Bitcoin price is currently at a critical juncture, sitting right on top of the Bull Market Support Band. Throughout past bull cycles, this band has historically served as a crucial support level, with price retesting it during corrections and bouncing off it to continue its upward trend. Why This Level Matters For Bitcoin Uptrend In an X post, full-time crypto trader and investor, Daan Crypto Trades, has pointed out that Bitcoin is currently sitting directly on top of the Bull Market Support Band. This level has long been regarded as one of the most reliable high-timeframe momentum indicators. Related Reading: Bitcoin Holds Key Support Amid Gravestone Doji – $120,000 Hangs In Balance Daan Crypto Trades noted that while Bitcoin has seen short-term consolidation at or even slightly below this band, it has never experienced a prolonged detachment for more than a week or two during a bull market. The broader market structure remains intact as long as Bitcoin continues to print higher highs and higher lows on the larger timeframe. However, any subsequent dips that occur while this structural integrity is maintained are generally seen as areas of interest and potential buying opportunities for investors. The Role Of Liquidity In Driving Bitcoin’s Next Move Bitcoin is showing the first bearish divergence against the Global M2 Money supply since the cycle lows began, and signaling a potential slowdown in momentum. According to Saint Pump, a market expert, a one-month liquidity pullback is expected in late September, coinciding with the Federal Reserve (Fed) anticipated rate cut amid job weakness. Related Reading: Analyst Says All Bitcoin Price Uptrend Are Duds Unless This Happens This confluence of a bearish technical signal and a macroeconomic liquidity event suggests that BTC’s recent poor price action since July and divergence with global liquidity will continue leading to a period of choppy price action. In addition, there will be volatile trading until global liquidity conditions improve in late October. Adding to the short-term pressure, October also marks the expected end of the four-year cycle, which historically brings additional selling activity. Despite these headwinds, no major cycle top or euphoria signals are evident. Saint Pump noted that the Trump Administration may unleash a monetary bazooka through a Fed takeover to stimulate the economy ahead of the midterms. As a result, this cycle could extend into late 2026, until Inflation fears resurface once the Fed overdoes it due to political pressures. From a technical perspective, the best bid scenario in a sell-off lies between $93,000 and $98,000, aligning with a retest of the weekly 55 Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which has sustained the bull trend since last year. While short-term volatility is expected, the broader uptrend remains structurally sound. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
Ethereum has once again made headlines by climbing to a fresh all-time high, confirming the strength of its ongoing uptrend. However, despite the bullish price action, warning signs are flashing on the technical front as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows a rare divergence. With price pushing higher but momentum indicators losing steam, ETH now faces a critical test on its path toward the much-anticipated $5,000 milestone. Ethereum Breaks Record With Weekly Close Above $4,600 GrayWolf6, in a recent post on X, highlighted that ETH has achieved a significant milestone by closing the weekly candle above $4,600. This level had previously marked the highest weekly close, and as anticipated, ETH went on to set a new all-time high (ATH) last week. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Squeezed In Falling Channel – Bulls Eye Rebound To $4,788 If This Support Holds Currently, ETH is trading within the upper resistance zone of the $3,900–$4,800 range. This region is historically challenging and could invite selling pressure as traders look to secure profits. GrayWolf6 noted that his outlook is for ETH to attempt a push beyond the $5,000 mark. Such a move would not only confirm strong bullish momentum but also open the door for further upside targets as buyers maintain control of the trend. He added that the $5,100 level is especially critical to watch in the coming days. GrayWolf6 concluded by stating that he will be monitoring developments closely throughout the week and sharing updates accordingly. Choppy Price Action Likely As Market Tests Momentum Another analyst, Cryptonite, recently shared an update highlighting the mixed signals currently appearing on Ethereum’s chart. He noted that the chart is presenting a rare and somewhat messy pattern, where price has been making higher highs while the RSI has printed lower highs, a classically bearish divergence. However, the RSI is also showing higher lows, which signals that the downside momentum may not be as strong as it initially appears to be. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Crash: $2 Billion In Losses Is Waiting For Traders At This Level This unusual setup has left ETH in a rather complex position. Cryptonite explained that as long as the RSI maintains these higher lows, the long-term outlook remains favorable for the bulls, despite the short-term volatility. This makes sense given that ETH is currently trading around its all-time high levels, a zone that naturally attracts both profit-taking and renewed buying interest, leading to unpredictable price swings. Another factor worth watching, according to Cryptonite, is trading volume. Despite ETH recording higher highs in price, volume has been declining, which could be a warning sign of weakening momentum. Until stronger participation returns, ETH’s next major move may remain uncertain, with volatility likely to dominate in the short term. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com