THE LATEST CRYPTO NEWS

Longtime Cardano supporter and crypto commentator Dan Gambardello said ADA’s steep decline has exposed deeper frustrations inside the Cardano ecosystem, even as he maintained that the project’s underlying technology remains among the strongest in crypto. In a lengthy post on X, Gambardello framed the issue as bigger than price alone. He argued that Cardano’s more than 80% drop from 2024 levels should be viewed in the context of a broader altcoin drawdown, not as proof that the network itself is failing. Still, he said the market weakness has intensified longstanding concerns over ecosystem support, leadership, public optics and Cardano’s relative isolation from the wider crypto market. “Let me just say…Cardano is down over 80% from 2024 along with so many altcoins. It’s not because Cardano is failing. It’s because altcoins are getting demolished,” Gambardello wrote. “So please try to separate price and everything I write here. To be clear: This is not me turning against the project.” Why Is The Cardano Price Crashing? Gambardello said he remains a supporter of Cardano and still believes ADA can participate if a broad altcoin bull market returns. His criticism, however, was aimed at what he described as years of missed opportunities. In his view, Cardano had the reputation, funding and top-10 market position needed to define its own narrative and strengthen its ecosystem, but failed to fully capitalize on that leverage. Related Reading: Cardano Crashes To 5-Year Lows As Hoskinson’s Warning Sparks Market Panic The post stood out because Gambardello has been one of Cardano’s most visible long-term advocates. He recalled pivoting from Litecoin into Cardano before the 2020-2021 bull market, a move he described as one of his best investments in crypto. At the time, he said, Cardano’s setup looked compelling as staking came online, the community expanded and the project presented itself as a serious answer to the blockchain trilemma of scalability, decentralization and security. That conviction has not disappeared. Gambardello called Cardano “a great project” with “some of the most strong fundamental tech in crypto,” adding that it is “not game over.” But he said his view has changed on certain ecosystem dynamics because expected progress did not materialize. “If I’m putting it simply, it’s been frustrating over the years to see things not transpire,” he wrote. “Things that would have helped the Cardano ecosystem so much. I don’t need to go into detail, but along with many of you, I’ve voiced my opinions on these things over and over.” Gambardello said Cardano has remained “very secluded” and has repeatedly gone through periods of “unnecessarily bad optics.” The most immediate trigger for his post was the recent announcement that TapTools, a widely used Cardano analytics and ecosystem platform, is shutting down. He described TapTools as “the center of Cardano” and said its closure was exactly the type of loss the network could least afford during a harsh bear market. His frustration was not simply that a project was closing. It was the response or, in his view, the lack of one. Gambardello said he would have expected a visible effort from leadership and the community to rally around a key ecosystem front end, even if that did not mean a direct bailout. “I’m not saying every great project deserves a ‘bailout’, but when Cardano’s frontend and basically its dashboard is about to close their doors, you brainstorm…and you do it with positivity,” he wrote. “Leading an L1, you round up the troops and community with clear resolve to make sure that the heart of this L1 does not need to close their doors, especially in the worst crypto bear market ever.” Related Reading: Cardano Price Could Be Heading To $0.10 — Crypto Founder Offers Insight Gambardello contrasted the TapTools situation with Cardano Foundation communications around other initiatives, including the Brazilian Olympics and Token2049-related activity. He said those efforts may be worthwhile in isolation, but looked misplaced while a central Cardano platform was preparing to shut down. “TapTools shutting down is the last thing Cardano needs right now, and it just seems like it was an ‘oh well’ moment,” he wrote. “Cardano needs to keep their best players in the game right now, and that’s not what has happened.” The broader issue, he added, is that negative developments often spiral into drama on X, compounding the reputational damage. Gambardello said the “constant drama” around Cardano has become exhausting, especially for people who have defended the project for years. That exhaustion helps explain why he has been diversifying his content, focus and portfolio for more than a year, he said. Gambardello rejected the idea that this shift amounted to betrayal, instead presenting it as a normal response to changing markets and evolving risk. At press time, ADA traded at $0.16. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

The cryptocurrency market has been riddled with significant selling pressure over the past week, with the Cardano price taking one of the largest hits among large-cap assets. According to CoinGecko data, the altcoin has lost more than 30% of its value in the past seven days. However, a crypto founder has opined that panic-selling Cardano during this significant phase of capitulation might not be the right move. $0.05-$0.10 Could Be A Good Accumulation Zone For ADA: Analyst In a June 5th post on the social media platform X, Alphractal founder and CEO Joao Wedson identified the relevant price levels to watch if the worst-case scenario crystallizes for the Cardano price. The on-chain data expert pinpointed $0.1097 and $0.03478 as the two key levels if this price correction continues. According to Wedson, the $0.1097 and $0.03478 represent the Thermo Price and Delta Price, respectively, for Cardano. The Alphractal explained that the Thermo Price, which is the more stable level, is estimated as the blockchain’s historical revenue (in USD) divided by the current circulating supply.  Related Reading: XRP Monthly RSI Drops To All-Time Low As Market Watches For Confirmation Wedson defined this on-chain metric as the “price per coin,” based on the accumulated historical cost or revenue generated by issuance and the fees paid to validators over the blockchain’s lifespan. “It is an on-chain valuation metric, similar to a historical cost of production or network security diluted by circulating supply,” the crypto CEO explained. Meanwhile, the Delta Price measures the numerical difference between the Realized Price and the aforementioned Thermo Price of a cryptocurrency (Cardano, in this case). This on-chain metric connects investors’ average cost basis to validators’ mining (or production) costs, providing insights into deep-cycle bottom and long-term accumulation regions.  According to Wedson, the Cardano price has only ever reached the Delta Price twice, while it has never touched the Thermo Price. “I am not saying the price will necessarily visit these levels, but these are regions that need to be monitored closely, since the values change frequently, especially the Delta Price,” the Alphractal CEO clarified. The crypto founder further highlighted that the $0.05 to $0.10 range could be a very “interesting” accumulation zone for the ADA token, especially if additional bearish pressure develops. Nevertheless, Wedson believes that, if the cryptocurrency does not fall any further, investors can simply wait a few months to buy Cardano (with much greater confidence) after a retest at higher levels. Cardano Price At A Glance As of this writing, the price of ADA stands at around $0.1568, reflecting a 16% decline in the past 24 hours. Related Reading: Are Institutions Crashing The Bitcoin Price On Purpose? Here’s What People Are Saying Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView

Cardano has come under intense pressure after plunging to its lowest price level in over five years, triggering a wave of fear across the cryptocurrency market. The sharp decline follows growing concerns about the ecosystem’s future after founder Charles Hoskinson warned of potential challenges ahead, leaving investors questioning whether ADA is approaching a historic buying opportunity or facing deeper trouble.  Cardano Price Collapse Sparks Wave Of Market Attention According to Santiment Intelligence, Cardano has quickly become one of the most talked-about assets in the cryptocurrency market after ADA plunged below $0.16 for the first time since December 2020. The sharp decline sparked widespread discussion across the industry and drew renewed attention to the network’s prospects. Related Reading: Cardano Price Could Close May Below This Multi-Year Support — What’s Next? The majority of the attention is linked to growing concerns surrounding Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson’s recent comments about taking a break. In addition, he warned that the ecosystem could face a potential wave of failures due to project shutdowns and funding difficulties, adding to the uncertainty surrounding the asset. Santiment noted that the market reaction was immediate, with both social and on-chain activity rising sharply. Cardano’s social dominance climbed to roughly 0.52%, its highest level of 2026, meaning that more than one out of every 190 cryptocurrency-related conversations on social media was focused on ADA. Furthermore, network activity experienced a notable increase during the period of heightened volatility. Daily active addresses surged to 28,459, marking the highest reading in four months. The spike suggests that users remained highly engaged with the network as the price decline fueled intense debate and bearish sentiment among traders. Loyal Community Refuses To Back Down Santiment Intelligence noted that despite the recent wave of negative sentiment surrounding Cardano, the network continues to benefit from one of the most dedicated communities in the cryptocurrency space. ADA holders have consistently remained active through multiple market cycles, often supporting the ecosystem even during periods when institutional participation was limited. Related Reading: Cardano Strengthens Cross-Chain Connectivity Across The Blockchain Ecosystem – What This Means For The Network The analytics firm pointed out that the recent surge in daily active addresses suggests many users are still closely engaged with the network and monitoring developments rather than abandoning Cardano amid the price decline. However, Santiment cautioned that while retail investors have historically played a major role in Cardano’s growth, the market may require stronger institutional interest and broader adoption catalysts to reverse the current downtrend. Looking ahead, the coming weeks and months could prove critical for ADA. With the asset trading near multi-year lows, investors are likely to focus on ecosystem expansion, successful project launches, and signs of renewed confidence from leadership. Positive developments in these areas could help reinforce the long-term vision that Cardano supporters have maintained for years and potentially attract fresh capital back into the ecosystem. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com

After hitting its cycle high last August, the Cardano price has continued in a downward slope toward lows not seen since 2024. Despite the calls of an altseason early into May, the ADA token has erased all the gains realized at the beginning of the month. Interestingly, the current Cardano price structure suggests the altcoin may be at risk of further downside in the coming months if it closes below a significant support level in May. ADA Price Could Fall 78% If This Support Is Broken In a May 30th post on the X platform, crypto analyst Ali Martinez revealed that the Cardano price has been hovering around a make-or-break level over the past couple of weeks. Looking at the highlighted monthly chart, the altcoin is at risk of closing the month of May below a major historical support level. Related Reading: Can Ripple’s Fed Master Account Approval Trigger A New XRP Bull Run? AI Model Says $80 Is Possible As shown in the chart below, the Cardano price has been trending within a multi-year channel formation since 2021. After reaching the upper boundary of the channel at $1.195 in early 2025, the cryptocurrency’s price has been in a steady decline, losing a significant support level around $0.544 last November. Now, as Martinez identified, the next definitive floor in sight for the Cardano price is around $0.247, which has acted as major support in the past. In fact, this support level kick-started the last rally that saw the price of ADA reach $1.195. However, the Cardano price has drifted beneath this support level over the past few days, falling to as low as $0.232. With the end of May rapidly approaching, it would be interesting to see whether the ADA candlestick eventually closes below the $0.247 floor over the next day. Martinez wrote in the X post: As the monthly close approaches, maintaining a position below $0.247 alters the immediate market structure, suggesting a deeper valuation phase is underway. According to the crypto analyst, if the Cardano price sustains its close beneath this historical support level, the next “high-conviction macro targets for long-term accumulation” lie around $0.113 and $0.051. Essentially, investors could see the price drop by nearly 78% (from the current price point) if ADA remains below $0.247. However, it is worth noting that the altcoin could bounce back to around $0.544 if this major channel support holds and demand returns to the crypto market. Cardano Price At A Glance As of this writing, the price of ADA stands at around $0.237, reflecting an over 2% jump in the past 24 hours. Related Reading: Could XRP Hit $10 This Bull Run? World’s Highest IQ Holder Thinks So Featured image from Solodev, chart from TradingView

Zcash (ZEC), the market’s leading privacy-focused cryptocurrency, has delivered a massive performance, with year-to-date data showing ZEC is up more than 1,200%, dramatically outpacing major coins. Cardano (ADA), by contrast, has been in a very different posture, with the same period showing a roughly 66% retrace.  The divergence has been so pronounced that Zcash briefly surpassed Cardano by market capitalization, pushing ZEC to become the 11th-largest cryptocurrency on May 10—an inflection point that has led at least one market expert to suggest ZEC could ultimately flip ADA in that key ranking. Why Zcash Is Catching Investors’ Eye Market expert Alex Carchidi highlighted several drivers in a new report, pointing to big accumulation as one of the most important themes. For example, Multicoin Capital disclosed in early May that it has been building a significant position in Zcash since February.  That kind of accumulation is not limited to one firm. Cypherpunk Technologies has also accumulated an additional 295,000 Zcash tokens, representing about 1.7% of the coin’s circulating supply.  Related Reading: Hyperliquid (HYPE) To $100? Expert Forecasts Major Rise Before Summer 2027 Carchidi noted that the network’s privacy usage appears to be rising in parallel with price. Approximately 30% of Zcash’s circulating supply is now held in shielded addresses.  These addresses rely on specialized cryptography to encrypt transaction details, preserving user privacy—a capability that standard public blockchains don’t offer in the same way. Importantly, this share has nearly quadrupled over the past two years, a trend Carchidi says strongly suggests that adoption and usage are increasing alongside ZEC’s market momentum. Cardano Lacks Clear Path To Breakout At the same time, the expert argues the comparison with Cardano is different in almost every way besides market cap. Carchidi pointed out that Cardano is built as a smart-contract blockchain and is designed to compete in decentralized finance (DeFi), yet its traction has been comparatively limited.  As of May 12, Cardano reportedly had only about $137 million in total value locked (TVL), placing it 26th among all blockchains. That figure also reflects a notable decline from roughly $410 million a year earlier.  Carchidi’s view is that Cardano is in what he described as an “awkward valley.” He argues it is too slow and relatively expensive to compete effectively with high-speed, high-throughput chains such as Solana (SOL).  At the same time, even though Cardano is cheaper than the blockchain it was originally created to beat—Ethereum (ETH)—it remains slightly slower and does not have nearly the same ecosystem scale.  From this angle, the expert sees the market’s behavior as reflecting a widening gap in conviction narratives. According to Carchidi, institutional capital tends to favor stories that can stand up to scrutiny.  He claims Zcash has such a narrative, while Cardano’s story has largely been “wait for better times” for the past several years—without enough clarity on how the better times will be delivered by what the developers are building right now. What Could Drive ADA Higher? Carchidi suggested that a potential approval for a spot Cardano exchange-traded fund (ETF) in the second half of 2026 might be the clearest near-term reason to hold.  Even so, he doubts that investors would be eager to hold Cardano through an ETF if there is not a strong investment thesis supporting purchases at current levels. Related Reading: Coinbase CEO Unpacks The Crypto Bill’s Biggest Promise For The US Financial System Ultimately, Carchidi’s conclusion is direct. He argues that, given the lack of clear catalysts and the uncertainty around what would drive recovery, it may make sense to sell Cardano. Zcash, on the other hand, could be attractive if a portfolio needs exposure to privacy coins or scarce stores of value.  At the time of writing, ZEC was trading at around $545, having recorded additional gains of 63% in just two weeks. During the same period, ADA recorded gains of 9%, trading at around $0.27.  Featured image created with OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com 

Crypto analyst Ali Martinez said a long-tracked SuperTrend signal on Cardano’s daily chart has flipped bullish, months after the same tool marked the start of a steep decline. The call comes alongside fresh on-chain data from Santiment showing large ADA wallets now holding a record share of supply. Cardano SuperTrend Flips Bullish Martinez framed the latest signal as notable because of the indicator’s prior timing. In a post on X, the analyst said the SuperTrend had been his most reliable tool for tracking Cardano’s larger directional shifts, pointing to a sell signal from late September 2025 that preceded a 73% decline in ADA. Related Reading: Cardano Holds Critical $0.25 Support: History Points To A Major Rally Setup “The SuperTrend indicator has been my most accurate tool for anticipating Cardano’s long-term shifts. I’ve been tracking it closely since September 25, 2025, when it flashed a sell signal that perfectly timed the start of a 73% price decline. After months of this heavy correction, the indicator has just flipped.” The new signal does not amount to a guarantee of trend continuation, and Martinez attached specific levels to the setup. His first upside area is the $0.33 resistance zone, with a secondary target at $0.42 if momentum persists. The invalidation level, in his view, sits at $0.25. “To me, this suggests that the local exhaustion phase is over and a trend reversal is finally in play,” Martinez wrote. “I expect a surge toward the $0.33 resistance zone. If the momentum sustains, my secondary target is sitting at $0.42.” ADA Whale Holdings Hit Record High The technical signal is accompanied by a separate on-chain read from Santiment, which said Cardano’s largest wallet cohort has continued accumulating through the drawdown. According to the analytics firm, wallets holding at least 1 million ADA now control 25.09 billion tokens, representing 67.47% of the existing supply. Related Reading: ADA Deja Vu? Cardano Price Surged 200% Last Time It Was At This Support Level “Cardano’s key stakeholders have slowly but surely accumulated, consistently adding more and more of the existing supply to their bags, dating back to December, 2023,” Santiment wrote. “Although the asset has lost -71% of its market cap over the past 9 months, the ‘millionaire’ tier of sharks and whales appear to be content with adding more while prices are at a discount.” The Santiment chart shows that 25.09 billion ADA balance as an all-time high for wallets with at least 1 million tokens. It also said the 67.47% supply share is the highest since July 2020. For traders, that creates a familiar but important tension: concentration among larger holders can be read as conviction during a selloff, but it also makes future price action more sensitive to whether those wallets continue accumulating, pause, or distribute into strength. Together, the two signals give ADA a cleaner short-term setup than it has had for much of the correction. Martinez’s thesis depends on $0.25 holding as support, while the upside case requires the fresh SuperTrend buy signal to translate into sustained demand toward $0.33 and then $0.42. Santiment’s data adds a structural layer to that view, showing that large holders have been increasing exposure even as ADA’s market value contracted sharply. At press time, ADA traded at $0.2664. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Cardano is testing a key long-term support at $0.25 once again, a level that has repeatedly sparked strong upside reversals in past cycles. With historical reactions from this zone leading to major rallies, the current reaction could mark the early stages of another structural move higher if support continues to hold.   $0.25 Emerges As Cardano’s Most Critical Support Level According to analysis by Ali Charts, the $0.25 price point has emerged as the most critical support level for ADA. By examining the monthly chart, the analyst highlights that this specific price floor has historically functioned as a powerful launchpad for major market reversals. Whenever ADA tests this boundary, it tends to signal the end of a bearish phase and the beginning of a significant upward trend. Related Reading: Cardano (ADA) Price Now At A Critical Level Following Strong Whale Activity The historical evidence cited by Ali Charts begins with the price action in January 2023. During this period, Cardano successfully defended the $0.25 level, which triggered a robust 88.27% rally over the subsequent weeks, demonstrating the high density of buy orders and institutional interest concentrated at this psychological and technical floor. A second, even more dramatic confirmation occurred in September 2023. Ali Charts pointed out that the level held firm once again, providing the necessary liquidity for a massive 243% surge. At present, Ali Charts observes that Cardano is once again interacting with this pivotal $0.25 support. The analyst suggests that this current bounce could be the early stage of a major structural rally.  As long as the price remains above this floor, the technical outlook remains bullish, with initial price targets set at $0.36 and a more ambitious macro target identified at $0.53. However, Ali Charts maintains that a failure to hold the $0.25 support would signal a fundamental regime change in the market. Bullish Bias Holds As Long As Green Box Support Remains Intact In a recent ADA market update, Yusuf|Noon stated that Cardano still appears to be leaning toward further upside as long as price continues to hold above the highlighted green box support area. At the same time, the analyst noted that several intermediate resistance levels could create short-term obstacles for the ongoing move higher.  Related Reading: Cardano Whale Count Climbs To 4-Month High Amid Steady Accumulation Although ADA is currently pulling back to retest an important technical level, there is not yet a clean structure to justify entering the trade. Rather than chasing price action, the preference is to remain patient and wait for a stronger confirmation setup to develop. Yusuf|Noon also explained that a pullback into the thin green box region could provide a more attractive entry opportunity if the price reacts positively from that area. In addition, the lower green box is being monitored closely as a potential sniper entry zone in the event of a sudden or extreme market dump. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

The Cardano price has been a poor indicator of the positive momentum injected into the cryptocurrency market over the past week. Despite most large-cap altcoins surging on the back of easing macroeconomic pressure, the ADA token has barely been able to stage a sustained rally above the $0.26 level. However, a popular analyst on the social media platform X has identified a pattern that suggests that the Cardano price could be at a bottom, potentially seeing a rebound to a new high over the coming months. This optimistic outlook projects the altcoin’s value growing up to 200% in a single move from its current point. Why The $0.24 Support Could Trigger A 200% Move For ADA In an April 17th post on the X platform, market pundit Ali Martinez shared an exciting outlook for the price of Cardano, saying it recently found support at a familiar level. According to the crypto analyst, this exact support level has served as a springboard for significant rallies for the ADA price in recent years. Related Reading: XRP Just Settled $291 Million On-Chain, Almost Nothing Hit Binance: Find Out What’s Happening Martinez identified the $0.249 level as a formidable support, leading to the formation of multiple bottoms and rebounds for the Cardano price in the past. As shown in the chart below, the price of ADA fell to this exact support earlier in March before returning to the price level again in April. Besides the apparent strength of this level, the $0.249 support has been the starting point of significant price rallies, with the most recent being 200% price surge. The Cardano price, after dropping to this demand zone around September 2023, soared by more than 200% to around $0.8 in the first quarter of 2024. Similarly, the Cardano price witnessed a rally of over 85% in early 2023 after falling to this support at $0.249. If history is anything to go by, the price action indicators are pointing to a potential rally between 80% – 200% for the ADA token over the coming month. ` In any case, investors need to watch out for the $0.249 support’s continued formidability, as a sustained breach below it could be potentially detrimental to the altcoin’s upward trajectory. Cardano Price Overview As of this writing, the price of ADA stands at around $0.2615, with a more than 2% jump in the past 24 hours. This positive single-day action in Cardano’s price reflects easing pressure on global financial markets, as Iran reportedly reopened the Strait of Hormuz on Friday, April 17. However, broadly speaking, the Cardano price performance has been muted relative to the rest of the cryptocurrency market over the past week. While Ethereum and XRP climbed nearly 10% on the weekly timeframe, the ADA token is barely up by 3% in the last seven days. Even while the general crypto market appears to have steadied in recent weeks, the Cardano price still seems to be struggling, with CoinGecko data showing that the altcoin is still down by more than 4% in the past month. Related Reading: Why Ethereum Has Become One Of The Most Heavily Shorted Assets Globally Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView

A prominent crypto analyst is pointing to similarities between Cardano’s current market position and Bitcoin’s early years. Some see a struggling altcoin still far from its glory days, while others believe the current setup looks like the early stages of major breakouts seen in previous cycles.  A crypto analyst known as Crypto Patel on the social media platform X is leaning heavily toward the latter, and according to him, a $10+ ADA price is only a matter of time. Analyst Constructs ADA Comparison To Bitcoin Crypto analyst Crypto Patel has compared the current Cardano setup to Bitcoin’s early days, arguing that the opportunity being presented now is one the industry has seen before. Related Reading: This Major Cardano Upgrade Could Change The Network’s Trajectory Posting on X, analyst Crypto Patel pointed to ADA’s recent commodity classification by US regulators and its position nearly 91% below its all-time high as evidence that crypto investors are mispricing a cryptocurrency that already cleared its most significant legal and price structure breakdown.  Cardano is currently trading around $0.24, a level that, on a bi-weekly chart spanning back to 2019, is right above a macro bullish order block identified by CryptoPatel. The macro bullish order block is a demand zone between $0.13 and $0.18 that has historically attracted significant buying interest. The asset is down roughly 92% from its all-time high of $3.09, a figure that reads as catastrophic in isolation but which CryptoPatel frames as an opportunity. The situation resembles a period when Bitcoin traded at depressed levels while facing skepticism among investors in its early days. Interestingly, Cardano is in a much better position because it just got classified as a commodity. “That’s like buying Bitcoin when everyone called it a scam,” he wrote, “except this time the government already said it’s legit.” What The Chart Is Actually Saying The technical structure of CryptoPatel’s thesis is more layered than a single bullish callout. Technical analysis of the 2-week ADA/USDT chart on Binance shows the complete macro cycle and how the ADA price may be bottoming. Related Reading: Cardano Just Saw A Large Spike In DeFi Activity, Why Is Price Still Struggling Below $0.3? From its 2020 lows, the ADA price rallied 3,402% into the 2021 peak before entering a prolonged price correction. This prolonged correction led to the formation of a large descending triangle between 2022 and 2025, with a descending resistance trendline suppressing every recovery attempt. This led to a triangular price structure of lower highs and higher lows.  When the price eventually broke down through the triangle’s lower support in 2025, that support flipped to resistance. The resistance level is between $0.45 and $0.50, and that range will need to be reclaimed for any meaningful recovery to take hold. CryptoPatel’s projected recovery path is staged: a reclaim of Resistance 1 at $1.20, followed by Resistance 2 at $2.95, before a full bull market extension toward $5.82 and ultimately $15.60. This final target represents a gain of about 12,471% from the cycle bottom. “$10+ ADA is not a question,” the analyst wrote. “It’s just a matter of time.” Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com

As Cardano (ADA) retests a key multi-year level that previously led to significant price increases, some analysts point to on-chain and derivative signals suggesting a potential price recovery for the altcoin. Related Reading: Ethereum Tops $2,100 As BitMine Ramps Up ETH Bet With $137M Purchase Cardano Retests Key Macro Support On Tuesday, Cardano dropped 3% to retest a crucial macro support level. The altcoin has been trading between $0.25-$0.30 since the early February market crash, failing to break out of the range’s upper boundary over the past two months. ADA’s price has retraced to the lower levels of its one-month accumulation zone, hovering between $0.25-$0.27 during recent market volatility. Market observer Ali Martinez pointed out that the cryptocurrency has been retesting a key multi-year level amid this performance. According to the post, Cardano is retesting the $0.25 area, a major support zone since 2022, in the weekly timeframe. This level marked the bottom of the previous bear market and served as a key area at the start of the latest bull run. As Martinez noted, the last two times ADA traded around and held this level, back in 2023, it bounced 85% and 200%. The first bounce led to a retest of the $0.46 area, while the second drove the price toward the $0.80 level between October 2023 and March 2024. The analyst also highlighted that ADA recently printed a buy signal, signaling a potential recovery soon. “The TD Sequential indicator has flashed a ‘black 9’ on the weekly chart, suggesting the recent downtrend has exhausted,” he wrote, adding that this setup typically anticipates one to four weeks of expansion. As a result, ADA could target $0.32-$0.37 by late April if it holds above its current price levels. “We’ve survived the 6-month grind; now we watch for a potential price recovery,” Martinez asserted. ADA Flashes Bottom Signals Adding to the momentum, analytics firm Santiment has underscored multiple on-chain and derivative signals that could indicate a reversal is nearby for Cardano. According to the post, Cardano’s average active wallets have experienced a 43% negative return on their investments over the past year, suggesting a price rebound is more likely than usual. Despite the 71% price decline since September, this extremely negative MVRV value generally indicates that ADA is in an “opportunity” or “buy” zone, Santiment affirmed, further explaining that when average returns are significantly negative, it signals an impending turnaround: On a zero-sum game, when average returns are severely negative, this is an indication of a looming turnaround with coins always averaging 0% on MVRV’s (average trading returns) across any timeframe. So when other traders are in severe pain, key stakeholders and professional traders are intrigued by this due to the lowered risk of buying or adding on to their positions. In addition, the firm stated that Cardano’s funding rate on Binance is experiencing the largest imbalance toward shorts since June 2023, suggesting traders are heavily inclined toward further downside. Related Reading: Bitcoin Holds $70K – Is The High‑Beta Era Over? “Traders are clearly expecting that the #12 market cap will continue to decline in value,” the firm pointed out, noting that “this historically is another bottom signal, as funding rates are always prone to liquidate and send prices in the direction that traders are expecting the least.” Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com

Cardano may be flashing the kind of contrarian setup that traders tend to watch closely near exhausted selloffs. According to on-chain and derivatives data shared by Santiment, ADA’s 365-day MVRV has fallen to -43% while Binance funding shows the highest imbalance toward shorts since June 2023, a combination the analytics firm argues has historically aligned with bottoming conditions. Is The Cardano (ADA) Bottom Near? Santiment’s core thesis is that Cardano holders who have been active over the past year are now deeply underwater, which changes the risk-reward profile for new buyers. “Average wallets that have been active on the Cardano network over the past year are netting a return of -43% on their investments,” the firm wrote on X. “Memes aside about the altcoin’s major -71% price decline since September, this extreme negative MVRV value is generally an indicator of $ADA being in an ‘opportunity’ or ‘buy’ zone.” Related Reading: Cardano Chop Nearing End? Here’s The Key Resistance To Watch That argument rests on how Santiment interprets MVRV, or the gap between market value and realized value, across a 365-day window. In its framing, when the average participant is sitting on severe unrealized losses, downside risk begins to compress because weaker positioning has already been flushed out. The chart shared by the firm marks sub-zero MVRV territory as an “opportunity” zone and places ADA’s current reading well inside it. Santiment pushed that point further with a more explicit contrarian read. “In a zero-sum game, when average returns are severely negative, this is an indication of a looming turnaround with coins always averaging 0% on MVRV’s (average trading returns) across any timeframe. So when other traders are in severe pain, key stakeholders and professional traders are intrigued by this due to the lowered risk of buying or adding on to their positions.” That does not mean a rebound is guaranteed, but it does clarify the logic behind the call. The signal is less about immediate momentum and more about market structure: if most recent participants are already trapped at a loss, marginal selling pressure can start to weaken while value-focused buyers step in. Related Reading: Cardano Could Rocket 1,000% From Extended Accumulation Area, Analyst Says The second piece of the setup comes from the perpetual futures market. Santiment said Cardano’s funding rate on Binance is now showing the largest ratio of shorts to longs since June 2023, indicating that traders are leaning heavily toward further downside. In crowded positioning regimes, that can matter as much as the spot chart itself. “Cardano’s funding rate on Binance is seeing the largest ratio of shorts (compared to longs) since June, 2023,” Santiment wrote. “Traders are clearly expecting that the #12 market cap will continue to decline in value. This historically is another bottom signal, as funding rates are always prone to liquidate and send prices in the direction that traders are expecting the least.” That last point is the real crux of the analysis. Santiment is not simply saying ADA looks cheap after a 71% slide since September. It is arguing that Cardano now sits at the intersection of two classic reversal ingredients: deeply negative holder returns and an overcrowded bearish derivatives trade. At press time, ADA traded at $0.2666. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

DeFi activity on the Cardano (ADA) network is showing strong momentum, with Total Value Locked (TVL) spiking by more than 23%. Despite increased on-chain activity, ADA continues to trade below $0.3, with lackluster performance, price swings, and persistent sell-offs over the past months.  Cardano Sees DeFi Growth As ADA Price Dwindles Cardano’s decentralized finance ecosystem is experiencing a notable surge in activity, even as the ADA price remains depressed. As of March 13, 2026, the token sat at around $0.27, down more than 90% decline from its all-time highs, creating a striking disconnect between network growth and price performance. Related Reading: Cardano Red Month Is Far From Over: Analyst Predicts Crash To This Target Notably, Dave, a stake pool operator (SPO) and delegated representative (DRep) for the Cardano blockchain, took to X to highlight the scale of the network’s recent DeFi expansion. He pointed out that despite the recent price weakness, Cardano’s TVL climbed 23.5% in just 12 days, rising from $447.13 million on February 26 to $552.35 million by March 13. This reflects roughly $105 million in additional capital flowing into Cardano’s DeFi ecosystem. The data show that this increase came from inflows measured directly in ADA rather than in US dollars. Data from DeFiLlama, which tracks TVL in US dollars, shows that Cardano’s DeFi total value stood at about $127 million on February 26 before rising to approximately $142.27 million in the following days, reflecting a more modest gain.  Additional insight from another Cardano DRep, Dori, on X reveals that the ratio of stablecoin supply to DeFi TVL on Cardano expanded sharply over the past several months. Dori reported that the recent integration of USDCx on Cardano has already produced a significant shift in the network’s stablecoin landscape.  He noted that the stablecoin-to-DeFi TVL ratio jumped from around 10% last June to 32% at the time of his post, roughly tripling in under a year. He linked part of this increase in the ratio to the decline in the ADA price. Because most of the network’s DeFi value is held in ADA, the continued drop in its market price reduced Cardano’s TVL when measured in US dollars.  Still, Dori has emphasized that the integration of USDCx is a major step in the growth of DeFi on Cardano. He noted that with minting volume rising steadily, Cardano’s DeFi ecosystem is expected to diversify and mature organically.  Analyst Projects ADA Rebound Despite Falling Channel On the technical side, crypto analyst ZAYK Charts on X has revealed that ADA is currently trading inside a falling channel, underscoring an extended downtrend movement since 2025. Looking at the chart, the cryptocurrency has continued to trend lower since September last year, crashing from above $1 to $0.27 as of writing.  Related Reading: Can ADA Price Still Surge? Cardano Founder Says The Best Is Yet To Come Despite the poor performance, ZAYK Charts maintains an optimistic outlook for the altcoin. He predicts that if ADA breaks out of its resistance near $0.28 at the channel’s upper trendline, its price could surge more than 108% to $0.55. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com

