Bitcoin continues to trade around the $110,000 level, unable to reclaim higher ground after weeks of volatile price action. The market is still digesting the impact of the October 10 flash crash, which erased billions in open interest and sent shockwaves across altcoins. Despite a gradual recovery in on-chain metrics and institutional inflows, sentiment remains fragile, with traders hesitant to take new long positions. Related Reading: Bitcoin STH-SOPR Falls Below 1.0 for the First Time Since April – What This Means According to top analyst Axel Adler, the Bitcoin Heat Macro Phase — a key indicator used to measure speculative pressure and market overheating — has now entered the Bottom or Accumulation zone. This signals a cooling-off period in speculation, suggesting that short-term trading activity is fading while long-term accumulation quietly resumes. However, Adler warns that this phase requires stability to play out effectively. For Bitcoin to initiate a sustainable rally, volatility must continue to decrease, and no major macro shocks — such as a surge in gold or US bond demand — should disrupt the current equilibrium. The coming weeks may define whether BTC consolidates or slips into renewed risk-off territory. Bitcoin Accumulation Signals Strength, But Stability Is Key Axel Adler explains that when the Bitcoin Heat Macro Phase drops into the Bottom or Accumulation zone, it often represents a pivotal moment within a broader bull market. Historically, such readings coincide with periods where speculative pressure fades, leverage resets, and market participants begin quietly accumulating positions ahead of the next growth phase. These zones tend to appear after major corrections, when weak hands exit and the market regains structural balance — a necessary condition for sustained recovery. This phase reflects a shift from emotional trading to strategic accumulation. During these stages, on-chain activity typically shows increased wallet balances among long-term holders, while short-term traders reduce exposure. However, for this accumulation to translate into a meaningful rally, one critical condition must be met: volatility must decline. High volatility implies uncertainty and risk aversion, discouraging new capital inflows. A gradual cooling of volatility creates the stability needed for market confidence to rebuild. The analyst emphasizes that Bitcoin’s current setup requires at least a short stretch — roughly a week — without major negative global catalysts. External shocks such as surging bond yields, geopolitical tension, or renewed macro risk-off sentiment could easily disrupt the fragile recovery process. In essence, the market appears to be in a delicate balance: the speculative cycle has cooled enough to allow accumulation, but stability remains the missing piece for momentum to return. If volatility continues to decline and macro conditions hold steady, this accumulation phase could serve as the foundation for Bitcoin’s next major rally, mirroring previous transition points seen in past bull cycles. Related Reading: Chris Larsen Cashes Out: $764M In XRP Profits Since 2018 Price Action Details: Testing Key Level Bitcoin is currently trading near $110,936, struggling to gain momentum after several failed attempts to reclaim higher levels. The 4-hour chart shows a period of consolidation following the sharp recovery from the October 10 crash, with BTC moving in a tight range between $108,000 and $112,000. This structure reflects indecision in the market as buyers and sellers battle for short-term control. The 50 EMA (blue) is attempting to cross above the short-term range, signaling some recovery in short-term momentum. However, Bitcoin remains below both the 100 EMA (green) and the 200 EMA (red), indicating that the broader trend is still under bearish pressure. The $111,000–$112,000 zone is acting as immediate resistance, while $108,000 serves as critical short-term support. Related Reading: Bitcoin Trapped On Binance: The Battle Between $107K and $119K Heats Up If Bitcoin manages to break above the $112,000 resistance with volume confirmation, it could trigger a push toward the $117,500 level — the key horizontal resistance aligned with previous liquidity clusters. Conversely, rejection at this level may lead to another pullback toward $106,000 or lower, especially if volatility increases. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin has reached a new all-time high once again, surging to $123,200 earlier today, a move that has reignited bullish sentiment across the cryptocurrency market. After weeks of steady consolidation and strong institutional inflows, the top cryptocurrency continues its upward momentum, breaking past key psychological levels and entering uncharted territory. Related Reading: Bitcoin Long-Term Holders Remain Steady As CDD Normalizes After False Alarm One of the most notable developments fueling this surge is the rise in demand from so-called “accumulator” addresses. According to top analyst Darkfost, these wallets—classified by their consistent behavior of only accumulating BTC without any history of selling—have hit a new record high in 2025. This group of addresses is often associated with high-conviction holders, including long-term retail investors, institutional participants, and funds with strategic positioning. The spike in accumulator activity reveals a deeper layer of confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory. Even with BTC above $120,000, these addresses continue to stack sats aggressively, suggesting that smart money is not waiting for lower prices. Instead, they appear to be preparing for a potential continuation of the bull cycle. Accumulators Add BTC, But Will They Hold Through Volatility? As of today, Bitcoin accumulator addresses have collectively added approximately 248,000 BTC, well above the monthly average of 164,000 BTC. This significant uptick highlights a sharp increase in demand over a short period, indicating that long-term players are actively positioning themselves despite Bitcoin continuing to post new all-time highs. These addresses, often associated with entities that have never sold BTC, are typically viewed as highly sophisticated investors with long-term horizons. The recent surge in accumulation suggests these players see continued upside potential, even after Bitcoin reached $123,200. Their behavior reflects strong market confidence and a belief that the current rally may be far from over. However, there is a caveat. If Bitcoin enters a phase of correction or prolonged consolidation, some of these addresses may begin to exit their positions. Doing so would strip them of their accumulator status and introduce substantial selling pressure into the market. With the 248,000 BTC added now worth around $30 billion, any significant liquidation from this cohort could impact short-term price stability. This week will be particularly crucial. The highly anticipated “Crypto Week” in Washington begins, with the US House of Representatives scheduled to discuss and vote on key crypto regulatory bills. The outcomes could drive volatility and influence whether these accumulators continue to hold or begin to fold. Related Reading: Pump.fun Public Sale Ends In 12 Minutes: Token Distribution Now Underway Bitcoin Breaks Out With Strong Momentum Above $120K The 8-hour chart shows Bitcoin has decisively broken out above the key resistance at $109,300, accelerating sharply to reach new all-time highs at $123,200. This breakout follows weeks of consolidation between the $103,600 and $109,300 levels, during which Bitcoin established a solid base of support. The move was accompanied by a notable surge in volume, confirming strong buyer conviction behind the rally. Technically, BTC is now trading well above its 50, 100, and 200-period simple moving averages (SMAs), which currently sit at $110,795, $108,079, and $106,980, respectively. The bullish alignment of these moving averages supports the ongoing uptrend and indicates that buyers have regained full control of the market structure. Related Reading: Bitcoin Dominance Continues Historic Climb – Altcoins Struggle To Gain Ground The explosive breakout above $110K suggests the market has entered a price discovery phase, where historical resistance levels offer little guidance. If Bitcoin manages to hold above $120K in the coming sessions, this level may flip into new support. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView