Data shows the XRP social media sentiment has dropped to its third-worst level in the past two years, a sign that the crowd has turned bearish on the asset. XRP Positive/Negative Sentiment Has Declined Recently According to data from on-chain analytics firm Santiment, the Positive/Negative Sentiment has plummeted for XRP. This indicator tells us about how the degree of positive sentiment surrounding a given asset compares to that of the negative one on major social media platforms. Related Reading: Bitcoin Surges To $72,000, But Remains Stuck In Key Supply Zone The metric works by filtering for social media posts/threads/messages containing mentions of the asset and putting them through a machine-learning algorithm to separate between bullish and bearish comments. Then, it counts up the number of each and finds their ratio. Now, here is the chart shared by Santiment that shows the trend in the Positive/Negative Sentiment for XRP over the last couple of years: As displayed in the above graph, the XRP Positive/Negative Sentiment shot up to high levels in December and January, implying that social media users became optimistic about a market turnaround following a pause in the bearish momentum. This optimism, however, didn’t pay off as the price drawdown picked back up at the end of January. While sentiment initially deteriorated after this decline, the dominance of positive posts returned again, although to a notably lower degree than the earlier highs. This suggests that social media users still didn’t entirely turn bearish about the cryptocurrency. That is, until the past week rolled around. From the chart, it’s visible that the Positive/Negative Sentiment has plummeted for XRP, a potential sign that the drawn-out consolidation has finally broken trader conviction. Currently, the metric is sitting at 1.02, which suggests that there are about as many positive posts related to the asset as negative ones. While this still doesn’t signal an outright shift to a bearish dominance, it’s still a pretty low level when compared to the last two years. “According to our weekly social data for crypto’s #4 market cap, FUD is at its 3rd highest point in the past 2 years,” noted the analytics firm. The two instances in this window where a bearish mentality was more dominant occurred in February and October of last year. Both of these led to price rebounds. This is actually a pattern that has been witnessed time and again in digital asset markets: prices often move against the expectations of the majority. Related Reading: Top Toncoin Whales Silently Accumulate 189,730 TON Despite Market Weakness The effect tends to be the strongest inside the “FUD” and “FOMO” zones highlighted by Santiment in the chart. The latest decline in the Positive/Negative Sentiment has taken XRP into the former of the two regions. “Historically, when bullish comments get replaced by this level of bearish ones, the probability of a relief rally climbs significantly higher,” explained the analytics firm. XRP Price At the time of writing, XRP is floating around $1.32, down 1% in the last seven days. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP is back in a familiar spot: social chatter has turned sharply bearish even as the market probes support after an early-January surge. Analytics firm Santiment said its social data shows XRP slipping into “Extreme Fear” after a roughly 19% pullback from its early-month high, a setup it argues has historically preceded rallies. Santiment wrote on Jan. 22 via X: “According to our social data, XRP has fallen into ‘Extreme Fear’ territory. Small retail traders have become pessimistic toward the #5 market cap cryptocurrency after a -19% drop since the high back on January 5th. Historically, this high level of bearish commentary leads to rallies. Prices move the opposite to retails’ expectations more often than not.” Related Reading: Pundit Clarifies XRP Roadmap To $10: How Price Will Play Out In 2026 The chart Santiment shared pairs XRP’s 6-hour candles with a social ratio measuring positive versus negative commentary, and overlays three “buy” and three “sell” markers tied to sentiment bands. Those bands are explicitly labeled as a “fear zone” (where prices “go up”), a neutral zone, and a “greed zone” (where prices “go down”). How Reliable Is The XRP Social Sentiment Signal? To check the timing, daily XRP spot data for the same late-December-to-January window broadly supports the chart’s claim that extreme sentiment readings often show up near inflection points, with an important caveat: not every signal front-runs a turn cleanly, and some arrive early. The first “buy” marker on the chart is dated Jan. 2. On that day, XRP closed around $2.01 after trading as low as roughly $1.87, and the market proceeded to accelerate into the week’s blow-off move: by Jan. 5 XRP closed near $2.35, and the Jan. 6 session printed a high around $2.42. In other words, the Jan. 2 “buy” call landed ahead of the sharp leg higher that set the period’s high. Related Reading: XRP Market Structure Resembles That Of February 2022, Glassnode Warns The first “sell” marker is dated Jan. 7, immediately after the peak. XRP closed around $2.16 that day and then bled lower across the next sessions, sliding toward the low-$2.00s by Jan. 12. On sequence alone, that sell signal aligns with the market shifting from post-spike distribution into a steadier downtrend. The second “sell” marker, Jan. 11, is less straightforward. XRP closed near $2.07 on Jan. 11 and dipped again on Jan. 12, but then logged a sharp rebound on Jan. 13, closing around $2.17. Traders treating the Jan. 11 marker as an immediate top signal would have faced a short-term whipsaw before downside resumed. That brings the chart’s third “sell” marker (Jan. 13) which appears to target that rebound itself. From Jan. 13’s close near $2.17, XRP rolled back over: it faded through mid-month and ultimately slid into the Jan. 20 low around $1.87 (intraday), which maps cleanly to the chart’s contention that “greed-zone” sentiment can coincide with local exhaustion. On the “buy” side late in the window, Santiment flags Jan. 18 and Jan. 20–21. The Jan. 18 marker arrived early: XRP closed around $1.99 on Jan. 18 but continued lower into Jan. 20 before rebounding. The current Jan. 20–21 marker fits better in the short term, with XRP bouncing from the Jan. 20 close near $1.89 to roughly $1.95 by today. Even so, that rebound has so far been modest relative to the broader drawdown from the $2.4 area peak. Santiment’s broader point is contrarian: when social feeds tip into one-sided pessimism, marginal selling pressure may already be exhausted, setting up mean reversion. The recent signal history partially supports that while also showing the practical risk: entries can be early, and “extreme fear” can persist if trend conditions remain heavy. At press time, XRP traded at $1.9498. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com