A crypto analyst who accurately predicted the Bitcoin (BTC) price surge to $120,000 months ago has returned with a bold new forecast that could redefine investors’ expectations for the rest of the cycle. Using a detailed Elliott Wave structure and historical halving patterns, the expert outlines what could be Bitcoin’s final parabolic move, laying out a clear roadmap toward a new ATH target. Bitcoin Parabolic Phase Still Ahead Following Bitcoin’s explosive rise above $123,000 in a single day, crypto analyst XForceGlobal reaffirmed his earlier predictions and intensified his bullish outlook. He now asserts that Bitcoin is in the early stages of a much larger breakout, with the final and most parabolic phase of its rally yet to unfold. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Trajectory To $155,000: Why No Major Dips Are Expected From Here The analyst Bitcoin Price Trajectory To $155,000: Why No Major Dips Are Expected From Here a detailed chart showing that Bitcoin is now trading over $40,000 above its Wave 2 bottom of the macro 5th. This indicates that the market could be transitioning into Wave 3 of a larger Elliott Wave impulse pattern. The chart also visually segments previous bull market runs into distinct macro phases, each unfolding after a halving cycle. Every phase began with a consolidation period, followed by exponential growth and eventual correction. Bitcoin’s price history is further marked by the halving events in 2012, 2016, 2020, and 2024—all of which have consistently preceded major bullish rallies. The latest halving, which occurred in April 2024, is now expected to lead to an intermediate-term rally that may extend BTC’s price beyond $270,000 before entering another corrective phase. While XForceGlobal maintains a bullish long-term outlook for Bitcoin, he urges investors to be cautious and aware that the final wave may generate market euphoria before a significant decline sets in. His projected roadmap shows a steady bullish climb toward $272,832, followed by a potential retracement to around $41,646, marking a steep 85% crash from the top. During his analysis, the market expert highlighted the difference between smart and dumb money during this bullish phase of the cycle. He claimed that smart investors have already mapped out their exit strategies, understanding that success comes from early planning rather than spontaneous decisions. He also added that with the market yet to reach a climax, there’s still time to prepare an exit before red flags emerge. Analyst Predicts $155,000 As Bitcoin’s Next Stop In a follow-up X post, XForceGlobal forecasted Bitcoin’s next short-term price target at $155,000. This prediction comes as BTC recently rallied past $123,000 before undergoing a pullback, now trading slightly above $116,800. According to the analyst, Bitcoin remains firmly in an extended Wave 3, which traditionally represents the most impulsive and powerful phase of the Elliott Wave sequence. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Break Above $118,000 Just The Start, Analyst Unveils ‘Golden Number’ XForceGlobal’s chart reveals that Bitcoin recently broke out from a complex WXYXZ correction structure, which served as the launchpad for the present rally. His projection suggests that BTC is now forming a five-wave structure targeting the $140,000-$155,000 range, with macro-level corrections expected along the way. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin prices dipped by 0.93% in the last day after the premier cryptocurrency suffered another price rejection in the $110,000 range. This latest price pullback forces Bitcoin to maintain a consolidatory movement that has dominated the majority of last month drawing speculations about a potential market top. Interestingly, prominent market analyst Ted Pillows has weighed in on this discourse stating that historical data shows that Bitcoin is yet to achieve a peak price for the current market cycle. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price To See 52% Increase To $166,000, Analyst Reveals Tight Timeline Bitcoin’s Consolidation: A Preparation For Final Bull Leg In an X post on July 4, Ted Pillows shares a bullish market insight following another Bitcoin price dip. Notably, the premier cryptocurrency seemed on course to resume its market uptrend after a significant price rebound from $99,000 in late June following weeks of downward consolidatory movement. However, another decisive rejection in the $110,000 indicates Bitcoin’s prices remain range-bound thereby worsening investors’ concern across the market. In interpreting this situation, Pillows has called for calm stating the recent price dip is merely a “leverage flush” that requires no panic. Using a visual study on the BTC weekly chart, the renowned analyst shows that the current and previous price pullbacks are part of a predictable pattern that has played out across previous Bitcoin cycles. The chart shows that after each halving event, Bitcoin tends to peak approximately 18 months (518 days) later. With the most recent halving occurring in mid April 2024, the expected peak for this cycle would fall somewhere around Q4 2025, specifically on October 13, 2025, consistent with historical performance. Furthermore, a recurring 140-day rally window is also depicted in the chart, usually forming the final leg of the bull run. In each previous cycle, this 10-bar stretch delivered parabolic price movements. If history is rhyming once again, Bitcoin is now within range of initiating this 10-week bull run, suggesting the equivalent rally seen in previous could soon kick in. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Targets $3,000 As Analyst Calls It A ‘Powder Keg’ How High Can Bitcoin Price Go? Based on Pillows’ recent analysis, Bitcoin may be gathering momentum for its final rally of the present market cycle. The extent of this anticipated uptrend remains unknown; however, the presence of bullish factors most notably the high influx of institutional investment and the US pro-crypto policies supports a range of sky scraping targets. For example, Pillows has previously shared that the popular stock-to-flow model which uses Bitcoin’s scarcity to project long-term price trajectory has predicted a potential price target of $368,925 by 2025 end. If this prediction holds true, Bitcoin investors are eyeing an estimated 242% from current market prices. At press time, Bitcoin continues to trade at $108,299 reflecting a 0.83% gain in the past week. Featured image from The Economic Times, chart from Tradingview
The Dogecoin price may be setting up for a significant rally as a technical analyst identifies a bullish breakout above the 50-day trendline. After months of compressed price action, the meme coin now appears poised to conclude its downtrend, igniting fresh optimism within the crypto community. Dogecoin Price Set For Game-Changing Rally Trader Tardigrade, a crypto market analyst, announced in an X (formerly Twitter) post on July 1 that the Dogecoin price has just broken above a critical 50-day descending trendline on its daily chart. With this new development, the analyst anticipates the potential start of a powerful upward price movement soon. Related Reading: Dogecoin Price Retests 100 SMA Again – Here’s What It Means For Price Notably, the trendline breakout marks a significant shift in momentum for Dogecoin, which had been locked in a consistent downtrend over several weeks. The leading meme coin is currently trading at $0.17, having declined by almost 10% over the past month, according to CoinMarketCap. With the potential end of this market downturn in sight, Trader Tardigrade suggests that DOGE’s microstructure is now beginning to show early signs of a bullish reversal pattern. In his price chart, the analyst notes that Dogecoin established a higher low, followed by a higher high after its breakout above the long-standing trendline. More recently, a second higher low has formed, reinforcing the possibility that a new uptrend is underway. This structure, characterized by successively higher highs and lows, is often seen as the earliest confirmation that buyers could be regaining control of the market. The breakout is also especially significant because it follows an extended period of lower lows and lower highs, with the 50-day trendline acting as a strong resistance barrier throughout. With that resistance now breached and early signs of a bullish market structure developing, Trader Tardigrade is increasingly optimistic about Dogecoin’s near-term prospects. If the current trend persists, it could signal the start of a sustained rally for the meme coin. Analyst Says Dogecoin Below $0.2 Is Free In a separate analysis, market expert Kaleo disclosed that Dogecoin’s current price below $0.20 presents a strong accumulation opportunity, implying that the meme coin is significantly undervalued when compared to its potential upside. Backing his view with a chart, the analyst projected that the Dogecoin price may be on the verge of a major breakout, with possible upside targets indicating a surge toward $1.5 and possibly beyond $ 3.50. Related Reading: Dogecoin Price Rocked By Market Collapse, Analyst Reveals When To Buy Kaleo’s chart analysis highlights strong similarities between Dogecoin’s current market structure, following the April 2024 Bitcoin halving, and the 2020 breakout that preceded the meme coin’s historic bull run. In 2020, Dogecoin traded sideways within a Falling Wedge pattern for months before a breakout triggered a parabolic surge to fresh ATHs. The current price action exhibits a nearly identical setup, with the meme coin now emerging from a similar multi-year Falling Wedge, potentially setting the stage for another historic bull rally. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
