XRP’s price action in recent days has taken a softer turn, with the token now trading below $2 after failing to hold recent recovery attempts. That move has changed the near-term momentum back in favor of sellers, especially as price action is printing closes beneath short-term dynamic support on the higher timeframes. A technical analysis shared by CoinsKid on X looks at a broader corrective structure developing on the 5-day chart, one that could place XRP on a more pronounced bearish path if important price levels are not reclaimed. 3-Wave Correction: Structure And Significance Technical analysis of XRP’s price action since mid-2025 shows an interesting corrective sequence that can be described in terms of waves. According to CoinsKid, what appeared to start as a corrective advance into the cluster of moving averages on the 5-day chart has failed to sustain itself once meeting resistance at the marked sell signal, which is shown in the chart image below. Related Reading: Bitcoin Flashes Near-Identical Fractal Before The 2021 Bull Run Started According to CoinsKid’s interpretation of the 5-day candlestick chart, XRP price action appears to be tracing out a three-wave corrective move. The significance of this interpretation lies in its implication that the most recent bounce to $2.4 was not a true shift back to bullish control but a retracement within a larger downward corrective pattern that still has more moves to play out. An important point in the analysis is the loss of a custom indicator called the CoinsKid ribbon on the 5-day timeframe. This band of moving averages had previously acted as a guide for trend strength for most of 2025, with sustained trading above it pointing to bullish control. However, XRP has repeatedly closed below this ribbon since the flash crash in October 2025, and sellers have maintained control of the broader structure since then. XRP Price Chart. Source: @Coins_Kid on X Multi-Year Trendline As Downside Magnet The bearish scenario outlined on the chart places XRP’s next major area of interest around the rising multi-year support trendline, which currently converges in the $1.30 to $1.40 range. This ascending white trendline, which is visible on the 5-day chart and extends back to 2020, coincides with zones where XRP found strong demand after pullbacks. The highlighted green zone on the chart centers on this $1.30 to $1.40 range. Related Reading: PEPE Price Could Soar 3,000% If The Bottom Is In; Analyst Explains At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $1.96, down by 4.7% in the past 24 hours. CoinsKid’s projection is that if the current corrective move continues to play out, the XRP price could rotate lower from the descending resistance line and travel toward this support area over the coming months. This would be the final move in an ABC wave correction that began after XRP peaked at a new all-time high of $3.65 in July 2025. According to the analysis, only a sustained move back above the 5-day ribbon would invalidate this bearish path and reduce the likelihood of price revisiting that lower support region. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Market analyst Egrag Crypto said the XRP price structure remains largely bullish despite the cryptocurrency’s recent struggles to break above $2. The analyst has presented a chart analysis showing XRP slowly approaching a key decision zone that could determine its next upward move and push it firmly out of its current consolidation. XRP Price Structure Still Bullish On Wednesday, January 14, Egrag Crypto said the XRP 3-day chart shows obvious, strong signals. He stated that XRP remains structurally bullish despite experiencing long periods of consolidation following its last rebound above $2 this year. According to the analyst, XRP’s price is currently compressing within a descending channel as it moves closer to a key decision zone between $2.30 and $2.40. He explained that this type of compression often appears after a strong move and can lead to a larger price expansion. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Crash To $57,000: The Bullish Path That Could End In Tears In his post on X, Egrag Crypto shared key trends he observed on XRP’s 3-day chart. He revealed that the 50 Exponential Moving Average (EMA) has begun to flatten, indicating that selling pressure for XRP may be easing. At the same time, the 200 EMA continues to move higher, supporting the analyst’s opinion that the macro trend for XRP is still bullish. Egrag Crypto also emphasized that XRP is holding above the EMA cluster, a sign of structural strength rather than weakness. He highlighted that the upper boundary of the descending channel aligns precisely with the critical resistance areas at $2.3, marked by a red line on the chart. As these four developments occur simultaneously on the XRP chart, Egrag Crypto shared insights into their potential price impacts. He stated that a clean 3-day close above $2.40 would likely confirm XRP’s breakout from the descending channel. Based on the chart structure, he added that such a move could open the door for a continuation toward the $2.70 and $3.13 levels. If XRP is rejected at the channel’s resistance, Egrag Crypto has said that the price would likely remain range-bound. He concluded his analysis by emphasizing that as long as XRP continues trading above $2.0, its bullish structure will remain intact, and this ongoing consolidation phase should be seen as a period of compression ahead of a potential major price expansion. Related Reading: This Ethereum Triangle Breakout Puts Price Above $24,000, Here’s The Path Chart Signals Potentially Deeper Downtrend In Egrag Crypto’s chart, the lower boundary of the descending channel touches a key support area, marked by a white line. This could mean that if XRP fails to hold $2 and even drops below it, it could invalidate the analyst’s bullish thesis and trigger a decline toward the next support level at $1.65, representing a roughly 17.5% drop from current prices. If price falls further below $1.65, XRP could crash toward the last highlighted support level just around $1.0, reflecting an approximately 50% decrease from around $2.1. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Many XRP investors continue to adopt a wait-and-see approach, as the price has struggled to break above its current consolidation zone near the $2 level. Although XRP experienced a brief rally from around $1.90 to over $2 in January 2026, the upward momentum appears to have stalled at that point. A crypto analyst has shared insights into why XRP may be failing to sustain a breakout, noting that the biggest enemy of XRP investors is not price action. XRP Investors Face Biggest Enemy Beyond Price Market analyst Cryptollica has pointed to “time,” rather than price, as the biggest enemy of XRP investors, as the token continues to consolidate near the $2 mark. In a detailed analysis shared on X, he connected XRP’s current consolidation to a recurring historical pattern visible on the two-week price chart. Related Reading: This Ethereum Triangle Breakout Puts Price Above $24,000, Here’s The Path Cryptollica explained that XRP is moving through a phase labeled “Part 3” on the chart, designed to shake out holders experiencing boredom. In the past, this stage usually followed Part 4, when price expansion became visible and widely noticed. The chart maps a structure from the 2014 to 2017 cycle, in which Parts 1, 2, and 3 played out before a sharp rally followed. The same structural sequence is overlaid on the 2021 to 2026 period, with Parts 1 and 2 already completed and Part 3 currently unfolding. XRP’s price action on the chart shows it is moving sideways slightly above the $2 region after reclaiming the $1.95 area, which is a key breakout level. The consolidation is occurring above a rising long-term trendline, suggesting the overall uptrend is still holding, even if momentum is slow. Cryptollica also noted that the weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) has reset, shown in the lower part of the chart, where momentum has eased but not collapsed. He sees this reset as a necessary step that clears the way for XRP’s next move, and not a sign of weakness. The chart further highlights that previous cycles rewarded patience once this consolidation phase ended, reinforcing the analyst’s belief that time is the biggest enemy of holders. Related Reading: Wall Street Analyst Is Still Bullish On Bitcoin, Predicts Price Recovery Analyst Says XRP Is Approaching Price Discovery In a follow-up post, Cryptollica described his XRP price chart, which divides the cryptocurrency’s cycles into parts, as a precise algorithm. He called Part 1 a multi-year accumulation phase and Part 2, the first impulse and liquidity grab. As mentioned earlier, both phases have been completed in this cycle, according to the analyst. With XRP now in Part 3, the shakeout stage to test long-term holders, Cryptollica explains that once this is completed, the cryptocurrency is on its way to a vertical price discovery, which marks Part 4. He highlighted the reliability of this decade-long fractal, suggesting that XRP’s spring is currently loaded and ready for a potential expansion phase. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Software engineer and AI founder Vincent Van Code (@vincent_vancode) is arguing that institutional barriers to holding and using XRP have largely shifted from “market structure” to “plumbing,” claiming Ripple has spent 2025–2026 assembling an institutional stack for custody, treasury, and prime brokerage that makes large-scale participation operationally viable. In a post on X on Wednesday, the engineer framed self-custody as a non-starter for traditional allocators managing retirement pools, pensions, and bank balance sheets. Ripple Assembles The XRP ‘Wall Street Kit’ “Institutions juggling billions in 401(k)s, pensions, hedge funds, banks & governments? Self-custody was always insane—audit hell, compliance nightmares, risk officers saying ‘no way,’” he wrote. “That changed in 2025–2026. Ripple built the full-stack bridge: regulated, scalable, bank-trusted infrastructure so big money can finally hold & use XRP + RLUSD without the chaos.” Related Reading: Why XRP Is Gearing Up For A Massive Week Van Code’s core contention is that the crypto-native custody debate misses the institutional reality: risk committees, auditors, and compliance functions require regulated custody, reporting, and controls that can plug into existing workflows. He argues Ripple’s recent buildout amounts to a “Wall Street kit” that addresses those constraints end-to-end, spanning payments rails, corporate treasury tooling, prime brokerage services, and bank-grade custody. While the post is advocacy rather than a formal Ripple announcement, it reflects a view increasingly common among XRP supporters: that productized rails and regulated wrappers matter as much as market narratives when large allocators consider adding exposure or utility. Van Code pointed to Ripple Payments as the transaction layer, describing it as “ISO 20022-compliant, real-time cross-border rails on XRPL—already moving billions for global banks.” He then tied institutional adoption to what he portrayed as adjacent infrastructure designed to make XRP and Ripple’s RLUSD workable inside corporate and financial-institution operations. Related Reading: XRP Is At An Unique Moment In History: Developer Calls End Of Suppression Among the pieces he highlighted was GTreasury, which Ripple acquired for $1 billion, characterizing it as an enterprise treasury management platform enabling corporations to manage “fiat + digital liquidity in real-time.” He also cited Ripple Prime, described as being “powered by Hidden Road acquisition for $1.25B”, as a prime brokerage stack offering “clearing, financing & OTC trading—including XRP & RLUSD—with seamless XRPL settlement for faster, cheaper post-trade ops.” For custody, he argued Ripple has converged on a bank-facing offering through a series of deals and integrations. “Ripple Custody (bolstered by Palisade acquisition + prior Standard Custody/Metaco) → Bank-grade, regulated storage with MPC security, multi-chain support & zero-trust architecture,” he wrote, adding that it is “auditable, insured, scalable for billions.” Van Code also claimed “RLUSD reserves [are] custodied by BNY Mellon for ultimate trust.” The post’s conclusion was blunt about expected impact. “Bottom line: Excuses erased. Compliance baked in. Custody risk? Solved,” Van Code wrote. “Institutions aren’t just watching—they’re quietly stacking & building on XRPL. 2026 is the year XRP shifts from ‘spec play’ to core financial infrastructure. Billions incoming.” If that thesis holds, the next signal for markets will not be rhetoric but observable integration: whether these components translate into sustained institutional flows, deeper liquidity venues, and production use of XRP and RLUSD, ultimately showing up in price discovery. At press time, XRP traded at $2.15. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP has reached a technically decisive level, and the next wave of price action is expected to clarify whether the market is setting up for recovery or preparing for another structural breakdown. Recent movement confirms that a key support has done its job, but the upside path comes with strict conditions that will determine whether this bounce is sustainable or merely a pause before deeper downside. XRP Bounce Is Real, But It’s Still A Test Move Yesterday, renowned crypto analyst CasiTrades took to X, pointing out that XRP’s weekend decline stopped exactly at the macro 0.5 retracement near $2.03, a level that now acts as confirmed structural support. The reaction to this zone was immediate, validating it as active demand rather than coincidental price alignment. Momentum indicators also printed bullish divergence at this low, reinforcing the view that downside pressure is weakening in the short term. Related Reading: This Ethereum Triangle Breakout Puts Price Above $24,000, Here’s The Path From a wave-structure standpoint, CasiTrades interprets this move as the early stage of a subwave 2 bounce. The chart attached suggests the price could rotate higher toward the $2.24–$2.26 range, an area defined by overlapping Fibonacci retracements and prior resistance. Reaching this zone would complete the expected corrective move, but CasiTrades emphasizes that such a rally still falls within a broader pullback rather than confirming bullish continuation. This distinction is critical as corrective rallies often appear constructive before failing. If XRP’s advance remains overlapping and lacks impulsive strength, it would support the case for a rejection at resistance and continuation of the broader corrective cycle. The Catch That Decides The Bigger Picture The key level that changes everything, according to CasiTrades, is $2.41. A decisive break above this level, followed by a successful retest as support, would invalidate the downside scenario entirely. Such a move would signal that the bounce is no longer corrective and that XRP is transitioning into a stronger impulsive phase. Related Reading: Wall Street Analyst Is Still Bullish On Bitcoin, Predicts Price Recovery However, failure at $2.41, including a potential double-top, would still align with a wave-2 corrective structure. In that case, XRP would likely roll into a subwave 3 decline. While smaller subwaves may not unfold perfectly, CasiTrades stresses that the larger-degree target remains unchanged, with macro support near $1.65 as the dominant downside objective. Risk management remains central to this setup. CasiTrades identifies $2.03 as the invalidation point for the bounce thesis, making it the logical level for protective stops. As long as this support holds, the market is in observation mode. Ultimately, the next XRP wave points toward where price is headed next, but only if traders respect the condition attached. As CasiTrades frames it, the internal structure of the move will reveal whether this is a temporary reset or the start of something materially stronger. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Analysts are calling for an XRP price explosion, as the cryptocurrency’s market structure and the reappearance of historically reliable technical patterns support this bullish outlook. Although XRP experienced a brief rebound at the beginning of 2026, its price has since given back some of those gains and is now trading slightly above $2.0. Nevertheless, analysts remain optimistic about XRP’s near-term growth and have identified a key setup that could trigger the anticipated surge. XRP Price Prepares For Major Explosion Market expert CRYPTOWZRD has shared a fresh technical analysis of XRP, pointing to a familiar setup that previously led to an explosive price surge. He stated that XRP has spent more than a year trading sideways, forming a base that closely resembles an early pre-rally phase. Related Reading: Wall Street Analyst Is Still Bullish On Bitcoin, Predicts Price Recovery This sideways behavior had preceded a sharp vertical breakout during the 2024 bull cycle. CRYPTOWZRD noted that the current market structure mirrors this setup, suggesting that history may repeat itself if conditions align. His chart supports this view by showing XRP locked in a broad horizontal range for an extended period. In the past, XRP’s price repeatedly bounced between a clearly defined yellow support zone and red resistance bands, confirming range-bound behavior and accumulation. On the chart, the historical breakout is visible as a strong, impulsive upward move that followed XRP’s retest of support and the invalidation of the previous downtrend. Following its initial price rally in July 2024, XRP entered a topping phase near the upper red resistance area. After failing to hold those highs, the cryptocurrency saw a sharp pullback described as a “quick dump,” which drove prices back toward a key support region in the next month. Interestingly, XRP began to trade within a descending channel after the pullback. Once the price broke the channel’s upper boundary, it triggered a powerful rally, propelling XRP from approximately $0.5 to over $2. A similar descending channel is now visible in XRP’s current market structure, reinforcing the analyst’s view that another parabolic move may be unfolding. In this setup, XRP has already broken above the upper boundary of the channel, and now its price is expected to push through the red resistance bands positioned between $3.4 and $3.7 Analyst Warns That XRP Must Clear $2.26 Or Risk Another Drop Speaking on current price action, crypto analyst ChartNerd warns that XRP could see another price correction if it fails to break and hold above the $2.26 support level. According to the expert, both the weekly 20 Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and the middle regression band of the Gaussian Channel are acting as resistance. Related Reading: Here’s Why the Bitcoin Price Was Able To Break $94,000 The chart also shows these indicators converging at the $2.26 support level, strengthening the barrier XRP must overcome. A failure to break above this level could cause the price to retrace back toward multi-month support near $1.9, where a higher low could form if buyers step in. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Ripple’s 2025 acquisition spree is starting to look, in the eyes of Digital Ascension Group CEO Jake Claver, less like opportunistic dealmaking and more like an attempt to build the “Amazon of financial infrastructure,” a vertically integrated stack where XRP and Ripple’s stablecoin RLUSD sit at the settlement layer. In a video, Claver said Ripple spent roughly $2.45 billion on acquisitions in the last seven months of 2025, arguing the purchases form “pillars for a master plan” that mirrors how Amazon built dominance by owning infrastructure rather than just selling products. Why Ripple Could Be The ‘Next Amazon’ The core analogy was explicit. “Amazon’s success came from building infrastructure, not just from self products,” Claver said. “You got AWS. It became the most profitable piece of their business. That was infrastructure. They own all of the warehouses and logistics and the cloud and the marketplace.” Related Reading: How XRP Ledger Becomes The Leading Blockchain In 2026: Fintech CEO His contention is that infrastructure plays create structural advantages: lower marginal costs, faster iteration, and higher switching costs once institutions integrate. “This vertical integration is rare in financial services,” he said, arguing that most firms “specialize in one layer or partner for the rest,” which introduces friction, delays, and blame-shifting when systems fail. He also claimed the endgame resembles “winner take all dynamics,” where “network effects make the large networks exponentially more valuable than small ones” and “switching becomes cost prohibitive” once workflows are embedded. To explain the Amazon comparison, Claver mapped Ripple’s 2025 deals to what he sees as the minimum viable infrastructure bundle for an institutional “platform.” “You need custody and clearing for assets. You need treasury management for corporate operations. You need payment rails that work globally 24/7, 365,” he said. “You need a stable coin infrastructure for efficient settlements. And you need settlement assets to be able to move between all of those.” He argued Ripple has assembled those layers through a mix of older buys and 2025 mega-deals, culminating in what he called an end-to-end institutional product branded “Ripple 1.” The most prominent 2025 move, Claver said, was the $1.25 billion purchase of Hidden Road in April, now rebranded “Ripple Prime.” His framing: prime brokerage is the institutional “plumbing” that makes large-scale trading and settlement possible. “Prime brokers provide the behind-the-scenes services that make institutional trading possible,” he said. “They handle clearing. They make sure trade actually settles between counterparties. They provide custody and hold assets securely.” He added that Hidden Road served “over 300 institutional clients” and cleared “more than $3 trillion” in 2024, and claimed the business has grown “3x” since the acquisition announcement. Related Reading: XRP Retrace Is Only Temporary, What Happens Once the Uptrend Resumes He also pointed to an integration hook meant to create internal demand for Ripple’s stablecoin: “Hidden Road will use RLUSD as collateral across prime brokerage products. And this creates organic demand for Ripple stablecoin with institutional adoption.” The second pillar, he said, was Rail, acquired for about $200 million in August 2025, described as a stablecoin payments platform that operates 24/7 and reduces the need for enterprises to hold crypto directly. He claimed Rail was forecast to process “over 10%” of a $36 billion global B2B stablecoin payments market in 2025. Third came GTreasury, acquired for $1 billion after being announced in October 2025 and closing in December, which Claver described as treasury software used by large corporations and processing $12.5 trillion in annual payment volume. The strategic value, he argued, is distribution: access to CFOs and treasurers via trusted software already embedded in corporate finance workflows. The fourth, Palisade, announced in November 2025 with undisclosed terms, was framed as the “hot wallet” layer: operational wallet-as-a-service infrastructure for high-velocity transaction use cases, complementing deeper custody solutions. At press time, XRP traded at $2.10. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
After enduring weeks of capitulation, sustained price declines, and overall market weakness last year, XRP is showing signs of a recovery. The cryptocurrency has rebounded above the $2.2 level after beginning the new year at a low of above $1.90. According to a crypto expert, XRP’s long-term outlook remains significantly bullish. He compares XRP’s projected trajectory to gold’s price movement, predicting a similar historic all-time high rally. XRP Tracks Gold’s Historic Run Market analyst ‘Steph is Crypto’ has stated that XRP is showing a rare chart setup that closely mirrors gold’s macro move between 2023 and 2025. In his analysis shared on X, the crypto expert explained that after a prolonged corrective phase, XRP has completed a clean Wave 4 structure, formed a Falling Wedge, and is now breaking out in a way that reflects early trend expansion behavior. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Parabola: What’s Different Between The Last Bull Cycle And This One? The analyst shared a parallel chart that illustrated gold’s price action over the years on one side and XRP’s movement and future trajectory on the other. Over the two-day timeframe, XRP has completed an impulsive Wave 1-3, followed by a downward-sloping corrective channel that slopes into Wave 4, ending with a compression typical of a Falling Wedge. Steph is Crypto directly compares this formation and price movement to gold, which went through an almost identical structure earlier between 2022 and 2023. Following this corrective pattern, gold broke out decisively, entering a strong expansion phase that carried the price to new ATHs over the past months. The breakout also led to a sustained rally with minimal pullbacks and consolidation for almost two years. Based on gold’s explosive historic performance, Steph is Crypto has projected that XRP could replicate a similar trajectory in 2026. The XRP chart shows price stabilizing above the Falling Wedge breakout area near the mid-$2 range. From there, the projected path suggests a rapid expansion phase that mirrors gold’s post-breakout trajectory. If XRP replicates this historic run, it implies a new all-time high cycle, with the price potentially skyrocketing toward $37 before the end of 2026 or the beginning of 2027. The visual projection line on the chart shows that XRP could also experience a similar steady price expansion phase with minimal pullbacks along the way. Analyst Says XRP Could Outperform Bitcoin Soon Crypto analyst Matt Hughes has shared a new analysis of the XRP/BTC chart, pointing to a potential shift in long-term price performance. He believes that XRP is gearing up to outperform Bitcoin this year, based on a rate technical signal that just emerged on the trading pair’s chart. Related Reading: Popular Crypto Founder Dumps Millions In Ethereum, Here’s What He’s Buying According to Hughes, an incredibly bullish setup that has not appeared in years is developing on the XRP/BTC chart. He stated that price is about to break above the monthly Ichimoku Cloud for the first time since 2018, when XRP exploded to its current ATH of $3.84. Notably, a successful move above this cloud would signal a deep structural change in the cryptocurrency’s trend, potentially leading to significant relative gains this year. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
XRP has shown a notable uptick in price action in the past 48 hours as XRP’s price pushed higher from below $2 at the beginning of the year, but it now finds itself trading near the $2.40 region. Interestingly, this recent push is more than just a bounce, especially as a longer-term chart structure shows comparisons with XRP’s behavior ahead of its 2017 breakout. How The 2017 Structure Unfolded Before The Surge Technical analysis of XRP’s current price action on the weekly candlestick timeframe chart shows that the cryptocurrency is currently tracing out a similar price action to what it went through back in 2017 on the 3-day chart. In that earlier period, price action unfolded through a well-defined five-wave sequence, characterized by alternating phases of decline and recovery. Waves one, three, and five each pushed the price lower with corrective pressure, while waves two and four produced temporary rebounds that relieved selling pressure but failed to establish a lasting trend reversal. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Parabola: What’s Different Between The Last Bull Cycle And This One? The final stage of that sequence was particularly important. During the fifth wave, XRP’s decline slowed and compressed into a falling wedge formation. XRP’s price slipped below the $0.005 level and eventually stabilized around $0.00485, where downside follow-through became increasingly limited. From here, the downside pressure gradually weakened, volatility contracted, and selling momentum faded. When XRP finally broke out of that compression, it quickly reclaimed the $0.008 zone and broke through $0.02, resulting in the start of a rally that ultimately delivered gains well in excess of 1,000%. XRP Price Chart. Source: @Steph_iscrypto According to Steph’s analysis, XRP’s recent price action is following a remarkably similar rhythm. After topping out around $3.40 in mid-2025, the cryptocurrency entered a corrective phase that pushed the price steadily lower to create a falling wedge structure. That decline found support at $1.74, where selling pressure slowed and price action stopped making aggressive new lows. Now, it seems XRP is breaking out of the falling wedge and back to solidifying its price action above $2. XRP Price Action In Focus Now that XRP is back to trading above $2 and above the falling wedge, the next course of action is to look at how the price behaves from here. Of course, the most bullish course of action is for XRP to repeat a 1,000% rally, which would place it at a price target around $22. Related Reading: Popular Crypto Founder Dumps Millions In Ethereum, Here’s What He’s Buying In terms of how this plays out, there are resistance levels to watch out for. The $2.30 area is an early test, followed by $2.50 and $2.80, which are prior consolidation levels where XRP slowed down during its push to all-time highs in 2025. After that, the $3.10 price level and the previous 2018 high at $3.40 are the major resistances that would need to be reclaimed. On the downside, sustained weakness below $1.90, and especially a move back toward $1.74, would challenge the idea that the corrective phase has fully played out. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
XRP’s price has remained restrained despite steady activity around the asset, and recent commentary helps explain the disconnect. According to Jake Claver, CEO of Digital Ascension Group, the explanation lies beyond Ripple’s escrow releases or retail behavior, pointing instead to structural factors influencing how XRP supply reaches the market. How XRP Investors Are Selling Without Spooking The Market Claver explained in a recent post on X that large XRP sales are primarily happening through institutional channels such as over-the-counter (OTC) trades and dark pools that keep activity out of public view, rather than on public exchanges. He specifically pointed to platforms such as FalconX and Kraken’s dark pool infrastructure. These venues are designed for institutions, hedge funds, and early investors who want to move large positions without advertising their intentions on open order books. Related Reading: Popular Crypto Founder Dumps Millions In Ethereum, Here’s What He’s Buying This matters because public exchanges are highly sensitive to large sell orders. When big sales appear on an exchange, they often cause rapid price declines as other traders react. OTC desks operate differently. They match buyers and sellers privately, allowing XRP to change hands without immediate impact on visible market prices. As a result, significant amounts of XRP can be sold while the chart appears relatively stable. For early investors who accumulated XRP at much lower prices years ago, this approach is highly efficient. It allows them to gradually exit or rebalance positions while protecting execution quality. For the broader market, however, it creates a disconnect. Demand may exist, but as long as a steady supply is being released through private channels, upward price momentum remains limited. This explains why XRP can struggle to break higher even in periods of positive sentiment or strong network-related narratives. ETF Demand Is Quietly Draining The Same Liquidity Pool An important extension of Claver’s point came not from a comment beneath his original post. A reader asked for a “best estimate” on when OTC desks might run out of supply. He responded that supply is shrinking every day, with ETFs actively depleting available liquidity. Related Reading: Can Dogecoin Price Reach $1 In 2026? Analysts Reveal What To Expect This exchange is critical for understanding the bigger picture. ETFs do not typically buy XRP on public exchanges in a way that distorts price. Instead, they source liquidity through OTC desks, the same channels early investors are using to sell. This means ETFs are steadily absorbing XRP that would otherwise remain available for quiet distribution. Over time, this dynamic changes market structure. As ETFs and other institutional products continue to draw down OTC inventories, early investors will have fewer opportunities to sell large positions without touching public markets. When that happens, selling activity becomes more visible, and price discovery shifts back onto exchanges. Until OTC supply tightens meaningfully, XRP’s price may remain capped despite ongoing demand. The key takeaway is straightforward: current price suppression is not a lack of interest in XRP, but a consequence of how and where early investors are choosing to sell. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
The idea of the XRP price reaching a four-figure valuation continues to circulate across crypto market discussions, but analysts argue that such expectations are misaligned with realistic timelines. While long-term upside is not dismissed outright, a renowned crypto trader says 2026 is not the inflection window for a $1,000 XRP price, emphasizing patience, structural market maturation, and a longer investment horizon. XRP Price’s Near-Term Expectations Reset The debate around XRP’s long-term valuation has resurfaced following renewed community discussion sparked by a widely circulated price forecast highlighted by Uphold. This forecast suggested that the XRP price could eventually reach $1,000 in 2030. The projection prompted analysts and traders to reframe expectations around timing rather than destination. While some acknowledged the long-term possibility, commentary emphasized that 2026 lacks the structural conditions required to support such a valuation, shifting the focus toward patience and extended adoption cycles. Related Reading: Popular Crypto Founder Dumps Millions In Ethereum, Here’s What He’s Buying A prominent market commentator known as Pharaoh reinforced this position by explicitly ruling out 2025 and 2026 as viable timeframes for such a move. His stance aligns with the view that XRP’s growth trajectory should be evaluated through a long-term lens rather than short-term price spikes. According to this perspective, price discovery at that scale would require sustained institutional integration, deeper utility-driven demand, and time for macro and regulatory clarity to translate into capital inflows. The message to investors is straightforward: suppress short-term noise and avoid anchoring expectations to arbitrary calendar years. Diverging Views Expose The Limits Of Short-Term Price Optimism In a separate post, Pharaoh, reflecting a traditional finance perspective, cautioned holders against short-term, click-driven hype, aligning with Don Kwok’s assessment that rapid gains are unrealistic. That caution is reinforced by XRP’s recent trajectory. Despite recovering from its 2024 drawdown and maintaining relative stability through late 2025, price action has remained range-bound compared to the scale required for exponential upside. Even with the launch and early inflows of XRP-focused exchange-traded products, the impact on spot price has been incremental rather than transformative. Institutional activity, strategic partnerships, and ongoing ecosystem development have improved XRP’s structural positioning, yet none have produced the liquidity surge or demand shock necessary to justify rapid escalation toward triple- or quadruple-digit levels. Related Reading: Can Dogecoin Price Reach $1 In 2026? Analysts Reveal What To Expect This disconnect highlights a key constraint: adoption and institutional validation do not automatically translate into immediate price repricing. Capital rotation into XRP-linked products has so far been measured, and partnership announcements have tended to reinforce long-term utility narratives rather than trigger speculative inflows. As a result, expectations of an accelerated move to $1,000 overlook how slowly large-scale capital typically enters and reshapes mature digital asset markets. These perspectives converge on a single conclusion. While opinions differ on XRP’s ultimate ceiling, there is broad agreement that the asset’s current growth path favors gradual appreciation over explosive near-term gains. The debate, therefore, is not about destination, but about discipline—aligning projections with market mechanics, capital behavior, and realistic timelines rather than headline-driven hype. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
A major institutional player in global finance has made its position on XRP clear, placing the cryptocurrency at the center of its digital asset strategy. Franklin Templeton, an asset management firm handling over $1.6 trillion worth of assets, used a recent post on the social media platform X to explain why it is going deep into XRP as an asset, while also drawing attention to its Spot exchange-traded product, XRPZ. This interesting comment is part of a growing institutional confidence in XRP and the XRP Ledger. Franklin Templeton’s Strategic Entry With A Spot XRP ETF Franklin Templeton’s arrival in the XRP ETF space is one of the most significant endorsements of the token from a legacy financial institution. The firm launched the Franklin XRP Trust, trading under ticker XRPZ on the NYSE Arca in late November, offering investors regulated exposure to the digital asset without the operational complexity of holding the token directly. Related Reading: Can Dogecoin Price Reach $1 In 2026? Analysts Reveal What To Expect The fund is structured as a grantor trust that holds XRP and calculates its net asset value daily based on established reference rates, with custody provided by Coinbase Custody Trust Company and administration by BNY Mellon. Recent comments from leading voices at the fund manager reveal that the decision to launch a Spot XRP ETF is due to their strong belief in XRP and the XRP Ledger. Roger Bayston, Head of Digital Assets at Franklin Templeton, highlighted the XRP Ledger’s designed capability for real-time, low-cost settlement and efficient cross-border payments. Furthermore, he noted that the altcoin’s market capitalization and role in global value transfer make it an important component worth regulated exposure for investors with a broad portfolio. The firm’s broader digital asset suite already includes Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, and XRP was the latest to join this year. Franklin Templeton traces its roots back to 1947 and has built a reputation of trillions in equity, fixed income, and multi-asset investments in markets all around the world. Its move into crypto ETFs, now encompassing Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP exposure, is part of many established asset managers now actively engaging in the crypto industry. Performance And Market Reception Of XRPZ Since Launch Several issuers received clearance for Spot XRP ETFs in 2025, making it possible for institutions and everyday investors to gain exposure to the cryptocurrencies through regulated means. Since their debut in November, the Spot ETFs, including XRPZ, have attracted meaningful capital flows. Related Reading: What Happens If The Bitcoin Price Closes 2025 In The Red? Analyst Answers Collectively, these products have drawn more than $1.16 billion in net inflows, maintaining consecutive days of inflows that stand in contrast to recent days of outflows in Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs. Franklin Templeton’s XRPZ itself has grown its holdings past 100 million XRP, with a cumulative inflow of about $242 million at the time of writing. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
XRP, Bitcoin, and Ethereum are displaying sharply diverging fund flow trends, with XRP emerging as the most accumulated digital asset in the latest CoinShares Digital Asset Fund Flows Weekly Report. With Bitcoin and Ethereum jointly recorded nearly $500 million in outflows, the data illustrates a shift in investor positioning away from the market’s largest assets toward select alternatives amid ongoing volatility. XRP Inflows Highlight Selective Demand Contrasting sharply with the redemptions sweeping through Bitcoin and Ethereum products, XRP has continued to register major inflows. CoinShares data shows XRP-linked investment vehicles attracted $70.2 million in new capital last week, reflecting ongoing interest from investors in these nascent ETF categories. Since their mid-October US launches, XRP has accumulated about $1.07 billion in inflows, a remarkable trajectory given the prevailing outflow environment for larger assets. Related Reading: XRP Price May Be Bearish Below $2, But On-Chain Data Tells A Different Story This bifurcation in fund flows underscores a selective repositioning among investors. While broad risk assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum grapple with selling pressure, XRP’s performance shows that certain niche products are still attracting interest even in a downtrend. This pattern may be likely due to different expectations about regulations, adoption, or the impact of newly launched ETF products aimed at specific investors. Bit-Heavy Outflows: Bitcoin And Ethereum Under Pressure Despite their dominant roles in the market, Bitcoin and Ethereum endured significant net outflows during the reporting week ended December 29, contributing the lion’s share of the overall outflow figure. According to CoinShares, Bitcoin-linked products recorded approximately $443 million in redemptions, representing nearly the totality of the weekly withdrawal from crypto investment vehicles. Ethereum-focused products also saw $59.5 million exit, adding to a broader pattern of institutional caution toward the largest digital assets. These negative flows have accumulated since the mid-October US ETF launches, with Bitcoin recording roughly $2.8 billion and Ethereum about $1.6 billion in outflows over this period. The concentration of redemptions in the United States, where $460 million left digital asset funds, highlights a prevailing aversion among domestic investors toward reallocating capital into BTC and ETH during periods of price volatility and regulatory uncertainty. Related Reading: Banks Could Start Holding XRP Due To This Simple Change The sustained outflows amid weak sentiment reflect broader investor behavior during market stress. When capital flees established assets, it often signals profit-taking, risk reduction, or shifts into alternative strategies or cash positions, all of which can exert downward price pressure and prolong short-term weakness. For Bitcoin and Ethereum, this trend suggests that even their extensive adoption and liquidity have not insulated them from pullbacks in institutional demand. Overall, the latest fund flow data signals a clear rotation in investor attention. While Bitcoin and Ethereum continue to experience significant outflows, XRP is drawing capital, emphasizing a market environment where targeted assets are increasingly capturing the focus of both institutional and retail participants as 2026 approaches. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
XRP’s recent price action in recent weeks has been under selling pressure, with the cryptocurrency struggling to reclaim the psychologically important $2 level. From a technical standpoint, the structure still leans bearish and lacks strong upside momentum. However, beneath this subdued price behavior, activity on the XRP Ledger points to a more complex context that conflicts with what is visible on price charts alone. XRP Price Weakness Meets Notable Network Activity XRP’s price has been trading below $2 over the past few weeks, and this level has repeatedly acted as resistance during recovery attempts. Momentum indicators like the 50-, 100- and 200-day simple moving averages are showing hesitation instead of sustained buying pressure, despite the inflow streak of Spot XRP ETFs. This has left the price of XRP vulnerable to extended consolidation or further downside as long as buyers fail to regain higher technical ground. Related Reading: Saylor Reveals What Will Drive Bitcoin Price To New ATHs – It’s Not What You Think Bitcoin and the wider crypto market conditions have not helped. Capital rotation away from altcoins has limited upside follow-through, leaving XRP and many other large-market-cap cryptocurrencies exposed to bearish moves. However, on-chain data from the XRP Ledger tells a very different story. Network metrics show a steady streak of high activity, with daily transaction counts recently approaching 900,000 payments per day, making it one of the busiest stretches in months. This increase has not been smooth or gradual either, as data shows clusters of larger-value transfers occurring alongside the rise in overall volume. This data is from the XRPL tracker website XRPScan, which shows that the daily transaction numbers have been consistently above 900,000 throughout December, with some daily spikes above 1 million transactions. The pattern suggests that the activity extends more than what you would expect for the current bearish momentum, considering that periods of high retail activity like this are expected to contribute to bullish momentum. XRP Payments Activity. Source: XRPScan Price And On-Chain Divergence Leaves XRP At A Crossroads The growing gap between XRP’s bearish price structure and strengthening on-chain activity raises questions about how the market is currently valuing network usage. A closer look at payment volume between accounts shows that hundreds of millions of XRP are being transferred daily, with several days seeing flows exceeding one billion XRP. In dollar terms, this represents billions worth of value moving across the ledger each day, despite the lack of upward momentum in price. Related Reading: Banks Could Start Holding XRP Due To This Simple Change Interestingly, the number of active users (source tag + destination tag) has also been hovering in the hundreds of thousands, which is far more than you would expect for a cryptocurrency struggling with price action. An explanation is that XRP traders are only actively trading in the short term. XRP Active Users. Source: XRPScan This divergence puts focus on whether the current on-chain strength represents early positioning ahead of deeper adoption or institutional developments tied to Ripple, or whether it will continue to be disconnected from near-term demand in the open market. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Banks have mostly stayed on the sidelines when it comes to holding XRP directly, even as interest in digital assets continues to increase. That hesitation has not been due to a lack of utility or demand but to strict regulatory capital rules that made holding XRP economically impractical for regulated institutions. However, a small adjustment in how XRP is treated under global banking rules could remove that barrier and change how banks interact with the cryptocurrency. Why Banks Can’t Hold XRP The main obstacle preventing banks from holding XRP has been its treatment under the global banking framework known as Basel III. Basel III is an international regulatory framework developed after the 2008 financial crisis that introduces higher quality and quantity of capital requirements in the international banking sector. Right now, XRP currently falls into the Type 2 crypto exposure under Basel III, which is set up with rules for assets that pose higher risks. Under these rules, most cryptocurrencies, including XRP, fall into a high-risk category that carries a punitive capital requirement. Banks are required to apply a 1,250% risk weight to such assets, implying they must set aside far more capital than the value of the XRP itself. This means that under the Basel III framework, for every $1 of XRP exposure, a bank must hold $12.50 in capital. This dynamic was recently explained by a crypto commentator with the name Stern Drew on the social media platform X. In a post on X, Drew explained that this capital inefficiency alone accounts for years of institutional hesitation. The issue has not been demand nor technology, but the regulatory capital treatment that made holding XRP irrational from a balance sheet perspective. The Regulatory Inflection Point The conversation around XRP’s regulatory status is becoming increasingly important to its long-term outlook. Interestingly, Drew’s analysis goes further by pointing to what he describes as an inflection point that markets may be overlooking. Now that legal and regulatory clarity surrounding cryptocurrencies is improving, XRP could be reclassified into a lower-risk category under Basel III. The endgame is that XRP is on a clear path to becoming a Tier-1 digital asset for global institutions, which is mostly for tokenized traditional assets and stablecoins with strong mechanisms. If that reclassification occurs, the economics will change immediately. XRP would become acceptable for direct balance sheet exposure, allowing banks to custody, deploy, and settle using the asset without the need of excessive capital. This is not a discussion about short-term price movements but about capital mechanics that determine whether large pools of institutional money can participate in holding XRP at all. In this case, liquidity provisioning of XRP by banks would change from off-balance-sheet usage to direct institutional ownership. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Can a digital asset like XRP realistically sit at a few dollars if it is expected to serve as an important liquidity layer for the global financial system? That question is at the center of a growing debate around XRP’s market value and is the basis of comments shared on X by Jesse of Apex Crypto. His argument challenges the idea that XRP can function as a worldwide liquidity instrument through Ripple’s framework while maintaining a relatively low valuation around $3, which he says doesn’t make sense. The Liquidity Argument Behind XRP’s Valuation Debate XRP’s price history shows a clear ceiling that it has struggled to overcome. Since launch, the token has never sustained a move above the $4 level, with its highest recorded peak sitting around $3.65 in mid-July. Recent weeks have been even more challenging, as XRP has been trading under $2 with the entire crypto market going through a weak phase. Related Reading: $130 Million XRP Fumble: Analyst Reveals What Went Wrong Despite this, some bullish analysts continue to speculate about scenarios where the price revisits the $3 region. That outlook, however, was directly challenged by Jesse of Apex Crypto, who asserted that even a $3 valuation fundamentally misses the point of what XRP is designed to become. Jesse’s position is built around XRP’s intended role in global finance. According to him, if XRP grows into a primary liquidity source for cross-border settlements like it was intended to be, then a valuation around $3 would not align with that responsibility. In his video commentary, he questioned what XRP would ultimately be backed by or pegged to, pointing to a structure tied to vast pools of global financial assets. These include fiat currencies, potential central bank digital currencies, and even commodities such as gold or silver. He noted that such a framework would imply that the total value represented by XRP tokens would correspond to the combined value of these underlying assets. In simple terms, if roughly 100 billion XRP were expected to support or represent liquidity linked to trillions of dollars in global assets, then a single-digit price per token would appear mathematically inconsistent. From this perspective, XRP’s valuation would need to reflect the scale of the assets it helps move. Institutional Adoption Versus Price Reality The valuation debate is much more complex when placed alongside Ripple’s growing institutional footprint. Ripple has continued to expand partnerships with banks, payment providers, and financial institutions across multiple regions, which strengthens the case that its technology is gaining traction within traditional finance. Related Reading: Dogecoin Price Could Rally If It Reclaims This Fibonacci Level At the corporate level, Ripple’s valuation and funding activity point to strong confidence from large investors, a factor Jesse of Apex Crypto believes should provide a valuation floor for XRP. However, XRP’s market price has not mirrored this institutioacnal momentum. Even with XRP-related investment products gaining attention and steady inflows, the price action is still limited, and the cryptocurrency might continue trading at low valuations in the near term. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
A crypto analyst has revealed how a well-timed XRP investment from the 2017 bull cycle turned into a missed $130 million opportunity, highlighting how execution failures can derail even the most promising strategies. The admission, shared publicly on X, has reignited debate over discipline, timing, and emotional control in long-term crypto investing. XRP’s Perfect Entry, Failed Exit The investment began with a disciplined entry. In early 2017, two participants collectively invested $1,200 into XRP at approximately $0.007, accumulating 171,428 tokens. From a market timing perspective, the entry was near optimal. XRP later surged during the cycle, briefly trading close to its peak and lifting the position’s value to roughly $770,000. Related Reading: Analyst Reveals Bitcoin Make Or Break Level Amid Campaign For $90,000 At this stage, the trade had already achieved what most investors aim for: asymmetric upside realized within a single market cycle. However, the position was never exited. Despite clear signs of market euphoria and a dramatic expansion in price, the gains remained unrealized. The analyst later acknowledged that hesitation and emotional attachment prevented decisive action, effectively transforming a winning trade into a missed opportunity. This hesitation exposed a structural weakness in the strategy: there was no enforced exit discipline. While the entry was carefully planned, the decision to sell depended on the moments when emotional pressures are strongest and risk perception is most skewed. The scenario highlights a recurring issue in crypto markets, where many investors focus heavily on asset selection and timing entries, yet underestimate how psychologically demanding exits can be during periods of rapid price growth. The Missed Rotation And Compounding Effect Of Inaction The second failure compounded the first. The analyst explained that selling XRP near its peak would have freed capital to redeploy into Bitcoin while BTC traded around $1,000. That move could have converted the XRP proceeds into roughly 771 Bitcoin, effectively positioning the portfolio to benefit from the next major phase of the market cycle. Related Reading: Analyst Shares ‘Cold, Hard Truth’ For Bitcoin Investors As Price Struggles Holding those Bitcoin through later highs—approaching 170,000 CAD—would have resulted in total proceeds exceeding $130 million. The strategy was simple and systematic: take profits from an outperforming asset and rotate into another with asymmetric upside potential. It required no leverage, no complex instruments, and no precise market timing beyond a broad understanding of overall market cycles. However, hesitation, second-guessing, and attachment to the original position prevented decisive action. By delaying the rotation, the investor forfeited the compounding advantage, leaving the portfolio largely static while the broader market continued to advance. The analyst’s reflection highlights how the crypto market consistently rewards preparation and disciplined execution but punishes hesitation. This experience serves as a stark reminder that the ability to act decisively at critical moments is often the true determinant of long-term success in crypto investing. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Expectations around XRP reaching the $100 price level have circulated within the crypto industry in the past few months, often resurfacing during periods of strong bullish momentum. As 2025 draws to a close, those expectations are facing reevaluations. Despite intermittent rallies during the year and strong conviction among long-term holders, XRP is currently trading far from triple-digit territory. This gap between optimism and market reality has pushed some voices within the XRP community to reassess timelines to reach such a valuation. Zach Rector Pushes The $100 XRP Perspective To 2030 One of the most notable revisions comes from Zach Rector, a longtime XRP supporter who has openly adjusted his outlook. In a recent post on the social media platform X, Rector stated plainly that his expectation for XRP to reach $100 now sits around the year 2030. This position is a clear review of chatter from many XRP enthusiasts that envisions a $100 XRP as an imminent outcome within the current cycle. Related Reading: Bitcoin Just Entered Extreme Oversold Levels And Analysts Predict New ATH Targets Rector had already begun tempering expectations as far back as early November, when he acknowledged that XRP was unlikely to reach $100 before the end of the year. At the time, he noted that meaningful price appreciation was still possible, even if the most extreme targets are out of reach. At the time, he noted that saying XRP isn’t going to $100 this year feels like telling a kid Santa isn’t real. Why $100 In 2025 Has Become Increasingly Unlikely The idea of XRP reaching $100 within a single market cycle faces mathematical and liquidity constraints. At current supply levels of 60 billion XRP, such a price would imply a market capitalization deep into the multi-trillion-dollar range, putting XRP among the most valuable assets in the global financial system. As the year winds down, there is little evidence of the scale of capital inflows required to support that kind of valuation in the near term. Although bullish sentiment is strong in parts of the XRP community, market conditions have not aligned with the aggressive assumptions. Therefore, a 2025 timeline for $100 XRP has moved from ambitious to implausible, even for optimistic analysts. Related Reading: Bitcoin Just Entered Extreme Oversold Levels And Analysts Predict New ATH Targets Rector has previously attempted to ground the $100 discussion in simple market principles. In a post shared earlier this year, he outlined the scale of inflows required to drive XRP to major price milestones using conservative market cap multipliers. According to his estimates, reaching $100 would require between $11 billion and $58 billion in net inflows, assuming a 100x market cap multiplier. Higher targets, such as $1,000, would demand inflows between $118 billion and $589 billion. Therefore, the $100 target is achievable towards the end of the decade, though not without sustained institutional participation and inflows into Spot XRP ETFs. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
XRP holders could be facing another prolonged stretch of downside pressure as the cryptocurrency continues to lose ground in a weakening market. XRP’s performance this period has been underwhelming enough that analysts have seemingly given up hope of the price challenging higher resistance levels in the near term. They revealed that XRP has slipped below key support zones, leaving few technical barriers to slow further declines. XRP Faces Further Decline As All Support Fails A crypto market analyst who goes by the name ‘Guy on the Earth’ on X has shared a rather bleak outlook on XRP’s near-term prospects. In his post on Thursday, the analyst revealed that XRP looks set for more pain as the market structure continues to deteriorate. He noted that price action is now threatening to lose its Descending Channel, signaling overall weakness rather than stabilization. Related Reading: Bitcoin Just Entered Extreme Oversold Levels And Analysts Predict New ATH Targets According to the expert, the probability of XRP reclaiming the $1.95 level by the weekly close is incredibly low. However, losing this consolidation range that has contained price since November 2024 opens the door to a technical downside target near $0.90. He also pointed out that a confirmation from the monthly timeframe aligns with the two-week chart, which is fast approaching its close in just a few days. Guy on the Earth stated there was little optimism left in the current price setup. He emphasized that no meaningful support levels are holding, and the market demand appears thin, leaving XRP vulnerable to continued selling pressure and potential declines. The analyst’s review of the cryptocurrency’s performance was blunt, suggesting that the market “is what it is” at this stage. Looking at the chart shared alongside the analysis, XRP is clearly trading within a well-defined downward channel that has guided price lower for several months now. Each bounce attempt has been capped by descending resistance, reinforcing the cryptocurrency’s bearish trend. Recent candles also show price drifting toward the lower boundary of the Descending Channel, increasing the risk of a correction. Momentum indicators at the bottom of the chart also reflect ongoing pressure. XRP’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits near the lower end of its range, showing persistent weakness as price fails to recover. Related Reading: Ripple Goes Institutional: What The Doppler Finance And SBI Partnership Means For XRP Analyst Weighs Short-Term Hope For XRP When asked by a crypto community member if a daily close back inside the Descending Channel could temporarily save XRP from an extended downturn, Guy on the Earth acknowledged the possibility. He stated that such a move could help in the short term but described it as a “trivial” development compared to larger structural levels. The crypto analyst’s focus remains on the $1.95 level on the two-week close, highlighting it as the most critical area to watch. He pointed out that this structure has remained intact for the past 13 months, making it a defining support zone for XRP. While bouncing back to the channel would not erase the broader bearish trend, the expert revealed that it would at least suggest that XRP still has a chance to grow. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Ripple’s push to advance XRP’s institutional relevance took a concrete step forward following a post published by Doppler Finance confirming its partnership with SBI Ripple Asia. The announcement marks a strategic shift from retail-driven narratives to regulated, institution-ready financial infrastructure on the XRP Ledger. The collaboration positions XRP as part of a framework centered on yield generation, compliant custody, and real-world financial integration. Doppler Finance And SBI Ripple Asia To Expand XRP’s Role Beyond Payments The partnership between Doppler Finance and SBI Ripple Asia represents a major evolution in XRP’s role in finance. While XRP has long been valued for fast, low-cost cross-border payments, it has lacked infrastructure for institutional investors to earn a regulated yield. This collaboration aims to change that by developing XRP-based yield products designed specifically for compliance-conscious institutions, creating a pathway for professional investors to use XRP as a productive financial asset. Related Reading: Dogecoin RSI Hits Levels That Have Triggered ATH Rallies Before Unlike experimental DeFi initiatives, this effort prioritizes regulated access, risk management, and compliance. SBI Ripple Asia—a joint venture between SBI Holdings and Ripple—anchors the project within an established financial ecosystem, lending credibility and operational rigor. Notably, this is the first time SBI Ripple Asia has partnered with an XRP Ledger-native protocol, signaling that the focus is on building durable, scalable financial infrastructure rather than marketing hype. Custody and security are central to making these yield products viable for institutional participants. SBI Digital Markets will provide segregated custody for all assets, meeting the strict standards required by asset managers, corporate treasuries, and funds. For traders and institutional users, this means they can access XRP-based yield opportunities without assuming self-custody responsibilities or exposure to smart-contract risks typical in retail DeFi. The framework transforms XRP from a token primarily used for payments into a balance-sheet-compatible asset that can generate regulated returns, opening new avenues for institutional adoption, portfolio diversification, and professional-grade risk management. Strategic Implications For XRP And Ripple In The Broader Market The partnership strengthens XRP’s role in real-world asset tokenization. Doppler Finance and SBI Ripple Asia plan to leverage the XRP Ledger to support regulated financial products tied to tangible value, positioning XRPL as infrastructure for institutional-grade applications beyond digital payments. This approach lays the groundwork for a structured rollout of XRP-based solutions. Related Reading: Why This Week Could Be Transformational For The XRP Price Formalized as a memorandum of understanding, the collaboration signals phased implementation rather than immediate launches. While timelines and yield structures remain undisclosed, the framework reflects clear strategic intent, creating conditions for XRP to expand its role in institutional finance. For XRP, the impact is structural. Combining yield generation, compliant custody, and real-world asset integration broadens its utility in capital markets and reinforces Ripple’s institutional narrative in Asia, where regulatory clarity typically precedes retail adoption. Ultimately, the Doppler Finance–SBI partnership redefines XRP’s value proposition. The asset moves from a transaction medium to becoming an integral part of institutional financial architecture. If executed as intended, XRP’s role in global finance could shift from speed-focused transactions to long-term, durable adoption. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
The XRP price structure and recent momentum are pointing toward a potentially transformational shift this week. Although the cryptocurrency has experienced an extended period of downside pressure, technical signals suggest that XRP may be nearing the end of its corrective phase. If key support levels are tested and defended this week, it could redefine XRP’s short-term trend and set the tone for price action heading into the end of the year. XRP Price Eyes Dip To $1.64, Builds Uptrend Base Crypto market analyst CasiTrades believes that this week could mark a pivotal turning point for XRP’s price action. In a recent X post, she shared a chart showing XRP trading within a well-defined descending structure marked by lower highs and multiple Fibonacci values. Related Reading: Dogecoin RSI Hits Levels That Have Triggered ATH Rallies Before CasiTrades noted that XRP’s recent price behavior has confirmed her downside scenario, with the cryptocurrency now approaching the final support zone of its current corrective phase. She highlighted that XRP failed to reclaim the $2.0 level as support over the weekend, confirming what she described as “the pink scenario.” For context, XRP suffered an unexpected breakdown below $2 last week and is currently trading at $1.91 after a slight recovery. According to the analyst, the market is now firmly in subwave Wave 3 to the downside, with momentum and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) pushing to new extremes that typically precede a major uptrend reversal. She stated that the next key level to watch is around $1.73, which could provide short-term relief if buyers step in. Below this, CasiTrades emphasized that a more critical area sits near $1.64, the macro support aligning with the 0.618 Fibonacci level. She predicts the XRP price could decline further, from $1.91 to $1.64, this week, viewing this area as the most likely final low of the cryptocurrency’s broader corrective move. In her post, CasiTrades pointed out that XRP may drop to the projected support in Wave 3 without first bouncing to $1.73. If this direct move occurs, she notes that the market may not require a second retest of the zone, as the support could hold on the first touch. The analyst further explained that a move to $1.64 would align closely with Bitcoin potentially crashing to $79,000. While she acknowledged that BTC still has a lower support near $64,000 if the $79,000 level fails, CasiTrades emphasized that XRP is unlikely to break below the $1.64, even though a nearby support exists around $1.54 at the golden pocket. XRP To See Major Rebound This Week While CasiTrades predicts that XRP could first decline to the $1.64 support, she expects the cryptocurrency to bounce sharply from this level, potentially opening the door for an explosive move above the $2.41-$3.00 range. She highlighted that this powerful reversal could occur by Friday, December 19, 2025. Related Reading: Silk Road Bitcoins Are On The Move Again, Is The BTC Price Ready For Another Dump? The analyst also emphasized that a potential rally to this bullish range is XRP making its decision at the final moment. She remarks that the market is heading into the week excited and in time for the holiday celebrations. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
A private investment firm has outlined why XRP constitutes the largest share of its portfolio. The firm explains that its investment rationale is anchored in XRP’s Proven operational performance and functional utility rather than aspirational projections, community momentum, or speculative price expectations. As a result, the position reflects a deliberate focus on infrastructure value, reinforcing XRP’s status as a core long-term holding rather than a tactical crypto trade. Why XRP Aligns With A Function-First Investment Approach The investment firm’s reasoning positions XRP as a natural fit for a portfolio strategy that prioritizes function over narrative. According to the firm, its heavy allocation is the byproduct of a disciplined evaluation of how well an asset performs its intended role. In this framework, concentration is justified only when an asset demonstrates clear operational strengths, and XRP is presented as having earned that status through its design and execution. Related Reading: Why Now Is The Perfect Opportunity To Short Bitcoin Down To $40,000 Building on that premise, the firm points to XRP’s specialization as a settlement-oriented digital asset as the primary driver of its allocation decision. The network is structured to deliver rapid and definitive transaction completion, eliminating the uncertainty that can complicate value transfer on many blockchain systems. This reliability is reinforced by consistently low transaction costs that remain stable regardless of usage levels, enabling predictable large-scale transfers without exposure to fee volatility. As transaction volume increases, XRP’s ability to maintain high throughput without congestion further supports its suitability for continuous, real-world payment activity. These technical attributes also connect directly to the firm’s broader investment thesis around institutional usability. By operating without a proof-of-work mechanism, the ledger avoids the inefficiencies and regulatory friction often associated with energy-intensive networks. In the firm’s assessment, this design choice enhances operational clarity and aligns more closely with the compliance and efficiency standards expected by financial institutions. Taken together, these factors explain why the firm views XRP less as a speculative vehicle and more as functional infrastructure, reinforcing its alignment with a function-first investment approach and justifying its central role within the portfolio. Positioning For Institutional Adoption And Market Repricing The firm frames its investment thesis around how markets evolve under regulatory pressure. As digital asset regulation advances, financial institutions are expected to prioritize reliability, compliance, and operational efficiency over popularity or community momentum. Adoption is therefore driven less by attention and more by seamless integration into existing financial frameworks. Related Reading: Here’s Why Strategy’s $1 Billion Bitcoin Purchase Did Not Trigger A Price Rally This perspective also informs how digital assets may be valued. The firm expects a gradual shift from narrative-based pricing toward metrics such as transaction throughput, liquidity efficiency, and real-world demand. Assets able to move value at scale will likely be repriced as usage rises and speculative excess fades. In the firm’s assessment, XRP is one of the few assets already meeting these standards, and by concentrating its portfolio in XRP, it positions itself ahead of this transition. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Crypto analyst Dark Defender has been one of the most vocal supporters of XRP, and this stance has not changed despite the altcoin’s current price action. If anything, the analyst believes that the current downtrend actually plays into the XRP long-term target, claiming that the cryptocurrency remains inherently bullish. If the analyst is right, then it means that the XRP price could be gearing up for another major uptrend that could send it to new peaks. XRP Price Is Only In Wave 4, Not A Bear Market In the post that was shared on X, Dark Defender explained that the XRP cryptocurrency was not in any kind of bear market. Instead, the current downtrend is only a result of the altcoin entering Wave 4 of the Elliot Wave, leading to the decline. Related Reading: Can Bitcoin Price Still Hit $140,000? What The Global M2 Money Supply Says Given that Wave 4 is a historically bearish wave, it would explain why the XRP price has dropped so quickly. However, the crypto analyst explained that this wave did not just start, as it has been in play since February 2025. Hence, it would need to play out completely before the next wave can begin. Going by this analysis, it would mean that the last and final wave of the theory is yet to play out, which is often the most bullish of all the waves. As a result, the analyst urges XRP investors not to panic as the price continues to play out according to plan. In the end, the target remains $5.85, according to Dark Defender, beating its previous all-time high of $3.8. Price Could Be Rounding A Bottom Another analyst also contributes that the XRP price is not in a bear market, and could, in fact, be putting in a bottom. STEPH IS CRYPTO points out that the XRP RSI is actually showing a rare bullish divergence on the daily chart, one of the few times that this has happened over the years. Related Reading: Why Did The Bitcoin, Ethereum, And XRP Prices Crash, And Will It Continue? This is significant because back in 2022, a similar bullish divergence had appeared on the daily chart ,and the result was a rapid rise once the distribution was done. As the crypto analyst explains, the fact that this bullish RSI divergence has appeared on the XRP daily chart again suggests that the sellers are actually running out of steam. While there is no set target for where the XRP price is headed, the prediction suggests that a rally could be in the works. “Nothing is guaranteed — but from a technical perspective, this is one of the strongest early reversal signals you can get,” the analyst stated. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP is at the center of the institutional flows, leading the crypto market in streaks of capital inflows even as its price is locked around $2. Recent data shows that money is still entering into Spot XRP ETF products, but despite this steady demand and a clear shift toward bullish sentiment across social platforms, XRP’s spot price has struggled to break higher, and this raises questions as to why inflows and price action appear out of sync. Spot XRP ETFs Are Seeing Relentless Institutional Demand Institutional appetite for XRP has been especially visible through Spot XRP exchange-traded funds. These products have now logged 19 days of uninterrupted inflows, with a fresh capital of $20.17 million added again on Friday. Related Reading: Silk Road Bitcoins Are On The Move Again, Is The BTC Price Ready For Another Dump? The latest figures from SoSoValue show that these inflows pushed cumulative inflows to $990.91 million, close to the $1 billion mark. Assets under management have also continued to rise, now sitting well above the $1 billion threshold at $1.18 billion. To put this into perspective, Spot Ethereum ETFs ended last week with $19.41 million of outflows This pattern points to deliberate and sustained accumulation of XRP. Institutions appear comfortable building exposure to XRP gradually, taking advantage of its deep liquidity and regulated access through ETF structures. Bullish Social Sentiment Has Not Yet Translated To Price Another notable trend with XRP is that sentiment among retail participants has turned increasingly optimistic in the past few days. Data from market intelligence firm Santiment, which monitors discussions across platforms including X, Telegram, Reddit, and Discord, points to a noticeable increase in positive commentary surrounding the altcoin over the past week. Related Reading: Why This Market Analyst Is Warning Crypto Investors To Stop Buying XRP Santiment data shows that XRP has ranked among the most positively discussed assets of the year, much higher than Ethereum. This increase in positive sentiment has been characterized by traders expressing confidence as the price continues to hold above $2. Particularly, Santiment data shows that last week was the seventh most bullish sentiment week of 2025 for XRP. Retail Staying Optimistic Toward XRP. Source: Santiment Under normal conditions, this combination of strong inflows and improving sentiment would typically suggest a bullish setup. However, sentiment alone does not move markets, and XRP has been range-bound around $2. The most important thing is the difference between buying and selling pressure. The lack of bullish price action means that persistent sell-side activity from existing holders has been sufficient to absorb incoming demand, and this has kept XRP’s price constrained even as accumulation quietly builds. The same dynamic applies to ETF flows. Although Spot XRP ETFs have posted inflows for 19 consecutive days, the daily figures are relatively modest. Inflows would need to expand into the hundreds of millions of dollars on a consistent basis for these products to reflect in the XRP price. The strongest signal of improving sentiment right now is XRP’s ability to hold above $2 in the next few trading sessions, rather than any decisive breakout to the upside. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
The XRP price could be on the verge of a massive crash, as a crypto analyst has identified a key technical pattern in the cryptocurrency’s structure that signals a potentially severe downturn. According to the analyst, this formation has appeared only twice in XRP’s history, and each time has preceded a devastating loss. If the pattern were to repeat, the cryptocurrency could be headed for more pain. The analyst warns traders and investors to stop buying XRP at this time, citing heightened risk. Analyst Advices Against Buying XRP As Price Crash Looms An urgent warning from market analyst Steph is Crypto has spread across the community, as he advises traders and investors to “not touch XRP anymore.” The analyst shared a video of his XRP price forecast on a recent X post, revealing that the altcoin’s long-term indicators point to a troubling setup that could mirror downturns observed during past market cycles. Related Reading: Why Now Is The Perfect Opportunity To Short Bitcoin Down To $40,000 Steph Is Crypto shared that his study of the monthly Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for XRP has revealed a new bearish crossover taking shape, signaling declining momentum. The analyst stated that XRP had formed a bearish crossover on the chart only twice since its inception in 2012. Both times this pattern appeared, the cryptocurrency underwent one of the most dramatic price crashes ever, losing over half its value right after. He explained that during the first bearish crossover in 2019, XRP crashed by more than 84%. Similarly, a second crossover reemerged in 2022, triggering a deep price decline of about 67%. It’s worth highlighting that each time XRP formed this bearish signal, it was after a major bull market. In 2018, the cryptocurrency staged a historic rally that sent its price to its current all-time high above $3.84. Likewise, the steep correction in 2022 came on the heels of an explosive 2021 bull market, one of the most powerful in crypto’s history. Just as in the past, Steph Is Crypto sees a bearish crossover forming once again in the current cycle, suggesting that the conditions are aligning for another devastating price crash. He admitted that he wishes he had not spotted this formation on XRP’s chart, underscoring his usually bullish stance on the cryptocurrency. The analyst has cautioned traders to take this historical setup seriously and to consider the possibility that XRP could revisit significantly lower price ranges if the pattern plays out. XRP Price Momentum Remains Weak XRP remains in a downward trend, with its price barely holding above $2.00. The cryptocurrency has dropped by over 15% so far this month, declined about 2.2% over the past week, and has crashed approximately 16% year to date, according to CoinMarketCap. Related Reading: Here’s Why Strategy’s $1 Billion Bitcoin Purchase Did Not Trigger A Price Rally XRP’s price momentum is weak, with little indication of a near-term recovery. The cryptocurrency’s Fear and Greed Index has slipped to 42, edging closer to the “fear” zone. This market uncertainty is being driven by the cryptocurrency’s sluggish price action, despite having passed $3.00 earlier this year and nearly challenging its all-time high. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
The XRP price is currently more than 45% below its all-time high and continues to decline amid broader market uncertainty. Despite the slow price action and weak momentum, a crypto analyst has projected that XRP could explode to $50 soon, providing reasons for his ambitious forecast. He boldly stated that the cryptocurrency will not experience a gradual climb to $5 or $10 first, but will instead jump straight to $50. XRP To Hit $50 With A Ripple Bank Charter Crypto analyst Pumpius has outlined a compelling scenario that could dramatically transform XRP’s market outlook. The market expert claims that a single regulatory event could catapult XRP’s price to $50, representing more than a 2,300% increase from current levels around $2. In his thread post on X, he explained the reasons for his bold prediction and the trigger behind this parabolic surge . Related Reading: Here’s How High The Dogecoin Price Will Go Once The MACD Bullish Cross Happens Pumpius believes that XRP could skyrocket to $50 once Ripple secures a national trust bank charter from the United States Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC). According to him, approval of this banking license would give Ripple the same powers as major US banks, as well as direct access to the Federal Reserve (FED). The analyst noted that through the charter, Ripple could gain the authority to custody crypto and tokenized assets, issue stablecoins, and settle securities under complete regulatory oversight. He described the potential approval of the banking license as a foundational move that could establish Ripple as a leading force in US tokenized finance. Pumpius highlighted that XRP remains at the centre of the changes, positioned as the native bridge asset in this potential structure. He suggested that with a charter in place, banks, brokers, and funds could bypass intermediaries and interact directly with Ripple to move value into tokenized markets. According to the analyst’s predictions, the result of this shift could be a massive, sustained surge in liquidity and institutional demand for XRP, creating the ideal conditions for an unprecedented price rally. He explains that with $6.6 trillion moving through banks each day in global settlements, even a small fraction routed through XRP’s limited supply could drive its price higher toward $50. While the market expert’s forecast is ambitious, it hinges entirely on the OCC’s decision, which is not guaranteed and could be influenced by compliance standards, risk assessments, and broader financial policy considerations. Even with approval, actual integration by major institutions would likely take considerable time and depend on competition with existing settlement networks. Ripple Legal Victory Paves Way For $50 XRP Price In his post, Pumpius suggested that Ripple’s prolonged legal battle with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) was part of a broader strategy to secure regulatory clarity. He viewed the former lawsuit as a smokescreen intended to delay, filter, and prepare the path for a national trust bank charter under the OCC. With the case now resolved, the analyst indicates that the timing is perfect for Ripple to pursue full regulatory approval and integrate XRP into mainstream banking channels. Related Reading: Ethereum Founder Breaks Silence With Major Upgrade Proposal Pumpius boldly declared that the day the OCC approves Ripple’s banking license will mark a turning point for XRP, transforming it from a cryptocurrency to “the rails of US finance.” At that point, the analyst argues that a $50 price target would be significantly undervalued. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin and XRP have become central to a bold corporate shift in Japan, with AltPlus announcing that both digital assets will be formally incorporated into its long-term treasury strategy. The publicly listed company disclosed the move in its recent shareholder filing, outlining a multi-layered plan that positions cryptocurrencies as foundational components of its future financial and operational framework. Bitcoin And XRP Lead Treasury According to a post by “BankXRP” on X (formerly Twitter), AltPlus is expected to purchase and hold Bitcoin and XRP through a newly established cryptocurrency purchase and management division. The company frames this step as part of a long-horizon capital strategy supported by blockchain transparency, expanding global regulatory clarity, and the growing institutional acceptance of digital assets. In the filing, Bitcoin and XRP are highlighted for their scarcity, decentralization, predictability, and fast, low-cost transactional capabilities—attributes AltPlus expects will contribute to long-term value growth and broader financial-market utility. Related Reading: XRP Price Is Performing As Expected; Analyst Reveals What Comes Next Moreover, the treasury initiative is designed to strengthen the company’s financial base, diversify revenue streams, and establish a stable earnings engine through staking-based income. AltPlus presents the move as a structured method to enhance capital efficiency and reinforce corporate value over time. The company notes that holding both Bitcoin and XRP aligns its balance-sheet strategy with emerging global trends in digital-asset management and institutional-grade treasury practices. AltPlus also outlines its risk-management system to address crypto-market volatility, liquidity risks, cybersecurity threats, regulatory changes, and speculative trading patterns. The company plans to implement investment-scale limits, a controlled holding-ratio strategy, and a proprietary internal asset-management system to govern acquisition, custody, tracking, and treasury integration. These measures are designed to maintain governance discipline, ensure compliance, and safeguard digital-asset operations as part of the broader corporate structure. AltPlus’ Web3 And Digital-Asset Expansion Beyond treasury allocation, AltPlus frames Bitcoin and XRP as key elements in a broader transition into digital-asset operations and Web3-enabled business development. The filing situates this shift within a global context, noting that major financial institutions and listed companies worldwide are increasingly incorporating crypto assets into holding, settlement, and capital-management functions. Related Reading: Are Dogecoin Whales Leaving The Meme Coin? Large Transactions Crash To 2-Month Lows Building on this trend, AltPlus plans to integrate blockchain infrastructure into its Entertainment and Solutions business. This includes exploring Web3 functionality, token-based engagement models, and digital-asset utilities across its gaming and IP ecosystem. These initiatives are intended to unlock new business models, enhance operational flexibility, and develop internal expertise for a digital-native market environment. The company’s decision to include XRP directly in its treasury strategy is one of the standout elements of the announcement. AltPlus positions XRP as a long-term corporate asset alongside Bitcoin, marking a notable step forward for institutional crypto adoption in Japan. Through treasury transformation, staking-driven income generation, and Web3 ecosystem expansion, AltPlus is creating a strategic framework similar to the high-conviction treasury approach seen at MicroStrategy. At the same time, it is establishing a distinctly Japanese model focused on utility, diversification, and forward-looking corporate innovation. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
The XRP price has staged a strong rebound in recent days, rising from early-December weakness and climbing back above $2. The recovery comes just after crypto analyst CasiTrades published a detailed technical outlook on the social media platform X, where she outlined a scenario that anticipated both the initial decline and the current bounce. Now that XRP has begun moving upward towards $2.2, the focus is on what the next phase of this pattern could bring next. Subwave 3 Targets Hit As Structure Plays Out CasiTrades explained that XRP’s early-December drop was part of a subwave 2 setup that had been discussed during her previous livestream. When XRP fell to $2.03 in early December, it confirmed the transition into a subwave 3 extension, and the next projected target sat near $1.90. That level was important not only as a Fibonacci extension but also because it corresponded with Bitcoin reaching its macro 0.382 level around the $79,000 region. Related Reading: Are Dogecoin Whales Leaving The Meme Coin? Large Transactions Crash To 2-Month Lows The chart attached to her analysis illustrated this path clearly. A sequence of orange, pink, and black wave structures converged toward the same support region, all pointing toward $1.90 as the initial landing zone. As shown in the chart image below, there’s another green accumulation block between $1.80 and $1.64 as the deeper support level that could still come into play. XRP Chart Analysis. Source: @CasiTrades On X At the time of her analysis, selling pressure was already slowing down, and momentum indicators like the RSI were building a bullish divergence. Since then, XRP’s price action has turned bullish, and this supports the idea that a reaction was always likely to occur in the $1.90 zone. CasiTrades noted that once the price reached this level, she expected a bounce back toward $2.04 to retest resistance for a new Wave 4 formation. Over the past few days, XRP has done exactly that, rising from its lows and reclaiming momentum as buyers returned. Two Final Scenarios Still In Play For XRP According to CasiTrades, there are two possible outcomes for the XRP price against the backdrop of retesting $2.04. The first outcome is a double bottom forming around the $1.80 to $1.88 region, depending on the exchange. The chart she shared includes a mid-range support box that captures this possibility, with wave markings showing how price could rotate downward before a larger breakout. Related Reading: Here’s What To Expect If The XRP Price Holds $2 The second potential outcome is a deeper sweep to $1.64, which is based on the macro 0.618 support. This zone forms the lower boundary of the green accumulation block on her chart, representing the final area where a full Wave 2 or Wave C completion could occur before XRP attempts a larger impulsive breakout. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
The last two months have seen a major reset in the XRP open interest, coinciding with the widespread sell-offs that have rocked the market. Looking at past performances, historical data suggests that this open interest reset could be a major break for the altcoin. As prices begin to see some recovery, the reset could present the perfect opportunity for bulls to reclaim complete control of the XRP price and drive it toward higher levels. How Far Has The XRP Open Interest Crashed? To know the scale of this reset, it is important to look at the XRP open interest numbers over the last few months. Data from Coinglass shows that back in July, the XRP open interest hit a new all-time high of $10.9 billion as market participation surged to levels not seen before. Related Reading: When Will Bitcoin, Ethereum, And Dogecoin Go Into A Bear Market? Coincidentally, this rise to new all-time highs coincided with the XRP open interest coming out of another period of reset, eventually leading the XRP price to reach new seven-year peaks. However, it wasn’t long until the bears came knocking once again, and the open interest tumbled as the price fell. For perspective, the open interest is the total of all XRP futures or option contracts. Effectively, this is a reflection of participation and the number of bets that traders are making on the cryptocurrency. Thus, the higher the open interest, the higher the amount of money invested in XRP derivatives, and vice versa. Presently, the open interest is sitting at a low $3.75 billion, representing an over 65% crash from its $10.94 billion peak. But this crash could be the reset that the altcoin needs for another recovery, especially as liquidity begins to flow back into the market on account of the US Federal Reserve putting an end to quantitative tightening. Can The Price Surge To New All-Time Highs? Earlier in the year, when the XRP open interest had crashed from its January all-time highs, the reset ended up resulting in higher prices. Although the XRP price didn’t break its 2018 record, it came close in July. However, going by this trend, the altcoin could have a while longer to go before there is a surge. Related Reading: You Won’t Believe How Much Bitcoin Companies Now Hold, What % Of Supply Do They Control? Following the crash in January, the XRP open interest had remained low for the next five months, with the price showing muted performance alongside it. With only two months since its last peak, the XRP open interest could trend low for a while longer before breaking out. However, if the trend holds, then the resulting rally would push the price above $3 once again. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from TradingView.com
The XRP price has spent the past several days in a fragile position after falling from $2.20 and retesting $2, which has now become the most closely watched level on its price chart. The weekly candle has managed to close slightly green for the first time in more than a month, yet the rebound has not erased the weakness created by the recent sell-off. The latest technical analysis from Guy on the Earth focuses on this exact moment, noting that XRP’s entire structure now depends on whether this $2 zone can keep functioning as the pivot that stops further downside. Holding $2 As The Important Bull Support Guy on the Earth describes the $2 price level as the line separating resilience from a potentially long period of stagnation. His analysis shows XRP holding this level despite several weeks of bearish candles, a sign that sellers have not managed to gain full control even after the broader market’s pullback. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Crash Below $50,000? Analyst Reveals Why 2026 Will Be The ‘Best Year’ The weekly chart he shared displays a cluster of past support zones roughly aligned between $2 and $1.95, making this area the foundation of the current trend. According to the analyst, losing the $2 price level could leave XRP drifting for months or even years with little upside movement, aside from isolated opportunities when temporary lows form. For now, the fact that XRP ended the past week in the green, even slightly, keeps the structure intact. XRP’s reaction around $2 cannot be understood without watching Bitcoin. In his view, the best scenario for XRP is for Bitcoin to bounce back above $100,000, and a subsequent fall in BTC dominance. The chart’s declining RSI on the XRP weekly timeframe also hints at momentum changing, but its path will ultimately follow whatever direction Bitcoin chooses next. XRP Price Chart. Source: @guyontheearth On X Two Diverging Paths From Here Guy on the Earth outlines two possible outcomes as the market enters a critical phase. The first is a recovery from current levels that allows altcoins to outperform again, opening the door for XRP to revisit the mid-range zone around $2.60 before making any attempt at its previous highs. Related Reading: Dogecoin Just Suffered An 80% Crash In This Major Metric The second is a deeper market drop that drags XRP below the $2 price level. This move would flip its most important support into resistance and set up a prolonged stretch of declining price action. Nothing inspiring will happen below there except well-timed buys when the lows appear to be in. Both scenarios are realistic, and $2 is the dividing point that will determine which one unfolds. The analyst’s bias leans toward a move higher, but he warns that traders must be aware of the risks if Bitcoin does not stabilize soon. At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $2.02 after a 1.2% fall in the past 24 hours and is at risk of losing this $2 support level. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com