The XRP price has spent the past week struggling with bearish momentum, and the latest dip below the $2 price level has further added to the bearish sentiment. The cryptocurrency briefly slid under this psychological level in the past 24 hours, continuing a multi-week sequence of lower highs and lower lows. Despite this pullback, one crypto analyst on X proposes that the current movement is not as alarming as it appears. His price chart, which maps XRP’s weekly candles, shows the XRP price falling to a familiar support area inside a larger descending channel. XRP Price Still Trading Inside A Year-Long Range XRP’s break below $2 might be the final blow for many bullish traders, but some are still holding on. In his breakdown, the analyst reminded followers that XRP has been moving within the same broad range between $1.90 and $3.50 for nearly a year. According to him, the recent drop to the lower boundary of this range is simply the market revisiting an already-established zone. Related Reading: Here’s The Resistance Zone Keeping The Dogecoin Price From Rallying He highlighted the green support region around $1.90, which has repeatedly prevented a deeper collapse throughout late 2024 and early 2025. The chart he shared shows XRP’s weekly candles inching toward that support, touching the edge of the descending yellow channel that has shaped price action since the last major rejection near the red resistance band above $3. Keeping this price action and the price range in mind, the analyst noted that nothing meaningful changes unless XRP breaks below $1.90 A breakdown beneath this area, in his words, would send XRP “back to McDonald’s,” which is a far more severe retracement. However, as long as the green support is in place, the ongoing decline can be categorized as noise inside a larger consolidation phase. On the opposite end of the chart sits the $3.60 resistance. The red zone marking this area was tested earlier in the year but rejected strongly, creating the broad range XRP has been stuck in ever since. Clearing this ceiling, the analyst said, would unlock what he called “the road to Valhalla.” XRP Price Chart. Source: @stedas On X The Road To Valhalla: What Comes After A Break Above $3.6 If XRP manages to break through the $3.60barrier, the analyst believes the path opens toward aggressive upside targets. His post listed potential milestones at $7, $12, and potentially even $25 if momentum expands into a full-scale rally. The yellow upward projection line in the chart illustrates how quickly XRP could move once that resistance is flipped into support. Related Reading: Analyst Says You’re Looking At XRP The Wrong Way, Here’s What It Actually Does These price targets are consistent with mid-scale predictions by other analysts. XRP price predictions on the high end range from three digits at $100, up until $1,000. At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $1.96, down by 8% in the past 24 hours. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Rival crypto asset manager Bitwise launched its XRP ETF earlier this week.
Crypto analyst Will Taylor, founder of Cryptoinsightuk, says talk of an XRP bear market is premature, arguing that the token’s higher-time-frame structure and liquidity profile remain bullish despite extreme volatility and record liquidations. Is The XRP Bear Market Here? In a video published on 19 November, Taylor acknowledged the “doom and gloom” dominating crypto sentiment but insisted that, from a technical standpoint, “nothing’s really changed” for XRP. His core claim is that XRP is still trading above a reclaimed multi-year resistance level that now acts as structural support. “We have spent over a year above our 7-year resistance holding it as support,” he said, calling this setup “almost unprecedented for XRP and for any asset.” As long as that zone holds, he rejects the idea that the market has rolled into a confirmed long-term downtrend. “Until that support is lost […] you can’t convince me that we’re bearish. I just don’t believe that.” Taylor uses Bitcoin as the macro anchor for the XRP thesis. He described the current BTC drawdown as a standard bull-market correction, noting that price is now sitting around a 30% pullback from the highs, similar to prior mid-cycle moves. He pointed out that the daily RSI is oversold and that the three-day RSI is at levels last seen near the $25,000 lows. “If we’re referring back to when momentum has felt this bad, it’s literally cycle lows,” he argued, while stressing that this does not guarantee an immediate reversal. Related Reading: XRP Supply In Profit Falls to 58.5% – Lowest Since 2024 Despite Higher Price Against that backdrop, he characterizes XRP as simply ranging above long-term support. On the daily chart, he said XRP is “holding its range pretty well,” with price near the lower end of that structure. He framed the area around roughly $2 as historically attractive from a risk-reward perspective: “Bottom of the range is where people are scared, where sentiment’s low. These are the areas that are pretty decent.” The liquidity map is central to his view. On lower time frames, Taylor sees some liquidity beneath recent lows, around $2.05–2.03, which could be swept without breaking the broader range. However, he stressed that the overwhelming concentration of resting liquidity lies far above spot. In the daily, he claimed that for XRP “the densest area of liquidity by an absolute long shot is above us […] dense all the way up to $4.20, $4.30 in dollars.” He argued that this distribution matters because market makers and exchanges maximize revenue where positions are opened and closed, not at stagnant prices. “They make money when contracts are opened and closed. They don’t give a [expletive] whether the price goes up or down,” he said. In his view, that means price statistically gravitates toward the most crowded liquidity pockets: “You have to play the four out of five chance that it is going to go into the dense area of liquidity.” Related Reading: Famous Trader Bets $27 Million That The XRP Price Will Crash XRP Vs. The Rest Of Crypto Taylor also pointed to relative-value signals. Against Ethereum, XRP recently closed a weekly candle above the 0.000071 level, which he said “has trapped us down since August.” Versus Bitcoin, he highlighted that XRP has been “holding the range lows” and has finally logged a weekly close above a resistance cluster that capped price since early October. XRP dominance, he added, has broken out of a downtrend and closed back above a recent cluster, although he wants “one or two more weeks” of continuation to confirm a bullish cross. He underscored that this structure has held despite the October 10, “the largest liquidation event in history of crypto.” While the FTX collapse saw about $2 billion in leveraged positions liquidated, the October 10 move liquidated roughly $20 billion and still failed to push XRP into a sustained breakdown.The sharp wick lower was “instantly bought back to the upside,” and the range was reclaimed soon after. “Things like XRP are looking super bullish here,” he concluded. “I think XRP is going to blow the doors off people’s expectations.” For now, Taylor maintains that an XRP bear market would require a decisive loss of the long-term support zone and a very different liquidity and dominance picture. Until those conditions appear, he says, “there isn’t a factual argument” for a confirmed bear market—only predictions. At press time, XRP traded at $2.11. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
