The current consolidation of Bitcoin is showing signs of a deeper shift rather than a typical range-bound market. While price action appears relatively stable within a defined range, leverage behavior tells a very different story. Instead of a clear directional bias, the leverage delta has repeatedly flipped between positive and negative, indicating a lack of conviction among large market participants. How Bitcoin Market Structure Is Sending Mixed Signals There’s a critical shift unfolding in the current Bitcoin range, one that sets it apart from the previous consolidation phase. Analyst Ardi highlighted on X that in August and December, the leverage delta was one-sided. It remained consistently negative, showing that short leverage positioning dominated as the market trended downward. Meanwhile, the smart money knew the direction and positioned with conviction. Related Reading: Bitcoin Whales Still Favoring Short Positions Amid Sideways Price Action BTC has been in the right range since January, and the leverage delta has been flipping repeatedly between positive and negative. Ardi noted that this level of back-and-forth hasn’t been seen at any other point in a single consolidation period throughout the cycle. Such behaviour is not characteristic of a clean trend; instead, it occurs when the participant’s trading size genuinely lacks direction, causing them to continue repositioning. One week they lean long, the next week they shift short. Even the current delta sits slightly negative at around 0.408, showing marginally short-side dominance, but the pattern is the story, not the current reading. In the past, when the previous range had a clear delta bias, the market followed its pattern. However, this range has no sustained bias, which means no individual with size has conviction. When the resolution of this range finally comes, it’s likely to be violent because no one is truly prepared for it. What A Daily Close Above Resistance Could Signal For BTC Bitcoin is approaching a critical inflection point following a sharp news-driven rally. According to a crypto trader known as Max Trades on X, after President Donald Trump announced the ceasefire deal, BTC price surged roughly 7%. This move has pushed BTC to test the top of its current range, an area that now represents a critical decision point for the market. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Cools Off — Range Forms Around $70K Support Max explained that if BTC can secure a confirmed breakout with a daily close above the range highs, it could open the door for a continuation move toward the $76,000 level. However, failure to hold above this level, followed by acceptance below the resistance, would suggest that the BTC price remains stuck in its broader consolidation. Also, he cautions against placing too much confidence in the recent move rally, noting that news-driven pumps often get retraced quickly. With BTC still sitting at a strong resistance level and an unfilled CME gap lingering below around $67,000, there are still solid reasons to consider a bearish scenario. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
White House economists said banning rewards wouldn't significantly boost banks' financial health, amplifying the crypto industry view in the Clarity Act debate.
One analyst noted that a full resolution is needed for the current upward momentum to be translated into a long-term bull cycle.
Crypto pundit Remi has explained the impact that the Japanese Bond gap could have on the XRP price reaching $150. This came as he declared that the rising Japanese 10-bond yield is a good thing for XRP holders but bad for the world. What The Rising Japanese Bond Yield Means For The XRP Price In an X post, Remi, alluding to the rising Japanese 10-year bond yield, stated that this was a good thing for XRP holders but bad for the globe. He explained that the rising yields will likely prompt the Bank of Japan (BOJ) to raise interest rates, which would cause panic among everyone who borrowed money from Japan at 0% interest. Related Reading: Why XRP Supply Crashing On Coinbase Is A Good Thing For The Price He further remarked that the loan holders will sell their investments to repay their loans, which causes a liquidity crisis. Remi noted that this is where XRP comes into play and “saves the day,” as the reverse Carry Trade will take place, causing the XRP price to reach between $50 and $150. Remi described this as the “price before law,” stating that the XRP price can reach $100 before the CLARITY Act gets passed. He said it all depends on Japan and what they want to do with interest rates. The pundit added that if U.S. President Donald Trump gives them the green light, then this can all unfold in days. The pundit also alleged that Japanese banks are waiting for the CLARITY Act to begin using XRP at 100% in Japan. This came as he questioned whether the XRP price surge would precede the CLARITY Act or whether the bill would be signed before the Reverse Carry Trade. He suggested that the Reverse Carry Trade could happen first, as the energy crisis due to the U.S.-Iran war could force the BOJ to hike rates. XRP Could Still Reach $1,000 In another X post, Remi stated that the XRP price could reach $1,000 if the altcoin continues to follow the 2017 bull run, when it recorded a surge of over 40,000%. He noted that the altcoin surged 76,000% without any FOMO, institutions, utility, ETFs, or supply shock. The pundit opined that if XRP follows the same trend and gets a 76,000% increase, assuming the bottom is in, then the altcoin could rally above $1,000. Related Reading: Will The XRP Price Crash Further From Here? Major Levels To Watch He also indicated that an XRP price rally to $1,000 is conservative if one were to add FOMO, institutions, utility, XRP ETFs, and supply shock. Remi advised market participants to take profits at various intervals unless they have the financial means to wait and take risks. “Always remember…Anything can go wrong. Be smart,” he added. At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $1.33, up over 2% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin is often celebrated as a decentralized network, with mining power distributed globally to ensure security and neutrality. However, a closer look at mining activity suggests that this decentralization may not be as evenly distributed as it appears. While individual theories can participate in mining, the majority of the network’s hash power is concentrated among a relatively small number of large mining pools and geographic regions. Why Bitcoin’s Mining Distribution Deserves A Closer Look Bitcoin mining is not as globally decentralized as many assume. Analyst Lucky revealed on X that while the network is technically permissionless, a significant share of its hashpower is still concentrated in a few regions. Related Reading: Bitcoin Mining Nationalized? US Senators Float Bold New Reserve-Backed Bill Furthermore, estimates suggest that roughly 68% BTC mining power is distributed across three major countries: the United States, China, and Russia. This concentration is not coincidental but driven by fundamental factors such as infrastructure, energy access, and regulatory dynamics. Currently, the US has emerged as a leader due to the rise of institutional-scale mining operations, strong access to capital markets, and relatively stable regulatory clarity in states like Texas. Despite the official bans, China continues to contribute to global hashpower through underground or relocated mining operations, often supported by inexpensive hydro and coal energy. Meanwhile, Russia benefits from abundant low-cost electricity and colder regions where cooling costs are minimal. This dynamic highlights an important reality where BTC decentralization exists, but its mining ecosystem is shaped by real-world power, policy, and energy economics. Ultimately, following the distribution of hashpower offers a clearer picture of where BTC influence within the network truly resides. How New Tariffs Could Pressure Bitcoin And Risk Assets US President Donald Trump is back in focus with a new wave of tariff plans, proposing a 25% levy on the full value of goods that use imported steel and aluminum. An investor known as Sjuul AltCryptoGems on X has outlined that during earlier tariff announcements of Trump, Bitcoin and the broader crypto market dropped hard. Meanwhile, this time, uncertainty is already elevated due to the war. Sjuul pointed out that if these policies escalate into a full-scale conflict, it could amplify volatility across financial markets. During the period, the Bitcoin whales were actively placing resistance in the market, and making it clear that the price would not break above the $70,000 level as the US trading session advanced. According to Crypto Seth, as news surrounding tensions involving Iran emerged, BTC whales appeared to use the event as a catalyst to push the market lower, triggering a wave of liquidations. Related Reading: Bitcoin Whales Still Favoring Short Positions Amid Sideways Price Action In total, 185,806 traders were liquidated, with losses reaching approximately $406,52 million. Crypto Seth noted that this wasn’t random volatility but a calculated move, where 100x Degen longs were caught offside. At the same time, data shows that short leverage is building above the $69,000 level, as indicated by heatmap activity. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin and other risk assets have been whipsawed by President Donald J. Trump’s shifting rhetoric on Iran. Here are some indicators that help cut through the noise.
The Dogecoin team has made an “important” announcement to the community, revealing five developments as they supposedly make a transition. This comes as DOGE attempts to reclaim the psychological $0.10 level with the crypto market rebounding. Dogecoin Team Drops Important Message To DOGE Community In an X post, the Dogecoin team announced that, effective immediately, they are undergoing a full corporate restructuring and are transitioning to DogeCoin Financial Solutions LLC. As part of this transition, the team will be retiring the Shiba Inu logo in favor of a “tasteful navy blue emblem.” Related Reading: What Does The SpaceX IPO Have To Do With The Dogecoin Price? The team also plans to launch a 67-page whitepaper titled ‘Toward a Synergistic Decentralized Liquidity Framework.’ They will also be rebranding the community from the DOGE Army to stakeholders. Furthermore, the team will discontinue the use of the words ‘wow,’ ‘much,’ and ‘very’ across all communications. Lastly, they plan to schedule the moon for FY26 Q3. The Dogecoin team also explained that the legal team has advised them not to say ‘wow’ as it has been determined to be a forward-looking statement that should not be taken as financial advice. “We believe this pivot positions DogeCoin Financial Solutions LLC™ for maximum enterprise scalability and shareholder value optimization going forward,” they added. The message has instantly drawn reactions among members of the Dogecoin community, with many speculating that it is likely an ‘April Fools’ message, indicating that the announcement is likely a joke. BuildrJ, a founding member of DogeOS, also joked that DogeCoin Financial Solutions had engaged in an LOI that underpins a full acquisition of DogeOS and MyDoge. The acquisition also sees the imminent release and transition of MyFoge V3 to an “AI-powered astronomy app.” DOGE Seeing Increased Activity The “important” message from the Dogecoin team comes just as DOGE is seeing increased activity on the network. In an X post, crypto analyst Ali Martinez revealed that Dogecoin’s active addresses have surged 28% in the past week, rising from 57,000 to 73,000. The analyst had previously noted that DOGE was consolidating within a descending triangle, suggesting a 29% move could be on the horizon. Related Reading: Here Are The Main Levels To Watch After Dogecoin Price Completed A Clean Kumo Rejection The Dogecoin price is poised to reclaim the key $0.10 level as tensions between the U.S. and Iran ease. U.S. President Donald Trump recently said that the Iran war could end within the next two to three weeks. Meanwhile, Iran has signaled that it is ready to end the war as long as the U.S. meets its demands. Another positive for DOGE is the imminent launch of X Money, which could eventually move to integrate Dogecoin payments. At the time of writing, the Dogecoin price is trading at around $0.09222, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Peakpx, chart from Tradingview.com
It was an ugly day all around in markets as the Iran war has sent oil prices and bond yields surging higher.
A crypto analyst who previously warned traders and investors that the recent Bitcoin (BTC) price surge could be a fluke has shared a new update. Confirming that his earlier prediction was accurate, the analyst now provides insight on where Bitcoin is really headed as it continues to navigate the ongoing bear market. Where The Bitcoin Price Is Headed Next DeFi researcher and market analyst Sherlock has taken to X to share a fresh update on an analysis he published earlier last week. In this new report, Sherlock presented a rather foreboding Bitcoin price forecast, suggesting that the world’s largest cryptocurrency is heading toward new lows around $53,000 soon. Related Reading: Pundit Shares Everything To Understand About Bitcoin, ‘This Cycle IS Different’ He emphasized that the $53,000 level was not a random bearish target but a point established after multiple data signals converged, which also corresponds to Bitcoin’s next weekly support level. According to Sherlock, Bitcoin’s record high last week near $76,000 was a deviation he had anticipated despite some traders hoping that the rebound could become a sustainable breakout. The analyst noted that the weekly candle on the chart is expected to confirm this deviation trend if it closes below $72,500. Sherlock also drew parallels to a January price movement, when the Bitcoin price climbed to $94,500 before crashing by approximately 38%. Usually, in crypto market terms, this type of action is called a “fakeout,” which is when the price briefly breaches key resistance levels, enticing traders to enter positions, before rapidly reversing in the opposite direction. Currently, the Bitcoin price is hovering around $68,100, more than 10% below its previous high of $76,000 set last week. The cryptocurrency suffered a sharp, unexpected collapse in a single day following reports of a hawkish stance by the US Federal Reserve (FED). After briefly dipping toward the $70,000 level that day, Bitcoin has continued on a downward trajectory. Data from CoinMarketCap also indicate that BTC’s decline was further accelerated by a surge in geopolitical tensions, after US President Donald Trump issued a 48-hour ultimatum to Iran, triggering a broader sell-off across risk assets. A Look Back At BTC’s $76,000 Fluke In his previous analysis, Sherlock had cautioned traders not to get baited by short-term Bitcoin price spikes. He noted that during the last major deviation in January 2026, many traders went long, only to incur significant losses after Bitcoin’s price collapsed over the next five weeks. Related Reading: Is This The Bitcoin Price Bottom Or A Fakeout? Analyst Reveals When You Shouldn’t Be Excited The analyst had warned that if Bitcoin fails to close above $74,500 on the weekly chart, its brief rebound would be nothing more than a deviation, not a true breakout. Sherlock added that, with the FOMC meeting last week and market consensus expecting another interest-rate pause, the outlook for Bitcoin is far from bullish. He described Bitcoin’s previous rebound as a trap, likely engineered to lure investors and traders into long positions prematurely. Featured image from Pngtree, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin’s recent price stagnation reflects a market grappling with uncertainty, and confidence being tested not just by economic forces but also by political influence. At the center of this tension is Donald Trump, whose unpredictable remarks on cryptocurrency policy have injected fresh volatility into an already sensitive market. How Bitcoin Struggles For Direction As Uncertainty Deepens The Bitcoin market is currently in a pause and indecision, with price action reflecting broader uncertainty. A crypto trader and investor, EliZ, pointed out on X that a significant factor contributing to this hesitation is the steady stream of unpredictable statements from US President Donald Trump. Related Reading: Bitcoin Monthly Timeframe Signals A Potential Market Shift Currently, BTC is in a clear stalemate below the $70,500 to $71,000 zone, where sellers are constantly stepping in to hold the price and prevent a bullish surge. At the same time, the $68,000 level is acting as support, but if decisively breached, it could open the door for a deeper decline. Adding to the complexity, the price is currently reacting around the 0.75 retracement level, which earlier triggered a sharp rally on the liquidity sweep. This movement suggests the market is actively searching for equilibrium without a clear direction. EliZ emphasized that patience remains the most strategic approach. Rather than forcing trades in an uncertain market, it is better to remain on the sidelines until a clear signal emerges. The Bitcoin price is currently approaching the next key pivot, expected to happen on the 25th. An analyst known as LP on X has highlighted that, over the last 8 occurrences, 6 have resulted in local lows, while only 2 have formed highs, giving this pivot a clear tendency to mark local bottom. However, the context remains crucial. If BTC price trends upward into the pivot, the probability would shift toward forming a local high. On the other hand, if the price moves lower into the pivot, the odds will further favor a local low bottom forming. In essence, how the price develops into the pivot will be critical. On average, this pivot has produced moves of around 8-9%, highlighting it’s a significant level to watch. A Defining Moment For Bitcoin’s Market Structure Bitcoin is now undergoing a crucial retest of the 200-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA). However, given how unreliable the EMA has been as resistance in recent weeks, it is worth keeping a healthy dose of skepticism while BTC is attempting to reclaim the 200-week EMA and flip it into support, according to Rekt Capital. Related Reading: Bitcoin Market Not Ready For Expansion Yet — Blockchain Firm Rekt argues that the new weekly close will determine whether the retest of the 200-week EMA will regain its historical significance or will continue to act as an uncertain barrier in the current cycle. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
The following article is adapted from The Block’s newsletter, The Daily, which comes out on weekday afternoons.
Crypto analyst Celal has predicted that the Bitcoin price could hit a new all-time high (ATH) of $145,000. The analyst also provided a timeline for when the leading crypto could hit this milestone. When The Bitcoin Price Could Hit $145,000 In an X post, Celal stated that the Bitcoin price will rally to $145,000 between October and November. His accompanying chart showed that this rally could happen as BTC’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) picks up and hits overbought, rising to 90. The chart also suggested that the leading crypto may already be forming a bottom as it eyes this rally to a new ATH. Related Reading: The Bear Market Divergence That Shows What’s Really Going On With Bitcoin This Bitcoin price prediction comes as BTC continues to struggle to hold above the psychological $70,000 level. The leading crypto is under pressure due to the U.S.-Iran war, with U.S. President Donald Trump threatening to escalate things if Iran doesn’t open the Strait of Hormuz. Crypto analyst Ali Martinez noted that it is currently a waiting game as the Bitcoin price is at a crossroads. He said that BTC is stuck in a “no-trade zone” and that right now, the area between $70,685 and $65,636 are the most important spot on the chart. The analyst further revealed that over 1.72 million BTC have been transacted around this range, meaning that “buyers and sellers are digging in their heels.” Martinez added that there won’t be a big move for the Bitcoin price until it either breaks above $70,685 or falls below $65,636. Crypto analyst Ardi stated that BTC is still in a bear market and that the rally over the past few weeks was because of short covering. As such, the leading crypto is still at risk of a larger decline. The Economic Backdrop Is Bad For BTC Crypto analyst Colin stated that the economic backdrop is bad for the Bitcoin price, with oil prices rising and the Fed unlikely to lower rates anytime soon. He also noted that this is bad for BTC, considering that it is further up the risk curve than stocks. Based on this, Colin remarked that an eventual breakdown from the bear flag, which it has been trading inside since February. Related Reading: How Low Can Bitcoin Price Go? Analyst Shares Worst-Case Scenario As such, it is just a matter of how long the Bitcoin price holds on for at this point, the analyst said. He also noted that BTC has been in a bear market since October 5 and is only five months into it. Colin said that this means there is likely further downside since a typical bear market lasts for 12 months. At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $68,800, down in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
Markets remain sensitive to Middle East developments, with macro volatility and rate expectations shaping crypto price action.
The following article is adapted from The Block’s newsletter, The Daily, which comes out on weekday afternoons.
The price of oil moved higher after reported attacks against Iran's South Pars gas field.
US president Donald Trump is gearing up to host his second memecoin-holder exclusive event at his Mar-a-Lago state in Florida on April 25. Another Edition Of The Memecoin Black-Tie Gala Following the same pattern as his now famously May 22 “gala dinner”, that required roughly $148 million in cumulative token holdings for entry, $TRUMP saw a spike of as much as 10%, surpassing the $3 threshold hours after the team’s announcement of the event. SATURDAY, APRIL 25 AT MAR-A-LAGO! The Most Exclusive Crypto and Business Conference in the World & Gala Luncheon with PRESIDENT TRUMP and 18 other SUPERSTARS. Strictly Limited to only 297 attendees. Are You In? Register Here: https://t.co/MBo3UBrzje pic.twitter.com/CWOVNK1kbU — TrumpMeme (@GetTrumpMemes) March 12, 2026 The official site promises attendees the chance to “Meet and Learn from 18 of the World’s Most Influential SUPERSTARS,” reinforcing the token’s access‑and‑status pitch rather than a clear utility story. The previous dinner announcement triggered an intraday price spike of about 50–60% in $TRUMP as traders rushed to buy enough tokens to qualify, briefly lifting the token after an 80–88% drawdown from its launch highs. This led to some critics framing the first event as “crypto corruption” and “pay‑to‑play,” with protesters outside Trump National Golf Club calling out conflicts of interest and demanding the guest list. Related Reading: Hyperliquid Rockets as Oil Touches $100: Arthur Hayes Reveals Why A Slight Change Of Strategy Despite this structure mirroring last year’s “top 220 holders” eligibility scheme, the new memecoin gala widens participation: access is now gamified via a time‑weighted snapshot. 297 holders will attend, with the top 29 earning VIP reception rights based on their $TRUMP balance at the April 10, 2026 Snapshot Day. To keep VIP bonuses between April 10 and April 26, wallets must maintain at least their snapshot balance. Balances that slip below can still get conference and luncheon access but lose VIP perks, nudging whales to lock in holdings through the event window. This slight change of strategy continues to encourage concentration and reduces circulating float into a known catalyst date, a setup that often fuels sharp but short‑lived memecoin squeezes. The CLARITY Act Still On The Horizon This new edition of the US President’s luncheon lands as Trump publicly backs the CLARITY Act, a long‑discussed crypto market‑structure bill expected to be reviewed in April, but unlikely to move out of the Senate Banking Committee before late 2026, according to Senator John Thune. The delay deepens the gray zone where political memecoin experiments like $TRUMP can thrive, while still drawing ethics and conflict‑of‑interest criticism. Related Reading: Binance Warning? Leverage Explodes As Crypto Tracks A World On Edge What This Memecoin Gala Means For Traders For traders, the April 10 snapshot to April 26 window is the key volatility band: structural incentives to hold or accumulate into the date could support a reflexive bid, but history around Trump events shows that insiders and early whales often sell into those spikes. Despite the buzz, $TRUMP trades around 3.9 dollars, down roughly 81% from the 15–$20 band during last year’s event window and nearly 97% below its $77 all‑time high from June 2025. With $TRUMP still 97% below its peak and heavily narrative‑driven, the luncheon looks more like a tactical headline trade than a fundamental reset, suggesting rallies into the event may again be better liquidity exits than long‑term entries for late‑arriving memecoin speculators. TRUMP’s price trends to the upside on the daily chart. Source: TRUMPUSDT on Tradingview Cover image from Perplexity, TRUMPUSDT chart from Tradingview
One trader who previously lost about $15.7M on MELANIA is sitting on a multi-million-dollar unrealized gain from a recent TRUMP purchase.
The promotion follows a similar memecoin-holder dinner last year that drew criticism from lawmakers and watchdog groups.
The U.S. President will be the keynote speaker at a "gala luncheon" for the top 297 holders of the $TRUMP token.
Patrick Witt, the White House crypto advisor, said GENIUS-compliant stablecoins will 'actually lead to deposit inflows.'
At a Republican event, the U.S. president delivered a speech that doubled down on recent comments he won't sign anything else until he gets the voting bill.
It's been a historic 24 hours for crude oil, which soared to $120 per barrel overnight on Iran worries, but has plunged back to just above $80.
Japan's benchmark Nikkei has plunged 7% after Monday's market open, while South Korea's KOSPI has dropped 7.9%.
This places blockchain security in the context of national technology competition alongside AI and quantum computing.
The executive order to build President Donald Trump's Strategic Bitcoin Reserve has awaited congressional action, and sources say there's one idea left for 2026.
The following article is adapted from The Block’s newsletter, The Daily, which comes out on weekday afternoons.
The outlook for the Fed grew cloudier on Friday, as the employment market weakened appreciably even as inflation could be worsening.
Sen. Warren slammed the SEC’s decision to drop its case against Tron founder Justin Sun after charges were dropped in a $10 million deal.
White House advisor Patrick Witt also recently pushed back against JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon’s comments on the topic.
The World Liberty Financial co-founder and presidential son posted about the ongoing negotiations on stablecoin yield on Wednesday.