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Bitcoin (BTC) liquidity is drying up fast, as the metric recently hit a seven-year low, reaching around 3.12 million BTC, the lowest level since 2018. This occurred as BTC continued to trade below the 99-day Moving Average (MA), located around $112,086. Bitcoin Liquidity Dries Up Amid High Demand According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, Bitcoin’s sell-side liquidity is drying up at a rapid pace, recently hitting a seven-year low at 3.12 million BTC. Related Reading: Bitcoin Cycle Score Turns Negative With Trend Below $106,780 – When Will The Correction End? As BTC’s supply tumbles sharply, the cryptocurrency is trading in the low $110,000 range, indicating a delicate balance between falling active circulating supply and growing institutional demand. Latest on-chain data shows that demand for BTC from long-term holders’ addresses has been steadily rising. Over the past 30 days, long-term investors have accumulated 373,700 BTC.  Long-term investors accumulating BTC during the latest dip shows that there is sufficient market demand for the flagship cryptocurrency despite a volatile crypto market. Arab Chain remarked that the market is currently in a “quiet accumulation” phase ahead of a potential breakout. The CryptoQuant analyst emphasized that the Liquidity Inventory Ratio (LIR) has crashed to around 8.3 months, suggesting that current market liquidity covers less than nine months’ worth of demand – confirming the rapid depletion in BTC’s sellable supply. For the uninitiated, the LIR measures the balance between available liquidity and active trading demand in the market, showing whether market makers are providing sufficient depth relative to recent trade volume. A high LIR suggests ample liquidity and stable price movement, while a low LIR indicates thinner order books and higher vulnerability to volatility or slippage. The medium-term outlook for BTC looks bullish, due to a combination of declining liquidity and growing demand from institutional and long-term investors. Arab Chain added: If this trend continues through the end of the fourth quarter, Bitcoin’s price could surpass $115,000, especially if accompanied by rising buying flows from US investment funds and ETFs, supporting the continuation of the current bullish trend. BTC Top Not In Yet While some analysts predict that BTC may have already peaked this market cycle, others are confident that the top cryptocurrency is yet to hit its cycle high. Recent on-chain data indicates that BTC NVT Golden Cross is yet to enter the territory that marked previous cycle tops. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Next Bull Phase Could Be Near As BTC-Stablecoin Ratio Plummets Similarly, fellow CryptoQuant analyst PelinayPA predicted that there is a 55% chance that Bitcoin has not yet topped for the current market cycle. At press time, BTC trades at $111,295, up 2.1% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com

Ethereum (ETH), the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap, continues to trade slightly below the psychologically important $4,000 price level, following the brutal drawdown on October 9, which saw the digital currency test the support at around $3,435. Ethereum Stays Above Realized Price – Bullish Momentum Soon? According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor TeddyVision, Ethereum is trading above its Realized Price at approximately $2,300. Dubbing the price level a “fundamental support zone,” the analyst said that historically, any dips below this level have marked a capitulation phase. Related Reading: Here’s What Happens To The Ethereum Price If Bullish Momentum Holds For the uninitiated, Realized Price represents the average cost basis of all ETH holders, calculated by dividing the total value of all ETH at the time they last moved on-chain by the current circulating supply.  Realized Price effectively shows the “true” average price investors paid, serving as a key indicator of whether the market is in profit or loss. As long as ETH trades above Realized Price, the market structure is likely to remain bullish. The analyst also highlighted Ethereum’s Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio. Notably, ETH holders are currently, on average, at 67% profit relative to their cost basis. This metric gives two major hints about the current market. First, it shows that although the market is profitable, it is still far from “overheated” levels. Second, it indicates that market participants are confident about the market’s upward momentum, but not quite euphoric. To explain, the MVRV ratio compares the market value of an asset to its realized value. A higher MVRV indicates holders are sitting on larger unrealized profits – often signaling potential overvaluation – while a lower MVRV suggests undervaluation or market fear. Further, TeddyVision noted Ethereum’s reaction from the Upper Realized Price Band, which is currently located around $5,300. The analyst remarked: Price pulled back before reaching the “Overheating Zone. This isn’t a reversal – it’s a consolidation phase after distribution, a healthy cooldown without structural damage. Finally, spot inflows of ETH to crypto exchanges are also slowing down, hinting that the next leg up for the digital asset will likely depend on fresh liquidity, and not leverage. To sum it up, Ethereum is slowly moving from the distribution phase to the consolidation phase. Is It A Good Time To Buy ETH? While providing reliable future predictions in the crypto market remains a challenging task, fresh on-chain and exchange data point toward ETH regaining its bullish momentum. For instance, Binance funding rates recently hinted that ETH could surge to $6,800. Related Reading: Ethereum Poised For Breakout? SOPR Trend Hints At $5,000 Upside Similarly, ETH reserves on exchanges continue to fall at a rapid pace. Earlier this month, ETH supply on exchanges hit a multi-year low, increasing the probability of a potential “supply crunch” that can dramatically increase ETH’s price. That said, crypto analyst Nik Patel recently cautioned that ETH’s price correction may not yet be fully over. At press time, ETH trades at $3,849, up 0.3% in the past 24 hours.  Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com

As Bitcoin (BTC) continues to trade in the high $100,000 range following the October 9 crypto market crash, some bullish signs are starting to emerge. Notably, stablecoin reserves on leading crypto exchanges like Binance are entering all-time high (ATH) territory, hinting at a potential rally for BTC. Stablecoin Reserves Rise – Will Bitcoin Benefit? According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor PelinayPA, Binance stablecoin reserves are approaching ATH levels, indicating that investors are ready to deploy funds to accumulate BTC at current or lower levels. Related Reading: Bitcoin Enters ‘Disbelief Phase’ – Could Short Sellers Face The Next Squeeze? The CryptoQuant analyst highlighted the rapidly falling Bitcoin-Stablecoin Ratio (ESR). For the uninitiated, the ESR measures the proportion of Bitcoin reserves to stablecoin reserves on exchanges like Binance. The ratio also gives hints about the market’s potential buying power and selling pressure. Past data shows that whenever the ESR falls sharply during market volatility, BTC’s price tends to surge. Essentially, a declining ESR means that stablecoin reserves are growing in comparison to BTC reserves on exchanges. This shows an increase in available “dry powder” on exchanges, which can quickly be used to buy more BTC and initiate another bull rally. Conversely, when the ESR rises, it means that stablecoin reserves are falling while BTC supply on exchanges is increasing. This points toward an increase in short-term selling pressure as traders deposit BTC to exchanges to sell. Currently, the ESR has fallen to historically low levels, implying that Binance holds relatively large stablecoin reserves compared to BTC reserves. According to PelinayPA, such a setup can have two interpretations: In a positive scenario, the abundance of stablecoins suggests significant latent buying power. If market confidence returns, this could trigger a strong wave of buying pressure and mark the start of a new bullish phase. Meanwhile, the negative scenario assumes that this liquidity would remain inactive, reflecting investor hesitation and a market in standby mode after the recent bloodbath that resulted in liquidations worth $19 billion. Will The Gold Rotation Help BTC? Following the crypto market crash earlier this month, which sent BTC from an ATH of more than $126,000 all the way down to $102,000, several whales faced liquidations. Despite the crash, some analysts are confident that the BTC top is not in yet. Related Reading: Bitcoin Whales Are Back: Three Indicators Suggest A Run Toward $130,000 One of the factors that can significantly benefit BTC in the near term is the capital rotation from gold to the digital asset. In a new report, Bitwise predicted that capital rotation from gold into BTC could propel it to $242,000. That said, veteran trader Peter Brandt recently forecasted that BTC could crash 50% from current price levels. At press time, BTC trades at $108,268, down 0.3% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com

