Data shows the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap has edged into the negative territory, a sign that could prove to be bearish for the asset’s price. Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap Has Declined Recently As highlighted by CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn in an X post, the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap has seen a flip for the first time in nine days. The “Coinbase Premium Gap” here refers to an indicator that measures the difference between the BTC price listed on Coinbase (USD pair) and that on Binance (USDT pair). When the value of this metric is positive, it means the cryptocurrency is trading at a higher value on Coinbase than Binance. Such a trend implies users of the former are applying a higher amount of buying pressure or lower amount of selling pressure than the latter’s traders. Related Reading: Bitcoin Rally Stalls As 60,000 BTC From STHs Hits Exchanges On the other hand, the indicator being below the zero mark suggests Binance users are the ones participating in more buying as the asset is going for a higher rate on there. Now, here is the chart shared by Maartunn that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap over the past month: As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap surged to a notable positive level earlier in the week, suggesting that Coinbase users were accumulating. Alongside this rise in the metric, BTC observed a recovery rally. In recent years, the cryptocurrency’s spot value correlating with the Coinbase Premium Gap is something that has often been observed. The reason behind this could be down to the fact that American institutional entities, which prefer to use Coinbase, have lately seen their presence grow in the digital asset sector. From the chart, it’s visible that while the Coinbase Premium Gap shot up earlier, its value has declined to a level just below zero recently. This could indicate that the US whales have dropped their accumulation. Naturally, if a proper drop into the negative zone now occurs, BTC could end up feeling a bearish effect, similar to the pullback from the second half of March. Related Reading: Ethereum Retail Hands Still In Disbelief, Keep Selling Into Strength Though, while this development in the indicator has occurred, Bitcoin has actually surged so far. BTC Breaks Past $76,000 For The First Time Since February Bitcoin furthered its recovery during the last 24 hours as its price approached the $77,000 mark before retracing back to $76,500. A result of this surge has been that more than $209 million in bearish Bitcoin bets have been liquidated over the past day, according to data from CoinGlass. In the cryptocurrency derivatives sector as a whole, over $456 million in short positions have been flushed inside this window. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com
Data shows the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap has been positive for the past 25 days, a sign that could point toward returning demand from American institutional traders. Coinbase Bitcoin Premium Gap Has Been Climbing Recently In a new post on X, CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn has talked about the latest trend in the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap. This indicator measures the difference between the BTC price listed on Coinbase (USD pair) and that on Binance (USDT pair). When the value of this metric is above zero, it means the cryptocurrency is going for a higher price on Coinbase than on Binance. Such a trend implies the users of the former may be applying a higher amount of buying pressure (or a lower amount of selling pressure) as compared to that of the latter. On the other hand, the indicator being underwater suggests the Binance traders may be the ones participating in a higher amount of accumulation as they have pushed BTC to a higher rate relative to Coinbase. Now, here is the chart shared by Maartunn that shows the trend in the 30-hour moving average (MA) of the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap over the last few years: As displayed in the above graph, the 30-hour MA of the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap fell deep into the negative zone during the asset’s decline from its January high, suggesting selling on Coinbase may have been the driver behind the price drop. Coinbase users affecting the asset’s trajectory isn’t anything new for the market. In fact, since the start of 2024, there has tended to be some correlation between the Coinbase Premium Gap and BTC’s spot price. This may be because of the fact that the exchange is the main destination of institutional investors based in the United States. Even the spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) use the platform as their custodian. From the chart, it’s visible that while the metric was inside the red zone earlier in the year, a shift started to occur toward the end of February, with the indicator’s 30-hour MA value flipping into the positive region. Since then, it has steadily been going up inside the zone, indicating the cryptocurrency’s price on Coinbase has risen relative to the Binance market. “The Coinbase Premium Gap just logged 25 consecutive days in positive territory, the longest streak since October 2025,” noted the analyst. Bitcoin has shown some recovery alongside these green values, a potential sign that American institutional entities may once again be playing a role in the market. BTC Price Bitcoin surged above $75,000 earlier in the week, but the coin has since gone through a retrace as its price is now floating around $70,300. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com
Data shows the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap spiked as the asset rallied toward $74,000, a potential sign that the platform’s institutional users were backing the run. Bitcoin’s Coinbase Premium Gap Shot Up To $61 During The Rally In a new thread on X, CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn has talked about the latest BTC rally and what could be behind it. “Several data points show aggressive institutional demand driving the breakout,” noted Maartunn. One such metric is the Coinbase Premium Gap. Related Reading: Bitcoin Historically Bottoms Between These MVRV Levels—Where Are They Now? This indicator measures the difference between the Bitcoin price listed on Coinbase (USD pair) and that on Binance (USDT pair). The metric’s value essentially tells us about the difference in buying/selling behaviors on the two cryptocurrency exchanges. Coinbase hosts an American-centric traffic, with institutional entities being among its main customers, while Binance is used by traders from around the globe. As such, when the Coinbase Premium Gap is positive, it can be a sign that the US-based institutions are applying a higher buying pressure (or lower selling pressure) than the world users. Earlier, the indicator had a notable red value, suggesting that the asset was trading at a discount on Coinbase, but recently, it has seen a shift into positive. From the above chart, it’s visible that the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap saw a sharp increase alongside the latest BTC price rally, implying that accumulation on Coinbase drove the asset to a higher value than the global market. At the peak of this surge in the positive territory, the indicator hit a value of $61. “That means BTC traded $61 higher on Coinbase vs other exchanges, a strong signal of U.S. institutional buying pressure entering the market,” explained the analyst. Another factor that points toward institutional involvement in the rally is Hyblock data. As is visible in the graph below, Hyblock shows a rise in Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP) orders from the $10,000 to $1 million cohort. A TWAP order is a trading algorithm that divides a large order into smaller pieces, executing them at regular time intervals. “TWAP orders are typically used by large players accumulating without moving the market too aggressively,” said Maartunn. The $10,000 to $1 million cohort purchased $750 million worth of Bitcoin via such orders alongside the rally. Related Reading: Altseason Mentions Hit Extreme Lows: Is Dogecoin About To Benefit? While institutions have shown demand, the analyst has warned of a risk brewing below the surface: the increasing amount of leverage in derivatives markets. As displayed in the chart, the Open Interest, an indicator tracking the total amount of derivatives positions, has rapidly gone up for both Bitcoin and the altcoins. “If supportive bids slow down, overleveraged positioning can unwind quickly, increasing volatility,” noted Maartunn. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is floating around $72,600, up nearly 6% in the last seven days. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com
Since the market-wide crash in early October, the Bitcoin price has struggled to resume any significant movement to the upside. The flagship cryptocurrency has continued to fall even deeper into bearish territory, breaching multiple support zones in the process. With the crypto market’s situation painting a bleak picture, the prevailing sentiment around its leader can hardly be said to be bullish. Interestingly, a recent on-chain evaluation puts into perspective the key players behind Bitcoin’s weakness. BTC Coinbase Premium Gap Reads –$57 In a recent post on the social media platform X, on-chain analyst Maartunn shared that a substantial portion of sell pressure seen in the Bitcoin market might be from the activities of US investors. This on-chain observation is based on the Coinbase Premium Gap metric, which measures whether US based investors are buying or selling Bitcoin more aggressively than the rest of the global market. Related Reading: Bitcoin Recent Dips Reveal Market Structure Issue Not Coming From Selling Pressure For context, the metric tracks the price gap between Bitcoin on Coinbase and Bitcoin on major offshore exchanges (for example, Binance). A positive reading typically indicates that Bitcoin is more expensive on Coinbase, meaning that US traders are buying aggressively. On the other hand, negative readings are interpreted as increased sales or reduced interest among investors in the United States. According to the analyst, the Coinbase Premium Gap recently dropped to a -$57 reading. As has been earlier implied, this deep negative value reveals that traders