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Bitcoin has been consolidating since late November, struggling to establish a clear directional bias as the market searches for stability ahead of the next volatility wave. After failing to sustain momentum above the October 2025 highs, price action has shifted into a broad range, reflecting growing uncertainty among investors. While some market participants interpret this pause as a potential base for continuation, others remain cautious, pointing to historical bear market behavior for context. Related Reading: Bitcoin Remains In A High-Risk Zone As Short-Term Holders Stay Underwater According to a report by top analyst Axel Adler, the current Bitcoin drawdown from the October peak remains historically shallow. The Bitcoin Bear Market Correction Drawdowns chart, which compares drawdown depth across cycles since 2011, highlights how different this cycle has been so far. In the ongoing 2025+ cycle, the drawdown stands at roughly −27%, with the maximum correction reaching about −33%. By contrast, previous bear markets were far more severe: the 2011 cycle collapsed by −92%, both the 2013–2015 and 2017–2018 cycles saw drawdowns near −82%, and the 2021–2022 bear market bottomed around −75%. This relative resilience may point to a structural shift in Bitcoin’s market dynamics. The growing presence of spot ETFs and institutional capital could be dampening volatility and reducing the magnitude of corrections. Still, Adler cautions that the current bear phase is relatively young. As a result, it remains too early to conclude that Bitcoin has definitively entered a new regime where deep drawdowns are no longer part of the cycle. Bitcoin Still Trades Above Long-Term On-Chain Fair Value Adler further explains that the Bitcoin Cumulative Value Days Destroyed (CVDD) model offers critical context for evaluating where the market currently sits within the broader cycle. CVDD is a long-term on-chain valuation framework derived from “destroyed” coin days, which captures periods when older, long-held coins are spent. Historically, this behavior has been closely associated with major market transitions and macro bottoms. The CVDD chart plots Bitcoin’s price against several valuation bands, including the base CVDD level and its 5x and 10x multiples. At present, Bitcoin is trading near $91,000, which places it at roughly 2x above the base CVDD, currently estimated at around $46,600. This zone has historically aligned with bear market bottom formation phases rather than full capitulation events. In past cycles, deep undervaluation and panic selling typically occurred when the price approached or briefly dipped below the base CVDD level. The fact that Bitcoin remains well above this fundamental support suggests that the market has not yet entered a true capitulation regime. Instead, long-term holders appear largely intact, and selling pressure from older coins remains relatively contained. As Adler notes, the base CVDD level continues to act as a long-term structural floor for the asset. Taken together, the shallow drawdown profile and Bitcoin’s position above key CVDD valuation bands indicate that the ongoing correction is real but still consistent with an early-stage bear cycle, rather than a fully developed market bottom. Related Reading: Bearish Signal Emerges For Ethereum As US Spot Demand Fades BTC Consolidates As Structure Remains Weak Bitcoin price continues to trade in a tight consolidation range after the sharp sell-off from the October highs, with the chart showing BTC hovering around the $90,000–$91,000 area. This zone has acted as a short-term equilibrium following the aggressive breakdown from above $100,000, but the broader technical structure remains weak. Price is still trading below the 100-day and 200-day moving averages, which are both sloping downward, reinforcing the idea that the dominant trend has shifted from bullish to corrective. The recent bounce from the December lows near $86,000 lacked strong follow-through, suggesting that demand remains cautious rather than aggressive. While buyers have managed to defend higher lows in the short term, each upside attempt has been capped near the descending moving averages, highlighting persistent overhead supply. Related Reading: XRP Sees Back-to-Back Liquidation Waves: Binance Absorbs Majority Of Liquidations Volume has also declined during the consolidation phase, signaling a lack of conviction from both bulls and bears. From a market structure perspective, Bitcoin appears to be forming a basing pattern rather than initiating a reversal. Holding above the $88,000–$90,000 support zone is critical to avoid a deeper retracement toward the mid-$80,000s. However, a sustained recovery would require a decisive reclaim of the $95,000–$98,000 region, where key moving averages converge. The current price action is best interpreted as consolidation within a broader corrective phase rather than the start of a new uptrend. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

Bitcoin is struggling to regain momentum below the $90,000 level, yet it continues to hold above $86,000, reflecting a market gripped by indecision. Price action has narrowed into a tight range, with neither buyers nor sellers able to assert clear control. As volatility compresses, apathy has become a defining feature of the current environment, and an increasing number of analysts are openly discussing the possibility that the market is transitioning toward a broader bear phase. Related Reading: XRP Exchange Reserves On Binance Fall To Six-Month Low: Selling Pressure Is Easing While price levels dominate headlines, on-chain data suggests the more important battle is unfolding beneath the surface. According to CryptoQuant analyst Burak Kesmeci, Bitcoin’s current positioning cannot be understood by price alone. Instead, attention is shifting toward the cost bases of key market participants, particularly whales and Binance spot users. Even with Bitcoin trading around $87,000, the most consequential level sits significantly higher. Data shows that the average cost basis of new whales, defined as holders with coins younger than 155 days, is clustered around $100,500. This zone represents a critical break-even threshold for large players who entered the market recently. As a result, every approach toward $100,000 carries heightened significance. That level may either trigger distribution, as whales seek to protect capital, or mark the start of renewed accumulation if confidence returns. Cost Basis Data Maps Bitcoin Real Support and Resistance The report highlights that beneath Bitcoin’s current price action, cost basis data offers a clearer framework for understanding market risk. For Binance spot users, the average cost basis sits near $56,000. This level represents the largest concentration of spot volume in the market and effectively defines the “deep water” zone if conditions deteriorate. In a prolonged bearish phase, $56K is where the bulk of spot holders would be tested, making it a critical long-term support area rather than a short-term trading level. Long-term whale positioning adds another important layer. The cost basis for whales holding Bitcoin longer than 155 days is clustered around $40,000. This means these participants are still sitting on profits of more than 2x, even after the recent correction. That profit cushion helps explain the rise in realized gains seen over recent weeks. For many long-term holders, current prices already represent a satisfactory exit, increasing the incentive to distribute into strength rather than aggressively accumulate. Taken together, the data reframes Bitcoin’s market structure. The key short-term ceiling remains near $100,000, where newer whales approach breakeven and supply tends to emerge. On the downside, $56,000 stands out as the level where spot market conviction would be most severely tested. Related Reading: Ethereum Bearish Structure Meets Bullish Supply Signal – What Happens Next Bitcoin Consolidates Above Key Weekly Support as Momentum Cools Bitcoin is trading near the $88,700 level on the weekly chart, stabilizing after a sharp pullback from the $120,000–$125,000 highs reached earlier this cycle. While the broader uptrend from 2024 remains intact, recent price action signals a clear slowdown in momentum. The market has shifted from an impulsive expansion phase into a corrective and consolidative structure, with volatility compressing around a critical support zone. Technically, Bitcoin is holding just above its rising medium-term moving average, which has acted as dynamic support throughout this bull cycle. The rejection above $110,000 marked a decisive loss of upside control, and the failure to quickly reclaim that zone suggests distribution rather than a brief pause. At the same time, price remains well above the long-term moving average, reinforcing that this move is still corrective within a larger trend, not yet a confirmed trend reversal. Related Reading: Bitcoin and Ethereum Coinbase Inflows Collapse While Binance Retains Relative Activity – Details Volume dynamics support this interpretation. Selling pressure expanded during the initial breakdown, but recent weeks show declining volume as price stabilizes between roughly $86,000 and $90,000. This points to seller exhaustion, though buyers have yet to step in with conviction. Structurally, the $86,000–$88,000 range is pivotal. Holding this zone keeps the higher-timeframe bullish structure alive. A clean breakdown would expose deeper downside. While a recovery above $95,000 would be needed to reassert bullish momentum and reopen the path toward prior highs. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

Bitcoin (BTC) has been struggling to regain momentum in the market, failing to surpass its nearest resistance level of $94,000 for over a month. The cryptocurrency is currently trading within a broad range between $85,000 and $93,000, leading to growing concerns about further price corrections in the upcoming months. Amid this uncertainty, market expert NoLimit recently expressed on social media platform X (formerly Twitter) that he anticipates Bitcoin could bottom out at around $40,000 sometime in 2026. This forecast implies a significant 54% decline from current levels, which are just above $87,860. A Historical Perspective On Market Cycles NoLimit’s analysis outlines several reasons for this predicted downturn. He points out that Bitcoin has a historical tendency to surprise investors, often when confidence in the market is high. While each price cycle may appear unique on the surface, NoLimit argues that the underlying mechanics remain largely unchanged. He emphasizes the cyclical nature of Bitcoin, noting that it moves within a four-year cycle influenced by liquidity, leverage, and human behavior rather than mere sentiment.  According to him, the market is currently late in this cycle, and Bitcoin has consistently followed a three-step process during past upward movements. Related Reading: XRP Price Forecast: Key Factors That Could Propel It To $3 In Early 2026 First, Bitcoin tends to surge in price following the Halving event. This is typically followed by an influx of maximum leverage and late-stage buyers. Finally, the cycle concludes with a sharp and often chaotic reset before the next significant price expansion occurs. Historically, Bitcoin has experienced steep declines during these resets, such as an approximate 85% drop in 2013-2014, an 84% drop in 2017-2018, and a 77% drop during the 2021-2022 cycle. In each scenario, investors were convinced that the conditions were different, yet the outcomes remained consistent. $40,000 As Foundation For Bitcoin’s Next Bull Run  Considering the current market situation, NoLimit highlights several critical indicators. He notes that Bitcoin has already seen substantial price appreciation, with institutional interest and exchange-trade fund (ETF) approvals now part of the landscape.  He also observes that many traders are over-leveraged, market volatility is compressed, and there exists widespread hope for further price increases. These factors often signal a heightened risk of downside movement in the market. Related Reading: Will Bitcoin Suffer A 20% Decline After Japan’s Rate Hike? Historical Patterns Suggest So A potential drop toward the $40,000 range should not be viewed as an unforeseen disaster, according to NoLimit. He argues that significant price declines have historically preceded major upward movements.  Additionally, this price target aligns well with several technical indicators, including previous resistance levels that have turned into support, long-term moving averages, and the liquidity gap created by ETF approvals.  Such factors suggest that a move toward this region could exhaust forced sellers and provide a solid foundation for recovery. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

The Bitcoin price appears to be entering a new recovery phase, as the leading cryptocurrency recaptured the $91,000 level after falling by more than 30% from all-time highs last Friday, tumbling to an 8-month low of $80,000. Critical Bitcoin Price Range Technical analyst Daan Crypto Trades highlighted on social media site X (formerly Twitter) on Wednesday that the critical region for investors to monitor right now is between the $89,000 and $91,000 range.  He observed that this price level acted as support in late 2024 and early 2025 before becoming a point of resistance during President Donald Trump’s recent tariff negotiations with the world’s top economies, including China.  Related Reading: Has The Bitcoin Price Hit Its Bottom? Key On-Chain Data Signals Potential Rebound Ahead After breaking out of this zone almost exactly one year ago, the Bitcoin price reached new highs of $109,000 in January, which held until a new uptrend in May of this year resulted in BTC reaching $112,000.  Daan emphasizes that a strong consolidation above these levels could pave the way for a rally toward the $106,000 to $108,000 range. Conversely, if Bitcoin falls back below these levels, it could revisit last week’s low of $80,000, which he identifies as the nearest support. Bullish Sentiments Amid Caution Another analyst, BitcoinVector, echoed Daan’s bullish sentiment but cautioned that the market remains in a high-risk environment and that the current momentum has yet to strengthen significantly.  According to BitcoinVector, steady momentum is required for Bitcoin to break out of the compression pattern that has formed since its all-time high.  He laid out the bullish path: first, the Bitcoin price must close within the $89,000 to $90,000 zone, followed by consolidation above this area, and finally, a breakout through the $93,500 to $95,000 compression band. For this recovery to gain traction, BitcoinVector stressed the importance of a “Risk-Off Signal,” indicating that buyers must begin to overpower sellers while generating momentum. Without such momentum, each upward movement would merely be a tactical reaction rather than indicative of a structural recovery. Prolonged Bear Market Ahead?  Market analyst Skew provided additional insights, noting that the four-hour chart for Bitcoin appears more constructive for bulls. He pointed to several indicators suggesting upward momentum, including the price being above the four-hour 50 EMA, the RSI remaining above 50, and the Stochastic RSI trending higher.  Skew identifies the $88,000 mark as a crucial “line in the sand,” arguing that a drop below this level would signal weakness and a failed attempt to gain momentum. Related Reading: Tether Faces Downgrade By S&P Global Amid Concerns Over Disclosure And Assets Holdings Despite the cautious optimism from some analysts, others, like Jacob King, offer a starkly different perspective. He argues that given the Bitcoin price decline from its all-time high in October, it has never experienced such a fall followed by a sustained bull market.  According to King, Bitcoin is now in a bear market that may persist for years, poised to affect the fortunes of countless investors, particularly those heavily leveraged. As of this writing, the Bitcoin price stands at $91,390, marking a 4% recovery within the last 24 hours. This places the cryptocurrency 27% below its all-time high.  Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

Bitcoin has slipped below the $100,000 mark, now trading around $97,000 for the first time since May, as selling pressure intensifies across the market. Bulls are struggling to defend critical support, and sentiment has turned decidedly fearful, with traders scaling back leverage and rotating into stablecoins amid heightened volatility. Despite this weakness, on-chain data suggests that large buyers may already be positioning for a potential rebound. Related Reading: $1.33B Ethereum Whale Just Moved Another $120M USDT to Binance – Details According to CryptoQuant analyst Maartunn, massive bid walls have been spotted on Binance Futures, signaling that aggressive buyers are stepping in to absorb the recent wave of selling. Historically, such large-scale bids have often coincided with local bottoms, as whales and institutional traders accumulate into weakness. This emerging liquidity pattern may suggest growing confidence among deep-pocketed players that Bitcoin’s downside could be limited. However, with macro uncertainty still weighing heavily on the market, traders remain cautious. Aggressive Buyers Step In As Bid Walls Signal Dip Accumulation According to CryptoQuant analyst Maartunn, recent order book data reveals a strong layer of support forming on Binance Futures, where two major bid clusters have emerged — one around 800 BTC and another stacking up to 2,000 BTC. This concentration of buy orders suggests that large traders, often referred to as aggressive dip buyers, are actively accumulating Bitcoin at current levels around $97,000. Bid walls of this size are significant because they indicate a willingness among deep-pocketed investors to absorb selling pressure and defend price levels perceived as undervalued. In practice, such large orders create a temporary price floor, making it harder for BTC to fall further without massive selling volume. This behavior is often observed in early phases of market reversals. Smart money begins building positions while retail sentiment remains fearful. Maartunn notes that these clusters reflect renewed confidence from high-volume traders who see long-term value despite the recent correction. If these orders remain active and continue to absorb liquidity, Bitcoin could stabilize above the $95,000–$97,000 range. Historically, periods of strong bid support have preceded short-term relief rallies, suggesting that the current dip may be setting the stage for a broader recovery. Related Reading: BTC Leverage Cooldown Signals Market Reset: OI Drops 21% As Excess Risk Is Flushed Out Bitcoin Tests Key Support After Losing $100K Bitcoin’s price action has turned increasingly fragile, with the asset now trading near $96,800, its lowest level since May. The three-day chart shows a decisive break below the $100,000 psychological threshold, confirming a short-term bearish shift as sellers dominate. Volume has spiked notably in recent sessions, suggesting panic-driven liquidations as traders unwind leveraged positions. The 50-day moving average has crossed below the 100-day, signaling fading momentum, while the 200-day moving average — currently near $88,000 — stands as the next central support zone if selling pressure persists. Despite the breakdown, price is showing early signs of stabilization around current levels, hinting that dip buyers may be stepping in. Related Reading: Ethereum Whale Adds $105M To His ETH Position – $1.33B Bought Since Nov 4 Market structure remains corrective but not fully bearish. Bitcoin has repeatedly found support above its 200-day MA during previous mid-cycle retracements. A pattern that often precedes recovery once selling exhausts. The RSI (not shown here) is likely near oversold territory, reinforcing this view. If BTC can reclaim and hold above $100,000, a short-term relief rally toward $105,000–$108,000 could unfold. However, failure to defend $95,000 may accelerate the decline toward $90,000. Overall, the chart reflects a market in consolidation, balancing between capitulation risk and early accumulation. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

The Bitcoin price showed some signs of recovery at the start of the week, trading above the $110,000 mark. This uptick follows two consecutive Fridays of major drops, igniting fears and uncertainty among investors. These concerns have been compounded by predictions from experts about a potential bear market on the horizon. Looming Bear Market Threat Market analyst Doctor Profit, known for his accurate forecasts regarding the recent Bitcoin price trajectory, has recently cast doubt on whether market makers will allow both retail and institutional investors to exit at more favorable prices after incurring losses.  Related Reading: Dogecoin Price Moves: Can It Repeat The 36,000% Rally ‘Anomaly’ From Last Cycle? In a social media post on X (previously Twitter), he suggested that the maximum bullish scenario for the Bitcoin price in the near-term could reach around $116,500, representing a 9% increase from its current levels.  However, he emphasizes that a drop below $101,700 would breach what he terms the “magic bull market line,” effectively confirming a bear market. Profit advises caution, predicting a significant move that could push the Bitcoin price below this critical threshold, signaling the end of the bull run. Adding to the bearish sentiment, the Bitcoin price is currently hovering below the short-term holder realized price of $112,500. This figure represents the average entry point for short-term traders and buyers, many of whom are now facing losses.  On-chain data compiled by the expert also indicates that these traders are likely to sell off their positions if the Bitcoin price dips between 5% and 10%, potentially intensifying short-term selling pressure. Challenging Times Ahead For Bitcoin Price Profit further elaborates on the market conditions, pointing out that current price movements are indicative of market makers liquidating both bullish and bearish positions.  “Nothing goes down in a straight line,” he notes, suggesting that while the market could be in a bear market, it is essential to remain aware of short-term fluctuations. He argues that high-leverage traders must be wiped out on both sides before the market experiences its next significant downward movement.  Related Reading: Is The Dogecoin Bull Run Over? Analyst Sees Echoes Of 2021 The expert also warns that every brief rally is designed to mislead bullish traders and liquidate late bearish positions. The market makers’ strategy appears to involve pushing Bitcoin toward the $116,500 region to eliminate late bears and generate sufficient liquidity for another downward price adjustment, potentially leading to new local lows.  Looking ahead, Doctor Profit predicts that such price movements will continue to recur in the coming weeks and months, creating a challenging environment for investors in the volatile digital asset market. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

Ostium Labs’ Market Outlook #55 argues that Bitcoin’s higher-timeframe bull structure survived last week’s volatility and now points “back to the highs,” provided spot holds above $107,000. “Whilst we trade above $107k, I think the next move is back to the highs, with $112k likely to act as local support,” the note states, adding that the firm still expects price to trade into “that confluence of overhead resistance at $133k by month-end.” The team frames last week’s deleveraging as the “great reset,” contending that the largest liquidation event in crypto history removed excess leverage without breaking weekly structure. On the weekly chart, no major support was lost and the wick down to roughly $107,000 was reclaimed into a $115,000 close, which Ostium reads as confirmation that momentum remains bullish on higher timeframes. Invalidation is precise: “A weekly close below last week’s low is now the obvious invalidation… close through $107k… and we have a more pressing concern, where we undoubtedly then trade into $99k.” On the daily, Ostium notes a classic sweep-and-reversal sequence. Price twice tagged the prior range high near $126.3k, failed to hold above $123.8k, and then “collapsed,” ultimately wicking into the 200-day moving average—an area the desk had flagged as a likely terminal level for any early-October capitulation. The view from here is unambiguous: “Anyone expecting sub-$100k will remain sidelined for a long time—if you didn’t get it on the largest liquidation event in crypto history, I don’t think you’re getting it until we enter a bear market.” Tactical invalidation on this timeframe is a daily close below the 200-DMA, which would put the 360-DMA near $100,000 in play and constitute Ostium’s “line in the sand for a full-blown flip into bear market territory.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Weekly Preview: Trump’s Tariff Playbook Is Back — Here’s How To Trade It Path dependency matters for the upside call. Ostium expects prior highs around $112,000 to act as support and form a higher low, with “acceptance back above ~$116k” setting a rotation to the top of the range at $123.8k and then “price discovery beyond that.” The desk’s near-term timing is surprisingly punchy: “Gun to my head I think we trade $125k by early next week and $133k by month-end.” For traders, the preferred long setup is early-week weakness into $110k–$112k to establish a higher low, using a daily close below $107k (hard stop $105k) as risk, and targeting at least $121k with scope for much higher. A counter-trend short, by contrast, would require a grind up into the $121k confluence, a rejection and daily close back below $118k, and then a fade into the $110k–$112k zone—only if the higher-low hasn’t already formed. Positioning evidence, in Ostium’s view, buttresses the reset-then-extend thesis. The firm highlights obliterated open interest, Binance Net Longs back to “Liberation Day” lows, compressed three-month annualized basis, and fresh liquidation maps for one-week and one-month horizons—all consistent with a cleaner tape for trend continuation. The calendar this week is dense but navigable: a speech-heavy week (Powell, Bailey, Lagarde), the NY Empire State Manufacturing print, the Philadelphia Fed survey, and US Industrial Production. Ostium’s framework treats these events as potential catalysts rather than trend definers; so long as $107,000 holds and $112,000 functions as a springboard, the structural bias remains higher toward $133,000. At the core of the thesis is a binary investor psychology after the purge. “These sorts of events mark turning points: either you are now cemented in your belief that… the bear market has begun… or you are cemented in your belief that the leverage washout gives us the runway for higher for longer prices into Q1 next year,” Ostium writes. The desk is firmly in the latter camp, reiterating that Bitcoin “looks more bullish today than it did at the beginning of last week.” Briefly beyond Bitcoin, Ostium’s cross-asset read tilts supportive for the crypto beta complex if near-term conditions align. For Ethereum, weekly structure “looks nothing like a top,” with a decisive close above trendline resistance and $4,400 expected to trigger an all-time-high breakout; the team believes “ETH trades through $4,950 within 10 days… toward $5,750 in November,” and sees the Q4 low as likely in. Related Reading: Bitcoin Direction Still Unclear: Analyst Says Watch These Key Charts On ETH/BTC, the desk calls last week’s flush into 0.0319 a higher-low and anticipates ETH outperformance into year-end, contingent on reclaiming 0.0375 and eventually breaking the trendline—a dynamic that, if realized, could cap BTC dominance without undermining Bitcoin’s own trend. The DXY rally is viewed as late-stage: resistance near 100 and a looming rollover would reduce macro headwinds for risk assets. For US equities, Ostium still expects “higher for longer,” eyeing fresh SPX highs by month-end and a strong November as buyback blackouts end and earnings season progresses; improving equity breadth tends to coincide with constructive crypto flows. Finally, in “OTHERS,” the altcoin index printed a historic wick to the 360-week MA before reclaiming support; with derivatives positioning “utterly decimated,” Ostium now expects a higher local low, a November reclaim of the yearly open near $335bn, and, if confirmed, a push toward cycle and ATH resistance—conditions that usually track with a healthier, less fragile Bitcoin uptrend. Taken together, the desk’s message is consistent across timeframes and assets: the reset did its job, the invalidation is clear at $107,000, $112,000 should be the pivot, and the upside waypoint is $133,000, with the macro calendar more likely to modulate the path than to derail the destination. As Ostium summarizes, “Whilst we trade above $107k… the next move is back to the highs.” At press time, BTC traded at $111,509. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

