According to exchange data, inflows to trading venues topped 9,000 Bitcoin on Nov. 21 as prices slid to $80,600 on Coinbase — the weakest showing in seven months. Related Reading: Bitcoin Faces More Downside After Recent Crash, Data Shows Reports show that about 45% of those deposits came in chunks of 100 BTC or more, and on one day large transfers reached 7,000 BTC. The average deposit size in November rose to 1.23 BTC, the largest monthly figure in a year. Those numbers point to more than casual rebalancing; they point to coins being moved where they can be sold. Binance Stablecoins Hit Record According to market coverage, Binance’s stablecoin holdings climbed to a record $51 billion. At the same time, BTC and Ether inflows to exchanges swelled to roughly $40 billion this week, with Binance and Coinbase leading the move. Traders often park funds in dollar-pegged tokens when they want to wait on the sidelines. That build-up means cash is available, but it is sitting idle until sellers either step back or buyers turn up again. Bitcoin exchange inflows are rising as the price drops to ~87K, a seven-month low. Large deposits (100+ BTC) now make up 45% of all inflows, hitting 7K BTC on Nov 21. Large holders are increasingly sending BTC to exchanges, reinforcing the current downtrend. pic.twitter.com/UpN4rAL0FH — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) November 26, 2025 Analysts Eye Further Pullback Some market watchers warn the recent recovery could be only a pause, flagging remaining margin positions and suggested a test of lower levels. They said a wick into the $70k–$80k zone would be one way to clear out the last pockets of exposure. 10x Research put resistance levels at $92,000 and $101,000 as the key ranges to watch during any rebound. For context, Bitcoin had clawed back above $90,000 and was trading slightly higher at the time of reporting, but it remains down about 28% from the all-time high north of $126,000 reached in October. Short-Term Bounce, Not A Full Recovery Meanwhile, market moves in stocks and crypto have shown mixed signals. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq were pushing gains as investors bet on a US Fed rate cut, and that helped risk assets. Yet reports from strategists show the usual close link between Bitcoin and the Nasdaq has weakened, with Bitcoin’s decline steeper in recent weeks. Ether and many altcoins also faced higher exchange inflows, and several tokens returned to bear-market lows as selling pressure widened. Related Reading: Bitcoin Whale Reenters ETH Market, Fires Off A $44-M Long What This Means Next Liquidity is present but it is parked in stablecoins, and big holders are still moving assets toward exchanges. A meaningful rally will likely need either heavy buying demand or a clear catalyst that draws those stablecoins back into risk assets. For now, the market sits in a waiting mode: a short rally could continue, but a deeper dip remains possible as positions get cleared and sellers complete their rotations. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
As the overall market continues to move sideways, Bitcoin (BTC) is attempting to reclaim its local range highs as support. After short-term volatility, fueled by the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) rate cut, the cryptocurrency could be poised to close the month on a positive note. Related Reading: BNB Chain Projects Lead Binance Wallet With 2,000x IDO Returns Bitcoin Nears Multi-Month Bullish Run On Wednesday, Bitcoin retested the $117,000 resistance for the first time in nearly a month before being rejected. The cryptocurrency has been hovering between the $107,000-$116,000 levels since late August, falling to the local lows at the start of September. Amid the retracement, investors expected to see another “Rektember,” as it has historically been one of BTC’s weakest months. Notably, CoinGlass data shows that BTC’s returns during September have mostly been red throughout the years, with an average negative return of 2.99%. However, the flagship crypto’s price has had a positive streak over the last two years, recording returns of 3.91% and 7.29% in 2023 and 2024, respectively. Analyst Crypto Jelle suggested that with less than two weeks of the month, Bitcoin appears to be setting up for a multi-month green run. Last week, BTC recovered from the early September dip, breaking out of the crucial $114,000 level and turning it into support during the weekend. As a result, the cryptocurrency currently has a positive return of 6.35%, its second-best September, according to the analytics platform. Jelle noted that “a green September has historically resulted in the next 2, 3, or even 6 consecutive months closing in the green too.” Based on this, he suggested that if Bitcoin keeps its positive performance for the rest of the month, “Q4 looks very promising for BTC.” BTC Retests Key Area Amid Volatility Analyst Rekt Capital pointed out that Bitcoin had a weekly Close above $114,000 and is retesting this area as support throughout this week’s pullbacks. This could lead to volatile downside wicks below this crucial level if this week’s close occurs above $114,000. On the contrary, failing to hold this level in the weekly timeframe could jeopardize BTC’s chances of a third price discovery uptrend. Overall, BTC needs to retest and hold $114k as support on the Weekly and any downside volatility below it would likely end up as a wick by the end of the week with the new Weekly Close. Multiple market watchers anticipated some volatility in the short term, as the Federal Reserve was expected to announce its first interest rate cut of the year. Altcoin Sherpa affirmed that “25bps is the expectation here” as “25 bps = Business as Usual but UP.” He added that this decision would likely result in a dip to the range lows or a choppy performance and “then higher in late Sept/ early October.” On Wednesday afternoon, the Fed lowered its rates by 25 basis points to a new range of 4.00% to 4.25%, marking the first rate cut since December 2024. Related Reading: Helius Joins Solana Treasury Trend With $500 Million Funding For New DAT Strategy “Recent indicators suggest that growth of economic activity moderated in the first half of the year. Job gains have slowed, and the unemployment rate has edged up but remains low. Inflation has moved up and remains somewhat elevated,” the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announcement reads. BTC retested the $114,000 support and $116,000 resistance immediately after the announcement, before stabilizing around the $115,500 level. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
On-chain data shows that XRP whales are currently offloading their coins, which paints a bearish outlook for the altcoin. This comes as XRP struggles to stay above the psychological $3 level and risks dropping to new lows. XRP Whales Offload $480 Million Coins In Two Weeks Santiment data shows that XRP whales have dumped 160 million coins ($480 million) since around September 4, when their holdings peaked at around 6.95 billion. Since then, their XRP holdings have dropped from 6.95 billion to around 6.77 billion. These whales hold between 1 million and 10 million tokens. Related Reading: XRP’s Market Cap Beats Out Heavy Hitters In Climb Into 100 Top Global Assets — Here Are The Numbers There is also a similar pattern among whales holding 10 million to 100 million coins and those holding 100 million coins to 1 billion coins. The 10 million to 100 million XRP whales had begun offloading their coins since last month, with a notable drop from 8.1 billion coins to around 7.77 billion coins as of now. Meanwhile, XRP whales holding 100 million coins to 1 billion coins had begun offloading their coins since July, with a sharp drop in their holdings from around 10.83 billion during that period to 7.94 billion in August. However, since then, their holdings have remained stagnant, with these whales remaining on the sidelines, neither buying nor selling aggressively. This development paints a bearish picture for the XRP price as the token could witness further declines as these whales continue to offload their coins. Moreover, these whales are offloading their coins despite projections of a Fed rate cut this week and the upcoming launch of the first spot XRP ETF. This further fuels concerns that these events might turn out to be a ‘sell the news’ event, with a sharp price decline happening once they occur. A Potential Bearish Cross Lies Ahead For XRP In an X post, crypto analyst Egrag Crypto said that a potential bearish cross lies ahead for the XRP price. He predicted that the altcoin might dip to as low as $2.65 despite an imminent Fed rate cut. He noted that many are anticipating a rate cut but that the markets tend to react in the opposite direction, meaning that XRP could decline after the rate cut instead of rallying. Related Reading: XRP Price Forms Bull Flag On The Weekly Chart: Analyst’s $23 EOY Target Swims Into View Egrag Crypto further stated that for the XRP price to avoid the bearish cross, it needs to see a close above $3.07 and $3.13. If that happens, then he believes that the altcoin will be in a much stronger position to rally to the upside. The analyst predicted that XRP could rally to as high as $3.7 eventually. At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $3, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
Analyst Austin Hilton has sounded a major XRP warning even as the price continues to consolidate. He declared that this is the last chance to get into the altcoin before its price goes on a parabolic run. Last Chance To Get In On XRP Before Its Q4 Bull Run In a YouTube video, Austin Hilton warned that this is the last chance for investors to accumulate XRP before its major bull run in the last quarter of this year. He noted that September was expected to be a slow month with little action from the altcoin, especially as investors wait on a Fed rate cut. Related Reading: Analyst Warns XRP Investors Not To FOMO In, Wait For This To Happen First The analyst further remarked that the altcoin has even outperformed expectations this month, considering that it was able to reclaim the psychological $3 level and has held well above support levels. However, Austin Hilton predicts that a greater run lies ahead for the altcoin, with liquidity set to return in the fourth quarter from both retail and institutional investors. Another bullish fundamental he alluded to is the fact that XRP is being taken off exchanges, which indicates that crypto whales are actively accumulating the token. This could lead to a supply shock, which could serve as a catalyst for higher prices. Bitcoinist reported that Coinbase’s reserves have crashed by 90% as whales move tokens off the exchange to hold for the long term. Meanwhile, four major crypto exchanges, including Binance, saw massive demand earlier in the month, leading them to add 1.2 million coins to meet this demand. The CryptoQuant analysis that pointed this out noted that the demand might have been coordinated and might have come from institutions. This comes ahead of the potential XRP ETFs launch, which is bullish for the altcoin’s price. Institutions Set To Flow Into The Altcoin With ETF Launch Institutions are set to inject new capital into the ecosystem with the launch of the first spot XRP ETF, which is happening this week. REX Shares confirmed that its REX-Osprey XRP ETF (XRPR) is coming this week. It noted that this will be the first U.S. ETF to deliver investors spot exposure to XRP. Related Reading: What To Expect If XRP ETFs Get Approval From The SEC Bloomberg analyst James Seyffart stated that the REX-Osprey XRP ETF isn’t a “pure” spot ETF. He explained that it will hold spot directly and other spot XRP ETFs from around the world to get its exposure. The analyst also noted that the fund’s prospectus includes language that would allow it to invest in derivatives for exposure if needed. However, that won’t be the primary exposure method. The spot XRP ETFs could get a SEC approval in October, which is another factor that could serve as a catalyst for higher prices for the cryptocurrency heading into the fourth quarter. Seven fund issuers are currently awaiting the SEC’s approval to offer a 100% spot XRP ETF. At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $2.97, down over 2% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
XRP is now back trading above $3 and is holding well above the price level. This is on the back of days of consolidating around $2.8. Although price action in the past 24 hours has seen XRP trading back above $3, it is yet to confirm a close to solidify the zone. Against this backdrop, technical analysis of the XRP 4-hour candlestick timeframe chart shows a critical level that could determine whether XRP finally breaks free into price discovery. Resistance Keeping XRP From Price Discovery Although the XRP price is currently inching slowly upwards, technical analysis shows it is yet to break above a technical resistance keeping it from price recovery. According to a technical analysis of the XRP 4-hour candlestick timeframe chart that was posted on the social media platform X by CoinsKid, XRP’s movement in August was capped by a resistance line at $3.3774. This resistance is represented with the white trendline in the price chart below. Related Reading: XRP Price Confirms Descending Trendline Breakout, Here Are The Targets The importance of this line goes beyond short-term price action. As it stands, this resistance barrier has effectively become the gatekeeper between XRP’s current price action and the possibility of a major breakout for price discovery into new all-time highs. According to the analyst, clearing this line would mark the point at which XRP could enter price discovery, a stage where there are no previous highs to serve as reference points. Until that happens, XRP is expected to continue oscillating within its established range, with $2.7346 acting as the lower white support line on the chart. Possible Shakeout Before The Break Although XRP has managed to hold above notable price points around $2.8 during its most recent corrections, there’s always the possibility of a strong downside move. CoinsKid also noted that a final shakeout could take place before any bullish breakout occurs. Related Reading: Is The US Planning To Use XRP To Clear Trillion-Dollar Debt? New Developments Shock Community This shakeout could see the sellers gain temporary momentum and cause the XRP price to break below $2.8 and crash to lower price levels. In this case, the analyst pointed to the orange support trendline at $2.3375 as a possible level that XRP might retest in such a shakeout. CoinsKid linked this possibility to September, earning the reputation of being rektember during bull cycles. However, this September might be different, considering the current dynamics of the crypto market. At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $3.06, up by 1.8% in the past 24 hours. The analyst noted that XRP’s macro structure will be bullish as long as it holds above the green line at $1.9061. This long-term support has so far underpinned the rally that began in late June. XRP is already up by about 10% from its September open, but it could possibly perform better in the later part of the month. The probability of a Fed rate cut in September is now above 97%, and this could play into a bullish run for XRP and many other large market-cap cryptocurrencies. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
Ethereum (ETH) is leading the end-of-the-week market recovery after finally breaking above the $4,800 resistance. As the cryptocurrency is attempting to reclaim this crucial area, some analysts suggest that a new all-time high (ATH) is imminent. Related Reading: Another Celebrity Scam? Kanye West Memecoin Launch Leaves 60% Of Investors In The Red Ethereum Hits New Multi-Year High On Friday, Ethereum broke above the $4,800 resistance for the first time since 2021, hitting a multi-year high of $4,834. The cryptocurrency has rallied over 14% over the past 24 hours, driven by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s annual address at Jackson Hole. In his speech, Powell signaled the possibility of an interest rate cut, affirming that “with policy in restrictive territory, the baseline outlook and the shifting balance of risks may warrant adjusting our policy stance.” Following Powell’s remarks, the market soared, with Bitcoin (BTC) jumping from its local range low to the $117,000 area. Meanwhile, Ethereum initially climbed from the $4,200 support to reclaim the crucial $4,700 barrier. In a statement to CNBC, Jordi Alexander, CEO of crypto trading firm Selini Capital, suggested that crypto traders were caught completely offside by Powell’s dovish comments. “The market positioning in recent sessions has seen clear risk-off moves in assets like crypto and tech, and today’s setting up of a September rate cut is causing a panicked repositioning, which could continue through the illiquid weekend as shorts get squeezed,” he affirmed. Meanwhile, Joseph Chalom, Co-CEO of SharpLink Gaming, asserted that “the markets are loving Powell’s dovish speech. September rate cuts seem imminent. We’re at a pivotal moment in the market cycle.” ETH Ready For More? Notably, ETH has been consolidating between $3,762 support and $4,631 resistance since the early August breakout, retesting the $4,000-$4,100 mid-zone of this week’s pullback. On Friday afternoon, Ethereum continued its climb above the $4,800 resistance. This level was unsuccessfully tested last week, when the King of Altcoins hit a local high of $4,788 before being rejected. Analyst Crypto Jelle highlighted a one-week falling wedge pattern on ETH’s chart, which targeted a breakout to the $4,600-$4,800 area. Following today’s price jump, the analyst suggested that Ethereum is ready to target its all-time high of $4,878 after the breakout. Additionally, he noted that ETH already broke out of an 18-month bullish megaphone this month, which targets the $10,000 level. He explained that the cryptocurrency has successfully retested the key resistance level, around $4,000, during this week’s pullback and has “hardly any resistance left.” Related Reading: Chainlink Eyes Crucial Resistance After $25 Reclaim – Breakout Or Breakdown Next? Nonetheless, he warned that a pullback is likely to come following the massive pump but added that “the intent is clear. This market wants higher.” Similarly, Ted Pillows affirmed that volatility was expected after Powell’s speech, noting that it had happened in previous years. However, he suggested that a big ETH rally will follow, “just like the last time.” As of this writing, Ethereum is trading at $4,799, a 32.6% increase in the monthly timeframe. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
Market expert Orbion has advised market participants to sell all their Ethereum holdings by October. He analyzed ETH’s price action to explain why the altcoin could reach its peak by then. Why Investors Should Sell Ethereum In October In an X post, Orbion said that he is still bullish on ETH right now but that the plan is to fully exit by the end of October. He noted that the Bitcoin price has already recorded a 100% gain from the lows this year, showing strong momentum and institutional demand. Meanwhile, Ethereum has broken and held above $4,200, which sets the stage for a final push higher in the coming weeks. Related Reading: Here’s Why The $4,000 Level Is Important For Ethereum From An Options Point Of View Orbion claimed that the setup looks strong now, but every cycle ends the same way, in a fast and brutal manner when the top comes. The market expert stated that his short-term target for Ethereum is in the $5,800 to $6,000 range, if it sustains this momentum. This would represent a 300% gain from the cycle lows. The market expert expects Bitcoin to start showing signs of topping in late September, with Ethereum following shortly after, possibly in October. He predicts that by the end of October, BTC could be in the $55,000 range and ETH back to $1,400, which is why he is advising investors to take profits by October. Orbion remarked that this is not a bearish but simply how post-peak corrections have played out historically. He indicated that investors should start planning their exits from now because the markets don’t give anyone time to react when momentum dies. The expert noted that altcoins can drop about 20% in a single day as liquidity dries up. As such, market participants could end up selling into panic and not strength if they don’t prepare accordingly. Key Metrics To Watch For ETH’s Market Top Orbion stated that key metrics like NUPL, SOPR, and MVRV have efficiently signaled the tops in past cycles. He explained that NUPL at +0.75 shows extreme unrealized profit levels across holders, which the expert claimed is a major warning sign. Furthermore, the SOPR turning negative shows coins are being sold at a loss after euphoria peaks. Related Reading: Analyst Shares Where Bitcoin, Ethereum, And XRP Prices Will Be By 2032 Meanwhile, the expert explained that the MVRV being deep red means that the market value is far above the cost basis, which is unsustainable for an extended period. For now, Orbion is still bullish on Bitcoin, Ethereum, and the broader crypto market because of the Fed rate cut expected to come in September. He claimed this will be a catalyst for crypto and that liquidity injections will fuel the final leg of the rally, although the expert warned it will be fast, lasting only weeks and not months. Therefore, investors have to start planning their exit before then. At the time of writing, the Ethereum price is trading at around $4,310, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin (BTC) remains the center of investors’ attention and concern especially following the latest nonfarm payrolls data from the US Bureau Of Labor Statistics (BLS). While the general market sentiment remains bullish, recent developments in the US economy indicate that macroeconomic factors may be against the premier cryptocurrency in 2025. Currently, Bitcoin trades above $94,000 following another turbulent price performance which produced a loss of 3.45% in the past seven days. Related Reading: Bitcoin Faces Mixed Signals: Institutional Investors Accumulate Amid Retail Weakness Fed’s Pivot To Rate Cuts Is Dead – Analysts In an X post on December 10, market experts at global capital market analysis firm The Kobeissi Letter dissected the employment situation summary for December 2024. According to the BLS, nonfarm payrolls employment rose by 256,000 jobs in this month, indicating an additional 100,000 jobs to the widely predicted figures. Following this report, The Kobeissi Letter analysts highlight that the US economy has gained an average of 165,000 jobs since July representing the highest 6-month average since July 2024. Considering the US Federal Reserve began implementing interest rate cuts from September 2024 citing then a reduction in jobs growth and inflation, the analysts at The Kobeissi Letter stated the Apex Bank’s approach may have been misguided in light of the recent developments. Therefore, the Fed is expected to halt interest rate cuts to battle an expected heightened inflation due to a strong jobs data, with the potential of even adopting rate hikes. Generally, an absence of rate cuts or introduction of rate hikes is negative for Bitcoin as lower Interest rates afford investors the capacity to deal In risky assets such as cryptocurrencies. Following the Fed’s previous announcement of potential reduced rate cuts in 2025, Bitcoin experienced a flash crash of over 9% mid-December as investors moved to close their volatile positions in all financial markets. Currently, The Kobeissi Letter forecasts that the Fed’s pivot to rate cuts is likely over, with a 44% probability that there will be no rate cuts through June 2025. Related Reading: Crypto Liquidations Near $690 Million As Bitcoin, Ethereum Crash Bitcoin Price Overview At the time of writing, Bitcoin trades at $94,028 reflecting a 0.22% gain in the past 24 hours. Meanwhile, the premier cryptocurrency is down by 3.72% and 6.35% in the past seven and thirty days respectively. Despite the potential of reduced rate cuts in 2025, Bitcoin investors are likely to retain bullish sentiments due to other factors including historical price performance in a bull cycle, an expected pro-crypto US government and continuous institutional investments via the spot ETFs. With a market cap of $1.84 trillion, Bitcoin continues to rank as the largest cryptocurrency and world’s eight largest asset. Featured image from Investopedia, chart from Tradingview
Bitcoin price hit a new all-time high above $76,850, and multiple data points suggest that the rally has room to run higher.
Bitcoin must overcome resistance in the $64,000 to $66,000 zone before a new set of growth catalysts initiate the path to six-figure BTC price territory.
Solana (SOL) joined the recent crypto market pump after climbing 10% on Thursday. SOL’s price broke above a key resistance level, reigniting the bullish sentiment among investors and traders who believe the cryptocurrency is soon poised to reclaim higher targets. Related Reading: October To Remember: Descending Broadening Wedge Says Bitcoin Is Going To $90,000 Solana Breaks Above Key Resistance Level Following the highly anticipated US Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts, the crypto market rebounded 5% in the last 24 hours. Most cryptocurrencies have registered green numbers in the past day, recovering from their performance in the past few weeks. Solana, the fifth-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, regained momentum on Thursday after reclaiming a key level. The token had failed to break about the $140 resistance level throughout September, consolidating between the $130-$139 price range in the last few weeks. SOL had registered a 7% weekly drop by Wednesday, which alarmed many investors and market watchers. Some crypto analysts considered the token’s recent performance hinted at a possible correction that could drive the token’s price to a yearly low. Seasoned trader Peter Brandt suggested that the cryptocurrency could face a significant correction to the $80 support zone if it unsuccessfully continued retesting this resistance level. Nonetheless, SOL’s price recovered from its disappointing performance, jumping over 10% in the last 24 hours. The cryptocurrency moved past the $140 mark on Thursday morning, breaking out of a two-month downtrend. The price surge represented a 5.4% and 8.3% increase in the weekly and biweekly timeframes. Additionally, its daily market activity soared 81.3% in the past day, with a daily trading volume of $3.76 billion. Experts Set Next Targets For SOL Some analysts highlighted Solana’s performance, suggesting that the cryptocurrency is ready to aim for higher targets. Crypto analyst Jelle stated that, in the higher timeframes, Solana has performed considerably better than most altcoins. Other market watchers previously noted Solana’s strength since Q3 started. During the market retraces, the cryptocurrency was deemed “one of the strongest assets” after moving sideways while other tokens made new lows. Jelle highlighted that SOL’s price still held “all key support levels even though most altcoins are down >50% from the highs.” Effectively, Solana has remained above the $120 support zone since March, currently being 31% down from March’s highs. Related Reading: Will Bitcoin Bullish Swing Continue? Top Analyst Says Yes Similarly, crypto analyst Yuriy considers SOL’s recent performance has set the stage for a breakout above the $150 resistance level. However, he warned that bulls must hold the $138 mark, as failing to maintain this support could lead to a correction to the $120 level. The analyst believes a successful breakout will send SOL’s price to the $160 resistance zone next, potentially moving toward the $180-200 targets. As of this writing, SOL is trading at $143.3, a 12.2% increase in the last 24 hours. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin’s correction appears to be losing steam, as indicated by price momentum divergence, the formation of a Doji candlestick and other bullish patterns.
For the crypto and broader financial market, FOMC day is upon us once again today. And analysts agree that today’s meeting will be one of the most important in recent years. Kurt S. Altrichter, a financial advisor and founder of Ivory Hill, even describes today’s FOMC meeting as the “most important of your life.” In a new post on X, Altrichter explains why. FOMC Preview Central to today’s FOMC meeting is the Federal Reserve’s potential indication of a September rate cut. According to Altrichter, the financial markets are almost unanimously anticipating this move, with Fed fund futures indicating a near-certain likelihood of such an outcome. “Market expectation is a strong signal for a September rate cut,” Altrichter points out, marking today’s update as a pivotal moment for financial markets. The key question for today is: “How strongly does the Fed signal a September rate cut?” the expert explains. Investors are directed to pay close attention to the FOMC’s statement at 2:00 pm ET, especially the third paragraph, which could subtly signal the Fed’s confidence in reaching its inflation targets. Related Reading: XRP Price Poised For ‘Ultimate Breakout’ With $18 Price Target: Crypto Analyst Altrichter advises, “Look at the 3rd paragraph for this key sentence: The Committee does not expect it will be appropriate to reduce the target range until it has gained greater confidence that inflation is moving sustainably toward 2 percent.” Any modification in this wording would be a clear signal that the Fed is nearing its inflation control goals, potentially paving the way for rate adjustments. Altrichter outlines several potential outcomes from the meeting, each associated with specific market reactions. In a dovish scenario, the Fed signals a rate cut for September. Then, Altrichter expects a broad market rally, especially in sectors less sensitive to interest rates. “Yields and the dollar should fall modestly with a modest rally in commodities,” Altrichter predicts, suggesting significant movements in standard and sector-specific indexes. In a hawkish scenario, there will be no change in the forward guidance by the US central bank. If the Fed maintains its current stance without hinting at future cuts, the markets might experience a downturn. “Look out below and expect a sharp decline. SPX should fall by 1-2%,” he warns, noting that tech and growth sectors might relatively outperform due to their appeal during higher yield periods. How Will Bitcoin And Crypto React? The potential adjustments in US monetary policy bear direct consequences for the Bitcoin and crypto markets. Crypto, often viewed as alternative investments, reacts sensitively to shifts in monetary policy, particularly regarding interest rates. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bull Cycle Likely To Go On Till Mid-2025: CryptoQuant CEO If the dovish scenario materializes, this could make Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies more appealing. A signal of lower future rates could drive increased investment into the crypto market, potentially leading to price increases as investors seek higher returns in alternative assets. Conversely, should the Fed signal reluctance to cut rates, indicating a stronger economic outlook or concerns about inflation, this could strengthen the US dollar and increase yields on traditional financial instruments. Such an environment might lead to a pullback in the crypto markets, as the comparative advantage of Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies diminishes against strengthening traditional yields. Max Schwartzman, CEO of Because Bitcoin Inc, commented via X: “FOMC is [today] & its incredibly important as we get into the end of this fed cycle… Here is how the last 11 meetings have gone for Bitcoin…” Thus, today’s FOMC meeting is a watershed moment for financial markets globally, with significant implications for both traditional and crypto markets. As Altrichter succinctly puts it, “A Sept Fed rate cut has driven the 2024 bull market. Tomorrow’s meeting will either reinforce that tailwind or refute it. If the Fed signals a cut, the rally continues. No signal: markets could get ugly.” At press time, BTC traded at $66,462. Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView.com
Bullish divergence on the price chart, September rate cut prospects and increasing M2 supply are some catalysts that could resume the Bitcoin bull market cycle.