Cardano is facing a fresh round of criticism after renowned crypto market analyst Ali Martinez, known on X as Ali Charts, argued that the network’s valuation remains badly out of step with actual usage. His thesis is blunt: unless adoption improves materially, ADA’s price could face far more downside if a key support level breaks. In a post titled “The Most Useless Network in the Crypto Market,” Martinez framed Cardano as a chain with a large market value but comparatively weak onchain traction. He wrote, “Cardano ranks among the largest cryptocurrencies by market value, yet the level of real activity on the network remains relatively small.” Could Cardano Fall Another 80%? He then tied that directly to DeFi participation, arguing that “the amount of capital locked in Cardano’s DeFi ecosystem has never exceeded $1 billion, and it has historically been only a fraction of what is locked on competing platforms like Ethereum. Even some newer chains, such as SUI, have already surpassed it in usage.” Related Reading: Cardano Red Month Is Far From Over: Analyst Predicts Crash To This Target That gap between valuation and network activity sits at the center of his bearish case. Martinez argued that when “a network is valued in the billions but only a limited amount of capital and applications are actually using it, the price may be driven more by speculation than by real demand.” In his view, Cardano has yet to establish the kind of durable product-market fit that tends to sustain long-term capital inflows in crypto. He sharpened that comparison by placing Cardano alongside two ecosystems that, in his telling, already carved out clearer roles in the market. “Unlike Ethereum, which has built a dominant position in DeFi, or Solana, which has captured high-speed consumer applications, Cardano still lacks a clear use case that consistently attracts users, developers, and investors,” he wrote. The point was not simply that Cardano is smaller than those chains, but that it still has not locked in a sector where it is the default destination for activity. Related Reading: Cardano Sharks & Whales Quietly Accumulate 819M ADA Amid Price Decline Martinez also pointed to Cardano’s development model as a structural constraint. “Another concern for me is the pace of development and the increasingly competitive environment,” he said. “Cardano follows a research-driven model that prioritizes academic review and formal verification. While that approach can improve security and design quality, it has also resulted in a slower rollout of features compared to other blockchains.” That slower cadence, he suggested, has had compounding effects. “Although Cardano launched in 2017, smart contracts were not introduced until 2021, giving competing ecosystems several years to build stronger network effects with more developers, applications, and liquidity.” In crypto, where network effects can become self-reinforcing, arriving late to key product layers can matter as much as technical design. The market implication of that thesis comes down to one chart level. Martinez said $0.245 is the critical support to watch. If that floor breaks decisively, he sees scope for a move to $0.112 or even $0.051, which would imply another 50% to 80% decline from that zone. He stopped short of calling the breakdown a certainty, noting that it “has not yet occurred,” but said traders waiting on the sidelines could still see a short setup if the level fails, provided risk is tightly managed. At press time, ADA traded at $0.2668. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Like other altcoins in the space, the Cardano price has suffered a tremendous amount of losses over the last few months. This relentless sell-off has pushed the ADA price so low that it is now sitting at levels not seen since the last bear market. Even now, Cardano remains in danger of further decline, as explained by crypto analyst Lingrid in a recent analysis. Why Cardano Could Crash Further The major problem being faced by the Cardano price now is that the bulls have failed a number of times to reclaim control from the bears. With each failure, the hold by the bears becomes stronger, furthering the possibility of a bearish continuation. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bear Market Could Be Shrinking, But Are We Watching History Repeating Itself? In the analysis, crypto analyst Lingrid revealed that Cardano remains below the consolidation support at $0.26. As a result of this, the cryptocurrency has now started moving below its former structure. At the same time, the price is also below the descending resistance, showing a lot of weakness. Despite the recent recovery, the fact that the altcoin’s price eventually moved back downward proved that bears are still in control of the market. The downside of this is that the bearish continuation is likely from here, especially as the price has also been rejected at $0.26, and the price could crash further. The only way this move gets invalidated is if the Cardano price were to successfully reclaim and break above $0.27 again. 6 Months Of Red With the red close of the month of February, Cardano marked five consecutive months of red closes, making it the third time in history that this has happened, according to data from CryptoRank. The first time was back in 2021-2022, when the bear market had begun, and then again, that year, Cardano recorded another five consecutive months of red closes. Related Reading: Pundit Says XRP Price Could Reach $1,000 By End Of 2026 If This Happens While the last time ended with a major surge in the sixth month, the Cardano price is already down by more than 11% in the month of March, suggesting that the red trend could continue. Now, back in 2021-2022, was the first time in history that the digital asset saw 6 red monthly candles, and what followed was interesting. After the sixth month of red in February 2022, the Cardano price had begun to surge, eventually ending the next month with gains of 18%. However, after this, the bleed continued, and Cardano fell further. Now, if this trend were to repeat itself, then the cryptocurrency could see a relief bounce after the sixth month of red. But this would not mean an end to the decline, but rather, a precursor to more decline. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

Cardano (ADA) jumped over 12% in a single day, breaking above short-term resistance and drawing renewed attention from both whales and institutional funds. The surge coincides with steady accumulation by whales and mechanical buying from index-tracking products, signaling a potential shift after months of consolidation. Related Reading: XRP Rally Incoming? Analyst Forecasts March-April Recovery If This Level Breaks The combination of rising trading activity, renewed interest in derivatives, and steady accumulation by major holders has brought Cardano back onto traders’ radars. While questions remain about long-term network activity, recent price behavior suggests that market participants are ready for significant long-term moves. ADA's price trends to the downside on the daily chart. Source: ADAUSD on Tradingview Institutional Allocation and Whale Accumulation Support Cardano’s Momentum On-chain data shows that large Cardano holders, commonly referred to as sharks and whales, have accumulated roughly 819 million ADA over the past six months. This buying occurred even as prices declined significantly, indicating that influential investors viewed lower levels as an opportunity to build positions. Institutional exposure has also increased. Asset manager Grayscale raised Cardano’s weighting within its Smart Contract Platform Select Capped Index fund to above 20%, making ADA the product’s third-largest holding. Although the adjustments are driven partly by index-tracking mechanics, the rising allocation highlights Cardano’s continued relevance among major smart-contract platforms. This accumulation trend contrasts with retail sentiment during the downturn and suggests longer-term conviction despite ongoing competition from rival blockchain ecosystems. Analysts often interpret sustained buying during price weakness as a signal that larger investors are positioning ahead of future catalysts. Technical Breakout Fuels ADA’s Price Surge ADA recorded a 12% daily gain, rising from roughly $0.26 to above $0.29, as trading volume surged to nearly 4 times its average level. The move followed a breakout above key short-term technical levels after weeks of consolidation. Momentum indicators show a recovery phase underway. The RSI remains below overbought territory, leaving room for further upside, while trend strength readings indicate a developing directional move. Rising futures open interest, which expanded by nearly 30% in a single day, suggests fresh capital entering the market rather than short covering alone. Key levels now sit near $0.31 as immediate support, while resistance appears around $0.34 and the 50-day moving average. A sustained hold above these zones could reinforce bullish momentum, whereas rejection may trigger consolidation. Ecosystem Developments Add Fundamental Narrative Beyond price action, Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson recently emphasized that the network remains competitive, citing the upcoming Midnight privacy project as evidence of continued development. The initiative has already attracted early partnerships and aims to expand enterprise and regulatory-compliant use cases. Still, mixed fundamentals persist. While derivatives activity and investor accumulation are rising, decentralized finance participation and total value locked on the network remain below previous highs, reflecting uneven ecosystem growth. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Surges 8% — Key Drivers Behind The Recovery Toward $70,000 For now, Cardano’s rally represents a notable alignment between institutional positioning and technical momentum. Whether ADA can sustain gains above current resistance levels will likely depend on continued capital inflows and broader crypto market sentiment in the weeks ahead. Cover image from ChatGPT, ADAUSD chart on Tradingview

Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson says the crypto market is headed for “90–180 days” of more grind, not because the industry lacks catalysts, but because retail is exhausted and the narrative that kept people engaged has stopped working. Speaking with CoinDesk at Consensus 2026 in Hong Kong, the Input Output CEO framed the current drawdown as a morale problem as much as a market one. “This one particularly stings because we expected a really strong cycle in 2025 and we didn’t quite get it,” he said. “So, a lot of people are pretty bitter about it… We just got to get through the next 90-180 days. It’s going to be tough.” Cardano Founder On What Went Wrong For Crypto Hoskinson’s core point was that crypto has spent years promising a near-term “magic fix,” then watching the market fail to respond even when those fixes arrived. He rattled off the sequence retail has lived through: NFT mania, the collapse of Luna, collapse of FTX, the “scary Gary era,” memecoin mania, and “all the Trump stuff” and argued that each cycle offered the same story: endure the pain now, because something big is coming in 6–12 months. “And we got all the mcguffins,” he said. “We got BlackRock coming in. We got the US government doing the reserve thing. We got good regulation with Genius to start… all the things that we were looking for happened and then nothing happened afterwards.” Related Reading: Cardano May Be At A Prime Buying Point, Analyst Says To explain the mood, Hoskinson leaned on a vivid travel metaphor: “We got to the town and the hotel was closed, the restaurants closed and we’re like where do we sleep and eat? … people are deeply frustrated.” That frustration, in his telling, has turned into a broader disengagement. Retail isn’t shocked by volatility, it’s bored and worn down by the repeated promise that the next institutional wave, the next regulatory milestone, or the next narrative pivot will make the market “work” again. Hoskinson also cast the next phase of adoption as politically contentious inside crypto itself. As more traditional finance players get involved, he warned of a future where the industry becomes “federated”, dominated by large corporate-controlled networks and where users are pushed away from self-custody. “What they want to do long term is move everybody into a custodial holder from a non-custodial holder and then ban DeFi and non-custodial wallets so they can consolidate the entire industry to like 10 or 15 of big actors,” he said, adding that it’s feeding apathy among long-time participants. He put it more bluntly a moment later: “We didn’t sign up to have Goldman Sachs and JP Morgan and BlackRock and these other guys run the industry. We signed up to build a new banking system that is pushing power to the edges.” If the industry drifts back into the hands of the institutions crypto originally positioned itself against, Hoskinson argued, the last decade of risk-taking starts to look like a round trip. How To Make Crypto Great Again Hoskinson’s proposed reset centers on making crypto usable for people who aren’t primarily there to trade. That starts with “wallet abstraction”, reducing onboarding to something like “30 seconds with a fingerprint and a pin code,” plus social recovery and then integrating those wallets into mainstream platforms so the default experience becomes non-financial. Related Reading: Cardano Nears End Of 2020-Style Correction: Is $5 To $10 Next? “Right now, I have to understand… private keys, understand how to back up wallets, all this stuff,” he said. “So, really, the only interface is for people that are doing this for financial reasons.” From there, he argued, crypto should stop “over financializing everything,” pointing to the volume of token launches as a symptom. “Anytime I hear anything, I always ask, ‘When’s the token launch?’ And I’m sorry, 11 million tokens went out last year. It’s not sustainable,” he said. He tied that thesis to what he sees as the next wave of demand: agentic AI. By 2030, Hoskinson predicted, “the majority of internet searches in commerce will be agentic,” meaning bots transact more than humans and crypto, via stablecoins and standards he referenced such as x402 becomes the rails that give those agents “economic agency.” Hoskinson also dismissed the idea that quantum fears are driving today’s downturn. “If there are, they’re stupid,” he said of anyone selling Bitcoin due to quantum risk, calling the threat “not… right now.” He pointed instead to DARPA’s Quantum Benchmarking Initiative (QBI), saying the effort is working toward measuring whether quantum computers will be meaningful “by 2033,” and argued the real issue is trade-offs: post-quantum cryptography is “5 to 10 times less efficient,” and few networks want to pay that cost today. Still, he framed the looming transition as an opportunity, especially for Bitcoin, which he said may need a hard fork to fully address post-quantum migration. For Cardano, he argued, on-chain governance makes such changes a more bounded process: “It’s a six-month conversation for us.” At press time, Cardano traded at $0.2638. Featured image from YouTube, chart from TradingView.com

Cardano’s (ADA) current price may look tempting, especially as it sits deep in oversold territory, but cheap doesn’t always mean opportunity. When momentum is absent and structure remains weak, early buyers often find themselves stuck watching price drift sideways for weeks. For ADA, the real question isn’t how low it has gone; it’s whether it has the strength to escape. Trapped In the Red Zone: Pressure, Not Opportunity Trend Rider, in a recent update shared on X, explained that ADA’s daily chart has been flashing signals that many traders interpret as a “perfect bottom.” With the price sitting at the lower end of the bands and deep in the red, the temptation to buy looks obvious. However, Rider cautioned that low prices alone are not a guarantee that a move higher is ready to begin. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Next Peak Might Ignite ADA’s Rally, Says Cardano Creator According to the analysis using the Rider Algo, Cardano is currently pinned inside a dark red zone. While some see this area as a solid floor, Trend Rider views it as a zone of heavy pressure and exhaustion, where price often drifts sideways for extended periods, leaving traders stuck in unproductive consolidation. Rider emphasized that trying to catch absolute bottoms rarely works out, often resulting in either catching a falling knife or watching capital remain stagnant while other assets show clearer momentum. As a result, Rider’s focus is not on buying at the lowest possible price, but on waiting for confirmation that strength is returning as the key is not support, but escape.  Trend Rider expects Cardano to demonstrate the ability to climb out of the red zone with conviction. Specifically, the analyst is watching for a decisive breakout and a daily close above the $0.45 level. Until that happens, the bears still control the market structure. For now, Rider’s plan is to enter at a higher price with confirmed momentum than gamble on a “perfect bottom” and hope it holds. Currently, trading is about correct timing, not arriving first.  Cardano Buyers Defend $0.33–$0.36 From Marcus Corvinus’s analysis, Cardano is currently reacting from a key demand zone between $0.33 and $0.36, an area where buyers have previously stepped in to defend the price. This zone is now under close watch as it could once again play a crucial role in determining the next move. Related Reading: Cardano Nears End Of 2020-Style Correction: Is $5 To $10 Next? Corvinus noted that if the demand zone holds and bullish momentum begins to build, ADA could see a more sustained bounce, potentially opening the way toward the next major resistance level around $0.53. As things stand, this area is shaping up to be a decision point for the market. Continued buyer defense could help rebuild structure and gradually shift pressure back to the upside. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

Leading derivatives exchange CME plans to add futures contracts tied to Cardano (ADA), Chainlink (LINK), and Stellar (XLM) to continue growing its roster of regulated crypto derivatives. Related Reading: Analyst Says It’s Time For Ethereum’s ‘Big Test’ – Is ETH Season Loading? CME Adds New Altcoins To Crypto Derivatives Lineup On Thursday, Chicago-based derivatives exchange CME Group announced a new expansion of its lineup of regulated crypto derivatives with the upcoming inclusion of Cardano, Chainlink, and Stellar futures. According to the announcement, the new crypto additions are expected to launch on February 9, 2026, although they are still pending regulatory review. In addition, they will offer both micro-sized and larger-sized contracts for the three cryptocurrencies. For the standard Cardano futures, the contract will cover 100,000 ADA, while the micro-sized ADA futures will consist of 10,000 tokens. In addition, the Chainlink and Stellar’s large-sized futures will be set at 5,000 LINK and 250,000 XLM, respectively, while the small-sized contracts will cover 250 LINK and 12,500 XLM. The upcoming Cardano, Chainlink, and Stellar futures contracts build on the derivatives exchange’s existing crypto suite, which includes four of the largest cryptocurrencies by market capitalization. In 2017, CME first launched Bitcoin (BTC) futures, followed by the introduction of Ethereum (ETH) futures in 2021. In the first half of 2025, the Chicago-based exchange added Solana (SOL) and XRP futures to its lineup, introducing options for both cryptocurrencies later in the year. Giovanni Vicioso, CME Group Global Head of Cryptocurrency Products, highlighted the industry’s expansion and development over the past few years, affirming that “given crypto’s record growth over the last year, clients are looking for trusted, regulated products to manage price risk as well as additional tools to gain exposure to this dynamic market.” “With these new micro- and larger-size Cardano, Chainlink and Stellar futures contracts, market participants will now have greater choice with enhanced flexibility and more capital-efficiencies,” he added. Cardano, Chainlink, Stellar Price Reaction Despite the positive development, the trajectory of ADA, LINK, and XLM remained mostly unchanged, with the three altcoins continuing their intraday correction. Chainlink and Stellar both saw 4% declines from their Thursday highs, falling to the $13.60 and $0.225 levels. LINK has momentarily lost the $13.80 level as support and is attempting to hold the current area to prevent further bleeding. Similarly, XLM was also rejected from the Wednesday highs and bounced from the $0.230 before continuing its descent toward its two-day low. Related Reading: Bitcoin Nears ‘Historic’ Technical Test As Price Eyes $93,500 Barrier – What’s Next? Meanwhile, ADA was attempting to reclaim the $0.41 area ahead of the announcement, briefly bouncing from the recent pullback. Notably, Cardano surged over 10% from the recent lows toward the crucial $0.42-$0.43 area. However, the altcoin was rejected from this zone on Wednesday, retracing nearly 9% from the local highs to retest the $0.40 level. On Thursday morning, the cryptocurrency bounced from this area, but ultimately resumed its correction as the day progressed. As a result, Cardano has retraced most of this week’s gains, currently trading around the $0.391 mark. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com

