Ethereum is gaining momentum, and several technical signals suggest that a significant move could be on the way. With key support levels holding and bullish patterns forming, the market may be setting up for a notable upside. Golden Pocket Rejection: Confirming The High-Risk Scenario In a recent update on X, analyst Luca referenced his recent market commentary, noting that Ethereum price action unfolded exactly as he had anticipated, with the price tapping into the lost high-timeframe support range. This range aligned with the golden pocket between the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci retracement levels, and the price rejected there, confirming the high-risk scenario he had highlighted in advance. Related Reading: Ethereum Coils For A Breakout As IH&S + Heavy Accumulation Emerges Since that rejection, the price has broken below the key 0.618 Fibonacci Point of Interest (POI). However, the asset is still managing to hold above the crucial 1-Day Bull Market Support Band. Luca stressed that this band has historically served as a strong reversal spot over the last couple of months. Thus, he believes the current low-timeframe market structure is not yet fully invalidated. Despite this technical hold, the analyst reiterated his cautious approach, stating that until he sees clear signs of strength on the low-timeframes, signs that can durably confirm the bottom is in and that key support levels are properly reclaimed, he won’t scale out of his edges. Luca concluded that until that concrete bullish confirmation materializes, the most likely outcome for the immediate future remains further consolidation. The market needs time to absorb the recent volatility and build a new base before a more durable reversal to the upside can take hold. ETH/BTC Trendline Breakout: Market Risk Appetite Returns Crypto analyst Paramatik outlined that a major structural event has occurred on the ETH/BTC charts: a falling trend breakout. This is a highly significant development, although Paramatik suggests that a retest of this broken trendline may occur before the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting. Related Reading: Ethereum Is Sitting On Its Most Critical On-Chain Support Level — A Rally Emerging? The analyst provided clarity on what this breakout means for the broader market. First and foremost, this situation is interpreted as a strengthening signal for Ethereum. When ETH begins to gain value relative to Bitcoin, it typically indicates that the market’s overall risk appetite is returning, as investors shift capital from BTC to ETH. Secondly, the gained strength in Ethereum is often the key trigger for the start of the much-anticipated altcoin season. This is because investors first shift funds from BTC to ETH, and then move capital into the riskier, smaller altcoins in hopes of achieving higher returns. Paramatik summarized his findings by stating that this breakout in the ETH/BTC pair is not merely a technical line break; it is a harbinger of a market direction change. The analyst concluded with an analogy that the market has reached a state where every external event, even humorously irrelevant ones, could affect crypto prices. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com
Industry leader Tom Lee has shared how the Ethereum price could reach $12,000 within the next few months. He based his prediction on the Bitcoin price action and how ETH could match the flagship crypto on a potential run to the upside. Tom Lee Explains How The Ethereum Price Could Rally To $12,000 Speaking at the Binance Blockchain Week, Tom Lee predicted that the Ethereum price could reach $12,000 as Bitcoin rallies to $250,000 within the next few months. He explained that ETH can reach the $12,000 target if the ETH/BTC ratio returns to its eight-year average of 0.0479. Lee described this potential rally to $12,000 as a “huge move.” Related Reading: Ethereum Price To Recover Or Crash? The Real ‘Leverage Point’ Investors Should Know About Tom Lee further predicted that the Ethereum price could reach $22,000 if the ETH/BTC ratio gets to its 2021 high of 0.0873. He added that he believes Ethereum will become the future of finance and the payment rails. As such, Lee predicted that the ETH/BTC ratio could reach 0.2500, sparking an Ethereum rally to as high as $62,500. In line with this, the expert declared that ETH at $3,000 is “grossly undervalued.” Tom Lee also remarked that the bigger the base, the bigger the breakout for the Ethereum price. He noted that ETH spent years building a similar base to its current price action before the move from $90 to its previous all-time high (ATH) of $4,866. The expert added that if the pattern plays out again, the next leg could be larger than what people expect. It is worth noting that Tom Lee is the chairman of BitMine, which is the largest Ethereum treasury company. According to Strategic ETH Reserve data, the company currently holds 3.73 million ETH, which is just over 3% of the altcoin’s total supply. Lee remains bullish on the Ethereum price, despite his company holding an unrealized loss of $3.3 billion of their ETH investment. A Rally To $62,000 Is “Ambitious” Market commentator Milk Road described Tom Lee’s Ethereum price prediction of $62,000 in a few months as being ambitious. The platform stated that an ETH/BTC ratio of 0.25 has never happened. The highest it has ever gone is 0.15, and that was during the 2017 supercycle, which makes it less likely now, given that market conditions have changed. Related Reading: When Will Bitcoin, Ethereum, And Dogecoin Go Into A Bear Market? Tom Lee had based his Ethereum prediction on Bitcoin hitting $250,000, which Milk Road also described as an issue. The market commentator noted that BTC would need to surge 177% from current prices to reach this target. The last time this happened was in 2020 when it surged from $7,000 to $19,000 during the “peak mania.” Notably, BTC didn’t record a 100% gain even when the Bitcoin ETFs launched last year. At the time of writing, the Ethereum price is trading at around $3,000, down over 4% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com
Ethereum is holding firmly above the $3,150 level as the market shifts into a more bullish phase after enduring weeks of heavy selling pressure and fear-driven liquidation. The recovery has sparked debate among analysts: some view the bounce as nothing more than a relief rally within a broader bearish trend, while others believe Ethereum may be building the foundation for a more sustained rebound. Related Reading: XRP On-Chain Velocity Hits Yearly High As Network Activity Explodes A new CryptoQuant report offers one of the clearest insights. According to Ethereum data on Binance, the past several weeks have shown heightened volatility in the Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) — a metric that tracks real-time buying and selling pressure. This volatility reflects sharp, rapid shifts in trader behavior as the market attempts to stabilize. Although Ethereum remains in a downtrend from its August peak, recent CVD spikes point to the return of notable buying activity. However, the report emphasizes that these bursts of demand are sporadic and lack the sustained strength needed to confirm a full bullish reversal. CVD Volatility Highlights Ongoing Battle Between Buyers and Sellers According to the Arab Chain report, Ethereum’s CVD recently turned positive, coinciding with the price’s attempt to stabilize above the $3,100 level. This shift indicates fresh liquidity entering the market through short-term buy orders, suggesting that some traders are stepping in to accumulate during dips. However, the sudden spikes and rapid pullbacks within the CVD reveal that the market remains locked in a strong tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. This volatility underscores the fact that Ethereum has not yet reached either temporal stability or a clear structural trend. The report also highlights the importance of the 30-day correlation between price and CVD, which has held steady at around 0.6 despite lower price levels. This relatively high reading shows that liquidity flows continue to influence Ethereum’s price direction in a meaningful and consistent way. Even though buying pressure appears irregular, its recurring impact on price suggests that traders are still actively responding to market conditions. Overall, this pattern reflects investors attempting to capitalize on volatility, especially as anticipation grows around potential liquidity inflows tied to upcoming network upgrades. Yet, Arab Chain stresses that without a more sustained accumulation phase and reduced short-term selling, Ethereum may struggle to generate a decisive upward movement. Related Reading: Ethereum NUPL Holds Steady, Signaling Market Balance Amid Volatility Ethereum Attempts a Recovery but Faces Key Resistance Ethereum’s latest price action shows a cautious recovery as ETH climbs back above the $3,150 level, but the chart reveals that the broader structure remains fragile. After a steep decline from the October highs near $4,500, ETH found support slightly above $2,700, where buyers stepped back in with increased volume—visible in the recent surge of green candles at the bottom of the chart. This reaction suggests renewed interest at lower levels, but not yet a decisive shift in trend. The price is now pressing against the 100-day SMA (red line), a level that previously acted as support and has now flipped into resistance. Reclaiming this line would be an important step toward restoring bullish momentum. Above it, ETH faces another barrier at the 50-day SMA (blue line), which continues to slope downward, reflecting ongoing medium-term selling pressure. Related Reading: Bitmine Buys Another 18,345 Ethereum ($54.94M) In Fresh Accumulation Push – Details Despite the rebound, volume remains inconsistent, indicating hesitation among market participants. ETH will need stronger follow-through buying to challenge the next resistance zone around $3,300–$3,350, a region aligned with previous breakdown levels. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
Ethereum price started a fresh increase above $3,200. ETH is now consolidating gains and might aim for more gains above $3,250. Ethereum started a fresh increase above the $3,050 and $3,120 levels. The price is trading above $3,120 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a short-term contracting triangle forming with support at $3,130 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it settles above the $3,240 zone. Ethereum Price Eyes Another Upside Break Ethereum price managed to stay above $2,920 and started a fresh increase, like Bitcoin. ETH price gained strength for a move above the $3,000 and $3,050 resistance levels. The bulls even pumped the price above $3,150. However, the bulls struggled to clear $3,240 and $3,250. A high was formed at $3,239 and the price recently corrected some gains. There was a spike below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent move from the $2,718 swing low to the $3,239 low. Ethereum price is now trading above $3,120 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is also a short-term contracting triangle forming with support at $3,130 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. If there is another upward move, the price could face resistance near the $3,200 level. The next key resistance is near the $3,240 level. The first major resistance is near the $3,250 level. A clear move above the $3,250 resistance might send the price toward the $3,320 resistance. An upside break above the $3,320 region might call for more gains in the coming days. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $3,450 resistance zone or even $3,500 in the near term. Downside Correction In ETH? If Ethereum fails to clear the $3,240 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $3,120 level. The first major support sits near the $3,050 zone. A clear move below the $3,050 support might push the price toward the $3,000 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $2,980 region and the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent move from the $2,718 swing low to the $3,239 low in the near term. The next key support sits at $2,850 and $2,840. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now above the 50 zone. Major Support Level – $3,130 Major Resistance Level – $3,240
Ethereum is approaching a critical moment as multiple bullish signals begin to align. A clear Inverse Head & Shoulders formation, combined with rising accumulation and weakening trend rejection, suggests that the market may be gearing up for a powerful upside move. With momentum tightening and key levels coming into focus, ETH now stands on the verge of a breakout that could set the stage for its next major rally. Inverse Head And Shoulders Signals Brewing Momentum According to a recent update shared by crypto analyst Donald Dean, Ethereum may be gearing up for a significant move. He highlighted the development of a potential inverse head and shoulders pattern, a classic bullish reversal formation that often precedes strong upward momentum. This emerging structure suggests that ETH could soon shift into a more aggressive bullish phase if confirmed. Related Reading: Ethereum Rockets Higher, Narrowing Distance to a Make-or-Break Resistance Line Dean also pointed out that the weekly chart is showing solid support near the 50% Fibonacci retracement level, positioned around $2,750. Adding to the bullish signals, a hammer candle has appeared on the weekly timeframe, hinting at buying pressure stepping back in after recent downside movement. If the pattern plays out, Dean noted that Ethereum’s first major target lies at $4,109, a level that would allow ETH to challenge previous resistance/support zones. Reclaiming this region would mark a meaningful shift in momentum and strengthen the bullish outlook for the asset. Beyond that, the next upside target sits near $5,766, which aligns closely with the 1.618 Golden Ratio extension calculated at approximately $5,793.51. Dean described this confluence as particularly noteworthy, suggesting that if Ethereum breaks above its nearer targets, a larger rally toward this golden-ratio level becomes a realistic possibility. Growing Accumulation Suggests Bulls Are Preparing For Action In an earlier analysis, LSTRADER reminded followers of the impressive move from $1,600 to $4,800, noting that this surge had been identified in advance through both the ETH chart and the ETH/BTC setup. The analysis captured the momentum shift that preceded the rally, reinforcing the value of tracking key structural signals. Related Reading: Ethereum Open Interest Cut In Half As $6.4B In Positions Vanish: Market Reset Accelerates In the current market structure, LSTRADER noted that the chart clearly shows multiple instances where the trend faced rejection. Despite these rejections, the trend is steadily losing strength while accumulation continues to build, a combination that typically reflects growing bullish interest and the potential for an upward breakout. However, LSTRADER stressed that no major move should be assumed until the trendline itself is broken, and confirmation is still required. For now, patience is key as traders continue monitoring the structure and waiting for a decisive shift in trend direction. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com
Ethereum has witnessed a recovery surge recently as on-chain data shows the shark-sized investors have been participating in strong buying. Ethereum Sharks Have Added 450,000 ETH Since Mid-November According to data from on-chain analytics firm Santiment, the supply of the Ethereum sharks has gone up recently. The indicator of relevance here is the “Supply Distribution,” measuring the total amount of tokens that a given wallet group as a whole is holding right now. Related Reading: Next Key XRP Level Could Be $1.2 If Current Support Fails, Says Analyst In the context of the current topic, the cohort of focus is the one corresponding to a coin range of 1,000 to 10,000 ETH. At the current exchange rate, the lower bound of the range roughly converts to $3.2 million and the upper one to $32 million. Investors of this large size are popularly known as the sharks. While not as massive as the whales (addresses with more than 10,000 ETH), the sharks are still considered influential entities. This can make their behavior often worth keeping an eye on. As the chart below, shared by Santiment, suggests, the latest Ethereum shark behavior has been one of accumulation. During the November price decline, the Supply Distribution had been going down for the Ethereum sharks, but around the time of the market bottom, its trend began to reverse. Between November 18th and December 2nd, the sharks added a total of 450,000 ETH (worth about $1.4 billion) to their wallets, a massive amount. Alongside this sharp uptick in the metric, ETH went through its price recovery. The cryptocurrency’s sharp retrace to start December didn’t dissuade these large hands, either, as their supply only continued to rise. This may be one of the factors behind the quick resumption of bullish momentum that the asset has seen. Another bullish factor has been the trend in the Network Growth, another on-chain indicator displayed in the chart. This metric measures the daily number of addresses that are coming online on the Ethereum network for the first time. A wallet is considered “online” when it participates in transaction activity on the blockchain, so the Network Growth essentially tracks the addresses making their very first transfer. From the graph, it’s visible that this Ethereum metric has also surged recently, hitting a peak value of 190,000 addresses. Generally, a surge in network activity is usually a positive sign for any rally’s sustainability, as it implies that the network is able to attract fresh attention. Related Reading: Bitcoin Blasts To $92,000, Liquidating $182 Million In Shorts That said, too much attention too fast can actually end up having a negative effect on the cryptocurrency. It now remains to be seen whether the sharks will continue to buy in the near future and if investor FOMO will remain at healthy levels. ETH Price At the time of writing, Ethereum is floating around $3,185, up more than 5% over the last seven days. Featured image from Dall-E, Santiment.net, chart from TradingView.com
Ethereum is demonstrating notable relative strength after reclaiming the $3,150 level and attempting to push higher, offering a refreshing shift in sentiment following weeks of intense selling pressure, fear, and market-wide uncertainty. As the broader crypto landscape begins to stabilize, ETH stands out as one of the assets showing early signs of recovery, drawing renewed attention from traders and long-term investors alike. Related Reading: Tron Hits $80.2B Stablecoin Milestone After Tether Mints 1B USDT On The Network A key factor supporting this shift is the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) reading for Ethereum on Binance, which is currently sitting around 0.22 while price trades near $3,100. This level reflects a delicate equilibrium between fear and optimism, indicating that a significant portion of ETH holders remain in moderate profit. Importantly, NUPL has not yet moved into the “greed” zone typically seen in the late stages of a bullish cycle, suggesting that the market is far from overheated. Instead, Ethereum appears to be transitioning into a more neutral, constructive phase where investors are cautiously optimistic but not excessively euphoric. This balance often forms the foundation for a healthier recovery, especially after a deep correction. If momentum continues building and NUPL remains stable or trends higher, ETH could be positioning itself for a stronger upside move in the coming weeks. NUPL Signals a Transitional Market Phase Arab Chain notes that Ethereum’s NUPL index experienced a significant rise between June and August, reaching levels far higher than today and reflecting strong profitability across the network during mid-2025. At that time, investor sentiment leaned toward optimism, supported by rising prices and improving macro conditions. However, as Ethereum’s price began to decline steadily from October onward, unrealized profits started to shrink. This pushed NUPL down toward more neutral territory, signaling a shift in sentiment from elevated optimism to a more grounded, cautious outlook. Crucially, NUPL has not fallen into negative territory, meaning the average ETH holder has not transitioned into unrealized losses. This is an important sign of underlying market strength. When investors remain in profit, they tend to be less motivated to sell aggressively at lower prices, reducing the risk of panic-driven capitulation and helping stabilize price action during corrections. Taken together, these signals indicate that Ethereum is currently in a transitional phase. The market is neither euphoric nor fearful—rather, it is waiting for a decisive catalyst to define the next trend. As long as NUPL stays above 0.20, Ethereum retains a meaningful level of investor confidence, increasing the likelihood of a rebound if liquidity strengthens or positive fundamental developments emerge. Related Reading: Bitmine Buys Another 18,345 Ethereum ($54.94M) In Fresh Accumulation Push – Details ETH Rebounds Strongly on the Weekly Chart Ethereum’s weekly chart shows a powerful rebound as price surges back above the $3,150–$3,200 region, reclaiming a critical support band that had turned into resistance during the November sell-off. The long lower wick from last week’s candle confirms strong buy-side interest around the $2,700–$2,800 zone, an area that has historically acted as a major demand region during multi-month corrections. ETH has now reclaimed the 100-week SMA, a key trend indicator currently positioned near $2,900, signaling renewed structural stability. The 200-week SMA, sitting comfortably lower, continues to reinforce the long-term uptrend. However, the 50-week SMA, which has flattened and now looms around the $3,350–$3,400 level, represents the next significant resistance level. ETH will need a decisive weekly close above this moving average to confirm a true shift back into bullish momentum. Related Reading: Ethereum Open Interest Cut In Half As $6.4B In Positions Vanish: Market Reset Accelerates Volume on the rebound is notably stronger than in previous consolidation phases, suggesting increased participation and growing confidence among market participants. However, ETH is not yet in the clear. The series of lower highs since the September peak forms a descending structure that must be broken for a sustained uptrend to resume. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
Ethereum price started a fresh increase above $3,120. ETH is now attempting to clear the $3,250 resistance and might accelerate higher. Ethereum started a fresh increase above the $3,000 and $3,120 levels. The price is trading above $3,150 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $3,120 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it settles above the $3,250 zone. Ethereum Price Eyes More Gains Ethereum price managed to stay above $2,880 and started a fresh increase, like Bitcoin. ETH price gained strength for a move above the $2,950 and $3,000 resistance levels. The bulls even pumped the price above $3,120. However, the price is now testing a key barrier at $3,250. A high was formed at $3,239 and the price is now consolidating above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent move from the $2,718 swing low to the $3,239 low. Ethereum price is now trading above $3,150 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If there is another upward move, the price could face resistance near the $3,250 level. The next key resistance is near the $3,265 level. The first major resistance is near the $3,320 level. A clear move above the $3,320 resistance might send the price toward the $3,450 resistance. An upside break above the $3,450 region might call for more gains in the coming days. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $3,500 resistance zone or even $3,540 in the near term. Downside Correction In ETH? If Ethereum fails to clear the $3,250 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $3,160 level. The first major support sits near the $3,120 zone and the trend line. A clear move below the $3,120 support might push the price toward the $3,050 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $2,980 region and the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent move from the $2,718 swing low to the $3,239 low in the near term. The next key support sits at $2,920 and $2,880. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now above the 50 zone. Major Support Level – $3,120 Major Resistance Level – $3,250
The highly anticipated Fusaka Upgrade for Ethereum is on the verge of going live on Wednesday, heralding significant enhancements to the network’s overall functionality. Analysts contend that this pivotal development could usher in a considerable supply crunch for ETH, potentially boosting its price during a challenging period for the broader cryptocurrency market. Layer 2 Solutions To Boost ETH Burn According to analysts at Bull Theory, the Fusaka Upgrade integrates components from previous upgrades—Osaka, Fulu, and PeerDAS—but its most impactful feature is its resolution of one of Ethereum’s biggest challenges. Layers 2 (L2) solutions have long utilized Ethereum’s security while contributing minimal fees back to the network. Despite L2 solutions like Base, Arbitrum, Optimism, and zkSync generating millions in fees from users, the fees recorded on Ethereum tended to diminish to nearly zero when they posted their data. Consequently, this meant that significant L2 activity did not result in substantial ETH being burned, even though approximately 85% of Ethereum transactions now occur on these Layer 2 solutions. Related Reading: Bitcoin Slump Claims New Victims: Leveraged ETFs Tied To Strategy Suffer Major Losses The Fusaka Upgrade fundamentally changes this dynamic. A key enhancement is EIP-7918, which mandates that Layer 2 transactions pay real fees to Ethereum. This adjustment ensures that every L2 transaction will contribute directly to the burning of ETH—something that was not previously guaranteed. The analysts assert that this feature represents one of the most significant value shifts since the introduction of EIP-1559. Post-Fusaka Projections The upgrade is further expected to broaden the scope of ETH burn from being predominantly derived from Layer 1 (L1) transactions to encompassing all L2 activity. Historically, most ETH burn has originated from mainnet transactions; thus, the network saw slight inflation in 2024–2025 as Layer 2s made transactions cheaper, leading to a decrease in ETH burn while staking continued to issue new ETH. Post-Fusaka, every L2 blob will incur a minimum cost, which will be burned. As Layer 2 adoption increases, the rate at which ETH is burned will also rise, contributing to increased scarcity of ETH. This enhancement positions Ethereum to shift back towards deflation for the first time in several years. Currently, ETH issues around 620,000 new tokens annually for stakers while burning approximately 350,000 tokens. This results in a net slight inflation. However, projections following the Fusaka Upgrade, even with conservative estimates, suggest that the additional burn from L2 activity could range from 200,000 to 400,000 ETH per year. Combined with existing burn rates, this could bring the total to over 600,000 ETH, leading to a net neutral or slightly deflationary state for ETH. More bullish models predict that if L2 adoption flourishes and demand for blobs rises, burn rates could soar to between 900,000 and 1.2 million ETH annually, resulting in a supply decrease of 200,000 to 300,000 ETH each year. Monetary Transformation For Ethereum? Another notable aspect of the Fusaka upgrade is PeerDAS, which enhances Layer 2 growth by reducing bandwidth requirements by 85%. This efficiency allows L2 solutions to publish more blobs at lower costs, resulting in increased fees and, consequently, more ETH burned. Related Reading: Analyst Says This Needs To Happen For The XRP Price To Rally Again The upgrade also increases the block gas limit from 36 million to 60 million, allowing more transactions to fit within each block. This increase means that more transactions can occur, leading to higher fees collected and a corresponding rise in burning. Furthermore, lower fees for transactions—such as swaps, bridges, on-chain gaming, and social applications—will likely drive more usage, resulting in increased transactions and higher ETH burn. Ultimately, the analysts believe that the Fusaka Upgrade represents a significant monetary transformation for Ethereum, indicating that the network is not only scaling but also beginning to monetize that scaling effectively. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
Ethereum has reclaimed the $3,000 level after a strong market reaction to improving macro conditions, offering investors a much-needed shift in momentum. The move comes just days after the Federal Reserve officially ended Quantitative Tightening (QT), a policy shift that immediately boosted liquidity expectations across all risk assets. With markets now pricing in an imminent interest rate cut, confidence has begun to return, and ETH is one of the first major assets to respond. Related Reading: Bitcoin Liquidation Dominance Hits Multi-Year High: The Real Cause Behind BTC’s Breakdown This rebound reflects more than just macro relief. According to data from Arkham, shared by Lookonchain, Bitmine continues to accumulate Ethereum at current prices, reinforcing bullish sentiment at a moment when many traders remain cautious. Bitmine’s persistent buying throughout the correction has become one of the most influential signals for on-chain analysts, suggesting that large players see long-term value even as the market wrestles with volatility. Reclaiming $3,000 places Ethereum back above a key psychological level, and the combination of supportive macro policy and whale accumulation provides a stronger foundation than the market had just weeks ago. Bitmine and Linked Wallets Expand Ethereum Holdings According to data from Arkham reported by Lookonchain, Bitmine has purchased another 18,345 ETH, worth approximately $54.94 million, just a few hours ago. This marks yet another large buy in a growing series of aggressive accumulation moves that Bitmine has made throughout the correction. Their continued willingness to buy at current levels signals strong confidence in Ethereum’s long-term value, even as the market navigates heightened volatility. Shortly after this report, Lookonchain highlighted activity from a newly created wallet, 0x52B7, which withdrew 30,278 ETH—valued at $91.16 million—from Kraken. The size and timing of the withdrawal have led analysts to speculate that this wallet may be linked to Bitmine or part of a broader accumulation strategy. Large withdrawals from exchanges typically indicate that the owner intends to hold the assets off-exchange, often for long-term storage or staking, rather than preparing to sell. If the wallet is indeed connected to Bitmine, this would bring their latest combined accumulation to nearly 50,000 ETH in a single day. Such behavior suggests strategic positioning ahead of potential macro-driven upside or internal confidence in Ethereum’s recovery. This kind of synchronized whale activity often precedes significant price shifts, reinforcing the idea that large players are preparing for a stronger market phase. Related Reading: Ethereum Open Interest Cut In Half As $6.4B In Positions Vanish: Market Reset Accelerates ETH Reclaims $3,000 But Still Faces Key Resistance Ethereum’s 3-day chart shows a notable improvement after reclaiming the $3,000 level, but the broader trend still carries signs of fragility. The recent bounce followed a deep corrective move that sent ETH from the $4,500 region down to the $2,700–$2,800 support zone, where buyers finally stepped in with conviction. The strong lower wicks around this area confirm that demand remains active, but Ethereum has yet to fully recover its bullish structure. Price now trades just below the 50 SMA, which sits near the $3,100–$3,150 zone—an important short-term resistance level. A clean break above this moving average would signal renewed momentum and increase the chances of retesting the $3,400–$3,600 range. Meanwhile, the 100 SMA and 200 SMA remain slightly above price, reflecting the broader downtrend that has dominated since September. Related Reading: Bitcoin Flashes Largest Hidden-Buying Spike of the Cycle Despite Losing $90K Level Volume has picked up slightly during the recovery, but it remains muted compared to the selling spikes seen during the drawdown. This indicates cautious buying rather than aggressive accumulation at these levels. To confirm a trend reversal, ETH must close above the 50 SMA and then challenge the cluster of resistance around $3,200–$3,300. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
Ethereum price started a fresh increase above $2,920. ETH is now attempting to clear the $3,050 resistance and might accelerate higher. Ethereum started a fresh increase above the $2,920 and $2,950 levels. The price is trading above $2,950 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break above a short-term bearish trend line with resistance at $2,825 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it settles above the $3,050 zone. Ethereum Price Eyes Upside Break Ethereum price managed to stay above $2,720 and started a fresh increase, like Bitcoin. ETH price gained strength for a move above the $2,850 and $2,880 resistance levels. There was a break above a short-term bearish trend line with resistance at $2,825 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. The bulls even pumped the price above $2,950. However, the price is now testing a key barrier at $3,050. A high was formed at $3,047 and the price is now consolidating above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent move from the $2,718 swing low to the $3,047 low. Ethereum price is now trading above $2,950 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If there is another upward move, the price could face resistance near the $3,050 level. The next key resistance is near the $3,080 level. The first major resistance is near the $3,120 level. A clear move above the $3,120 resistance might send the price toward the $3,200 resistance. An upside break above the $3,200 region might call for more gains in the coming days. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $3,350 resistance zone or even $3,380 in the near term. Another Decline In ETH? If Ethereum fails to clear the $3,050 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $2,970 level. The first major support sits near the $2,880 zone or the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent move from the $2,718 swing low to the $3,047 low. A clear move below the $2,840 support might push the price toward the $2,800 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $2,750 region in the near term. The next key support sits at $2,720 and $2,710. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now above the 50 zone. Major Support Level – $2,970 Major Resistance Level – $3,050
Ethereum has fallen below the $2,800 mark after a sharp and sudden decline, deepening panic across the market and reinforcing the sense that bulls have lost control. The recent drop has pushed investors into defensive mode, with some analysts now openly discussing the possibility of a broader bear market emerging. Selling pressure has intensified across spot and derivatives markets, and volatility continues to rise as traders struggle to identify a reliable support zone. Related Reading: Bitcoin Flashes Largest Hidden-Buying Spike of the Cycle Despite Losing $90K Level A new CryptoQuant report by Darkfost highlights one of the most alarming developments: Ethereum’s open interest on Binance has been steadily collapsing for more than three months. After reaching an all-time high of $12.6 billion on August 22, open interest has now been cut in half. Nearly $6.4 billion in derivative positions have evaporated, bringing ETH’s open interest down to $6.2 billion, a steep 51% decline. While this appears to be an extraordinary contraction, Darkfost notes that open interest has only just slipped below the previous all-time high of $7.7 billion. This underscores how speculative and overstretched the 2025 derivatives market had become — and suggests that Ethereum may be undergoing a much deeper structural reset than most expected. Speculation Unwinds Across Exchanges as Ethereum Enters Deep Reset Phase Darkfost emphasizes that 2025 has been the most speculative phase in Ethereum’s history, fueled by aggressive leverage, rapid inflows, and a market structure that proved far less solid — and far less sustainable — than it appeared during the rally. The collapse in open interest on Binance is only part of the story. The same pattern is unfolding across major derivatives platforms, revealing a broader structural unwind rather than an exchange-specific phenomenon. On Gate.io, ETH open interest has fallen from $5.2 billion to $3.5 billion. On Bybit, the drop is even more severe, plunging from $6.1 billion to $2.3 billion. This synchronized contraction shows how aggressively speculative positions have been flushed out. Meanwhile, the ongoing correction has dragged Ethereum’s price from $4,830 to $2,800, marking a steep 43% decline from the highs. This widespread reduction in leverage suggests the market is undergoing a deeper reset than typical corrections. Investors are not rushing to re-enter positions, especially as liquidations continue to stack up across exchanges. While shrinking open interest weighs on short-term momentum and sentiment, Darkfost notes that such aggressive deleveraging may ultimately help rebuild a healthier market foundation — one capable of supporting a durable bottom for ETH. Related Reading: Massive Ethereum Distribution Continues: Whale Sends Another 5,000 ETH To Binance ETH Loses Key Trend Support as 3-Day Structure Turns Fully Bearish Ethereum’s 3-day chart shows a decisive breakdown in structure, with price now firmly below the 50 SMA, 100 SMA, and 200 SMA for the first time since late 2024. The rejection from the $3,600–$3,800 region triggered a strong impulse to the downside, sending ETH directly through all major moving averages and confirming a shift toward a higher-timeframe downtrend. The current trading zone around $2,800 reflects a critical test of former support, but momentum remains weak. The 50 SMA has now crossed below the 100 SMA, while both are beginning to converge downward toward the 200 SMA — a configuration that typically precedes sustained corrections. Volume has increased on red candles, showing that sellers remain dominant, and there is little evidence of aggressive dip-buying. The most recent candle wick toward $2,700 highlights vulnerability rather than strength, suggesting buyers are hesitant to defend this level with conviction. Related Reading: Bitcoin Must Break Key Supply Clusters To Regain ATH Momentum – Watch These Levels ETH is also forming a series of lower highs and lower lows, further confirming bearish market structure. If $2,750 breaks cleanly, the next significant liquidity zones sit near $2,550 and $2,300, where prior consolidations developed earlier in the cycle. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
The prices of Ethereum and Dogecoin have followed a similar trajectory to the Bitcoin price crash as the pioneer digital asset continues to lead the crypto market lower. The muted action from Bitcoin has led to speculations that the market is finally headed into another bear trend after rising over the last few years. In this same vein, a crypto analyst has predicted when they believe that the bear market will really start, and that the current trend could still lead to an eventual pump in the market. Why The Bitcoin, Ethereum, And Dogecoin Prices Could Still Pump Crypto analyst ChainShinobi explained what is going on in the market, predicting that the trend could end up going against what investors are expecting at this time. According to the X post, while everyone is currently calling for lower prices, it could lead to another pump that culminates in the final top for the crypto market Related Reading: Dogecoin ETFs Flat At Launch, But TA Points To $1 If This Support Holds ChainShinobi predicts what they refer to as “a face-melter”, the type of rally that no one sees coming and takes the likes of Bitcoin, Dogecoin, and Ethereum to possibly new all-time highs. However, instead of using this time to call for higher prices, the analyst believes that it is the best time for investors to actually get out of the market. This pump, which the analyst refers to as an exit window, could provide investors one final chance to actually get out of the market before another price crash. This is “The moment to lock in massive profit while everyone else is busy blinding themselves with hopium and pushing their targets higher and higher… the same way they dragged their targets lower and lower right now,” the crypto analyst said. The Same Wave Every Cycle As for when the Dogecoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin prices could move into the next bear market, the crypto analyst tells investors not to expect it until next year. More precisely, ChainShinobi believes that the bear market will fully begin by the end of the first quarter of 2025. Related Reading: XRP Price At A Critical Turning Point: Analyst Maps Out Simple Rules For Breakout When the pump comes, the analyst warns that there could be an influx of bullish sentiment, with bullish news flooding the market. But it is during this time that the market is expected to turn. Essentially, the bear market is expected to begin when investors least expect it. “It’s pretty easy to see what’s coming. You don’t need to overdo TA or PA right now to see the path laid out,” the post read. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com
Data shows the Ethereum Open Interest has shot up by more than 4% following the sharp move down in the cryptocurrency’s price. Ethereum Has Seen A Pullback Over The Past Day The cryptocurrency sector as a whole has witnessed a plunge to kick off the new month, with Bitcoin and Ethereum both being down by more than 5% over the last 24 hours. ETH is back in the low $2,800 levels, having essentially retraced the recovery that it had made during the last week of November. Related Reading: Newbie Bitcoin Whales Capitulating, But Old Hands Stay Silent The sudden price decline has unleashed a wave of liquidations on the derivatives exchanges, leading to $158 million in Ethereum-related contracts being flushed. Of these, $140 million of the liquidations involved long positions alone. Below is a heatmap from CoinGlass that breaks down the liquidation numbers related to the various digital asset symbols. Interestingly, while notable liquidations have occurred, derivatives investors still haven’t become discouraged. ETH Open Interest Has Gone Up Since The Dip As pointed out by CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn in an X post, the Ethereum Open Interest has witnessed a sharp jump following the price decline. The “Open Interest” here refers to an indicator that measures the total amount of positions related to ETH that are currently open on all centralized derivatives platforms. Here is the chart shared by Maartunn that shows the trend in this metric over the past couple of days: As displayed in the above graph, the Ethereum Open Interest initially collapsed alongside the price drop as long positions suffered forceful closures. As ETH’s bearish momentum tapered off and the price settled into a sideways rhythm, however, the metric saw a gradual reversal in direction, indicating that speculators have started opening up fresh positions. Since the dip, the ETH Open Interest has gone up by almost $654 million, equivalent to an increase of 4.3%. “Looks like the gamblers are back for another round,” noted the analyst. Historically, a high value on the metric has generally been something that has led to volatility for the cryptocurrency. This is because an extreme amount of positions implies the presence of a high amount of leverage in the sector. In these conditions, any sharp swing in the asset can induce a large number of liquidations in the market. These liquidations only feed back into the price move that caused them, making it more intense. Related Reading: Bitcoin Puell Multiple Plunges, But Not Inside Bottom Zone Yet An example of this pattern was already seen during the past day. With the Ethereum Open Interest now rising again, it remains to be seen whether more volatility will follow. Featured image from Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com, CoinGlass.com, TradingView.com
Ethereum price started a fresh decline below $2,880. ETH is now attempting to recover from $2,720 but the bulls might face resistance. Ethereum started a fresh decline below $2,880 and $2,800. The price is trading below $2,850 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a short-term bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2,820 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it settles above the $2,850 zone. Ethereum Price Attempts Recovery Ethereum price failed to stay above $2,950 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin. ETH price declined below $2,880 to enter a bearish zone. The bears even pushed the price below $2,800. A low was formed at $2,718 and the price is now attempting to recover. There was a move above the $2,750 level. The price climbed above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3,052 swing high to the $2,718 low. Ethereum price is now trading below $2,850 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If there is another upward move, the price could face resistance near the $2,820 level. There is also a short-term bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2,820 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. The next key resistance is near the $2,880 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3,052 swing high to the $2,718 low. The first major resistance is near the $2,920 level. A clear move above the $2,920 resistance might send the price toward the $3,000 resistance. An upside break above the $3,000 region might call for more gains in the coming days. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $3,050 resistance zone or even $3,150 in the near term. Another Decline In ETH? If Ethereum fails to clear the $2,880 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $2,760 level. The first major support sits near the $2,740 zone. A clear move below the $2,740 support might push the price toward the $2,720 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $2,650 region in the near term. The next key support sits at $2,550 and $2,500. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is losing momentum in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now below the 50 zone. Major Support Level – $2,720 Major Resistance Level – $2,880
Ethereum lost the critical $3,000 level on Sunday, sliding toward $2,800 and triggering a new wave of fear across the market. The drop highlights a deepening corrective phase that has pushed short-term investors into heavy unrealized losses, prompting many to reassess their risk exposure. Related Reading: Bitcoin Must Break Key Supply Clusters To Regain ATH Momentum – Watch These Levels Adding to the uncertainty, fresh on-chain data has revealed renewed distribution from major holders. According to data from Arkham, shared by Lookonchain, the well-known whale 0xdECF deposited another 5,000 ETH—roughly $15.05 million—into Binance. This move expands a pattern of consistent selling pressure from large wallets, often seen during heightened market stress. While one whale does not define the broader trend, these deposits usually reinforce bearish sentiment among traders who monitor exchange inflows as a proxy for potential sell-side liquidity. Whale Distribution Deepens Amid Broader Market Anxiety Since October 28, the same whale wallet has accelerated its selling activity, unloading 25,603 ETH—approximately $85.44 million—across Binance and Galaxy Digital. Despite this aggressive distribution, the wallet still holds 10,000 ETH valued at roughly $30.34 million, leaving open the possibility of continued sell pressure if market conditions weaken further. Large-scale movements like these often signal a shift in sentiment from sophisticated holders who tend to anticipate volatility earlier than the broader market. This selling spree comes at a moment when confidence is already fragile. The recent Tether FUD, fueled by speculation around reserve transparency and potential regulatory scrutiny, has added stress to liquidity conditions. Meanwhile, renewed headlines about a supposed China Bitcoin ban have resurfaced on social media, amplifying fear across both retail traders and short-term investors. Although neither narrative reflects new fundamental risks, emotional markets often react sharply to sensational news during corrective phases. Related Reading: Bitcoin STH Loss Transfers Fall 80% From Peak – What Comes Next? Together, these factors create a backdrop where whale distributions gain outsized influence. If the remaining 10,000 ETH enters exchanges, it could deepen short-term downside pressure. Conversely, a pause in selling may suggest that the whale views current levels as near-capitulation territory, offering a potential floor for stabilization. Ethereum Price Tests Support as Downtrend Remains Intact Ethereum’s 4-hour chart shows a market still struggling to regain momentum after losing the $3,000 handle. The broader structure remains decisively bearish, with price trading below the 50 SMA, 100 SMA, and 200 SMA—a clear indication that sellers continue to control the trend. Each attempt to recover above the moving averages has been rejected, reinforcing the downtrend that began in late October and has continued through November. The recent bounce from the $2,750–$2,800 support zone shows that buyers are defending this level, but the reaction lacks conviction. Volume remains muted, and the latest attempt to reclaim $3,000 quickly failed, forming another lower high. This signals hesitation and suggests that bulls are not yet strong enough to shift market structure. Related Reading: XRP Reserves On Binance Collapse To Record Lows: Investors Move Toward Long-Term Holding The compression seen toward the end of the chart formed a small symmetrical triangle, but the breakdown that followed confirms that sellers still dominate short-term momentum. As long as ETH remains below the 200 EMA—now near $3,350—the macro trend favors continuation to the downside. If $2,800 breaks cleanly, the next liquidity pockets sit around $2,600 and $2,450, levels that could attract stronger buyer interest. For now, Ethereum must reclaim $3,000 with sustained volume to neutralize bearish pressure. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
Ethereum price started a fresh decline below $2,950. ETH is down over 5%, trading below $2,880, and might continue to move down. Ethereum started a fresh decline below $2,950 and $2,900. The price is trading below $2,880 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at $2,990 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it settles below the $2,800 zone. Ethereum Price Dips Over 5% Ethereum price failed to stay above $3,000 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin. ETH price declined below $2,880 to enter a bearish zone. There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at $2,990 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. The bears even pushed the price below $2,850. A low was formed at $2,815 and the price is showing bearish signs below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3,052 swing high to the $2,815 low. Ethereum price is now trading below $2,900 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If there is another upward move, the price could face resistance near the $2,880 level. The next key resistance is near the $2,940 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3,052 swing high to the $2,815 low. The first major resistance is near the $2,960 level. A clear move above the $2,960 resistance might send the price toward the $3,000 resistance. An upside break above the $3,000 region might call for more gains in the coming days. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $3,050 resistance zone or even $3,150 in the near term. More Losses In ETH? If Ethereum fails to clear the $2,960 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $2,820 level. The first major support sits near the $2,800 zone. A clear move below the $2,800 support might push the price toward the $2,740 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $2,720 region in the near term. The next key support sits at $2,650 and $2,620. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now below the 50 zone. Major Support Level – $2,800 Major Resistance Level – $2,940
Ethereum presently trades around $3,000 following a broader crypto market rebound in the last week. During this time, the market’s largest altcoin gained by 7.22%, providing a much-needed relief after an extended correction that dominated the majority of the last two months. As price stabilizes, crypto analytics platform XWIN Research Japan shares a forward-looking assessment of Ethereum’s outlook, especially considering developments in the futures market. Related Reading: 320 Ether On The Move: Bhutan Ramps Up Its Staking Game Ethereum Bulls Buy The Dip After Weak Position Exits Amid the widespread correction of the crypto market in Q4 2025, Ethereum’s prices crashed from $4,700 to as low as $2,900, representing a 38% price decline. XWIN Research Japan reports this price fall coincided with certain relevant developments in the futures market. In particular, Ethereum’s open interest across all exchanges dropped from $21 billion to around $17 billion in late November, as overleveraged long positions were closed down, forcing traders to open new positions with moderate leverage size. Meanwhile, funding rates stayed positive but declined to around 0.002, meaning that the dominant bullish sentiment from mid-2025 greatly reduced. Looking at on-chain data, the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) is at 1.27, while Binance data shows it to be around 1.0, both values indicating Ethereum is in a neutral to fair value zone, suggesting a period of stability before the next major trend emerges. Meanwhile, the recent market recovery kick-started after ETH retested the realized price of whale addresses, indicating that large market players are bolstering their holdings. XWIN Research Japan supports this theory, noting that Ethereum Treasury BitMine has boosted its market holdings to 3.63 million ETH. Additionally, a BlackRock client recently acquired tens of millions of dollars’ worth of ETH, further reinforcing the strength of current market demand. However, despite this robust market demand, ETH Spot ETF net outflows for November hit $1.42 billion, indicating there is significant selling pressure in the market. Related Reading: Ethereum Fusaka Will Be ‘The Most Bullish Upgrade’ Ever, Pundit Claims Ethereum Market Outlook At the time of writing, Ethereum trades at $3,003, reflecting a 0.22% loss in the past day. Despite its gains in the last week, the altcoin is still down by 22.34% over the last month, suggesting the majority of short-term holders are in losses. XWIN Research Japan explains that although the overleveraged position has been cleared out with market whales now ramping up their holding, Ethereum remains in a “bottom-building phase”. Therefore, investors should still anticipate a “choppy, sell-on-rally” price action in the short term. The analysts predict a major trend reversal with time as the current price area becomes increasingly attractive to investors for massive accumulation opportunities. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview
In the rapidly evolving landscape of digital finance, Ethereum is quickly establishing itself as the primary infrastructure for global on-chain capital markets. From tokenized bonds and money market funds to institutional liquidity rails, the world’s capital is beginning to migrate to an ecosystem where transactions are programmable, auditable, and borderless. Why Is Ethereum Chosen As The Default Choice For Global Rails The global capital markets are moving on-chain to Ethereum because it is credibly neutral. ETH has never experienced downtime, and it possesses the economic security necessary to support the world’s financial system. Investor and founder of GM42NFT, Captain GM, has stated that ETH is not fast enough to support trading because it wasn’t built for it. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Falls 25% But On-Chain Data and Institutional Staking Signal Q4 Recovery Potential However, the attempts to build a genuinely fast on-chain trading environment have consistently led teams to centralize significant parts of the trading system. This move creates security, reliability, and neutrality concerns for a system designed to be global. These compromises are in direct conflict with the very benefits that ETH provides, and make it the chosen blockchain for global finance. This is where Raya Network steps in to solve these issues at the core. Raya is delivering a decentralized exchange (DEX) with institutional-grade execution speed and Ethereum-level security. It’s a platform that is as fast as TradFi and remains simultaneously secure, reliable, and credibly neutral as exactly DeFi should be. “Fast is easy, decentralized is hard, and it’s only Reya that does both,” Captain GM noted. Analyst Alucard mentioned that the Raya network has become one of the few projects that genuinely solves the speed and security problem. The sub-millisecond execution speeds, trades are fully verified on ETH, and there’s no dependence on a single sequencer. This is an engineered combination designed for real progress in the space. However, over 45% of the token supply is allocated to the community. Reya, combined with the ETH buyback mechanism, creates an ecosystem that’s aligned both technically and economically. They’re building something fast and secure, and because of that, Reya sits in a different category. Why Reya’s Design Feels More Like A New Standard Than Another DEX A trader and ambassador of Somnia, Onur, has also explained that his experience with Reya feels like a full redesign of on-chain execution rather than a small improvement. It offers sub-millisecond fills, unified margin, Ethereum security with ZK settlement, and smooth flow through EigenDA. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Attempts Fresh Recovery as Bullish Pressure Builds According to Onur, the peer-to-pool model keeps trades consistent, efficient, and free from bottlenecks or hidden edges. As a result of this approach, Reya isn’t just another venue anymore, and it’s actively becoming the new execution standard for DeFi. Featured image from Peakpx, chart from Tradingview.com
Ethereum (ETH) has joined Bitcoin (BTC) in a notable price recovery, managing to reclaim the $3,000 mark. This resurgence could signify a pivotal moment for the altcoin, suggesting a potential new upward trend. However, investors remain divided on whether ETH may face further declines or if a year-end rebound could reignite bullish sentiment. ETH’s December Struggles In order to anticipate Ethereum’s probable moves in December, Alex Carchidi, an analyst at The Motley Fool, notes that this month has traditionally been a difficult month for the cryptocurrency. Since 2016, Ethereum has only concluded December higher than it started in four of the nine years studied. In the remaining five cases, the month ended in negative territory. The average December return throughout this span is about 7%, indicating that a strong “Santa rally” is improbable. The median performance shows a 6% drop. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Climbs Back To $91,000: Is The Decline Over? Key Levels To Watch Examining the relationship between November and December reveals a more intriguing pattern. Between 2016 and 2024, when November has been weak for ETH, December often followed suit, with three out of four instances showing declines. The only outlier was in 2018, when Ethereum rebounded in December after a particularly harsh downturn in November. This historical context suggests that a poor performance in November could carry over into December, making a cheerful month less probable. But while December’s performance has historically been mixed, the beginning of the year has typically shown strong potential for the Ethereum price, particularly in the first and second quarters. In fact, average returns tend to peak in the first quarter at around 77% and the second quarter at approximately 64%, indicating that there may still be significant growth on the horizon for the leading altcoin. Tom Lee Foresees Ethereum Surging To $7,000 Amidst this hypothetical scenario, Tom Lee, chairman of BitMine Immersion Technologies and a major industry advocate, predicts a bright future for Ethereum in the near and long term. The executive believes that the cryptocurrency could surge to $7,000 per coin heading into the first quarter of 2026, reflecting a nearly 150% price surge from its current value. Related Reading: Metaplanet In Jeopardy: Bitcoin Needs To Surpass $108,000 By December 18 To Prevent New Crisis Lee is even more optimistic about the long term, predicting that if his vision for a decentralized financial system materializes, the Ethereum price could soar by 2,090% to reach $62,000 by 2035. After a challenging year in which ETH significantly underperformed its peers, it has shown increased resilience, especially following the recent crash in crypto prices that saw the token’s valuation drop to $2,600 last Friday. Currently, ETH is trading just above $3,000. While this is not bullish enough to outpace the recent crash, ETH is positioned to recover significantly if demand and capital flow back into exchange-traded funds (ETFs) as the year comes to a close. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
Ethereum price started a recovery wave and surged above $3,000. ETH might continue to rise if it clears the $3,080 resistance. Ethereum started a recovery wave above $2,980 and $3,000. The price is trading above $2,960 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $2,950 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it settles above the $3,080 zone. Ethereum Price Eyes More Gains Ethereum price managed to stay above $2,880 and started a recovery wave, like Bitcoin. ETH price was able to climb above the $2,920 and $2,950 levels. The bulls were able to push the price above the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3,165 swing high to the $2,620 low. The bulls even pumped the price above $3,000 but they struggled to clear the $3,080 zone. The price failed to settle above the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3,165 swing high to the $2,620 low. Ethereum price is now trading above $2,960 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. Besides, there is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $2,950 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. If there is another upward move, the price could face resistance near the $3,050 level. The next key resistance is near the $3,080 level. The first major resistance is near the $3,120 level. A clear move above the $3,120 resistance might send the price toward the $3,165 resistance. An upside break above the $3,165 region might call for more gains in the coming days. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $3,220 resistance zone or even $3,250 in the near term. Another Decline In ETH? If Ethereum fails to clear the $3,080 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $2,950 level. The first major support sits near the $2,880 zone. A clear move below the $2,880 support might push the price toward the $2,840 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $2,800 region in the near term. The next key support sits at $2,750 and $2,740. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is losing momentum in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now below the 50 zone. Major Support Level – $2,950 Major Resistance Level – $3,080
Ethereum (ETH) is attempting to bounce from the market’s Q4 correction, retesting the $3,000 barrier once again. As we approach the end of November, some market observers have suggested that the end-of-year rally may still be possible in the coming weeks. Related Reading: XRP ETFs Outshine BTC, ETH, And SOL Funds With $164M Single-Day Inflows Ethereum Eyes $3,000 Ahead Of Key Upgrade On Wednesday, Ethereum experienced a 4.4% daily surge, retesting the $3,000 level for the first time in nearly a week. The cryptocurrency has been trading within the $2,680-$2,980 price range amid the latest market-wide correction, which also saw Bitcoin (BTC) lose some crucial support levels. At the start of the week, the King of Altcoins broke above the $2,900 area, attempting to retest the next key resistance over the past two days but ultimately failing to reclaim it. Analyst Ted Pillows highlighted this performance, noting that ETH “tapped the $2,950-$3,000 zone again and got rejected.” Per the post, until Ethereum successfully reclaims this level, “the chances of a new low are high.” On the contrary, if the cryptocurrency breaks above this zone with strong volume in the coming days, investors could “expect a rally towards the $3,400 level.” The analyst also suggested that the altcoin could see a remarkable recovery rally next week, driven by the upcoming Fusaka upgrade. As he explained, ETH soared around 50% after the network’s Pectra upgrade in May. As reported by NewsBTC, the upgrade introduced a series of improvements to increase transaction capacity, enhance efficiency, and reduce system stress. Following the implementation, the cryptocurrency rallied from the $1,800 level to the $2,700 area in a week, which was later followed by an 80% jump in Q3 to its latest all-time high (ATH) of $4,946. Now, the Fusaka upgrade is the network’s biggest update since The Merge and is expected to come on December 3, “to relieve one of the network’s most pressing bottlenecks: data availability for rollups,” VanEck explained in October. Based on this, Ted Pillows suggested that if ETH repeats its post-Pectra performance with the new upgrade, the altcoin’s price could soar above the $4,000 resistance in the next few weeks. End-Of-Year Rally Underway? Market watcher Merlijn The Trader also suggested that Ethereum could see another leg up soon, as it is “repeating a textbook wave structure” it has printed multiple times since hitting the bear market bottom in mid-2022. “Wave 1: Kicked off the cycle. Wave 2: Is shaking weak hands. wave 3: Where parabolas form,” the trader explained on X, noting that ETH could be ending its corrective move and potentially see another rally in the coming weeks. “This pattern printed 3 times before. Each time, ETH went vertical. Now it’s flashing again,” he stated. Similarly, Michaël van de Poppe highlighted Ethereum’s trading pair against Bitcoin, affirming that investors should keep an eye on the chart. Notably, ETH is retesting a multi-month downtrend line resistance against BTC, and could “see a strong breakout upwards in the coming weeks.” “This cycle is far from over,” van de Poppe added. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s November Crash To Continue If This Level Isn’t Reclaimed, Analyst Warns Meanwhile, Rekt Capital noted that Ethereum Dominance continues to occupy an area that served as a consolidation zone before the 2021 rally. “As long as ETHDOM can maintain itself above 10.05% then it should be positioned for higher market dominance levels over time,” the analyst concluded. As of this writing, ETH trades at $3,023, a 2% increase in the weekly timeframe. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
Ethereum price started a recovery wave and surged above $3,0000. ETH might continue to rise if it clears the $3,120 resistance. Ethereum started a recovery wave above $2,950 and $3,000. The price is trading above $3,000 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $2,880 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it settles above the $3,120 zone. Ethereum Price Rallies Over 5% Ethereum price managed to stay above $2,850 and started a recovery wave, like Bitcoin. ETH price was able to climb above the $2,880 and $2,950 levels. The bulls were able to push the price above the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3,165 swing high to the $2,620 low. More importantly, the price surged above $3,000. Besides, there is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $2,880 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. Ethereum price is now trading above $3,000 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. It is also above the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3,165 swing high to the $2,620 low. If there is another upward move, the price could face resistance near the $3,120 level. The next key resistance is near the $3,150 level. The first major resistance is near the $3,165 level. A clear move above the $3,165 resistance might send the price toward the $3,220 resistance. An upside break above the $3,220 region might call for more gains in the coming days. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $3,320 resistance zone or even $3,350 in the near term. Another Decline In ETH? If Ethereum fails to clear the $3,150 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $2,980 level. The first major support sits near the $2,920 zone. A clear move below the $2,920 support might push the price toward the $2,840 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $2,800 region in the near term. The next key support sits at $2,750 and $2,740. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now above the 50 zone. Major Support Level – $2,980 Major Resistance Level – $3,150
Ethereum continues to trade below the critical $3,000 level as selling pressure intensifies and fear dominates sentiment across the crypto market. The broader downturn has pushed ETH nearly 40% below its August all-time high, raising concerns that the asset may be entering a prolonged bearish phase. Analysts who were once confident in a continued rally are now shifting their tone, warning that market structure, volatility, and liquidity conditions are beginning to resemble early-stage bear market behavior. Related Reading: Bitcoin Short Squeeze Flushes Out Late Longers as Funding Turns Negative: Classic Capitulation Signal At the same time, investor confidence is being further tested by fresh on-chain activity showing large holders reducing exposure. According to data from Lookonchain, an Ethereum ICO participant has sold another 20,000 ETH, valued at approximately $58.14 million, through FalconX just a few hours ago. With selling pressure accelerating, derivatives sentiment weakening, and long-term holders beginning to reduce positions, Ethereum now sits at a pivotal moment. Bulls must reclaim the $3,000 region to stabilize momentum, while bears argue that a deeper correction could unfold if support continues to erode. ICO Whale Selling Raises Pressure as Ethereum Awaits Direction According to Lookonchain, the wallet behind the latest sale — identified as address 0x2eb0 — is no ordinary holder. This Ethereum OG received 254,908 ETH during the ICO, paying just $79,000 at the time. At today’s prices, that allocation is worth roughly $757 million, highlighting the scale of unrealized gains still held by early participants. The recent sale of 20,000 ETH suggests that even long-standing holders with substantial profit cushions are beginning to offload coins, adding to the already fragile market environment. This selling activity is particularly impactful given the current sentiment. Ethereum has already fallen sharply from its highs, leverage has unwound across derivatives markets, and retail confidence has thinned. When an early participant with a cost basis near zero begins distributing, it sends a psychological signal that further downside is possible. Yet, some analysts argue that these sales may simply represent portfolio rotation rather than a long-term bearish stance. The coming days will be decisive, as investors watch whether Ethereum can stabilize and rebound or if selling pressure accelerates. A recovery above $3,000 could revive optimism and reset momentum, while continued weakness risks confirming a deeper downtrend for both ETH and the broader market. Related Reading: XRP OI Collapses to Lowest Level Since Nov 2024: Binance Data Shows Liquidity Is Fading Breakdown, Weak Structure, and Fragile Bounce Attempt Ethereum’s weekly chart reveals a clear deterioration in trend structure following the sharp rejection from the $4,400 region and the subsequent breakdown below the $3,200 support zone. The selloff pushed ETH toward the mid-$2,700s before a modest rebound, but the price remains below key moving averages, signaling that momentum continues to favor sellers. The 50-week moving average has rolled over, while the 100-week and 200-week moving averages now sit overhead, forming layered resistance that could cap any recovery attempts in the short term. Related Reading: Bitmine Scoops Up Another 28,625 Ethereum ($82.1M) as Market Bleeds – Details Volume during the decline expanded noticeably, indicating active distribution rather than passive drifting. The most recent candle shows a small bounce, but with no strong volume follow-through, suggesting hesitation and lack of conviction among buyers. For Ethereum to regain bullish structure, reclaiming the $3,000–$3,200 area is essential, as this zone acted as a pivotal support throughout earlier phases of the cycle and now threatens to flip into resistance. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
Ethereum’s price has spent the past several days under intense pressure. The leading altcoin has broken below $3,000 and is now probing deeper into ranges that were previously considered secondary support. The latest technical read points to a single leverage point on the chart that now determines whether this recovery attempt can continue or whether the market is preparing for another leg lower. Where The Real Leverage Sits: $2,830 To $2,835 Ethereum’s price decline in November recently pushed it into a demand zone around $2,680 on November 21, where buyers finally stepped in to produce a 10% rebound back up to $2,970. The RSI trendline, which had been sloping downward for weeks, has now been reclaimed. This shift is significant because it indicates that momentum is no longer deteriorating at the same pace as before. Related Reading: Ethereum Dead Cat Bounce Puts Price At $3,400, But What’s The Ultimate Target? Even with that bounce, the cryptocurrency has not fully escaped danger. This is based on a technical outlook by a crypto analyst known as Umair Crypto on the social media platform X. The most important finding in the technical analysis is not the bounce itself but the location of the largest recent whale orders. Roughly 4,000 to 5,000 ETH blocks were executed between $2,830 and $2,835. That narrow band has now become the market’s true leverage point. As long as the Ethereum price is trading above $2,835, these whales are in profit. The psychological impact of that cannot be overstated, as large players do not usually abandon positions that are above their entry zone. This is why the price has repeatedly reacted within tight candles around this level, and there is always a possibility for a rebound if Ethereum continues to hold this area. Momentum will build naturally as trapped shorts unwind and sidelined buyers follow the strength in trading volume and RSI. The Bigger Breakdown Starts Below $2,770 Failure to hold above the leverage zone between $2,830 and $2,835 will lead directly into the second important leverage at $2,770. If Ethereum were to close below this level, the same whales who supported the bounce would instantly become vulnerable. Their positions would move underwater, and many of them may be forced to become sellers. Related Reading: Why Are The Bitcoin, Ethereum, And Dogecoin Prices Down Again? This zone is visible with the clusters of red circles visible at lower points on the short-term chart below. A breakdown under $2,770 would reopen the lower part of the support box and drag Ethereum back to its lowest price level since June. Ethereum is currently trading at $2,908, up by 1.5% in the past 24 hours and just a little bit above the recognized leverage zone between $2,830 and $2,835. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
Ethereum price started a recovery wave above $2,880. ETH might gain bullish momentum if it manages to settle above the $3,000 resistance. Ethereum started a recovery wave above $2,850 and $2,880. The price is trading above $2,900 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $2,950 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it settles above the $3,000 zone. Ethereum Price Eyes Upside Break Ethereum price managed to stay above $2,750 and started a recovery wave, like Bitcoin. ETH price was able to climb above the $2,800 and $2,850 levels. The bulls were able to push the price above the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3,058 swing high to the $2,620 low. Besides, there was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $2,950 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. Ethereum price is now trading above $2,840 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. It is also above the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3,058 swing high to the $2,620 low. If there is another recovery wave, the price could face resistance near the $2,980 level. The next key resistance is near the $3,000 level. The first major resistance is near the $3,060 level. A clear move above the $3,060 resistance might send the price toward the $3,150 resistance. An upside break above the $3,150 region might call for more gains in the coming days. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $3,220 resistance zone or even $3,250 in the near term. Another Decline In ETH? If Ethereum fails to clear the $3,000 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $2,920 level. The first major support sits near the $2,880 zone. A clear move below the $2,880 support might push the price toward the $2,800 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $2,740 region in the near term. The next key support sits at $2,650 and $2,620. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now above the 50 zone. Major Support Level – $2,880 Major Resistance Level – $3,000
Ethereum price started a recovery wave above $2,850. ETH faces resistance near $3,000 and might start a fresh decline in the near term. Ethereum started a recovery wave above $2,800 and $2,850. The price is trading above $2,850 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2,970 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it settles below the $2,840 zone. Ethereum Price Faces Resistance Ethereum price managed to stay above $2,650 and started a recovery wave, like Bitcoin. ETH price was able to climb above the $2,740 and $2,800 levels. The bulls were able to push the price above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3,058 swing high to the $2,620 low. However, the bears seem to be active below the $3,000 resistance zone. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2,970 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. Ethereum price is now trading above $2,840 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If there is another recovery wave, the price could face resistance near the $2,950 level and the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3,058 swing high to the $2,620 low. The next key resistance is near the $2,970 level. The first major resistance is near the $3,000 level. A clear move above the $3,000 resistance might send the price toward the $3,050 resistance. An upside break above the $3,050 region might call for more gains in the coming days. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $3,120 resistance zone or even $3,250 in the near term. Another Drop In ETH? If Ethereum fails to clear the $2,950 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $2,840 level. The first major support sits near the $2,780 zone. A clear move below the $2,780 support might push the price toward the $2,740 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $2,650 region in the near term. The next key support sits at $2,550 and $2,500. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is losing momentum in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now above the 50 zone. Major Support Level – $2,800 Major Resistance Level – $2,950
Ethereum is fighting to hold the $2,800 level after a brutal correction that has erased more than 45% of its value since late August. The sharp decline has flipped market sentiment decisively bearish, with many traders fearing that ETH has entered a prolonged downtrend. Bulls are struggling to establish a reliable support level, and the lack of strong buy-side reaction so far has only intensified uncertainty. Liquidity continues to thin out across major exchanges, reinforcing the narrative that the market is still deep in a risk-off phase. Related Reading: Anti-CZ Whale Loses Big: $61M in Profit Wiped Out As Ethereum and XRP Longs Collapse Yet, despite the heavy selling pressure and underwhelming price performance, not all major players are stepping back. In fact, some are doubling down. Fresh on-chain data from Lookonchain reveals that Tom Lee’s Bitmine — a well-known crypto-focused investment operation—continues to buy ETH aggressively at current prices. Bitmine has been one of the few entities consistently adding to its position during the downturn, signaling strong conviction that Ethereum remains undervalued in the long term. This divergence between retail fear and whale accumulation is becoming increasingly notable. As ETH hovers around a critical psychological level, the coming days may determine whether this whale’s confidence translates into broader market stabilization or remains an isolated bet against the prevailing trend. Bitmine’s Aggressive Accumulation Signals Confidence According to Lookonchain, Tom Lee’s Bitmine has continued its aggressive accumulation, purchasing another 28,625 ETH worth $82.11 million. This move reinforces the growing narrative that some of the market’s most sophisticated players are positioning for a rebound despite the prevailing fear and relentless selling pressure. Large-scale buying during deep corrections has historically aligned with early reversal zones, and Bitmine’s conviction adds weight to the idea that Ethereum may be approaching a significant turning point. Still, a recovery is far from guaranteed. ETH remains trapped near the $2,800 zone, a level that has acted as a fragile line of defense during this downturn. For momentum to shift, Ethereum must not only hold this area but also reclaim the $3,000 mark, which has now flipped into an important resistance zone. A decisive move above this level would signal that buyers are finally stepping back in with strength, potentially setting the stage for a broader trend reversal. Until then, the situation remains delicate. Bitmine’s accumulation offers a bullish signal, but without confirmation from price structure, Ethereum continues to walk a tightrope. A failure to hold current levels could invite another wave of capitulation, but stability here may spark the rebound whales seem to be anticipating. Related Reading: STH Panic Emerges as Bitcoin Crashes To $81K: Realized P/L Turns Negative For The First Time This Cycle Testing a Major Weekly Support Zone Ethereum’s weekly chart shows the asset sitting on a critical support zone after a steep decline from the $4,800 region. Price has now pulled back to around $2,800, a level that aligns closely with the 200-week moving average—a historically important area where ETH has often found long-term support. This zone previously acted as a launchpad during major market reversals in both 2022 and mid-2023, making its defense crucial for maintaining broader structural strength. The recent breakdown below the 50- and 100-week moving averages highlights the intensity of the current selloff. Momentum clearly shifted in favor of bears over the past weeks, with several large red candles confirming aggressive distribution. However, ETH’s current stabilization attempt above the 200-week MA signals that buyers are finally stepping in, preventing a deeper slide toward $2,400. Related Reading: Bitcoin OG Owen Gunden Deposits Final 2,499 BTC ($228M) to Kraken – Details If Ethereum can hold above this support area and reclaim the psychological $3,000 level, a recovery structure could begin to form. But if the 200-week MA breaks convincingly, the market could face a more prolonged correction. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
Ethereum price failed to stay above $2,800 and tested $2,620. ETH is now attempting to recover but faces resistance near $2,890. Ethereum started a fresh decline after it failed to stay above $2,800. The price is trading near $2,840 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2,960 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it settles below the $2,720 zone. Ethereum Price Attempts Recovery Ethereum price failed to continue higher above $3,000 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin. ETH price dipped below $2,880 and entered a bearish zone. The decline gathered pace below $2,800 and the price dipped below $2,700. A low was formed at $2,621 and the price is now attempting to recover. There was a move above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $3,058 swing high to the $2,621 low. Ethereum price is now trading near $2,840 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If there is another recovery wave, the price could face resistance near the $2,890 level and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $3,058 swing high to the $2,621 low. The next key resistance is near the $2,920 level. The first major resistance is near the $2,950 level. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2,960 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. A clear move above the $2,960 resistance might send the price toward the $3,020 resistance. An upside break above the $3,020 region might call for more gains in the coming days. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $3,120 resistance zone or even $3,250 in the near term. Another Drop In ETH? If Ethereum fails to clear the $2,890 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $2,800 level. The first major support sits near the $2,720 zone. A clear move below the $2,720 support might push the price toward the $2,650 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $2,620 region in the near term. The next key support sits at $2,550 and $2,500. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is losing momentum in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now above the 50 zone. Major Support Level – $2,720 Major Resistance Level – $2,890
Ethereum has been a major victim of the ongoing crypto market onslaught, recording a 27.63% loss in the last month alone. The largest altcoin now trades around $2,800, representing a significant fall from the local cycle peak around $4,800. As prices continue to tumble with each new drop triggering waves of liquidation, analyst Ali Martinez has postulated on a market bottom target. Related Reading: Ethereum Golden Pocket In Play – Can ETH Turn The Tide Above $2,800? ETH MVRV Pricing Bands Reveal Potential 28% Decline Ahead In an X post on November 22, Martinez shares critical on-chain data that suggests Ethereum may be headed for a local bottom target around $2,000. For context, the MVRV Pricing Bands are valuation bands derived from the MVRV ratio and Realized Price (RP), designed to indicate when a cryptocurrency (such as ETH) is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued based on its on-chain investor cost basis. This on-chain metric reveals a set of price levels calculated by multiplying ETH’s Realized Price by different fixed multiples (e.g., 0.8x, 1.0x, 2.4x, 3.2x), with each band representing a different degree of under- or over-valuation relative to the average investor’s cost basis. Using historical data on this metric, Martinez has identified that Ethereum tends to form a local bottom only when it dips below the lowest pricing band, i.e., 0.8× RP band (blue line). This pattern has consistently played out over the past three years, with clear examples in June 2022, December 2022, and most recently in March 2025. Notably, the current 0.8x RP band stands at $2,007.08. If ETH is repeating historical behavior, then investors should expect another 28% correction from the present market levels to $2000 before a price rebound kicks in. Related Reading: Pundit Reveals Why XRP Price At $1,000 Is Not A Dream – ‘It’s Math’ ETH RP Indicates Investors Remain In Profit — But Not For Long The Realized Price is defined as the average acquisition price of all circulating ETH tokens. It can be described as the true on-chain value of ETH, with any price gain above this level indicating a profit for an average investor and vice versa for a loss. According to Martinez’s on-chain analysis, ETH’s current market price is barely above its realized price at $2,508. While this observation suggests most investors are still in profit, the recent corrections and the extended downtrend indicate a cause for worry, especially as positive market sentiment gets increasingly weaker. While a price fall below $2,500 may pull so many investors into losses, it could also accelerate the token’s decline to $2,000 and trigger a price rebound. Looking at potential mid-cycle targets, this next bullish wave could push Ethereum to trade around $6,021. At press time, Ethereum is valued at $2,820, reflecting a slight 1.73% gain in the last day. Featured image from Flickr, chart from Tradingview