As the cryptocurrency market enters the new year, optimism around XRP is growing, particularly following Standard Chartered’s positive outlook for the altcoin. As NewsBTC reported two weeks ago, the bank projects a significant surge for the token, forecasting a potential new all-time high of $8. Recently, market analyst Sam Daodu has identified four key catalysts that could drive XRP toward this major milestone, potentially in the first quarter of the year. What Could Drive Prices Higher? The first catalyst stems from the imminent passage of the CLARITY Act, the crypto market structure bill expected to be marked up on January 15. Daodu asserted that the clarity provided by this new bill could significantly enhance institutional participation in the XRP market. In addition, Ripple, the firm behind the altcoin, recently received conditional approval from the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) to launch Ripple National Trust Bank, which will be a federally supervised trust institution. Related Reading: New Hope For Crypto: Senators Introduce Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act Moreover, seven spot XRP exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are now trading in the US, boasting a combined assets under management (AUM) exceeding $2 billion and locking up 777 million XRP tokens. Another significant factor in XRP’s potential rise is the growth of the RLUSD stablecoin, which has achieved a market capitalization of $1.33 billion and ranks third among US-regulated stablecoins poised for compliance under the GENIUS Act. As banks begin deploying RLUSD across various payment corridors, activity on the XRP Ledger is expected to surge. Network fees paid in XRP create a direct link between the growth of stablecoins and a gradual reduction in XRP supply, turning utility into ongoing demand. Finally, the GENIUS Act, signed into law by President Trump in July 2025, established clear regulations for US stablecoins. This clarity extends to Europe, Asia, and emerging markets, allowing for smoother cross-border expansion. Bullish XRP Scenario Analyzing these factors, Daodu suggests a “bull case” scenario in which XRP could reach between $8 and $10. This depends heavily on sustained institutional demand and consistent inflows into exchange-traded funds. He noted in the report that if ETF inflows maintain the $300 to $500 million monthly rate observed in late 2025, it could lead to an additional 750 million to 1.25 billion XRP being locked by mid-year. Related Reading: Coinbase Mulls Exiting Support For Crypto Market Structure Bill Ahead Of January 15 Deadline Under these conditions, Daodu concluded that XRP has the potential to not only surpass the $8 threshold but to extend its gains into the $10 range as supply constraints exert greater influence on pricing. At the time of writing, the fifth-largest cryptocurrency on the market was trading at $2.13, marking a 3.7% increase on Tuesday. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
In 2025, XRP emerged as the best-performing token among the top ten largest cryptocurrencies, outpacing gains from Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH). As the first week of 2026 unfolds, XRP has continued this upward trend, recording a 17% surge over the past week that has propelled its price back above the key $2.20 threshold. Strong ETF Demand Pushes XRP Forward One of the prominent factors contributing to this surge is the strong performance of XRP exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which became a standout in the market by attracting $483 million over the past weeks. In contrast, Bitcoin ETFs experienced a significant outflow of $1.09 billion, while Ethereum products faced a loss of $564 million. XRP funds not only achieved $483 million in inflows during December but also maintained a steady influx for 30 consecutive trading days. This streak finally ended on December 26 with the first day of zero inflows. Overall, since their launch in November, total inflows into XRP exchange-traded funds have amassed to $1.3 billion, marking the fastest adoption rate for any altcoin ETF to date. Related Reading: Bitcoin Reaches $93,000 Amid Renewed Optimism: What To Keep An Eye On This Week Looking ahead, reports suggest that the ETF landscape could be pivotal in shaping bullish scenarios for XRP. A potential filing by BlackRock for an XRP ETF could serve as a significant credibility boost, attracting conservative institutional investors to the space. BlackRock’s own $40 billion Bitcoin ETF exemplifies the capacity to mobilize capital effectively through its Aladdin platform connections. Additionally, the scaling of Ripple’s RLUSD stablecoin into banking and remittance services could generate ongoing demand for XRP as a critical bridge asset. There are also signs that the Federal Reserve could implement several rate cuts in 2026, which would lower the opportunity cost of investing in risk assets. Under such conditions, it is alleged that the XRP price might break through its all-time high of $3.84, potentially escalating toward the $4.00 to $5.00 range by year-end. On The Cusp Of Major Gains? When it comes to price action, market analyst Dark Defender, active on the social media platform X (previously Twitter), recently highlighted XRP’s price action by providing a three-month time frame update. The analyst noted that a newly initiated green candle in January exhibits a bullish Relative Strength Index (RSI). According to Dark Defender, surpassing the $2.22 level is crucial for XRP. Related Reading: Dogecoin Price On The Brink Of A 9,000% Rally To $10? What Historical Performance Shows He further suggested that XRP could be on the brink of a significant surge, similar to silver, and pointed to ambitious targets such as $6 and even as high as $20 in the future. Achieving $6 would represent a notable 171% increase from current trading prices, while reaching the $20 mark would indicate a staggering 800% rise. While trading at $2.21 at the time of writing, the token is still facing $2.22 as the next major short-term resistance level, and is also trading at 40% below its all-time high. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
As 2026 begins, XRP is starting the year on a bearish note, with investor sentiment plummeting to levels of extreme fear. Despite these challenging conditions, analysts are suggesting that this negativity may set the stage for a significant bullish reversal, drawing parallels to historical trends. Institutional Buyers Remain Active Reports indicate that periods of extreme sentiment have often preceded XRP rallies with impressive gains, at times exceeding 1,000%. Data from Santiment indicates that bearish mentions of XRP are now running 20-30% higher than the subdued averages seen in November. This deepening negativity, coupled with XRP stabilizing between $1.8 and $1.9 mark, highlights “a classic market divergence”: sentiment continues to worsen while prices consolidate, suggesting that emotional capitulation is occurring faster than any fundamental deterioration. Related Reading: Is The Dogecoin Bottom In? 3 Analysts Break Down the Charts Beneath this wave of retail fear, however, institutional behavior paints a more positive picture. Spot XRP exchange-traded funds (ETFs) recorded inflows of approximately $424 million in December alone, making them the best-performing crypto ETF product. This contrast between extreme retail sentiment—currently at an extreme fear level of 24—and substantial institutional accumulation, which stands at around $1.3 billion over the past 50 days, often precedes market reversals more reliably than sentiment readings alone indicate. 70-75% Chance Of Bullish Reversal For XRP, the current setup combines extreme fear readings with a social sentiment significantly above baseline levels, alongside price consolidation, creating a historical pattern that has led to substantial rallies multiple times since 2020. For instance, back in the 2020-2021 cycle, XRP dropped to $0.17 amid the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) lawsuit, followed by a 1,053% increase to $1.96 over just four months. Today’s scenario mirrors this past occurrence. With institutional accumulation diverging sharply from retail capitulation, historical data suggests that this combination yields a 70-75% chance of a bullish reversal within the next two to eight weeks. Current trading conditions for XRP sit at approximately $1.90, with the Fear & Greed Index at 24. This setup creates three potential scenarios. Three Potential Price Scenarios For XRP In the most favorable bullish scenario, the Trump administration could announce clear pro-crypto regulatory policies in the first quarter of the year, BlackRock might file an XRP ETF application, or the adoption of Ripple’s RLUSD stablecoin could rapidly scale above $2-3 billion. Historically, when the Fear & Greed Index climbs from 24 into neutral territory (between 50 and 60), XRP often rallies between 30-50%, setting targets between $2.44 and $2.82. If bullish momentum continues into mild greed (70+), XRP could reach the $3.00-$3.20 range. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s $150K Target Looks Unlikely As Polymarket Odds Sink To 23% In a more neutral scenario, sentiment may gradually normalize without dramatic catalysts, with ETF inflows continuing to average between $200-300 million monthly. As RLUSD organically grows through existing partnerships, fears could naturally subside over a span of six to eight weeks. As the Fear & Greed Index rises from 24 to the 45-55 range, XRP has typically appreciated between 15-25%, targeting between $2.16 and $2.35. If the support at $1.85 holds through January, and trading volume expands above $1.98, the price could extend toward $2.40-$2.50. In a bearish outcome, sentiment could linger in extreme fear (below 30) for over eight weeks without relief. A decisive break below $1.85 on substantial volume would see XRP testing support levels around $1.65-$1.70. The altcoin has surged by over 6% in the past 24 hours towards $1.98 amid a broader recovery in the crypto market. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
Despite a mixed performance throughout 2025, XRP has emerged as one of the standout performers in the cryptocurrency market. Currently trading slightly below $1.90, the fifth-largest cryptocurrency has retraced nearly 50% from its all-time highs achieved in July. Nevertheless, Standard Chartered is optimistic about XRP’s future, forecasting a significant upward trend driven by anticipated inflows into spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and increased regulatory clarity. Spot XRP ETFs Could Drive $4-$8 Billion In Inflows The bank predicts that the launch of spot XRP ETFs could bring in between $4 billion and $8 billion into XRP throughout 2026. Should these inflows materialize, the resulting demand—coupled with XRP’s relatively limited supply—could catalyze a sharp increase in the coin’s price. Related Reading: US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve: Key Catalyst For Potential Surge Toward $150,000 Next Year Analyst Geoffrey Kendrick has laid out an ambitious roadmap for XRP’s future, anticipating prices of $8.00 in 2026, and potentially reaching $12.50 by 2028. To put this into perspective, XRP’s current circulating supply is approximately 57 billion coins. Even modest inflows of a few billion dollars could create a meaningful supply shock in the market. So far, XRP ETFs have gathered around $1.25 billion. To reach the $8 target, it would require annual flows to hit the range of $5 billion to $10 billion, similar to the initial enthusiasm surrounding Bitcoin ETFs. Regulatory Resolution As Key Catalyst A parallel factor influencing XRP’s potential rise is the resolution of regulatory uncertainty surrounding the cryptocurrency. The US Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) long-standing lawsuit against Ripple Labs has significantly impacted XRP’s narrative. Yet, in August 2025, the SEC withdrew its appeal, resulting in Ripple agreeing to a $125 million settlement and affirming that XRP sales on secondary markets are not classified as securities transactions. Related Reading: Bitcoin And Ethereum Influx: Strategy Grabs 1,200 BTC, Bitmine Immersion Ups ETH by 44,000 This resolution eliminates a substantial legal burden and is seen by Standard Chartered as a catalyst for increased adoption. With legal uncertainties removed, capital that had been sidelined could finally enter the market. However, for XRP to achieve a price of $8 by 2026, favorable economic conditions, including low interest rates and a risk-on attitude among investors, would be critical. Should macroeconomic challenges escalate, investors may shy away from altcoins. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