After an impressive rally that propelled Bitcoin (BTC) to new heights above $126,000, the cryptocurrency market is now facing a wave of uncertainty. Major cryptocurrencies, including BTC, have seen a retracement to critical support levels, leaving many investors questioning the market’s direction.  Bitcoin And Ethereum Prices Projected To Skyrocket Market expert Ash Crypto recently shared insights on social media platform X (formerly Twitter), suggesting that this pullback serves to liquidate bullish positions, particularly among retail investors. He predicts a potential rebound in mid-October, expressing optimism that the market will rally significantly by the end of the month. Related Reading: BNB Price Soars 600% From Bear Market Lows, Eyeing $1,980 As Next Target According to Ash Crypto, the prevailing sentiment among traders is one of fear, leading many to believe that the anticipated “PUMPTober” has been canceled. However, he argues that when market sentiment is at its most pessimistic, a substantial bounce is likely to occur, setting the stage for a parabolic rally in the fourth quarter.  The expert’s projections estimate that Bitcoin could soar to between $150,000 and $180,000, while Ethereum (ETH) might reach between $8,000 and $12,000. This surge, he contends, would ignite a genuine altcoin season, with altcoins potentially experiencing gains of 10 to 50 times their current values within a few months. Analysts Predict Explosive Altcoin Phase Supporting this bullish outlook, analysts from The Bull Theory have noted that the cryptocurrency market is on the brink of its most explosive phase for altcoins. They draw parallels to the market behavior of 2020, when altcoins experienced a significant breakout after a lengthy base-building period.  The analysts point out that the current market structure mirrors that of 2020, with a multi-year base formation and higher lows indicating that buyers are increasingly absorbing supply.  The total altcoin market cap, excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum (referred to as TOTAL3), currently hovers around $1.14 trillion, just below a key resistance level of approximately $1.2 trillion. Historically, altseason has not commenced until this resistance is breached. As long as Bitcoin continues to reach new highs, liquidity tends to concentrate in BTC, leaving altcoins in the shadows.  However, once TOTAL3 breaks through its ceiling, the analysts anticipate a massive upside, potentially pushing the altcoin market cap to between $5 trillion and $7 trillion.  Related Reading: XRP Bull Run Reloaded: Analyst Says Momentum Mirrors 2017’s Explosive Rally This potential breakout is occurring alongside favorable conditions, including high Bitcoin dominance, significant inflows into Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs), improving regulatory clarity, and the resumption of global liquidity injections from countries like China and Japan. The current period of consolidation, rather than indicating weakness, is seen as a necessary phase before a broader expansion. As analysts emphasize, altseason does not begin arbitrarily; it commences when TOTAL3 decisively breaks out of its resistance. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

Bitcoin (BTC) is holding a tight range around $121,000–$123,000 after tapping a fresh all-time high near $126,000 earlier this week. Under the surface, demand remains robust as U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs just logged an eighth straight day of net inflows, with one session alone adding $441 million. Related Reading: Why The Bitcoin Price Might Never Drop Below $100,000 Again Over the past week, cumulative ETF net flows have climbed by billions, pushing total Bitcoin ETF assets toward $160 billion. This steady pipeline of capital, now a fixture of pension funds, RIAs, and asset managers, continues to soak up more BTC than miners create, tightening free float and muting deeper pullbacks. The setup reinforces Bitcoin’s evolving role as a portfolio diversifier and inflation hedge, especially as the U.S. dollar wobbles and macro uncertainty lingers. Technical Levels Point Bitcoin (BTC) to $117K Support, $125K–$126K Ceiling After the spike to new highs, BTC is digesting gains in a sideways band. $125,000–$126,000 remains the near-term ceiling; a decisive daily close above that zone would likely unlock momentum toward $128,000–$130,000 and extend price discovery. On the downside, $117,000 is developing as the first key support, aligning with a heavy cost-basis cluster and prior breakout structure. A deeper fade could probe $114,000 near the 50-day moving average, where trend buyers may re-engage. Momentum indicators are neutral-to-constructive (RSI mid-zone, MACD flattening), consistent with healthy consolidation above rising MAs. Traders are watching for: Spot-led strength over derivatives (cleaner advances). ETF inflows staying positive (supports dips). Range break above $126,000 on expanding volume (bullish confirmation). BTC's price records losses on the daily chart. Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview Scarcity Meets Institutional Liquidity Bitcoin’s post-halving issuance of 450 BTC/day collides with institutional demand that’s arriving “on schedule” via ETFs, creating a structural supply deficit. Year to date, institutional accumulation has outpaced new supply many times over, a dynamic that historically precedes trend extensions. Add in the dollar-debasement narrative, stubborn inflation, rising debt, and policy ambiguity, and credibly scarce assets like BTC and gold remain in favor. Related Reading: $200 Million Rescue Plan: TRUMP Meme Coin Fights For Survival With net inflows recurring and macro tailwinds intact, a range break toward $130,000 looks increasingly plausible in Q4, provided $117,000 holds on dips and $125,000–$126,000 gives way on a high-volume push. Cover image from ChatGPT, BTCUSD chart from Tradingview

Bitcoin has reclaimed key levels above the $118,000 mark, shifting momentum back in favor of the bulls after weeks of uncertainty. The breakout has reinvigorated sentiment across the market, with traders increasingly confident that BTC could be on the verge of a major move. Historically, October has been one of the strongest months for Bitcoin performance, and some analysts are already calling for a massive impulse that could carry the asset toward new highs. Related Reading: Metaplanet Expands Bitcoin Holdings To Over 30K BTC – Details What makes this rally especially notable is the underlying stability reflected in market data. Top analyst Axel Adler shared insights showing that Bitcoin currently sits in equilibrium, where buying and selling pressure are balanced. This condition often signals a healthy market structure, creating a strong base for potential upside. If momentum holds, the combination of bullish seasonal patterns and a stable equilibrium could fuel an aggressive continuation of the cycle. Still, analysts caution that the next few days will be critical. Reclaiming $118,000 is a strong first step, but Bitcoin will need to build support above this threshold to confirm the breakout and sustain its trajectory. With volatility returning, October may once again prove to be a decisive month for Bitcoin. Bitcoin Dynamics Align With A Key Indicator In a CryptoQuant report, Adler explains that Bitcoin’s current price behavior aligns closely with the STH-MVRV pricing corridor, a metric designed to reflect the average profitability of recent buyers. This corridor provides a framework for evaluating when short-term holders are in profit and more likely to sell, versus when they are at a loss and likely to capitulate. At present, Bitcoin sits comfortably within this range, suggesting a healthy equilibrium in market dynamics. The upper boundary of the corridor, defined as +1σ, currently hovers around $130,000. Adler notes that this level represents a zone where short-term holders typically begin to lock in profits more aggressively. Historically, price approaches to this boundary have triggered waves of selling, providing a natural cap until stronger demand emerges. Nevertheless, the existence of this upper bound gives the market a clear target, and if current dynamics persist, a move toward $130K appears increasingly realistic. Equally important is the baseline of the corridor, which reflects the average realized price of short-term holders. Since the beginning of 2024, Bitcoin has consistently held above this level (marked by the yellow line on the chart). This persistent strength signals sustained bullish sentiment, as short-term drops below the baseline have been quickly bought up, reflecting robust demand. In effect, Bitcoin remains in a state of equilibrium—neither overheated nor oversold—within the established volatility corridor. This balance, combined with the historical seasonality of October rallies and strong institutional flows, positions the market favorably for potential upside. If buying pressure continues and volatility contracts, the probability of an advance toward the $130K zone becomes a tangible scenario in the weeks ahead. Related Reading: Galaxy’s Digital Bitcoin Sales Continue: 1,190 Bitcoin Moves To Binance Bitcoin Faces Resistance After A Rally Bitcoin is trading around $118,800 on the 12-hour chart, extending its breakout from earlier this week. Price has surged past the key $117,500 resistance, a level that capped rallies throughout September, and is now testing the $119,000–$120,000 area. This zone represents the final hurdle before a potential retest of summer highs near $125,000. The moving averages show improving momentum. BTC has reclaimed the 50-period (blue) and 100-period (green) moving averages with strong follow-through, turning them into short-term support zones around $114,000–$115,000. Meanwhile, the 200-period (red) moving average continues to rise from below, reinforcing the longer-term bullish trend. The decisive break above multiple averages in just a few sessions highlights the strength of buyer conviction. Related Reading: The Bitcoin Long: Bybit Traders Push BTC Taker Buy/Sell Ratio Above 24 However, the chart also suggests that Bitcoin is entering overextended territory in the short term. After four consecutive bullish candles, a period of consolidation around $118,000–$119,000 would not be surprising. A failure to hold above $117,500 could see a pullback toward $115,000, while sustained buying could confirm a path to $120,000 and beyond. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

