THE LATEST CRYPTO NEWS

In a fresh post to X on 21 July, long-time cryptoc sceptic and gold advocate Peter Schiff urged holders of Ethereum (ETH) to exit while prices hover “near the upper end of its trading range.” “If you own any, this is a great time to sell,” he wrote, adding that—painful though it was for him to admit—flipping the proceeds into Bitcoin “is a better trade than holding Ether.” Sell Ethereum, Buy Bitcoin Schiff doubled down when quizzed by followers. “It’s not [better] as far as I’m concerned. I’m just looking at the charts,” he replied, arguing that Ethereum’s narrative faces “more acknowledged competition” than Bitcoin’s digital-gold storyline. At pixel time Ether changes hands at roughly $3,650 while Bitcoin trades just above $118,000, putting the ETH/BTC ratio near 0.031—toward the lower half of its five-year range. Related Reading: Institutional Demand Surges As Ethereum Sets New Inflow Records Schiff contends the ratio’s weakness reflects a structural bear market for Ether against Bitcoin. “I think Ether is in a bear market in terms of Bitcoin, and I think it just had a bear-market rally,” he told one user who pressed him for fundamentals, concluding: “So if you want to own crypto, selling Ether to buy Bitcoin makes sense.” Not everyone was persuaded. Veteran cycle watcher TechDev responded drily, “Thank you for your service sir,” reposting Schiff’s February “party is over” call that preceded Bitcoin’s spring rally. A Familiar Refrain—And A familiar Outcome Schiff’s latest chart-based admonition follows a string of bearish milestones that have mis-timed every major leg of Bitcoin’s secular advance. On 25 February he declared, “Turn out the lights, the #Bitcoin 100K party is over… the bear market is just getting started.” Less than five months later, Bitcoin still hovers comfortably above $118,000. Related Reading: Ethereum Open Interest Explodes To $28 Billion—Altcoin Rotation Begins: QCP Only a month after that February warning he predicted a full-blown crash to $10,000 once gold reaches $5,000, reasoning that Bitcoin would capitulate “95 % from its 2021 peak.” In late 2023 he ran a Twitter poll and concluded—contrary to the vote—that Bitcoin would “crash before the ETF launch.” Spot ETFs were approved in January 2024; Bitcoin never looked back. Back in November 2018, with Bitcoin trading at $3,800, he insisted it could “easily drop another 80 % from here, and at $750 it would still be expensive.” The rest is history. Now, Schiff argues that Ethereum’s smart-contract dominance is eroding as Layer-1 competitors gain mind-share and as regulators inch toward approving other altcoin spot ETFs. Whether the latest call joins the growing archive of ill-timed bearishness will turn on the ETH/BTC cross. If altcoin rotation doesn’t continue, Schiff may finally chalk up a win; if the ratio rolls over, his chart-reading case for a relative trade into Bitcoin will be vindicated even as his absolute bear thesis remains unproven. For now, the market is reserving judgment. At press time, Ether traded at $3,677. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

As Bitcoin (BTC) consolidates near the $119,000 mark following a new all-time high (ATH) above $123,000 last week, several on-chain indicators are presenting a mixed picture regarding the cryptocurrency’s next major move. Bitcoin On-Chain Data Shows Mixed Outlook According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Chairman Lee, BTC exchange reserves have risen noticeably since late June. This sharp uptick suggests increased profit-taking activity, which could weigh on BTC in the short-term. Large holders and miners have also been ramping up their deposits since July 18. However, overall inflows to centralized exchanges remain relatively low compared to the levels observed during major market tops earlier this year. Related Reading: Bitcoin Rally Ahead? DXY Breakdown Suggests Capital Shift To Risk-On Assets Meanwhile, the Unspent Transaction Output (UTXO) count continues to decline – a trend often interpreted as a sign of long-term accumulation. Investors appear to be consolidating their coins, reducing active transactions and indicating strong conviction in Bitcoin’s long-term potential. For context, a declining UTXO count typically reflects reduced short-term selling pressure as holders move BTC into fewer wallets rather than trading them. This behavior is commonly associated with an overall bullish market outlook. Chairman Lee also pointed out that institutional and exchange-traded fund (ETF) flows remain robust. Year-to-date (YTD), nearly $50 billion has flowed into Bitcoin investment products despite temporary pauses due to profit-taking. Data from SoSoValue shows that US-listed spot BTC ETFs have recorded four consecutive months of positive inflows, with more than $18 billion added since April 2025. Similarly, total net assets held by these ETFs now exceed $151.6 billion. Can BTC Still Eye $180,000 Target? From a technical standpoint, Chairman Lee highlighted the $116,400 area as the immediate support zone. The analyst remarked: A breakdown below this level could extend the correction toward $112K–$110K. On the upside, holding above $116K keeps the structure intact for another push toward $124K–$130K. The analyst emphasized that as long as Bitcoin defends the $110,000 level, the broader bullish trend will remain intact. Moreover, if ETF and institutional inflows gain further momentum, BTC could still reach the ambitious year-end target of $180,000. Related Reading: Bitcoin Set To Soar? Analyst Sees Fresh $2 Billion Liquidity Triggering Next Leg Up That said, some cautionary signs are beginning to emerge. On-chain data indicates that long-term holders are accelerating distribution, while short-term investors are entering the market in hopes of benefitting from further upside – behavior that has historically preceded local tops. On the contrary, the Bitcoin short-term holder Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) suggests that there may still be room for further growth in BTC’s price. At press time, BTC trades at $119,241, up 0.9% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com

President Donald Trump has reignited crypto conversations online after sharing a viral video explaining Bitcoin during a U.S. Senate hearing. The clip, which features Director of Research at Coin Center, Peter Van Valkenburgh, offers a powerful defense of Bitcoin’s decentralized nature and its role as public financial infrastructure. What His Bitcoin Message Means As mentioned by MJTruthUltra’s post on X, President Donald Trump has shared a video of Peter Van Valkenburgh, Coin Center’s Director of Research, delivering a powerful and articulate explanation of Bitcoin during a US Senate hearing. Related Reading: Trump Media’s $2 Billion Bitcoin Buy Sparks Surge In Stock Price Speaking before the lawmakers, Van Valkenburgh described Bitcoin as the world’s first cryptocurrency, built on the first public blockchain network. He emphasized that Bitcoin allows anyone to send and receive value globally using just a computer and an internet connection without relying on trusted third parties like banks. He also highlights Bitcoin’s revolutionary nature as the first public digital payments infrastructure, compared to the internet information before money access. Unlike traditional financial systems, which rely on private banks to update ledgers and approve transactions, Bitcoin operates on a public blockchain that anyone can access, regardless of background or credit status. Van Valkenburgh stated that Bitcoin’s decentralized design directly addresses the inherent vulnerabilities of centralized systems, which often have single points of failure. These weaknesses have led to some of the most damaging security breaches in modern history. He points to high-profile incidents, such as the Equifax data breach, which exposed the personal information of 143 million Americans, the SWIFT network frauds, which totaled hundreds of millions, including cases involving North Korean hackers, and the $1.8 billion fraud at Punjab National Bank, which enabled internal exploitation of centralized trust. Van Valkenburgh also cites the 2016 Dyn botnet attack, which took down major websites. He extends these concerns to the Internet of Things, where hacks have compromised pacemakers, baby monitors, and even vehicles, all due to reliance on centralized control systems. He advocates for the development of more public digital infrastructure, like Bitcoin and Blockchain networks, to reduce reliance on powerful corporate intermediaries. These systems foster greater competition, resilience, and user empowerment by potentially replacing centralized chokepoints that are vulnerable to failure, censorship, and abuse. MicroStrategy Now Owns Over 600 Bitcoin While prominent figures in the financial and political landscape advocate for Bitcoin, institutional adoption continues to grow, with companies like Strategy purchasing the asset in large quantities. This rising interest from large-scale investors and businesses adds weight to BTC’s status as a reliable store of value. Related Reading: Bitcoin Holders Are Taking Profits—But Is the Top Still Far Away? BNB Swap revealed on X that Michael Saylor’s Strategy, the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin, has again expanded its massive crypto and BTC treasury. The firm has acquired an additional 6,220 BTC, worth $739.8 million. This latest purchase pushes MicroStrategy’s total Bitcoin holdings to an astonishing 607,770 BTC, accumulated at an estimated cost basis of $43.6 billion. Featured image from iStock images, chart from tradingview.com

