XRP is approaching a decisive liquidity zone after a brutal market-wide crypto flush, with analyst Will Taylor (@CryptoinsightUK) arguing that downside liquidity has largely been swept while larger pools may now sit above price. The setup comes as crypto sentiment has deteriorated sharply following roughly $5 billion in liquidations across the market. XRP Battles Long-Term Downtrend In the latest edition of The Weekly Insight, Taylor framed the current XRP structure as part of a broader capitulation event rather than an isolated altcoin breakdown. Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP have all moved into areas where major liquidity has been taken, according to the analyst, raising the question of whether the market is preparing for another leg lower or setting up for a violent reversal. For XRP, the key level remains the liquidity band near $1. The analyst noted that the token still has downside liquidity in that region, but argued that it looks modest when measured against the larger liquidity pools sitting above current price. “The discussion is very similar for XRP,” Taylor wrote. “If you zoom in slightly further on the XRP liquidity chart, there is still a liquidity band sitting around the $1 area. However, when you zoom out and compare it to the larger timeframe liquidity pools above us, it becomes relatively insignificant.” Related Reading: Institutions Are Loading Up On XRP, But Liquidity Tells A Different Story That does not mean the chart has already resolved bullishly. Taylor emphasized that XRP remains trapped in a broader downtrend that has been in place since August 2025, making the current area a critical test of market structure. A failure to reclaim momentum could leave the $1 liquidity band exposed. A successful hold, however, would support the argument that sellers have already done most of their work. The analyst’s broader thesis is that the market has entered a liquidity-driven inflection point. Bitcoin has swept key hourly downside liquidity, Ethereum has backtested a trend line while clearing much of its daily liquidity below price, and XRP’s remaining lower pool appears less significant than what sits above. In that context, the recent liquidation wave may have reset positioning enough to create the conditions for a stronger move. “One positive factor is that we have just experienced a significant liquidation event, with roughly $5 billion worth of liquidations across the market,” Taylor wrote. “Historically, events of that magnitude tend to occur very close to important lows, if not directly at them. Again, that does not mean we cannot see another flush lower, a marginally lower low, or even continued downside.” Related Reading: XRP To $0.70 Next? The Case For Another 40% Crash The caution is important. The analyst repeatedly stressed that crypto could still see continued volatility, especially if instability in equities spills over into digital assets. The newsletter pointed to a stronger DXY, US 10-year yields near 4.532%, and an overextended Nasdaq as macro factors that could continue pressuring risk assets. Yet the report also argued that the crypto market may be closer to a transition point than sentiment suggests. Taylor said the next phase of the market could be defined less by broad speculation and more by utility, with institutions assigning value to networks based on usage rather than narrative alone. “My view remains the same,” the analyst wrote. “I continue to believe that all of this is happening because the next phase of the market is going to be the utility phase. The institutions entering this market are not playing the same game that retail has been playing for the last decade.” At press time, XRP traded at $1.14. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Investors who stay patient through the current pullback could be among the biggest winners when market sentiment eventually turns — at least according to one analyst who has been tracking XRP closely through this period of weakness. Related Reading: XRP Is The Clear Winner For Transactions, According To Peter Brandt A Floor That Holds XRP is not expected to collapse below $1, based on the analyst’s reading of current market conditions. The token has been trading near the bottom of its recent range, weighed down by a broader crypto selloff that has pushed Bitcoin below key support levels and rattled confidence across the market. The analyst, speaking in a video report, pointed to the $1.20 area as a likely floor before any meaningful recovery begins. That level, in his view, represents the kind of final washout that has historically preceded major rallies — a pattern he says is playing out again now. Geopolitics Behind The Pressure Much of the near-term risk, according to the analyst, comes not from crypto fundamentals but from the Middle East. Escalating tensions in the region have raised fears of a major crude oil supply disruption, with reports pointing to declining oil inventories, drawdowns in Japan’s strategic petroleum reserves, and renewed conflict between Iran and Israel. Idle vessels in the Gulf are reportedly dealing with operational issues that could slow energy transportation further. Even if a peace deal materializes, supply chains may take months to fully recover, the analyst warned. That overhang, he argues, keeps the door open for another round of selling across risk assets — crypto included. Stocks Are Flashing Yellow Traditional markets are not giving investors much comfort either. The US bond market has remained stuck in a prolonged drawdown, and while the S&P 500 has pushed to fresh highs, those gains are concentrated in a small number of companies. Market breadth is thin, and valuations are at historic extremes. The analyst’s advice: skip the overheated equity trade and pay attention to assets that have already gone through serious corrections. Related Reading: Ethereum Signals Strength As Citigroup Eyes $5.5 Trillion Tokenized Asset Boom A Bull Run Delayed, Not Denied XRP’s long-term case remains intact, the analyst said, with a major rally expected later in 2026. He plans to keep buying on weakness and views the current climate — heavy selling, widespread fear — as exactly the kind of setup that precedes outsized gains. Even large institutional buyers have been unable to stop prices from sliding, reports note. But the analyst sees that as a feature, not a flaw, in a market that tends to reward those who hold through the hard stretches. Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView
XRP’s weekly chart is flashing a bearish continuation risk after failing to reclaim the $1.60 area, according to veteran chartist Aksel Kibar, CMT. His latest XRPUSD setup points to a possible extension lower toward $0.75 if the current consolidation breaks down. Kibar, who posts under the TechCharts account on X, is a Chartered Market Technician and classical chart trader with more than 15 years of experience in global equity market analysis. He’s an ex-fund manager who has worked for Yapi Kredi Bank in Turkey and the National Bank of Abu Dhabi, where he worked as a senior technical analyst and fund manager. His reputation in technical-analysis circles has also been reinforced by Peter Brandt, the veteran commodity trader and author, who has repeatedly amplified Kibar’s work as “the most accomplished pure classical chart analyst alive today.” XRP Stalls Below $1.60 Resistance His latest XRP post was short but direct. “$XRPUSD 1.6 resistance. Latest consolidation below the resistance and can act as a bearish continuation.” The chart shows XRP on Bitstamp’s weekly timeframe, trading around $1.28 after failing to reclaim the $1.60 region. That level matters because it marks a prior support zone from the broader 2025 range, which extended toward the $3.45 area at the top. Once XRP lost that range support, the same zone began acting as overhead resistance. Related Reading: XRP MVRV Hits Lowest Level Since 2020 As Traders Sell Into Fear The more important detail is the structure forming beneath it. XRP is not merely trading below $1.60; it has been compressing inside what resembles a triangular consolidation. The upper boundary slopes lower from the failed recovery attempt, while the lower boundary rises from the post-breakdown lows. In classical charting, that kind of structure can resolve either way, but its location matters. A triangle forming after a major breakdown and below former support is often treated as a potential continuation pattern unless buyers force a recovery back above resistance. Kibar’s $0.75 target appears to come from the pattern’s measured move. The widest part of the triangle spans roughly from $1.67 down to $1.12, giving the structure a height of about $0.55. If XRP breaks below the triangle near the $1.30 area, subtracting that $0.55 range gives a downside objective near $0.75. That makes the target less arbitrary than a simple horizontal support call. It is the projected extension of the current compression if the market confirms a breakdown. The setup still requires that confirmation. Without a decisive break below the triangle, the chart remains a risk structure rather than a completed bearish signal. Related Reading: Hedging With XRP: The Trillion-Dollar Push That Could Send Price Above $300 The chart also includes Kibar’s long-term trend filter. In crypto, Kibar is known to use the 365-day exponential moving average as a primary directional filter rather than as a standalone buy or sell trigger. Price above that average generally supports a more constructive bias; price below it argues for caution, particularly when rallies stall below resistance. In XRP’s case, price is trading below the red long-term moving average at $1.74, while the average itself sits above the current consolidation. That adds another layer to the bearish interpretation. Buyers not only need to invalidate the triangle breakdown risk; they also need to repair the broader trend structure by reclaiming lost resistance and moving back above the long-term average. At press time, XRP traded at $1.29. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP is entering what analyst Will Taylor (@CryptoinsightUK) describes as a rare momentum reset, with technical conditions now lining up around a potential sharp move higher. In the latest edition of The Weekly Insight, Taylor argues that XRP’s recent downturn may have compressed momentum to an unusual degree just as regulatory and ecosystem narratives begin to reappear. XRP Momentum Hits Rare Extreme The core of the setup is XRP’s relative strength index. According to the analyst, previous instances where XRP’s RSI reached oversold territory, or touched the 32 level or lower, have historically marked major lows. This time, the reading fell to around 30, described as the “second lowest RSI reading ever for XRP,” though not quite a full oversold break. Taylor’s main point is not only the level of the RSI, but the speed of the decline. XRP’s RSI reportedly fell from roughly 91 to 30 in a historically short period, a move the analyst frames as evidence that momentum may have swung too far, too quickly. “The market became too bearish too quickly,” Taylor wrote, adding that this is why he sees a likely case for another leg higher. Related Reading: XRP Compression Peaks: Symmetrical Triangle Signals Explosive Move Ahead That view is tied directly to XRP’s current base. The analyst says XRP is now building from around $1.38, compared with roughly $0.38 before its prior explosive move. If XRP were to repeat a similar percentage expansion to the November 2024 rally, when the asset allegedly moved about 500% within weeks, Taylor says that would imply a move toward roughly $6.50. The MACD, in Taylor’s reading, strengthens the same argument. The report describes XRP’s MACD as sitting at its lowest reading on record, suggesting that downside momentum has stretched further than in previous cycles. For Taylor, that creates the conditions for a forceful reversal if momentum turns, especially while price continues to hold above the $1.38 area. The analysis becomes more speculative when Elliott wave theory enters the discussion. The analyst says there is an argument that XRP may be entering wave three of a broader five-wave structure, with a possible target zone between $8 and $12. Taylor cautions that such a scenario is difficult to present without sounding speculative, but argues that major crypto expansions often occur in compressed time windows. Related Reading: David Schwartz Challenges $10,000 XRP Theory With Simple Question The market setup is also being framed against a possible regulatory catalyst. Taylor cites Coinbase chief legal officer Paul Grewal as saying the Clarity Act appears to be moving forward after an agreement with banks, while also pointing to commentary from Eleanor Terrett that market attention has shifted toward the week starting May 11 as a potential markup window. For XRP specifically, that timing matters because Ripple has been vocal about the importance of crypto market structure legislation. The analyst also notes recent criticism from Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson, who has suggested that the Clarity Act is being advanced in a way that could primarily benefit XRP rather than the broader market. Taylor does not fully endorse that view, but says the dispute highlights how significant the bill could become if it advances. At press time, XRP traded at $1.4155. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Veteran trader Peter Brandt has shared a weekly chart and asked traders how deep they think XRP could fall into support. The post matters because Brandt’s chart frames XRP not as a clean momentum breakout, but as a market still trying to prove that its late-2024 range expansion can hold as support. Brandt, posting from @PeterLBrandt account on X, addressed the XRP crowd directly. “Attention all Ripplettes,” he wrote. “How deep into support do you Ripplettes think price could go? XRP. See chart.” What This Means For XRP The chart attached to the post showed XRP/USDT on Binance on a weekly timeframe. Brandt marked out a broad structure that begins with XRP’s long base through 2023 and much of 2024, then the sharp vertical breakout in late 2024, followed by a wide consolidation and eventual pullback. The key level near $1.55 appears to be central to the setup. In technical terms, it’s a former range-reclaim. Related Reading: Pundit Shares The Most Important Thing To Remember About XRP That $1.55 region also explains why Brandt’s chart is uncomfortable for bulls. XRP has already slipped below. Once a market loses a prior range, technicians often look for the next areas where buyers previously absorbed supply. Brandt’s lower horizontal lines seem to map those zones: one near the recent consolidation lows, another around the deeper post-breakout support, and then the broader ascending base that defined XRP’s pre-breakout structure. The poll attached to the post made that support map explicit. Brandt offered four choices: “Bottom is in,” “Support at .93xx,” “Support at .72xx,” and “Slightly above zero.” The $0.93 area appears to come from a descending trendline which originates at the 2021 high. The $0.72 area is deeper. On the weekly chart, it aligns with the ascending trendline of XRP’s old 2023–2024 base and the rising long-term support line that preceded the late-2024 move. In other words, it is not just a random number. It represents a possible full retest of the prior breakout structure. The broader pattern Brandt appears to be highlighting is a failed or stressed range breakout after a large advance. XRP broke out of a long accumulation-style range, rallied aggressively above $3, then formed a wide top-like consolidation with multiple failed attempts to extend higher. Related Reading: XRP Faces Fragile Setup As Whale Selling Meets Retail Buying For XRP bulls, the first answer depends on the $1.55 area. If price can reclaim and hold that level on the weekly timeframe, the chart would look more like a deep retest of a breakout zone than a full structural failure. A reclaim would suggest that buyers are still defending the former range boundary and that the market has not fully surrendered the post-breakout advance. Without that reclaim, however, the lower support levels in Brandt’s poll become more relevant because price would remain below the shelf that previously supported the consolidation. The poll results showed how split traders were on that risk. “Bottom is in” had 27% of the vote, “Support at .72xx” also had 27%, and “Slightly above zero” drew another 27%. The more moderate option, “Support at .93xx,” had 19% and was marked as the selected choice in the screenshot. At press time, the poll had received 364 votes with nearly 12 hours remaining while XRP traded at $1.3941. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP has become one of the clearest examples in a widening debate over whether crypto is still in accumulation or already entering distribution. A new market note by Will Taylor from The Weekly Insight argues that altcoins and macro signals are now sending conflicting messages at a critical point in the cycle. The core tension is not limited to XRP. The report frames XRP alongside Ethereum, Cardano and Litecoin as major altcoins that have either failed to produce meaningful new cycle highs or have only marginally exceeded prior peaks. For XRP specifically, the author notes that it has set a new all-time high this cycle, but only by roughly 10% to 20%, leaving open the question of whether the move represents genuine expansion or merely another deviation within a much larger range. “Has something fundamentally changed? Are these altcoins effectively finished and distributing, or are we just in a prolonged period of accumulation?” the report asks. “When you combine that with the momentum indicators on the chart, particularly the RSI, alongside what we have discussed with Bitcoin, it starts to build a broader picture.” Altcoins Like XRP Remain Stuck In The Cycle Debate Taylor argues that previous crypto cycles were marked by long periods of range-bound accumulation followed by relatively short expansion phases. In 2017 and 2020, the strongest upside windows lasted roughly nine months after breakout conditions were established. Related Reading: XRP Ready For Next Bull Run? Here’s How This Analyst Arrived At $13 Target This cycle, however, has been harder to classify. Taylor suggests that ETF-driven demand and pre-halving speculation may have pulled forward part of the usual expansion phase, making the market appear more advanced than it really is. That raises a difficult possibility for XRP and other large-cap altcoins: either they are lagging before a delayed expansion phase, or their inability to produce decisive highs is a warning that distribution is already underway. Taylor acknowledges that the evidence remains unresolved. “Are we accumulating, which would suggest something historically significant could follow, especially in an environment where more money printing becomes necessary? Or are we distributing, which would imply that a larger correction or even a financial shock could push crypto, and especially altcoins, significantly lower?” S&P Divergence Adds Another Layer A major part of the report focuses on the breakdown in correlation between the S&P 500 and total crypto market capitalization. Historically, the two have moved broadly together during risk-on and risk-off phases. But the author says that the relationship has diverged “quite aggressively” over the last 100 to 200 days. Related Reading: The Crash Is Over? XRP Price About To Hit ‘Significant Bottom’ The current divergence has lasted roughly 161 days, placing it within the historical range of similar episodes, which the report estimates at 77 to 203 days. In previous examples, equities led while crypto consolidated or underperformed, before crypto later caught up. The author points to a prior period where crypto closed the gap within 42 days, with Bitcoin or the broader crypto market moving 67%. That setup matters for XRP and altcoins because a renewed crypto catch-up phase could shift capital back into higher-beta assets. But the report also warns that the S&P’s own advance may not be fully confirmed by volume, creating uncertainty over whether equities are giving crypto a bullish lead or a false signal. At press time, XRP traded at $1.41. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP may be entering a more constructive phase, according to a new thread via X from market analyst Ali Martinez (@alicharts), who argued on April 21 via X that the asset is showing a “structural trend shift from bearish to bullish.” The case rests on a mix of trend-following indicators, whale accumulation, exchange supply dynamics, and a tightening chart structure that could set up a larger move. 4 Signs XRP Is Turning Bullish Ali’s first signal is a change in the macro trend on the daily chart. In the thread, he said the SuperTrend indicator has now issued its first buy signal since January, a notable reversal after months of persistent sell pressure. He wrote: “On the daily chart, the SuperTrend indicator has flashed a buy signal for the first time since January. This flip suggests that selling pressure is waning down, and XRP could be gearing up for a trend reversal.” Related Reading: ‘The Short Version For Why I Hold XRP Through Everything’; Analyst Reveals That call builds on an earlier April 18 post in which Ali framed the signal as a potentially important inflection point. “For the first time since Jan. 17, the SuperTrend indicator has flipped bullish on the daily chart. After months of ‘sell’ pressure, we are officially seeing a buy signal that anticipates a major comeback in XRP’s trend. While the trend has shifted, the real test lies at $1.55,” he wrote. The second sign is positioning from large holders. Ali said on-chain data from Santiment shows whales accumulated roughly 360 million XRP over the past week. If that accumulation continues, it adds weight to the idea that the recent change in trend is being supported by capital rather than by a short-lived bounce. The third sign is the setup forming on lower time frames. Ali said XRP has been compressing into a symmetrical triangle, a structure he argued could foreshadow a 35% move once price breaks out decisively. In his telling, the pattern fits with the broader shift underway: macro conditions are improving, supply is being pulled off exchanges, and price is coiling into a tighter range. Related Reading: Is XRP Gearing Up For A 35% Move? This Pattern May Suggest So “As the macro trend flips and supply is pulled off exchanges, a symmetrical triangle has formed on the lower time frames. This pattern has compressed the price into a tight range, anticipating a 35% move once a breakout occurs,” he writes. The fourth sign is the clarity of the invalidation and breakout levels. He says a daily close above $1.55 would validate the breakout and open the way toward $1.90, describing that resistance as “the key level” that has capped upside recently. At the same time, he said the bullish outlook remains intact only as long as XRP holds the $1.30 support zone. Rather than calling for an immediate breakout, Ali is outlining a market that may be transitioning from defense to offense, with defined levels that would either confirm or weaken the thesis. A bullish SuperTrend flip, whale accumulation, a compressed triangle, and a nearby resistance test do not amount to proof on their own. Together, though, they form a coherent case that XRP may be moving out of a bearish regime and into an early bullish one. At press time, XRP traded at $1.4368. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP is approaching what market commentator Will Taylor describes as a critical technical inflection point, with a tightening descending wedge, oversold weekly momentum and a lopsided liquidation profile all pointing to a market that may be close to exhausting the downside. That is the core XRP takeaway in The Weekly Insight – Week 188, where Taylor argued that while crypto may still face one final flush lower, XRP is already trading in a zone that has historically aligned with major lows. XRP May Be Close To A Bottom Taylor framed the XRP setup against a broader macro backdrop that remains fragile but, in his view, not broken. In the same note, he argued the S&P 500 may still need to complete a deeper correction, volatility could rise further, and crypto altcoins may have “one more small dip” left before a more durable bottom forms. Even so, he suggested the market is already close enough to prior cyclical lows that downside from here may be limited relative to the potential upside. Related Reading: 3 Reasons XRP Rallies Stall — What Must Change For A Sustained Recovery For XRP specifically, the focus was on structure. Taylor said he has been tracking “a potential descending wedge or parallel channel” on the weekly chart, with the key question now being whether XRP still needs “one more pullback into the bottom of that channel” into the $1.10 region or whether it can begin breaking higher from current levels and reclaim support on the way up. He tied that pattern to momentum signals that, in his reading, are starting to look familiar. “This is on the weekly timeframe, and the weekly RSI has been touching the oversold area, just as it did at the absolute lows in 2022 during the bear market,” Taylor wrote. “So there are a few indicators here that are suggesting we are very close to the lows, if not already there.” That matters because Taylor is not presenting XRP as an isolated chart. In the newsletter, he argued the broader crypto market is already trading near levels that, on weekly RSI measures, have historically marked either outright bottoms or zones within roughly 10% to 15% of them. In that context, XRP’s wedge is being read less as a standalone pattern and more as part of a market-wide compression phase that could be nearing resolution. Related Reading: XRP Needs Higher Prices To Handle Bank-Scale Flows, Jake Claver Argues The more distinctive part of the XRP thesis came from liquidation data. Taylor wrote that if XRP were pushed higher toward $3.60, more than $320 million in short positions would be liquidated. By contrast, a move down toward $0.39 would liquidate roughly $130 million in longs. That imbalance, in his view, creates a cleaner incentive to run price upward rather than lower. “And if we pair this up with the amount of liquidity that we can see for XRP, cumulatively, if price is pushed up towards $3.60, we would liquidate over $320 million worth of shorts,” he wrote. “But if price is pushed down towards $0.39, it would only liquidate around $130 million worth of longs. So from a liquidity perspective, the opportunity for market makers and exchanges is clearly to the upside.” That argument leans on the idea that once the current period of macro stress passes, XRP’s positioning could amplify any recovery. Taylor added that open interest is “reinforcing that view,” suggesting leveraged participation has not yet undermined the bullish setup. The caveat is timing. Elsewhere in the newsletter, Taylor said he still expects one more modest dip across crypto before the market fully turns, and he linked the broader bottoming process to macro developments that could play out over the next four to six weeks. For XRP, that leaves two plausible paths: a final sweep toward the lower boundary of the wedge, or an earlier breakout that confirms the pattern without a deeper retest. At press time, XRP traded at $1.35. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP may be setting up for a large upside liquidation event even as price action remains fragile in the short term, according to Cryptoinsightuk analyst Will Taylor, who argued in a March 24 video that leverage positioning, funding data, and broader market structure still point to a higher move later in the cycle. Taylor’s core claim is not that XRP has bottomed cleanly or that downside risk has disappeared. It is that the balance of leverage, sentiment, and liquidity remains skewed in a way that could eventually force price higher, particularly if crypto gets a supportive macro or policy catalyst. Bullish XRP Liquidity Builds Above A large part of that thesis rests on liquidation maps. Looking at XRP, Taylor said there is “quite significant liquidity” below current levels in the near term, especially around $1.25 to $1.21. But he stressed that the more important picture appears on the higher-timeframe view, where the density of liquidation liquidity is far greater above the market than below it. Related Reading: XRP Price Will Not Move The Way People Think, Here’s A Better Pattern “Significant upside liquidity,” he said. “Again, look at the difference between the denseness of all this liquidity on the right compared to the left. Now, yes, there’s liquidity down towards a dollar, down towards 94 cent, but all the way up to and even including $3.59, there’s substantial liquidity for XRP.” He then put numbers on that imbalance. On the downside, Taylor pointed to roughly $20 million in short-term liquidity around $1.24. On the upside, he said the map shows around $300 million near $3.38 and another roughly $300 million near $3.60. That contrast, he argued, is one reason he continues to lean bullish despite the market’s weak tone. “It’s so much liquidity to the right-hand side,” Taylor said. “And I think that’s something people need to watch for here.” Taylor tied that setup to derivatives sentiment. He said XRP has already gone through eight consecutive weeks of negative aggregated funding, with the current week potentially becoming a ninth if it were to close negative. According to him, the only comparable stretch came at the 2022 bear-market low. Related Reading: Bitcoin, XRP Rallies Won’t Hold Until Oil Falls Toward $80, Expert Warns “We’ve had eight weeks of negative funding,” he said. “The only other time we’ve had that was here, which was the bottom of the bear market in 2022. So, I do think that people are underestimating sentimentally and structurally where we could be in crypto right now.” Still, Taylor did not present the case as a straight-line breakout. He repeatedly warned that XRP could continue compressing inside what he described as a descending wedge or bull-flag-type structure, and that a deeper flush remains possible before any larger move develops. “It doesn’t mean we have to go up here and break straight out to the upside,” he said. “This is also possible to happen… You could just chill and go down like that. But all this is compression of volatility. And when that compression of volatility gets realized, the moves more if we do that, if we go down to say like $1 by June, the move to the upside will be even more explosive than it would be if we move now.” He floated several possible catalysts, including progress on crypto legislation such as the Clarity Act, broader monetary easing from the Federal Reserve, or some other US policy move that could improve liquidity conditions. “I do think there’s going to be some sort of narrative that comes out that’s going to be quite positive for the markets,” he said. “I think the Clarity Act could be one of the things that we really start to lean on.” At press time, XRP traded at $1.42. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP is pressing up against what analyst EGRAG CRYPTO describes as a pivotal resistance band, with a new chart arguing that the token is entering a decisive technical phase. In the analyst’s framework, the immediate question is whether an ascending triangle forming beneath “Zone 1” can trigger the next leg higher and whether that move could eventually reopen the path toward prior cycle highs. In a post on X, EGRAG framed the setup as “Ascending Triangle vs Zone 1 (Decision Time)” and tied the structure to a potential policy catalyst: the Clarity Act. The five-day XRP/USD chart shows price compressing beneath a blue resistance area around $1.65 to $1.70, while a rising lower trendline suggests buyers have continued stepping in on dips. The core of the thesis is straightforward. According to EGRAG, “The Chart is Saying the following: Ascending Triangle forming under Zone 1 ($1.65–$1.70). Higher lows = buyers stepping in. Resistance flat = liquidity sitting above. This is classic breakout fuel.” XRP’s Possible Path To The ATH That interpretation hinges on a familiar dynamic in market structure. An ascending triangle typically reflects repeated buying interest at progressively higher levels, even as sellers continue defending a fixed ceiling. In EGRAG’s read, that ceiling is Zone 1, and the tightening range beneath it is creating the pressure. Related Reading: XRP Liquidity Builds on Binance – What The 2.78B Reserve Spike Means EGRAG does not present the pattern as a guaranteed breakout. Instead, the post assigns explicit probabilities to both paths. “Break Above Zone 1: ~65%. Structure supports continuation. Momentum building with compression,” the analyst wrote. “Rejection / Fakeout: ~35%. If no catalyst → liquidity sweep first. If the Clarity Act is postponed, rejection becomes the likely scenario.” Notably, the post repeatedly points to the Clarity Act as the narrative catalyst that could “unlock” a break above Zone 1. In other words, the triangle may be storing pressure, but the release still depends on a macro or policy trigger strong enough to force price through overhead supply. Related Reading: XRP Flashes Rare Bottom Signals As Analyst Eyes Breakout Toward $14–$18 Even then, EGRAG argues that clearing Zone 1 would only be the first step. The post asks what it would take for XRP to reach “Zone 2,” marked at roughly $2.60 and above on the chart. The answer is more demanding than a single breakout candle. “Breaking Zone 1 is NOT enough,” EGRAG wrote. “To breach Zone 2 ($2.60+), we need institutional flows / ETF-style exposure, BTC stability or dominance drop, [and] sustained weekly closes above $1.85–$2.00.” For now, the analyst’s summary is more measured than euphoric: “Triangle = Pressure. Zone 1 = Trigger. Zone 2 = Expansion. Catalyst starts the move…..Liquidity finishes it.” That leaves XRP at an inflection point. If buyers can convert the current compression into a clean move through Zone 1, the conversation quickly shifts from pattern recognition to expansion targets. If not, EGRAG’s own framework suggests the market could sweep liquidity lower first, especially if Clarity Act fails to arrive on time. At press time, XRP traded at $1.44. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP may need as many as five macro cycles to push beyond $100, according to a chart shared by analyst TARA, known on X as @PrecisionTrade3, who outlined a long-range roadmap that places the token’s first nine-figure milestone far beyond the current market structure. In the post, TARA said the projection was built around price targets rather than a calendar. “Keep in mind that I measured for price only, NOT time. I used only the textbook/conservative targets and as the cycles develop, each of these targets will be adjusted with the actuals,” the analyst wrote. “This is how many MACRO cycles it could take before XRP breaks $100. Many waves, many corrections, many years.” The Projected Path Above $100 For XRP The chart (12-month XRP/USDT Binance pair) maps out a staircase of cycle tops beginning with a completed Cycle 1 target at $3.65. From there, the model points to roughly $8.68 for Cycle 2, about $22.50 for Cycle 3, nearly $59 for Cycle 4, and around $153 for Cycle 5. On that framework, XRP does not clear $100 until the fifth major leg higher. Related Reading: This XRP Level Is ‘Where Everything Changes,’ Analyst Says That immediately pushed the conversation toward timing. One commenter asked whether failing to reach $8 yet means the market is still in Cycle 2 and could therefore need “20 years plus” to reach triple digits. TARA did not commit to a precise window but suggested the path could still be lengthy at the present pace. “Yea maybe 10 years at the current rate… hard to tell… and of course SO many factors can accelerate these cycles. Price targets would remain though- it would just move through the cycle much faster.” The thread also made clear that the analyst is not calling for a straight-line move higher. When asked whether XRP could go directly from the $8.68 area to the $22.50 region, TARA said a correction would still be required, adding that a conservative retracement back toward roughly $3.65 should be expected. In a follow-up, the analyst said “2 major corrections should be expected otw to $22,” reinforcing the idea that the projected path is sequential and structurally messy, not parabolic. Related Reading: XRP Gearing Up For 1,300% Rally? Analyst Sets Bold $48 Target For Next Bull Run That longer-term map sits alongside a much more cautious near-term view. In an earlier March 9 post, TARA said XRP was still stuck between two levels already being tracked, with the .618 at $1.47 acting as resistance and the .5 level at $1.33 serving as support that needed to break lower to complete the rest of the fifth wave. The analyst said the “plan has not changed,” and that the .786 support at $0.87 was still expected before XRP “takes off for Wave 3.” That bearish intermediate setup remained intact in later replies. Asked whether XRP could still drop to $0.87 before printing new all-time highs, TARA answered yes, while noting one condition that could briefly extend the upside first. “Watching this closely now bc its trying to break above $1.47,” the analyst wrote. “If it does, and depending on BTC targeting $75.4k-$79k, it could push XRP as high as the $1.88 level and then still back down to $.87.” The same reply thread put the next major resistance at $1.88 on Binance, which TARA said roughly equates to $2.02 on Coinbase because of exchange-level pricing discrepancies. On momentum, the analyst added that Bitcoin looked set to test $75,400 soon, but said XRP’s RSI was not “breaking out,” a sign, in that reading, that the move still looked corrective rather than the start of a new trend. At press time, XRP traded at $1.50. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP is in a compression phase rather than a breakdown, according to analyst EGRAG CRYPTO, who says the chart’s most important trigger now sits at $2.20. In a post published Friday, he argued that reclaiming that level would mark the point where the current structure turns decisively constructive again. EGRAG’s analysis is built around the monthly XRP chart and, specifically, the 21-period exponential moving average. “I keep repeating this: I don’t predict the future. I read charts, study cycles, and utilize on indicators,” he wrote, framing the setup less as a directional call than as a structural read of the market. “Right now the 21 EMA is the key.” What This Mean For XRP Price On his chart, that yellow 21 EMA has acted as the central trend reference through multiple XRP cycles. The latest monthly candles show price slipping below that line after a sharp rally, then moving into what he describes as a “descending compression / falling Channel.” He paired that with another key observation: “Price lost the 21 EMA,” “formed a descending compression / falling Channel,” and was “rejected from the $2.20 macro zone.” His conclusion from that combination was blunt: “This is not a crash structure.” Related Reading: XRP Bollinger Bands Are Squeezing—Volatility Incoming? That distinction is the core of the thesis. Rather than reading the recent decline as broad capitulation, EGRAG says the candle behavior points to a controlled retracement. “Look at the candles: shrinking bodies, weakening downward momentum, controlled retracement,” he wrote. “That’s seller exhaustion, not collapse.” The chart supports that reading visually. The candles on the right side of the structure are smaller than during the earlier impulse move, and the decline appears more contained than impulsive. The falling yellow guide lines drawn over the recent price action show a narrowing channel rather than a steep vertical unwind. In practical terms, the setup looks like compression into a decision point, not an outright structural failure. EGRAG then laid out two possible paths from here. The first is what he called a “Liquidity Sweep First,” meaning “a final shakeout toward $0.80-$1.00.” In his wording, that scenario would reflect a “wedge measured move & liquidity below,” suggesting XRP could still dip toward the lower part of the structure before any broader reversal attempt. Related Reading: XRP Accumulation Signal? Binance Withdrawals Jump, ETF Demand Grows The second path is the more immediate bullish alternative. “Fast Reclaim,” he wrote, would come “if XRP reclaims $1.65–$1.80,” at which point “the structure flips bullish again.” That reclaim zone matters because it would indicate that the compression has failed to produce follow-through to the downside and that buyers are regaining control before a deeper flush. Still, the chart’s most important level sits higher. EGRAG is explicit on that point: “The Level That Changes Everything $2.20: Reclaim that level and the expansion phase reactivates.” He followed that with the roadmap above it: “Next targets: $2.20 reclaim, $2.50 retest.” That makes $2.20 more than just a nearby resistance band. On this reading, it is the macro pivot separating a still-unresolved correction from a renewed expansion phase. The analyst had already identified it as the zone where XRP was previously rejected, so a move back above it would not just recover lost ground; it would invalidate the idea that the market remains trapped below a failed breakout area. For now, though, his message is that the market remains in waiting mode. “Until then…This is compression, not capitulation,” EGRAG wrote. “Structure > Noise.” At press time, XRP traded at $1.41. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP is down 58% from its all-time high, and two popular chart-focused accounts on X are framing the drawdown as a potential accumulation window rather than a trend break. How Low Will XRP Price Go? Crypto Patel (@CryptoPatel) told followers on Feb. 4 that XRP/USD has “entered our first accumulation zone at $1.50–$1.30.” In his post, he urged staggered entries rather than trying to time a single bottom. “Start buying slowly at these levels, no rush, just steady accumulation,” he wrote, positioning the move as capital-preservation after what he described as an earlier call highlighting a “bottom accumulation zone.” On the risk side, Patel tied his next decision point to the $1.30 level, suggesting a deeper set of bids if that floor breaks. “If XRP breaks below $1.30, place your entry bids between $0.90–$0.70,” he wrote. “But here’s the thing — if price hits that zone, it could be the best long-term accumulation opportunity for maximum profits.” Related Reading: XRP Enters ‘Washout Zone,’ Then Targets $30, Crypto Analyst Says He added that his “long-term target remains $10,” arguing that entry discipline matters more than headline targets: “Buying at $3 or $2? Not ideal in my view. If the target is $10, why not aim for entries at $1.50–$1 during hard dips for much bigger returns?” Patel also leaned on his prior public call as evidence of a repeatable framework. He said he shared an XRP setup at $0.50 in the last bear market and that XRP later rallied to $3.66, which he characterized as “over 600% profit.” XRP Bottom In March? A separate post from Charting Guy framed the selloff less as a new regime and more as a familiar cycle structure. “XRP repeating 2021, bottom in march roughly around $1.20 imo,” he wrote, adding: “maybe wick to $1 to scare the hoes. The bear market is almost over.” When asked directly by another user—“Bear market ends in march?”—Charting Guy replied: “yep.” In Charting Guy’s weekly XRP/USD chart, the roadmap is framed around a rising multi-year trendline and a Fibonacci ladder drawn across the move, with several of those Fib levels clustering right where he expects a March low. On the retracement side, the chart labels the key downside bands at roughly 0.618 ($0.915) and 0.702 ($1.2149), with additional levels below at 0.5 ($0.615) and 0.382 ($0.413). Charting Guy’s “bottom in March roughly around $1.20” lines up almost directly with the 0.702 Fib (~$1.215), while his “maybe wick to $1” comment points toward a deeper flush into the space between $1.00 and the 0.618 Fib (~$0.915). Related Reading: Analyst Predicts XRP Price Wil Target 450% Rally To $7 What makes that zone more than just a horizontal level on his layout is the trendline confluence. The green, rising trendline he’s drawn from the 2020–2022 base is shown catching price into early March (his vertical marker sits around Mon 02 Mar ’26), with the trendline effectively rising into the same $1.00–$1.20 neighborhood. In other words, his implied “March bottom” isn’t just a date call, it’s a confluence call: trendline support rising into the 0.702 retracement area, with room for a volatility wick closer to the 0.618 if the market tries to force capitulation. Above spot, the chart also shows the upside Fib extensions he’s using as reference points: 0.786 ($1.612), 0.888 ($2.274), and the prior swing reference around 1.0 ($3.317), with higher extensions marked at 1.236 ($7.349), 1.272 ($8.297), 1.414 ($13.389), and 1.618 ($26.630). At press time, XRP traded at $1.3888. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
As XRP attempts to climb to higher levels, an analyst affirmed that the altcoin is “doing what it needs to do” to continue its bullish rally, highlighting multiple key structures in key timeframes. Related Reading: Dogecoin Foundation-Backed ETF Launches On Nasdaq As Analysts Call For Massive DOGE Rally XRP Enters Inflection Point After retesting the $1.90 area on Friday morning, XRP saw a 4.6% intraday bounce toward the mid-zone of its local range. Over the past five days, the cryptocurrency has been hovering in the $1.85-$2.00 price range, failing to hold the upper zone of this range. Market watcher ChartNerd pointed out a key reversal pattern that could signal a massive price expansion may be around the corner, noting that the altcoin is at a “critical inflection point” as it retests a macro support zone. He explained that a running flat ABC correction formation is “a sophisticated structure where the failure of the ‘C’ wave to breach previous lows signals underlying bullish strength.” XRP has been mirroring the same structure over the past 400 days, which would point “toward a structural breakout, marking the transition from a yearly long base into a new primary uptrend” if it resolves. As the chart shows, “the wave counts repeating toward the structure are evident in XRP’s price action,” and as long as the macro support holds, around the $1.80 area, the C wave “could be working in the bulls’ defense.” We could be just building a base above $1.80, marking the C wave in this running flat correction before the major breakout. ChartNerd added that there could be a scenario in which XRP deviates below its major support before a V-shape recovery. However, he warned that losing this area would not be healthy, detailing that the only way to invalidate the pattern would be for the price to close below the structure’s support, retest it as resistance, and drop to lower levels. XRP’s Price Defends Macro Support The analyst emphasized the importance of the $1.80 level, noting that XRP has been defending this territory for over a year and could lead to a new all-time high (ATH) rally. “This is a macro accumulation zone, and we evidently also have two major levels of descending resistance for XRP,” he detailed, highlighting that when the first multi-month descending resistance broke, the altcoin rallied to a new all-time high. It’s pretty simple: we have descending resistance on our heads at the moment, and we once had a point of contact on this resistance at the $2.40 high (…) So, at this moment in time, the simplicity tells us: break the descending resistance, and this is where XRP really starts gearing up for further expansion. Based on this, ChartNerd asserted that if the altcoin defends the $1.80 macro support, then a similar rally is likely. Similarly, he pointed to a bullish reversal structure building below the key $2.70 resistance on XRP’s chart. Related Reading: Bitcoin To $80,000? Analyst Warns Of Potential Free Fall As BTC Erases 2026 Gains Per the post, the cryptocurrency formed a three-month falling wedge pattern that was broken out of during the early January rally. Now, the price is retesting the pattern’s breakout level as support and could be preparing to climb toward the level it started forming. “So XRP just needs to defend the guard at $1.80, and this is where we could be looking for that sort of major expansion and looking to press back up to the target of $2.70,” before potentially challenging its pre-Q4 range, he concluded. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
Certified Elliott Wave analyst XForceGlobal (@XForceGlobal) told followers on X that “$5+ remains on the horizon,” arguing that the token’s past year of range-bound trading is validating an Elliott Wave “flat” correction that typically resolves with a sharp, final move before a continuation higher. In a 10-minute video shared alongside the post, the analyst framed XRP’s recent price action as the late stage of a flat pattern, an extended period where neither bulls nor bears can force a clean trend. “A flat occurs when the market fails to trend on both sides. They’re basically evenly matched,” he said. “And that’s not a sign of weakness, it’s a sign of balance.” XRP Traders ‘Exhausted’ As Breakout Nears XForceGlobal positioned the structure as a corrective phase within a larger bullish sequence, describing the market as forming a new floor rather than breaking down. “This is where the buyers and sellers enter a Mexican standoff with each other, creating a new price floor,” he said, adding that the sideways feel is the point: “They’re not designed to go anywhere, basically. And the markets naturally alternate between expansion and compression.” Related Reading: Santiment Says XRP Social Sentiment Hits ‘Extreme Fear’: Buy Signal? The analyst emphasized the psychological aspect of prolonged consolidation, arguing that flats tend to “eliminate even the leverage traders through time rather than price” by exhausting both sides. “By the time the flat actually resolves, which is very close, in my opinion, most traders are emotionally already exhausted,” he said. “Positioning has been pretty much neutralized, and the path for continuation, to me, becomes very clear.” In Elliott Wave terms, XForceGlobal described the flat as a three-part A-B-C structure, with waves A and B unfolding as corrective “three-wave” moves and wave C completing as an impulsive “five-wave” move. He argued that this final phase is the moment the market stops drifting and forces a resolution. “Wave C must be impulsive because it represents the resolution of the balance that we have for waves A and B,” he said. “It’s not the continuation of a larger structure to the downside.” He framed impulsiveness as behavioral rather than directional, attributing it to urgency and follow-through once one side “decisively gives up,” clearing out the range that built during the earlier legs. That distinction matters for positioning, because his base case anticipates one more decisive shakeout before a move higher. He said the market is currently in an “expanded flat” configuration where wave B pushed above the prior high, and he expects a break of local structure “once” before the market turns up. He highlighted $1.70 as a prior low that could be undercut as part of the process without invalidating the larger setup, so long as broader support holds. Related Reading: XRP Distribution Phase Continues, But Funding Rates Suggest Shorts Are Overextended XForceGlobal’s post leaned heavily on conviction built over time—“I didn’t spend 2,000+ days accumulating XRP for no reason!”—while also stressing that he has already taken some profit. In the transcript, he said he “personally took some profits around the $2.70 level” and would continue to “sell into strength.” On upside expectations, he called for higher levels “in this current cycle,” tying potential targets to the duration of the consolidation. “The longer that we distribute here, the higher the targets are going to be,” he said, adding that “a minimum of a $6 range all the way up to even the $14 range is my personal target.” He also flagged conditions that would change the trade management. If the market shows “red flags” and breaks further structure than he expects, he suggested that is where risk management should take priority. For XRP traders, the practical takeaway from his framework is timing and path, not direction: a final, forceful leg lower could still be consistent with a bullish continuation thesis while a deeper structural breakdown would challenge it. At press time, XRP traded at $1.91. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP is flashing a rare relative-strength signal against ETH, according to crypto analyst Matt Hughes (“The Great Mattsby”), who points to a 2-week Ichimoku cloud flip that he says hasn’t meaningfully held as support since 2021. With XRP also boxed inside a defined USD range on lower timeframes, Hughes frames the next phase as a conditional “prove it” moment: reclaim one level, and the market has room to work; fail it, and the breakout narrative stays premature. XRP Poised To Outperform ETH? Hughes’ primary claim is anchored to the XRP/ETH pair on a 2-week chart. In his read, there’s a massive regime change: “When looking at the 2-week Ichimoku cloud, you can see that XRP is doing something it hasn’t done since 2021: flipping the 2-week cloud to support. The cloud has been a massive resistance for most of the chart’s history until now (with a notable breakout in 2021, but only a few weeks).” On Hughes’ chart, XRP/ETH is pressing into the top side of the 2-week Ichimoku cloud, with the latest candle marked around 0.00062. His bullish read is that a clean flip, price holding above the cloud and treating it as a floor on pullbacks, would be a regime change for the pair. XRP Roadmap To $9 Hughes’ shorter-timeframe work shifts from relative performance to mechanics in spot USD terms. On the daily XRP/USD chart, price is still behaving like a market that has not resolved its larger consolidation, oscillating between stacked horizontal levels while respecting sloping fan lines that visually reinforce why upside attempts have repeatedly stalled. Related Reading: XRP To Repeat Its 2017 Playbook? Analyst Forecasts 1,250% Expansion Hughes boils that structure down to one actionable threshold: “Price moves in increments, and this Gann fan perfectly illustrates why price is stuck in its current range. Once XRP can close candles above $2.30, the move up can continue.” Above that, the next targets on the daily timeframe are $2.59 and $2.95. The weekly XRP/USD chart adds the next level if that acceptance arrives. Two extension levels (drawn from the 2014 low to the 2017 high) are explicitly marked: 2.272 at $3.09882 and 2.618 at $9.00194, with Hughes’ drawn path stepping first toward the low-$3 area before stretching higher if momentum persists. Related Reading: Surge In XRP Transactions: 1.45 Million Daily Users Could Signal Price Rally Ahead, Says Expert Thus, Hughes’ bullish scenario is a two-part sequence: first, clear the USD range trigger (a sustained close above $2.30), then convert the last major zone before the 2025 high into support. He states it in more pointed terms on X: “XRP’s been grinding sideways for 1+ year while many other alts were bleeding. Not IF it hits $9—it’s WHEN. Key flip: $3.09 becomes support and then its go time.” The failure scenario is simpler and more immediate. If XRP cannot secure closes above $2.30, the fan-and-range framework remains intact: rallies are still just rallies into the same ceiling, and the market risks reverting back towards $1.78. However, a dip towards this price would not change anything about the long-term bullish chart of XRP. Pointing to a gap between chart structure and crowd sentiment, Hughes wrote: “An actual infant in diapers and a 120-year-old grandpa who’s forgotten his own name can look at this chart and go, ‘Yep, classic breakout above the 2021 top, now flipping it to rock-solid support.’ Meanwhile, every bear on X, their mailman, their mailman’s dog walker, and that one guy who still thinks it’s 2022 are out here screaming ‘BEARISH! DOOM! SELL YOUR KIDS!’ like it’s still the bear market special. Bro, even my grandma’s bingo partner is bullish at this point. Wake up and smell the bull fuel.” At press time, XRP traded at $1.9799. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP may be setting up for a final, cleaner long entry if the broader market delivers one more volatility-driven pullback, according to CryptoinsightUK’s Will Taylor, who says his preferred “risk to reward” zone sits materially below current support. The thesis hinges on whether Bitcoin prints a double-bottom-style retest and drags major alts into deeper liquidity pockets before the next leg higher. In his Jan. 10 newsletter, Taylor framed early 2026 as a market caught between two plausible paths: a familiar pullback-and-recover structure that has defined prior Bitcoin dips, or a continuation higher that leaves would-be buyers watching price run away. “The question mark for me is whether we do get a wick below this ascending trend line into that double bottom area and then push higher,” he wrote, adding that the setup is crowded. “On the other side of this, it does make you think that everyone is probably looking at the same structure and waiting for something like this to play out.” Taylor said he had closed short-term trades during the week, not as a shift in his higher-timeframe view, but as a response to what he described as low-timeframe conditions and event risk. “Today we get the ruling on tariffs in the US. Is that going to provide some volatility?” he asked, pointing to a cluster of geopolitical headlines as potential catalysts that could either produce the pullback he’s watching for—or “deceive people… who are waiting for a pullback, and instead continue higher from here and leave those orders behind.” Related Reading: Spot XRP ETFs Hit Record Trading Volume In Past Week — Details Taylor’s shorter-term trade framework leans heavily on liquidity positioning, using Ethereum as a key tell for what Bitcoin might do next. He argued ETH “kind of favours the double bottom scenario” because “the amount of liquidity that has built up for ETH down to about $2,600” is heavier below than above on the hourly chart, an imbalance he views as a magnet if the market attempts to rally without first clearing that downside interest. One Last Buying Opportunity For XRP? That same logic carries into his XRP plan. Taylor said XRP has already “swept the highs of the range first,” forcing a decision point between holding a nearer support band—his “first blue box”—or fading into a deeper demand zone. “Now the discussion becomes whether we move into the first blue box as a weaker area of support and hold there… or whether we come back down into the deeper support zone around $1.90 to $1.82 and hold there,” he wrote. “That deeper area is my preferred risk to reward zone for placing long positions, and that is where I will be looking to get back into an XRP long and add to my position if we see that move specifically.” He added that the daily RSI on XRP was “close to crossing bearish,” presenting a technical backdrop that, in his view, supports the case for one more washout before trend continuation while stressing it does not alter his higher-timeframe bullish thesis. Related Reading: Ripple Builds ‘Next Amazon’ With XRP At The Center, Says Crypto CEO Taylor then pivoted to a more stimulative medium-term narrative, citing talk of “putting 200 billion into additional mortgage backed security purchases to cut mortgage rates,” along with suggestions of potential stimulus checks and the inflation sensitivity of oil prices. “Because of all of this, I think we’re going to see an epic rally. I don’t think people are really expecting the size or the scale of the move that could come,” Taylor wrote. “I believe we’re in the final shakeout period before the market really starts to march higher.” He said he remained “around 95% exposed to the market through spot positions,” framing the decision to close short-term trades as “a capital protection mechanism.” His minimum XRP price target is $3.40 and extends to $4.40 based on liquidity in the medium term. Long-term, he says that the argument for the $8-$12 range is still valid, as reported last week. Separate commentary in the newsletter from analyst @thecryptomann1 highlighted what “confirmation” would look like on Bitcoin: a reclaim of roughly $105,000, a push through, and a successful retest. He cited “a huge amount of volume around this region” and alignment with bull market support bands, arguing that regaining them would shift the read from “relief rally” to something more durable. He also pointed to USDT dominance sitting on a multi-year trend line but showing weakness, including being “trapped below the 20 EMA” with RSI “below 50” and rolling over conditions that, if they resolve lower, could align with a risk-on breakout in majors. At press time, XRP traded at $2.05. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP has jumped roughly 25% off its recent lows (at one point), and Cryptoinsightuk co-founder Will Taylor says the move has reopened the debate over whether XRP is starting a larger impulse that could ultimately point toward the $8–$12 zone or whether it’s a short-term squeeze that needs to cool first. Taylor said he’s “up in the air” on the immediate next step, even as he remains long. His hesitation is rooted in a simple conflict: the lower timeframes look stretched, but XRP has a track record of accelerating after momentum spikes rather than immediately mean-reverting. What The XRP Charts Tell Us On the hourly, Taylor noted XRP’s RSI has repeatedly hit overbought territory and “we’ve crossed bearish on the hour,” a short-term warning that often precedes pullbacks or sideways digestion. On the four-hour, he described RSI as “about as high as I’ve pretty much ever seen it,” and tried to contextualize what happened the last few times XRP got similarly overheated. In one prior episode, he said XRP pulled back briefly, then continued higher by “a further like 36%.” In another, he described a rally sequence where price consolidated and then ran again, adding “another 129%” into the next leg. Related Reading: Same XRP Setup That Led To Over 1,000% Increase In 2017 Is Playing Out Again That’s the core of his dilemma: overbought conditions can be a sell signal in many markets, but Taylor argues XRP’s strongest phases often begin with RSI entering overbought, not ending there. “When XRP’s daily RSI gets overbought, XRP rips in price a lot of the time,” he said, pushing back on the reflex to fade strength. On the daily chart, he highlighted what he sees as a constructive technical shift. XRP has closed above a short-term range that previously capped price for multiple days, and printed its “highest daily close in XRP since the 13th of November.” Taylor emphasized how quickly XRP cleared that ceiling this time: after multiple failed attempts in the prior weeks, “we break straight through.” XRP Price Targets From there, Taylor laid out the upside logic using historical RSI analogs. He said three previous daily overbought signals during the current cycle coincided with major extensions, citing moves of roughly 414% in one instance and 36% and 49% in others. He framed this as pattern recognition rather than prediction: “this is complete fact,” he said, referring to the historical relationship between daily RSI overbought and subsequent upside but he still translated those rough percentages into possible zones. A smaller continuation on the order of ~39% would, in his words, take XRP to around $3.13. A larger extension could revisit all-time highs near $3.66. The most aggressive interpretation, aligned with his broader wave thesis, would move XRP “up towards our goals of like $8 to $12 for this wave.” Related Reading: Only 1 Week Left As XRP RSI Breakout Sets Up $10 Path, Analyst Predicts Structurally, Taylor said the market is at a point where multiple Elliott Wave counts can be argued. He sketched competing interpretations: XRP may be working through an ABC-type move off the lows, may be approaching a fifth wave higher, or could still be in an extended third wave within a larger five-wave advance. “My honest answer is right now I don’t know,” he said. Even without committing to a wave count, Taylor said the “impulsive” character of the rally stands out. He pointed to “the length of these candles supported by volume” across exchanges, arguing the move looks different from earlier, more corrective price action. For him, the practical test is near-term continuation: he wants to see “some more really aggressive candles” over the next day or two to support the idea that XRP is leading a broader leg rather than squeezing and stalling. Liquidity is the other piece he’s watching. Taylor said XRP has “on the hourly taken most of our upside liquidity,” while flagging downside liquidity zones around $1.70 down to $1.66. He said in established trends he would “expect a continuation to the upside,” but those downside pools, combined with stretched RSI and nearby resistance on XRP’s relative pairs, keep him from treating the current level as a clean new entry. Taylor said these mixed signals are why he has considered reducing leverage on his XRP long, noting he is “90% spot.” His bottom line was simple: XRP has delivered “a fantastic aggressive move,” but the next few sessions matter. 29 minutes of $XRP TA. pic.twitter.com/aJ4yiC7Sdr — Cryptoinsightuk (@Cryptoinsightuk) January 6, 2026 If XRP keeps printing strong daily candles and the relative pairs start closing above resistance, his $8–$12 zone framing remains a live bull-case roadmap. If not, the same overbought signals and nearby liquidity pockets increase the odds that XRP first resets through consolidation or a retracement before any larger leg can develop. At press time, XRP traded at $2.25. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP is compressing on the weekly chart into a clearly defined post-breakout range, and analyst Maelius (@MaeliusCrypto)argues the next directional clue will come from the RSI, with a breakout “sometime in Q1” that he expects to coincide with higher prices and a push toward $10. Maelius’ chart is a 1W XRP/USD view (Bitstamp) with a 50-week EMA overlaid. The market’s most recent regime shift is clear: a sharp vertical expansion carried XRP from a long base into a higher trading band, followed by a multi-week consolidation inside a shaded range. Is XRP Set To Explode Within 1 Week? That range is anchored by two levels the chart emphasizes. The upper boundary aligns with the prior spike high near $3.33 (the 2018 peak), while the lower boundary sits just above $1.60. At the time of the screenshot, XRP is around $2.124 on the weekly close, placing price just below the 50-week EMA, the most immediate, high-visibility pivot in Maelius’ framing. The Elliott labeling casts the current chop as a corrective wave 4 after the impulsive advance. The message is less “trend is broken” and more “trend is pausing.” Maelius added that his “conservative count assumes there is only 1W left,” implying a relatively tight window for the market to resolve the consolidation and transition into wave 5 if momentum confirms. Related Reading: XRP Is Setting Up For Its ‘Next Explosive Move,’ Analysts Say: Here’s The Target The broader layout of the chart also invites a comparison to 2017: XRP’s first major run off a base, a long mid-cycle breather, and then a second, sharper leg into the ultimate high. In the comparison within the chart, XRP rallied roughly 7,400% in about three months in early 2017, consolidated from May through December, then surged again by roughly 1,500%. Today’s sequencing is presented as similar in shape, if not necessarily in magnitude: a strong first leg from roughly November 2024 through January 2025 (roughly +500%), followed by a year-long consolidation into January 2026. In that read, the next major leg higher could be approaching, potentially shallower than the first, with wave 5 serving as the “second push” analogue. Related Reading: Analyst Updates XRP Price Prediction: Why $16 Is Still On The Table The lower panel is a weekly RSI with a descending trendline capping recent peaks. That red down-sloping line is Maelius’ timing trigger: “RSI breaks out sometime in Q1. Price goes higher.” The implication is straightforward. In his framework, momentum needs to break its own compression before price can sustain the next expansion phase. Crucially, the chart also carries a higher-degree label that places the current wave 4 within a larger wave III, rather than portraying the next wave 5 as a terminal, cycle-ending move. That aligns with his response when asked whether $10 would be a quarterly “max”: “Sometime in Q1 we should get a breakout, not necessarily a top. Next wave should be towards 10$.” If the thesis is working, XRP would be expected to reclaim the 50-week EMA and reassert acceptance back toward the range highs near $3.33, with the RSI trendline break acting as the confirmation event Maelius is watching. If it fails, continued rejection at the EMA and a breakdown through the range floor above $1.60 would keep the wave-4 corrective phase in play and delay the wave-5 path he’s mapped. At press time, XRP traded at $2.37. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP is approaching a decision point across the monthly and daily charts, with renowned crypto analysts The Great Mattsby (Matt Hughes) and Charting Guy (@ChartingGuy) framing the current structure as a volatility-compression setup that could resolve higher if key high-timeframe supports continue to hold. XRP Price Poised For ‘Explosive Move’ Mattsby’s core claim is that XRP has defended its long-term trend support and is now coiling for expansion. “XRP had a perfect bounce off the 20-month MA, while the upper and lower bands continue to contract—setting up for its next explosive move higher,” he wrote, adding: “It’s crazy how many people are bearish right at major high-time-frame support.” On the monthly chart, XRP is shown trading around $2.08629, sitting above the Bollinger basis near 1.89623, with the upper band labeled at $3.57705 and the lower band at $0.21541. The visual takeaway is the squeeze: the band envelope has tightened materially compared with prior periods, a condition Mattsby ties to “explosive” directional follow-through when it resolves. Related Reading: Jake Claver Doubles Down On $100 XRP Target After 2025 Miss The other important input on that panel is the 20-month moving average, which Mattsby highlights as the pivot. His October framing leans on historical rhyme: “XRP is repeating what it did back in 2017. Consolidate sideways for months until it touched the 20month MA. After that, it shot up to finish off the cycle.” In his view, the touch-and-hold dynamic is already in place this cycle, even if it’s “taking a little longer.” With the October 10 liquidation event, XRP pierced the 20-month moving average and has since consolidated above it. If that read holds, the most explicit upside reference on-chart is the monthly Bollinger upper band around $3.57705, a level that would represent a return to the top of the current volatility envelope rather than an open-ended projection. Wyckoff-Style Re-Accumulation Points To $8 Charting Guy’s daily chart overlays a Wyckoff-style roadmap and labels the sequence as a re-accumulation that transitions into markup. The yellow projection assumes XRP is still working through overhead supply, with the ~$2.08 area (marked by the blue horizontal line and aligned with the current print) acting as the immediate gatekeeper. In that framing, $2.08 is not a comfort-zone support level yet; it is a level XRP needs to reclaim decisively and then stay above on retests for the bullish sequence to keep validating. Related Reading: XRP Faces Strong Social Discontent—Is A 50% Bullish Reversal Just Around The Corner? A second constraint on the chart is the descending channel, the “creek” structure that defined the current downtrend. Charting Guy expects that XRP will rally towards the upper trendline resistance, followed by a controlled pullback labeled “test,” where price checks whether demand is real and whether sellers can still force acceptance back into the old range. If that test holds (another short-lived dip below $2.08 is fine), the roadmap then looks for an “LPS” (last point of support): a higher low that signals supply is being absorbed. Only after that does the yellow path call for “JATC” (jump across the creek), the clean breakout through the channel, followed by “SOS” (sign of strength) into the next major horizontal ceiling around ~$3.40. From there, the schematic expects another pause and “LPS” beneath that ~$3.40 zone, before the final markup leg accelerates into the ~$8 region. In short, the chart’s bullish outcome is conditional on sequential level-flips: first $2.08, then the channel, then ~$3.40 and finally $8. Until now, XRP is “following perfectly” the path, as the analyst noted via X. At press time, XRP traded at $2.13. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP could still reach $28 this cycle under a “non-base-case” scenario driven by an altcoin-heavy rotation, according to CryptoInsightUK analyst Will Taylor, who argued that XRP’s multi-year technical compression leaves room for an outsized move if market structure and sentiment align. In his Dec. 27 “Weekly Insight” newsletter, Taylor framed the call inside a broader thesis: that capital chasing breakouts in traditional markets could eventually rotate into crypto, amplifying returns given crypto’s smaller aggregate market cap. Within that setup, XRP is his “core position,” and the token he sees as a primary beneficiary if altcoins capture a larger share of the cycle’s upside. Can XRP Still Reach $28 This Cycle? Taylor’s XRP outlook is tied to his expectation that total crypto market cap can reach roughly $10 trillion this cycle, a level he characterized as consistent with prior cycle behavior. The more important variable, in his view, is where Bitcoin dominance lands if that scenario plays out. Related Reading: XRP Exchange Inflows Spike To End 2025: Will Price Decline Deepen? He wrote that dominance could fall into the “35.3 percent and 31.5 percent range,” which would imply Bitcoin at roughly a $3 trillion to $4 trillion market cap in that environment and “leave the door open for around six trillion dollars to flow into altcoins.” That’s the backdrop for his XRP targets: not a claim about XRP alone, but a wager on the size of the altcoin pie if the market turns risk-on. Taylor also pointed to a prior discussion with trader Credible Crypto as an example of how high-cycle targets can emerge when liquidity, positioning, and sentiment converge. “My pinned post on X is a conversation with Credible Crypto where he talks about how, for example, XRP could go to $26 if the stars align for a cycle like this,” Taylor wrote. “And right now, it genuinely feels like those stars are starting to align.” Taylor disclosed that XRP is the overwhelming majority of his portfolio, a disclosure he flagged as a potential bias. “As you guys know, I am around 90 percent XRP in my portfolio, so I definitely have some bias here,” he wrote, before laying out a profit-taking framework centered on a mid-cycle target zone. “I would not be too surprised to see XRP reach a minimum of eight to thirteen dollars,” Taylor wrote. “I have discussed many times that I would be taking a lot of profit in that range, with an outside maximum target of up to around twenty eight dollars.” Related Reading: XRP Supply Shock Incoming? Expert Reveals The Truth He tied the higher-end target to a technical read of XRP’s long consolidation and the possibility that an altcoin-led cycle could be larger than many investors expect. Taylor described the $28 level as derived from the “initial breakout from the 2017 to 2018 cycle,” while emphasizing he had deliberately “diminished expectations” versus modeling a more aggressive, multi-leg extension. Even so, his risk management plan is explicit about reducing exposure in the $8 to $13 band. “As I have said before, I plan to heavily de leverage between eight and thirteen dollars if we are offered that opportunity,” he wrote. “I will not be selling all of my bags, though, because I do think there is an outside chance that we push higher, potentially toward the twenty eight dollar area.” The Argument For XRP Taylor’s core claim is that XRP’s structure is different from many large-cap alts because it has, in his view, spent longer in “compression” and is now emerging from it. He argued XRP “has experienced longer compression than most altcoins, has broken out of an eight year trend, and has held previous seven year resistance as support.” He also suggested that a favorable US policy narrative could act as an accelerant in a euphoric phase, pointing to “the rhetoric around US companies,” the “US Clarity Act,” and Ripple “remaining based in the US” as factors that could make a higher-end outcome less implausible in a risk-on environment. Still, Taylor repeatedly stressed that the $28 figure is not his central expectation. “That being said, and I want to be very clear on this, this is not my primary target,” he wrote. “My primary target is and has been between eight and twelve dollars, potentially stretching to fifteen or sixteen dollars this cycle. The move toward twenty eight dollars is an outside scenario, not a base case.” At press time, XRP traded at $1.86. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP has slipped below a level that, for much of the past year, acted like a structural anchor for the chart: the $1.95 area. Crypto analyst Guy on the Earth (@guyontheearth) argued that XRP has now closed under that zone on a higher timeframe, calling out the two-week chart specifically. “For the first time in 13 months XRP has closed under this monthly support at $1.95 on the 2 week chart,” he wrote. “It’s the second time on the weekly this has happened with April tariffs being the first.” The 2-Weekly Close Is Crucial For XRP From there, his analysis went straight to the downside implication. “The technical target of this break down is 90c,” he added. “Do with this information what you have to. Everyone must make their own decisions at this time. The goal is getting back above $1.95.” The way he laid it out, $1.95 was not simply a mid-range price level but the lower boundary of a broader consolidation “rectangle.” Losing it, in that framework, opens the door to a measured move lower — with the reclaim of $1.95 as the key invalidation. Related Reading: XRP Price Forecasts For 2026 Unveiled By AI Simulation: Should Investors Remain Bullish? He also offered a risk-management approach for holders who are uncomfortable sitting through a potential continuation move. “If you are uncomfortable holding your bags with this breakdown – sell to reduce risk to where you feel comfortable,” he wrote. “Buy back on a close above $1.95 on the daily ( or a timeframe that you believe in) and your % loss of XRP is next to nothing. But should we go to 90c you are looking at a further 50% loss in capital.” For those treating the move as an opportunity rather than a warning sign, he mapped out incremental levels he views as potential buy zones on the way down. “Alternatively if you believe in XRP longer term and don’t like trading at all – keep buying on the way down,” he wrote. “Key levels are at $1.61, $1.42 and finally the 90c target and the 75c initial breakout.” Even in a bearish framing, he cautioned against assuming a straight-line cascade into every marked level. “We have went in a straight line down for weeks so it is unlikely that these targets would all be hit imminently,” he said. “$1.42 lowest this week if things get really ugly – not massively likely but possible with this breakdown and a big sell off in BTC to lower lows.” Related Reading: Here’s Why The XRP Price Keeps Crashing Not everyone agreed with the choice of timeframe used to call the breakdown. One account, XRP whale (@cryptoXRPwhale), pushed back on the premise: “2 week chart is not significant. You can’t choose a specific timeframe and say it’s a structure breakdown that fits your narrative… lol” Guy responded by reiterating that the level being referenced is higher-timeframe support, not a short-term marker. “Look at the chart. It held 13 months and now broke structure,” he wrote. “The lower boundary is monthly support. I’ve said all this.” There was also an attempt in the replies to flip the bearish target into a bullish setup. “Any price under $1 will be short-lived & sets $XRP up for a stronger push to the upside past ATH,” wrote Lawrence Bensen (@Lawrence_Bensen), referencing prior cycle lows and a reported wick below $1 on Binance earlier in the cycle. Guy acknowledged the point while keeping the technical math intact. “Yeah for sure – it has already been to 90c on Binance [on October 10],” he wrote. “I think we will recover before going as low as 90c – but that is the technical target of losing this consolidation.” His near-term bias, meanwhile, leaned toward caution largely on liquidity conditions rather than an absolute conviction that $0.90 must print. “My bias is that I find it hard to believe at Christmas people are going to throw heaps of money in this market,” he wrote. “Low liquidity has been an issue anyways and this week wont help. So the slow bleed continues.” At press time, XRP stood at $1.89. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Veteran chartist Peter Brandt is flagging what he calls a “potential double top” on XRP’s weekly chart, a classic reversal setup that, if confirmed, would argue for materially lower prices — even as other traders point to a washed-out weekly RSI reading that has historically aligned with prior bottom zones. Peter Brandt Flags XRP Double Top Pattern Brandt posted the chart to X on Dec. 17 and didn’t bother softening the message for XRP’s online faithful. “I know in advance that all you Riplosts $XRP will forever remind me of this post — ask me if I care,” he wrote, before adding: “This is a potential double top. Sure, it may fail, and I will deal with this if it does. But for now this has bearish implications. Love it or not — you need to deal with it.” The chart shows XRP-USDT on Binance in weekly bars, with two highs clustered around $3.40 and $3.66 and a clearly marked support shelf near $2.00. In classical chart terms, that $2 region functions as the neckline: lose it with follow-through, and the market is no longer in “pullback inside a range” territory — it’s in “failed structure” territory. Related Reading: XRP Price Falls To Critical Support Level, Is It Time To Panic? That distinction matters because double tops tend to be less about the second peak itself and more about what happens at the midpoint low between the two peaks. Brandt’s framing reflects that: the pattern is “potential” until either support holds and price reclaims prior levels, or the neckline breaks and the market accepts lower. In this case, Brandt’s chart is already showing XRP trading below the $2.00 line, with the most recent marker around $1.8859. That puts the focus squarely on whether the breakdown becomes a sustained weekly close-and-hold below support, or whether the move gets reversed quickly enough to treat it as a bear trap. Or Is The XRP Bottom In? Not everyone reading the same tape is leaning into the bearish conclusion. Trader Cryptollica posted a separate XRP/USD weekly chart (Bitstamp) on Dec. 15 highlighting the weekly RSI at roughly 33, accompanied by the comment: “$XRP WEEKLY RSI : 33 ????”. The chart highlights that, in the past five cases, similarly low readings in XRP’s weekly RSI have tended to occur around market bottoming zones. Brandt was receptive to the conditional logic — specifically, the idea that a failed double top can flip from bearish to bullish if the breakdown doesn’t stick. Responding, he wrote: “Yea, if this dbl top fails then this could become exciting. I agree. I am not championing a bear case — just showing charts for what they are.” Related Reading: Best XRP Buy Zone? Analyst Breaks Down The Key Levels That exchange captures the actual tension here. Momentum measures like RSI can identify stretched conditions and recurring historical zones, but they do not, on their own, invalidate a price-structure breakdown. Notably, Brandt did not provide a price target in his comment. But the chart he shared contains enough structure to infer the standard “textbook” projection many technicians would use. With peaks near $3.60 and a neckline near $2.00, the pattern height is about $1.60. The conventional measured move subtracts that height from the neckline after a break, implying a target in the neighborhood of $0.40 if the setup fully plays out. That is not a forecast, and it’s not a promise the market will cooperate — it’s simply the arithmetic implied by the pattern Brandt is pointing at. The more immediate question is whether XRP can reclaim the $2.00 area decisively enough to turn the breakdown into a failed move. If it can’t, the chart conversation shifts from “potential double top” to “confirmed break,” and the downside math stops being hypothetical in traders’ positioning models. At press time, XRP traded at $1.83. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Will Taylor, founder of CryptoinsightUK, frames XRP’s “best buy area” as a risk-to-reward question, not a certainty call. In his latest YouTube video from Dec. 17, he argues that XRP is trading back in the lower portion of a well-defined range, which is typically where entries make the most sense for range traders—because invalidation levels are clearer and upside targets are structurally defined. “We’re at the bottom of the range […] this area, the bottom of the range, and the bottom of the range has been quite wide,” Taylor said. “So, I’d say between like $2.01, then all the way down to about $1.60. This has been the best area to enter […] for the last […] basically year and a bit.” And his emphasis is that it’s attractive because the trade is measurable, not because it’s guaranteed. “Does this mean we can’t break down further? Does this mean we can’t lose support? No, that’s not what I’m saying at all,” he added. “But what I am saying is if you use range trading, if you want to know the best areas for risk-to-reward, we’re at them now.” Related Reading: XRP Liquidity Dries Up: Futures Buy Volume On Binance Falls from $5.8B to $250M On lower timeframes, Taylor said XRP has already swept much of the downside liquidity, leaving a smaller pocket below that could still get tagged. He pointed to ~$1.83 as the remaining area of interest. “XRP has taken most of this red liquidity to the downside. There’s a small pocket of liquidity below us still at $1.83,” he said. And crucially, that level is not academic for him — it’s tied to his own stop placement and whether the market is likely to wick lower before any sustained move up. “This is something that I’m considering […] as to whether to move my stop loss below this liquidity down at like say $1.79,” Taylor said. “My stop loss [is] $1.834 at the minute. Do I take it to say like $1.79 […] give us […] the bottom of this wick as potential support and that liquidity. That’s a potential discussion.” The Upside Trigger For XRP Taylor’s near-term bullish trigger is a reclaim of ~$2.07. His reasoning is positioning-driven: he thinks the market has built a meaningful amount of short exposure during the drawdown, and a move back above that level could force covering. Related Reading: XRP Falls Below $2 As $721 Million Profit-Take Hits Market “When you start to get a buildup of […] lower highs like this, all it takes is a bit of momentum to break us above,” he said. “So, say for XRP, if we start to get back above $2.07, you probably should see price squeeze to $2.58-$2.60 quite quickly […] as we squeeze out all of this […] open interest that’s been adding in as price has been coming down.” Taylor’s XRP view is nested inside a broader “crypto is mispriced” thesis. When comparing crypto’s market cap performance against a basket of traditional assets, he argues that crypto has decoupled sharply since the Oct. 10 crash, while sentiment has deteriorated. “Crypto has like decoupled from every other asset class […] crypto is about the only asset that has decoupled this hard,” he said. “I personally believe this is a deep value zone […] we’re clearly mispriced versus other assets.” He also repeatedly leaned on the idea that positioning is skewed: rising open interest into downside, negative premium, and funding flipping between positive and negative — conditions that can set up a squeeze if price starts reclaiming levels. “I think a lot of the market generally is setting up for a bit of a short squeeze to the upside,” Taylor said. “And I think that people are overly negative and […] the sentiment’s overly bearish compared to where the price is.” At press time, XRP traded at $1.92. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Crypto analyst Cryptollica published a new XRP/USD 2-week chart on December 8 via TradingView, arguing that the altcoin may be replaying the same structural pattern that preceded its explosive 2017 rally. With current price action pivoting around the key $1.95 level and technical targets projected as high as $9–$13. What Happens If XRP Repeats The 2017 Fractal? The analysis uses a long-range log chart from Binance, where the latest candle in the screenshot shows XRP trading around $2.0892. In this timeframe, the analyst divides XRP’s history into mirrored cycles: 2014–2017 on the left and 2021–2025 on the right, each broken into labeled segments “Part 1,” “Part 2” and “Part 3.” Related Reading: XRP Selloff: Whales Shed Coins Worth $1 Billion In A Week According to Cryptollica, “the cycle experienced by XRP between 2014 and 2017 is almost an identical copy of the current cycle spanning 2021 to 2025.” In both cases, Part 1 is described as an accumulation phase, with XRP suppressed below a dashed blue resistance band for an extended period while forming higher lows along a rising dotted trendline. The current Part 1, roughly 2022–2024, is said to have lasted substantially longer than in the earlier cycle. The analyst cites the rule that “the bigger the base, the higher in space,” arguing that this extended sideways structure signals a large build-up of potential energy. Part 2 is defined as the breakout and retest of that blue resistance band. Once XRP closes decisively above this zone and consolidates there, the chart treats the area as a new support and as confirmation that “the official end of the downtrend and the start of a bull market” has been registered. Cryptollica suggests XRP is now at the final stage of, or has just completed, this breakout phase on the 2-week timeframe. The pivotal reference point for the entire setup is the $1.95 level, drawn in green on the chart. “The $1.95 level, marked in green, is of vital importance,” the analyst writes, emphasizing the classic principle that “once resistance is broken, it turns into support.” In this framework, XRP “currently holding above this level (performing a successful retest) is the most crucial confirmation point for the continuation of the uptrend.” Related Reading: Pundit Highlights The Condition That Will Trigger A 2,300% XRP Rally To $50 If that confirmation holds, the analysis moves to Part 3, labeled the “Parabolic Rise – Discovery Phase.” In 2017, this segment corresponded to a near-vertical advance that pushed XRP into its all-time high zone. Cryptollica argues that XRP now stands “right on the precipice of this ‘vertical lift-off’ in the current cycle,” illustrated by a steep yellow arrow on the logarithmic chart. The first major objective is the region around the prior all-time high at roughly $3.30–$3.84. If the 2017 fractal “plays out precisely,” the post projects an “implied target” between $9.00 and $13.00. The analyst tempers this with several cautions. The crypto market is far larger than in 2017, and a move to $10+ would imply a “colossal market capitalization,” making a repeat of the exact 2017 multiple “mathematically more challenging,” even if “logic often takes a backseat in crypto mania.” The scenario also assumes supportive fundamentals, including the resolution of regulatory overhangs, potential XRP ETF developments and Ripple’s stablecoin strategy. Parabolic phases, Cryptollica warns, are typically accompanied by “sudden drops of 30–40%,” making them “the most dangerous territory for leveraged trading.” The analyst characterizes the overall outlook as “extremely positive (bullish)” as long as the $1.95 support holds, concluding that XRP is at the moment of “breaking its chains” and that, if broader market conditions remain constructive, “double-digit targets ($10+) for XRP are technically on the table.” At press time, XRP traded at $2.07. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP is testing a key inflection zone above $2.00 as two independent frameworks from crypto analysts Dom (@traderview2) and Osemka (@Osemka8) converge on a potential reversal – with clearly defined levels at roughly $2.00, $2.22 and $2.50 marking the battlefield. XRP Price Consolidation Nears Its End On the higher-timeframe 2-day chart, Osemka frames the structure as a classic flat correction built on top of the 2021 high. “Here’s the range and levels to help you navigate it. We’re basing on top of 2021 high,” he writes, adding that “we’ve also never broken down after going sideways for this long, so I remain with my view of this being an accumulation range and a flat correction.” Related Reading: XRP Whale Wallets Collapse 20%, But Biggest Holders Hoard More Than Ever His chart shows XRP oscillating in a horizontal band whose floor aligns with the 2021 high, labeled as a “Reaccumulation” area. Price has repeatedly tagged this support and bounced, while midrange resistance in the low-to-mid $2 zone has capped multiple rallies. Above, a higher horizontal line marks the January spike, which Osemka treats as the cycle top. Internally, he maps an A–B–C corrective sequence. The B leg forms a dotted ascending channel, labeled as a 3-legged “abc” wave. “That dotted ascending range in the middle (3 legged abc wave in B) has me optimistic as that is a corrective move that is synonymous for a flat correction,” he explains. “Meaning the top was in January and this indeed is only a sideways correction.” The current C leg is contained within a downward “Corrective channel” pointing back toward the lower band. For Osemka, even a deeper test of support would not necessarily be bearish for the larger structure: “If we end up taking the lower end of the range with C leg it’ll remain to be seen. But if so, it’d be a great buying opportunity.” He also calls XRP “a perfect example on why I view BTC also as a flat correction with the top in January,” arguing that “while Bitcoin is messy, XRP is very clean.” Why Its Now Or Never For XRP Dom zooms in on the last six weeks of that broader range and focuses on the microstructure that could trigger a move back toward the upper band. “If you inverse the chart over the last 6 weeks, you’ll see a perfect 3 drive pattern, a very accurate reversal setup in crypto,” he writes. On the non-inverted chart, this corresponds to three downside pushes that fail to extend lower, followed by what he calls a higher low: “We can see a HL has finally formed which can hint at the first sign of a trend change developing.” His 8-hour chart highlights the monthly rolling VWAP as the key pivot. “Bulls needs to regain the monthly rVWAP around $2.22 and that would be the shift for a rally back towards ~$2.50,” Dom says. That ~$2.50 area aligns with higher VWAP clusters and the upper portion of Osemka’s range. Related Reading: XRP Price About $1,000 Is A Necessity, Analyst Claims Order-book and skew data back his view that conditions are ripe for a break if buyers step in. “Orderbooks are clear, if there was a time, it’s now for this trend to shift,” he notes, pointing to relatively clean liquidity overhead and a recovering skew after a washed-out short side. The downside is equally explicit: “If this setup fails, acceptance under $2 is next and the end of year is ugly.” That would mean a decisive loss of the long-defended support band built on the 2021 high and a deeper completion of the C leg in Osemka’s flat-correction structure. For now, XRP remains compressed between the $2.00 support, the $2.22 monthly rVWAP trigger and the ~$2.50 upside magnet, with the six-week 3-drive pattern and flat-correction range jointly defining one of the clearest technical inflection points on the XRP chart this year. At press time, XRP traded at $2.1798. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Crypto analyst Charting Guy (@ChartingGuy) is mapping out a sharply asymmetric setup for XRP, arguing that the token is locked in a textbook Wyckoff reaccumulation and is “still NOT bearish in the slightest” despite a year of range-bound trading. Why XRP Is Still Not Bearish His work is based on XRP/USD Bitstamp charts posted on X on 27 November 2025. On the weekly view, XRP trades around $2.23 after an 8–9% gain on the week, consolidating below the 2025 peak at approximately $3.317, which he marks as the 1.0 Fibonacci level. The retracement is drawn from the cycle low near $0.11400 up to that high, producing a ladder of levels that structure the entire thesis. Key Fibonacci levels include 0.5 at about $0.61495, 0.618 at $0.91531, 0.702 just above $1.20 and, crucially, 0.786 at $1.61246. A broad highlighted band covers the prior 2021 high zone and this 0.786 cluster, roughly from the mid-$1s into the low-$2s. Charting Guy describes this as XRP “building support on prior cycle high as well as top of golden pocket,” referring to the 0.618–0.786 retracement area. Related Reading: XRP Reserves On Binance Collapse To Record Lows: Investors Move Toward Long-Term Holding Above the 2025 high, he plots classic Fibonacci extensions: 1.272 at about $8.29661, 1.414 around $13.38940 and 1.618 near $26.63038. His immediate scenario, however, stops short of those levels, projecting a move toward roughly $7.50. XRP Price Roadmap For 2026 The detailed roadmap appears on a two-day XRP/USD chart overlaid with a Wyckoff schematic. The structure begins with a Preliminarily Supply (PSY) phase and a Buying Climax (BC) into the low-$3 zone, followed by a Secondary Test (ST) and an Automatic Reaction (AR) that defines the lower boundary of the range. Horizontal lines mark that floor near $1.61184, an intermediate band around $1.95, resistance at approximately $2.90 and the upper ceiling just above $3.30. During mid-2025, XRP prints an “UT Phase B” upthrust into that $3+ resistance before rolling into a downward-sloping channel. The upper boundary of this channel, labeled “CREEK,” connects a series of lower highs, while the lower boundary guides price back toward the $1.61–1.70 support. In the scenario path, XRP spikes down to test the blue horizontal at $1.61184. This move is annotated as the “SPRING” — Wyckoff’s final shakeout below range support. Price then rebounds to retake the $1.95 area, marked “TEST,” and establishes a higher low between roughly $2.00 and $2.20 as the first “LPS” (Last Point of Support). Related Reading: Analyst Predicts XRP Price Will Hit $100 Before Bitcoin Hits $1 Million From there, the schematic shows a decisive break of the descending “CREEK” trendline, the “JATC” or “Jump Across The Creek,” as XRP accelerates from around $2.20–2.30 through the $2.90 resistance. That breakout is followed by a “SOS” (Sign of Strength) above the former ceiling, with another LPS holding around the $2.90 region and confirming the flip of resistance into support. The right edge of the 2D chart then projects a steep markup phase. XRP rallies from roughly $3.00 to just above $7.50 before stalling, even though it remains below the 1.272 weekly extension at $8.29661. Alongside the charts, Charting Guy pushes back against bearish momentum narratives centered on the monthly RSI. He notes that the RSI peak occurred in January 2025 and “lost momentum ALL 2025 while XRP stayed sideways in a range and held its own,” calling this “a very textbook reaccumulation signal where indicators lose steam to reset and price stays stable.” The technical message is unambiguous: as long as the $1.61–1.70 band holds, Charting Guy views XRP’s extended consolidation as preparation, not distribution—anticipating a final flush below $1.70, followed by a Wyckoff-style breakout sequence toward approximately $7.50. At press time, XRP traded at $2.23. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP traders are once again arguing about upside targets after popular chartist Charting Guy reposted a bullish long-term setup and doubled down on his call that XRP can still reach $8 this cycle. “XRP still going to $8, idc,” he wrote on X in the early hours of Nov. 25, alongside a weekly XRP/USD chart from Bitstamp. XRP Price Still Has Room To Run At the time of the screenshot, XRP was trading around $2.25, up roughly 9.8% on the week, with the chart plotting an Elliott Wave structure from early 2023 into a projected peak in 2026. The analysis is built on a dense Fibonacci framework spanning from about $0.25 to a 1.272 extension at $8.29661, which anchors his upside target. The green wave count shows a classic five-wave impulse. Wave 1 launches from the post-bear-market base into the 0.618 Fibonacci level near $0.915, where the first leg tops out. Wave 2 then retraces for 51 weekly bars (357 days), bottoming just above the 0.382 retracement at $0.41315. Related Reading: XRP Real Purpose: Documentation Shows Payment Utility Contrary To Viral Claims — Details Wave 3 is drawn as a steep rally off that base, blasting through all mid-range Fibonacci bands and extending beyond the 1.0 level at $3.31700. In the replies, one user suggested the spike to around $3.65 had already completed the fifth wave; Charting Guy rejected that outright: “it wasn’t… was very clearly a B wave.” From that high, the chart records a year-long consolidation labelled as Wave 4, annotated as 50 weekly bars (350 days). Price fluctuates between roughly the mid-$2 area and above $3. The Wave-4 low holds above the 0.786 Fibonacci support at $1.61246, never revisiting the $1 region. From this consolidation, the projected Wave 5 shoots higher from around the $2–$2.30 zone—where XRP is currently trading—toward the 1.272 extension at $8.29661. The “5” marker sits at this level, and the projection shows only a modest pullback after touching the band, implying that this area is treated as the probable cycle cap. Related Reading: XRP Hits Exact Bull Target as Top Traders Celebrate Perfect Market Call The Fibonacci grid also frames the current battle zone. XRP’s price is oscillating around the 0.888 level at $2.27404, which lines up almost exactly with the latest weekly close, while the prior wave-3 region around $3.317 remains the next major resistance band on the chart. Not everyone is convinced. “Could still go under 1.50. Still,” wrote another user. Charting Guy’s response was curt: “no.” That stance matches the technical layout: in his count, the $1.61 area has already printed the Wave-4 low, and the structure does not include another trip below that support. Others pushed for higher numbers. “Was hoping for $20+,” one follower admitted. “could happen,” the analyst replied—before clarifying to another user that “$20 is not on track but still entirely possible.” His published chart, however, draws no path beyond the $8.29 extension, underlining that mid-single-digit territory remains his primary target for this cycle. At press time, XRP traded at $2.20. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Crypto analyst Will Taylor, founder of Cryptoinsightuk, says talk of an XRP bear market is premature, arguing that the token’s higher-time-frame structure and liquidity profile remain bullish despite extreme volatility and record liquidations. Is The XRP Bear Market Here? In a video published on 19 November, Taylor acknowledged the “doom and gloom” dominating crypto sentiment but insisted that, from a technical standpoint, “nothing’s really changed” for XRP. His core claim is that XRP is still trading above a reclaimed multi-year resistance level that now acts as structural support. “We have spent over a year above our 7-year resistance holding it as support,” he said, calling this setup “almost unprecedented for XRP and for any asset.” As long as that zone holds, he rejects the idea that the market has rolled into a confirmed long-term downtrend. “Until that support is lost […] you can’t convince me that we’re bearish. I just don’t believe that.” Taylor uses Bitcoin as the macro anchor for the XRP thesis. He described the current BTC drawdown as a standard bull-market correction, noting that price is now sitting around a 30% pullback from the highs, similar to prior mid-cycle moves. He pointed out that the daily RSI is oversold and that the three-day RSI is at levels last seen near the $25,000 lows. “If we’re referring back to when momentum has felt this bad, it’s literally cycle lows,” he argued, while stressing that this does not guarantee an immediate reversal. Related Reading: XRP Supply In Profit Falls to 58.5% – Lowest Since 2024 Despite Higher Price Against that backdrop, he characterizes XRP as simply ranging above long-term support. On the daily chart, he said XRP is “holding its range pretty well,” with price near the lower end of that structure. He framed the area around roughly $2 as historically attractive from a risk-reward perspective: “Bottom of the range is where people are scared, where sentiment’s low. These are the areas that are pretty decent.” The liquidity map is central to his view. On lower time frames, Taylor sees some liquidity beneath recent lows, around $2.05–2.03, which could be swept without breaking the broader range. However, he stressed that the overwhelming concentration of resting liquidity lies far above spot. In the daily, he claimed that for XRP “the densest area of liquidity by an absolute long shot is above us […] dense all the way up to $4.20, $4.30 in dollars.” He argued that this distribution matters because market makers and exchanges maximize revenue where positions are opened and closed, not at stagnant prices. “They make money when contracts are opened and closed. They don’t give a [expletive] whether the price goes up or down,” he said. In his view, that means price statistically gravitates toward the most crowded liquidity pockets: “You have to play the four out of five chance that it is going to go into the dense area of liquidity.” Related Reading: Famous Trader Bets $27 Million That The XRP Price Will Crash XRP Vs. The Rest Of Crypto Taylor also pointed to relative-value signals. Against Ethereum, XRP recently closed a weekly candle above the 0.000071 level, which he said “has trapped us down since August.” Versus Bitcoin, he highlighted that XRP has been “holding the range lows” and has finally logged a weekly close above a resistance cluster that capped price since early October. XRP dominance, he added, has broken out of a downtrend and closed back above a recent cluster, although he wants “one or two more weeks” of continuation to confirm a bullish cross. He underscored that this structure has held despite the October 10, “the largest liquidation event in history of crypto.” While the FTX collapse saw about $2 billion in leveraged positions liquidated, the October 10 move liquidated roughly $20 billion and still failed to push XRP into a sustained breakdown.The sharp wick lower was “instantly bought back to the upside,” and the range was reclaimed soon after. “Things like XRP are looking super bullish here,” he concluded. “I think XRP is going to blow the doors off people’s expectations.” For now, Taylor maintains that an XRP bear market would require a decisive loss of the long-term support zone and a very different liquidity and dominance picture. Until those conditions appear, he says, “there isn’t a factual argument” for a confirmed bear market—only predictions. At press time, XRP traded at $2.11. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP is printing its most constructive long-term structure on record, according to independent chartist “The Great Mattsby” (@matthughes13), who points to the three-month Ichimoku system and a year-long base forming above its key quarterly averages. XRP Is In The Strongest Bull Run Ever On the latest 3-month XRP/USD chart from Bitstamp, the in-progress candle shows price around $2.31, with the Ichimoku conversion line and baseline tracking just beneath spot. The analyst highlights that XRP “has never built a base above the 3 month conversion or baseline in its history and it’s doing it now for the past year” (posted Nov. 8, 2025). That observation is notable because, in prior cycles, quarterly closes consistently failed to hold above those Ichimoku reference lines after rallies, whereas the current cycle has seen price stabilize on top of them for multiple quarters in a row. The present quarterly candle remains open, but the configuration—price above both the 3-month conversion and baseline—visually underscores the claim of an ongoing macro bull trend. And there’s a more bullish structure for XRP. XRP has been oscillating between the 0.886 Fibonacci retracement at $2.25877 and its 2018 cycle all-time high at $3.31700. Since early December last year, price repeatedly defended the $2.25877 band as support while failing to secure acceptance above the $3.31700 ceiling on the weekly chart, creating a horizontal range capped by the former peak. Related Reading: XRP Eyes $5.5, But The Best Entry Is Still Ahead: Analyst “To put things in perspective, XRP has been consolidating between the 0.886 Fibonacci level and its 2018 all-time high (2.25877–3.317). It’s building a strong base above the 0.886 Fib,” Mattsby wrote on Oct. 12, adding that this structure keeps XRP in what he calls a “#Palantiring candidate” posture. Although that remark is four weeks old, the argument remains intact on the posted chart: the 0.886 area continues to function as the pivotal shelf. XRP Price Targets Beyond the prior-cycle high, the same weekly framework maps out upside extension levels that would logically come into play only if $3.31700 is reclaimed and held. Those include the 1.272 extension around $8.29661, the 1.414 near $13.38940, and the 1.618 up at $26.63038. Related Reading: XRP Price To Reach $1,000 By End Of 2025? Rumor Mills Are On Fire With BlackRock Speculations Closer to price, the stacked retracement supports below $2.25877 are clearly demarcated at $1.61246 (0.786), $1.12487 (0.702), $0.91531 (0.618), $0.61495 (0.500), $0.41315 (0.382), and $0.25257 (0.236), delineating the ladder of demand zones that governed XRP’s multi-year range prior to the latest advance. Taken together, the two timeframes tell a coherent story. On the high-timeframe Ichimoku view, XRP is maintaining altitude above its 3-month conversion and baseline for the first sustained period in its history—an objective sign of trend strength. On the weekly, price action has compressed into a well-defined band between $2.26 and $3.32, with repeated mean-reversions indicating accumulation rather than distribution while the market tests overhead supply at the 2018 high. As long as the 0.886 retracement at $2.25877 continues to hold on closing bases, the consolidation thesis laid out by The Great Mattsby—and the characterization of this as XRP’s strongest macro bull trend to date on Ichimoku terms—remains technically valid. At press time, XRP traded at $2.56. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com