The Bitcoin price volatility is once again drawing attention to MicroStrategy, the company whose strategy has become a major market reference point, with billions in accumulated BTC and a track record of aggressive buying during downturns. As traders search for stability in a shaky market, Strategy’s stance is being watched closely for what it might signal about the next phase of BTC’s trend. Why MicroStrategy’s Next Move Could Redirect Market Momentum Bitcoin’s recent volatility has put MicroStrategy (MSTR), the largest corporate holder of BTC, in the limelight. Walter Bloomberg has revealed on X that analysts are watching closely to see if the company could influence the cryptocurrency’s price if it sells some of its holdings. Related Reading: Will Strategy Liquidate Bitcoin Holdings? CEO Provides Concerning Clues According to JPMorgan, Strategy can avoid forced sales as long as its enterprise value-to-BTC holdings ratio stays above 1.0, which currently stands at 1.13 BTC. However, analysts continue to debunk these claims, accusing JPMorgan of spreading misinformation about market manipulation and the company. Walter stated that if the ratio remains above this level, BTC markets may stabilize and ease recent market pressure. Due to the market pressure, the firm has slowed its BTC purchases, adding 9,062 BTC last month compared to 134,480 BTC a year ago, reflecting a more cautious accumulation approach amid a broader crypto downturn. Its stock has dropped roughly 42% over the past three months. Additionally, challenges include the potential exclusion from MSCI indices, which could trigger $8.8 billion in passive fund outflows if index funds are forced to divest. However, MicroStrategy holds a $1.4 billion reserve for dividends and interest, helping it avoid selling its BTC even if the price falls further. In the meantime, there is no proof that MicroStrategy is in danger of liquidation. How Institutional Behavior Builds A Higher Floor For Bitcoin In a market speculation, Bitcoin is currently experiencing one of the most significant capital migrations in its history, fueled by institutional adoption. Analyst Matthew noted that the current BTC market cycle from 2022 to 2025 has already absorbed an unprecedented amount of new capital, surpassing all previous BTC cycles. This growth is a reflection of the market’s maturity and the ecosystem’s innovative approach to liquidity through regulated instruments. Furthermore, the network has incorporated more than $732 billion in fresh capital in the current cycle, surpassing the $388 billion that was injected during the 2018 to 2022 cycle. At that time, the surge helped push BTC market capitalization to an all-time high record of $1.1 trillion, a metric that indicates a much higher aggregate cost base for new institutional investors. Related Reading: Why Bitcoin Traders Fear A Repeat Of July 2024’s Crash Next Week Meanwhile, the total settlement volume in the decentralized BTC protocol was approximately $6.9 trillion in just 90 days. Despite this, the number of active on-chain entities dropped from 240,000 to 170,000 per day, which is a reflection of liquidity migration of capital flows into spot ETFs. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
CryptoQuant’s latest report shows the company preparing for weaker conditions with smaller buys and a growing USD buffer, yet traders continue to price in a playbook built on reflexive accumulation.
Trading volume in Strategy shares surged to 42.9 million, the most since last December, as the price fell 3.25%.
Strategy, formerly known as MicroStrategy, the largest public holder of Bitcoin (BTC), finds itself at the center of a stormy controversy involving JPMorgan as Bitcoin prices continue to struggle. With signs of a potential bear market emerging, fresh rumors suggest that one of the world’s largest banks allegedly holds a significant short position on Strategy’s stock (MSTR), which has plunged 69% from its record high of $543 per share last year. Strategy Faces Potential MSCI Exclusion The turmoil escalated last week when JPMorgan issued a warning that Strategy might soon be removed from major equity indices, specifically the MSCI USA Index. JPMorgan’s analysts noted that the issues facing Strategy extend beyond the recent downturn in cryptocurrency prices, which have seen Bitcoin fall more than 30% from its all-time highs. As of this writing, Bitcoin is trading around $86,000, while the broader crypto market has experienced a staggering $1 trillion decline in total market capitalization over the past month. Related Reading: Why XRP Price Crash Below $2 Is Not A Problem – $20 Is Still The Target JPMorgan’s analysts indicated that MSCI is considering whether companies with over 50% of their total assets in digital currencies should qualify for inclusion in traditional equity indices. Given that Strategy’s balance sheet is heavily weighted with Bitcoin, it is at significant risk of exclusion. The analysts stated that “MicroStrategy [is] at risk of exclusion from major equity indices as the January 15th MSCI decision approaches.” They speculated that removal from the MSCI could trigger approximately $2.8 billion in outflows, and if other index providers follow MSCI’s lead, the total could reach as high as $8.8 billion. The situation is complicated by market dynamics, particularly the timing of JPMorgan’s bearish note, which coincided with Bitcoin’s weakness and MSTR’s decline, all while liquidity was thin and overall sentiment fragile. JPMorgan Faces Account Closures Surge According to analysts at the Bull Theory, JPMorgan has been noted for timing its market reports—bearing down when prices are already weak and striking a more bullish tone near market peaks. The analysts have highlighted that share lending for MSTR has reportedly increased, allowing brokers to lend shares to short sellers, which can exacerbate downward pressure on the stock price. Additionally, there are escalating reports of widespread account closures at JPMorgan, with thousands claiming to have exited due to perceived manipulation of both MSTR and Bitcoin. Related Reading: A Quiet Move In Bitcoin Options Is Starting To Raise Big Questions Amid these developments, the fear of a potential short squeeze is growing. The analysts believe that if Strategy’s stock were to rally around 40% to 50%, it could trigger a short squeeze in the bank’s position and spell major financial troubles. In response, Michael Saylor, the CEO of Strategy, has sought to clarify the company’s identity, emphasizing that it is not just a passive Bitcoin holder. He pointed out that Strategy operates as a software business with an active financial strategy, countering the narrative circulating around MSCI’s concerns. As the situation unfolds, several key points emerge. The October 10th crash appeared to align with the MSCI announcement, coinciding with an already fragile market state. JP Morgan’s strategic timing of its bearish insights has amplified existing fears, creating further uncertainty as MSCI’s final decision looms. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
For a while, owning Bitcoin was professionally awkward. Big asset managers couldn’t touch it, compliance teams didn’t know what to do with it, and internal mandates typically banned the direct custody of anything that looked like a bearer instrument. But equities? Equities were fine. That’s how MicroStrategy, a Virginia-based enterprise software firm, became the most […]
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Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) is currently navigating the most complex regime in its four-year history as a corporate Bitcoin treasury. The company, which transformed itself from a steady enterprise software provider into the world’s largest corporate holder of BTC, is facing a convergence of headwinds that threaten the structural mechanics of its valuation. For years, the […]
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CryptoQuant founder and CEO Ki Young Ju pushed back on a renewed wave of forced Bitcoin liquidation and bankruptcy chatter around Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy, MSTR), arguing that the bearish thesis misreads the company’s capital structure and shareholder incentives. In a Nov. 20, 2025 post on X, Ju wrote, “MSTR only goes bankrupt if an asteroid hits Earth,” adding that critics should “bring a single piece of evidence” before claiming Michael Saylor would be liquidated. The comments came as Bitcoin and high-beta crypto proxies retraced into late November, reviving legacy narratives that Strategy’s debt stack could compel BTC sales. Why Strategy Will Never Sell Bitcoin Ju’s central claim is that Strategy is not structurally set up like a margin trader. Addressing the most common fear—that convertible notes “missing” their conversion price forces liquidation—he stated: “Convertible debt not reaching the conversion price is not liquidation. It simply means the notes get repaid in cash […] Failing to convert is not a bankruptcy trigger. It is just normal debt maturity.” Related Reading: Is The Bitcoin Bottom In? Fidelity Research Lead Weighs The Odds In his view, the repayment pathways are conventional corporate finance tools: refinancing, rolling into new notes, secured borrowing, or operating cash flow. That framing aligns with how convertibles function in practice; if equity is below strike at maturity, the embedded option expires and the instrument reverts to straight debt rather than a forced-sale event. He also grounded his argument in governance and identity. “Saylor would never sell Bitcoin unless shareholders want it,” Ju wrote, warning that “selling even a single BTC would destroy MSTR’s identity as a Bitcoin treasury company and trigger a death spiral for both Bitcoin and MSTR.” Strategy has repeatedly defined itself as a BTC-treasury vehicle, and its shareholder base largely bought into that mandate, making voluntary divestment politically and strategically improbable absent a radical shift in investor preference. Balance-sheet data underpins Ju’s confidence. Strategy reported 640,808 BTC as of Oct. 30, 2025, acquired for about $47.44 billion; subsequent filings cited major November additions taking holdings to roughly 649,870 BTC. Even after accounting for the growing convertible and preferred layers, the BTC treasury remains the dominant asset, meaning solvency stress would require an extreme, prolonged Bitcoin collapse rather than a cyclical drawdown. Related Reading: Why Bitwise Thinks Bitcoin Still Hits $200,000 In 2026 Ju did not claim the equity is risk-free. “This does not mean MSTR’s stock price will always stay high,” he wrote, but called the idea that Strategy would sell BTC to support the stock or face imminent bankruptcy “completely absurd.” He added that even at a price of $10,000 per coin, Strategy would face “a debt restructuring, nothing more.” On preferred shares, he acknowledged dividend obligations, noting payments have not been missed and can be covered via new share issuance—dilutive, but not a liquidation vector. Posting BTC as collateral, he said, would be a last resort because that would introduce real margin risk. In short, Ju’s rebuttal draws a hard line between volatility and insolvency: Strategy may trade like leveraged Bitcoin, but its liabilities do not mechanically force BTC sales. The “Saylor liquidation” narrative, he argues, is a Twitter myth unless the world ends—by asteroid. At press time, BTC traded at $82,050. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Michael Saylor’s Strategy, formerly known as MicroStrategy, has found itself significantly exposed to the ongoing downturn in the cryptocurrency market, which has seen more than $1 trillion in total market capitalization wiped out over the past month. As the largest public holder of Bitcoin, with over 650,000 coins, the company is now facing the real threat of being removed from major benchmark indices, which have been crucial for its visibility in mainstream portfolios. Analysts Predict Major Impact On Strategy According to a recent Bloomberg report, analysts at JPMorgan Chase have issued a warning that Saylor’s firm may lose its standing in key indices such as MSCI USA and the Nasdaq 100. Related Reading: CEO Cuts Cardano Founder’s Bitcoin Price Forecast, Warns Bear Market Just Starting The analysts assert that this could result in passive outflows estimated between $2.8 billion and $8.8 billion if MSCI proceeds with a decision expected by January 15. Passive funds connected to the company currently account for nearly $9 billion in market exposure, making any index exclusion a substantial blow. Strategy’s business model has relied on a cyclical strategy of selling stock to buy Bitcoin, capitalizing on price rallies, and repeating this process. At its zenith, Saylor’s company’s market capitalization far exceeded the value of its Bitcoin holdings. However, that premium has evaporated, and the company’s valuation now aligns closely with its crypto reserves—a stark indication that investor confidence is fading rapidly. “While active managers are not bound to adhere to index changes, exclusion from major indices would undoubtedly be viewed negatively by market participants,” noted JPMorgan analysts, led by Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou. Such a shift could affect liquidity, increase funding costs, and diminish overall investor appeal. MSCI Contemplates New Index Inclusion Rules In its ongoing consultations with stakeholders, MSCI indicated that some market players believe digital asset treasury firms (DATs) may function more like investment funds, which are ineligible for index inclusion. In accordance with these perspectives, MSCI has proposed excluding companies whose holdings in digital assets constitute 50% or more of their total assets from its global investment market indexes. Related Reading: BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF Bleeds Over $500 Million In Its Biggest One-Day Outflow Since peaking last November, Saylor’s firm has seen its shares (MSTR) decline by over 60%, causing a collapse in the premium that once attracted momentum and crypto-focused investors. Despite this slump, Saylor’s company remains up over 1,300% since he first began purchasing Bitcoin in August 2020, outperforming major equity indices throughout this period. The selloff has extended its reach into the company’s newer funding structures, as well. The prices of its perpetual preferred shares—an essential part of Saylor’s recent strategies—have seen sharp declines. Additionally, yields on securities issued in March have risen to 11.5%, up from a previous 10.5%. A recent euro-denominated preferred stock offering has already dropped below its discounted offering price in under two weeks. Michael Youngworth, head of global convertible bond strategy at Bank of America Global Research, remarked, “That premium has collapsed in recent weeks,” adding that the present situation makes capital raising increasingly challenging. Feature image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
TD Cowen analysts said potential catalysts like possible S&P 500 inclusion and clearer U.S. bitcoin rules could help steady investor demand.
Michael Saylor is explicitly telling markets that Strategy (MSTR) has been built to withstand a Bitcoin crash that would wipe out almost every other leveraged player in the ecosystem. In an interview with Grant Cardone streamed live on November 14 , the Strategy executive chairman drew a clear theoretical stress line for the company’s balance sheet and stated that even a catastrophic move lower in BTC would not force him to liquidate the core position. Strategy Can Eat A 90% Bitcoin Collapse Asked how far Bitcoin would have to fall before MicroStrategy faces real danger, Saylor answered with balance-sheet math rather than rhetoric. He pointed to roughly eight billion dollars of debt and tens of billions in equity value tied to Bitcoin, and then set the threshold: Bitcoin, he said, “would have to fall 90% from here for us to be sort of collateralized, to be one-on-one.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Indicator Sounds Buy Alarm For The First Time Since March — Return To $110K Soon? Even at that point, his first response would not be to sell BTC into a collapsing market. Instead, he described equity holders as the primary buffer. “We probably would dilute the equity, and so it would be bad for the equity,” he told Cardone, before stating the hierarchy even more bluntly: “The equity is going to be a loser.” By contrast, he framed liquidation as essentially off the table in any realistic bear market scenario. When Cardone pressed him on whether Strategy could be forced to unwind its Bitcoin position, Saylor answered flatly: “We’re not going to liquidate.” The bond side only enters the conversation in an almost total-loss scenario. “If Bitcoin fell to zero tomorrow forever, then the bonds would default,” Saylor said. He then compressed the entire risk profile into a single line: “If you think Bitcoin is going to go to $10,000, I think we’re good. If you think Bitcoin’s going to a dollar tomorrow forever, then yeah, the bonds would default.” Related Reading: How Low Can Bitcoin Price Go? JPMorgan Points To A Key Threshold That framing makes the structure very clear. Equity is a highly levered, high-beta claim on Bitcoin that can be diluted if necessary. Bondholders and holders of MicroStrategy’s various credit-like instruments only face real danger if Bitcoin essentially dies as an asset class. The 4-Year Cycle Is Dead Saylor also used the interview to distance himself from one of the core narratives many Bitcoin traders still live by: the four-year halving cycle. His view is that the mechanical supply cut may have helped shape earlier phases of Bitcoin’s monetization, but it is no longer the dominant driver of price in a market now intertwined with global macro and institutional flows. “I don’t believe in four-year cycles anyway,” Saylor said. “I never believed in the— I think that they might have had some credence in the first 12 years.” He then shifted straight to scale and order of magnitude. After [the last] halving, the reduction in new supply is on the order of a couple hundred BTC a day. In his translation, “225 Bitcoin a day get taken out of the supply after the next halving, that’s twenty million dollars or twenty-two million dollars of buying.” Against a spot and derivatives complex that can see tens or even hundreds of billions of dollars in notional volume in a single session, that number, he argued, is marginal. “Trust me, twenty million dollars of buying… is not even a third-order issue at this point,” he said. What matters now? “The dynamics in the market are much more that Jerome Powell thinks he wants to hold interest rates higher for longer. It’s macroeconomics. It’s political. It’s structural. When IBIT’s derivatives market went from $10 billion to $50 billion, it did that in four weeks. […] It’s the actions of the mega finance actors that are determining the future of Bitcoin right now, Saylor said. At press time, Bitcoin traded at $95,624. Featured image from YouTube, chart from TradingView.com
Dorman says fears that Strategy will be forced to sell bitcoin are misplaced, citing the firm’s balance sheet, governance and cash flow.
Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) has earned a reputation for making its weekly Bitcoin acquisitions near the local top in recent weeks. On Nov. 10, CryptoQuant analyst JA Marturn noted that the firm’s most recent acquisition disclosure from Michael Saylor followed the same script. According to an SEC filing, Strategy announced that it had acquired 487 BTC […]
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After years of relentless buying, Strategy Inc., the digital-asset treasury firm led by Michael Saylor, has quietly eased its pace of Bitcoin accumulation. In recent weeks, company filings have shown that its BTC purchases have fallen to only a few hundred coins, representing a sharp slowdown for the largest corporate holder of the flagship cryptocurrency. […]
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A quiet but historic moment has unfolded, which may reshape how traditional markets value digital assets like Bitcoin. For the first time, a major global rating agency has evaluated a company whose borrowing model is directly tied to BTC. On Oct. 27, S&P Global Ratings assigned Strategy Inc. (MSTR) a “B-” rating with a Stable […]
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Strategy Inc., the company led by Michael Saylor that rebranded from MicroStrategy, was hit with a junk credit grade on Monday as S&P Global Ratings flagged its heavy concentration in Bitcoin and weak dollar liquidity. Related Reading: Bitcoin Buzz: Michael Saylor Drops ‘Orange Dot Day’ Hint According to S&P, the firm’s balance sheet is tied closely to the price of Bitcoin and carries risks that traditional ratings models find hard to treat as stable collateral. Bitcoin Holdings Drive The Score Based on reports, Strategy’s Bitcoin stack is enormous — about 640,808 BTC on its books — worth roughly $73 billion to $74 billion at recent prices. S&P said that while the company owns a large digital-asset hoard, the volatility of that asset and the company’s limited cash flow make it risky under S&P’s credit rules. S&P assigned a B- issuer credit rating and kept the outlook stable. That B- places the company squarely in non-investment-grade territory, signaling a higher chance of stress if markets turn against it. S&P Global Ratings has assigned Strategy Inc a ‘B-‘ Issuer Credit Rating (Outlook Stable) — the first-ever rating of a Bitcoin Treasury Company by a major credit rating agency. https://t.co/WLMkFqkkCb — Michael Saylor (@saylor) October 27, 2025 Currency Mismatch And Debt Pressure Reports have disclosed that S&P was particularly concerned about a mismatch: most obligations are owed in US dollars, but most of the company’s value sits in Bitcoin. This gap can force the sale of Bitcoin to meet dollar payments if prices slide. Analysts and commentators pointed to sizable convertible securities and preferred-stock commitments that add cash demands on the company. According to filings and market write-ups, the firm faces billions of dollars in convertible and preferred obligations spread over coming years. Saylor and Strategy have made repeat purchases of Bitcoin as part of their stated plan. Those buys have created big unrealized gains on paper, but S&P’s methodology largely treats the token differently from traditional equity when measuring risk-adjusted capital. Liquidity, Access To Markets S&P noted that, for now, Strategy still has access to capital markets, which is why its outlook is stable rather than immediately negative. But the rating agency warned that a sharp drop in Bitcoin’s price or any sudden tightening of funding channels could trigger a further downgrade. Related Reading: $10K Is Coming: Arthur Hayes’ Zcash ‘Vibe Check’ Sparks 30% Moonshot Market participants will watch funding costs, preferred dividend payments and convertible notes for signs of stress. Investors reacted with mixed signals in early trading. Some buyers treated the downgrade as a formal recognition of a known risk, while others judged the move as a calibration that won’t stop Saylor’s accumulation strategy if markets stay calm. Trading volume and price swings in both Strategy shares and Bitcoin may rise as traders reassess odds. Featured image from Gemini, chart from TradingView
Robinhood’s listing of Strategy’s preferred stocks could fund more bitcoin buys without tapping new MSTR stock issuance, a move that may boost BTC demand.
Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) expanded its Bitcoin holdings by purchasing of 196 BTC for $22.1 million at an average price of $113,048 per coin, according to a filing with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) dated Sept. 29. According to the firm’s dashboard, this acquisition marks its third-smallest buy this year, following its 130 BTC […]
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MicroStrategy expanded its bitcoin holdings with a $217 million purchase, amid recent investor pushback as the stock slides and its valuation relative to bitcoin weakens.
Despite record bitcoin treasury holdings, the sharp drop in average purchase size shows weakening institutional appetite, even as Taiwan's Sora Ventures prepares a $1 billion BTC Treasury fund.
Michael Saylor’s Strategy missed out on inclusion in the S&P 500 this Friday, sending MSTR tumbling almost 3% despite meeting every published criterion. Unexpectedly, commission-free trading app Robinhood was included, sending its stock soaring by 7%, and exposing how discretionary and secretive the selection process really is. The SPX is run by a ‘secret committee’ […]
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Robinhood was unexpectedly added to the S&P 500, boosting its stock by 7% after the market closed.
Crypto money managers warned that without a billion-dollar balance sheet or a clear framework for risk, most Bitcoin treasuries will struggle to stand out.
Strategy, the largest Bitcoin (BTC) treasury company formerly known as MicroStrategy, has reinforced its vision to accumulate Bitcoin by acquiring nearly $450 million worth of the market’s leading cryptocurrency. This move comes as the firm’s co-founder, Michael Saylor, remains optimistic about the digital asset’s long-term potential, even in the face of recent price corrections that have seen Bitcoin dip over 10% below its all-time highs. Strategy Continues Bitcoin Buying Spree In a recent update shared on X (formerly Twitter), Saylor revealed that Strategy acquired 6,048 Bitcoin for a total price of $449.3 million between August 26 and September 1, 2025. This latest purchase adds to the firm’s substantial holdings, which now total 636,505 BTC, acquired at an average cost of approximately $73,765 per Bitcoin, amounting to an investment of around $46.95 billion. Related Reading: Dogecoin Bull Run Could Start On September 13, Analyst Predicts Saylor also highlighted that Strategy has achieved a Bitcoin yield of 25.7% year-to-date (YTD). Additionally, the firm provided updates on its at-the-market offering programs, which included the sale of various preferred shares and common stock, generating significant net proceeds. This includes 199,509 shares of 8.00% Series A Perpetual Strike preferred stock for $19 million, 237,931 shares of 10.00% Series A Perpetual Strife preferred stock for $26.5 million, and 1,237,000 shares of MSTR for $425.3 million. The aggressive investment strategy employed by Saylor’s firm has inspired other public companies to explore similar avenues. Strategy has been a trailblazer in this space, being one of the first publicly traded companies to adopt Bitcoin as a primary treasury asset. This growing trend is bolstered by favorable regulations and initiatives stemming from President Donald Trump’s administration, which have facilitated broader adoption of these assets, including altcoins like Ethereum (ETH), Binance Coin (BNB) and XRP. Metaplanet Becomes Seventh-Largest BTC Holder A notable example of this investment shift by public companies is Metaplanet, often referred to as “Japan’s MicroStrategy.” The company has approved a plan to sell up to 550 million new shares overseas, aiming to raise approximately 130.3 billion yen ($884.41 million) to finance additional Bitcoin purchases. Once a hotel operator, Metaplanet has pivoted to focus on cryptocurrencies, inspired by Saylor’s approach. Founder and CEO Simon Gerovich liquidated most of the company’s hotel assets, which had been struggling due to the COVID-19 pandemic, redirecting those funds into Bitcoin starting in April 2024. Related Reading: Is XRP A Meme Coin? Analyst Reveals How Whales Are Playing The Game Metaplanet’s strategy has proven effective, as it has become the seventh-largest holder of Bitcoin among public treasuries globally, according to BitcoinTreasuries.net data. The company recently announced on Monday the addition of 1,009 BTC to its total, bringing its holdings to 20,000. Its stock, MTPLF, has experienced a surge of about 740% YTD, currently valued at $5.82 per share. Strategy’s stock, under the ticker symbol MSTR, is trading at $343 as of this writing, up 2.5% from Monday’s price. Meanwhile, Bitcoin trades at $111,630, up 2% in the last 24 hours. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
Strategy (previously MicroStrategy), the software firm co-founded by Bitcoin (BTC) bull Michael Saylor has seen its stock, MSTR, take a considerable hit plummeting by nearly 20% since last month, in line with the broader market correction. This downward trend is expected to persist, according to Gus Galá, an analyst at Monness, Crespi, Hardt, who recently reiterated a Sell rating on the stock with a price target set at $175. Analyst Cautions Against Long Positions In Strategy On Thursday, shares of Strategy fell an additional 2.4%, closing at $336.48. The company has attracted considerable attention for becoming the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin, with its Bitcoin treasury surpassing the 600,000 figure. Related Reading: Analyst Sounds The Alarm—Bitcoin Could Slide Toward $88K Despite the recent selloff, Strategy’s stock has seen major growth, climbing over 140% in the past year, primarily due to Bitcoin reaching new highs beyond $120,000. However, Galá warns that the volatility associated with Bitcoin poses significant risks. He argues that companies with large Bitcoin treasuries are indicative of a later stage in the Bitcoin market cycle. For Strategy’s stock to defy this trend, Bitcoin would need to break free from its historical pattern of boom-and-bust cycles and sustain a prolonged bull run. Historically, there have been times when Strategy’s market capitalization exceeded its actual Bitcoin holdings by more than double. Currently, with a market cap-to-Bitcoin ratio of 1.34-to-1, Galá suggests that while investors shouldn’t increase short positions, they should also refrain from taking long positions. He believes that the market cap multiple is likely to decline, driven in part by skepticism in the credit markets regarding the debt Strategy has issued to finance its Bitcoin acquisitions. Crypto Stocks Suffer Setbacks Galá also expressed doubt that credit rating agencies will be inclined to assign investment-grade ratings to Strategy’s treasury strategy, especially in the near term. This skepticism stems from the fact that the company’s profits are largely unrealized gains from its Bitcoin holdings. Securing an investment-grade rating could potentially allow Strategy to issue and repay its debt under more favorable terms, but this would require Bitcoin to be perceived as a more stable digital asset, akin to gold. Related Reading: XRP On-Chain Activity Explodes By 500%, What’s Going On? After reaching a new record price just above $124,000, the market’s leading cryptocurrency has seen its valuation drop 9% from all-time high levels currently attempting to consolidate between $112,000 and $113,000. Beyond Strategy, crypto stocks have also seen their valuations drop. On Thursday, shares of USDC issuer Circle (CRLC) dropped 4% after the initial excitement following the firm’s initial public offering (IPO). US-based cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase (COIN) saw its shares drop toward the key $300 support, meaning a 2.5% decline compared to Wednesday’s trading session. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
The company's new update lowering the bar for new stock issuance caused concerns among investors.
In a groundbreaking move, BTCS has unveiled plans to distribute the world’s first blockchain dividend to its investors and pay out shareholders with Ethereum. By delivering shareholder rewards directly on-chain, the company is signaling a future where blockchain-native payouts could become the norm across the global financial sector. The Long-Term Signal For Institutional Crypto Adoption Nasdaq-listed BTCS Inc. has announced a landmark move in traditional finance and crypto integration to become the first publicly traded company in the world to issue dividends in Ethereum. According to the announcement on X, the company revealed that it will pay shareholders a one-time blockchain dividend or “Bividend” of $0.05 per share in ETH, breaking away from the traditional cash dividend model and signaling its deep commitment to blockchain adoption. Related Reading: Bitmine And Donald Trump Spent The Weekend Stacking Ethereum, Here’s How Much They Got BTCS is going further to reward loyalty and empower long-term holders, offering a one-time $0.35 per share ETH loyalty payment. Eligible shareholders who transfer their shares to book-entry form with the company’s transfer agent and hold them through January 26, 2026, will unlock this additional benefit. Combined, the bividend and loyalty shareholders could receive $0.40 per share in ETH, which is significantly designed as a reward and structural defense against short-selling. “These payments are designed to reward our long-term shareholders and empower them to take control of their investment by reducing the ability of their shares to be lent to predatory short-sellers,” BTCS stated. BTCS Inc. is excited to make history in the financial landscape with this key strategic move. The company frames this move as more than just a dividend, but also a statement of trust, loyalty, and shared vision for BTCS’s future. Bitmine Ethereum Hoard Signals Long-Term Institutional Confidence While BTCS Inc. is becoming the first publicly traded company in the world to issue a dividend in ETH, Bitmine Immersion Technologies (BMNR), a leading treasury company, has cemented its place in history to become the largest ETH treasury holder in the world and the second-largest crypto treasury globally. Related Reading: SharpLink Poised To Dominate Ethereum Treasury Holdings At Record Pace — Here’s How Marty Chargin, a market expert on the social media platform X (formerly Twitter), highlighted that the treasury company disclosed that its crypto holdings now exceed $6.612 billion, led by a staggering 1,523,373 ETH, which is valued at $4,326 ETH each. According to Bloomberg data, BMNR also holds 192 Bitcoin in addition to its ETH stack, signaling a diversified strategy. The firm’s crypto strategy is substantial, with ETH being the company’s core bet. This positions BMNR Bitmine directly behind Michael Saylor’s Strategy (MSTR), which holds an industry-defining 628,946 BTC valued at $74 billion. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
Michael Saylor revealed on Aug. 18 that Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) has revised its stock issuance policy amid the financial instrument’s current downward trend. The company had previously limited stock sales below 2.5x market-to-net asset value (mNAV) strictly to cover debt interest or preferred share dividends. Under the new rules, the firm can now issue stock […]
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The ETF, which bets against MSTR, has seen a net inflow of $16.3 million in the past six months, while its bullish counterpart has experienced significant outflows.
The Defiance daily target 2x short MSTR ETF fell to a record low for the fourth consecutive day.
Bitcoin’s monthly record close sparks speculation around Strategy’s market moves, but interest rates may also be playing a role.