While Bitcoin (BTC) has declined more than 13% from its fresh all-time high (ATH) of $126,199 recorded earlier this month on October 6, CryptoQuant contributor PelinayPA is confident that there is a 55% chance that the BTC top for this market cycle is not in yet. Bitcoin Top Not In Yet – More Upside Ahead? According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor PelinayPA, there is a 55% probability that the Bitcoin top for the ongoing market cycle is not in yet. The analyst highlighted BTC’s recent on-chain flows to support their claim. Related Reading: Bitcoin Cycle Score Turns Negative With Trend Below $106,780 – When Will The Correction End? In their analysis, PelinayPA noted that although BTC’s price has tumbled from more than $126,000 to around $109,000 in the second half of 2025, there has been a noticeable increase in 0-1 day BTC inflows to exchanges. A rise in 0-1 days BTC inflows to exchange typically has two implications – short-term traders are taking profits, and there is a temporary phase of repositioning of liquidity as traders transfer their holdings to exchanges, anticipating price volatility. The analyst added that BTC held for more than six months is largely inactive, indicating that long-term holders are likely not selling despite the recent market crash. This signals market confidence among long-term holders, minimizing the possibility of another major sell-off in the near term. PelinayPA remarked that such behavior typically occurs in the mid or maturing stages of a bull cycle, where any dip in price is seen as an opportunity to accumulate instead of a trend reversal.  Currently, the Bitcoin market is in a natural consolidation phase within an ongoing uptrend. The analyst added: In the short term, Bitcoin could revisit the $102K region as short term traders continue to take profits. However, since this selling pressure originates mainly from newer holders, it is unlikely to disrupt the broader bullish structure. These dips may offer attractive entry opportunities. Concluding, Pelinay commented that the lack of selling activity among BTC holders in the 6-months to 10-year time-band range shows that there is a 55% probability that the bull market top has not yet formed. BTC Could Dip To $102,000 The CryptoQuant contributor noted that, although it is likely that the BTC bull market top is not in yet, it does not mean that the top cryptocurrency would not see further temporary decline. If selling persists, BTC could once again test the $102,000 support level. Related Reading: Bitcoin Market Feels “Too Efficient” As Arbitrage Opportunities Vanish – What It Means For Price? Similarly, crypto analyst Elliot Waves Academy remarked that BTC has likely finished the bullish leg of the ongoing market cycle. The analyst added that BTC is likely to consolidate around its current levels.  That said, a fellow CryptoQuant contributor noted that BTC has entered the ‘disbelief phase,’ and may take the bears by surprise with a sharp surge in price. At press time, BTC trades at $108,472, down 2% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com

After the massive crash on October 10 – which saw Bitcoin (BTC) touch $102,000 before recovering some losses – some analysts now predict that the top cryptocurrency may be on the verge of another bullish rally as it enters the ‘disbelief phase.’ Bitcoin In Disbelief Phase – Trouble For Bears? According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Darkfost, Bitcoin appears to be entering the disbelief phase, which increases the possibility of a rebound to the upside. The contributor emphasized the slightly negative funding rate to support their analysis. Related Reading: Bitcoin Cycle Score Turns Negative With Trend Below $106,780 – When Will The Correction End? For the uninitiated, the Bitcoin disbelief phase occurs when a new uptrend begins, but most investors remain skeptical after a recent correction, doubting that the recovery is real. During this phase, lingering bearish sentiment and short positions often act as fuel for a stronger rally once confidence returns. Darkfost stated that investors’ skepticism toward BTC returning to bullish mode can be gauged through BTC funding rates in the derivatives market. Funding rates remained negative at -0.004% on the exchange for six out of seven days over the past week, indicating traders are still slightly bearish. The likely reason behind traders’ short bias is the October 10 crypto market crash that led to a liquidation worth $19 billion. Since then, traders have consistently chosen to short the market instead of getting trapped in another price pullback. However, the longer BTC remains in the disbelief phase, the stronger the potential for an explosive upside move becomes. Darkfost added: If the current uptrend continues to establish itself, the growing pile of short positions against it could become a powerful fuel for the next leg higher. As these shorts get liquidated, it would drive prices upward, triggering a short squeeze. If a short squeeze happens, then BTC could quickly rally to major liquidity zones around $113,000 level, and even as high as $126,000 region, where significant short orders liquidations are clustered. The analyst shared two previous instance where such a pattern played out. In September 2024, BTC fell to $54,000 before surging to a new all-time high beyond $100,000. Similarly, in April 2025, the flagship digital asset rallied from $85,000 to $111,000, before climbing even higher to $123,000. To conclude, the Bitcoin market may be on the verge of another short squeeze, fueled by investors’ skepticism. BTC Investors Need To Be Cautious Although BTC is giving hints of a looming short squeeze, investors should still exercise some caution before entering the market in hopes of an instant turnaround in sentiment. For example, Bitcoin activity recently slumped below its 365-day average, raising fears of a loss of momentum. Related Reading: Bitcoin Market Feels “Too Efficient” As Arbitrage Opportunities Vanish – What It Means For Price? That said, some crypto analysts forecast that BTC is likely done with the price correction and is set to surge in the coming days. At press time, BTC trades at $110,814, up 2.8% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com

Bitcoin (BTC) continues to lose momentum, as the flagship cryptocurrency fell to $103,528 earlier today amid an increasingly uncertain global macroeconomic outlook. Fresh data from Binance suggests that BTC is currently undergoing a critical transition phase within its price cycle. Bitcoin Fall Continues – When Will Bloodbath End? According to a CryptoQuant QuickTake post by contributor Arab Chain, Bitcoin is currently undergoing an important transition phase within its market cycle. The Bitcoin Cycle Phase Score recently entered negative territory, in tandem with a decline in BTC’s price from $124,000 to around $107,000 within 24 hours. Related Reading: Bitcoin Market Feels “Too Efficient” As Arbitrage Opportunities Vanish – What It Means For Price? The Cycle Phase Score combines market trend and short-term momentum (Z-Score) to show Bitcoin’s current phase. Positive values indicate upward momentum, while negative values signal short-term weakness or a correction. The decline in the Cycle Phase Score shows that the BTC market has lost some of its upward momentum that benefited it during the first two weeks of October. The transition to negative territory shows the start of a structural correction phase, following weeks of consecutive gains. The analyst explained that a trend_signal of -1 confirms that BTC’s price has tumbled below the 200-day moving average. It is likely to trade below this metric until it can decisively break through the $106,780 level. Similarly, a negative Z-score shows that Bitcoin’s price is trading significantly below its short-term average, further confirming the dominance of short-term selling pressure. Arab Chain added: Analytically, this movement can be viewed as a rebalancing phase within the ongoing cycle, rather than the start of a long-term downtrend. The current pullback follows a strong period of price expansion, which is often followed by a temporary pause in momentum before the main trend resumes. Arab Chain concluded by saying that if BTC’s price finds stability above $105,000 in the coming days, then the Cycle Phase Score indicator may re-enter the positive region again. Such a development could signal the end of the ongoing price correction phase. Will BTC Fall Below $100,000? As BTC trades close to the mid $100,000 level, fears are rising in the market that the digital asset may fall below the psychologically important $100,000 mark. Further, on-chain data is not particularly encouraging, as the Bitcoin network activity recently crashed below the 365-day average. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s On-Chain Roadmap Shows $111,000 – $143,000 As The Range To Watch In addition, crypto analyst CryptoBirb recently stated that the current BTC bull cycle is likely coming to an end. The analyst remarked that Bitcoin is almost 99.3% through its current cycle. That said, whale accumulation of BTC is showing no signs of slowing down. Companies added a total of 176,000 BTC to their treasuries during Q3 2025. At press time, BTC trades at $105,484, down 5.1% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com

Ethereum (ETH) may be nearing the end of its price correction, as the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap continues to trade slightly above $4,000, following a strong sell-off last week when it almost crashed to $3,400. Ethereum Price Correction May Be Over  According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor PelinayPA, Ethereum funding rates on Binance crypto exchange have remained positive, despite being in a narrow range. This shows that long positions on ETH still dominate the market. Related Reading: Bitcoin Market Feels “Too Efficient” As Arbitrage Opportunities Vanish – What It Means For Price? ETH funding rates fluctuating normally on Binance – despite the digital asset’s recent extraordinary price appreciation – implies that futures traders are not exhibiting greed or euphoria, typically associated with the mid-phase of a healthy uptrend. For example, during the 2021-22 bull cycle, ETH funding rates often surged to 0.1% to 0.2%, aligning with local market tops. At present, these funding rates are hovering around 0.01% to 0.03%, implying that the market has not reached overheated levels just yet. In addition, the absence of negative funding rates confirms a decline in short positioning, and elevated risk appetite among investors. The CryptoQuant analyst added: The overall trend remains upward. Low funding rates combined with strong price momentum suggest that the correction is likely complete. In the short term, minor profit-taking or sideways consolidation between $3,600–$3,800 would be natural. If funding rates gradually rise above 0.05%, it could signal overcrowded longs and trigger a short term pullback. The current combination of moderate levels of leverage and gradually rising spot demand hints toward a potential ETH rally, eyeing the $4,500 to $5,000 range in the long term. The price target could be even higher with a favorable derivatives structure and funding dynamics. That said, a sharp increase in funding rates could be seen as an early warning of another price pullback for the cryptocurrency. However, ETH’s market structure still supports a potential surge to $6,800 by the end of 2025, the analyst concluded. ETH Ready For New Highs? Several indicators point toward ETH looking to resume its bullish momentum. For instance, ETH’s Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) trend recently hinted toward the digital asset rising to $5,000 in the near term. Related Reading: Ethereum Close To Local Bottom? Analyst Flags Drop In Binance Open Interest Further, ETH exchange reserves continue to tumble at a rapid pace. Recent exchange data shows that ETH reserves on exchanges have hit a multi-year low, raising the possibility of an impending “supply crunch” for the cryptocurrency. That said, there are several other factors that may fuel another sell-off in ETH, pushing its price again below $4,000. At press time, ETH trades at $4,053, up 0.2% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com

As Bitcoin (BTC) tries to recover from its weekend sell-off that saw it almost crash to $100,000, some crypto analysts think that the BTC market likely “lost its pulse.” As a result, the leading cryptocurrency may be on the cusp of losing its bullish momentum. Bitcoin At The Risk Of Losing Momentum? According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor TeddyVision, Bitcoin’s Inter-Exchange Flow Pulse (IFP) has been trending lower, confirming that inter-exchange activity is slowly fading. Related Reading: Bitcoin Buyers Dominate On Binance As CVD Confirmation Nears 0.9, Signaling $130K Target Zone For the uninitiated, the IFP measures liquidity as it moves between crypto exchanges. In essence, it can be considered a proxy to determine how active arbitrage and market-making really are. To explain, arbitrage refers to the practice of buying an asset for a lower price on one platform and selling it at a higher price on another, thus benefiting from the price differential. In simple terms, arbitrage refers to profiting from inefficiencies. When such inefficiencies exist in the market and are actually executable, liquidity tends to start moving fast. At the same time, trading bots begin shuttling funds across platforms, market spreads begin to realign again, and the market starts to feel “alive.” This is when the IFP rises. Although there is greater market volatility due to a rising IFP, it is generally considered healthy for the market as it confirms that BTC is likely experiencing a bullish momentum. However, since the IFP reading has turned lower in recent weeks, traders are finding it harder to arbitrage price discrepancies even though they might still be appearing. TeddyVision noted: Price discrepancies still appear, but they’re harder to arbitrage – liquidity is thinner, latency is higher, and risk-adjusted opportunities are drying up. Traders find fewer setups worth taking, and less capital circulates between venues. The analyst emphasized that liquidity is not leaving the market, it is just not circulating like earlier. While such a slowdown in liquidity does not crash the market, it does drain the energy out of it. To conclude, the market is not collapsing, it is just “too efficient” at the moment for traders to find any meaningful arbitrage opportunities that they can benefit from. When inefficiencies leave the market, the underlying asset is likely at risk of losing its momentum. A Healthy Correction For BTC? The market crash on October 9 led to the largest single-day liquidation ever in the history of the crypto industry, totalling a mammoth $19 billion. While the overall optimism has receded, some analysts are still hopeful of a quick sentiment turnaround. Related Reading: Bitcoin Forecast: $160,000 Target Possible If These 2 Conditions Align – Analyst Fellow crypto analyst EtherNasyonaL stated that BTC has maintained its upward trajectory despite the recent market crash, and that a move to a new all-time high (ATH) may be on the horizon. At press time, BTC trades at $111,731, down 2.3% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com

Following Bitcoin’s (BTC) brutal sell-off on October 9, which saw the top cryptocurrency by market cap flash crash to $102,000 before recovering most of its losses, on-chain signals now show that there has been a noticeable decline in the Bitcoin network usage for most of 2025. Bitcoin On-Chain Fundamentals Losing Strength? According to a CryptoQant Quicktake post by contributor TeddyVision, Bitcoin’s Network Activity Index has been consistently trending below its 365-day moving average (MA) for most of 2025. The decline shows a structural slowdown in the Bitcoin network’s on-chain usage. Related Reading: Bitcoin Decouples From Miner Flows With -0.15 Correlation – What It Means For Price? For the uninitiated, the Bitcoin Network Activity Index measures how actively users are interacting on-chain – tracking metrics like transaction counts, active addresses, and transfer volumes. A rising index suggests growing organic usage and adoption, while a declining one indicates slowing network engagement. To recall, the Bitcoin network activity surged ahead of price back in 2023-24. At the time, Bitcoin price witnessed organic expansion in price, primarily driven by genuine on-chain usage. However, the trend has changed significantly in 2025. For the most part, this year saw Bitcoin liquidity circulating off-chain, while on-chain traffic has dwindled. As a result, the Network Activity Index has tumbled below the 365-day MA. That said, BTC price has held between $100,000 to $120,000, creating a widening gap between the digital asset’s valuation and network fundamentals. The CryptoQuant analyst remarked: Capital keeps rotating, but not expanding – most flows happen off-chain, through ETFs, custodians, and synthetic exposure, while genuine on-chain demand remains subdued. TeddyVision stated that the recent capital rotation in the Bitcoin market is not indicative of its strength, but rather it is just “momentum running on fumes.” The analyst added that when the Bitcoin network usage stagnates while price keeps on increasing, valuations stop reflecting adoption and start tracking assumptions. To conclude, although Bitcoin is not collapsing just yet, the fall in its network usage activity speaks volumes about its falling fundamentals. That said, all may not be over for BTC just yet. In an X post, crypto analyst Titan of Crypto noted that the Bitcoin bull market is not over yet. The analyst stated that a Bitcoin bear market will only start if it loses the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the weekly chart. Q4 2025 Bullish For BTC? While the recent flash crash to $102,000 may have spooked BTC bulls, several industry experts are still confident that the digital asset will continue to make new record highs in the last quarter of 2025. Related Reading: Bitcoin Short-Term Prediction: Why The Price Will Cross $140,000 By The End Of October Crypto market expert Ash Crypto recently predicted that BTC is likely to hit as high as $180,000 in Q4 2025. Similarly, fresh data from Binance suggests that BTC could be on track to $130,000. In the same vein, noted crypto analyst Egrag recently forecasted that BTC only needs a minor catalyst to surge to $175,000. At press time, BTC trades at $114,076, up 0.8% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant, X, and TradingView.com

Following a new all-time high (ATH) of $126,199 on Binance, Bitcoin (BTC) is now consolidating in the low $120,000 range. Latest exchange data – such as Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) Confirmation Score – suggests that BTC is benefitting from strong underlying demand. CVD Confirmation Shows Strong Demand For Bitcoin According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, Bitcoin’s CVD Confirmation Score – a 30-day rolling correlation between Bitcoin’s price and the CVD – is suggesting a strong resynchronization of the trend. Related Reading: Bitcoin Decouples From Miner Flows With -0.15 Correlation – What It Means For Price? For the uninitiated, the CVD Confirmation Score measures the 30-day correlation between Bitcoin’s price and the CVD, which tracks the net difference between taker buy and sell volumes on exchanges. A high score (above 0.7) indicates that price increases are backed by real buying pressure, while a low or negative score suggests weak or speculative momentum. Latest data from Binance shows that the CVD Confirmation Score currently hovers around 0.8 to 0.9, indicating that the current price surge is largely driven by genuine taker buying rather than a technical bounce or a short squeeze. Past data also suggests that whenever this data point has remained about 0.7 for an extended period, price corrections tend to be relatively shallow and short-lived. This is because new liquidity in the market quickly absorbs any incoming supply of BTC. The CryptoQuant analyst remarked that if the CVD Confirmation Score continues to hover above 0.7 – coupled with a decisive breakout above the $124,000 – $126,000 resistance zone – then it could be on its way to a potential target of as high as $135,000. However, any negative divergence with BTC price rising and CVD Confirmation Score dropping below 0.4 should be seen as a warning sign, as it increases the likelihood of distribution or liquidation pressure. Conversely, the $112,000 – $115,000 and $108,000 – $110,000 stand out as strong support levels for BTC. At these price levels, the CVD Confirmation Score should remain steady to ensure the uptrend remains intact. Arab Chain added: The underlying trend is bullish and supported by real inflows on Binance, the highest-volume exchange globally. Monitor three confirmation signals: CVD Confirmation stays high, open interest remains moderate, and funding does not become excessive. Any clear imbalance across these metrics will be the first warning of a momentum shift. Is BTC Due For A Correction? While bulls are hoping for an extended rally for BTC, some analysts aren’t quite convinced about the digital asset surging to new highs in the near term. For instance, crypto analyst ZVN recently stated that BTC may witness a pullback before its next surge to $150,000. Related Reading: Short-Term Holder Supply Rises By 559K Bitcoin – New Buyers Flood the Market Similarly, fellow crypto analyst Dick Dandy recently predicted that BTC may witness a massive 60% price correction, falling all the way down to $43,900. At press time, BTC trades at $118,791, down 1.8% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com

Following a slight slump yesterday from its recent highs, Bitcoin (BTC) is now trading in the low $120,000 range. Meanwhile, BTC’s miner correlation has undergone a significant shift over the past few months, indicating a clear change in market dynamics between miner behavior and price direction. Bitcoin Miner Correlation Turns Negative According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, fresh data from Binance shows that Bitcoin price and miner flows to the crypto exchange have undergone a significant shift in recent months. Related Reading: Bitcoin Whales Are Back: Three Indicators Suggest A Run Toward $130,000 Specifically, the 30-Day Rolling Correlation indicator has tumbled to its lowest level since March 2025. On October 3, this indicator fell to -0.157, its lowest reading in more than five months. Since then, it has remained close to the -0.10 range. For the uninitiated, the 30-day rolling correlation indicator measures how closely two variables, such as Bitcoin’s price and miner flows, move together over the past 30 days. A positive value means they typically rise or fall in tandem, while a negative value means they move in opposite directions. It is worth noting that the indicator had previously been moving within a positive range of 0.1 to 0.5 during Q2 2025. The shift from positive rage to negative suggests that the recent surge in BTC price has not been driven by miner flows to exchanges. This is in stark contrast to previous cycles, where miner flows to exchanges played a key role in BTC’s price movement. However, the current cycle’s positive price action can be attributed to increased demand from investors and institutions. Arab Chain added: In past cycles, when the price rose, miners often transferred larger amounts of Bitcoin to exchanges to sell and take profits, creating a positive correlation between price and miner flows – meaning that as prices increased, flows also increased. Arab Chain added that the decline in correlation indicates a phase of “price independence” where miners opt to hold their BTC rather than sell it during times of price appreciation. A fall in miner signal is usually considered a bullish signal, as it reduces BTC’s circulating supply. That said, if the correlation turns strongly positive again, it could signal the return of selling pressure and a medium-term price correction could be expected. At present, the BTC market is showing a healthy balance between demand and supply. BTC Needs To Defend This Level Following BTC’s fall to the low $120,000 range, some crypto analysts say that the top cryptocurrency must defend the $120,600 level to avoid further crash. However, not all analysts are bearish on BTC just yet.  Related Reading: $140K Or Bust? Simulation Says Bitcoin’s Odds Are Now 50-50 For instance, crypto entrepreneur Arthur Hayes predicts that US President Donald Trump could send BTC to $250,000 by the end of 2025. At press time, BTC trades at $121,375, down 0.8% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com

As Bitcoin (BTC) takes a brief breather after creating a new all-time high (ATH) above $125,000, on-chain data shows that three key indicators played a major role in the digital asset’s latest rally to new highs.  These Three Indicators Suggest More Room For Bitcoin According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, fresh data from Binance suggests that BTC is witnessing one of its most significant buying phases since mid-year. Notably, BTC’s price has surged from around $117,000 to $124,000 since the beginning of October. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s On-Chain Roadmap Shows $111,000 – $143,000 As The Range To Watch Arab Chain emphasized three key indicators that suggest the return of whales into the Bitcoin market. First, the net buying pressure (vol_delta) surged past $500 million on some days, indicating that buying pressure outweighed selling pressure from this amount. Similarly, the imbalance ratio (imbalance_pct) recently hit a high of 0.23, suggesting that BTC buy orders on Binance were roughly 23% higher than sell orders. Higher buy orders than sell orders usually indicate strong demand and potential upward pressure on the asset’s price. Finally, the Z-score recorded a value of 0.79, reflecting above-average buying activity. For the uninitiated, a Z-score measures how many standard deviations a data point is from the mean. The CryptoQuant analyst remarked that these indicators confirm that institutional buyers and whales have returned to the Bitcoin market in force. Arab Chain added: This activity coincides with a clear increase in daily trading volumes, which have reached their highest levels since last July, suggesting that the rally is being supported by real liquidity rather than temporary speculation. Recent trading sessions have shown a few of these indicators – especially vol_delta – slightly declining in value, and temporarily moving to negative territory. That said, the broader indicators still favor a continued upward trend for the top cryptocurrency. Notably, the average daily volatility has remained low, confirming strong market confidence and stable demand. This is in stark contrast to the market behavior shown in September, when BTC was struggling in the $100,000 range. To conclude, both technical and behavioral indicators support BTC’s continued rise to $125,000 – $130,000 in the near term. Unless a strong wave of sell-off emerges, any price correction should be viewed as an opportunity to accumulate BTC, Arab Chain noted. What’s Next For BTC? While it is typically a challenge to predict BTC’s future, some analysts are not shying away from giving predictions about the flagship digital asset’s upcoming price trajectory. For instance, BTC’s pricing bands suggest a move toward $140,000 is likely. Related Reading: Bitcoin UTXO Falls To Lowest Level Since April 2024 — What This Means For Price Similarly, rapidly dwindling BTC reserves on crypto exchanges may propel the cryptocurrency’s price to even greater highs, potentially to $150,000 and beyond. At press time, BTC trades at $122,373, up 0.3% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com

As Bitcoin (BTC) resumes recording new all-time highs (ATH), focus is back on key price levels that could provide investors with an idea about the next possible resistance levels that may see a sell-off in BTC. Fresh on-chain data offers a map of BTC’s most important price levels. Bitcoin May Face Resistance At These Levels According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Crazzyblockk, the cost basis (Realized Price) of BTC Short-Term Holders (STH) provides a snapshot of important support and resistance zones. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sharpe-Like Ratio Shows Market In Wait-and-See Mode At $119,000 Notably, the STH Realized Price highlights the aggregate price at which recent market participants acquired their BTC. This information can give analysts an idea about potential price levels that can influence investors’ behavior to either take profits or hold their positions. Crazzyblockk highlighted multiple price levels that could function as potential profit-taking zones. For instance,

Ethereum (ETH) has been on an uptrend since September 28, surging from around $3,800 to the mid $4,000 range at the time of writing. According to recent data from Binance, ETH went through a “reset” during the second half of September and early October, and may now be eyeing the $5,000 price level. Ethereum Reset Over, New Highs Soon? According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, ETH underwent a healthy reset over the past few weeks. While the digital asset initially dropped to $3,800 – $3,900 range, it is now trading in the mid $4,000 level. Related Reading: Ethereum Close To Local Bottom? Analyst Flags Drop In Binance Open Interest At the same time, ETH’s Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) remained volatile around 1.0, with multiple spikes above one and a singular outlier, shown in the chart below. It suggests that short-term inflows are generating enough demand to meet the supply. In simple words, any price decline is quickly reversed as long as the ETH SOPR remains above 1.0. The chart shows a local bottom created in late September near $3,800 – $3,900. This local bottom was soon followed by a gradual rebound to $4,500. However, the reversal did not occur at once. Instead, it occurred in multiple stages, with short price corrections that did not go below previous lows. For most of this period, the SOPR hovered between 0.98 and 1.03, a neutral range that suggests a rotation in position instead of a broad market sell-off. Although some flash highs surged above 1.0, these profit-taking bursts were quickly absorbed by the strong demand for ETH. Currently, Ethereum is showing signs of reaccumulation. As long as any pullback keeps the SOPR at or above 1.0 and the support level at $4,000 is not breached, ETH could benefit from a continued upside scenario. Arab Chain added: A sustained break above 4.5K would consolidate demand momentum and open the way for gradually higher targets, while a break below 4.0K with SOPR

As Bitcoin (BTC) steadily makes its way toward its current all-time high (ATH) of $124,128, optimism seems to be returning to the market. However, fresh data from Binance shows that BTC’s gains barely outweigh the risks posed by the digital asset’s volatility. Bitcoin Maintaining A Risk-Reward Balance According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, latest data from Binance – the world’s leading cryptocurrency trading platform in terms of liquidity – suggests that BTC is currently maintaining a risk-reward balance. Related Reading: Bitcoin Funding Dynamics Shift As Binance Premium Signals Aggressive Longs Specifically, the Sharpe-like ratio on Binance currently stands at 0.18, a figure very close to neutral territory. To explain, a Sharpe-like ratio measures how much return an investment generates relative to the risk it takes, similar to the Sharpe ratio but often using adjusted benchmarks or risk measures. When the Sharpe-like ratio is above 0.5, investing in Bitcoin becomes attractive since the potential returns outweigh the risks. On the contrary, a negative reading of the ratio discourages investors from taking risks, since volatility exceeds returns. During 2024, when the cryptocurrency market was largely weak and volatile, the Sharpe-like ratio spent most of the time in the negative territory. In contrast, the ratio reached elevated levels, signaling a strong uptrend, at the beginning of 2025. Currently, the Bitcoin market is trading between the two extremes – the market is neither dangerous nor in a powerful uptrend. Notably, the market appears to be in a phase of equilibrium and accumulation, as it trades close to $119,000. Arab Chain added: The latest figures show that the 30-day average return stands at just 0.26%, highlighting that the market is not delivering outsized gains; investors entering now are likely to see only modest profits relative to risk. Meanwhile, 30-day volatility is around 1.37%, which indicates a natural, moderate level of price fluctuation – not excessively calm but not alarmingly unstable either. BTC Needs A Catalyst For Next Leg Up The CryptoQuant analyst added that the BTC market is currently awaiting a bullish catalyst or strong inflows to extend its uptrend. However, if the Sharpe-like ratio falls below zero again, then a period of price correction may follow. Related Reading: Bitcoin Momentum Indicator: Why 600,000 Transactions Threshold Matters Most On the flipside, the ratio sustaining above 0.5 for several days – coupled with a price breakout above the $120,000 to $122,000 range on healthy volume – would suggest a fresh upward trend for the top cryptocurrency by market cap. Recent on-chain data hints toward a potential rally setup for BTC. Notably, the short-term holder (STH) spent output profit ratio (SOPR) recently recovered slightly to 0.995. That said, Bitcoin must defend the important $90,000 support level to avoid entering a new bear market. At press time, BTC trades at $118,788, up 1.3% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com

Bitcoin (BTC) witnessed a slight surge earlier today, climbing from $113,000 to around $117,000 at the time of writing, in contrast to expectations of several crypto analysts who were predicting a decline in risk-on assets due to the US government shutdown. Bitcoin Rises Despite US Government Shutdown The US federal government shut down at midnight on September 30, as President Donald Trump and Congress failed to reach a deal on funding. Specifically, the two camps were at odds over enhanced Obamacare subsidies, with neither party willing to take the blame. Related Reading: Bitcoin Momentum Indicator: Why 600,000 Transactions Threshold Matters Most However, Bitcoin made a surprise move to the upside despite the uncertain environment created by the US government shutdown, recording strong gains earlier today. CryptoQuant analyst Kripto Mevsimi stated that September saw deeper losses among short-term holders (STH), as their Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) fell as low as 0.992. As a result, most of September was marked by STH continuing to sell their BTC holdings at a loss. However, the metric recovered slightly to 0.995, although it is still below August’s reading of 0.998. The current STH-SOPR reading is showing signs of stabilization after a period of depression. It is interesting to note the timing of this recovery, as it occurred at a time when BTC is trading in the high $110,000 range, slightly below a heavy resistance zone. Past data shows two potential scenarios that can happen following such a reset in the STH-SOPR. First, it could be early warning signs of a weakening momentum for BTC, as extended loss realization can precede corrective phases where weak hands capitulate. The other, more bullish scenario, is that it could be a healthy reset. Quick absorption of realized losses often paves the way for more sustainable rallies, which could catapult BTC to new all-time highs (ATH) in the near term. The CryptoQuant analyst added: With BTC consolidating under resistance, this rebound in STH-SOPR is a key barometer of market health. If buyers continue to absorb weak-hand selling, it could mirror past resets that paved the way for the next leg higher. Will BTC Decline In Q4 2025? While the dwindling active circulating supply of Bitcoin offers some hope to the bulls, others are not as optimistic. According to recent analysis by fellow CryptoQuant contributor Axel Adler, demand for BTC cooled after it failed to hold above $115,000. Related Reading: Bitcoin Could Go To Zero, Hedge Fund CEO Warns Meanwhile, crypto analyst Doctor Profit recently remarked that BTC is likely to experience another 20% decline from its current price, reaching his projected target range between $90,000 – $94,000. At press time, BTC trades at $117,226, up 3.5% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com

As Bitcoin (BTC) continues to trade in the low $110,000 range, a key on-chain indicator has flipped bullish, show signs of an upcoming price rally that could propel the top digital asset to new all-time highs (ATH) in the near term.  Bitcoin’s 600,000 Transactions Threshold Takes Center Stage According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Ibrahim Cosar, an important correlation between BTC price and the total number of transactions over time stands out.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Cycle Confluence Hints No Bottom Before October – What This Means The analyst shared the following chart to highlight the relationship between Bitcoin’s price and the total number of transactions. Notably, whenever the total transaction count surges above the 600,000 level – or even approaches it – BTC’s price tends to initiate an upward move. The above chart shows three previous instances in 2025 when BTC’s total transaction count climbed beyond 600,000, with an ensuing price appreciation. In May, there was a sharp price increase shortly following Bitcoin’s transaction count jump. Similar combinations of transaction count increase and price action surge were witnessed in August and early September. The CryptoQuant analyst remarked that this pattern has become particularly evident since Q4 2024. Cosar added: I’ve been studying on-chain data for a long time, but it’s rare to see such a clear pattern. The 600K transaction threshold seems to act almost like a signal that triggers Bitcoin’s “price engine.” This is my personal discovery, and the chart confirms it quite clearly. The analyst stated that rising transaction activity on the network is a leading indicator of Bitcoin’s underlying usage and demand. As the number of transactions on the Bitcoin network rises, the network becomes more vibrant and active. The growing usage of the Bitcoin network creates a natural buying pressure on Bitcoin’s price, adding fuel to the cryptocurrency’s bullish momentum. According to Cosar, the 600,000 transaction level is an “activity explosion” threshold that leads to a “price explosion.” That said, the analyst cautioned that no single factor can completely influence BTC’s price, as it is dependent on a mix of various factors, including macroeconomic backdrop, regulations, and trading activity. Still, the significance of an on-chain indicator with such a strong correlation with BTC’s price should not be ignored. If the total transaction count rises past the 600,000 level again, expect BTC to hit a new record high. Will BTC Fall Below $100,000? Bitcoin’s inability to decisively break through its current ATH of $124,128, recorded on August 14, has bulls worried about the digital asset’s fading momentum. The cryptocurrency is currently at its most oversold level since April 2025. Related Reading: Bitcoin Tipped To Peak In 2026 – Here’s Why From a technical standpoint, BTC has formed a bearish evening star pattern on the weekly chart, raising the possibilities of a price dip below $100,000. At press time, BTC trades at $114,117, up 3.8% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com

Earlier today, Ethereum (ETH) slid below the psychologically important $4,000 level for the first time since August 8. The fall in ETH’s price can be attributed to a mix of macroeconomic, structural, and crypto-specific factors. Ethereum Dips Below $4,000, Analyst Explains Why According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, ETH’s latest descent below $4,000 can be blamed on a complex mix of factors. First, a strong US dollar, coupled with the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious stance following its September rate cut, dampened risk appetite. Related Reading: Ethereum Close To Local Bottom? Analyst Flags Drop In Binance Open Interest Furthermore, rising bond yields and the increasing risk of a US government shutdown have spooked investors, discouraging them from investing in risk-on assets, including cryptocurrencies like ETH. Second, the analyst points to the role of leverage in ETH’s latest dip. On September 22, more than $500 million in ETH longs were wiped out within 24 hours, resulting in the unwinding of high leverage that was building up in Q2 2025. During the sell-off, ETH whales faced close to $45 million in forced sales. In addition, low weekend trading volume and shallow order books enhanced ETH’s price swings. Notably, institutional investors turned to OTC redemptions, following the Fed meeting to reduce their exposure to ETH. From a technical perspective, ETH failed to decisively break through the stiff resistance near $4,500 – $4,600. Failure to defend the $4,200 support worsened things for ETH, turning the momentum sharply bearish. The fifth reason was regulatory headwinds surrounding digital assets, especially the uncertainty around MiCA in the EU and US crypto legislation. ETH exchange-traded fund (ETF) outflows worth $76 million weighed on investor sentiment. Finally, a surge in validator exit queues and reduced staking inflows weakened natural buy-side support. Other factors, such as seasonal weakness and Bitcoin’s (BTC) rising dominance in the market, contributed to ETH’s sell-off. Arab Chain concluded: While this correction reflects structural positioning and macro forces rather than a broken thesis, volatility may persist until liquidity returns and regulatory clarity improves. Will ETH Stage A Recovery? While the momentum is against ETH currently, some analysts are optimistic about a turnaround in ETH’s fortunes in the coming months. For instance, ETH’s CME futures open interest is inching closer to new highs, setting a new potential target for ETH of $6,800 by the end of 2025. Related Reading: Ethereum Rally Stalls As Spot And Perpetual Volumes Flatten On Binance Similarly, the surge in ETH contracts throughout the year has some analysts convinced that the digital asset may soon embark on a rally to $5,000. ETH’s illiquid supply could further propel it to new highs. In his latest analysis, crypto commentator Ted Pillows predicted that the increase in global M2 money supply could pave the way for $20,000 ETH. At press time, ETH trades at $3,959, down 3.6% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, chart and TradingView.com

As Bitcoin (BTC) continues to remain range-bound between $110,000 – $115,000, data from crypto exchanges seems divided toward the leading cryptocurrency. While Binance traders are exhibiting a bullish stance, traders from other exchanges are still showing a degree of hesitation. Binance Traders Expecting Bitcoin Price Surge According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Crazzyblockk, fresh derivatives data from Binance is signaling shifting market dynamics – specifically, the recent BTC funding rate on Binance points toward traders taking a bullish stance. Related Reading: Bitcoin Breaks Above Mid-Term Holder Breakeven – Is A Fresh Rally Brewing? On the contrary, the BTC funding rate from other exchanges, such as OKX, Bybit, and Deribit, suggests that traders on these platforms are still uncertain about taking any directional bet.  As of September 23, the BTC perpetual funding rate on Binance climbed to +0.0084%, suggesting that the long positions are dominant and traders are willing to pay a premium to maintain their bullish bets. It is worth highlighting that the increase in funding rate is not an isolated event, as it suggests a positive seven-day change, indicating strengthening conviction among Binance traders.  For comparison, the BTC funding rate on OKX is currently hovering at -0.0001%, while on Bybit it sits at 0.0015%. Finally, Deribit shows a funding rate of 0.0019%. The analyst added: This isn’t just a difference in numbers; it’s a difference in narrative. While funding rates on OKX and Bybit have actually decreased over the last seven days, Binance’s rate has climbed. For the uninitiated, funding rates can be viewed as a real-time gauge of trader sentiment in the perpetual swaps market. A strong positive rate like that of Binance, which diverges from the rest of the market, points toward aggressive bullish speculation. Is BTC About To Make A Move? In a separate CryptoQuant post, contributor XWIN Research Japan noted that Bitcoin’s implied volatility has dropped to its lowest level since 2023. Back then, the lull in the market was followed by an explosive rally of 325%, which propelled BTC from $29,000 to $124,000. Related Reading: Bitcoin Faces Bearish Pressure As Exchange Inflows Stay Elevated – Will BTC Lose $112,000 Support? The analyst added that the total Bitcoin exchange reserves continue to deplete at a rapid pace, hitting new multi-year lows. Historically, such a fall in BTC exchange reserves has preceded supply squeezes, leading to a dramatic rise in demand. That said, the overall sentiment toward BTC appears to be cold at present. The Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index suggests that investors are fearful of entering the market, which may offer a good opportunity to accumulate BTC at current market prices. However, fresh data from BTC wallets confirms that new wallets – those that are less than a month old – are starting to buy the top digital asset. At press time, BTC trades at $113,796, up 1% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com

According to data from Coinglass, the crypto market saw liquidations worth more than $1.6 billion over the past 24 hours, with the majority of them being long positions. Elevated exchange inflows threaten to crash Bitcoin (BTC) further below the important support level at $112,000. Bitcoin Tumbles, Will It Lose $112,000? Bitcoin fell from around $116,000 to as low as $111,800 earlier today, as the broader cryptocurrency market experienced volatility amid concerns about the US government shutdown. Prediction markets on Kalshi are currently giving a 70% chance of a shutdown in 2025. Related Reading: Bitcoin Exchange Supply Ratio Declines After Fed Cut, Setting Stage For $120,000 Test Commenting on today’s BTC price action, CryptoQuant contributor PelinayPA remarked that at the end of August and early September, almost 65,000 BTC were withdrawn from exchanges, which coincided with a price recovery in the digital asset. The analyst shared the following chart, which shows BTC withdrawals from exchanges. Typically, large outflows from trading platforms indicate that investors are moving their holdings to personal wallets – reducing immediate selling pressure and signaling a bullish trend. That said, recent trends suggest that such outflows have weakened. Specifically, since September 20, exchange data shows that more investors are choosing to keep their coins on exchanges. PelinayPA shared another chart which shows BTC deposits to exchanges. Notably, between September 17 and 19, Bitcoin inflows to exchanges surged to nearly 40,000, while the price tumbled to $117,000. For the uninitiated, high BTC inflows to exchanges usually imply that investors are moving their coins from private wallets to platforms where they can be sold, signaling increased selling intent. This creates short-term bearish pressure on price, as higher supply on exchanges can outweigh demand.  The CryptoQuant analyst added that during the rally between September 7 and 15, BTC outflows from exchanges exceeded inflows, supporting bullish momentum. However, inflows surpassed outflows after September 17, triggering strong selling pressure and pushing BTC down to $112,700. She concluded: Inflows remain high while outflows are relatively weak, indicating short-term downside pressure. If outflows increase again, signaling accumulation, BTC could rebound strongly from the $112K zone. Otherwise, further downside risk remains. Should BTC Holders Be Worried? Bitcoin’s fall to $112,000 should not come as a surprise. Recent on-chain data had already hinted that BTC could be in trouble due to a lack of whale participation in the recent rally.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Market Faces Supply Squeeze As Scarcity Index Turns Positive Again It is worth highlighting that BTC’s latest fall in price came shortly after the US Federal Reserve (Fed) cut interest rates by 25 basis points. Although the flagship cryptocurrency fell, experts believe that it is still far from a real capitulation. CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju recently predicted that BTC could top out at $208,000 during the ongoing market cycle. At press time, BTC trades at $113,175, down 2.1% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com

Earlier this week, the US Federal Reserve (Fed) cut interest rates by 25 basis points, providing the much-required impetus to the economy after a cycle of raising interest rates to keep inflation under check. A cut in interest rates is likely to benefit risk-on assets, including Bitcoin (BTC). Fed Cuts Interest Rate, Bitcoin Supply Ratio Falls According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, the latest data from Binance shows that the interest rate cut has rekindled investors’ interest in BTC. Notably, the exchange supply ratio has declined to 0.0291, hinting that investors are choosing to withdraw their BTC from exchanges and hold it for the long-term instead of selling it. Related Reading: Bitcoin Breaks Above Mid-Term Holder Breakeven – Is A Fresh Rally Brewing? To support their analysis, Arab Chain shared the following chart, which shows a tumbling exchange supply ratio while the BTC price continues to shoot up. The analyst noted that the interest rate cut has increased risk appetite and improved liquidity in the market. This behavior shows that the Fed’s monetary policy will remain dovish for the near term, which could mitigate selling pressure on BTC for the time being. Low exchange supply is creating relative buying pressure, as Bitcoin’s stability above $115,000 further supports this trend. The analyst remarked that if BTC outflows from crypto exchanges continue at the current pace, then the digital asset may target the $120,000 resistance level. However, liquidity must continue to flow into digital assets, driven by the Fed’s decision. Arab Chain added: The continued decline in the Exchange Supply Ratio for Bitcoin, coupled with a rising price, reinforces the bullish scenario, especially if traditional markets stabilize after the Fed’s decision. Conversely, if the Exchange Supply Ratio turns upward again (if Bitcoin reenters exchanges), it could signal that investors are preparing to take profits at levels near 118K–120K. Meanwhile, crypto analyst Titan of Crypto had similar thoughts. In an X post, the analyst shared the following chart, saying that BTC is currently stuck under the bearish fair value gap. A daily close above this gap – highlighted in red – could pave the way for a new high for BTC. Is BTC Facing A Supply Crunch? A declining exchange supply ratio further suggests that BTC may be approaching a bullish ‘supply crunch’ that could lead to significant price appreciation for the digital asset in the near term. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sentiment On Binance Turns Bullish – But Is The Market Setting A Trap? Recently, the Bitcoin Scarcity Index recorded its first spike since June 2025, indicating potential upward price pressure on BTC. Meanwhile, BTC outflows from Binance continue at a rapid pace, further reducing the digital asset’s active circulating supply. That said, some concerns still linger, specifically due to the lack of participation of whales in recent BTC price action. At press time, BTC trades at $116,374, down 1.3% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant, X, and TradingView.com

Bitcoin (BTC) is holding near $117,500, up about 6.1% over the past two weeks. However, recent data from Binance shows that BTC’s current price action is largely supported by retail investors, while whales have been noticeably absent. Bitcoin Holds $117,500 Amid High Retail Inflows According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, Bitcoin is hovering around the $117,500 price level, supported by active inflows from retail investors. Notably, large whale inflows have been completely absent, indicating that the current market is being driven by individuals more than by large wallets. Related Reading: Bitcoin Miners Shift Strategy: Accumulation Over Selling Signals Stronger Bull Cycle Inflows ranging from 0 to 0.001 BTC recorded approximately 97,000 BTC. Similarly, inflows from the 0.001 to 0.01 BTC segment totaled nearly 719,000 BTC. The distribution above suggests that Bitcoin’s current rally is largely driven by retail investors. These investors conduct numerous but small-volume transactions, confirming that individual investors are shaping the market dynamics. Arab Chain added: The figures reveal that the bulk of inflows are concentrated in small and medium-sized transactions, reflecting the dominance of retail activity in Bitcoin trading. This liquidity, despite its limited scale, has helped keep the market balanced at current levels. It is worth emphasizing that there has been almost no whale pressure during the current market rally. Specifically, no significant surges in inflows of more than 100 BTC were observed, mitigating the likelihood of a sharp short-term price correction. To conclude, the current market situation shows that Bitcoin is experiencing a state of equilibrium, largely due to heightened retail investor participation. Such a scenario gives the market an opportunity to steadily surge toward the important $120,000 resistance level. That said, it would be wise to keep an eye on any whale activity, as it could quickly alter the market’s direction. Any sudden entry of whale inflows could trigger a rapid price correction, similar to previous market tops. Experts Divided On BTC Price Action As Bitcoin trades about 5.4% below its all-time high (ATH), there are signs that the top cryptocurrency by market cap may be on the cusp of a fresh rally. For instance, BTC recently broke above the mid-term holder breakeven, reducing the likelihood of an immediate sell-off. Related Reading: Bitcoin Market Faces Supply Squeeze As Scarcity Index Turns Positive Again Recent positive developments – such as the US Federal Reserve (Fed) reducing interest rates by 25 basis points – could reinvigorate the crypto market. Against that backdrop, crypto entrepreneur Arthur Hayes recently reiterated his ambitious $1 million BTC prediction. That said, gold bug Peter Schiff opines that BTC has likely already peaked for this market cycle. At press time, BTC trades at $117,523, up 1.8% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com

Although Ethereum (ETH) is still up approximately 80% over the past three months, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap appears to have lost its momentum lately, down 0.6% over the past month.  Binance Ethereum Trading In Neutral Zone According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, Ethereum trading on Binance during September 2025 is witnessing a period of relative calm compared to other months. Notably, there has been a decline in the imbalance between ETH spot and perpetual volumes. Related Reading: Ethereum Staking Hits Record 36 Million ETH, Driving Structural Supply Shock Commenting on ETH’s recent price surge,  which saw it jump from $2,127 on June 15 to around $4,500 at the time of writing, Arab Chain noted that this rally was not supported by strong momentum. Neither the spot market nor leveraged speculators contributed to the price appreciation. The CryptoQuant contributor brought attention to ETH’s Z-score, which has oscillated between 0.0 and -1.0 for most of September. Such a Z-score typically signifies the asset trading in a neutral zone, with a slight tilt toward the spot market. For the uninitiated, a Z-score measures how far a data point is from the mean, expressed in units of standard deviation. In trading, it’s used to identify whether a value – like volume or price –  is unusually high or low compared to its historical average. In essence, ETH’s current Z-score means that perpetual contracts are slowly losing their dominance in trading volume. This could be due to multiple reasons, such as speculators exiting the market or due to increased dependence on real buy/sell orders from actual investors. The decline in perpetual trading volume is significant compared to the period between June and August. As a result, the appetite for leveraged speculation has dwindled too, a sign of growing caution in the market. Arab Chain added: Despite this decline, the spot market also showed limited strength, reflecting a general lack of investor engagement. Spot volume remained below the 500K–1M range, which is significantly lower than the peaks recorded in July and June. The analyst cautioned that although the lack of strong imbalances between the spot and perpetual markets may seem positive at first, it could also mean there is heightened uncertainty and stagnation pertaining to the direction of ETH’s price. Is ETH Preparing For A New Rally? Although ETH appears to be stuck in limbo due to its sluggish price action, some analysts are confident that the digital asset is likely to resume its bullish trajectory in the near term. For example, ETH reserves on exchanges continue to deplete at a rapid pace. Related Reading: Ethereum Outflows Drive Binance Supply Ratio Under 0.037, Signaling Bullish Setup Similarly, institutional demand for ETH continues to be strong, with some analysts forecasting ETH to climb to $6,800 by the end of 2025. At press time, ETH trades at $4,439, down 1.6% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com

After hitting a weekend high of $116,689 on September 15, Bitcoin (BTC) fell slightly, trading just above $114,000 at the time of writing. However, fresh data from Binance crypto exchange indicates that the Bitcoin Scarcity Index recently witnessed its first spike since June 2025. Bitcoin Scarcity Index Spikes, Will BTC Rally? According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, the Bitcoin Scarcity Index witnessed its first spike yesterday since June 2025. The analyst referred to the latest exchange data from Binance to confirm the spike in Bitcoin Scarcity Index. Related Reading: Bitcoin Miners Shift Strategy: Accumulation Over Selling Signals Stronger Bull Cycle For the uninitiated, the Bitcoin Scarcity Index measures how limited the available supply of Bitcoin is on exchanges relative to immediate buying demand. A spike in the index usually indicates strong accumulation by large investors or institutions, signaling potential price pressure to the upside. In their analysis, Arab Chain remarked that the latest spike in the Bitcoin Scarcity Index means that either a large amount of BTC was withdrawn from Binance, or the volume of sell orders fell significantly on the exchange. As a result, the available supply of BTC on Binance suddenly became scarce. Notably, such movements are usually associated with the entry of large investors – such as whales or sharks – who hold substantial quantities of BTC. Arab Chain added: The index jumps when immediate buying power exceeds available supply, as if buyers are racing to acquire Bitcoin on the market This type of spike is often linked to positive news or sudden capital inflows. The same pattern occurred last June and persisted for several days, after which Bitcoin climbed to around $124,000. BTC may confirm the beginning of a strong accumulation phase and the continuation of the uptrend if the Bitcoin Scarcity Index remains positive for several consecutive days.  However, if the index rises rapidly – followed by an equally quick descent – it may suggest speculative activity or order liquidations. Such a phase is often followed by a period of calm or a price correction. In recent months, the Bitcoin Scarcity Index has reached new all-time highs (ATH). The chart below shows the metric reaching as high as +6, before quickly falling toward neutral and even negative territory. Is BTC Losing Momentum? Arab Chain concluded by saying that the contrast between BTC’s high price, and the index’s quick move back to or below zero suggest that some strong buying momentum has started to decline.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Holds $112,000 Support As Binance Whale Activity Cools Off – What’s Ahead? That said, some positive signs persist. For example, the flagship cryptocurrency recently broke above the mid-term holder breakeven, hinting that a fresh rally to the upside may be on the horizon. From a technical perspective, BTC recently flashed the Golden Cross, a rare bullish signal that has crypto pundits forecasting a potential price appreciation of 100%. At press time, BTC trades at $114,601, down 0.9% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com

Bitcoin (BTC) has surged from around $108,000 on September 1 to above $115,000 at the time of writing – recording a gain of roughly 4% over the past two weeks. However, fresh on-chain data suggests that Bitcoin may be on the cusp of a fresh rally that could propel it to new all-time highs (ATH). Bitcoin Rises Above Mid-Term Holders’ Realized Price According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor ShayanMarkets, Bitcoin’s recent rebound from $107,000 to just above $114,000 has lifted the digital asset over the Realized Price of mid-term (3-6 months) holders. Related Reading: Bitcoin Miners Shift Strategy: Accumulation Over Selling Signals Stronger Bull Cycle For the uninitiated, the mid-term holders’ Realized Price is the average acquisition cost of Bitcoin held by wallets that last moved their coins within the past 3–6 months. It serves as a key pivot level, often acting as support or resistance that reflects sentiment and potential sell pressure from this cohort. Per analysis by ShayanMarkets, the mid-term holders’ Realized Price currently stands at around $114,000. Now that BTC has surged above this level, the likelihood of an immediate sell-off has reduced significantly. The analyst added: A firm breakout and hold above this level would confirm renewed confidence from mid-term holders, potentially serving as the launchpad for another bullish leg that could propel Bitcoin to new all-time highs. Conversely, failure to hold above $114K risks shifting sentiment back toward caution and opens the path to deeper corrective moves. A Bump On The Road For BTC Fellow CryptoQuant contributor Gaah brought attention to short-term holders’ (STH) Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR), normalized with a 30-day moving average. The contributor noted that after four months of consistently operating above the break-even line, the indicator is now showing that STH are selling their holdings at a loss. Related Reading: Bitcoin Holds $112,000 Support As Binance Whale Activity Cools Off – What’s Ahead? The STH selling their BTC at a loss indicates a “momentary loss of confidence” on the part of speculators, who are typically more sensitive to changes in price. Although BTC has jumped from $60,000 to as high as $125,000 over the past year, the SOPR STH has recorded descending peaks. In past cycles, a sharp surge in price was usually accompanied by peaks in the Extreme Greed region, suggesting strong retail participation. However, the current market cycle did not see any such dynamic at play, hinting that the rise in price was likely sustained by institutional investors. Gaah added that historically, market tops have only been confirmed when SOPR STH levels reached levels of extreme greed, a development that has not yet occurred in the current rally. As a result, the long-term trend remains firm, and the current realization of losses may just be a temporary healthy pullback. That said, some analysts caution that Bitcoin may already be very close to hitting its peak for this market cycle. Others predict that BTC may slump in September, before it resumes its bullish trajectory in Q4 2025.  Still, some analysts forecast Bitcoin reaching as high as $150,000 by Christmas. At press time, BTC trades at $115,050, up 0.7% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com

As Ethereum (ETH) trades in the mid $4,000 range, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) futures open interest (OI) for the digital asset continues to hit new highs. Against that backdrop, analysts are now predicting a new all-time high (ATH) for ETH later this year. Ethereum New ATH By End Of 2025? According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor PelinayPA, Ethereum’s CME futures OI is steadily moving towards new highs. The analyst brought attention to past data about Ethereum futures OI to predict its next move. Related Reading: Ethereum Marches Upward Without Leverage Overheating – Sign Of Structural Health? Back in 2021-2022, Ethereum futures OI remained relatively low, largely dominated by 1-2 month contracts. At the time, although ETH gained bullish momentum, institutional exposure to the cryptocurrency on CME was still limited. In sharp contrast, during the 2022 bear market, a drop in the ETH price led to a steep decline in its OI. While the period was still dominated by short-term contracts, long-term contracts stayed low, indicating weak institutional confidence in ETH. However, a trend change was observed during the 2023-2024 recovery as Ethereum OI started to rise again – specifically among 3-6 month contracts. Simultaneously, institutional demand grew alongside ETH’s price. Fast-forward to 2025, Ethereum OI has surged to new highs. As ETH rallied to the $4,500 to $5,000 range, there was a noticeable growth in short-term contracts. This dynamic indicates strong institutional participation and demand for derivatives. The CryptoQuant analyst explained the implications of two potential combinations of OI and contract concentration. First, high OI with concentrated short-term contracts can lead to increased volatility, potentially leading to sharp swings and liquidation cascades. On the contrary, rising long-term OI in 3-6 month contracts indicates growing institutional confidence and potential for higher ETH prices in the long-term. That said, crowded leveraged positions could trigger rapid corrections in the short term. PelinayPA added: ETH is trading around $5K (near ATH) with record OI on CME clear evidence of institutional FOMO. While this supports the ongoing bull trend, liquidation risk is high. Short term volatility and corrections are likely, but the medium to long term outlook remains bullish. Concluding, the analyst predicted that ETH could reach the $6,800 resistance level by the end of 2025. However, any deterioration in the global macroeconomic outlook could stall ETH’s momentum temporarily. Case For A New ETH ATH Besides the aforementioned prediction on the back of rising institutional interest in ETH, positive exchange data is also likely to benefit the cryptocurrency. For example, recent ETH outflows from Binance drove the supply ratio to a new low. Related Reading: Ethereum Eyes $5,500 Amid Illiquid Supply Crunch And ETF Momentum In addition, an increasing amount of ETH continues to be staked on the Ethereum network, strengthening the smart contract platform’s fundamentals and making it more robust. At press time, ETH trades at $4,409, down 0.7% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com

As Ethereum (ETH) trades slightly above $4,300, some crypto analysts opine that the cryptocurrency’s current trend shows enough structural health. However, they also caution that a lack of funding rates across exchanges means low demand for ETH, which may limit its breakout momentum. Ethereum’s Latest Rally Shows Structural Strength According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor ShayanMarkets, Ethereum’s funding rates across exchanges are relatively muted when compared to the digital asset’s last three major highs. Related Reading: Ethereum Eyes $5,500 Amid Illiquid Supply Crunch And ETF Momentum For instance, during the first major high in early 2024, ETH funding rates across crypto exchanges had surged to 0.8, suggesting excessive long positioning and speculative demand. Shortly, the price topped out as overheated leverage took its toll on the digital asset. During the second peak in late 2024 – as illustrated in the following chart – ETH reached similar price levels but this time with far lower funding rates. Although this hinted at a less speculative market, the lack of strong, sustained momentum eventually weighed down on ETH’s price. In contrast to the above two instances, ETH’s 2025 rally saw it create a new all-time high (ATH) of $4,900 – despite relatively muted funding rates. This brings into focus one key divergence – ETH is hitting new highs even in the absence of aggressive long positioning that fueled earlier rallies. ShayanMarkets states there are two key implications of this new-found divergence. The analyst remarked: On one hand, the market appears more spot-driven and structurally healthier, as price is not being pushed by excessive leverage. On the other hand, the absence of aggressive demand also limits breakout momentum, leaving ETH in a slower-moving environment where new order flow will be essential for continuation. Concluding, the CryptoQuant contributor noted that ETH’s higher highs against declining funding rates show that the current market is more resilient against sudden liquidation cascades. However, it also requires a lot more conviction from buyers to sustain the next leg higher. Is ETH Headed For A Correction? Although ETH is currently trading just about 12% below its ATH, some analysts forecast that the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap may be headed for a correction. Crypto analyst Ted Pillows predicted that ETH may drop all the way down to $3,900 before its next rally. Related Reading: Ethereum’s Latest Rally Fueled By Large-Scale Binance Orders, Analyst Says That said, there are several other data metrics that point toward a potential bullish rally for ETH. For instance, the ETH exchange supply ratio on major exchanges like Binance recently hit a low of 0.037, which may aid in the so-called “supply crunch” for the digital asset. In similar news, Ethereum exchange balance recently turned negative for the first time, suggesting that more tokens are being withdrawn from exchanges than deposited. At press time, ETH trades at $4,334, up 0.6% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com

After hitting its latest all-time high of $4,956 on August 23 on Binance, Ethereum (ETH) has been trading in a tight range – oscillating between $4,200 to $4,500 – giving little clues about its next potential direction. However, recent exchange data suggest that a supply crunch may be nearing for ETH. Ethereum Price Stable Amid Exchange Supply Decline According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, during the period between August 16 to September 3, Ethereum’s Binance Exchange Supply Ratio (ESR) saw a sharp decline. Related Reading: Ethereum’s Latest Rally Fueled By Large-Scale Binance Orders, Analyst Says Although ETH’s price has remained in the mid $4,000 range, its ESR tumbled from 0.041 to  0.037 – marking the biggest decline within the observed period – in a matter of just two weeks. It’s worth highlighting that ETH’s price has remained stable all this time, trading close to $4,400 at the end of the period. According to the CryptoQuant analyst, such price behavior can explain two things. First, it signals that investors are withdrawing from exchanges – including Binance – at an accelerated pace. Further, it also shows growing confidence among ETH holders as they opt for self-custody in cold wallets instead of keeping their holdings on exchanges. Arab Chain remarked that a combination of stable price, declining exchange supply, and healthy exchange-traded fund (ETF) inflows confirms that sellable supply is dwindling while the demand for the digital asset remains strong. They added: Declines in ESR have historically preceded strong upward moves, as lower exchange liquidity limits sellers’ ability to push prices down. The current ESR levels have fallen back to pre-June figures, suggesting that the market has effectively “flushed out” previous profit-taking activity and is now reaccumulating supply into long-term wallets. ETH Entering A New Bull Cycle? The analyst concluded by saying that if ETH’s ESR continues to fall without a corresponding decline in price, then it would mean that the market is entering a new, institutional investor-led bull cycle. Three metrics in particular support this prediction. Related Reading: Ethereum Sees Contract Boom In 2025, Setting Stage For $5,000 Rally The ETH market has seen a recent drop in leverage, meaning there are fewer traders with speculative positioning. Further, most perpetual futures markets show neutral funding rates for ETH contracts. Finally, the on-chain activity by ETH whales has also subsided, meaning long-term holders are not selling. Also worth noting is that the Ethereum blockchain’s fundamentals continue to improve. Latest data shows that as much as 36 million ETH has been staked on the ETH network, further raising the possibility of an ensuing supply shock. Recently, Ethereum daily transactions also hit a 12-month high. Amid these bullish developments, seasoned industry experts are not shying away from giving ambitious ETH price predictions. At press time, ETH trades at $4,295, down 1.7% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com