Altcoins surged as June’s softer‑than‑expected core CPI, hefty ETF inflows and talk of a dovish Fed rotation fueled risk appetite, an analyst said.
Bitcoin has rallied massively over the past seven days by posting an impressive price gain of nearly 9% after climbing from around $108,300 to almost $118,800. This move was quite surprising, particularly as the process saw Bitcoin clearing its previous all-time high from late May by breaking above $111,970. But according to Bitcoin technical analyst CryptoCon, this breakout may just be the beginning. In a recent post on the social media platform X, CryptoCon revealed a long-term cycle pattern that points to a more ambitious price target for Bitcoin. Analyst Unveils BTC’s Golden Number For This Cycle In a recent post on social media platform X, CryptoCon revealed a long-term cycle pattern that points to a more ambitious target for Bitcoin. His analysis is based on the 5.618 Fibonacci extension, which is a number he says has perfectly aligned with every prior cycle top. The projection opens up the possibility of whether Bitcoin’s current move marks the start of another parabolic run. Related Reading: Market Expert Says It’s Now ‘Illegal’ To Short Bitcoin, Here’s Why CryptoCon’s technical chart analysis builds on the recurring 5.618 Fibonacci extension level in previous market cycles. The analyst shows how Bitcoin’s previous tops have fallen within striking distance of this precise extension by measuring the move of each market cycle and applying this golden ratio. The chart shown below features the $30.84 peak in June 2011, the $1,205 top in November 2013, the $18,702 high from December 2017, and the peak of $63,839 in November 2021. Each of these market tops, as shown in the Bitcoin multi-year price chart below, converged on the same 5.618 multiple from their preceding bear market lows. Now, using this same approach in the ongoing cycle, CryptoCon projected that the next major step for Bitcoin is somewhere between $170,000 and $180,000. Particularly, the 5.618 Fibonacci extension points to a “Golden Number” of $184,181 for Bitcoin’s price in this cycle. Bitcoin Price Compression Is About To Expand Violently Several major forces appear to have contributed to BTC’s recent surge in the past 48 hours. A significant short squeeze earlier in the week reportedly wiped out over $1 billion in bearish positions. At the same time, US-based Spot Bitcoin ETFs registered over $1 billion in daily inflows in the past two consecutive days. Related Reading: Analyst Predicts Bitcoin Price Breakdown — Here’s The Best Time To Buy In his X post, CryptoCon also commented on the current state of Bitcoin’s chart: “All the boring price action is coming to a squeeze; it can’t stay that way forever.” This observation reflects the long period of tight, sideways trading between $105,000 and $108,000 that Bitcoin experienced in the previous two weeks. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $117,762, retracing slightly after reaching its most recent all-time high of $118,667, according to CoinGecko data. Other crypto analysts now find themselves watching the $130,000 region as another zone of consolidation activity on the way to the possible cycle peak. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
A major breakthrough has just arrived for Bitcoin and the crypto industry from one of the most influential financial regulatory bodies in the United States. The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), which oversees the country’s largest mortgage liquidity providers, has issued a directive that could change how digital assets are viewed. Under this directive, mortgage liquidity providers have been officially ordered to begin preparations for considering cryptocurrencies as part of a borrower’s asset portfolio during mortgage evaluations. Crypto As Mortgage-Eligible Asset In a recent post on the social media platform X, FHFA Director Bill Pulte issued a directive instructing Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to prepare proposals that allow homebuyers to count cryptocurrency holdings held on US-regulated exchanges as part of their asset reserves for mortgage applications without converting them into dollars. Related Reading: These Companies Are Following Saylor’s Strategy Into The Bitcoin Battleground With Over $2 Billion Slated To Buy BTC Crypto assets have always been excluded from mortgage risk assessments unless converted to U.S. dollars before closing. However, this recent move breaks that barrier. This policy shift aligns with former President Donald Trump’s campaigns to establish the United States as the crypto capital of the world. Pulte, who was recently sworn in as the 5th Director of U.S. Federal Housing FHFA in March 2025, is now part of those taking steps to make this vision a reality. According to the order, both Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac must also factor in market volatility and enforce strong risk-based adjustments before implementing the new assessment method. Fannie and Freddie are government-sponsored enterprises that do not issue mortgages themselves but play an important role in the housing market by purchasing home loans on the secondary market and setting the criteria for the loans they are willing to acquire. Bitcoin To Benefit The Most, But Where Does XRP Stand? Bitcoin is going to benefit the most from this policy update. Being the largest and most widely held cryptocurrency, Bitcoin has long been considered the digital gold standard, which makes it a natural candidate for institutional recognition. Related Reading: Crypto Pundit Reveals Why This Bitcoin Bull Market Feels Different As Crypto Enters ‘New Era’ Its established presence on U.S.