As the crypto market gears up for what many expect to be a major bull run in 2025, top analysts are beginning to share their most realistic price predictions for leading digital assets like Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Chainlink (LINK), Binance Coin (BNB), Aptos (APT), and others. Though their forecasts vary in optimism, there’s a shared consensus that significant gains are likely on the horizon.  Bitcoin, Ethereum, LINK, BNB And Aptos Price Forecast  As excitement builds around the next potential crypto bull run, well-known crypto analyst and YouTube host Altcoin Daily has released a fresh batch of “realistic” price predictions for major digital assets expected to perform strongly in 2025.  Related Reading: The Final Bitcoin Act: Here’s What To Expect As BTC Trends Sideways In the forecast posted on X social media, Bitcoin is expected to reach a peak of $150,000 during the next bull market. Currently trading at $117,629, the flagship cryptocurrency has pulled back from its recent all-time high above $123,000. To reach the projected $150,000 target, BTC would need to surge by roughly 27.52% from its current level.  Ethereum, the second-largest cryptocurrency, is also set for significant gains this cycle. Altcoin Daily forecasts that the altcoin is likely to hit $5,000 in 2025. Over the past few weeks, Ethereum has posted strong gains, overcoming key resistance and emerging from a prolonged consolidation phase. Now trading at $3,696, the top altcoin has surged by an impressive 61.45% over the past month. From this level, ETH would need to climb approximately 35.26% to reach a $5,000 peak. Weighing in on other major altcoins, Chainlink, the leading decentralized oracle provider, is expected to rise to $30, representing a potential surge of over 57% from its current price of $19.1. As for Binance Coin, Altcoin Daily anticipates a strong rally toward the $1,000 mark from BNB’s current price of $759.  For the final forecast, Altcoin Daily sets a $10 target for Aptos, a relatively newer Layer-1 blockchain. At the time of writing, the token is trading at $5.25, meaning it is expected to surge by approximately 90.5% to reach the expected peak.  Realistic Targets For 2025 Altcoin Season Offering a significantly more inclusive forecast, crypto analyst Domba.eth took to X to share realistic price targets for 19 major cryptocurrencies ahead of the anticipated 2025 altcoin season. In line with Altcoin Daily’s projection, Domba.eth forecasts a relatively similar peak range for BTC, ETH, and BNB. Related Reading: Altcoin Season Index Spikes Above 30, But Bitcoin Dominance Remains High, What Next? The analyst’s projection also extends to cryptocurrencies not covered by Altcoin Daily, including Solana, XRP, and Cardano. Notably, Solana is expected to rise between $300 and $500 during the upcoming altcoin season, suggesting a possible surge of 50% to 152% from its current price of $199.1.  XRP, which recently saw a sharp rally above $3.5, is forecasted to rise between $3.2 and $4.7, assuming positive sentiment remains strong and legal clarity improves. Meanwhile, Cardano is expected to reach a range of $1.2 to $2.1, representing a potential gain of roughly 38% to 141.4% from its present price of $0.87. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin is turning heads once again as it climbs steadily within a rising channel, teasing a potential explosive move. According to chart watchers, the current rally aligns with Wave (5) of an Elliott Wave structure, historically the phase that unleashes the most aggressive price action. With momentum building and institutional demand ramping up, could this be the final leg before Bitcoin launches toward uncharted territory? Rising Channel Holds Firm As Wave (5) Builds Steam In a recent update, market analyst LSplayQ pointed out that Bitcoin is steadily climbing within a clearly defined rising channel, with the price now trading close to $118,000. This structured upward movement signals strong market confidence, with buyers consistently stepping in at higher levels to support the trend. Related Reading: Hold On For Dear Life: This Bullish Bitcoin Metric Just Touched A 15-Year High The analysis ties this momentum to an unfolding Elliott Wave formation, where Wave (5) is currently in play. The previous waves have displayed a clean pattern of higher highs and higher lows—a signature of impulsive bullish behavior. This suggests that Bitcoin’s price action is not random but follows a predictable rhythm often seen during strong uptrends. With Wave (5) potentially in progress, LSplayQ believes that Bitcoin could soon challenge the upper boundary of its rising channel. If this plays out as expected, the next target zone could be around the $140,000 region, a level that aligns with the broader technical projection of this ongoing wave structure. A breakout above the rising channel could spark even more aggressive upside, while any signs of weakness near these resistance levels might indicate a short-term pullback. However, the bullish setup remains intact for now as Wave (5) continues to unfold with precision. Institutional Buys Push Forward, But Technicals Urge Patience With institutions like Strategy continuing to accumulate, LSplayQ suggests that Bitcoin still has room to push higher. The growing interest from large-scale investors adds weight to the ongoing bullish momentum, further fueling optimism for an extended rally. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Eyes $123K Explosion—Traders Brace for Breakout However, there are signs that the market may be nearing a temporary exhaustion point. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is edging toward overbought territory, hinting at a potential cooling-off period. This doesn’t necessarily signal the end of the trend but could open the door for a short-term correction. Should a pullback occur, traders will likely shift their focus to key support zones. According to LSplayQ, the $99,531 level stands out as a critical area where buyers may step in to defend the uptrend. Holding above that threshold could set the stage for the next leg upward once the consolidation phase concludes. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Strategy (previously MicroStrategy), the world’s largest corporate holder of Bitcoin (BTC), announced on Monday that it had acquired an additional 6,220 BTC during the week spanning July 14 to July 20.  This latest purchase brings the company’s total Bitcoin holdings to an impressive 607,770 tokens, acquired at an aggregate cost of approximately $43.61 billion, averaging $71,756 per Bitcoin. Strategy Stock Slumps Despite GENIUS Act Approval This announcement coincided with a breakthrough in the regulatory landscape for cryptocurrencies, as the GENIUS Act successfully cleared the House and received final approval from President Donald Trump on Friday.  The new stablecoin legislation establishes federal guidelines for stablecoins. The passage of the GENIUS Act has provided a boost to cryptocurrency exchanges like Coinbase Global (COIN) and Robinhood Markets (HOOD), which saw their stock prices rise by 2.2% and 4.1%, respectively, following the news. Related Reading: Dogecoin Price Breaks Above $0.26 In Weekend Rally As Pundit Predicts 2,600% Surge Despite the favorable regulatory environment, Strategy’s stock did not experience a similar surge. Instead, it fell by 7.2% over the course of Thursday and Friday, marking the company’s worst two-day performance since late May.  This decline mirrored the overall dip in Bitcoin prices, which had recently retreated toward the $117,000 zone from record highs above $123,000 earlier in the past week. Saylor Defends Bitcoin Strategy Reports note that the stock’s performance may have been impacted by a bearish research note from Gus Gala, an analyst at Monness, Crespi, Hardt, who reiterated a Sell rating on Strategy shares with a target price of $200.  Notably, Gala is the only analyst among 17 surveyed by FactSet to rate the Strategy’s stock as a Sell, which could contribute to investor caution. Amid these fluctuations, Strategy’s Chairman Michael Saylor remains a vocal advocate for the company’s Bitcoin strategy. In a recent post on social media site X (formerly Twitter), he encouraged followers to “Stay Humble. Stack Sats,” referring to Satoshis, the smallest unit of Bitcoin, emphasizing a long-term commitment to accumulating the cryptocurrency. Related Reading: Hold On For Dear Life: This Bullish Bitcoin Metric Just Touched A 15-Year High As the market continues to adapt to shifting regulations, crypto supporters are eagerly awaiting the next legislative development: the CLARITY Act.  This bill, which passed the House with a vote of 294-134, aims to create a clearer regulatory framework for digital assets by distinguishing between securities and commodities and delineating oversight responsibilities among various federal agencies. When writing, the market’s leading cryptocurrency trades at $117,500, recording a 14% price surge in the monthly time frame, and nearly 74% year-to-date. With the recent price correction, the Bitcoin price is now 4% below its current all-time high achieved during last week’s rally.  Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com

Trump Media experienced a notable uptick in its stock price (DJT) on Monday, closing up 3% after an intraday rise exceeding 5% to reach $19,25 per share. This surge followed the company’s announcement that it had invested $2 billion in Bitcoin (BTC). Two-Thirds Of Assets To Bitcoin Treasury The media group, which encompasses President Donald Trump’s social media platform Truth Social, the streaming service Truth+, and the financial services brand Truth.Fi, revealed that the recent cryptocurrency purchases align with a strategy initially outlined in May to establish a Bitcoin treasury.  According to Trump Media, these Bitcoin assets now represent two-thirds of its total $3 billion in assets, signaling a deepened financial commitment to the world’s largest cryptocurrency. Related Reading: $331M In Shorts At Risk As Ethereum Targets Key Supply Level Devin Nunes, CEO and president of Trump Media, emphasized the company’s unwavering focus on executing its publicly announced strategy. He stated that these assets are designed to secure the company’s “financial independence” and protect it from potential discrimination by financial institutions.  Furthermore, Nunes mentioned plans to introduce a utility token within the Truth Social ecosystem, which could enhance user engagement and create new revenue streams. In addition to acquiring Bitcoin, Trump Media has allocated $300 million towards an “options acquisition strategy” focused on Bitcoin-related securities. Trump’s Regulatory Push Trump’s support for a more supportive regulatory environment in Washington, D.C., has resulted in significant price increases and surging adoption by public traded companies in the digital asset industry. Recently, President Trump signed legislation that establishes the first federal framework for dollar-backed stablecoins, a significant endorsement expected to foster greater adoption of these digital assets under the GENIUS Act.  This move coincides with the launch of World Liberty Financial, a new crypto startup supported by Trump and his sons, which recently introduced its own US dollar-pegged stablecoin, USD1, in collaboration with BitGo. Related Reading: Too Pricey? Expert Says XRP Beats Bitcoin And Ethereum Right Now Trump Media’s ambitious plans include raising $2.5 billion to further expand its Bitcoin treasury. This approach, which blends public equity and debt issuance, has drawn inspiration from Michal Saylor’s pioneering efforts at Strategy (previously MicroStrategy), where the company’s transformation into a Bitcoin powerhouse began in 2020. Despite the stock’s recent rally, the performance of Trump Media has been volatile. Since announcing its Bitcoin treasury strategy in late May, the stock has fallen 25%, and it is down 45% year-to-date. On the other hand, Bitcoin recently reached a new record price above $123,000. Since then, however, the cryptocurrency has struggled to consolidate within its latest range of $118,000 to $119,000 and has fallen back toward its current valuation of $116,960. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

Bitcoin’s recent price movement reflects a pause in the broader uptrend, with the asset trading at $117,901 following a near 5% weekly decline. While the current downturn may signal a cooling of investor enthusiasm, on-chain indicators suggest the market may still have room to expand before reaching an exhaustion point. Notably, activity among long-term holders and derivatives traders reveals continued interest and potential for price volatility. One of the standout indicators drawing attention is the Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) for long-term holders (LTH), which has climbed to a new high for 2025. Related Reading: Bitcoin Climbs, But NVT Indicator Sends a Surprising Signal SOPR Suggests Continued Room for Growth Before Cycle Peaks According to CryptoQuant analyst Gaah, this metric tracks the profitability of coins moved by holders who have kept their Bitcoin for more than 155 days. The latest reading shows that LTHs are beginning to sell at a profit, but the indicator has yet to reach historically critical levels associated with market tops. Gaah emphasized that although LTH SOPR has crossed the mid-range and currently sits slightly above 2.5, it remains well below the 4.0 threshold historically linked with macro tops in previous cycles. This implies that long-term investors are realizing gains, but not to an extent that would suggest market euphoria or widespread distribution. In past bull cycles, SOPR readings above 4.0 marked the onset of significant corrections or cycle tops. The gradual increase in profit-taking could indicate that the market is maturing while maintaining upward potential. Gaah notes that investors should interpret this as part of the natural progression of a bullish phase, though risks of correction still remain. The ongoing accumulation and realization patterns from LTHs provide insight into how confidence and caution can simultaneously exist in market behavior. Derivatives Market Remains Active Amid High Open Interest and Bullish Funding Rates In a separate analysis, CryptoQuant analyst Arab Chain highlighted ongoing activity in the Bitcoin derivatives market as another crucial component of the current market landscape. Open interest, which represents the total number of outstanding futures contracts, remains elevated near $42 billion. This level, though slightly down from recent peaks, is still near historical highs and reflects strong trader participation. Arab Chain also highlighted the role of funding rates in shaping market sentiment. Currently, rising funding rates suggest dominance by long positions, indicating a bullish market environment. Related Reading: Hold On For Dear Life: This Bullish Bitcoin Metric Just Touched A 15-Year High When this sentiment is paired with high open interest, it may point to heightened risk of volatility, especially in an environment where leveraged trades are becoming more frequent. The analyst warned that a sudden price move could lead to widespread liquidations if funding becomes unsustainable, forcing exchanges to close out positions. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from Tradingview

As Bitcoin (BTC) continues to hover in the high $110,000 range, on-chain data suggests that a short-term price pullback may be imminent. That said, the broader market structure remains firmly bullish. Bitcoin Exchange Reserves Hit Near-Month High According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor ShayanMarkets, BTC reserves on centralized exchanges have risen to their highest level since June 25. This surge in exchange-held Bitcoin may signal increasing profit-taking activity among investors. Related Reading: Bitcoin Set To Soar? Analyst Sees Fresh $2 Billion Liquidity Triggering Next Leg Up A rise in BTC inflows to exchanges typically precedes distribution phases, as more coins become available for potential sale. This shift is often interpreted as a weakening in buy-side pressure, which could lead to a short-term price decline. ShayanMarkets commented: Historically, rising exchange reserves are associated with local market tops, as more BTC becomes available for potential sale. However, this metric alone should not be seen as a definitive trigger for immediate price drops. Broader market liquidity, sentiment, and demand dynamics remain key. The analyst emphasized that while higher reserves may suggest short-term selling pressure, they don’t necessarily indicate a reversal in trend. Any correction should be evaluated in context, unless accompanied by a significant change in macroeconomic or technical indicators. In a separate CryptoQuant post, analyst Darkfost pointed out a sharp uptick in Bitcoin whale activity. Notably, the last two Bitcoin local tops occurred when monthly average inflows from whales exceeded $75 billion. Between July 14 and July 18, average monthly inflows from whale wallets surged from $28 billion to $45 billion – a $17 billion jump. This pattern suggests that some whales may be taking profits following Bitcoin’s recent all-time high of $123,218 on Binance. What Does On-Chain Data Suggest? On-chain data also shows that long-term holders are distributing their BTC, while short-term holders are increasingly accumulating. This kind of rotation is often associated with late-stage rally behavior and potential exhaustion. Related Reading: Bitcoin Set To Soar? Analyst Sees Fresh $2 Billion Liquidity Triggering Next Leg Up Still, the short-term holder Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio currently sits at 1.15, well below the typical profit-taking threshold of 1.35. This suggests that there may still be room for further price appreciation before a broader selloff begins. However, not all indicators are reassuring. The Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross – a metric that compares network value to transaction volume – is trending higher, which may point to growing market froth. Likewise, exchange data from Binance indicates that BTC could be facing a near-term pullback. At press time, Bitcoin trades at $118,052, down 0.4% over the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com

Bitcoin’s upward price trajectory has slightly cooled, with the asset now trading just below the $119,000 mark, reflecting a 3% decline over the past week. The dip follows a sustained upward trend that has seen significant interest from both institutional and retail participants in recent months. The current pause in momentum may suggest a temporary rebalancing, with market participants potentially reassessing their positions. As price movement stabilizes, on-chain analysts have begun to highlight deeper structural shifts within Bitcoin’s blockchain activity. According to CryptoQuant contributor Avocado onchain, one key trend gaining attention is the continued decline in Bitcoin’s Unspent Transaction Output (UTXO) count. While at first glance this might seem related to falling transaction volumes, the underlying cause points to a more strategic restructuring by institutional participants. Related Reading: Bitcoin Whale Metrics Flash Mixed Signals: Monthly Inflows Rise And Daily Outflows Start Slowing Institutional Consolidation Reshaping On-Chain Structure Avocado explained that since December 2024, Bitcoin’s UTXO count has steadily decreased, a development he attributes to growing over-the-counter (OTC) activity and consolidation efforts by large holders. These entities, primarily whales and institutional investors, are reportedly merging multiple UTXOs into fewer addresses, a process that increases on-chain efficiency and reflects a preference for long-term custody. “The post-ETF approval environment has driven more assets into secure wallets, moving funds off exchanges into institutional-grade custody,” he wrote. This structural shift suggests that long-term holders are preparing for extended exposure rather than immediate market participation. Instead of dispersing funds for frequent trades, these institutions are consolidating their Bitcoin holdings into larger ones, indicating reduced near-term liquidity but possibly greater long-term market stability. The impact is visible in the on-chain footprint, where the number of active UTXOs has not kept pace with prior bull cycles. Bitcoin Muted Retail Activity and Future Market Signals While institutional activity appears to be solidifying, retail investor behavior remains subdued. Avocado noted that, unlike previous cycles where retail-driven volume increases contributed to UTXO growth, the current rally lacks that widespread grassroots engagement. The number of newly created UTXOs has remained relatively flat, reinforcing the view that retail participation is yet to catch up. Looking ahead, the analyst suggests that any renewed wave of short-term speculation, often sparked by sharp price movements, could reignite retail interest. This would be reflected in increased UTXO creation, exchange activity, and possibly greater volatility. Until then, the market appears to be led primarily by long-term strategic accumulation. Related Reading: The Final Bitcoin Act: Here’s What To Expect As BTC Trends Sideways Despite the current slowdown in price, underlying metrics remain constructive. Exchange inflows are moderate, long-term holders continue to accumulate, and institutional capital flows persist. These factors suggest that the market is still in a consolidative phase, rather than signaling a reversal. Should retail participation return and on-chain activity broaden, Bitcoin could see renewed upside supported by both foundational demand and speculative inflows. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Data shows Altcoins are breaking away from Bitcoin’s lead. Here’s what that could mean for the market, based on historical trends. Altcoins Are Witnessing A Fast Drop In Correlation To Bitcoin In a new post on X, analytics firm Alphractal has discussed how the Correlation between Bitcoin and the altcoins has changed recently. The Correlation is an indicator that keeps track of how tied together the prices of any two assets are. The metric can take on both positive and negative values. In both cases, some relationship exists between the assets, but the relative movement in their prices is different. Related Reading: This Ethereum Metric Called The Bottom Ahead Of Rally, Says Analytics Firm When the indicator has a positive value, it means one asset is reacting to movements in the other by moving in the same direction. The closer is the metric to 1, the stronger is this relationship. On the other hand, it being under zero suggests a negative correlation exists between the assets: they are moving in opposite directions. In this case, the extreme point lies at -1. If the Correlation is sitting exactly at zero, it suggests no relationship exists between the two prices at all. In statistics, this condition corresponds to the variables being independent. Now, here is the heatmap shared by Aphractal that shows the trend in the Correlation between Bitcoin and the various altcoins in the sector: As is visible above, the Correlation between Bitcoin and the different altcoins was close to 1 just earlier, but the indicator has seen a quick decline since then. The average value of the indicator for the two has now dipped toward the zero level and has even turned slightly negative. This change would suggest that while the altcoins were closely following the footsteps of the original cryptocurrency before, they are now following a chart that’s more or less independent. This trend, however, may not actually be a positive sign for the sector. “Historically, low correlation is a red flag,” explains the analytics firm. “It often precedes periods of high volatility and mass liquidations — whether from shorts or longs.” From the chart, it’s apparent that the last time the Correlation between Bitcoin and the altcoins plunged to zero was back in May, and what followed was a price jump for the asset. In January, the same trend marked the market top instead. Related Reading: XRP MVRV Ratio Flashes Signal That Last Led To 630% Surge The latest low Correlation between BTC and the alts has come as various assets have broken out and market dominance has seen a shakeup. “Altcoins have been outperforming Bitcoin in recent days, with daily signals suggesting it’s been more profitable to stay positioned in altcoins rather than BTC,” notes Alphractal. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $118,000, down more than 2.5% in the last week. Featured image from Dall-E, Alphractal.com, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin continues to trade within a tight range, consolidating above the $115,000 level and just below the key psychological barrier at $120,000. While the price structure remains bullish, market analysts are increasingly divided. Some expect Bitcoin to break higher toward uncharted territory, while others warn of an incoming correction, citing historical patterns and profit-taking behaviors. Related Reading: Ethereum Open Interest Hits Record $50 Billion – Volatility Incoming? Adding weight to the cautionary outlook, new data from CryptoQuant reveals a significant spike in whale activity. The Whale to Exchange Flow monthly average has surged by nearly $17 billion in just four days. This kind of jump historically coincides with either profit realization or increased volatility, as large holders adjust their positions. Although bulls are still in control of the trend, this level of whale inflow to exchanges may introduce short-term selling pressure, especially as Bitcoin hovers near its all-time high. The coming days could prove pivotal, as market participants assess whether this activity marks the beginning of a larger distribution phase or simply a healthy rotation within a bullish uptrend. Whale Inflows Surge, But Daily Trend Suggests Potential Easing Top analyst Darkfost has drawn attention to a critical development in Bitcoin’s market structure. According to his analysis, during the last two major market tops, exchange inflows from large holders surpassed $75 billion—an event that marked the beginning of a sharp correction or an extended consolidation phase. These inflows are a key signal, often indicating that whales are beginning to distribute their holdings after a strong rally. Currently, the data suggests a similar pattern could be unfolding. Between July 14 and July 18, the Whale to Exchange Flow monthly average surged from $28 billion to $45 billion, marking a $17 billion increase in just four days. While the recent 80,000 BTC transfer—linked to the Satoshi-era whale—likely played a role in this jump, it also reflects a broader trend: whales may be capitalizing on the recent all-time high to lock in profits. However, there’s an important nuance. Darkfost notes that while the monthly average has spiked, daily inflow data shows a noticeable decline. This suggests that the selling pressure from whales may be subsiding—at least temporarily. If the trend continues, it could provide the market with room to stabilize and potentially prepare for another leg up. Related Reading: Bitcoin Miner Sales Surge To Highest Level Since April – Details Bitcoin Consolidates Below Resistance Amid Bullish Structure Bitcoin continues to trade within a narrow consolidation range between $115,724 and $122,077, as shown on the 4-hour chart. Despite recent pauses in upward momentum, the broader structure remains bullish. The alignment of the 50, 100, and 200 simple moving averages (SMAs) confirms a healthy uptrend, with all three moving averages sloping upward and supporting the price action from below. The $122K level has proven to be a formidable resistance, rejecting multiple attempts to break higher. Meanwhile, the $115,724 support has remained intact, forming a clear short-term range. Volume has decreased over the last few sessions, which suggests indecision or a lack of conviction from bulls and bears alike. This kind of consolidation often precedes a breakout, especially when aligned with strong trend structure. Related Reading: Chainlink Sees Heavy Accumulation – Whales Add 8M LINK In One Month A decisive move above $122,077 with strong volume would likely confirm the next bullish leg, possibly targeting the $130K zone. Conversely, if bears gain ground and break below the $115,724 support, BTC could test the 100 SMA near $114,800 or even revisit deeper support zones. Until then, traders should closely monitor the volume profile and structure around these levels to anticipate the next breakout or breakdown. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

The percentage of Bitcoin’s long-term holders’ supply has reached a 15-year high, providing a bullish outlook for the flagship crypto. Asset manager Ark Invest highlighted this development in a recent report and explained what this could mean for BTC going forward.  Bitcoin Long-Term Holders Supply Hit 74% According to the Ark Invest report, the long-term holders’ supply has reached 74% of Bitcoin’s total supply, marking a 15-year high for this metric. The asset manager noted that this trend indicates growing market conviction in BTC’s role as a store of value or “digital gold.” These long-term holders refer to addresses that have held for 155 days or longer.  Related Reading: Michael Saylor Reveals The Only Thing ‘Better Than Bitcoin’ As MSTR Stock Outperforms This development comes at a time when Bitcoin is witnessing massive demand from institutional investors through the ETFs and treasury companies. These investors are considered better ‘diamond-hands’ than retail investors, which means that this metric could keep rising, with long-term holders gaining more control of BTC’s total supply.  This institutional buying has also driven the Bitcoin price to several all-time highs (ATHs) this year, with BTC reaching as high as $123,000 last week. The flagship crypto appears to still be in price discovery, as ETFs led by BlackRock and treasury companies, led by Saylor’s Strategy, continue to accumulate at an unprecedented pace.  Cathie Wood’s Ark Invest is ultra bullish on the Bitcoin price, predicting that it could reach $1.5 million by 2030. They expect BTC to reach this target due to the rising institutional investment and global recognition of Bitcoin’s ability to serve as a store of value. In a CNBC interview, Cathie Wood also doubled down on this prediction.  She explained that they expect BTC to take a significant share from gold or grow the store of value market. Wood added that institutions are still just testing the waters despite the massive accumulation so far. As such, she still expects a rise in adoption for these companies. Meanwhile, only about 1 million unmined Bitcoins are remaining.  Other Bullish Metrics For BTC The Ark Invest report also revealed that global liquidity per bitcoin reached a 12-year high. This metric reached this high with $5.7 million in global M2 supply per BTC in circulation. The asset manager remarked that this ratio could continue to rise given Bitcoin’s diminishing future supply growth and the continued expansion of global liquidity. Related Reading: This Analyst Predicted Bitcoin’s Rally To $120,000 Months Ago, Here’s The Rest Of The Forecast Meanwhile, in June, Bitcoin managed to hold above the support between $96,000 and $99,000 and is now well above these levels. $98,888, $96,278, and $71,393 are BTC’s short-term holder cost basis, 200-day moving average, and on-chain mean, respectively, which is why this development is bullish for the flagship crypto.  At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $19,100, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin has already shown a lot of strength in recent times, pushing as high as $123,000 before trailing back down toward $117,000. So far, it looks like the digital asset has hit a roadblock and is now possibly looking at a peak. But analyst Merlijn The Trader has explained that it is far from over for Bitcoin with more rallies to come. He reveals that the Bitcoin price is yet to stage its ‘final act’, which must happen before there are talks of a top. Bitcoin 4-Year Cycle Is Still In Play After the Bitcoin price rallied to new all-time highs pre-halving, which had never happened before, there were talks that the 4-year cycle had been broken. For clarification, the 4-year cycle is tied to the Bitcoin halving events, which take place every four years, cutting block rewards for miners in half. Related Reading: Bitcoin Re-Enters Profit Zone As Greed Rises, But Rally To $200,000 Still Possible However, the reduction in block rewards is not the only interesting thing about the 4-year cycle, because each halving also ushers in a new bull market. This has been the case for the past three bull cycles, and Bitcoin is also expected to follow this. Historically, the market rallies for around a year after the halving, with the top being reached one year later. Going by this trend, the Bitcoin price and the crypto market at large are expected to keep rallying before topping later this year. Pointing to this 4-year cycle, the analyst forecasts another stretch of price increases. The chart shows that price often declines for one year and then rallies for three years, and so far, the Bitcoin price has only been rallying for two, leaving 2025 as another year for rallying. Additionally, Bitcoin is still a long way from levels that have previously marked the top of previous bull markets. Thus, there is still a while before it hits its peak in 2025. Besides, each bull cycle has seen Bitcoin rise 3x higher than its previous all-time highs, and it is year to hit even 2x higher than its previous $69,000 high. How High Can BTC Go? If the 4-year cycle is still in play, then it means that the Bitcoin price rally is far from done. In the analyst’s chart, he shows the possible top for Bitcoin based on past cycles, and BTC is still in the middle of the box. The top of this box puts the BTC price at around $200,000 before a top can be reached. Related Reading: XRP Hits New ATH, But $3.12 Retest Still In Play The analyst warns that Bitcoin is about to enter what he refers to as the “greenest stretch of them all”, pointing to another rally to all-time highs. If this forecast plays out, then Bitcoin is expected to see another 50% rally before the bull market is done. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

According to an on-chain analyst on X, Bitcoin has decoupled from other cryptocurrencies or altcoins, which could lead to a severe price downturn within the market over the next day. Why Traders Should Brace For Impact In a July 18 post on the social media platform X, Joao Wedson, founder of crypto analytics firm Alphractal, reported that the Bitcoin price might witness a significant drop over the next day. The crypto analyst based his conclusion on multiple results obtained from on-chain analysis using three major metrics.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Trades Above $117K as Whale Deposits Decline and Stablecoin Inflows Rise First, Wedson referenced an earlier post made on X by Alphractal, saying that the market is currently dominated by long positions. According to the analyst, the effect of these long positions wouldn’t necessarily last long in a market where the shorts have been liquidated — a phenomenon which also holds for the reverse case.  The chart above is from the Correlation Heatmap – BTCUSDT versus ALTCOINS metric, which reads the trajectory of the two crypto categories and compares them. Using the chart as a foundation, Wedson mentioned that altcoins are decoupling from Bitcoin.  When altcoins cease to follow the premier cryptocurrency’s lead, the development could be subject to a couple of interpretations, which affect market sentiment. As a result, it is normal to expect increased market volatility. Wedson also referenced the Altcoin Season Index Vs Bitcoin metric, which is used to measure if altcoins are outperforming Bitcoin within a specific period. According to the analyst, this Altcoin Season Index is currently on the rise, which is typically a positive sign for the altcoins.  However, if historical trends are anything to go by, a rising Altcoin Season Index might be a negative signal for Bitcoin. Wedson explained that the Bitcoin market might experience a dump, dragging along with it the currently rising Altcoins, to re-establish market balance. The crypto pundit also cited the Alpha Quant Signal as an influence in his conclusion. Wedson pointed out that the metric flashed a sell, which was expected, seeing as some significant whales recently added to the sell pressure on Bitcoin by selling a fraction of their holdings. Outlook For The Altcoins Even as the market flashes ominous signs, Joao Wedson expressed optimism in the viability of the beginning of an altcoin rally, saying he doesn’t believe this is the final leg down for the crypto market. “But it’s likely a sign that the market is about to form a new price base. So be cautious with the traps that might show up along the way,” the analyst added.  Related Reading: Ethereum’s Rally Isn’t What It Seems — Here’s What’s Really Driving It As of this writing, Bitcoin is valued at about $117,783, reflecting a mere 0.2% price increase in the past 24 hours. Representing the other camp, Ethereum, the “king of altcoins,” jumped by 2.23% in 24 hours and is currently valued at $3,562. Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin is currently holding above the $115,000 level after setting a new all-time high of approximately $123,000 last Monday. The price structure remains firmly bullish, with buyers still in control, but growing signs suggest the potential for a short-term correction. Momentum has slowed, and the market is entering a consolidation phase as traders reassess risk. Related Reading: Coinbase Premium Signals Aggressive Ethereum Accumulation: Institutional Demand Accelerates According to new data from CryptoQuant, Bitcoin miner selling has surged sharply. On July 15, the same day Bitcoin reached its latest peak, daily BTC inflows to exchanges jumped from 19,000 BTC to 81,000 BTC — a clear sign that major holders, including miners and whales, took advantage of high prices to offload assets. Notably, miner outflows spiked to 16,000 BTC, the highest daily level since April, and nearly all of it was sent directly to exchanges. These inflows suggest a shift in sentiment among large players, raising the probability of increased supply pressure in the short term. While the broader trend remains intact, and fundamentals like long-term holder activity are still strong, the spike in exchange deposits is a classic signal to watch. Whether this leads to a deeper pullback or simply a healthy reset will likely be decided in the coming days. Miners Take Profits As Bitcoin Hits All-Time High Fresh data from CryptoQuant reveals that Bitcoin miners have resumed aggressive selling behavior as BTC reached a new all-time high of ~$123,000. On July 15, miner outflows spiked to 16,000 BTC — the highest single-day total since April 7. This level of activity represents what analysts at CryptoQuant describe as an “extreme outflow,” indicating that miners seized the opportunity to take profits at elevated prices. The miners sent nearly all the BTC they withdrew from their wallets directly to centralized exchanges. This reinforces the interpretation that the move was not simply a strategic reallocation but an active decision to sell into market strength. Such behavior often signals growing caution among miners, who may expect either near-term price exhaustion or are simply capitalizing on favorable conditions after months of holding. Miner behavior has long been viewed as a leading indicator of potential market shifts. When outflows rise — particularly to exchanges — it tends to precede increased volatility or temporary tops. While the broader Bitcoin trend remains bullish and investor demand stays strong, this wave of miner selling injects a dose of uncertainty. Related Reading: Ethereum Enters Top 30 Global Assets With $416B Market Cap – What’s Next? BTC Consolidates Below ATH After Explosive Rally The daily chart of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) shows price consolidating in a tight range between $115,730 and $123,230 after reaching a new all-time high. This zone is now acting as a short-term channel, with buyers defending the $115K area while facing resistance around $123K. The latest daily candle shows low volatility, suggesting indecision among traders as Bitcoin pauses after its recent breakout. Volume has tapered off following a massive spike that coincided with the all-time high breakout, a potential signal of exhaustion or reduced participation from large buyers. The 50-day simple moving average (SMA) at $108,796 remains well below the current price, confirming the bullish momentum is still intact, but any breakdown below the $115K level could bring the 50-day SMA into focus as a potential support. Related Reading: All 40K Remaining Bitcoin From The 80K Whale Just Moved: $4.75B In One Wallet Now So far, the trend structure remains bullish, but with a growing number of analysts pointing to miner sales and whale activity, traders are closely monitoring price action for signs of a pullback or renewed breakout. If BTC can reclaim $123,230 with volume, the next leg up could follow. Until then, this consolidation may serve as a healthy cooldown before the next major move. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin is currently consolidating between $115,000 and its all-time high of $123,000, forming a tight range that has kept both bulls and bears on edge. Despite the recent surge, price action has slowed, and while bulls are holding strong above key levels, market participants are growing cautious about the potential for a correction. Related Reading: Ethereum Enters Top 30 Global Assets With $416B Market Cap – What’s Next? Adding to the uncertainty is the resurfacing of a Satoshi-era whale. Top analyst Darkfost has been tracking this long-dormant wallet, which recently transferred 80,000 BTC to Galaxy Digital, a major player in digital assets and AI infrastructure. The move immediately triggered speculation across the crypto space, as such large transfers are often associated with upcoming sales. The timing of this transfer is crucial. It coincides with increased exchange inflows and rising discussions of institutional profit-taking. With the market already in a delicate position, the possibility that a portion of this massive BTC stack could be sold has analysts and investors bracing for elevated volatility. Whale Starts Selling: 1,500 BTC Sent To Binance Darkfost has confirmed that Galaxy Digital has just moved 1,500 BTC to a Binance deposit address. These coins were previously part of the massive 80,000 BTC linked to a Satoshi-era whale who recently reactivated their wallet. The latest transfer suggests that a portion of this historic stash is officially up for sale. At current prices, the 1,500 BTC represents around $180 million in market value. More importantly, it marks one of the fastest and most significant offloads ever recorded from a single wallet, with the total 80K BTC valued at roughly $9.54 billion. While they have only moved a small fraction to exchanges so far, the sale could signal larger intentions. Some view this transfer as a potential warning sign, especially given the current consolidation above $115K. In their view, such high-volume activity from a long-term holder might precede further profit-taking or even a broader correction. Others, however, see it as a smart and well-timed move from an investor who has held since Bitcoin’s earliest days and is finally realizing some gains. Related Reading: Coinbase Premium Signals Aggressive Ethereum Accumulation: Institutional Demand Accelerates BTC Price Holds Tight Range After ATH Bitcoin is currently trading at $118,000, consolidating within a tight range between $115,730 and $123,230, as shown in the 12-hour chart. This comes after a strong breakout earlier this month that pushed BTC to a new all-time high of $123,230. Since then, price action has shown signs of cooling without a major pullback, suggesting bulls remain in control, but short-term momentum is slowing. The chart displays a healthy structure, with BTC trading well above its 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day simple moving averages, which are currently at $111,819, $108,563, and $102,963. This confirms strong trend support from long-term holders and momentum investors. Related Reading: Altcoins Reclaim Key Technical Level – Can Momentum Sustain This Time? Volume has increased during the move higher, indicating conviction behind the breakout, but the last few candles show lower follow-through volume, consistent with a consolidation phase. If BTC holds above $115,730, the structure remains bullish and could lead to another breakout toward $130,000 and beyond. A break below this level, however, could open the door for a deeper retracement, with the $112K–$111K zone acting as key moving average support. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin’s recent price action has continued its upward trajectory, with the asset trading as high as above the $120,000 price mark in the past 24 hours. The move suggests persistent bullish momentum following a period of sharp decline earlier this week. As the price inches closer to its all-time high, on-chain data is starting to paint a picture of solid transactional support behind the price movement. In particular, analysts have begun highlighting a divergence between Bitcoin’s market value and its underlying network activity. One such observation comes from CryptoQuant analyst Sunflowr Quant, who shared insights in a recent QuickTake post examining the unusual behavior of the NVT Golden Cross indicator. This metric, typically expected to rise in tandem with price due to its function as a ratio between market cap and transaction volume, is currently declining, which Sunflowr attributes to a significant uptick in on-chain activity. Related Reading: Bitcoin Rally Not Over Yet? Short-Term Holder MVRV Suggests Further Upside Bitcoin On-Chain Growth Suggests Underlying Network Strength According to Sunflowr, this inverse correlation between the rising BTC price and falling NVT Golden Cross may indicate that the current rally is driven more by actual usage and real transactions on the Bitcoin network rather than speculative trading. “A decline in the NVT ratio during a price increase implies that the transaction volume is rising at a faster pace than the market cap,” he wrote. “This can be interpreted as a sign that the rally is supported by real economic activity.” This observation aligns with the broader sentiment that healthy on-chain growth can serve as a foundation for more sustainable price increases. If transaction volumes are growing organically and not solely from derivatives speculation, it suggests that user adoption and financial utility are contributing to the price strength. Investors closely watching these indicators may find this a favorable environment, though caution remains as other metrics hint at evolving market dynamics. Holder Rotation Signals Potential Shift in Market Participation A separate analysis from CryptoQuant analyst IT Tech sheds light on another dimension of Bitcoin’s current market structure: holder behavior. In a post titled “Holder Rotation,” IT Tech notes that long-term holders, those who have held BTC for more than 155 days, have recently begun net distribution, meaning they’re selling more than accumulating. Conversely, short-term holders are showing net accumulation behavior once again, a dynamic often seen in late-stage rallies. This shift between long-term and short-term holders has historically served as a warning signal. Similar handoffs were observed in April 2021 and November 2023, both of which preceded local tops or cooling phases. While this doesn’t necessarily confirm a reversal, it highlights the need to monitor supporting metrics such as exchange inflows and funding rates. Related Reading: Bitcoin Trades Above $117K as Whale Deposits Decline and Stablecoin Inflows Rise “It’s a classic profit-taking pattern from seasoned wallets, while newer market participants may be entering due to rising prices,” IT Tech wrote. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

As Bitcoin (BTC) continues to set new all-time highs (ATH) – reaching $123,218 on Binance on July 13 – on-chain data reveals a shift in holder behavior that could threaten the cryptocurrency’s bullish momentum. Bitcoin Holder Rotation May Derail Rally According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor IT Tech, long-term Bitcoin holders (LTH) – those holding BTC for over 155 days – have transitioned into net distribution, suggesting seasoned investors are engaging in profit-taking. Meanwhile, short-term holders (STH) – those who have held BTC for less than 155 days — have recently turned net positive, indicating they are buying into BTC’s current rally in anticipation of further gains. Historical data shows that similar trends among LTH and STH were observed back in April 2021 and November 2023. During both these instances, BTC witnessed a cooling phase or a local top when spot demand faded. Related Reading: Bitcoin Exchange Inflows Spike After $123,000 Peak – Signs Of Short-Term Cooling? In their analysis, IT Tech suggested keeping an eye on exchange inflows and funding rates for confirmation. If spot BTC inflows to crypto exchanges surge, it could hint that sell-pressure is likely to increase, which may derail the digital asset’s bullish trajectory. Supporting this view, CryptoQuant contributor Arab Chain noted that the Spent Output Value Ranges (SOVR) indicator shows a spike in BTC transfers to exchanges from wallets holding 1,000 to 10,000 BTC – typically associated with whales. For the uninitiated, the SOVR indicator tracks on-chain BTC transfers by value buckets to identify which investor segments are active. It helps reveal whether retail, mid-sized, or institutional players are driving market activity. This aligns with IT Tech’s observations on long-term holders. If selling pressure intensifies, BTC could correct down to a support level near $111,800. Not All Analysts See Rally Exhaustion Although Bitcoin LTH entering distribution phase, and whales increasing their deposits to crypto exchanges may point toward a potential end for the current rally, not all analysts share the same sentiment. Related Reading: Bitcoin Profit-Taking Spikes Without Price Drop – Strong Demand Or Delayed Reaction? For instance, the STH Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) suggests BTC may still be undervalued, indicating potential for further upside. If that holds, Bitcoin could climb as high as $150,000 before any major pullback. Additionally, a fresh injection of $2 billion in liquidity to major crypto derivatives platforms could help reignite bullish momentum. However, caution remains warranted. The Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross has been climbing steadily, giving early signs of an overheated market. At press time, BTC trades at $118,754, up 0.4% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com

As Bitcoin (BTC) consolidates just below the $120,000 mark, concerns are mounting over whether the top cryptocurrency’s bullish momentum is fading. However, some analysts believe BTC still has room to grow, citing key on-chain indicators. Bitcoin Rally Far From Over According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Darkfost, Bitcoin’s rally is not yet over. The analyst points to the Short-Term Holder (STH) Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) indicator as evidence. Related Reading: Bitcoin Profit-Taking Spikes Without Price Drop – Strong Demand Or Delayed Reaction? For context, STH MVRV measures the profitability of Bitcoin held by short-term investors – typically those who acquired BTC within the last 155 days – by comparing the current market price to their average purchase price. When the STH MVRV is high, it suggests short-term holders are in profit and may sell. On the contrary, a low or negative MVRV indicates undervaluation and potential for further upside. Darkfost noted that during the current market cycle, unrealized profits among STH have yet to surpass the 42% threshold. Historically, every time the STH MVRV reaches around 1.35 – implying a 35% unrealized profit – it has triggered a wave of profit-taking, followed by short-term price pullbacks. As of now, the STH MVRV stands at approximately 1.15, well below the profit-taking zone. The analyst attributes this to the STH realized price exceeding $100,000 for the first time in Bitcoin’s history on July 11. At the time of writing, this realized price has risen above $102,000, providing BTC with a robust support base. To clarify, STH realized price refers to the average price at which all Bitcoin held by short-term holders was acquired. When Bitcoin’s current market price remains above this level, it reflects growing market confidence among newer investors. Darkfost added that BTC could rise another 20–25% before the STH MVRV reaches its critical level again. If this projection holds, Bitcoin could potentially hit $150,000 before the next wave of widespread profit-taking. Fresh Liquidity May Help, But Exercise Caution Bitcoin may also benefit from fresh liquidity entering the market. Fellow CryptoQuant analyst Amr Taha recently highlighted a $2 billion USDT deposit into major derivatives trading platforms, signaling potential leverage buildup. Related Reading: No Mania Yet: Bitcoin ATH Lacks Hype, Suggesting Further Upside Potential Similarly, favorable macroeconomic conditions are expected to support risk-on assets like Bitcoin. The recent weakness in the USD has fuelled optimism around capital rotating into cryptocurrencies and other high risk-reward assets. ​​However, BTC inflows to centralized exchanges have been steadily rising as well, suggesting a short-term correction could be on the horizon. At press time, BTC trades at $118,862, down 0.2% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com

Bitcoin continues to maintain upward momentum despite a recent pullback from its all-time high. Currently trading at $117,847, the asset has recorded nearly a 10% gain over the past week. The dip from peak levels, approximately a 4.1% decline, has not dampened broader investor sentiment, with several on-chain indicators suggesting renewed buying interest and reduced selling pressure. Related Reading: Bitcoin Retail Demand Rebounds – $0–$10K Transfer Volume Turns Positive Bitcoin Whale Withdrawals Decline, While Stablecoins Flow In In a recent analysis posted to CryptoQuant’s QuickTake platform, analyst Amr Taha shared insights pointing to a strategic change in behavior among key Bitcoin holders and investors. The report, titled “Stablecoin Flood and Whale Retreat: Binance Moves Foreshadow Risk-On Sentiment”, outlined significant trends in whale activity and stablecoin flows that may support continued bullish momentum in the near term. Taha’s research highlighted a steep reduction in whale-level Bitcoin deposits on Binance. Over the past 30 days, these deposits have dropped from $6.75 billion to $4.5 billion, a $2.25 billion decline. Historically, large deposits from whales to centralized exchanges often signal an intention to sell, so the recent drop may imply a reduction in immediate sell-side pressure. This could stabilize Bitcoin’s price in the short term, especially if whales continue to hold or move assets to cold storage instead of preparing them for sale. At the same time, stablecoin flows have increased dramatically across major exchanges. On July 16, Binance and HTX saw combined stablecoin inflows exceeding $1.7 billion. Taha interpreted this as an indication that large entities, possibly institutions or whales, are preparing to accumulate digital assets. Large stablecoin deposits often precede significant buying activity, suggesting that the market could be gearing up for another leg higher, particularly if paired with reduced sell-side movements. Macroeconomic Developments and Miner Sentiment Add Context This on-chain activity is unfolding amid broader economic and political developments. Taha’s report also pointed to speculation around President Donald Trump’s comments during a private meeting, in which he reportedly considered replacing Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Though later denied, the remark sparked reactions in traditional markets, including a weaker dollar and rising bond yields. These shifts signaled a rotation into risk assets, potentially benefiting crypto markets as investors reallocate capital in anticipation of a more accommodative monetary stance. Related Reading: This Bitcoin Thesis ‘Will Retire Your Bloodline,’ Says Expert Separately, CryptoQuant analyst Arab Chain analyzed Bitcoin’s miner profitability using the Puell Multiple indicator. The data shows that while miners are currently making solid profits, the level has not reached historical peaks seen during prior market tops. In the 2017 and 2021 cycles, extreme miner profitability (indicated by Puell readings exceeding 2.0–3.0) often preceded sharp price corrections. At current levels, Arab Chain believes the market is not in a euphoric state, reducing the likelihood of imminent volatility due to miner-driven selloffs. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin has been on a tear lately. Prices jumped past $123,000 this week. Now, new figures show that fresh money is flowing into the market again. That’s a sharp change after months of muted retail interest. Related Reading: Avalanche Shatters Record With 20M Transactions—Is Real-World Use Finally Here? Fresh Capital Flooding In According to on‑chain data from Glassnode, first‑time buyers picked up an extra 140,000 BTC over the past two weeks. Their holdings climbed from 4.77 million to nearly 5  million BTC—a 2.86% rise. That influx of fresh coins helped push Bitcoin past its latest high. It also shows that new investors are gaining confidence in the world’s biggest cryptocurrency. Over the past two weeks, the supply held by first-time $BTC buyers rose by +2.86%, climbing from 4.77M to 4.91M #BTC. Fresh capital continues to enter the market, supporting the latest price breakout. pic.twitter.com/W95HSAMaHI — glassnode (@glassnode) July 17, 2025 Short‑Term Holders Hit A New Cost Base Newer players aren’t the only ones getting active. Based on reports, entities that bought Bitcoin within the last six months now sit on a cost basis above $100,000 for the first time. They’ve held on through price swings and have not yet sold at a loss. That suggests many expect the rally to continue. At the same time, holding on tight could create pressure if prices dip below their average buy‑in point. Dip Buyers Act Fast Glassnode’s cost‑basis heatmap revealed that buyers moved quickly when Bitcoin dipped below $116,000 earlier this week. About 196,600 BTC changed hands between $116,000 and $118,000. That buying spree added over $23  million in value near what looks like a local top. It’s a sign of strong resolve from those backing the market at lower levels. Altcoin Chat Outpaces Bitcoin Searches While whales and newer buyers are busy, the crowd on Google seems less thrilled. Search activity for “Bitcoin” ticked up modestly in the last fortnight, but it’s well below the highs seen when BTC first broke $100,000 this year. At the same time, data from Santiment indicate chatter has shifted toward altcoins. With Ethereum grabbing the spotlight, many retail investors appear more excited by tokens promising bigger short‑term moves. Related Reading: If You’re Wealthy, 1 Bitcoin Should Already Be In Your Wallet, Expert Says Retail Interest Remains Muted Despite soaring prices, everyday investors haven’t jumped back in en masse. Based on reports, the broad public’s FOMO hasn’t shown up in a big way yet. That lack of widespread buzz could limit how far and how fast Bitcoin goes from here. In past rallies, it was the flood of curiosity from casual buyers that turned spikes into parabolic runs. Featured image from Meta, chart from TradingView

A bill moving through Congress could reshape how big companies sell their shares. Senator Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts warned that the CLARITY Act might let firms dodge long‑standing rules. Related Reading: If You’re Wealthy, 1 Bitcoin Should Already Be In Your Wallet, Expert Says Based on reports, the measure would shift certain tokens onto a “mature” blockchain and hand oversight to the CFTC instead of the SEC. Warren Warns Of A Regulatory Loophole According to Warren, the bill’s text would let any company listed on the NYSE put its stock on a qualifying blockchain. At that point, companies could escape SEC registration. She said that could “blow up the value of the NYSE” by cutting out investor protections. Under the draft, token sales using a functional chain still count as fundraising, but tokenized shares may slip free of SEC checks. She wants to limit US companies (Amazon, Meta, GE) to protect the “US economy” / NYSE? Not against NYSE, but it’s just one company, fully owned by ICE, market cap: ~$100 billion. Amazon market cap: $2.40 trillion. NYSE ≠ economy. All companies = economy. https://t.co/6Xo6QVgL1p — CZ ???? BNB (@cz_binance) July 17, 2025 Companies could raise money without filing the same forms. They would not need to share audited reports or follow proxy rules. Retail investors might face hidden risks if their favorite blue‑chip stock suddenly shifts on‑chain. Crypto Week Sees Multiple Bills This week in Washington is packed. The House Agriculture Committee and the House Financial Services Committee both cleared the CLARITY Act. It now heads toward the Senate, where approval is not guaranteed. (Update – On Wednesday, the GOP-led US House navigated crucial procedural checkpoints for crypto reform, just a day after President Donald Trump stepped in to keep the effort alive—clearing the path for America’s inaugural federal digital-asset statute. Those approvals came on the heels of more than nine hours of behind‑closed‑doors negotiations, as party leaders courted skeptics uneasy about the bill’s design.) US President Donald Trump said he expects these bills to land on his desk after Senate votes. Representative Andy Harris noted that the House Freedom Caucus plans to meet soon to add CBDC language into the CLARITY draft. Large parts of the market are watching closely. Token classification under one agency or another could shift billions in trading volume overnight. Related Reading: Massive Whale Profits $15 Million—Now Betting Big On Ethereum To Crash Industry Voices Split On Regulation Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse pointed out that over 55 million US citizens now use crypto. He cited a $3.4 trillion market cap and urged a clear framework to secure the industry’s future. On the other side, Americans for Financial Reform warned that the bill would curb the SEC’s powers to guard retail investors. They said it is more deregulatory than FIT21 from 2024, raising risks of scams and theft. SEC Commissioner Hester Peirce has said token rules should not remove securities‑law coverage where it belongs. Representatives Maxine Waters and Angie Craig also voiced concerns that the legislation favors big crypto players over everyday investors. Featured image from Meta, chart from TradingView

On-chain data shows the supply held by new Bitcoin buyers has seen a jump recently, a sign that the latest price rally is backed by fresh capital. First-Time Bitcoin Buyers Have Increased Supply By 2.86% In a new post on X, the on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has talked about the latest trend in the Bitcoin ‘First Buyers.’ This cohort is part of Glassnode’s broader investor classification system that is based on behavior. The First Buyers include, as the name already hints, the holders who are buying the cryptocurrency for the first time. The supply associated with the group, therefore, can be considered as a proxy of the fresh capital entering into the sector. Related Reading: XRP Close Above This Level Could Send Price To $4.80, Analyst Says Other groups part of the behavioral classification include Momentum Buyers, the investors who ride the tide of price trends, and Conviction Buyers, who step in to buy during price declines. Below is the chart shared by the analytics firm that shows the trend in the Bitcoin supply held by the First Buyers over the last couple of weeks. As displayed in the graph, the Bitcoin First Buyers have seen their supply go up during the last two weeks, implying that fresh capital has potentially been entering the market. More specifically, the cohort’s holdings have gone from 4.77 million BTC to 4.91 million BTC in this period, corresponding to an increase of around 140,000 tokens or 2.86%. This is notable and suggests the price surge to the new all-time high (ATH) has attracted real demand. In some other news, the Bitcoin Puell Multiple has been relatively muted even after the price rally, as an analyst has pointed out in a CryptoQuant Quicktake post. The Puell Multiple is an indicator that keeps track of the ratio between the daily value of coins being ‘issued’ by miners on the blockchain (in USD) and the 365-day moving average (MA) of the same. In short, the indicator informs us about whether the Bitcoin miners are currently making more revenue from block subsidy compared to the norm or not. Historically, the indicator shooting up to an extreme value has generally aligned with some sort of top for the cryptocurrency. As is visible in the chart, the BTC Puell Multiple is currently sitting around 1.2, which means that miners are making more than the average for the past year, but not by too much. If the past trend is anything to go by, this may be a potential sign that the current cycle still has room for growth. Related Reading: Bitcoin Next Key Level Is $136,000 If Momentum Holds, Glassnode Says Something to note, however, is the fact that the indicator’s peaks have been trending lower with each cycle. Thus, it’s possible that the metric would also top out at a lower level of miner revenue this time around. BTC Price Bitcoin hasn’t been able to sustain recovery since its low as its price is still trading around $117,000. Featured image from Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com, Glassnode.com, chart from TradingView.com

After reaching a record high of $123,200, Bitcoin is now consolidating around the $118,000 level. Market participants remain on alert as top analyst Darkfost reported a major development involving one of the oldest and most closely watched wallets in crypto history. According to the analyst, the remaining 40,000 BTC—valued at approximately $4.75 billion—still held by the 80K Satoshi-era whale have all moved. Related Reading: Bitcoin Retail Demand Rebounds – $0–$10K Transfer Volume Turns Positive The shift began last night, signaling renewed activity from the early Bitcoin holder. Until now, only half of the whale’s holdings had been moved, while the rest remained dormant. This latest transfer marks the full mobilization of the entire 80,000 BTC once controlled by the entity. While the motive behind the move remains unknown, the market is watching closely for signs of potential selling or redistribution. Bitcoin’s ability to hold above key support levels despite this high-stakes movement may reflect strong demand and investor confidence. However, with $4.75 billion now in motion, traders are bracing for possible volatility ahead. The market is waiting to see if this event will trigger broader implications—or if it’s simply a strategic reshuffling from one of the ecosystem’s earliest whales. Satoshi-Era BTC Consolidates Into Single Address Darkfost highlighted a major on-chain development that has captured the market’s attention: Each of the four wallets, previously holding 10,000 BTC from the 80K whale, sent their funds to a single destination address bc1qs4nzm0je7wqfyfmqr4ht4upyzy57vc95nf4au0. This address now holds the entire $4.75 billion stash, raising new questions about the intent behind the move. According to Darkfost, while the pattern differs from previous sell-off precedents, the market must remain alert. “I guess these BTC might also end up hitting the market soon,” he commented. This kind of movement—especially from dormant, high-value wallets—often signals large-scale positioning, which can precede either institutional sales or strategic long-term storage. The timing coincides with rising bullish momentum across the crypto market. With Bitcoin consolidating above $118,000 following its $123,200 all-time high, traders are eyeing a potential breakout. Adding fuel to this outlook, all three key crypto-related bills were passed by the US House this week, removing significant regulatory uncertainty and clearing a path for broader adoption. Related Reading: SharpLink Gaming Buys $73M in Ethereum – Smart Money Loads the Dip Bitcoin Weekly Chart Signals Fresh Momentum The weekly chart shows Bitcoin holding strong above $118,000 after surging to an all-time high of $123,200. This breakout follows a prolonged consolidation just below the $110,000 resistance, which acted as a ceiling for several months. Now turned support, the $109,300 and $103,600 zones are critical demand levels, offering a firm foundation for continuation if bulls maintain control. The structure of the recent weekly candles reflects bullish dominance, characterized by strong bodies and relatively small upper wicks. This suggests controlled profit-taking and growing confidence from buyers. Meanwhile, volume is picking up, confirming participation in the breakout and hinting at the possibility of sustained momentum in the coming weeks. Related Reading: Ethereum Supply Locked Hits New ATH: Smart Money Bets On Long-Term Growth All major moving averages—50-week ($88,214), 100-week ($69,139), and 200-week ($50,254)—are trending upward and remain well below current price levels, reinforcing a long-term bullish trend. As Bitcoin consolidates above former resistance, this zone may now serve as a launchpad for a move toward the next psychological target at $130,000. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

A rumor is rapidly spreading among crypto investors that the US government may have quietly sold off nearly 170,000 BTC, leaving a fraction of its assumed holdings intact. The speculation began after the US Marshals Service, in response to a FOIA request, revealed that it currently holds only 28,988 BTC valued at approximately $3.4 billion.  Many crypto investors took this disclosure to mean that the federal government’s total Bitcoin reserves had declined from the long-assumed figure of around 200,000 BTC. The claim was amplified across the social media platform X, where even some public figures reacted to what appears to be a massive strategic sell-off by the US government. FOIA Request Misinterpreted The confusion of the US government selling the majority of its Bitcoin holdings appears to stem from misinterpretations of the specific holdings of the US Marshals Service with those of the entire federal government. The FOIA request that sparked the debate was submitted by journalist L0la L33tz, and it accurately reflects that the Marshals control just under 29,000 BTC. However, this only accounts for the Bitcoin under the custody of that particular agency. Related Reading: This Analyst Predicted Bitcoin’s Rally To $120,000 Months Ago, Here’s The Rest Of The Forecast On-chain data from blockchain analytics firm Arkham Intelligence provides a very different picture. According to Arkham, the US government as a whole still holds approximately 198,000 BTC, worth over $23.46 billion at the current price of Bitcoin. These coins are distributed across various federal agencies and are not limited to the Marshals’ holdings. Nevertheless, the misrepresentation took hold quickly.  Even US Senator Cynthia Lummis, who is a well-known advocate of Bitcoin, responded to the rumor, saying, “I’m alarmed by reports that the U.S. has sold off over 80% of its Bitcoin reserves, leaving just ~29,000 coins. If true, this is a total strategic blunder and sets the United States back years in the bitcoin race.” What If the US Quietly Sold 170,000 BTC? The repercussions on the broader crypto market would be immense if the US government had indeed sold off 170,000 BTC in secret. A sale of that scale would unleash massive selling pressure and cause a strong drop in the price of Bitcoin. This would erode confidence among investors in the wider crypto market and set off a chain reaction of liquidations across other cryptocurrencies. Such a move would not only cause technical breakdowns in price structure but also cancel out the possibility of governments around the world holding crypto as a form of strategic reserve. Related Reading: Bitcoin Dominance Just Got Rejected From TSDT Resistance That Triggered Last Altcoin Season — Details Moreover, such a dump would directly contradict the federal policy direction set earlier this year. In March, President Donald Trump signed an executive order instructing all federal agencies to transfer their Bitcoin and digital asset holdings to the US Treasury. The order formalized the creation of a Bitcoin reserve, which was meant to recognize the cryptocurrency as a national asset. In light of that policy, the notion that the US would quietly sell off the majority of its Bitcoin holdings seems highly improbable under the current Trump administration. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $118,360. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

After rising rapidly over the weekend to hit new all-time highs, the Bitcoin price seems to have hit a brick wall above $120,000, sparking a correction. While this is expected to be a short correction, a notable development involving an 8-year trendline that has marked the top of previous cycles has emerged. If this trendline resistance holds and Bitcoin fails to break it, then it could mean that the top is in, and what usually follows is a drawn-out bear market. 8-Year Trendline Suggests Bitcoin Top Is In Crypto analyst MartyBoots, in an analysis on TradingView, caught a test of a an 8-year trendline which began back in the 2017-2018 cycle, marking the top of multiple bull markets. This trendline continued into the next major bull market and in the 2020-2021 bull market, the trendline once again marked the cycle top, with Bitcoin peaking at $69,000. Related Reading: This Analyst Predicted Bitcoin’s Rally To $120,000 Months Ago, Here’s The Rest Of The Forecast Presently, the Bitcoin price has once again come in contact with this trendline, and the rejection from here does suggest that this trendline could be the real deal. After hitting above $123,000, Bitcoin was promptly pushed back downward from this level as sell-offs and profit-taking became the order of the day. For this trend to be complete, though, there are a number of things that would need to happen first. For example, the analyst explains that investors should watch for the weakly RSI divergence turning bullish. Additionally, a decline in volume and more rejection wicks for Bitcoin would be confirmation that the price has topped. Marty also explained that the price touching this trendline for a third time increases the odds of it actually playing out the same way it has in the past. If this trendline does mark the top once again, then it could signal the start of another bear market. As the analyst explains, a top marked by this trendline has in the past “triggered multi-month correction and Bear Markets.” Still A Chance For Bullish Continuation The test of this trendline does not necessarily mean that the Bitcoin price has to top at this level, because there is still a chance of bullish continuation. As the analyst explains, a decisive break above the trendline would turn this level into support and trigger further upside. Related Reading: Ethereum Forms ‘Pure Cup And Handle’ Pattern After Hitting $3,000, Analysts Set New Targets In addition to this, there is also a lot of buying pressure on the Bitcoin price despite the profit-taking. More importantly is the fact that very large orders await at the $114,000 level. This shows a lot of demand for BTC, something that could drive the price upward as the cost basis for investors remains on the rise. Nevertheless, the analyst advises caution at this level until there is a confirmation either way. “Risk-management alert: consider tightening stops, reducing leverage, or hedging until trendline fate is resolved,” Marty said in closing. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin (BTC) is showing signs of recovery following a brief market retreat triggered by the latest US Consumer Price Index (CPI) update. The asset had slipped to lows near $116,000 following inflation data. However, BTC has rebounded since, reaching $119,248 earlier today and trading at $119,187 at the time of writing, roughly 3.1% below its all-time high of $123,000 set earlier this week. While broader macroeconomic concerns are shaping price sentiment, new on-chain metrics from the mining sector are drawing attention. A CryptoQuant analyst has watched miner activity closely, as some key indicators suggest that miners may be preparing to sell. This development could influence short-term price action, though the broader outlook for Bitcoin remains largely unchanged, according to the analyst. Bitcoin Miner Behavior Points to Short-Term Pressures CryptoQuant contributor Avocado Onchain highlighted in a recent post that the Miner Position Index (MPI) has jumped to 2.7. This index compares the amount of Bitcoin being moved by miners to exchanges with the historical one-year average. A high MPI reading generally implies increased selling intent, as miners move assets to trading platforms. Avocado noted that the current reading may indicate mild selling pressure, which could contribute to a near-term correction or sideways trading pattern. However, he also emphasized that the current MPI value is still far from the elevated levels typically observed at market cycle peaks. The analyst suggested that this activity may be part of a recurring intra-cycle trend in which brief corrections are followed by further upward movement. He advised that it remains uncertain whether this miner activity marks a one-off event or signals a larger selling wave. Either scenario may affect short-term volatility, but not necessarily the broader trajectory. Network Flows Support the Data Trend In a separate analysis, CryptoQuant contributor Arab Chain examined the implications of increased miner activity. According to their findings, network data reveals a noticeable uptick in miner-related movements, levels last seen in November 2024. Arab Chain explained that while miner activity on the blockchain is rising, this alone doesn’t confirm sales unless Bitcoin is transferred to exchanges. Related Reading: Bitcoin OG Whale Moves 40,000 BTC To Galaxy, Triggering Market Shock To further validate the outlook, Arab Chain analyzed platform inflow data. They observed a correlation between BTC transfers to exchanges and Bitcoin’s recent climb above $116,000. This movement may indicate that miners view current prices as favorable for selling, possibly to cover operational costs or secure liquidity. The data also hints at miners anticipating a potential correction, which could drive more transfers and further market fluctuations. They concluded that the extent of any correction would largely depend on whether this wave of miner activity persists. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin (BTC) is currently stabilizing within the $116,000 to $120,000 range. However, fresh liquidity totalling $2 billion in stablecoins could help propel the flagship cryptocurrency to new all-time highs (ATHs). Bitcoin To Benefit From Fresh Liquidity According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Amr Taha, more than $2 billion worth of stablecoins – primarily Tether (USDT) – were deposited into major derivatives trading platforms earlier today. Related Reading: Bitcoin Profit-Taking Spikes Without Price Drop – Strong Demand Or Delayed Reaction? Taha believes that this surge in inflows signals increased appetite for leveraged positions among seasoned traders, many of whom are anticipating a potential breakout in BTC’s price. Notably, this fresh batch of USDT was minted by Tether Treasury, suggesting institutional demand is driving the activity. Historically, large-scale stablecoin inflows have preceded bullish market momentum, as traders often use them to open long positions on Bitcoin and altcoin futures and perpetual contracts. Rapid stablecoin deposits into derivatives exchanges often act as a leading indicator for major price rallies. Meanwhile, fellow CryptoQuant contributor TraderOasis pointed to rising Open Interest, noting that it is increasing alongside BTC’s price – a classic signal of strong bullish sentiment. To explain, rising open interest in tandem with a rising Bitcoin price typically signals increasing market participation and bullish sentiment, as more traders are opening positions expecting further upside. However, it can also indicate a buildup of leverage, which may lead to heightened volatility or a sharp correction if sentiment shifts. The analyst also highlighted the Coinbase Premium Index, which remains above zero – a sign that US-based buyers are paying a premium over global spot prices. They added that the indicator is currently within a ‘Breaker’ structure, sharing the following chart for context. TraderOasis noted that while BTC price is rising, the Coinbase Premium Index indicator has remained relatively flat. The analyst explained: This suggests to me that major players are taking profits. If the descending trend structure I marked with an arrow is broken, the price is likely to rise much more strongly. On the other hand, if the indicator drops below the ‘0’ level, I may consider it a buying signal, as we are still in a macro bullish market. Short-Term Pullback For BTC? While the $2 billion stablecoin injection is likely to act as a bullish catalyst for BTC and the broader crypto market, some exchange data suggests a potential short-term pullback before the next leg up. Related Reading: No Mania Yet: Bitcoin ATH Lacks Hype, Suggesting Further Upside Potential For instance, BTC deposits to exchanges spiked after the digital asset hit a recent high around $123,000 – a pattern that often precedes local tops and is typically followed by a price correction. That said, despite recent profit-taking, BTC has not experienced a major price drop, pointing to robust underlying demand. At press time, BTC trades at $119,171, up 2.4% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com

Bitcoin has begun to recover after a brief decline triggered by the latest US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. On July 15, the asset dropped to a low of $116,000 in response to news that inflation rose to 2.7% in June, amid continued concerns over tariffs from the Trump administration. As of this writing, Bitcoin is trading at $118,439, reflecting a 1.8% gain over the past 24 hours, which suggests that some investor confidence has returned to the market despite recent volatility. This short-term rebound occurs amid increasing on-chain and market activity, which analysts are closely tracking. One such contributor, Trader Oasis, recently published an analysis on CryptoQuant outlining various indicators tied to Bitcoin’s current movement. Related Reading: Bitcoin Returns Under $117,000: Is Social Media FOMO To Blame? Bitcoin Open Interest, Price Divergence, and Institutional Signals The analyst explored a range of technical and behavioral metrics, including open interest, Coinbase premium index, and funding rates, that are influencing BTC’s recent price behavior and hinting at what may lie ahead. Trader Oasis began by noting that Bitcoin’s breach of the $107,000 resistance signaled the beginning of a potential distribution phase. He pointed out that a divergence between price and open interest acted as a preliminary bullish signal, preceding the asset’s climb. The current state, where both price and open interest are rising in tandem, is seen by some as a sign of strengthening momentum in the market. He also evaluated data from the Coinbase Premium Index, which remains above zero, typically seen as an indication of institutional demand. However, Oasis observed that the indicator’s flat behavior, even as price rises, could imply large entities are securing profits. He further suggested that a breakout above the descending trend line could trigger a stronger upward move, but a fall below zero might represent a new entry signal. Regarding funding rates, he noted that the current rise reflects renewed market confidence, although it is still below previous extreme levels. This, in his view, implies that while enthusiasm exists, excessive leverage is not yet present. Profit-Taking Rises as Binance Dominates Realized Flows A separate analysis by another CryptoQuant contributor, Crazzyblockk, looked at the realized profit and loss (PnL) across centralized exchanges. According to the data, Bitcoin investors realized $9.29 billion in profits in a single day, marking a record high for such flows. This surge in realized PnL reflects widespread profit-taking in the wake of Bitcoin’s recent price rally, especially among short-term holders. Related Reading: Dormant Bitcoin Wallet Moves $1.2B in BTC: Is A Major Sell-Off Coming? On Binance specifically, the realized PnL remains below its all-time highs but has seen a rising share compared to other exchanges. Data shows that on some days, Binance’s share of realized profits has reached up to 60%, reinforcing its growing importance in shaping market behavior. Crazzyblockk concluded that this concentrated profit-taking, led by Binance users, could indicate a shift in market dynamics, noting: Binance’s increasing dominance in realized PnL flows reinforces its critical role in market sentiment and liquidity. For traders and analysts, it is crucial to closely monitor Binance’s on-chain activity alongside other exchanges to stay ahead of potential volatility. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView