The derivatives market absorbed a week of falling Bitcoin price without the kind of leverage reduction that usually marks stress. Futures open interest in BTC terms edged higher, notional tracked the 3.36% slide in spot, and options interest grew for two straight days into the decline. The setup looks more like repricing and hedging than […]
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Bitcoin keeps trading in a relatively tight range in what looks more like a standoff than a directional move. Despite drops below “psychologically important” levels, BTC price has objectively been relatively flat over the past month, but leverage stayed parked, and the cost of carrying it has only gone up. This left the market in […]
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The price of Bitcoin has managed to stay afloat over the past few days despite the growing conflict in the Middle East and the ensuing bearish pressure. The premier cryptocurrency continues to hover around the $105,000 level, with its value down by merely 0.8% in the past week. According to the latest on-chain data, the Bitcoin price might not be down for too long, as investors seem unbothered by the rising tensions between Israel and Iran. Below is what the BTC investors have been up to since the military action started in the past week. BTC Investors Still Holding On To Their Assets: Analyst In a Quicktake post on the CryptoQuant platform, a pseudonymous on-chain analyst, CryptoMe revealed that the Bitcoin market has remained relatively quiet despite the ongoing geopolitical events. The relevant indicators here are the Bitcoin exchange netflow and Open Interest. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Could Rally To $10,000 If This Major Resistance Is Broke To start, CryptoMe analyzed the BTC Exchange Netflow, which measures the difference between Bitcoin sent to and withdrawn from centralized exchanges. Typically, this metric helps to gauge the selling pressure on a particular cryptocurrency (Bitcoin, in this scenario). Given that one of the services offered by exchanges is selling, exchange inflows are often considered a bearish signal for the Bitcoin price. However, CryptoMe noted that there has been no significant change in Netflow, meaning that investors are not looking to offload their assets. The on-chain analyst also highlighted the Open Interest on centralized exchanges, which estimates the amount of capital flowing into a cryptocurrency at every given time. CryptoMe attributed the reduced Open Interest to the liquidated long positions following the price correction. The crypto pundit added: But when we look at the bigger picture, Open Interest still looks strong, and investors are still keeping their positions open FOR NOW despite all the WAR news. Furthermore, CryptoMe mentioned the Bitcoin Open Interest on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), where institutions and speculators trade. The analyst noted that while some positions were closed and the Open Interest dropped after the event, there has still not been any significant exit movement on the CME. Ultimately, the absence of major movements into centralized exchanges suggests that the investors are not in panic mode yet. While most positions on Bitcoin derivatives are still open at the moment, there is no telling what will happen if the war tension escalates further. Hence, investors might want to approach the market with caution over the next few days. Bitcoin Price At A Glance As of this writing, the price of BTC stands at around $104,760, reflecting an almost 1% decline in the past 24 hours. Related Reading: Bitcoin May Hit $78,500 If This Critical Support Fails – Details Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin’s retracement from $109,000 over the past 24 hours capped off a volatile week defined by thin weekend liquidity and sharp reactions to geopolitical stress. In the early hours of Friday, June 13, the market saw the $1,490 CME gap closed, which formed between the Friday (June 6) close at $105,060 and the Sunday (June […]
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A Bitcoin futures CME gap below $80,000 could be filled before BTC price treks to new all-time highs in 2025.
