless hands of the market, who rarely sell regardless of whether a rally or crash is going on. These investors are in sharp contrast to the “short-term holders” (STHs), who generally react to any happening in the sector. Related Reading: Analyst Sets $4.40 XRP Target As 3rd-Straight Bull Pennant Forms As such, the times that the LTHs decide to sell can be to watch out for since it means the market is at a stage where even these diamond hands have become tempted to part with their long-held coins. Bitcoin is currently experiencing one such instance, as the bull run to unseen highs has forced some LTHs into harvesting their hard-earned profits. Below is the chart shared by the analyst that shows the trend in the 30-day change for the LTH supply. As displayed in the graph, the Bitcoin LTH supply has registered a large negative change during the past month, which suggests these HODLers have broken their silence. In total, the diamond hands have transferred 827,783 BTC in this window. Naturally, not all transactions correspond to selling, but generally, there is a high chance of selling being the intent whenever the LTHs move their coins. The reason behind the LTH selloff becomes apparent when considering the group’s profit-loss margin. As CryptoQuant author Axel Adler Jr pointed out in an X post, the group is sitting on average profits of 326%. From the chart, it’s visible that while the profits of the Bitcoin LTHs are high on their own, they are still considerably less than the margin during the 2021 bull run. Related Reading: Bitcoin Flash Crash Causes $710 Million In Crypto Long Liquidations This, of course, doesn’t mean that the current rally also has as much room left to go, as it’s very possible that this cycle would simply net these diamond hands fewer gains than last time. While the LTHs have been spending significant amounts recently, Bitcoin hasn’t budged too much, which implies considerable new demand is still flowing into the sector that is absorbing this selling pressure. However, It remains to be seen how long this balance will be maintained. BTC Price Bitcoin had shown a brief break out of its consolidation phase earlier in the month, but it would appear the asset has found its way back into the range as its price is now trading around $98,200. Featured image from Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com
On-chain data shows around 95% of all Bitcoin holders are in profit following the latest bullish action that the asset’s price has seen. Very Few Bitcoin Addresses Are Still Underwater In a new post on X, the market intelligence platform IntoTheBlock has shared an update on how the Bitcoin holder’s profitability is currently looking. The analytics firm has made use of on-chain data to determine this. IntoTheBlock has gone through the transaction history of each address on the network to check the average price at which it acquired its coins. Wallets with a cost basis below the current price are assumed to carry some net unrealized profit. Related Reading: Bitcoin Whale Transfers See Massive Spike: Sign Of Profit-Taking? Similarly, addresses of the opposite type are considered to be loss holders. The analytics firm terms the former investors “in the money,” while the latter are “out of the money.” Naturally, the wallets with their average acquisition price equal to the latest spot price of the cryptocurrency would be just breaking even on their investment. They would be said to be “at the money.” Now, here is how the address distribution on the Bitcoin network is like right now across these three categories: As is visible above, around 95% of the existing Bitcoin holders currently have a net profit. About 3% of the remaining are at their break-even level, while the rest 2% are underwater. Thus, the market distribution is currently overwhelmingly skewed towards profit holders. The reason behind this is the recent price rally the asset has gone through. “With 95% of Bitcoin addresses now in profit, market sentiment is booming,” notes IntoTheBlock. “Historically, such levels have signaled strong bullish momentum but can also indicate a potential overextension.” Generally, investors in profit are more likely to sell their coins at any point, so a large amount of them being in the green can raise the chances of a mass selloff occurring with the motive of profit-taking. This is why a high profitability ratio can suggest potential overheated conditions. A huge amount of addresses are in the money right now, so it’s possible that another profit-taking event could happen. It remains to be seen whether demand would be enough to absorb the selling or if a top would take place for Bitcoin. Related Reading: Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Is Negative Despite $68,000 Rally: What It Means On a more bullish note, the Bitcoin inflows to “accumulation addresses” have spiked recently, as CryptoQuant community manager Maartunn has pointed out in an X post. The accumulation addresses refer to the wallets that have no history of selling on the network. These perennial HODLers have just added a massive 56,700 BTC to their wallets, which could suggest they may be starting another phase of accumulation. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $67,400, up more than 11% over the past week. Featured image from Dall-E, IntoTheBlock.com, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com