from the US are actively offloading, rather than accumulating Bitcoin. Interestingly, this heightened selling activity accompanies Bitcoin’s price momentum towards lower levels. Thus, it becomes clear that the sell-pressure reflected on Bitcoin’s price is due mainly to the absence of US demand. BTC Market Outlook According to historical data, Bitcoin’s direction in the long-term could go either way. While a negative Coinbase Premium Gap reading is usually indicative of a bearish phase in the short term, the long-term perspective is a little less straightforward. In past cycles, prolonged periods of negative readings have preceded the formations of market bottoms, after which prices saw recoveries to the upside. This often happens when sell-side pressure dwindles, and fresh demand enters the Bitcoin market. Related Reading: Ethereum Exchange Supply Just Crashed To New Lows, Why This Is Bullish For Price Hence, if this negative reading deepens and there is no fresh demand in the market, the Bitcoin price could follow suit and continue south. However, a reversal of the Coinbase Premium Gap to the upside — pushing it towards neutral or positive levels — could prove pivotal for the world’s leading cryptocurrency. As of this writing, Bitcoin holds a valuation of $88,260, reflecting no significant price movement in the past day. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
On-chain analytics firm CryptoQuant has revealed how selling from US Bitcoin investors has dominated during the recent market downturn. Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap Points To US Selloff In a new thread on X, CryptoQuant has talked about some key pieces of data related to the US-dominated Bitcoin selloff. The first indicator that CryptoQuant has shared is the “Coinbase Premium Gap,” which keeps track of the difference between the BTC price listed on Coinbase (USD pair) and that on Binance (USDT pair). Related Reading: Dogecoin’s Strongest Support Zone Revealed—Here’s The Level As the below chart shows, the 30-hour moving average (MA) value of this metric has plummeted into the red territory recently. A negative value on the Coinbase Premium Gap indicates that the asset is trading at a price lower on Coinbase as compared to Binance. The former exchange is the preferred platform of the American investors, especially large institutional entities, while the latter one hosts a global traffic. As such, a red premium can be a sign that US-based whales are selling more than world investors. “The Coinbase Premium Gap dropped as low as -$90, which is a sign of strong U.S. selling pressure,” explained the analytics firm. Another metric that points toward extraordinary selling pressure from the American traders during the recent price decline is the cumulative return for the different trading sessions. From the above chart, it’s visible that both European and Asia-Pacific trading hours have seen an almost neutral return in Bitcoin over the past month. The American session, on the other hand, has witnessed a deep negative value. Another major way institutional entities invest in Bitcoin is through the spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs), investment vehicles that hold BTC on behalf of their investors, and allow them to gain off-chain exposure to the coin’s price movements. These funds have also witnessed outflows during the selloff in the last few weeks. ETFs have seen net outflows for three straight weeks now, which is a departure from last year’s Q4 trend, where 194,000 BTC flowed into the wallets connected with these funds, but in Q4 2025 so far, 8,000 BTC has flowed out instead. “ETF outflows continue to weigh on the BTC spot market,” noted CryptoQuant. Related Reading: Bitcoin Short-Term Holders Panic: 65,200 BTC Sent To Exchanges At Loss As for what could be next for Bitcoin, the cost basis of the spot ETFs may be worth watching for, which is located at $86,566. If the cryptocurrency breaches below this mark, holdings of the spot ETFs will go underwater. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is floating around $92,000, down more than 10% over the last seven days. Featured image from Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin has retraced its recent recovery above $104,000 as data shows the Coinbase Premium Gap has continued to be negative. Bitcoin’s Coinbase Premium Gap Has Been Red Recently As pointed out by CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn in a new post on X, investors on Coinbase keep selling Bitcoin. The indicator of relevance here is the “Coinbase Premium Gap,” which measures the difference between the BTC price listed on Coinbase (USD pair) and that on Binance (USDT pair). Related Reading: Bitcoin At Increased Risk Of Falling To $88,500 Support, Glassnode Warns When the value of this metric is positive, it means the asset is trading at a higher rate on Coinbase than Binance. Such a trend suggests the users of the former are applying a higher buying pressure (or lower selling pressure) than those of the latter. On the other hand, the indicator being under the zero mark implies Binance users are the ones participating in a higher amount of accumulation as they have pushed the asset to a higher price on the platform. Now, here is the chart shared by Maartunn that shows how the Coinbase Premium Gap has fluctuated over the past week: As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap has stayed mostly in the negative zone during the past week, implying users on Coinbase have been participating in selling. The metric briefly turned neutral-green as the cryptocurrency witnessed a surge back above $104,000, but since then, the indicator’s value has again plummeted, and with it, the BTC price has erased its recovery. Since the start of 2024, Bitcoin has often reacted to movements in the Coinbase Premium Gap in a similar manner, showcasing how Coinbase users have been a driving force in the market. The exchange is mainly used by American investors, especially large institutional entities like the spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs), so the Coinbase Premium Gap essentially reflects how the US-based whales differ in behavior from Binance’s global traffic. Since the indicator has been red recently, it would appear that the American institutions have been distributing the cryptocurrency. Considering the pattern over the last couple of years, it’s possible that BTC’s recovery might depend on whether a bullish sentiment can return among this cohort. Related Reading: Cardano Retests Line That Has Triggered Strong Rebounds Since Nov 2024 In some other news, a movement of old tokens has just been spotted on the Bitcoin blockchain, as Maartunn has highlighted in another X post. From the chart, it’s visible that a stack of over 13,000 BTC that has been dormant for between 3 and 5 years has become involved in a transaction, a potential sign that a HODLer may be gearing up for selling. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $100,200, down almost 9% over the last week. Featured image from Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com
The price of Bitcoin closed the historically bullish month of October on a loss for the first time in seven years. While the month started in typical fashion—on a bullish tear, the intense downturn didn’t begin until October 10, when US President Donald Trump threatened new trade tariffs on China. Now, although the United States and China seem to have found a temporary truce, the cryptocurrency market has been unable to find similar relief. In fact, the latest on-chain data suggests that US investors are still less optimistic about the digital asset market, specifically Bitcoin. Negative Coinbase Gap Premium Coincides With Massive ETF Outflows In a November 1st post on social media platform X, crypto analyst Maartunn revealed that the world’s largest cryptocurrency has seen extremely low demand in the United States in recent days. The relevant indicator here is the Coinbase Premium Gap, which has entered a deep red territory in the past few days. Related Reading: Bitmine Buys 44,036 Ethereum Worth $166M During Market Dip – Details This on-chain metric measures the difference between the Bitcoin price on the US-based Coinbase exchange (USD pair) and the global Binance exchange (USDT pair). A positive difference indicates that the flagship cryptocurrency has a higher value on Coinbase than on Binance. When the Coinbase Premium Gap is positive, it implies that US-based investors are purchasing Bitcoin aggressively. On the flip side, a negative Coinbase Premium Gap typically indicates heavy selling pressure for the market leader. According to data highlighted by Maartunn, this on-chain metric is back around -$80, reflecting significant selling pressure from the US institutional players. This reduced demand can be seen with the disappointing performance of the US-based spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in recent days. Data from SoSoValue shows the Bitcoin ETFs registered a total net outflow of more than $191 million on Friday. This marked the third consecutive day of negative outflows, having seen withdrawals of nearly $500 million each on Wednesday and Thursday. From a historical perspective, a negative Coinbase Premium Gap is often correlated with periods of sluggish or downward movement for the BTC price. Hence, with the current intense selling pressure from large US investors, it is difficult to see the premier cryptocurrency making a strong recovery in the coming days. Bitcoin Price At A Glance As of this writing, the price of BTC sits just above $110,200, reflecting a measly 0.9% jump in the past 24 hours. According to data from CoinGecko, the flagship cryptocurrency is down exactly 1% in the last seven days. Related Reading: Dogecoin Plunges To $0.18 As Whales Sell 440 Million DOGE Featured image by Dall-E, chart from TradingView
Data shows the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap has witnessed a spike, a sign that American investors may be buying at post-dip prices. Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap Has Seen A Sharp Positive Spike In a new post on X, CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn has talked about the latest trend in the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap. This metric measures the difference between the Bitcoin price listed on Coinbase (USD pair) and that on Binance (USDT pair). The indicator tells us about how the buying or selling behavior differs between the userbases of the two platforms. The former is the main platform of the American investors (especially the large institutional entities), while the latter gets users from around the world. Related Reading: Dogecoin Bullish Signal: Whales Buy 2 Billion DOGE Here is the chart shared by Maartunn that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap over the past week: As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap surged to notable positive levels on Wednesday, indicating that BTC was going for more on Coinbase than Binance. In other words, Coinbase users were participating in a higher amount of buying than Binance traders. What followed the accumulation from the US-based entities was a surge in BTC’s price to a new all-time high (ATH). The cryptocurrency saw a plunge on Thursday and has continued to trade at lows today, but interestingly, the Coinbase Premium Gap has only noticed a further uptick. This could be a sign that American institutional investors are looking at the dip as a buying opportunity. Since the start of 2024, this cohort has often taken the driving seat in the market, so it only remains to be seen whether this accumulation would also lead somewhere. Another sign that could point at dip-buying occurring in the sector is the trend in the USDC Exchange Inflow, as the analyst has discussed in another X post. The “Exchange Inflow” is an on-chain indicator that tracks, as its name suggests, the amount of a given asset that investors are depositing into wallets associated with centralized exchanges. In the current case, the cryptocurrency involved is the stablecoin USDC. Generally, holders transfer their coins to exchanges when they want to sell, so an uptick in the metric for coins like Bitcoin can be a bearish sign for their prices. For stablecoins, however, the same isn’t true, as their prices are by definition stable around $1. Instead, stablecoin inflows have an effect on the volatile assets: investors use them to buy BTC and others, thus providing a bullish boost to their value. Related Reading: Bitcoin Realized Price Flips 200-WMA: What Happens Next? Since the BTC price plunge, the USDC Exchange Inflow has amounted to a whopping $3.88 billion. “Investors are treating it as a buy-the-dip opportunity,” notes Maartunn. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $117,800, down 1% over the last 24 hours. Featured image from Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin has seen a retrace back below the $120,000 level as data shows the Coinbase Premium Gap has dropped into the negative zone. Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap Has Plummeted Into The Red Region In a new post on X, CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn has talked about the latest trend in the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap. This indicator measures the difference between the BTC price listed on Coinbase (USD pair) and that on Binance (USDT pair). The former cryptocurrency exchange is popularly used by American investors, especially the large institutional entities, while the latter is the destination of the global investors. As such, the Coinbase Premium Gap tells us about how the buying or selling behaviors differ between US-based and foreign whales. Related Reading: Bitcoin-Money Supply Link Is A Myth, Glassnode Researcher Reveals When the metric has a positive value, it means the cryptocurrency is going for a higher price on Coinbase than Binance. Such a trend suggests the users of the former are applying a higher buying pressure or lower selling pressure as compared to the traders of the latter. On the other hand, the indicator registering a negative value implies the American investors may be selling more relative to global investors, which has brought the price on Coinbase lower than on Binance. Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap over the past day: As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap was above the zero mark when BTC’s recovery run to the $122,000 level occurred, indicating that US-based whales were buying and helping fuel the surge. While BTC was at its high, however, the indicator’s value saw a sharp reversal and plunged into the negative zone. What has followed these red levels in the metric is a retrace for the coin to prices below $120,000. Thus, it seems the trend in the Coinbase Premium Gap foreshadowed the price action. This pattern is something that has been witnessed a lot since the start of 2024, as American institutional entities have been in the driving seat. Given the price action of the past day, it seems the influence of these investors remains strong, so the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap could be worth keeping an eye on, as where it will go next may also carry hints about the cryptocurrency’s future trajectory. Related Reading: This XRP Signal Consistently Foreshadows Price Jumps: Analytics Firm In some other news, address generation on the BTC network has reached its highest level in a year, as analyst Ali Martinez has pointed out in an X post. From the chart, it’s apparent that the daily total number of new addresses on the Bitcoin blockchain has spiked to a high of 364,126. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $119,300, up around 5% over the past week. Featured image from Dall-E, Glassnode.com, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com
As Bitcoin (BTC) continues to consolidate slightly below the $120,000 level, the dominance of new investors is steadily rising. However, on-chain data shows that BTC is still far from overheating, suggesting the premier cryptocurrency may have more room to run before a significant correction sets in. Bitcoin May Still Have Some Room To Run According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor AxelAdlerJr, new investor dominance in Bitcoin is gradually increasing – currently hovering around 30%, which is only halfway to the historical “overheated” threshold. Related Reading: Bitcoin Overheating Signals Easing – Is A Second-Half Rally Ahead? The analyst shared the following chart, which highlights two past instances – marked in orange – when new investor dominance reached overheated levels and coincided with BTC local price tops. The first instance occurred in March 2024 when the metric hit 64%, and the second in December 2024 when it peaked at 72%. In both cases, BTC experienced a significant pullback, leading to the formation of local bottoms. Notably, as the influx of new liquidity dried up during these phases, long-term holders began actively taking profits. This added further pressure on BTC’s price. Currently, while new investor dominance is trending higher, it remains well below the euphoria zone – typically between 60% and 70% – suggesting more upside potential in BTC’s bullish momentum before exhaustion. Meanwhile, older holders continue to sell moderately. The chart indicates a coefficient of 0.3, showing that the supply of three-year-old BTC is still absorbing fresh demand without sharp disruptions. From a long-term perspective, the market remains balanced, and the risk of large-scale capitulation from veteran wallets appears low. AxelAdlerJr concluded: If the indicator’s growth accelerates and approaches the historical corridor of 0.6-0.7, one should expect intensified profit-taking and, consequently, a correction. For now, the supply/demand structure remains in a healthy late bull cycle phase, when new money is coming in but old players have not yet transitioned to mass selling. Is BTC Price About To Stall? While the data above suggests that Bitcoin still has room to grow, other indicators point to waning momentum. One such signal is the recent decline in the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap, which has broken its long streak of positive values. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Rally Might Be Running on Fumes, Analyst Warns of August Turning Point Fellow CryptoQuant analyst ArabChain confirmed this development in their analysis. They noted that US investor enthusiasm for BTC appears to be cooling at current price levels. That said, positive macroeconomic factors – such as BTC’s historical correlation with global M2 money supply expansion – could still lead the digital asset to new all-time highs in the near term. At press time, BTC trades at $118,371, up 0.6% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com
Data shows the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap recently broke its longest ever streak of positive values. Here’s what this could mean for the market. Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap Turned Negative Recently In a new post on X, CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn has talked about the recent trend in the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap. The “Coinbase Premium Gap” refers to an indicator that keeps track of the difference between the BTC price listed on Coinbase (USD pair) and that on Binance (USDT pair). The former cryptocurrency exchange is primarily used by US-based investors, especially large institutional entities. The latter, on the other hand, has a global userbase. As such, the Coinbase Premium Gap essentially tells us about how the buying or selling behaviors differ between the American and foreign whales. Related Reading: XRP Dormant Coins On The Move: Reason Behind Price Plunge? When the value of the metric is positive, it means the cryptocurrency is listed for a higher price on Coinbase than Binance. Such a trend implies buying pressure is stronger (or selling pressure is weaker) on the former as compared to the latter. On the other hand, the indicator having a negative value implies Binance is the platform observing a net higher accumulation as its users have pushed BTC to a higher value than on Coinbase. Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the 30-hour moving average (MA) of the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap over the past year and a half: As displayed in the above graph, the 30-hour MA Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap has mostly held a positive value for a while now, indicating that Coinbase users have been buying. This accumulation was so consistent earlier that it managed to reach a streak of 94 days, but recently, a dip into the negative territory finally broke it. “This was the longest streak in history,” notes the analyst. Since the start of 2024, US institutional investors have generally played a driving role in the market, with the price often showing correlation to the Coinbase Premium Gap. Given this pattern, a pivot to selling from this group can naturally be a bearish sign for Bitcoin. Related Reading: Ethereum Exchange Reserve Plummets: Over 1 Million ETH Withdrawn The chart shared by Maartunn shows more of a long-term view of the indicator. So, here is another graph, this one from CryptoQuant author IT Tech, that shows how the metric’s fluctuations have looked on a higher resolution over the past month: From the chart, it’s apparent that the metric has seen multiple drops into the negative zone recently, with the latest one coming during the past day. “The demand in the US Market is weakening,” says the analyst. “Caution is necessary.” BTC Price Bitcoin has been unable to find a direction as its price is still floating around $117,700. Featured image from Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com
Volatility remains the norm in the Bitcoin market, with aggressive price swings defining the past few days. On Monday, BTC dropped to $97K before surging to $106K yesterday. However, the price has since retraced and now consolidates around the $102K mark, keeping investors on edge about its next move. Related Reading: Chainlink Could Target $30 Once It Breaks Bullish Pattern – Top Analyst Top analyst Daan shared key insights from Coinglass, revealing that Bitcoin has mostly traded with a Coinbase discount over the past month, as indicated by the Coinbase premium index. This means that other spot exchanges are pricing BTC higher than Coinbase, signaling increased selling pressure from US investors. A Coinbase premium typically indicates strong demand from institutional and ETF buyers, reinforcing bullish sentiment. However, with the index currently flat, the US market seems indecisive. As Bitcoin consolidates below all-time highs, traders are closely watching whether it can reclaim key resistance levels or face another wave of selling pressure. If BTC breaks above $106K again, a test of the all-time high could follow. However, losing the $100K support level could lead to further downside and extended consolidation. The coming days will be crucial in determining the next phase for Bitcoin. Bitcoin At A Crucial Level As Market Awaits Next Move Bitcoin is at a pivotal moment after failing to retest its all-time high (ATH) and now seeking support to fuel the next leg up. The $110K level remains the key psychological target above ATH, and once BTC breaks and holds above it, the entire market could enter a new bullish phase. Related Reading: Cardano Consolidates Within A Symmetrical Triangle – Expert Sees A 40% Move Once It Breaks Despite recent upside momentum, BTC has struggled to gain a clear breakout, leading to uncertainty among investors. Analysts remain divided—some see this as a natural consolidation before Bitcoin makes its next big move, while others worry about a deeper correction if BTC fails to hold key support levels. Top analyst Daan shared key insights from Coinglass, revealing that Bitcoin has mostly traded with a Coinbase discount over the past month. This means that BTC is priced lower on Coinbase compared to other spot exchanges, indicating that selling pressure is coming primarily from US investors. Historically, a Coinbase premium has signaled strong institutional demand, particularly from ETFs and major financial players. However, with the index currently flat, the US market seems cautious. For BTC to confirm a bullish breakout, holding above $102K and reclaiming $106K is critical. If Bitcoin loses these levels, a retest of $100K support could be imminent, delaying a breakout into price discovery. Bitcoin Price Consolidates Below Key Levels Bitcoin is currently trading at $102,400, showing signs of consolidation as the price remains bounded between the $106K resistance and the $100K support levels. This range has defined Bitcoin’s short-term movements, and a breakout in either direction will likely dictate the next trend. A breakdown below $100K could lead to further consolidation or even a deeper correction, delaying Bitcoin’s bullish breakout. If BTC fails to hold this psychological level, selling pressure could increase, pushing prices lower before any attempt at recovery. On the other hand, reclaiming and holding above $106K would be a major bullish signal, suggesting that price discovery is imminent. This would clear the path for Bitcoin to test its all-time high (ATH) and target the $110K mark, potentially triggering a fresh rally. Related Reading: Solana Restested A Key Level And Now Faces Resistance – Breakout Next? For now, uncertainty remains the dominant theme as the market waits for a decisive price move to confirm short-term direction. With volatility increasing, traders are closely monitoring these key levels, knowing that a clean breakout or breakdown will set the tone for Bitcoin’s next major move. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin has faced a significant correction, dropping 15% from its all-time high of $108,300. This price decline marks a sharp shift in market sentiment, which has quickly transitioned from an extremely bullish outlook to one of uncertainty and caution. As altcoins experience heavy losses, Bitcoin’s correction has raised concerns about the sustainability of the recent […]
Bitcoin surged to a new all-time high today, reaching $106,533 and solidifying its position as the market leader in this ongoing bull run. The price action has been exceptionally bullish, offering only three quick chances for investors to buy small dips in recent weeks. This relentless upward momentum has captivated the market as BTC continues […]
Data of the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap could hint at which part of the market has been behind the bullish price action over the weekend. Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap Saw Negative Dips During Weekend In a CryptoQuant Quicktake post, an analyst has discussed about the recent trend in the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap. The “Coinbase […]
Bitcoin has surged to new all-time highs, reaching $76,500, following Donald Trump’s victory in the US elections. This price breakout has reignited investor optimism, particularly among US traders, with demand increasing significantly since the election results. Trump’s pro-crypto stance has played a key role in boosting market sentiment, especially among institutional investors. Related Reading: Bitcoin […]
Bitcoin has recently shown a recovery back above the $68,000 mark. Here’s who could be behind this rally, according to on-chain data. Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap Has Remained Negative Recently As pointed out by an analyst in a CryptoQuant Quicktake post, the Coinbase Premium Gap has been declining alongside the recent price rise. The “Coinbase […]
Data shows the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap has turned negative recently. Here’s what this could mean for the asset’s price. Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap Has Just Observed A Deep Plunge As an analyst in a CryptoQuant Quicktake post explained, the Coinbase Premium Gap has seen a rapid trend reversal recently. The “Coinbase Premium Gap” here refers to an […]
The positive Bitcoin Coinbase Premium that drove the latest rally above $70,000 has dissipated, suggesting buying has already slowed down. Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap Has Returned To Neutral Levels CryptoQuant Netherlands community manager Maartunn explained in a post on X that the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap has declined back toward the neutral line. The “Coinbase Premium Gap” here refers to a metric that keeps track of the difference between the BTC prices listed on cryptocurrency exchanges Coinbase (USD pair) and Binance (USDT pair). Related Reading: Bitcoin Sentiment Returns To Extreme Greed As BTC Breaks $71,000 When the value of this metric is positive, it means that the price listed on Coinbase is greater than that on Binance right now. Such a trend implies that the buying pressure on the former is higher than that on the latter platform (or alternatively, the selling pressure on there is just lower). On the other hand, a negative value can imply the selling pressure on Coinbase is higher than on Binance as the price of the cryptocurrency listed there is lower. Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap over the past few days: The value of the metric appears to have been close to the neutral line recently | Source: @JA_Maartun on X The chart shows that the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap had taken to notably positive values as the latest upward push in the asset’s price had occurred. Since then, though, the metric has fallen, with its value approaching zero. It would seem that the buying pressure on the platform contributed to the surge. The fact that the rally has slowed since the metric returned to neutral levels may add further evidence. This isn’t unnatural for this year, however, as the Bitcoin price and Coinbase Premium Gap have shown a pretty tight relationship since the start of 2024. Coinbase is popularly known as the preferred platform of American institutional investors, while Binance hosts more global traffic. As such, the premium’s value provides insight into how the behavior of the US-based large holders differs from that of world users. Since the Coinbase Premium Gap has been the driver of the recent price surges, buying from these institutional entities could potentially have provided the fuel. Related Reading: Bitcoin Top In Yet? What The Legendary MVRV Ratio Says As the indicator’s value has now neared the neutral mark, it would imply that these whales have lifted their foot off the gas. Given the close relationship the metric and BTC price have held recently, it may be worth keeping an eye on how things develop in the coming days. BTC may register some decline if the premium flips into the red from here. Naturally, a continuation of positive values would be a bullish sign instead. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around the $70,100 level, up more than 11% over the past week. Looks like the value of the asset has been going up over the last few days | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView Featured image from Kanchanara on Unsplash.com, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com