On-chain data shows the Bitcoin long-term holders locked in a significant amount of gain around the time of the latest price plunge. Bitcoin HODLer Whales Have Shown Profit-Taking Spree Recently As explained by analyst Ali Martinez in a new post on X, long-term holder whales have participated in some profit-taking recently. “Long-term holders” (LTHs) refer to the Bitcoin investors who have been holding onto their coins since more than 155 days ago. Related Reading: Bitcoin Whales Sell 147,000 BTC Since August, Fastest Selloff Of Cycle This cohort is considered to represent the HODLers of the market, who rarely sell even in the face of volatility. That said, there are times when these investors do participate in selloffs, and one such instance seems to have occurred just recently. In the context of the current topic, the everyday LTHs aren’t of focus, but rather the LTH whales, diamond hands who carry more than 1,000 BTC (about $113.7 million) in their balance. Below is the chart shared by Martinez that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Realized Profit for the LTH whales over the last few weeks. The Realized Profit here is naturally an on-chain indicator that measures the total amount of profit that the Bitcoin LTH whales are locking in through their transactions. From the graph, it’s visible that this metric observed a notable spike on September 21st. This was the day BTC started a price drawdown that took it to the $112,000 level. Thus, it would appear possible that the profit-taking from the HODLers may have in part been to blame for the bearish action. In total, LTH whales harvested over $120 million in profits during this distribution spree. Meanwhile, the short-term holders (STHs), representing investors who entered the market during the past five months, participated in loss-taking instead, as CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn has pointed out in an X post. As displayed in the above chart, Bitcoin STHs sent 15,700 BTC at a loss to exchanges during the price crash. Investors generally use these platforms when they want to sell, so these loss transactions could have been a sign of capitulation from the cohort. The STHs have a relatively short holding time, so they are assumed to include the weak hands of the sector. In that view, the latest capitulation would be on-brand for the group. Related Reading: Bitcoin Dip-Buy Calls Spike: Why This Could Actually Be Bearish Coming back to the LTHs, on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has shared a chart that puts into perspective the total amount of profit that the LTHs as a whole have realized in the current cycle so far. The cumulative Bitcoin LTH Realized Profit sits at 3.4 million BTC for the current bull market, which is higher than all, but one previous cycle. BTC Price Bitcoin has made some recovery during the past day as its price has returned to $113,700. Featured image from Dall-E, Glassnode.com, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin is once again at the center of market attention, trading at critical price levels after a 9% surge since the start of August pushed it to just below its $123,000 all-time high. The rally has reignited the bull-vs-bear debate, with analysts split on where BTC heads next. Some believe the momentum will be enough to break through resistance and set fresh record highs, while others warn of a looming deeper correction if buying pressure falters. Related Reading: Ethereum Bullish Fundamentals Clash With Short-Term Leverage Risks Adding to the intrigue, key data from CryptoQuant shows that despite Bitcoin’s climb to this milestone, the Realized Profit and Loss (P&L) Ratio remains close to its historical average. This metric, which measures the magnitude of gains or losses realized by market participants, suggests the current uptrend is not yet in the overheated territory that often precedes sharp reversals. For bulls, this could indicate room for further upside without excessive risk of a rapid downturn. For bears, it’s a reminder that Bitcoin’s long-term trend remains intact but vulnerable to sudden shifts in sentiment. With volatility still defining the crypto landscape, the next moves around this level could shape Bitcoin’s trajectory for the rest of the year. Bitcoin Faces Pivotal Test As ATH Breakout or Rejection Looms According to top analyst Axel Adler, Bitcoin’s current market structure presents a much lower risk of a sharp trend reversal compared to previous peaks in the Realized Profit and Loss (P&L) Ratio. In past cycles, this metric often spiked to overheated levels before major pullbacks, signaling that market participants were taking excessive profits all at once. Today, however, the P&L Ratio remains closer to its average range, indicating a more balanced market environment despite Bitcoin trading just below its $123,000 all-time high. This suggests that while volatility remains a constant in the crypto space, the immediate probability of a dramatic downturn is lower than in past overheated phases. Still, Adler emphasizes that Bitcoin is entering a critical price range where market direction will be decided. Breaking above the all-time high is essential for the uptrend to continue, as such a move would likely trigger a new wave of momentum buying and potentially set the stage for fresh record highs. On the other hand, failing to clear this level—especially after