The White House is tightening the screws on Jerome Powell, the chairman of the Federal Reserve.
A single-word reply on X from Rep. Anna Paulina Luna (R‑FL) — “Confirmed” — rocketed through the crypto markets early Wednesday, convincing a growing chorus of traders that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s tenure is measured in days, not months. Within minutes of Luna’s affirmation that “Jerome Powell is going to be fired. Firing is imminent,” prediction‑market odds of his ouster on Polymarket leapt to 26 percent, the highest reading this year, up from 16 percent only 24 hours earlier. A White‑House‑backed search is already under way. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, in an on‑record Bloomberg interview, acknowledged “a formal process that’s already starting” to identify Powell’s successor, adding that “there are a lot of good candidates inside and outside the Federal Reserve.” Related Reading: ‘Crypto Week’ Takes A Hit: US House Fails To Advance Key Acts President Donald Trump underscored the point during an impromptu press gaggle, repeating last week’s warning that “the renovations at the central bank were a fireable offense.” Those renovations — an over‑budget, $2.5 billion overhaul of the Fed’s historic Eccles Building — have become the legal pretext for dismissal, with Trump allies alleging “inefficiency” and “neglect of duty,” two of the three causes for removal spelled out in the Federal Reserve Act. Powell has asked the Fed’s inspector general to reopen its review of the project. Notably, Bill Pulte, the Federal Housing Finance Agency head and a longtime Powell critic, confirmed the rumors to his followers on X: “I heard from a very credible, bipartisan source, today, that Jerome Powell is considering resigning. This maps with both reports and also the talk in DC.” Crypto Markets Sense A Massive Bull Run The Bitcoin and crypto prices haven’t shown any reaction to the rumor yet. After piercing $123,000 on Monday, BTC is still 4.5 percent below the record high. The entire crypto market seems to be in a wait-and-see position. However, long-term, the implication could be profound for the crypto markets. “I cannot think of a more bullish catalyst for Bitcoin in the past five years than the complete and utter humiliation of Jerome Powell,” wrote macro commentator Julian Figueroa, pointing to what he called the “façade” of central‑bank independence collapsing in real time. Related Reading: Happy Ending: Crypto Hacker Returns Funds From $42 Million GMX Exploit Long‑time trader Byzantine General echoed the ambivalence: “Powell was actually a great Fed chair. But… if he resigns then it’s very likely that whoever comes next will lower rates, which is bullish for our cryptographic currencies.” Should President Trump succeed in replacing Powell with a more accommodating successor—one prepared to deliver the “three‑percentage‑point” rate cut he has publicly demanded—the Federal Reserve would likely be forced to shelve its balance‑sheet runoff precisely as Washington ramps up fresh fiscal stimulus. That synchronous pivot away from quantitative tightening would flip the liquidity regime from drain to deluge, recreating the macro backdrop that powered the crypto market’s 2020‑21 vertical ascent and positioning it for the next major bull run. At press time, the total crypto market cap stood at $3.68 trillion. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Significant legal challenges would arise from an attempt to remove Fed chair Jerome Powell, but Polymarket bettors are warming to the idea – even if it's still a longshot.
The federal agencies that oversee the U.S. banking system put out some guidance on properly keeping customers' crypto assets.
U.S. federal banking agencies released a joint statement setting out how existing rules apply to banks holding crypto on customers' behalf.
The White House's campaign for new Federal Reserve leadership amped higher over the weekend.
The following article is adapted from The Block’s newsletter, The Daily, which comes out on weekday afternoons.
Jerome Powell’s cautious rate policy sparks fierce criticism and succession talks, putting his Fed Chair tenure under unprecedented scrutiny.
The liquidity engine that has supported risk assets, including Bitcoin, since the beginning of 2025 is now shifting into reverse. According to macro analyst Tomas (@TomasOnMarkets), the six-month upswing in Federal Reserve liquidity has ended, and a potentially destabilizing wave of debt issuance by the US Treasury is about to begin. In a post published on X late Sunday, Tomas warned: “ Federal Reserve Liquidity set to fall… The Fed liquidity upswing that began on January 1 2025 is now over.” Bitcoin Enters Danger Zone The catalyst behind this reversal is the recent $5 trillion debt ceiling increase passed by Congress last week. That legislative decision gives the Treasury Department the green light to aggressively rebuild its cash balance at the Federal Reserve—known as the Treasury General Account (TGA)—which had been intentionally drained to inject liquidity into the system during the first half of the year. “The US Government had previously been draining the Treasury General Account (liquidity injection). But a new debt ceiling agreement was reached last week ($5 trillion raise). This means the Government will start to flood the market with new debt to ‘refill’ the TGA (liquidity drain),” Tomas wrote. He emphasized that the refill target is currently set at $850 billion, up from recent levels around $350 billion, implying roughly $500 billion in liquidity will be removed from the system in the coming months. Related Reading: Bitcoin Investor Sentiment Back To ‘Very Bullish’ — What This Means The implications for Bitcoin are stark. Risk assets have historically benefited from rising dollar liquidity—particularly in the context of elevated ETF inflows, corporate adoption, and a weakening US dollar. But that backdrop is now shifting. As Tomas put it, “All else being equal, this TGA rebuild process should be bullish for the US dollar.” A strengthening dollar, when coupled with falling bank reserves, is generally a bearish environment for Bitcoin. The pressure on liquidity won’t necessarily come all at once, but the mechanics are clear. Treasury will issue large volumes of new short-term debt—primarily T-bills—to finance the TGA refill. This issuance will compete with other dollar-denominated assets for funding, draining cash out of banks and money markets. Tomas notes that this dynamic could be softened if money market funds rotate their cash out of the Fed’s Overnight Reverse Repo Facility, which still holds about $214 billion. “It’s possible that Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent could lower the target level, meaning less of a refill,” he adds. “I’d expect we may see a lot of T-bill issuance, which could tempt some of the remaining $214bn left in the Reverse Repo to leave the facility (liquidity injection) and lessen any negative impact of the TGA refill.” Still, even with some reallocation from RRP, Tomas expects the overall effect to reduce reserve balances—bank reserves as a percentage of GDP are likely to fall below 10%, he estimates. While this is not as dire as the 7% level reached in 2019 (which triggered the repo crisis), it represents a sharp tightening compared to the first half of this year. “There could be some funding stress around the end of September (end-of-quarter),” Tomas cautioned. Related Reading: Bitcoin Breakout Is A Trap—Analyst Predicts Pain Before $160,000 Surge Bitcoin’s performance has coincided with the exact window Tomas outlines as a liquidity upswing. As documented, Bitcoin’s price has closely tracked the direction of aggregate G5 central bank balance sheets and the level of US bank reserves. When those reserves shrink—especially in the face of stronger Treasury issuance and a rebounding dollar—Bitcoin has historically struggled to sustain upside momentum. This concern is compounded by Tomas’s warning that speculative short positioning against the dollar has reached extremes. “Back in January, I was shouting about a fall in the dollar. Now everybody and their mothers are bearish on the dollar, and positioning is massively short across the board. It’s time for, at the very least, an upward correction/consolidation for the US dollar, in my opinion.” Such a reversal in the dollar would mark a critical macro headwind for Bitcoin. The 90-day rolling correlation between Bitcoin and the US Dollar Index (DXY) remains firmly negative. In environments where the dollar strengthens—especially when driven by tightening liquidity—Bitcoin has rarely outperformed. The next several weeks will be critical. If Treasury proceeds with aggressive issuance and market participants demand higher yields, liquidity could tighten faster than anticipated. While Tomas does leave open the possibility that Secretary Bessent may adjust the TGA target downward, the baseline scenario remains a $500 billion net liquidity drain—directly reversing the conditions that allowed Bitcoin to surge. At press time, BTC traded at $108,148. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Perceived odds of a U.S. recession peaked at 66% back in April as Wall Street banks were raising red flags, yet they have since plunged as trade negotiations advanced.
The strong numbers seemingly put to rest any idea that the Fed might cut rates in July.
The strong numbers seemingly put to rest any idea that the Fed might cut rates in July.
Bills to regulate stablecoins working their way through Washington put Americans at risk, said New York Attorney General Letitia James.
Bitcoin and ether gained amid Iran-Israel ceasefire relief, while investors await key official remarks and macro data releases.
Two Fed members earlier this week appeared to break with Powell, suggesting a rate cut would be appropriate as soon as the central bank's July meeting.
The following article is adapted from The Block’s newsletter, The Daily, which comes out on weekday afternoons.
U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs' recent net inflow streak has extended to eight days, totaling $2.4 billion, despite relatively subdued price action.
Bitcoin price was little changed and traded just above $104,000 as policymakers expect stickier inflation and slower growth.
The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates unchanged, with a decision announcement scheduled for Wednesday at 2 p.m. EDT.
With macro jitters rising ahead of today's CPI data, that caution might be the setup for the next breakout, according to K33.
The following article is adapted from The Block’s newsletter, The Daily, which comes out on weekday afternoons.
Ethereum-based funds led for the second week in a row, while the usually dominant global Bitcoin investment products saw further net outflows.
Whether it's crypto's access to banking or the issuance of stablecoins, new Fed supervision chief Michelle Bowman will have a say.
The following article is adapted from The Block’s newsletter, The Daily, which comes out on weekday afternoons.
Bitcoin could climb to $125,000 in June if a soft U.S. jobs report fuels expectations of early Fed rate cuts, according to Bitfinex analysts.
Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman was confirmed by the Senate on Wednesday to serve the top regulatory role at the central bank.
The big rally in bitcoin and stocks over the past eight weeks has occurred with a (somewhat) hawkish Fed; a dovish turn could provide fuel for new legs higher.
The Bitcoin price crash is in focus following the flagship crypto’s recent drop to as low as $103,700. Crypto analyst Captain Faibik has commented on why $107,500 and $103,500 are the most important levels to watch as BTC looks to decide its next move. Why $107,500 & $103,500 Are Key For The Bitcoin Price In an X post, Captain Faibik explained that $107,500 and $103,500 are key as the bulls and bears battle to dictate the next move for the Bitcoin price. The analyst noted that later this week, BTC bulls will attempt to reclaim the $107,500 resistance and regain momentum. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Risks Break Down To $92,000 As It Enters Accumulation Phase He predicted that a clean break and hold above $107,500 could trigger a bullish leg toward the $117,000 level, which would mark a new all-time high (ATH) for the flagship crypto. Meanwhile, on the other hand, $103,500 is an important support level which the bulls must defend as the Bitcoin price eyes new highs. Captain Faibik warned that a breakdown below could shift momentum back in favor of the bears. The Bitcoin price had surged above $106,000 on May 2 following news about the US decision to extend its pause of tariffs on some Chinese goods to August. This provided a bullish outlook for the flagship crypto after Donald Trump stated last week that China had violated the trade deal with the US. Trump and China’s president are set to have a call later this week, which could further boost the Bitcoin price if both sides could resolve any dispute regarding the current trade deal. Meanwhile, Fed Chair Jerome Powell failed to discuss the economy during his speech at the International Finance Division Anniversary Conference, which also continues to fuel market uncertainty. First Step For BTC Is To Get Back Above $106,500 In an X post, crypto analyst Kevin Capital indicated that the first step is for the Bitcoin price to successfully reclaim $106,500. He noted that BTC had recorded a weekly close below this level, which puts the flagship crypto back in the danger zone. The analyst further remarked that BTC needs to get back above this level in the coming days or things can get “sketchy looking.” Kevin Capital added that this has been a key level for months, and nothing has changed. Related Reading: Bitcoin Rise To $111,000 ATH Doesn’t Mean The Market Is Bullish, Certified Expert Says Meanwhile, crypto analyst Titan of Crypto revealed that a Katana is forming on the weekly chart for the Bitcoin price. He explained that in Ichimoku analysis, a Katana forms when Tenkan and Kijun overlap. This signals low momentum and market equilibrium. He added that this development also precedes strong directional moves, with an expansion or pullback on the horizon. At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $105,435, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
Solana (SOL) is once again in the spotlight, as a market analyst has forecasted a massive rally that could propel the token’s price to new All-Time Highs (ATHs) by late 2025. The prediction suggests a staggering 140% surge from current levels toward a bold price target of $420 and beyond. Solana Prepares For Parabolic Move Toward $420 A fresh chart analysis shared by a TradingView crypto analyst, Master Ananda, reports that Solana has completed a textbook rounded bottom pattern, indicating a bullish reversal to new ATHs. Notably, the analyst forecasts that SOL is gearing up for a parabolic surge to $420, emphasizing that this bullish projection is not the cryptocurrency’s final target. Related Reading: Analyst Tells Investors To Be Patient As Solana Price Hits Resistance The analysis, as stated earlier, is based on the formation of a rounded bottom pattern, which has been developing since early 2025. This pattern has now transitioned into a breakout structure, with the Solana price reportedly holding firm above the $160 support line — a level considered the baseline of the rounded bottom and a psychological stronghold for the market. Notably, Solana faced a strong rejection at a key resistance area on May 23. However, despite the pullback, Master Ananda emphasized that the price action remains resilient, suggesting that bullish momentum is still intact and the dip has not altered the altcoin’s positive long-term outlook in the months ahead. In addition, Solana also dropped to a low on May 19, marked by the blue line on the price chart. Despite this, the analyst strongly asserts that there is “absolutely no bearish action” on the current chart. As long as the $160 level holds, the current trend is likely to accelerate toward higher Fibonacci resistance levels, culminating in the 1.618 extension at around $419.78. This bullish target would represent approximately 140% growth from the current price of around $178 and would place Solana at a new all-time high. Interestingly, Master Ananda noted that even if Solana falls below the key support level, it would be of little concern. Such a move would likely signal a market shakeout or a bear trap rather than a pullback or an invalidation of Solana’s bullish thesis. This view stems from the belief that SOL’s bullish bias has already been confirmed, positioning the market for potential strong growth over the long term. The key point of Master Ananda’s analysis is that Solana’s rise is expected to be sudden and powerful, leaving those on the sidelines regretting missed opportunities. As the market matures and liquidity improves following Bitcoin’s steady rise, the sharp upside potential for Solana could unfold much quicker than anticipated. Macro Catalysts Align For Massive Crypto Growth While explaining his bullish case for Solana, Master Ananda revealed that changes in macroeconomic factors could become a catalyst for astonishing growth in the crypto market. With the US Federal Reserve (FED) expected to initiate interest rate cuts in the coming months, the broader risk-on environment is set to benefit the crypto sector significantly. Related Reading: Solana Rebound To $900 Is Coming, But This Resistance Stands In The Way The analyst suggests that Solana’s current price levels, while not at absolute lows, still represent a significant buy zone. Master Ananda revealed that Solana’s potential is substantial, and as the next bull cycle gains momentum, $300 will no longer be seen as expensive. Before this happens, Master Ananda has stated that investors “should be fully invested and buy like it’s the end of the world”. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin is currently trading around the $105,000 mark after a brief uptick to $107,000 in the past 24 hours. Notably, this marks the second time Bitcoin has rejected around $107,000 in the past few days. Despite this volatility, Bitcoin managed to close last week’s candle above a key resistance level that had capped its price action for weeks. This close, recorded just above the red horizontal line at $103,000, has introduced confidence in the continuation of the uptrend, and points to the bulls still in control of Bitcoin’s price action. Bitcoin Weekly Closes Above Range – First Bullish Step Current Bitcoin price action shows that bullish investors and buyers are still controlling the momentum behind the largest cryptocurrency and, in essence, the rest of the crypto market. Notably, Bitcoin initially experienced a brief surge to nearly $107,000 over the weekend before retreating. Related Reading: Bitcoin Macro Trend Oscillator Shows When To Expect The Price Top This price movement was followed by a dip to around $102,000, with the back-and-forth most likely being influenced by factors such as Moody’s downgrade of U.S. debt and investor reactions to potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. However, in an interesting note, the BTC price managed to close above the $103,000 range during this first move to $107,000, which is very important in terms of technical analysis going forward. This sentiment is echoed by crypto analyst Rekt Capital on social media platform X, who pointed out the next step that might play out for Bitcoin. Post-Breakout Retest Underway, Says Rekt Capital The $104,000 price level had previously acted as a stubborn ceiling throughout much of the recent Bitcoin price consolidation between $102,000 and $104,000 since May 9. However, since breaking above this level, the ensuing price action has seen the Bitcoin price retracing towards this level after another rejection at $107,000. Related Reading: Golden Ratio Multiplier Called Bitcoin Top In 2021 – Here’s What It’s Saying Now According to crypto analyst Rekt Capital, the dip following the $107,000 rejection isn’t necessarily bearish. Instead, it could be part of a post-breakout retest, a pattern often seen in strong bullish structures. If this retest successfully confirms the former resistance as new support, BTC could set the stage for a breakout into fresh all-time highs. As shown in the 1W Bitcoin price chart above, the red resistance level is very close to Bitcoin’s January 2025 all-time high around $108,780. Furthermore, the chart shows that the recent breakout above the $90,000–$103,000 zone appears to mirror a pattern of Bitcoin’s breakout after a consolidation move, after another bounce from a low. In this case, the bounce occurred at the $75,000 low in early April. If Bitcoin does rebound with enough trading volume around $104,000, this could provide the much-needed momentum for a move above $107,000 and finally above $108,700 again. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $105,555, up by 2.9% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com