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A crypto analyst has stated that the Bitcoin price remains firmly in a bear market, projecting more volatility and pain ahead for the world’s largest cryptocurrency. The expert also noted that BTC has entered the final phase of this bearish stage, a period where the market is expected to reach its lowest levels alongside extreme Fear, Uncertainty, and Doubt (FUD). In his outlook, the analyst projected a timeline for when Bitcoin could complete its final capitulation move and establish a long-awaited bottom. He has also outlined a likely target range for this projected price floor. Bitcoin To Face More Declines In Final Bear Phase Pseudonymous crypto analyst No Name has broken down his price projections for Bitcoin in this bear cycle. In an X post on June 9, the expert announced that the leading cryptocurrency has officially entered the second and final stage of its bear market phase.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Is Headed To $150,000 In These 4 Scenarios Shared By This Analyst No Name noted that a typical bear market cycle does not end or start at random, suggesting it moves in a well-structured, methodical manner. The analyst explained, using a detailed chart, that a normal bull market goes through six stages, while a bear market experiences only two—marked by a major price crash and complete disinterest.  During the first bearish phase of this cycle, Bitcoin’s price declined sharply, shattering the optimistic narrative surrounding the cryptocurrency. This downturn followed a record-breaking rally in October 2025, when Bitcoin surged past $126,000, setting a new all-time high. Since then, the cryptocurrency has continued to trend downward, recently dipping below $60,000 at one point this month. Notably, the second bear phase, in which the market currently resides, is historically characterized by slow, sideways price movement and extremely low investor sentiment. This comes as enthusiasm and interest in Bitcoin plummets, prompting many participants to exit the market. During this phase, trading volumes typically drop, price volatility narrows, and fear dominates investor behavior, often leading to extended periods of stagnation. In his analysis, NoName noted that both bear market phases typically last about 350 days each. With the first phase already completed in this cycle, the math suggests that Bitcoin’s ongoing bear trend could end in October 2026. Confirming this, the analyst expects BTC’s price to hit its final cycle bottom within a key target range around that timeline. Based on his chart, this price floor currently sits between $47,000 and $51,000, aligning with the MA 350.  Analyst Forecasts BTC Crash Next Week And ATH Next Year For a shorter-term outlook, crypto analyst Kabuki projects that Bitcoin could crash to $54,000 as soon as next week. He expects the cryptocurrency to also extend this decline, likely hitting a final price bottom around $47,000 by July 2026.  Related Reading: What The Bitcoin Price Is Doing Now After Bouncing From $59,000 He backed his bearish outlook by noting that Bitcoin is currently at a historical level where every bull trap ends. Once the bear market capitulation concludes by July, Kabuki predicts that a fresh bull trend could emerge, potentially paving the way for BTC to rally to new all-time highs around $151,000 by January 2027.  Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

Crypto analyst Crypto Rover has pointed to a trendline that Bitcoin has never broken below in every market cycle. The leading crypto has now touched this trendline, providing optimism that it could bounce from that level as it did in previous bear cycles. Bitcoin Touches Trendline That Has Led To Parabolic Rallies In an X post, Crypto Rover revealed that Bitcoin has again touched the trendline it has never broken below in 9 years. Instead, BTC has seen parabolic rallies whenever it touches this trendline. In 2017, it rallied 1,300% after touching this trendline; in 2018, it rallied 1,900% after touching it; and in 2020, it rallied another 1,900% after touching it. Bitcoin saw another parabolic rally of 700% after touching this trendline in 2022.  Related Reading: The Verdict Is In For Bitcoin: Majority Of Investors Say BTC Price Is Headed Lower, Here Are The Numbers Now, Bitcoin has once again touched this trendline, offering optimism that it could bounce from this region as it did in past cycles. However, in another X post, Crypto Rover suggested that BTC has not yet found a bottom and could still drop below $60,000 before it bottoms. This came as the analyst alluded to BTC’s realized price.  He noted that the short-term holders’ (STH) realized price at $74,000 has been reached, but that the realized price of $53,600 and the long-term holders’ (LTH) realized price of $50,000 have not been reached. Crypto Rover added that every prior cycle bottom has traded below the realized price and that every major flush has kissed the LTH line. As such, BTC is still likely to see another move down before it bottoms.  Bitcoin is also at risk of another decline with the U.S.-Iran war escalating again. The U.S. carried out strikes against military targets in Iran, which led to retaliatory attacks against U.S. military bases in the Gulf region.  A Drop Below $50,000 Is Also A Possibility Crypto analyst Ali Martinez has indicated that Bitcoin could still drop below $50,000. This came as he pointed to the Investor Price, which he noted is currently $48,300. He said that this level is a key area he is watching for long-term accumulation. The analyst had described this metric as one of the most important BTC on-chain metrics.  Related Reading: This Bitcoin Chart Shows What To Expect For The Next 3 Months After Major Decision Point Martinez explained that this metric measures the average acquisition price of all economically circulating Bitcoin, filtering out permanently lost coins to provide a more realistic market-wide cost basis. However, it is worth noting that the analyst had earlier said that there were signs that BTC was about to reach a market bottom. He pointed to the 1.0-0.8 MVRV bands, which align at $53,900 and $43,150. At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $62,600, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin’s investor sentiment is in ruins, but buried inside the wreckage, a technical signal that has appeared only at the most consequential turning points in Bitcoin’s history has just fired again. This technical argument, which is built around Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index, is because the indicator has fallen to its lowest daily reading in four years, a level last seen near the 2022 bottom before BTC began its climb from $15,500 to $70,000. Bitcoin’s RSI Is Back In A Rare Bottom Zone The Relative Strength Index is among the most used momentum indicators, measuring the speed and magnitude of price movements on a scale from 0 to 100. Readings below 30 indicate oversold conditions. At its lowest point during the recent selloff over the weekend, the daily RSI fell to as low as 21.8, and the reading is still around the mid-20s at the time of writing. Related Reading: Crypto Analyst Gives Timeframe For When The Bitcoin Price Will Hit $200,000 That places this reading among the lowest on record for the daily timeframe, and that is why a crypto analyst that goes by the name Crypto Tice on the social media platform believes the Bitcoin price action may be looking at something much bigger than a normal oversold bounce. As shown in the chart below, the red and orange zones line up with some of Bitcoin’s most painful periods, including the 2011 bottom, the 2015 bear-market low, the 2018-2019 correction, the 2022 collapse, and now the 2026 slow correction. In each case, the bottom appeared when the Bitcoin price had already endured a major decline, and that is the same setup happening right now.  Bitcoin Price Chart. Source: @CryptoTice_ On X Why A 200% Target Is Possible For Bitcoin Bitcoin fell below $60,000 for the first time since 2024 and is currently down by about 50% from its October 2025 peak above $126,000. The leading cryptocurrency is now trading between $61,000 and $63,000. Interestingly, the main comparison of where Bitcoin goes from here is the 2022 bottom. Back then, Bitcoin’s RSI reached deeply oversold levels as the price collapsed to around $15,500, but the low eventually became the base for a rally to $70,000 in 2024. That move represented a gain of more than 350% from the cycle bottom, and it eventually rolled on to its all-time high in October 2025. Related Reading: Dogecoin Is One Step Away From The Same Pattern That Triggered 2021’s 29,000% Rally, What Next? If Bitcoin were to form a similar bottom around the current $60,000 zone, a 200% rally would place the price at a target of $180,000. A move matching the full 2022-to-2024 recovery would imply even higher levels above $200,000. The present market also has a different background from 2022. Bitcoin now has spot ETFs, deeper institutional involvement, and large corporate holders that are influencing sentiment.  Speaking of ETFs, Spot Bitcoin ETFs have resumed their streak of outflows, which complicates any bottom prediction right now. The technical signal from the RSI is strong, but the Bitcoin price needs demand to turn the signal into a sustained rally. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

Morgan Stanley’s head of digital asset strategy, Amy Oldenberg, said Bitcoin reaching $1 million is possible over time, while cautioning that a move of that scale would likely require either a long adoption cycle or a major dislocation in traditional markets. Speaking with Natalie Brunell on Coin Stories, Oldenberg framed the next phase of Bitcoin adoption less as a sudden “J curve” and more as a gradual institutional buildout, led by product access, adviser education, custody infrastructure and client demand. Her comments come as Morgan Stanley continues expanding its digital asset footprint through its spot ETF, wealth management and e*Trade presence. Morgan Stanley Exec Sees Bitcoin Grinding Higher Oldenberg avoided making a direct price target, but she did address the idea of Bitcoin eventually reaching seven figures. “I don’t see why we couldn’t,” she said, referring to a $1 million Bitcoin. “Of everything I’ve seen in my life I will believe anything that it’s possible.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Capitulation Signal Flashes As $12B Leaves The Network Still, she pushed back against the idea that such a move should be expected quickly or without broader consequences. “Anything that extreme needs to happen over time,” Oldenberg said. “Because if something happens that’s that extreme in my mind it means there was some other extreme event that happened.” That distinction shaped much of her broader outlook. Asked what Bitcoin adoption might look like five or ten years from now, Oldenberg said she expects continued growth through 2030, but not necessarily a vertical repricing. “I don’t think you’re going to see just some incredible J curve that like we hit 2027 and it just totally takes off. I think it’ll be very similar to what we’ve lived through already where you’ve just continued to see more entrants, they get educated, they figure it out, we move up, and we kind of grind higher here.” Her comments reflect the tension now defining institutional Bitcoin: more access, more credibility and more infrastructure, but still a market that has not fully decoupled from risk-asset behavior. Oldenberg noted that Bitcoin continues to confuse some clients because it is often pitched as a real asset or neutral reserve asset, yet has not always traded like gold during periods of macro stress. Adviser Education Remains A Bottleneck Morgan Stanley’s own model portfolio guidance remains measured. Oldenberg said the firm has recommended BTC allocations of 0% to 2% in some portfolios and 2% to 4% in more aggressive ones, depending on the client’s risk profile. But she said adviser adoption continues to lag client interest, largely because the product set and the asset itself still require education. The firm’s recently launched Bitcoin ETP, MSBT, had what Oldenberg described as the best first-day ETF debut in Morgan Stanley’s history. She said the product was designed to bring an institutional construct to the market, launching with a 14 basis point management fee and a custody setup involving Coinbase and BNY. The aim, she said, was to push more traditional financial infrastructure into Bitcoin products rather than simply replicate existing offerings. Related Reading: Bitcoin Back At Production Cost: Analyst Says Best Value Zone Starts Here Oldenberg also highlighted the distinction between owning Bitcoin directly and holding shares of a Bitcoin ETF, a point she said still requires education. “I love the people that tell me like I have exposure to Bitcoin so if something goes wrong, you know, I have Bitcoin,” she said. “I’m like no you don’t have Bitcoin. You have shares of a Bitcoin ETF that offer you price exposure to Bitcoin.” That distinction matters as Morgan Stanley begins offering more services around Bitcoin exposure. Oldenberg said clients who move Bitcoin exposure into an ETP on the wealth platform may be treated as wealth clients and, depending on the size of their holdings, can potentially access lending against the position. She cited a “release rate of 50%” on the Bitcoin ETF, meaning the firm can lend up to half the value of the product. Banks Still Need Better Regulatory Treatment Oldenberg said banks are not avoiding Bitcoin because of hostility toward the asset, but because capital treatment, regulatory obligations and balance sheet efficiency still determine how they allocate resources. For banks to hold Bitcoin directly or use it more broadly as collateral, she said the environment must become more supportive. She also warned that crypto assets are too often grouped together despite serving different purposes. Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana and XRP, she said, should not be treated as interchangeable simply because they sit under the same “crypto” label. At press time, BTC traded at $62,825. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin is showing renewed signs of on-chain capitulation, according to Axel Adler Jr.’s latest Adler AM Bitcoin Morning Brief, as realized capitalization contracts and loss-taking sales dominate market activity. The setup matters because two independent measures: Realized Cap Net Position 30D Change and adjusted SOPR are now pointing to the same stress regime. In the June 10 brief, Adler said Bitcoin’s Realized Cap has declined by roughly $12 billion from its mid-May peak, falling from about $1.087 trillion to $1.075 trillion. The 30-day percentage change in Realized Cap has dropped to -1.1%, marking the first time since mid-March that capital outflows have reached that level. “Capital is leaving the Bitcoin network, and participant behavior confirms a capitulation regime – sales are being made at a loss,” Adler wrote. “This brief examines how close the current stress is to the March extremes and what needs to happen for the regime to change.” Bitcoin Realized Cap Outflows Accelerate Realized Cap measures the aggregate value of Bitcoin based on the price at which each coin last moved, making it a useful proxy for whether capital is entering or leaving the network. In Adler’s framework, the recent move is not just a mild deterioration. The pace of contraction has accelerated sharply. Related Reading: Bitcoin Stablecoin Ratio Drops To Extreme Low—What It Means For BTC As recently as June 1, the Realized Cap Net Position 30D Change stood at -0.15%. By June 8, it had fallen to -1.1%. Over the same period, Bitcoin’s price dropped from $82,000 to $63,000, a 23% decline. Adler compared the current setup with the March capitulation phase, when the same Realized Cap measure fell as low as -2.4%. That leaves room for further stress if outflows continue to deepen, though the current reading is already severe enough to place the market back into a pronounced negative regime. “The current pace of outflows is already comparable to the beginning of the March capitulation, when the indicator reached -2.4%,” the brief noted. “That means there is still room for further deterioration. The first positive signal would be stabilization in the 30D Change near zero, followed by a turn upward.” Loss-Taking Sales Confirm The Stress The second major signal comes from adjusted SOPR, or aSOPR, which tracks whether coins moved on-chain are being sold at a profit or a loss. A reading above 1 indicates profit-taking. A reading below 1 indicates loss realization. According to Adler, Bitcoin’s aSOPR SMA-30 broke below the critical 1.0 threshold on May 28 and has remained below it for 13 consecutive days. The current reading of 0.987 implies that, on average, each coin moved is being sold at a loss of about 1.3%. Related Reading: Bitcoin At A Discount? Coinbase Exec Says Institutions And Govts Are Buying That makes the current decline more than a price correction in Adler’s reading. The structure of selling has shifted. Market participants are not merely distributing gains; they are realizing losses into weakness. “A prolonged period with aSOPR below 1 is a classic marker of weak hands being flushed out,” Adler wrote. “Until aSOPR turns upward and begins to retest 1.0, sellers remain in control.” The significance lies in the alignment between both indicators. Realized Cap shows the macro-level capital drain, while aSOPR explains the internal mechanics of that drain. In Adler’s words, “Both charts describe the same process from different angles. Realized Cap captures the macro picture – capital is leaving the network. aSOPR shows the internal mechanics of that move – the outflow is being driven not by profit-taking, but by forced selling at a loss.” Adler’s brief identifies a clear condition for a regime change: aSOPR needs to reverse upward and reclaim 1.0, while Realized Cap outflows need to stabilize and move back toward zero. Without those two signals, the market remains in what he describes as a capitulationary regime. The risk is that the current outflow cycle intensifies toward the March extreme near -2.4%. Such a move would imply a second wave of capitulation and could keep pressure on Bitcoin’s price. At press time, BTC traded at $61,828. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Luke Gromen says Bitcoin’s failure to break decisively higher may reflect more than weak spot demand, arguing that paper instruments can temporarily absorb buying pressure in the same way derivatives have shaped the gold market for years. Speaking with Nathalie Brunell in a June 6 interview, the macro analyst said he has not materially rebuilt the Bitcoin position he previously reduced. “I nibbled a little bit,” Gromen said, but added that he has “not really bought back in in any real way.” The reason, he suggested, is that Bitcoin’s recent price action may be signaling something important about liquidity, market structure and the political sensitivity of hard-asset signals. Paper Bitcoin And The $58K-$72K Frustration Zone Brunell asked Gromen about his prior remark that Bitcoin could remain stuck in what she described as a “$58K to $72K gang for a while,” and whether BTC and gold prices could be suppressed. Gromen clarified that the comment was partly “tongue-in-cheek,” but said there is a serious mechanism behind the idea. Related Reading: Bitcoin At A Discount? Coinbase Exec Says Institutions And Govts Are Buying “I think the way they would do it is the expansion of derivatives, the way they’ve done it with gold historically,” he said. “I think you can in the long run. I don’t think you can do it with Bitcoin, but to the extent that you can expand derivatives, in the short run they can matter.” Gromen’s argument is not that Bitcoin’s supply can be changed, but that demand can be diverted. A buyer that otherwise would need to purchase spot BTC can instead buy a call option or another synthetic instrument. That still expresses bullish exposure, but it does not necessarily remove coins from the market in the same way self-custodied spot accumulation would. “Somebody wants to own Bitcoin, but they’re not buying Bitcoin. They’re buying a call on Bitcoin,” Gromen said. “If you didn’t have those derivatives there, then if you want to own Bitcoin, you got to own Bitcoin. Now, you can buy a derivative on Bitcoin, and it starts to get sloppier, looser.” For Gromen, that distinction matters most over shorter windows. He argued that policymakers can manage optics “to a lot of things” in the near term, even if they cannot do so indefinitely. Luke Gromen on why Bitcoin might keep stalling around $58k-72K: big players can satisfy demand with paper bets instead of buying real #Bitcoin, which holds the price back. It’s worked on #gold for years, but he doesn’t think it lasts forever with Bitcoin… https://t.co/yPAuJA3dKI pic.twitter.com/CwZ2cGwwW6 — Natalie Brunell ⚡️ (@natbrunell) June 9, 2026 Bitcoin As A Liquidity Smoke Alarm The derivative-suppression thesis sits inside a broader macro framework. Gromen described Bitcoin as “one of, if not the last functioning smoke alarm of liquidity,” and said its recent weakness is “telling us not good things.” In his view, liquidity is being absorbed elsewhere, most visibly by AI-related equities and by energy and commodities after the Iran war. “AI is sucking all the oxygen out of the room, all the liquidity out of the room, and it’s all in one area,” Gromen said. “And I think that’s happening to Bitcoin as well. I think it’s a victim of that as well.” He argued that the equity rally is narrower than headline indices suggest, with AI-linked names carrying much of the move. That makes Bitcoin’s lag more relevant to him: if BTC is a liquidity-sensitive asset and it is not confirming the strength in stocks, the market may be less healthy than the index level implies. Related Reading: Bitcoin Stablecoin Ratio Drops To Extreme Low—What It Means For BTC Gromen linked the issue to the US effort to run the economy hot, weaken the dollar and reshore production. Those forces, he said, should be positive for gold and Bitcoin in a freer market. But they also risk sending an uncomfortable message. “There are elements in the US that don’t want to see that because those things will be communicating to the world, hey, you’re just inflating,” he said. “Hey, you’re just inflating. And that creates some issues on the financing side with the Treasury market.” His base case is not a conventional crash, but a shift in the measuring stick. He expects equities to rise in dollar terms while falling when priced in gold and Bitcoin. In that scenario, hard assets outperform nominal claims, while 10-year Treasury yields remain broadly contained in the 4% to 4.5% area. That is why Gromen does not see any potential suppression of Bitcoin as permanent. Paper markets can delay a move. They can blur the signal. But in his framework, they cannot eliminate the underlying macro pressure. “In the short run, they can manage the optics,” he said. “In the long run, they can’t.” At press time, BTC traded at $60,966. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin is testing a key demand zone after breaking down from a symmetrical triangle, putting the market at a critical turning point. While buyers may attempt to defend this support and trigger a rebound, a failure to hold could open the door to further downside in the near term.  Bearish Triangle Breakdown Sends Bitcoin Toward Key Liquidity Zone Minga highlighted that the market has experienced a bearish breakout from a symmetrical triangle pattern, and the price is trending toward the 50% wick fill region of the previous weekly candle, an area containing significant untested liquidity and a long limit order that was previously front-ran. While he expects this long position to be filled, the risk on this trade is minimal at 0.25%, effectively serving as a risk-free hedge against his existing short position. Related Reading: Bitcoin Trader Says Something Extremely Bad Is Coming Today, Here’s What Minga maintains a bullish bias for the remainder of the month, but he emphasizes that this outlook requires technical confirmation, specifically a bounce from the $60,700 level. Losing this key support likely invites further downside, bringing the $58,900 level into focus. Given that the daily trend is showing clear signs of exhaustion, Minga views the $60,700–$58,900 range as a high-probability zone for a potential recovery. However, the analyst cautions that exhaustion does not inherently guarantee a reversal. Market conditions can often result in a slow, grinding decline as the asset hunts for liquidity on both sides, leading to highly choppy price action. This behavior is historically common near major market turning points. Given that the market is potentially nearing a macro bottom, the possibility of a prolonged, choppy descent cannot be ignored. Should this scenario materialize and the current support zones fail to hold, Minga identifies the $54,500–$49,000 region as the next critical downside target.  $60,800 Remains BTC’s Most Important Battleground According to analyst @wangtuai888, whose track record includes eight consecutive accurate trend predictions, the market is currently hovering at a decisive juncture. As long as the $60,800 support holds, the asset remains within an uptrend. However, should the price break and close a 1-hour solid candle below $60,800, which marks a critical Point of Control (POC) and a vacuum zone, the analyst anticipates a sharp, immediate decline. Related Reading: Bitcoin Testing A Critical Support After Sharp Market-Wide Selloff If the $60,800 support holds, @wangtuai888 expects an initial rebound toward $62,400 to break the previous minor high and shift the local market structure. This would be followed by a pullback to the $61,800 POC, which the analyst identifies as a favorable entry point for long positions. The strategy then pivots toward a tactical shorting opportunity. The analyst intends to initiate a short position near the 63,000 level, noting that even if a stop-loss is triggered, the high reward-to-risk ratio makes this a worthwhile trade.  Ultimately, the analyst emphasizes that this expected rebound should not be mistaken for a full market reversal. The broader direction remains firmly in a downtrend, and the ultimate price target for this bearish cycle is $55,500. Featured image from Pngtree, chart from Tradingview.com

The Bitcoin price could be on track to reach $200,000 within the next one to two years, according to crypto analyst @CryptoTice_. Backed by a long-term cycle chart, the analyst argues that Bitcoin is once again moving through a familiar historical pattern, placing the current phase in what he describes as a key accumulation zone ahead of a potential major rally. Bitcoin Price Path Points To 2027 Target The chart maps Bitcoin’s previous market cycles and outlines a potential path toward $200,000. Based on this projection, the target could be reached within 12 to 24 months from June 2026, placing it between mid-2027 and mid-2028, with 2027 appearing as the more probable timeframe. Related Reading: Analyst Charts Ethereum Long-Term Roadmap To $16,000 – There’s No Need To Panic To support this view, the analyst compares Bitcoin’s current setup with the cycle lows recorded in 2019 and 2022, both marked as “buy zones” that were followed by major rallies. The 2019 bottom preceded a climb to roughly $69,000, while the 2022 low eventually led to a surge toward $126,000. The analyst believes the latest correction fits the same pattern. After falling from around $126,000, Bitcoin rebounded near the $60,000 region, creating what he identifies as another accumulation zone. From there, the projection points to a recovery that ultimately pushes the Bitcoin price toward $200,000. The consistency of this structure forms the foundation of the forecast. In each cycle, Bitcoin experiences a sharp correction, spends time consolidating, and then enters a strong expansion phase. Although the percentage gains have become smaller with each cycle, the broader upward trend remains intact. Why The Crypto Analyst Sees A Rare Opportunity That historical pattern is also why @CryptoTice_ argues that the current market environment may offer a significant opportunity. According to the analyst, previous cycle bottoms were formed during periods of widespread uncertainty, before sentiment eventually shifted and prices moved higher. The chart reflects this view by projecting a gain of roughly 230% from the 2026 buy zone to the $200,000 target. While substantial, that increase is far below the explosive returns seen in Bitcoin’s earlier years, reflecting how the asset’s growth has gradually moderated as the market has matured and attracted greater institutional participation. Related Reading: Not $60,000: Analyst Reveals The Best Time To Actually Start Buying Bitcoin The forecast comes at a time when investors remain divided over Bitcoin’s next move. Some continue to focus on macroeconomic conditions, interest-rate expectations, and regulatory developments, while others see the recent pullback as another cycle correction that could eventually lead to new highs. For the crypto analyst, the most important factor is timing. His model suggests that the current phase may represent the final stage of accumulation before the next major advance begins. If Bitcoin continues to follow the structure shown in the chart, the path to $200,000 could unfold over the next 12 to 24 months, making 2027 a year worth watching closely. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

Crypto analyst Crypto Lens has predicted that the Bitcoin price could rally to a new all-time high (ATH) of $150,000. This came as he outlined four scenarios that will build toward this rally to a new ATH by next year.  Bitcoin Price To Still Rally To $150,000 Amid These Four Scenarios In an X post, Crypto Lens predicted that the Bitcoin price would rally to $150,000 by February next year. This came as he noted that BTC is now hovering at the exact level where every bull trap ends. The analyst stated that next week, another bearish rejection will send BTC back to $43,000. The rally to $150,000 and drop to $43,000 is notably among the scenarios he outlined for BTC.  Related Reading: This Bitcoin Chart Shows What To Expect For The Next 3 Months After Major Decision Point In the first scenario, Crypto Lens predicted the Bitcoin price would drop to $48,000 within a few days. This will be followed by a drop to $43,000 in July, which is the second scenario. In the third scenario, the analyst predicts that BTC will fall to $32,000 by September. He described this level as the buy zone, signaling that the leading crypto is likely to bottom around here in this bear cycle.  Meanwhile, under the fourth scenario, Crypto Lens predicts that the Bitcoin price will rally to $150,000 by February as a new bull run begins. In another X post, the analyst said that the bear market is 53% done and that BTC has entered the final stage of the 2026 bear market. He also signaled that the cycle bottom will likely happen between August and September, with BTC falling to as low as $32,000.  BTC Bottom Likely To Form In The Fourth Quarter In an X post, crypto analyst Colin said that a Q4 bottom for the Bitcoin price is even more likely now that BTC did not have a strong dip immediately. The analyst was referring to market expert Benjamin Cowen’s assessment, in which he noted that BTC closed the week above the 200W SMA after sweeping the February low of $60,000.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Crash Says Liquidity Is Dying As May Job Report Comes Back With Staggering Numbers Colin stated that, based on this Bitcoin price action, BTC is likely to bounce for 1 to 3 months and then drop to a new low in the fourth quarter. As such, Q4 has high odds of being the cycle bottom, with a lower low. However, he added that if the Bitcoin price suddenly breaks below the 200-week MA in the coming week or two, then it is likely to form the bottom on this move down.  At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $61,200, down over 3% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin has been forming a pattern for years now, and even with the uncertain price movements, this pattern has now finally be completed. This was explained by crypto analyst Bitcoin Teddy on the X social media platform, showing this pattern, how it was formed, and what the implications are for this formation on the Bitcoin price. The Mid-Year Cup And Handle Pattern That Was Years In The Making In the post, the crypto analyst pointed out that the Bitcoin price has completed a Cup and Handle pattern formation. Unlike some Cup And Handle patterns that are formed in a relatively short time, the analyst says this one has actually been forming for years, and now it’s finally ready to play out. Related Reading: Dogecoin Could Rally 300x And Cross $20, Analyst Claims This pattern was completed with the most recent Bitcoin retest of the $60,000 support. This support was broken briefly, but the price quickly recovered. What this suggests is the formation of the handle part of the pattern after the cup was completed over the years. To put this in perspective, the crypto analyst explained that three things needed to happen. These include the breakout, the retest, and a structure confirmation. The breakout was completed when the price recovered. Then, when the price crashed below $60,000, the retest was done. Now, the confirmation is in place as the Bitcoin price has begun to move upward again. What comes next is even more important since the completion of a Cup and Handle pattern has historically been a precursor to a bull trend. Related Reading: XRP Pundit Says Pay Attention To This Pattern That Everyone Is Missing As the analyst explains, the resulting price surge will not be something like a 20% breakout or so. Historically, a breakout from this pattern would see the price rise multiples of where it was when the pattern was finally confirmed. In this case, the resulting breakout is expected to send the Bitcoin price to new all-time highs. The minimum target placed with the analysis puts the top of this trend at $220,000, which would mean an almost 300% move from where the Bitcoin price is currently trading. What this means is that $220,000 could only be the start of this move if the momentum builds much higher than expected. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

Technical analysis of Bitcoin’s price action on the daily candlestick timeframe places the cryptocurrency around the same resistance region where previous relief rallies have failed, turning the current price area into a major decision point for the next phase of the market. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $62,950, and bulls are trying to stabilize above $60,000 after a recent few days of heavy selling pressure. On-chain analyst VoidOnChain has laid out a precise roadmap that maps the path from current price action, but the roadmap does not promise an immediate recovery. Bitcoin Returns To The Zone Where Relief Rallies Keep Failing The Bitcoin daily chart reveals a pattern of diminishing relief rallies, each one failing at a lower high. Looking at the earlier structure on the chart below, BTC moved through an ascending channel, pushed into a sell zone in late 2025, and then broke down.  Related Reading: Has The Bitcoin Price Crash Ended Or Is This Just The Beginning? Analyst Answers The current setup shows a similar sequence, with Bitcoin already rejected from the bull trap level around $82,000 in May 2026 before sliding into the lower range. Since then, Bitcoin has been trending downwards and has broken the lower trendline of the channel.  Daily candlesticks since the breakdown have been fully bearish engulfing, and this has caused the Bitcoin price to approach a buy zone below $50,000 that acted as a buy zone in 2023. Interestingly, the roadmap laid out in the chart, as shown below, begins with Bitcoin breaking below $60,000 before a move to the buy zone around $53,000 and then $47,000. What To Expect For The Next Three Months The analyst’s near-term outlook carries a specific sequence: $60,000 as an immediate target, $53,000 as the next key level expected as early as next week, and a deeper flush to $47,000 by July that establishes the ultimate low. This move corresponds to a C wave on the chart, the same as the C wave that played out from January to early February 2026. Related Reading: Here’s Why The Bitcoin Price Is Crashing And What To Expect Next Once the corrective structure completes, VoidOnChain’s roadmap projects a recovery to $87,000 initially, followed by an extension to $151,000 by January 2027.  The Bitcoin market is currently split between fear and buying by some savvy traders. Bears controlled the market over the weekend, but selling pressure has started to ease during the week.  Strategy also added to the accumulation narrative after announcing a $101.3 million Bitcoin purchase between June 1 and June 7, acquiring 1,550 BTC at an average price of $65,333. The purchase helped calm some concerns that followed Strategy’s earlier Bitcoin sale, which had weighed on market sentiment. Still, many crypto analysts believe Bitcoin has yet to deliver a clear bullish confirmation, and Bitcoin might undergo another crash to an accumulation zone. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin’s latest upward move has sparked debate among market participants, and some believe the rally may have little to do with the purchase announcement that received the most attention. While the acquisition is generally viewed as constructive for the broader market, it is not necessarily the type of development that would justify a significant upward move in Bitcoin price. Why The Latest Purchase May Not Be Driving Bitcoin Rally The Bitcoin’s recent move higher is being misinterpreted as a direct reaction to purchase news, when in reality the drivers appear to be more technical in nature. Crypto analyst Aylo has explained on X that the BTC bounce is likely the result of an oversold market finding relief after sweeping key February lows. Related Reading: Bitcoin Supply In Loss Crosses Critical Threshold — Bullish Reversal Next? Another factor supporting the move higher is the easing of concerns surrounding Strategy and its Bitcoin holdings. The company’s recent sale of a relatively small 32 BTC sparked fears that it could become a larger seller in the future. Aylo suggests that while the current low may hold in the near term, it remains plausible that BTC could form a slightly lower low in June before a rally, particularly if the broader equity markets experience further weakness. Any deeper stock market shakeout could temporarily drag the price lower before a more sustained recovery begins. This level will be temporary before Bitcoin sees a low later in the year. Furthermore, the fear that Michael Saylor and Strategy may be forced to liquidate a significant portion of their BTC holdings is likely overstated. The company may need to sell limited amounts to meet specific obligations, but the narrative that a major liquidation event from their supply will be driven more by bearish sentiment. What The Recent Breakdown Could Mean For The Market Bitcoin’s recent price action appears to be following a market structure that has played out before during previous corrective phases. A crypto trader known as Max Trades pointed out that roughly a month ago, BTC was entering a distribution phase of this pattern, and the outlook has since played out with notable accuracy. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Market Structure Reflects The Influence Of Major Investors In this bear market, BTC first formed an accumulation range, where price consolidated before breaking higher and sweeping out the liquidity above the previous highs. However, instead of continuing its upward trajectory, the asset price has transitioned into distribution. Since then, BTC has experienced a significant decline, falling more than 20% from its previous highs. According to Max Trades, what makes the current setup particularly noteworthy is the comparison to a previous distribution phase that ultimately resulted in substantially deeper downside after the initial breakdown. If the current structure continues to mirror that historical pattern, it could imply that the recent decline is not yet complete. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Crypto analyst Ardi has drawn attention to an interesting dynamic amid the Bitcoin price bounce from a recent low of around $59,000. Based on his analysis, the BTC bottom has likely not formed, with the leading crypto set to fall to new lows.  Analyst Explains What Is Going on Amid Bitcoin Price Bounce In an X post, Ardi said that one of the more interesting developments during this distribution range has been the disconnect between retail and larger market participants. He noted that retail has spent months buying every dip as the Bitcoin price declines, thinking that those declines were likely the bottom being handed on a “silver platter.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Trader Says Something Extremely Bad Is Coming Today, Here’s What While retail investors have been buying the dip, mid-sized and institutional participants have spent the same period selling into every bounce. Ardi noted that people with the least capital are absorbing supply from those with the most. He declared that this is not usually how major bottoms are built in bear cycles, suggesting that the bottom is not yet in.  Ardi further remarked that institutional-sized traders do not need retail participation to form a bottom for the Bitcoin price. He added that major bottoms are, in fact, formed after retail finally gives up. However, that is not the case at the moment as retail conviction remains high while larger investors are reducing their exposure. The analyst said that it is hard to argue that true capitulation has occurred until the dynamics change.  The Bitcoin ETFs have largely contributed to the latest Bitcoin price crash, with these funds seeing record net outflows over the last month. These ETFs have also seen outflows in 15 out of the last 16 trading days, a development that has significantly put downward pressure on the BTC price.  BTC About To Reach A Market Bottom In an X post, crypto analyst Ali Martinez said that the Bitcoin price is about to reach a market bottom. He cited technical and on-chain metrics that signal that a major macro accumulation cycle is starting. The analyst noted that the recent pullback has successfully flushed out overleveraged premiums across the board and that this move was accelerated by long-term holders who distributed over $3.25 billion in spot BTC.  Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Crash Has Broken Below A 4-Month Support, But There’s Still One More Play Left With the Bitcoin price declining to $59,000, Martinez revealed that over 10.46 million BTC is currently held at a loss. He noted that historically, every time the supply-in-loss metric crosses the extreme 10 million threshold, it has accurately timed macro bottoms. The analyst also pointed to the 1.0 to 0.8 MVRV bands, which suggest that BTC could bottom between $53,900 and $43,150. At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $63,200, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin’s crash over the weekend has brought the $60,000 level back into the market conversation, but crypto analyst Merlijn The Trader believes the real opportunity may come at a lower price. Technical analysis comparing the current Bitcoin structure with the 2022 Wyckoff accumulation phase shows that buying the current bounce would be a costly mistake because the real accumulation window has not even opened yet. Bitcoin’s Wyckoff Setup Points Below $60,000 To understand where Merlijn The Trader believes Bitcoin is headed, it helps to understand where it has been. Merlijn’s analysis is built around the Wyckoff accumulation model, using Bitcoin’s 2022 bottoming structure as the reference point.  Back in that cycle, Bitcoin formed a spring around $15,500, recovered into the $23,000 region, where eager buyers rushed in, believing the worst was over. However, it was not. The price action then delivered a secondary wave of selling that crushed late buyers before the genuine markup phase began. Related Reading: Analyst Charts Ethereum Long-Term Roadmap To $16,000 – There’s No Need To Panic The analyst believes the 2026 structure is developing in a similar way. His chart shows Bitcoin currently trading around the same stage where the market previously moved through a sign of strength, lost momentum, and later dropped into the spring phase. The important message is that any bounce from the current region may not be the point where traders should become aggressive on their buying. Another important message from the analysis is that the $60,000 level may be misleading. Bitcoin fell below that level during the recent selloff, and it is important as a support because it is close to the 200-week moving average. Bitcoin Price Chart. Source: @MerlijnTrader On X The DCA Zone That Could Matter Most The Wyckoff setup by Merlijn identifies five phases: Phase A stops the downtrend via a selling climax, Phase B builds the cause as institutions accumulate within the range, Phase C delivers the spring, which is a final shakeout below support, Phase D marks up within the range with a last point of support and a sign of strength, and Phase E is the breakout and uptrend.  Related Reading: Bad News For Bitcoin: Historical Lows Show The Bottom Actually Lies Below $30,000 Merlijn’s chart places Bitcoin inside this structure in 2026, with the Spring phase still ahead. The analyst’s projection is that a Spring to $50,000 is incoming, followed by a bounce rally to the $65,000-$70,000 range. That bounce, he warns, will once again lure in bulls who will buy into what appears to be a recovery, the same trap that caught investors in 2023. Merlijn places Bitcoin’s dollar-cost averaging zone between $48,000 and $59,000. This range is the part of the chart where he expects the better long-term entries to appear. Therefore patience is required, and the conclusion is that the best time to begin buying Bitcoin may come when fear is strongest inside the $48,000 to $59,000 range, not when it produces its first bounce back above $70,000.  At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $62,891.

Coinbase’s head of institutional strategy, John D’Agostino, says large investors are not retreating from Bitcoin’s latest selloff, even after the asset fell below $60,000 for the first time since October 2024. Speaking on CNBC’s Squawk Box on June 8, D’Agostino said institutional investors, family offices and sovereign-linked buyers are treating the drawdown as an opportunity to accumulate rather than a reason to exit. The remarks came during a discussion about whether Bitcoin’s decline toward the $59,000 area could hold as support, with CNBC’s Joe Kernen noting concerns that a deeper break could open the door to a much larger move lower. D’Agostino declined to make a direct price call, saying he does not want to offer investment advice, but pointed to the behavior of long-term allocators he speaks with through Coinbase’s institutional business. “What I can tell you is I have the luxury of speaking to institutional investors. They’ve put months and years into looking at this asset class. So when they do that and it’s cheaper, they like it,” D’Agostino said. He added that some investors have defined price targets, while others are focused on long-term accumulation. According to D’Agostino, recent conversations in the Middle East suggest that major buyers are comfortable with the decline. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Worst Week Of 2026 Is Happening Right Now — QCP Explains Why The Bottom Isn’t In Yet “I just got off a plane from the Middle East. And I can tell you that the family offices in the UAE and the government and sovereign funds that I’m putting the effort into buying this asset class are not unhappy at being able to buy it at a discount.” Coinbase Exec Points To Stronger Bitcoin Infrastructure D’Agostino’s core argument was not that Bitcoin’s price had necessarily found a floor, but that the institutional market around the asset is materially stronger than in prior drawdowns. He said Coinbase is seeing the “institutional piping” that supports Bitcoin and other crypto assets continue to develop through both bullish and bearish market environments. Compared with previous CNBC appearances during stronger price conditions, he said the market now has a “shockingly stronger level of infrastructure.” That infrastructure, he argued, is what many institutional investors are focused on when assessing whether Bitcoin is becoming a more durable long-term allocation. He also pointed to spot ETFs as evidence that retail and institutional demand has not collapsed alongside price. D’Agostino said there is still roughly $100 billion of Bitcoin ETF exposure, describing the products as “very, very new.” Despite Bitcoin being down almost 50% from its peak, he said retail interest has seen only about a 15% drawdown. “So I think both retail and institutional are signaling this is a long term asset you want to hold,” he said. Macro Pressure, Leverage And Market Structure Asked to explain the selloff, D’Agostino said Kernen had identified the main consensus factors: risk-off positioning, investors selling liquid assets to fund other opportunities, higher-for-longer interest rates, weaker support for the debasement trade and uncertainty around regulatory clarity. He did not frame those pressures as irrelevant, but argued that volatility is a feature of long-duration commodity-like assets. Related Reading: Bitcoin Crash To $30,000? China Mining Giant Says Strategy Can Survive “Volatility is a funny thing, right? If I told you a year ago, we’d be 100 days into a war with Iran with the Strait of Hormuz being closed and no clear sight of line to it being open. Would you think that crude would still be trading under 100 bucks a barrel?” D’Agostino said. He said his background leads him to think of Bitcoin as a commodity-style asset, where volatility can come and go while long-term demand remains intact. He also pointed to pending policy work in Washington, saying that market structure and tax reform may be unexciting topics but could be important for institutional adoption. “We have seven bills circulating that will do great things for the institutional piping that supports Bitcoin and other crypto assets,” he said. On leverage, D’Agostino said he is not aware of any large institutional Bitcoin holders that are “horrifically over levered” at levels close enough to create a specific forced-selling threshold. He contrasted that with retail traders on offshore exchanges, where extreme leverage can result in rapid liquidations during liquidity shocks. “For some of the larger entities that hold Bitcoin with leverage, they seem to have an endless ability to go into the market and bring in more capital to support their buying activities,” he said. D’Agostino closed by saying he is not seeing institutional panic. Instead, he said large allocators are evaluating the cheapest ways to raise new capital and increase exposure to an asset they “loved at $125k,” “liked at $100k” and “love even more at $65k.” At press time, BTC traded at $63,345. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Jiang Zhuoer, CEO of BTCTOP and one of China’s best-known Bitcoin mining figures, pushed back against fears that Strategy could become a major forced seller of BTC, arguing that the company’s balance-sheet risk remains manageable even under a severe Bitcoin drawdown. In a post on X, Jiang said he does not believe MicroStrategy, now Strategy, will “substantially net sell BTC,” pointing to a group discussion he shared on the company’s liabilities, STRC interest payments, funding structure and market concerns. The comments come as investors debate whether Strategy’s Bitcoin-backed capital markets model could come under pressure if BTC weakens further or if demand for STRC remains fragile. Bitcoin Panic Over Strategy Overblown? At the center of Jiang’s argument is the distinction between selling some Bitcoin and becoming a net seller of Bitcoin. He argued that a limited sale of older, low-cost BTC could be used to demonstrate realized investment gains, support STRC-related payments and reassure traditional investors without changing the broader accumulation strategy. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s “Electrical Cost” Suggests Possible Bear Market Floor Near $50,000 — Analyst “MicroStrategy will not significantly net-sell its coins,” the translated group discussion stated. “He already explained the reason for the last coin sale in an interview. He wanted to sell STRC.” According to the discussion, Strategy’s logic rests on the assumption that Bitcoin’s long-term appreciation can support the cost of STRC funding. The message attributed the thesis to a calculation that BTC can compound at around 30% annually, while using roughly 10% to pay interest would still leave sufficient room for the strategy to work. The concern, however, is not simply whether Strategy owns enough Bitcoin. It is whether the firm’s financing structure looks credible to traditional investors. The discussion framed the market’s core worry bluntly: if later STRC proceeds are used to pay earlier STRC interest, critics could view the model as resembling a Ponzi-like funding loop. That is why, in Jiang’s view, selective Bitcoin sales may be necessary rather than alarming. Selling some of the earliest and cheapest BTC would allow Strategy to show accounting gains. Those gains could then be used to pay STRC interest, while newly raised STRC proceeds are deployed into additional Bitcoin purchases. If the new BTC purchases are several times larger than the old BTC sold, Jiang argued, Strategy remains a net buyer. “So MicroStrategy has to sell some of the earliest and cheapest Bitcoin it bought,” the translated discussion said. “That way, accounting-wise, it can show investment gains. Then using the investment gains from selling Bitcoin to pay STRC interest becomes completely reasonable.” Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Great Wealth Transfer May Fuel Next Rally, Says CryptoQuant CEO Jiang also pushed back against fears that Strategy’s liabilities could spiral if STRC trades below par. He said the current debt-to-asset ratio is only about 5%, and characterized STRC’s discount as a short-term market sentiment issue rather than a sign of insolvency risk. In the worst case, he argued, several months of continued payments could restore confidence in the instrument. The discussion used a real estate analogy to explain the point. If a borrower owns $10 billion of houses and has borrowed $500 million, lenders may still worry if the borrower insists the houses can never be sold. But if the borrower shows willingness to sell one house to cover interest, the risk profile changes. “After all, I have 10 billion worth of houses, and I only borrowed 500 million,” the translated message said. “As long as I’m willing to sell houses, there absolutely won’t be a situation where I can’t repay 500 million. That is why MicroStrategy has to start selling coins: to borrow more money and buy more coins.” Jiang’s argument also distinguishes STRC holders from Bitcoin holders. In his view, STRC buyers are not primarily betting on BTC upside; they care whether Strategy is willing and able to pay dividends. If the company shows that it can monetize BTC when needed, that may reduce the biggest concern among STRC investors. At press time, BTC traded at $63,468. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Monday’s Bitcoin (BTC) rebound—pushing back above the $63,00 area—has revived a major question: was last Friday’s drop to $59,000 the bottom for BTC?  Seeking to answer that, market analyst Ali Martinez released a new technical note on X (formerly Twitter), arguing that Bitcoin appears poised to reach a market bottom while a “major macro accumulation cycle” begins to form. Why The Sell-off Could Signal A Bottom In Martinez’s view, BTC’s decline to its lowest level since 2024 served as an important cleansing function for the market—effectively shaking out “overleveraged premiums” across the board.  That type of flush, Martinez argues, is often what makes bottoms possible: it removes leverage stress and forces late and speculative positions to unwind. Related Reading: Bitcoin Recovery Needs This To Happen, Glassnode Analyst Reveals A central part of his explanation is the role of long-term holders. Martinez claims that long-term investors distributed more than $3.25 billion worth of spot Bitcoin during the downswing.  He says this distributed supply temporarily raised exchange reserves, which can translate into increased potential selling pressure as coins move closer to trading venues.  Supporting that point, Martinez also cites data indicating that over 54,000 BTC have moved onto trading platforms over the past two weeks, which he frames as a further contributor to the selling dynamic. Next Bitcoin Targets Even with Monday’s recovery, Martinez emphasizes what happened at the downside. He points out that following the move down to $59,000, more than 10.46 million BTC are currently held at a loss.  In his technical framework, that’s a key threshold to watch. Martinez notes that historically, when the “supply-in-loss” metric crosses the extreme 10 million BTC level, it has helped time macro bottoms with notable accuracy. From there, Martinez turns to the MVRV Pricing Bands, which he describes as offering “geometric targets” for where Bitcoin accumulation windows tend to mature.  Related Reading: Dogecoin Will ‘Pump Hard’ After This Happens, Analyst Clocks Generational Entry According to his post, the most reliable accumulation periods historically occur when Bitcoin settles within the 1.0 to 0.8 MVRV bands. Martinez says those bands align with two specific target areas: approximately $53,900 and $43,150.  In other words, if the bottom is indeed approaching or forming now, he suggests the market may gravitate toward those zones as the next stages in a broader consolidation-and-accumulation process. Featured image created with OpenArt; chart from TradingView.com 

Following Bitcoin’s rebound from last week’s dip below $59,000, the market is now weighing whether the recent price crash has finally run its course or if a deeper correction is still ahead. While the recovery has provided some relief across the crypto market, analysts warn that Bitcoin remains in a fragile position as weak demand, cautious investor sentiment, and broader market uncertainty continue to weigh on the price action. According to market experts, Bitcoin’s outlook remains largely bearish despite the short-term bounce. However, analysts also point to a potential silver lining in the current downturn that may benefit long-term investors.  Bitcoin Price Set For Massive Crash This Summer Crypto market expert Aralez has issued a fresh bearish forecast for Bitcoin, suggesting that the ongoing downtrend has not yet ended. In an X post on June 6, the analyst said Bitcoin’s decline has just begun, indicating that the recent drop below $60,000 was only the early stage of the bear market. Related Reading: Analyst Who Predicted the Bitcoin Crash Says Price Could Reach $40,000, Here’s When Aralez noted that since May 2026, he has consistently predicted a decline below $60,000, believing that Bitcoin would eventually take out local lows as bearish pressure mounts. As he forecasted, the $60,000 to $63,000 BTC price range has now been decisively lost. With this key support broken, the analyst warned that the next downside move could be really aggressive. Using a detailed chart to support his outlook, Aralez outlined a bearish roadmap for Bitcoin’s price this summer. The chart shows that Bitcoin traded within an ascending channel between April and May but ultimately broke below the lower boundary, triggering a prolonged downtrend through late May and early June. Notably, Aralez projected that Bitcoin’s next move will likely be a short-term bounce toward the $71,000 support zone. After Bitcoin retests this zone, he said a major distribution phase is likely to begin. During this stage, the cryptocurrency could see an impulsive sell-off toward $46,000 to $48,000, representing a 25% to 28% drop from current levels above $62,000. Aralez noted that a decline to this lower range will lead to a slow bottom formation, officially resetting the broader market cycle. He cautioned investors not to assume that the bottom is already in, emphasizing that current market data and conditions suggest otherwise. The analyst also confirmed that Bitcoin’s bear market is still ongoing. He urged investors and traders to prepare ahead and avoid major mistakes now more than ever.  Analyst Sees Accumulation Before Next Bitcoin Rally In his X post, Aralez outlined a silver lining to his bearish outlook, noting that once Bitcoin reaches a bottom, a significant accumulation phase is likely to follow. He said this stage could present a strong long-term opportunity for investors, as valuations stabilize and selling pressure gradually fades. Related Reading: Analyst Predicts When Bitcoin Price Will Reach $100,000 In 2026 Based on historical price movements, an accumulation phase after a cycle bottom often sets the foundation for the next major trend reversal. Building on this, Aralez noted that after the accumulation phase, an explosive expansion could follow. This would signal a return of strong bullish momentum, with prices potentially accelerating sharply while investors who had bought at the bottom could see major gains. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com

Despite growing optimism that Bitcoin has reached a cycle low, historical cycles suggest another leg down could still be ahead. While rising institutional involvement may reduce the severity of the downturn, a chart shared by a top crypto analyst suggests the cryptocurrency could still be headed for a bottom below $30,000 before a sustained recovery begins.  Bitcoin Cycle Pattern Points To Possible Deeper Low The analyst explains that Bitcoin has followed a repeating pattern across major market cycles, where strong rallies are followed by very deep price declines. In previous cycles, Bitcoin fell about 83.90% after the 2017 peak and about 77.91% after the 2021 peak. These past moves are used as a guide for understanding the current market structure. Related Reading: Analyst Calls Out Stagnant Logic Being Used On XRP, Predicts When Price Will Rally To $300 In the present cycle, Bitcoin climbed above $120,000 during the 2025 bull run before entering a decline. At the time of the analysis, the price was in the low-$60,000 range. The main point being made is that if Bitcoin were to fall by a similar percentage as in earlier cycles, the final bottom could be much lower than current levels. A similar type of decline, around 78.92%, would place a potential low below $30,000. This is not presented as a prediction, but as a possible outcome if the market follows its historical pattern. The analyst also highlights that Bitcoin tends to move within a long-term upward channel, with past bear-market lows forming near the lower edge of that range. Based on this structure, the argument suggests that the market may still be in the middle of its correction phase, and a deeper drop is still possible before a final bottom is reached. Institutions Change The Equation Yet the analyst does not believe history will repeat perfectly. While the chart illustrates that past cycles often erased close to 80% of value from their highs, he argues that the market structure has evolved. Unlike earlier cycles, the current environment includes substantial institutional participation. Large investment firms, exchange-traded funds, and corporate treasury allocations have introduced new sources of demand that were largely absent during the 2018 and 2022 bear markets. From the analyst’s perspective, that growing institutional presence should gradually reduce volatility. Related Reading: Pundit Says Dogecoin Is About To Do Something Insane, Here’s What For that reason, the analyst expects the eventual drawdown to be closer to 50%–60% rather than the historical average near 80%. Based on that framework, a bottom of around $52,000 becomes the preferred target rather than a collapse below $30,000. The outlook also includes a bold forecast that October could mark the beginning of a new bull market. For now, the chart presents two competing possibilities. Historical cycle behavior suggests a destination below $30,000, while the analyst’s adjusted model points to a shallower decline near $52,000. The gap between those outcomes highlights the question dominating Bitcoin’s market today: will institutional capital rewrite the rules, or will history have the final word? Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

Over the weekend, the Bitcoin price suffered a major crash, moving below $60,000 for the first time in this cycle. In contrast, there has been some recovery, with the price moving above $62,000 on Sunday, as investors moved back into the market. However, this recovery seems to only be a stop-gap for now because, according to one analyst, there is something bad coming Bitcoin’s way and it’s going to happen today. Is A Black Monday In The Cards? Analyst WhaleTwits on the X (formerly Twitter) platform has sounded the alarm for what could be a Monday to remember for Bitcoin. This comes after the crash toward $59,000 last week as the market moved into the bearish territory once again, suggesting that the worst is not over. Related Reading: Dogecoin Could Rally 300x And Cross $20, Analyst Claims According to the crypto analyst, something bad is expected to happen to Bitcoin on Monday, which is today. However, this does not seem to be ‘bad’ in the sense that everyone expects. Instead, the crypto analyst is warning investors from panicking during this time. WhaleTwits explains that large investors and institutions are actually using this time during which investors are panicking to load up on their bags. If this is the case, it means that they are actually expecting the Bitcoin price to bottom soon and start recovering again. Could Bitcoin Stage A Repeat Of Silver’s Run? Talking about how high the Bitcoin price could climb, the analyst points out the Silver performance over the last year. Silver had seen an historical 600% run that left the market in awe, despite its large market cap. Pointing to this, the analyst suggests that the Bitcoin rally could be even more notable. Related Reading: XRP Pundit Says Pay Attention To This Pattern That Everyone Is Missing The chart shared with the post suggests that the Bitcoin price will bottom above $50,000. Once this bottom is confirmed, then the crypto analyst expects the pioneer cryptocurrency to see what they refer to as a “Parabolic Mark-Up.” The upper end of this trend puts the Bitcoin price at almost $500,000 before hitting a top. As for the timeframe, the chart shows that this will play out between 2026 and 2028, giving a 2-year timeframe for Bitcoin to complete what would no doubt be a historical move. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

After days of steep downward movement, the price of Bitcoin appears to have found a somewhat reliable anchor around the $60,000 region. However, recent on-chain data suggests that the premier cryptocurrency might not be down for long, with a bullish reversal seemingly on the cards. Is BTC Price Bottom Already Forming? In a June 7th post on the X platform, crypto analyst Ali Martinez revealed that the price of Bitcoin might have just reached a major bottom in this cycle. This evaluation is based on changes in the Bitcoin Supply In Loss metric, which measures the amount of BTC in circulation that was last moved at a price above the current market value. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Plunges To $59K, Sparking Fears Of Deeper Decline This on-chain metric provides insight into how much pressure investors are under (or how deeply underwater they are) as they hold their Bitcoin at an unrealized loss. Hence, the Supply In Loss indicator, near unprecedented levels, is a signal of systemic fear and an impending shift in Bitcoin market dynamics. Martinez noted that the flagship cryptocurrency formed major cycle bottoms in the past when more than 10 million BTC were held at a loss. According to Glassnode data highlighted by the analyst, Bitcoin has breached this threshold, with 10.46 million coins (more than half of the circulating supply) underwater. As observed in the chart above, the Bitcoin price saw a bullish reversal in late 2018, as the supply in loss crossed this 10 million threshold. A similar pattern could be seen for BTC’s price when its Supply In Loss climbed to this mark around 2022. Martinez explained: I believe this is an important signal because selling pressure often begins to fade as fewer investors are willing to realize losses, increasing the probability of a market bottom forming. Based strictly on historical context and patterns, there is a high likelihood that a price bottom is forming for BTC at current levels. However, an important factor to discount is that the Bitcoin circulating supply was markedly lower in both periods (around 17.4 million and 19.2 million towards the end of 2018 and 2022, respectively). Lower circulating supply could mean the Supply In Loss might edge slightly higher this time, suggesting the BTC price could see further downside. This was evident in 2015 (when the circulating supply was much lower), when the Supply In Loss didn’t reach the 10 million threshold before a bullish reversal. Bitcoin Price At A Glance As of this writing, the price of BTC stands at around $62,746, reflecting a 2.5% jump in the past 24 hours. Related Reading: Ethereum Breakdown Warning: This Key Level Could Trigger More Downtrend Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin is facing a pivotal moment after a sharp market-wide selloff dragged prices toward a major support level. As bearish momentum begins to slow and signs of buyer interest emerge, the coming days could reveal whether this zone becomes the foundation for a rebound or the gateway to a deeper correction.  Bitcoin Loses Previous Monthly Low As June Begins Analyzing Bitcoin’s outlook for June, Lennaert Snyder observed that BTC started the month by breaking below the previous month’s low, a development that has weakened the near-term technical picture. In his view, this early loss of support makes a move toward the prior monthly high near $82,800 significantly less likely. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Market Structure Reflects The Influence Of Major Investors The analyst explained that monthly clearout candles are relatively rare occurrences, reducing the probability of Bitcoin reclaiming higher levels in the short term. Attention is now shifting toward a major support zone that could influence market direction throughout the remainder of the month. Snyder also noted that the recent selloff left behind considerable liquidity, creating an environment where prices could become increasingly volatile. As Bitcoin trades within this broader support range, he expects periods of consolidation and choppy price action, along with occasional relief rallies. Moving forward, the analyst intends to closely track price behavior for potential intraday opportunities and liquidity-driven setups. He added that another sharp downside sweep could trigger additional long liquidations, generating fresh trading opportunities. BTC Faces Its Biggest Test Yet At $60,000 Kamile Uray noted that Bitcoin suffered a sharp decline alongside the broader financial markets, bringing the cryptocurrency back to the closely watched $60,000 level. The analyst emphasized that this area has long been considered a major support zone, and a stronger buyer response here could spark a corrective rebound following the recent selloff. Related Reading: Bitcoin Recovery Rally Or Bull Trap? These Key Levels Hold The Answer Uray also pointed out that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains in oversold territory on both the daily and 4-hour timeframes. Such conditions indicate that bearish momentum may be weakening, increasing the possibility of a short-term recovery. According to the analyst, the formation of candles with long lower wicks would be an encouraging sign that demand is emerging at current levels. In the event of a rebound, the first resistance to watch sits around $67,500, followed by the more significant $74,000–$75,000 zone. However, Uray cautioned that the risk of further downside will remain until Bitcoin can establish sustained strength above $74,569. Currently, the $60,000 level remains the key line of defense for the bulls. A decisive break below this support could expose Bitcoin to a deeper decline toward the $55,000–$50,000 region. On the upside, if momentum continues to improve, key resistance levels are at $74,569, $82,885, $98,000, and the $107,000–$109,000 area, with the latter expected to act as a major barrier to further gains. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

The Bitcoin price recovery back in May 2026 triggered a renewed wave of bullish optimism. But despite the rising prices, there are some who did not give in to the bullish wave, picking a more conservative stance on the cryptocurrency. With the new month, those who refused to flip bullish look to have come out on top as the Bitcoin price has reversed. However, some analysts are predicting that this might only be the start of the decline. Bitcoin Price Could Be Getting Ready To Fall To New Cycle Lows According to crypto analyst Xanrox, the Bitcoin price crash was expected, given that the cryptocurrency has entered one of the most brutal bear markets in recent history. One very bearish development is the fact that the Bitcoin price has now fallen below two major channels. Related Reading: The Last Time Ethereum Did This Against Bitcoin, It Exploded Above $4,000 These channels include a descending channel, which was broken with the fall below $71,000. Then, the other broken channel is an ascending channel, broken at almost the same time as the descending channel. The result of these two channels being broken, the analyst explains, is a double breakdown. The thing about double breakdowns is that they are extremely bearish and often suggest that the crash is just starting. With the Bitcoin crash already in motion, the crypto analyst expects that the price will continue to go lower. Despite there being significant support around the $60,000 level, which has served as the psychological support this cycle, the analyst does not believe this level will hold. Instead, they suggest holding off buying as the price is expected to drop to $48,000, with a strong possibility of a crash to the $40,000-$30,000 levels. What Investors Should Watch Out For Presently, there is a major outflow happening in the crypto market, and Bitcoin, being the leading cryptocurrency, has taken the highest hit. The bear market has also pushed a significant number of users out as they move toward cash in a market that seems to offer nothing but losses. Related Reading: Pundit Shares Why Most People Will Miss The XRP Run Xanrox also suggests that the banks are now controlling the Bitcoin price. According to the post, the banks could push the price down 20% in a single day once they start selling on futures. This would put major stress on investors as retail traders are liquidated en masse. In this case, losses were expected to be amplified as the market made its final downward move. Nevertheless, there is the possibility that bulls will put up a major fight at $60,000, since it is the cycle’s swing low. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

Veteran crypto analyst Bob Loukas says Bitcoin has entered the final stage of its current four-year cycle, but warned that the market may still need another leg lower before a durable cycle bottom is in place. In his latest “4-Year Journey” update, published on June 4, Loukas framed Bitcoin’s recent retest of its February lows as a largely expected development rather than a break from historical cycle behavior. He argued that Bitcoin’s rebound into May, when price approached the low-$80,000 range after a decline toward $60,000 in February, looked like a countertrend move inside a broader bear-market structure. “A cycle very rarely, and I mean less than 10%, probably more like 5%, will end very early and also on the first significant decline from the high,” Loukas said. “There’s always a retest. There’s generally always a lower low, at least one lower low, if not a second lower low.” Loukas said Bitcoin peaked in October and later broke below its 10-month moving average, which he treats as confirmation that the prior cycle advance had ended. The subsequent decline into February, he said, was followed by a natural relief rally that pulled in bulls expecting a rapid continuation toward the prior highs. That rally stalled near $83,000, close to the $85,000 area he had expected, before Bitcoin reversed and dropped roughly 25% back toward the February lows. Loukas Begins Reaccumulating Bitcoin Despite maintaining that Bitcoin may not have completed its cycle low, Loukas said his model portfolio has made its first buy action in three and a half years. The portfolio added 10 BTC at the $65,000 level, bringing its allocation to roughly 58% Bitcoin and 41% cash. He stressed that the move was not a call that the bottom is already in, but rather an attempt to begin reaccumulating at more favorable long-term levels. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Most Important Metric Flashes Warning As Bulls Fight To Hold $60K The key level now, according to Loukas, is $53,000. He said that if Bitcoin reaches that area, the model portfolio would use its remaining cash to return to a full Bitcoin allocation. The level matters because it roughly corresponds to the midpoint of the broader four-year cycle structure. “Currently, what I’m thinking is the best strategy, and this is always subject to change, is that at the $53,000 level, all cash that remains to buy the remaining Bitcoin and get back to a 100% allocation,” Loukas said. “At the $53,000 level, we’re tagging the midpoint of the entire four-year cycle.” He acknowledged that $53,000 may appear severe, but argued it is not extreme in Bitcoin terms. From the current area, he said, such a move would be only around another 15% lower, while Bitcoin had already fallen about $20,000 in the prior two to three weeks. He also noted that past bear markets produced much larger drawdowns, including a 77% peak-to-trough decline in the 2021–2022 cycle, compared with the current drawdown of roughly 51% to 52%. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Great Wealth Transfer May Fuel Next Rally, Says CryptoQuant CEO Loukas said a 65% to 70% drawdown would not be a prediction, but “shouldn’t become a surprise” given Bitcoin’s historical volatility. A move to $53,000, by his estimate, would amount to a roughly 57% decline from the cycle high. Final Cycle Window Opens Loukas did allow for a more bullish scenario. He said the current retest creates the first credible possibility of a shorter four-year cycle low, potentially forming as a double bottom before a base into late summer and a later push above the May highs. He assigned that outcome a relatively low probability of around 25%. His base case remains that Bitcoin’s cycle low should form closer to the traditional window around October or November, with December also possible. Loukas said Bitcoin is now in month 43 of the cycle, entering the broad zone in which four-year lows typically emerge around the 47- to 48-month average. “The window has been hit,” Loukas said. “The four-year cycle now is getting close or getting towards an end. But as I mentioned before, this is not any different to prior cycles.” For the near term, Loukas said Bitcoin is oversold enough to bounce, possibly toward the 10-week moving average around $73,000, before resuming lower. He also argued that Bitcoin should not trade back above the May high near $83,000 to $85,000 over the next several months unless a new cycle has already begun. At press time, BTC traded at $62,247. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin’s market structure is increasingly reflecting the growing influence of major investors, as institutional capital continues to shape price action, liquidity, and overall sentiment. Unlike earlier cycles driven largely by retail participation, today’s market dynamics are more closely tied to the behavior of large entities whose positioning can significantly impact short-term trends and long-term direction. How Capital Allocation Decisions Affect Bitcoin Performance Bitcoin’s recent volatility should be viewed through the lens of market cycles rather than short-term fear or speculation. In a post on X, crypto analyst EliZ mentioned that, at this stage, BTC appears to be driven more by capital flows and the decisions of larger investors than by retail investor sentiment. Sharp price movements, liquidation cascades, and the sudden shift in liquidity are all part of the game and often create the perception of significant market manipulation. Related Reading: Is Bitcoin’s Recent Dip Part Of A Larger Institutional Accumulation Strategy? For traders, the takeaway remains slightly unchanged. The challenge is not to predict the institutional actions but to respond effectively to the price action unfolding in real time. Risk management, exposure, opportunities, and adaptability remain more important than attempting to anticipate every move made by major market participants. BTC history reinforces this perspective. Every phase of weakness, fear, and distribution has eventually been followed by a new cycle of expansion. While the timing of the next bullish phase remains uncertain, the market cycles are a fundamental part of BTC’s nature. In this context, discipline becomes the key advantage. Market phases are temporary, cycles are constantly evolving, and liquidity will eventually return to the market. When that sentiment shifts, many pessimistic individuals will suddenly become optimistic again. BTC Sweeps Multiple Key Liquidity Levels In Rapid Decline The sharp recent Bitcoin sell-off has accelerated the downside move faster, with two of the three remaining unswept lows now taken out. A crypto trader known as Max Trades has noted that this move happened earlier than expected. While anticipating a temporary relief bounce after the initial liquidity sweep around the $65,000 region low, the price has continued lower and has now cleared the $62,800 low as well. Related Reading: Bitcoin Falls Sharply Behind Micron Technology As Investors Favor Semiconductor Exposure According to Max Trades, this leaves only the capitulation wick at the downside, a level that has been the main downside target from a liquidity perspective for the past four months. With BTC now trading near critical levels, a decisive break below the $63,000 level could increase the probability of that final wick sweep occurring. Despite the near-term weakness, Max Trades believes that once this final target is reached, BTC will enter an area where the best spot accumulation and swing long opportunities may begin to emerge. Until that level is tested, the broader downside outlook target remains unchanged. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin (BTC) has been in a sharp downtrend over the past two weeks, facing steady declines as selling pressure, market volatility, and negative sentiment weigh on its price. During one of its recent market crashes, a crypto analyst noted that BTC had officially broken below a critical four-month support level, leaving the cryptocurrency in a precarious position. The expert now outlines what could happen next, and none of the scenarios suggested point to a fresh bull run—rather, Bitcoin may be headed for an even deeper bear market decline.  Bitcoin Price Crash Breaks Key Support Crypto market expert Aralez announced in an X post on June 2 that Bitcoin had officially broken a critical four-month support level that had been holding its price steady. The latest decline saw the cryptocurrency lose more than 8% of its value in a single day, falling below $69,000.  Related Reading: Bitcoin’s 4-Year Moving Average Shows Where The Market Bottom Lies Here Aralez explained that Bitcoin’s first goal during this bearish phase was to fill the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) gap in the $74,000 – $81,000 range. His accompanying price chart shows that the CME gap was completely filled earlier in May when Bitcoin briefly climbed above $80,000. At the time, the cryptocurrency had been trading within a tight ascending channel, defined by an upper resistance trendline and a lower support line.  This channel had guided BTC’s price up until its latest crash, which saw it break below the pattern’s lower boundary near $70,000. Since crossing $80,000, Bitcoin has entered a rather frightening downtrend, recently crashing below $63,000 after losing the $70,000 support.  At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading just above $62,000, down more than 2.3% in the past 24 hours and over 15% in the last seven days. Analysts tracking this bearish trend add that further declines could still occur until a bottom forms below $60,000, officially ending the bear phase. As for Aralez, he noted that a sharp sell-off immediately after hitting upside targets is usually a strong indication that the cryptocurrency’s downside momentum is far from over. As a result, he predicts that Bitcoin’s next move is likely a brief bounce to higher levels before another full-blown price crash to fresh lows. Analyst Outlines BTC’s Final Bearish Play In his analysis, Aralez outlined his roadmap for Bitcoin over the next 30 to 60 days. He first predicted that BTC could bounce back to the $71,000-$72,000 range and consolidate there for a bit. Afterward, the analyst expects the cryptocurrency to decline sharply toward lower-liquidity levels of $65,000-$63,000. Related Reading: Here’s Why The Bitcoin Price Is Crashing And What To Expect Next Once that range is reached, Aralez forecasts a brutal sweep below $60,000, suggesting a potential Bitcoin bottom near $55,000. He cautioned investors not to mistake the current market for the start of a new bull run. Instead, he said the market looks more like a classic bull trap that could catch many investors off guard.  He added that the Bitcoin path with the least resistance points to lower levels. As the cryptocurrency continues its decline, he urged traders and investors to avoid becoming exit liquidity. Featured image from Pngtree, chart from Tradingview.com