This week, Bitcoin (BTC) has recovered from its recent drop below the $100,000 level and is attempting to turn the crucial $108,000 resistance into support for the fourth time. As we approach the second half of 2025, a market watcher has shared his forecast for BTC. Related Reading: Solana Price At ‘A Very Delicate Level’ – Analyst Says $148 Reclaim Is Key Bitcoin Sees Transitional Period On Thursday, analyst Rekt Capital shared a roadmap for BTC for the rest of the year. He noted that this cycle has been “truly a cycle of re-accumulation ranges,” explaining that these have formed throughout the cycle since the end of 2022 and evolved since the Bitcoin Halving last year. In the pre-having period, BTC registered brief price deviations with downside wicks below the re-accumulation range lows in the weekly chart. Meanwhile, the post-halving period has seen Bitcoin deviations occur with multi-week clusters of full-bodied candles below the range lows. For instance, after its first price discovery uptrend, which lasted around seven weeks, BTC moved within its re-accumulation range for about ten weeks. Then, it transitioned into the first Price Discovery Correction, recording a nine-week downside deviation below the range lows before breaking out and rallying past the range highs toward a new ATH last month. Its past performances suggested that BTC was ready to enter its second Price Discovery Uptrend. But as Rekt Capital detailed, a transitional period has occurred for the first time, with price consolidating around the re-accumulation range high area. According to the analyst, this is “perhaps the first time that we’re seeing a deviation occur below the range high,” making this area a crucial level to transition into a new uptrend. We never really had to pull back substantially, maybe, until that final corrective period, which would last multiple months, but each re-accumulation range would see quite a bit of upside, and that upside would be very quick and no real post-breakout retesting, no real pausing. What we’re seeing here is something very, very different. Weekly Close Key For BTC’s Future Based on its new transition period, the key level for Bitcoin to reclaim in the weekly timeframe is the $104,400 support, which it held for nearly seven weeks before the recent pullbacks. This level was lost after BTC closed last week below it and “should not become a resistance level.” To the analyst, it’s key that this week’s close solidifies the price recovery as it would position the cryptocurrency for a retest and confirmation of $104,400 as support and continue the build the base around this area to transition into the next multi-week Price Discovery Uptrend. Rekt Capital added that the timeline for BTC’s next uptrend will depend on the length of the new transitional period. However, he believes that it will take “a bit longer” to break out. Related Reading: Injective Prepares For Bullish Reversal Amid 25% Recovery – Analyst Forecasts Massive Breakout Additionally, he suggested that what comes after the upcoming uptrend will also depend on how long it takes, as it could lead to an extended cycle or a prolongation of this phase, which could push the cycle peak into deeper stages of 2025. Nonetheless, the analyst affirmed that it’s crucial that the next corrective period, which could see Bitcoin drop between 25% to 33%, is short to potentially enjoy a third Price Discovery Uptrend before the bear market. As of this writing, BTC is trading at $107,555, a 3.2% increase in the weekly timeframe. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
The Bitcoin price could be headed for more pain, as a crypto analyst has identified a new bear market indicator that suggests a crash to $40,000 is imminent. The analyst has predicted when this deep price decline is set to occur, warning investors to remain cautious or risk selling at a loss. Xanrox, a crypto analyst on TradingView, shared a detailed price analysis of Bitcoin on March 17, predicting that the pioneer cryptocurrency is set to crash to $40,000 by 2026. The analyst revealed that Bitcoin follows a predictable cycle pattern tied to its halving events, which occur every four years. During these years, the market alternates between bull markets, where prices skyrocket, and bear markets, marked by severe corrections. Bear Market Indicator Predicts Next Bitcoin Price Crash Historically, bull markets last between 742 and 1,065 days, which is about 2-3 years. Conversely, bear markets last between 364 and 413 days—approximately one year. Notably, every bull run for each cycle has been weaker than the previous one due to Bitcoin’s rapidly growing market capitalization. Related Reading: Crypto Pundit Arthur Hayes Says Be Patient After Bitcoin’s 36% Crash, Reveals Possible Bottom In every cycle, Bitcoin’s price crashes after a bull market, ultimately experiencing a decline between 77% to 86%. Reflecting on this recurring trend, Xanrox forecasts a major Bitcoin price correction, albeit a weaker one than those of previous cycles. The analyst believes that the cryptocurrency will crash 65% to $40,000, citing its significantly larger market capitalization and rapidly growing institutional adoption. He shared a price chart that highlights the various halving cycles and the magnitude of each bull market rally and bear market crash since Bitcoin’s inception. He pointed out that statistically, predicting Bitcoin’s movements with a simple chart has always been accurate, suggesting that his 65% crash prediction was inevitable. Currently, Bitcoin’s considerable market capitalization of $1.63 trillion makes it unrealistic to achieve the extreme growth needed to reach a target of $300,000, $500,000, or even $1 million, as some moon analysts predict. Xanrox suggests that 2025 may be a bearish year, with the next Bitcoin bull run set to begin in 2026, after the bear market. CryptoQuant Says BTC Bull Cycle Is Over Sharing a similar bearish sentiment about the current market, CryptoQuant’s founder and Chief Executive Officer (CEO), Ki Young Ju, has announced the unfortunate end of the Bitcoin bull cycle. Ju revealed that the market should expect 6 – 12 months of choppy price action, indicating the start of the bear market. Related Reading: Analyst Says Bitcoin RSI Dominance Needs To Crash To This Level For The Bull Run To Resume He also highlights that every on-chain metric for Bitcoin is signaling a bear market, with fresh liquidity depleting while new whales are selling BTC at a significantly lower price. Moreover, Bitcoin is trading at $82,549, marking an over 20% price crash since its all-time high of more than $109,000 this year. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com
ETFs, hashrate markets and AI have fundamentally reshaped the bitcoin mining industry, reducing miners' dependence on bitcoin’s price.
The Bitcoin price has long been celebrated for its explosive growth during bull market periods. However, its cyclic nature, which consists of both a bull and a bear market, often leaves many market watchers unprepared for inevitable crashes. If history is any guide, a crypto analyst predicts that Bitcoin will skyrocket to a new price peak in 2025 and hit the end of the road after crashing to $50,000 in 2026. Despite the anticipated bull run in 2025, historical data suggests that Bitcoin could soon experience a significant market correction. TradingView analyst Xanrox said in a recent report that BTC’s price will crash to $50,000 in 2026. Analyst Calls For BTC Price Crash To $50,000 The analyst explained that statistically, Bitcoin’s price tends to crash by 77% to 86% every four years. Moreover, his predicted price decline to $50,000 aligns with past bull cycle patterns, where Bitcoin sheds substantial value after every bull run. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Aims For $150,000-$170,000 With Wave Formation, Here Are The Details Presenting a chart, the analyst highlighted the estimated durations of the Bitcoin bull and bear market. He disclosed that the bull market often lasts between 742 and 1,065 days, while the bear market typically lasts 344 to 413 days. Although previous cycles saw Bitcoin correcting to severe levels, Xanrox suggests that this upcoming crash will be much weaker due to the market’s maturing structure and the involvement of institutions. He predicts that Bitcoin will plummet by 65%, leaving many investors at a loss when they sell at low prices. Nevertheless, the TradingView analyst asserts that the downturn could present a potential buying opportunity for investors who understand the cyclical nature of the Bitcoin market. Xanrox confirmed that the market is in the final stage of the 4-year bull cycle, which should end between February and November 2025. The analyst forecasts Bitcoin’s next market top at $125,000 in 2025, after which the price crash to $50,000 is expected by 2026. Consequently, he advises investors and traders to consider selling their holdings as the price approaches the peak and to ignore “moon boys” who propose unrealistic targets of $500,000 or $1 million for BTC. He also asserts that a surge to these ambitious targets was near impossible, as it would require an enormous market capitalization for Bitcoin. How The Bitcoin Halving Influences Market Prices According to Xanrox’s chart analysis, Bitcoin price trends have consistently followed a 4-year halving cycle, which is a historical event for the crypto market. During each halving period, the block reward for miners is cut in half, reducing the number of new BTC entering the circulation. Related Reading: Analyst Says Bitcoin Price Could Retest Substantially Below $100,000 If This Level Fails The TradingView analyst disclosed that investors well versed in Bitcoin halving patterns and prepared for the projected cyclic crash would be well positioned to capitalize on his projected crash to $50,000. These investors would see a Bitcoin decline as an “incredible investment opportunity, maximizing profits on funding fees as they short Bitcoin at the top. Unsurprisingly, Xanrox’s projected drop to $50,000 aligns with the typical bear market period that follows a BTC price peak. Historically, each 4-year halving cycle has included both a bull run and a bear market, with the latter signaling that the cycle is ending. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com
The 22-fold increase was attributed to Bitcoin staking developments, the launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs in the US and BTC’s soaring prices during 2024.
Bitcoin‘s sharp drop following its surge to a new all-time high led to significant challenges for investors and traders, especially BTC’s short-term holders. However, with BTC regaining its upside momentum, the market might become favorable for institutional and retail investors in the upcoming days. Price Movement Poses Challenges For Short-Term Holders Technical expert and host […]
In a report published on December 17, analysts at cryptocurrency exchange Bitfinex stated that a combination of rising institutional adoption of Bitcoin (BTC) and bullish technical indicators could push the leading cryptocurrency as high as $200,000 by mid-2025. The report also predicts that any price corrections during 2025 are likely to ‘remain mild.’ Bitcoin Pullbacks To Be Mild In 2025 Earlier this month, Bitcoin crossed the psychologically significant $100,000 price level, pushing its total market capitalization to slightly above $2 trillion at the time of writing. However, according to the latest edition of the Bitfinex Alpha report, BTC still has significant potential for growth heading into 2025. Related Reading: Bitcoin On Track For $275,000? Analyst Cites Cup And Handle Formation The report highlights several technical indicators, including market value to realized value (MVRV), net unrealized profit/loss (NUPL), and the bull-bear market cycle indicator, which collectively suggest that the market still reflects bullish momentum and is far from hitting euphoric peaks. According to Bitfinex analysts, while diminishing returns might temper Bitcoin’s extraordinary growth seen in previous cycles, the cryptocurrency could still reach $200,000 under ‘favorable conditions.’ The report states: Our view is that any corrections in 2025 will remain mild, thanks to institutional inflows. Historically, post-halving years have seen the strongest rallies. Minimum price estimates stand at $145,000 by mid-2025, potentially stretching to $200,000 under favourable conditions. Indeed, institutional inflows into Bitcoin through exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have shown a steady upward trajectory, especially after Donald Trump’s win in the November presidential election. A recent analysis revealed that US spot ETFs now hold more BTC than the wallet of Bitcoin’s pseudonymous creator, Satoshi Nakamoto. While the report projects a strong long-term bullish case, it cautions that some price volatility may emerge during Q1 2025. These pullbacks, however, are expected to be mild and short-lived. The report also notes that price corrections following Bitcoin halvings have been shrinking in size with each cycle: In previous cycles, once Bitcoin entered price discovery following a halving, corrections before mean reversion to new ATHs were relatively contained. In the 2017 cycle, the maximum correction was 33.2 percent, while the 2020 cycle saw a slightly smaller correction of 27.1 percent. Strategic Reserve May Extend BTC Gains One unique factor in this Bitcoin cycle is the speculation surrounding the potential establishment of a US strategic Bitcoin reserve. Such a reserve could drive Bitcoin prices into the seven-figure range, according to Blockstream CEO Adam Back. Related Reading: VanEck Gives Official Backing To Donald Trump’s Bitcoin Reserve Strategy Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer at asset management firm Bitwise, recently noted that creating a strategic BTC reserve could propel the asset’s price to $500,000. Experts believe that if the US establishes a BTC reserve, other nations are likely to follow suit, creating a domino effect that could lead to a significant price surge. In related news, Japanese Member of Parliament Satoshi Hamada floated the idea of Japan creating its own strategic BTC reserve. At press time, BTC trades at $103,953, down 3.7% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, Chart from TradingView.com
Following the recent waning price performance of Dogecoin, the largest meme coin in the past few days, speculations and uncertainties about DOGE’s potential to hit a new all-time high in the short term have emerged within the crypto community. Record-Breaking Run For Dogecoin May Be Postponed Technical analyst and investor Master Kenobi has offered insights […]
Following a massive leg-up in the price of XRP, optimism towards the altcoin’s future performance is growing significantly within the community, as evidenced by several bullish predictions from crypto analysts concerning its potential for more upside, possibly to a new all-time high in the ongoing market cycle. Similarities Between XRP’s Current Trend And Past Market […]
Bitcoin has rallied 126% since January to reach $100,000, driven by Bitcoin ETF demand, April's halving and Donald Trump's US election win.
Foundry let go of 16% of US staff as part of a broader restructuring that includes spinning out its self-mining business.
According to data from CryptQuant, there is currently less than 2.5 million Bitcoin available for purchase on digital asset exchanges.
A significant drop in Bitcoin reserves on exchanges is the evidence of rising self-custody adoption, Trezor chief commercial officer Danny Sanders said.
As Bitcoin (BTC) reached a new all-time high (ATH) of $98,310 today, the ETH/BTC trading pair fell to multi-year lows, raising questions about the relative strength of Ethereum (ETH), the second-largest digital asset. What’s Causing Ethereum’s Underperformance Against Bitcoin? Bitcoin’s new ATH earlier today brings it within $2,000 of the coveted $100,000 mark. However, BTC’s sustained dominance has resulted in the underperformance of altcoins, particularly Ethereum, throughout the year. Related Reading: Ethereum Could Be Set To Explore New Highs As On-Chain Metrics Light Up The weekly chart below reveals that the ETH/BTC trading pair has dropped to a multi-year low of 0.0331 – a level last seen in March 2021. Since December 2021, the pair has failed to form a new higher high, reflecting a decline of over 60%. The pair’s losses have accelerated since July 2024, coinciding with Bitcoin’s price surge, driven by rising optimism over pro-crypto Republican candidate Donald Trump’s prospects in the U.S. presidential election. The success of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) has also contributed to institutional preference for BTC over other cryptocurrencies. At present, BTC ETFs hold more than $100 billion in total net assets. While Ethereum ETFs have also received regulatory approval, they haven’t matched the success of their Bitcoin counterparts. For instance, US-based spot Ethereum ETFs have accumulated only $8.96 billion in total net assets so far. Additional factors, such as Bitcoin’s halving in April 2024 – reducing miner rewards from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC—have further reinforced BTC’s supply scarcity narrative. In contrast, Ethereum’s rising issuance rate has led some experts to question its “ultrasound money” status. Additional factors such as Bitcoin halving in April – which slashed miner rewards from 6.250 BTC to 3.125 BTC – further reinforced the digital asset’s supply scarcity narrative. In contrast, Ethereum’s rising issuance rate has led some experts to question its “ultrasound money” status. When Will Ethereum Recover Losses Relative To BTC? With the ETH/BTC trading pair hitting new lows, Ethereum traders are eager to know when ETH might recover its losses. Several analysts have shared their views on X. Related Reading: Last Chance To Buy Ethereum? Analyst Expects $6,000 Once It Breaks 8-Month Accumulation Crypto analyst @CryptoGemRnld recently identified two strong support zones: a trendline support and a demand box zone. According to the analyst, since 2017, the ETH/BTC pair has historically rebounded from these levels, often leading to altcoin seasons. Similarly, seasoned trader Peter Brandt has suggested that the ETH/BTC ratio may be approaching its bottom. Brandt’s analysis predicts a potential reversal in December, with the trading pair beginning an upward trajectory. Supporting this outlook, recent data indicates that ETH may be undervalued at current prices. The limited inflow of ETH to exchanges, coupled with a lack of significant profit-taking, suggests that ETH bulls are holding out for further gains. Additionally, spot ETH ETFs have been recording significant inflows, attracting over $515 million between November 9 and November 15. At press time, ETH trades at $3,333, up 7.4% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin is on a tear, easing past the psychological round number at $70,000. At press time, the world’s most valuable coin is approaching $72,000, a critical resistance level that marks June 2024 highs. Bitcoin Breaks Above $70,000 And Descending Triangle As buyers press on, reversing losses of the second half of last week and soaring to print a three-month high, one analyst has also picked out another crucial development. In a post on X, the technical analyst said not only is the price firm at press time, but the explosion over the last two days means the coin is trading above a descending wedge. Related Reading: Neiro Breaks Above Key Level Following 10% Weekly Drop, Is $0.0020 Next? Technically, based on the analyst’s preview, the coin is within a key breakout formation. Accordingly, it signals that the era of discouraging lower lows, seen in the better part of Q3 2024, could be over as buyers take over. Specifically, the series of lower and lower highs seen since prices retraced from all-time highs is likely over. As it is, buyers are buoyant. According to the CoinMarketCap poll, over 70% of voters think the coin is heading higher. This preview is crucial, considering the importance of hype in the crypto scene. Usually, whenever prices tick higher, traders tend to rush in so as not to miss the leg up by opening leveraged positions on perpetual futures platforms like Binance or Bybit. Meanwhile, the more conservative ones opt to buy at the spot market, aware that though gains could be posted, risks are also mitigated. Is The Post-Halving Advance On? For the uptrend to continue, the analyst said, it is important gains posted on the last two days are confirmed. In this case, a follow-through will see Bitcoin lift off, breaking $72,000 and even $74,000 printed in March 2024. In that event, bulls could have more headroom to march on as the “post-Halving” advance begins. Looking at past cycles, Halving events are always seen as bullish. Prices rallied in the next few months when the network halved its miner rewards in 216 and 2020. Then, Bitcoin rallied to $20,000 in 2017 and $70,000 in 2021. Related Reading: Bitcoin Hash Ribbons Flash ‘Buy’ Signal: Analysts See New Highs On The Horizon After the April 20 Halving, traders have been looking forward to this phenomenon continuing. Nearly six months later, the recovery of prices amid the rising hash rate could trigger another wave of demand, pushing Bitcoin to new territory. Feature image from DALLE, chart from TradingView
The current trajectory of Bitcoin (BTC) prices could push it to the $100,000 mark within the next 90 days, regardless of the results of the U.S. presidential election. Bitcoin At $100,000 By February 2025? Crypto analyst Timothy Peterson suggests that BTC’s current price movement is not substantially different from previous trends, raising questions about the “diminishing marginal returns” theory. Related Reading: Bitcoin Soars Towards $68K Amid Microsoft’s BTC Investment SEC Filing From an investor’s perspective, Bitcoin’s diminishing marginal returns theory implies that each halving cycle leads to smaller successive price gains, as the digital asset’s total market cap matures and its supply shocks have a reduced impact on driving up demand. This suggests that while BTC may continue to grow, the extraordinary returns seen in early cycles could decrease over time. However, Peterson’s assessment appears to dismiss this theory. To recall, BTC made its all-time high (ATH) of $73,737 in March 2024. Since then, the leading cryptocurrency has been consolidating for almost eight months in a wide price range, reaching as low as $54,000. At the time of writing, BTC trades at $67,998, about 10% lower than its ATH. Peterson argues that BTC’s movement just above the red trendline would put the digital asset at $100,000 within 90 days. The analyst added that such a move will be “completely within reason.” He added: A conservative scenario puts bitcoin at $100k around February. I think this happens regardless of the US election outcome. Furthermore, the analyst suggested that according to other data-driven metrics he’s monitoring, BTC is not overpriced at its current market valuation, and the probability of a drop below $60,000 is increasingly unlikely. Focus On BTC Year-End Price Predictions While Peterson envisions BTC nearing $100,000 within three months, other analysts and industry insiders have varying expectations. Related Reading: Bitcoin May Peak Around $200,000 In Next 18 Months: CleanSpark CEO Tells Why For instance, options market traders expect BTC to break through its previous ATH by November end, no matter who becomes the next US president. Similarly, in a recent client memo, Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan outlined several factors that could force BTC to “melt-up” to $80,000 in Q4 2024. These factors include the potential victory of Republican candidate Donald Trump, additional interest rate cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed), and an extended period free of major negative developments in the crypto sector. Besides the aforementioned factors, the optimism toward a year-end BTC rally is also fueled by rising retail demand for the premier digital asset. Recent analysis by CryptoQuant highlighted that Bitcoin transactions worth less than $10,000 are on an uptrend, indicating renewed retail demand as the market gradually pivots from risk-off to risk-on mode. BTC trades at $67,998 on the daily chart at press time, up 1.1% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, Charts from X and Tradingview.com
Bitcoin is selling off when writing and approaching the psychological support at $60,000. From what’s printing out, clear in the daily chart, it represents a weak start for Q4 2024–a historically bullish quarter. Bitcoin Miners Reducing Their Dumping While BTC is under pressure, sliding nearly 10% from September highs, it is emerging that Bitcoin miners […]
Given the renewed upward performance of the entire cryptocurrency market following the recent Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate cut, Bitcoin is witnessing a wave of bullish predictions from crypto experts, with some forecasting that BTC’s final surge for this cycle has officially set in. Bitcoin Might Be Poised For The Last Great Rally Crypto expert […]
Bitcoin has once again failed to surpass the $61,000 price level, leading to a drop to about $59,000, which has raised speculations about its short-term potential. Despite the negative market trends witnessed these past few weeks, several analysts are still bullish about Bitcoin, predicting a notable rally for the digital asset in the upcoming weeks. […]
BTC miners are struggling to adapt to a post-halving environment.
The historical Spot Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) have been a pivotal advancement for the entire cryptocurrency sector, attracting retail and institutional investors. Recent data shows that the institutional investors of the products have witnessed a notable surge as BTC continues to hold steady. Spot Bitcoin ETFs Institution Ownership Upswing In a recent X (formerly Twitter) […]
A total of nine out of 13 US-listed Bitcoin mining companies raised capital through stock offers in the second quarter of 2024.
Bitcoin's 2024 bull run was mainly driven by institutional inflows, which could be the key to unlocking the next leg up.
Amid Bitcoin (BTC) continuous struggle for a major rally to new heights, miners powering the Bitcoin network are experiencing significant economic shifts. Particularly, recent data shows a stark reduction in Bitcoin reserves held by miners, signaling potential shifts in market stance or miner strategies. Related Reading: $0 Flows: BlackRock Unshaken Despite Recent Bitcoin Market Crash, Data Shows Bitcoin Miner Reserves: A Plunge To 3-Year Low Following the latest Bitcoin Halving—an event that reduced the block rewards miners earn for their computational efforts—which occurred back in April, the total Bitcoin reserves held by miners have plunged to a three-year low. The data shown by Kaiko revealed that as of August 3, BTC miner reserves witnessed a notable plunge to roughly 1,510,300 BTC, marking a 2.4% decrease from the peak earlier in December 2020. This reduction translates to an estimated value of $86 billion, accounting for about 8% of all BTC currently in circulation. In its latest report citing Kiako, Bloomberg attributes this decline in the miner’s reserves to the increased sell-offs from the miners ahead of the recent halving. These sales have been primarily driven by the need to cover operational costs amidst reduced income from block rewards. The report read: The main source of revenue for crypto-mining companies such as CleanSpark Inc. and Riot Platforms Inc. was dramatically reduced by the halving. The preprogrammed update slashed rewards the firms get from validating blockchain data, which is referred to as mining. Although it is worth noting that the network fees on the Bitcoin network saw a spike immediately after the halving, providing temporary relief, this was short-lived as it was quick to adjust back to lower levels, with average fees now at $1.2 as of today, down significantly from more than $120 seen in April post-halving. There’s A Glitch Interestingly, despite the market-wide trend of reduced reserves or holdings from these miners, some public mining companies appear to be bucking this trend, with their Bitcoin reserves increasing significantly. Bloomberg, citing reports from the US Securities and Exchange Commission, noted: [P]ublic mining companies have actually increased their holdings of Bitcoin by 60% to 54,000 tokens since January 2023. […] Marathon Digital Holdings Inc. recently reported that it bought $100 million worth of Bitcoin. This accumulation, considered strategic given the current market condition, may suggest a bullish outlook from certain mining industry sectors despite the broader sell-off. However, the financial health of these mining companies appears to be somehow varied. Related Reading: Analyst Predicts Bitcoin Could Plunge Back To $51,000 On Wedge Pattern Breakdown According to Bloomberg, Core Scientific Inc. had already recently reported a substantial loss of about $804 million for Q2 of this year, which can be due to a “write-down” of the value of its Bitcoin holdings to reflect the current market prices. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Marathon remains bullish on Bitcoin price in the long term, as it sold none of the BTC it mined during June.
The Bitcoin Runes protocol initially dominated daily transactions post-launch but is now seeing a decline, with BTC reclaiming its network dominance.
The new Bitcoin grants program could invite more innovation for Bitcoin-native DeFi, or BTCFi.