Cardano (ADA) may be nearing the end of a multi-month corrective phase that closely resembles its 2020 setup, according to a new technical analysis video posted Wednesday by crypto analyst Quantum Ascend. The analyst argues that a similar “lower trendline reset” preceded ADA’s prior breakout cycle, and that several weekly indicators are now starting to turn. Cardano’s 2020 Fractal Is Back In a Jan. 7 video shared on X, Quantum Ascend said he is looking at ADA’s weekly chart through a macro, multi-leg corrective framework. “On a macro count for ADA, you’re looking at an A, B, C, D, and right now waiting on an E,” he said, framing the current market structure as the late stage of a broader consolidation rather than a fresh downtrend. That “E” leg matters in their model because it effectively marks the final phase of a wedge-like compression. Quantum Ascend pointed to an upper trendline, Fibonacci levels, and prior work published in a mid-December video to justify upside targets once the structure completes. “Essentially you have upper trendline, you have some Fib stuff in play, I have a conservative of five bucks, primary up there at $10,” he said. “And then after that, I think it gets ugly for crypto for a little while, so still a believer that alt season is ahead of us.” Related Reading: Is Cardano Entering a New Phase? Technical Strength, ETF Watch, and Ecosystem Direction Align The core of the argument, however, wasn’t the targets themselves, it was the claimed resemblance to an earlier Cardano correction. Quantum Ascend overlaid a historical “fractal” to highlight comparable price behavior: a move up to a similar level, a pullback, another push into resistance, and then a wick that tagged roughly the same area on the overlay. “This correction right here that I just took this from, look at how similar it is to that correction that we just had,” he said. “Obviously it’s not perfect, but if you tried to get it close from a price structure standpoint… look where that wick on 10.10 went, exactly right there.” In the analyst’s telling, that prior pattern was the market’s way of forcing ADA down to establish a lower trendline before the next expansion. “So this is the same exact move that Cardano had to come down to set the lower trendline,” he said. “So right now setting the lower trendline, before it went on a blast off.” He then referenced the scale of Cardano’s last major run as a reminder of what altcoin cycles have historically looked like when momentum turns. “And how far did it end up running? Well, it ended up going 170X from that point in time, from a penny all the way up to $3,” Quantum Ascend said, using that move as context for why double-digit targets don’t automatically fall into the “impossible” bucket during late-cycle expansions. Related Reading: Cardano Founder Addresses ADA Dump Rumors, Is He Behind The 80% Price Crash? The more immediate claim is that the upside implied by a $10 target is not unprecedented in percentage terms compared with prior alt cycles. “When you’re looking at how far that $10 mark is from where we’re at right now, I mean 22X, right? 25X,” he said. “What was this alt season back here? This alt season was just 2021… That was a 21X… So it’s not unreasonable to be looking for 24X there. And then even on the conservative side, more of a 12X.” On indicators, Quantum Ascend highlighted early signs of a weekly momentum shift rather than a confirmed breakout. “You have a completed ABC. This thing’s ready to turn back around,” he said, adding that broader market conditions looked supportive of a bounce. The analyst also pointed to the weekly RSI beginning to lift after an extended period near lows. “Look at the RSI here on the weekly, finally starting to curl up off the floor. We’ve been down on the floor since October 27th that week, finally getting a little juice.” The analyst described negative momentum as “been decreasing,” and referenced an “ABC” structure on MACD as another piece of the same turning narrative. “A lot of these major moves happen when the weekly RSI goes from low to high,” Quantum Ascend said, arguing that higher timeframes can be slower but more reliable when they finally rotate. Quantum Ascend closed by saying he remains constructive on the project even without a current position. “I am a big believer in this project. I don’t hold any right now. It’s just the way that my portfolio has worked out,” he said. “But I do believe that there’s going to be some massive upside coming to Cardano.” At press time, ADA traded at $0.3925. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Cardano (ADA) is now facing renewed scrutiny following a challenging year marked by significant price losses and a slowdown in ecosystem momentum. Over recent weeks, a combination of technical signals, governance decisions, and regulatory speculation has brought ADA back into focus. Related Reading: Bitcoin ETFs Bring The Heat: $1.2 Billion Flows In First 48 Hours—Analyst While optimism has returned to parts of the market, the network now faces a critical test: whether short-term recovery can translate into sustained progress across price, adoption, and infrastructure. ADA's price trends slightly upwards on low timeframes as seen on the daily chart. Source: ADAUSD on Tradingview Cardano’s (ADA) Technical Signals Suggest Improving Momentum Cardano’s price action has shown signs of stabilization following a decline of more than 60% in 2025. Currently, ADA formed its first golden cross of 2026, with short-term moving averages crossing above longer-term averages on both hourly and two-hour charts. ADA has also printed its first positive weekly candle in over two months, reflecting improving sentiment. At the time of writing, the token is trading around the $0.41–$0.416 range, supported by higher futures open interest and daily trading volume near recent highs. However, price remains capped by resistance near $0.401, a level that aligns with the 50-day moving average and has rejected multiple breakout attempts since late 2024. A sustained move above this zone is widely seen as necessary for further upside toward higher historical ranges. Governance Funding and Ecosystem Priorities Beyond charts, Cardano has taken steps to address ecosystem development through governance. A proposal authorizing the withdrawal of 70 million ADA for critical integrations has been ratified by the network’s governing bodies. The funding is intended to support infrastructure additions such as stablecoin integrations and oracle services, including work related to USDC, USDT, and Pyth. In parallel, the Cardano Foundation has allocated additional resources to boost stablecoin liquidity, a key requirement for competitive DeFi activity. Founder Charles Hoskinson has emphasized that future success will be measured less by short-term price movement and more by growth in metrics such as active users, total value locked, and real-world usage. The upcoming Ouroboros Leios upgrade and the planned expansion of the Midnight, a privacy-focused sidechain, are central to this strategy. ETF Expectations and the 2026 Outlook Another factor shaping expectations is the prospect of a spot Cardano ETF in the United States. While no application has been approved as of December 2025, products such as the Grayscale Cardano ADA Trust remain under SEC review, with decisions now expected in early 2026. Previous approvals of Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs have raised expectations, though analysts note that ADA faces additional scrutiny tied to classification debates. Related Reading: XRP Rally Reopens The $8–$12 Zone Debate, Says Will Taylor Taken together, Cardano enters 2026 at a pivotal moment. Technical indicators suggest a recovery, governance actions aim to strengthen the ecosystem, and regulatory developments could impact institutional access. Whether these elements align into a durable new phase will depend on execution in the months ahead. Cover image from ChatGPT, ADAUSD chart from Tradingview

Cardano (ADA) is closing out 2025 caught between muted price action and a growing debate about where real value may emerge next within its ecosystem. Related Reading: Dogecoin: Why This One Price Level Is Drawing All the Attention While ADA continues to trade under pressure near the mid-$0.30 range, founder Charles Hoskinson has shifted attention away from short-term price movements toward longer-term structural developments, particularly within Cardano’s decentralized finance and security roadmap. The contrast between weak market sentiment and expanding ecosystem narratives has become one of the defining features of Cardano’s current phase. ADA's price trends to the downside on the daily chart. Source: ADAUSD on Tradingview ADA Price Weakness Reflects Broader Caution Cardano (ADA) remains in a consolidation pattern after slipping below $0.37, weighed down by persistent selling pressure and declining risk appetite across the altcoin market. On-chain data shows that large holders are reducing their exposure, with tens of millions of tokens being redistributed over recent days. Derivatives metrics reinforce this cautious stance, as short positions continue to outnumber longs and momentum indicators remain subdued. Technically, ADA is trading below key moving averages, keeping the near-term outlook fragile. Analysts identify the $0.35 level as a critical support zone, with a deeper decline toward the $0.27–$0.30 range possible if sentiment deteriorates further. Founder Urges Patience on Security and Infrastructure Against this backdrop, Hoskinson has used recent commentary to address longer-term challenges rather than short-term volatility. Hoskinson has warned against rushing into post-quantum cryptography upgrades, arguing that while the tools already exist, deploying them prematurely could impose heavy performance costs on blockchains. Larger signatures and slower verification, he noted, could undermine scalability long before quantum computers become a practical threat. Hoskinson’s position reframes the security debate around timing rather than urgency. While global standards for post-quantum cryptography are now finalized, he maintains that readiness depends on hardware capabilities, network economics, and validator incentives. DEXes Framed as Long-Term Opportunity Hoskinson has also highlighted what he sees as a valuation disconnect within Cardano’s DeFi sector. Responding to recent activity around the privacy-focused sidechain Midnight and its token NIGHT, he argued that trading volumes on Cardano-based decentralized exchanges remain low relative to their potential. Stablecoins and cross-chain bridges remain central to this thesis. Without deep liquidity and reliable settlement assets, Cardano’s DEX ecosystem struggles to compete with more mature networks. Hoskinson suggested that once these components are in place, decentralized exchange activity could expand significantly, framing the current period as one of accumulation rather than stagnation. Currently, Cardano’s market narrative remains split. ADA’s price reflects caution and consolidation, while ecosystem development points to longer-term optionality. Related Reading: Altcoin Season Index Crashes To Low 17 As Bitcoin Price Struggles, What This Means Whether that divergence ultimately narrows will depend less on short-term charts and more on how effectively Cardano converts infrastructure progress into sustained on-chain activity. Cover image from ChatGPT, ADAUSD chart from Tradingview

Cardano’s ADA token has returned to a familiar but uncomfortable zone. After months of lower highs and failed recovery attempts, the price has slid back toward long-term support levels that have defined its structure for more than two years. Related Reading: XRP Hasn’t Entered A Bear Market Yet; Analyst Shares Why The move comes amid a broader market pullback, as risk appetite weakens across equities and crypto, but ADA’s decline is also being shaped by internal technical signals that traders are finding hard to ignore. ADA currently trades near $0.38–$0.39, down approximately 5.57% over the past 24 hours. That drop places the token close to a multi-year ascending support trend line that has held for nearly 900 days. ADA's price trends to the downside on the daily chart. Source: ADAUSD on Tradingview Derivatives and Positioning Point to Caution Market data indicate that traders are stepping back rather than leaning into the decline. Futures open interest in ADA has decreased by approximately 11% to around $670 million, indicating that positions are being closed rather than expanded. Funding rates have also softened, with more than 55% of tracked positions now skewed to the short side. Together, these metrics point to reduced confidence in a near-term rebound and a market that is positioning defensively. This caution is not isolated to Cardano. Altcoins across the board have come under pressure as investors adopt a risk-off stance ahead of key U.S. macroeconomic data, including inflation and labor reports, and as concerns surrounding the AI sector spill over into correlated assets like cryptocurrency. Technical Structure Near a Breaking Point On the charts, ADA’s structure remains fragile. The token recently lost the $0.53 horizontal support, confirming a bearish shift on higher timeframes. Momentum indicators reflect that change. The RSI is below 50, and the MACD remains in a negative position. Recent price action looks corrective rather than impulsive, suggesting the latest bounce may already have run its course. ADA is still hovering near its long-term diagonal support, but a clean breakdown would likely alter the outlook materially. Some analysts warn that, if this trend line fails, the price could retrace much deeper, potentially toward levels last seen during the previous bear market. Long-Term Targets Contrast With Short-Term Risk Despite the weak near-term picture, longer-term projections remain divided. One technical analyst has argued that ADA’s current consolidation resembles a prolonged corrective phase similar to the setup seen before its 2020 breakout, outlining upside targets ranging from the $5 area to above $10 in a full bull scenario. Related Reading: US Bitcoin Session Leads December Returns After Weak November However, those views hinge on the market first stabilizing and reclaiming key resistance zones. For now, ADA’s focus is simpler. The token is at a critical phase, with long-term support under pressure and sentiment cautious. Whether this level marks a base or a breakdown will likely shape Cardano’s trajectory into 2026. Cover image from ChatGPT, ADAUSD chart from Tradingview

Cardano (ADA) is getting the “2020 blastoff” treatment again — at least if you ask Quantum Ascend, a technical analyst on X who says the chart is starting to rhyme with the setup that preceded ADA’s last major run. In a Dec. 13 video shared on X, Quantum Ascend (@quantum_ascend) told followers he’s been working through a longer-term weekly count and thinks the market may be grinding toward the end of a drawn-out corrective structure. The punchline: a “conservative” target zone around $4.88–$5.50, and a “primary” bull-run target of $10.40. “Cardano Mirroring 2020 Blastoff Moment,” his post read, before laying out the two tiers: “Conservative: $4.88-$5.50” and “Primary: $10.40.” The Framework Behind The Cardano Price Prediction The framework he’s leaning on isn’t a clean five-wave impulse, he said. Instead, he framed it as something slower and messier — “more of like a large time-based macro correction here on the D-wave,” he said, describing what he believes is a triangle structure developing on the weekly chart. “We’re creating a triangle structure,” he said. “So I am going to be looking for the E-wave. That’s what ends up coming next.” Related Reading: Cardano’s December Slide Intensifies: What’s Driving the Decline and What Comes Next? A big part of the argument is confluence. Quantum Ascend walked through multiple measurements and trendlines, pointing to price zones where different tools cluster. One reference point was a prior A-to-B drawdown range that, in his view, still hasn’t been fully “closed out,” with a key level “up there at the $5.50 mark.” Then he zoomed out to the bigger structure, highlighting how an upper trendline from a C-to-D drawdown “converges with the 3.618 [Fibonacci extension] up here,” which he suggested adds weight to the $10 area. “So some confluence for that $10 area,” he said, pointing at the chart level he called out around $10.62. He also reached for a relative-performance comparison — not to Ethereum itself, but to Ethereum Classic. “I have another video from the past that compares Ethereum Classic to ADA,” he said. “And if it ends up doing a similar move to Ethereum Classic, that also puts us up into the $10 range.” Still, the near-term “safe” target he kept circling back to was the $5 region. After walking through a more recent drawdown “going back to the top of the Trump pump to where we’re at now,” he said a “full extension gets us pretty close… around $4.88,” adding that the $5 zone shows “a lot of different signs of confluence.” “For me, I’m going to say my conservative estimate for ADA is going to be that $5 range,” he said. Then he went straight to the headline number: “I think ADA gets up there around 10 bucks during this bull run.” To make the comparison feel less abstract, Quantum Ascend argued the current chop looks structurally similar to a prior period before ADA’s last breakout — a fractal-style read. “You guys notice the similarities here?” he asked, describing how both moves get “stopped out a little bit above the 0.5,” roll over, then revisit the lower trendline before pushing back to the top of the range. Related Reading: Cardano’s Recovery Stalls, but TVL Growth Signals Could Spark Year-End Upside And then he widened the lens beyond Cardano, tossing in a fairly aggressive macro view that sits underneath the bullish alt targets. “I honestly, guys, across the board right now, I believe that these corrections are coming to an end,” he said. “I think we have a blow off top in stock markets, in crypto and all of that coming.” But he also stressed he’s not married to a long-duration “supercycle” narrative. “I am not a long-term bull,” he said. “I am not [predicting a] Bitcoin super cycle to $400K.” His current bitcoin top, he added, is $155,000 — and he expects alts to “severely outperform” in the final leg before “it’s all over.” On the math side, Quantum Ascend framed $10.40 as big, but not absurd in a market that has already produced outsized multiples. “If we were to get that 1040, 25X, right?” he said, comparing it to prior cycles where ADA saw moves he pegged at “168X” and “75X.” “So we’re just talking about a 25er,” he added. “Not that crazy when you put it into perspective.” At press time, ADA traded at $0.4022. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Cardano (ADA) is once again dealing with an unstable market stretch as its price hovers near one-year lows, but renewed optimism is building ahead of December’s long-awaited Midnight launch. Related Reading: The Bull And Bear Scenario For XRP That Could Play Out In November Despite persistent criticism over declining network usage and shrinking DeFi liquidity, fresh technical signals and upcoming ecosystem catalysts suggest the blockchain may be preparing for a recovery phase into year-end. ADA's price trends to the downside on the daily chart. Source: ADAUSD on Tradingview ADA Slumps as Liquidity and Sentiment Weaken Cardano (ADA) trades around $0.41, marking a steep 70% decline from its December 2024 peak of around $1.2 and placing the token among the weakest performers in the latest market pullback. Total value locked has plunged 36% in 30 days to $186 million, while stablecoin liquidity sits below $40 million, far behind competitors such as Monad, which neared $100 million in TVL shortly after launch. The “ghost chain” narrative resurfaced again this week after network glitches prompted jokes about Cardano’s low activity. Even Nansen’s CEO predicted ADA could fall out of the top 20 as rivals gain traction in real-world assets, gaming, and high-volume DeFi. Still, founder Charles Hoskinson insists the gloomy sentiment does not reflect what’s coming. In a recent update, he emphasized that Midnight, Cardano’s privacy-focused sidechain launching in December, is backed by major developer partnerships expected to reignite the ecosystem. Technical Structure Points to a Potential Relief Rally Despite bearish pressure, ADA’s chart shows signs of stabilizing. The token is forming a falling-wedge pattern, historically a bullish reversal indicator. The RSI sits at 30, signaling oversold conditions, while derivatives funding has turned positive, suggesting traders are positioning for upside. Key resistance levels lie at $0.49 and $0.5097, with a breakout potentially driving price toward $0.50–$0.61. Analysts warn, however, that failure to hold the $0.39–$0.40 support range could expose ADA to deeper downside toward $0.277, the August 2023 low. Midnight Launch Becomes Cardano’s Make-or-Break Catalyst With DeFi activity shrinking and market confidence fragile, the December rollout of Midnight is emerging as the pivotal moment for Cardano’s 2025 outlook. Success could trigger a meaningful rebound in TVL and development activity, metrics traders increasingly rely on as proof of real adoption. Related Reading: Capriole Founder Not Bearish On Bitcoin Despite Headwinds—Here’s Why For now, ADA remains in consolidation mode, but the convergence of oversold technicals, whale accumulation, and ecosystem upgrades sets the stage for a possible year-end upside, if Cardano can finally convert anticipation into measurable on-chain growth. Cover image from ChatGPT, ADAUSD chart from Tradingview

Cardano faced an unexpected shock when a corrupted transaction aimed at Charles Hoskinson’s personal stake pool caused the network to split for several hours. The incident triggered confusion, exposed weaknesses, and sparked a heated clash over motive and responsibility. Here is how a single action spiraled into a full-scale disruption. Cardano Founder Targeted, Network Shaken The Cardano network faced unexpected disruption on November 21, 2025, after an incident targeting the founder’s personal stake pool. What began as a ‘test’ by a stake pool operator quickly escalated into a risky experiment on the main network, where he reportedly followed unverified AI-generated instructions and submitted a malformed transaction.  Related Reading: Analyst Shares Why He’s Not Worried About XRP Price – ‘The Road To Valhala The transaction exploited an obscure 2022 cryptographic library bug, causing newer nodes to parse it incorrectly while older nodes rejected it. This triggered a chain split, disrupted block production, and left validators, DeFi protocols, and everyday users struggling to stay aligned for several hours. The operator later admitted that the entire situation was the result of poor judgment, one he described as a personal challenge he handled recklessly. He insisted he had no financial motives, no collaborators, and no intention to target the founder.  His message expressed regret for the disruption caused to stake pool operators and developers who had to react immediately. Many operators lost block rewards, and some decentralized applications experienced inconsistent states. While user funds remained safe, the event revealed how one misstep could trigger a chain-wide disturbance. Hoskinson Says It Was Personal And Months In The Making Despite the stake pool operator claiming no intention of harm, Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson rejected the idea that this was an accidental mistake. He stated that the individual responsible had been active in online groups known for hostility toward Cardano and its leadership. According to him, the attacker had spent months discussing ways to disrupt the project’s operations and reputation. Hoskinson pointed out that his personal pool was the direct target. For him, this proved the act was intentional, not an experiment gone wrong. He emphasized that the disruption touched every user on the network, causing stake pool operators to miss earnings, parts of the DeFi ecosystem to stall, and Cardano developers to be forced into rapid emergency fixes. Related Reading: Barstools Founder Just Made A Million-Dollar Investment In XRP, Does He Know Something? He also stated that law enforcement had already stepped in, turning the event into a criminal matter. In his view, the public apology surfaced only after community investigators linked the operator to the incident and federal involvement became clear. The incident left the community divided between two narratives: one of reckless experimentation and one of calculated sabotage. What remains certain is that a targeted hit—intentional or not—exposed how quickly a malformed transaction can fracture the system and force an entire ecosystem into crisis mode. Cardano recovered, but the questions raised by this attack will continue to shape how the network prepares for the next potential threat. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

Cardano has entered a difficult phase as selling pressure intensifies across the crypto market. The price of ADA has fallen below the $0.60 level, a critical threshold that previously acted as both support and a psychological anchor for traders. With this breakdown, bullish momentum has faded, and the asset now faces mounting resistance amid a broader market downturn dominated by caution and fear. Related Reading: Bitcoin OI Suffers Deepest Drop Of The Cycle: $10B Leverage Wipeout Leaves Traders Cautious Market sentiment toward Cardano has turned notably bearish, reflecting growing uncertainty about short-term price stability. However, several analysts view the current decline as part of a natural market reset, potentially setting the stage for a healthier recovery once selling pressure subsides. According to recent on-chain data, whales — large holders responsible for significant portions of ADA’s supply — have been offloading millions of tokens in recent days. This selling activity has contributed to the latest drop, underscoring how institutional and large investor behavior continues to shape price direction. Whales Offload 4 ADA, Raising Fears of Panic Selling According to Santiment data, Cardano whales have offloaded more than 4 million ADA over the past week, signaling rising uncertainty among large holders. This wave of selling has added to the broader weakness seen across the market, as investors react to increasing volatility and fading confidence following Bitcoin’s recent dip below $100K. Analysts warn that such whale activity often triggers short-term panic selling, as retail traders interpret these moves as a sign of deeper distribution or loss of conviction from major holders. While the scale of the selloff remains moderate relative to Cardano’s overall supply, it has nevertheless amplified bearish sentiment around ADA’s short-term outlook. For the market to stabilize, much now depends on Bitcoin maintaining its current demand zone and Ethereum reclaiming higher levels above $3,400. Both assets continue to serve as the key drivers of broader crypto market sentiment and liquidity flow. If BTC can hold above $100K and ETH resumes its uptrend, confidence could quickly return to altcoins like Cardano. Related Reading: Ethereum Whales Accumulate Aggressively: 394K ETH Worth $1.37B In Just 3 Days ADA Struggles Below $0.60 as Selling Pressure Persists Cardano’s (ADA) price remains under significant selling pressure, currently trading around $0.54 after losing the critical $0.60 support level earlier this week. The daily chart shows ADA struggling to gain traction above its 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages, which now act as layered resistance between $0.70 and $0.75 — levels that must be reclaimed to shift momentum back in favor of the bulls. Recent price action reflects clear bearish control, with lower highs and lower lows forming since late September. The sharp rejection from $0.70 and subsequent decline below the 200-day moving average confirm that short-term traders remain hesitant to buy dips. However, the presence of a local demand zone around $0.50–$0.52 could provide temporary relief, as historical data shows this region acting as a strong accumulation area in prior market cycles. Related Reading: ‘Bitcoin $100K Break Was Emotional’ – On-Chain Data Shows No Structural Damage Volume spikes suggest active selling, likely driven by whale offloading identified by on-chain analytics. For a reversal, ADA would need to sustain a daily close above $0.60, supported by an increase in volume and a broader recovery across BTC and ETH. Until then, the outlook remains cautious, with risks of further downside if macro sentiment fails to stabilize. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

The Cardano weekly chart is still looking strongly bullish according to independent technician Charting Guy (@ChartingGuy on X) who resurfaced his long-running Fibonacci roadmap and channel study. Can Cardano Top $6 This Cycle? His latest post on X on October 26 noted that “ADA is fine as long as uptrend holds,” a view that is anchored in a multi-year rising channel that has contained price action since the 2018–2019 base. The channel features a lower rail now passing through roughly the $0.33–$0.35 area, a midline that has behaved as a recurring pivot since 2020, and overhead parallels that intersect with Fibonacci extension targets later in the cycle. The chart history mapped on his visuals is orderly. The 2021–2022 bear trend, drawn as a steep descending line from the prior peak, ended into the channel’s lower support and resolved through a series of falling trendline breakouts during 2023 and early 2024. Since Q4 2023, the chart has shown a series of higher highs and higher lows. Currently, the ADA price is again guided by a falling trendline. Related Reading: Cardano Gears Up for Major Rally as Technicals Flash Buy Signal and Traders Eye $2.50 Target Everything in the layout revolves around the Fibonacci ladder. The retracement set on the right margin—derived from the 2021 peak to the cycle low—marks 0% at $0.23488, then $0.33360 (0.136), $0.43180 (0.236), $0.62932 (0.382), a mid-range 0.5 at $0.85, $1.15694 (0.618), $1.43911 (0.702), $1.78464 (0.786), $2.32189 (0.888), and $3.09981 (1.000). Above that stack, the cycle extensions are plotted at $6.25325 (1.272), $9.00941 (1.414) and $15.26831 (1.618). Those numbers are consistent with how the analyst framed the market earlier in the year. On April 27 he wrote that “ADA fibs are very important here. The 0.618 is a STRONG resistance… the 0.382 MUST hold… neutral until one of these breaks on a weekly close.” That roadmap has aged intact. Rallies through spring and summer repeatedly stalled in the 0.500–0.618 zone, with the 0.618 level at $1.15694 capping advances. Pullbacks, in turn, have found bids near the 0.382 pivot at $0.62932. On September 18, after that rejection, he updated that “ADA higher low ✅ … higher high pending… still targeting 1.272 fib this cycle,” tying the price structure back to the extension grid. The implication is not casual moon-math; it is geometric. If ADA continues to defend the uptrend defined by the channel’s lower rail and, crucially, converts the 0.618 retracement at $1.15694 into support on weekly closes, the path reopens into the upper retracement shelf—$1.43911 at 0.702 and $1.78464 at 0.786—before confronting the 0.888 marker at $2.32189. A yellow waypoint for a higher high (on the main chart) sits near ~$2.30, deliberately aligning with that 0.888 level to flag a logical checkpoint for the next impulsive leg beneath the full retrace at $3.09981. Related Reading: Analysts Caution Cardano (ADA) May Drop Further Before $1 Rebound After 12% Dip Only beyond that zone does the headline question come into play. The analyst’s cycle objective is the 1.272 extension at $6.25325. On his canvas, that target is not an orphaned price label; it intersects with the upper parallels of the multi-year rising channel further out in time, which means the extension is technically consistent with the same structure that has governed ADA since the last cycle’s base. The risk management side of the ledger remains equally explicit: lose the 0.382 at $0.62932 on a weekly closing basis and the neutral-to-constructive stance is impaired, pushing focus back to $0.43180 and $0.33360, with the 0% anchor at $0.23488 defining the absolute boundary of the cycle floor inside the channel’s lower third. As the latest candles on the charts show, ADA sits mid-channel with the higher low confirmed and the range unresolved beneath descending trendline supply. The triggers are unchanged and numerically clear. A sustained weekly close above $1.15694 would validate an attempt toward $1.44, $1.78, and $2.32, with $3.10 the final retrace before extension math takes over. A failure through $0.62932 would flatten the uptrend call. Between those guardrails, the analyst’s October 26 message reads less like bravado and more like a conditional statement embedded in the chart itself: Cardano can still reach $6.25 this cycle—but only if the uptrend continues to hold and the 0.618 ceiling finally gives way. At press time, ADA traded at $0.67. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Cardano (ADA) edged higher to $0.70 (+2.2%) on Wednesday as on-chain data showed large holders buying the dip. Related Reading: Why This Resistance Could Trigger Another XRP Price Crash Soon Whale and mid-tier wallets snapped up roughly 200 million ADA over 48 hours, about $140 million at recent prices, after last week’s volatility knocked the market lower. The build-up comes as the project readies the Cardano Summit in Berlin (Nov. 12–13), adding a fresh narrative tailwind into Q4. ADA's price trends to the downside on the daily chart. Source: ADAUSD on Tradingview Whales Scoop ADA as Selling Pressure Cools Analytics platforms tracking address cohorts report renewed accumulation, with 10–100million ADA and over 1 billion ADA wallets expanding balances. Similarly, network “spent coin” metrics declined by 51%, suggesting fewer coins are moving to sell and that distribution is easing. Price-wise, ADA continues to defend the $0.70–$0.80 band many traders view as pivotal for basing. A sustained hold keeps the recovery structure intact and positions the token for attempts at prior resistance. Staking Access Expands, Berlin Summit In Focus Adding fuel to the thesis, eToro launched ADA staking in the U.S., potentially opening rewards access to over 40 million users and reducing liquid supply as holders lock tokens. Beyond flows, the community is eyeing the Berlin Summit, where ecosystem teams are expected to showcase progress across Midnight, Leios, and dApp growth, events that historically boost sentiment and developer visibility. Strategists argue these catalysts, paired with bargain hunting from whales, can help stabilize spot liquidity after the broader market shake-out. Cardano Price Outlook: Levels That Matter Now Technically, Cardano rebounded from the $0.61 swing low and is attempting to reclaim short-term signals. Bulls first want a clean move through $0.73 (recent pivot / 0.236 Fib area). Above that, chart watchers flag $0.86 as a major resistance repeatedly capping rallies; a breakout there exposes $1.01 and $1.12 as subsequent targets, aligning with an ascending-channel upper bound on higher time frames. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Crash Below $100,000 Coming? Factors That Highlight Another Decline On the downside, $0.61 remains the must-hold support; a daily close below would risk a deeper revisit toward $0.50–$0.60 and delay any trend resumption. A decisive push through $0.73, and especially $0.86, would strengthen the case for a broader recovery leg, while failure to hold $0.61 puts ADA back in consolidation. Cover image from ChatGPT, ADAUSD chart from Tradingview

The Cardano price is showing signs of strength, with one analyst suggesting it may be preparing for a rally to reach $7.82 during this bull run. Crypto analyst Javon Marks believes Cardano is now following the same bullish path that it did in the last market cycle. He explains that after breaking out before, Cardano met its price targets and showed strong technical performance.  According to Marks, the same phenomenon is repeating itself in this cycle, suggesting that ADA could be on track to reach new highs. Many traders are closely watching as the token exhibits growing signs of upward momentum during this bull run. Analyst Javon Marks Sees Cardano Price Repeating Its Historic Breakout Pattern In his latest analysis, Javon Marks states that Cardano has broken out again, just as it did during the past bull market. He points out that in the last cycle, ADA broke through key resistance levels and went on to meet three of its primary price targets. That rally yielded strong returns, and Marks believes the setup on the chart today looks almost identical to it. Related Reading: Dogecoin Is Primed For A Higher Move To $0.4 Soon, It Just Needs To Hold This Level According to his view, Cardano’s technical structure remains bullish and continues to build momentum. The breakout that recently formed could mark the start of another significant move higher if price patterns repeat as they have in the past. Mark notes that ADA’s chart is showing the same curved breakout formation that led to significant gains last time. This chart formation is why he believes Cardano is still in the early stages of a potential new rally phase. The analyst notes that Cardano’s trend and structure both indicate that its upward move is still in development in real-time. He says this breakout has happened quietly, yet it could build into a much larger run as the market gains confidence. Javon Marks’  analysis suggests a growing conviction that Cardano’s recovery has genuine strength behind it, with room to continue climbing if it sustains the current momentum. $ADA Could Surge 800% To $7.82 If Momentum Holds Javon Marks also shared his specific targets for where Cardano’s price could go next. He explains that the first primary upside target is around $2.77, which would represent a gain of more than 221% from current prices. Marks believes this first move would only be the beginning if ADA performs like it did in the previous cycle. Related Reading: XRP Price Crash To $2.33 Is Still Possible In This Scenario, Here’s Why If the same type of rally repeats, Marks projects that Cardano could climb all the way to around $7.82. That would mean an increase of more than 800% from current price levels. He says the price action so far shows that ADA is still “on track to meet targets,” just as it did during the last significant breakout period. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

The Cardano (ADA) price is still holding up quite nicely and has maintained support above $0.81. This level is now acting as the major level in the recovery, becoming even more important as the technicals pile up at this point. Highlighting the importance of holding this level, pseudonymous crypto analyst The Alchemist Trader shows what will happen as long as bulls continue to maintain their hold. The Foundation For The Cardano Price Rally In the analysis, the importance of holding $0.81 is shown by several major developments. The first of these is the fact that this level is the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement support. In addition, it is also the major support on the daily timeframe, helping to maintain the bullish momentum. Thus, the foundation of the Cardano price rally is built on the $0.81 support. Related Reading: Shakeout Pattern Says Bitcoin Price Is Not Done, Why It’s Headed Above $130,000 As The Alchemist Trader explains, the $0.81 level is pivotal for the ADA price right now. In the past, it has served as the demand zone for the altcoin, absorbing sell liquidity and holding up against pressure from the bears. Given this, the analyst believes that holding above this region reinforces the bullish narrative for Cardano despite other bearish factors such as declining volumes. Other bullish factors that have emerged are the fact that the ADA price has continued to put in higher lows and higher highs. Naturally, higher lows and higher highs mean an asset is maintaining its bullish trend, and Cardano is no different. With each correction reaching into the key support zone at $0.81 before bouncing, the analyst points out that this means that bulls are still in control. Such corrections are ‘healthy resets’ and do not signal exhaustion for the digital asset. Where ADA Price Is Headed Is $0.81 Holds As long as the $0.81 region holds, then the ADA price does remain incredibly bullish. The first major push upward is expected to clear out the $1 resistance and move it into the $1.16 region. This is the spot that bulls will need to beat in order to actually validate the bull trend. Related Reading: Is The US Planning To Use XRP To Clear Trillion-Dollar Debt? New Developments Shock Community Once $1.16 is surmounted, then the resistance at $1.19 swims into view, and this is where the momentum must hold the most. This is because these are regions that align with the “previous resistance levels and Fibonacci extension objectives.” Thus, beating these will mean that the price can continue to rally. “A rotation toward $1.16 appears likely, and a breakout beyond that level could drive price action toward $1.19 in the short to mid-term,” the crypto analyst stated. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com