Bitmine, the world’s largest Ethereum treasury, has ramped up its ETH buying during the latest crypto market correction, making the company’s largest purchase of 2026 to date. Related Reading: Analyst Charts Ethereum Long-Term Roadmap To $16,000 – There’s No Need To Panic Bitmine Doubles Down On Ethereum On Monday, Bitmine Immersion Technologies announced it had bought over 126,971 ETH, worth roughly $214 million, during last week’s dip, marking the treasury’s largest purchase so far this year. Now, Bitmine’s crypto and cash holdings sit at $9.6 billion at current prices, comprised of 5,543,872 ETH at $1,630 per ETH, 204 Bitcoin (BTC), a $180 million stake in Beast Industries, an $88 million stake in Eightco Holdings as part of its “Moonshots” initiative, and total cash worth $247 million. In a statement, Bitmine’s Chairman, Tom Lee, explained that the firm saw the recent price dip, which sent Ethereum to a one-year low of $1,505 on Sunday, as a buying opportunity, arguing that Ethereum’s fundamentals are strengthening. “We increased our buying as we believe this pullback in ETH prices does not reflect the strengthening of Ethereum fundamentals. This is not surprising given we are in the early stages of crypto spring,” he said. Lee argued that the broader crypto market sell-off was a “superficial take,” driven more by short‑term panic than by real weakness. He also affirmed that the recent Zcash Orchard incident strengthens Ethereum’s use case. AI systems are going to find flaws in centralized financial services rails and weak decentralized protocols. We believe this actually strengthens the use case and product market fit for hardened and reliable decentralized blockchains like Ethereum. Therefore, the treasury firm believes that “ETH prices should not be coming under pressure,” he added. After the latest purchase, the firm’s ETH holdings have reached 4.59% of the altcoin’s total supply. Lee expects the company to reach its 5% supply goal “sometime in 2026.” ETH Eyes Key Technical Level Despite Bitmine’s continuous bet on Ethereum, the king of altcoins has struggled over the past week, retracing roughly 15% and losing the February lows for the first time in four months. Market observer Ash Crypto noted that ETH is repeating a setup that was seen once before during the last bear market. “Back in June 2022, ETH broke through every support level and crashed to $880. Everyone gave up on it. That turned out to be the exact bottom of the whole bear market,” he wrote. This time, Ethereum has retraced 68% from its 2025 peak and broken through every support level after losing the 200-week Moving Average (MA), which sits around $2,471. Now, the next key support to watch is at $1,500, which could determine whether ETH repeats its previous playbook. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Worst Week Of 2026 Is Happening Right Now — QCP Explains Why The Bottom Isn’t In Yet If ETH holds $1,500, the market watcher believes that the setup could play out exactly like in 2022, which led to a 5x over the next 18 months. On the contrary, if Ethereum loses the $1,500 in the weekly timeframe, he suggested the price could fall all the way to the $1,000 area, where the next major support zone is located. As of this writing, ETH is trading at $1,687, a 4.8% increase in the daily timeframe. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
Ethereum price started a recovery wave above the $1,620 zone. ETH is now consolidating and struggling to continue higher above the $1,700 resistance. Ethereum started a recovery wave above the $1,620 zone. The price is trading below $1,680 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break below a bullish trend line with support at $1,685 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could start a fresh decline if it stays below the $1,700 zone. Ethereum Price Fails To Extend Recovery Ethereum price started a recovery wave above the $1,520 zone, like Bitcoin. ETH price was able to surpass and settle above the $1,620 resistance. The price surpassed the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2,005 swing high to the $1,505 swing low. However, the bears remained active near the $1,700 resistance. As a result, there was a fresh bearish reaction. Besides, there was a break below a bullish trend line with support at $1,685 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. Ethereum price is now trading below $1,680 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If the bulls remain in action above $1,650, the price could attempt another increase. Immediate resistance is seen near the $1,680 level. The first key resistance is near the $1,700 level. The next major resistance is near the $1,750 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2,005 swing high to the $1,505 swing low. A clear move above the $1,750 resistance might send the price toward the $1,800 resistance. An upside break above the $1,800 region might call for more gains in the coming days. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $1,840 resistance zone or even $1,880 in the near term. Downside Continuation In ETH? If Ethereum fails to clear the $1,700 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $1,650 level. The first major support sits near the $1,620 zone. A clear move below the $1,620 support might push the price toward the $1,580 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $1,550 region. The main support could be $1,500. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now below the 50 zone. Major Support Level – $1,650 Major Resistance Level – $1,700
Ethereum has reclaimed the $1,650 level after the massive drop that defined last week’s market action — a recovery attempt that has provided some relief after a correction that tested the resolve of even the most conviction-driven holders. The bounce is welcome — but data from Arkham Intelligence has surfaced the trading history of a wallet that made the drop look like exactly what it was: an anticipated event rather than a surprise. Related Reading: Why Did Bitcoin Crash? On-Chain Data Points To One Missing Ingredient The wallet — identified as belonging to an Ethereum OG, a holder whose history with the asset extends back to the earliest phases of its existence — executed a series of exits before the crash that, in retrospect, represent one of the most precisely timed large-scale risk reductions visible in the on-chain data. Before the breakdown, the wallet sold 60,000 ETH worth approximately $117.25 million and 9,442 wstETH worth approximately $24 million — both at an average price of $2,040. In the same period, the wallet also sold 600 WBTC worth approximately $47.12 million at an average price of $78,538. The combined exit totaled approximately $188 million across three separate assets — all executed at prices that now look prescient given where both Ethereum and Bitcoin have traded since. The wallet did not reduce risk after the crash. It reduced risk before it — and the precision of that timing is the detail that makes the Arkham data worth examining in full. The Trade Executed Perfectly The Arkham data reveals the second half of the strategy that makes the full sequence remarkable. After exiting approximately $188 million across ETH, wstETH, and WBTC before the crash, the wallet waited — and then rebuilt the entire position at the prices the crash delivered. On the Bitcoin side, 611 WBTC was repurchased at an average price of $63,280 — compared to the $78,538 average at which the position was sold. The difference between those two prices represents approximately $9,300 per coin captured across 611 tokens — roughly $5.7 million in realized spread on the Bitcoin leg alone. Ethereum OG Whale timing the market | Source: Arkham On the Ethereum side, 60,088 ETH and 10,000 wstETH were repurchased at an average price of $1,606 — compared to the $2,040 average at which the combined position was liquidated. The $434 difference per ETH across approximately 70,000 tokens represents roughly $30 million in additional value captured through the round trip. The complete trade — sell the top, wait through the crash, buy the bottom — executed across three assets simultaneously and totaling nearly $160 million in repurchased exposure, describes a level of market timing and conviction that the on-chain data makes impossible to dismiss as coincidence. This was not luck. It was a plan — and the Arkham data shows every step of it. Related Reading: Solana Treasury Bet Turns Sour: Firm Sits On $1.13B Unrealized Loss Ethereum Price Tests New Cycle Lows As Breakdown Accelerates Ethereum remains under intense selling pressure after losing the critical $1,800 support zone and collapsing toward the $1,500–$1,600 range. The daily chart shows a clear bearish market structure, with ETH trading below the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages, all of which continue to slope downward. This alignment confirms that momentum remains firmly in favor of sellers despite the recent rebound attempt. Ethereum loses key support level | Source: ETHUSDT chart on TradingView The most significant technical development is the decisive breakdown below the February support zone around $1,800–$1,900. That area acted as a major demand region for nearly four months, repeatedly absorbing selling pressure during March, April, and May. Its failure signals that buyers have lost control of one of the most important support levels of the current cycle. Related Reading: HYPE Defies Market Selloff As Whales Withdraw Another $108M From Exchanges While ETH has managed a modest bounce from the recent low near $1,520, the recovery remains weak relative to the magnitude of the selloff. For bulls, the first challenge is reclaiming $1,800, which now acts as overhead resistance after the breakdown. As long as Ethereum remains below that former support zone and below its major moving averages, rallies are likely to be viewed as relief bounces rather than trend reversals. The current price structure suggests the market is still searching for a durable bottom after recording its lowest levels since the February capitulation event. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
Ethereum’s crash below $1,500 over the weekend has pushed sentiment into one of its most fearful phases since the previous bear market, but crypto analyst Crypto Patel believes the current selloff should be viewed through a longer lens. The analyst’s roadmap places ETH inside a broad accumulation range, with the chart showing that the same movement as previous Ethereum tops and bottoms is still playing out, and Ethereum might be declining into an accumulation zone. Ethereum Enters Panic Zone As Price Revisits $1,500 Ethereum’s weekend drop has brought ETH close to $1,500, extending a painful correction that has already erased a large part of the gains since its August 2025 ATH. Recent market data from TradingView shows ETH briefly touched $1,505 on Saturday, June 6, during a crypto market-wide selloff, a move that has increased panic among traders, as evidenced by various posts on social media platforms. Related Reading: Institutions Are Loading Up On XRP, But Liquidity Tells A Different Story Crypto Patel’s reaction to the decline was that panic selling is not the answer. Technical analysis of the 2-week candlestick timeframe chart shows that Ethereum is now trading close to a zone where long-term investors should begin thinking in terms of staged accumulation, not emotional exits. Patel placed his preferred ETH/USDT accumulation range between $1,550 and $1,000, noting that the bottom could be in this zone, but no one can accurately call the exact bottom. The chart attached to his outlook, which was posted on the social media platform X, shows Ethereum trading on top of a green accumulation zone above the $1,000 support area. Ethereum 2-Week Price Chart. Source: @CryptoPatel On X This range is the strong support, and any downside from the current price levels will be limited to $1,000. However, a break below $1,000, if it happens, will only last a few days as a final liquidation move to force weaker holders out. Long-Term Roadmap To $16,000 Ethereum’s full price history, viewed through an Elliott Wave structure, shows the 2017 and 2021 peaks as major cycle tops within two separate cycles. The current price action is classified as a Wave 4 correction in a five-impulse wave count that started after the 2021 top. Wave 4 is a correction to a major accumulation point before a projected Wave 5 expansion phase into 2026 and 2027. Related Reading: Here’s How High The Bitcoin Price Will Climb If It Breaks The Current Bear Trend Patel’s roadmap places $3,945 as a major resistance level, which is close to the zone that capped several rallies after the 2021 peak. A breakout recovery above that price level would likely be the first confirmation that Ethereum has moved out of the accumulation structure and back into a larger bullish Wave 5 phase. The projected Wave 5 extension targets $16,000, timed to a cycle top between 2026 and 2027. Patel also stated that ETH above $10,000, and possibly even $20,000, are possible over the long term. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Ethereum price started a recovery wave above the $1,600 zone. ETH is now consolidating and might rally if there is a clear move above the $1,750 resistance. Ethereum started a recovery wave above the $1,600 zone. The price is trading above $1,620 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $1,600 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could start a fresh decline if it stays below the $1,750 zone. Ethereum Price Aims for Upside Break Ethereum price remained bid above the $1,500 support zone, like Bitcoin. ETH price formed a base and started a recovery wave above the $1,600 resistance. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $1,600 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. The price surpassed the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2,005 swing high to the $1,505 swing low. Ethereum price is now trading above $1,620 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If the bulls remain in action above $1,600, the price could attempt another increase. Immediate resistance is seen near the $1,700 level. The first key resistance is near the $1,750 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2,005 swing high to the $1,505 swing low. The next major resistance is near the $1,800 level. A clear move above the $1,800 resistance might send the price toward the $1,885 resistance. An upside break above the $1,885 region might call for more gains in the coming days. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $1,920 resistance zone or even $2,000 in the near term. Another Drop In ETH? If Ethereum fails to clear the $1,750 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $1,650 level. The first major support sits near the $1,620 zone. A clear move below the $1,620 support might push the price toward the $1,600 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $1,550 region. The main support could be $1,500. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now above the 50 zone. Major Support Level – $1,620 Major Resistance Level – $1,750
Ethereum is approaching a critical technical crossroads as bearish momentum continues to weigh on price action. With a major support zone now under intense pressure, traders are closely watching whether bulls can defend this level or if a breakdown will open the door to a deeper decline. Bear Flag Breakdown Keeps Ethereum Under Pressure Ethereum continues to slide, aligning with the broader bearish sentiment currently dominating the market. According to analysis from More Crypto Online, the asset’s recent breakdown from a previously identified bear flag and rejection of the yellow trendline strengthen the hypothesis that the significant B-wave rally peaked back in April. These technical failures serve as strong indicators that the prevailing trend remains firmly to the downside. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Downtrend May Not Be Over—Sub-$1,700 Levels Loom The leading scenario currently suggests that Ethereum is developing within a larger C-wave decline, with major support levels established at $1,550 and $1,400. While the price has already begun to react from the first support area, traders should remain cautious because bear market cycles frequently involve corrective rallies that can emerge unexpectedly from these support zones. In terms of risk management, any potential recovery attempt is anticipated to remain strictly corrective as long as the price continues to trade beneath the yellow trendline resistance. However, a stronger recovery would require the bulls to reclaim substantial resistance levels and fundamentally invalidate the current bearish framework. At this stage, such a reversal lacks the necessary confirmation and market strength. Ultimately, Ethereum remains locked in a definitive bearish trend following its exit from the bear flag formation. With support levels at $1,550 and $1,400 now squarely in focus, the structural setup continues to favor lower price action over an immediate reversal. ETH Reaches A Critical Decision Zone Crypto analyst MarketMaestro noted in an X post that Ethereum has successfully held both its long-term support trendline and a key Fibonacci support level on the monthly chart. According to the analyst, the current price zone has become a critical battleground between a routine correction and a much deeper structural decline. Related Reading: Ethereum’s Multi-Year Support Test Could Shape Its Next Big Move A monthly close below the current support area would significantly weaken Ethereum’s technical outlook and raise the risk of a broader breakdown. On the other hand, if support continues to hold, the recent pullback could still be viewed as a healthy correction within the asset’s longer-term bullish framework. Furthermore, if Ethereum manages to hold support, form a wick on the monthly candle, and rebound from current levels, it would suggest that buyers are aggressively accumulating during the dip and treating it as a high-value entry zone. Despite the possibility of a recovery, MarketMaestro cautioned that the stakes remain high. A decisive breakdown below support could force Ethereum into a prolonged bottoming process, potentially extending the period of weakness before a sustainable uptrend. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
Over the past week, the Ethereum price declined significantly, following Bitcoin’s downturn towards $59,000. As the second-largest cryptocurrency’s price dropped to $1,505, data from a recent on-chain analysis reveal an underlying shift in activity across exchanges. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Downtrend May Not Be Over—Sub-$1,700 Levels Loom Ethereum Exchange Inflows Surge To 2.24 Million In A Day In a Quicktake post on June 6, the on-chain analytics group Arab Chain cited data from the “Ethereum: Exchange Inflow (Total) – All Exchanges” metric, noting that inflows across all platforms recently reached 2.24 million in a single day. According to Arab Chain, this marks the highest point reached in the past four months. For context, the metric measures the total amount of ETH transferred to all tracked cryptocurrency exchanges over a given period, helping gauge potential selling pressure as coins move to trading platforms. When inflows are high, it suggests that a large amount of ETH may be being prepared for sale. As Arab Chain notes, when large volumes of Ethereum are moved to trading platforms, it is usually taken as a bearish signal or an incoming surge in trading activity (which could translate into heightened volatility). This is because growing inflows indicate that there is more available supply for distribution than in the past. Related Reading: Dogecoin Has Entered A Historically Red Month And The Result Could Be Catastrophic Binance Leads Exchanges In Inflow Volume Notably, Arab Chain points out that Binance, the world’s leading crypto exchange by trading volume, had the lion’s share of Ethereum inflows. According to the analytics group, Binance saw over 1.16 million ETH in inflows on the same day, while a total of 2.24 million ETH were sent to all exchanges. Interestingly, the surge in exchange inflows reportedly followed a period of relative stability in deposit activity. Thus, Arab Chain explains that this sudden surge — after periods of quiet — becomes more important than other previous events. According to the crypto group, this may signal that Ethereum’s investors are preparing to take profits or restructuring their portfolios. However, Arab Chain notes that high inflows are not a surefire indicator of bear markets. Nonetheless, they remain highly relevant considering Ethereum’s price weakness. According to Arab Chain, sustained high inflows of Ethereum into exchanges (with an emphasis on Binance) could intensify selling pressure and trigger a further downturn for the second-largest cryptocurrency in the near term. At the time of writing, the Ethereum price is at $1,577. According to CoinMarketCap data, the Ethereum price is down 5.35% over the past day. Featured image from Pexels, chart from Tradingview
Technical analysis of the 3-week chart outlook shows ETH pressing into the apex of a golden triangle formation that has survived the Covid crash, the 2022 bear market, and the ongoing 2026 correction. According to the analyst who first identified it, what happens next at the apex of that structure may define Ethereum’s trajectory for the next several years. Ethereum’s Nine-Year Structure Ethereum’s 3-week candlestick chart highlights a long ascending support line beginning near the early market cycle lows and stretching through the 2020 Covid crash, the 2022 bear market, and the latest correction since its August 2025 all-time high of $4,946. Related Reading: The Last Time Ethereum Did This Against Bitcoin, It Exploded Above $4,000 The formation’s upper boundary is a horizontal trendline, around the $4,800 to $4,900 range. Ethereum has struggled around that horizontal resistance, including during the 2021 peak and again during its return to record peaks. The lower boundary, however, has been the more important part of the structure because it has defined the larger bull-market trend for almost a decade. Each major downturn has tested the trend, but the structure has not yet broken with a close below the support trendline with a 3-week candlestick. That is why the current position on the chart is more than another routine support test. According to a crypto analyst that goes by the name Crypto Tice on X, this is the moment of truth. The triangle has survived everything the market threw at it, but nothing it has faced compares to right now. Where Ethereum Goes From The Golden Triangle The Golden Triangle now leaves Ethereum with two scenarios. The first is the bullish path, which depends on ETH continuing to hold the long-term ascending support line. The important breakdown level is at $1,950, meaning Ethereum still has to close the current 3-week candlestick above this level to keep the nine-year structure alive. Related Reading: The Mistake Investors Are Making About Ethereum That Could Cost Them Money; Analyst A successful hold above $1,950 would keep Ethereum inside the triangle and give bulls a chance to push the price back into the upper range of the structure. From there, the next important price level to watch is $4,350. That would turn the defensive setup into a breakout structure, with analyst Crypto Tice’s projected target at $10,000. The second scenario is the bearish one. A break and multiple candlestick closes below $1,950 would carry far more weight than a normal pullback because it would push Ethereum beneath the rising support that has guided the market through the Covid crash and the 2022 bear market. Such a move would cancel out the golden triangle thesis and imply that the nine-year bullish structure has finally failed. At the time of writing, Ethereum is trading at $1,575, down by 6% and 22% in the past 24 hours and seven days, respectively. However, there’s still time for Ethereum to return above $1,950 before the end of June. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
Ethereum price started a fresh decline and traded below $1,750. ETH is now consolidating below $1,750 and might continue to move down. Ethereum remained in a bearish zone after a fresh decline below $1,800. The price is trading below $1,780 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $1,750 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it stays below the $1,820 zone. Ethereum Price Remains In Downtrend Ethereum price failed to remain stable above $1,840 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin. ETH price dipped below the $1,800 and $1,780 levels. The price even traded below $1,750. A low was formed at $1,715, and the price is now consolidating losses well below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $1,888 swing high to the $1,715 low. There is also a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $1,750 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. Ethereum price is now trading below $1,750 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If the bulls remain in action above $1,700, the price could attempt another increase. Immediate resistance is seen near the $1,750 level. The first key resistance is near the $1,800 level and the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $1,888 swing high to the $1,715 low. The next major resistance is near the $1,820 level. A clear move above the $1,820 resistance might send the price toward the $1,880 resistance. An upside break above the $1,880 region might call for more gains in the coming days. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $1,920 resistance zone or even $1,965 in the near term. Downside Continuation In ETH? If Ethereum fails to clear the $1,880 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $1,715 level. The first major support sits near the $1,680 zone. A clear move below the $1,680 support might push the price toward the $1,650 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $1,625 region. The main support could be $1,600. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now below the 50 zone. Major Support Level – $1,715 Major Resistance Level – $1,880
Ethereum price started a fresh decline and traded below $1,800. ETH is now consolidating below $1,800 and might continue to move down. Ethereum remained in a bearish zone after a fresh decline below $1,840. The price is trading below $1,800 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $1,800 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it stays below the $1,880 zone. Ethereum Price Dives Over 5% Ethereum price failed to remain stable above $1,880 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin. ETH price dipped below the $1,840 and $1,820 levels. The price even traded below $1,800. A low was formed at $1,716, and the price is now consolidating losses well below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $1,889 swing high to the $1,716 low. There is also a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $1,800 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. Ethereum price is now trading below $1,800 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If the bulls remain in action above $1,720, the price could attempt another increase. Immediate resistance is seen near the $1,780 level. The first key resistance is near the $1,800 level and the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $1,889 swing high to the $1,716 low. The next major resistance is near the $1,820 level. A clear move above the $1,820 resistance might send the price toward the $1,850 resistance. An upside break above the $1,850 region might call for more gains in the coming days. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $1,880 resistance zone or even $1,920 in the near term. More Losses In ETH? If Ethereum fails to clear the $1,850 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $1,720 level. The first major support sits near the $1,700 zone. A clear move below the $1,700 support might push the price toward the $1,665 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $1,640 region. The main support could be $1,620. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now below the 50 zone. Major Support Level – $1,720 Major Resistance Level – $1,850
Ethereum is currently trading at a pivotal zone where long-term support and emerging bullish momentum are converging. With buyers attempting to defend a key multi-year trendline, the coming sessions could prove decisive for the asset’s broader outlook. A successful hold may set the stage for a powerful breakout, while failure could delay Ethereum’s next major rally. Ethereum Tests Critical Multi-Year Trendline Support After losing the $2,000 price mark, Ethereum continues to trend downward. However, recent analysis from World of Charts highlights that Ethereum has reached a critical technical juncture, currently testing a vital multi-year ascending trendline. The fact that this support zone is holding so far is a positive development, marking it as the most important area to monitor throughout the coming weeks. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Roadmap For The Rest Of 2026: Bull, Base, And Bear Scenarios Unpacked For a shift in momentum to occur, the asset needs to maintain this base while simultaneously overcoming the descending trendline overhead. Successfully reclaiming this overhead resistance would represent a major technical victory, potentially triggering a strong bullish wave and initiating a significant upward move. Despite the favorable setup, confirmation remains essential before projecting a larger rally. The stability of this support zone is the primary prerequisite for growth; if buyers continue to defend this level and a clean breakout is realized, Ethereum could be positioned for a substantial long-term bullish rally with significantly higher targets ahead. While patience remains the best strategy, the developing structure is becoming increasingly compelling for long-term investors and active traders alike. Closely monitoring these specific technical boundaries will be vital in identifying exactly when the market is ready to transition into its next expansion phase. Reclaims The 4H 200 MA And EMA After Months Of Weakness Speaking in a recent post, crypto analyst Daan Crypto Trades highlighted that Ethereum has achieved an important technical milestone by breaking above its 4-hour 200 MA and 200 EMA for the first time since losing those levels in April. The move suggests that short-term momentum may be shifting back in favor of the bulls after months of weakness. Related Reading: Ethereum Pullback Deepens, But Key Structure Still Signals Bullish Hope The analyst also pointed to Ethereum’s resilience against Bitcoin in recent sessions, noting that the asset has continued to show strength on lower timeframes. This relative outperformance has helped fuel optimism that ETH could be building a stronger recovery structure. According to Daan Crypto Trades, the breakout is worth monitoring closely. If Ethereum can maintain its position above these key moving averages, it could provide a boost to ETH-related sectors, particularly DeFi tokens and other ecosystem assets, especially if Bitcoin dominance continues to decline and capital begins rotating into alternative cryptocurrencies. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
After the latest Ethereum (ETH) pullback, some analysts have pointed to a bearish setup that suggests the leading altcoin could see another correction toward its potential market bottom. Related Reading: Arthur Hayes Bets $100K On Hyperliquid, Says HYPE Will Beat Solana By Year‑End Ethereum Bear Setup Breakdown Spells Trouble On Tuesday, Ethereum saw a 5.5% intraday drop from its daily opening, falling below the $1,900 barrier for the first time since late February. Notably, the King of Altcoins broke down from its five-day range between $1,965-$2,035, reaching a two-month low of $1,880. Amid today’s broader pullback, which also sent Bitcoin (BTC) toward the $67,000 support, market observer Trader Tardigrade affirmed that ETH’s final correction may be around the corner as a key bearish pattern is “repeating perfectly.” The trader pointed out a breakdown from a bear flag formation on the altcoin’s three-day chart. The setup had been forming since the February market crash, with the cryptocurrency breaking out of the pattern’s lower boundary around mid-May, when the price lost the $2,200 area. According to the above chart, this is the second time this pattern has formed since the Q3 2025 highs, with the first setup developing between late 2025 and early 2026, and resulting in the Q1 2026 40% crash. More importantly, Ethereum appears to be repeating the same path as its correction from the Q4 2024-Q1 2025 rally. After topping in late 2024, the cryptocurrency printed two consecutive bear flags, followed by a fresh leg down, before reaching its local bottom and eventually starting a new bullish rally. Now, “the structure is identical. Same breakdown. Same setup,” which suggests that “the final dip” toward the market bottom may be around the corner. “Once this dip completes, we’re headed straight into the next explosive leg up,” the trader stated. Where Is ETH Headed? Analyst Rekt Capital noted that Ethereum closed the month below its multi-year uptrend for the second time in five months. The last time this happened, the altcoin saw a “limited move to the upside” but was quickly rejected from the crucial $2,400 horizontal level. This signals that the rallies stemming from this trendline “are clearly weakening,” with the multi-year uptrend “likely faltering.” According to the analysis, ETH must hold the 2026 lows, around $1,750, or reclaim the uptrend to avoid a deeper correction. Similarly, Ali Martinez named this level a crucial support amid the recent price action. As he explained, Ethereum is approaching the bottom of its four-month horizontal channel, which is near the $1,825 level. To the analyst, “that area could offer a favorable risk-reward entry targeting $2,073 and $2,360, as long as price remains above $1,750 on a daily closing basis.” However, he has previously warned that since the price was rejected from the mid-zone of a multi-year channel and the 200-week Simple Moving Average (SMA), the altcoin risks a deeper correction. Related Reading: The Bitcoin Retracement Rally And The Resistance Level That Could End It All Therefore, if ETH sees a weekly close below the $1,850 area, “downside acceleration becomes highly likely,” with the channel structure pointing to two major downside targets, from a technical perspective. Martinez concluded that the initial retracement would see Ethereum retest the interim structural support around $1,560, while a deeper correction could push the price near the lower boundary of the multi-year range, at $1,070. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
Ethereum price started a fresh decline and traded below $1,950. ETH is now consolidating below $1,920 and might continue to move down. Ethereum remained in a bearish zone after a fresh decline below $1,950. The price is trading below $1,950 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break below a contracting triangle with support at $1,975 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it stays below the $2,000 zone. Ethereum Price Extends Decline Ethereum price failed to remain stable above $2,000 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin. ETH price dipped below the $1,980 and $1,950 levels. There was a break below a contracting triangle with support at $1,975 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. The price even traded below $1,920. A low was formed at $1,836, and the price is now consolidating losses well below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2,003 swing high to the $1,836 low. Ethereum price is now trading below $1,950 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If the bulls remain in action above $1,840, the price could attempt another increase. Immediate resistance is seen near the $1,880 level. The first key resistance is near the $1,900 level. The next major resistance is near the $1,920 level and the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2,003 swing high to the $1,836 low. A clear move above the $1,920 resistance might send the price toward the $1,950 resistance. An upside break above the $1,950 region might call for more gains in the coming days. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $2,000 resistance zone or even $2,020 in the near term. More Downside In ETH? If Ethereum fails to clear the $1,950 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $1,840 level. The first major support sits near the $1,820 zone. A clear move below the $1,820 support might push the price toward the $1,780 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $1,740 region. The main support could be $1,720. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now below the 50 zone. Major Support Level – $1,840 Major Resistance Level – $1,950
Ethereum is struggling below $2,000 as selling pressure and market uncertainty combine to keep the asset pinned beneath a level that has become the defining test of whether the recovery from the cycle lows has any structural foundation remaining. The price is under pressure — and an Arab Chain report tracking the Coinbase Premium Index has identified a signal in the US institutional demand data that provides a specific explanation for why the recovery keeps failing to sustain itself. Related Reading: HYPE Reaches New All-Time Highs Above $70 – A Legendary Trade Turns Green The Coinbase Premium Index for Ethereum has fallen to approximately -0.16 — its lowest level since February — before a slight rebound brought it back toward -0.14 in recent sessions. The index measures the price difference between Ethereum trading on Coinbase against the US dollar and on Binance against USDT. When the reading is negative, Ethereum is cheaper on Coinbase than on Binance — a condition that directly reflects reduced buying activity from US-based participants relative to global liquidity. At -0.16, the signal is not ambiguous. American institutional and retail demand for Ethereum on the most regulated and most scrutinized US exchange has been running below global demand for an extended period. The slight rebound toward -0.14 suggests the worst of the US selling pressure may be moderating — but the index remaining at February lows confirms that the recovery in domestic demand has not yet arrived at the scale that would change the structural picture for Ethereum attempting to reclaim $2,000. US Demand Has Been Absent Since February The Arab Chain report places the current reading in the context that gives it its full weight. The Coinbase Premium Index has remained in negative territory for extended periods since the beginning of 2026, experiencing several sharp declines throughout the year. The current reading near -0.16 does not represent a new deterioration from a previously healthy baseline — it represents a continuation and deepening of a condition that has been present for months. Ethereum Coinbase Premium Index | Source: CryptoQuant That persistence is the most alarming element of the data. A single negative reading can reflect a temporary imbalance. Months of sustained negative readings describe a structural absence of the US institutional demand that historically drives Ethereum’s most durable advances. The price behavior that accompanies the premium data completes the picture. Ethereum has been moving sideways without clear upward momentum — a dynamic consistent with a market where global liquidity and short-term speculation are providing enough activity to prevent a collapse but insufficient conviction to drive a sustained recovery. Binance’s price premium over Coinbase confirms that the participants currently setting ETH’s price direction are operating through offshore venues rather than the regulated US infrastructure most associated with long-term institutional allocation. Declining market risk appetite and increased derivatives volatility are the macro conditions compounding the absence of domestic demand. Until the Coinbase Premium recovers into positive territory and sustains there, the market structure the Arab Chain report describes — global speculation filling the gap left by absent US investment flows — is unlikely to produce the kind of directional advance Ethereum needs to reclaim $2,000 with conviction. Related Reading: Chainlink Sends A Rare Signal As 66% Of Exchange Supply Sits On Binance Ethereum Breaks Below Key Support Ethereum is trading near $1,975 after decisively losing the psychological $2,000 level and continuing the downtrend that has developed since its rejection from the $2,300–$2,350 resistance zone in May. The chart shows a clear deterioration in market structure, with ETH now trading below its 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages — a configuration that confirms bearish momentum across multiple timeframes. Ethereum consolidates below $2,000 mark | Source: ETHUSDT chart on TradingView The most important development is the breakdown below the April support area around $2,050–$2,100. That zone previously acted as a launching point for the rally toward $2,400, but sellers have now reclaimed control and turned former support into resistance. Volume has remained relatively stable during the decline, suggesting the move is being driven by persistent selling pressure rather than a single liquidation event. Related Reading: Ethereum Flashes A Rare Signal As Open Interest Reaches Highest Level Since 2019 From a technical perspective, ETH is approaching a critical demand zone between $1,820 and $1,920, highlighted on the chart. This area marked the February cycle low and previously attracted significant buying interest. As long as ETH remains above this region, bulls can argue that the broader range structure remains intact. However, failure to hold this support would significantly increase downside risk. A clean breakdown below $1,820 could open the door to a deeper correction toward the $1,700 region. For bulls to regain momentum, Ethereum must first reclaim $2,050 and then challenge the major resistance cluster between $2,250 and $2,350, where every recovery attempt has failed since April. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
Ethereum is back at a point on its Bitcoin pair where the price action has always started to ask a dangerous question: is ETH still weak, or is it being priced for another rotation? A new ETH/BTC chart shared by crypto analyst BLADE shows Ethereum falling through 14 straight lower closes against Bitcoin, taking the pair below the same relative strength zone during its February low. The setup matters because the last visit to that area came at a moment of heavy pessimism around Ethereum. A few weeks later, ETH began to outperform Bitcoin, and the move eventually carried Ethereum above $2,450. Ethereum Returns To The Same ETH/BTC Buy Zone BLADE’s analysis focuses on the Ethereum/Bitcoin pair, where ETH has moved into a clear short-term breakdown against BTC after weeks of steady underperformance. The pair was trading above 0.0313 in April, but that level gave way as sellers continued to pressure Ethereum relative to Bitcoin. Related Reading: The Mistake Investors Are Making About Ethereum That Could Cost Them Money; Analyst By May, ETH/BTC had fallen below 0.027 after recording 14 consecutive lower closes, dragging it to its lowest level since July 2025. That decline means that the Ethereum price has not only been falling in dollar terms or struggling with the broader crypto market but has also been losing ground directly against Bitcoin. However, the most recent red candle on the ETH/BTC pair turned out to be a doji candlestick, which is the ultimate candlestick of indecision. The current candlestick is still green, and the Ethereum price is now in a position of outperforming the Bitcoin price. Interestingly, the deeper point in BLADE’s analysis is where the decline has brought the pair. The ETH/BTC RSI has returned to the same support zone that appeared around the February low, near the lower 30s on the indicator. That zone is highlighted on the chart below as the area where momentum became stretched enough in February for Ethereum to begin recovering against Bitcoin. What’s Next For Ethereum? At the time of writing, the ETH/BTC pair is trading at 0.02835, which is about 35% below its August 2025 high of 0.0434. This was the last time the Ethereum price was in a period of peak outperformance against Bitcoin, and it led to a breakout above $4,000 and its current all-time high of $4,946. Related Reading: Can Ethereum Stage The Biggest Comeback In History? Why Price Could Double Ethereum’s current setup is not identical to August 2025, but the rhythm is similar enough. The pair has returned to the same momentum support area, and the lower-close sequence has become stretched. The pair now needs to stop printing lower closes and reclaim the breakdown zone, and Ethereum starts seeing more inflows compared to Bitcoin, especially as BTC has now broken below $70,000 in the past 24 hours. However, Ethereum has not been immune to the broader market weakness either, with ETH also falling below $2,000 in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com
Ethereum price started a fresh decline and traded below $1,980. ETH is now consolidating below $2,000 and might continue to move down. Ethereum remained in a bearish zone after a fresh decline below $2,000. The price is trading below $2,000 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2,010 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it stays below the $2,020 zone. Ethereum Price Extends Decline Ethereum price failed to remain stable above $2,020 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin. ETH price dipped below the $2,010 and $2,000 levels. The price even traded below $1,980. A low was formed at $1,955, and the price recently attempted a minor recovery wave. There was a move above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2,035 swing high to the $1,955 low. However, the bears remained active near $2,000. There is also a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2,010 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. Ethereum price is now trading below $2,000 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If the bulls remain in action above $1,955, the price could attempt another increase. Immediate resistance is seen near the $2,000 level and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2,035 swing high to the $1,955 low. The first key resistance is near the $2,020 level. The next major resistance is near the $2,050 level. A clear move above the $2,050 resistance might send the price toward the $2,080 resistance. An upside break above the $2,080 region might call for more gains in the coming days. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $2,120 resistance zone or even $2,150 in the near term. More Downside In ETH? If Ethereum fails to clear the $2,000 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $1,955 level. The first major support sits near the $1,920 zone. A clear move below the $1,920 support might push the price toward the $1,880 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $1,850 region. The main support could be $1,780. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now below the 50 zone. Major Support Level – $1,955 Major Resistance Level – $2,020
Ethereum price started a fresh decline and traded below $2,000. ETH is now consolidating near $2,000 and might continue to move down. Ethereum remained in a bearish zone after a fresh decline below $2,010. The price is trading below $2,010 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break below a bullish trend line with support at $2,015 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it stays below the $2,050 zone. Ethereum Price Remains At Risk of More Downside Ethereum price failed to remain stable above $2,040 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin. ETH price dipped below the $2,020 and $2,010 levels. The price even traded below $1,985. A low was formed at $1,965, and the price recently attempted a minor recovery wave. There was a move above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2,140 swing high to the $1,965 low. However, the bears remained active near $2,040. The price dipped again below $2,020. There was a break below a bullish trend line with support at $2,015 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. Ethereum price is now trading below $2,010 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If the bulls remain in action above $1,980, the price could attempt another increase. Immediate resistance is seen near the $2,020 level. The first key resistance is near the $2,030 level. The next major resistance is near the $2,050 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2,140 swing high to the $1,965 low. A clear move above the $2,050 resistance might send the price toward the $2,085 resistance. An upside break above the $2,085 region might call for more gains in the coming days. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $2,120 resistance zone or even $2,150 in the near term. More Downside In ETH? If Ethereum fails to clear the $2,050 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $1,980 level. The first major support sits near the $1,965 zone. A clear move below the $1,965 support might push the price toward the $1,920 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $1,850 region. The main support could be $1,780. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now below the 50 zone. Major Support Level – $1,980 Major Resistance Level – $2,050
Ethereum is struggling to push above $2,000 as the market prepares for a decisive move that participants on both sides of the trade increasingly recognize as imminent. The price is compressing — and CryptoQuant data has identified a development in the derivatives market that explains why the current level feels like more than a routine resistance test. Related Reading: HYPE Whale Bets Grow Larger As Institutional-Linked Accumulation Reaches $170M On May 28, Binance recorded a 336,000 ETH increase in 30-day open interest while Ethereum traded near $1,990. That single-venue reading is the highest positive open interest expansion Binance has registered in the current chart since May 2019 — a data point that places the current derivatives activity in a historical context spanning six years of market cycles. This scale of positioning built at this specific price level is not normal market behavior. It is an extreme. Ethereum Multi Exchange Open Interest | Source: CryptoQuant The expansion was not isolated to Binance. OKX added 106,500 ETH in open interest. Bybit added 34,600 ETH. Deribit added 26,700 ETH. Four major venues simultaneously building derivatives exposure in a compressed window. A combined increase of approximately 503,800 ETH, representing nearly $1 billion in notional positioning, was added in a single session. Nearly $1 billion in new derivatives exposure was built around the $2,000 level in a single day. The market is not drifting toward a decision; it is positioning for one. And the CryptoQuant data reveals which side of that positioning is currently winning. $1 Billion in New Exposure and Record Selling Pressure The CryptoQuant report identifies the signal that prevents the open interest expansion from being read as straightforwardly bullish. The leverage build-up arrived alongside heavy sell-side pressure. Binance Cumulative Net Taker Volume fell to approximately -$744 million — its deepest negative reading since April 6, 2026. New leverage entered the market while aggressive sellers remained in control, creating a fragile structure rather than the clean bullish open interest expansion that typically precedes sustained upside. Ethereum Binance Cumulative Net Taker Volume | Source: CryptoQuant The historical record on sharp ETH open interest spikes is honestly mixed. Some preceded downside moves and liquidation cascades as the accumulated leverage unwound against the direction of the positioning. Others became the fuel for significant rebounds or short squeezes when the sellers exhausted themselves against persistent demand. The June 20, 2025 parallel is the most relevant comparison available. A similar Binance open interest build-up of approximately 250,000 ETH was followed by Ethereum’s rally above $4,600 — a move where the accumulated short positioning became the mechanism that accelerated the advance rather than capped it. Whether the current -$744 million in aggressive selling represents exhaustion building toward that kind of resolution, or the dominant force that eventually breaks the $2,000 level lower, is the question Ethereum’s next sessions will answer. Binance is currently the center of ETH derivatives stress — carrying both the largest open interest increase and the strongest aggressive selling pressure simultaneously. That concentration makes whatever resolution arrives more decisive than a dispersed market structure would produce. Related Reading: XRP Sends A Rare Signal As Whale-Retail Dynamics Are Shifting – Traders Are Watching Ethereum Tests Psychological Support As Bears Maintain Control Ethereum is trading near $2,000 after a sustained decline from the May highs around $2,400, placing the asset at a critical inflection point. The daily chart shows a clear loss of momentum over the past several weeks, with ETH breaking below the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages. This alignment reflects a market that has shifted back into a bearish structure after failing to sustain its recovery from the February lows. Ethereum consolidates around $2,000 level | Source: ETHUSDT chart on TradingView The most important development is Ethereum’s rejection from the $2,300-$2,400 resistance zone. That area capped multiple rallies throughout April and May and ultimately triggered the current leg lower. Since then, sellers have steadily pushed price toward the psychological $2,000 level, a threshold that is now acting as the market’s primary battleground. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sends An Unusual Signal After Miner Inflows Top 20,000 BTC – Analyst Explains The Setup From a technical perspective, ETH is trading in the middle of a broader range that has contained the price since February. Immediate support sits around $1,950-$2,000. While the stronger demand zone remains between $1,800 and $1,900, highlighted by the lower yellow box on the chart. A breakdown below current levels would likely open the door for a retest of that region. Volume has remained relatively stable during the decline, suggesting controlled selling rather than panic liquidation. For bulls to regain momentum, Ethereum would need to reclaim $2,200 and eventually break back above the $2,300-$2,400 resistance area that has repeatedly rejected advances throughout the second quarter. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
On-chain data shows large wallets on the Ethereum network have continued to accumulate despite the price decline that the asset has faced. Ethereum Holders With At Least 100,000 ETH Now Control 22% Of Supply According to data from on-chain analytics firm Santiment, the Ethereum investors owning at least 100,000 ETH have been accumulating recently. At the current exchange rate, this 100,000 ETH cutoff converts to nearly $200 million, so the only holders that would qualify for the cohort would be the big-money ones. Related Reading: Cardano Millionaire Wallets Reach Highest ADA Holdings Since 2017 In fact, the sums held by members of this group are so significant that they would be classified as large even among the whales, the popular cohort for classifying influential investors. Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the total supply held by these Ethereum mega whales over the last few months: As displayed in the above graph, the Ethereum investors with 100,000+ ETH have collectively added a net amount to their holdings since the start of May. Interestingly, this trend of accumulation has maintained despite the bearish turn that the market has taken in the second half of this month. From the chart, it’s visible that these humongous ETH investors now hold a total of 17.41 million tokens, the highest in around nine weeks. In supply percentage terms, their holdings occupy a share of 22.03%, which is a 10-week high. The fact that the massive Ethereum whales have been adding to their holdings recently can naturally be a positive sign for the cryptocurrency, but something to keep in mind is that the supply of this group has still followed an overall decline since Q4 2025. Considering this, it only remains to be seen whether the current trend will continue for long enough to reverse this drawdown. Related Reading: Crypto Faces Nearly $1 Billion In Liquidations As Bitcoin, Ethereum Crash In related news, on-chain analytics firm CryptoQuant has also shared some data related to large holders, this time for the Bitcoin network. As is apparent in the graph on the right, the Bitcoin whales saw their supply go up during January and February, but since then, their 30-day supply change has dropped off to neutral levels. At the same time, the smaller dolphin group (displayed on the left) has also been pulling back on its accumulation. “Historically, when both cohorts stall simultaneously, sustained price weakness tends to follow,” explained CryptoQuant. ETH Price Following a drop of more than 6% over the past week, Ethereum has found itself back under the $2,000 level for the first time since late-March. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com
As the crypto market matures, the relative strength between Ethereum and Bitcoin is becoming one of the most discussed narratives. The ETH ecosystem is entering a new phase of growth, fueled by scaling solutions, rising staking participation, and a more efficient supply structure. These improvements are steadily reinforcing the ETH fundamentals and long-term utility within decentralized finance and beyond. Ethereum, Bitcoin Recovery Depends On Adoption And Market Rotation The debate around whether Ethereum can reclaim its 2021 highs against Bitcoin is gaining renewed momentum as institutional voices turn increasingly optimistic. Crypto analyst Walter Bloomberg revealed on X that Geoff Kendrick of Standard Chartered remains strongly bullish on ETH despite its prolonged underperformance against BTC. Related Reading: Ethereum’s Price Pulls Back Close To $1,900, But Large Holders Remain Unfazed Geoff Kendrick argues that the current disconnection between ETH’s strong fundamentals and its weak price performance is only temporary. Meanwhile, ETH has experienced a significant drawdown to $2,100, a 57% since August 2025, with the ETH/BTC ratio declining by 37%. However, the on-chain transaction levels and total value locked (TVL) across the ecosystem have reportedly remained near all-time highs. Standard Chartered reportedly compares the current ETH situation to a major technology company, Amazon, during the 2021 dot-com crash, suggesting ETH could bounce back. The bank maintains aggressive long-term targets, projecting Ethereum to reach $4,000 by 2026 and potentially reaching $40,000 by 2030. A move of that scale would also push the ETH/BTC ratio back toward its 2021 peak. The bullish thesis is largely driven by ETH’s dominant 50-65% position in stablecoins and tokenized real-world assets (RWAs), with both sectors expected to experience massive growth. Macro Technical Levels Continue To Shape ETH/BTC Direction A partner with sizeprop known as Scient on X has mentioned that the broader Ethereum and Bitcoin macro prediction has now completed a textbook pattern, closely following the plan mapped out at the February lows. After a sustained 3-month rally, the price delivered a clean bearish retest of the daily market structure shift (MSS) and breaker zone, before rotating lower to sweep liquidity at the February range lows and fill the fair value gap. This move represents a textbook technical execution of the thesis. Related Reading: This 1 Chart Explains Why Bitcoin Is Winning And Ethereum Is Losing Right Now Currently, with price tapping into the critical 0.75 Fibonacci zone, the weekly timeframe is beginning to show early signs of a potential bounce. If ETH/BTC is going to establish a meaningful bottom, this would be the area where it will happen. On the lower timeframes, the 12-hour chart reveals an important development. The price has been holding its lows quietly for over a week, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) printing bullish divergence, often a signal of classic accumulation at a key level. Scient noted that the confirmation of a sustained move higher is still pending, and the current setup places ETH/BTC at a decisive moment. Either way, the coming days are likely pivotal for determining the next major direction. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
Crypto analyst The Short Bear has addressed investors who are currently capitulating on Ethereum and offloading their coins. He cited a mistake these investors are currently making that could cost them money when the bull thesis for ETH eventually plays out. Analyst Reveals Misconception Investors Have About Ethereum In an X post, the Short Bear said that many people are mistaken in treating Ethereum like an end-stage Amazon as if the main question is already about mature margins, fees, and cash flows. He explained that, in reality, the layer-1 network is still very much earlier in its economies-of-scale phase, with nearly all metrics in the top-right corner and growing at mid-double-digit to triple-digit rates. Related Reading: Can Ethereum Stage The Biggest Comeback In History? Why Price Could Double The analyst further stated that most of the market is focused on the wrong battle, of which network can become the fastest and cheapest payment processor. However, he opined that the real value may not be in the transaction fee itself. Instead, the Short Bear believes that the real value lies in the amount of economic activity secured by the network, the credibility of that security, the neutrality of the base layer, and the difficulty of replacing such a network once it gains widespread adoption. The Short Bear remarked that this is where Ethereum seems different to him and why many institutions are choosing ETH. He noted that most other networks still feel replaceable and that if their advantage is mainly technical efficiency, it can eventually be copied or rendered irrelevant. However, the analyst believes that Ethereum stands out because the network is looking to become the most secure, decentralized, credibly neutral settlement layer for the internet economy. In line with this, the analyst declared that the most valuable network may not be the one with the lowest transaction costs. Instead, it may be the one people trust most to secure the highest-value assets and applications over the longest period. How ETH Could Become One Of The Only Neutral and Secure Bonds The Short Bear noted that 1/3 of the total Ethereum supply is now staked and that, in this scenario, ETH would not be just another asset to hold. Instead, it could become one of the only truly neutral and secure bonds for the digital economy. The analyst painted a scenario where ETH retains its market share while continuing to scale through upgrades that improve speed, throughput, and fees. He remarked that the potential remains significant, especially if AI agents truly become crypto-natives. Related Reading: Analyst Highlights Ethereum ‘Kill Zone’ That Shows The Best Time To Buy The analyst added that if Ethereum earns the crown as the leading value-secured network, then ETH could eventually be viewed as a truly decentralized, inflation-adjusting global bond. Under this scenario, he noted that ETH will be deserving of a premium market cap because of the value it provides in protecting assets, in addition to the incentives to stake and earn yields. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
Ethereum price started a fresh decline and traded below $2,020. ETH is now consolidating near $2,000 and might struggle to recover. Ethereum remained in a bearish zone after a fresh decline below $2,020. The price is trading below $2,020 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2,010 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it stays below the $2,050 zone. Ethereum Price Extends Losses Ethereum price failed to remain stable above $2,050 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin. ETH price dipped below the $2,020 and $2,000 levels. The price even traded below $1,980. A low was formed at $1,964, and the price is now showing many bearish signs. There was a minor recovery wave above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2,139 swing high to the $1,964 low. Besides, there is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2,010 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. Ethereum price is now trading below $2,000 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If the bulls remain in action above $1,965, the price could attempt another increase. Immediate resistance is seen near the $2,010 level. The first key resistance is near the $2,020 level. The next major resistance is near the $2,050 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2,139 swing high to the $1,964 low. A clear move above the $2,050 resistance might send the price toward the $2,085 resistance. An upside break above the $2,085 region might call for more gains in the coming days. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $2,120 resistance zone or even $2,150 in the near term. More Downside In ETH? If Ethereum fails to clear the $2,020 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $1,965 level. The first major support sits near the $1,950 zone. A clear move below the $1,950 support might push the price toward the $1,920 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $1,850 region. The main support could be $1,780. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now below the 50 zone. Major Support Level – $1,965 Major Resistance Level – $2,050
Ethereum remains under heavy pressure after slipping below a major support level, reinforcing the growing bearish outlook across the market. With fear-driven sentiment increasing and sellers maintaining control, the $1,930 level has now emerged as the most critical support zone for bulls to defend to prevent a deeper decline. ETH Structure Turns Bearish Below Key Support According to a recent analysis shared by Mira Agent, ETH was trading around the $2,055 to $2,080 range at the time of the post, with the broader market structure continuing to show signs of weakness. Ethereum’s current setup is becoming increasingly important as bearish momentum gradually strengthens across higher timeframes. Related Reading: Ethereum Recent Bearish Breakdown Signals Growing Advantage For Sellers Mira Agent explained that the 4-hour chart remains bearish after ETH lost the key $2,050 support zone. Adding to the negative outlook, the 200-day moving average has maintained a downward slope since May 21. Lower highs continue to form on the chart, while selling pressure keeps building as market sentiment remains fragile, with the Fear & Greed Index currently sitting at an extreme fear reading of 25. Meanwhile, Mira’s AI confidence metric shows only 32% bullish probability at the moment. Key resistance levels to monitor are positioned at $2,050, $2,150, and $2,230, while major support zones are located at $1,930, $1,880, and $1,780. Mira outlined three possible scenarios for Ethereum moving forward. The dominant outlook remains bearish continuation in the near term with a 60% probability. A consolidation phase between $2,040 and $2,090 carries a 25% probability, while the bullish reversal scenario remains the least likely at 15%, requiring a decisive weekly close above the $2,180 level to confirm renewed strength. Institutional Demand For Ethereum Continues To Strengthen Stating what to look forward to, Mira Agent revealed that institutional tailwinds are quietly building, despite current market sentiment. Notably, BitMine has executed its largest Ethereum acquisition of 2026, signaling robust interest from major players. Furthermore, SharpLink is slated to enter the Russell indexes, a milestone that will trigger significant forced passive buying, adding a layer of structural support. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Struggles Near Key Levels As Market Sentiment Weakens Beneath the surface of market volatility, Ethereum’s fundamental health remains remarkably resilient. A key indicator of this stability is the shift in revenue streams for Ethereum treasury firms, where staking rewards now account for 60% of total income. This trend highlights a transition toward sustainable, yield-driven growth, proving that while the price has experienced a sharp contraction, the network’s underlying economic value has not broken. Bottom line: this is a moment for patience, not panic. It is crucial to watch the $1,930 level closely, as it represents the definitive line in the sand for the current cycle. As long as the market can hold this support threshold, the broader bullish case remains alive. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
Ethereum (ETH) has followed Bitcoin (BTC) and much of the wider crypto market lower over the past 48 hours, dropping below the key $2,000 support level and reigniting concerns among some investors that a longer bear phase could be underway. Even with the recent slide, Standard Chartered’s Digital Assets Research Head, Geoff Kendrick, says the bank is not backing away from its bullish long-term outlook for Ethereum. Ethereum Price Will Catch Up In a note to investors on Thursday, Kendrick reaffirmed Standard Chartered’s core projection for Ethereum’s performance over the next four years, including its end-2030 target of $40,000 for ETH. He linked the current weakness to something investors may eventually look back on as a confusing, even misleading, signal. Rather than treating the price drop as proof that the network is weakening, Kendrick argued that Ethereum’s usage metrics are continuing to improve even as the token’s market value loses ground. Related Reading: Hyperliquid (HYPE) In The Spotlight: Grayscale’s Latest Report Says What Comes Next To illustrate the gap between price action and underlying progress, Kendrick drew a comparison to Amazon during the 2001 dot-com bust. His argument echoes a line often attributed to Jeff Bezos: that while a company’s stock can go the wrong way, “everything inside the company” can still be moving in the right direction. Kendrick specifically said that Ethereum will “catch up” to those improving internal metrics and suggested that investors are effectively watching a delay between operational strength and market pricing. ETH Upside Signals Standard Chartered’s view leans heavily on measurable indicators that Kendrick says support Ethereum’s position in key parts of the crypto economy. One of the bank’s central points is Ethereum’s role in stablecoins. Kendrick noted that 54% of all stablecoins are currently issued on the network. He also said stablecoins make up around one-third of all Ethereum transactions in 2026 year-to-date. Based on that momentum, Standard Chartered projects the stablecoin market cap could increase sixfold from current levels by the end of 2028. Related Reading: Perfect Crypto Week In Texas: 6 Candidates Backed, 0 Misses—What To Track Next A second major pillar of the bullish case is Ethereum’s position in tokenized real-world assets (RWAs). Kendrick said Ethereum hosts around 62% of RWAs and about 68% of active on-chain loans. He projected that the non-stablecoin RWA sector could grow about 50 times to reach $2 trillion by the end of 2028. For Standard Chartered, tokenized RWAs are likely to expand in a way that brings Ethereum a significant share of the activity. Kendrick’s projections suggest Ethereum could still capture roughly half to two-thirds of both tokenized assets and the related category of growth, with Ethereum hosting an estimated 50% to 65% of those segments. Kendrick’s analysis keeps the forecast unchanged: ETH at $4,000 by the end of 2026 and then $40,000 by the end of 2030. In the same reaffirmation, Standard Chartered lays out an extended path through the intervening years, projecting $10,000 by end-2027, $18,000 by end-2028, and ultimately $40,000 by end-2030. At the time of writing, ETH was trading at $1,991, having retraced by 5% in the weekly timeframe. This means that the altcoin is now trading 59% below its all-time high of $4,964, reached last year. Featured image created with OpenArt; chart from TradingView.com
Ethereum price started a fresh decline and traded below $2,050. ETH is now consolidating above $2,000 and might struggle to recover. Ethereum remained in a bearish zone after a fresh decline below $2,080. The price is trading below $2,050 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2,040 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it stays below the $2,090 zone. Ethereum Price Consolidates Losses Ethereum price failed to remain stable above $2,100 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin. ETH price dipped below the $2,080 and $2,065 levels. The price even traded below $2,050. A low was formed at $2,009, and the price is now showing many bearish signs and is well below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2,138 swing high to the $2,009 low. Besides, there is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2,040 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. Ethereum price is now trading below $2,030 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If the bulls remain in action above $2,000, the price could attempt another increase. Immediate resistance is seen near the $2,040 level. The first key resistance is near the $2,060 level. The next major resistance is near the $2,090 level or the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2,138 swing high to the $2,009 low. A clear move above the $2,090 resistance might send the price toward the $2,120 resistance. An upside break above the $2,120 region might call for more gains in the coming days. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $2,150 resistance zone or even $2,200 in the near term. More Downside In ETH? If Ethereum fails to clear the $2,090 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $2,000 level. The first major support sits near the $1,965 zone. A clear move below the $1,920 support might push the price toward the $1,880 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $1,840 region. The main support could be $1,750. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now below the 50 zone. Major Support Level – $2,000 Major Resistance Level – $2,090
Bitmine has made its largest Ethereum (ETH) buy of the year during the recent market dip, reaffirming the firm’s bullish outlook on the leading altcoin and continued accumulation strategy. Related Reading: Bitcoin At A Crossroads: Two Key Levels Will Define BTC’s Next Major Move, Analyst Says Bitmine Ramps Up Ethereum Purchases On Tuesday, Bitmine Immersion Technologies, the world’s largest Ethereum treasury, announced its largest purchase since December 2025, having acquired roughly $238 million in ETH over the past week. In its latest update, the company shared it purchased 111,942 ETH during the recent market pullback, which sent the King of Altcoins below $2,200. Bitmine’s Chairman, Tom Lee, affirmed that last week’s correction represented “an attractive opportunity” to increase the company’s holdings. “We continue to expect a supercycle ahead for crypto and Ethereum, driven by the dual drivers of Wall Street tokenization and agentic-AI. And thus, we continue to steadily acquire ETH, with Bitmine now owning nearly 5.4 million ETH tokens,” stated Lee. Now, the company’s crypto and cash holdings have reached $12.3 billion at current prices, comprised of 5,390,404 ETH at $2,134 per token, 203 Bitcoin (BTC), a $200 million stake in Beast Industries, an $95 million stake in Eightco Holdings as part of its “Moonshots” initiative, and total cash worth $444 million. The latest buy has pushed BitMine’s Ethereum holdings closer to its goal of controlling 5% of ETH’s 120.7 million supply, reaching 4.47% of the supply, 89% of its goal, in just 11 months. As a result, “Bitmine is expected to reach the ‘alchemy of 5%’ sometime in 2026,” the chairman affirmed. In addition, the company revealed that 4,712,917 ETH of its holdings, worth about $10.1 billion, have been staked. Lee also shared that, “At scale (when Bitmine’s ETH is fully staked by MAVAN and its staking partners), the projected ETH staking reward is $276 million annually (using 2.75% 7-day BMNR yield).” Analysts Eye $1,850 Support Recently, Lee suggested that Ethereum could rally toward new highs by the end of the year, based on his belief that the “crypto winter is over” and a recovery rally could take place over the coming months. However, some market observers have warned that a long-term bullish rally is not likely this year. In an X post, analyst Ali Martinez highlighted that ETH has been trading within a broad, multi-year range since 2021. After falling back to the channel’s lower half earlier this year, the altcoin recently faced a “clean rejection at the mid-range of this structure,” which coincided with a rejection from the 200-week Simple Moving Average (SMA), signaling weakness. Related Reading: XRP, ETH, SOL, LINK Look Cheap—The Catalysts That Could Drive The Next Leg Up As the price fails to reclaim this area, the analyst noted that the most critical level to hold remains $1,850, explaining that a weekly close below this support would likely trigger downside acceleration. He suggested that this could open a great opportunity for investors, based on the MVRV Pricing Band: Right now, the highly watched 0.8 MVRV Pricing Band is sitting right around $1,850. Historically, whenever Ethereum drops below the 0.8 MVRV band, the move is not sustained for very long. (…) History shows that this exact zone represents a high-probability macro accumulation window that builds the ultimate foundation for the next major bull market. Lastly, he affirmed that to invalidate the bearish scenario, ETH would need two clear triggers: a reclaim of the 200-week SMA, located around $2,500, and a clean break above the 50-week SMA around $3,100. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
Ethereum price started a fresh decline and traded below $2,080. ETH is now consolidating above $2,050 and might struggle to recover. Ethereum remained in a bearish zone after a fresh decline. The price is trading below $2,100 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break below a bullish trend line with support at $2,095 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it stays below the $2,100 zone. Ethereum Price Consolidates Losses Ethereum price failed to remain stable above $2,120 and started a downside correction, like Bitcoin. ETH price dipped below the $2,110 and $2,100 levels. The price even traded below $2,080. Besides, there was a break below a bullish trend line with support at $2,095 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. A low was formed at $2,052, and the price is now attempting to recover. There was a recovery wave above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2,138 swing high to the $2,052 low. Ethereum price is now trading below $2,100 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If the bulls remain in action above $2,050, the price could attempt another increase. Immediate resistance is seen near the $2,085 level or the 38.2% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2,138 swing high to the $2,052 low. The first key resistance is near the $2,100 level. The next major resistance is near the $2,120 level. A clear move above the $2,120 resistance might send the price toward the $2,150 resistance. An upside break above the $2,150 region might call for more gains in the coming days. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $2,220 resistance zone or even $2,250 in the near term. Another Drop In ETH? If Ethereum fails to clear the $2,100 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $2,065 level. The first major support sits near the $2,050 zone. A clear move below the $2,050 support might push the price toward the $2,020 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $1,940 region. The main support could be $1,920. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is losing momentum in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now below the 50 zone. Major Support Level – $2,050 Major Resistance Level – $2,150
Ethereum has lost the $2,100 level as selling pressure overwhelms a recovery that has been struggling to find structural support since the mid-May highs. The decline is uncomfortable — but a CryptoOnchain analysis has identified a contradiction in the network data that makes the current price weakness considerably more complex than a straightforward bearish reading suggests. Related Reading: The Institutional Bitcoin Exit Is Real: Analyst Exposes Who’s On The Wrong Side Of The Trade The contradiction sits between two data points that should not be moving in the same direction simultaneously. The ETH 2.0 Staking Rate has reached a new all-time high of 32.18% — the highest proportion of Ethereum’s total supply ever committed to the network’s validator infrastructure. More ETH is locked in long-term staking contracts than at any previous point in the asset’s history, reflecting a cohort of holders whose conviction about Ethereum’s long-term value has never been stronger or more structurally expressed. Against that record commitment, the network’s organic activity tells the opposite story. Median token transfer size and transaction fees have collapsed by 80% to 90% compared to the 90-day baseline. The day-to-day utility that drives genuine demand for block space — the transactions, the DeFi activity, the NFT volume, the protocol interactions — has nearly evaporated. CryptoOnchain describes the current state of the Ethereum blockchain as an on-chain ghost town. Record conviction on one side. Near-zero organic activity on the other. Both present simultaneously, in the same network, at the same price. The analysis examines what is holding the structure together — and the answer is the most alarming element of what the data reveals. Record Staking And Empty Network The CryptoOnchain analysis arrives at the question that the contradiction demands: if organic network activity has collapsed and US institutional spot demand has disappeared, what is keeping Ethereum’s price from reflecting those twin absences more severely? The Coinbase Premium has dropped to -0.12 — confirming that American institutional spot buyers, who drove the most significant phases of Ethereum’s previous recoveries, have stepped back from active accumulation. The on-chain activity metrics confirm that retail and protocol users are similarly absent. The two categories of participants whose genuine demand has historically supported Ethereum price levels are both missing simultaneously. The Phantom Network: Binance Leverage vs. On-Chain Ghost Town The answer the analysis provides is offshore derivatives. Binance Funding Rates have surged 688% above the 90-day baseline, maintaining positive territory at +0.01. Speculative leveraged positioning on the world’s largest derivatives exchange is the force currently sustaining Ethereum’s price in the absence of the spot demand and network utility that would normally provide that foundation. The structural assessment that follows is direct. Peak staking creates a genuine supply floor — 32.18% of total ETH locked in validators represents a meaningful reduction in immediately available sell-side supply that limits downside in a structural sense. But a price sustained by derivatives leverage rather than spot demand or network utility is a price resting on a foundation that can disappear instantly. Leverage flushes do not arrive gradually. When funding rates at 688% above baseline encounter a catalyst that forces deleveraging, the adjustment happens in hours rather than days — and the supply floor provided by staking cannot absorb the speed of that kind of unwind. Related Reading: HYPE Rally Accelerates Above $60 As High-Profile Whale Quietly Builds His Position Ethereum Bulls Defend The $2,100 Region Ethereum continues trading near the critical $2,100 level after weeks of sustained selling pressure erased the recovery structure that briefly pushed price toward the $2,400 resistance zone earlier this month. The daily chart shows ETH trapped beneath the major resistance region between $2,280 and $2,380, an area that repeatedly rejected bullish momentum throughout May and prevented buyers from establishing a higher-high structure. Technically, Ethereum remains below the 200-day moving average, which continues trending downward and reinforcing the broader bearish market structure. The rejection from the resistance zone also forced ETH back below the shorter-term moving averages, signaling weakening momentum as sellers regained control during the latest retracement phase. Related Reading: FET Exchange Supply Is Quietly Disappearing – Discover Why Traders Are Watching Closely Despite the weakness, bulls are still defending the $2,050–$2,100 support region aggressively. Price briefly dipped below this area but quickly recovered, suggesting demand remains active near local lows. This zone is becoming increasingly important because a decisive breakdown would likely expose Ethereum to a deeper move toward the broader demand region around $1,800–$1,900 highlighted on the chart. Volume has gradually declined during the recent consolidation, reflecting market indecision rather than panic selling. For bulls to regain momentum, Ethereum likely needs to reclaim the $2,200 level first and then break decisively above the $2,300–$2,400 resistance cluster that has capped every recovery attempt since April. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
Over the past fourteen days, Ethereum (ETH) has retraced by roughly 9%, and it is now probing the key psychological $2,000 support. Amid this weakening phase, technical analyst Ali Martinez pointed to what he described as “two triggers” that could potentially help ETH turn bullish again. What Happens Next For Ethereum In a recent social media post on X (formerly Twitter), Martinez noted that Ethereum has largely been confined to a broad, multi-year trading range since 2021. In his view, recent price action offered a telling confirmation of that structure. The market experienced what he called a clean rejection at the midpoint of that range, which coincided with the 200-week Simple Moving Average (SMA) at around $2,300. Because ETH failed to reclaim that level, Martinez said the chart has continued to display weakness rather than recovery. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Roadmap For The Rest Of 2026: Bull, Base, And Bear Scenarios Unpacked Looking at the levels that matter most right now, Martinez singled out $1,850 as the critical point on the weekly chart. He warned that if Ethereum records a weekly close below that level, downside momentum could build quickly. From there, he argued that the broader channel structure suggests two larger downside targets after the rejection—first an interim support area around $1,560, and then a move toward approximately $1,070. Two ‘Triggers’ To Turn Bullish In addition to the Simple Moving Average indicator and structural levels, Ali Martinez also highlighted the 0.8 Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) pricing band, a metric traders use to gauge valuation and help identify potential accumulation zones. According to his analysis, this widely watched band is currently sitting near $1,850, just 10% below the zone that Ethereum is now testing. Historically, when ETH moves below the 0.8 MVRV band, the decline has not typically been sustained for long. The analyst also said this key price zone often functions as a “high-probability macro accumulation window”—one that can help form the underlying base for the next bull market. Even so, Ali Martinez made it clear that a full bearish thesis would need to be invalidated before the bullish case can re-emerge. Related Reading: XRP, ETH, SOL, LINK Look Cheap—The Catalysts That Could Drive The Next Leg Up For the downside scenario to be effectively negated and Ethereum to flip back toward a bullish direction, he said two specific “triggers” must occur in the short-term for the cryptocurrency. The first is ETH reclaiming the 200-week SMA, which currently sits at around $2,500. The second trigger would follow only after that: a clean break above the 50-week SMA, which Martinez placed around $3,100. Featured image created with OpenArt; chart from TradingView.com
Ethereum (ETH) has struggled through the first quarter of the year and the opening stretch of the second, but it has managed to hold a crucial line near the $2,000 mark. A new report from market expert Sam Daodu breaks down three potential paths for ETH for the remainder of 2026, with each scenario tied to catalysts that could push the network’s leading altcoin back above $4,000. Bullish Pathway For Ethereum Daodu’s analysis starts with the price action. Ethereum, he notes, has been trending downward since the start of the year, with only a short-lived recovery. ETH began 2026 around $3,100, later sank to a low of $1,743 in February—its weakest point since early 2023. Related Reading: Solana Vs Ethereum: What’s Holding Growth Back? 3 Reasons SOL Is Still Lagging After that, the token has spent much of the year moving sideways between roughly $2,000 and $2,400, suggesting consolidation rather than a clear rebound. A key driver in the report is the upcoming Glamsterdam upgrade, which Daodu says could be the deciding factor for whether ETH revisits the $4,000 level during 2026. In his bullish scenario, Glamsterdam is assumed to launch on schedule in June. The upgrade would cut gas fees by 78.6% and lift throughput to as much as 10,000 transactions per second. At the same time, the news around the upgrade is expected to accelerate Ethereum exchange-traded fund (ETF) inflows, and the report also assumes Bitcoin (BTC) breaks above $90,000. With those conditions in place, Daodu suggests ETH could move above $4,000 in the third quarter, and finish the year between $5,000-$7,500. ETH Could Retest The February 2026 Low In the base case, the story is more subdued. Daodu expects Glamsterdam to ship, but with no strong immediate market reaction. ETF inflows remain positive but slow, and Bitcoin is assumed to rise above $85,000 without delivering a decisive breakout that would strongly re-ignite risk appetite. Under this scenario, Ethereum is still projected to clear $3,000 in the third quarter, then test $4,000 in the last stretch of 2026. The year-end outcome, however, is more restrained: ETH would close between $3,000 and $4,200. Related Reading: Why Questions Are Being Raised about The XRP Ledger’s 300,000 Milestone The bear case is built around delays and macro pressure. Daodu assumes Glamsterdam is either pushed back until the last quarter of the year or launches with deployment bugs. He also adds a more risk-off environment by projecting that Bitcoin could fall below $70,000, driven by inflation data or renewed hawkishness from the Federal Reserve (Fed), along with ETF outflows returning. If those assumptions play out, ETH would likely fail to hold current support and break below $2,085. From there, the report suggests Ethereum could retest the February 2026 low near $1,743, and then end the year at or below today’s price. In this bearish scenario, the idea of Ethereum moving past $4,000 would likely shift into a 2027 discussion rather than remaining a 2026 target. For now, the leading altcoin trades at $2,134. Featured image created with OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com