Data shows calls for sub-$60,000 Bitcoin prices have seen a rise on social media recently, a sign that fear is brewing among retail traders. Bitcoin Social Volume Data Suggests Growth In Bearish Calls In a new post on X, on-chain analytics firm Santiment has talked about how social media users have reacted to the recent bearish price action. The indicator of relevance here is the “Social Volume,” measuring the total number of posts on the major social media platforms that contain mentions of a given term or topic. Related Reading: Bitcoin MVRV Z-Score Compresses To Levels Last Seen Near $29,000 To separate between bullish and bearish predictions, Santiment has filtered the Social Volume of Bitcoin with terms referencing certain price levels. For the bullish side, the analytics firm has chosen levels in the $90,000 to $99,000 range, while for the bearish one, $50,000 to $59,000. Now, here is the chart shared by Santiment that shows how the Social Volume related to the two types of Bitcoin market calls has changed during the latest price volatility: As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin Social Volume for levels above $90,000 spiked toward the end of last month, suggesting social media users were expecting the cryptocurrency to revisit the higher levels. What followed the spike, however, was a notable drawdown for the asset’s price. Then, on the last day of the month, the trend flipped as bearish calls observed a sharp surge instead. BTC’s decline temporarily cooled alongside this and prices saw a small rebound. This pattern of Bitcoin going in the direction that goes against the opinion of the majority is actually something that has been witnessed throughout history. Naturally, it doesn’t always happen, but the chances of a reversal tend to go up whenever the traders are leaning into one direction too heavily. From the chart, it’s visible that social media users have recently once again started leaning in on a direction, and, like the last time, they are fearing sub-$60,000 price levels. The analytics firm explained: Markets move opposite to what the crowd expects, meaning there can at least be founded arguments for a short-term relief rally while retail is already assuming sub-$60K Bitcoin is a foregone conclusion. It now remains to be seen how the cryptocurrency’s price will develop in the near future, given the rise in fearful sentiment that has occurred on the various social media platforms. Related Reading: Bitcoin Drop Below $80,000 May Not Be The Final Capitulation Event, Checkonchain Says In some other news, the Bitcoin supply sitting on centralized exchanges has been on the rise recently, as CryptoQuant author Axel Adler Jr has highlighted in an X post. As data of the Exchange Reserve indicator shows, 34,000 BTC has returned to exchanges since January 19th. BTC Price Bitcoin has continued to slide down as its price has now reached the $73,600 mark. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com
When Bitcoin soars into a bull market, skeptics cling to fear, uncertainty and doubt. Are you prepared to repel these FUD claims?
On-chain data shows the Bitcoin investors have been capitulating recently, a sign that FUD has been gripping the market. Bitcoin Total Amount Of Holders Has Seen A Drop Recently According to data from the on-chain analytics firm Santiment, the Bitcoin Total Amount of Holders has registered a notable decline recently. The “Total Amount of Holders” here is an indicator that measures the total number of addresses on the BTC blockchain that are carrying some non-zero balance right now. When the value of this metric trends up, it can mean that fresh hands are potentially investing into the cryptocurrency, opening new addresses and adding coins to them. Related Reading: Solana Whale Makes Massive 1,000,000 SOL Deposit To Binance, Bearish Sign? The indicator would naturally also increase if any investors who had left the asset before are returning back to it and filling up their wallets again. Another possible reason for the trend can also be due to holders breaking up their holdings into multiple wallets, for purposes like privacy. In general, though, an increase in the Total Amount of Holders is usually a sign that net adoption of the coin is taking place, which can be a bullish sign in the long term. On the other hand, a decline in the indicator can signal that some investors have decided to leave the cryptocurrency behind, as they have completely liquidated their holdings. Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Total Amount of Holders over the past few months: The value of the metric appears to have gone through a drawdown in recent days | Source: Santiment on X As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin Total Amount of Holders has suffered a decrease during the past 10 days or so. In all, 311,000 addresses have completely emptied themselves inside this window. “To a novice trader, this may appear to be a concern with less overall active participants. However, historically this stat has reflected FUD moments in the market, indicating small BTC wallets are typically capitulating as large wallets scoop up their coins,” explains Santiment. From the chart, it’s visible that there have also been two other instances of mass capitulation within the past few months. More specifically, 1.1 million addresses exited between the 23rd of September and 23rd of October, while 757,000 capitulated between the 21st of January and 13th of February. Interestingly, during these capitulation events, the price went up 28% and 24%, respectively. So far since the latest selloff from the small hands has started, the cryptocurrency is down about 3%. Related Reading: Santiment Reveals Best Altcoins Currently In “Opportunity Zone” “If history is any indication, Bitcoin has a strong chance of putting up positive returns before this exodus of non-0 wallets this round (due to traders thinking the top is in) finally stops,” notes the analytics firm. BTC Price Since Bitcoin’s low at $60,600, the asset has enjoyed some sharp recovery as its price has now surged to the $66,800 level. Looks like the value of the coin has climbed back up over the past day | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView Featured image from Shutterstock.com, Santiment.net, chart from TradingView.com