Crypto pundit Ash Crypto has drawn attention to speculations about how institutions could be crashing the Bitcoin price on purpose. This comes as the Bitcoin ETFs continue to record massive outflows, which have caused this latest decline for the leading crypto.  Pundit Highlights Speculations Of Institutions Purposely Crashing Bitcoin Price In an X post, Ash Crypto claimed there were rumors that institutions are purposely crashing the Bitcoin price so they can buy at lower prices before the Clarity Act is signed into law. The pundit noted that a similar pattern had played out in August 2022, when BlackRock filed for a private Bitcoin trust, and BTC later dropped about 36% before forming a bottom.  Related Reading: What To Expect For The Bitcoin Price By EOY 2026 Following that, BlackRock then filed for a spot Bitcoin ETF, and the Bitcoin price later surged by 95%. Ash Crypto noted that BTC hit a new high in January 2024, when spot ETFs were approved. He added that insider institutions are repeating the same strategy with the Clarity Act narrative.  The Bitcoin ETFs have largely contributed to the decline in the Bitcoin price, with these funds recording outflows in 13 out of the last 14 trading days. During this period, their total net assets have dropped from around $104 billion to $82 billion. Strategy co-founder Michael Saylor also cited these outflows in his comments on the BTC crash.  In an X post, Saylor said that the capital markets are funding the AI buildout at a historic scale, with $400 billion deployed over six months, while BTC ETFs have seen $4 billion in outflows since May 14, pressuring the Bitcoin price. He declared that this is a capital rotation, not a BTC impairment, while adding that volatility creates opportunity.  BTC Simply Following The Four-Year Cycle Crypto analyst Benjamin Cowen has reiterated that the Bitcoin price is simply following the four-year cycle. He also mentioned that the bull case for BTC is that if the economy is still doing well after the four-cycle low is put in, then it should have no problem starting its next bull market. Based on historical trends, the bear cycle low could happen by the fourth quarter of this year.  Related Reading: Has The Bitcoin Crash Ended After Falling Below $70,000? Meanwhile, Cowen noted that midterm years always feel really bad for crypto, and that this one is even worse, since the Bitcoin price topped on apathy. He opined that Bitcoin will survive, although many crypto assets may die out. Crypto analyst Ali Martinez warned that BTC is not looking good at the moment and that the leading crypto could drop to the next major area of support between $54,000 and $50,000.  At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $63,100, down in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Pngtree, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin’s June correction is now being accompanied by a sharp rise in whale deposits to Binance, according to CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost, reviving a pattern last seen during the market’s February stress event. The data suggests that large holders are moving more BTC back onto the exchange as the selloff deepens, potentially adding near-term supply pressure. Darkfost said Bitcoin is down 14% in June, with the decline accelerating over the past several days. That move has pushed some investors into a more defensive posture, particularly large entities moving sizable amounts of BTC. In the analyst’s framework, whales are defined as entities executing transactions above 100 BTC, or more than $6 million at current prices. The most visible change has occurred on Binance. According to the post, whale inflows to the exchange reached approximately 8,200 BTC on June 2, followed by more than 6,400 BTC on June 4. More importantly, the trend has also shifted on a monthly basis: average whale inflows on Binance have risen from roughly 1,200 BTC since mid-April to more than 2,800 BTC today, meaning the figure has more than doubled in a matter of weeks. “On Binance, BTC inflows from whales have accelerated sharply,” Darkfost wrote, pointing to the June 2 and June 4 peaks. “On a longer-term basis, the monthly average of whale inflows on Binance has moved from approximately 1,200 BTC since mid-April to over 2,800 BTC today, more than doubling within a matter of weeks.” Bitcoin Whale Deposits Point To Rising Sell-Side Risk Exchange inflows do not mechanically prove that coins have already been sold. However, large transfers to trading venues are commonly watched as a proxy for potential sell-side intent, especially when they occur during a fast correction rather than during a period of accumulation or sideways consolidation. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Most Important Metric Flashes Warning As Bulls Fight To Hold $60K Darkfost framed the current increase in that context. “This dynamic suggests that the ongoing correction is pushing some whales to move their BTC back onto the exchange, presumably with the intention of selling,” the analyst wrote. “This behavior looks more like emotional risk management than a deliberate strategic decision.” That distinction matters for market interpretation. A strategic rebalance usually implies pre-planned execution, portfolio rotation, or a controlled reduction in exposure. Panic-driven exchange inflows, by contrast, tend to appear after price damage has already forced large holders to reassess risk. They may worsen near-term pressure, but they can also emerge late in a corrective sequence. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Great Wealth Transfer May Fuel Next Rally, Says CryptoQuant CEO Bitcoin was trading near $62,533 at the time of writing, after an intraday low of $61,407 and high of $64,380. That puts the market close to the levels referenced in Darkfost’s comparison with February, when whale inflow activity on Binance last reached a similar intensity during Bitcoin’s drop to $60,000. February Comparison Raises The Key Question The February reference is the central point of the analysis. Darkfost noted that the last comparable surge in Binance whale inflows came as Bitcoin fell below $60,000 earlier this year. In that case, the elevated inflows reflected stress after a sharp drawdown rather than an early warning signal ahead of the full move. “For reference, the last time whale inflow activity on Binance reached such levels was during Bitcoin’s drop below $60,000 in early February,” the analyst wrote. “This development introduces additional selling pressure in the short term. That said, panic-driven moves of this kind tend to arrive well after the fact, as was the case in February.” At press time, BTC traded at $62,332. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin (BTC) extended its decline on Friday, sliding to levels not seen since early February, leaving the broader market under renewed pressure and deepening bearish sentiment.  Since reaching its all-time high of $126,000 last October, Bitcoin is now down roughly 52%, reinforcing the sense that the sell-off is more than a short-term dip. Bitcoin Treasury Stocks Fall From $134B To $72B While traditional market weakness has been part of the story, whale activity has also played a major role in the most recent drop. One of the clearest signals that unnerved traders came from Strategy (MSTR).  Related Reading: XRP Price Falls To 4-Month Lows—Charts Signal Sell, On-Chain Data Turns Bearish As previously reported by NewsBTC, Strategy sold Bitcoin for the first time in nearly four years. The company offloaded 32 BTC for approximately $2.5 million—an amount that may look small compared with overall market volumes.  However, the real impact has been psychological. Watching the largest Bitcoin public holder and the face of the “never sell” narrative break that behavior sent a shockwave through crypto sentiment. The broader market’s reaction has been visible in equity-linked crypto holdings as well. Artemis data cited by Bloomberg shows that the combined market value of fully diluted Bitcoin treasury company stocks has fallen to about $72 billion, compared with nearly $134 billion at the most recent peak in early October. That means roughly $62 billion has been erased during the downturn.  Support Could Form Between $54,000 And $50,000 Hayden Hughes, managing partner at Tokenize Capital, said the current environment forces difficult choices for these digital-asset treasuries. In his view, once prices unwind, companies face a stark decision: either default on their debt obligations or sell assets.  Hughes added that this kind of forced selling damages the market’s earlier assumption that Bitcoin treasury holders would behave like permanent “buy and hold” participants. When that expectation breaks, sentiment can deteriorate quickly, making rebounds less likely under these conditions. Related Reading: Coinbase Reveals First Mortgage With Bitcoin Collateral Under Fannie Mae Coverage  Market analyst Ali Martinez recently posted on X (formerly Twitter) that Bitcoin is approaching a market bottom. Martinez identified the MVRV Pricing Bands as a useful framework for determining where support could emerge.  He stated that the next significant support level is between $54,000 and $50,000, which could serve as a floor for the cryptocurrency. However, this would require an additional 17% retracement from current trading levels of $60,444.  Featured image created with OpenArt; chart from TradingView.com 

Bitcoin has spent the better part of the past several weeks delivering a painful lesson to bulls. The largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization has shed more than 22% over the past month, slicing through support levels that many traders had considered established. Bitcoin is still trapped below a descending trendline, and the current structure still favors sellers unless price can reclaim important resistance levels. However, technical analysis projection leaves room for a recovery move if Bitcoin breaks out of the bearish trend and starts building momentum above confirmation levels. Bitcoin Inside A Bearish 4-Hour Structure Bitcoin’s 4-hour chart shows price action moving inside a bearish structure, with lower highs and lower lows forming under a descending resistance line since the swing high above $82,800 in May. The rejection from that swing high has now pushed Bitcoin below a weak low / liquidity sweep at $66,000, and the chart’s break of structure and change of character labels show how control moved from buyers to sellers. Related Reading: Analyst Calls Out Stagnant Logic Being Used On XRP, Predicts When Price Will Rally To $300 The bullish case does not come from a confirmed reaction at $66,000 but from the possibility that Bitcoin can reclaim lost structure after the recent breakdown. However, if Bitcoin begins to push back above the nearby confirmation area around $66,948 and then breaks above the descending trendline, the move could open the way for a climb into the higher resistance levels shown in the 4-hour chart below. Bitcoin 4-Hour Chart. Source: TradingView The Targets Stacked Above And What Each One Means A trendline break, confirmed alongside a strong 4-hour close above the descending structure, would not immediately resolve the current bearish mood Bitcoin is trading in. It would, however, initiate a move to resistance price levels that increasingly change the momentum in the favor of Bitcoin bulls. A stronger bullish signal would come only if Bitcoin pushes back above the descending trendline. The technical chart places this descending trendline around $71,495, and this is the level that could decide whether the recovery has enough strength to continue. A rejection below that price area would keep the bearish structure in place, but a clean break above it would challenge the current trend and allow bulls to trend higher price levels. Related Reading: Pundit Says Dogecoin Is About To Do Something Insane, Here’s What The next level is around $75,952. This is an intermediate resistance and breakdown level, which means it could become the next major test if Bitcoin breaks the resistance trendline. The highest and most significant target on the current structure is around $79,453, where the major resistance and bearish control level is located.  Above that, the premium supply zone and institutional sell area stretches from approximately $77,000 to just above $82,000. Therefore, according to the projection drawn on the chart, a confirmed break of the current bear trend could send Bitcoin back into its May high of $82,000, where it could face another test of resistance. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com