Bitcoin’s monthly record close sparks speculation around Strategy’s market moves, but interest rates may also be playing a role.
Institutional Bitcoin accumulation shows no signs of slowing as Strategy and Metaplanet purchased close to 6,000 BTC last week, continuing their aggressive acquisition strategies. According to their separate announcements on June 30, the two companies acquired 5,985 BTC, investing approximately $640 million in the process. Strategy moves closer to 600K BTC Strategy, the largest corporate […]
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Despite bitcoin reaching record highs, MSTR's stock price has stalled, indicating waning investor enthusiasm.
Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) has unveiled plans to raise $2.1 billion via sales of its Series A Perpetual Strife Preferred Stock (STRF). According to the May 22 statement, the stock will be issued under an at-the-market (ATM) program. This structure allows Strategy to sell shares gradually, based on favorable market conditions like trading volume and price. […]
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Company buys additional BTC via stock offerings, bringing total holdings to record levels.
Both bitcoin and the Nasdaq are above their levels just prior to President Trump's early April tariff announcements.
MSTY’s portfolio consists primarily of U.S. Treasury bills, cash, and short-term call options on MSTR, allowing it to synthetically replicate exposure without directly owning the stock.
Strategy disclosed $5.91 billion in unrealized bitcoin losses for Q1 as crypto markets wobbled on tariff-fueled global uncertainty.
Volume in both leveraged long and short ETFs has increased sharply.
The stock has rebounded approxiamately 30% from the Feb. 28 lows.
Bitcoin (BTC) has experienced one of its largest price pullbacks in recent times, plunging from $96,131 on February 24 to a potential local bottom of $85,418 today. The decline triggered liquidations exceeding $1.5 billion, with the majority coming from long positions. Is It Time To Buy Bitcoin? The recent price action suggests that the crypto market is reacting to bleak macroeconomic conditions, driven by US President Donald Trump’s proposed trade tariffs and a hawkish stance from the US Federal Reserve (Fed). The total crypto market cap has now fallen below $3 trillion for the first time since November 2024, signaling growing bearish sentiment around risk-on assets. Major altcoins like Ethereum (ETH) have fallen by more than 10% in the past week. Related Reading: As Bitcoin Sell Pressure Fades, Could A Local Bottom Be Forming? Analyst Explains However, despite yesterday’s downturn, overall sentiment toward the crypto market appears to be improving. In an X post, Andre Dragosch, European Head of Research at Bitwise, suggested that the worst may be over for BTC. Dragosch shared the following Cryptoasset Sentiment Index, which is flashing a strong contrarian buy signal for the flagship cryptocurrency. The analyst added: Wide-spread bearishness among flows, on-chain, and derivatives data implies that downside risks are fairly limited. Risk-reward appears to be quite favourable at these prices. To further illustrate the level of bearishness surrounding risk-on assets, Dragosch highlighted that US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) recorded their single largest daily net outflow on record yesterday. Data from SoSoValue supports this assessment. Additionally, the Crypto Fear & Greed Index remains in bearish territory. Dragosch noted that sentiment levels are “already as bearish as during the macro capitulation last August.” At that time, BTC made a local bottom at $49,000 before rallying to multiple new all-time highs (ATHs). On a more optimistic note, on-chain data indicates that crypto whales are capitalizing on market uncertainty. According to crypto analyst Ali Martinez, long-term holders have accumulated nearly 20,400 BTC following the recent sell-off. Strategy Falls With BTC Crash In line with BTC’s decline, Strategy stock MSTR has also suffered, plummeting 55% from its peak of $543 in November 2024. At the time of writing, MSTR trades at $249, down approximately 29% over the past month. Despite the overall bearish sentiment, recent analysis comparing BTC’s returns to other assets, such as gold and stocks, shows that while Bitcoin’s cumulative annual growth rate has slowed in recent years, it continues to outperform traditional asset classes significantly. Related Reading: Is Bitcoin Showing Early Signs Of Bullish Divergence? Analyst Explains However, not all analysts share Dragosch’s optimism. In stark contrast, Standard Chartered recently warned that BTC may face further downside before resuming its bullish trajectory. At press time, BTC trades at $87,086, down 1% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, Charts from X, Yahoo! Finance and TradingView.com
The premium given to the company’s massive bitcoin holdings will exist as long as investors believe it will continue to increase the amount of its bitcoin held per share.
Shares of Strategy (NASDAQ: MSTR) have dropped by over 55% from the November 24 high at $543 to around $250. With the software intelligence firm now holding approximately 499,096 Bitcoin—worth around $44 billion at current prices—market participants are wondering whether the company could ever face a forced liquidation of its massive Bitcoin treasury. On Tuesday, analysts from The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) took to X to provide a comprehensive thread analyzing this scenario. Here’s what they had to say: “The MicroStrategy liquidation: As MicroStrategy, MSTR, falls over -55%, many are asking about ‘forced liquidation.’ The company now holds $44 BILLION worth of Bitcoin, could they be forced to sell it? Is liquidation even possible?” Is A Forced Bitcoin Liquidation Possible? According to The Kobeissi Letter, MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin holdings total approximately 499,096 BTC, currently worth $43.7 billion. The firm’s average cost basis sits around $66,350 per Bitcoin. This naturally raises concerns about what happens if Bitcoin’s price were to drop significantly below MicroStrategy’s average entry point. “Let us begin by stating that this isn’t the first time liquidation is mentioned. MSTR has been buying Bitcoin for years and there have been MULTIPLE bear markets since then. This includes the 2022 bear market when Bitcoin fell from ~$70K to ~$15K. Is this time different?,” the analysts write. Related Reading: Market Signals Point To Caution: Bitcoin’s 3-Day Chart Shows Potential Sell Alert Critically, MicroStrategy’s operations rely on raising capital—often through convertible notes—to buy more Bitcoin. The Kobeissi Letter points out that MicroStrategy currently carries about $8.2 billion in total debt for its $43.4 billion Bitcoin holdings, representing a roughly 19% leverage ratio. Much of this debt is held in convertible notes maturing around 2028. “Just about the only way a ‘forced liquidation’ occurs if there is a ‘fundamental change’ at the company. This COULD require MSTR to liquidate Bitcoin holdings if an early redemption is called on the notes,” the experts from The Kobeissi Letter argue. A “fundamental change” could include corporate bankruptcy, or a vote by shareholders to dissolve the company—both scenarios that The Kobeissi Letter stresses are remote under the current structure. Michael Saylor, MicroStrategy’s Executive Chairman and prominent Bitcoin advocate, holds 46.8% of the company’s voting power, meaning he could effectively block decisions leading to liquidation. Related Reading: Bitcoin Crashes: Experts Warn Of 6-Month Slump To $73,000 Despite the steep share price decline, The Kobeissi Letter suggests that an outright forced liquidation is “highly unlikely.” The structure of the convertible notes and MicroStrategy’s ability to raise capital give the firm significant flexibility. Even so, if Bitcoin were to experience a protracted and severe price drop—well below its current levels—MicroStrategy might face challenges in servicing its debt and raising fresh capital: “However, what if these convertible bonds remain below the conversion price at maturity, beginning in 2027+? For this to happen, Bitcoin would need to fall well over 50% from current levels and remain there.” Michael Saylor has repeatedly brushed off the liquidation scenario. According to The Kobeissi Letter: “Michael Saylor was asked about liquidation recently. His answer was that even if Bitcoin fell to $1, they still would not get liquidated. They would ‘just buy all of the Bitcoin.’ While this sounds good in theory, the convertible note holders cannot be forgotten.” MicroStrategy’s business model—raising funds to buy Bitcoin, potentially driving the price higher, and then issuing new shares at a premium—depends on investor confidence. If shares continue to falter, or if Bitcoin dives well below MicroStrategy’s average entry price, the firm’s ability to attract capital could be severely tested: “We are now witnessing the first ‘bear market’ in MicroStrategy since it gained popularity in 2024. The question becomes: will investors continue to buy the dip here? Michael Saylor says ‘Bitcoin is on sale.’” However, with Saylor’s voting power and the long-dated convertible notes, a forced liquidation seems highly unlikely in the near term. At press time, BTC traded at $89,245. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Executive Chairman Michael Saylor Announces a Bitcoin Purchase of $742.4 million
Strategy's share sales from its at-the-market offering were just below 3% of the total cumulative trading volume.
A "near perfect" instrument is how Bitwise's Jeff Park described the new offering.
MicroStrategy has announced plans to raise additional funds to expand its Bitcoin holdings through a public offering of Strike Preferred Stock (STRK), according to a Jan. 27 statement. The company aims to issue 2.5 million shares of its Series A Perpetual Strike Preferred Stock, subject to regulatory approval and prevailing market conditions. The offering’s proceeds […]
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As Bitcoin (BTC) retests the $90,000 price level after tumbling almost 9% in the past week, institutional investors and corporations are seizing the pullback as an opportunity to increase their BTC reserves. Business intelligence firm MicroStrategy is one such entity, having purchased 2,530 BTC during the ongoing market downturn. MicroStrategy Buys The Bitcoin Dip Undeterred […]
The company now owns more than $192 million worth of BTC and touts a "Bitcoin yield" of more than 99%, it said.
Critics call it heedless; supporters say it’s brilliant. Either way, Michael Saylor continues doubling down on Bitcoin.
MicroStrategy Purchases More Bitcoin, Adding to Holdings for 9th Consecutive Week.
MicroStrategy Purchases More Bitcoin, Adding to Holdings for 9th Consecutive Week.
The record bullish skew in MSTR options has disappeared as the bitcoin tailwind driven by the Treasury asset narrative loses momentum.
The bitcoin-buying company outperformed many other crypto-linked traditional finance entities this year.
MicroStrategy continues its Bitcoin (BTC) buying spree. The business intelligence firm scooped 2,138 BTC for $209 million in its latest purchase, pushing its total holdings to 446,400 BTC. MicroStrategy Ends 2024 With Another Bitcoin Buy In an announcement made today, the US-based company stated it had further bolstered its BTC reserves with a fresh 2,138 […]
George Soros called it Reflexivity, but most know it as a virtuous circle, and MicroStrategy's at the moment has been broken.
According to data from MicroStrategy co-founder Michael Saylor, the company holds 444,262 Bitcoin, valued at roughly $41.4 billion.
The fund aims to offer exposure to MicroStrategy's convertible bonds, among others.
MicroStrategy slowed down Bitcoin buying last week, reporting the smallest BTC buy since July 2024.
According to MicroStrategy co-founder Michael Saylor, the company currently holds 439,000 Bitcoin, valued at approximately $27 billion.