On-chain data shows the Bitcoin short-term holders have recently moved over 14 times as much profit volume as the loss one. Bitcoin Has Plunged As Short-Term Holders Have Been Realizing Gains According to the latest weekly report from Glassnode, the short-term holders have started taking profits again recently. The on-chain indicator of relevance here is […]
On-chain data shows a Bitcoin wallet has suddenly moved coins dormant for 10.8 years. Here’s how much profit it made on its investment. Bitcoin Wallet With 24 BTC In Balance Has Come Alive After 10.8 Years According to data from the cryptocurrency transaction tracker service Whale Alert, a BTC address has just moved out coins […]
On-chain data reveals what percentage of the entire Bitcoin userbase is still carrying a profit following the latest crash in the asset’s price. Bitcoin Has This Many Addresses Still Holding Net Gains In a new post on X, the market intelligence platform IntoTheBlock has discussed about the profit-loss status of the Bitcoin investors after the […]
Based on on-chain data, here’s how much unrealized profit the various Bitcoin whale and miner groups are holding right now. Bitcoin Whale & Miner Profits Compared Across Cohorts In a new post on X, CryptoQuant founder and CEO Ki Young Ju discussed the total unrealized profits currently held by the various on-chain cohorts. Ju has […]
On-chain data shows the Bitcoin supply in profit has plunged following the latest crash in the asset’s price towards the $65,000 level. Bitcoin Supply In Profit Is Now Down To Around 90% As analyst James Van Straten pointed out in a post on X, around 10% of the BTC supply is now in a state of loss. The on-chain indicator of interest here is the “Percent Supply in Profit,” which tracks the percentage of the total circulating Bitcoin supply holding an unrealized gain. This metric works by going through the blockchain history of each coin in circulation to see the price at which it was last transferred. Assuming that this previous transaction involved a change of hands, the price at its moment would serve as the cost basis for the coin. Related Reading: Bitcoin Traders Spread “Buy The Dip” As Bitcoin Plunges Below $66,000 The coins with a cost basis that is less than the current spot price of the cryptocurrency would naturally be considered to be holding a profit, and as such, they would be counted under the supply in profit. The Percent Supply in Profit adds up all such coins and calculates what part of the total supply they make up for. The opposite metric, the Percent Supply in Loss, adds up the coins not satisfying this condition. Since the total circulating supply must add up to 100%, the Percent Supply in Loss can be deduced from the Percent Supply in Profit by subtracting its value from 100. Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Percent Supply in Profit for Bitcoin over the last few months: Looks like the value of the metric has taken a plunge in recent days | Source: @jvs_btc on X As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin Percent Supply in Profit has seen a sharp drop recently as the cryptocurrency price has gone through a significant drawdown. The indicator’s value has dropped to around the 90% mark, which means that about 10% of the supply is currently carrying a loss. The chart shows that the last time the metric touched these levels was back on 22 March. Interestingly, the asset also found its bottom around then. Earlier, the Percent Supply In Profit had pushed towards the 100% mark, which was a natural consequence of the price setting a new all-time high (ATH), since at fresh highs, all of the supply must be out of the red. Generally, the investors in profit are more likely to sell their coins, so if many come into gains, the possibility of a mass selloff rises. Due to this reason, high levels of the Percent Supply In Profit have often led to tops. Related Reading: Start Selling Bitcoin When This Happens, This Quant Says Similarly, bottoms become more likely when investor profitability levels drop relatively low. The current value of 90% is still quite high, but this isn’t unusual during bull runs, as there is strong demand and ATHs are being explored. The fact that the profitability has cooled off compared to earlier levels may be constructive for the rally’s chances to see a continuation, just like it did last month. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin has been trading at around the $65,700 level, down more than 5% over the past week. The price of the asset seems to have been tumbling down over the past couple of days | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView Featured image from Shutterstock.com, Glassnode.com, chart from TradingView.com