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Bitcoin is once again at the center of market attention, facing a decisive test after several days of heightened volatility. Last Friday, BTC lost the crucial $110,000 support level, sparking concerns that the recent rally may be running out of steam. Since then, the market has been marked by sharp swings as bulls attempt to defend current levels against mounting selling pressure. Related Reading: Ethereum Leads Market While Altcoins Lose Ground – Details Analysts are increasingly divided. While some believe this is a healthy consolidation within a broader uptrend, others are warning that Bitcoin could be on the brink of a deeper correction. With fear creeping back into sentiment, traders are closely watching key levels that could determine the next phase of price action. Adding to the uncertainty, new data from CryptoQuant reveals that Galaxy Digital has been selling BTC in the past hours, fueling speculation about whether institutional players are beginning to take profits. Such moves often amplify volatility, as smaller investors react to large-scale transactions by whales and funds. With Bitcoin’s trajectory at a crossroads, the coming days will be crucial. Either bulls regain control and push BTC back above resistance, or selling pressure intensifies, dragging the market into its sharpest correction since the summer rally. Galaxy Digital Sells BTC, Signals Market Shift According to CryptoQuant analyst Maartunn, Galaxy Digital’s Bitcoin balance has dropped by 1,167 BTC, adding fresh pressure to an already fragile market. The move comes at a moment when Bitcoin is testing crucial levels after losing the $110,000 mark last Friday, intensifying speculation that institutions may be locking in profits. While the reduction in holdings may not seem overwhelming in isolation, the timing has sparked concerns as Bitcoin’s next weekly close approaches. The broader market context makes this development even more significant. Ethereum, the second-largest cryptocurrency, is consolidating around key demand levels after weeks of heavy volatility, suggesting that capital rotation is slowing while investors reassess their risk appetite. If ETH continues to hold firm, it may provide a degree of support for altcoins, but Bitcoin remains the decisive anchor for market sentiment. For Bitcoin, the next sessions represent a make-or-break phase. A strong weekly close above $110,000 could help restore confidence, signaling that the recent correction was temporary profit-taking rather than the start of a deeper downturn. Conversely, if selling pressure persists and BTC fails to recover, analysts warn of a possible slide toward $100,000 as the next major support zone. With Galaxy Digital’s activity highlighting institutional caution, investors are left weighing whether this is a short-term shakeout or the first sign of a broader distribution trend. Either way, the market’s reaction in the coming days will set the tone for the weeks ahead. Related Reading: Ethereum Demand Climbs As Monthly Transactions Hit New All-Time High Bitcoin Struggles To Hold Support As Selling Pressure Mounts Bitcoin (BTC) is trading around $108,764, showing signs of weakness after failing to recover from last week’s breakdown below the $110,000 level. The daily chart highlights how BTC has struggled to regain momentum, with repeated rejections around $112,000 confirming heavy selling pressure from the market. The technical outlook suggests that Bitcoin is now sitting at a crucial crossroads. The 50-day moving average (blue line) near $111,673 has flipped into resistance, a bearish signal that underscores the market’s current weakness. Meanwhile, the 100-day moving average (green line) at $116,323 has also begun sloping downward, suggesting that medium-term momentum is turning bearish. Related Reading: Bitcoin Index Highlights Two Accumulations And Five Distribution Waves This Cycle – Details Support, however, lies around the 200-day moving average (red line) near $101,207. If BTC continues to trend lower, this level will be critical to watch, as it could provide the foundation for a rebound. Losing it would open the door to a deeper correction, with $100,000 emerging as the next psychological level. Bitcoin’s inability to reclaim the $110K–$112K zone leaves it vulnerable to further downside. Bulls must step in soon to defend support, or the market risks accelerating into its largest correction since the summer rally. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin’s rally and its doubters remain on a collision course as the market pauses after a run of record highs. Related Reading: Ethereum Bullishness: Ark Invest Boss Scoops $16-M More In BitMine Stock According to CoinGecko, Bitcoin hit $124,050 on July 14 and was trading around $109,124 at the time of publication. The pullback has not stopped some voices from projecting far higher prices, but it has kept sceptics loud. Skepticism Will Likely Persist According to Luke Broyles, a commentator known as The Bitcoin Adviser, doubt about bitcoin’s upside will probably stick around even if prices soar. Broyles told Natalie Brunell on the Coin Stories podcast that he expects bitcoin to reach $5 million, $10 million or more, and that people will still insist it can’t go any higher. He said this is not just a market problem. It is a mindset problem. Psychology Trumps Tech For Many People Broyles argued that most people have not yet connected bitcoin to things that change daily life. “I think it’s going to be that way for a very long time,” he said. Adoption, he suggested, will advance faster when bitcoin is tied to familiar financial decisions rather than presented as a small, optional investment to chip away at over months. That, he said, is what will convince larger groups of people to take it seriously. Real Estate Integration Could Drive Adoption Broyles offered a practical example. He asked whether it would be easier to persuade someone to buy small amounts of bitcoin for 200 months, or to tell them they could refinance a home and convert some equity into bitcoin. He said the latter would “blow people’s minds.” Reports have disclosed that blending bitcoin with mortgage and loan products could make the asset feel more useful, not just speculative. A Wide Gap In Understanding Remains According to an August 2024 survey by Australian exchange Swyftx, over 40% of nearly 2,230 respondents said they had not used crypto because they were not sure about it. That finding underscores a persistent gap between market moves and mainstream comfort. Price records are visible and headline-grabbing. Practical familiarity is slower to arrive. Related Reading: XRP Price Could See Boost As Japanese Gaming Giant Commits 2.5-B Yen Investment Skeptics Reappear At Every Milestone History shows critics have questioned Bitcoin at each new high and during every correction. At times when prices tumbled, some commentators said it was over for good. Those views faded when the market recovered. That pattern has been repeated many times and was noted again in recent comments from market watchers. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

Cryptowzrd, in a fresh update on Bitcoin’s daily technical outlook, noted that the market closed bearish, leaving room for further downside. A decisive close below the $110,500 support could mark a key shift, making lower levels worth watching.  Daily Candle Signals Bearish Pressure For Bitcoin Cryptowzrd expanded on his outlook by pointing out that Bitcoin’s daily candle closed bearish, with price now trading beneath the $110,500 support zone. This breakdown is significant and could invite further selling pressure in the sessions ahead if buyers fail to reclaim the level. Related Reading: Is The Bitcoin Rally Over? Analyst Forecasts Drop To $94,000 If This Level Doesn’t Hold He emphasized that holding below this support opens the door for a potential move toward the $100,000 mark. However, a strong bullish candle and a swift recovery could invalidate the bearish setup, restoring confidence for buyers. In the analysis, he also highlighted the performance of Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D), which closed indecisively while displaying weakness. This weakness in dominance is often viewed as a positive signal for altcoins, as it suggests capital is flowing away from Bitcoin and into alternative assets. Such a shift in market dominance reflects growing market confidence in altcoins. When Bitcoin dominance stalls or declines, it tends to fuel altcoin rallies, allowing traders to diversify into promising setups across the market. Finally, he noted that markets are heading into the monthly transition period, a time often associated with increased volatility and mixed sentiment. Going into the weekend, he emphasized the importance of staying rational and avoiding overextending in either direction, maintaining measured strategies while waiting for clearer confirmation signals. BTC Volatility Dominates Intraday Trading Cryptowzrd highlighted that today’s intraday chart displayed sharp volatility with a clear bearish tone, as Bitcoin slipped and is currently holding below the $110,400 intraday support. This level has now become critical, as losing it signals weakening buyer strength and raises the risk of further downside pressure.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Rally Over? CryptoQuant’s Bull Score Index Turns Bearish He explained that if Bitcoin retests $110,400 and fails to reclaim it, the level could flip into resistance. Such a scenario would likely trigger a short setup, with price action targeting the $105,500 support area or even extending lower if bearish momentum accelerates. This makes the $110,400 region a decisive battleground for traders closely watching intraday setups. On the other hand, Cryptowzrd pointed out that a strong reclaim and hold above $110,400 could shift momentum back in favor of the bulls, opening the door for further upside pressure. However, the crypto analyst emphasized that the market currently lacks clarity, and traders should exercise caution before rushing in. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

The Bitcoin price is once again under heavy pressure in the market. An analyst has warned that the coin shows strong bearish signs after being rejected at a resistance level. The price has now fallen to a critical support area, where buyers are trying to hold the line. According to the analyst, if the level fails, the price could drop even lower, raising doubts about whether the key levels will remain safe. Analyst Says Bitcoin Price Turned Bearish After $121,000 Rejection The analyst explained that the bearish trend began when Bitcoin strongly rejected the $121,000 resistance level. According to the analyst, that rejection forced the coin to break down from its earlier upward channel, which had guided the price during its last rally. Once this breakdown happened, the mood in the market shifted, and a new bearish phase took hold. Related Reading: VanEck CEO Reveals Which Altcoin Is “The Wall Street Token”, It’s Not XRP The analyst added that Bitcoin first moved within a downward channel, but even that structure could not hold. As selling pressure increased, the coin also broke below the support level of this channel. The downward move marked a shift in sentiment, as buyers could not keep the price stable. According to the analyst, Bitcoin’s fall may now follow a steep local trend line, which could cause the coin to decline faster. This kind of move shows that sellers are firmly in control for now. The analyst’s view is that the rejection at $121,000 was a turning point, and the coin has been unable to regain strength since then. For many traders, this level has become a clear resistance that won’t break again without strong demand. $109,700 Support Under Pressure, Analyst Targets $104,000 Next The analyst also pointed out that Bitcoin is now directly testing the key buyer zone at $109,700. The level acts as a horizontal support, and the analyst says that if it fails, the bearish case could only grow stronger. While there may be a short period of sideways movement or a minor retest of the nearby trend line, the analyst believes the dominant force in the market remains downward pressure. Related Reading: Bitcoin OG Who Told People To Buy BTC At $1 Reveals How High XRP Price Will Go In simple terms, the analyst expects the weight of selling to break the $109,700 level. If that happens, the path to $104,000 becomes the next logical target. The analyst explained that this lower zone could be the next support area where buyers might try to fight back. However, if $109,700 does not hold, the move to $104,000 could come quickly. Beyond that, the market will begin to ask a bigger question — can Bitcoin hold the critical $100,000 level? Traders are watching closely, because a break below that level would mark a significant shift in the broader trend. Featured image from DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin remains under pressure after sliding from its all-time high above $124,000 earlier this month. At the time of writing, the asset trades at $110,219, reflecting a weekly decline of about 2% and a broader drop of more than 10% from its peak. Despite the correction, analysts continue to examine on-chain data for signs of the market’s next direction. Among the latest insights, CryptoQuant contributor CryptoOnchain highlighted the significance of the MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) Price Bands, a long-observed metric used to assess market cycles. According to the analyst, Bitcoin’s current positioning above key support bands suggests the uptrend remains intact, but with room for both continued growth and potential volatility. Related Reading: JPMorgan Says Bitcoin Is ‘Undervalued’—But By How Much? MVRV Price Bands Point to Potential Cycle Top The MVRV Price Bands model has historically been used to identify both bottoms and tops in Bitcoin’s long-term cycles. CryptoOnchain noted that the model’s lower band, often referred to as the “floor price,” reliably marked market lows in 2018 and 2022, while the upper band highlighted cycle peaks such as 2017 and 2021. Currently, Bitcoin’s trading price is positioned well above the model’s floor price of around $52,300 and its median support level of approximately $91,600. This indicates what the analyst referred to as a “healthy uptrend” with persistent activity from long-term holders. Importantly, the model’s projected ceiling price suggests that Bitcoin could reach as high as $183,000 by August 2025, assuming historical trends remain consistent. The analyst emphasized that while the ceiling level offers a potential target, traders should monitor the mid-price band for signs of weakening momentum. A decisive move below this level could indicate a shift in trend, raising the possibility of deeper corrections even within a bullish cycle. Bitcoin Cost Basis Trends Reflect Market Behavior A separate analysis by CryptoQuant contributor BorisD provided additional context by examining the cost basis of Bitcoin investors on Binance. Data shows that the average deposit address cost basis on Binance has risen from $44,000 earlier this year to $62,000. This suggests that investors are actively accumulating at higher price zones, particularly around Bitcoin’s recent peaks. New whale investors, defined as large-scale buyers with significant holdings, currently hold an average cost basis of $108,000, which is emerging as a key support level. According to BorisD, this level could serve as the foundation for the next leg of upward momentum if demand persists. At the same time, miner-linked wallets showed a slight reduction in their average cost basis from $58,000 to $54,000, hinting at modest selling pressure from mining operations. Related Reading: Bitcoin And The September Curse: Can This Time Be Different? Long-term holders, meanwhile, remain well positioned, with a cost basis near $40,000. This region has historically been considered a strong accumulation zone, providing resilience during broader market corrections. BorisD pointed out that cost basis levels often track closely with price behavior and can act as both support and resistance during volatile swings. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

The Bitcoin price has experienced a notable downturn, with the market’s largest cryptocurrency retracting 8% in the monthly time frame. This decline has sparked significant criticism on social media, particularly against the crypto exchange Binance, which some investors accuse of contributing to the current market slump. Binance Behind The Bitcoin Price Slump? Market analyst DeFitracer shared insights on social media site X (formerly Twitter), questioning why the market is experiencing a sell-off despite what he describes as an oversaturation of positive catalysts.  These include record inflows into crypto exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) anticipated for next month. Yet, he points out, “we’re still dumping—why?” Related Reading: LINK Price Climbs Following Chainlink’s Deal With US Commerce Department, Eyes $30 According to DeFitracer, the ongoing sell-offs appear to be orchestrated by Binance, which he claims is using a third party, market maker Wintermute, to execute its trades.  This strategy, he argues, is designed to set a bearish trend that retail investors follow, ultimately benefiting Binance through profits from futures liquidations. In fact, 2024 saw $344 million liquidated in a single day on the exchange, and current market manipulations may yield similar results, he asserts. As of press time, the market’s leading cryptocurrency trades at $108,295, meaning a 12% retrace from all-time high (ATH) levels of $124,000 reached earlier in the month.  Three-Phase Reaction To Crypto Sell-Off DeFitracer also highlighted significant activity surrounding Solana (SOL). The analyst indicates that beyond Bitcoin, Binance has also been offloading SOL, potentially driven by an alleged desire to curb competition with its own token, Binance Coin (BNB), which currently has a market cap of $117 billion compared to SOL’s $102 billion.  The analyst also said in his analysis that this activity raises questions about where Binance is sourcing its Solana, as their proof-of-reserves only shows client funds, suggesting that customer assets might be at risk in these trading maneuvers. DeFitracer added that these movements echo the practices of collapsed exchanges like FTX, which similarly utilized client funds through its trading arm Alameda Research:  This is a terrible look for the exchange. User funds should stay safe – not be used for market games. FTX pulled the same move with client funds through Alameda Research. We all know how that ended Related Reading: Ethereum Could Suffer $5 Billion Sell Pressure As Exit Queue Crosses 1 Million ETH While the current market conditions may seem daunting, DeFitracer outlines a potential three-phase market reaction: an initial phase of panic leading to retail exits, followed by accumulation during the downturn, and finally, a sharp rebound.  He emphasizes that the upcoming rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve next month could significantly shift the market sentiment, recalling how similar cuts in 2021 triggered a massive bull run, propelling the Bitcoin price to new heights. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

Fresh data from Binance suggests that Bitcoin’s (BTC) illiquid supply has reached historically high levels, a development that could set the stage for BTC to eye the $150,000 milestone by the end of 2025. Bitcoin Illiquid Supply On Binance Hit Record Highs According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, Bitcoin’s illiquid supply recently touched new highs on the Binance exchange. In contrast, BTC’s liquid supply has seen a significant decline. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sentiment On Binance Turns Bullish – But Is The Market Setting A Trap? The CryptoQuant contributor shared the following chart which shows the difference between BTC’s liquid vs illiquid supply on Binance. Bitcoin recently hit a fresh all-time high (ATH) above $120,000 before a price correction, showing that the market is currently in a state of “liquidity scarcity” supporting an upward trend. A high level of illiquid supply essentially means that more BTC is locked away in wallets with minimal movement, effectively removing it from circulation on exchanges. This reduces the amount of Bitcoin available for trading. A lack of BTC readily available on exchanges increases buying pressure on the limited supply that remains. This dynamic helps explain how BTC has continued to reach new highs even without massive inflows of external liquidity. That said, there remain some risks. BTC’s low liquid supply means that whales or large holders can exert significant pressure on the cryptocurrency through any sudden sell-off. Such pressure could result in sharp price correction for the digital asset due to the lack of liquidity to absorb the new supply. At the same time, current on-chain data indicates that whales and institutions appear to be adopting a “hold for the long haul” strategy, underscoring their confidence in Bitcoin’s role as a long-term strategic asset. However, analysts caution that any sudden shift in this behavior would be felt almost immediately across the market. BTC In A “Fragile Bull Run” Arab Chain described the present market situation as a contradictory one. On one hand, rising illiquid supply provides a foundation for further price appreciation. On the other, the lack of liquid supply creates a fragile market structure where even moderate selling could cause significant volatility. Related Reading: More Pain For Bitcoin? Open Interest Surpasses $40 Billion As Longs Crowd In As a result, Bitcoin is currently in a “fragile bull run” in that it is supported by long-term holders but susceptible to sudden selling from whales. However, if BTC illiquid supply continues to rise, then it could move toward levels exceeding $150,000 by the end of 2025. On the flipside, if the liquid supply increases due to persistent sell-offs, then the market could face challenges, leading to a price decline to as low as the $90,000 to $100,000 range. Despite BTC’s fragile price momentum, some experts continue to remain optimistic. Crypto analyst Timothy Peterson recently predicted that BTC can surge as high as $160,000 by Christmas. At press time, BTC trades at $109,286, down 3% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com

Eric Trump laid out a bluntly bullish, supply-and-demand case for why Bitcoin can reach $1 million, arguing that accelerating institutional access collides with Bitcoin’s fixed 21 million-coin cap, during a “Bitcoin Takes Over the World” session with David Bailey at the Bitcoin Asia conference in Hong Kong on August 29. Bitcoin’s Path To $1 Million Is ‘No Question’ “Everybody wants Bitcoin. Everybody is buying Bitcoin. And that’s uh that’s an incredible thing. And that’s why I’ve always said that I really believe that in the next several years, Bitcoin will hit a million dollars. There’s no question Bitcoin hits a million dollars,” Trump told the audience, adding that “every person who wants an asset class and you have a very limited supply… it doesn’t take a genius to figure out where that goes.” He urged long-term accumulation over timing: “Buy right now. Shut your eyes. Hold it for the next five years and you are going to do terrifically well.” Trump also recounted his private discussions with high-level investors in the lead-up to the conference: “When you’re in the room with certain people and and I had breakfast this morning with, you know, a couple of the most powerful people in the region and the hospitality space and you’re literally sitting there trying to explain to them what digital currency is, you realize how early we all are to this race […] I hear from people all the time, you know, should I get into cryptocurrency? Did I miss it? Am I too late? And I literally start laughing at them. I go, we haven’t even scratched the surface of what Bitcoin is going to be.” Related Reading: Bitcoin And The September Curse: Can This Time Be Different? Trump’s core thesis combined two pillars: finite issuance and broadening distribution rails. He repeatedly emphasized Bitcoin’s provable scarcity—“There’s only 21 million coins… It’s finite. And that’s what makes it so damn powerful”—while asserting that channels for ownership have widened to large pools of capital. “In America, people are buying it for their retirement plans for the first time… you’ve got trillions of dollars of liquidity that’s opening up,” he said, citing custody at “major financial institutions,” as well as uptake by “the biggest banks,” “the biggest families,” “Fortune 500 companies,” and “sovereign wealth funds.” According to Trump, those cohorts are long-term holders: “Those retirement accounts are not letting Bitcoin go. Those companies are not letting Bitcoin go. Those sovereign wealth funds are not letting Bitcoin go.” Pressed on what he is hearing in high-level rooms globally, Trump offered another anecdote—without naming the country—about a leader who “literally [takes] the entire energy supply of a major city in the middle of a winter and uses it to mine Bitcoin because that’s how much they believe in the asset.” He added, “You realize how early we all are […] more and more people are finding their inroads,” pointing to improving exchange usability and new consumer on-ramps. “We’re literally trying to get cryptocurrency to the masses,” he said about World Liberty Financial. Related Reading: Bitcoin Supply In Profit Hits Historical Threshold – Echoing Past Patterns Trump also highlighted his own commercial exposure to the sector. He described American Bitcoin as “one of the biggest Bitcoin mining companies on Earth,” claiming it produces “about 3% of the world’s Bitcoin every single day,” operates from “some of the cheapest energy in the world… in Texas,” and targets a “rough cost per… mining of Bitcoin… about $37,000,” with plans to list on Nasdaq “very soon.” Beyond mining, he praised his involvement with MetaPlanet alongside Simon Gerovich—whom he dubbed “the Michael Saylor of Asia”—saying the company had “single-handedly changed… the way [Japan and] a lot of Asia” view Bitcoin. The conversation returned repeatedly to Bitcoin’s evolving utility narrative. While calling Bitcoin “digital gold” and “the greatest store of value that’s arguably ever been created,” Trump argued its use cases are broadening: “Every single day they’re figuring out new ways to kind of stake it, to get yield on it, to use it for everyday purchases […] you’re taking this digital gold […] and you’re putting massive utility behind Bitcoin.” He framed volatility as an ally for long-term buyers—“Volatility is our friend”—and, with a wink to Michael Saylor’s famous extremism, quipped, “I know obviously he jokes when he says that, but he’s right. Buy it, hold it, and I think you’re going to do extremely well.” At press time, BTC traded at $110,149. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin has entered a consolidation phase after reaching $124,500 earlier this month and retracing below the $115,000 mark. The sharp move higher followed by weeks of sideways action has left the market in a state of uncertainty, with traders watching closely for the next decisive move. For many analysts, this consolidation is not a sign of weakness but rather a natural pause before the next leg higher. Related Reading: Bitcoin Supply In Profit Hits Historical Threshold – Echoing Past Patterns A push above the all-time high would be the clearest confirmation that the next wave of growth has begun. Momentum, however, remains dependent on whether buyers can reclaim lost ground and sustain pressure against resistance levels. Despite short-term caution, onchain signals suggest the broader cycle is still building toward expansion. According to key data shared by CryptoQuant, the Bitcoin Composite Probability points to an early accumulation phase. Historically, such phases occur before major breakouts, when patient investors quietly build positions while price consolidates. This indicator aligns with the idea that the market is resetting before another surge. Bitcoin Market Structure Points To Early Accumulation According to top analyst Axel Adler, Bitcoin’s current cycle can be broken down into clear phases of accumulation and distribution. The index highlights two major accumulation points: the first in March 2023, when Bitcoin traded around $22,000, and the second in August–September 2023, near the $29,000 level. These zones marked periods when long-term holders and new entrants quietly built positions before the next leg upward. Following these accumulation phases, Adler identifies five distribution waves where profit-taking dominated: first between $34,000 and $44,000, then at $62,000, followed by $90,000, $109,000, and most recently at $118,000. Each wave represented a step higher in the market structure, but also a point where sellers gradually released supply back into the market. Currently, CryptoQuant’s composite places Bitcoin at a Probability of 38% with a Min-Max of 31%, which he defines as the “repair zone.” This phase, also referred to as digestion or base formation, reflects early accumulation without yet confirming an upward reversal. In other words, while the groundwork for a new rally may be forming, conviction from buyers has not fully returned. For investors, this repair zone carries important implications. Historically, such phases have preceded new bullish waves, offering opportunities for those willing to accumulate before momentum shifts. As Bitcoin consolidates below its highs, Adler suggests that the market may be quietly preparing for continuation — a reminder that consolidation often sets the stage for the next decisive move. Related Reading: Bitcoin Normalized Address Activity Drops To 30%: Selling Pressure Eases Testing Pivotal Level As Downtrend Extends Bitcoin is trading around $109,800 after another sharp drop, reinforcing the selling pressure that has weighed on price action throughout August. The 4-hour chart highlights BTC’s continued struggle to regain momentum following repeated rejections near the $123,000 resistance zone. Each attempt to push higher has been met with heavy supply, leaving the market to trend lower in a series of lower highs and lower lows. Currently, BTC sits just above the $110,000 mark, a level acting as short-term support. However, the broader structure remains bearish, with price trading below the 50-day ($112,725), 100-day ($115,023), and 200-day ($115,831) moving averages. These technical levels now serve as overhead resistance, further complicating the path for bulls to stage a meaningful recovery. Related Reading: Bitcoin MVRV Compression Signals Pause – Market Digests Recent Volatility If Bitcoin fails to hold the $110,000 support, the next downside target lies near $108,000, with a deeper correction potentially extending toward $106,000. Conversely, a bounce from current levels would require reclaiming $112,000 to ease immediate pressure, while a decisive move above $115,000 would be essential to shift momentum back in favor of buyers. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

Charles Hoskinson, a founder of Ethereum and the driving force behind Cardano, laid out a sweeping forecast for crypto markets and payments this week. Related Reading: Dogecoin Gears Up For Triple Surge Vs. Bitcoin – Details He predicted Bitcoin could reach $250,000 in the current market cycle and said the token’s total market value might hit $10 trillion in the next five years. Reports have disclosed that he links that outlook to new US stablecoin rules and what he calls clearer market structure. Bitcoin’s Role And Limits In an interview on the David Lin Report, Hoskinson argued that Bitcoin’s design made it strong as a store of value but limited as a global payments rail. He pointed to the old “big block” debates that pushed the network toward saving rather than everyday payments. Layer Two solutions, he said, are where Bitcoin gains the speed and lower cost needed for daily use. This framing leaves room for other blockchains to offer broader financial services. Cardano’s Track Record And Staking Hoskinson framed Cardano as an alternative path — one built on research and formal methods rather than rapid experimentation. Based on reports, the network has operated continuously for about eight years and uses a proof-of-stake model that many users back. Reports also state that over 70% of ADA in circulation has been staked by holders who support the network. That figure is commonly cited when comparing Cardano’s staking take-up to other blockchains. Stablecoins, Lawmakers, And Push For Tokenization Stablecoins are central to Hoskinson’s case. He told lawmakers and audiences that tokens tied to fiat could give people in countries with weak local currencies access to dollar-like stability. According to White House materials, the GENIUS Act has moved through the political process and was signed into law by US President Donald Trump, creating a new US framework for stablecoins. Based on data, the stablecoin market has topped $250 billion in supply, a milestone that regulators and banks are watching closely. A Critique Of Traditional Markets Hoskinson was blunt about exchanges and the stock market. He called current exchange practices “preposterous” and criticized systems that rely on centralized trust, including large listing fees and gatekeeping by a few firms. Related Reading: Finance News Giant Outlines Where XRP Could Be In 2026 And Beyond He said decentralized exchanges — where the protocol enforces rules — could cut out those middlemen and give people more control over their assets. That pitch fits a wider industry argument for moving custody and trade settlement onto public blockchains. For Hoskinson, Bitcoin will stay digital gold, while stablecoins, tokenized assets, and decentralized systems grow around it. The real question, he suggests, is not only how high Bitcoin’s price can go, but how the movement of money will be reshaped. Featured image from Meta, chart from TradingView

JPMorgan has thrown fresh fuel on the most durable comparison in digital assets, arguing in a new research note that Bitcoin now screens “too cheap” versus gold as its volatility collapses to historic lows. How Undervalued Is Bitcoin? The bank’s cross-asset team says six-month BTC volatility has fallen from nearly 60% at the start of 2025 to roughly 30%—a series low—and that Bitcoin is now only about twice as volatile as gold, the narrowest gap on record. On the bank’s volatility-adjusted framework, that compression implies Bitcoin’s market value would need to rise about 13%—translating to roughly $126,000 per coin—to align with the roughly $5 trillion private investment market in gold, leaving BTC “undervalued by around $16,000” on this basis. Related Reading: Bitcoin And The September Curse: Can This Time Be Different? The framing matters. JPMorgan is not saying Bitcoin should be as large as the entire gold complex—jewelry, central-bank reserves and industrial uses included—but rather that on a risk-adjusted basis, given how much less volatile BTC has become relative to bullion, Bitcoin’s capitalization can justify a higher level than where it trades today if one benchmarks against gold’s private-investment slice of the market. The headline takeaway—“Bitcoin undervalued vs. gold as volatility falls”—was amplified by market-moving account Walter Bloomberg on X, underscoring the point that the valuation gap is a function of volatility as much as price. The bank’s analysts, led by Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, attribute part of the volatility collapse to an evolving holder base and market structure. They point to accelerating accumulation by corporate treasuries—which they estimate now hold more than 6% of circulating supply—and to index-related dynamics that are drawing passive capital into equities tied to Bitcoin exposure, both of which dampen day-to-day swings. The cause-and-effect is straightforward in their telling: a larger, more stable base of “sticky” holders lowers realized volatility, which in turn raises fair value on a volatility-normalized, gold-relative model. Gold Parity And Beyond The claim also drew a pointed reaction from industry commentators. “It’s only a matter of time until Bitcoin reaches parity with gold,” argued Joe Consorti, head of growth at Theya, calling JPMorgan’s note “a big admission.” Related Reading: Bitcoin & Ethereum Whale Populations Quietly Growing, On-Chain Data Reveals In his view, the longer-run destination is not parity on a risk-adjusted model but outright dominance: “At today’s market capitalization, Bitcoin would trade at $1.17 million per coin if it were equal to the size of gold.” He extends the thought experiment into a timeline, contending that if Bitcoin and gold simply maintain their five-year compound growth rates, parity arrives in the early 2030s. “If Bitcoin and gold simply keep growing at their current five-year compound annual growth rates, parity arrives in late 2031. That would mean a $53 trillion market cap for Bitcoin and a price north of $2.5 million per coin. Even under more conservative assumptions, the convergence still happens in the early 2030s. Because it’s not just about Bitcoin’s growth, it’s also about gold losing market share,” the analyst argues. JPMorgan just admitted bitcoin at $112k is undervalued versus gold. Bitcoin would be $1.17M if it was the size of gold today. When will bitcoin reach gold parity, and how much will it be worth? [B2YB @JoinHorizon_] pic.twitter.com/GvofTvKEef — Joe Consorti ⚡️ (@JoeConsorti) August 28, 2025 While these are Consorti’s projections, not JPMorgan’s, they sketch the more maximalist endpoint of the same relative-value logic. At press time, BTC traded at $111,061. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin’s price remains under pressure after retreating from its record high above $124,000 earlier this month. At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $113,146, reflecting a decline of 8.7% from its recent peak, though it has recorded a modest 1.8% daily increase. The movement highlights ongoing volatility, as investors weigh both on-chain metrics and broader market sentiment to determine whether the bull cycle can regain strength. Analysts have pointed to a shift in behavior among large traders, particularly on Binance, the world’s largest exchange by volume. According to Arab Chain, a contributor to CryptoQuant’s QuickTake platform, the activity of whales, investors with large holdings, has played a significant role in recent corrections. His analysis of August trading activity suggests that weakened momentum and renewed selling pressure may explain the inability of Bitcoin to sustain its highs. Related Reading: Bitcoin And The September Curse: Can This Time Be Different? Whale Activity on Binance Signals Weakening Momentum Arab Chain noted that throughout July, Bitcoin fluctuated between $118,000 and $122,000 in what he described as a “trendless” market, with low volatility and limited directional moves. During this period, inactive deltas, which measure the circulation of older coins, declined, suggesting whales had paused selling or temporarily exited the market. However, by mid-August, the trend reversed as inactive deltas surged, signaling that long-held coins were again being moved and potentially sold. This activity coincided with Bitcoin’s drop below $112,000, with the Delta indicator remaining near zero, an absence of clear buying pressure. Arab Chain explained that the lack of demand amid increased coin circulation typically results in corrections. “Large investors are selling again without a strong wave of new buyers emerging to balance the effect. This isn’t the end of the bullish cycle, but the momentum is starting to lose steam,” he said. He added that future price movements may depend on whether new catalysts, such as macroeconomic developments or institutional inflows, can reignite demand. Bitcoin Exchange Data Highlights Mixed Sentiment Another CryptoQuant analyst, TraderOasis, examined several metrics to provide further context. He observed that the Coinbase Premium Index, which compares trading activity between US exchanges and global platforms, showed accumulation even as prices fell. This suggests some investors, possibly institutions, were buying during the dip. However, he flagged caution given that the funding rate remained positive, a sign that traders were still leaning bullish even as prices declined, raising concerns about the risk of a liquidity reset. TraderOasis also pointed to open interest, or the number of outstanding derivatives contracts, as a key factor. He argued that open interest often acts as support or resistance relative to spot price. Currently, open interest sits above the market price, which could act as resistance unless broken. “If this level is broken, the price will continue to rise,” he noted. Together, these insights reveal a complex backdrop. While long-term adoption metrics and institutional buying remain supportive, short-term dynamics show cautious sentiment and potential for volatility. With whales selling, stablecoin inflows rising, and derivatives markets heating up, Bitcoin’s next move will likely depend on whether demand can reassert itself strongly enough to offset recent profit-taking. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

CryptoQuant’s Bitcoin Bull Score Index has dropped to a value of 20, hinting that a potential bearish transition could have occurred for the asset. Bitcoin Bull Score Index Is Now In “Extra Bearish” Territory In a new post on X, CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn has shared how the analytics firm’s “Bull Score Index” has changed for Bitcoin after its recent price drawdown. The Bull Score Index is an indicator that tells us about the market phase the cryptocurrency is currently going through. It determines this by referring to a bunch of key on-chain metrics. Related Reading: Bitcoin & Ethereum Whale Populations Quietly Growing, On-Chain Data Reveals Below is a chart that shows the trend in the indicator over the past year. As is visible in the graph, Bitcoin entered into the “bullish cooldown” phase at the start of August. This signal interestingly persisted even when its price set a new all-time high (ATH) later in the month, a potential sign that the breakout was always gonna be short-lived. In the market downturn that has followed this peak, the Bull Score Index first dipped into the “getting bearish” zone, and now, it has plunged right into “extra bearish” levels. “This is something to take serious,” notes Maartunn. Here is another chart, this one breaking down the individual signals contributing to the Bull Score Index’s value: As displayed in the graph, almost all of the indicators are giving a bearish signal at the moment. Perhaps the most popular metric on the list is the “Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Z-Score,” which relates to investor profitability. It would appear the current market conditions are bad enough to force it to turn red. Last time the MVRV Z-Score and Bull Score Index turned bearish was back in February of this year. What followed the signal was an extended phase of negative price action for Bitcoin. Given that the Bull Score Index is once again giving an extra bearish indication for the cryptocurrency, it remains to be seen whether its price will now see another transition. Related Reading: Bitcoin Selloff: $2.2 Billion In BTC Floods Exchanges Replying to Maartunn’s post, analyst Ali Martinez has agreed with the caution and shared another signal that could point to a similar outcome for Bitcoin. The indicator cited by Martinez is the net position change of the 90-day exponential moving average (EMA) Bitcoin Supply In Profit. From the chart, it’s apparent that the metric has turned negative recently, which is something that also happened before the bearish market phase earlier in the year. BTC Price While on-chain metrics may be pointing at a bearish conclusion for Bitcoin, its price has made a recovery to $113,000 for now. Featured image from Dall-E, Glassnode.com, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin is entering a phase of unusual calm, with price volatility dropping to some of its lowest levels in years. For many analysts, this reduced volatility is not a sign of weakness; rather, it’s a sign of strength. If this trend continues, the groundwork could be laid for a sustainable bull run fueled by Bitcoin’s growing reputation as a long-term store of value. Can Reduced Volatility Redefine Bitcoin’s Market Identity? Bitcoin is entering a new phase in its market evolution. As highlighted by CryptoRank_io on X, the world’s leading cryptocurrency has seen its volatility steadily decline in tandem with the growth of its market capitalization. This trend suggests that Bitcoin is maturing from a speculative, high-risk asset into a more stable, long-term investment vehicle. Related Reading: Bitcoin Breakdown in Motion – Bounce Trap Or Deeper Bear Market Warning? Such a shift toward stability could significantly impact how Bitcoin evolves in the years ahead, rather than the explosive, parabolic rallies and brutal corrections that have historically defined BTC’s price action. The lower volatility suggests that the next phase of growth may come in the form of steadier and more sustainable increases with shallower pullbacks. This is a crucial development for institutional investors and major funds. Traditional finance prefers assets with predictable risk profiles, and Bitcoin’s reduced volatility makes it far more attractive for large-scale allocation.  BTC’s market structure signals bearish sentiment despite rising open interest. According to Luca, the Bitcoin market is showing signs of tension. Since BTC topped out in mid-August, a clear divergence has emerged between Open Interest and Funding Rates. While Open Interest has been steadily climbing, indicating that more positions are being opened, Funding Rates have been trending lower. This setup suggests that bears are doubling down and loading up on short positions in anticipation of further downside. Traders seem to be betting that the latest move lower is just the beginning, especially as BTC heads into September, which is a historically weak month for Bitcoin. Luca noted that this aligns with his previous observations, suggesting that the market may continue to favor bearish positioning in the near term. Sideways Movement Highlights Bitcoin Stability Daan Crypto Trades also revealed that Bitcoin has largely been consolidating over the past few months, showing sideways price action compared to the Standard & Poor 500 (S&P 500). BTC is only up around 10% vs the 2021 all-time high in relation to stocks in 2021. Related Reading: Bitcoin 10% Off Its Highs—But Hidden On-Chain Data Tells a Different Story The trend highlights that the cryptocurrency has yet to replicate the dramatic gains seen in previous cycles. Daan points out that the S&P 500’s performance during this period has been significantly boosted by the surge in AI-related developments, which accelerated equity market gains. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

The crypto market is paying close attention after one of the most famous early Bitcoin voices shared a bold view on XRP. Davinci Jeremie, who gained notoriety for advising people to buy Bitcoin at just $1 back in 2013, has now issued a strong forecast for XRP, noting that the token’s chart displays a healthy structure and a bullish pattern.  Davinci Jeremie Maps XRP Price Path To $4.93 With Fibonacci Levels In his detailed breakdown, Jeremie focused on XRP’s recent movements and the structure forming on its chart. He pointed to a clear W-shaped pattern as a bullish signal. According to him, the market action that pushed XRP higher in recent weeks appeared to be organic, with genuine investor activity providing support rather than artificial manipulation. Related Reading: Pundit Says Bitcoin Price Crash Is Not Over, Why A Decline Below $100,000 Is Coming Jeremie explained that he used the Fibonacci extension levels to calculate possible price targets for XRP. He said the 1.618 level comes in at 4,555 Chilean pesos, but he believes the token could go slightly higher. His projection puts the token at 4,761 pesos, which converts to about $4.93. If this outlook materializes, XRP would not only maintain its current momentum but also surpass its previous all-time high of $3.65, which it met in July of this year. According to the analyst, XRP’s earlier moves in late 2024 appeared forced, with extreme jumps that raised doubts, but this newest action looks more natural and could carry further implications. He emphasized that the chart math and price behavior support the path to further bullish growth, while the token’s structure itself demonstrates clear strength. Bitcoin Maximalist Turns Bullish On XRP’s Market Structure What makes this analysis stand out even more is who it is coming from. Davinci Jeremie has long been regarded as a strong supporter of Bitcoin, often described as a Bitcoin maximalist. His early call for people to buy BTC when the price was at only $1 has given him lasting credibility in the cryptocurrency space. For that reason, his positive comments on XRP are being taken very seriously by many in the market. Related Reading: Rumored Ripple NDA Suggests Trump, BlackRock, And JP Morgan Are Working With XRP Ledger Jeremie emphasized that XRP’s moves from January to June formed a clean W formation on the weekly chart. He explained how the token reached a high of $ 3.40 in January, dropped to around $2.11 in April, rebounded to $2.60 in May, declined to near $2 in June, and then rallied strongly to surpass its January high. That sequence, he said, completed the pattern and opened the door for more gains. His change of tone shows that a strong market structure can override token bias. Even for someone who has close ties to Bitcoin, the health of XRP’s current chart was enough to spark a bullish outlook. Jeremie’s analysis suggests that more investors may start looking at XRP differently, seeing it as an asset with room to grow beyond old expectations.  Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin dominance is at a pivotal moment, testing key support levels that could determine market direction. A bounce from these zones may signal temporary stability, while a breakdown could trigger deeper declines and shift attention toward altcoins.  Market Structure Signals Growing Vulnerability According to @Crypto_TheBoss in a recent market update, Bitcoin dominance has slipped below the 60% support level, signaling a notable change in market dynamics. This breakdown points to a weakening grip for Bitcoin as capital flows begin to diversify into other areas of the crypto market. Moves like this often act as early signals of potential altcoin strength, as traders look beyond Bitcoin for opportunities. Related Reading: Altcoins Takeover Incoming? These On-Chain Metrics Signal An Imminent Market Shift The analyst noted that Bitcoin dominance has bounced from the 58% area, showing that some buying pressure emerged to defend the level. This bounce highlights temporary stability, but it does not yet confirm a recovery. Instead, it reflects a cautious response from the market, where buyers are attempting to prevent further declines while broader sentiment remains uncertain. Looking ahead, @Crypto_TheBoss explained that if the 58% level fails to hold, Fibonacci retracement zones could act as key areas of support. Losing this support would deepen the bearish outlook and likely accelerate capital rotation into altcoins, shifting momentum away from Bitcoin’s leadership in the market. Positive And Negative Technical Signals @Crypto_TheBoss went on to highlight that the bounce from support shows buyers stepped in and temporarily halted the downside pressure. This kind of reaction often reflects how market participants are still willing to defend critical levels, even when sentiment leans toward caution. By holding above support, Bitcoin dominance was able to avoid a deeper immediate drop, though uncertainty still lingers. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sentiment On Binance Turns Bullish – But Is The Market Setting A Trap? The analyst further emphasized that Fibonacci levels are widely used in technical analysis as reliable support and resistance zones. For Bitcoin dominance, the Fibonacci structure provides a technical roadmap, guiding market participants on where the price may either stall, reverse, or accelerate if another leg lower unfolds. In a negative scenario, @Crypto_TheBoss cautioned that losing the 58% support could trigger stronger selling pressure, pushing dominance further down. A breakdown below this level would not only signal structural weakness but also reinforce the narrative of Bitcoin losing its edge in market control.  Such a scenario is often interpreted as a sign of capital rotation into altcoins. As Bitcoin dominance decreases, investor attention tends to shift toward alternative cryptocurrencies, sparking renewed activity and potentially driving sharp moves in the altcoin sector. This rotation could set the stage for fresh momentum in altcoins, particularly if Bitcoin struggles to quickly reclaim its lost ground. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin is currently consolidating within a narrow range, trading below the $115,000 level while holding key support above $110,000. This consolidation reflects the ongoing tug-of-war between bulls and bears, as volatility continues to push the market in both directions. Despite the temporary stability, recent price action shows that selling pressure has gained a slight edge, leaving traders cautious about the next major move. Related Reading: Bitcoin Taker Buy/Sell Ratio Plunges To Lowest Since 2018: Strong Sell Signal Flashes Top analyst Darkfost has highlighted an important on-chain development that adds context to this phase. According to his data, the percentage of Bitcoin supply in profit has now reached a historically critical threshold. This metric, which tracks how much of the circulating supply is currently above its cost basis, has long been a key guidepost for identifying major phases of the cycle. While a large share of supply in profit is not inherently bearish, history shows that such levels often coincide with pivotal turning points in Bitcoin’s market structure. With BTC consolidating in this crucial zone and profit supply peaking, the market stands at a delicate moment. Whether Bitcoin can reclaim momentum above $115K or faces a deeper correction may depend on how investors react to this latest signal. Bitcoin Supply In Profit Reaches Critical Cycle Zone According to top analyst Darkfost, the current level of Bitcoin supply in profit carries far more nuance than many assume. While some investors interpret a large share of coins in profit as a bearish warning, Darkfost emphasizes that it is, in fact, a necessary component of Bitcoin’s cyclical behavior. Contrary to what many might think, he explains, “a high percentage of supply in profit is what fuels the euphoric waves that drive the market forward.” Looking at history, the long-term average of supply in profit sits at roughly 75%, defined by a bell curve of Bitcoin’s performance since inception. In other words, across cycles, three-quarters of supply tends to sit in profit at any given time. When this ratio climbs above 90%, it usually signals a period of strong bullish momentum — the kind often seen in major bull markets. Such elevated levels create the psychological backdrop for rallies to extend, as confidence builds and capital flows into the market. However, Darkfost also warns that this metric can signal turning points. Once the percentage of supply in profit drops back below 90%, the market often transitions into corrective phases. These can be short-lived pullbacks or prolonged downturns, but historically, the break beneath that line has marked the shift away from euphoria. Bitcoin’s position near this threshold highlights the stakes. If supply in profit remains elevated, the market could continue its upward march. If not, the risk of a deeper correction grows, reinforcing the importance of this metric as a cycle-defining indicator. Related Reading: Bitcoin MVRV Compression Signals Pause – Market Digests Recent Volatility Bulls Struggle To Regain Momentum After Pullback Bitcoin is trading near $112,900 after a rebound from lows around $110,800, yet the chart shows that momentum remains fragile. Following the rejection at $123,000 earlier this month, BTC entered a corrective phase, slipping below both the 50-day and 100-day moving averages, which now act as resistance near $115,700–$116,600. This area stands out as the immediate barrier for bulls to reclaim if they want to shift the trend back in their favor. The 200-day moving average at $111,600 is currently providing a layer of support, helping BTC stabilize after recent volatility. Holding this zone will be crucial in preventing a deeper retrace toward the $108,000 region. If buyers can defend this level while building momentum, the market could stage a relief rally back toward the mid-$115K range. Related Reading: Bitcoin STH Cost Basis Aligns With Critical Indicator: Support Builds Around $100K Level However, failure to reclaim the moving averages would leave BTC vulnerable to extended downside pressure. The inability to hold above $115K has already signaled fading strength, and without a decisive breakout, sellers could regain control. For now, Bitcoin sits in a consolidation phase, caught between critical support and resistance, with the next move likely to determine whether the market stabilizes or slides further. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin is trading at a critical level after successfully holding above $110,000 as support, but market sentiment remains on edge. The recent defense of this zone has given bulls a temporary cushion, yet selling pressure is mounting as volatility continues to drive uncertainty. Some analysts warn that further declines may follow if buyers fail to regain momentum, putting Bitcoin’s resilience to the test. Related Reading: Bitcoin Taker Buy/Sell Ratio Plunges To Lowest Since 2018: Strong Sell Signal Flashes Top analyst Axel Adler highlights a key onchain signal that sheds light on the current market structure. According to Adler, Bitcoin’s Normalized Address Activity (NAA) dropped sharply from 60% — the level at which the $124,000 all-time high was formed — down to just 30%. This decline reflects a clear cooling in transactional intensity, with fewer coins moving on-chain. While this signals that short-term supply is weakening and immediate selling pressure has eased, it also raises questions about whether there is enough demand to fuel another rally. The balance between cooling activity and sustained support will be decisive. If Bitcoin holds $110K and demand reemerges, the market could stabilize. But if volatility keeps pressuring buyers, the risk of deeper corrections remains firmly on the table. Bitcoin Long-Term Seller Base Expands According to Adler, while Bitcoin’s short-term supply activity has cooled, long-term dynamics reveal a different story. The annual Normalized Address Activity (NAA) has climbed from 30% — recorded when Bitcoin was trading near $80,000 — to 40% today. This steady increase shows that more holders are willing to realize profits at higher levels, gradually broadening the seller base. For context, the peak of selling activity in this cycle occurred in September 2023, when the annual NAA hit 85% with Bitcoin priced around $37,000. That marked a period of heavy distribution at lower valuations. By contrast, the current phase reflects a more balanced environment, where selling pressure is elevated compared to earlier this year but still far below peak cycle extremes. Adler suggests this positioning indicates Bitcoin has entered a “mid-stage” phase of distribution, where profit-taking grows but the structural trend remains intact. Despite this, price action underscores hesitation. Bitcoin is holding above critical support at $110,000, but has so far failed to reclaim higher supply zones that would confirm bullish continuation. The market now sits at a crossroads, with speculation rising about the next major move. Whether buyers can overcome expanding long-term selling pressure will likely decide if Bitcoin stabilizes for another rally or faces a deeper corrective wave. Related Reading: Bitcoin MVRV Compression Signals Pause – Market Digests Recent Volatility Bulls Push To Test Key Levels Bitcoin is trading near $112,900 after a series of volatile swings that pushed the price down from recent highs above $123,000. The chart highlights how BTC has struggled to reclaim lost ground, with short-term momentum still capped by resistance levels. After defending the $110,000 zone, buyers are attempting a recovery, but the structure suggests that a more decisive move is needed to shift sentiment. Currently, BTC remains below the 50-day and 100-day moving averages, which hover between $113,000 and $115,000. These levels form the immediate barrier for bulls, and breaking above them would be crucial to altering momentum in favor of an upside push. A successful retest and hold of $115,000 could signal the start of renewed strength, setting the stage for another attempt at the $120,000–$123,000 resistance zone. Related Reading: Ethereum Faces Risk As Binance Leverage Ratio Skyrockets To Record Levels On the downside, failure to break higher keeps BTC vulnerable. A rejection near current levels could open the door to another retest of $110,000 support, with deeper risks extending toward $108,000. Market sentiment remains cautious, and the next few sessions will likely determine whether Bitcoin can reclaim bullish momentum or remain stuck under pressure. For now, $115,000 stands as the critical line in the sand. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin heads into the final days of August with choppy, two-way trade and a familiar seasonal question hanging over it: will September once again be a drag—or a reset into Q4 strength? As of Wednesday, August 28, BTC hovers near $112,900 after a stop-start month that has bulls and bears circling the same range rather than breaking conviction. Macro expectations, market positioning and Bitcoin’s own statistical quirks now converge in a narrow window before the Federal Reserve’s September policy meeting, making the next few weeks unusually consequential. The Fed’s rate-setting FOMC convenes September 16–17, and futures markets currently price a high probability of a cut, though officials continue to emphasize data-dependence. Bitcoin’s September Seasonality Seasonality is the first prism through which traders are reading the tape. Daan Crypto Trades captured the prevailing mood on X, noting a “choppy August” and pointing to a historical oddity: “During BTC’s history it has never closed both August & September in the green.” He added a pragmatic caveat about why this matters at all: “Whether you believe in seasonality or not, the thing that matters is if a lot of others do. And if enough people do, it can work as a self-fulfilling prophecy.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Selloff: $2.2 Billion In BTC Floods Exchanges Independent datasets support the caution around September. CoinGlass-based compilations show that across the past 12 years, September has delivered an average negative return for BTC of roughly 3.8%, making it the worst month on the calendar. By contrast, Q4—and especially October and November—has historically outperformed on average, a profile that helps explain why traders often look to buy late-Q3 weakness. However, there is a silver lining. Across Bitcoin’s history, September has closed in the green on four occasions—most notably in 2015 and 2016, and again in recent years. In 2023, BTC gained 3.9%, followed by a 7.3% rise in 2024. Anthony Pompliano offered a broader framing this week, starting with the simple, if stubborn, statistics: “September is actually the only month of the year that historically is negative.” He attributes the late-summer doldrums in part to investor behavior—“Everyone is on vacation… not in front of their screens”—and in part to unresolved macro questions from traditional finance. “There’s a lot of uncertainty still,” he said, even as “Jerome Powell has come out and said that he’s going to likely cut rates in September.” While markets have swiftly moved to price that outcome after the Jackson Hole speech, Fed officials have been careful to say the decision remains data-driven; major brokerages nonetheless shifted their base cases to a September cut following Powell’s labor-market warnings. Pompliano’s second theme is about the path higher. A straight line from last November’s ~$69,000 to six-figure prices, he argued, would risk a “very big dump on the other side.” Instead, the market “wants… some sort of correction and resetting,” flushing leverage and “setting a foundation of the price.” He sketched a broad consolidation band—“call it $125,00 to maybe $110,000”—before buyers return. Why is Bitcoin’s price going down? The answer is simpler than you think. pic.twitter.com/lYqbqQJO9R — Anthony Pompliano ???? (@APompliano) August 27, 2025 That sequencing rhymes with the way many systematic funds and discretionary crypto desks treat September: as a month to reduce risk into thin liquidity, then rebuild as Q4 flows approach. It also resonates with Daan Crypto Trades’ tactical lens: “Probably any larger dip in the next 1–2 weeks is the one to bid for the EOY bounce/rally to new all time highs in my opinion. We will see.” All Eyes On The Fed Macro timing could be the deciding factor. The FOMC’s September 16–17 meeting is now the key waypoint, with rate futures implying an ~85–90% chance of a cut and some odds of a second move by year-end. Related Reading: Bitcoin MVRV Compression Signals Pause – Market Digests Recent Volatility Chair Powell signaled at Jackson Hole that labor-market risks have risen even as inflation risks linger, a balance that has pushed several Wall Street houses to bring forward their easing timelines. At the same time, senior Fed officials have stressed that every meeting is “live” and contingent on incoming data—an important caveat for risk assets that have already leaned into the dovish narrative. If a cut materializes, the question for BTC will be whether it validates the existing bid or merely meets expectations and fades. This week’s immediate focus will fall on Friday’s release of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index—the Federal Reserve’s preferred gauge of inflation. The July PCE data will be published on August 29, providing policymakers and markets alike with a crucial read on both headline and core consumer price pressures. From there, attention will pivot to the next major cluster of inflation releases landing just days before the September FOMC. On Thursday, September 11, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Producer Price Index (PPI) for August. These will represent the final inflation checkpoints before the Fed convenes on September 16–17, meaning they could decisively shape the tone of the meeting. At press time, BTC traded at $113,049. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin slid to levels not seen since early July this week, but some analysts say the drop may be only a short pause before a bigger year-end move. Related Reading: Dogecoin Gears Up For Triple Surge Vs. Bitcoin – Details September has a long record of being the weakest month for BTC, and historically it has never closed more than 8% higher. That context is shaping how traders and researchers read the charts now. Expert’s Timing And Historic Averages According to research from network economist Timothy Peterson, there are four months until Christmas and history favors gains in that window. Peterson posted on X that Bitcoin has been higher over the same four-month span 70% of the time, and the average gain he calculated was +44%. Based on that average, Bitcoin would trade near $160,000 by the last week of 2025. Peterson also warned that the calculation is more of a guideline than a promise. Exactly Four Months Until Christmas. How does Bitcoin fare during this time? Up 70% of the time. Average gain +44%. However I think some years do not have market/economic conditions comparable to 2025. I would exclude 2018, 2022, 2020, and 2017 as uncharacteristic years.… pic.twitter.com/0llPeTrilC — Timothy Peterson (@nsquaredvalue) August 25, 2025 He suggested excluding certain years—2018, 2022, 2020, and 2017—because those years did not match what he calls comparable market conditions, and removing them tilts the result toward steadier, more positive returns. Markets rarely follow neat averages. Even when a long-term pattern appears, short bursts of volatility still happen. Peterson’s note about excluding specific years acknowledges that reality. It is a reminder that averages smooth over big swings. BTC… ???? We’re just front-running the “September sell off”. The scale is different — but the outcome is the same. Much higher. pic.twitter.com/3oZqRlrtgv — Donny (@DonnyDicey) August 27, 2025 Traders See Familiar Patterns Some traders on X described the current price behavior as a repeat of past seasonal moves. According to Trader Donny, Bitcoin is “front-running” the usual September lull and could move significantly higher afterward. He compared the present action to 2017 and suggested that BTC might be mirroring gold, catching up after a period of lag. That comparison to gold has been made before; it is a shorthand for assets that sometimes trade out of sync and then align again as macro forces change. For now, price action looks like a pause, not a breakdown. Outlook Through Year End Based on reports and the numbers involved, the coming months will be an important test of whether past four-month rallies repeat themselves. An average +44% move would be a big swing if it materializes, yet averages do not guarantee one outcome. For traders and investors, that means balancing the historical pattern with the real-time risks that have pushed BTC back to July levels. Related Reading: Could Pi Network Land On Coinbase? Hackathon Winner Thinks So Featured image from Meta, chart from TradingView

On-chain data from Santiment shows both Bitcoin and Ethereum whale address counts grew in August, signaling steady accumulation. Bitcoin & Ethereum Whales Have Seen Their Counts Go Up Recently In a new post on X, on-chain analytics firm Santiment has revealed how the whale populations have shifted on the Ethereum and Bitcoin blockchains recently. Whales refer to the key stakeholders of a cryptocurrency who hold amounts large enough that they can carry some degree of influence in the market. The exact scale of these investors is defined differently across networks. For BTC, whales are considered to be entities carrying more than 1,000 BTC (equivalent to $112 million at the current exchange rate), while for ETH, the threshold is 10,000 ETH ($46.4 million). Related Reading: Bitcoin Selloff: $2.2 Billion In BTC Floods Exchanges Now, here is the chart shared by the analytics firm that shows how the total number of whale-sized wallets has changed on each of these networks over the past few months: As is visible in the above graph, the Bitcoin whales saw their count plummet back in July, implying a notable number of these investors exited from the market near the rally high. In August, the metric has made gradual recovery for the cryptocurrency, with there now being 13 more such wallets compared to the start of the month. While this isn’t anything too big, it does indicate that big-money investors are slowly buying back in. Ethereum has also seen its whale population go up during the same window and the increase has been more dramatic in its case. In total, 48 new whales have joined the blockchain since August began. Given the key position that these investors occupy in the market, the sentiment among them is often worth keeping an eye on. With a buying push occurring from them right now, it would seem that their outlook is bullish, particularly in the case of ETH. In some other news, Bitcoin has witnessed a sharp decline in capital inflows recently, as analyst Willy Woo has explained in an X post. Bitcoin is today seeing around less than $1 billion per day in capital inflows, which is significantly down compared to the earlier peak above $2 billion per day. Interestingly, in the same period as BTC has seen inflows dry up, ETH has observed them pick up instead. Related Reading: Bitcoin Keeps Slipping Down: Is $107,000 The Next Support? This could be an indication that investor interest has been rotating from the former to the latter. Following the uptrend, Ethereum inflows have risen to almost the same level as BTC ones, meaning that a flip could occur soon. BTC Price Bitcoin has seen some recovery from its recent low as its price has climbed back up to $112,500. Featured image from Dall-E, Santiment.net, woocharts.com, chart from TradingView.com

Falconedge, a newly established hedge fund advisory firm that emerged from Falcon Investment Management, has revealed a new strategy among publicly traded companies: to allocate nearly all of the proceeds from its upcoming initial public offering (IPO) to building a Bitcoin (BTC) treasury. Bitcoin-Focused IPO Strategy On Wednesday, the firm’s announcement disclosed that Falconedge’s leadership views Bitcoin not merely as a hedge against inflation but as a cornerstone asset for institutional treasury management. By emphasizing Bitcoin as a primary reserve asset, the firm aims to scale its cryptocurrency holdings significantly, thereby enhancing its balance sheet with BTC’s potential and institutional credibility.  Related Reading: Shiba Inu’s Shibarium Suffers Crash In Major Metric, Is SHIB Price At Risk? Roy Kashi, CEO of Falconedge, expressed enthusiasm about the firm’s launch in a press release statement. The executive said:  We’re proud to launch Falconedge as a next-generation platform that puts Bitcoin at the heart of institutional treasury strategy. This pre-IPO raise positions us to accelerate growth and deepen our impact in digital asset finance. Flaconedge would join a growing trend of public traded companies adopting similar investment options, mulling Strategy’s (MicroStrategy) approach with years accumulating Bitcoin and so far enjoying billionaire returns. Falconedge Completes Pre-IPO Fundraising The firm disclosed it has completed its pre-IPO fundraising and is gearing up for a public offering in September. Falconedge has indicated that the majority of the IPO proceeds will be allocated to Bitcoin accumulation, further solidifying Falconedge’s vision. Falconedge’s IPO is set to be one of the first to dedicate proceeds primarily to Bitcoin reserves, effectively positioning the firm as a hybrid entity that straddles the line between an advisory firm and a digital asset holding company.  USDT stablecoin issuer Circle has also been in the spotlight with its debut on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). Its shares, traded under the ticker symbol CRCL, surged over 150% in the first days of its debut, highlighting the interest by investors in crypto-focused IPOs. Related Reading: Ethereum To $5,500 In Weeks, $12,000 By Year-End, Tom Lee Predicts Despite being newly formed, Falconedge benefits from the significant credibility and expertise inherited from Falcon Investment Management, a top player in United Kingdom-regulated crypto investing. The firm’s legacy includes launching one of the earliest regulated crypto funds in the UK in 2018, managing over $850 million in crypto assets at its peak, and successfully establishing a decentralized finance-focused fund that has performed well.  As of this writing, Bitcoin, the market’s leading cryptocurrency, is trading at $112,100 — nearly 10% below its record high of $124,000 earlier this month. This is in line with the broader correction in the market, which has seen digital asset prices retrace to key support levels. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure after failing to recover momentum following its recent record high above $124,000. At the time of writing, the asset is trading at $112,0474, reflecting a decline of 7.5% in the past two weeks. The latest movements come as analysts examine on-chain metrics to assess whether the current slowdown represents a pause in the ongoing bull cycle or the beginning of a broader correction. One of the key indicators gaining attention is Bitcoin’s active addresses metric. According to PelinayPA, a contributor on CryptoQuant’s QuickTake platform, the number of active addresses has consistently remained high, suggesting that network usage is stable despite the recent price retracement. Related Reading: What’s Next For Bitcoin? Key Developments After Falling To $112,000 Active Address Growth Signals Resilient User Base The analyst notes that long-term data shows a strong correlation between address activity and market cycles, with spikes often coinciding with peaks and declines aligning with bear markets. PelinayPA outlined how active addresses have historically tracked Bitcoin’s broader price behavior. From 2010 through 2016, addresses expanded steadily as Bitcoin’s adoption grew. The 2017 bull run brought a sharp increase, while the 2018–2019 downturn saw a decline in both addresses and price. The most recent cycle again highlighted the relationship, with addresses surging alongside Bitcoin’s run to new highs in 2020–2021 before dropping in 2022 during the market correction. Since 2023, however, activity has stabilized, with daily active addresses consistently ranging between 900,000 and 1 million. As of now, approximately 919,000 addresses are active, reflecting sustained network use. PelinayPA emphasized that while addresses alone are not a perfect price predictor, consistently elevated activity provides long-term support for Bitcoin’s valuation. If addresses maintain levels above 1 million, it could underpin the case for further gains, with potential targets in the $150,000–$200,000 range. Conversely, a sharp decline in address activity would signal reduced demand and raise the likelihood of a reversal toward the $80,000–$90,000 range. Bitcoin Exchange Inflows Reach Multi-Year Lows In addition to user activity, exchange inflows offer another perspective on current market conditions. CryptoOnchain, another CryptoQuant analyst, highlighted that Bitcoin’s 30-day moving average of inflows has dropped to its lowest level since May 2023. Historically, low exchange inflows suggest reduced selling pressure, as fewer coins are being moved to trading platforms for liquidation. This trend is particularly notable on major exchanges such as Coinbase and Binance. Related Reading: Bitcoin STH Cost Basis Aligns With Critical Indicator: Support Builds Around $100K Level On Coinbase, a platform often associated with US and institutional investors, inflows have significantly decreased, pointing to diminished selling activity from large holders. A similar pattern is visible on Binance, which continues to host the highest global trading volumes. According to CryptoOnchain, the combination of lower inflows and rising price levels may indicate an environment where available supply is constrained, creating conditions that could support higher valuations in the mid-term. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin continues to face challenges sustaining its momentum after retreating from its recent all-time high above $124,000. At the time of writing, the asset trades around $111,090, reflecting a 10.5% decline from its peak and a 4.2% drop over the past week. The pullback highlights growing uncertainty among traders as buying pressure weakens, even while some on-chain indicators suggest potential accumulation. One such signal comes from Binance, the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange by trading volume. Analyst Crazzyblockk, a contributor to CryptoQuant’s QuickTake platform, examined a metric called the Binance Buying Power Ratio. According to the analyst, this ratio, measuring the inflow of stablecoins relative to Bitcoin outflows from Binance, has recently climbed sharply, moving into positive territory. The implication is that traders are sending stablecoins into the exchange (potential buying power) while withdrawing Bitcoin, likely for long-term storage. Related Reading: Bitcoin Keeps Slipping Down: Is $107,000 The Next Support? Binance Buying Power Ratio Signals Accumulation Crazzyblockk explained that this pattern points to a buildup of liquidity while simultaneously reducing the Bitcoin supply available for sale on Binance. In his words: Stablecoins in, BTC out. This combination of accumulating ‘dry powder’ and securing assets off-exchange is a classic sign of a market preparing for a bullish move. The surge in buying power ratio coincides with Bitcoin’s current consolidation phase, suggesting that some traders may be preparing for a rebound. Historically, an increase in stablecoin inflows has often preceded heightened trading activity, with many market participants using these reserves to enter positions once favorable conditions emerge. At the same time, large Bitcoin outflows from exchanges can reflect a broader trend of long-term holding behavior. Investors who transfer coins to private or institutional-grade wallets often intend to store them securely, limiting immediate selling pressure. If sustained, this dual trend of stablecoin accumulation and Bitcoin withdrawals could support the market by reducing available supply and preparing liquidity for upward moves. Bitcoin Short-Term Holders Show Signs of Weakness While Binance metrics suggest optimism, another CryptoQuant analyst, Darkfost, highlighted a more cautious indicator: the Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) for short-term holders (STHs). This metric measures whether coins moved on-chain are being sold at a profit or loss. Darkfost noted that the STH SOPR has now fallen below 1, with its monthly average sitting at the neutral point. In practical terms, this means that many recent buyers are no longer selling at a profit, and some are even taking losses. He wrote: Historically, when STH SOPR reaches this level, two scenarios are common. Either the market rebounds quickly, or short-term holders panic, leading to further losses. During this cycle, the second scenario has often played out—though these periods have consistently created opportunities for medium- to long-term investors. The comparison to late 2021, when Bitcoin last peaked at $69,000 before entering a prolonged correction, shows the weight of this signal. A persistent decline in SOPR could indicate rising pressure from traders seeking to exit, even as long-term holders demonstrate greater conviction. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin is trading at a pivotal level where its previous all-time highs, set in January and May, are now being tested as support. This zone has become a critical battleground for bulls and bears, as fear spreads through market sentiment. Many investors are bracing for further declines, worried that a break below these levels could accelerate downside momentum. Related Reading: Bitcoin STH Cost Basis Aligns With Critical Indicator: Support Builds Around $100K Level Fresh on-chain data adds weight to these concerns. According to CryptoOnchain, insights from CryptoQuant charts reveal a sharp decline in the 30-day moving average of the Taker Buy/Sell Ratio. This key metric, which tracks whether aggressive buyers or sellers dominate the order book, has fallen to its lowest point since May 2018. The drop signals that selling pressure is overwhelming buyers, even as Bitcoin holds above its former record highs. What makes this development even more striking is its comparison to November 2021, when Bitcoin last hit all-time highs before entering a brutal bear market. Back then, the ratio was notably higher than it is today, suggesting the market now faces even greater selling dominance. With sentiment fragile and pressure mounting, Bitcoin’s ability to hold these crucial levels may define the next phase of the cycle. Bitcoin Data Reveals Strong Sell Signal The latest CryptoOnchain report highlights concerning data from CryptoQuant’s chart, which tracks the 30-day moving average of Bitcoin’s Taker Buy/Sell Ratio. This metric is a reliable gauge of market balance, showing whether aggressive buyers or sellers dominate trading activity. Currently, the sharp decline in this moving average points to a clear weakening of buying pressure. More importantly, the ratio has now slipped below the critical 0.98 threshold — a level widely regarded as a strong sell-off signal. Falling under this line indicates that selling activity is decisively outpacing buying demand. In practical terms, it suggests that the market is leaning heavily toward distribution rather than accumulation, with investors more eager to offload positions than to build them. Historically, when the ratio has dipped to such levels, Bitcoin has struggled to maintain upward momentum and often faced steep retracements. While Bitcoin’s price has recently held near pivotal support zones, this imbalance between buyers and sellers raises doubts about the sustainability of current levels. The chart reflects an environment where optimism is fragile and downside risks are elevated. CryptoOnchain explains that the drop in the 30-day moving average of the Taker Buy/Sell Ratio serves as a clear warning. Unless this trend reverses quickly, Bitcoin may be vulnerable to a deeper short-term correction, and potentially the start of a more prolonged downward phase in the cycle. Related Reading: Ethereum Faces Risk As Binance Leverage Ratio Skyrockets To Record Levels Bulls Hold Crucial Support After Sharp Pullback Bitcoin is currently trading near $111,000 after a volatile retracement from local highs above $123,000 earlier this month. The chart highlights a decisive shift in momentum: after repeatedly failing to break through the $124,000 resistance zone, BTC lost steam and rolled over, triggering a wave of selling pressure. Price action has since pushed Bitcoin below the 50-day and 100-day moving averages, both now trending downward and reinforcing a short-term bearish outlook. The 200-day moving average around $114,100 is also being tested from below, acting as resistance instead of support. This flip underscores the challenges facing bulls as they attempt to stabilize the market. Related Reading: Ethereum Whale Demand Surges On Binance As Price Nears $5,000 For now, BTC is finding support in the $110,000–$111,000 range, a level that coincides with consolidation zones from earlier in the summer. If buyers can hold this line, a relief bounce toward $114,000–$116,000 is possible, though reclaiming those levels will be crucial to regaining momentum. Failure to defend current support, however, could expose Bitcoin to further downside risk, with the next major demand zone near $105,000. Market sentiment remains fragile, and the inability to clear resistance at $124,000 has shifted focus toward the resilience of support levels in the weeks ahead. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

Mihai Jacob, a well-known market watcher, says the Bitcoin price rally that followed Powell’s Friday speech may not be as strong as it first looked. The charts, he explains, continue to flash signs of weakness that should not be ignored. According to Jacob, the flagship cryptocurrency could still face another sharp decline, and a drop below $100,000 remains a real risk despite the short-term optimism. Powell’s Speech Gave Bitcoin Price A Lift, But Charts Tell A Different Story Jacob explains that in his earlier analysis, he noted the $110,000 zone as a key level for Bitcoin. As long as that level held, the broader bullish structure could technically stay intact. Powell’s speech gave a hint of a possible rate cut, and for a moment, the market reacted with excitement, and Bitcoin bounced just as traders wanted. Related Reading: Rumored Ripple NDA Suggests Trump, BlackRock, And JP Morgan Are Working With XRP Ledger But Jacob quickly asks the hard question: was that bounce real strength, or just wishful thinking? He advises trading what you see, not what you hope for. And what he sees now on the charts does not match the initial joy of the rally. Soon after the move, Bitcoin returned to the $ 112,000 support level, erasing most of the gains. For Jacob, this suggests that the market may have been reacting to temporary news rather than initiating a new wave of growth. He warns that the bounce looks more like a retest of broken levels than a fresh start to a bigger move. In other words, what seemed like a comeback may actually be a signal that Bitcoin remains weak. Instead of buyers taking control, the chart suggests sellers are still in charge, waiting to push the price lower again. Why A Drop Below $100,000 Remains Likely Looking at the bigger picture, Jacob points out that Bitcoin still trades below the trendline that has been in place since April, highlighting the shape of the price action, which suggests a possible head-and-shoulders pattern is forming around the $110,000 zone. While not perfectly shaped, it is still enough to make cautious traders uneasy about what may come next. Related Reading: Here’s What Powell’s Possible Rate Cuts Could Mean For The Shiba Inu Price For Jacob, the excitement that came from Powell’s speech was likely nothing more than “rate cut euphoria,” and he believes the market is sending a very different message from what headlines suggest. The idea that Bitcoin would simply return to the same support level, giving late buyers another easy opportunity, is, in his view, hard to believe. More likely, it was a “dead cat bounce,” a short-lived move before another fall. Jacob makes it clear that his current stance is neutral in terms of active positions, but his outlook leans bearish. Optimism may be tempting, but he insists that discipline requires traders to trust the charts, not their hopes. With Bitcoin still struggling under key levels, he sees the possibility of a decline below $100,000 as very real. Featured image from DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin is trading around $111,000 after several days of losing ground below its all-time high of $124,500. Bulls have managed to keep the price above the key $110,000 support, but momentum remains weak as attempts to push higher continue to fail. Some analysts warn of a deeper correction ahead if buyers cannot step in with stronger conviction. Related Reading: Ethereum Faces Risk As Binance Leverage Ratio Skyrockets To Record Levels Top analyst Axel Adler shared new insights, pointing to the behavior of Bitcoin’s annual Adjusted MVRV. Currently, the metric has pressed against the 1.0 zone, meaning the short-term average (30-day) is almost identical to the longer-term average (365-day). In practice, this shows that the market is in a balancing phase: recent profit-taking and volatility are being absorbed by the longer-term growth trend, keeping the overall structure neutral. Historically, this 1.0 level has often represented a pause within bullish cycles rather than the end of them. It signals that the market is digesting recent gains as short-term holders hand coins to longer-term investors. Whether Bitcoin breaks down to test lower demand zones or stabilizes before another leg higher will likely be decided in the coming weeks, as traders closely watch this critical support zone. Bitcoin Adjusted MVRV Signals Pause, Not Reversal According to Adler, Bitcoin’s annual Adjusted MVRV is currently pressed right at the 1.0 zone, and the dynamics behind it tell an important story. The annual basis remains positive, and its curve looks largely horizontal because two opposing forces are offsetting each other. On the one hand, the 30-day metric has cooled significantly as volatility eased and profit-taking slowed after the latest push to all-time highs. On the other, the heavier 365-day average still reflects the gains of past months, holding up the broader trend. This synchronization between numerator and denominator compresses the difference, keeping the basis line steady rather than sliding downward or accelerating upward. In simple terms, the market is digesting the previous rally rather than breaking down. Adler stresses that this situation at the 1.0 zone should not be mistaken for the end of a cycle. Instead, it represents a pause within an ongoing bullish structure. As long as the annual basis does not reverse downward, the market is essentially redistributing coins from short-term speculators into the hands of more patient holders. There are no strong signs of capitulation, only consolidation. Over the next couple of weeks, the reaction at 1.0 will be critical. Whether Bitcoin holds firm and builds momentum or slips toward deeper corrections will define the next phase. For now, Adler sees this as more a matter of time and balance than a warning of a cycle-ending reversal. Related Reading: Bitcoin STH Cost Basis Aligns With Critical Indicator: Support Builds Around $100K Level BTC Testing Support Around Pivotal Level Bitcoin continues to consolidate after a sharp retrace from its all-time high of $124K, now trading near $110,823. The daily chart shows BTC struggling to hold above the $110K support zone, which has become a key battleground for bulls and bears. The 50-day SMA is trending around $116,600, while the 100-day SMA is near $111,600—levels that are now acting as resistance. Meanwhile, the 200-day SMA sits lower at approximately $101,000, marking the deeper structural support. A decisive loss of the $110K zone could accelerate selling pressure, potentially leading Bitcoin to test the 100K–107K support range, a critical confluence highlighted by analysts due to the alignment with the STH Realized Price. Related Reading: Bitcoin CEX Netflows Still Green Despite Large Sellers Rotating To Ethereum On the upside, Bitcoin must reclaim the $115K–$117K region to shift momentum back in favor of bulls. Failure to do so risks further consolidation and market uncertainty. The rejection at the $123K level last week highlighted strong overhead resistance, with sellers stepping in aggressively. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

On-chain data shows exchanges have received heavy Bitcoin inflows over the last couple of weeks, a potential factor behind the asset’s bearish action. Bitcoin Supply On Exchanges Has Been Trending Up Recently In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has talked about the latest trend in the Bitcoin Supply on Exchanges for Bitcoin. The “Supply on Exchanges” here is an on-chain indicator from the analytics firm Santiment that keeps track of the total amount of BTC that’s sitting on the wallets connected to centralized exchanges. Related Reading: Bitcoin Keeps Slipping Down: Is $107,000 The Next Support? When the value of this metric rises, it means the holders are depositing a net number of tokens to these platforms. As one of the main reasons why investors transfer to exchanges is for selling-related purposes, this kind of trend can have a bearish effect on the coin’s value. On the other hand, the indicator going down suggests investors are taking coins off to self-custodial wallets. Such a trend can be a sign that the network is witnessing accumulation, which can naturally be a bullish sign for the cryptocurrency. Now, here is the chart shared by the analyst that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Supply on Exchanges over the past few weeks: As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin Supply on Exchanges has been on the way up recently, implying that the investors have been making net inflows. In total, the holders have transferred 20,000 BTC into the wallets of these platforms over the last two weeks. At the current exchange rate, this amount is worth a whopping $2.2 billion. The timing of these deposits has come alongside the cryptocurrency’s price decline, so it’s likely that a lot of these were made with the intention to sell. In the same chart, Martinez has also attached the data of the Exchange Inflow, which shows all inflows going to these platforms, not just net inflows. This metric registered a huge spike during the weekend, after which BTC extended its decline. Interestingly, the Supply on Exchanges didn’t see any increase with this large spike, indicating that there was enough demand for withdrawing the cryptocurrency that balanced out the deposits. Related Reading: Bitcoin Dives As On-Chain Data Shows Every Cohort Now Selling Speaking of exchange inflows, the Bitcoin short-term holders (STHs), buyers from the last 155 days, have made a notable amount of loss deposits recently. The STHs are made up of the weak hands of the market, so it’s not surprising to see them capitulate during price declines. In fact, large loss-taking spikes from them help Bitcoin find bottoms as their coins transfer to more resolute entities. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $110,500, down over 2.5% in the last week. Featured image from Dall-E, Santiment.net, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin (BTC) continues to show signs of weakness after recently setting a new all-time high earlier this month. As of today, the cryptocurrency is trading at $110,595, reflecting a 4.2% decline over the past week and an 11% drop from its peak of $124,000. The correction highlights an ongoing struggle for momentum even as broader market conditions remain uncertain. This decline has drawn the attention of analysts examining key on-chain and trading metrics. One such measure is the Taker Buy Sell Ratio, which is signaling reduced confidence among traders. According to data from CryptoQuant, this ratio has fallen to levels not seen since late 2021, raising questions about whether Bitcoin’s recent highs can be sustained without stronger demand. Related Reading: Bitcoin Correction Risks Deepen With $105,000 As Critical Support Bitcoin Taker Buy Sell Ratio Suggests Shift in Market Dynamics CryptoQuant contributor Gaah explained that the 30-day moving average of Bitcoin’s Taker Buy Sell Ratio has dropped to its lowest level since November 2021, a period that coincided with the peak of the previous cycle near $69,000 before a prolonged downturn. The ratio tracks the balance between aggressive buy and sell orders at market prices. A value above 1 reflects stronger buying pressure, while a reading below 1 indicates more active selling. Currently, the ratio sits below its historical average, suggesting that selling activity has consistently outpaced buying in recent weeks. This is notable because it follows closely on the heels of Bitcoin establishing new highs, revealing a divergence between price performance and trader sentiment. Gaah argued that such behavior often signals caution among investors who may be locking in profits or reducing exposure to manage risk. “The similarity to November 2021 should not be overlooked,” the analyst noted. “Even as Bitcoin pushed higher at that time, underlying market sentiment was deteriorating, which eventually preceded a sharp correction.” The current data, Gaah added, indicates that although Bitcoin remains in a broader bullish phase, the imbalance between buyers and sellers could introduce heightened volatility in the weeks ahead. Analyst Sees Mixed Signals in Technical Structure Beyond on-chain metrics, technical analysts are also weighing in on Bitcoin’s current price structure. A market analyst known as Crypto Nova suggested that despite recent weakness, the overall uptrend remains intact. In a post on X, the analyst highlighted that Bitcoin has been forming higher lows since its recovery began from a low of nearly $15,000 in late 2022, thereby maintaining a long-term bullish pattern. Nova pointed to the $50,000–$70,000 range from earlier in the cycle as an example of a level many believed to mark the top, but which ultimately gave way to further gains. Related Reading: Bitcoin Dives As On-Chain Data Shows Every Cohort Now Selling The analyst noted that the same uncertainty applies to today’s market, where corrections do not necessarily confirm a cycle peak. “At the very least, BTC should see a bounce from current levels,” Nova said, while also acknowledging that resistance remains strong at higher price zones. Bounce time for Bitcoin? At the very least BTC should bounce here as it’s reaching the zones earlier highlighted. Zooming in there is some small lower high structure that price will test (dotted lines) but it will more than likely… https://t.co/Be3FKYnRIY pic.twitter.com/XmrCDS9ldQ — Crypto Nova (@CryptoGirlNova) August 26, 2025 The combination of weakening taker ratios and cautious technical outlooks suggests that Bitcoin’s trajectory may be entering a decisive phase. If selling pressure persists, the asset could face deeper corrections, but sustained support near $110,000 may also provide the base for renewed momentum. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Over the past two weeks, Bitcoin (BTC) has dropped more than 7%, falling from around $117,400 on August 21 to a low of $108,666 earlier today. Despite the bearish slide, some encouraging exchange data suggests improving sentiment. However, analysts warn this could once again be a setup for institutions to trap retail buyers. Bitcoin Sentiment Improves, But Maintain Caution According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor BorisD, the Binance vs. Other Exchanges BTC Volume Delta turned positive on August 25, registering $676 million. This indicates that Binance users have shifted decisively into spot buying mode. Notably, this trend has not been observed on other major exchanges. Since Binance is the world’s largest exchange in terms of liquidity and user base, its flows are often considered a reflection of broader market sentiment. Related Reading: More Pain For Bitcoin? Open Interest Surpasses $40 Billion As Longs Crowd In At present, retail investors appear to be fueling buying pressure. While this can support demand for BTC, it also creates an opening for institutional investors to drive prices lower, flushing out retail positions before the market resumes an upward move. BorisD highlighted that historically, when Binance users increase spot buying, Bitcoin’s price often declines. On the contrary, when selling pressure rises, BTC tends to recover in price. He explained: This dynamic highlights the clear difference between retail and institutional behavior. Retail traders often act emotionally and position themselves on the wrong side, while institutions strategically engineer liquidity around these flows. In conclusion, the analyst said that although rising spot buying on Binance is encouraging, a positive delta does not always mean a bullish signal. On the contrary, it can expose retail buying pressure than can be exploited as an opportunity by institutions. Will BTC Fall Below $100,000 Price Level? Analysts remain divided on whether Bitcoin can set a new all-time high (ATH) in the near term. Some stress that BTC must hold above the $100,000 level to preserve its overall bullish structure. Related Reading: Bitcoin Weakness Vs. Ethereum Strength: On-Chain Data Reveals Divergence In a separate analysis, crypto analyst Alphractal remarked that the BTC market seems to be getting ready for its next major move in the coming weeks. Meanwhile, the Bitcoin Bull Score Index is giving signs of fading momentum, increasing risk of further downside. The Bitcoin market is also witnessing early signs of exhaustion, as asset manager BlackRock recently went on a BTC selling-spree, dumping about $500 million of the digital asset. Still, a number of analysts remain optimistic, with some forecasting a potential ATH of as high as $183,000 later this year. At press time, BTC trades at $109,841, down 1.8% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com