Following the recent decision by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut interest rates, the Bitcoin price has resumed its upward trajectory after a brief period of consolidation below $115,000.  This shift aligns with forecasts from leading analysts, who suggest that the market’s top cryptocurrency may reach a new all-time high (ATH) in the coming months. Some experts even believe that this milestone could be achieved as soon as two weeks from now. Bullish Indicators Emerge Market expert Axel Adler has highlighted key indicators supporting this outlook. He noted on social media platform X that BTC futures are trading at a premium compared to spot prices, with a consistently positive basis. Additionally, the seven-day basis is above the thirty-day average, suggesting a bullish market regime.  Related Reading: Coinbase Vs. State Regulators: Crypto Exchange Fights Legal Fragmentation Adler’s analysis suggests a base case probability of around 70% for a continued stepwise uptrend or sideways movement over the next two weeks for the Bitcoin price.  He emphasized that if a cluster of bullish signals emerges—such as rising prices, an increasing basis, and growing open interest—this would likely attract fresh long positions and enhance the likelihood of the Bitcoin price achieving a new ATH. Importantly, the Short-Term Holder (STH) Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Z-scores for both the 155-day and 365-day periods are hovering near zero, indicating that the market is balanced and not in an overheated or oversold state.  With the Bitcoin price positioned just above its Short-Term Realized Price, Adler stresses that the stage is set for potential consolidation over the next week or two, followed by a possible surge toward new highs. Adler referred to this anticipated movement as a new “uptober” for Bitcoin and the broader digital asset market. Bitcoin Price Boost Predicted Amidst Strong US Stock Market Performance Adding to the bullish sentiment surrounding the Bitcoin price is the recent performance of US stocks, which have been on a significant uptrend for the past two weeks.  Analysts at The Bull Theory have noted a correlation between stock market rallies and the Bitcoin price action, with the analysts suggesting that Bitcoin tends to rise when US equities hit new highs.  Related Reading: Next XRP ‘Monster Leg’ Will Start No Earlier Than 2026: Analyst Historical data supports this notion: as seen in the chart below, after an all-time high in the S&P 500, the Bitcoin price has averaged an increase of 12% over 30 days and an impressive 36% over 90 days. If this were to occur again, the Bitcoin price would reach $131,000 and even $178,000 respectively.  Similarly, following a Nasdaq all-time high, Bitcoin’s average gains are 16% in 30 days and 46% in 90 days. This scenario would position the market’s leading cryptocurrency at $136,000 and $199,000 if similar price action unfolds from current trading levels of $117,770.  Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin has gained 7% since the start of September, showing renewed strength after weeks of uneven price action. Yet, the market is bracing for heightened volatility in the coming days as attention shifts to this Wednesday’s Federal Reserve meeting. Investors widely expect a rate cut, but the size of the move remains the key question shaping sentiment. Related Reading: Three Whales Buy $205M Ethereum From FalconX: Institutional Flows Accelerate If the Fed opts for a 25 basis point cut, many analysts see it as a measured and healthy pivot that could support risk assets, including Bitcoin, without sparking fears of deeper economic weakness. Such a move would likely reinforce confidence in a controlled transition toward easier monetary policy. On the other hand, a 50 basis point cut could send a very different signal. While it may initially provide liquidity relief, markets could interpret it as a sign of serious underlying fragility in the economy. That scenario risks triggering panic, especially if investors fear the Fed is reacting to problems worse than expected. Bitcoin Holds Key Levels Ahead Of Fed’s Decision According to top analyst Axel Adler, Bitcoin is showing signs of resilience as it trades at the upper boundary of its channel near $116,400, supported by a sustained bullish momentum score of 0.8. This score, which reflects the balance of market forces, suggests that despite recent volatility, Bitcoin’s structural strength remains intact. Adler notes that the market is heavily driven by expectations of a rate cut, which has injected confidence into risk assets. The timing of this setup could not be more critical, with the Federal Reserve set to announce its interest rate decision on September 17, 2025, at 2:00 PM Eastern Time. Interestingly, while Bitcoin has held its ground at key resistance levels, altcoins have started to show strength independently for the first time in months. This decoupling suggests that capital rotation is taking place, with investors diversifying beyond Bitcoin. As liquidity expands, this dynamic could mark the start of a new market phase, where both Bitcoin and altcoins drive momentum instead of BTC alone. Related Reading: Bitcoin Crawls Up On Weak Supply: 30D Momentum Reveals It Lacks Real Demand Testing Key Resistance Levels Bitcoin is currently trading around $114,938, showing consolidation just below the $116,000 resistance zone. The chart highlights a notable rebound from early September lows near $110,000, with BTC climbing steadily back into its mid-range. Price is now attempting to hold gains above the 50-day moving average (blue line) and is hovering around the 100-day (green line) and 200-day (red line) moving averages, which are converging and creating a dense resistance cluster. This setup reflects a tense balance between bulls and bears. Bulls have managed to protect $110,000 and push BTC higher, signaling renewed strength. On the other hand, BTC has repeatedly failed to establish momentum above $116,000, a level that must be cleared decisively to target the major resistance near $123,217, marked on the chart as the next critical upside barrier. Related Reading: Dormant Bitcoin Waking Up: Over 600K BTC Moved Onchain In Weeks The current sideways structure suggests a drift phase, with traders waiting for catalysts such as the upcoming Fed rate decision. A successful breakout above $116,000 could reignite momentum toward $120,000 and beyond. However, failure to hold above the 50-day SMA risks a retest of $112,000 or even $110,000 support. For now, Bitcoin remains range-bound, but pressure is building for a directional move. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin is facing a pivotal moment as it consolidates just above the $110K level after slipping below the $112K support yesterday. Bulls are attempting to hold this level to avoid further downside and to spark a recovery rally. However, many analysts remain cautious, pointing out that momentum has weakened since Bitcoin’s all-time high just over a week ago, with the market now retracing more than 10%. Related Reading: Bitcoin CEX Netflows Still Green Despite Large Sellers Rotating To Ethereum Top analyst Axel Adler shared critical insights, highlighting that the nearest strong support lies within the $100K–$107K range. This zone is particularly important as it represents the confluence of two major indicators: the Short-Term Holder (STH) Realized Price and the 200-day simple moving average (SMA). Historically, these overlapping metrics have acted as strong levels of defense during prior bull cycles, helping Bitcoin maintain its long-term uptrend. If Bitcoin loses the $110K level decisively, a test of this deeper support band becomes likely. At the same time, sentiment across the market suggests a delicate balance: while fundamentals such as institutional adoption remain strong, short-term traders are increasingly wary of another correction. The coming days will determine whether Bitcoin can defend its structure or risk a broader retracement. Bitcoin Support Levels: Key Insights According to Adler, Bitcoin’s current struggle around the $110K zone highlights how crucial strong support levels will be in shaping the next market phase. He points out that if BTC fails to hold the $100K–$107K confluent range, the next significant support lies deeper, around the $92K–$93K region. This zone reflects the cost basis of short-term holders who acquired Bitcoin within the past three to six months. Historically, such levels act as “last defense” areas where buyers step in, as these investors tend to be highly sensitive to price swings. Adler stresses that losing the $100K–$107K level would likely trigger a sharp reaction in the market, as it not only aligns with the 200-day SMA but also the Short-Term Holder Realized Price. A break below would shift sentiment, possibly leading to panic selling before stability re-emerges near the $92K–$93K area. Despite these risks, Adler and many other analysts still expect Bitcoin to reclaim momentum in the medium term. They argue that strong fundamentals, ranging from institutional adoption to declining exchange reserves, support the thesis of BTC pushing past all-time highs in the coming months. For now, however, the $100K–$107K range remains the battleground that will decide Bitcoin’s near-term direction. Related Reading: Ethereum Whale Demand Surges On Binance As Price Nears $5,000 BTC Price Analysis: Key Levels To Hold Bitcoin is trading near $110,213 after a sharp retrace, showing signs of struggle as bulls attempt to stabilize the market. The chart highlights a critical test at the 200-day moving average (200D SMA, red line), currently sitting just below the price and acting as the last major dynamic support. This level has historically provided strong protection during corrections, and losing it could trigger deeper declines. The 50-day (blue) and 100-day (green) SMAs are now turning into resistance levels after being breached in recent sessions. Both indicators cluster in the $111K–$116K range, signaling heavy selling pressure above. The broader structure shows Bitcoin has failed to reclaim the $123K zone, its recent all-time high, and has instead shifted into a consolidation phase marked by lower highs and testing supports. Related Reading: Ethereum Upper Realized Band Signals Market Heat: Profit-Taking Zone Ahead? If BTC loses the $110K zone, the next major support lies in the $100K–$107K range, aligning with Adler’s view that this area represents the STH (short-term holder) realized cost basis and the SMA 200D confluence. On the upside, reclaiming $115K will be the first step for a recovery. For now, Bitcoin remains in a vulnerable but critical zone where the next move will dictate whether bulls can regain control. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin (BTC) has once again slipped under the $120,000 price mark, retracing after reaching a new all-time high above $124,000 last week. As of the latest market data, BTC is trading around $115,557, down 2.5% in the past 24 hours and nearly 7% below its peak. This price movement suggests that the asset is currently consolidating after its recent rally, leaving market participants watching closely for the next directional move. Meanwhile, analysts are turning to on-chain data for signals on Bitcoin’s potential trajectory. One such perspective comes from PelinayPA, a contributor to CryptoQuant’s QuickTake platform, who examined long-term holder (LTH) behavior using a set of profit and loss metrics. The findings highlight that while profit-taking has begun, current selling levels remain below historical extremes seen in past bull market peaks. Related Reading: Bitcoin, XRP, ETH’s Pullback: Key Factors Behind The Recent Drop Tracking Long-Term Holder Signals According to PelinayPA, the LTH analysis uses several indicators to measure the relationship between Bitcoin’s price and the cost basis of long-term holders. Profit and loss bands, ranging from 150% to 1,000% above cost basis, help determine when Bitcoin enters zones historically associated with a higher risk of market tops. When BTC approaches the +500% band, it has often coincided with heightened selling activity and eventual cycle peaks. The analysis also incorporates a Spending Binary Indicator, which reflects the intensity of LTH selling, alongside “High Spending” signals that typically emerge near market tops and “Bottom Alerts” that occur during deep corrections. Reviewing past cycles, PelinayPA pointed to 2017 and 2021, where bear market downturns followed heavy long-term holder selling, while the 2022–2023 bottom was marked by multiple loss realization alerts around the $15,000–$20,000 range. Currently, Bitcoin sits within the 150%–350% profit band, leaving potential room for further growth, though the risk of a market top rises as the asset approaches the higher bands. The analyst noted that while green profit-taking bars are visible today, they remain well below the levels observed in earlier cycle peaks. Bitcoin Market Outlook: Short, Mid, and Long Term In outlining the potential scenarios, PelinayPA suggested that Bitcoin may remain range-bound in the short term, as controlled profit-taking by long-term holders limits upside momentum. However, if accumulation and broader demand continue, the price could advance into the $124,000–$178,000 range, corresponding to the higher profit thresholds on the LTH model. For the mid-term outlook, extending into late 2025, the analyst cautioned that if long-term holder selling intensifies like in 2021, Bitcoin could be nearing a cycle top. In such a scenario, the asset might peak above $150,000 before the next major correction. Looking ahead to 2026, the absence of new bottom alerts suggests that the market is still within the later stages of the ongoing bull cycle, rather than transitioning into a confirmed bear market. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin is holding firm above the $115,000 level after several days of trading below it, signaling renewed strength in the market. The bullish tone is building as Ethereum posts massive gains and altcoins begin to show strong moves over the past few days. For some analysts, this could be the start of the long-awaited altseason; for others, it’s simply the rest of the market catching up to Bitcoin’s earlier rally. Related Reading: Bitcoin–S&P 500 Correlation Hits 80%, Tying Crypto To Stocks Top analyst Axel Adler noted that Bitcoin’s price is now trading close to its all-time high, with the BTC Z-Score (Price, 30/365) sitting around +1.5σ above its one-year norm. This reading is well below the +2.5σ level typically associated with overheating, suggesting that while momentum is strong, it is not yet at extreme levels. The current environment offers a favorable backdrop for potential upside, with room for the market to expand further before reaching overheated conditions. With altcoins gaining traction and Ethereum’s rally adding fuel to the market’s optimism, the coming days could determine whether this is a sustainable breakout or just another phase of consolidation before the next major move. On-Chain Activity Still Lags Behind Price According to Adler, Bitcoin’s current market setup is showing a positive backdrop but with some important caveats. Adler points out that the Adjusted Price Divergence (APD) remains negative near −1.5 after rebounding from local lows around −2. This metric suggests that Bitcoin’s price is still outpacing on-chain activity, although the gap between the two is narrowing. In other words, while price momentum is firm, the network’s transactional activity and usage haven’t yet fully caught up. This discrepancy creates an interesting dynamic for the market. Adler explains that the bias still favors price, meaning momentum is being driven more by investor positioning and sentiment than by on-chain fundamentals. For the rally to gain more structural support, a healthier setup would see APD move toward zero. This could happen in one of two ways: either network activity increases significantly while price moves sideways or posts modest gains, or Bitcoin’s price cools off to better align with current usage levels. Importantly, Adler warns against interpreting APD moving toward zero as a direct buy or sell signal. Instead, it represents a sign of normalization — a point where market price and underlying network fundamentals are better aligned. For now, Bitcoin’s technical and macro backdrop remains bullish, but sustained long-term growth will likely require the network to catch up with price action. Related Reading: Ethereum Exchange Balances Decline To 18.8M ETH: Smart Money Drains Supply Bitcoin Price Holds Key Support Near $115K Bitcoin is consolidating above the $115,724 support level after a brief dip below it earlier this month. The daily chart shows price stabilizing just above the 50-day simple moving average (SMA), currently near $113,324, which has acted as a strong dynamic support throughout the recent uptrend. The short-term structure remains bullish, with BTC trading inside a range between $115,724 support and the $122,077 resistance level. Volume has tapered off slightly since the early August rebound, suggesting the market is in a wait-and-see mode before a potential breakout. A decisive close above $118,000 could invite another test of the $122,077 resistance, a key level that has capped upside attempts multiple times. If broken, this could open the door toward new all-time highs. Related Reading: Bitcoin Miners Avoid Forced Selling: BTC Sits 7.4% Above Last Difficulty Bottom On the downside, losing $115,724 would shift focus to the 100-day SMA at $108,983 as the next major support. Until then, the higher-lows pattern suggests buyers are defending the mid-$115K zone aggressively. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