As the year draws to a close, XRP investors are increasingly adopting a bearish outlook, anticipating that the altcoin will remain below the critical $2 threshold. XRP Forecasts Dipped A recent poll conducted by cryptocurrency exchange Gemini, running from December 12 to 23, reveals that 73% of investors predict XRP will finish the year between $1.50 and $2.00, suggesting a muted conclusion for the altcoin’s performance in 2025. Just weeks prior, market sentiment was more optimistic, with around 38% of traders expecting XRP to rally to a range of $2.00 to $2.50 by December 31. However, that figure has since dropped to 28%, reflecting a significant decline in confidence. Related Reading: Bitcoin Correction Timeline: Analyst Predicts Potential Bottom In October 2026 The possibility of the cryptocurrency exceeding $2.50 appears almost non-existent, as only about 4% of respondents foresee it reaching the $2.50 to $3.00 range, and a similar 4% predict it could surpass $3.00. The consensus of 73% predicting an XRP finish between $1.50 and $2.00 marks an increase from the 63% recorded earlier in the poll. This growing alignment among poll participants indicates that they are consolidating around this range as the most likely scenario. Furthermore, the sentiment towards higher price levels has significantly shifted. The percentage of voters anticipating a rally into the mid-$2 range has dwindled to a mere 4%, reflecting dwindling confidence after several failed attempts to break through resistance levels. Even the outlook for the altcoin’s price to drop below $1.50 has risen slightly to 7%, up from 6%, although most believe a sharp sell-off is unlikely. Rising Supply From Early Investors This prevailing sentiment aligns with Futures data indicating a prevalence of aggressive sell orders, while the slow accumulation of XRP in exchange-traded funds (ETFs) at a pace of $30 to $50 million daily cannot keep up with profit-taking and risk reduction activities in the market. On-chain data reveals that significant realized gains have been secured as XRP approached its recent highs. For instance, a long-term holder who initially acquired the altcoin around $0.40 sold over 350 million tokens at approximately $2.00, reaping an estimated profit of $721 million. Related Reading: Ethereum Fails To Surpass $3,000: Predictions For The Final Days Of The Year With many early investors reportedly cashing out at the $2 level, there has been minimal support for dip-buying to bolster the price, keeping it in the current range between $1.7 and $1.8 recorded in the week. Experts suggest that when the supply increases from long-term holders, whose initial investments were made at $0.40 to $0.60, it creates a resistance ceiling that is challenging to break without substantial new demand entering the market. At the time of writing, XRP was trading at $1.830. The altcoin has recorded major losses in all time frames, with a year-to-date decline of 15%, in line with the broader market’s performance. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP, currently the fifth largest cryptocurrency by market cap, has recently fallen below the crucial $2 mark amid a broader market correction that has dampened investor sentiment since October. However, market analyst Sam Daodu has identified five critical catalysts that could drive the altcoin to new all-time highs of $5 by 2026. Potential Bullish Catalysts For XRP In a detailed report, Daodu emphasized that for XRP to reach $5, multiple specific factors need to work in unison. Each of these catalysts aims to address various barriers that have kept XRP’s price stagnant. At the forefront of Daodu’s analysis is the potential for a BlackRock-backed XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF). Since mid-November 2025, spot XRP ETFs have attracted over $1 billion in cumulative inflows. Should BlackRock move forward with its ETF, estimates suggest that inflows could exceed $2 billion. Related Reading: XRP Price Forecasts For 2026 Unveiled By AI Simulation: Should Investors Remain Bullish? Daodu’s analysis points that such capital influx would not only reshape market demand but would also solidify XRP’s position as the sole cryptocurrency tied to a fully regulated token in the United States, significantly enhancing its case for reaching $5. Next on the list is the evolving significance of Japan within the XRP narrative. Ripple, in collaboration with SBI Holdings, is set to launch RLUSD—Ripple’s USD-backed stablecoin—in Japan by the first quarter of 2026, pending regulatory approval. The use of RLUSD on the XRP Ledger (XRPL) can create substantial demand for XRP as a bridge currency, supporting the case for it to reach $5, even if this impact unfolds gradually over time. From Tokenization To ETFs The third catalyst that Daodu identified is the tokenization of assets. Ripple’s expanded partnership with Archax aims to bring in “hundreds of millions of dollars” in tokenized equity, debt, and funds onto the XRP Ledger by mid-2026. Should the XRP Ledger capture even a modest 5-10% of the tokenized asset settlement market, the demand for XRP would increase significantly, further supporting its goal of reaching $5. In fourth place, macroeconomic policy plays a crucial role in shaping XRP’s upside potential. Anticipated rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) would likely decrease returns on cash and short-term bonds, traditionally driving capital toward riskier assets that offer growth and liquidity. Related Reading: New Crypto Tax Proposal: Bipartisan House Duo Pushes For Stablecoin Safe Harbor Lastly, recent on-chain data points to a noteworthy change in supply dynamics. Exchange-held XRP has decreased, with 1.35 billion XRP removed from exchanges in less than two months. Balances plummeted from approximately 3.95 billion tokens to about 2.6 billion, with more than a billion leaving in just a short span of three weeks. Such withdrawals are indicative of a behavioral shift among holders, as many are opting to move XRP into long-term storage solutions. Daodu posits that reaching the $5 mark will not stem from a singular headline or moment of exuberance. It will necessitate a convergence of multiple factors, including strong ETF inflows, institutional adoption, and favorable macroeconomic conditions. As of this writing, the altcoin was trading at $1.88, dropping by almost 50% from all-time high levels reached back in July of this year. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP, currently the fifth-largest cryptocurrency in the market, has mirrored the overall performance of digital assets over the past months, experiencing a significant retracement of nearly 50% from its all-time high of $3.65 earlier this year. Amid this volatility, a new artificial intelligence (AI) simulation model has produced price forecasts for the altcoin, offering investors a more detailed outlook for the coming year. XRP Price Predictions Market analyst Sam Daodu recently shared insights from a Monte Carlo simulation that explored XRP’s price trajectory in which 10,000 paths were generated to capture a comprehensive range of potential outcomes. The results offer statistical data such as mean, median, and percentiles, illustrating a probability distribution rather than relying on a single forecast. Daodu reported that the simulation results reveal a spectrum of outcomes for XRP. The mean price across all 10,000 paths stands at approximately $2.78, indicating that, on average, the price is higher than its current levels. Related Reading: Dogecoin Weekly Fractal Hints At A Bigger Move Brewing In contrast, the median price is $1.88, suggesting that half of the estimated outcomes fall below the $2 mark. This disparity between the mean and median highlights the skew in the distribution, where a few high projections inflate the average, while the median reflects where most scenarios likely land. To identify a more probable pricing range, Daodu considered the 25th and 75th percentiles, which represent the central 50% of outcomes. According to the simulation, 25% of scenarios estimate XRP’s price below $1.04, while 75% indicate a price below $3.40. Notably, about 60% of scenarios position XRP’s price between $1.04 and $3.40 by the end of 2026, with an expected median hovering around $1.88. 10% Chance Of Dropping Below $0.59 The analysis also highlights the upper tail of the distribution, where the best-case outcomes sit. The 90th percentile indicates a price of about $5.90, meaning that roughly 10% of scenarios project end-of-year prices above this threshold. The expert asserts that achieving new all-time highs near $6 would require several positive developments, including sustained institutional inflows through exchange-traded funds (ETFs) of over $50 million daily throughout 2026, increased actual usage of XRP for cross-border payments by banks, and persistent regulatory clarity without major setbacks. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Remains Stuck Inside This Range, But A Breakout Could Follow On the other hand, the simulation doesn’t shy away from discussing downside risks. The lower 10% of outcomes reveal a potential drop below $0.59, suggesting a worrying 10% probability that XRP could lose more than 70% of its current value by 2026. Factors contributing to this bearish outlook could include regulatory setbacks, such as tougher restrictions on cryptocurrency custody or complications arising from recent settlements with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Additionally, Daodu believes that decreased investor confidence in the altcoin resulting from unmet expectations related to XRP’s utility adoption could further depress prices. According to CoinGecko data, XRP is trading within the range expected to last till next year at $1.90, with a 2% drop in the 24-hour period. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
One of the cleaner tells in crypto is when the old supply decides it’s time. Not “made a quick 20% and clipped it” time — years old. That’s basically what Glassnode researcher CryptoVizArt flagged after an XRP wallet aged roughly 5–7 years (with a cost basis around $0.40) realized more than $721.5 million in profit on Dec. 11. A single wallet doesn’t “break” a market on its own. But the timing is the point: this wasn’t profit-taking into a rip. It landed while XRP was showing weakness right at the $2.0 key level. Related Reading: XRP Dominates Institutional Inflows, But Why Is Price Still Low? CryptoVizArt wrote via X: “On December 11th, a 5-7 year old XRP wallet address (with a cost basis of $0.4) realized over $721.5M in profit! A rare sizable profit-taking while the price shows weakness right at the $2.0 key level.” What This Means For XRP Price That $2 handle matters for the usual reasons — round number, obvious chart magnet, psychological line in the sand — but also because the market’s been treating it like a live wire lately. Since early December last year, the support zone between $2 and $1.90 has been tested endless times. XRP bulls always managed to close above the zone on the weekly timeframe. So what does the $721M print mean? It’s a reminder that supply overhang isn’t theoretical. A 5–7 year wallet taking profits can be read as “de-risking,” sure. But in tape terms, it’s also distribution that the market has to absorb while price is already leaning. If bids are deep, it’s a shrug. If bids are thin, it turns $2 into a trapdoor. And right now, “thin” is kind of the vibe across crypto, not just XRP. Related Reading: Why XRP Isn’t Reacting to Major Institutional and Regional Developments CryptoVizArt’s broader framing from Dec. 13 is that the $80K–$90K Bitcoin consolidation is producing stress “comparable to late Jan 2022.” Via X, he wrote: “The current $80K–$90K consolidation range is generating a magnitude of stress comparable to late January 2022, with Relative Unrealized Loss approaching ~10% of market cap. This places the market in a regime where liquidity is constrained, and sensitivity to macro shocks is elevated, yet still below the levels typically associated with full bear-market capitulation.” That backdrop matters because alts don’t trade in a vacuum. When the whole complex is jumpy, big sell events at key levels have more punch. Not because every XRP holder suddenly panics, but because market-makers and discretionary traders tend to pull risk at the same time. Spreads widen, depth thins, and “one-off” flows start to move price more than they should. Still, it cuts both ways. A single, chunky realization can also be the market clearing a problem — old supply exiting, new demand stepping in, the kind of transfer that (eventually) makes a base sturdier. The trick is whether $2 holds while that handoff happens. At press time, XRP was trading at $1.89, which could make Sunday’s weekly close another extremely important event. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
As the week began, the XRP price experienced a 4% decline, bringing it nearly 50% below its all-time highs. However, analysts forecast significant gains for one of the market’s leading altcoins in January 2026, citing three major catalysts that could reshape its market outlook. A Major Step Towards Broader Access In a recent analysis, Sam Daodu, a market expert from 24/7 Wall St., emphasized the importance of Vanguard’s decision to approve trading of XRP exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Daodu emphasized that the real significance lies in the facilitation of distribution; with Vanguard’s advisors able to allocate XRP exposure through regulated ETFs without additional cumbersome processes. He indicated that three interrelated factors are now at play: the influx of institutional capital through ETF investments, a reduction in supply, and the influence of Vanguard in altering the approach towards the asset. Related Reading: Bitcoin Pulls Back Under $89K, Michael Saylor Smells Opportunity Notably, the results of the token’s exchange-traded fund launch have already been notable, with XRP inflows hitting $1 billion within the first four weeks of trading, making it one of the fastest-growing crypto ETF launches to date. Additionally, XRP’s market supply has contracted significantly, dropping by 45% from approximately 3.9 billion tokens at the beginning of 2025 to about 1.6 billion by December. This contraction can be attributed to large holders refraining from distributing their tokens, leading to an accumulation in whale wallets and the removal of tokens from liquid markets due to ETF custody. This decreased supply implies that smaller inflows now carry greater influence. With only 1.6 billion tokens available on exchanges, investments of $20-30 million in daily ETF purchases can have a substantive impact on market supply. A Key Driver For Price Appreciation The Vanguard XRP ETF launch is particularly significant in this context, as it locks tokens into regulated custody vehicles that are less likely to be sold frequently. Unlike tokens held on exchanges that can be quickly moved in and out, ETF custody tends to encourage a buy-and-hold strategy, fostering conditions for gradual price appreciation fueled by sustained institutional demand amid a diminishing available supply. Given that the decision to provide ETF access came late in the year, year-end trading typically focuses on maintaining existing allocations rather than creating new positions. While the ETF adds credibility to XRP without causing immediate price pressure, its journey to a $3 valuation by January will depend on how swiftly advisory capital mobilizes, the durability of supply compression, and the overall stability of the markets. XRP Price Path To $3 Three potential scenarios present themselves for XRP’s future. The most optimistic scenario sees advisory capital moving quicker than typical, perhaps allowing advisors to integrate small XRP allocations during January’s rebalancing. In this case, XRP ETF inflows could remain robust, ranging from $40-60 million daily, while the locked-up supply on exchanges supports a price increase that could see the XRP price surpass $2.25, aim for $2.60, and potentially test $3 by the end of January. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Compression Deepens as Analysts Debate if the Next Move Is a Rally or Breakdown The middle-ground perspective suggests a more conventional institutional timing. In this scenario, while the XRP ETF access will gain attention in December, actual allocations might ramp up gradually, leading to a daily influx of about $20-30 million instead of the earlier expected pace. Here, the XRP price could establish higher lows and breach the $2.25 mark, facing resistance between $2.40 and $2.80. Price fluctuations would focus more on future adoption rather than immediate implications. According to Daodu’s conclusions, and given these circumstances, the XRP price reaching $3 could take until the first or second quarter of 2026 rather than being an immediate milestone. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
Recent bullish predictions for the XRP price have emerged, hinting at a potential for new all-time highs (ATHs) by March 2026 for one of the market’s leading altcoins. XRP Price Projected To Reach New ATH By Q1 2026 According to projections from ChatGPT, XRP could reach approximately $4.40 by the first quarter of 2026, a notable increase of 120% from current levels around $2. In contrast to the AI forecast, some analysts believe that the XRP price has the potential for a stronger rally. They suggest that structural changes could allow XRP to exceed $5 and potentially approach $6 by 2026. Several factors support their optimistic view. For instance, key aspects of the US Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) case against Ripple were resolved earlier this year, which they believe could encourage banks and payment providers to adopt XRP for cross-border transactions, fostering greater confidence in its utility. Related Reading: Bitcoin Reclaims $93,000: Could Altcoins Rebound Amid Predictions Of An Upcoming Bear Market? Additionally, Ripple’s ecosystem is expanding well beyond XRP. In December 2024, the company launched a dollar-pegged stablecoin known as RLUSD, which has already achieved a market cap exceeding $1 billion. While RLUSD itself may not directly boost XRP’s price, it has the potential to attract more participants to Ripple’s network, thereby creating secondary demand for XRP as a bridging asset. Analysts posit that a steady pipeline of RLUSD adoption could enhance Ripple’s revenue growth, consequently driving the XRP price higher. $2.60 Key For Momentum Shift Moreover, analysts point to the upcoming Bitcoin (BTC) Halving, expected in 2028, as a potential catalyst for a broad crypto market rally. The analysts assert that the XRP price has historically benefited from such cycles. From a technical standpoint, chart analysts see XRP setting up for a potential breakout. Price action has formed a base around the low $2 range, which could lay the groundwork for further recovery. Related Reading: Ethereum Fusaka Upgrade Goes Live Today: Experts Predict Potential Supply Crunch Ahead According to the analysts, if bullish momentum can push the token above significant resistance levels around $2.60, it could change momentum indicators to a positive stance. Moreover, a sustained rally into the mid-$3 territory might then pave the way for XRP to reach the $4 to $5 range. When writing, the XRP price stands at $2.14, recording a 1.6% drop in the past 24 hours. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
Canary Capital’s XRP ETF made a historic debut on Thursday, surpassing its competitors by hitting $58 million in trading volume on its first day, setting a record for the most traded ETF launch this year. This milestone was lauded by Bloomberg expert Eric Balchunas on the social media platform X (formerly Twitter), underlining the remarkable success of the XRP ETF in the market. The launch of the first XRP ETF in the United States earlier today had a notable impact on the XRP price, propelling it towards the crucial $2.5 level. However, subsequent market movements saw a 4% retracement, bringing the token’s current trading price to $2.3. XRP ETF Potential Canary Capital’s CEO, Steven McClur, recently expressed confidence in the potential of an XRP ETF, suggesting that it could outperform the achievements of Solana (SOL). He highlighted XRP’s strong liquidity and global utility, foreseeing substantial institutional investment influx in the near future. The XRP ETF by Canary Capital has indeed outperformed Bitwise’s Solana Staking exchange-traded fund, with a trading volume of $57 million, falling just short of Canary’s fund by a mere million-dollar difference. Related Reading: Who’s Selling Bitcoin? Fidelity Research Boss Breaks It Down Analysts predict that the approval of asset managers like Franklin Templeton, Bitwise, and Grayscale in the upcoming days of November could attract significant institutional investments ranging from $4 to $8 billion, potentially leading to a substantial price surge due to the low liquidity in the market. As a result, market analysts foresee a bullish rally for XRP, hinting that the token may be approaching the end of consolidation. They suggest long-term price targets ranging from $10 to $37. If these bullish scenarios materialize, these surges could result in new all-time highs and significant potential gains, with projections of 334% and a staggering 1,500%, respectively, from current trading levels. XRP Price Could See 150% Increase To $6 by 2030 In addition to the significant ETF debut by Canary Capital, industry experts like Dark Defender have shared key technical analyses that could complement the performance of the XRP ETF market. Notably, Dark Defender highlighted signals on the weekly time frame indicating a potential surge for XRP, with resistance at $2.85, support at $2.22, and targets projected at $18.22 and $36.76. Related Reading: Dormant Bitcoin Giant Stirs, Unloads 12,000 BTC In Surprise Move Geoffrey Kendrick at Standard Chartered anticipates substantial gains in the forthcoming years, largely attributed to the potential of spot XRP ETFs. He has set a target price of $12.50 for 2028, implying annual returns of 73%. Analysts at the Motley Fool have also weighed in, drawing parallels to Bitcoin’s (BTC) price appreciation following the SEC approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs in January 2024, projecting a 150% increase to $6 for XRP by 2030. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
VivoPower International’s evolving “digital asset treasury” blueprint took center stage in New York this week as Adam Traidman, the company’s Chairman of the Board of Advisors and a former Ripple board member, sketched out what he called a “DAT 2.0” or “anti-DAT” playbook to accumulate XRP at a steep discount while simultaneously extracting on-chain yield. Speaking at the XRP Meetup NYC in the run-up to Ripple’s Swell conference—and in remarks shared via a clip by Crypto Eri (@sentosumosaba) on X—Traidman argued that the publicly listed “digital asset treasury companies” which ran hot earlier this year are now trading like the investment-trust boom-and-bust of the early 2000s. “In the last 60 days or so, we’ve seen several and many, actually, of the digital asset treasury companies collapse. A lot of the stocks have been down by 80%, 90%. This is reminiscent of what we saw in the early 2000s… Initially, they traded at much higher to their net asset value. And eventually, they collapsed completely. And those companies are not publicly traded anymore. To be totally honest, the same thing is happening with DAT companies right now.” DATs are collapsing, according to the former @Ripple board member. VIVOPOWER has been BUYING $XRP exposure at 84% OFF by purchasing shares in @Ripple. With the new Ripple $40B Valuation, the XRP discount is effectively 59% off. VivoPower Strategy explained here:… pic.twitter.com/ypSrGAgRsC — ????Crypto Eri ~ Carpe Diem (@sentosumosaba) November 12, 2025 The XRP Treasury Company 2.0 The response, he said, is a second-generation construct that acquires underlying exposure at a discount instead of paying token spot. “What we are doing at VivoPower, and what I think the future is, is this sort of second generation of DATs. I call it a DAT 2.0 strategy. Some folk call it an anti-DAT strategy, which is, instead of buying the net asset at spot price, you buy the net asset at a massive discount.” Related Reading: XRP To $10? Analyst Reveals What Could Be The Spark He used Bitcoin to illustrate how unusual an “80% off” entry actually is—mining might lower unit cost by 20–30%, but not by 80%. “How would you buy Bitcoin at an 80% discount today? You can’t… You might mine it… and then you might be able to get it at a 20%, 30% discount by mining it… But how the hell are you going to get it for 80% off?” The answer, in VivoPower’s case, is tied to Ripple. As Traidman put it, there is a unique linkage between a private company and the crypto asset that enables discount capture through corporate financing structures rather than on-exchange purchases. “There’s 25 million cryptocurrencies on coinmarketcap.com. There’s only one that is tied to a private company that is severely undervalued in terms of its share price, and that’s XRP, because of Ripple, right? And so that’s the opportunity that we are taking advantage of.” Related Reading: XRP Flashes Strongest Macro Bull Trend in Its History: Chartist This is the core ordering of operations in his remarks: first, acquire XRP exposure at a claimed “84% off” via mechanisms that revolve around Ripple’s equity and related look-through economics; second, put the resulting XRP to work on yield networks. Flare sits explicitly in the second step. “And then we work with our partners, like Flare, in order to generate yield on those XRP assets. And so that’s essentially buying XRP basically 84% off, and then investing it onto networks like Flare in order to generate a yield.” By emphasizing the sequencing—discounted acquisition tied to Ripple first, yield generation on Flare second—Traidman also addressed why this model does not rely on the market assigning a premium to the operating company. “So it’s like a DAT 1.0 plus the 2.0 strategy, right? And so the companies in this model don’t even need to trade at a premium to MNAV, like Saylor’s MicroStrategy does, because by default, they’re making money on day one. T plus one second, every dollar that gets put into our company gets a forex return, right? That’s only available when you can buy the net asset at a discount.” At press time, XRP traded at $2.44. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Over the past month, the XRP price has experienced a significant decline, with its price dropping by 23% amid mounting selling pressure following the crypto market crash on October 10. Some analysts are now suggesting that the altcoin’s correction is not yet complete. A Retest Of Key Fibonacci Level On The Horizon Market expert Casi Trades recently shared insights on social media site X (formerly Twitter), indicating that enthusiasm surrounding the recent partnership announcement with Mastercard may have been premature. During the Ripple Swell 2025 event in New York, the company unveiled a new collaboration with Mastercard, WebBank, and crypto exchange Gemini to test its RLUSD stablecoin as a means of settling credit card transactions. Related Reading: Weakness In Major Cryptos: What Key Technical Metrics Indicate For Bitcoin, Ethereum, And Solana The announcement initially propelled the XRP price toward the $2.41 mark. However, this surge was short-lived, and the price quickly retraced. It maintained its trajectory below the previous Fibonacci Wave 1 low, as seen in the chart below. Casi Trades noted that this price rejection reinforces the belief that the Wave 3 low at $2.05 has not been adequately tested. She anticipates that the XRP price will likely trend downward toward this Fibonacci level to complete the subwave 5 of Wave 3. Additionally, the relative strength index (RSI) supports this bearish outlook, indicating a divergence at the recent price high and suggesting a retest of the lower trendline is imminent. XRP Price Poised For An Explosive 2,155% Increase? Despite the current bearish sentiment, some analysts maintain bullish projections for the XRP price. Egrag Crypto recently remarked that the ongoing price formation resembles a range rather than a straightforward ascending wedge or rectangle. Based on measured moves, projections suggest that the altcoin could reach a new all-time high around $10. If this is indeed Macro Wave 2, the anticipated Wave 3 could be 1.618 times the length of Wave 1, potentially placing targets between $14 and $25. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Needs To Reclaim This Key Level To Prevent Drop To $1,700 Moreover, the analyst pointed out the growing speculation that XRP will revisit its $0.77 wick on Binance. However, Egrag countered these discussions, noting that the altcoin could also reach the $50 “wick” observed on the Gemini crypto exchange. While some believe the Binance wick to $0.77 must be filled, Egrag argues that ignoring the potential for XRP to hit $50 is a mistake, especially if market symmetry comes into play. The analyst concluded his thesis by stating that this cycle could see the XRP price reaching that $50 level as the market undergoes its “final blow-off phase.” This would imply a major 2,155% uptrend ahead for the altcoin’s price. When writing, XRP trades at $2.22, still recording gains of 318% year-to-date, according to CoinGecko data. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
Amid a challenging period for the XRP price, which has seen a decline of 24% over the last two weeks, Ripple Labs, the blockchain payment company, has announced plans to raise at least $1 billion for a major XRP purchase, intended for the establishment of a new digital asset treasury (DAT). Ripple Plans Largest Fundraising Effort According to sources cited by Bloomberg, the capital will be managed within this new treasury, and Ripple plans to utilize a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) to facilitate the fundraising. Additionally, the company will contribute some of its own XRP holdings to bolster the effort. However, investor sentiment towards DATs has become increasingly cautious, as evidenced by the sharp declines in shares of major crypto firms, including Michael Saylor’s Strategy (previously MicroStrategy) and Japan’s Metaplanet. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Slips Below $108,000: Peter Schiff Anticipates ‘Brutal’ Bear Market, CZ Responds Despite this skepticism, Ripple Labs is pressing forward with its ambitious fundraising plans, which, if successful, would mark the largest effort focused specifically on XRP. Currently, XRP stands as the fifth-largest cryptocurrency, boasting a market capitalization of $138 billion. In a related strategic move, Ripple announced on Thursday the acquisition of treasury management software provider GTreasury for $1 billion. This acquisition is seen as a way to strengthen its connections with corporate finance leaders and treasurers seeking access to tokenized deposits, stablecoins, and other digital assets. As of July 31, Ripple held 4.74 billion XRP tokens in its wallets, valued at approximately $11 billion at current market prices. Additionally, another 35.9 billion XRP coins are under escrow lockups, scheduled for monthly releases. Potential 350% Rally Ahead For XRP This potential catalyst could signal a recovery phase for XRP. Market expert Dark Defender noted on social media platform X (formerly Twitter) that the correction had completed at the $2.22 level, which was established in August, suggesting that the “Journey Towards $10 Resumes.” Despite the current market panic, the expert reassures investors that the altcoin is entering a new recovery phase, with the $2.22 mark representing a crucial threshold for the short-term price action. Related Reading: October 10th Crypto Crash: Expert Foresees New Wave Of Lawsuits Against ‘Manipulators’ According to the expert’s analysis, this scenario could lead to a significant rally of 340% in the coming months, on top of the already impressive 320% gains recorded year-to-date. As of this writing, XRP is trading at around $2.26, resting on a critical support level as October draws to a close. Should this level falter, and if the $2.4 support fails to prevent further declines, XRP could retrace back toward the $1.2 level, the price reached during the market crash on October 10. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
The XRP price has been struggling to break through the $3 resistance level, which has proved to be a formidable barrier for the token over the past two months. However, recent news of Ripple’s expansion into the Kingdom of Bahrain has sparked renewed optimism among investors, fueling new bullish predictions for the altcoin. Ripple’s New Partnership With BFB On Thursday, Ripple announced a strategic partnership with Bahrain Fintech Bay (BFB), the largest fintech incubator in the Kingdom. This collaboration aims to enhance Bahrain’s digital assets ecosystem by supporting the development of proofs-of-concept and pilot projects relevant to the local fintech landscape. The partnership will also showcase various solutions in areas like blockchain technology, cross-border payments, stablecoins, and tokenization. Ripple and BFB plan to lead educational initiatives and participate in local events to foster innovation and build industry partnerships. Related Reading: $200 Million Rescue Plan: TRUMP Meme Coin Fights For Survival Reece Merrick, Ripple’s Managing Director for the Middle East and Africa, expressed enthusiasm for working with BFB to establish a robust local blockchain industry and to offer Ripple’s digital assets custody solution and its stablecoin, RLUSD, to financial institutions in Bahrain. Suzy Al Zeerah, Chief Operating Officer at BFB, echoed this sentiment, highlighting the partnership’s potential to bridge global innovators with Bahrain’s local ecosystem and to drive fintech innovation in the region. 4 Anticipated Catalysts For The XRP Price Looking ahead, analysts from The Motley Fool have pointed out that the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is expected to make a decision on the recent influx of XRP exchange-traded funds (ETFs) by October or November, which could significantly attract both retail and institutional investors. In July, Ripple applied for a US bank charter, a move that could also enhance the utility of XRP as a bridge currency. The analysts also highlighted the introduction of Ripple USD, which may appeal to international users looking to hedge against hyperinflation while lacking access to US dollars. Related Reading: Why The Bitcoin Price Might Never Drop Below $100,000 Again The anticipated rollout of sidechains to support Ethereum-based smart contracts on the XRP Ledger could also position Ripple as a more attractive option for developers. Speculation suggests that Ripple may make announcements regarding these sidechains at its upcoming Swell event in New York in early November. The Motley Fool’s analysts also believe the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) potential reduction of benchmark rates in 2025 and 2026 could catalyze a “crypto summer.” Such conditions might drive the XRP price upward, with eyes on the $4, which could mean a 42% rally in the coming months. When writing, the XRP price trades at approximately $2.81, resulting in a major gap of 23% between current trading prices and the altcoin’s all-time high set at $3.65. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
In stark contrast to the broader resurgence in the cryptocurrency market, where many assets are approaching or exceeding record highs, the XRP price finds itself in a precarious position. The altcoin has consistently failed to breach its nearest resistance level at $3, resulting in a retracement to crucial support levels that are vital for preventing a significant correction and further declines. XRP Price Struggles As Bitcoin Hits New High While Bitcoin (BTC) recently celebrated a new all-time high above $126,000, Ethereum (ETH) is inching closer to its own record of $4,900, and Binance Coin (BNB) mirrors Bitcoin’s ascent with prices rising above $1,300, XRP has faced a nearly 4% drop. Related Reading: Is A $10,000 Ethereum Price Within Reach? Here’s What Experts Are Forecasting Next Market expert Lark Davis expressed his concern on social media site X (formerly Twitter), stating that the XRP price has been unable to find its footing, repeatedly getting pushed down in its attempts to break the descending resistance line. He emphasized that a successful break above the orange line just above the current trading price could open the door to a target of $4, which would mean a new all-time high for the XRP price. However, Davis cautioned that failure to achieve this could necessitate reliance on the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) at $2.94. Currently, XRP is trading at $2.92, just below this critical level, further accentuating the lack of bullish momentum. A sustained drop below this point could lead to further declines toward nearby support levels, with $2.77 emerging as a significant threshold on the daily chart. The $2.60 mark also becomes increasingly important. Should this level be tested, it could prevent a major collapse toward $2.22, a pivotal consolidation point since June that preceded XRP’s surge to over $3.60 in July. On the contrary, if this support breaks, the $2 mark could be in jeopardy for the remainder of the year. Can Consolidation Lead To A Breakout? Despite these challenges, some analysts remain optimistic about the XRP price prospects. Egrag Crypto, a market analyst recognized for bullish forecasts on the altcoin, shared an encouraging outlook on social media. He highlighted the potential for an October breakout, based on mathematical projections and historical breakout percentages. Egrag pointed out that an ascending triangle typically breaks out around the 70-80% mark of its formation. According to his analysis, if the XRP price continues to consolidate within this triangle pattern between $2.6 and $3.6, traders can anticipate a breakout as it approaches 70% to 80% of its formation. Related Reading: BNB Price Hits $1,240 Record High: Partners With Chainlink For On-Chain US Economic Data Despite the uncertainty surrounding XRP’s immediate performance, the $3 resistance level remains pivotal for initiating a new uptrend and reclaiming its position against BNB as the third-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization. Currently, XRP has slipped to the fourth spot, having been overtaken by Binance Coin. The coming days will be crucial in determining whether the XRP price can overcome its challenges and regain momentum in this competitive landscape. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
In line with the broader cryptocurrency market’s recent upswing, the XRP price has captured attention with one of its largest weekly candles of the year, soaring over 14% in the past week and pushing the altcoin just above the $3 mark. This performance positions XRP just 15% shy of its all-time high, making it one of the standout performers in the crypto space, trailing only Ethereum (ETH), Binance Coin (BNB), and Solana (SOL), which saw price increases of 16%, 23%, and 21%, respectively over the same time frame. XRP Price Analysis Back in July of this year, the XRP price reached its peak of $3.66, but subsequent market corrections saw the token drop to as low as $2.70. Since then, attempts to recover have faced challenges, particularly with a key resistance level at $3.10 that has thwarted upward movements since August. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Forecast: Expert Predicts Final Impulse Wave Targeting $18,000 This struggle has led to the formation of a falling wedge pattern on XRP’s daily chart, signaling a potential shift as selling pressure wanes and buying interest rises. Market expert Lark Davis recently shared his insights on social media platform X (formerly Twitter), suggesting that if the XRP price can maintain momentum, it could target around $4, indicating a potential rally of approximately 33%. However, this bullish outlook hinges on XRP’s ability to consolidate above the $3 threshold, which would serve as confirmation of a breakout from the bullish pattern and pave the way for further price recoveries. Will ETF Approvals Propel Prices Higher? Contrasting Davis’ optimistic view, market analyst Ali Martinez expressed skepticism, arguing that while a breakout may occur, it might only lead to a price target of $3.60, essentially retesting previous highs rather than achieving new records. Despite differing opinions, the general sentiment leans towards potential upside, bolstered by the anticipation of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that may soon gain approval from the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for investing in XRP. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Nears Record Levels, Predictions Point To $140,000 By Early 2026 Leading analyst Crypto King highlighted the involvement of prominent names in the industry, with fund sizes ranging from $200 million to $1.5 trillion. He posited that the approval of even a single ETF could usher in a wave of institutional investment into XRP, significantly affecting its price trajectory. While the prospect of institutional money entering the XRP market is enticing, it remains to be seen whether these funds will have a substantial impact on the XRP price, particularly given the precedent set by similar investments in Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum in 2024 following their own regulatory approvals. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
In a new video titled “Why Aren’t Institutions Adopting XRP Massively?,” Jake Claver, founder and CEO of Digital Ascension Group, argues that the absence of headline-grabbing institutional flows into XRP has less to do with the asset’s technical fitness and more to do with regulatory, operational and coordination realities that govern how large financial entities deploy new market infrastructure. Claver frames the paradox succinctly: XRP’s performance characteristics are, in his view, tailor-made for modern payments, yet banks remain publicly cautious. “XRP could solve banks biggest problems… it’s faster, it’s cheaper, and it’s a lot more reliable than Swift,” he says, before posing the central question: “Why aren’t they adopting it yet?” His answer is not that institutions are uninterested, but that their playbook prizes legal certainty, timing and stealthy execution over visible, price-moving buys. Why Wall Street Hasn’t Gone All-In On XRP (Yet) A core pillar of his thesis is that institutions, when they do build positions, typically do so through execution algorithms and off-exchange channels designed to minimize market impact. “They’re using T-W and VWAP strategies,” he says, referring to time-weighted and volume-weighted average price execution. In practice, he adds, that means mandates along the lines of “‘I’ve got $100 million. I want to buy XRP… I’ll just average into the market over a month, two months, 6 months.’” The point, according to Claver, is to accumulate size “without causing those big price spikes,” often by relying on algorithmic execution, OTC desks or dark pools rather than simply sweeping public order books. Retail investors, he notes, rarely see this flow because it is engineered not to be seen. Related Reading: XRP Price Target Of $19.20 Within Six Months Still In Play, Says Analyst Regulation is the second pillar. Claver contends that global institutions cannot anchor a “trillion dollar payment infrastructure on uncertain legal foundations or tax foundations.” He points to the July 13, 2023 ruling in the SEC’s case against Ripple, saying Judge Analisa Torres “stated that XRP in and of itself is not a security,” and argues that the combination of court developments and a changing US regulatory posture has begun to thaw institutional reluctance. “We’re seeing the transition from apprehensions… to okay, maybe this stuff will actually work,” he says, while also cautioning that lingering case milestones and appellate formalities still matter for the largest issuers and product sponsors. Claver repeatedly emphasizes that institutions are relatively indifferent to the exact price level at which they obtain exposure if they are convinced of the strategic direction. “They’re perfectly happy to be buying XRP at $100, $1,000, or even $10,000 because they know that it’s going to be going higher,” he claims, drawing an analogy to Bitcoin, where “institutions didn’t start buying and aggregating Bitcoin till it was $30,000, $40,000, $50,000,” and noting that “MicroStrategy at $72,000 per Bitcoin is their average buy.” The contention, controversial as it may be, is that sophisticated buyers optimize for timing, liquidity and coordination, not for nailing the bottom tick. In the near term, he argues, episodic price spikes tied to headlines remain “speculative,” precisely because retail “doesn’t have the capital” or the “coordination to maintain the level of volume that would be needed for high prices.” Sustained re-rating, in his telling, requires institutional catalysts: regulatory green lights, product launches and real-world usage. “We need catalysts. We need real-world adoption and a crisis, I think a liquidity crisis, for them to actually pull this into vogue,” he says, describing a potential “supply shock” in XRP as the kind of event that could force rapid repricing. What To Watch In The Coming Months Claver also sketches a backdrop of what he characterizes as accelerating but largely “behind the scenes” integration work. He cites “almost 300 partnerships globally for Ripple,” references bank proofs-of-concept and pilots that have surfaced “over the years,” and points to CBDC and stablecoin experimentation involving jurisdictions such as Palau, Bhutan, Montenegro, Georgia and Colombia. He argues that this long tail of trials is consistent with how critical financial plumbing is typically upgraded: slowly, cautiously and only after extensive testing. “They’re not just going to do that on a whim,” he says. “They have to be very thorough.” On the product side, Claver highlight that many of the futures ETFs have already gotten through, and references a “listing… from the DTCC on the [spot] XRP ETF for Canary Capital,” which he characterizes as “normally the step right before the S-1s would be approved.” He frames late-2025 as a plausible window for approvals, adding, “we are seeing concrete institutional interest and accelerating the adoption of this asset,” though he acknowledges much of it is not yet apparent in headline price action. Related Reading: Next XRP ‘Monster Leg’ Will Start No Earlier Than 2026: Analyst Another throughline is the institutional decision-making cadence. Claver portrays the present as a “final preparation phase before full-bore adoption,” where regulatory clarity is “emerging,” technical infrastructure is “proven,” and “strategic partnerships are in place,” with the “remaining variable” being “coordinated activation across multiple institutions simultaneously.” He even suggests broader payment-system migrations—such as adoption of global messaging standards—create the preconditions for real-time settlement layers, a category where he situates XRP’s potential role. Retail Vs. Institutions Claver’s take on supply dynamics challenges a popular community narrative that retail holdings could meaningfully impede institutional entry. He argues that retail’s slice of circulating XRP is small in system terms: “they might hold, I don’t know, 2 billion, 3 billion XRP of the available supply… around, you know, 52 billion.” The implication, he says, is that institutions are unlikely to be “worried about retail competition,” because they can “acquire it later on through private markets or private sales” at higher prices if necessary. “There’s really enough supply for everybody here,” he maintains, adding that institutions “aren’t going to care if retail makes a bunch of money in this transition.” Throughout, Claver counsels retail viewers to recognize the structural nature of what he believes is taking shape. “You’re investing in infrastructure,” he says, framing digital assets like XRP as bearer instruments that let the public “own the infrastructure and the backend” of a prospective payments transition “before it’s actually deployed.” He concedes that this view runs counter to strands of crypto ideology—“decentralized, against the man, down with the banks”—but makes a pragmatic case: “I personally would rather just stack my pennies next to the institutions’ dollars and ride their coattails.” The video ends with a characteristic disclaimer—“None of this is financial advice”—alongside a reiteration of his conviction: “All my eggs are in this basket,” Claver says, arguing that institutional adoption of blockchain settlement rails represents “one of the largest infrastructure transitions in financial history.” In Claver’s telling, the question isn’t whether institutions will adopt technologies that solve for speed, cost and reliability, but when they will flip from preparation to activation—and how quickly the market will reprice once that coordination point arrives. At press time, XRP traded at $2.85. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
As the altcoin market experiences a resurgence, XRP has struggled to gain momentum, consolidating between $2.70 and $3 for the past two weeks. Despite the excitement surrounding potential exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that could invest in the altcoin if approved, The Motley Fool has cautioned that the current market correction may persist longer than many anticipate. Warns Of Prolonged Downtrend In a recent analysis, the firm attributed some of XRP’s lackluster performance to a general malaise in the cryptocurrency market, where traders are waiting for Bitcoin (BTC), the market’s leading cryptocurrency, to lead a new price rally. However, two critical factors suggest that XRP may face a more prolonged downtrend than previously expected. The anticipated launch of new spot crypto ETFs has been a focal point of discussion since the beginning of the year. Related Reading: Ethereum (ETH) On The Brink Of A Major Supply Crisis: What It Means For Investors Several asset managers have submitted applications to the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to create spot XRP ETFs, with Bloomberg estimating a 95% approval chance and online prediction markets estimating 94%. While approval seems likely, the real question revolves around the demand for these ETFs. XRP, currently the world’s third-largest cryptocurrency, undoubtedly has some level of institutional interest, yet the actual inflows tell a different story. Data indicates that only $1.25 billion flowed into XRP from institutional investors during the first eight months of 2025. JPMorgan Chase has projected that the upcoming ETFs could attract between $4 billion and $8 billion into XRP. However, the firm asserts that even the lower end of this estimate might not significantly influence XRP’s price action over the long-term, given its current market capitalization of $180 billion. Recovery For XRP May Not Occur Until 2026 While there is considerable optimism among analysts regarding XRP’s future, with some price predictions suggesting it could reach new record prices of up to $4, $5, or even $10, the firms noted that these projections do not account for the risks of short-term price declines. According to crypto betting platform, Polymarket, there is a 32% chance of XRP dropping to $2.50 this year, a 30% chance it could fall to $2.40, and a 27% chance of plummeting to $2. Related Reading: BNB Price Surges to Fresh ATH – Can Bulls Push Toward $1K? These statistics indicate that XRP could continue to drift lower over the next few months before any meaningful recovery takes place, potentially not occurring until 2026. Ultimately, The Motley Fool analysis suggests that any upward movement for XRP is likely to depend on Bitcoin’s performance. If Bitcoin fails to reclaim its previous peak by the end of the year, it will be challenging for XRP to initiate its own rally. As of this writing, the XRP price has recovered the $3.0675 mark, representing a 1.5% surge within the last 24 hours. This pales in comparison to Ethereum’s (ETH) 5% gains within the same time frame. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
Crypto market analyst Ali Martinez is warning that XRP’s latest pullback could extend, citing a cluster of bearish signals across price, on-chain, and behavioral metrics. Why XRP Could Face A Deeper Correction In an X thread posted early Wednesday, Martinez opened with: “XRP may be headed for a deeper correction. Here’s why!” and pointed to a Tom DeMark Sequential sell signal on the three-day chart “right at the local top,” which he said “trigger[ed] the ongoing pullback.” His remarks follow a weekend note flagging $2.40 as the “next key support level to watch” after that three-day TD sell signal. Martinez expanded on market structure, arguing that while the $3.00 area has intermittently acted as support, historical accumulation patterns make $2.80 a temporary buffer, with “real support” beginning below $2.48—a zone he has mapped using on-chain positioning. Related Reading: XRP Price May Be ‘Controlled’ By This Market, Says Analyst He reiterated on Aug. 3 that “past accumulation behavior points to $2.80 as a temporary buffer for XRP, but real support begins below $2.48,” adding that the most consequential level on his dashboard remains $2.40. Independent coverage of his analysis echoed those thresholds, framing $2.80 as a light cushion with heavier demand pockets sub-$2.50. Flow data has added to the bearish case in the near term. Martinez said whales have offloaded over 720 million XRP, intensifying sell-side pressure in recent sessions; earlier, on Aug. 2, he specified that “whales have sold over 710 million $XRP in the past 24 hours!” That spike in large-holder distribution has been picked up by multiple market trackers and recaps over the past few days. He also flagged the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) signal turning sharply negative. “The MVRV ratio just flashed a death cross,” Martinez wrote, calling it “another sign that a steeper correction could be underway.” The post underscores the crossover as a warning of rising downside risk if short-term holders’ cost basis begins to overhang market value. While “death cross” language is more commonly associated with moving-average pairs, Martinez uses the term here to describe a momentum break in MVRV curves. Related Reading: XRP MVRV Flashes Death Cross: More Decline Ahead? The TD Sequential—a Tom DeMark-designed exhaustion model often used to anticipate trend reversals—has been central to Martinez’s view since late July, when he tracked a three-day “sell” print near the top of the latest rally leg. He has since framed the path of least resistance as lower unless the market can establish sustained closes back above the high-volume node near $3.00–$3.20, while on-chain profiles continue to privilege $2.48–$2.40 as the area of “real” demand. As he put it on Aug. 3: “The next key support level to watch is $2.40!” For now, Martinez’s roadmap rests on three pillars: an exhaustion sell on the 3-day TD Sequential, large-holder distribution in the hundreds of millions of XRP, and a bearish MVRV crossover, all of which he argues raise the probability of a deeper corrective leg toward the high-$2s and, if momentum deteriorates, the mid-$2s. Whether bulls can defend the shallower buffers near $2.80 may determine if XRP’s decline remains a garden-variety pullback or morphs into a larger reset toward his $2.40 magnet. At press time, XRP traded at $2.93. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Ripple’s dollar-pegged stablecoin, Ripple USD (RLUSD), has spent the past six months quietly becoming one of the fastest-growing assets in the $160 billion stable-value sector, even though almost all of its issuance still sits on a rival network, not the XRP Ledger. That dichotomy—95 percent of the $455 million supply now lives on Ethereum—was the starting point for a lively weekend exchange on X between XRP pundit “Crypto Eri” and sceptics who questioned whether Ripple’s plans would ever benefit the XRP Ledger (XRPL) itself. XRP’s Hidden Advantage? “Ripple is a long-game player,” Eri wrote. “Its public statements to integrate smart contracts on the mainnet will eventually position RLUSD on XRPL as a more competitive stablecoin, with faster and cheaper settlements than Ethereum.” The remark landed just days after Ripple switched on its EVM-compatible sidechain, bringing full Ethereum-style smart-contract functionality to XRPL on 30 June 2025. More than 1,400 contracts were deployed in the first week, according to developer telemetry, and the bridge is already live to 80 other chains through Axelar. Related Reading: XRP Set To Shock The Crypto Market With 30% Share, Analyst Predicts On-chain data underscore the stakes. RLUSD’s circulating supply rose by 47 percent in June alone to $455 million, the fastest pace among major stablecoins, with roughly $390 million now native to Ethereum after a four-fold expansion since January. Only about $65 million remains on XRPL. That imbalance prompted one user to tell Eri that RLUSD’s utility “impacts ETH more than XRP.” She conceded the point—“correct, for now”—but argued demand would migrate once XRPL’s programmability and liquidity deepen. Ripple’s strategy hinges on more than code. On 2 June the company applied to the US Office of the Comptroller of the Currency for a national trust-bank charter. A parallel filing by its subsidiary, Standard Custody & Trust, seeks a Federal Reserve master account so that RLUSD reserves can eventually sit at the central bank rather than a correspondent institution. The timing aligns with the pending GENIUS Act, bipartisan legislation that for the first time would impose a single federal regime on payment-stablecoin issuers. While the bill’s $10 billion-asset threshold means RLUSD could remain under New York oversight for now, the application positions Ripple to graduate into federal supervision voluntarily—a move CEO Brad Garlinghouse has called a “new (and unique!) benchmark for trust in the stablecoin market.” Eri underscored the charter angle in her post: “The national banking license application, aligned with the GENIUS Act, secures a Federal Reserve master account … enhancing trust, expanding crypto financial and payment services, and removing the patchwork of state licenses, enabling continued scalability at lower cost.” Related Reading: XRP Price Risks Breakdown To Next Support Level, Why $2.28 Is Important If the charter is granted and RLUSD begins to migrate on-demand to XRPL, two flywheels favor the native token, analysts say. First, RLUSD remittances on XRPL would pay transaction fees in XRP, turning every dollar of stablecoin volume into incremental demand for the asset Ripple still holds in large quantities. Second, the EVM sidechain lets decentralized-finance builders tap RLUSD liquidity without leaving XRP’s low-cost consensus layer, potentially reversing the flow of users and liquidity that has so far moved toward Ethereum. “These calculated steps in the $$$$$-dollar stablecoin market give the digital asset XRP enormous potential, but require more time to unfold,” Eri argues. For now, RLUSD’s growth is still driven by Ethereum’s DeFi economy, and sceptics like user “sammie” insist “it’s always going to be like this.” Eri’s final reply was succinct: “Let’s see. I know we’ll be touching base often!” That brevity captures both the promise and the uncertainty ahead. Technical rails are in place; regulatory applications are filed. Whether capital, compliance, and market demand will converge quickly enough to shift billions of RLUSD onto XRPL—and in turn lift XRP’s utility—remains the multi-billion-dollar question. At press time, XRP traded at $2.27. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
The XRP price experienced a significant decline on Thursday following new developments in the ongoing legal dispute between Ripple Labs and the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Judge Analisa Torres’ decision to deny the joint motion from Ripple and the SEC for an indicative ruling halted the XRP price recovery as it aimed to breach the nearest resistance level at $2.23. Key Issues Unresolved For Ripple Despite the SEC dropping its appeal, which indicated that the primary legal conflict between the two parties may be reaching a conclusion, Judge Torres’ ruling highlighted that several procedural matters still require resolution, including necessary court approvals. In her judgment, she made it clear that private agreements cannot supersede public court decisions, stating, “The parties do not have the authority to agree not to be bound by a court’s final judgment… They have not come close to doing so here.” Related Reading: XRP Gears Up For Major Move — Chart Signals Are Clear In response to the ruling, Ripple’s Chief Legal Officer, Stuart Alderoty, took to social media platform X (formerly Twitter) to convey that the situation is now back in Ripple’s hands. The executive pointed out that the court has given them two options: either to dismiss their appeal regarding the historic institutional sales or to continue with the appeal. Regardless of the path chosen, Alderoty emphasized that XRP’s legal status as a non-security remains intact, reassuring stakeholders that it is business as usual. Expert Reactions To Torres’ Decision Legal expert Fred Rispoli also weighed in on the implications of the injunction, stating that it would not impact XRP in secondary markets or affect potential exchange-traded fund (ETF) filings awaiting approval by the SEC. He noted that the injunction is merely a court document and emphasized the low likelihood of Judge Torres calling Ripple and the SEC back into court unless the SEC believes Ripple is violating the terms of the injunction. Rispoli further questioned whether the SEC has the authority to grant Ripple the necessary exemptions to alleviate any restrictions imposed by the injunction, suggesting that such actions fall within the SEC’s executive powers. Ripple has asserted that it has adjusted its operations to align with the court’s findings, particularly regarding its past sales to institutional investors. Related Reading: Is The Bitcoin Top In? Bitcoin MVRV-Score Has The Answer Alderoty’s use of the term “historic institutional sales” in his recent statement indicates a shift in how both parties might approach future transactions, signaling a potential settlement that would allow XRP sales to institutions in a manner acceptable to the SEC. XRP Price Could Reach $5 Despite this temporary setback, market analysts remain optimistic about XRP’s future. Crypto analyst CryptoBullet recently noted that XRP’s two-week price chart resembles patterns seen in 2017, including a significant accumulation phase and a potential breakout. With this historical context in mind, the expert predicts a final surge in the XRP price, forecasting new all-time high targets between $4.50 and $5.40 for the cryptocurrency. As of press time, the XRP price has retreated to the $2.08 mark, which is a key support level for bulls anticipating further recovery of the token. In the last 24 hours, XRP has dropped 4.4%, and 10% in the last month. According to CoinGecko data, the XRP price remains 38% below its record high of $3.40. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
The cryptocurrency market’s sharp retracement may be approaching its denouement, according to prominent trader and YouTuber CryptoInsightUK, who told his followers on 23 June that XRP is “really flipping close” to completing the final leg of a corrective structure that began in early April. Final Trap Or Final Chance For XRP? In his latest video analysis, the analyst sketched a scenario in which Bitcoin grinds lower toward the $92,000–$95,000 liquidity pocket “to sweep the last standing bids,” dragging major altcoins with it. “We’ve had the extra bit of flush down that we were talking about and looking for,” he said, noting that Bitcoin already wicked to $98,200 but has yet to produce the higher-low/higher-high sequence or the bullish RSI divergence that stamped the April capitulation bottom. “I think we’re close to a bottom. I don’t quite think we’re there.” Related Reading: XRP To $30 Beyond 2026? Analyst Reveals Key BTC Ratio To Watch XRP, he argues, is tracing the same pattern at a different scale. The 4-hour chart shows a conspicuous liquidity shelf at $1.89 and a deeper block stretching to $1.73. “In a world where Bitcoin does get the flush to ninety,” he observed, “could we come and take that? Yes. … Maybe $1.85, potentially on a wick.” Although he concedes a tail-risk dip toward $1.60–$1.55, that move is “not my base case.” What makes the area compelling, in CryptoInsightUK’s view, is the clustering of spot demand on each successive stab lower. He highlighted the “big red bar” of sell-side volume that marked last week’s sweep and the immediate spike in spot bids, calling it evidence of “real accumulation rather than derivative games.” Funding rates across major venues have turned modestly positive, confirming that “people are going long,” a dynamic that could yet trigger one more liquidity vacuum as over-leveraged latecomers are forced out. Related Reading: XRP Price At Risk Of 20% Crash To $1.55 If This Level Fails To Hold Springboard For $11 XRP? Technically, the trader is watching for a textbook bullish divergence: price carves a marginally lower low while the 4-hour RSI prints a higher one, mirroring the set-up that preceded April’s 140% rally. The fixed-range volume profile on Bitcoin—where the point of control sits near $97,000—offers confluence, suggesting the broader market is attempting to base on a major support shelf before rotation into altcoins. If that pattern holds, CryptoInsightUK believes XRP is positioned for a “drastic” expansionary phase that would lift the token first to the oft-cited $8 target and then, in an over-extension, to “realistically $11 to $12.” From an idealised $1.85 entry the projection implies an upside of roughly 475%. “I put my neck on the line,” he said. “Everyone’s thinking eight. I think we over-extend that a little bit.” The analyst’s conviction rests in part on his read of Bitcoin dominance, now hovering in what he calls the “reversal box.” A final push to the upper edge could spark the long-awaited altseason, he argued, with XRP—as a large-cap, high-beta play—capturing disproportionate flows once Bitcoin volatility subsides. At press time, XRP traded at $2.1781. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP bulls appear to be facing one last test of conviction before the market’s next explosive phase, according to CryptoInsightUK’s video analysis released on 16 June. The British analyst argues that the token is sculpting an inverse head-and-shoulders formation whose right shoulder “still needs to form around the high-$1.80s” before any sustained rally can commence. How Low Must XRP Go? In the broadcast, he emphasised that “dense liquidity is below us,” pointing to a confluence of resting bids and stop-loss clusters between roughly $1.92 and $1.80. “I still think it comes down to make the right shoulder which is around 1.88,” he said, adding that a swift wash-out into that pocket would “flush the lows, tap in there and send it.” At present, XRP is changing hands near $2.24, up about 3% over the past 24 hours, which implies a prospective drawdown of roughly 20% if the market fulfills his downside scenario. From the analyst’s vantage point, such a retreat is less a cause for alarm than a prerequisite for the next major leg higher: “If we come down first, we’ve done the downside part. Otherwise I’m still going to be worried about going down even if we come up to $2.42 or higher.” Related Reading: What Are The Implications For XRP If Ripple Captures 14% Of SWIFT’s Volume? He linked the bearish short-term bias to structural forces beyond the XRP Ledger’s ecosystem. Bitcoin dominance, he noted, has crept toward a historical inflection zone that previously triggered alt-seasons: “Anywhere in this box could be the start of alt-season… That would probably coincide with Bitcoin dropping to between $100,000 and $93,000.” A dominance spike fed by a late-cycle Bitcoin dip, he argued, would typically inflict outsized percentage losses on major altcoins—including XRP—before liquidity rotates back into them. Within XRP’s own order book, CryptoInsightUK highlighted a “liquidity vacuum” created by May’s capitulation candle. Although the token has since retraced most of that single-session collapse, he described the rebound as “choppy corrective price action,” lacking the conviction and volume that accompanied earlier impulse waves. The right-shoulder flush, in his view, would neutralise residual leverage, particularly among traders who re-loaded longs too aggressively during the $2.15–$2.40 bounce. How High Can XRP Explode? The inverse head-and-shoulders thesis also features prominently on his long-range chart, stretching back to mid-May. The analyst first published the pattern on X, showing a left shoulder near $2.42, a head at $1.47, and a neckline just above $2.50. Completing a symmetrical right shoulder near $1.88 would, by classical pattern-measuring rules, project an upside target above $3.50—a level not visited since late-2021’s cycle top. Related Reading: Still Sleeping On XRP? Analyst Says $8 Breakout Is ‘Just Waiting’ Liquidity dynamics across the broader market reinforce his caution. Open interest in perpetual swaps for Ether, he observed, remains “as high as it’s ever been,” suggesting that any sudden drop in majors could spark a forced-liquidation cascade across altcoin pairs. “These people will be flushed out,” he warned, calling attention to negative-funding episodes that hint at an overcrowded short base waiting to be squeezed—once the final downside pocket has been filled. Despite the near-term jitters, CryptoInsightUK reiterated a resolutely bullish macro stance. “The next stage I’m most certain about is that we’re going to go significantly higher for crypto,” he told viewers. Drawing parallels with gold’s record weekly close, he argued that an undercurrent of global risk aversion is quietly supporting non-sovereign stores of value, positioning both Bitcoin and XRP for accelerated appreciation once the technical reset concludes. For long-term holders, his advice was unequivocal: avoid wholesale portfolio shifts and instead treat any sub-$2.00 wick as a final accumulation window. “Dollar-cost averaging from here is a good thing to do,” he said, revealing that 97% of his own capital remains in spot positions, with only a single-digit percentage reserved for surgical bids in the $1.80–$1.92 zone. Whether XRP respects that script will become clear in the days ahead. Should the market indeed sweep into the high-$1.80s and rebound with the aggressive thrust the analyst expects, the right shoulder will be complete—and the runway clear—for the long-awaited take-off. At press time, XRP traded at $2.23. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP changed hands at roughly $2.30 in early European trading on Tuesday, extending a two-day bounce that has pulled the token back toward the upper half of the seven-month range that has confined it between about $2.00 and $2.80 since December. Analyst Quantum Ascend argues that this compression phase is now approaching a technical fulcrum that will determine whether the next move is an impulsive wave-three surge or one final wave-two washout. XRP Tightens Into Decision Zone In a video posted on 9 June, the trader noted that “we’ve been in this range… since early December… between like $2.80 and $2.00 just bouncing the whole time,” before zooming out to show what he calls the only Elliott-wave count that “makes sense”: a completed five-wave advance from last year’s lows followed by a five-wave corrective pull-back. “Right now we’re looking at a one-two-three-four-five on the way down… that’s the macro two… and now we’re waiting on three-four-five,” he said, adding that XRP still represents about 12.5% of his portfolio despite his tactical rotation into “alts with more gas left.” Quantum Ascend’s Fibonacci mapping reveals that the token has already retraced slightly more than 50% of its preceding leg higher—a textbook depth for a second-wave correction—and that the sell-off bottomed in the price region that coincided with the fourth wave of the prior move. “Makes sense, perfect spot for us to bounce,” he told viewers after plotting the swing low against the 0.5 Fib level. Related Reading: XRP Bull Trap Incoming? Analyst Sees $2.40 Fakeout Before Painful Crash Whether that bounce blossoms into a sustained breakout, he stressed, ultimately hinges on the market leader: “I think Bitcoin’s gonna make the decision for us,” he said, pointing out that XRP’s fate remains tightly coupled to any directional conviction in BTC. Bitcoin’s own advance toward key retracement resistance could, in his view, drag major altcoins—including XRP—into their respective inflection zones. The analyst now fixes on the 0.618–0.786 Fib band, which corresponds to $2.42–$2.52, as the “decision zone.” “There’s gonna be an area that we gotta be careful of… statistically it’s the area we’re most probable to roll over… between $2.42 and $2.52,” he warned, outlining the risk that XRP forms an A-B-C zig-zag and revisits lower supports before the larger impulsive leg begins. A rejection there would map onto the classical script of a complex second wave that fakes out early longs one final time before relinquishing control to bulls. Related Reading: XRP Price Remains Bullish Above $2, This Falling Channel Says $3.8 Is Coming Macro currents may soon add fuel. XRP’s next potential volatility catalyst is the US Securities and Exchange Commission’s 17 June deadline on Franklin Templeton’s spot-XRP exchange-traded fund proposal—a ruling some desks see as the token’s analogue to January’s Bitcoin ETF moment. While ETF speculation has helped price reclaim higher ground this month, XRP remains almost a dollar below its January all-time high of $3.40, leaving the $2.42–$2.52 pocket as the most technically significant hurdle in the short term. For now, traders will watch whether the current advance can print a daily close inside—or better, above—that corridor. A clean break would validate Quantum Ascend’s wave-three thesis and open the charts to measured moves targeting the mid-$3s. Failure, by contrast, risks a final capitulation toward the lower-$2 region before the larger bull structure can re-assert itself. Whatever the outcome, the analyst remains sanguine: “Whether it rolls over here one more time and we have to be patient or it just goes—that’s okay, because either way the end result is going to be the same.” At press time, XRP traded at $2.28. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Veteran wave technician “BigMike7335” (@Michael_EWpro) argues that the XRP token has just completed a textbook reversal on the daily chart. In a post that accompanied the chart shown below, the strategist quipped, “While you were busy being all excited about COIN being added to ES, XRP decided to breakout.” XRP Breakout Confirmed The annotated Bitstamp daily shows price clawing back to $2.5717, a 21% gain over the last seven sessions that decisively lifts the token through a six-month neckline sitting fractionally above $2.40. That horizontal barrier—coloured red on the chart—coincides with the top of a thin, downward-slanted Ichimoku cloud. Thursday’s close placed the candle not only above the Kumo but also above the 50-day EMA (orange), the 100-day EMA (aqua) and the 200-day SMA (dark blue), stacking the moving-average ribbon in a classic bullish configuration. The thrust completes an inverted head-and-shoulders that formed inside wave (iv) of a larger five-wave advance. The April swing low almost tagged the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of the entire November-to-February impulse at $1.56732; wave “c” of that corrective leg created the pattern’s head, with symmetric shoulders in mid-March and early-May. Measured-move arithmetic from the formation’s $0.80 depth projects approximately $3.58—Big Mike boxes the target at $3.57638, exactly where the white arrow terminates on his chart and where the dashed vertical line identifies Wednesday, 18 June 2025 as a plausible time window. Related Reading: XRP Target Could Be $15 If This Pattern Is In Play, Analyst Says Market-profile data on the right flank strengthen the case: the heaviest volume node (green and tan bars) sits between $2.30 and $2.50, meaning the breakout thrust has already cleared the zone of greatest historical order flow. Above $2.80 the profile thins dramatically, implying scant overhead supply until the prior cycle’s upper channel rail near $3.00 and, ultimately, the $3.57 objective. Momentum gauges back the move. Daily RSI has reclaimed the 60-line and is rising briskly without yet entering overbought territory, while the stochastic oscillator has punched through its signal line and is accelerating toward the upper band—confirmation that impulse rather than mere short covering is at work. Related Reading: XRP Chart Hits Critical Level That ‘Opens The Sky,’ Analyst Warns Key risk markers remain below. Dashed support at $1.66027—the lower edge of the December–May broadening wedge—remains key; a failure to hold that level would invalidate the breakout thesis. Until then, the chart now offers bullish traders a classic post-neckline retest scenario, with the analyst eyeing $3.57 as the technical terminus of wave (v). For now, XRP bulls finally have a structure that justifies optimism—and, as Big Mike notes, they did it while the rest of the market was distracted by the inclusion of Coinbase (COIN) in the S&P 500 on Tuesday. At press time, XRP traded at $2.60. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
In a fresh update posted on X, market strategist Dom (@traderview2) argues that a single, well-defined technical line now holds the key to XRP’s next directional move. His six-hour TradingView chart shows the Binance XRP/USDT pair peaking at $2.48-2.50 overnight before stalling precisely at the volume-weighted average price anchored to the 2018 all-time high (the so-called “ATH VWAP”, plotted in green). Since late January that dynamically descending VWAP has capped every significant rally attempt and, on four separate occasions, triggered immediate, high-velocity rejections. The latest foray produced a brief spike to $2.4082 (session high) and a settling price of $2.3644, leaving a clear upper wick just beneath the VWAP. Dom calls the reaction “expected” given the pair’s very clean technical memory, but he also stresses that the market has already reclaimed a critical intermediate pivot: the quarterly VWAP at roughly $2.30. Related Reading: XRP Must Close Above These Price Levels To Invalidate Bearish Forecast – Analyst That level, the analyst notes, is now being “back-tested” intraday; a successful hold there would leave price wedged between converging support at $2.30 and resistance at the ATH VWAP near $2.48-2.50. A decisive close above the latter would, in Dom’s words, “open the sky for a larger breakout” by removing the final barrier that has contained XRP since its early-January high near $3.50. Massive XRP Breakout Coming? Order-flow data backs the bulls’ case. Dom has been tracking aggregated net flows by trade size and finds that tickets of 10,000–50,000 XRP and 50 000+ XRP have flipped firmly positive over the past three days, while smaller clips (100–1,000 and 1,000–10,000 XRP) have turned net-negative. “Little fish have sold the rip and bigger money has been behind it,” he wrote, adding that the dataset cannot distinguish between retail and institutional wallets but “very unlikely” points to exchange internalisation. Related Reading: Why Is XRP Up Today? Key Reasons Revealed Broader market context corroborates the sense of a maturing impulse. A separate CoinGlass heat-map of perpetual-swap annualised funding rates that Dom shared plots twenty-seven large-capitalisation altcoins from November through May. The graphic highlights two periods – late November to 9 December and the first weeks of May. The December cluster coincided with the “top of alts”, and he argues that the current cluster represents the most intense speculative pressure since that episode. “Strongest move in the altcoin market since November and funding looks like this… I said it last week and I’ll say it again. Hated rally,” Dom argues. Against that backdrop, the immediate technical roadmap remains binary. XRP must first defend the $2.30 quarterly VWAP, a level that has switched from resistance to support within the last forty-eight hours. Hold that shelf and traders will continue to probe the ATH VWAP ceiling. Lose it, and the path of least resistance swings back toward the mid-$2.00s congestion that defined most of April. But should bulls finally force acceptance above the descending VWAP – a feat they have not achieved once this year – the analyst sees little in the way of overhead supply until the mid-$2.70s, the lower boundary of the late-January distribution block. As Dom concludes, “Acceptance above ATH VWAP opens the sky for a larger breakout.” At press time, XRP traded at $2.46. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
In a single New-York trading day, XRP surged almost 10%, mirroring a ferocious bid across the entire digital-asset complex and closing Thursday, 8 May at its highest mark in roughly two weeks. Analysts trace the rally to a cocktail of macro relief, order-book mechanics and renewed alt-season positioning—factors that coincided in a narrow window and magnified one another. Why Is XRP Up Today? The initial spark came from macro headlines. News of a fresh trade accord between Washington and London tempered fears of escalating tariffs, while word of forthcoming minister-level talks between US and Chinese officials signalled a potential thaw in the world’s most consequential bilateral trade standoff. The calmer outlook flipped global-macro desks into a risk-on stance just as New York opened, and Bitcoin responded first, catapulting through the psychologically loaded $100,000 handle on a strong spot demand. The vertical move forced short sellers to buy back exposure; that “short squeeze,” by definition self-reinforcing, spilled rapidly into major altcoins and lifted XRP alongside the broader tape. Related Reading: VWAPs Don’t Lie—XRP Faces Judgment Day At Monthly Support On-chain flow data added a powerful regional twist. Crypto-market analyst Dom (@traderview2) noted that the South-Korean exchange Upbit—historically an XRP bellwether—flipped from net seller to aggressive accumulator in less than forty-eight hours. “Finally Upbit market changed their tune and are the strongest buyers over the last 24 hours,” he posted to X, specifying that Binance followed closely with a net 9 million XRP absorbed. “We are seeing the strongest taste of aggressive market buying that we have seen in over a week. Key is to see it continue.” The volte-face was striking because only 6 May the same commentator had tallied 220 million XRP in cumulative net sales on the KRW pair since 11 April—roughly $500 million of distribution. The reversal underscores how swiftly sentiment can shift when liquidity concentrates in a handful of regional venues. Technicians, meanwhile, drew attention to inter-market breadth. Bitcoin dominance, a gauge that measures the flagship token’s share of total crypto market capitalization, slipped from 65.38% to 64.43%—its sharpest single-day contraction in weeks and a classic tell that capital is rotating into altcoins. Related Reading: XRP Price Repeating History? 2017-Like Rally To Send Price To $10 Dom mapped the shift onto higher-time-frame structure, writing that “TOTAL, the total market cap of crypto, has just hit its uptrend it has held over the last 18 months […] This also coincides with the POC of the volume profile since late 2023.” Point of Control (POC) levels are where the largest amount of volume has historically traded; rebounds from such nodes often act as springboards. In a follow-up post he added, $TOTAL has regained its 2021 highs—yes, all you needed to do was bid the apex of support and the multi-year uptrend.” The same pivot is visible on XRP’s own chart. Dom highlighted that bulls “just breached the quarterly VWAP for the first time in 50 days… If it can hold as support, I am looking at the ATH VWAP as the next stop (US $2.47).” While that target lies some distance above Thursday’s closing price, the break of a multi-week volume-weighted average price is, in technician parlance, a changing-of-the-guard signal that often forces trend-following algorithms to flip long. At press time, XRP traded at $2.31. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP is drifting back to the lower boundary of a five-month trading range, yet the higher-time-frame structure remains intact, according to a daily chart published on May 7 by analyst Dom (@traderview2). The chart covers late-December 2024 through the first week of May 2025 and shows XRP after breaking above a descending trend line that originates at the January 16 high near $3.40. XRP Is ‘Holding Strong’ Dom’s analysis hinges on a trio of anchored Volume-Weighted Average Prices, or VWAPs, which are plotted as adaptive bands on the chart. VWAP represents the average price of an asset over a specified period, weighted by trading volume; in essence it tells traders the level at which the bulk of transactions have occurred. Because large institutional desks often benchmark execution quality against VWAP, the line tends to act as dynamic support or resistance when price retests it. When the anchor point is shifted—from the start of the month, quarter or year, for example—each VWAP offers a lens on how supply-and-demand has evolved over that discrete window. Related Reading: Analyst Says These Factors Will Drive XRP Price To $1,000, But What Does Market Cap Say? The cyan line marks the quarterly anchored VWAP, currently situated at $2.2796, a level that rejected price last week and precipitated the ongoing pullback. The orange line denotes the monthly VWAP, now at $2.0574, and price is hovering just above it; Dom sketches a curved route suggesting that a constructive bounce here could propel XRP back toward the mid-$2.20s. Below, a green ribbon captures the yearly anchored VWAP at $1.8731, flanked by its standard-deviation envelopes at $1.7863 and $1.6996. The April 7 capitulation wick bottomed precisely into that yearly mean before snapping higher, underscoring its significance as a structural foothold. “The VWAPs continue to play perfect, local low was yearly VWAP, rejection last week was off quarterly VWAP and now we are heading to retest the monthly VWAP,” Dom states. The Key Support Zone Horizontal action is equally telling. Since early December the market has ranged between roughly $1.94 and $2.05, a zone highlighted on the chart by a grey rectangle and six green arrows flagging prior deflections. Dom characterises the present retreat as a “healthy retest” of that floor; only a decisive daily close below the band would tilt the bias decisively bearish. Related Reading: Crypto Analyst Predicts How High XRP Could Soar If Bitcoin Hits $250,000 Until then, XRP is, in his words, “already strong” relative to other large-capitalisation altcoins that have broken comparable ranges, even though it is temporarily exhibiting weakness versus a surging Bitcoin dominance index. “XRP is still holding its range from Dec (no other large cap is anywhere near that) so it’s already been strong while others just bled. BTC.D is on a terror run and BTC is just dominating the flows,” Dom writes via X. Technicians will focus on two intersecting signposts over the coming sessions: whether bulls can defend the $2.00 handle and whether the monthly VWAP can again flip from resistance to short-term support. A failure at any of those checkpoints opens the door for a deeper voyage toward the yearly VWAP around $1.87, while a successful defense would reinforce the narrative that the larger consolidation remains merely a pause within a still-valid structural up-trend. “I am expecting a reaction off this range low, losing that would be where things turn bearish/murky, but for now, it’s a healthy chart,” Dom concludes. At press time, XRP traded at $2.20. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP is pressing into a confluence of Fibonacci supports that could decide whether the late-2024 rally extends or snaps, according to a one-hour chart shared on X by independent analyst CasiTrades. The token last changed hands at $2.0995 on Binance when the snapshot was published, down 0.16% on the session but hovering only a few cents above the 38.2% retracement of the late-April rally. XRP Is Building Momentum Explaining the significance of the current pullback, CasiTrades wrote, “Momentum is starting to pick up, and XRP is dropping to one of the most critical support tests we’ve seen in weeks.” The chart anchors its Fibonacci grid on the $2.3622 swing high set April 28 and the $1.6169 low printed April; 7 from that range, the 38.2% retracement lies at $2.0775, the 50% cutback at $1.9896, and the golden-ratio 61.8% level at $1.9016. CasiTrades highlights the 38.2–50% corridor from $2.078 to $2.00 as “the key support region”, adding: “This zone has acted as a pivot point in the past, and it’s where we could see the market start to turn if strength returns.” Related Reading: Major XRP Accumulation Alert: Wallets Holding Over 10,000 Coins Cross 300,000 Price action since the $2.36 high is mapped as a textbook A-B-C corrective pattern. Wave (A) carried XRP below the 23.6% retracement at $2.1863; wave (B) attempted to retest overhead supply but stalled just shy of the peak; and the active wave (C) is sketched by a magenta arrow pointing directly into the $2.00-to-$1.90 pocket. “We may still see one more flush or surprise drop targeting the major $1.90 before momentum shifts,” the analyst cautioned, noting that such moves tend to “move quickly, and by the time it’s obvious, the opportunity will probably be gone.” Internally, momentum is already hinting at exhaustion. The one-hour RSI has carved successive higher lows from the end of April through early May even as spot prices have edged lower, forming a clear bullish divergence accentuated by a rising black trend-line. The oscillator is drifting just under the 40 handle, suggesting selling pressure is losing force as price drills into support. “On the lower timeframes, RSI is showing signs of selling exhaustion, and the price action is beginning to compress, often a signal that a bigger move is on the horizon,” CasiTrades observed. Related Reading: Crypto Pundit Says XRP To $10 Is Just The Start Key Resistance Targets Above the market, Fibonacci levels from a broader swing create an orderly ladder of resistance. A crimson band near $2.2559 marks the 38.2% retracement of an earlier macro impulse and is flagged as “.382 major support” turned resistance until reclaimed. Beyond that, the 11.8 percent line crosses at $2.2743, with the prior peak at $2.36 capping the short-term range. “Off these supports, we’re looking for XRP to gain the strength to break past $2.25, $2.68, and beyond,” the analyst told followers, adding, “This is the time to be alert!” In the comment thread, traders debated whether Bitcoin and Wednesday’s Federal Reserve decision could deliver the final leg lower. “I’m thinking so too… ideally support tests are met with extreme strength and an impressive recovery,” CasiTrades replied. When asked where he would initiate a long, he advocated a laddered approach: “Ideally you’d ladder, $2.08, $2.00, and $1.90—sub-waves are pointing to $2.00 as the highest probable pivot support.” At press time, XRP traded at $2.14. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com