Analysts across banks, hedge funds, and research firms are dissecting historical cycles, macro indicators, and regulatory shifts to project how high Bitcoin might climb in 2025. Bitcoin predictions for 2025 range from $125,000 to $350,000. Bitcoin Price Predictions 2025 #1 Fundstrat: $250,000 Tom Lee, co-founder of Fundstrat, posits that Bitcoin could reach $250,000 within the next 12 months. In a November 29 interview, Lee cited the halving event as a fundamental catalyst, emphasizing that the reduction in new Bitcoin supply historically sparks large price run-ups. Related Reading: Is The Bitcoin Bull Market Still On? STH Cost Basis Suggests So He also highlighted the changing political environment in the United States, with an incoming administration that has demonstrated openness to Bitcoin’s potential. According to Lee, “If the US begins to accumulate Bitcoin as part of its strategic reserve, it could lend further legitimacy to the cryptocurrency and boost its price.” He also pointed to the example of MicroStrategy and other companies accumulating Bitcoin on their balance sheets, stating that if more firms follow suit, demand would likely escalate further. #2 VanEck’s Matthew Sigel: $180,000 Matthew Sigel, Head of Digital Assets Research at VanEck, anticipates a $180,000 Bitcoin price in 2025—provided that certain “cycle top indicators” remain tame. In a conversation with podcast host Natalie Brunell, Sigel detailed Bitcoin’s recurring four-year pattern: three years of outperformance followed by a steep correction in the fourth. As the previous halving occurred in April 2024, Sigel predicts 2024 and 2025 could be strong years. “That down year typically is the second year after the halving,” Sigel explained. “The Bitcoin halving occurred in April of this year. So 2024 [will be a] strong year, 2025 should be a strong year.” He added that if Bitcoin repeats even half of its smallest trough-to-peak appreciation (2,000%) from past cycles, it could climb from $18,000 to $180,000 by the current cycle’s peak. #3 Robert Kiyosaki: $350,000 Best-selling author of “Rich Dad Poor Dad,” Robert Kiyosaki, projects Bitcoin could hit $350,000 by 2025. Kiyosaki has long advocated for Bitcoin as a hedge against traditional financial uncertainties and continues to encourage long-term investment in the digital asset. #4 Bernstein: $200,000 Investment research firm Bernstein published a 160-page “Black Book” on October 22, forecasting that Bitcoin could climb to $200,000 by the end of 2025. The report asserts that a “new institutional era” is underway, propelled by AI integration, developments in Bitcoin and stablecoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), and pro-crypto regulatory steps. Bernstein suggests these combined forces could accelerate institutional adoption and further drive Bitcoin’s price upward. #5 H.C. Wainwright & Co.: $225,000 In an investor note earlier this year, H.C. Wainwright & Co. revised its 2025 Bitcoin price target from $145,000 to $225,000, citing a mix of historical trends, macroeconomic signals, and evolving institutional sentiment. “We estimate BTC will reach a cycle high of $225,000 by YE2025,” wrote analysts at the investment bank, established in 1868. They underscored the potential impact of spot Bitcoin ETFs gaining traction, adding that “accelerating institutional investor and corporate adoption” would likely bolster Bitcoin’s market cap. Another factor is the possibility of a more favorable regulatory climate under a new US administration. Related Reading: Bitcoin To $350,000? Top Crypto Influencer Makes Bold Prediction While their base-case forecast projects Bitcoin achieving a roughly $4.5 trillion market cap—about 25% of gold’s valuation—the note hints at even higher price potential if the US government under Donald Trump were to adopt BTC as a strategic reserve asset. #6 Standard Chartered: $250,000 Standard Chartered, having correctly predicted Bitcoin’s climb to $100,000 in 2024, now sees an ongoing rally that might drive the price to $200,000 or higher by the end of 2025—potentially even $250,000 if certain conditions are met. According to Geoff Kendrick, the global head of digital assets research, “We would turn even more bullish if BTC saw more rapid uptake by US retirement funds, global sovereign wealth funds (SWFs), or a potential US strategic reserve fund.” Kendrick notes that a key spur for institutional demand could be the pro-Bitcoin stance of the Trump administration, which campaigned on promises that include a possible national Bitcoin stockpile. He also underscored the significance of growing options trading for Bitcoin ETFs, particularly in drawing in “long-only” investors, such as pension funds and retirement accounts. If even 1% of the massive $40 trillion US retirement market flows into Bitcoin, Kendrick suggests the impact on price could be profound. #7 Bitfinex: $200,000 Crypto exchange Bitfinex published a report on December 10 positing that Bitcoin’s price may approach $200,000 by mid-2025. The analysis states that the minimum mid-year price in the current cycle could be around $145,000, with a bullish scenario pushing it to $200,000. Bitfinex researchers draw parallels to the 2021 cycle, when Bitcoin rallied some 40% above its moving averages, pointing to the possibility of even higher peaks. However, they note “the trend of diminishing returns observed in recent cycles,” suggesting a more moderate surge to the $160,000–$200,000 range by mid-2025. #8 Peter Brandt: $125,000–$150,000 Veteran trader Peter Brandt forecasts Bitcoin’s next major bull market high could materialize around late August or early September 2025, potentially in the $125,000–$150,000 range. In a June market commentary, Brandt underscored the role of halving dates in synchronizing with past bull runs, stating that “the number of weeks from the start of each bull market cycle (the low following a 75%-plus decline) to the Halving dates has been almost equal to the number of weeks from the Halving dates to the subsequent bull market highs.” Brandt also pointed to an “inverted parabolic curve” across multiple bull markets. Should this pattern continue, Bitcoin’s peak during the current cycle might align closely with the $130,000–$150,000 zone. At press time, BTC traded at $93,061. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
In a thread on X, Alistair Milne, the co-founder and Chief Investment Officer (CIO) of the Altana Digital Currency Fund (ADCF), has outlined his Bitcoin predictions for 2025. With a tenure at ADCF dating back to 2014, Milne’s insights carry significant weight in the investment community. Bitcoin Predictions For 2025 Milne began his forecast by addressing the potential involvement of the United States in Bitcoin accumulation. “Some of my 2025 Bitcoin predictions: The big one: Trump won’t announce Bitcoin buying on behalf of the USA in 2025, but he WILL sign an order preventing any seized BTC from being sold … creating a defacto reserve. It will still create global FOMO,” Milne stated. Related Reading: Bitcoin Decline Continues: Is $86,800 The Level To Watch? Thus, Milne predicts that Trump will not follow US Senator Cynthia Lummis’ Bitcoin Act which proposes to buy 1 million BTC over five years. However, Milne thinks that the US under President-elect Trump will keep its 198,109 BTC (according to Arkham data) as national stockpile as promised by Trump during the last Bitcoin Conference in Nashville, potentially sparking fear of missing out (FOMO) globally. Expanding on the international landscape, Milne predicts increased adoption by smaller and more agile nations. “Other, smaller and more nimble nations (in addition to Bhutan and El Salvador) will announce Bitcoin Reserves and start buying or mining before the USA does. Middle Eastern countries will start announcing their holdings,” he noted. Corporate engagement with Bitcoin is also expected to rise. Milne forecasts that at least one other S&P 500 company, meaning not Tesla or MicroStrategy will announce a Bitcoin acquisition in 2025. Related Reading: Warning Signs For Bitcoin? Binance Trading Volume Drops As Sellers Take Control Price projections remain bullish in Milne’s Bitcoin predictions. He anticipates, “Bitcoin should get to around $200-250k, even without the US gov buying. If the US does start buying, expect closer to $500k. Yes, in 2025. This is because it officially becomes a nation state arms race and there isn’t enough Bitcoin.” Milne also addresses market dynamics, predicting that Bitcoin will peak in the second half of the year. While his tip is October, he posits that the bear market will be “significantly milder than the previous ones given nation states and corporations will slowly accumulate.” Addressing concerns related to security and market stability, Milne mentions, “Bitfinex is finally sent back the majority of its hacked BTC … causing a temporary dip in the market as people FUD and say they will dump the Bitcoin (they won’t, they’ll slowly convert 80% of it to LEO over 18 months).” The collapse and subsequent recovery of major exchanges also play a role in Milne’s Bitcoin predictions for 2025. He states, “FTX begins distributing the USD to creditors in Q1, via several large exchanges … making it easy for them to re-invest in Bitcoin, etc.. At least 50% of the money returned will be reinvested.” This influx of reinvested funds is expected to inject liquidity back into the Bitcoin market, fostering a renewed price rally. Milne doesn’t overlook the performance of institutional investors, noting, “MSTR achieves a ‘Bitcoin yield’ of ~30% in 2025 before the premium closes.” Lastly, Milne concludes his Bitcoin predictions with a note to Silk Road founder Ross Ulbricht. On the campaign trail, incoming US president Donald Trump vowed to free Ulbricht. He forecasts that Trump will follow his words: “Ross will be freed.” At press time, BTC traded at $93,070. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin’s potential price range in 2025 is quite significant, but it bears down to three major factors, according to the crypto mining firm Blockware.