Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) has hit a critical turning point after getting sharply rejected from a TSDT resistance level that previously marked the start of a massive altcoin season. As the market reacts to this technical signal, analysts are closely watching for signs that a new altcoin season could be underway—one that could potentially mirror the explosive shift seen in 2021. Bitcoin Dominance Chart Signals Repeat Of 2021 Altcoin Season A new crypto analysis by market expert Tony Severino, posted on X social media on July 15, reveals that Bitcoin Dominance has once again faced a sharp rejection from the crucial TSDT resistance area near 65%. This level represents a technical ceiling that previously triggered a complete rotation of capital from BTC to alternative cryptocurrencies, fueling the famous altcoin season in early 2021. Related Reading: Bitcoin Dominance Falls: 9 Factors To Watch For That Says The Altcoin Season Has Begun The analyst’s monthly chart shows Bitcoin Dominance steadily climbing from mid-2022, peaking at around 65% in July 2025 before being rejected. This behavior mirrors the price action observed in late 2020 to early 2021, when BTC.D also reached this zone, got rejected, and then plunged—triggering a full-blown altcoin rally. Currently, Severino’s chart shows that Bitcoin Dominance sits at approximately 64.07%, just under the TDST resistance at 63.83%, with a notable candle forming after a strong uptrend. The analyst has indicated that if history repeats itself in this current cycle, it may result in a similar capital inflow into altcoins, possibly igniting the next altseason. Furthermore, the chart outlines key technical thresholds, including the TDST resistance, a TDST risk around 57.11%, and TDST support down at 40.08%. A decline toward these lower levels would indicate a significant drop in BTC dominance and further reinforce a pro-altcoin environment. Altcoin Supercycle Incoming Crypto analyst Merlijn The Trader has also shared insight on the possibility of an explosive altcoin season this bull cycle. The analyst stated on X that a historical pattern between the US Dollar Index (DXY) and Bitcoin Dominance appears to be repeating, signaling the beginning of a new altcoin supercycle. Related Reading: Altcoin Season Index Spikes Above 30, But Bitcoin Dominance Remains High, What Next? According to his chart, three major DXY bull traps have been identified since 2016, each followed by a dramatic decline in BTC.D and a strong rally in the altcoin market. The first two DXY bull traps, which occurred around 2017 and 2020, both triggered significant breakdowns in BTC.D—plunging from over 90% to around 35% in 2018, and again in 2021. These breakdowns marked the start of powerful runs, now recognized by the analyst as altcoin supercycles. The current market structure now suggests that the next leg lower could be imminent, with BTC.D beginning to trend downward again. If history repeats itself, this setup implies a weakening dollar, declining Bitcoin Dominance, and the potential for altcoins to outperform significantly in the coming months. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
CRYPTOWZRD, in his latest update on X, highlighted Ethereum‘s indecisive close, suggesting the market is still searching for clear direction. Despite the uncertainty, he remains optimistic, noting that both Bitcoin and BTC dominance are showing strength that could benefit ETH in the near term, with $2,800 marked as the next major resistance. Mixed Signals Across Ethereum Key Timeframes In the post, CRYPTOWZRD pointed out a mixed close for Ethereum across key timeframes. While the monthly candle ended indecisively, signaling some short-term hesitation, the quarterly candle closed with strong bullish conviction. This, he suggests, sets the stage for more upward movement in the coming months as higher timeframes begin to assert dominance. Related Reading: Ethereum Gears Up For Breakout Above $2,800 – Bullish Momentum Builds He emphasized that today’s daily candles for both ETH and ETHBTC closed similarly indecisive, reflecting the current uncertainty in the market. However, with Bitcoin dominance starting to decline, he sees potential for ETHBTC to pick up strength, which could, in turn, fuel Ethereum’s next leg up. According to CRYPTOWZRD, ETHBTC is already showing signs of life, moving upward from a monthly double-bottom formation. He believes that clean, bullish candles forming from the 0.02270 BTC region would inject fresh momentum into Ethereum, helping to drive it toward the $2,800 resistance, a key level on the radar. He added that unless any negative fundamental developments occur, $2,400 remains Ethereum’s main daily support zone. As long as this holds, the broader structure remains intact, and the bullish thesis stays valid. Looking ahead, CRYPTOWZRD plans to keep his attention on the lower timeframes tomorrow. With volatility in play and setups brewing, he’ll be watching closely for quick scalp opportunities as Ethereum navigates through this critical range. Waiting On Chart Confirmation For The Next Intraday Move In his closing remarks, the analyst noted that Ethereum’s intraday chart experienced heightened volatility throughout the day. Despite the choppy price action, he sees clear setups forming that could present solid trading opportunities in the near term. Related Reading: Ethereum Analyst Eyes High Timeframe Close – Range Break Above $2,800 Could Be Violent A decisive breakout and close above the $2,550 resistance level would be a strong bullish signal, potentially opening the door for a long entry. On the flip side, if the price pulls back toward the $2,380 support and forms a bullish reversal pattern, that too could serve as a valid trigger for a long position. With these scenarios in mind, the analyst plans to closely monitor the intraday chart. His focus will be on spotting a clean and high-quality setup, one that aligns with price structure and momentum to time the next scalp trade effectively. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
A crypto analyst has forecasted a powerful Wave 3 Bitcoin price rally that could take it toward new all-time highs between $160,000 and $200,000. Notably, this surge is expected to come with rising Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) and a delayed altcoin season, particularly if BTC can make a clean break above the $108,500 resistance level. Bitcoin Price Breakout To Spark Next Bull Run The Bitcoin price is currently hovering below a critical resistance level at $108,500, and according to a crypto analyst known as ‘BigMike7335’ on the X social media platform, a clean breakout and flip of this level into support could ignite an explosive Wave 3 bull run. Based on Elliott Wave Theory and Fibonacci Extension analysis, a successful move above this threshold could open the door to a bullish price surge with potential targets set in the $160,000 to $200,000 range. Related Reading: Bitcoin Flashes Double Top Above $106,000: FVG Says A Large Crash Is Coming The analyst’s chart shows that Bitcoin has already completed its Wave 1 of a five-wave impulse move, followed by an ABC corrective Wave 2. The market is also currently consolidating, and Bitcoin’s bullish momentum appears to be rebuilding. These positive developments are supported by a rising Stochastic Relative Strength Index (RSI) from the oversold region and a neutral-to-bullish RSI, both of which point toward upward price action. Notably, the 0.618 and 1.0 Fibonacci Extensions around $117,795 and $137,421, respectively, are highlighted as interim resistance zones where price momentum could temporarily slow before continuing upward. A clean breakout above $108,500 could also place Bitcoin above a heavy volume node visible in the volume profile within the chart, suggesting less overhead resistance and a stronger potential for a price rally. Furthermore, the analysis implies that during this powerful Wave 3 phase, Bitcoin Dominance will likely climb toward 70%. This increase in BTC.D would mean capital is concentrating in the leading cryptocurrency, which historically results in altcoins underperforming. As a result, the expected altcoin season for this cycle may be postponed, following the completion or cooling of Wave 3. Analyst Predicts $375,000 Bitcoin Bull Run Peak Crypto analyst TechDave has just sounded the alarm on what he calls the Bitcoin “launch signal”, a rare trigger that has only appeared four times in history and each time marked the start of major bull market rallies. This signal previously appeared in October 2012, July 2016, and July 2020—all preceding major upward moves that ended in new cycle peaks. Related Reading: Fading Spot Volumes And Muted Futures Sentiment Threaten To Send Bitcoin Below $99,000 Again Currently, the same signal is emerging this July, aligning with the previous cycle structures and reinforcing the expectation of a breakout phase. Notably, the formation has led to exponential gains, with each bull market run typically peaking months later. Following this historical pattern, TechDave now predicts a fresh cycle top for Bitcoin at $375,000. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
The Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) continues to exert pressure on the broader crypto market, casting a shadow on the prospects of an incoming altcoin season. Despite recent volatility and decline in the market, a crypto analyst observes that Bitcoin Dominance remains firmly elevated, signaling that capital is still concentrated in the leading cryptocurrency. This trend, they argue, is preventing any meaningful breakout for altcoins and could persist unless a decisive shift in market structure occurs. Altcoin Season Stifled As Bitcoin Dominance Surges The Bitcoin Dominance in the cryptocurrency market is tightening its grip, crushing hopes of an imminent altcoin season. According to a recent technical analysis posted on X (formerly Twitter) by market expert Tony Severino, Bitcoin’s market cap dominance has reached 65.72% with both monthly and Relative Strength Index (RSI) readings pushing above the critical 70 level. Related Reading: Bitcoin Dominance Hits New Cycle High Above 66% – How This 4-Year ATH Affects Altcoin Season At the time of the analysis, the RSI on the monthly timeline stood at 73.19, while the weekly registered at 70.58—both firmly in overbought territory. These levels typically reflect strong momentum and extended bullish conditions, indicating that Bitcoin’s command over the crypto market is still strong and growing. Severino shared a dual chart view of Bitcoin Dominance and RSI across the weekly and monthly time frames, highlighting candlestick structures that support Bitcoin’s ongoing upward momentum. BTC.D has been climbing since late 2023. The RSI values also remain comfortably above their respective Moving Average (MA) baselines of 67.31 and 65.42, indicating sustained strength rather than signs of immediate exhaustion. As long as Bitcoin Dominance holds these elevated RSI levels across their major time frames, Severino suggests that altcoins will likely continue to underperform, further delaying the long-awaited altcoin season. The analyst emphasizes that meaningful upside for altcoins will not begin until BTC.D starts to wane and RSI readings fall below 70—effectively signaling a shift in sentiment and market strength that could allow capital to rotate to alternative cryptocurrencies. Until such a pullback occurs, the analyst argues that the weekly and monthly BTC.D and RSI charts strongly indicate that any expectations of an altcoin season this cycle remain premature. Dragonfly Doji Forms On BTC.D Chart In another X post, Severino announced that the Bitcoin Dominance has potentially formed a Dragonfly Doji on the weekly chart. With four days left in the weekly session, the analyst notes that the distinct candle pattern is still developing but presently resembles the classic Dragonfly Doji, characterized by a long lower wick and a close near the opening price. Related Reading: Rising Bitcoin Dominance Above 64% Dashes Hopes Of Altcoin Season, Here’s Why Typically, this chart pattern is viewed as a bullish reversal signal when it appears at the bottom of a downtrend, indicating possible upside momentum. However, in this case, it has emerged during a broader uptrend in BTC.D, creating a more complicated technical picture. Severino believes that the Dragonfly Doji could either represent a continuation of the current momentum or a temporary pause in market direction. If the candle evolves into a larger bullish body and closes above the 65.65% level, it may confirm further strengthening of Bitcoin’s growing market dominance relative to altcoins. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
The Bitcoin dominance has hit a new cycle high, providing a bearish outlook for altcoins and any potential altcoin season. Crypto analyst Finsends has commented on this development and how it could affect the altcoin season moving forward. What’s Next As Bitcoin Dominance Hits New High? In an X post, Finsends stated that the Bitcoin dominance has made a new high and that it feels like it can never go down again. However, he opined that there should be a bigger correction starting somewhere around the current levels. The analyst added that the potential target area for a top in this scenario goes up to 68.56%. Related Reading: Rising Bitcoin Dominance Above 64% Dashes Hopes Of Altcoin Season, Here’s Why His accompanying chart showed that the Bitcoin dominance could hit this projected top of 68.56% in July, after which a decline would begin. Based on the chart, the BTC.D could drop to as low as 48% on this decline, paving the way for a potential altcoin season. If so, then altcoins could witness significant gains in the second half of the year and outperform BTC in the process. In an X post, crypto analyst Michaël van de Poppe also commented on the rising Bitcoin dominance and a potential altcoin season. He noted that the altcoin season indicator has hit its lowest number in two years. The analyst added that the lows of this indicator over the last six years were in June or July. Based on this, he remarked that there seems to be a pattern since the indicator has hit a low again this June. Michaël van de Poppe didn’t predict when exactly altcoin season could begin or if the Bitcoin dominance would top anytime soon. However, before now, he had expressed confidence that the alt season would still happen. The analyst noted that the last cycle was also called a Bitcoin cycle until altcoins started to run and heavily outperformed. What Needs To Happen For Altcoins To Take Off In another X post, Michaël van de Poppe stated that altcoins are in need of an upward push from Ethereum, and that this needs to happen through a push of Bitcoin. He further remarked that once the BTC price bottoms out, that is a very likely moment for Ethereum to continue outperforming the flagship crypto, with the Bitcoin dominance declining. Related Reading: Analyst Calls Start Of Altcoin Season Amid Deviation Of Cyclical Lows – Details The analyst believes that altcoins would start “shining” when the next leg upwards for Ethereum takes place, possibly ushering in altcoin season. He declared that once altcoins start to shine, market participants can expect them to heavily outperform the markets. However, for now, Michaël van de Poppe believes investors need to have some more patience. At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $101,700, down in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
As Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) rises in the crypto market, analysts are closely watching for signs of the long-awaited altcoin season. In a recent analysis, a crypto market expert shared key insights on the best time to buy altcoins, offering strategic guidance for traders looking to position themselves ahead of the next potential market rally. When To Position For The Altcoin Season As the Bitcoin price continues its upward trajectory, the speculation about an impending altcoin season remains a recurring theme across crypto communities. However, a Bitcoin Dominance chart shared by ‘Stockmoney Lizards,’ a pseudonymous crypto analyst on X (formerly Twitter), challenges the narrative that an altcoin season is imminent. Related Reading: The Return Of Altcoin Season: Why Bitcoin Dominance Must Fall To 62% Drawing on personal experience and market cycles, Stockmoney Lizards explains that the repeated cries of “altcoin season is here” are often premature and misleading. The analyst revealed that the true altcoin season, the period where even the lowest-quality coins tend to skyrocket, is often the final phase of the crypto bull run. It begins when Bitcoin Dominance breaks below the 60% support level, signaling a market-wide shift into altcoins. Notably, the analyst has shed light on how and when to position ahead of the altcoin season. Instead of buying altcoins based on hype or assumptions of immediate gains, Stockmoney Lizards suggests a more disciplined strategy: accumulate only at extreme oversold levels. This is typically when the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour or daily time frame drops below 25-30, reflecting capitulation. According to the market expert, these moments offer the best entry points for short-term rebounds, where altcoins deliver explosive moves of about 50% to 200%. The analyst further highlights that the primary objective is to take profits and rotate them back into Bitcoin. This approach not only maximizes gains but also minimizes exposure to prolonged drawdowns that usually follow the euphoric phase of the market cycle. Bitcoin Dominance Influence On AltSeason According to Stockmoney Lizards, the current behaviour of BTC.D, trading firmly between a well-defined channel, indicates that the market is still in the early to mid-phase of a bull run. Typically, this phase is dominated by Bitcoin, not altcoins, and history shows that institutional capital prefers to build positions in the flagship cryptocurrency before moving to riskier lower-cap assets. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price At $200,000 And Ethereum At $10,000? Analyst Says Altcoin Season Is Coming Notably, Bitcoin’s rising dominance in the market is not seen by the analyst as a bearish signal for altcoins in the long term. Instead, it is perceived as a healthy sign of a maturing bull market. He disclosed that the real altcoin season doesn’t begin until BTC.D decisively breaks down from its channel and drops to historical lows. Until then, Bitcoin’s strength reflects institutional accumulation and market confidence. Stockmoney Lizards reveals that retail investors often misinterpret this as a signal to chase altcoins, only to be caught holding bags as BTC continues to outperform. The analyst concludes that the altcoin season breakout will eventually come, but only those who position smartly by letting Bitcoin lead and waiting for alts to reach oversold extremes will be best prepared to capitalize on the market rally. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin’s current price action is marked by a consolidation around the $105,500 price level. Although it reached an intraday high of $106,807, it has since returned to $105,500, and its dominance also witnessed a minor fall. Notably, Bitcoin’s dominance metric, the BTC.D, which measures its share of the total crypto market capitalization, has stalled around the 64% level in recent weeks. This stalling behavior drew attention from a certified market analyst, especially in light of many altcoins struggling to gain momentum in an environment dominated by Bitcoin’s inflow. BTC Dominance Hits Resistance, Candlestick Flash Warnings According to certified Level III CMT analyst Tony “The Bull” Severino, the 64% region on the Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) chart could mark a meaningful reversal point. Sharing his insights alongside a technical chart of Bitcoin’s market cap dominance on the monthly timeframe, Severino pointed out that the latest monthly candlestick formed a Doji right at the bottom of a previous Falling Window. Related Reading: Altcoin Season: Bitcoin Dominance Reaches Critical Level Above 64% In Japanese candlestick theory, such “windows” are not just gaps to be filled but serve as critical zones of support or resistance. The fact that BTC.D formed a Doji candle precisely at this window, according to Severino, is a textbook reaction suggesting the dominance rally may be losing strength. This candlestick structure brings the focus onto how the current monthly candlestick plays out. If the current monthly candle becomes an Evening Star candlestick and closes below 62%, the odds of Bitcoin dominance rolling over increase significantly. Altcoin Season Not Quite There Yet As noted by Tony, if Bitcoin’s dominance candlestick this month forms an Evening Star pattern and closes below 62%, it has a high possibility of marking the end of the cryptocurrency’s current dominance. However, the analyst added a key caveat: the BTC.D Relative Strength Index (RSI) closed the previous month above 70, still suggesting strong momentum and keeping the larger trend in flux. Related Reading: Is Altcoin Season Over Or It Never Started? Here’s What Historical Data Says Despite these early signals, Severino warned against jumping the gun. Although the technical evidence points to a possible short-term reversal in dominance, he clarified that it does not necessarily guarantee a full-fledged altcoin season. In his words, “I am still not of the mindset that we will get a typical altcoin season, but I am seeing some of the first signs that BTC.D might reverse here.” For now, Bitcoin continues to hold steady above $105,000, and until BTC.D breaks convincingly below 62%, the cryptocurrency is in dominance. Nonetheless, the altcoin market could soon be looking at its first real window of opportunity in months. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $105,500, down by 0.1% in the past 24 hours. Bitcoin dominance is currently at 63.1%, down by 0.57% in the past 24 hours. Ethereum, on the other hand, increased its market share by 2.13% to 9.6%. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
Litecoin (LTC) wrapped up the day with an indecisive close, leaving traders on the edge of their seats. While LTC’s price action offered little clarity, the bigger picture may be unfolding elsewhere. According to market watchers, the real catalyst for Litecoin’s next significant move could come from Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D). A shift in BTC.D could tip the scales, either paving the way for a bullish breakout or extending its current sideways drift. Litcoin And LTCBTC Await A Clear Signal In a recent update, market analyst CRYPTOWZRD offered a detailed, cautious take on Litecoin’s current technical position while highlighting key factors to watch for a potential upside move. He observed that the LTC/USDT and LTC/BTC daily candles “closed indecisively,” a classic sign of market hesitation. Related Reading: Market Expert Projects ‘Undervalued’ Litecoin To Soar At Least 1,000% — Here’s How This kind of price behavior often reflects a lack of conviction from traders and can precede either a continuation or a reversal, depending on how subsequent candles develop. According to CRYPTOWZRD, what’s needed now are “more healthy candles” to confirm renewed bullish intent in the coming sessions. A major factor influencing Litecoin’s outlook is Bitcoin dominance. CRYPTOWZRD explained that a decline in BTC.D would likely benefit altcoins like Litecoin, allowing LTCBTC to gain traction. If such a shift occurs, Litecoin could begin forming a bullish “W” reversal pattern, typically a reliable signal of a bottoming process and the start of a new upward trend. This pattern, if confirmed, would signal improving market sentiment around LTC and open the door for a stronger recovery. CRYPTOWZRD is keeping a close eye on the $96 level, which he identified as a key threshold on the daily chart. A sustained move above this level could give Litecoin the strength to rally toward the $128 resistance area. “I will be tracking the intraday chart development,” he noted, suggesting that his next trade decision will be heavily influenced by how Bitcoin performs in the short term. Intraday Choppiness: A Battle For Direction Sharing his thoughts on Litecoin’s intraday performance, the analyst described the chart as “choppy and slow” throughout the day, reflecting a lack of clear momentum in either direction. He emphasized that a decisive move above the $96 mark, followed by sustained price action at that level, could serve as a catalyst for a potential long toward the next significant resistance around $102 or possibly higher. Related Reading: Litecoin Monthly Close Above Key Resistance Could Ignite 30% Rally – Is A Breakout Coming? However, the analyst cautioned that failure to reclaim $96 may result in continued sideways volatility, with no strong directional bias in the near term. He also highlighted the role of Bitcoin in shaping Litecoin’s next move, noting that broader sentiment and movement in BTC will likely decide whether LTC breaks higher or remains range-bound. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
Crypto analyst Astronomer has provided insights into when the altcoin season will likely begin following the Bitcoin price’s rally to a new all-time high (ATH). His analysis indicated that BTC’s dominance is about to top, which will pave the way for altcoins to outperform the flagship crypto. Altcoin Season To Begin Soon As Bitcoin Price Hits New ATH In an X post, Astronomer predicted that the altcoin season is imminent, seeing as BTC’s dominance (BTC.D) has hit 65% following the Bitcoin price rally to a new ATH. The analyst remarked that BTC’s dominance will roll over slowly first, before dropping rather quickly after the flagship crypto loses momentum. Related Reading: Is It Time For Altcoin Season? Bitcoin Dominance Rises To Major Rejection Zone He is also confident that the altcoin season is coming soon because BTC.D is up seven weeks in a row and all green from the bottom, which means the Bitcoin price-led move is stretching long. From a counting perspective, Astronomer remarked that BTC is coming to the end of the transition period, and altcoins will likely make their bigger moves soon. The analyst noted that BTC.D has also nicely retested the quarterly breaker open. For now, he believes sentiment is certainly not ready for an altcoin season, seeing as only the Bitcoin bulls are loud. Astronomer added that the ETH bulls are quiet and that only coins that are Bitcoin liquidity-driven are talked about, including HYPE, WIF, and the Bitcoin price itself. He is confident that 65% is the top for the BTC.D despite calls for 67% and 70%. With the Bitcoin price dominance currently at almost 63%, Astronomer affirmed that he is well-positioned for the top, with altcoin season coming after. The analyst stated that soon, these altcoins will put in their big moves until they are forced to become the narrative again, where they top out. Crypto analyst CrediBULL Crypto is also confident that the altcoin season is imminent amid the Bitcoin price’s rally to a new ATH. In an X post, he stated that where the market is headed in the coming months, every lagging altcoin is an opportunity to be thankful for, not a problem to be frustrated about. BTC Is Forming A Top At Current Price Levels In an X post, crypto analyst CryptoVerse stated that the Bitcoin price is likely forming a top at its current levels. He admitted that the flagship crypto could still rally to between $112,000 and $118,000 but warned that it could mark the cycle peak. The analyst also stated that he is not expecting an altcoin season before the fourth quarter of this year. Related Reading: Bitcoin Dominance Chart Remains Very High Despite Crash, What This Means For Altcoins CryptoVerse remarked that based on global liquidity trends, the altcoin season should begin in the fourth quarter and wrap up by the second quarter of next year. He noted that there could be short-term bounces, but a full-blown rally is unlikely to happen before then. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
In a post on X published yesterday, Jeff Park, Head of Alpha Strategies at Bitwise, stated that Bitcoin (BTC) currently presents a “generational opportunity” amid intensifying global macroeconomic turmoil. Park pointed to factors such as US President Donald Trump’s proposed trade tariffs, concerns over the US debt ceiling, and the growing sentiment of deglobalization as key contributors to the current economic uncertainty. Bitcoin Reigns Supreme Amid Global Political And Economic Turmoil The year 2025 has started on an unstable footing, marked by rising global economic and political instability due to trade tariffs, US debt ceiling issues, and the broader push toward deglobalization. These factors could significantly impact financial markets and geopolitical stability. Related Reading: Bitcoin Holds Steady Amid NASDAQ Decline, Analyst Calls It ‘Extremely Bullish’ Adding to the uncertainty is the impending expiration of the US Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) later this year, which could lead to unprecedented tax policy shifts and heightened economic unpredictability. Park also underscored the “gold run tail risk,” referencing gold’s extreme price volatility during periods of financial distress. At the time of writing, gold is trading at $2,900 per ounce, up significantly from around $2,585 in December 2024. Despite these mounting risks, Bitcoin has remained resilient, maintaining a price range between $90,000 and $100,000. Park highlighted BTC’s implied volatility (IV) percentile – a measure that reflects how its current volatility compares to historical levels. He noted that BTC’s IV percentile is at its lowest level of the year, reinforcing his view that Bitcoin presents a “generational opportunity.” Echoing this sentiment, Bitwise CEO Hunter Horsley remarked that many are underestimating “the massive leaps Bitcoin is going to take into the mainstream this year.” Indeed, Bitcoin continues to gain mainstream traction and demonstrate resilience amid rising global economic uncertainty. For example, BTC remained largely unaffected by the tech market sell-off triggered by the release of the Chinese AI model DeepSeek. No Altseason Anytime Soon? As Bitcoin strengthens its dominance, the altcoin market has struggled, weighed down by thin liquidity and waning retail interest. One key indicator supporting this trend is Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D), which measures BTC’s market cap relative to the total cryptocurrency market. Related Reading: Bitcoin Dominance Sliding Below This Level Could Signal Start Of Altseason, Trading Firm Says The weekly BTC.D chart shows a strong rebound from around 54% in December 2024. At the time of writing, BTC.D stands at 60.65%, a level not seen since March 2021. That said, some analysts remain optimistic about a potential Ethereum-led (ETH) altseason later in 2025. Recent analysis by Titan of Crypto suggests that Ethereum is poised for a major upward move this year. The analyst also pointed out similarities between ETH’s current price action and BTC’s behavior during its third market cycle, implying that Ethereum may soon enter what he calls its “most hated rally.” At press time, BTC trades at $95,362, down 0.4% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, Charts from X.com and Tradingview.com
As expectations of an altcoin season mount, a new technical analysis of the Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) draws striking parallels between the 2021 and 2025 market cycles, aiming to determine whether altcoins are on the brink of another bull run. Historically, Bitcoin Dominance has been a key indicator in predicting the likelihood of an altcoin, as a decline in BTC.D often signals a shift in investors’ focus on alternative cryptocurrencies. Historical Bitcoin Dominance Signal Possible Altcoin Season Crypto analyst Luca on X (formerly Twitter) is questioning whether history is repeating itself as similar past market trends emerge in this current cycle. The analyst shared two parallel charts, tracking the Bitcoin Dominance market capitalization and the start of the altcoin season. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Dominance And Altcoin Season: What The Sudden Volatility Means For The Market The chart compared the BTC.D market cap in the 2021 and 2025 cycles, revealing an eerily similar pattern that unfolded during the bull market in 2021. Back then, many investors had anticipated the start of the altcoin season immediately after BTC.D hit a high-timeframe resistance. However, to the surprise of the broader market, Bitcoin’s dominance deviated above the resistance, leading to a mass sell-off in altcoins. Fast-forward to 2025, Luca believes this narrative is playing out again. As BTC.D dropped below the 61% resistance zone, the market hoped for a rotation into altcoins. Instead, BTC.D surged even higher, deviating again and triggering a mass capitulation of altcoins. Luca’s Bitcoin Dominance chart shows the resistance zone where BTC.D struggled to break through in 2021 and 2025. In both cycles, BTC.D deviated from this resistance level. However, after the shift in 2021, Bitcoin dominance fell sharply to the green zone between 58% and 60%. This zone corresponded with a major rally that sparked the start of the altcoin season. In the 2025 BTC.D chart, Luca highlighted the next green zone as around 54.56%. If historical trends repeat, BTC.D may drop to this low level and potentially trigger a similar rally to kickstart this cycle’s anticipated altcoin season. At the moment, all eyes are on BTC.D as the market awaits its next move, which could define the fate of altcoins in this bull market. The analyst notes that the key question remains: will history repeat itself, or will the 2025 cycle run a new course? Analyst Says 2025 Altcoin Season Is Out Of Reach In another X post, a crypto analyst, Brucer, argues that the altcoin season may not occur during this cycle. He outlines three primary reasons for his foreboding analysis, underscoring that during past cycles, the altcoin season was driven by major events like the 2017 ICO boom. However, each cycle varies in intensity and may not repeat the same conditions that led to past altcoin seasons. Related Reading: Is Altcoin Season Here Already? VanEck Answers As Bitcoin Price Struggles Below $100,000 Secondly, Brucer noted that altcoins are currently struggling to regain previous highs while Bitcoin’s dominance continues to rise, now sitting above a 60% market cap. Lastly, the analyst suggested that an altcoin season 2025 is unlikely unless significant macroeconomic changes occur. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com
According to a recent report by Steno Research, Ethereum (ETH) is poised to outperform Bitcoin (BTC) in 2025. This outlook is attributed to historical trends and the anticipated impact of favorable cryptocurrency regulations following Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump’s victory in the November election. Will 2025 Be The Year Of Ethereum? While the overall cryptocurrency market surged to unprecedented heights this year – reaching an all-time high (ATH) total market cap of $3.9 trillion – Ethereum, the second-largest cryptocurrency, has lagged behind in terms of price performance. Related Reading: Ethereum Rejected At $4,000 Resistance Again: What Lies Ahead For ETH? However, Steno Research’s report suggests Ethereum could finally achieve a new ATH in 2025, driven by increased institutional investment and supportive regulatory developments. The report predicts that ETH could climb to at least $8,000 in the upcoming year. Bitcoin is also expected to hit a new ATH of $150,000 in 2025, but Ethereum may more than double from its current price of $3,400. Additionally, the ETH/BTC trading pair is forecasted to rise from 0.035 to 0.06 within the next 12 months. The weekly chart below illustrates ETH’s declining performance against BTC since September 2022. However, the pair is now hovering near a crucial support level at 0.035, with expectations of a rebound to the 0.06 level, which was last seen in February 2024. Steno Research’s optimistic forecast for Ethereum underscores a potential bullish momentum for altcoins in 2025. Mads Eberhardt, an analyst at Steno Research, stated: This expectation is partly based on the argument that Donald Trump’s U.S. presidential victory is more favorable for altcoins than for Bitcoin. The report adds that Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) – a metric used to gauge the proportion of the total crypto market cap commanded by BTC – is expected to tumble to as low as 45% from its current level. The following weekly chart demonstrates BTC.D’s sustained uptrend since September 2022, rising from a low of around 39% to a peak of 61%. However, recent price action suggests a lower high has been formed, signaling a potential sharp decline to around 45%. DeFi Activity To Rebound In 2025 The report further predicts a resurgence in decentralized finance (DeFi) activity within Ethereum’s ecosystem in 2025. Specifically, the total value locked (TVL) in decentralized applications is expected to hit a new high of $300 billion next year. Related Reading: DeFi Exploits Plunge 40% In 2024, But Centralized Exchange Losses Soar – Report Renewed interest in DeFi could further drive higher altcoin prices in 2025. Notably, ETH jumped 10% following Trump’s November election victory, as improved sentiment surrounding DeFi regulations boosted market confidence. In addition, strong inflows attracted by spot Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETF) further strengthen the bullish case for ETH heading into 2025. At press time, ETH trades at $3,417, up 3% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin (BTC) tumbled from a high of $108,135 on December 17 to $99,500, following US Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell’s hawkish remarks yesterday. However, some crypto analysts are pinning their hopes on a potential decline in Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) that may pave the way for an altseason. What Caused The Crypto Market Crash? Since […]
Ethereum (ETH) surged past $4,000 earlier today for the first time since March 2024. Having surpassed a key price level with a golden cross, analysts are confident that this could signal the beginning of the highly anticipated altcoin season. How Far Can The Golden Cross Push Ethereum? Ethereum, the leading smart contract blockchain saw its native ETH token rise beyond $4,000 today. What’s interesting is that ETH is not only showing signs of strength against USDT but also against Bitcoin (BTC). Related Reading: Ethereum To Pull A BTC 2021-Like Rally? Analyst Shares Massive Prediction In the ETH/BTC daily trading chart below, it can be seen that ETH has been making gains against the top cryptocurrency. The ETH/BTC trading pair has surged from 0.032 on November 21 to 0.04 at the time of writing. Continued strength against BTC is important for any potential upcoming altseason — a period marked by altcoins outperforming BTC as the latter continues to trade sideways within a range. Crypto analyst @venturefounder took to X to confirm that ETH has completed its first golden cross of the year on the daily chart. The analyst highlighted the bullish momentum a golden cross can impart to ETH’s price, stating: Last time this happened, Ethereum was still in the consolidation stages of the bear market but it still went +129%. In the 2021 bull market, the last goldencross took ETH +2,323%. For the uninitiated, a golden cross in trading is a bullish technical indicator that occurs when a short-term moving average crosses above a long-term moving average. In ETH’s context, the 50-day MA has crossed above the 200-day MA, a sign of a strong rally or trend reversal. Another crypto analyst Altcoin Sherpa indicated that if ETH decisively breaks through the $4,000 level, its next resistance level could be around the $4,800 to $5,000 price level. According to CoinGecko, ETH’s current all-time high (ATH) value is $4,878 recorded back in November 2021. It is also worth highlighting that Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETF) are finally starting to get attention from institutional investors. According to data from SoSoValue, US-based spot ETH ETFs attracted $428 million in daily total net inflows on December 5. Altseason On The Horizon? Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D), a key metric often used to determine the onset of the altseason has been on a continual decline over the past three weeks. BTC.D has crashed from about 61% to 55%, indicating strong recent performance by altcoins against BTC. Altcoin’s resilience during yesterday’s BTC flash crash to $90,500 is another bullish sign hinting toward a potential altcoin rally in the coming days. In addition, altcoin analyst Crypto Amsterdam noted that it may be time for mid-cap altcoins to start their parabolic cycle. Related Reading: Ethereum Risk-Reward Ratio Is Now Attractive, Brokerage Firm Explains With high anticipation for an Ethereum ‘god candle’ that may catapult the digital asset to $5,000, the coming days are bound to be exciting for altcoin bulls. At press time, ETH trades at $4,000, up 2.5% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from X and Tradingview.com
Bitcoin (BTC) continues its historic price trajectory, trading in the low $90,000 range at the time of writing. However, a trading firm suggests that Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) falling below a crucial level could signal the start of the long-anticipated altcoin season. Interest Rate Cuts, Trump Administration To Propel Crypto In a recent Telegram broadcast, Singapore-based trading firm QCP Capital shared its crypto market analysis. The firm highlighted Solana’s (SOL) recent performance, noting that it outpaced Bitcoin and Ethereum (ETH) over the weekend, surging more than 17% from Friday’s lows. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Market Is Still In An ‘Healthy Growth’ Phase, Says Analyst—Here’s Why Despite this, QCP Capital acknowledged that many investors remain hesitant to embrace the prospect of an imminent alt season, given Bitcoin’s steady climb toward the psychologically significant $100,000 mark. Rekt Capital’s analysis supports this sentiment, suggesting BTC is just beginning its parabolic phase. QCP Capital, however, predicted that a combination of Donald Trump’s victory in the US presidential election and interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) could set the stage for a full-blown altcoin season in the coming months. Trading Firm Identifies Key Bitcoin Dominance Threshold For Altseason According to QCP Capital, altcoins historically outperform major cryptocurrencies once the latter consolidate after significant rallies. The firm explained: Historically, we’ve seen altcoins outperform whenever the majors consolidate after a significant rally as profits rotate into smaller-cap coins. BTC’s dominance is around 60% now and it will probably need to be around
The current Bitcoin (BTC) rally could extend until mid-2025, with a potential price peak before a US recession. Bitcoin Could Peak In Mid-2025 Before US Recession A recent Copper Research report, a recent crypto research firm, posits that the leading cryptocurrency by market cap could extend its bullish momentum until mid-2025. Related Reading: Bitcoin Data Reveals Bulls Are Growing But Still Behind March 2024 Peak – Details As of November 13, Bitcoin is on day 555 of its current market cycle, and a price peak for the digital asset could arrive within the next 200 days. Notably, this peak may coincide with a potential US recession forecasted for mid-2025. According to the report, Bitcoin’s market cycles average 756 days. The starting point of these cycles is when the annual average growth of Bitcoin’s market capitalization turns positive, while the endpoint is when it hits a price peak. The report marks the beginning of the current market cycle around mid-2023, just before asset manager BlackRock filed for a BTC exchange-traded fund (ETF). Should Bitcoin stay true to its historical price patterns, the digital asset can hit its price peak for this cycle sometime around mid-2025. The report cites estimates by JPMorgan about the likelihood of a US recession in mid-2025. As a result, BTC’s price peak might align with a potential US economic downturn. Based on data from Treasury spreads, JPMorgan gives a 45% chance of a potential US recession by mid-2025. The report further highlights the gap between BTC’s price top and realized volatility. For the uninitiated, realized volatility measures BTC’s price fluctuations over a specific period, showing the standard deviation of the asset’s returns from the market’s mean return. BTC’s realized volatility currently stands at around 50%, indicating that its volatility is only halfway to previous bull market peaks. Another bullish technical indicator for the BTC price trajectory is its filtered relative strength index (RSI). The report reads: Currently, the RSI sits at 60 – well below previous bull market highs – indicating considerable room for Bitcoin to continue building momentum into the new year. BTC Could Rise Further, But Caution Is Necessary The digital assets market has been on a strong upward trend since pro-crypto Donald Trump’s victory in the 2024 US presidential election. Related Reading: Bitcoin ETFs See Historic Surge – Institutions Go Bullish On BTC With $1.38 Billion Record Inflows Notably, the emerging industry has witnessed its total market cap surge beyond $3 trillion for the first time since November 2021. The rise in total crypto market cap – largely driven by BTC – is not surprising since the Trump administration is speculated to establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve akin to that of El Salvador under Nayib Bukele. Bitcoin’s unprecedented price action has propelled the digital asset’s total market cap beyond that of silver, solidifying it as the 8th largest global asset by market cap in existence. With this in mind, it will be interesting to see how BTC dominance (BTC.D) behaves in the coming weeks, especially after facing rejection just below the $90,000 level. Currently hovering slightly above 60%, a fall in BTC.D could signal a capital rotation from BTC into altcoins, potentially benefiting smaller-cap digital assets. BTC trades at $87,767 at press time, up 1.1% in the past 24 hours. The asset’s total market cap sits at $1.738 trillion. Featured image from Unsplash, Chart from TradingView.com
Today’s Ethereum-Bitcoin (ETH/BTC) trading pair slid below 0.04, a level last seen in April 2021. The declining ETH/BTC ratio could have multiple implications for the wider altcoin market. Altcoins Might Suffer Due To Weak Ethereum One of the key indicators to gauge the resiliency of the altcoin market is the ETH/BTC ratio. The ratio essentially tracks the relative price strength of Ethereum against Bitcoin and is widely considered a metric that could indicate the future potential price action of altcoins. As of September 16, 2024, the ETH/BTC ratio sits at 0.039, a level it last touched 3 years ago in April 2021. In fact, after hitting a high of 0.088 in December 2021, the ETH/BTC ratio has been on a long-lasting decline, barring the occasional dead cat bounce, before further eroding in value. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Nosedives Over 5%, Pressure Mounts on Bulls Regarding altcoin price action, a surging ETH/BTC ratio indicates that Ethereum is performing well against Bitcoin. Conversely, a declining ratio suggests that Bitcoin outperforms Ethereum and other altcoins, which could trigger a shift in confidence away from Ethereum toward Bitcoin. As a result, the wider crypto market might witness a sell-off in altcoins as capital seeks more stable and better-performing assets. Currently, Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) sits at 57.78%, and it can be observed that the metric has been on a steady uptrend since November 2022. An increase in BTC.D further solidifies a weakening altcoin market, hinting that liquidity is exiting small-cap tokens, which might lead to volatile price action and quick price drawdowns. It’s worth highlighting that the US Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) approval of Ethereum exchange-traded-funds (ETFs) didn’t quite turn out to be as significant an event for ETH price as it did for BTC. Data from crypto ETF tracker SoSoValue shows that the cumulative net outflow for US Ethereum ETFs is $581 million, while the net inflow for US Bitcoin ETFs is $17.3 billion. Can Ethereum Price Change Its Momentum? Ethereum is exchanging hands at $2,282, a price level it last touched in January 2024. Notably, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap briefly touched the $3,900 mark, before losing all its gains. Most recently, it was reported that 112,000 ETH was moved to crypto exchanges in one day, suggesting that investors might not be too keen on holding ETH while its price relative to Bitcoin weakens. Related Reading: Ethereum (ETH) Triangle Formation Hints At A Double Bottom: Breakout and New ATH? Some experts opine that now might be a good time to convert BTC holdings to ETH as they see a potential 180% surge in the battered ETH/BTC ratio. The continual selling pressure on Ethereum has also moved ETH to oversold territory, giving hope to ETH holders that the digital asset has likely bottomed and might soon see a strong price recovery. Featured image from Unsplash, Charts from Tradingview.com