multiple attempts—could result in a sharp correction or an extended period of sideways consolidation, testing investor patience. Other analysts highlight the contrast between Bitcoin’s strong long-term fundamentals and the current market indecision. On-chain data points to healthy accumulation trends, steady network activity, and relatively contained leverage in derivatives markets—all signs of underlying strength. Yet, uncertainty over macroeconomic conditions, regulatory developments, and short-term profit-taking continues to weigh on sentiment. Related Reading: Bitcoin Open Interest Flips Negative After July Peak – Risk Appetite Cools BTC Price Analysis: Testing Critical Resistance Bitcoin’s price action shows a decisive rally since early August, climbing nearly 9% and approaching the all-time high at $123,217.39. On the 8-hour chart, BTC faced strong rejection near this resistance, pulling back to the $118,500 area. The recent move marks the second approach toward this level in the past three months, highlighting its importance as a critical breakout point. The chart also reveals that BTC remains above its key moving averages — the 50 SMA ($116,605), 100 SMA ($117,340), and 200 SMA ($112,019) — reinforcing the underlying bullish structure. The 50 SMA has recently crossed above the 100 SMA, a short-term bullish signal suggesting continued upward momentum if buyers can sustain pressure. Related Reading: Altseason Still On Hold – Metrics Reveal BTC Outpaces Large, Mid, Small Caps However, the failure to break above the $123K level could lead to renewed selling pressure, with potential retracements toward the 100 SMA or even the 200 SMA if momentum fades. A confirmed breakout above $123K would likely trigger a new wave of buying, pushing BTC into price discovery and setting fresh record highs. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin is navigating a highly volatile environment, as escalating Middle East conflicts and intensifying macroeconomic risks dominate global headlines. Despite mounting uncertainty, BTC continues to hold firm above the $104K level, signaling strong buyer interest at key support zones. Bulls remain in control for now, but hawkish macro conditions—such as elevated US Treasury yields, persistent inflation concerns, and geopolitical turmoil—pose serious risks that could drive BTC below the critical $100K mark. Related Reading: Ethereum Golden Cross Approaching – Will History Repeat? The market is divided on what comes next. Some analysts point to strong fundamentals and institutional adoption as fuel for a massive bull run, while others warn of a deeper correction before any upward continuation. Top analyst Darkfost emphasized the importance of monitoring on-chain behavior during such periods of uncertainty. According to CryptoQuant data, realized profits on Bitcoin (7-day moving average) show no major warning signs. Current profit-taking activity remains below $1 billion—similar to levels seen following the October 2024 correction—indicating that investors are neither panicking nor overly euphoric. This muted profit realization could be a sign that long-term holders are still confident in the broader trend, setting the stage for an eventual breakout once macro conditions stabilize. On-Chain Metrics Signal Calm Bitcoin Consolidates As the conflict between Israel and Iran escalates, fears of a broader war—and the possibility of US intervention—continue to weigh heavily on global markets. Investors remain on edge, with rising oil prices and weakening economic confidence feeding into macro uncertainty. Yet, Bitcoin seems largely unfazed. Despite the heightened geopolitical tension, BTC continues to consolidate just below its all-time high, showing resilience that has both bulls and bears second-guessing their next move. Fundamentally, Bitcoin remains strong. Institutional adoption is steadily increasing, and exchange supply continues to decline, reflecting a trend toward long-term holding and off-exchange accumulation. In many ways, BTC appears to thrive in this environment of volatility and uncertainty. According to on-chain data shared by Darkfost, realized profits on Bitcoin—measured by the 7-day moving average (7DMA)—show no major warning signs. Current profit levels remain under $1 billion, a range not seen since the end of the October 2024 correction. Even during the recent ATH surge, realized profits stayed well below the January 2025 peak. This lack of aggressive profit-taking suggests that most investors are still holding strong, neither panicking nor rushing to sell. That restrained behavior is playing a key role in Bitcoin’s ongoing consolidation. Without a wave of profit realization, there’s little pressure to force the market down—yet no catalyst strong enough to push it decisively higher either. Monitoring these on-chain signals will be critical in the coming days. If realized profits spike or exchange inflows surge, it may mark the beginning of a new phase. Related Reading: Bitcoin Holds Strong Despite Israel-Iran Tensions – Weekly Resistance Begins To Crack BTC Technical Analysis: Key Support Being Tested The 12-hour chart of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) shows the asset currently trading at $104,292, just above a crucial support level at $103,600. This area, which corresponds to the previous all-time high set in late 2024, has become a key battleground for bulls and bears. BTC has repeatedly bounced from this level in recent weeks, and its ability to hold could determine the direction of the next major move. BTC failed to break through the $109,300 resistance, forming a series of lower highs since tapping the $112,000 level. This suggests a weakening bullish momentum and highlights the importance of current price action around the 50-period SMA, which is now acting as short-term dynamic resistance. Volume has remained relatively stable but showed slight upticks during recent pullbacks, hinting at cautious selling rather than full-blown capitulation. The 100-period and 200-period SMAs, currently sitting at $104,065 and $94,617, respectively, offer additional support beneath the current range, with the 100-SMA now directly aligned with the horizontal $103,600 level. Related Reading: Ethereum Holds Key Range Support – Bulls Set Sights on Higher Levels If BTC breaks and closes below this demand zone with volume confirmation, it could trigger a move toward the $100K psychological support. Conversely, a strong bounce from here would reinforce the ongoing consolidation and keep the path open for another test of $109,300. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
A report from the on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has revealed how Bitcoin investors have recently been realizing an hourly profit 17% above the baseline. Bitcoin Realized Profit Has Spiked Alongside Recovery Rally In its latest weekly report, Glassnode has talked about the recent trend in the Realized Profit of Bitcoin. The “Realized Profit” here refers to an on-chain indicator that, as its name suggests, measures the total amount of profit that the BTC investors are realizing through their selling. Related Reading: Litecoin Conviction Remains Strong: More Than 20% Of Supply Frozen Since 5+ Years The indicator works by looking at the transaction history of each coin being transferred or sold on the network to check what price it was previously transferred at. Sales of coins that have a price lower than the latest spot value are assumed to be resulting in profit realization equal to the difference between the two. The Realized Profit sums up this difference for each token being sold at a profit to gauge the network total. Another indicator called the Realized Loss keeps track of the sales of the opposite type. Now, here is the chart for the hourly Bitcoin Realized Profit shared by the analytics firm in the report: As is visible in the above graph, the Bitcoin Realized Profit has witnessed a sharp spike recently. The increase in the indicator has come as BTC has been rallying, so it would appear that the investors have been looking to cash in on the opportunity. So far, the indicator has achieved a peak of $139 million per hour, which is about 17% higher than the baseline value of $120 million per hour. While this level isn’t too high when compared to the profit-taking sprees from the last bull rally (highlighted in green), it’s still notable, especially when considering how much lower it has been during the last couple of months. “If the market can absorb this selling pressure without breaking down, it paints a more constructive picture on the road ahead,” notes Glassnode. “Conversely, failure to hold these levels, under heavy profit realization, could mark this move as another dead cat bounce, which would be consistent with prior relief rallies that faded under similar conditions.” As for which side of the Bitcoin market is involved in this profit-taking event, data points toward the short-term holder cohort. The short-term holders (STHs) refer to the BTC investors who purchased their coins within the past 155 days. Related Reading: Bitcoin Whales Back In ‘Full Force’ For The Rally, Glassnode Reveals Below is a chart that shows the trend in the Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR), a metric that keeps track of the ratio between Realized Profit and Realized Loss, for the STHs. From the graph, it’s apparent that the Bitcoin STH SOPR has seen a sustained move above the 1.0 mark, which suggests profit-taking is now notably outweighing loss-taking from these investors. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is floating around $94,600, up almost 12% in the last week. Featured image from Dall-E, Glassnode.com, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin’s short-term price direction remains uncertain as the market struggles to confirm its next move. Analysts and investors are divided, with some calling for a breakout into new all-time highs while others anticipate renewed selling pressure into lower prices. The price has been consolidating in a narrow range for the past twelve days, holding above the $94,000 demand level and facing resistance below the $100,000 mark. Related Reading: Are Meme Coins Hurting Solana? Rising Selling Pressure Sparks Investor Concerns Key data from CryptoQuant reveals that the nearest support zone for BTC is forming between $91,000 and $95,000. This range is reinforced by two critical technical indicators: the 111-day simple moving average (SMA 111D), currently at $95,000, and the Short-Term Holder (STH) Realized Price, which sits at $91,000. These levels suggest that BTC is trading above historically significant support areas, where short-term holders have realized their profits or losses. While the long-term structure remains bullish, investors are growing impatient as BTC fails to reclaim key resistance levels. If Bitcoin can push above $100K in the coming days, analysts expect a rally into price discovery. However, losing support around $94K–$95K could trigger increased selling pressure and a deeper correction into lower demand zones. Bitcoin Prepares For A Decisive Move Bitcoin’s recent consolidation phase has fueled speculation about a potential breakout, with many analysts suggesting that the market is witnessing the calm before the storm. While short-term direction remains uncertain, the long-term bullish structure remains intact, and many expect BTC to make a strong move toward new all-time highs soon. Crypto analyst Axel Adler shared key CryptoQuant data on X, highlighting that Bitcoin’s nearest support zone is forming around $91,000–$95,000. This range is significant because it aligns with the 111-day simple moving average (SMA 111D) at $95,000 and the Short-Term Holder (STH) Realized Price at $91,000. These levels represent areas where short-term holders have historically realized profits or losses, making them crucial for maintaining bullish momentum. On the resistance side, Adler notes that Bitcoin faces a key supply zone between $98,000 and $101,000. This area is defined by the aggregate exit prices of holders with a holding period of one week to one month at $100,800 and those with a one- to three-month holding period at $98,200. Related Reading: Ethereum Forms A Bullish Pattern – Expert Reveals Short-Term Price Target As BTC continues to trade within this narrow range, investors are closely watching these levels for a decisive breakout. A push above $101K could trigger a rally into price discovery. While losing support at $91K could lead to further downside. BTC Bulls Face A Big Test Bitcoin is trading at $95,600 after nearly two weeks of sideways movement within a narrow range, fluctuating less than 4% in either direction. This extended period of consolidation has left traders on edge, as they await a decisive move in either direction. For BTC to maintain its bullish structure, the $95,000 level must hold. This price point aligns with technical support, and a break below it could signal strong selling pressure. Bulls face a critical test at this stage, as they must defend this support and initiate a push above key resistance levels. To confirm a breakout, Bitcoin needs to reclaim the $98,000 mark and, ultimately, the psychologically significant $100,000 level. A successful move above these levels would provide the momentum needed to challenge all-time highs and re-enter price discovery. However, failure to hold $95K could trigger a downside move, with BTC potentially testing support zones closer to $91K. Related Reading: Dogecoin Pulls Back To ‘The Golden Ratio’ – Analyst Expects A Bullish Reversal As Bitcoin consolidates, traders remain cautious, watching for volume spikes and increased buying pressure to confirm the next price movement. The coming days will be crucial in determining whether BTC resumes its uptrend or faces further correction. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
The US Federal Reserve’s public consideration of reduced interest rate cuts in 2025 resulted in numerous negative effects on financial markets. Aside from a 17% price loss for Bitcoin, data from Binance exchange shows the BTC market has now developed its largest spot-perpetual price gap. Related Reading: Crypto Liquidations Near $800 Million After Bitcoin’s Crash […]
Bitcoin has surged past the $99,800 mark, setting a new all-time high as it inches closer to the psychological $100,000 barrier. While the milestone signals remarkable strength, the price has yet to claim this key level, leaving investors in suspense. Market demand remains robust, fueling optimism that Bitcoin will soon break above the $100,000 threshold. Related Reading: Massive Ethereum Buying Spree – Taker Buy Volume hits $1.683B In One Hour Key data from CryptoQuant reveals that Bitcoin’s Realized Profit has reached an all-time high of $443 million in daily gains. This highlights significant buying pressure in the market as traders and long-term holders lock in unprecedented profits. However, this record-breaking profit-taking is also sparking concerns among some investors. They fear the rally could stall, interpreting the surge in realized profits as a potential signal of a local top scenario. Despite these mixed signals, the overall market sentiment leans bullish. Bitcoin continues to hold above crucial support levels, suggesting that demand remains strong enough to drive the next leg up. With the cryptocurrency just shy of a monumental breakthrough, the coming hours and days will be critical in determining whether Bitcoin’s momentum can sustain a decisive move beyond $100,000 or if a temporary consolidation is on the horizon. Bitcoin Rally Could Continue Above $100K Bitcoin’s rally from $66,800 to $99,800 has marked a unique and unexpected bullish phase in 2024. As prices approach the elusive $100,000 milestone, many investors who doubted Bitcoin’s potential to hit this level this year are now revising their expectations. The surge has been driven by strong demand and market confidence, making a breakout above $100,000 seem inevitable. Should this occur, analysts widely anticipate a bullish continuation for Bitcoin, further solidifying its dominance in the crypto space. Related Reading: Avalanche Soars 20% In 24 Hours – Analyst Reveals Next Price Target However, market dynamics suggest the journey to $100,000 may not be without hurdles. Corrections during this phase are not only possible but could also be beneficial for market health. A pullback would provide an opportunity for consolidation, potentially giving altcoins the space to recover and initiate their own rallies. Critical insights from CryptoQuant analyst Maartunn shed light on the aggressive nature of this rally. Data shows Bitcoin’s Realized Profit recently hit an all-time high of $443 million daily, reflecting significant profit-taking activity. While this confirms robust buying pressure, it also raises concerns among cautious investors who interpret the spike in profits as a potential sign of a local top. Despite these concerns, there’s room for growth in Bitcoin’s trajectory. Maintaining support above $95,000 would sustain bullish momentum, but a healthy correction from current levels might also provide the fuel needed for a stronger push beyond $100,000 in the near future. BTC Testing Crucial Supply Bitcoin is currently holding strong above the $97,000 mark, maintaining bullish momentum as it eyes a push above the $100,000 milestone. This level represents a significant psychological and technical barrier, and market sentiment remains optimistic about Bitcoin’s potential to break it. With demand staying robust, many investors are preparing for an explosive surge that could define Bitcoin’s trajectory in the coming weeks. However, there are growing concerns about the possibility of Bitcoin setting a local top. If this scenario materializes, the price could enter a consolidation phase, potentially lasting several weeks as the market digests recent gains. Analysts suggest that holding above the $98,000 level in the next few days would keep bullish momentum intact and pave the way for a breakout above $100,000. Related Reading: Polkadot Holds Key Demand Level – DOT Could Hit $11 In Coming Weeks On the other hand, if Bitcoin fails to hold the $97,000 mark, it could signal the start of a healthy correction. In this case, the price may retrace to the $92,000 level, a key demand zone that would likely act as strong support. A pullback to this level would allow Bitcoin to regroup and build the foundation for another push higher, reinforcing its long-term bullish trend. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin (BTC) recently reached a new all-time high (ATH) of $93,477, as the leading digital asset inches closer to the highly anticipated $100,000 target. Notably, the ongoing price rally has seen relatively muted profit-taking, fueling hopes that BTC has further room to surge. Low Profit-Taking For Bitcoin In Current Cycle According to a recent report by Glassnode, the current BTC price momentum is primarily driven by strong spot demand and rising institutional interest. Particularly, the victory of Republican US presidential candidate Donald Trump has added optimism to the digital assets industry. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Could Peak In 200 Days, Before US Recession In Mid-2025, Report Says The report highlights that over 95% of Bitcoin’s supply is currently in profit. However, despite the high proportion of profitable holders, profit-taking has remained relatively muted during this cycle. Historically, monthly profit realization has typically ranged between $30 and $50 billion during previous Bitcoin ATH cycles. The current price discovery phase has seen about $20.4 billion in realized profit. This relatively low profit-taking level in the current BTC ATH cycle suggests further room for the BTC price to rise, potentially reaching the $100,000 milestone before demand wanes. The chart below shows the cost basis of new BTC investors, along with upper and lower statistical bands. According to the report, during an ATH phase, BTC’s price repeatedly tests the upper bands as new investors enter the market at higher price points. As can be inferred from the above chart, BTC’s current spot price of $91,199 is just below its upper band of $94,900. Keeping track of price movement between these bands can show when the market price might be high enough to force existing holders to sell their holdings. Excess Leverage Must Be Flushed Before $100,000 BTC While BTC is trading less than 10% below the $100,000 level, industry experts opine that excess leverage must be flushed out before the top digital asset attempts to hit the 6-figure target. Related Reading: Bitcoin To $100,000 By February 2025? Analyst Explains Why Data from Coinglass shows that more than $718 million worth of crypto contracts were liquidated in the past 24 hours, impacting 202,074 traders. Notably, contract liquidations were split pretty evenly between longs and shorts – 49.93% vs 50.07%, respectively – indicating that despite the strong bullish sentiment, there is no clear trading advantage. Some industry leaders remain optimistic about BTC’s future price action. In October, the BTC mining firm CleanSpark CEO said that the premier digital asset may peak at $200,000 in the next 18 months. Similarly, BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes recently predicted that BTC may hit $1 million under the Trump administration. BTC trades at $91,199 at press time, up 3.9% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, Charts from Glassnode and TradingView.com