The Bitcoin price has slipped under $117,000 as on-chain data shows the network has observed one of its largest profit realization days of the year. Bitcoin Long-Term Holders Did The Major Share Of Profit-Taking In a new post on X, the on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has talked about the latest trend in the Bitcoin Realized Profit indicator for the short-term holders and long-term holders. The “Realized Profit” measures, as its name suggests, the total amount of profit that the BTC investors are realizing through their transactions. The metric works by going through the transfer history of each coin being sold to see what price it was moved at prior to this. The difference between that previous price and the current selling price denote the amount of profit or loss involved in the sale. Related Reading: Strategy Grabs Another $472M In Bitcoin—Even With Price At ATH Naturally, the sale realizes a gain if the difference is positive. The Realized Profit adds up this value involved in all transactions of the type occurring on the blockchain. Another indicator known as the Realized Loss keeps track of the sales of the opposite type. In the context of the current discussion, the Realized Profit of two specific segments of the sector is of interest: short-term holders (STHs) and long-term holders (LTHs). Investors are divided into these groups based on the basis of holding time. More particularly, holders who have been carrying their coins for 155 days or less are put in the STHs and those who have made it past this threshold are considered LTHs. Below is the chart shared by Glassnode that shows the trend in the Realized Profit for the two sides of the Bitcoin market. As displayed in the graph, the Bitcoin Realized Profit has seen spikes for both of these groups during the last 24 hours, implying investors across the market have harvested gains taking advantage of the rally to the new all-time high (ATH) above $123,000. In total, the holders took profits equal to $3.5 billion inside this window, making the profit-taking event one of the largest for the year. Interestingly, the LTHs occupied for a higher share ($1.96 billion or 56%) of the profit realization than the STHs ($1.54 billion or 44%). Generally, the longer an investor holds onto their coins, the less likely they become to sell them. As such, the LTHs with their relatively long holding time are considered to represent the resolute side of the market. Related Reading: Bitcoin Returns Under $117,000: Is Social Media FOMO To Blame? Despite their strong resolve, however, it seems the latest Bitcoin price surge provided a temptation strong enough for even these diamond hands to be swayed. The result of the selloff has so far appeared to be a price decline to levels below $117,000. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is floating around $116,700, up over 7% in the last week. Looks like the price of the asset has seen a plunge during the last 24 hours | Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView Featured image from Dall-E, Glassnode.com, chart from TradingView.com
On-chain data shows the Bitcoin short-term holders have recently moved over 14 times as much profit volume as the loss one. Bitcoin Has Plunged As Short-Term Holders Have Been Realizing Gains According to the latest weekly report from Glassnode, the short-term holders have started taking profits again recently. The on-chain indicator of relevance here is […]
Bitcoin has continued its bearish momentum as its price has now slipped below $56,000. Here’s what could be behind this trajectory, according to CryptoQuant’s Head of Research. Bitcoin On-Chain Metrics Are All Giving Bearish Signals Right Now In a new thread on X, CryptoQuant Head of Research Julio Moreno has discussed why the original cryptocurrency has been struggling recently. “Bitcoin price is down simply because there is no demand growth,” notes the analyst. Related Reading: Bitcoin Momentum Indicators Are All Showing Death Cross: Say Hello To Bear Market? To showcase how demand for the asset has been looking like, Moreno has shared the chart for the “Apparent Demand” indicator, which leverages on-chain data to estimate the 30-day demand for BTC among investors. According to the above graph, demand for Bitcoin had been high earlier in the year, according to this indicator. Still, after peaking in April, the indicator sharply declined towards zero. Since then, the Apparent Demand has continued to consolidate around this neutral level, which may be why the cryptocurrency’s price has been locked in an overall bearish trajectory. The second indicator that the CryptoQuant head has cited is the Bitcoin Bull-Bear Market Cycle Indicator. This metric combines a few BTC indicators related to profit and loss to produce one value that sums up the entire market. From the graph, it’s visible that the the asset had been inside the historical “Overheated Bull” region from the perspective of CryptoQuant’s Bull-Bear Market Cycle Indicator back when its price had set the all-time high (ATH). After the coin had cooled off from this top, the indicator flashed a normal “Bull” signal, just like it had done in January and February. These bull market conditions were maintained until the crash early last month. During this plunge, BTC dropped below $50,000, and the Bull-Bear Market Cycle Indicator flagged the market as “Bear.” Since then, the indicator has continued to consolidate around the transition boundary, jumping back and forth between Bull and Bear signals. In the past week or so, though, the metric has consistently maintained inside the Bear region, which may be why Bitcoin has registered a drawdown of 6% in this window. Related Reading: Dogecoin Among Altcoins Seeing Deepest Trader Losses: DOGE Rebound Soon? Moreno has also pointed out a price level to watch, as BTC is quite close to retesting it. The level in question is the lower band of the average cost basis of the BTC traders. At present, this level is situated around $55,500. It remains to be seen how a retest of this level goes if the cryptocurrency continues its decline. BTC Price Bitcoin is currently trading around $55,900, which means the coin is pretty close to retesting the trader above the cost basis level. Featured image from Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com
Data shows the crypto derivatives market has suffered a lot of liquidations in the past day as Bitcoin and others have plummeted. Bitcoin Has Declined More Than 3% In The Last 24 Hours Bitcoin has continued its recent bearish momentum in the past day as its price has observed a further plunge, coming down to the $56,600 level. The chart below shows what the asset’s latest performance has looked like. During this plunge, Bitcoin briefly went down to the $55,600 level for the first time since the first-third of August. Despite the coin’s rebound, its price has been down more than 3% over the last 24 hours. Related Reading: Bitcoin Investors Beware: MVRV Has Given Bear Market Signal The rest of the crypto market has also not been spared, with the altcoins seeing similar or worse returns than the original digital asset. Given this latest market volatility, it would be expected that the derivatives side would have seen a shakeup. Crypto Derivatives Market Has Just Witnessed High Liquidations According to data from CoinGlass, the crypto derivatives market has registered a high amount of liquidations in the last 24 hours. A contract is said to be “liquidated” when its exchange has to forcibly shut it down due to it amassing losses of a certain degree (the exact percentage of which may differ between platforms). Below is a table that breaks down the latest liquidation data for the sector. As is visible, the crypto derivatives market has seen $200 million in liquidations during the past day. Almost $170 million of the flush involved the long side, representing 85% of the total. The liquidations being so lopsided towards these investors betting on a bullish outcome is naturally because the sector as a whole has plunged in this window. Bitcoin has topped the charts regarding the individual share of the liquidations, with $55 million in contracts related to the coin taking a beating. Ethereum (ETH), the second largest crypto by market cap, hasn’t been far, though, as it has seen over $50 million in liquidations. Solana (SOL) has seen the most liquidations at under $13 million. Related Reading: Bitcoin Could Drop To $40,600 If This Happens, Crypto Analyst Says The Bitcoin Open Interest, a measure of the number of positions related to the currently open asset, has seen a cooldown alongside this mass liquidation event, suggesting new speculators haven’t jumped in just yet. This trend could suggest that the market may have seen a healthy reset, leading to more stability for the asset’s price. Featured image from Dall-E, CoinGlass.com, chart from TradingView.com
Data shows Bitcoin users on the Coinbase exchange have been selling recently, a potential reason behind BTC’s drop under $58,000. Bitcoin Has Slipped Under The $58,000 Level In Its Latest Plunge Contrary to what investors may have hoped, Bitcoin hasn’t appeared to have shaken off bearish winds as the asset has witnessed another setback over […]
Bitcoin has observed a pullback down to the $58,000 level during the past day. Here’s what could be the cause behind it, according to on-chain data. Exchanges Have Seen A Large Amount Of Tether Withdrawals Recently According to data from the market intelligence platform IntoTheBlock, centralized exchanges have recently seen a Tether (USDT) outflow spree exceeding $1 billion. Related Reading: This Is The On-Chain Level That Made The Bitcoin Crash Bottom Investors usually keep their coins in exchanges when they want to trade them in the near future, so them making the move to withdraw their tokens potentially implies that they are interested in holding into the long-term. For volatile assets like Bitcoin, exchange outflows can naturally be a bullish sign for this reason. In the context of the current topic, though, the asset being withdrawn is a stablecoin, so the implication for the market is a bit different. Generally, investors store their capital in the form of fiat-tied tokens like Tether when they want to escape the volatility associated with coins like BTC. Such holders do eventually plan to venture back into the other side of the market and they may use exchanges for doing so. When holders buy into assets like Bitcoin using their stablecoin, they naturally end up boosting their prices. As such, exchange inflows of stables can be a bullish sign for the sector. Withdrawals of USDT and others into self-custody instead, however, can be a bearish sign for the market, as it shows the investors don’t believe they would be making a swap into the volatile side in the near future. The latest Tether withdrawals may, therefore, be why the Bitcoin price has tumbled. This USDT exiting exchanges could even have represented fresh BTC sells, as many investors like to move into self-custody as soon as they have swapped between assets. As IntoTheBlock has pointed out in the chart, the last two large USDT exchange outflows also had a bearish effect on BTC. In some other news, the cryptocurrency derivatives market as a whole has seen a large amount of liquidations as a result of the volatility that Bitcoin and other coins have displayed during the past day. Below is a table from CoinGlass that sums up the liquidations that have occurred in the latest volatile market phase. As is visible above, around $146 million in cryptocurrency liquidations have occurred over the past day, with $120 million coming from the long contracts alone, representing more than 80% of the total. Related Reading: Bitcoin ETFs Are “Important, But Not The Drivers,” On-Chain Analyst Argues Interestingly, Ethereum (ETH) is the symbol that has contributed the most towards this derivatives flush and not Bitcoin like is usually the case. That said, ETH has only $6 million more liquidations than BTC. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $58,800, down 4% over the last 24 hours. Featured image from Dall-E, IntoTheBlock.com, chart from TradingView.com
On-chain data reveals what percentage of the entire Bitcoin userbase is still carrying a profit following the latest crash in the asset’s price. Bitcoin Has This Many Addresses Still Holding Net Gains In a new post on X, the market intelligence platform IntoTheBlock has discussed about the profit-loss status of the Bitcoin investors after the […]
Bitcoin has observed a crash below the $58,000 level today. Here’s what could be a potential cause for it, according to on-chain data. Bitcoin Long-Term Holders Have Just Taken Large Profits As pointed out by an analyst in a CryptoQuant Quicktake post, the Bitcoin long-term holders harvested a large amount of profits during the latest price drawdown. Related Reading: These Are The Altcoins In Buy Zone, Analytics Firm Reveals The on-chain metric of interest here is the “Spent Output Profit Ratio” (SOPR), which basically tells about whether the BTC investors are selling/transferring their coins at a profit or loss. When the value of this indicator is greater than 1, it means the holders as a whole are realizing a net profit with their selling right now. On the other hand, the metric being under this threshold implies the dominance of loss-taking in the market. In the context of the current topic, the SOPR of a specific segment of the user base is of interest: the long-term holders (LTHs). This cohort includes the investors who have been holding onto their coins since more than 155 days ago. The LTHs are considered to be the resolute side of the market, as they rarely sell regardless of whatever may be going on in the wider market. As such, the times that they do sell can be all the more noteworthy. It would appear that the recent Bitcoin market conditions have managed to break even these diamond hands, as the below chart for their SOPR suggests. As is visible in the above graph, the Bitcoin LTH SOPR has seen a high density of spikes above the 1 mark during the past day. This would suggest that these HODLers have moved some coins that were previously carrying significant profits. More particularly, the indicator hit a value of more than 10 during a lot of these spikes, implying that this group realized profits equal to over ten times the losses during those transactions. As the LTH SOPR spikes came just before BTC’s descent towards the levels under $58,000, it would seem possible that this profit-taking push from these normally-resolute investors was at least in part behind the crash. Another indicator, the Bitcoin Spent Output Age Bands (SOAB), has revealed the breakdown of these LTH transactions. From the chart, it’s apparent that the most active LTH segment during this selloff was the 5-year to 7-year group, meaning that most of the coins sold were previously dormant between 5 and 7 years ago. Related Reading: Crypto Analyst Says Next Bitcoin Target Is $78,700 If BTC Breaks This Resistance It’s hard to say why these old entities have suddenly decided to sell after sitting out a whole cycle, but if this is the start of a selling spree from them, then things might get even worse for Bitcoin. BTC Price Bitcoin had very briefly slipped under the $57,000 level during the latest crash, but the asset appears to have made some recovery since then, as it’s back at $57,700. Featured image from Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com
On-chain data shows the Bitcoin transfer volume of retail investors has seen a sharp decline recently, a sign that this group may be losing interest. Bitcoin Volume For Retail-Sized Transactions Has Plunged Recently As explained by CrypoQuant author Axel Adler Jr in a new post on X, the total BTC transfer volume for transactions valued between $1,000 and $10,000 has gone down recently. The “transfer volume” here refers to the total amount of Bitcoin (in USD) that addresses on the network are moving around daily. This metric isn’t confused with the “trading volume,” which typically keeps track of only the volume involved in trades on spot exchanges. Related Reading: Bitcoin Near ‘Euphoria’ Boundary: What Happens After A Breach? When the value of the transfer volume is high, it means the users are moving around large amounts on the blockchain right now. Such a trend implies that investors are actively interested in trading the asset. On the other hand, the low metric suggests that holders may not pay attention to the cryptocurrency as they aren’t participating in much activity on the network. Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the 30-day moving average (MA) Bitcoin transfer volume specifically for the transactions involving the movement of coins worth at least $1,000 and at most $10,000: As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin transfer volume for transactions of this size spiked to relatively high levels during the rally earlier in the year. The $1,000 to $10,000-sized transfers are considered relatively small, so their volume would reflect the level of activity of the smallest of investors in the market: retail. The increase in this metric from earlier in the year would suggest the price surge ignited interest in the asset from these investors. The chart shows that a similar trend was also observed during the previous bull run. Sharp price action is generally exciting to retail investors, so it’s not surprising that they tend to become more active during rallies. This increased interest is what makes any surge sustainable for extended periods. As such, only rallies that can attract retail interest can hope to last. As the chart shows, the Bitcoin transfer volume for retail-sized moves peaked in May and has since seen a sharp drawdown of 30%. This would mean that the bearish price action has made these investors disappear. Interestingly, the downtrend in the indicator persisted even when Bitcoin had made a recovery back above $70,000 a few weeks ago, which could have been a potential foreshadowing that this rally would never stay. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Tied To BitMEX Whales: Quant Uncovers Link With the 30-day retail transfer volume floating at the same lows as during the bearish period in July 2021, any new recovery runs could also be set up for failure unless the indicator shows a revival. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at around $62,200, down over 4% in the past week. Featured image from Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com
Data shows over $668 million in cryptocurrency long contracts have been squeezed following Bitcoin’s crash under the $68,000 level. Bitcoin Has Registered A Drop Of 7% In The Last 24 Hours Right after setting a fresh all-time high (ATH) not too far from the $74,000 level, the Bitcoin price has reversed its trajectory sharply during […]
As Bitcoin drops below $68,000, history suggests this correction is rather tame for bull markets, as plunges to this deep on-chain level have been the norm. Bitcoin Short-Term Holder Realized Price Is Currently Around $53,200 As pointed out by CryptoQuant Netherlands community manager Maartunn in a post on X, BTC still has a decent margin over the realized price of the short-term holders. The “realized price” is an on-chain metric that keeps track of the average price at which the Bitcoin investors acquired their coins. The indicator calculates this value by going through the transaction history of each coin and assuming that the last transfer of it was the last time it was purchased (that is, the price at the time is its current cost basis). Related Reading: Why Is Bitcoin Price Down Today? 3 Key Reasons When the spot value of the cryptocurrency dips below the realized price, it means that the average investor is now in a state of loss. On the other hand, a break above implies the market as a whole has entered into net profits. In the context of the current discussion, the realized price for only a particular segment of the investors is of interest: the “short-term holders” (STHs). The STHs include all the investors who bought their coins within the past 155 days. Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin realized price specifically for this cohort: Looks like the value of the metric has been trending up recently | Source: @JA_Maartun on X As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin STH realized price has shot up recently as the price of the asset has gone up. This makes sense, as this group includes the most recent buyers, who would continuously be buying at higher prices in an uptrend, thus raising their average cost basis. At present, this cohort’s realized price is about $53,200. During the past day, BTC has seen a sharp drop that has taken its price below the $68,000 mark, but clearly, the STHs would still be in high profits even after this drawdown. “In previous bull markets, the average cost basis of short-term holders was fully reset multiple times,” explains Maartunn. This trend is most prominent in the data for the 2017 bull run when the price retested this level several times. An interesting pattern that has been held is that these retests of the level during bull trends have generally resulted in the cryptocurrency finding support and turning itself back around. The explanation for this trend may lie in the fickle nature of the STHs. The cost basis is an important level for these investors, and when a retest of it happens, they panic and show some reaction. Related Reading: Brace For Impact: MicroStrategy Is Planning Another $500 Million Bitcoin Purchase During uptrends, these holders are more likely to buy more when a retest of their cost basis occurs since they may think that the same price levels that were profitable earlier will be so again in the near future. Naturally, it’s not a certainty that Bitcoin would also end up retesting this level in this bull market. Still, a correction might reach close to it if the historical precedent is anything to go by. BTC Price Following its 7% drop in the past day, Bitcoin is trading at around $67,700. The price of the coin has registered a sharp drop over the last 24 hours | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView Featured image from Maxim Hopman on Unsplash.com, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com