The conversation around XRP has grown louder in recent months as the asset continues to gain traction through ecosystem growth, Spot XRP ETFs, and market interest. Despite this momentum, XRP still sits far below Bitcoin, the industry’s dominant cryptocurrency, when comparing total valuation. That gap raises a simple question: how high would the XRP price need to climb in order to actually flip Bitcoin? Data from MarketCapOf provides a direct, real-time look at what XRP’s price would be if it matched Bitcoin’s market capitalization today. The Market Cap Required To Flip Bitcoin Although it is currently going through a correction phase, Bitcoin has the largest presence in the crypto market by an overwhelming margin, and its market capitalization currently stands at roughly $1.84 trillion. This valuation ranks Bitcoin among the largest assets on the planet, surpassing many global corporations. Related Reading: Is It Time To Buy XRP? Analyst Says Get In Before This Switch Happens XRP, now trading around $2.14 at the time of writing, holds a market cap of approximately $128.7 billion. This means Bitcoin’s valuation is more than fourteen times larger than XRP’s. For XRP to flip Bitcoin, the cryptocurrency would need to rise to the same market capitalization that Bitcoin currently holds. Using the circulating supply of XRP, MarketCapOf calculates how much each XRP token would be worth if it matched Bitcoin’s market cap. Based on the latest data, XRP would need to trade at $30.61 for its total valuation to equal Bitcoin’s. This is the current “flippening price,” and it reflects the direct ratio between their two market caps. To reach the level of Bitcoin’s all-time high market cap of $2.485 trillion recorded on October 6, XRP would need to climb to about $41.26 per token. Breaking Down The Numbers The calculation highlights how far ahead Bitcoin still is. XRP sits at roughly seven percent of Bitcoin’s total valuation, meaning the asset would need to appreciate more than fourteen times from its current level to stand on equal footing. In simple terms, an investor holding 1,000 XRP would see their position shift from about $2,140 today to more than $30,000 if the token were priced at $30.61. Related Reading: Wondering Why The XRP Price Is Still Lagging Despite Record ETF Launch? Read This This comparison does not assume any change in circulating supply, tokenomics, or macro factors. It is a clean and direct valuation exercise based purely on market capitalization. However, even in its simplicity, it shows the scale of inflows required for XRP to close the gap and flip Bitcoin’s dominance in the cryptocurrency rankings. Recent months have seen stronger activity in the Ripple ecosystem, most especially with new partnerships and acquisitions by Ripple. Added to this is the expanding conversation around Spot XRP ETFs, which many analysts believe could introduce significant liquidity if major issuers like BlackRock, Fidelity, and Grayscale fully enter the space. The newest entrant is Bitwise, which launched its Spot XRP ETF just hours ago. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
Dave Portnoy has re-entered the digital-asset arena with a seven-figure allocation in XRP that has raised eyebrows across the market. At a time when XRP continues to face downward pressure and muted investor sentiment, the Barstool Sports founder executed a decisive million-dollar purchase. The timing, scale, and narrative surrounding the move have prompted renewed scrutiny of an asset many assumed had exhausted its momentum. Strategic Capital Deployment Amid XRP’s Weak Price Performance Portnoy recently revealed that he acquired $1,000,000 worth of XRP, alongside $750,000 in Bitcoin and $400,000 in Ethereum. He framed his move bluntly, describing the market as “bleeding” and presenting his purchases as a calculated attempt to buy the dip. This timing is questionable because XRP has been struggling to maintain momentum, with the token falling nearly 15% over the past week and oscillating around the $2.13 mark with no clear breakout in sight. Related Reading: Here’s Why The Bitcoin Price Could Pump To $110,000 This Week This downward trajectory is particularly notable given the market’s anticipation that the recent Canary XRP ETF launch would trigger a bullish reaction. Instead, prices trended lower, making Portnoy’s re-entry a contrarian move against prevailing sentiment. His announcement generated swift public attention, with Eric Trump commenting “smart trade” under Portnoy’s post. Among XRP enthusiasts, this could be interpreted as more than casual praise—some view it as a subtle hint of potential positive developments for XRP, recalling the Trump family’s history of well-timed investments before major market spikes. Meanwhile, market analyst Barri C has fueled optimism with a bullish projection for XRP, suggesting that the asset could experience a rapid, substantial surge in value sooner than widely expected. When combined with Portnoy’s million-dollar allocation, this positions his trade as a forward-looking strategy aligned with emerging bullish signals and broader positive market commentary. Institutional Momentum May Explain The Timing XRP is seeing a major institutional shift. Bitwise Asset Management recently announced its spot XRP ETF, set to trade soon on the NYSE under ticker XRP, waiving the 0.34% management fee for the first month on the first $500,000,000, making it easier for traditional investors to gain regulated exposure and participate more efficiently. Related Reading: Here’s Why The Ethereum Price Is Crashing Again, Can It Breach $3,000? These developments create a more supportive market environment, positioning the ETF for a potentially strong launch despite short-term weakness in XRP’s price. While the chart shows a pullback, Bitwise emphasizes that XRP’s regulatory positioning, infrastructure upgrades, and broader capital-market integration have accelerated. Portnoy’s $1,000,000 XRP purchase reflects a strategic bet on these emerging market drivers and potential asset re-pricing as institutional flows begin to enter, rather than on current sentiment. In this environment, his decision appears less reactive and more like a calculated move. Whether Portnoy has privileged insight or simply recognizes how institutional adoption reshapes markets, the timing of his allocation signals conviction at a moment when others remain hesitant. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Crypto analyst Chad Steingraber has sparked both excitement and skepticism in the crypto community with a bold prediction for the XRP price. According to his technical analysis, XRP could surge to an astonishing $220 solely due to the impact of its Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs). He draws a parallel with Bitcoin’s historic price spike following its spot ETF launch, suggesting that institutional adoption and market enthusiasm could drive a similar meteoric rise for XRP. While the bold claim has caught the interest of market participants, questions remain about whether this projection is realistically achievable. XRP Price To Reach $220 From ETF Influence On Wednesday, Steingraber shared his bullish XRP price forecast on X social media, suggesting that the cryptocurrency could experience an explosive surge to $220 depending on the results of its ETFs. He bases this striking prediction on the potential impact of institutional inflows, arguing that the launch of major XRP ETFs could dramatically increase XRP’s demand and price. Related Reading: XRP Investors Holdings Have Hit Worst Losses In 1 Year, Here Are The Stats Steingraber has based his XRP price projection on Bitcoin’s post-ETF launch performance in 2024. He pointed out that the BTC price roughly doubled in value during the first year after its Spot ETF debut, driven by strong institutional adoption, market enthusiasm, and broader momentum. Using this as a benchmark, the analyst compares both the absolute and percentage gains of Bitcoin to estimate that XRP could experience a similar surge in value. He believes that with the potentially massive inflows set to come from XRP ETFs, the current price of the cryptocurrency could multiply by 100x to reach $220. Steingraber has highlighted the Canary XRP ETF, XRPC, which recorded massive consecutive inflows this month and became one of the most successful ETF launches in 2025, as evidence of growing institutional interest. He described XRPC as a “warning shot,” signaling the arrival of other major players in the market. ETF Inflows To Consume Supply, Amplifying Price Pressure In a separate analysis, Steingraber examined the potential effects of ETF inflows on XRP’s supply and price. He envisioned a scenario where multiple funds collectively acquire over $1 billion worth of XRP in a single day, which is equivalent to more than 229 million XRP. Extending this hypothetical situation, he calculated that weekly ETF activity could absorb over 1.14 billion XRP, while monthly accumulation could exceed 4.58 billion XRP. Related Reading: Famous Trader Bets $27 Million That The XRP Price Will Crash In about six months, he surmised that ETF demand could theoretically purchase nearly 27.5 billion XRP, an amount large enough to consume a significant portion of the cryptocurrency’s circulating supply. Additionally, Steingraber’s projection highlights the potential structural pressure that institutional ETFs could exert on the altcoin’s price. Even without price appreciation, the analyst suggests that the scale of potential ETF inflows could create supply constraints that could drive upward momentum. Additionally, he predicts that the collective ETFs could drain the entire public supply within one year. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
Despite no major catalysts, broader crypto market weakness and Bitcoin's 'Death Cross' contributed to XRP's decline.
XRP’s price action continues to follow a clear corrective structure, setting the stage for a potential drop toward the key $2.03 support level. With momentum cooling and Wave 2 behavior unfolding as expected, the market may be preparing for one final dip before the uprend shift emerges. Wave 2 Dynamics: Why XRP’s Choppy Pullback Is Completely Normal CasiTrades, a well-followed crypto analyst, noted in a recent market update that XRP still appears to be navigating its way toward the macro 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level at $2.03. According to the analyst, the current price action aligns perfectly with the expected behavior of a Wave 2 correction-slow, choppy, and far from a straight drop. Related Reading: XRP Price Battles Breakout Resistance With Momentum Showing Mixed Signals In the breakdown, CasiTrades highlighted that the only factor capable of invalidating a retest of the $2.03 zone would be a clean and decisive breakout above the macro 0.382 Fibonacci resistance at $2.41. That point continues to serve as XRP’s defining threshold. As long as the price trades below $2.41, the chart structure strongly favors a continued downward drift, with a final tap of the 0.5 retracement level. She also pointed to a deeper macro target at $1.65, which aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci level, another common landing point for Wave 2 pullbacks. The analyst explained that the longer XRP stalls beneath key resistance zones, the more likely it becomes that the price may need to dip to this lower support to build enough strength for a true reversal. CasiTrades stressed that a move to $1.65 would not signal weakness. Instead, such a drop could provide the ideal springboard for a powerful macro Wave 3 into new all-time highs. Smart Money Zones: Why Accumulation Happens Before The Breakout According to CasiTrades, now is not the moment to complain about XRP’s price behavior—this is the phase where informed accumulation takes place, at the key Fibonacci levels, not the breakout stage. The market has been in a prolonged range for months, and each interaction with $2.41 (.382), $2.03 (.5), and $1.65 (.618) presents another strategic opportunity to build positions ahead of the next major cycle. Related Reading: XRP Price Aims for Another Bullish Wave — Momentum Strengthening CasiTrades emphasizes that the broader market is already showing early signs of shifting momentum. Several micro-cap tokens have begun to post explosive moves, which is rarely random. These early breakouts signal that the market is preparing for its next significant trend phase. In this context, XRP is not lagging; it is simply completing its corrective structure before aligning with the wider market’s momentum. The analyst emphasizes that patience and discipline are essential at this time. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
A famous trader is betting on a significant XRP price crash amid this recent market downtrend. The altcoin continues to struggle despite the recent launch of Canary’s XRP ETF, with popular analyst Ali Martinez suggesting it could soon drop below the psychological $2 level. Famous Trader Opens $27 Million Short Position On XRP In an X post, the on-chain analytics platform Lookonchain revealed that a famous trader is shorting the market again, opening a 20x short on XRP worth $27.4 million. The trader has also opened short positions of 40x and 10x on Bitcoin and ZEC, respectively, worth $148.5 million and $20.4 million. Related Reading: Abundance of Catalysts Suggests XRP Price Could Take Off This Week This comes as the XRP price continues to struggle, putting it at risk of a further decline, especially with concerns that Bitcoin may already be in a bear market. Crypto analyst Ali Martinez also predicted that XRP could drop to as low as $1.73 if it loses the $2.15 support level. Meanwhile, XRP continues to face significant selling pressure despite increased institutional adoption through the launch of Canary’s XRP fund, with more XRP ETFs also set to launch. Santiment data shows that whales holding between 1 million and 10 million coins recently sold almost 200 million coins in the space of 48 hours. This may just be the start of a larger sell-off following Glassnode’s recent revelation. The on-chain analytics platform revealed that the share of XRP supply in profit has fallen to 58.5%, which is the lowest since November 2024, when the price was trading at around $0.53. Glassnode further noted that despite XRP trading 4x higher now, 41.5% of its supply (around 26.5 billion) sits in loss, which it claimed is a “sign of a top-heavy and structurally fragile market”. Macro Structure Points To A Decline To $2.03 Crypto analyst CasiTrades stated that XRP is still likely making its way down to the macro .5 fib support at $2.03. She claimed that the move is playing out perfectly as Wave 2s are corrective and that the choppiness is exactly how the market should behave. The analyst further revealed that the only invalidation of the drop to the $2.03 support is a decisive break above the macro .382 level at $2.41. Related Reading: Analyst Says XRP Has 2 Options Right Now, Reveals Why Investors Win Either Way CasiTrades explained that this $2.41 level remains the line in the sand and that, as long as XRP stays below it, the structure points to a final sweep of $2.03. She also raised the possibility of a drop to the “still-valid” macro target at $1.65, which is the .618 fib level. The analyst noted that Wave 2 corrections commonly reach the .618 and that the longer XRP ranges without breaking resistance, the more probable a drop to that level becomes. CasiTrades stated that a move to $1.65 would not be bearish, as it would build the kind of momentum needed for a powerful macro Wave 3 to new all-time highs (ATHs). She has predicted that XRP could rally to a new ATH of as high as $10. At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $2.15, down in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
There’s a growing undercurrent of frustration among crypto investors watching XRP drift lower, seemingly tied to broader swings in the entire market. But a different perspective came to light after a post by Versan Aljarrah, founder of Black Swan Capitalist, who suggested that the entire discussion around XRP’s day-to-day price movement is rooted in a fundamental misunderstanding of what the asset actually represents. What XRP Really Does Aljarrah challenged the tendency to judge XRP as if it were a typical speculative crypto asset running on a debt-based system of inflows and hype. His point was that saying XRP keeps dropping assumes it is meant to trade like every other token whose value is tied almost entirely to leverage trading and investor appetite. Related Reading: Model Shows How XRP Could Hit $24 After ETFs Go Live According to the analyst, XRP’s behavior only appears conventional because it is currently coupled to the wider market for now. He framed its long-term purpose as entirely different. Instead of functioning primarily as a speculative instrument, the analyst described XRP as a settlement asset designed to assist in resolving debt, improve liquidity pathways, and ultimately step outside the constraints of the system it currently mirrors. This reasoning implies that temporary dips, even deep ones, should not be interpreted as failures of the cryptocurrency but as noise while utility-based value continues to build underneath. Recent Market Events Still Pull XRP Into Short-Term Volatility XRP’s recent price and market cap behavior confirm its tight connection to market sentiment, at least in the near term. The XRP market cap chart shows the drastic decline that the cryptocurrency has faced in recent months. This decline has seen the XRP market cap fall from over $210 billion to around $129 billion at the time of writing. XRP Market Cap. Source: @VersanAljarrah On X That volatility mirrors what has been happening across the wider crypto market, where investor positioning has shifted quickly around ETF expectations, news, and liquidations. In the past week, XRP’s price has pulled back along with Bitcoin and Ethereum due to heavy selling pressure. Related Reading: Here’s Why The Bitcoin Price Could Pump To $110,000 This Week However, speaking of utility-based value, the ecosystem around XRP has quietly been delivering some positive developments that may not yet be fully reflected in price action. Ripple, the company behind XRP, has been making acquisitions and entering into partnerships to boost its adoption. Ripple has spent nearly $4 billion on acquisitions, including recent acquisitions of Hidden Road for $1.25 billion and stablecoin platform Rail for $200 million. Another development is that Ripple Labs expanded its partnership with Thunes in September 2025 to improve its cross-border payment infrastructure. Momentum is also visible on the ETF front. A Spot XRP ETF launched by Canary Capital on November 13, 2025 pulled in $268 million in inflows so far and was described as the largest crypto-ETF debut of the year. Further ETF launches are queued: four additional spot XRP ETFs were expected in the study week beginning November 18, 2025 (with one from Franklin Templeton, ticker EZRP, set to launch), which analysts estimate could bring up to $1.2 billion in new capital. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
On-chain analytics firm Santiment has revealed how Bitcoin, XRP, and other cryptocurrencies have dropped into a “buy zone” on a popular metric. MVRV Ratio Shows High Degree Of Short-Term Pain In Bitcoin & Altcoins In a new post on X, Santiment has discussed how the various assets in the cryptocurrency sector are looking based on the 30-day MVRV Ratio. The Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Ratio is an on-chain indicator that measures the ratio between the market cap and Realized Cap for a given coin. Related Reading: Bitcoin SSR Flashes Buy Signal: Rebound Incoming? The Realized Cap here refers to a capitalization model that calculates the asset’s total value by assuming the value of each individual token is equal to the price at which it was last transacted on the blockchain. In short, what this model captures is an estimation for the amount of capital that BTC investors as a whole have invested into the cryptocurrency. The usual market cap, on the other hand, represents the amount holders are carrying today. When the value of the MVRV Ratio is greater than 1, it means the market cap is greater than the Realized Cap. In other words, the overall network is in a state of profit. On the other hand, an indicator below this threshold implies the dominance of losses among investors. In the context of the current topic, the version of the MVRV Ratio that’s of interest is the 30-day one, tracking the profit-loss balance of the traders who purchased their coins within the past month. Below is the chart for the metric shared by Santiment that shows the trend in its value for five major cryptocurrencies: Bitcoin, XRP, Ethereum, Chainlink, and Cardano: As is visible in the graph, the 30-day MVRV Ratio has witnessed a plunge recently as the sector has gone through a bearish shift. Recent Bitcoin buyers are now about 11.5% underwater, while XRP ones are around 10.2%. Both of these are beyond the threshold that the analytics firm classifies as the boundary for a “good buy zone.” The 30-day investors have suffered even worse losses in the case of Ethereum, Cardano, and Chainlink, being down 15.4%, 19.7%, and 16.8%, respectively. All of these fall inside Santiment’s “extreme buy zone.” “In a zero sum game, buy assets when average trade returns of your peers are in extreme negatives,” noted the analytics firm. “The lower MVRV’s go, the higher the probability is of a rapid recovery.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Social Dominance Hits 4-Month High: What It Means It now remains to be seen whether market pain has been enough for XRP and others to cause a market rebound, or if more drawdown is coming. XRP Price At the time of writing, XRP is floating around $2.18, down more than 11% over the last week. Featured image from Dall-E, Santiment.net, chart from TradingView.com
The debut of Canary Capital’s spot-XRP ETF was one of the standout moments for the XRP community this year, bringing the token into the US ETF arena with strong opening volume and heavy attention from traders. Many holders went into launch week expecting that kind of headline event to push XRP into a sharp rally, especially after waiting years for regulated access in the United States. Instead, price action has stayed relatively muted, leaving a gap between expectations and reality. In a new 26-minute video shared on X, finance coach Coach JV tried to close that gap, breaking down why XRP has not exploded higher yet and what he believes holders should actually focus on. Coach JV Puts XRP In A Macroeconomic Perspective XRP’s Spot ETF has undoubtedly been a success, considering the amount of inflows it has had in its first two trading days. However, this has yet to translate into a surge in the price of XRP, as many traders had predicted and expected. Related Reading: Analyst Claims XRP Will Flip Bitcoin As These Developments Play Out Instead, XRP’s price action has been highlighted by a downtrend in recent days. A large part of this price downtrend is due to the wider decline in the crypto market. In his breakdown, Coach JV approached the XRP situation from a macroeconomic perspective. Rather than treating the ETF launch as an isolated trigger, he contextualized XRP’s current price behavior within the larger environment that financial markets are dealing with. A major theme of his outlook was the way people respond to hype. Coach JV stated plainly that the only way is to have discipline and a consistent plan. He did not build his message around chasing short-term excitement or reacting emotionally to price moves. His focus was on having a structure that an individual can stick to, regardless of whether XRP moves fast after the ETF launch or takes longer than many were expecting. Is $5 Next? I Don’t Know Coach JV also addressed one of the most common questions circulating in the community: whether $5 is the next big target for XRP now that an ETF is live. Related Reading: Analyst Breaks Down Why There Can’t Be 7 Million XRP Holders “Is $5 next? I don’t know; I’m not banking on that, I’m not waiting for it, I believe it’s going to happen at some point, and I have my exit strategy set up,” he said. That tone is now being echoed by others in the community who are pushing back against unrealistic targets. Zach Rector recently reminded his audience that XRP is not heading toward triple-digit prices this year, despite widespread speculation. Another commentator, known as Xoom on X, made a similar remark, saying XRP will not reach $100 or even $10 on ETF momentum alone. At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $2.18, down by 3.5% in the past 24 hours. It is still too early to conclude how much long-term influence Spot XRP ETFs will have on price, especially with major issuers such as BlackRock, Fidelity, and Grayscale yet to launch their own offerings. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
XRP is facing one of its most challenging moments in recent months as selling pressure accelerates and the broader crypto market slips into a risk-off environment. Bitcoin’s collapse below key psychological levels has dragged altcoins with it, and XRP has not been spared. Analysts are increasingly warning that the market may be entering a bear phase, pointing to tightening liquidity conditions, rising global economic uncertainty, and a sharp decline in investor appetite for risk assets. Related Reading: Ethereum Approaches Historical Accumulation Level – Just 8% Away From LTH Cost Basis What makes XRP’s situation more fragile is the growing number of holders sitting on unrealized losses. On-chain data reveals that many late buyers — particularly those who entered after the ETF announcement and during the previous rally — are now underwater as the price continues to slide. This top-heavy market structure is creating pressure on holders, amplifying sell-side momentum as fear spreads. The macro backdrop is adding fuel to the fire. With global markets adjusting to rate volatility, geopolitical tensions, and tightening dollar liquidity, capital is flowing out of speculative assets. XRP’s price is now caught at a crossroads: either it stabilizes at key support zones and absorbs the panic selling, or a deeper correction unfolds. XRP Supply in Profit Signals Structural Fragility According to new data from Glassnode, XRP’s market structure is weakening significantly as the latest sell-off unfolds. The share of XRP supply currently in profit has fallen to 58.5%, marking its lowest reading since November 2024, when XRP traded at just $0.53. Despite today’s far higher price — around $2.15, nearly four times last year’s level — an alarming 41.5% of the circulating supply remains at a loss. That represents roughly 26.5 billion XRP sitting underwater. This divergence highlights a critical issue: the market has become top-heavy, dominated by investors who entered late into the rally and bought at elevated price levels. These holders are now feeling acute pressure as prices retrace. Making the XRP supply distribution more fragile and increasing the probability of panic-driven selling. Historically, such setups often lead to accelerated downside movement unless strong demand steps in. The fact that so much supply is in the red even at current elevated prices suggests that speculative flows, rather than long-term conviction, fueled the previous surge. As these late buyers face losses, sell pressure can intensify, feeding into a vicious cycle of liquidation. Related Reading: $14B In Stablecoins Minted Since October Crash: Liquidity Returning To Crypto XRP Price Analysis: Testing Critical Support Levels XRP continues to struggle as selling pressure intensifies, with the chart showing a clear downtrend forming since early October. The price is now trading around $2.18, hovering just above a key horizontal support zone that has been tested multiple times throughout the year. Each bounce from this region has grown weaker, suggesting diminishing buyer strength and rising vulnerability to a deeper breakdown. The moving averages reinforce this weakening structure. XRP is trading below the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day MAs, with all three beginning to curl downward. A classic sign of trend deterioration. The failed attempt to reclaim the 50-day MA in early November marked a significant shift, as sellers quickly regained control and pushed the price lower. Volume spikes during downswings further confirm that distribution is ongoing. Related Reading: Ethereum Whale Expands Position By 36,437 ETH – Bringing Total To $1.34B Additionally, the lower highs forming since the September peak signal that bulls are losing momentum. Each rally attempt is being sold into faster, and the wick rejections near the $2.50–$2.60 region highlight strong overhead resistance. If XRP loses the current support band, the next liquidity pocket sits near $1.70–$1.80, where buyers previously defended aggressively. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
A new pricing model from Diana, a crypto analyst on X, projects that XRP could climb into the $7–$24 range within 60 days of the ETF launch, driven strictly by inflow pressure and the asset’s constrained liquid supply. The model reportedly relies on supply-absorption math, revealing how ETF-driven demand could shift XRP’s market pricing once XRP ETFs go live. New XRP ETF Inflow Model Maps A Direct Route To $24 Diana’s newly released “XRP ETF Launch Impact Model” outlines a clear, data-driven view on how ETF inflows alone could reprice XRP. Her framework tests multiple launch scenarios involving five to twenty ETFs, each seeded with $10 million to $45 million. Depending on the scale, total inflows range from $50 million to $900 million, absorbing between 0.08% and 1.50% of XRP’s estimated 60-billion-unit liquid supply. Related Reading: Here’s Why The Ethereum Price Is Crashing Again, Can It Breach $3,000? According to Diana’s projections, this level of liquidity absorption pushes XRP into a thirty-day range of $3.00 to $15.00, with the sixty-day window stretching from $3.80 up to $24.00. The top end of the model—where XRP approaches $24—emerges when twenty ETFs launch with maximum seed capital and nearly a billion dollars in early inflows. Diana argues that as issuers acquire XRP to build underlying exposure, the available float tightens, and the resulting supply squeeze forces a natural repricing cycle. However, XRP’s real-time price action tells a different story. Despite the successful debut of the Canary XRP ETF, XRP has failed to respond positively. The latest market data shows the asset trading near $2.14, posting a 13.5% decline over the week. Even so, Diana maintains that early price weakness is typical during ETF rollout phases and believes the projected inflow dynamics still position XRP for a sharp upward revaluation once institutional allocations begin to materialize. The Market Structure Delaying XRP’s Next Major Rally In a separate post, Diana outlined the market pattern she believes has been driving XRP’s recent price behavior. According to her, traders typically buy ahead of an ETF launch to front-run expected demand, creating a pre-launch rally driven by speculation rather than institutional activity. Once the ETF goes live, those early buyers take profit, producing the sharp launch-day dip that often surprises retail investors. Related Reading: What Will Trigger The XRP 1,300% Break To $36 This Bull Cycle? Diana noted that institutional inflows never arrive on day one. Wealth managers move through compliance checks, committee approvals, and allocation cycles, meaning real capital enters the market weeks later. She pointed to Bitcoin’s January 2024 ETF rollout as the clearest example, where the asset fell at launch but later surged to new highs as regulated inflows matured. She argues that XRP is showing the same early-stage pattern now: a weak market following the Canary ETF launch, profit-taking, and a temporary cooling phase. When these delayed inflows eventually begin to accumulate, Diana maintains that they will reinforce an upward pricing dynamic for XRP’s next major climb. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Broader crypto markets are pressured by weak risk sentiment and technical trading patterns.
The speculation surrounding a potential BlackRock XRP ETF has surged to new heights. This surge is a direct consequence of the astonishing market debut of the Canary XRPC ETF. Canary XRP ETF’s launch has painted a clear picture of robust institutional and retail demand for a regulated XRP investment product. Why XRPC’s Success Fuels BlackRock Rumors As the speculation around a potential BlackRock XRP ETF is heating up again, the Canary XRPC ETF has delivered one of the strongest launches of the year. An analyst known as Skipper_xrp has noted on X that the newly listed fund stunned the market with over $58 million in first-day trading volume and $245 million in net inflows, outperforming hundreds of ETF debuts of 2025. Related Reading: XRP ETF Completes First Full Day Of Trading, Here’s Why The Community Is Shocked Skipper_xrp mentioned that many supporters in the XRP community still believe that BlackRock might already be quietly experimenting with or even testing the idea of an XRP trust behind closed doors. The momentum has increased further after Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse made a statement at the company’s Swell event, highlighting that Ripple’s ongoing collaboration with major traditional financial firms will bring digital asset adoption into regulated global markets. However, with the ETF inflows accelerating and XRP gaining more visibility among institutions, many investors are now arguing that it’s only a matter of time before a heavyweight firm like BlackRock will consider stepping into the XRP space. Understanding XRP’s Long-Term Growth Trajectory Crypto trader Adam_Xrp has also offered some insight on why XRP didn’t moon when the first ETF was launched. According to the expert, the XRP ETF launch was never going to be a flip-the-switch moment. Even with the first XRP ETF going live, price action was building slowly, and the institutional money did not pour in all at once. Rather, it scales over time as confidence and liquidity grow. Related Reading: New XRP ETF Just Dropped, But Will Anything Be Different This Time? Furthermore, the altcoin is still early in the rollout, and more XRP ETFs are scheduled to begin trading. Each new product will increase exposure, volume, and demand. This is how true institutional adoption is slowly progressing. BlackRock has stated that the company is not launching an XRP ETF right now, but this isn’t something they would ignore forever. However, once the regulatory path is fully cleared and institutional demand strengthens, it’s only a matter of time before the biggest players, like BlackRock, will step into the arena. Adam_Xrp concluded that the altcoin wasn’t supposed to skyrocket overnight. This phase is a gradual process of foundation building as the ecosystem, liquidity expansion, and the institutional framework grow. The expert added that if you expect to get rich overnight, without understanding the long-term game plan, then XRP might not be the right investment for you. Featured image from Pxfuel, chart from Tradingview.com
A debate over the XRP Ledger’s (XRPL) economy model has ignited after Ripple’s Chief Technology Officer (CTO), David Schwartz, directly addressed questions about taxation on the blockchain. Critics have suggested that if XRP holders do not earn from the ecosystem, someone must be collecting a tax. Schwartz’s response challenges this assumption, framing the XRP Ledger as a public utility rather than a profit-generating mechanism for token holders. The debate has since sparked broader conversations about real-world use cases, passive income expectations, and the underlying purpose of the XRPL blockchain. Ripple CTO Says No Tax On The XRP Ledger In a post on X social media, Schwartz clarified that the XRP Ledger does not impose a tax on its users. He explained that the ledger allows holders to issue assets, trade, create NFTs, and make payments without central authority extracting value from these financial activities. He also stated that transaction fees and reserves exist solely as anti-spam measures, not as a mechanism for wealth extraction. Related Reading: Ripple CTO Explains Real Value Of XRP Ledger And Why It Doesn’t Trigger Price Rallies The Ripple CTO emphasized that ownership of XRP does not give anyone the right to collect fees or profits from the ledger itself. He drew a comparison to Bitcoin’s blockchain, highlighting that the XRPL provides similar decentralized functionality while also supporting features such as Decentralized Exchanges (DEXs), stablecoins, and NFTs. These features work without XRP holders needing to profit from the system’s operations. Schwartz’s remarks on taxes on the XRPL blockchain come after Matthew Sigel, head of digital asset research at VanEck, raised questions about who benefits if XRP holders do not earn anything from the ecosystem and the protocol itself does not generate value. In response, other members of the community, including XRPL dUNL validator Vet, emphasized that the absence of a tax encourages developers and users to focus on building meaningful, functional use cases rather than relying on passive income. XRP’s Utility Outweighs Tax Considerations The XRPL tax debate between Schwartz and Sigel also intersected with discussions about the blockchain’s real-world applications. In a much earlier post, Sigel questioned the blockchain’s relevance, subtly hinting that its supporters overstate its functionality. Related Reading: XRP Leading A $400 Trillion Revolution? How Ripple’s Tokenization Campaign Is Sparking Utility In response, an XRP community member pointed to the recent collaboration between Ondo Finance, Ripple, and BlackRock, in which the XRP Ledger will be utilized for stablecoin issuance, minting, Treasury asset redemption, and liquidity enhancement in financial markets. While Sigel acknowledged the innovative initiative, he reiterated that these applications do not directly generate revenue for XRP token holders, highlighting a gap between network activity and personal gain. Schwartz responded by explaining that the value of XRPL stems from enabling financial independence and reducing reliance on intermediaries, rather than providing passive income. He added that focusing on tax collection as a measure of success can overshadow the blockchain’s purpose of promoting open access and meaningful innovation. Featured image from Peakpx, chart from Tradingview.com
Despite recent price losses, XRP is still up 89% on a 365-day basis.
Technically, bitcoin’s break below the monthly mid-range at $100,266 cleared a key liquidity shelf, exposing a fast-track slide into thinner regions. Near-term support sits at $93,000 to $95,000.
The market remains bearish with XRP struggling to break above the $2.23–$2.24 resistance zone.
A recent comment from crypto analyst CryptoTank has brought attention to a long-standing misconception about the size of the XRP community. His post focused on the widely quoted figure of seven million XRP wallets and explained why this number does not represent the number of real holders. The clarification arrives at a time when XRP is now positioned to start to receive institutional inflows from the recently launched Canary Spot XRP ETF. Related Reading: Dogecoin Alert! Price Could Explode Over 2,800%, Analyst Says Why Wallet Count Does Not Equal Holder Count CryptoTank noted that nearly 7 million wallets holding XRP does not translate to millions of people owning the asset. He pointed out that he personally maintains roughly 30 wallets, and most committed XRP investors tend to operate between four and six on average. This means a single individual can appear multiple times in on-chain statistics, making the total wallet count an unreliable indicator of how many real participants exist. The view is simple: the actual number of distinct XRP holders is far lower than many assume, and he believes the true figure sits comfortably below 1 million worldwide. This paints a picture of a community that is still at an early stage compared to other major digital assets. If only a fraction of those seven million addresses belong to unique individuals, then the people who hold XRP today represent a much smaller, far earlier group than estimates imply. CryptoTank described this group as being “way ahead” of the world, meaning that current holders occupy a position that could become far more valuable once broader participation finally arrives. A small holder base means that any meaningful expansion in demand, whether retail or institutional, could have an outsized effect on price because the XRP price has not yet experienced the type of mass inflow seen in previous cycles for Bitcoin and Ethereum. Institutional Expansion With Spot XRP ETF This discussion arrives at a significant moment for XRP, particularly with the introduction of the newly launched Spot XRP ETF in the United States. The product widens XRP’s reach beyond its early holder group, allowing institutions and retail traders in regulated markets to also invest in the cryptocurrency. If the true population of XRP holders is small, the arrival of ETF demand could become a major turning point. As inflows grow, this new access point may mark the beginning of a shift from an early-holder community to a broader institutional and retail audience. Speaking of inflows, Canary’s Spot XRP ETF started its first full trading day with $243.05 million in inflows on November 14, according to data from SoSoValue. Related Reading: XRP Earns Academic Praise: University Study Calls It ‘Gold In Your Hands’ This wasn’t reflected in the price of XRP though, as the cryptocurrency is down alongside the rest of the market. At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $2.26, down by 1.4% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
According to CryptoWzrd’s latest XRP daily technical outlook, XRPBTC ended the day with a strong bullish close. This renewed strength in the pair could give XRP the momentum it needs to push toward the $2.75 resistance level and potentially extend even higher. Daily Sentiment Mirrors Bitcoin As XRP Closes Slightly Bearish The analysis from CryptoWzrd notes that XRP’s daily candle was in alignment with Bitcoin’s broader market sentiment and closed slightly bearish. This reflects the continued pressure from Bitcoin, which remains a key driver of overall market direction. Despite this bearish close, the XRPBTC pair showed strength by ending the day bullish, signaling a potential shift in momentum. Related Reading: XRP Price Correction Is Far From Over: Bearish Divergence Signals Potential Revisit To $2.05 A continued push higher could drive the pair above the daily lower-high trendline, triggering a more impulsive price reaction. If this breakout materializes, it opens the door for XRP to advance toward the $2.75 resistance region, a level that has now become the next major target for bullish traders. However, Bitcoin’s influence remains a critical factor. Any renewed weakness or sharp downside movement from BTC could easily spill into XRP’s price action. In such a scenario, XRP may find itself retreating toward the $2 support zone, which stands as the next meaningful level of defense if bearish pressure intensifies. CryptoWzrd added that tomorrow’s focus will shift primarily to developments on the lower-time-frame charts. Short-term structure and intraday reactions will be key to spotting potential scalp opportunities. Choppy Intraday Action Signals Market Indecision The analyst observed that XRP’s intraday price action remained relatively choppy, with the market trading within a narrow range. This kind of movement suggests that traders are still waiting for a clearer signal before committing to a strong directional bias. Related Reading: XRP Price Sees Bullish Move, Can Buyers Protect Upside Levels? A key level to watch on the intraday chart is the $2.408 resistance. According to the analysis, a clean move above this threshold could unlock further upside momentum, creating favorable long opportunities as buyers regain control. Such a breakout would signal growing confidence and potentially shift short-term sentiment in XRP’s favor. However, if the price reacts bearishly at that same resistance zone, a rejection from $2.408 would present a short opportunity, indicating that sellers are still protecting that level. This scenario would likely reinforce intraday weakness and keep XRP confined within its current structure. The analyst also warned that any drop below the $2.2550 support level would push the market into a fragile zone where further declines become more probable. For now, patience is essential, as traders must wait for a more mature and organized intraday structure before taking aggressive positions. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com
A recently shared image on X showing the full lineup of pending XRP ETF filings prompted a blunt response from market commentator Robert Ledferd. Instead of offering predictions or excitement, he framed the moment as a straightforward test for the asset, noting that if XRP cannot climb into double-digit territory once this many ETFs are live, the market may end up treating it as a joke. The comment brings into question what price level actually represents meaningful progress once institutional money enters the picture for XRP. Why The Comment Landed Strongly Ledferd reacted to a screenshot listing nearly every major issuer preparing an XRP product, including firms such as Bitwise, Grayscale, Fidelity, VanEck, Invesco, CoinShares, Franklin Templeton, Hashdex, and ARK Invest. The number of issuers alone means that XRP is entering a phase where institutional exposure will no longer be theoretical. Related Reading: Analyst Predicts XRP “Supply Crisis” To Trigger The Next Parabolic Rally The general consensus is that when these ETFs hit the market, XRP will receive massive institutional inflows comparable to that of Bitcoin and Ethereum, which, in turn, would be reflected in its price action. With this in mind, the pundit noted that XRP will be the “joke of the year” if these ETFs do not bring the cryptocurrency’s price to at least double digits.” Where XRP Needs To Trade For ETFs To Matter The numerical reality behind this expectation is straightforward. XRP is currently trading well below the $3 price level. Particularly, XRP is trading at $2.3, which means even a return to its $3.65 all-time high would require a price increase of about 40% from present levels. To reach actual double digits above $10, it means the price of XRP would need to rise more than 320% from its current price. Before XRP can target double digits, however, it must convincingly break and close above the region between $3 and $3.65. This region is a structural pivot because it is where previous rallies have lost momentum If ETF demand is genuine, the first sign of it will be whether XRP can push above the $3 line and hold it as support. Such a move would confirm that new inflows are not being neutralized by selling pressure and that the buying pressure is absorbing tokens at a faster rate than they are being distributed. Related Reading: Analyst Says Don’t Get Left Behind As Massive Liquidity Wave Is Coming For XRP XRP currently has a total circulating supply of 60 billion tokens. Therefore, a move to $4 implies a market cap of $240 billion. On the other hand, a move to $10 implies a valuation above $600 billion. A $600-billion valuation would place XRP behind only Bitcoin in terms of market cap rankings. These numbers matter because ETF impact is not measured by price alone but by how much capital is required to move an asset of this size. If Spot XRP ETFs begin attracting even a small fraction of the inflows seen in early Bitcoin ETF trading, the push to $4 becomes more realistic. At the time of writing, the first US Spot XRP-backed ETF has officially been launched by Canary Capital with ticker XRPC and began trading on the Nasdaq Stock Market on November 13, 2025. Featured image from Peakpx, chart from Tradingview.com
Analysts caution that the market remains vulnerable to further declines, with large token movements and macroeconomic factors contributing to uncertainty.
The weekly chart for XRP has compressed into a decisive structure that now sits on the edge of a major move, and the latest projection from crypto analyst Dark Defender outlines how this structure could push to as high as $36 this bull cycle. His outlook centers on an Elliott Wave pattern that started forming in June, and the chart behind the analysis shows a sequence that is approaching the point where momentum returns with force. Elliott Wave Structure Points To A Wave Three Expansion Technical analysis of the XRP’s weekly candlestick timeframe chart shows that the cryptocurrency has spent the past several months compressing inside a tightening structure, forming a narrowing support and resistance triangle. This analysis attempts to map out where this pressure leads next, particularly as XRP is now trading around the peak of this triangle, where volatility could return in force. Related Reading: Pundit Dunks On XRP Triple-Digit Dreams; Price Isn’t Going To $100 This Year Dark Defender’s projection is built on a five-wave Elliott structure that traces its origin back to mid-June, when XRP delivered its initial impulsive rally that formed Wave One. That first advance carried the price on a rally from the lower ranges into a new all-time high of $3.65 before losing steam. Since then, the second wave, which is naturally corrective based on the theory, has dragged the price action sideways to create lower highs beneath descending resistance and higher lows above the support. The chart below shows that this corrective phase is now entering its final stretch, with candles clustering inside the narrowing triangle. The technical message is straightforward: once the correction exhausts itself, the next phase of the Elliott count would be a Wave Three expansion. This third wave is the strongest and longest of the five waves, and it often receives the largest percentage gains in the entire cycle. The Breakout Zone: $2.22 Support And $2.85 Resistance The analysis marks two levels that now define XRP’s breakout conditions. The support band around $2.22 has held firm throughout the entire consolidation, providing the foundation of the structure. The resistance line is at $2.85, and this has capped every rally attempt since the summer. Related Reading: Chinese And US Governments Fighting Over Bitcoin? Here’s What We Know A weekly close above $2.85 is the trigger that would officially transition XRP out of Wave 2 and into the impulsive third wave. Any break below $2.22 would delay the bullish outlook. The Fibonacci extension levels on the chart indicate the next significant checkpoints after the Wave 3 expansion starts. The first leg of the anticipated impulse, the 261.8% extension, is located close to $5.85. However, the wider Wave 3 target is located at the 361.8% level around $18.22. Following this, the Wave 4 pullback is expected to cool the momentum before the final Wave 5 impulse completes the broader structure. The final wave reaches into the 423.6% extension, which is positioned around $36.76 on the price chart. At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $2.31, down by 8.2% in the past 24 hours. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Ether strengthens against bitcoin, raising hopes of a bullish breakout.
Canary Capital’s XRP ETF made a historic debut on Thursday, surpassing its competitors by hitting $58 million in trading volume on its first day, setting a record for the most traded ETF launch this year. This milestone was lauded by Bloomberg expert Eric Balchunas on the social media platform X (formerly Twitter), underlining the remarkable success of the XRP ETF in the market. The launch of the first XRP ETF in the United States earlier today had a notable impact on the XRP price, propelling it towards the crucial $2.5 level. However, subsequent market movements saw a 4% retracement, bringing the token’s current trading price to $2.3. XRP ETF Potential Canary Capital’s CEO, Steven McClur, recently expressed confidence in the potential of an XRP ETF, suggesting that it could outperform the achievements of Solana (SOL). He highlighted XRP’s strong liquidity and global utility, foreseeing substantial institutional investment influx in the near future. The XRP ETF by Canary Capital has indeed outperformed Bitwise’s Solana Staking exchange-traded fund, with a trading volume of $57 million, falling just short of Canary’s fund by a mere million-dollar difference. Related Reading: Who’s Selling Bitcoin? Fidelity Research Boss Breaks It Down Analysts predict that the approval of asset managers like Franklin Templeton, Bitwise, and Grayscale in the upcoming days of November could attract significant institutional investments ranging from $4 to $8 billion, potentially leading to a substantial price surge due to the low liquidity in the market. As a result, market analysts foresee a bullish rally for XRP, hinting that the token may be approaching the end of consolidation. They suggest long-term price targets ranging from $10 to $37. If these bullish scenarios materialize, these surges could result in new all-time highs and significant potential gains, with projections of 334% and a staggering 1,500%, respectively, from current trading levels. XRP Price Could See 150% Increase To $6 by 2030 In addition to the significant ETF debut by Canary Capital, industry experts like Dark Defender have shared key technical analyses that could complement the performance of the XRP ETF market. Notably, Dark Defender highlighted signals on the weekly time frame indicating a potential surge for XRP, with resistance at $2.85, support at $2.22, and targets projected at $18.22 and $36.76. Related Reading: Dormant Bitcoin Giant Stirs, Unloads 12,000 BTC In Surprise Move Geoffrey Kendrick at Standard Chartered anticipates substantial gains in the forthcoming years, largely attributed to the potential of spot XRP ETFs. He has set a target price of $12.50 for 2028, implying annual returns of 73%. Analysts at the Motley Fool have also weighed in, drawing parallels to Bitcoin’s (BTC) price appreciation following the SEC approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs in January 2024, projecting a 150% increase to $6 for XRP by 2030. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
The XRPC ETF narrowly surpassed Bitwise’s Solana ETF in first-day trading volume.
Major cryptocurrencies and gold and silver have been on diverging trends despite the pause in the dollar rally.
An analyst has sounded the alarm on what could become one of the most explosive rally in XRP’s history. As the cryptocurrency prepares for its long-awaited Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) debut, the balance of XRP on major exchanges continues to decline. Analysts are warning that an impending supply crisis could spark a significant surge in the XRP price, which is currently more than 34% below its all-time high levels. XRP Supply Shortage To Trigger Parabolic Surge Amidst ongoing market volatility and whale capitulation, crypto market expert Arthur remains positive about XRP, drawing attention to a series of on-chain developments that could mark the beginning of a parabolic upward move. In his post on X social media, the analyst emphasized that an XRP could soon see a supply crisis, which may ignite its next price explosion. Related Reading: Pundit Reveals Final Nail In The Coffin For XRP, What This Means According to recent chart data from CryptoQuant, XRP reserves on Binance have fallen to about 2.79 million tokens, marking a sustained decline that began in early 2025. The chart also shows that while XRP’s price has remained relatively stable between $2 and $3, the available supply on almost all major cryptocurrency exchanges has continued to decline drastically. Arthur has revealed that this signals a growing imbalance between supply and demand, which could set the foundation for a bullish move. Arthur has also referenced a prediction made by JPMorgan analysts, who estimated that between $4 to $8 billion could flow into the upcoming XRP Spot ETFs once they launch in the market. This projection indicates confidence in XRP’s future institutional demand and interest as a legitimate digital asset class. The analyst has suggested that increased ETF demand from institutions, combined with limited liquidity, could create a “perfect storm” for a price breakout of XRP. Additionally, the analyst has revealed that the XRP ETF could also see a surge in retail demand, contributing to its projected price appreciation. Currently, reports indicate that approval of XRP Spot ETFs by the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is still pending. However, prominent analysts like Nate Geraci remain confident that these investment products will be launched soon. Binance XRP Reserve Data Shows Steady Losses Delving deeper into XRP’s supply on exchanges, CryptoQuant’s data shows that the cryptocurrency’s reserve on Binance is sitting at approximately 2.785 billion tokens as of November 12, 2025. Notably, this marks a decrease of over 10 million tokens from the previous day, when 2.795 billion XRP was recorded. Since the beginning of November, Binance’s XRP balance has been declining, hovering just above the 2.7 billion token threshold. Related Reading: $300 Million Worth Of XRP On The Move – Where Are They Headed? Earlier in October, reserves dipped to 2.74 billion tokens, one of the lowest levels recorded in almost a year. While balances briefly rebounded in mid-October, the latest data shows a renewed downward trajectory, suggesting that selling pressure may have eased and accumulation could be taking place off exchanges. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com