Bitcoin’s Bull Score Index has climbed back to 50, moving out of outright bearish territory and into what CryptoQuant’s Julio Moreno described as a neutral zone. In a post on X, the CryptoQuant head of research wrote: “First time in this bear market that the Bull Score Index enters neutral zone (50). In March 2022, the Bull Score entered neutral territory for about a week, and then the price resumed its decline.” What This Means For Bitcoin Price That comparison is doing most of the work here. Moreno is not presenting the move to 50 as confirmation of a durable trend reversal. He is pointing instead to a prior episode in which conditions improved just enough to leave bearish territory, only for the market to roll over again soon after. The implication is straightforward: neutral is better than bearish, but it is not the same thing as bullish. The CryptoQuant chart helps frame that shift. The index spent much of mid-2025 in stronger territory, with readings frequently above 60 while bitcoin traded broadly in a higher range and pushed above $120,000. Related Reading: Bitcoin Rally May Be A Trap As Whales Sell Into Strength That backdrop changed sharply later in the year. As price weakened into late 2025 and early 2026, the Bull Score Index deteriorated as well, at times dropping toward the bottom of the scale as bitcoin sank into the low-$60,000s. What stands out now is the recovery in the indicator from those depressed readings. By April, the Bull Score had risen back to roughly 50 as bitcoin recovered toward the mid-$70,000 range. In other words, market conditions as measured by CryptoQuant are no longer flashing the same degree of weakness they were earlier in the downturn. But they have not yet crossed into the zone the chart labels as bullish, which begins at 60. Related Reading: Anthony Scaramucci Puts Bitcoin Market Cap At $21 Trillion, So How Much Will 1 BTC Be? That leaves the signal in an awkward but important middle ground. A move from bearish to neutral can indicate that selling pressure is easing and that some underlying conditions are improving. It can also mark nothing more than a pause inside a broader downtrend. Moreno’s 2022 analogy suggests he sees that ambiguity as the key point, rather than the headline value of 50 on its own. The Bull Score Index is one of CryptoQuant’s composite Bitcoin market gauges. Rather than tracking a single datapoint, it measures the share of bullish readings across 10 key indicators tied to network activity, investor profitability, liquidity, and other fundamental and technical conditions. That is why the move to 50 matters: on CryptoQuant’s framework, it suggests that roughly half of the indicators that define a bullish regime have turned constructive again, even if the market is still short of the 60-plus zone the firm treats as outright bullish. At press time, BTC traded at $78,057. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
CryptoQuant’s Bitcoin Bull Score Index has jumped to a value of 30, indicating bearish conditions persist for the asset, but are no longer as extreme. Bitcoin Bull Score Index Has Seen A Small Uptick In a new post on X, CryptoQuant head of research Julio Moreno has talked about the latest trend in the Bull Score Index for Bitcoin. This indicator basically tells us about the phase of the market that the cryptocurrency is currently in. The metric determines this by referring to the data of ten indicators covering different aspects of the network. Some of the major on-chain indicators part of the index include the MVRZ Z-Score, Realized Price, and CryptoQuant P&L Index. Related Reading: XRP Bollinger Bands Are Squeezing—Volatility Incoming? The Bull Score Index’s value corresponds to the number of these metrics that are currently giving a bullish signal for BTC. For example, a value of 60 implies six indicators are giving the green light. Now, here is the chart shared by Moreno that shows how the Bitcoin Bull Score Index has fluctuated over the last few months: As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin Bull Score Index dropped to a value of zero earlier, implying that all ten indicators turned bearish on the digital asset. The red signals on the metrics came after the asset’s price experienced a significant drawdown. Recently, the Bull Score Index has observed some recovery, implying improvements in on-chain indicators. The surge hasn’t been too massive, however, taking the metric to a value of 30, corresponding to just three indicators giving bullish signals. “Bull flags that turned on were: exchange flows, stablecoin liquidity growth, and price momentum,” explained the analyst. Nonetheless, the jump has been enough to lift the Bull Score Index out of the “extra bearish” zone, corresponding to values of 20 and below. The normal bearish zone has its cutoff at 40, so at least two more indicators will have to turn green before the indicator can escape it as well. Whether the current Bull Score Index recovery will actually lead to it escaping the bearish territory may come down to whether the market recovery is part of a wider shift. The CryptoQuant head doesn’t think it’s the case, noting, “We are still in a bear market, but in a relief rally.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Short Bets Surge—Will Bears Get Squeezed? In some other news, Bitcoin sellers have taken to loss-taking on the net recently, as on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has pointed out in an X post. From the chart, it’s visible that the 90-day moving average (MA) of the Bitcoin Realized Profit/Loss Ratio is now under the 1 mark, meaning losses are outpacing profits. “Historically, breaks below the neutral level (~1) have persisted for 6+ months before reclaiming it,” said Glassnode. BTC Price Bitcoin has already recovered back above the $70,000 level from its dip under $66,000 during the weekend. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin has shown renewed bullish momentum in recent sessions, pushing price back toward the $97,000 level after weeks of persistent selling pressure. For much of the recent consolidation, the market struggled under distribution from short-term participants and cautious positioning from traders who remained uncertain about the broader trend. That dynamic now appears to be shifting. While price action alone does not confirm a full trend reversal, the latest rebound suggests that downside pressure is easing and that buyers are becoming more willing to absorb available supply. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bulls Take Control: Futures Positioning Turns Bullish for First Time Since October This improvement in price behavior is supported by on-chain context rather than pure speculation. A quick insight from a CryptoQuant analyst highlights a rare development in market sentiment: the Bitcoin Bull Score Index has dropped to 20, a level that has historically appeared only a handful of times over the past several years. Such readings typically reflect deeply pessimistic conditions, when bullish signals across multiple indicators are scarce. Paradoxically, these environments often coincide with transitional phases rather than sustained declines. When bearish sentiment becomes widespread and measurable optimism disappears, markets tend to become increasingly sensitive to even modest improvements in demand. Bitcoin Bull Score Hits A Rare Historical Level Over the past six years, the Bitcoin Bull Score Index has fallen to levels of 20 or lower only seven times. The market is now experiencing the seventh occurrence, placing the current environment among the rarest sentiment regimes in Bitcoin’s history. This index aggregates multiple on-chain and market indicators to assess whether conditions favor bullish continuation or reflect broad-based weakness. Readings near 20 indicate that very few bullish signals are active at the same time, highlighting a market dominated by caution rather than optimism. Historically, such extremes have tended to appear during transitional phases. They often emerge late in corrections, when selling pressure has largely played out, but confidence has not yet returned. This does not guarantee an immediate reversal. However, it does suggest that downside momentum is becoming increasingly fragile, as most participants who wanted to de-risk have already done so. The timing of this signal is particularly relevant as Bitcoin approaches a critical psychological zone near $100,000. This level represents both a major round-number resistance and a key reference point for short-term and long-term holders. The coming weeks will be decisive. A sustained push toward and above $100K, accompanied by improving breadth in on-chain indicators, would likely mark a shift away from defensive positioning. Conversely, failure at this level could reinforce consolidation and prolong uncertainty. Related Reading: OG Bitcoin Selling Slows Sharply: Long-Dormant Coins Go Quiet Weekly Chart Shows Recovery Attempt Below Resistance Bitcoin’s weekly chart shows a market attempting to reassert strength after a prolonged corrective phase, with price now trading around the $96,000–$97,000 zone. This area is technically important, as it aligns with a former consolidation range that acted as support during mid-2025 and later flipped into resistance after the November breakdown. The recent rebound suggests buyers are willing to defend higher lows, but confirmation remains incomplete. From a trend perspective, Bitcoin is still trading below the declining 50-week moving average, which currently caps upside attempts. This level has acted as dynamic resistance during previous bear-to-neutral transitions. And will be a critical area to reclaim for trend continuation. Below the price, the 100-week moving average continues to slope upward and has provided structural support during the recent pullbacks. Reinforcing the idea that the broader market structure remains intact despite short-term weakness. Related Reading: Bitcoin Short-Term Holders Near A Profit Flip: A Key Level Comes Into Focus Volume behavior is also notable. The rebound toward $97,000 occurred without a major expansion in volume, revealing that the move may still lack strong conviction. This supports the view that the current advance could be a recovery leg within a larger consolidation rather than the start of an impulse. If Bitcoin can consolidate above $95,000 and eventually reclaim the 50-week moving average, the probability of a continuation toward the $105,000–$110,000 region increases. Failure to hold this zone would expose the market to renewed downside tests toward the mid-$80,000s. Keeping the broader consolidation unresolved. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com