JPMorgan Chase & Co. Analysts have made a significant projection regarding the potential impact of a new wave of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) focused on alternative crypto assets. Should these funds receive the green light from the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), they could attract inflows of up to $14 billion, marking a notable development in the evolving landscape of cryptocurrency investments. JPMorgan Highlights Growing Interest In Alternative Crypto ETFs The analysts specifically highlighted the anticipated interest in proposed ETFs for Solana and XRP. They estimate that Solana ETFs could draw between $3 billion and $6 billion within six to twelve months post-approval, while XRP funds might see inflows ranging from $4 billion to $8 billion over the same time frame. Related Reading: Analyst Who Predicted Bitcoin Price Crash To $89,000 Reveals Where BTC Is Headed Next This optimism is grounded in the observed adoption rates of existing spot cryptocurrency ETFs. For context, Bitcoin (BTC) funds currently hold approximately $108 billion in assets, which represents about 6% of Bitcoin’s market capitalization since their introduction a year ago. Meanwhile, Ethereum (ETH) exchange-traded funds have accumulated $12 billion in just six months, translating to a 3% penetration rate of Ethereum’s market value. While JPMorgan anticipates that Bitcoin will remain the dominant choice for investors, the interest in Solana and XRP underscores a growing diversification within the crypto investment community. However, the analysts noted that the key question remains: how much demand exists for additional crypto products? They expressed uncertainty about whether the launch of new exchange-traded products (ETPs) will significantly impact the market. Signs Of Industry Growth Post-Trump Election The SEC has recently received numerous applications for funds tracking various cryptocurrencies, including XRP, Solana, and Litecoin. This influx of filings signals a broader industry push to make cryptocurrencies more accessible to retail investors. In addition, the regulatory landscape has been particularly dynamic in light of the recent election of Donald Trump, who has shifted from being a Bitcoin skeptic to a supporter of digital assets. His administration has already shown a willingness to align with the interests of the crypto community, notably by appointing Paul Atkins, a proponent of cryptocurrency, as the new SEC chair, replacing the previous chair Gary Gensler, who was more critical of the industry. Related Reading: Chainlink Weekly Chart Looks Promising – If Bulls Reclaim $30 ‘ATH Are Next’ Despite the positive outlook, JPMorgan cautioned that progress on ETFs beyond Bitcoin and Ether may be slow due to the recent change in administration and the ongoing lack of regulatory clarity. Nevertheless, the analysts remain optimistic, predicting that more exchange-traded fund applications will be submitted—and potentially approved—in 2025. At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $2.67, posting gains of nearly 6% in the 24-hour time frame. Solana, on the other hand, is trading at $188, up 3% in the same time frame. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
On Thursday, Fox reporter Eleanor Terret revealed that the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is actively engaging in discussions with several asset managers regarding the launch of the new spot Solana ETF market. The firms involved include VanEck, 21Shares, Canary Capital, and Bitwise, all seeking to introduce products tied to the Solana price. SEC Progresses On Solana ETF Talks According to sources familiar with the matter cited by Terret, discussions between SEC staff and issuers are currently “progressing.” The SEC is reportedly reviewing S-1 filings, critical to the Solana ETF approval process. Terret further disclosed that there is growing optimism among stakeholders that the industry may soon see 19b4 filings from exchanges representing these issuers, a key step necessary to move forward with ETF listings. Related Reading: FTX Provides Details On $16 Billion Distribution Timeline For Customers And Creditors These 19b4 forms will be submitted by exchanges, such as the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE), on behalf of the issuers, seeking SEC approval to list the proposed ETFs. Upon receiving these filings, the SEC has a 240-day window to either approve or deny the products. To date, VanEck and 21Shares, who are also in the Ethereum and Bitcoin ETF markets approved by the agency earlier this year, along with Canary Capital, have submitted their S-1 filings for a Solana ETF, while Bitwise recently announced its intention to file earlier this week. However, Terret notes that the submission of 19b4 filings does not guarantee approval. Previous applications from VanEck and 21Shares faced setbacks, with their filings removed from the CBOE’s website in August. The reporter claimed that industry observers speculated that the regulatory agency, under its chairman Gary Gensler, was reluctant to approve such listings because of a tougher regulatory stance. Potential Shift In SEC Approach For 2025 Despite these previous setbacks, there is renewed optimism among investors following recent engagements with SEC staff and the anticipated pro-crypto policies of the incoming administration led by President-elect Donald Trump. This change in leadership is expected to foster a more favorable environment for cryptocurrency-related financial products, potentially paving the way for a Solana ETF approval in 2025. The anticipation around the Solana ETF gained additional traction after Gensler announced his departure from the SEC, confirming that January 20, 2025, will be his last day in office. This announcement follows months of speculation regarding his future, particularly as Donald Trump had previously indicated intentions to replace Gensler on his first day in office. Related Reading: Ethereum Sees Neutral Netflow On Binance: What Does This Signal? Besides the Solana ETF, other cryptocurrency ETFs, including those for XRP and Hedera’s HBAR token, are also in the pipeline and may benefit from the evolving regulatory landscape. As the situation unfolds, the potential for a more accommodating regulatory approach could significantly reshape the cryptocurrency investment landscape in the United States, even more so with the plans Trump laid out during his presidential campaign. At the time of writing, SOL is trading at $261, up 25% in the weekly time frame, marking a new all-time high for what is now the fourth largest cryptocurrency on the market. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
On Wednesday afternoon, Bitwise Investment, a prominent asset manager and exchange-traded fund (ETF) issuer, submitted an S-1 form application for a spot Solana ETF to the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in the state of Delaware. This move positions Bitwise in the race for regulatory approval to launch an index fund that invests in […]
Following Donald Trump’s victory in Tuesday’s election, members of the crypto community are celebrating a renewed sense of hope for their ETF ambitions. The change in political leadership is seen as a potential turning point for the approval of cryptocurrency ETFs focused on altcoins such as Solana, XRP and Litecoin. Solana Gains Ground In ETF […]
VanEck’s proposed spot Solana (SOL) exchange-traded fund (ETF) is facing scrutiny due to concerns over wash trading and the nature of on-chain activity. Matthew Sigel, Head of Digital Assets Research at VanEck, published an in-depth analysis on Tuesday, comparing SOL’s metrics with those of Ethereum to provide context and clarity. Solana has been recognized for […]
In an analysis shared on X, popular crypto analyst Gum (@0xGumshoe) is projecting that Solana (SOL) could ascend to $500 by the conclusion of this bull run. This bullish forecast hinges heavily on the outcome of the US presidential election, slated for November 5th, and the potential policy changes that could follow. Solana Price Prediction For This Bull Run @0xGumshoe initiated his forecast with a bold declaration: “SOL TO $500. The upcoming US elections will affect SOL more than any other token. Here’s why I’ve changed my price target.” Delving into the potential scenarios, @0xGumshoe examined the implications of both possible election outcomes—whether Kamala Harris secures the presidency or Donald Trump returns to office. Each scenario presents distinct pathways for Solana’s trajectory. Related Reading: Solana Likely To Target $200 ‘If It Holds Current Support’ – What To Expect In the event of a Kamala Harris victory, @0xGumshoe anticipates a mixed impact on Solana. He noted, “BTC and SOL have outperformed during Biden/Harris,” pointing especially to the performance of the past year under the current administration. The approval of the spot Bitcoin and Ethereum Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) during the Biden/Harris tenure is highlighted by the analyst as a positive factor that could continue to benefit Solana. Additionally, Harris’s supposed commitment to a “less aggressive stance towards crypto” regulation suggests a more favorable environment for the growth of Solana. However, @0xGumshoe also cautioned about potential challenges under a Harris administration. He remarked, “Less regulatory clarity” and a potential new term for SEC Chair Gary Gensler could complicate things for Solana. Furthermore, the possibility of a spot Solana ETF facing rejection and an increase in Bitcoin dominance might overshadow altcoins. Conversely, @0xGumshoe presented a more bullish outlook if Donald Trump wins the election. He asserted, “A Trump win will send Solana to ATHs as the market realizes a SOL ETF will be coming.” The analyst emphasized that unlike Bitcoin and Ethereum, Grayscale is unlikely to offload significant amounts of Solana, which could help sustain its price. Additionally, the analyst points to the possibility of establishing a Bitcoin Strategic Reserve and the departure of SEC Chair Gary Gensler as bullish catalysts for SOL. Related Reading: Solana Q3 Digest: Total Value Locked Hits $5.7 Billion, Ranks Third Among Networks However, a Trump victory could also have downsides. @0xGumshoe acknowledged that “higher inflation could eventually end the cycle like in 2021.” Furthermore, he noted Trump’s inherent volatility, stating that the former president “may not do what he promised,” which introduces an element of unpredictability to the projections. In light of these scenarios, @0xGumshoe revised his selling targets for Solana. Previously advocating for a $300 sell target, he now contemplates a higher threshold of $500, contingent upon a Trump win and an increase in macro liquidity. He explained, “If we pair up a Trump win and increase macro liquidity, I will instead sell over time for as long as I believe we hit $500.” The rationale behind the $500 price target is anchored in Solana’s fully diluted valuation (FDV). @0xGumshoe articulated, “At that price, Solana would have a $291B FDV which would put it at the current ETH market cap.” He views this valuation as a significant benchmark, suggesting that Solana’s price could approach Ethereum’s market capitalization unless there is a substantial influx of investments through ETFs, which could propel the token beyond this threshold. Under the Harris administration, @0xGumshoe’s price target for Solana remains at $300. @0xGumshoe concluded his analysis by advising caution, stating, “The elections alone are not enough to predict tops for Solana so take this with a grain of salt. Whatever happens, it is quite obvious that SOL will go far higher with Trump than Harris.” At press time, SOL traded at $161. Featured image from Coinbase, chart from TradingView.com
Asset manager Canary Capital has officially filed for a spot Solana ETF in the United States, following in the footsteps of investment firm VanEck, which introduced its own application four months ago. The Solana ETF move was confirmed minutes ago by Bloomberg ETF expert James Seyffart on social media platform X (formerly Twitter). Canary Capital […]
Despite growing rumors that the world’s largest asset manager may file a spot Solana ETF (exchange-traded fund) with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), BlackRock executive Samara Cohen has dismissed the possibility, at least in the near future. BlackRock Pours Cold Water On Solana ETF Hopes In a recent interview with Bloomberg, Samara Cohen, […]
The Chicago Board Options Exchange (Cboe), known for trading Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) approved earlier this year, has thrown its support behind the spot Solana ETF applications filed by asset managers VanEck and 21Shares. On Monday, the Cboe submitted a request to the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) seeking to list ETFs tied to […]
Leading asset manager and Bitcoin Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) issuer VanEck has officially filed a Spot Solana ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), fueling bold growth predictions for the Solana ecosystem. Market-making firm GSR Markets recently released a report shedding light on the potential impact of a Solana ETF and highlighting the platform’s emergence as part of the “Big Three” in the crypto space. Speculation Of A Solana ETF Approval GSR’s report highlights Solana’s rapid rise within the cryptocurrency industry, positioning it as a major player alongside Bitcoin and Ethereum. With the Bitcoin ETF market already approved and Ethereum about to launch a spot ETF in the US, GSR predicts that it’s only a matter of time before Solana follows suit, potentially making the biggest impact. Related Reading: Bitcoin Miner Selling Cools Off – Is This The Breakout Moment? GSR’s analysis highlights three key technological advancements that set Solana apart from its competitors. Firstly, Solana’s proof-of-history enables validators to produce blocks efficiently, resulting in remarkable speed and scalability advantages. Second, Solana’s parallel transaction processing enables increased throughput and takes advantage of improvements in computing speed. Finally, the company said Solana’s architecture positions it to solve the “blockchain trilemma” by achieving global state synchronization at “unprecedented speeds” as hardware and bandwidth costs decline. In addition, GSR’s report addresses the likelihood of Solana securing a spot digital asset ETF. While the current regulatory framework requires a federally regulated futures market and a futures-based ETF before a spot product can be considered, GSR believes that the potential for change shouldn’t be underestimated. The company also claims bipartisan support for the crypto industry, and shifting attitudes among lawmakers indicate a more favorable environment for digital assets. A Trump administration and a liberal SEC commissioner could further pave the way for the launch of spot digital asset ETFs, creating opportunities for Solana and other cryptocurrencies, the report said. Projected Impact On SOL’s Price GSR emphasizes the importance of decentralization and potential demand in determining the next spot digital asset ETF. Factors such as permissionless participation, developmental control, token allocation, and stake characteristics contribute to a blockchain’s level of decentralization. Meanwhile, as indicated by metrics like market cap, potential demand serves as a crucial factor for issuers when assessing future inflows. GSR combines decentralization and demand scores to create an ETF Possibility score, which highlights Ethereum and Solana as leading contenders for the next spot in digital asset ETF. Related Reading: Dogecoin To The Moon? Crypto Analyst Predicts 440% Price Increase Drawing parallels to the effect of spot Bitcoin ETFs on Bitcoin’s price, GSR estimates the potential impact of a Solana ETF on SOL. Adjusting for Solana’s smaller market cap relative to Bitcoin, GSR predicts a 1.4x to 8.9x increase in SOL’s price under different scenarios. However, the report acknowledges that the impact could be even higher, considering SOL’s active usage in staking and decentralized applications. In the event of a spot ETF approval, GSR suggests that the potential upside for SOL presents a significant opportunity in the market. As investor excitement over the development became apparent, SOL’s price reached a weekly high of $151 on Thursday, but in the past few hours, SOL has dropped nearly 4% to a current trading price of $143. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com