According to reports, Joshua Dalton, founder of Triblu, has put forward a striking scenario: that XRP holders could become millionaires, billionaires, or even trillionaires if the token were used as part of a US strategic crypto reserve. Related Reading: JPMorgan Eyes Crypto Services As Institutional Demand Grows – A Boost For BTC Price? Dalton argued that XRP, because of its ties to a US-based company, is a safer fit for a national reserve than Bitcoin. The claim has energized some corners of the crypto community, but it also faces steep legal and market obstacles. Dalton’s Bold Claim And The Numbers Dalton’s case relies on hard math. Based on reports, the US national debt is about $38 trillion. Ripple’s escrow holds roughly 34.4 billion XRP. Using those figures, Dalton and others calculate that an XRP price near $883 would be needed to offset roughly 80% of that debt. Many people won’t like what I say below. “Bitcoin cannot be the official currency for the United States’ reserves because Satoshi Nakamoto is still unknown and it could be the currency operated by China. The government can ???? trust XRP because it is operated by @Ripple and ????… — Joshua Dalton (@J9Dalton) January 23, 2025 At present, XRP trades around $1.91. That would mean a rise of over 46,000% for the token. By comparison, Bitcoin is trading near $89,000 and would have to reach about $30 million per coin to meet a similar debt-offset goal if the plan focused on 1 million BTC, an idea once floated by US Senator Cynthia Lummis. That would be a gain of more than 33,000% from current levels. Legal And Market Limits US President Donald Trump signed an executive order earlier this year creating a national Bitcoin reserve and a wider crypto stockpile framework. But policymakers appear to be focused mainly on Bitcoin for the reserve role, with other coins treated as seizure assets or general holdings. Importantly, Ripple’s escrow is privately controlled and governed by contracts. It cannot be commandeered by a government without legal action and likely long court fights. Even if US authorities somehow obtained large amounts of XRP, unloading such a position on global markets would likely push the price down, not up. Markets are not built to absorb trillions of dollars without heavy distortion. Holders And Wealth Scenarios Based on wallet data, some XRP addresses would see big nominal gains at an $880 price. For example, a holder of 10,000 XRP — currently worth about $19,100 — could see that stake climb to nearly $9 million on paper. Reports show 179,546 wallets hold between 5,000 and 10,000 XRP. About 2,006 addresses sit between 500,000 and 1 million XRP. Yet most of the largest reserves are held by Ripple, its founders, or exchanges. Only 20 wallets contain between 500 million and 1 billion XRP, and six addresses hold more than 1 billion. 2026 is going to be epic! Locked in! XRP will be the star of 2026. — Coach, JV (@Coachjv_) December 23, 2025 Market Reaction And Expert Views Matthew Sigel, lead researcher at VanEck, has argued in public that Bitcoin offers the best path to large-scale fiscal uses, and other analysts remain skeptical of any single token being used to “solve” national debt. Related Reading: XRP To $1,000? Korean Researcher Lays Out 10-Year Roadmap Coach JV and other commentators have shifted attention to 2026 as a potentially strong year for XRP price action, framing the outlook as speculative and time-bound. These views are primarily sentiment-driven and rely on factors beyond government policy, such as market demand and regulatory clarity. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from TradingView
If 2024 was the year of the crypto reawakening, 2025 was the year the plumbing finally got permitted. This year, the emerging industry entered January with tentative optimism and exited December with federal statutes. As a result, the narrative shifted definitively from “crypto as a casino” to “crypto as capital markets infrastructure.” During this period, […]
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Solana’s price action this year has followed a clear but uncomfortable pattern. After pushing to a new all-time high around the $296 region in January, the rally quickly lost momentum and transitioned into a steady decline that has persisted for months. Many traders have attributed this weakness to a risk-off sentiment across crypto, but a deeper on-chain breakdown shared by crypto analyst Ardi on X suggests the story began well before the January peak and has more to do with who was buying and who was quietly exiting. Distribution Was Already Underway Before The January Peak Solana has been on a clear downtrend since September, when it reached a lower high of around $247 compared to its January 19 all-time high of $293. One of the most important insights from Ardi’s analysis is that Solana’s January all-time high did not mark the start of distribution but rather the culmination of it. Related Reading: Why Has The Solana Price Been Crashing Since October? This Major SOL Player Is Selling The chart attached to his post shows that selling volume was already increasing months earlier, well ahead of October, meaning that large holders were positioning for exits long before price reached its final peak. From that perspective, the January high looks less like the beginning of a new expansion phase and more like the last push of a rally. After that point, price action began forming lower highs, and each rebound attempt lacked the strength needed to reclaim the all-time high. Interestingly, Solana failed to reach a new all-time high, even as other large market cap cryptos like Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, and BNB pushed to new all-time highs during the year. Another interesting feature of the data is the widening gap between retail behavior and that of larger players. Cumulative delta metrics on the chart show that retail-sized wallets have been consistently active throughout the year and are increasing their activity even as Solana’s price moved lower. On the other hand, mid-sized and institutional wallets tell a very different story. Their activity has been trending downward for months, starting from the January peak and extending up until the time of writing. Is Solana’s Price Becoming Dependent On Memecoin Activity? Ardi’s analysis also raises a broader question about what is currently driving demand for Solana. Outside of retail activity on Solana itself, one of the few consistent sources of activity has been the memecoin sector. Successes and booms of meme coins like Cat in a Dogs World (MEW), Peanut the Squirrel (PNUT), and Fartcoin (FARTCOIN), which gained traction in the second half of 2024, contributed to Solana’s push to all-time highs during those periods. Related Reading: Will Solana Flip Ethereum? Revenue Numbers Show Disturbing Trend Those meme coin successes culminated with the launch of the Official Trump ($TRUMP) token in January 2025 on Solana, which experienced eye-watering gains shortly after its launch. This, in turn, contributed to Solana’s all-time high in January. However, since then, the TRUMP token and other Solana-based meme coins have been trending downwards in recent months and no longer command the same level of attention or trading intensity they had this time last year. That has led to the view that Solana’s price is increasingly sensitive to the success of memecoins in its ecosystem. At the time of writing, Solana is trading at $121.50, down by about 58.6% from its January all-time high of $293. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
On Dec. 15, Elizabeth Warren put two names at the top of a letter that signals where she thinks US crypto policy is actually written: Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Attorney General Pamela Bondi. The ask is simple on paper but awkward in practice. Are their departments investigating what she calls “national security risks” tied […]
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World Liberty Financial has put forward a proposal to tap a portion of its token treasury to grow USD1, the dollar-pegged stablecoin linked with the project. The plan would free up about $120 million to back listings, liquidity programs and partner incentives. Related Reading: UK Crypto Ownership Takes Biggest Hit Since 2021, Regulator Says Treasury Move Could Add Firepower To USD1 Based on reports, WLFI’s proposal would unlock roughly 5% of its unlocked treasury — a fund slice drawn from a multi-billion dollar reserve — for strategic use to expand USD1’s reach. The move has split the community, with some holders supporting rapid expansion and others warning about tokenomics and governance risks. According to the stablecoin’s custodial partners, USD1 is backed by short-term US government treasuries, US dollar deposits and other cash equivalents and is redeemable at one-for-one for US dollars. Independent pages from the custodian outline monthly attestation reporting and a conservative reserve mix. Reports have disclosed that USD1 has grown quickly since launch and sits among the larger USD-pegged tokens, with circulating supply and market cap figures showing meaningful traction on trading platforms. Exchange listings and deeper integrations have raised visibility, and some market trackers put USD1’s market cap in the multi-billion dollar range. Political Links Add A Layer Of Scrutiny World Liberty Financial is widely described in news reporting as a project backed by the Trump family, and that political link has drawn extra attention from regulators, lawmakers and media. Coverage has noted how the family’s involvement makes governance decisions more visible and politically sensitive. The proposal is now subject to a WLFI governance vote. Supporters argue the $120 million allocation could accelerate integrations with both centralized exchanges and decentralized finance venues, improving liquidity and on-ramp options for users. Opponents point to the size of the spend and question whether deploying a large treasury sum for adoption incentives could push short-term token price moves that do not reflect long-term utility. Related Reading: Russia Rejects Crypto As Legal Tender, Finance Official Confirms What To Watch Next Observers will track the governance tally, any formal rollout plans for the funds, and reserve attestations tied to USD1. Market metrics such as circulating supply and exchange flows will also offer clues about how the push affects liquidity and peg stability. Recent exchange pages already show USD1 circulating supply figures and listing details that analysts use to measure adoption. In short, the proposal could widen USD1’s footprint quickly if approved. But it raises clear governance and market questions that WLFI holders and outside watchers now want answered before any large sums are moved. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
Trump Media and Technology Group has more than 11,500 bitcoin on its balance sheet worth roughly $1 billion at current prices.
Michael Arrington, the founder of TechCrunch and CrunchBase, has placed XRP among his largest personal crypto holdings, according to a recent social post. Related Reading: Ethereum Meets Wall Street: JPMorgan Rolls Out Tokenized Fund He listed XRP as one of his top five positions by dollar value, alongside Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana and Immutable. The disclosure landed plenty of attention online and reignited debate about who is buying what and why. Arrington’s Holdings And Community Reaction Reports have disclosed that his post drew heavy engagement, with replies running the gamut from Bitcoin-only stances to more mixed portfolios. Several industry figures echoed Arrington’s mix; Tony Edward, for example, listed XRP with BTC and ETH when discussing core positions. The debate was loud and fast on social feeds. Some users framed the move as a vote of confidence. Others warned that one investor’s choices do not equal a market-wide shift. Tell me your top five crypto holdings (by total dollar value). Mine are XRP, BTC, ETH and IMX — Michael Arrington ????☠️ (@arrington) December 13, 2025 Institutional Moves Follow Based on reports, Arrington’s public support is tied to direct institutional activity. In October, Arrington Capital joined Ripple and SBI Holdings to back an initiative by Evernorth aimed at building a large institutional XRP treasury. The project, which has been described in some circles as among the biggest of its kind, aims to increase institutional use of XRP and to support on-ledger activity such as decentralized finance and lending. That involvement means Arrington is more than a vocal supporter; he is also tied to projects that could change how institutions use the token. XRP Market Moves And Key Figures XRP’s market picture has been mixed. As of December 16, 2025, the token was trading around $1.98, having held in a roughly $2.00 to $2.20 band in recent sessions. There was a small daily lift of about 1.2% to roughly $2.08 on Monday, which helped the token cover some ground after early-December weakness. The year has seen bigger swings: XRP peaked near $3.65 in July before giving back some gains. Activity in regulated derivatives has also grown. Reports point to XRP futures on the CME reaching a record open interest of roughly $3 billion in late October 2025, a figure that market watchers say reflects rising institutional appetite for regulated exposure. Related Reading: Analyst: Bitcoin’s Cycle Is Intact, Yet No Longer Purely Market-Driven A Past Claim That No Longer Holds Arrington has previously highlighted XRP’s strong performance. In March, he tweeted that XRP had been the best-performing major asset across multiple time frames — 90 days, 180 days, one year and three years. That claim no longer lines up with current rankings. Performance metrics have shifted since then, and the statement has been overtaken by later results. Featured image from Bitpanda Blog, chart from TradingView
Binance, the world’s largest crypto exchange, has broadened support for USD1, the stablecoin tied to World Liberty Financial and US President Donald Trump’s crypto ventures, reports disclosed. The exchange added new spot pairs including ETH/USD1, SOL/USD1 and BNB/USD1, and enabled fee-free swaps between USD1 and other major stablecoins. Related Reading: Is Dogecoin Waking Up? Critical On-Chain Metric Explodes Higher Binance Will Shift Collateral Into USD1 The exchange will convert all collateral backing its Binance-Peg BUSD (B-Token) into USD1 at a 1:1 ratio, a process the company said should be completed within one week. This change means USD1 is being folded into its internal collateral and liquidity systems rather than remaining only a tradable token. Market Reaction And Liquidity Effects Traders reacted quickly. Price moves in BNB and other tokens showed more buying interest after the announcement. Market data snapshots suggested a short-term uptick in BNB as liquidity and trading routes were expanded by the new USD1 pairs. Reports put the token’s wider market use and the platform’s zero-fee swaps as the likely drivers. Binance to Add BNB/USD1, ETH/USD1 Trading Pairs; B-Token Collateral to Be Converted to USD1 According to an official announcement, @binance will list new spot trading pairs BNB/USD1, ETH/USD1, and SOL/USD1 at 16:00 (UTC+8) on December 11, 2025. At the same time, Binance will… pic.twitter.com/mIPrkiR3Lj — ME (@MetaEraHK) December 10, 2025 Backing, Size, And Recent Deals According to public filings and market trackers, USD1 is backed by US Treasury bills, cash and equivalents and is redeemable at a one-for-one rate with the dollar. The stablecoin has grown quickly and is now listed among the larger stablecoins by market cap, with figures around $2.7 billion cited in recent summaries. Reports have also linked USD1 to a major Abu Dhabi investment that used the token for a $2 billion deal. Political Context And Scrutiny These commercial moves come after a politically charged episode: Trump granted a pardon earlier this year to Binance’s former CEO, an action that critics say raises questions about ties between Binance and the Trump family’s crypto interests. That sequence of events has drawn scrutiny from lawmakers and commentators, who are asking for more transparency around the deals and any possible conflicts of interest. Related Reading: Do Kwon Falls Hard — Terraform Labs Chief Gets 15 Years For Wire Fraud Company spokespeople have issued short statements denying that any political favors were sought or exchanged to secure deals. Binance said its public notices focused on product rollouts, trading schedules and incentives like zero fees for certain users, while World Liberty Financial emphasized the reserve backing behind USD1. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
American Bitcoin Corp. reported a fresh addition to its Bitcoin reserve after buying 416 BTC, bringing its total holdings to around 4,783 coins. Related Reading: Institutions Scoop Up 9,000 Ether, Fueling Bullish Signals According to company disclosures and market reports, American Bitcoin (NASDAQ: ABTC) acquired about 416 BTC in the week ending December 8, increasing its on-balance stash to roughly 4,783 BTC. The purchase came from a combination of mined coins and selective market acquisitions, the company said. American Bitcoin Boosts Holdings The cash value of the latest pick-up was roughly in the $38 million range when reported, based on market prices at the time. That addition places the firm among the larger corporate BTC holders and increases the amount of Bitcoin the company holds for treasury purposes. Reports have linked the buying to the firm’s stated strategy of growing its reserve alongside ongoing mining operations. Shares Slide While Reserves Grow While the balance sheet shows accumulation, the stock has struggled. Since ABTC’s market debut in September, shares have fallen by more than 70% from earlier highs, and the company has faced volatile trading as lock-up periods and market swings played out. Some analysts continue to cover the name, but investors watching the share price have been cautious even as the firm expanded its Bitcoin holdings. Mining, Custody And Pledges Based on reports, the newly reported total includes coins held in custody and some that are pledged under agreements tied to miner purchases. The company noted that a portion of its BTC comes directly from mining operations while other pieces were bought on the market. That mixed supply route means not all additions are simple open-market buys; some are internal production converted to treasury stock. Satoshis Per Share And What Investors See According to the company’s latest breakdown, its Satoshis Per Share (SPS) metric rose as a result of the accumulation, giving investors a clearer read on how much Bitcoin each share represents. The metric is being used by some market watchers to compare ABTC’s treasury strength against other public firms. Analysts have pointed to the SPS figure in their notes while also flagging the stock’s recent pressure. Related Reading: Forget Bitcoin’s Old Cycle—A New Institutional Era Has Begun: Cathie Wood Family Backing And Public Profile American Bitcoin was launched with backing from the Trump family and other partners, and the firm’s public profile has been higher than many peers because of that link. Reports have highlighted the involvement of Eric Trump and Donald Trump Jr., while also referring to US President Donald Trump as part of the broader family context that has helped draw attention to the business. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
The collapse marks yet another disappointing Trump family crypto-related investment.
A new staff report released by House Judiciary Committee Ranking Member Jamie Raskin alleges that President Donald Trump has significantly utilized the presidency to expand his personal wealth through cryptocurrency ventures. The report, titled Trump, Crypto, and a New Age of Corruption, outlines a series of findings suggesting that the Administration’s policy decisions, including the […]
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World Liberty Financial (WLFI) said it is reallocating funds and confirming user identities after several wallets were compromised ahead of its platform launch. Related Reading: XRP Supply Shock Ahead? ETFs Could Consume It All, Analyst Predicts According to WLFI’s post on X, the company froze the affected addresses in September and has been verifying ownership before moving assets back to users who pass the checks. Wallet Breaches And Response Reports have disclosed that the breaches came from either phishing attacks or exposed seed phrases, not from WLFI’s own platform or smart contracts, the company said. WLFI described the problem as linked to third-party security failures and said only a “small subset” of users were hit — though it did not give exact figures on how many accounts or how much crypto was involved. 1/ Prior to WLFI’s launch, a relatively small subset of user wallets were compromised via phishing attacks or exposed seed phrases. Since then, we’ve tested new smart contract logic to safely reallocate user funds and verified users’ identity via KYC checks. Shortly, users who… — WLFI (@worldlibertyfi) November 19, 2025 On-chain data cited by analyst Emmett Gallic of Arkham shows WLFI executed an emergency action that burned 166.67 million WLFI tokens, a move valued at $22.14 million from a compromised address, and then shifted tokens to a recovery address. That firewall step appears intended to limit further loss while the company sorts ownership questions. World Liberty Fi executed an emergency function burning 166.667M $WLFI ($22.14M) from compromised address, reallocating to a recovery address. Function designed for two scenarios: An investor loses wallet access before vesting OR malicious account acquires WLFI via exploit pic.twitter.com/VSUDWhDPCR — Emmett Gallic (@emmettgallic) November 19, 2025 Regulatory Spotlight Grows The timing of the security disclosure has drawn extra attention. Based on reports, Senators Elizabeth Warren and Jack Reed asked the DOJ and Treasury to review alleged WLFI token sales tied to sanctioned parties. Their letter referenced a watchdog report from Accountable.US that linked transactions to the Lazarus Group — a North Korea-linked actor on sanctions lists — and to an Iranian crypto exchange. It remains unclear whether the wallet compromises are related to the transactions lawmakers flagged. Experts Question On-Chain Findings Security researchers have pushed back on some of the watchdog’s claims. Taylor Moynahan of MetaMask and Nick Bax of Ump.eth said the Accountable.US analysis misread certain on-chain activity. Another day in crypto with wild allegations. Today, it’s that a North Korea-linked address invested in WLFI. I do a some DPRK crypto research myself, so I decided to take a look at their findings. They’re bad and an innocent user is out $100k because of it???? pic.twitter.com/yJKEH04nup — Nick Bax.eth (@bax1337) November 18, 2025 Related Reading: With 42% Of XRP Holders Underwater, Analysts Say The Altcoin Could Crash Even Further Bax argued that the report mistakenly connected a wallet tied to an individual known as “Shryder” with DPRK-linked activity, which led to the freezing of roughly $95,000 in WLFI tokens. WLFI has responded by emphasizing user protection and compliance. The company said it prioritized freezing vulnerable wallets and verifying rightful owners before any transfers. It also announced tests of revised smart contract logic meant to reduce the chance of similar breaches in future rollouts. Featured image from Gemini, chart from TradingView
The Trump International Hotel Maldives, developed with Dar Global, will be tokenized to allow investors to buy digital shares in the development.
When Donald Trump entered the White House in January, crypto markets expected alignment between policy and price. The new administration delivered on some of its promises by providing regulatory clarity, friendlier oversight, and the strongest institutional welcome Bitcoin had ever received. As a result, spot ETFs surged in assets, corporate treasuries accumulated BTC, and industry […]
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US President Donald Trump on Friday voiced support for a Senate measure that would let the US impose tariffs of up to 500% on imports from nations still buying Russian energy. “It would be okay with me,” he said. Related Reading: From Dotcom To Crypto: Veteran Analyst Says The Bull Run Isn’t Over Based on reports, the proposal names oil, natural gas, petroleum products and uranium as covered goods and highlights major buyers such as India and China. The move is described as a tool meant to squeeze Russia’s export revenues, but the measure remains proposed and has not become law. Tariffs Up To 500% On Energy Imports Reports have disclosed that the bill would give the President authority to slap punitive duties — as high as 500% — on goods coming from any country judged to be materially trading in Russian energy. JUST IN: ???????????????? President Trump approves bill allowing 500% tariffs on countries trading with Russia. pic.twitter.com/qaBKVUMwTN — BRICS News (@BRICSinfo) November 17, 2025 Lawmakers behind the text say the measure targets energy purchases that help fund Moscow. How the tariff would be applied, and the exact list of goods and exceptions, is still being worked out in committee. Legal experts warn that a 500% duty would raise immediate questions about trade rules and possible retaliation. Immediate Shock To Risk Assets Markets reacted fast. Crypto traders moved to the exits in the first hours after the news, pushing volatility up across major tokens. Nearly $620 million in crypto positions were liquidated in 24 hours, forcing over 152,000 traders out, with a single $30 million BTC-USD order on Hyperliquid being the largest hit. Major altcoins like XRP, Solana, and Cardano saw sharp swings, and Ethereum dropped toward the $3,000 level. Bitcoin took a 1% hit following the news. In the last week, BTC has lost close to 10% of its value since hitting an all-time high of $126k on October 6, 2025. The crypto market is highly sensitive to geopolitical trade shocks. Analysts warn that a proposed 500% tariff on countries trading with Russia—significantly higher than past rates that caused a $200 billion wipeout—could trigger severe panic selling. Analysts believe that if the large-scale tariff is brought into effect, its short-term effect could decrease Bitcoin and major altcoins’ prices by 10% to 20% due to increased economic uncertainty and panic. Related Reading: Forget The Obituaries—Cardano Is Alive, Says Bitcoin Analyst Wider Economic Ripples And Energy Prices If the tariffs were ever applied, energy flows would be disrupted. That could push crude and gas prices higher, and higher energy costs usually feed into inflation. Central banks might respond by holding rates higher for longer, which can hurt risk assets including crypto. Yet, history shows that once a new price regime takes hold, people sometimes seek alternatives to cash and bank deposits. That dynamic is part of why crypto markets are watching this proposal so closely. Featured image from David Hume Kennerly/Getty Images, chart from TradingView
AJ Scaramucci’s family has put more than $100 million into a Bitcoin mining company backed by US President Donald Trump’s sons, according to reporting on the deal. The cash came through Solari Capital, the firm led by AJ Scaramucci, and was part of a larger $220 million pre-IPO financing in July. Related Reading: Forget The Obituaries—Cardano Is Alive, Says Bitcoin Analyst Funding Round And Backers A report by Fortune has disclosed that the July financing was led by Solari Capital and raised $220 million in total. Solari’s investment is said to exceed $100 million, while Anthony Scaramucci also made a smaller personal contribution. Other investors named in coverage include the founder of Cardano, some real-estate figures, and a handful of entrepreneurs and public personalities. The move was framed by investors as a big bet on Bitcoin infrastructure rather than a simple token play. The Company’s Scale And Holdings According to filings, the company owned more than 60,000 Bitcoin miners as of May 31, 2025, with a reported fleet hashrate of about 10.17 EH/s. The same filings show the business has been building a strategic Bitcoin reserve: recent regulatory disclosures list thousands of coins held on the balance sheet. Those figures reflect both mined coins and market purchases used to grow the company’s stash. Partnerships And Ownership Structure American Bitcoin was formed in close partnership with a large mining operator that contributed infrastructure and much of the initial equipment. That partner holds the bulk of the new company’s economic interest, leaving the Trump brothers and a limited group of others with the remaining stake. The arrangement allowed American Bitcoin to scale quickly and move toward public trading through a merger agreement announced this year. National Security And Hardware Deals Coverage has raised concerns about a deal that gives the firm unusual access to equipment from a big Chinese miner. That arrangement reportedly includes the purchase of thousands of machines under extended payment terms — in some cases up to 24 months — with payments secured by pledged Bitcoin. Critics say such terms and hardware dependence could create political and security questions, especially given the firm’s high profile and links to US political leaders. Related Reading: XRP Earns Academic Praise: University Study Calls It ‘Gold In Your Hands’ Operational Performance And Recent Results Regulatory filings and quarterly releases show the business is producing Bitcoin from mining and is also buying coins on the open market to grow holdings. In the third quarter it mined several hundred BTC, a pace that helped lift revenue and margins in recent results. Backers say the model mixes production with accumulation to capture upside if prices rise. Some analysts warn the approach concentrates crypto price risk alongside the normal operational risks of running large data centers. Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView
According to market watchers, US-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs posted a $520 million inflow on Tuesday, a sharp change after a mild $1.15 million inflow the day before and a recent week that saw $1.22 billion in withdrawals. Related Reading: XRP Has Held Its Ground As Most Altcoins Fall, Market Observers Say That swing in flows is being watched closely because inflows into ETFs have in the past helped drive big price climbs. Right now Bitcoin trades around $104,000, and some analysts say a jump toward $160,000–$170,000 is possible if buying pressure keeps building. Diminishing Golden Curves Hint At Lower Peaks Based on reports from CryptoCon, a model called diminishing golden curves maps price bands using logarithmic regression. The model tracks how far Bitcoin moves above a “Golden Curve” growth path and labels those moves with deviation levels. The next target for #Bitcoin is between $160,000 and $170,000 ???? pic.twitter.com/QAd3RdDS8q — Bitcoin Teddy (@Bitcoin_Teddy) November 12, 2025 Past cycle tops landed at +5 in November 2013, +4 in December 2017, and +3 in November 2021. CryptoCon’s projection now places the next top near the +2 band, which translates to a range between $160,000 and $170,000, with a possible swing toward $186,000. If that plays out, Bitcoin would climb about 70% from current levels near $104,000. Halving Rhythm Still In Play Reports show the chart also uses halving-based sine waves. Since the last halving occurred in April 2024, the model expects a market peak in late 2025, a timing that matches the rough 12–18 month pattern seen after previous halvings. That rhythm has been a simple guide for many traders. It is not a guarantee, but it helps explain why analysts are paying attention to late 2025 as a possible climax point. Stablecoin And Exchange Reserves Add Weight On-chain signals add more detail. The stablecoin supply ratio has fallen to levels that historically lined up with market lows, suggesting there is dry powder waiting on the sidelines. Data from Binance shows stablecoin reserves rising while Bitcoin reserves on the exchange fall — a mix often read as accumulation by long-term holders. CryptoQuant analyst Moreno says liquidity is increasing and volatility is low, which can make the risk-reward seem attractive to buyers. Related Reading: Dogecoin Alert! Price Could Explode Over 2,800%, Analyst Says Timing And Risks Remain Important Market conditions could change quickly, Especially with new economic data and the end of the US government shutdown. That kind of macro event can add volatility and shift flows. Models like the Diminishing Golden Curves are useful tools, yet they depend on history repeating in ways that might not hold if a major shock appears. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
United States President Donald Trump late Wednesday signed legislation that ended the country’s 43-day government shutdown, reopening federal agencies and restarting paused services after what had become the longest shutdown in modern history. Reports have disclosed the measure passed both houses this week and moves quickly to restore pay and services. Related Reading: Dogecoin Alert! Price Could Explode Over 2,800%, Analyst Says Funding Push Restores Pay And Services According to official House materials, the measure passed the House by a 222–209 vote and carries continuing appropriations that fund agencies through January 30, 2026. The bill covers several full-year appropriations and aims to return back pay to hundreds of thousands of federal workers who were furloughed or forced to work without pay. President Trump signs bill to OFFICIALLY reopen the government, ending the Democrat Shutdown. Let’s get our country WORKING again. ???????? pic.twitter.com/QJqX90k9sC — The White House (@WhiteHouse) November 13, 2025 Markets Liked The Certainty Risk assets jumped as lawmakers moved to end the standoff. Reports have disclosed Bitcoin climbed back toward the $105,000 area after the breakthrough, while broader crypto tokens also showed gains as traders priced in the reduction of fiscal uncertainty. Short, sharp moves in the market reflected traders unwinding defensive positions. Crypto Reaction In Numbers Bitcoin rose from lows near $99,300 earlier in the week to above $105,000 on news of progress, a move that some outlets measured as a roughly 6.7% uptick over recent sessions. Ethereum recovered toward about $3,600 as investors rotated back into riskier assets. These moves came alongside rallies in stocks and other risk markets. Based on reports from market commentators, the end of the shutdown reduced one layer of macro uncertainty. That made it easier for large funds and ETFs to move money without the risk of sudden policy disruption. Some short-term flows into crypto appear tied to renewed confidence that key infrastructure — like air travel and federal programs — will run normally again. Political Fallout And Next Steps Lawmakers from both parties have already signaled new fights ahead, with pressure to address policy items that were left out of the funding package. The White House framed the outcome as a win for governance, while critics said parts of the deal leave important programs and protections unresolved. Related Reading: XRP Has Held Its Ground As Most Altcoins Fall, Market Observers Say Market Watchers Offer Caution While the immediate market reaction was positive, several analysts warned that gains tied to the shutdown’s end could be temporary. Volatility may return if political gridlock reemerges or if technical resistance levels hold for major tokens. The buying seen on the reopening was broad, but not unanimous, and many traders are watching whether flows remain steady into year-end. Featured image from ABC News, chart from TradingView
According to Bloomberg Intelligence’s Mike McGlone, Bitcoin has entered a “do-or-die” phase as traders watch a narrow price band for signs of direction. From an Oct. 6 level of $123,500, the coin tumbled almost 20% to a low of $99,900 on Nov. 4 before recovering to about $106,350. Reports show the move left Bitcoin roughly 14% below its earlier October peak. Related Reading: Trump’s Bitcoin Bet Grows: American Bitcoin Now Holds Over 4,000 BTC Make Or Break Zone For Bitcoin Based on trend lines and monthly charts, McGlone points to a rollover pattern after the months-long climb that culminated in an Oct. 6 high marked on some charts at $126,270. The immediate technical test is the 200-day moving average, which sits near $110,000. Bitcoin Do or Die: $110,000-$100,000 Bitcoin’s rolling-over pattern on monthly charts might signal the opposite of gold’s bull flag to August. The crypto has dropped below its 200-day moving average at $110,000 to Nov. 7 — a key hurdle to signal recovery. Full report on the… pic.twitter.com/n4MMZfhuL3 — Mike McGlone (@mikemcglone11) November 10, 2025 According to his view, Bitcoin needs to push back above that level to make a clear case for renewed upside. If it can’t, the risk is that sellers regain control and prices slip further below the current band between $100,000 and $110,000. Resistance And Momentum Signals Reports have highlighted other warning signs. Long upper wicks have appeared on recent candles, a sign that buyers were checked near the top. The 12-month simple moving average has started to flatten after a steady climb, suggesting the buying drive is slowing. Trader and analyst Michaël van de Poppe has pointed to strong resistance in the $108,000–$110,000 zone. According to him, breaking through that range could open the door back to the highs, and if that happens, altcoins may run harder than Bitcoin. Institutional Moves And Market Mood Institutional buyers remain active. Michael Saylor’s firm purchased 487 BTC worth close to $50 million today, bringing reported holdings to 641,692 BTC. At the same time, exchange-traded funds saw outflows totaling $1.22 billion last week. Market sentiment has nudged up: CoinMarketCap’s Fear and Greed Index rose to 29 from 24, and Bitcoin is up about 3.6% in the past 24 hours after lawmakers advanced a US government shutdown deal. Traders are pricing event-contract probabilities that place a 28% chance Bitcoin reaches $130,000 or higher this year and a 9% chance it tops $150,000. Short-Term Triggers Could Tip The Scale Near-term catalysts are in play. US President Donald Trump’s mention of a possible $2,000 tariff “dividend” and progress toward ending the shutdown appear to have helped the recent bounce. Timothy Misir, head of research at Blockhead Research Network, said the market has cleaner positioning and could see a constructive November if fiscal clarity and ETF flows stabilize. He also warned about risks: continued ETF outflows, delivery delays on fiscal measures, and rising market leverage could reverse the recovery. Related Reading: Trump Media Takes $55M Hit As Bitcoin Holdings Surge In Value What To Watch Next For now, Bitcoin sits in a tight trading range. Reclaiming $110,000 would be read as a positive signal and might restore buying confidence. Falling below $100,000 would likely trigger deeper losses, according to the technical picture analysts cite. Traders and institutions will watch price action around those levels closely — and those moves will shape whether this moment is remembered as a short pause or a major turning point. Featured image from The Conversation/Landmark Media/Alamy, chart from TradingView
US President Donald Trump’s latest promise of a tariff-funded “dividend” sent shockwaves through markets Monday, and traders in digital assets moved quickly to price in the possibility of extra cash in American pockets. Related Reading: Trump’s Bitcoin Bet Grows: American Bitcoin Now Holds Over 4,000 BTC The plan would pay at least $2,000 to most adults and has been described as part of a broader push to use tariff receipts for direct payments. Tariff Dividend Sparks Market Moves According to reports, the proposal is being presented as a way to convert tariff revenue into direct payments to citizens, with proponents linking the move to stronger consumer spending and higher risk appetite among investors. Trump said the government could afford the new payout because tariffs had brought in massive revenue and because factories across the country were attracting record levels of investment. He mentioned that the money would go to most Americans, except those earning higher incomes. “People that are against tariffs are fools,” Trump wrote in his Truth Social post. “We are taking in trillions of dollars and will soon begin paying down our enormous debt, $37 trillion.” Trump also pointed to record highs in 401(k) savings and the stock market, saying tariffs helped the economy grow instead of slowing it down. The figure being cited publicly as backing for the program is about $400 billion, though analysts and budget experts say the math and legal pathway remain unclear. Crypto Prices Tick Higher The cryptocurrency market reacted within hours following news of the dividend. Bitcoin climbed above $106,000, while Ether moved into the mid-thousands, reflecting a short, sharp lift in sentiment among traders who expect fresh liquidity could flow into risk assets. These price moves followed a week when some crypto indexes had fallen sharply, so the announcement helped reverse part of that pullback. Market watchers said the reaction was driven more by sentiment than by a confirmed funding mechanism. Some commentators compared the potential effect to past stimulus checks, noting that when households get direct dividend payments they often boost spending and, in some cases, channel money into markets. Still, regulators and budget experts are asking how the plan would work under existing law and whether tariff receipts are a reliable source for recurring payouts. Related Reading: XRP’s Price Doesn’t Match Its Growing Real-World Use, Study Finds Exchange Activity Up Traders on exchanges showed increased activity, and a handful of altcoins recorded gains as momentum traders piled in. Volume spiked on some platforms as short-term buyers tried to ride the sentiment. Observers cautioned that rallies tied to political announcements can be volatile and may fade if the policy stalls in Congress or runs into legal challenges. Legal and political questions are front and center. Treasury officials have suggested parts of the payout could be handled through tax changes already on the books, while court challenges over the scope of tariff powers may complicate any quick roll-out. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG) posted a net loss of about $54.8 million for the quarter, and that shortfall was driven in part by write-downs tied to its digital-asset holdings. According to company disclosures, the firm holds a sizable bitcoin stash that has swung in value and helped turn trading swings into headline losses. Related Reading: Trump’s Bitcoin Bet Grows: American Bitcoin Now Holds Over 4,000 BTC Bitcoin Strategy And The Loss Reports have disclosed that TMTG’s bitcoin holdings were listed at more than 11,500 BTC in one filing, putting the holding value above $1.3 billion depending on the market price at reporting. Earlier statements by the company put combined bitcoin and related securities near $2 billion. The result: big paper gains when prices rose, and big mark-to-market losses when they fell. The company also reported about $15.3 million in income from bitcoin-related option premiums during the quarter, but that was not enough to offset the revaluations that showed up in its books. TRUMP MEDIA AND TECHNOLOGY GROUP HOLDS OVER $1 BILLION OF BITCOIN Trump Media and Technology Group ($DJT) has disclosed holdings of over $1.3 Billion of BTC as of September 30th 2025.$DJT holds $BTC. pic.twitter.com/WzAIOnN29y — Arkham (@arkham) November 8, 2025 The company framed the purchases as a move to diversify its treasury. Based on reports, the bitcoin position has become a dominant feature of the company’s balance sheet. That matters because this is not a giant, well-capitalized media group with steady cash flows. Revenue for the period remained small compared with the bitcoin bet, which magnifies how much the crypto holdings move the company’s financial picture. Holdings And Valuation Investors and analysts have zeroed in on timing and entry prices. According to filings and market coverage, TMTG made large purchases over months, but exact buy dates and price points were not fully broken out, leaving room for debate about how much of the loss is unrealized and how much was realized. Some coverage linked part of the loss to changes in the market price of bitcoin between purchase and reporting dates. Using bitcoin as collateral or for financing also adds layers of risk. Reports indicate the firm has used portions of its holdings in financing arrangements, which could force sales or additional write-downs if market conditions worsen. That kind of leverage was highlighted by market watchers as a key risk for a company whose core business is still quite small. Related Reading: XRP On Fire: Over 21,000 New Wallets Appear In 48 Hours Optimistic Stance Despite the challenges, Devin Nunes, the CEO and president of Trump Media, said the third quarter was an important period for the company’s growth. He added that they’ve strengthened their financial position with a large Bitcoin reserve and continued to build on their existing platforms. Featured image from David Hume Kennerly/Getty Images, chart from TradingView
American Bitcoin, the Nasdaq-listed mining and treasury firm backed by Eric Trump and Donald Trump Jr., has raised its Bitcoin stash to 4,000 BTC, worth about $415 million, according to a company announcement released Friday. Related Reading: XRP On Fire: Over 21,000 New Wallets Appear In 48 Hours The firm purchased nearly 170 BTC between October 24 and November 5, a haul valued at more than $14 million at current market rates. American Bitcoin Boosts Holdings Eric Trump, listed as co-founder and Chief Strategy Officer, said the company is growing its stock of Bitcoin through a mix of scaled mining operations and market purchases. Reports have disclosed that this size of accumulation puts American Bitcoin at about the 25th spot among corporate Bitcoin holders, based on data from Bitcointreasuries.net. The Michael Saylor-led Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) remains far ahead as the largest corporate holder with more than 641,000 BTC on its books, worth around $66 billion. Trump-Linked Ventures Report Large Crypto Gains Based on reports, members of the Trump family have collected roughly $1 billion in pre-tax gains over the last year from a range of crypto projects. Those projects include memecoins such as TRUMP and MELANIA, which together reportedly brought in about $427 million, plus the WLFI token with about $550 million in gains. Reports also point to big outside backers. Chinese entrepreneur Justin Sun is reported to have invested $75 million in WLFI, while Abu Dhabi’s MGX fund is said to have provided $2 billion to Binance using the USD1 stablecoin. The family’s various ventures have pushed their combined crypto exposure into the multi-billion dollar range. Mining Margins Squeeze Firms After Halving Miners across the sector are feeling pressure after the 2024 Bitcoin halving cut block rewards from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC. That change tightened profit margins, forcing some operators to seek new revenue streams, including AI-focused computing services. American Bitcoin’s model ties mining and treasury accumulation together, but the economics for smaller miners are getting tougher. TRUMP MEDIA AND TECHNOLOGY GROUP HOLDS OVER $1 BILLION OF BITCOIN Trump Media and Technology Group ($DJT) has disclosed holdings of over $1.3 Billion of BTC as of September 30th 2025.$DJT holds $BTC. pic.twitter.com/WzAIOnN29y — Arkham (@arkham) November 8, 2025 Trump Media’s Holdings And The Broader Picture Regulatory filings show that Trump Media and Technology Group now holds more than 11,500 BTC, worth over $1.3 billion, even as the company records heavy operating losses. Related Reading: XRP’s Price Doesn’t Match Its Growing Real-World Use, Study Finds The concentration of Bitcoin across several Trump-linked businesses points to a deliberate strategy: treat Bitcoin as a reserve asset and a core part of several commercial efforts. Bitcoin was trading at $102,175 at press time, up a meager 0.3% over 24 hours. That price sits about 15% below the all-time high of $126,000 reached in early October. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin’s pullback on Monday sent a quick chill through crypto markets, pulling sentiment down to levels not seen in months. Prices dipped to a 24-hour low of $103,938 after earlier trading above $109,000, and gauges of market mood turned sharply negative as investors reassessed risk. Related Reading: Bitcoin May Be This Week’s Big Story As Saylor Teases Fresh Buy Crypto Fear Hits Extreme Readings According to the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, the score fell to 21 out of 100 on Tuesday, a move that registers as “Extreme Fear.” That mark is the lowest in nearly seven months; the index previously hit 18 out of 100 on April 9, when markets reacted to US President Donald Trump’s global tariff measures. Reports have disclosed that the index has been swinging between calm and alarm since the large sell-off in early October, when readings tumbled after prices slid from a peak above $126,000 on Oct. 6. Market participants pointed to a mix of weak institutional flows and macro worries. Based on reports, Bitcoin-tied exchange-traded funds recorded net outflows of nearly $800 million last week. Analysts said institutional buying recently fell below the amount of newly mined Bitcoin for the first time in seven months. Those trends reduce the steady inflows that had helped support prices. Price Action & Short-Term Drivers Bitcoin recovered above $104,100 after the low, but the sharp intraday swing highlighted fragility. Some traders blamed cooling activity on exchanges and wallets, while others flagged concerns about the Federal Reserve’s stance. The Fed cut interest rates for the second time this year on Wednesday, yet signaled there may not be more cuts in 2025. That hint of a less-accommodating outlook appeared to catch investors off guard, prompting quick re-pricing in both stock and crypto markets. There are also technical points at play. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index last fell into the “Extreme Fear” zone on Oct. 21 when it hit 25 out of 100, after Bitcoin slid from over $110,000 to below $108,000. Earlier, the index had topped 70 — a “Greed” reading — showing how fast sentiment can flip when price moves accelerate. Related Reading: Forget Billions—XRP Could Hit Trillions, Leading Expert Says What Traders Are Watching Next Traders will be watching ETF flows, on-chain activity, and any fresh signals from US policymakers. Based on reports, lower blockchain activity and fewer large buys by institutions have been cited as immediate reasons for the decline. If inflows return, they could stabilize the market. If outflows continue, the pressure may deepen. Market bulls, however, still point to seasonal history. According to historical patterns cited by some analysts, November has often been a strong month for Bitcoin, with average gains above 40% in past years. Featured image from Gemini, chart from TradingView
The Trump-backed stablecoin project is rewarding early adopters through its USD1 points program, distributing tokens across six exchanges as it expands into DeFi and real-world asset integrations.
American Bitcoin acquired 1,414 BTC while Michael Saylor’s Strategy added 390 BTC.
Mike Novogratz, CEO of Galaxy Digital, warned that Bitcoin reaching $250,000 by year-end would take “a heck of a lot of crazy stuff,” putting a big question mark over some of the bolder market forecasts. Related Reading: All It Took Was A Tweet: FLOKI Jumps 27% After Musk Mentions It According to his remarks, the more likely outcome is that Bitcoin holds near current levels unless major new forces push prices much higher. Novogratz Sets A Realistic Range Based on reports, Novogratz suggested a year-end range of roughly $100,000 to $125,000 for Bitcoin under normal market conditions. At the time of his comment Bitcoin traded around $107,000, meaning a move to $250,000 would require roughly a 130% rise in a matter of weeks. That kind of jump is possible, he said, but it would demand events far outside ordinary market behavior. What Would Need To Happen Reports have disclosed two main scenarios that could create the type of momentum needed for a run to $250,000. One involves US President Donald Trump exerting pressure on the Federal Reserve in a way that shifts macro policy and boosts risk assets. The other key trigger would be swift passage of a major market structure bill for crypto — commonly referred to in discussions as the CLARITY Act — which could open the door to a surge in institutional demand. Both are uncertain and would have to line up quickly for the price to triple-plus in weeks. Market Context And On-Chain Signals On-chain data and recent price action add weight to Novogratz’s caution. Analysts tracking flows, supply, and holder behavior have pointed to a period of profit-taking and slower buying. Glassnode and other trackers show signs of consolidation. In plain terms: long-term holders are selling some coins and new buyers have not yet overwhelmed sellers. Unless large new inflows appear, price momentum is likely to be limited. Related Reading: Bitcoin Whale Goes Big — $255M Longs Opened Before Trump–China Summit Bitcoin: Technical Thresholds To Watch Analysts are watching $125,000 as a key resistance level. A decisive move above that figure could change the math and encourage more buying. Conversely, a sustained hold near the low six-figure range would fit Novogratz’s base case. Spot Bitcoin ETF flows and big institutional purchases are the clearest possible catalysts that could tilt sentiment higher. According to market observers, investors should not assume rapid gains will occur simply because headlines mention big targets. The math is clear: moving from roughly $107,000 to $250,000 in about 10–11 weeks requires mass buying that has not yet appeared. Featured image from Gemini, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin and Ethereum rose after US President Donald Trump confirmed a meeting with China’s leader during the APEC summit on October 31. Based on reports, Bitcoin climbed nearly 4% while Ethereum gained about 5% and traded around $4,030. The whole market added roughly $100 billion in value in a short window, according to market watchers. Related Reading: $3M In Stolen XRP Tracked — But Victim May Never See It Again: Investigator Insider Whale Bets And Mixed Positions Reports have disclosed that an insider whale opened $255 million in long positions across Bitcoin and Ethereum. At the same time, the same trader put on a $76 million short on Bitcoin with 10x leverage. The moves look like a bet on swings in price rather than a single directional stake. Observers note the trader has a history of large, well-timed trades, including a prior $730 million short that paid off. There is no clear public ID for this whale, and the motives are being examined by analysts. Insider Bitcoin whale is back. He just opened a $76,195,977 $BTC short position with 10x leverage. Does he know something? pic.twitter.com/K4ldvQE1TN — Ted (@TedPillows) October 19, 2025 Political Shift Sends Prices Higher Based on reports, comments by US President Donald Trump helped calm markets. He reportedly said “it will all be fine” when speaking about China’s economy, and the tone toward Beijing softened after a week where he had announced a 100% tariff on Chinese goods. That tariff claim had sparked a big sell-off across traditional and crypto markets just days earlier. Market players reacted quickly to the latest signals of a thaw, viewing the upcoming meeting as a chance for reduced tension. ????BREAKING AN INSIDER WITH A 100% WIN RATE JUST OPENED $BTC AND $ETH LONGS WORTH $255 MILLION HE DEFINITELY KNOWS SOMETHING ???? pic.twitter.com/hwAkXPzBwW — Wimar.X (@DefiWimar) October 19, 2025 On-Chain Activity And Institutional Moves According to on-chain data and exchange records, large-scale activity continued across spot markets. BitMine was reported to have picked up about $1.5 billion worth of Ether, a move that market participants say shows faith in Ethereum’s long-term outlook. Meanwhile, El Salvador quietly added eight BTC to its reserves, bringing its total holdings to 6,355.18 BTC. Exchange Flows Show Withdrawals Based on exchange records, major centralized platforms recorded a net outflow of roughly 21,000 BTC over the past week. Coinbase Pro and Binance were named among those with the biggest withdrawals, showing about 15,000 BTC and 12,000 BTC moved off exchanges, respectively. Traders interpret such flows in different ways: some see accumulation into private wallets, others see funds repositioned by large traders. Related Reading: Biggest Shiba Inu Burn In Months — And It Came From A Coinbase Account The Implications Of This Moving Forward Reports indicate that the market is reacting to both political signals and positions being adjusted by big hands. If the rhetoric between the US and China continues to show friendly signals, prices may push higher and retest monthly highs. But the presence of a sizeable short position alongside large long positions suggests that volatility will stay. Presently, data points are being watched closely and traders are establishing balances between advancing positions and hedging. Featured image from Gemini, chart from TradingView
Crypto-based funds attracted $3.17 billion in new capital, even as markets reeled from tariff-related tensions between the United States and China, according to CoinShares weekly report. On Oct. 10, President Donald Trump announced that the US could raise tariffs in response to China’s new rare-earth export restrictions. The statement triggered a broad sell-off across risk […]
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Both Beijing and Washington moved to calm trade tensions over the weekend.
According to economist Timothy Peterson, Bitcoin’s recent slide could be a short-lived wobble if October’s history repeats itself. He pointed out that drops larger than 5% in October are rare — they have occurred just four times in the past 10 years — and when they happened, Bitcoin often bounced back quickly. Related Reading: XRP Fear Index Spikes To 6-Month High, And That Could Spark Its Next Breakout Historical October Bounces Reports show the four October setbacks came in 2017, 2018, 2019, and 2021. In the week after each fall, recoveries ranged from modest to sharp: gains of 16% in 2017, 4% in 2018, and a big 21% in 2019, while 2021 was the lone outlier when prices slipped another 3%. Based on those past moves, Peterson suggested a rebound of up to 21% over seven days is possible after a large October drop. CoinGlass and market outlets have long flagged October as one of Bitcoin’s strongest months historically. Drops of more than 5% in October are exceedingly rare. This has happened only 4 times in the past 10 years. Oct 24 2017 Oct 11 2018 Oct 23 2019 Oct 21 2021 What happened next? 7 days later bitcoin was 2017: up 16% 2018: up 4% 2019: up 21% 2021: down -3% pic.twitter.com/mbFs19RbwL — Timothy Peterson (@nsquaredvalue) October 10, 2025 Markets moved fast this week after a tariff shock. United States President Donald Trump’s announcement of steep tariffs on China coincided with a sudden sell-off that briefly pushed Bitcoin down to about $102,000. Prices then staged a partial recovery to roughly $112,100. Traders noted the pullback came soon after Bitcoin hit fresh highs earlier in the week, above $126,000. Short-Term Upside Scenarios If Bitcoin were to mirror its strongest October rebound — the 21% surge seen in 2019 — a move from the low near $102,000 would place the token just under its recent peak, around $124,000, within days. That math is straightforward and is being quoted by analysts running many simulations. Some say there’s even a range of odds that the month could finish well above current levels. Other market voices pushed different views. Proponents argued that the current dip is a reset during an overall uptrend; some called it the bottom of the current cycle. Others warned that policy shocks or tariff escalations could keep selling pressure in place for longer. Social metrics and sentiment gauges moved sharply during the sell-off, and certain altcoins saw deeper losses amid the flight to safety. Related Reading: Bitcoin Who? XRP Leads Coinbase Search Charts, Beating The Giants Possible Triggers For A Rebound Meanwhile, traders are watching a few clear triggers. Headlines that dial down trade tensions between the US and China would likely calm markets. Any sign the US Federal Reserve will quicken interest rate cuts could also lift risk assets, including crypto. History suggests panic sell-offs often end before a strong recovery begins, but nothing is guaranteed. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView