Ethereum’s price action in the past seven days has seen it finally touch the $3,000 resistance zone for the first time in months. This interesting move comes amid growing institutional attention caused by the massive inflows into Spot Ethereum ETFs and Bitcoin’s recent climb to new all-time highs. Ethereum has gained over 17% in the past seven days alone, reaching a new local high of $3,065. Interestingly, bullish technical structures are starting to emerge that could send the ETH price soaring toward new all-time highs. Two analysts have now spotted classic bullish setups, both hinting at a significant rally on the horizon. Cup And Handle Pattern Points To $4,200 If Breakout Holds The first analyst, known as @CryptosBatman on the social media platform X, shared a daily candlestick chart of Ethereum, where a pure ‘cup and handle’ pattern is visible over the past four months. The pattern, which started in early March, shows a rounded bottom that dipped to as low as $1,400, followed by a minor consolidation that formed the handle portion. Now, recent price action has caused ETH to break out of the neckline around $2,850. A technical projection from this neckline points to a 45% move to a price target just below $4,200. Related Reading: Ethereum Is Already Outperforming Bitcoin In July, Is Altcoin Season Here? According to this analyst, Ethereum’s breakout from the cup and handle pattern has formed in the middle of powerful fundamentals. Ethereum is now beginning to outperform Bitcoin in terms of short-term returns, and exchange reserves have dropped to an eight-year low. These are both fundamental signals of strong holding behavior and reduced sell-side pressure. With these metrics aligning with the technical breakout, @CryptosBatman believes Ethereum could be next in line to break its all-time high, possibly before the end of Q3. Weekly Chart Echoes Previous 42% Rally Another crypto market technician, CryptoBullet, expressed a similar sentiment on the social media platform X. This analyst referenced Ethereum’s weekly candlestick chart to support his outlook. He pointed to the formation of last week’s massive green breakout candle that has pushed the price above a major supply-resistance zone around $2,850. This move, as shown in the chart below, mirrors the same structure that caused a 42% rally between February and March 2024, when ETH moved from the $2,900 level up to nearly $4,100 within a matter of weeks. Related Reading: Ethereum To Outperform Bitcoin: Buy Before Mid-August, Analyst Warns If that price action is replicated in this current setup, Ethereum could again be on track to test $4,200 in the next three to four weeks. This puts the timeline of a $4,200 price target sometime in August 2025. The projection is shown with the vertical price range box drawn in the chart above, which maps a 42% upside from the breakout zone. Interestingly, this projection relies on the $2,800 price level, which previously acted as resistance, now flipping to support and preventing any sustained retracements below the $2,900 to $2,850 range. At the time of writing, Ethereum is trading at $2,980, having reached an intraday high of $3,074. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
On Thursday, the South Korea Stock Exchange chairman, Jeong Eun-bo, revealed their plan to “explore” the approval of crypto-based exchange-traded funds (ETFs) to continue with its “value-up program” and face the ongoing market challenges. Related Reading: Indonesia Rushes To Finalize Crypto Oversight Transfer Ahead of Jan. 12 Deadline – Report Korea Exchange To Explore Crypto […]
US Bitcoin spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have faced four consecutive days of withdrawals, ending with notable outflows on Christmas Eve. Data from SoSovalue on Dec. 24 shows that ETFs saw recorded combined outflows of $338.4 million on Christmas Eve. BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin ETF led this decline, suffering its largest single-day outflow of $188.7 million. Fidelity’s […]
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The Ethereum price has been a joy to watch in recent weeks after initially struggling to keep pace with other large-cap cryptocurrencies. However, the past week will be a quick one to forget for the crypto market, especially the altcoin, which declined in value by over 12%. While this price slump experienced by Ethereum has been linked to the US Federal Reserve rate cut, the recent drab performances of the spot ETH exchange-traded funds (ETFs) could also be associated. After a lengthy spell of positive inflows, investor interest in the US-based ETH ETFs seems to be losing momentum. Spot ETH ETFs Snap 18-Day Positive Inflows Streak According to data from SoSoValue, the US-based spot Ethereum ETFs logged a total net outflow of $75.11 million on Friday, December 20. This marked the first time the Ethereum funds would be registering back-to-back negative performances. On Thursday, December 19, the Ethereum exchange-traded funds recorded a total net outflow of $60 million. This single-day performance put an end to the ETH ETF’s 18-day streak of positive inflows and the first negative day in December for the products. Related Reading: XRP Could Be The Altcoin To Recover Quickly, CryptoQuant Analyst Explains Why Surprisingly, BlackRock’s Ethereum Fund (with the ticker ETHA) was the only spot ETF that recorded outflows on Friday. According to market data from SoSoValue, the ETHA exchange-traded fund posted nearly $103.7 million to close the week. Meanwhile, Fidelity’s Ethereum Fund (with the ticker FETH) recorded $12.95 million in net inflow on Friday. Grayscale’s Ethereum Trust (ETHE) and Mini Trust (ETH) were the only other ETFs that registered positive inflows on the day, with $7.51 million and $8.10 million, respectively. These back-to-back days of negative performances saw a net $135 million flow out of the ETH exchange-traded funds in just two days in the past week. However, the crypto products finished with a weekly total net inflow — for the fourth consecutive week — of $62.73 million. Similarly, the spot Bitcoin ETFs appear to be losing interest from investors, as most funds recorded outflows to close the past week. The crypto products registered a daily net outflow of approximately $276 million on Friday. Ethereum Price As of this writing, the Ethereum price stands at around $3,342, reflecting a 2.4% decline in the past 24 hours. Given their impact on the value of ETH, it might be important for the spot ETFs to return to positive inflows if the Ethereum price is to see any relief. Related Reading: Bitcoin Drops Below $98K—Is This the Perfect Buying Opportunity for Investors? Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView
The spot Ethereum ETFs (exchange-traded funds) in the United States have continued their impressive form, posting their tenth consecutive day of positive inflows to close the week. This strong performance reflects the growing positive sentiment amongst investors following the recent US presidential elections. The streak of capital influx would also mark a great start to […]
Investor interest in the spot Ethereum ETFs (exchange-traded funds) appeared to have waned after failing to register a net inflow day for six consecutive days. However, the cryptocurrency products ended the week on a high with a substantial capital influx on Friday, November 22. This capital inflow represents a shift in investor sentiment, which has not particularly been positive over the past few days. Nonetheless, the market would be hoping that this newly found momentum would persist and perhaps also trigger some bullish action for the ETH price. Can Ethereum ETFs Ensure ETH’s Price Recovery? According to the latest data from SoSoValue, the United States-based spot Ethereum ETFs witnessed a net inflow of $91.21 million on Friday. This positive single-day performance represents the first net inflow for the exchange-traded funds since November 13. Related Reading: This Analyst Correctly Predicted The Bitcoin Price Jump To $99,000, But His Prediction Is Not Done Market data shows that a significant portion of the inflows came from BlackRock’s iShares Ethereum Trust (with the ticker ETHA). The crypto product registered around $99.7 million in total daily inflows to close the previous week. Fidelity’s Ethereum Fund (with the ticker FETH) and Bitwise’s Ether ETF (ETHW) were the only other products to post capital inflows on Friday, recording $5.76 million and $4.96 million, respectively. Grayscale’s ETHE and ETH registered outflows of over $18.5 million and $621,000, respectively. As earlier mentioned, Friday’s performance represents a return to positive inflows for the Ethereum ETFs. Prior to this showing, the crypto products posted six consecutive outflow days, draining a cumulative total of $225.6 million within this period. The price of ETH, which initially seemed to have found its footing, also slowed down during this period of the Ethereum ETFs outflow. This trend highlights the significant influence of the exchange-traded funds on price action — both for the world’s largest cryptocurrency Bitcoin and Ethereum. With the fortunes of the US-based Ethereum ETFs seemingly turning around, the price of ETH has also taken an upward swing in the last couple of days. Investors will be hoping that the positive momentum for the Ethereum ETFs continues and translates into the altcoin’s price. Ethereum Price At A Glance As of this writing, the price of ETH stands at around $3,423, reflecting a 2.1% increase in the past day. The altcoin is up by more than 9% on the weekly timeframe, according to data from CoinGecko. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Mirrors 2017 Pattern, Is The Top Only 2 Weeks Away After Hitting $100,000? Featured image created by Dall-E, chart from TradingView
The US-based spot Ethereum ETFs have continued to experience a high market interest following Donald Trump’s emergence as the next US President. As institutional investors continue to position themselves for a massive crypto bull run, these Ethereum ETFs have now registered over $500 million in weekly inflows for the first time since their trading debut in July. Meanwhile, the spot Bitcoin ETFs maintain a splendid performance, closing another week with over $1 billion in inflows. Related Reading: Ethereum ETFs Record Largest Inflows Since August Amid ETH’s Rally To $2,900 Spot Ethereum ETFs Notch Up $515M Inflows To Extend 3-Week Streak According to data from ETF aggregator site SoSoValue, the spot Ethereum ETFs attracted $515.17 million between November 9-November 15 to establish a new record weekly inflows, as they achieved a 3-week positive inflow streak for the first time ever. During this period, these funds also registered their largest daily inflows ever, recording $295.48 million in investments on November 11. Of the total market gains in the specified trading week, $287.06 million were directed to BlackRock’s ETHA, allowing the billion-dollar ETF to strengthen its market grip with $1.72 billion in cumulative net inflow. Meanwhile, Fidelity’s FETH remained a strong market favorite with $197.75 million in inflows, as its net assets climbed to $764.68 million. Grayscale’s ETH and Bitwise’s ETHW also accounted for weighty investments valued at $78.19 million and $45.54 million, respectively. Other ETFs such as VanEck’s ETHV, Invesco’s QETH, and 21 Shares’ CETH experienced some significant inflows but of no more than $3.5 million. With no surprise, Grayscale’s ETHE continues to bleed with $101.02 million recorded in outflows, albeit retains its position as the largest Ethereum ETF with $4.74 billion in AUM. In general, the total net assets of the spot Ethereum ETFs also decreased by 1.2% to $9.15 billion representing 2.46% of the Ethereum market cap. Related Reading: Spot Bitcoin ETFs Draw Over $2 Billion Inflows As Ethereum ETFs Turn Green Again – Details Spot Bitcoin ETFs Remain Buoyant With $1.67B Inflows In other news, the spot Bitcoin ETFs market recorded $1.67 billion in the past week to continue its stunning performance of Q4 2024. While the Bitcoin ETFs saw notable daily outflows of over $770 million at the week’s end, earlier weighted inflows of $2.43 billion proved quite significant in maintaining the market’s green momentum. BlackRock’s IBIT, which ranks as the market leader and the best-performing crypto spot ETF, now boasts over $29.28 billion in inflows and $42.89 billion in net assets. Meanwhile, the total net assets of the spot Bitcoin ETF returned to above $95 billion, capturing 5.27% of the Bitcoin market. At the time of writing, Bitcoin trades at $90,175 with Ethereum hovering around $3,097. Featured image from FXTM, chart from Tradingview.com
Major investment bank Goldman Sachs has disclosed its significant stake in spot Bitcoin ETFs (exchange-traded funds). The finance behemoth, once a vocal Bitcoin critic, appears to be shifting its investment strategy towards crypto assets, specifically the world’s largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization. Goldman Sachs Discloses $461 Million In BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF On Thursday, November 14, […]
The US-based spot Bitcoin ETFs has produced another impressive performance in the past week recording nearly $1 billion in total inflows. Meanwhile, the spot Ethereum ETFs have struggled to maintain a positive form with outflows dominating the market in the same period. Related Reading: Bitcoin Retail lnvestors Remain Cautious Despite Price Gain – Details Spot Bitcoin ETFs Attract $3 Billion In 11 Days Following a splendid performance in October’s third week during which the Spot Bitcoin ETFs registered $2.18 billion in market inflows, these institutional funds retained investors’ interest the following week evidenced by a total weekly inflow of $997.70 million. According to data from ETF tracking site SoSoValue, the Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a positive netflow on all weekdays except Tuesday, October 22nd, where they experienced $79.09 million in outflows. Meanwhile, the largest inflows came on Friday, October 25, valued at $402.08 million. Of this figure, The dominant BlackRock’s IBIT attracted $291.96 million as its cumulative net inflows moved to $23.99 billion. In a similar fashion, Fidelity’s FBTC emerged in second place recording $56.95 million inflows, while $33.37 million was invested in Ark & 21 Shares’s ARKB. Other ETFs that contributed to Friday’s gain include Bitwise’s BITB, Grayscale’s BTC, and VanEck’s HODL with respective inflows of $2.55 million, $5.92 million, and $11.34 million. Interestingly, these positive net flows recorded on Friday mean the spot Bitcoin ETFs have now recorded over $3 billion in inflows in the last eleven trading days. Commenting on this development, popular crypto analyst Michaël van de Poppe shared the general excitement of the crypto community as such massive inflows indicate significant institutional interest in Bitcoin. Van de Poppe said: The #Bitcoin ETF has seen an inflow of more than 3 Billion US Dollars since October 10th. 3 Billion US Dollars. That’s a strong sign that we’re about to see the big breakout for #Bitcoin to $100K. As of now, cumulative total net inflows for the Spot Bitcoin ETFs now stand at $21.93 billion, with their total net assets now valued at $65.25 billion which represents 4.93% of Bitcoin market shares. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price To Go ‘Vertical’ Towards $200,000 As Crypto Analyst Points Out Massive Cup And Handle Pattern Ethereum ETFs See Negative Returns Again In other news, the struggles of the spot Ethereum ETF market persist, which saw total outflows of $24.45 million over the past week, marking their 11th week of negative returns since debuting on July 26. Total net assets for these Ethereum ETFs currently stand at $6.82 billion but with a cumulative total net outflows of $504.44 million. At press time, Bitcoin and Ethereum traded respectively at $67,077 and $2,484 following a minor decline in both assets in the past day. Featured image from StormGain, chart from Tradingview
On Tuesday, Ethereum spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) registered a significant positive performance for the first time in nearly two months. The crypto-based investment products have seen a sluggish performance throughout September and have failed to impress investors amid the market pump. Related Reading: Crypto Mines Busted: Authorities Uncover Underground Mining Farms In Russia Ethereum ETFs […]
As enthusiasm surrounding the introduction of spot Ethereum and Bitcoin ETFs in the United States continues to grow, Hong Kong has embarked on its journey to establish a spot ETF market for these digital assets. However, the performance of these exchange-traded funds in Hong Kong has not matched the success seen in the US, raising […]
Ethereum is firm when writing but continues to underperform versus Bitcoin. Though ETH is floating above $2,400, and may even break above $3,000 in the coming years, the rapid strengthening of the world’s most valuable coin, on the other hand, might push the ETH/BTC ratio to multi-month lows. ETH Struggling Versus Bitcoin, ETH/BTC Ratio Drops […]
Ethereum is struggling for momentum and remains under immense selling pressure. As of writing, the second most valuable coin is inside a narrow range, trending within the $2,100 on the lower end and $2,800 on the upper end. The local resistance level could mark the start of an impressive leg up, relieving the coin of the current sell grip from early August. Ethereum Whales Selling Although supporters are upbeat, expecting the coin to trend higher, breaking above local liquidation lines in a buy trend continuation formation, there are concerns. Looking at Ethereum price action, the coin could post even more losses. Related Reading: XRP Alert: Raoul Pal Advises Investors To Sell Now – Here’s Why One analyst, citing on-chain developments, notes that Ethereum whales, or addresses holding at least 10,000 ETH, have been actively selling over the past month. Overall, their decision to sell could suggest that these entities, who are often closely monitored, are not confident about what lies ahead. Therefore, others could follow suit by unloading their holdings, leading to a supply glut. Considering market forces, an uptick in supply could negatively impact prices, delaying the climb above the immediate roadblocks. Massive Outflows From Spot ETH ETFs Beyond this, analysts are also deflated by the current trends of spot Ethereum ETFs. In May, prices shot higher when the United SEC unexpectedly fast-tracked the approval of 19b-4 forms for applicants. The approval of the S-1 registration forms was also received positively, lifting prices above the $3,000 mark. However, days after the product began trading, there were more outflows, especially from Grayscale’s ETHE. Concurrently, demand has been lower than expected. Since its inception, over $247 million worth of ETH has been redeemed from ETHE. Subsequently, prices have been struggling and moving further away from March 2024 highs. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sees Surge in Demand: Are We At The Final Phase of Consolidation? According to Farside data, all spot Ethereum ETF issuers posted outflows of around $6.5 million on August 20. This is mostly thanks to the millions of dollars of redemption through ETHE. This has been a consistent trend since August 15. It suggests that though the smart contracts platform offers value, ETH’s immediate to medium-term outlook is bearish. Accordingly, investors are choosing to move their capital elsewhere. Feature image from DALLE, chart from TradingView
According to the latest data, the world’s largest asset manager BlackRock has added another feather to its cap, becoming the company with the largest crypto exchange-traded fund (ETF) holdings. Here’s How BlackRock’s ETFs Compare To Grayscale’s Funds Crypto intelligence platform Arkham revealed in a post on X that BlackRock has usurped Grayscale to become the […]
As visible from their daily chart performances, Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other top altcoins are not free from bearish pressures. Bitcoin and Ethereum, despite being the most liquid, are still down double digits in the past trading week. As bulls push higher, traders closely monitor how prices will react at immediate liquidation zones. Institutions Choosing Ethereum […]
After a drab week characterized by Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana prices either dumping or moving sideways, prices bounced off strongly by the end of last week. Of note, losses in Ethereum were arrested as prices recovered, rising from around $3,000. At the same time, Bitcoin and Solana pushed higher, closing in on $70,000 and $200, respectively. Interest In Bitcoin, Ethereum, And Solana Spikes According to Santiment data, despite weakness across the scene, there were hints of strength at the tail end of last week. Of note was renewed interest, where Solana, Bitcoin, and Ethereum saw a marked spike in trading volume. Related Reading: Fantom (FTM) Regains Momentum After Weeks Long Bleed – Will This Continue? When trading volume surges, it often suggests that market participants are curious and willing to engage, especially if prices are rising. Since these top coins were firm, rejecting losses, especially from Friday, July 26, buyers were in the equation, looking to capitalize. As Santiment analysts noted, how Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana perform tends to impact the general market. If Ethereum rallies, for example, it would benefit the broader layer-2 and 3 ecosystems. This will push meme coins and even decentralized finance (DeFi) activity even higher. There were multiple factors behind this interest. In Bitcoin’s case, shifting regulatory perspective on the world’s most valuable coin and increasing endorsement from politicians, especially in the United States, could explain why more are willing to learn about the coin. The Impact Of Trump, Spot Ethereum ETFs, And SOL Flipping BNB Over the weekend, Donald Trump, the former president and the presidential candidate in the upcoming November election, delivered a keynote address at the recently concluded Bitcoin conference in Nashville. Trump expressed his support for Bitcoin, saying he would make America the home of crypto. Meanwhile, eyes were on Ethereum following the approval of spot ETFs by the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Though the derivative product began trading at leading bourses, including the NYSE and Cboe, inflows remain low. If anything, Farside data showed that by Friday, spot Ethereum ETFs had posted outflows for three consecutive days. Outflows from Grayscale’s ETHE chiefly drove this. Even amid this unexpected development, BlackRock’s spot Ethereum ETF product saw over $87 million inflows on July 26. Related Reading: Donald Trump Reveals Plans For US Government’s 213,239 Bitcoin If Elected Traders also tracked Solana after the coin flipped BNB as the third most valuable cryptocurrency, excluding stablecoins. According to July 29, SOL commanded a market cap of $88.5 billion, while BNB stood at $86.5 billion, according to CoinMarketCap data. Over the past few weeks, SOL has been edging higher. To put in the numbers, SOL is up 56% from July lows. It will likely register fresh Q3 2024 highs if buyers breach $200. Feature image from DALLE, chart from TradingView
The much-anticipated launch of several Ethereum-based spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) failed to ignite a significant Ethereum (ETH) price rally. Despite considerable trading volumes and large inflows for the “newborn” ETFs on their first day, the Grayscale outflows have been too massive (once again) to propel the Ether price upwards. Ethereum ETFs Start Strong, But Grayscale … Eric Balchunas, a senior ETF analyst at Bloomberg, shared via X (formerly Twitter), “DAY ONE in the books for Eth ETFs who did $1b in total volume, which is 23% of what the spot bitcoin ETFs did on their first day and ETHA did 25% of IBIT’s volume.” He also noted that “The gap between ETHE and The Newborn Eight is a healthy +$625m.” However, despite these healthy volumes, the price of Ethereum only increased marginally by 1% yesterday. At press time, ETH stood at $3,437, down 0.4% over the past 24 hours. In contrast, Bitcoin (BTC) price declined by 1.6%, and other altcoins also faced downward pressure, dropping between 4% and 10%. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Stays Flat Despite Today’s ETF Debut: QCP Explains Why James Seyffart, another Bloomberg ETF expert, commented the first day of inflows, “First full day of flows for the ETHness stakes are in. The Ethereum ETFs took in $107 million. BlackRock’s ETHA led the way with $266.5 million followed by Bitwise’s ETHW with $204 million. Very solid first day.” Despite these positive inflows, the day was not without its challenges. The Grayscale Ethereum Trust (ETHE), which transitioned from a traditional trust to a spot ETF, saw substantial outflows amounting to $484.9 million, representing about 5% of the fund’s value. Eric Balchunas commented on this movement, “Damn. That’s a lot. Like 5% of the fund. Not sure The Eight newbies can offset w inflows at this magnitude. On flip side maybe its for best to just get it over with fast, like ripping a band aid off.” The introduction of these ETFs is part of a broader trend following the launch of similar Bitcoin ETFs in January, which also experienced a mix of inflows and significant outflows from the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC). The Ethereum Mini Trust, another Grayscale product, however, reported $15.2 million in new inflows. Related Reading: Ethereum Retraces: Here’s Why ETH Bulls Must Decisively Break Above $3,500 Other notable Ethereum ETFs like Franklin Templeton’s (EZET) and 21Shares’ Core Ethereum ETF (CETH) saw inflows of $13.2 million and $7.4 million, respectively, indicating varying levels of investor interest across different funds. Overall, the first day of trading for these Ethereum ETFs brought in significant volumes and a complex flow of funds but did not translate into a significant price rally for Ethereum. As with Bitcoin, the Grayscale outflows for Ethereum seem to need to be cleared out of the way before the ETFs could have a significant impact on the price. At press time, ETH traded at $3,442. Featured image created with DALL·E, chart from TradingView.com
Ethereum ETFs (exchange-traded funds) began trading on Tuesday, generating significant volume within the first 2 hours of trading. Interestingly, the Ethereum ETFs ranked among the top 1% regarding ETF volume. Related Reading: Analyst Says Solana Price Will Surge 1,000% To $1,800, Here’s When Ethereum ETFs Surpass Traditional Launch Volumes According to Bloomberg ETF expert Eric Balchunas, the ETH ETFs traded $361 million in the first 90 minutes on launch day, surpassing the typical volume seen at the launch of traditional ETFs. Blachunas said: Here’s where we at after 90 minutes. $361m total. As a group that number would rank them about 15th overall in ETF volume (about what $TLT and $EEM trade), which is Top 1%. But again compared to a normal ETF launch, which rarely see more than $1m on Day One, all of them have cleared that number and then some. Matthew Sigel, head of digital asset research at asset manager VanEck, highlighted the significance of these figures in the first hours of trading, noting that Ethereum ETFs saw more than 50% of trading volume compared to Bitcoin’s $610 million on day one, indicating strong investor interest in Ethereum. However, how these numbers will fare at the close remains to be seen. Bitcoin ETFs saw $4.6 billion in volume on their first day of trading in January, which may indicate the future performance of these newly approved index funds for the second-largest cryptocurrency on the market. ETH’s Price Targets Soar Crypto analyst Doctor Profit shared a report highlighting a potentially massive parabolic move for Ethereum’s price this year in the wake of the expected inflows in the new Ethereum ETF market. While some anticipate a correction due to the “sell the news” phenomenon, Doctor Profit argues that the market has already factored in the ETF launch but has yet to consider the significant inflows of USD that will flood into the Ethereum ETFs. With Ethereum’s market cap being three times smaller than Bitcoin’s, Doctor Profit believes that every dollar invested in ETH is expected to have three times the price impact compared to Bitcoin, positioning Ethereum favorably for substantial price gains. Furthermore, the analyst contends that while Ethereum’s Grayscale ETH Fund sell pressure is comparable to the Bitcoin ETF launch, the impact is expected to be less severe. Related Reading: Helium (HNT) Rockets In Value With 41% Rally – Here’s Why Looking ahead, Doctor Profit has set expected price targets for Ethereum in the coming months, including a potential target between $4,500 and $5,500 by Q3 2024, indicating steady but modest growth. Moving into Q4 2024 and Q1 2025, the price range is expected to expand from $5,500 to $8,000. However, it is in Q2 2025 that Ethereum is expected to significantly jump, with price targets ranging from $8,000 to $14,000. At the time of writing, ETH is trading at $3,444, showing sideways movement with no significant change from yesterday’s price, despite the hype surrounding the launch of the ETF market. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
Ethereum prices recoiled yesterday but are stable when writing. Today, July 23, nine spot Ethereum ETFs began trading on various regulated bourses, mainly the Cboe, Nasdaq, and the NYSE. This listing comes barely two months after the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) reversed its decision and accelerated the approval process of 19b-4 forms […]
Ethereum is firm when writing, rapidly rising after slipping to around $2,800 earlier this month. As of writing, the second most valuable coin is up by over $24% and remains in an uptrend despite the scare of July 4 and 5. Ethereum Finds Strong Resistance At $3,500 Even as buyers expect ETH bulls to press on and push the coin above $3,700, a key resistance line, on-chain data shows that there is resistance. According to IntoTheBlock data on July 22, ETH has strong resistance at $3,500, which has been the case since July 16. Related Reading: Terra Classic Poised For 280% Rally On ‘Major Recovery Strength’ – Analyst At this level, 3.13 million unique addresses bought ETH at an average price of $3,547. Therefore, if prices trend below this level, these holders are in red and contemplating exiting at a loss. The fact that some addresses could be willing to dump and exit the market when prices fall makes the general environment fragile, a considerable hindrance to the upside. This makes the situation even dire, considering that ETH is not all that firm despite the expansion of July 15. From the daily chart, the uptrend remains, but there are pockets of weaknesses due to the sharpness of the July 4 and 5 dumps. The sell-off forced ETH towards the $2,800 level, reversing gains of May 20. For buyers to take over, reaffirming the uptrend of July 15, prices must zoom past $3,500 but, most importantly, $3,700. This reaction line is crucial and is the only local resistance buyers must overcome for ETH to float above $3,900 and $4,100. Millions Of ETH Pulled From Exchanges, Spot ETF Launch Fanning Demand For now, there is strength in reading from on-chain analysis. Though over three million users are in the red, more ETH continues to be moved from exchanges. On July 19, IntoTheBlock data revealed that $126 million worth of ETH was moved from leading exchanges. Notably, this development comes amid the expected approval of the first batch of spot Ethereum ETFs in the United States. If the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) greenlights these products this week, it would be a massive win for ETH. The regulatory clarity that comes with this move will be of importance. United States SEC officials have yet to clarify the status of ETH. Related Reading: Here’s Why The Bitcoin Price Crashed Below $66,000, Taking Shiba Inu And Dogecoin With It However, once spot Ethereum ETFs are listed in various bourses in the country, it would be assumed that the regulator agrees that the second most valuable coin is a commodity, just like Bitcoin. Feature image from DALLE, chart from TradingView
The US spot Ethereum ETFs are set to launch on Tuesday, July 23rd, with projections indicating potential monthly inflows of $1.2 billion. This forecast comes from ASXN, a research firm specializing in crypto finance analytics. US Spot Ethereum ETFs Could Surprise To The Upside At the core of ASXN’s analysis is the comparison between the newly introduced Ethereum ETFs and the previously launched Bitcoin ETFs. One of the critical differentiators highlighted in the report is the fee structure. The Ethereum ETFs, while mirroring the fee approach of Bitcoin ETFs, introduce a notably competitive twist with Grayscale’s new ‘mini trust’ Ethereum product. Initially disclosed at a 0.25% management fee, the fee was quickly adjusted to 0.15% after competitive pressures from other low-fee products like Blackrock’s ETHA ETF. Grayscale has strategically re-positioned 10% of its Ethereum Trust (ETHE) Assets Under Management (AUM) to this mini trust, offering ETHE holders an exchange to the new ETF at no tax liability—a move aimed at retaining capital within its ecosystem and providing a more attractive fee structure to fee-sensitive investors. “Grayscale’s strategic adjustment of its fee structure and the innovative mini trust offering are likely to redefine the competitive landscape of Ethereum ETFs,” an ASXN analyst commented in the report. “This could not only stem potential outflows but also attract a broader base of institutional investors due to the more favorable fee dynamics.” Related Reading: Here’s What To Know On Grayscale Bitcoin & Ethereum ETF Spinoffs – Details ASXN’s report also covers the potential market impact of the inflow of funds into Ethereum ETFs. Utilizing global data from existing crypto Exchange Traded Products (ETPs), the research draws parallels and contrasts between the Ethereum and Bitcoin markets. Historically, ETPs have been overweight in Bitcoin relative to Ethereum based on AUM ratios compared to market cap ratios. This has shifted slightly with Ethereum gaining more traction and investment confidence. Referring to other research reports on potential ETF inflows, the report notes: “There have been many estimates for the ETF flows, some of which we have highlighted below. Taking the estimates and standardizing them yields an average estimate in the $1bn/month region. Standard Chartered Bank offers the highest estimate with $2bn/month, while JP Morgan is on the low end at $500m/month.” ASXN’s estimate lies at $800 to $1.2 billion per month. “This was calculated by taking a market cap weighted average of monthly Bitcoin inflows and scaling this by the market cap of ETH,” the firm notes. Furthermore, they backed their estimates with the global crypto ETP data and “are open to an upside surprise given the unique dynamics of ETHE trading at par prior to the launch and the introduction of the mini trust.” The Reflexivity Of ETH In terms of liquidity, the report suggests that Ethereum’s market dynamics are distinct from those of Bitcoin. Although Ethereum’s overall liquidity is slightly lower, the impact of new ETF inflows could be more pronounced due to Ethereum’s lower ‘float’—the amount of an asset readily available for trading. “Ethereum’s liquidity profile, compounded by its smaller float relative to Bitcoin, implies that inflows into the ETF could have a disproportionately positive effect on its price,” states the report. Related Reading: CBOE Global Markets Lists Spot Ethereum ETFs, Confirms Launch Date Moreover, ASXN’s analysis is devoted to the reflexivity inherent in Ethereum’s market. According to the report, inflows into Ethereum ETFs could lead to higher Ethereum prices, which in turn could increase activity and investments in the decentralized finance (DeFi) sector and other Ethereum-based applications. This feedback loop is supported by Ethereum’s tokenomics, specifically the EIP-1559 mechanism which burns a portion of transaction fees, effectively reducing the total supply of Ethereum over time. “The reflexivity of Ethereum’s market extends beyond simple supply and demand dynamics due to its integral role in DeFi and other blockchain-based applications,” ASXN explains and adds, “as the price of Ethereum increases, it could significantly enhance the underlying fundamentals of the DeFi platforms, driving further investments and creating a self-reinforcing cycle of value appreciation.” The report concludes with strategic insights for traditional finance (TradFi) institutions considering Ethereum investments. It argues that the narrative around Ethereum as a multi-faceted platform for decentralized applications provides a compelling value proposition beyond the “digital gold” narrative typically associated with Bitcoin. ASXN also speculates on the future potential for a staked ETH ETF, which could attract TradFi players with its yield-generating capabilities. “The possibility of a staked ETH ETF could become a game-changer, offering traditional finance a way to engage with crypto assets that not only appreciate in value but also generate yield,” the report suggests. At press time, ETH traded at $3,494. Featured image created with DALL·E, chart from TradingView.com
After a long period of speculation and uncertainty, Spot Ethereum ETFs (exchange-traded funds) will officially commence trading next week, on Tuesday, July 23, 2024. This significant development was announced by the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE). Five Spot Ethereum ETFs Go Live On Cboe Next Week On Friday, July 19, the Chicago Board Options Exchange […]
Bitcoin’s price surged to a new one-month high near $67,000 as a variety of bullish factors converged to push cryptocurrencies higher.
Bitcoin’s price surged to a new one-month high near $67,000 as a variety of bullish factors converged to push cryptocurrencies higher.
As the highly anticipated launch of the first spot Ethereum ETFs in the United States nears, experts are predicting a significant price appreciation for the second-largest cryptocurrency in the market. Ethereum ETFs On The Horizon According to a recent Reuters report, the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) could approve Ethereum ETFs as soon as July 4, as discussions between asset managers and regulators enter the final stages. Industry executives and other participants who requested anonymity due to the confidential nature of the talks revealed that the process of amending the offering documents has progressed to resolving only “minor” issues, and approval is “probably not more than a week or two away.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Battling Bearish Headwinds: Is The Sell-Off Over? According to Morningstar Direct data, the launch of Bitcoin-based ETFs in the US in January was a major success, drawing around $8 billion in assets. By late June, these nine new products had nearly $38 billion in assets, although the holdings of Grayscale Bitcoin Trust – which converted its $27 billion BTC trust into an ETF simultaneously – dipped to $17.8 billion. However, experts believe the launch of the new spot Ethereum ETFs may not be as impressive as the Bitcoin ETF debut. James Butterfill, head of research at Coinshares, noted that “Ethereum is not the same size in terms of market cap, nor does it have the same volumes” as BTC. Given the differences in market size and nature of the two cryptocurrencies, Bryan Armour, an ETF analyst at Morningstar, believes inflows may be much more muted when the Ethereum ETFs launch. “With Bitcoin, there had been pent-up demand for a decade, and investor interest was off the charts,” Armour said. “This just isn’t going to command the same excitement.” However, not everyone shares the same cautious outlook. ETH Eyes Potential Rally Toward $7,500 Quinn Thompson, the founder and CIO of Lekker Capital, has recently stated that the market is in the middle of “one of the most obvious and attractive crypto buying opportunities of recent memory.” Thompson further claimed that it was “cool” to be bullish in the past, but now, it appears that “Twitter has become a contest to see who can have the most negative ETH ETF take.” Thompson further noted: Personally, I think ETH will reach $7,000 and BTC will make its first attempt at $100,000 by the election in November. The Glassnode co-founders also shared a bullish price analysis for Ether, stating that if investors look at Ether’s history, similar patterns are developing as in the early stages of the 2021 bull market. They believe the current structure gives a target of around $7,500 as a final high for Ether, mirroring the Fibonacci extension seen in 2021 and implying a strong rally in Ether “soon!” Related Reading: Dogecoin Profitability Rises To 75% As Shiba Inu Plunges To 52% While caution remains regarding the possibility of further price declines, experts argue that such a scenario would require a new exogenous event to occur. Overall, market sentiment is leaning towards Ethereum reaching $7,000 and Bitcoin’s first attempt at $100,000. At the time of writing, ETH was trading at $3,460, up more than 3% over the past 24 hours as the broader market recovers from the corrections seen over the weekend and into the beginning of the week. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin, Ethereum, and top altcoins are falling at spot rates. As of writing, Bitcoin is teetering around the $60,000 level and still unable to reverse the sharp losses of June 24, when prices cratered, dipping to the $50,000 territory. Bitcoin And Ethereum Put-Call Ratio Falling Even so, there appear to be changes. According to Kaiko, […]
The launch of spot Ethereum ETFs could trigger massive capital inflows into the market, according to Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan.
In a significant development for the cryptocurrency market, asset managers are eagerly preparing for the launch of new spot Ethereum ETFs, pending approval from the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Bitwise Chief Investment Officer (CIO) Matt Hougan has weighed in on the potential of these ETFs, predicting substantial inflows into the regulated market within the first months of trading. Market Data Suggests $15B Demand For Spot Ethereum ETFs Hougan’s projections are based on a thorough analysis of available data. He emphasizes that there is no need for speculation when estimating the demand for spot Ethereum ETFs. Instead, Hougan points to the existing market data to support his forecast of $15 billion in net inflows during the initial 18-month period. To arrive at this estimate, Hougan compares the relative market capitalizations of Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH). As a starting point, he expects investors to allocate to Bitcoin and Ethereum exchange-traded products (ETPs) roughly in proportion to their market capitalizations. Related Reading: 10x Your Crypto Portfolio: Top Analyst Highlights 4 Altcoins To Buy Bitcoin’s market cap currently stands at $1,266 billion, representing 74% of the combined market, while Ethereum’s market cap is $432 billion, accounting for 26% of the combined market. Considering US investors already have around $56 billion invested in spot Bitcoin ETPs, Hougan anticipates reaching $100 billion or more by the end of 2025 as these ETFs mature and gain approval on prominent platforms such as Morgan Stanley and Merrill Lynch. Using this $100 billion benchmark, he suggests that spot Ethereum ETFs would need to attract $35 billion in assets to achieve parity, which he estimates will take approximately 18 months. However, Hougan acknowledges that the actual inflows may differ due to various factors. For instance, the Grayscale Ethereum Trust (ETHE) is expected to convert to an ETP on the launch day, bringing along $10 billion in assets. Factoring this in, the estimated net inflows to reach parity would be around $25 billion. Analysis Of International ETF Markets To validate his estimates, Hougan looks at international ETF markets, particularly Europe and Canada, which already offer Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs. The asset split between the two cryptocurrencies in these markets is similar, according to Hougan, with Bitcoin ETPs accounting for approximately 78% and Ethereum ETPs representing around 22% of the total Assets Under Management (AUM). This alignment with market cap breakdowns strengthens Hougan’s earlier estimate. Hougan also considers the potential impact of the “carry trade” on Bitcoin and Ethereum ETP markets. While a significant fraction of US Bitcoin ETP flows are linked to the carry trade strategy, he highlights that the Ethereum ETP carry trade is not profitable for institutions. To maintain a conservative estimate, Hougan removes the $10 billion carry-trade-related AUM when sizing the Bitcoin market, leading to a revised estimate of $15 billion in net inflows for Ethereum ETPs. Related Reading: Analysts Battle Over Cardano’s Next Move: 12,000% Rally Or 50% Crash? In sum, Hougan believes that while there are several factors to consider and potential adjustments to the model, a starting point of $15 billion in net new demand for spot Ethereum ETFs within the next 18 months is a reasonable projection. At the time of writing, ETH was trading at $3,405, up nearly 3% in the past 24 hours, after hitting a low of $3,230 on Monday. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
Popular crypto analyst degentrading (@degentradingLSD) has made a bold prediction that Ethereum will reach $6,000 by September 2024. This prediction comes in response to an analysis by Mechanism Capital founder Andrew Kang, who expects Ethereum to underperform despite the imminent launch of US spot Ethereum ETFs. Andrew Kang’s analysis projects a continued downtrend for ETHBTC, with the ratio expected to range between 0.035 and 0.06 over the next year. In his detailed thread on X, Kang expressed skepticism about Ethereum’s potential, despite the ETF launch being just days away. Why Ethereum Could Reach $6,000 By September Degentrading, however, presented a counter-argument in a thread on X. Degentrading begins by examining the change in CME open interest (OI) from pre-ETF days to the present, noting a substantial increase of approximately $5 billion. He explains, “Pre-ETF, it was very onerous to perform cash and carry on CME due to margin requirements. Hence, the upper bound of basis trades is probably capped at that amount.” This insight suggests that the advent of the ETF could significantly ease trading constraints, potentially unlocking a large influx of capital. However, he tempers this by discussing the challenges posed by the extinction of prime brokers like Genesis, which complicates spot borrowing as a hedge against CME futures longs. According to degentrading, “Unless market makers can frequently charge a bid/ask spread, they are effectively locking in a loss. Therefore, the sheer amount of CME basis trades has to be a minority. I would peg the figure at $1-2 billion max.” This leaves an estimated $7 billion in potential inflows, a figure he describes as “highly dependent on assumptions.” Related Reading: Ethereum (ETH) Records Surge In Active Addresses – Incoming Price Rebound? Degentrading contrasts Ethereum’s position with that of Bitcoin, criticizing sentiments from analysts like Eric Balchunas. “Nothing in traditional finance is as exciting as tech. Bitcoin has the branding of digital gold or millennial gold. Gold’s market cap is approximately $15 trillion,” he notes. In contrast, Ethereum is seen as a decentralized global settlement layer or world computer, with the US stock market already valued at $50 trillion. This, he argues, sets a much higher ceiling for Ethereum. He further explains that in his discussions with traditional finance (tradfi) professionals, there is more enthusiasm for ETH and even SOL compared to BTC. “People are much more excited about ETH or SOL for that matter. Hence, I would peg the inflow conversion rate at half of Bitcoin’s, which translates to about $3-4 billion into ETH,” degentrading asserts. One of the key points in degentrading’s argument is Ethereum’s relative illiquidity compared to Bitcoin. He highlights that while Ethereum is roughly one-third the size of Bitcoin, its liquidity is only about 10% of BTC. “This means that an influx of $3-4 billion will materially move ETH,” he emphasizes. This illiquidity could lead to significant price movements with relatively smaller capital inflows. Addressing the market’s current positioning, degentrading points out the overall bleak sentiment on Crypto Twitter (CT), viewing it as the best technical setup for Ethereum. He notes, “On the cusp of the ETH ETF launch, you have people setting expectations for $500 million of inflows over six months. This is the BEST technical setup for ETH.” Related Reading: 3 Reasons To Invest In Ethereum, 1 To Stay Bitcoin-Only: Bitwise CIO An important factor in degentrading’s analysis is the anticipated conversion of Grayscale’s Ethereum Trust (ETHE) into an ETF. He suggests that ETHE will likely face much less selling pressure compared to the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) due to a lesser lender overhang. “ETHE will also likely face MUCH LESS selling pressure than GBTC because of the much lesser lender overhang,” he notes. Impact Of Cash And Carry Trades Andrew Kang responded to degentrading’s analysis, highlighting the involvement of large funds like Millennium, which owns $2 billion of the ETF. Kang points out that such funds engage in basis trades and are not long-only investment funds. “Millennium by itself owns $2 billion of the ETF. They are not a long-only investment fund. They do these types of basis trades. That’s only one fund from an old filing,” Kang stated. Degentrading acknowledged this but emphasized the cost implications of holding a cash and carry position. He argued that the cost of holding such positions nets out significant amounts, which impacts the market maker’s profitability. “On that thought, the cost of holding a cash and carry would net out $300 million to Millennium and cost the market maker that amount, implying that the delta is borne by a naked delta on the futures,” degentrading retorted. At press time, ETH traded at $3,362.90. Featured image created with DALL·E, chart from TradingView.com
Solana, one of the top altcoins, trailing Ethereum and the BNB Chain, has not been spared in the recent correction. After rallying to as high as $210 in Q1 2024, the coin is now sliding, facing strong headwinds, plunging, and following the performance posted by Bitcoin and Ethereum. Is This The Best Time To Buy Solana? Even amid this deep retracement, Raol Pal, a macro analyst, thinks this is the best time for investors and traders to consider Solana. In a post on X, Pal said traders may look at loading the coin, citing the candlestick arrangement in the daily chart. Looking at the SOLUSDT chart, it is clear that the coin is moving sideways and inside a broader flag after the spike to over $200 in March. However, what’s emerging amid the cool-off is that the zone between $120 and $125 is a support to watch out for. Related Reading: Altcoin Massacre? Prices Plummet 40-90%, Recovery Stalled — Analyst At press time, SOL is changing hands at around $130, down approximately 40% from the March 2024 highs. If bears of late May 2024 press on, it will be interesting to see how prices will react at this level. From Pal’s position, the analyst expects prices to bounce back from this level and resume the uptrend from last year. The problem is that there won’t be any guarantee that prices will shoot higher from this support zone. Technically, a close above $190 and preferably $190, could mark the resumption of the next leg up, quashing bears. On-Chain Activity Shrinking As Ethereum Set For More Institutional Support Whether this will pan out in the coming weeks or months is unclear. How SOL performs is primarily tied to market developments and on-chain activity, among other factors. Although Solana is fast emerging as a preferred choice for meme coin issuers, there has been a marked drop in on-chain activity in recent days. Notably, Ethereum layer-2 solutions like Base, Arbitrum, and Optimism appear to be taking over. Related Reading: Bitcoin Battles $64,515 Support Level, Can It Hold or Will Bears Prevail? Solana offers higher scalability than Ethereum, meaning transaction fees are low. When on-chain activity drops relative to other cheaper platforms, it could mean the demand for SOL is falling, which is a net negative for prices. At the same time, the revival in the stock market, which has seen indices like the S&P 500 rally, could draw investors’ attention to cryptocurrencies. Additionally, with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on the brink of approving a spot Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETF), more capital will flow to ETH. Feature image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView