After days of intense bearish action, the price of Bitcoin appears to be entering a calmer state, as it recovers above the $86,000 level. The latest on-chain data shows that several investors tried to take some profit in the past week, providing a basis for the premier cryptocurrency registering a double-digit loss. Bitcoin Exchange Inflow Spikes As Price Faces Downward Pressure In a recent post on the social media platform X, crypto analyst Ali Martinez revealed that significant Bitcoin amounts were sent to centralized exchanges in the past week. Data from Santiment shows that about $20,000 BTC (worth nearly $2 billion) has been moved to these exchanges in the past seven days. Related Reading: Risks To Crypto Market Ahead Of Key MSCI Ruling: Will It Spark A New Bitcoin Sell-Off? The relevant indicator in this on-chain observation is the Exchange Inflow metric, which tracks the volume of an asset (in this case, Bitcoin) that flows to centralized exchanges within a specified period. This metric is often important because one of the prominent exchanges’ service offerings is selling. Hence, an increase in the Exchange Inflow metric suggests the potential offloading of an asset by investors. The resulting increased supply of this cryptocurrency in the open market often adds downward pressure on the coin’s price, especially if there is no corresponding increase in demand. In a separate post on X, CryptoQuant’s head of research, Julio Moreno, shared a data piece supporting the recent spike in exchange inflows. According to data highlighted by the crypto researcher, the Bitcoin exchange inflows stood at about 81,000 BTC (the highest level seen since mid-July) on Friday, November 21. Ultimately, this recent spike in exchange inflows explains the volatility experienced by the price of Bitcoin on Friday. The flagship cryptocurrency succumbed to significant bearish pressure, seeing its price fall to just above $80,000 as the weekend approached. As of this writing, the price of BTC stands at around $86,070, reflecting an over 2% jump in the past 24 hours. Bitcoin In Profit-Taking Phase: CryptoQuant CEO CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju revealed that Bitcoin is in a profit-taking phase, as evidenced by the rising exchange inflows. The crypto founder made this assertion based on the PnL Index Signal, which measures profit and loss levels using all wallets’ cost basis. With the current reading of the PnL Index Signal, Ju proclaimed that the classic cycle theory says that BTC is entering a bear market. According to the CryptoQuant CEO, only macro liquidity can override the profit-taking cycle—just as seen in 2020. Hence, all eyes will be on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting in December, especially with the falling expectations of an interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve (Fed). Related Reading: XRP Price Has Surged 15% Anytime This Metric Appeared In The Past Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView
As Bitcoin (BTC) hit a new all-time high (ATH) of $125,708 on Binance yesterday, BTC exchange inflows are starting to show signs of slowing down. As a result, crypto analysts are confident that the top cryptocurrency by market cap may be on the cusp of a healthy rally. Bitcoin Exchange Inflows Slump Amid New ATH According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor ChainSpan, fresh on-chain data shows that the average amount of BTC inflows into exchanges such as Binance has decreased significantly. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sharpe-Like Ratio Shows Market In Wait-and-See Mode At $119,000 To recall, BTC sent to exchanges is usually seen as a warning sign, as it suggests that investors are attempting to sell their holdings at prevailing market prices. As a result, high inflows to exchanges typically create selling pressure on the underlying asset’s price. On the contrary, a decrease in exchange inflows indicates that BTC holders are opting to hold their assets in cold wallets. One of the cascading effects of lower exchange inflows is that it could lead to a “supply crunch” for BTC, which may lead to extraordinary price appreciation in a short duration. ChainSpan noted that as Bitcoin’s price surged from $108,000 to $125,000 over the past few weeks, the inflow average for the cryptocurrency has dropped from 0.55 to 0.48. This suggests that the current rally is being driven by organic market demand and holding behavior. Put simply, the increase in BTC’s price is not happening in tandem with a speculative selling wave, but rather on a foundation of reduced selling pressure. The analyst added: In the short term, this backdrop supports the upward trend. Yet, if large inflows into exchanges suddenly appear in the coming days, it could be a sign that major players are preparing to sell. In such a case, a short-term correction in the price may follow. The CryptoQuant analyst concluded by saying that although the current market conditions point toward low selling intent and strong demand for BTC, a sudden spike in exchange inflows could derail the digital asset’s momentum. As a result, investors should keep a close eye on the metric. Will BTC Surge Further In Q4? While BTC has already created a new ATH, some crypto analysts forecast that the digital asset may record more gains in the coming quarter. Crypto analyst Rekt Capital predicted that BTC could peak sometime in mid-November. Related Reading: A Breakout To New Highs? Bitcoin’s Bullish Wave Eyes $130k As RSI Stays Firm Similarly, recent analysis by the team at The Bull Theory forecasts that BTC may surge as high as $143,000 in October. Historically, October has been one of the strongest months for BTC in terms of price appreciation. That said, BTC must first ensure it decisively breaks through the stiff resistance at $125,000 and defends the support level at $118,000. At press time, BTC trades at $125,189, up 1.9% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com
Bitcoin briefly shot over $70,000 yesterday before plunging below $69,000 to spot rates. While there are hints of weakness, one analyst on X notes that inflow to exchanges like Binance and OKX is subdued, meaning that users are not keen to sell despite prices tanking and failing to break $72,000. Bitcoin Inflow To Exchanges Remain Low The analyst notes that exchange inflows are low at spot rates. As of May 28, exchanges received just 25.9K BTC daily. From historical exchange inflow data from CryptoQuant, the current inflow rate is at the 2016 level. There was a sharp pick-up in momentum after 2016, but the inflow to exchanges has been shrinking since the beginning of the year. It should be noted that the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approved nine spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) around this time. Related Reading: Bullish Bitcoin: Expert Cites $123,832 Target Based On Past Trends With this product in the United States, some large whales likely decided to convert their coins and hold ETFs instead. In this way, they diverted custody to an approved custodian, depending on the spot Bitcoin ETF issuer they chose. Mt. Gox Moving BTC: How Will Prices React If They Sell? While the average inflow to exchanges is at 2016 levels, there might be changes in the coming months. On May 28, Mt. Gox, the defunct crypto exchange hacked in 2014, moved over $9.4 billion of BTC, data from Token Unlocks show. This unexpected transfer sparked market concerns. Currently, the intention remains unknown. Still, the implications could be dire if they decide to liquidate on exchanges. Even with this possibility, the analyst argued that BTC’s low average exchange inflow to exchanges would be a timely cushion. Should Mt.Gox creditors decide to sell, the analyst believes the market will easily absorb this sell-off despite increased initial volatility. What this means is that the price impact will be minimal. Related Reading: Polkadot (DOT) Price Prediction: Analyst Sparks Bullish Frenzy With $10 Target Before being hacked and losing over 800,000 BTC, Mt. Gox was a popular Bitcoin exchange. At one point, it commanded over 70% of all global BTC trading volume. In the next few months, victims of the unfortunate hack will be compensated. Feature image from DALLE, chart from TradingView
On-chain data shows the Bitcoin exchange inflow trend has been at its lowest in almost a decade recently, a sign that may be bullish for the asset. Bitcoin Exchange Inflows Have Been On The Decline Recently As pointed out by CryptoQuant author Axel Adler Jr in a post on X, the BTC exchange inflows have […]