Data shows the Bitcoin Open Interest has seen a sharp increase alongside the recovery rally that the asset’s price has gone through. Bitcoin Open Interest Has Observed A Spike Recently As pointed out by CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn in a new post on X, the Bitcoin Open Interest has shot up. The “Open Interest” here […]
Data shows that the indicators related to the Bitcoin derivatives market have recently been heating up, which could lead to more volatility in BTC’s price. Bitcoin Open Interest & Leverage Ratio Have Shot Up As pointed out by CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn in a new post on X, the Bitcoin Open Interest has registered a sharp increase alongside the asset’s return above the $100,000 level. The “Open Interest” here refers to a metric that keeps track of the total amount of derivatives positions related to BTC that are currently open on all centralized exchanges. Related Reading: Bitcoin Returns Above $100,000 As Monthly Inflows Hit $80 Billion Below is the chart shared by the analyst that shows the trend in the percentage change of the Bitcoin Open Interest over the past month: As displayed in the graph, the Bitcoin Open Interest has witnessed a sharp positive change recently, which implies a large number of positions have popped up on the market. In the chart, Maartunn has highlighted the previous instances of the indicator observing a large percentage increase. It would appear that the price generally saw a cooldown when this pattern formed during the past month. As for the reason behind this trend, the answer is that more positions usually imply the presence of a higher amount of leverage in the sector. A chaotic event known as a squeeze can become more likely to occur in these circumstances. During a squeeze, a large number of positions are liquidated at once and provide fuel to the price move that caused them. The elongated price move then unleashes a cascade of further liquidations. A squeeze can be more probable to affect the side of the market that has the more leveraged positions. The previous increases in the Open Interest came alongside uptrends, so the new positions were likely long ones. This may be why the market ended up seeing a long squeeze to wipe out these excess positions. It’s possible that the latest Open Interest increase could also lead to a similar outcome for Bitcoin, since these fresh positions have also come alongside a rally. It all depends, however, on whether these positions are overleveraged or not. Unfortunately for the cryptocurrency, this requirement also seems to be fulfilled, as data for the Estimated Leverage Ratio shared by CryptoQuant author IT Tech in an X post suggests. The Estimated Leverage Ratio tells us, as its name implies, the average amount of leverage that the users on the derivatives market are opting for. Given that this metric has also spiked alongside the Open Interest increase, the new positions that have appeared could be carrying significant leverage. Related Reading: XRP Bull Flag Breakout Could Lead Price To $4, Analyst Says It now remains to be seen how Bitcoin will develop in the coming days, given the potential overheated conditions that have developed in these derivatives indicators. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is floating around $100,400, up more than 2% over the last seven days. Featured image from Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com
Here’s how the indicators related to the Bitcoin derivatives market have changed following the latest cryptocurrency crash. Bitcoin Open Interest And Estimated Leverage Ratio Have Both Dropped In a CryptoQuant Quicktake post, an analyst talked about how the metrics related to the derivatives market have looked like recently. The indicators in question are the Open […]
Data shows the cryptocurrency derivatives market has suffered liquidations of more than $1 billion in the past day as Bitcoin has crashed to $52,000. Bitcoin Has Plunged By More Than 15% During The Last 24 Hours Bitcoin investors have been dealt a shock to open Monday, with the cryptocurrency having crashed by more than 15%, which has taken its price to the $51,500 mark. Related Reading: Dogecoin Price (DOGE) Slips Alongside Bitcoin and Ethereum: Market Analysis The below chart shows how the recent trajectory has looked like for the asset: From the graph, it’s visible that the latest sharp plunge in the BTC price is just an acceleration of the trend that the asset had already been witnessing since the last couple of days of July. On the 29th, the cryptocurrency was floating around the $70,000 mark, meaning that it had come down by more than 26% in only a week. Following this drawdown, Bitcoin is now back to the same level as that just before the late February rally, which went on to culminate in a new price all-time high (ATH). While BTC has had it bad during the past day, altcoins have in general had it even worse. Ethereum (ETH), BNB (BNB), and Solana (SOL), the three largest coins next to the original (excluding the stablecoin Tether), have all seen higher losses of 23%, 19%, and 21%, respectively. With prices across the sector crashing down, it’s not surprising to see that long investors have taken a heavy blow over on the derivatives side of the market. Crypto Liquidations Have Crossed $1 Billion, Majority Are Long Contracts The latest volatility in the various assets has meant the derivatives market has gone through chaos over the past 24 hours, as the data from CoinGlass below shows. As is visible in the table, a whopping $1.1 billion in cryptocurrency derivatives contracts have found liquidation in this period. “Liquidation” here naturally refers to the process any contract undergoes after amassing losses of a certain degree, where its platform forcibly closes it up. An extreme majority of these liquidations, around 85% to be more precise, involved the long holders. This is a natural consequence of the market as a whole going through a crash. Interestingly, though, despite the sharp plummet, $173 million in shorts still managed to get liquidated, which isn’t really a small amount. Thus, it would appear that a large amount of investors only put their bearish bets in when the crash was already finished. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Plunge Deepens: What Could Prevent a Recovery? In terms of the individual symbols, Bitcoin and Ethereum have contributed to the mass liquidation event by nearly the same degrees, witnessing liquidations of $367 million and $350 million, respectively. Clearly, BTC is still ahead, but by only a small amount, which is not usually the case. The reason behind ETH’s high liquidations may be the fact that the recent launch of the spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) had put more attention on the second largest coin by market cap. Featured image from Dall-E, CoinGlass.com, chart from TradingView.com
On-chain data shows the Bitcoin whales have been dialing back risk on derivatives exchanges following the latest downturn in the cryptocurrency. Bitcoin Inter-Exchange Flow Pulse Has Just Turned Red As explained by CryptoQuant founder and CEO Ki Young Ju in a new post on X, the Bitcoin Inter-Exchange Flow Pulse is now giving a red signal. The Inter-Exchange Flow Pulse (IFP) is an indicator that tracks the BTC movements between spot and derivatives exchanges. When the value of this metric rises, the amount of cryptocurrency going from spot to derivatives platforms goes up. Such a trend implies that large entities like the whales are potentially looking to open up new positions in the derivatives market. Related Reading: Bitcoin Slips Under $64,000: Here’s Where The Next Support Is On the other hand, a decline in the indicator suggests investors are transferring fewer coins to the derivatives exchanges. This trend could signal a decreasing appetite for risk positions in the sector. Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin IFP, as well as its 90-day simple moving average (SMA), over the past decade: As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin IFP had been climbing earlier, but the metric seems to have reversed its direction recently, as it’s now heading down instead. Following the latest decline, the indicator has crossed below its 90-day SMA. Historically, the IFP observing a cross with its 90-day SMA has signified a market sentiment shift. A breakout above this line suggests the whales are willing to take risks with the asset again, which can potentially be a bullish signal. The chart shows that such a cross occurred around both the 2018 and 2022 bear market lows. On the other hand, a plunge under the 90-day SMA usually takes place near tops, as it implies the whales are looking at derivative positions as too risky. Related Reading: PEPE Has 80% Of Holders In Profit: How It Compares To DOGE & BTC As the indicator has once more seen the latter type of crossover, it’s possible that the asset could end up facing some bearish momentum. This possible shift to a bearish sentiment, however, doesn’t have to last for too long. The previous instance of the IFP dropping below its 90-day SMA in January. This crossover coincided with Bitcoin’s downturn following the spot exchange-traded fund (ETF) approval. The bearish momentum ended up only temporary, though, as the cryptocurrency soon found a breakout that led to its new all-time high (ATH). The asset observed only a temporary effect from this crossover in 2016 before catching back an uptrend into the 2017 bull run. It remains to be seen where this bearish Bitcoin IFP crossover will lead to this time. BTC Price Bitcoin hasn’t seen an end to its recent decline, as its price has now dropped to $61,200. Featured image from Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com, chart form TradingView.com
Data shows the Bitcoin derivatives Open Interest has shot up to a new all-time high (ATH) recently. Here’s what this could mean for the asset’s price. Bitcoin Open Interest Has Registered A Steep Rise Recently In a post on X, CryptoQuant Netherlands community manager Maartunn has discussed about the latest trend in the Open Interest […]
Data shows the Bitcoin Open Interest has observed a notable cool off recently, something that could be positive for the rally’s hopes. Bitcoin Open Interest Has Cooled Down From Recent Overheated Levels As explained by an analyst in a CryptoQuant Quicktake post, the Bitcoin Open Interest has registered a retrace recently. The “Open Interest” here […]
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