-regulated exchanges and deep liquidity profile through Spot Bitcoin ETFs tick nearly every box laid out in the FHFA’s directive. However, the decision raises an important question for XRP holders as to whether the same regulation will be extended to XRP. Unlike Bitcoin, XRP has had a complicated history with regulatory agencies in the US, most notably the SEC. Although recent legal clarity around XRP has allowed the crypto to resume trading on major US-based exchanges, it isn’t really certain whether Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will be quick to include it under this new directive. Nonetheless, the FHFA’s directive doesn’t specify eligible tokens. It simply refers to cryptocurrencies held on US-regulated exchanges. As such, the directive could be quick to include US-based cryptocurrencies like XRP and Ethereum alongside Bitcoin. Other countries are already far ahead with XRP in real estate. In Japan, for instance, Open House Group allows XRP payments for property purchases in cities such as Tokyo and Osaka. Dubai is also using the XRP Ledger to tokenize real estate. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin has continued to hover above the $100,000 mark over the past few days, and its price action has stabilized around $105,000 in the wake of recent market tensions and despite inflows into Spot Bitcoin ETFs. A new analysis shared by crypto market commentator Gert van Lagen suggests that this current phase is going to precede an explosive move similar to those seen in previous market cycles. Backing his prediction with historical data and Glassnode’s AVIV Ratio chart, the analyst noted that the current on-chain structure echoes moments before Bitcoin’s major rallies in past bull markets. AVIV Ratio Flashes Familiar Pattern Before Market Top Bitcoin’s price volatility has slightly cooled since the initial surge to a new all-time high above $111,800 in May, and the latest candlestick structure suggests it may be preparing for another leg higher. Related Reading: Can Bitcoin Price Bounce To $120,000 Or Will It Break Below $100,000? Taking to the social media platform X, Gert van Lagen revealed a Bitcoin price prediction that centers around the true market Deviation metric known as the AVIV Ratio. This orange-colored line on the chart tracks a specific deviation in Bitcoin’s market behavior and has always crossed a red line denoting +3 standard deviations at or just before cycle tops. The current AVIV behavior can be compared to previous price points before market tops in previous cycles. For instance, in 2013, the AVIV Ratio flagged a major rally when Bitcoin was trading near $200, shortly before the price pushed past $1,200. In 2017, the metric behaved similarly when Bitcoin was trading at $3,700 and later peaked near $20,000. The current AVIV Ratio can also be compared to when Bitcoin was priced at $13,000 in the 2021 bull market run, before its surge to an all-time high of $69,000. According to the analyst, today’s AVIV ratio level is closely aligned with those previous mid-cycle breakouts. The current ratio has not yet crossed the red +3σ line, which the analyst refers to as the cycle top trigger. As such, its current reading suggests Bitcoin may be in the early phase of a major bull market expansion. If history repeats itself, a 3x move from today’s levels would be a standard price move in line with previous price action. $300,000 Target Within Sight If AVIV Behavior Holds Crypto analyst van Lagen stops short of calling for an immediate top, but his analysis implies that Bitcoin could be preparing for a new parabolic surge to the upside. Using the AVIV model as a reference, a conservative 3x multiplier on the current Bitcoin price places a possible target around $300,000. Related Reading: Key Fractal From 2023 Says Bitcoin Price Is Still Bullish, But A Crash To $90,000 Could Be Coming At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $104,997, having decreased by 1.4% in the past 24 hours. This decline has brought its price down from an intraday high of $106,795 back into its consolidation range around $105,000. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin’s current trading range is all part of a consolidation move before a return above $110,000. Although the leading cryptocurrency has largely held above the $105,000 support zones in recent days, its rally has taken a hit in the past two weeks. Technical analysis of Bitcoin’s price action, when overlapped with the Global M2 Money Supply metric, shows that it is only a matter of time before it enters into a new all-time high. Global M2 Offset Models Says Something Interesting According to a detailed post by crypto analyst Colin, also known as “The M2 Guy,” on the social media platform X, Bitcoin’s price action appears to be tracking the global M2 money supply with a high degree of correlation when the data is offset by 68 to 76 days. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bears Back In Control After $110,000 Rejection, What Comes Next? Two separate charts presented by Colin reveal this trend vividly, showing how Bitcoin price movements have followed the trajectory of the Global M2 Money Supply when adjusted for time. The short-term 68-day offset chart aligns closely with Bitcoin’s behavior since April 2025, while the 76-day offset chart offers a longer-term view of the relationship. In both cases, the analyst highlighted that the M2 curve is pointing upward, where Bitcoin has yet to play out, implying a similarly bullish trajectory for its price action. Colin describes this as a form of confluence, noting that when two correlated indicators show the same directional outcome, the probability of that outcome increases. Particularly, the average correlation across both charts is around 76.6 to 76.9%, both of which are very high and lend statistical weight to the prediction. What Does This Mean For Bitcoin Price? The 68-day offset chart shows Bitcoin trailing the M2 curve with high precision since April, with the highest 89.9% degree of accuracy on the 90-day timeframe. Similarly, the 76-day offset, while less accurate in the short term, displays a strong correlation over longer intervals of 92.2% over one and a half years and 86.2% across two years. These correlation values shows that Bitcoin is increasingly sensitive to global liquidity trends, especially now that its price movement is tied to inflows/outflows surrounding Spot Bitcoin ETFs. Related Reading: Can Bitcoin Price Bounce To $120,000 Or Will It Break Below $100,000? This relationship becomes even more notable considering the M2 money supply itself has been climbing within a rising channel. If the alignment continues, Bitcoin may soon follow suit, lifting it back above the $110,000 level and breaking above its all-time high. Bitcoin’s price action will be very interesting to follow in the next few days. In Colin’s view, this next move up is not only likely but could happen within days. If Bitcoin follows this alignment, the projection shows that Bitcoin will continue to move within a channel of higher highs and higher lows before eventually crossing above $150,000 in August. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $106,549, up by 1% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
In the event of a crypto market correction, Glassnode said Bitcoin could find support between $93,000 and $95,000 due to accumulation within that zone.
Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw a reversal of fortune last week, as a wave of institutional cash flooded into the market after weeks of lukewarm demand. Over the week between April 21 and April 25, spot Bitcoin ETFs accumulated just over $3 billion in net inflows, a significant sum that dwarfed the trickle of investments the […]
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Yesterday, U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs saw $209 million in net daily inflows, marking the third consecutive day of positive flows.
Bitcoin ETFs experienced net withdrawals on most trading days this month. March opened with continuous outflows, extending a downturn that began in late February. Between March 3 and March 7, every single day saw net outflows — roughly $74 million on March 3, $143 million on March 4, $38 million on March 5, $134 million […]
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The recent Bitcoin price crash below $90,000 came as a shock to the broader crypto community, especially amid expectations of a continued bull market rally. Despite the volatility and ongoing declines, a crypto analyst projects an even greater crash, suggesting that Bitcoin could fall as low as $63,000 if a certain resistance level holds. TradingView crypto analyst Alixjey has declared that the Bitcoin price must break past $99,500 to continue moving higher. He highlights that if this resistance holds and Bitcoin fails to break it, the pioneer cryptocurrency will likely face a steeper price decline to new lows of $63,000. The last time Bitcoin was around the $60,000 range was during its massive price rally in 2024 after the launch of Spot Bitcoin ETFs. Considering that Bitcoin has risen as high as $104,000 at one point this year, a crash toward $60,000 would be a devastating blow to investors and its market. Bitcoin Price Crash Imminent The TradingView analyst shared a chart suggesting that Bitcoin could rise as high as $106,000 or drop toward the $60,000 to $65,000 range if it fails to break resistance. This price drop is highlighted as a strong buying and accumulation opportunity for long-term investors, as it presents a low entry point into the market. Related Reading: Bitcoin 77% Correction To $25,000, Will History Repeat Itself During its price highs, many retail investors were likely unable to buy Bitcoin due to its increasing cost. Most accumulations were from whales who had purchased millions of dollars worth of Bitcoin in one swoop. Alixjey has also labeled his projected $60,000 – $65,000 downturn as the last chance to re-enter the Bitcoin market, emphasizing that it was a prime HODLing point for potential profits in Q3 and Q4 of 2025. This implies that the analyst anticipates a price rebound in Bitcoin later in the year. Moving on, the TradingView expert highlighted two liquidity levels in the 4-hour timeframe that are likely to be cleared soon. He also acknowledged that he was solely bearish on Bitcoin’s price outlook, indicating that his projected short-term pullback will not be invalidated unless the cryptocurrency crosses the resistance between $94,000 and $98,000. Other factors that could contribute to Bitcoin’s already heightened volatility are the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data. AlixJey predicts that once released, this data could lead to high volatility in both stocks and crypto. He urges investors and traders to be cautious, as major economic reports often influence market movements. Analyst Sees Upside Potential After BTC Crashes Due to Bitcoin’s recent declines, many analysts have shared bearish projections of the cryptocurrency, expecting a severe price correction before a potential recovery. One such analyst is Herbert Sim, the Chief Marketing Officer (CMO) of AICean. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Suffers Bearish Deviation After Filling CME Gap, Is This Good Or Bad? Sim projects that Bitcoin will crash to new lows, especially with the recent approval of a crypto reserve in the United States (US). He expects a crash to $40,000 but highlights that it will be short-lived, spanning from weeks, months, and possibly years. However, the AICean CMO suggested that investors who can HODL for the long-term are likely to see more profits once BTC rebounds from bearish trends. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs saw $3.2 billion worth of net outflows in an eight-day negative streak, matching the longest since their debut.
Eric Council Jr., pleaded guilty for his part in the hack of the SEC's social media account last year about spot bitcoin ETFs.
In the weeks leading up to President Donald Trump’s inauguration, the crypto market experienced significant volatility. The Bitcoin market’s maturity means it’s affected by a complex combination of institutional activity, macro events, price movements, and derivatives. The week before the inauguration was particularly volatile, with Bitcoin and the broader institutional market affected. Spot Bitcoin ETF […]
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Bitcoin holders offloaded their spot Bitcoin ETF shares as the asset dipped to $92,500 and remained below $95,000.
On Thursday, the South Korea Stock Exchange chairman, Jeong Eun-bo, revealed their plan to “explore” the approval of crypto-based exchange-traded funds (ETFs) to continue with its “value-up program” and face the ongoing market challenges. Related Reading: Indonesia Rushes To Finalize Crypto Oversight Transfer Ahead of Jan. 12 Deadline – Report Korea Exchange To Explore Crypto […]
Crypto lawyers, Bitcoin hodlers and memecoin entrepreneurs were some of the biggest winners of 2024.
US Bitcoin spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have faced four consecutive days of withdrawals, ending with notable outflows on Christmas Eve. Data from SoSovalue on Dec. 24 shows that ETFs saw recorded combined outflows of $338.4 million on Christmas Eve. BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin ETF led this decline, suffering its largest single-day outflow of $188.7 million. Fidelity’s […]
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The Grayscale Bitcoin Trust has had $21 billion in outflows since January, overshadowing gains from nine of the US-based spot Bitcoin ETFs in the market.
The Bitcoin (BTC) market has undergone a remarkable recovery this year, largely due to the increased popularity of Bitcoin ETFs. BTC reached an all-time high of $73,000 in the first quarter of the year, sparking a bullish trend that continues today, with a recent high of $104,000. The presidential election of Donald Trump has had a huge impact on this rise especially over the past month, as he has positioned himself as the first pro-crypto President, picturing America as the “crypto capital of the world.” Trump’s favorable position toward digital assets has infused increased optimism among investors, resulting in increased buying pressure from Bitcoin ETF providers such as BlackRock and Fidelity. Notably, the top 12 Bitcoin ETFs have emerged as the biggest BTC holders, with a combined asset value of over $100 billion. This figure represents one of the most successful ETF launches in financial history, with the 12 spot Bitcoin ETFs now collectively owning approximately 1.1 million BTC—equivalent to about 5% of all Bitcoin in circulation. Bitcoin ETFs Expected To Surpass 2024 Inflows In a recent report, crypto asset manager Bitwise outlined three key factors that suggest Bitcoin ETFs will continue to see explosive growth in 2025. Initially, it’s important to note that the first year of ETF operations is typically the slowest. Related Reading: Bitwise Forecast: Bitcoin, Ethereum, And Solana Poised For Record Highs In 2025 Historical comparisons with gold ETFs launched in 2004 show a significant increase in inflows over subsequent years. For instance, gold ETFs began with $2.6 billion in their first year, followed by $5.5 billion in the second year, and progressively higher amounts in the following years. The firm suggests that if the 12 spot Bitcoin ETFs in the United States follow a similar trajectory, 2025 could see inflows that far exceed those of 2024. Another factor contributing to potential growth is the anticipated participation of major financial wirehouses. Firms such as Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Bank of America, and Wells Fargo have yet to fully deploy their wealth management teams to promote Bitcoin ETFs. As regulatory environments become more favorable under Trump, these institutions are expected to unlock access to Bitcoin ETFs for their clients, potentially directing trillions of dollars into the crypto market. Investors ‘Laddering Up’ Finally, Bitwise has identified a clear trend among investors known as “laddering up.” This pattern indicates that initial small contributions to Bitcoin frequently lead to increasing investments over time. The asset manager believes that many investors who entered the Bitcoin ETF market in 2024 will double down on their investments in 2025. Related Reading: XRP Price Prediction: Last Phase Of ABC Wave Points To A Bounce To New ATH At $5.85 The firm’s assertion that “3% is the new 1%” indicates increasing acceptance of Bitcoin as a genuine asset class, which they believe will lead investors to dedicate a larger amount of their portfolios to cryptocurrencies. At the time of writing, BTC had consolidated above $100,900 following a 7% dip to $91,000 at the start of the month. Over the previous 24 hours, the market’s biggest cryptocurrency has seen an almost 4% price increase. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
Onchain data reveals that ETF flows haven’t been the primary causes of sell pressure for Bitcoin.
Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw their steepest single day of outflows since Trump’s election win, signaling market jitters.
The crypto market witnessed a significant milestone last week as investment products recorded roughly $3.13 billion in net inflows globally, primarily driven by US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), according to data from CoinShares. This surge highlights growing institutional interest and confidence in the crypto market, with Bitcoin leading the charge. CoinShares reveals that the year-to-date net inflows into crypto funds have reached $37 billion, while total assets under management (AUM) soared to a new high of $153 billion. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s MVRV Metric Signals Market Heating Up—Here’s What Investors Should Know Bitcoin Takes The Lead, Altcoins Show Growth The recent inflows mark the seventh consecutive week of positive movements for global crypto investment products managed by leading firms such as BlackRock, Fidelity, Grayscale, and ProShares. A substantial portion of last week’s inflows, approximately $2.05 billion, originated from BlackRock’s IBIT product, underlining the dominance of US-based funds in the global space. These inflows outpaced the first-year debut of US gold ETFs, which attracted only $309 million. Bitcoin-based funds were at the forefront of the inflows, contributing $3 billion of the weekly total. This inflow coincided with Bitcoin’s continued price rally, drawing additional interest from institutional and retail investors. However, the higher prices also spurred a notable $10 million inflow into short-Bitcoin products, bringing the monthly figure for these products to $58 million — the highest since August 2022. While Bitcoin dominated, altcoins also attracted significant investment. Solana emerged as the second-most popular asset among institutional investors, with net weekly inflows of $16 million, surpassing Ethereum’s $2.8 million. Other altcoin-based funds also saw notable inflows, with XRP, Litecoin, and Chainlink attracting $15 million, $4.1 million, and $1.3 million, respectively. These inflows suggest growing confidence in the broader altcoin market, driven by price rallies and increasing adoption. Global Crypto Inflows And Regional Trends US-based funds’ dominance was evident in regional fund flows, accounting for $3.2 billion in net weekly inflows. However, this was slightly “offset” by outflows from European markets, including $84 million, $40 million, and $17 million from crypto investment products in Sweden, Germany, and Switzerland, respectively. Despite these regional outflows, the overall trend remains bullish, driven largely by institutional participation in the US market. Notably, CoinShares’s continuous inflows reflect a combination of factors, including the market’s positive sentiment regarding the bull run and the increasing acceptance of crypto as a legitimate asset class. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Poised for Gains: $3,600 Within Reach? The launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs has been a pivotal development. It provides institutional investors with a regulated avenue to gain exposure to digital assets. As a result, the cryptocurrency market is witnessing a shift toward mainstream adoption, further supported by strong price performance and consistent inflows across various investment products. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Bitcoin’s price action has historically benefited from economic concerns and issues in the banking industry.
MicroStrategy saw more trading volumes than the US spot Bitcoin ETFs combined as its shares tanked over 25% on Nov. 21.
The US-based spot Ethereum ETFs have continued to experience a high market interest following Donald Trump’s emergence as the next US President. As institutional investors continue to position themselves for a massive crypto bull run, these Ethereum ETFs have now registered over $500 million in weekly inflows for the first time since their trading debut in July. Meanwhile, the spot Bitcoin ETFs maintain a splendid performance, closing another week with over $1 billion in inflows. Related Reading: Ethereum ETFs Record Largest Inflows Since August Amid ETH’s Rally To $2,900 Spot Ethereum ETFs Notch Up $515M Inflows To Extend 3-Week Streak According to data from ETF aggregator site SoSoValue, the spot Ethereum ETFs attracted $515.17 million between November 9-November 15 to establish a new record weekly inflows, as they achieved a 3-week positive inflow streak for the first time ever. During this period, these funds also registered their largest daily inflows ever, recording $295.48 million in investments on November 11. Of the total market gains in the specified trading week, $287.06 million were directed to BlackRock’s ETHA, allowing the billion-dollar ETF to strengthen its market grip with $1.72 billion in cumulative net inflow. Meanwhile, Fidelity’s FETH remained a strong market favorite with $197.75 million in inflows, as its net assets climbed to $764.68 million. Grayscale’s ETH and Bitwise’s ETHW also accounted for weighty investments valued at $78.19 million and $45.54 million, respectively. Other ETFs such as VanEck’s ETHV, Invesco’s QETH, and 21 Shares’ CETH experienced some significant inflows but of no more than $3.5 million. With no surprise, Grayscale’s ETHE continues to bleed with $101.02 million recorded in outflows, albeit retains its position as the largest Ethereum ETF with $4.74 billion in AUM. In general, the total net assets of the spot Ethereum ETFs also decreased by 1.2% to $9.15 billion representing 2.46% of the Ethereum market cap. Related Reading: Spot Bitcoin ETFs Draw Over $2 Billion Inflows As Ethereum ETFs Turn Green Again – Details Spot Bitcoin ETFs Remain Buoyant With $1.67B Inflows In other news, the spot Bitcoin ETFs market recorded $1.67 billion in the past week to continue its stunning performance of Q4 2024. While the Bitcoin ETFs saw notable daily outflows of over $770 million at the week’s end, earlier weighted inflows of $2.43 billion proved quite significant in maintaining the market’s green momentum. BlackRock’s IBIT, which ranks as the market leader and the best-performing crypto spot ETF, now boasts over $29.28 billion in inflows and $42.89 billion in net assets. Meanwhile, the total net assets of the spot Bitcoin ETF returned to above $95 billion, capturing 5.27% of the Bitcoin market. At the time of writing, Bitcoin trades at $90,175 with Ethereum hovering around $3,097. Featured image from FXTM, chart from Tradingview.com
According to data from CoinMarketCap, Bitcoin (BTC) has gained by 0.66% in the past 24 hours with its market price now hovering close to $77,000. This slight price increase compounds an impressive performance in the last month during which BTC’s value has risen by 27.82%. As the crypto bull season appears to be kicking off, the popular Bitcoin Stock-to-Flow model has revealed a lofty price target for the largest digital asset. Related Reading: Bitcoin Could Be Ready For ‘Phase 2’ Of This Historical Bull Pattern Why Bitcoin May Reach $500,000 In an X post on November 9, a pseudonymous analyst and developer of the Bitcoin Stock-to-Flow model shared a price prediction on the maiden cryptocurrency. For context, the Stock-to-Flow model is a popular market framework that forecasts BTC’s price based on projected scarcity. According to PlanB, data from this analysis model currently suggests that the crypto market leader will attain an average market price of $500,000 over the next four years with a projected price range of $250,000 – $1 million. The analyst explains that the Bitcoin bull season is still at an early stage as indicated by the red dots on the Stock-to-Flow model chart, despite the recent price rally induced by Donald Trump’s electoral victory and even the “fake-out” recorded in Q1 2024 following the Spot Bitcoin ETF launch. Aside from historical data, PlanB states multiple future events indicate BTC’s massive potential to attain the established price target. For example, the pseudonymous analyst references Trump’s intention to establish a National Bitcoin Reserve which may likely be enacted by Senator Cynthia Lummis’s proposed Bitcoin Act that will see the US purchase 200,000 BTC annually for the next five years. PlanB also highlighted Michael Saylor’s Microstrategy recently published objective to purchase $42 billion BTC by 2027. The market analyst explains that both massive acquisition programs would stimulate a high buying pressure on BTC which should translate to sharp price increases. In addition, PlanB states the Spot BTC ETFs have experienced enormous inflows, valued at $2.294 billion, since Trump’s election, which will only go higher in the coming months contributing to BTC’s demand. Importantly, the analyst kicks against doubting the Stock-to-Flow model despite Bitcoin attaining an average price of $34, 000 in the last cycle rather than the predicted $55,000 since the market model revealed a price target range of $25,000-$100,000. BTC Price Overview At the time of writing, BTC trades at 76, 745 reflecting a price gain of 11.85% in the past seven days. However, the asset’s trading volume has decreased by over 40% in the 24 hours reaching $28.33 billion. Related Reading: Rising Bitcoin Funding Rates Signal Market Optimism—But Is A Correction Looming? Featured image from Atlantic Council, chart from Tradingview
The Spot Bitcoin ETFs have become a major headliner recently due to heightened levels of market inflows. According to data from SoSoValue, these ETFs have attracted over $5 billion in investments over the past three weeks coinciding with an impressive Bitcoin price rally of over 23%. However, amidst this euphoria, macro investment researcher Jim Bianco says these Spot ETFs have contributed no significant growth to the Bitcoin market. Related Reading: BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF Reaches 2% Of Total BTC Supply Amid Record Inflows Spot Bitcoin ETFs Bring In No New Money, Only Recycled Investments In a series of X posts on November 2, Bianco claimed the Spot Bitcoin ETFs despite their impressive inflow record do not attract any new investments to the underlying asset. Firstly, The analyst applauds the performance of these institutional funds some of which rank as the best-performing ETFs of 2024 following their launch in January. However, Bianco highlights BTC has failed to surpass its all-time high value of 73,750 set eight months ago despite the Spot Bitcoin ETFs accruing over $12 billion in inflows since BTC within the same period. Rather than being less than 4% down from its ATH, the analyst explained that such high inflows should have since pushed premier cryptocurrency beyond the $100,000 mark especially considering other positive indicators such as Fed rate cuts, the halving, and public endorsement by Republican Presidential candidate Donald Trump. For context, Bianco references the Gold ETFs with a record of over $6 billion in inflows since March 13, resulting in a 25% increase in gold’s market price during that period. The market analyst postulates that this price growth can be attributed to the “new money” flowing into the Gold ETFs. However, recycled funds shifted from on-chain wallets or centralized exchanges account for the majority of the investments in Spot Bitcoin ETFs. Jim Bianco backs this theory with a report from Coinbase CFO Alesia Haas which highlighted a decline in the exchange’s bitcoin retail traders over the last few months. Furthermore, he also points to the average Spot BTC ETF trade of $16,000 compared to the average gold ETF trade of $72,000 which is consistent with investments from wealth managers and institutions. In conclusion, Jim Bianco states the Spot Bitcoin ETFs are not attracting any “new money” but merely circulating existing investments in Bitcoin, which he describes as a concerning trend that may grant traditional financial institutions (TradFi) more influence in the crypto market as against the ethos of decentralization. Related Reading: Dogecoin Price Could Climb To $0.209 — Here’s The Level To Watch Bloomberg Analyst Fires Back At BTC ETF Criticism Popular Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas has issued a strong rebuttal to Bianco’s take on the Spot Bitcoin ETFs which he describes as merely “mental gymnastics”. Balchunas has lauded the performances of these ETFs which he believed have played a crucial role in driving Bitcoin’s price from $35,000 in January to the present market price of almost $70,000. The Bloomberg analyst describes the Spot Bitcoin ETFs as “powerful” due to their low cost, high liquidity, and association with an established brand name and advises against betting against them. At the time of writing, BTC. continues to trade at $68,100 reflecting a 2.55% decline in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Blockzeit, chart from Tradingview
The spot Bitcoin ETFs (exchange-traded funds) in the United States have recorded their first net outflow day in the past seven days. This negative single-day performance ended what was another impressive weekly outing for the crypto investment products. Bitcoin ETFs Shine While Ethereum ETFs Continue To Struggle After a strong performance throughout the month of October, the US-based spot Bitcoin ETFs didn’t register a perfect start to November. According to data from SoSoValue, the BTC exchange-traded funds posted a net outflow of $54.9 million on Friday, November 1. Breaking down the data, Fidelity’s FBTC surprisingly accounted for almost half ($25.64 million) of the outflow recorded on Friday. This figure was followed closely by Ark & 21Shares’ ARKB’s $24.13 million, the second consecutive outflow day for the fund. Related Reading: Bitcoin ETFs Crucial To Sustain Current Buying Pressure – Details Grayscale’s GBTC, which usually contributes to the outflow days for the Bitcoin ETFs, recorded only $5.51 million in capital outflow. Other funds that recorded an outflow on Friday included Bitwise’s BITB, VanEck’s HODL, and Valkyrie’s BRRR, with outflows of $5.64 million, $5.86 million, and $1.66 million, respectively. Interestingly, BlackRock’s exchange-traded fund IBIT didn’t see any inflow or outflow on Friday. Prior to this zero-inflow day, the trillion-dollar asset manager’s fund had seen capital influx for the last 14 consecutive days. In fact, IBIT posted its highest inflow day in the past week, with an influx of $872 million on Wednesday, October 30. While the Bitcoin ETFs posted outflows to end the previous week, the negative single-day action barely made an impact on the weekly performance. According to data from SoSoValue, the US BTC funds registered a $2.22 billion cumulative weekly inflow in the past week, the highest value since March. While the Bitcoin exchange-traded funds have been producing remarkable performance in recent days, their Ethereum counterparts have not exactly impressed. After witnessing an almost $11 million outflow on Friday, the weekly capital influx was slashed to approximately $13 million for the spot Ethereum ETFs. Bitcoin Price Overview Investors will be hoping that the Bitcoin ETFs will resume inflows when trading opens on Monday, considering its recent positive impact on price. The price of BTC almost touched its all-time high of $73,737 on Tuesday and Wednesday when the ETFs recorded their highest inflows in more than five months. Related Reading: BNB Token Burn: $1 Billion Of Tokens Sent To ‘Black Hole’ Address — Impact On Price? As of this writing, the price of BTC sits just above $68,000, reflecting a 2% dip in the past 24 hours. According to data from CoinGecko, the premier cryptocurrency is up by more than 3% in the last seven days. Featured image created by Dall.e, chart from TradingView
The price of Bitcoin recorded significant leaps in the past month rising by 14.74% according to data from CoinMarketCap. During this price rally, the premier cryptocurrency came close to establishing a new market all-time high, reaching a local peak of $73,149 on October 29. Interestingly, CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju has stated a certain condition needed to sustain this price gain. Related Reading: Tracking Bitcoin’s Profit Cycles: Could A New Market High Be Near? Low Stablecoin Exchange Reserve Provides Need For Bitcoin ETFs In a series of X posts on November 1, Ki Young Ju stated that stablecoins currently provide an insufficient amount of liquidity to sustain the present buying pressure on Bitcoin. This observation is particularly important as traders commonly rely on stablecoins to acquire volatile assets such as Bitcoin, due to their fixed dollar value. Therefore, a higher stablecoin exchange reserve translates into significant potential for an impending price gain via wide-scale purchase. However, According to Young Ju, crypto exchanges currently hold only 21% of the total stablecoin market i.e. $34 billion of $166 billion, as most of these tokens are currently being used for storage or remittances. This development represents a slow rise in the stablecoin exchange reserve of $30 billion recorded in September 2021 during the last bull run, despite a 33% growth in total stablecoin shares in the same period. Currently, the Bitcoin-to-stablecoin reserve ratio is 6.05, similar to the value seen at the last ATH. Therefore, in order to maintain BTC’s present upward trajectory, Ki Young Ju postulates that the Spot Bitcoin ETFs, alongside Coinbase USD reserves, have to provide much-needed market liquidity. Notably, the Spot Bitcoin ETFs can be said to be behind Bitcoin’s current rally considering their impressive inflows record of over $5 billion in the past three weeks. Of this figure, BlackRock’s IBIT has led the market recording investments of $4.44 billion in this timeframe. Ki Young Ju states that it is important the Bitcoin ETFs maintain this momentum as a breakdown in pace will reduce buying pressure, especially from brokerage firms such as Coinbase Prime, which may result in Bitcoin falling back into consolidation. Related Reading: Bitcoin Faces Fifth Consecutive Rejection At $72,000, Is Another Correction Coming? Bitcoin Price Overview At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at $69,608 reflecting a 1.32% loss in the last 24 hours. However, the asset’s trading volume is up by 25.61% and is valued at $51.56 billion. For the premier cryptocurrency, a return to above $73,000 remains much on the card, especially with the potential of sustained ETF flows and the upcoming US elections. If pro-crypto Donald Trump secures a victory on the ballot, Bitcoin should definitely establish a new all-time high with expectations of reaching $90,000-$100,000 at the end of 2024. Featured image from Nairametrics, chart from Tradingview
Bitcoin is stretching gains, looking at price action in the past few trading days. At spot rates, buyers are “hungry” and aiming not only to confirm the rally of the past two days but also to close above March 2024 highs of around $74,000. Bitcoin “Golden Cross” Forms The optimism has been confirmed on-chain. On […]