As Bitcoin (BTC) continues to consolidate slightly below the $120,000 level, the dominance of new investors is steadily rising. However, on-chain data shows that BTC is still far from overheating, suggesting the premier cryptocurrency may have more room to run before a significant correction sets in. Bitcoin May Still Have Some Room To Run According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor AxelAdlerJr, new investor dominance in Bitcoin is gradually increasing – currently hovering around 30%, which is only halfway to the historical “overheated” threshold. Related Reading: Bitcoin Overheating Signals Easing – Is A Second-Half Rally Ahead? The analyst shared the following chart, which highlights two past instances – marked in orange – when new investor dominance reached overheated levels and coincided with BTC local price tops. The first instance occurred in March 2024 when the metric hit 64%, and the second in December 2024 when it peaked at 72%. In both cases, BTC experienced a significant pullback, leading to the formation of local bottoms. Notably, as the influx of new liquidity dried up during these phases, long-term holders began actively taking profits. This added further pressure on BTC’s price. Currently, while new investor dominance is trending higher, it remains well below the euphoria zone – typically between 60% and 70% – suggesting more upside potential in BTC’s bullish momentum before exhaustion. Meanwhile, older holders continue to sell moderately. The chart indicates a coefficient of 0.3, showing that the supply of three-year-old BTC is still absorbing fresh demand without sharp disruptions. From a long-term perspective, the market remains balanced, and the risk of large-scale capitulation from veteran wallets appears low. AxelAdlerJr concluded: If the indicator’s growth accelerates and approaches the historical corridor of 0.6-0.7, one should expect intensified profit-taking and, consequently, a correction. For now, the supply/demand structure remains in a healthy late bull cycle phase, when new money is coming in but old players have not yet transitioned to mass selling. Is BTC Price About To Stall? While the data above suggests that Bitcoin still has room to grow, other indicators point to waning momentum. One such signal is the recent decline in the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap, which has broken its long streak of positive values. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Rally Might Be Running on Fumes, Analyst Warns of August Turning Point Fellow CryptoQuant analyst ArabChain confirmed this development in their analysis. They noted that US investor enthusiasm for BTC appears to be cooling at current price levels. That said, positive macroeconomic factors – such as BTC’s historical correlation with global M2 money supply expansion – could still lead the digital asset to new all-time highs in the near term. At press time, BTC trades at $118,371, up 0.6% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com

Yesterday, Bitcoin (BTC) once again faced rejection around the $120,000 resistance level after briefly reaching a high of $119,760. At the time of writing, the top cryptocurrency is trading slightly lower at $118,900. However, a sharp increase in whale inflows to Binance threatens to trigger further downside pressure for the digital asset. Binance Whales Ramp Up Bitcoin Deposits According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor BorisVest, Bitcoin whale activity on Binance has increased significantly in recent days. In particular, the Binance Whale Inflow metric recorded a notable spike on July 25, signalling rising institutional participation in exchange deposits. Related Reading: Bitcoin Flow Pulse Breaks From 2017, 2021 Patterns – What It Means For The Rally On that day alone, the 30-day cumulative inflow to Binance surged by $1.2 billion, fuelling short-term selling pressure across the market. Data from CoinGlass shows that between July 24 and July 25, roughly $141 million worth of BTC long positions were liquidated as a result. It’s worth noting that alongside this spike in whale deposits, retail investors have also been moving their holdings to exchanges. However, their participation remains relatively low in comparison, hinting that recent selling pressure is predominantly whale-driven. The following chart illustrates that while retail inflows have been trending upward for weeks, the sudden increase in whale deposits has introduced additional fragility into Bitcoin’s price structure.  The surge in Binance whale inflows came just before Bitcoin was rejected at the critical $120,000 level. Following this rejection, BTC retraced to the $115,000–$116,000 range, which is now acting as short-term support. The analyst noted: This area is now acting as a short-term support zone. If it fails to hold, a move toward the $110K level becomes increasingly likely. On the other hand, if Bitcoin can bounce strongly from this region, there is still potential to retest $121K and even attempt a new all-time high. BorisVest concluded that BTC’s near-term price trajectory will be determined by how well the market absorbs whale sell-off. Meanwhile, fellow crypto analyst Titan of Crypto remarked that if BTC decisively breaks through the $119,900 level, then it could eye new all-time highs (ATH). What Else Does Exchange Data Suggest? Whale inflows aren’t the only factor spooking investors. BTC reserves on centralized exchanges also recently reached a one-month high, suggesting that some holders may be anticipating a temporary pullback or consolidation phase before resuming the uptrend. Related Reading: Bitcoin Must Defend This Key Support For $180,000 Year-End Target, Analyst Says That said, Binance’s share of BTC spot trading volume recently saw a sharp rise, suggesting that a rally may be on the horizon for the world’s leading cryptocurrency. At press time, BTC trades at $118,926, up 0.4% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant, X, and TradingView.com

Bitcoin continues to consolidate between $115,000 and $120,000, with bulls maintaining control despite the lack of a breakout above $123,000. What stands out in this range-bound structure is the clear demand concentration around $117,000. According to Glassnode’s BTC Cost Basis Distribution Heatmap, this level has consistently attracted buying interest, acting as a key area where capital rotates into Bitcoin. Related Reading: Bitcoin Endures One Of The Most Intense Bear Weeks Of This Bull Cycle – Details The heatmap reveals dense clusters of cost basis activity near key price levels. This reinforces its role as short-term support and a psychological anchor for bulls. As long as this zone holds, the risk of a full breakdown remains limited—even as BTC struggles to reach new highs. However, repeated rejections near $120K and muted momentum raise concerns that upside exhaustion could eventually lead to deeper downside. If demand at $117K begins to fade, price may quickly revisit lower levels in search of fresh support. For now, though, on-chain data shows that accumulation remains healthy, and this zone could be the foundation for Bitcoin’s next attempt to reclaim the highs. $117K Becomes Bitcoin’s Accumulation Stronghold as Market Shifts Bitcoin’s $117,000 level has emerged as a key accumulation zone, with approximately 73,000 BTC now held at this cost basis, according to the latest data from Glassnode. This reinforces the idea that buyers continue to step in on every dip, absorbing selling pressure and stabilizing price action within the current range. The BTC Cost Basis Distribution Heatmap shows a consistent buildup of demand in this area, highlighting investor confidence around this support zone. What makes this cycle particularly unique is the presence of legal clarity and accelerating institutional adoption in the US. Unlike previous cycles, where price action was often driven by retail speculation and extreme volatility, today’s structure appears more measured. Regulatory progress—especially around spot Bitcoin ETFs and clearer custody frameworks—has attracted a wave of long-term capital. This influx of institutional demand is not only stabilizing the market but also making it less reactive to short-term swings. However, Bitcoin’s calm price action may not last much longer. As Ethereum gains momentum, driven by rising open interest and on-chain activity, capital is beginning to rotate into altcoins. Historically, such transitions have marked the end of Bitcoin-led phases and the beginning of broader market expansions. If ETH and altcoins continue to accelerate, Bitcoin’s tight trading range could break—either leading to a catch-up rally or a temporary pause as capital rotates elsewhere. Related Reading: Ethereum CME Futures Open Interest Hits Record $7.85B – Is ETH Overheating? BTC Range Narrows As Price Holds Between Key Levels The 8-hour chart shows Bitcoin consolidating tightly between $115,724 and $122,077, with the price currently hovering around $118,762. Despite a lack of strong momentum, the structure remains bullish as BTC holds above all major moving averages—the 50 SMA ($118,185), 100 SMA ($113,521), and 200 SMA ($109,754). This alignment signals continued trend strength, with short-term dips being supported by buyers. Volume has declined during the consolidation, a typical sign of a neutral phase where market participants await a breakout. Notably, each pullback toward the lower boundary near $115,700 has been met with strong demand, confirming this zone as key support. Meanwhile, resistance at $122,000 continues to cap bullish attempts, forming a clear range that will likely define Bitcoin’s next move. Related Reading: TRON Sees $1B USDT Mint: Liquidity Wave Incoming? If BTC can reclaim $120,000 with a strong surge in volume, a breakout toward new all-time highs above $123,000 becomes likely. Conversely, a breakdown below $115,700 could trigger a sharper correction toward the 100 SMA around $113,500. For now, all eyes remain on whether bulls can sustain pressure and flip resistance, or if sellers regain control near the top of the range. The current setup favors patient accumulation as the market prepares for its next directional move. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

The Bitcoin price has been cooling off on low timeframes, while the altcoin markets take advantage to trend higher. The top cryptocurrency has been struggling as major holders take profit at BTC’s current level. Related Reading: Altcoin Season Index Spikes Above 30, But Bitcoin Dominance Remains High, What Next? At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price trades around $118,800 with a 2% gain over the last 24 hours and a 9% gain over the past week, according to data from CoinGecko. Conversely, Ethereum, XRP, and Dogecoin have seen gains north of 16% on similar timeframes. BTC's price trends to the upside on the daily chart. Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview Bitcoin Price At Critical Levels, More Gains On The Horizon Following a major upside push from below $100,000, the Bitcoin price broke a persistent downtrend and managed to hit a fresh all-time high close to its current levels. As mentioned, a report from on-chain analytics firm Glassnode claimed an increase in profit taking from short-term holders. As these players exited the market, taking over $3.5 billion in profits in just 24 hours, the Bitcoin price lose steam and began moving sideways. While Bitcoin has been on a violent bull run, there are still fears of a major pullback from the $118,000 area to the support zone at around $110,000. However, a report from CryptoQuant, with data from top analyst Crypto Dan, suggests that the Bitcoin bull run still has some room for another leg up. As seen in the chart below, the current BTC market is nowhere near the overheated levels recorded in March and December of 2024. BTC's Realized Cap Age Bands as measured by UTXOs far from previous bear market levels. Source: Crypto Dan via CryptoQuant The CryptoQuant post stated the following, sharing an insight from Crypto Dan: (…) unlike in March and December 2024, on-chain data indicating market overheating shows that the market still hasn’t reached an overheated state. Despite the price rising even higher, the fact that overheating has significantly decreased compared to previous short-term peaks suggests that Bitcoin could continue to break all-time highs and rise significantly in the second half of 2025, leaving strong potential for growth. Bitcoin Bull Run Far From Over? In this context, and if bulls are able to sustain the momentum, Bitcoin is likely heading for higher. As NewsBTC covered earlier, a prediction from a top analyst claims that the levels of BTC adoption are unprecedented. Related Reading: This Fibonacci Level Puts The Dogecoin Price Above $10 This Cycle As such, the analyst said that the ‘real Bitcoin move’ is only about to begin. The analyst stated: I have a high degree of confidence that we’ll see $400k by the end of this year. This target might be too conservative. Cover image from ChatGPT, BTCUSD chart from Tradingview

In a post on 27 June, crypto-market chartist Dr Cat (@DoctorCatX) warned that Bitcoin’s ostensibly bullish weekly structure may be concealing a latent “time bomb” that could detonate if bulls fail to force a decisive breakout over the next three to four weeks. The technician’s diagnosis hinges on a classic Ichimoku paradox: an expanding bullish kumo and a flat Kijun Sen on the weekly timeframe are clustering with a constellation of bearish warnings on the daily and two-day charts. Bitcoin Faces A July Time Bomb “Look at the weekly kumo: it’s expanding, widening,” Dr Cat began. “This means that bullish momentum is building for potential trend sustainability even though the trend is not active as Kijun Sen is flat.” The observation is significant because an enlarging kumo—formed by the Senkou Span A/B envelope—generally represents thickening support, making sudden breakdowns statistically less probable as long as the cloud keeps widening. Related Reading: Is The Bitcoin Top In? Bitcoin MVRV-Score Has The Answer At the same time, the Chikou Span (CS) is “above the candles without a gap,” but, Dr Cat cautioned, it has “4 weeks deadline to close above ATH or will enter the candles.” Should the lagging line be absorbed back into price, the textbook interpretation is a loss of bullish conviction at the largest visible scale. That ostensibly constructive weekly backdrop contrasts starkly with a “lot of red flags on the daily hinting for a bearish scenario which can escalate on many levels.” Among those alarms is the prospect of a death TK cross on the two-day chart, anticipated “tonight,” in which the Tenkan Sen slips below the Kijun Sen—often the prelude to a down-leg when it materialises beneath the cloud. “So how do you interpret such conflicting information from different timeframes?” the analyst asked rhetorically, underscoring that traders who privilege only a single interval risk being blindsided. Dr Cat’s answer is a roadmap defined by time. Because the weekly cloud continues expanding, “it is hard for the price to dump a lot” immediately; historically, the kumo “needs first to become flat.” The flattening mechanism is mechanical: if Bitcoin fails to record a fresh all-time high “in 2 weeks from now,” roughly by the week that begins 14 July, the leading Senkou Span A numerator will stop rising, truncating cloud expansion. That in turn opens a window for gravity to reassert itself on the higher timeframe. Against that backdrop the analyst offered two conditional trajectories. First scenario: bearish signals on the lower charts mature. “The price will likely need at least 1.5 month or so for a very big dump on the weekly scale, because the weekly kumo will keep expanding for 2 more weeks,” Dr Cat wrote. During that holding period the market could “range around / just do small dumps to the $90s,” a reference to the high–$90 000 zone that has defined range lows since late spring. Should this grind continue beyond the second half of July without a structural shift on daily Ichimoku metrics, weekly momentum would invert: the kumo would cease expanding and the CS would dive into prior candles, removing two of the most durable layers of longer-term support. Related Reading: Top Analyst Predicts New Bitcoin Peak Timeline And ‘Double Cycle Blowoff’ Second scenario: bulls seize the initiative. To “save the chart from the warning signs,” buyers must engineer “a higher high above the $110,600 high shortly after the 27th of June,” thereby invalidating the bearish daily setup and re-energising the top-down trend. Time is critical: after “the week starting on 14th of July,” the CS will approach prior candlesticks, making each subsequent failure to print a new high proportionally more damaging. Dr Cat locates a final decision node on “the Sunday of the week starting on the 14th of July”—20 July—when the interplay between a stalling cloud and an in-candle CS could arm an additional set of “red flags for bulls.” The post stops short of assigning explicit probability weightings to either outcome, but its construction implies that the market’s most consequential catalyst in mid-summer may not be macro data or ETF flows so much as a self-reflexive technical countdown visible to every chart-watcher who uses Ichimoku. With roughly three weeks remaining before the cloud loses upward curvature, participants must choose between forcing a breakout above $110,600 or bracing for a higher-time-frame correction that could test sub-$100 000 territory. Whether Bitcoin’s expanding cloud proves a shield or a trap is, by Dr Cat’s own framing, “hidden in plain sight.” For now, the bullish weekly silhouette buys bulls breathing-room, but the daily and two-day warnings ensure that every hour the asset trades side-ways the theoretical time bomb ticks louder. At press time, BTC traded at $106,778. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin is trading above the $105,000 level after a sharp rebound triggered by the announcement of a ceasefire between Israel and Iran. The geopolitical relief provided a strong tailwind for risk assets, and BTC responded with a powerful surge, regaining a critical psychological level that had previously flipped into resistance. Now, as bulls regain momentum, Bitcoin is flirting with a potential breakout above the $110,000 mark — a key level that capped rallies throughout June. Related Reading: Bitcoin Battles Key Support: Daily EMA-100 Must Hold to Prevent Deep Correction This renewed strength comes after several days of volatility and fear, where BTC dipped to as low as $98,200 amid escalating conflict in the Middle East. However, the swift recovery has shifted sentiment back in favor of the bulls. According to on-chain data from CryptoQuant, there has been a heavy spike in Taker Buy Volume over the past 48 hours — a strong signal that aggressive market participants are stepping in with conviction. These buy-side imbalances suggest that institutional and high-conviction traders are positioning for further upside. As the market heats up and risk appetite grows, a breakout above the $110K resistance could confirm the start of a new bullish impulse. For now, all eyes are on whether BTC can hold and extend above current levels. Bitcoin Faces Uncertainty As Bulls Defend Structure Bitcoin is currently facing a critical test, trading in a tight range after failing to break above its all-time high. Although bulls have managed to defend the overall structure and keep BTC above key moving averages, the price action has not provided a clear directional signal. The asset is roughly 6% down from its $112K peak, and while some traders expect an imminent breakout toward new highs, others warn of a potential retrace below the $100K psychological level. This divide among analysts stems from ongoing geopolitical instability — particularly in the Middle East — and tightening macroeconomic conditions. The Fed’s commitment to elevated interest rates and rising US Treasury yields continues to weigh on risk sentiment, making it difficult for BTC to build sustained momentum. Despite the uncertainty, buyers have shown signs of strength, with many looking to confirm the recent bounce as a solid bottom. Top analyst Maartunn highlighted one key bullish signal: heavy spikes in Taker Buy Volume, which indicate aggressive market orders being filled on the buy side. This suggests that high-conviction buyers are stepping in at current levels, potentially front-running a larger move to the upside. While this is a positive sign for short-term sentiment, Bitcoin must still reclaim the $109K–$112K range to invalidate the risk of a broader correction. Until then, traders remain cautious. If BTC closes a daily candle below the $103.6K support or loses the $100K level again, it could trigger a wave of liquidations and send prices lower. On the other hand, holding above $105K and building volume could set the stage for the next leg up. The coming days will be crucial in defining Bitcoin’s path forward. Related Reading: Ethereum Holds Critical Support – $2,350 Level Could Define The Next Move BTC Surges Above Key Support As Buyers Step In The 12-hour chart for Bitcoin reveals a strong bullish reaction after a brief dip below the $103,600 support level. The price rebounded sharply, reclaiming both the 100 and 50-period moving averages (green and blue lines, respectively), with BTC now trading around $105,357. This move confirms the importance of the $103,600 zone as a high-demand area, which has acted as a launchpad multiple times since early May. Volume surged on the recent bounce, indicating aggressive buying activity. The spike suggests whales and institutional buyers likely absorbed the panic selling triggered by geopolitical events earlier in the week. Price is now approaching the $109,300 resistance level, a key ceiling that capped multiple rallies in May and June. Related Reading: Solana Cracks Below Key Structure – Head And Shoulders Breakdown Points To $106 The short-term momentum remains constructive as long as BTC holds above the moving averages. However, a rejection near $109K could confirm a broader consolidation range between $103K and $109K. If bulls manage to flip $109,300 into support, the path to retest the all-time highs around $112K opens up. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin rallied above $105,000 in mid-morning European trading on Tuesday, clawing back losses sustained over the weekend after dipping below six figures for the first time since May. Yet the respite may prove fleeting, says veteran technician Quantum Ascend (@quantum_ascend). Bitcoin Price Mirrors 2021 On side-by-side charts of the current cycle and the 2021-to-2024 arc, the analyst argued that Bitcoin is “the same exact pattern—run-up, one high, back down, second high,” followed by an ABC corrective sequence that in 2021 bottomed only after a second, deeper flush. “Gut says no,” he told viewers when asked whether last Friday’s sell-off had already marked capitulation. “We’ve been talking about this ABC since March… people were calling for new lows; I said nope, we got five waves at the top, we got an ABC and then we go— and that’s when the alts take off.” His base case now envisions a relief rally toward the $107,000–$108,000 band—the level where a trend-line projected from the two post-halving peaks intersects—before a final leg lower drives price into what he calls the “pain box” sandwiched between the 0.702 and 0.618 Fibonacci retracements of the entire rally from last October’s $58,000 breakout. In 2021 that zone ultimately wicked to the exact 0.618, a move he believes could repeat, implying spot levels between roughly $96,500 and $92,000. “This measurement fits the parameter now… if it wants to turn around and rip, great,” he conceded, “but there’s still a very good chance that was not the end.” Related Reading: Bitcoin STHs Capitulate: 14,700 BTC Moved To Exchanges At Loss Internally, the analyst parses the current drop as the developing C-wave of a larger flat, subdividing into a classic five-wave impulse. Wave three, he notes, appears complete; wave four “could come up high,” granting altcoins a short-lived pop, “but hopefully, again, sooner than later, we roll over.” He cites 2021’s July fractal, when Bitcoin bounced 20% before sliding a final time, as a psychological template. “When there’s a big news narrative event,” he observed, “we’ll get a little relief—people think it’s done—then wham, one more thing to scare retail.” Macro sentiment, he argues, remains fragile. The Chicago Mercantile Exchange gap at $92,000 is drawing “average-retail” bids, a setup he characterises as a “washing machine” in which professional money fronts liquidity only to fade it. “Retail is just a washing machine, man… that buy isn’t going to get filled,” he warned. Still, he reiterated long-term optimism, revealing he “hammered some buys” during Monday’s dip and advising his followers to dollar-cost average—“not financial advice”—through the turbulence. Related Reading: Bears Will Be Washed Out Of Bitcoin If This Happens Quantum Ascend’s upside target for the ensuing impulsive advance is comparatively restrained: $132,000, a level he says enjoys “two pieces of confluence” and would coincide with “the alts moment” when Bitcoin dominance finally cracks. “We will eventually work our way back up near the top of this B-wave… flag a little, and then boom,” he predicted, referencing November 2021’s so-called “Trump pump” that ignited a multisector altcoin surge. For now, traders watch the 0.702–0.618 pocket and the mooted relief ceiling at $108,000. Should Bitcoin slice through support without that interim bounce, the analyst says, the flush could conclude “sooner than later,” clearing the runway for what he calls “the next few months—our moment.” In his sign-off he urged viewers to “be an adult, live through it,” but also confessed palpable excitement: “I feel really good about where we’re at.” Whether the market shares his confidence will likely become clear once the final C-wave verdict arrives—perhaps, he hopes, within the week. At press time, BTC traded at $105,077. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

The Bitcoin price and the crypto market remain under pressure as the sector enters a low volatility period. While a lot of traders were expecting a big move yesterday, following the US Federal Reserve (Fed) decision on rate cuts, the cryptocurrency held its current levels. Related Reading: Analyst Warns: Strategy On Track For Historic Collapse, Bigger Than FTX Despite the relative resilience in the top crypto and other cryptocurrencies, the Bitcoin price is showing signs of potential downside. At the time of writing, BTC trades at around $105,000 with a 2.3% decline over the past seven days. Bitcoin price moving sideways over the past 2 months as seen on the daily chart. Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview Bitcoin Price’s Stuck, But Not for Long? Analyst Daan Crypto shared insights regarding the current Bitcoin price action. The analyst believes that BTC has been compressing over the past weeks. In that sense, a lot of traders are expecting a spike in volatility. As seen on the image below, the Bitcoin price has been trading within a tight range form by its monthly high sitting at $110,600 and a monthly low at around $100,000. Within this range, there are two key levels to watch: the area between $109,000 and $103,000. A breakout or breakdown from this range might signal the return of volatility to the Bitcoin price action. Thus, the cryptocurrency might reclaim or return to either or the previously mentioned levels on higher timeframes. The analyst stated the following: BTC Still hanging around the $105K area which is the middle of the monthly range and right at the monthly open. Price has been compressing and it’s clear that the market is waiting for a big move to occur. The statistics still heavily favor a further displacement this week and especially this month. So keep an eye on these levels and play accordingly. Bitcoin price trading within a tight range on the 4 hour chart. Source: Daan Crypto via X Bitcoin Seasonality Might Shock Traders On a separate report, trading desk QCP Capital claims that the Bitcoin price might be affected by ‘summertime blues.’ In other words, the firm predicts a decline in volatility as institutions and traders exit the market over July and August. Related Reading: Bitcoin Channel Break Below $105,000 Sparks Panic, Analysts Predict Further Crashes QCP Capital claims that there are signs of this sluggishness affecting the market, including BTC’s implied volatility. This indicator is currently sitting below 40%. In addition with a hawkish Fed, the trading desk predicts more dull price action over the coming weeks and caution amongst operators: (…) the Fed held interest rates steady. But its stance remains hawkish. Inflation expectations are still elevated, with tariffs flagged as a key upside risk. The Fed prefers to “wait and see” until there is more clarity on inflation’s path. While some macro watchers expect softening labor and economic data to eventually push the Fed dovish, the current numbers say otherwise. Cover image from ChatGPT, BTC/USD chart from Tradingview

The Bitcoin price continues to decelerate as the crypto market shows signs of weakness due to macroeconomic factors. The top crypto by market capitalization has been testing critical support levels and is at risk of falling deeper into its monthly lows. Related Reading: Bitcoin Could Jump 20% For Every 1% Liquidity Boost: Expert At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price trades around $104,000 recording a 2.5% drop over the past 24 hours. Other cryptocurrencies show greater weaknesses on similar timeframes with Ethereum and XRP displaying a 8% and 4% drop, respectively. Bitcoin price hints at further losses on the daily chart. Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview Bitcoin Price Alert, Key Levels To Watch According to top crypto analyst Daan Crypto, the Bitcoin price has been trading within a narrow window after losing the range high located at $108,385. While the cryptocurrency has been able to withstand the sell-off, the analyst drew important levels to watch. As seen on the chart below, and according to the analyst, the Bitcoin price is likely to stay on its bearish course and potentially touch the mid area of its current range. This price action would put BTC at around $99,600 in the coming days. If buyers can’t hold the sell pressure around this level, then BTC is more than likely to keep bleeding into its range low of $90,000. This bearish price action, the analyst clarified, would become the norm for the rest of June. Key Levels to watch as the Bitcoin price shows weakness on low timeframes. Source: Daan Crypto via X Daan Crypto stated the following regarding the Bitcoin price action: Quick move after that which was obviously “helped” by the headlines although the news was looming already with the past 48 hours of headlines which is also why price started selling of prior. I’ve said it a couple of times before but I’ll say it again. Bulls had no business going back down below $108K and I’m treating this as another deviation and move back into the larger range. This is reason enough for me to be cautious and not add on exposure that was derisked (…). In this context, the analyst advised his followers to wait for clear confirmation that the bull trend is returning if Bitcoin can retake its range high around the previously mentioned level. Otherwise, the best course of action is to remain cautious. Optimism Fades as Bitcoin Aims for Lower On a separate note, trading desk QCP Group noted that the biggest risk for Bitcoin and the crypto market comes from the rising tensions between the US and China, and the growing tensions in the Middle East. Related Reading: Bitcoin Is Just 0.2% Of Global Wealth — And That’s Why It’s Not Too Late: Analyst However, the trading desk pointed at several items to show that there are still good news hinting at a potential recovery in the digital asset market. These included the spike in Ethereum ETFs inflows, the potential launch of a Solana ETF, and GameStop’s plan to offer $1.7 billion in convertible notes to allocate money into Bitcoin as the company looks for “balance sheet diversification.” Cover image ChatGPT, BTC/USD chart from Tradingview

The Bitcoin price is slipping into a critical area following a decline in the previous buying pressure. Many traders and investors in the crypto market wonder if the top crypto will recover as confidence in a new Bull Market barely show signs of a recovery. Related Reading: Bitcoin Risks Pullback To $105,000 After Facing Rejection Above $110,000 Bitcoin price trends to the downside on the daily chart. Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview Top Bitcoin Pundit: Watch Out For This Level According to Daan Crypto, a senior crypto analyst, the Bitcoin price has weakened due to changes in the macroeconomic arena. In that sense, the analyst believes bull must hold the levels above $99,000 or they risk a bigger decline into the monthly lows sitting at around $90,000, as seen in the chart below. Some of the elements affecting the Bitcoin price on the macro side include a good Consumer Price Index (CPI) print from the US, and a ‘good deal’ between this country and Chinese representatives. These news indicate decline in inflation and potentially an end to trade war between the two giants, respectively. However, the analysis noted: At this point I’m fairly certain that if price breaks either the current monthly high or low, that it will keep trending that direction for the rest of June (and possible beyond). Eyes on those levels. Still quite a volatile and headline driven market currently(…). So markets down on good news is always something to note. Just one day for now but good to be aware of. James Wynn Makes Key Warning – Manipulation in the Bitcoin Price? On similar news, James Wynn, a crypto trader that recently gained notoriety by leveraging millions of dollars to bet on the Bitcoin price, believes the selling pressure will rise on the short timeframe. Wynn has been alerting its X followers on the alleged manipulation of the crypto market by big players. These massive investors, according to the crypto trader, target key levels and push Bitcoin towards them to hunt for liquidity in detriment of retail users. Related Reading: XRP Could Crash To $1.55 Before Explosive Surge, Analyst Warns This time Wynn claims ‘Market Makers’ might push the Bitcoin price down to the $106,000 area. However, the trader believes the downtrend will be short advising his followers of an imminent rebound. Wynn stated via X: Hold onto your seats fellas. The MM’s are gonna try and push $BTC to around $106.8k to take out some over leveraged longs (not me). I learned the hard way. Buy the dip or sit on your hands. It’ll be over quick. Time is ticking. New ATHs around the corner. Don’t be shaken. Whether the downtrend will persist or if prices recover in the short term remains to be seen, but current price action suggests an imminent spike in volatility. Cover image by ChatGPT, BTC/USDT chart from Tradingview

Bitcoin has faced renewed volatility since late May, with the market retracing from recent highs and injecting a fresh dose of uncertainty across the board. While price action has cooled, BTC continues to hold above key levels that bulls are watching closely. The broader sentiment remains fragile, and many investors are on edge, unsure if this is a healthy pause or a setup for deeper downside. Related Reading: Solana Key Indicator Flashes Buy Signal On Daily Chart – Rally Ahead? Analysts are calling for a decisive move above the all-time high to confirm trend continuation, but so far, momentum remains limited. The risk of a further decline still hangs over the market, especially with macro headwinds unresolved and liquidity tight. Top analyst Daan shared a timely technical update, highlighting that both Bitcoin and Ethereum have tested their respective 4-hour 200MA and EMA and bounced. These moving averages are closely watched for short-term trend shifts. The fact that both assets respected them as support could be a subtle but important signal. Still, this bounce needs follow-through. Without a strong push higher, traders may lose conviction, and the window for reclaiming bullish momentum could narrow quickly in the days ahead. Bitcoin Outperforms But Market Risks Loom Bitcoin continues to trade in a tight range just below its all-time high, struggling to break out with conviction but showing clear resilience. Despite repeated attempts from bears, BTC has held above the critical $100,000 psychological level — a key sign of strength as many altcoins lag behind or lose momentum. While some traders remain cautious, Bitcoin’s relative outperformance is beginning to stand out, hinting at the possibility of a decisive move brewing beneath the surface. This strength, however, comes amid rising uncertainty in the broader macro environment. The US economy is entering a more fragile phase, with tightening credit conditions, stubborn inflation, and weakening labor data adding pressure. These developments raise the stakes for risk assets, including Bitcoin, which has historically thrived during expansionary periods but often struggles when liquidity tightens. Daan shared a critical technical update that could help map Bitcoin’s short- and mid-term direction. According to his analysis, both BTC and ETH recently tested their respective 4-hour 200 moving averages (MA) and exponential moving averages (EMA), and successfully bounced from those levels. These indicators are often seen as key dynamic supports during trend formation. If price continues to hold above them, bulls remain in control. But if these levels give way, momentum could flip quickly, opening the door to deeper retracements. For now, the structure still favors the bulls, but the margin for error is shrinking. With Bitcoin holding steady while macro conditions wobble, the next move could set the tone for the rest of the summer. Traders and long-term holders alike should keep an eye on how BTC reacts to these key support zones in the coming days. Related Reading: Ethereum Holds Key Range Support After Pullback – Bulls Eye $3,000 Level Bulls Reclaim Key Levels Bitcoin is showing signs of recovery after bouncing from the $103,600 support zone, as seen in the 4-hour chart. The recent drop to this level was met with strong buying interest, triggering a swift rebound. Price is now consolidating around $105,600, having reclaimed both the 200 EMA ($104,924) and the 200 SMA ($104,816), which had previously acted as dynamic resistance during the pullback. This reclaim is a notable technical development and suggests bulls are regaining short-term control. Volume spikes during the bounce add weight to the move, while shorter-term moving averages like the 34 EMA and 50 SMA are now sloping upward, further supporting the bullish case. Still, BTC must break decisively above $106,600 — a recent lower high — to confirm a shift in trend structure. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sees Largest Net Taker Volume Drop Of 2025 – Traders React To Trump-Elon Clash Above that, the $109,300 resistance stands as the final barrier before retesting all-time highs. On the downside, holding $103,600 remains critical. Losing that level would invalidate the current bounce and open the door to a deeper correction below $100,000. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin has reclaimed the $90,000 mark, fueling renewed optimism across the crypto market. With sentiment shifting and bullish calls returning, many investors are once again eyeing a move toward six figures. However, not everything is as it seems beneath the surface. Despite the impressive price surge, risks remain, particularly as global tensions between the United States and China escalate. The ongoing trade war and geopolitical friction are injecting volatility into markets, creating a fragile backdrop for risk assets like Bitcoin. Related Reading: Ethereum Forms ‘A Huge Inverse Head & Shoulders’ – $20K Target In Sight? Top analyst Maartunn shared a stark view of the current state of the Bitcoin network, revealing on-chain metrics that paint a different picture. According to his analysis, the latest move higher is primarily driven by leverage and derivatives rather than strong organic demand. He noted that the Bitcoin network is, in his words, “a ghost town,” with very little new activity or visible inflows from real users. This disconnect between price and on-chain fundamentals suggests that the current rally may lack sustainability. As such, investors should approach the next phase of Bitcoin’s price action with caution, especially if macroeconomic conditions worsen or derivative positions begin to unwind. Bitcoin Faces Resistance: On-Chain Activity Lags Behind Bitcoin is now facing critical resistance as bulls attempt to reclaim the $95,000 level, a zone that could define short-term momentum. The recent breakout above the $88,600 resistance marked a key shift in market sentiment, with bulls taking control and pushing price action into a new range. However, to maintain this momentum, sustained demand will be essential. Analysts warn that a healthy retracement may occur before the next leg up, especially considering current market conditions. Volatility and uncertainty continue to dominate the landscape, with fear still lingering despite the recent rally. Much of this caution stems from ongoing global tensions and the unstable macro environment that has unfolded since US President Donald Trump’s re-election in November 2024. With tariffs rising and trade negotiations with China growing increasingly tense, investors remain hesitant to commit fully to risk assets. Top analyst Maartunn shared a sobering on-chain analysis on X, highlighting a disconnect between Bitcoin’s price action and network activity. According to his findings, the recent surge is largely driven by ETF flows and rising open interest in the derivatives market—factors that often precede a reversal rather than a sustainable rally. Maartunn describes the current state of the Bitcoin network as a “ghost-town,” noting a lack of new visible on-chain demand. This divergence between price and network fundamentals raises questions about the sustainability of the current move. For Bitcoin to push convincingly past $95K and set up a run toward $100K, stronger spot demand and an uptick in real user activity will likely be necessary. Until then, traders should remain cautious and watch key support levels closely. Related Reading: Bitcoin Reclaims Key Levels – New ATHs May Be Closer Than Expected Price Action Details: $95K In Sight Bitcoin is trading at $93,600 after several days of bullish price action that saw it reclaim key resistance levels. The price has now entered a consolidation phase around the $93K level, as bulls prepare for a potential breakout toward $95K. A sustained move above that mark would open the door for a push toward the highly anticipated $100K milestone, signaling renewed strength across the crypto market. However, the path forward remains uncertain. While short-term sentiment appears optimistic, Bitcoin must hold above the $90K support level to maintain bullish structure. A failure to do so could trigger a drop back toward the 200-day moving average near $88K—a level that has served as a key pivot for market structure over the past months. Related Reading: HBAR Breaks Above Massive Falling Wedge – Expert Sets $0.38 Target This zone is being closely watched by both traders and long-term holders, as a breakdown below $90K would likely undermine the current recovery momentum. As consolidation continues, the next few sessions will be critical in determining whether BTC has enough strength to break higher or if a short-term correction is in store. For now, all eyes are on $95K as the next hurdle in Bitcoin’s push to reclaim market dominance. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin is facing a crucial test as it struggles to break above key resistance levels while holding just above critical support. The market remains stuck in a tight range, reflecting growing indecisiveness among traders and investors. Uncertainty has become the new normal, with macro conditions and political developments continuing to cloud sentiment. Related Reading: Whales Dump 760,000 Ethereum in Two Weeks — Is More Selling Ahead? US President Donald Trump has added further volatility to the mix, unsettling financial markets with unpredictable policies and newly imposed tariffs. His erratic behavior has only intensified the fragile mood, pushing risk assets like Bitcoin into deeper consolidation. Despite brief rallies, Bitcoin has once again failed to break above descending resistance, according to crypto analyst Carl Runefelt. This rejection, paired with declining trading volume, is a sign that buyers may be losing strength. Runefelt warns that if volume continues to dry up and BTC remains stuck below key levels, the bearish target of $78,600 remains a strong possibility. While bulls are defending support zones for now, the lack of momentum is raising red flags. Unless Bitcoin can reclaim higher ground soon, the odds of a deeper correction will continue to grow — making the coming days crucial for determining the market’s next direction. Bitcoin Down 25% from January ATH As Bears Tighten Grip Bitcoin is now down 25% from its January all-time high, and bulls are struggling to regain control. After repeated attempts to reverse the trend, BTC continues to hold above the $81,000 level — a key support zone — but has failed to reclaim the $86,000 mark, which is necessary to confirm any serious recovery. The inability to push higher has weakened market confidence, and bulls now find themselves in a difficult position. Macroeconomic uncertainty and fears surrounding escalating trade wars, especially under U.S. President Donald Trump’s unpredictable policies, have added to market volatility. These factors continue to favor the bears, and the pressure on high-risk assets like Bitcoin remains intense. With broader financial markets under stress, bullish sentiment in the crypto space is fading quickly. Panic is beginning to set in for some investors as selling pressure shows no sign of slowing. However, there’s still a sliver of optimism among market watchers who believe that a bounce could follow once key resistance levels are reclaimed. Runefelt recently shared insights pointing to BTC’s failure to break above descending resistance — a bearish sign. He also noted that trading volume continues to decline, a sign that market participation is thinning out. This lack of volume often precedes large moves, and in this case, the bearish target of $78,600 remains firmly on the table if bulls fail to reclaim momentum. For now, the market remains on edge. Bitcoin’s ability to hold above $81K and attempt a move past $86K will be critical in determining whether a recovery is possible — or if the next leg down is about to begin. Related Reading: Chainlink Consolidates In Triangle Pattern – Is A 35% Breakout Imminent? Technical Details: Key Levels To Hold Bitcoin is currently trading at $83,500 after several days of choppy, volatile price action that has left traders uncertain about the market’s next direction. The recent swings between key levels have highlighted the indecision among both bulls and bears, with neither side able to take full control. For bulls, the immediate challenge is to reclaim the $85,000 level, which aligns with the 4-hour 200-day moving average (MA). A successful move above this mark would be an encouraging signal of short-term strength. Beyond that, the next key level is $86,000, which is where the 4-hour exponential moving average (EMA) sits. Reclaiming this zone would help shift momentum back in favor of the bulls and potentially set the stage for a recovery attempt toward $90,000. Related Reading: Whales Offload 200M Cardano During March – The Start Of A Trend? However, the most critical level in the short term is support at $81,000. This price zone has acted as a strong floor in recent weeks, and losing it would likely trigger further downside pressure. As macro uncertainty and market-wide volatility continue, bulls must defend this support while working to reclaim the MAs above. The coming sessions will be crucial in defining whether Bitcoin can recover—or slide deeper into correction territory. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView 

The Bitcoin price is currently down more than -22% from its all-time, displaying a series of lower highs on the daily timeframe. While the weekly and monthly time bullish, the calls for the beginning of the Bitcoin bear market are growing louder on X. Two prominent analysts have weighed in on what they believe could be the deciding factor for an extended rally—or a deeper downturn. Bitcoin Bull Run In Jeopardy Crypto analyst Charting Guy, posting under the handle @ChartingGuy, shared a chart that places strong emphasis on the $95,000 price point for Bitcoin, noting: “yes i will flip back to fully bullish […] for that to happen BTC needs to reclaim and hold $95k, which he has stated many times […] it’s the level that was prior support for majority of February, then we rejected from it hard on March 2nd and turned it to resistance […] now, with $76.7k on March 11th being the very likely local low, we pull a fib and $95k just happens to perfectly be the 0.618 fib. you cannot make this up.” According to his analysis, the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement—often called the “golden pocket”—looms large as a definitive test of bullish strength. Failing to break above and flip this zone into support, Charting Guy cautions, could lead to an extended bearish phase. Related Reading: Bitcoin Stays Down, But Whale Wallets Quietly Climb to 4-Month High He further explained that Bitcoin (BTC) and equities, such as the S&P 500 (SPY), must navigate their respective golden pockets before any real, sustained rally can begin: “if crypto and stocks can’t reclaim the golden pocket and flip it to support, and end up rejecting there instead, then i am bearish on BTC & stocks for a while.” Nevertheless, Charting Guy sees potential for a bull run in April through June: “April – June shall be bullish af imo […] BUT that extension into June is only if May is strong and not a sell in May and go away type of month […] what will determine that? how BTC & SPY both react at their respective golden pockets when they get there on this April relief rally.” If these technical barriers prove insurmountable, Charting Guy says he will exit his positions: “if this purely is just a relief rally and the charts look toppy again when we’re back at these levels late April/early May, then i will be OUT of this market.” Another crypto analyst, @wauwda, has taken a more cautious stance, noting several bearish signals for both Bitcoin and the S&P 500: “Every indicator is getting bearish on the HTF for BTC & SPX: Bearish Stochastic RSI cross, Bearish MACD cross, Bearish divergence RSI, MSTR lower high, Altcoins higher high … Ultimate Bull Trap.” Related Reading: Saylor’s Strategy Adds $1.9 Billion Worth Of Bitcoin To Growing Portfolio While Wauwda anticipates a relief rally—citing the potential for a bounce due to extreme bearish sentiment—he points out parallels with 2021. He lists a series of events he deems indicative of market-wide euphoria, including high-profile celebrity endorsements, big corporate plays, and meme-driven hype: “’We didn’t have euphoria yet’ … Are you sure? Founder Tron buys banana for $6.2M and eats it, Coinbase gives free bitcoin to every person at the warriors game, Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), Teens are getting crypto courses on school, People are flexing on yachts, Doge is worth more than General Motors, Bank of New York Melon, Peter Schiff created his own Strategic Bitcoin Reserve. This is just a tiny part of what I wrote down.” Despite acknowledging that this cycle’s euphoria might look different from previous ones, Wauwda notes that similar warning signs appeared ahead of the 2021 market top. He also points to ETH/BTC and Bitcoin Dominance (BTCD) as factors to watch, though both have shown volatile, oscillating patterns rather than a clear trend: “The thing I’m struggling with though right now is ETHBTC and BTCD since they both have been up and down only, but maybe that will change with the next leg up.” At press time, BTC traded at $84,206. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

The crypto market continues to evolve as shifts in market capitalization among major digital assets reflect both investor sentiment and fundamental developments. A recent analysis from CryptoQuant provides a closer look at how top crypto have performed in terms of market cap and drawdowns over the past several months. Related Reading: Bitcoin Breaks Daily RSI Downtrend, But Analyst Warns Of Strong Resistance Ahead BNB, XRP, and Ethereum Show Diverging Trends One of the most notable shifts has been Binance Coin (BNB) reclaiming its position as the fifth-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization. BNB’s market cap rose to approximately $92 billion, surpassing Solana (SOL), which now sits at $74 billion. This shift follows a strong rally in SOL during late 2024, largely fueled by growth in its meme coin ecosystem. However, the attention of speculative activity appears to have transitioned toward the BNB Chain, where similar crypto ecosystem momentum has helped support its recovery. Another significant market cap development involves XRP. According to CryptoQuant, XRP’s market capitalization increased substantially following the 2024 US presidential election. Market Cap Evolution of Top Cryptocurrencies BNB and Bitcoin are currently experiencing the lowest drawdowns among this group, each down approximately 20% from their all-time highs, indicating relatively strong price performance and resilience. pic.twitter.com/dW3tXlvSMG — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) March 27, 2025 From a valuation of $30 billion in early November, XRP’s market cap climbed to $141 billion by March 2025. The timing of this rise appears to align with the outcome of the US election, which some believe could potentially influence regulatory sentiment around crypto assets. In contrast, Ethereum (ETH) has faced a more challenging trajectory. After peaking in late 2024, ETH’s market capitalization declined by 50% to around $240 billion as of March 2025. This sharp drop highlights the current volatility in the altcoin market and raises questions about Ethereum’s ability to maintain its prior valuation levels amid shifting macro and sector-specific factors. Crypto Price Resilience and Drawdown Metrics CryptoQuant’s report also evaluated drawdowns—the decline from an asset’s all-time high—as a measure of relative performance. Bitcoin (BTC) and BNB emerged as the most resilient assets among the group, each down approximately 20% from their respective all-time highs. BNB’s stability has been linked to its continued utility within the Binance ecosystem, including usage for transaction fees and platform-related activities. Meanwhile, ETH and SOL have struggled to recover from deeper drawdowns. Both assets are currently more than 50% below their previous peaks, highlighting higher levels of volatility and reduced investor momentum. Related Reading: Solana Tags Upper Bollinger Band For First Time Since ATH — Is Momentum Returning? Although XRP has seen a rise in market capitalization, its price still reflects a drawdown of roughly 36%, indicating that much of the new capital inflow has yet to translate into price recovery. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView