Bitcoin is trading around $91,000 after a minor dip earlier today, and uncertainty continues to dominate sentiment. The market sits at a crossroads: a small but vocal group of analysts argues that the recent correction served as a healthy reset before a continuation of the broader uptrend, while the majority of traders believe the first leg of a new bear market is already underway. With price action still showing hesitation, the debate grows louder by the day. Related Reading: XRP On-Chain Velocity Hits Yearly High As Network Activity Explodes According to top analyst Darkfost, a critical threshold will help determine Bitcoin’s next major direction. He highlights the importance of the Realized Price of the youngest Long-Term Holder (LTH) band, which currently sits at $96,956. This metric marks the transition point between short-term and long-term holders and is viewed as a psychological and structural barrier for market stability. Reclaiming this level would push these young LTHs back into a comfortable profit zone, reducing their incentive to sell and helping to restore confidence across the market. Until Bitcoin closes decisively above $97K, Darkfost warns that caution is warranted, as volatility remains high and the risk of further downside persists. Why the $97K Threshold Matters for Bitcoin’s Next Major Move Darkfost emphasizes that the $96,956–$97,000 zone plays a crucial role in shaping Bitcoin’s next phase. This level represents the Realized Price of the youngest Long-Term Holder band, meaning it reflects the average cost basis of investors who recently transitioned from short-term to long-term holding behavior. When Bitcoin trades below this threshold, these holders sit at an unrealized loss, increasing the likelihood of panic selling and adding pressure to the market. Breaking above this zone would flip sentiment for this group almost immediately. Darkfost explains that reclaiming $97K would place these investors back into a comfortable profit position, restoring their confidence and expectations of potential gains. Once this psychological weight lifts, these holders typically choose to keep accumulating rather than selling, which naturally brings more stability to the market. However, he cautions that Bitcoin’s failure to close above $97,000 keeps the risk tilted to the downside. As long as the price remains below this band, the market stays vulnerable, and volatility may continue. Even if BTC successfully reclaims $97K, Darkfost reminds that this is only the first step. The market would still need stronger structural confirmation—such as reclaiming key moving averages and rebuilding demand—to validate a true bullish reversal that could eventually lead to a new all-time high. Related Reading: Ethereum NUPL Holds Steady, Signaling Market Balance Amid Volatility BTC Weekly Structure Shows Early Signs of Stabilization Bitcoin’s weekly chart reflects a market trying to stabilize after a sharp multi-week correction that dragged the price from above $115,000 down toward the mid-$80,000s. The latest weekly candle shows a firm rebound from the 100-week moving average (green line), now acting as dynamic support around the $84,000–$86,000 region. This level historically attracts long-term buyers, and the strong wick rejection confirms renewed demand. BTC is currently trading near $91,300, sitting just below the 50-week moving average (blue line), which now acts as resistance. A clean reclaim of this moving average—currently positioned around $95K–$97K—would significantly improve the technical outlook and align with on-chain signals calling for a recovery. Until then, the trend remains neutral-to-bearish on higher timeframes. Related Reading: Tron Hits $80.2B Stablecoin Milestone After Tether Mints 1B USDT On The Network Volume during the recent bounce stands out, showing one of the strongest buying reactions since early 2025. This suggests that long-term holders and institutional buyers may be stepping in as the price approaches key value zones. However, Bitcoin is not out of danger. Failures to break above $97K would leave the structure vulnerable to another leg down, potentially retesting $86K or even deeper liquidity pockets around $80K. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin is fighting to reclaim the $90,000 level after a sharp drop earlier today, adding fuel to growing fears of a deeper downtrend. Market sentiment has weakened noticeably, with selling pressure intensifying across spot and derivatives markets. Traders remain cautious as liquidity thins and volatility increases, creating an environment where even minor inflows can trigger outsized price reactions. The recent rejection below $90K highlights the fragility of the current structure and raises questions about whether Bitcoin is entering a more prolonged corrective phase. Related Reading: Bitcoin Must Break Key Supply Clusters To Regain ATH Momentum – Watch These Levels However, beneath the surface, on-chain data reveals a striking counter-signal. According to On-Chain Mind, Bitcoin is currently printing the largest hidden-buying spike of the entire cycle. Order flow analysis tracks the relationship between actual buy/sell pressure and the corresponding price movement. When the two do not align, hidden divergences emerge: positive divergences indicate aggressive buying despite muted price action, while negative ones reflect stealth selling. The size of this hidden-buying spike suggests a major imbalance in favor of buyers—an early sign that large players may be quietly accumulating while the broader market focuses on the decline. Whether this hidden demand can offset the prevailing sell pressure will determine Bitcoin’s next decisive move. Hidden Buying Supports Reversal Narrative Despite Macro Fear According to On-Chain Mind, the persistent hidden-buying spike remains one of the strongest signals favoring a future upside reversal. Even after Bitcoin’s most recent drop, the imbalance between real buying pressure and price action suggests that large players are still absorbing supply. While this type of signal does not guarantee an immediate rebound—and may take several weeks to fully materialize—it indicates that buyers have not exhausted their resources. Historically, such divergences appear near cyclical inflection points, when sentiment is weakest, but accumulation quietly strengthens beneath the surface. This constructive signal emerges at a time when fear in the market is amplified by external narratives. Renewed headlines about a China Bitcoin ban, despite being recycled and lacking substantive policy updates, have resurfaced across social media, contributing to confusion and short-term panic. Similarly, fresh waves of Tether FUD—focused on reserve transparency and regulatory scrutiny—have pressured liquidity conditions and fueled risk-off behavior. Together, these storylines have exaggerated bearish sentiment, overshadowing the more nuanced on-chain developments. While retail reacts to alarming headlines, order flow data suggests that sophisticated investors are taking the opposite stance. If hidden accumulation continues, this correction may ultimately resolve with a stronger recovery than current sentiment implies. Related Reading: Bitcoin STH Loss Transfers Fall 80% From Peak – What Comes Next? Bitcoin Attempts to Stabilize After Sharp Breakdown, but Trend Remains Fragile Bitcoin’s 1-day chart reflects a market still under heavy corrective pressure following the steep decline from the $110,000 region. The breakdown sliced through the 50 SMA and 100 SMA with little resistance, signaling a decisive shift in momentum. Price is now hovering below both moving averages, which have begun to curl downward—an early sign that the medium-term trend has weakened. The 200 SMA around the $109,000 zone sits far above the current price, underscoring how aggressive the correction has been. After reaching a local low near $83,000, BTC has attempted to rebound, but the reaction remains modest. The latest bounce failed to reclaim $90,000 convincingly, forming a lower high that aligns with bearish continuation. Related Reading: XRP Reserves On Binance Collapse To Record Lows: Investors Move Toward Long-Term Holding Volume spikes during sell-offs reinforce the dominance of sellers, while buying activity remains comparatively muted. Until BTC can flip the 50 and 100 SMAs back into support—now clustered around $101,000–$108,000—bulls will struggle to regain control. The chart also shows increasing distance between price and the 200 SMA, a condition that often precedes temporary relief rallies. However, unless Bitcoin closes back above the $95,000–$98,000 region, downside risks persist. For now, BTC is attempting to stabilize, but the broader trend continues to favor caution. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin has rallied more than 12% since last week’s sharp drop to the $80,000 low, offering the market a brief moment of relief after an intense period of capitulation. Despite this rebound, fear and uncertainty continue to dominate sentiment, especially following what analysts describe as the largest short-term holder capitulation in Bitcoin’s history. Related Reading: XRP Reserves On Binance Collapse To Record Lows: Investors Move Toward Long-Term Holding This wave of realized losses—fast, aggressive, and record-breaking—has left many investors questioning whether the recent recovery is sustainable or simply a temporary bounce in a broader downtrend. According to new data from Glassnode, the path ahead remains challenging. Analysts explain that Bitcoin must break above the major supply clusters created by top buyers earlier in the cycle if it is to regain meaningful upward momentum. These clusters represent areas where a large number of investors previously bought at higher prices and may now look to exit at breakeven, increasing the likelihood of heavy sell-side pressure as BTC climbs. Bitcoin Faces Critical Supply Barriers Glassnode reports that Bitcoin is now approaching two major supply clusters that will play a decisive role in determining whether the recent rebound can evolve into a sustained recovery. The first cluster sits between $93,000 and $96,000, while the second—much larger and more structurally important—spans $100,000 to $108,000. These zones were formed by heavy buying activity earlier in the cycle and represent areas where many investors are currently underwater or sitting near breakeven. Because of this, Glassnode notes that these ranges typically act as strong resistance, as recent buyers who endured the latest drawdown may choose to sell once the price returns to their entry levels. This dynamic can create temporary supply walls, slowing down momentum even in moments of aggressive recovery. Bitcoin’s ability to break through these clusters will determine whether it can re-establish a path toward a new all-time high or remain trapped under heavy distribution pressure. The market is now entering a critical phase, with traders closely watching how BTC behaves as it approaches these levels. A clean breakout would signal renewed confidence, while rejection could signal that the broader corrective structure is not yet over. Related Reading: Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Still Negative: US Institutions Keep Selling Despite Easing Pressure Testing Support After a Sharp Multi-Week Selloff Bitcoin’s weekly chart shows a market attempting to stabilize after one of the most aggressive drawdowns of the cycle. BTC has rebounded to the $91,500 area following a deep wick to the $80K region last week, signaling that buyers are finally stepping in at key support. This rebound coincides with a strong weekly candle showing a long lower shadow, a classic sign of demand absorption during heavy selloffs. However, despite this bounce, the broader structure remains fragile. The price is trading below the 50-week moving average, a level that previously acted as reliable support throughout the bull phase. Losing this dynamic support earlier in the month was a significant technical break, and BTC is now attempting to reclaim it from below—typically a challenging move that often acts as resistance. Related Reading: Ethereum ICO Whale Sells 20,000 ETH ($58M), Raising Questions Over Market Timing The 100-week moving average around the mid-$80K region has proven critical, halting the decline and serving as the primary area where buyers defended the trend. As long as BTC holds above this zone, the broader market avoids confirming a deeper macro reversal. Volume remains elevated, reflecting capitulation-level activity, and the market is now in a decisive phase. A sustained close above $92K–$94K would strengthen recovery prospects, while rejection would risk another retest of the $80K support. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin has struggled below the $90,000 level since last week and is now attempting to stabilize as selling pressure continues to shape market sentiment. The sharp downturn from the recent cycle high has left bullish traders on the defensive, with confidence weakening across spot and derivatives markets. Analysts who just weeks ago projected continuation toward new all-time highs are now shifting their tone, with many calling for the beginning of a bear market. Related Reading: Bitcoin Short Squeeze Flushes Out Late Longers as Funding Turns Negative: Classic Capitulation Signal The broader market environment has amplified these concerns. Momentum has flipped downward, liquidity has thinned, and buyers have been unable to reclaim key resistance levels that would signal strength. As Bitcoin searches for support, investors are now watching reactions around the high-$80K region to determine whether this decline is part of a deeper structural reversal or a temporary correction within the larger trend. According to top analyst Axel Adler, Long-Term Holders have played a pivotal role in the current downturn. He reports that this cohort conducted the largest profit-taking event of the entire cycle, reducing positions by 1.57 million BTC over the quarter as prices fell toward $80,000. This scale of distribution historically aligns with exhaustion phases and late-cycle tops, intensifying speculation that Bitcoin may be entering a more prolonged period of weakness. Long-Term Holder Distribution Signals Major Cycle Shift Axel Adler highlights that Long-Term Holders (LTH) are conducting massive profit-taking, pushing supply levels back to early 2023 lows. According to his data, the 30-day Net Position Change now reflects one of the deepest sell-offs seen in the entire bull cycle. LTH supply has fallen sharply from the peak of 15.75 million BTC to the current 13.6 million BTC—marking the lowest reading since the beginning of the cycle. Adler notes that this pattern aligns with a classic smart-money distribution phase often observed near major market tops. Over just the past two weeks (November 11–25), LTH sold 803,399 BTC, representing a drop of 5.54% and averaging 53,560 BTC per day. Historically, such compression in supply has only occurred during major inflection periods. Adler compares the current reading to previous extremes—March 2024, following the $73,000 all-time high sell-off, and October 2024, when Bitcoin corrected from the ATH toward $85,000. The present phase demonstrates aggressive coin dumping, with deeply negative red bars on the Net Position Change while price simultaneously declined from the October peak. This combination of rapid supply reduction and falling price suggests that LTH distribution is exerting meaningful pressure on the market. The data implies that the cycle may be transitioning toward a structurally weaker phase unless new demand re-enters to absorb the sell-side volume. Related Reading: XRP OI Collapses to Lowest Level Since Nov 2024: Binance Data Shows Liquidity Is Fading BTC Attempts Stabilization After Sharp Breakdown Bitcoin’s price action on the daily chart shows a market struggling to regain footing after a steep decline from the $120K region to a recent low near $80K. The current trading level around $86,800 reflects an attempted relief bounce, yet the broader trend remains clearly bearish. Price is positioned below the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages, all of which are now sloping downward—a structure that typically signals sustained downside momentum. The rejection from the mid-November breakdown zone reinforces the idea that former support has flipped into resistance. Related Reading: 63K Bitcoin Exits Long-Term Wallets: A Surge of Speculative Short-Term Buying Volume spikes during the selloff indicate forced liquidation and capitulation-driven selling rather than orderly distribution, while the recent bounce has occurred on noticeably lighter volume, suggesting weak conviction from buyers. For bulls, the key focus is whether Bitcoin can build a base above the $85K region to avoid another wave of selling pressure. Losing this level could expose further downside toward $78K and potentially $72K. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin is struggling to reclaim momentum as it trades below the critical $90,000 level, with selling pressure dominating the market and fear spreading rapidly. Many analysts are leaning toward calling the start of a new bear market, arguing that Bitcoin likely topped in early October near $126,000. Momentum has weakened sharply since then, and investor behavior now reflects a shift toward risk-off positioning. Related Reading: Anti-CZ Whale Loses Big: $61M in Profit Wiped Out As Ethereum and XRP Longs Collapse A new report from CryptoOnchain, published via CryptoQuant, highlights one of the most significant developments of this cycle: a historic 63,000 BTC has moved from long-term holders (LTHs) to short-term holders (STHs). This unprecedented transfer is clearly visible in the Long-Term Holder Net Position Change chart, which shows a massive red bar — a negative daily difference signaling heavy outflows from long-term holder wallets. This type of behavior typically appears during late-stage bull markets or near local and cycle tops, when long-time investors with substantial profit margins begin realizing gains. At the same time, the corresponding Short-Term Holder Net Position Change chart shows a huge green bar, confirming that newer, more reactive market participants are buying these coins, often at elevated prices. Long-Term Holders Distribute as Short-Term Buyers Absorb Supply CryptoOnchain explains that the current market structure is being shaped by a clear divergence in behavior between Long-Term Holders (LTHs) and Short-Term Holders (STHs). LTHs — historically considered the “strong hands” of the market — are now heavily distributing, sending large amounts of Bitcoin into the market after months or even years of holding. At the same time, STHs are aggressively buying and accumulating this supply, often entering positions at elevated prices despite growing volatility. This dynamic is not inherently a bearish signal on its own. In fact, such transitions are common during late-stage bull markets, where early investors secure profits while new participants enter the market with fresh capital. It reflects a natural rotation of supply from experienced holders to newer ones, a pattern seen repeatedly in previous cycles. However, the volume of distribution is significant, and it raises an important risk: if incoming demand fails to fully absorb the coins being offloaded by LTHs, the market could face a deeper correction or extended consolidation phase. This supply pressure can weigh on price, especially in a context where sentiment is fragile and macro conditions remain uncertain. Related Reading: STH Panic Emerges as Bitcoin Crashes To $81K: Realized P/L Turns Negative For The First Time This Cycle Weekly Chart Signals a Critical Retest of Macro Support Bitcoin is attempting to stabilize around the $87,000 level after an intense multi-week sell-off that dragged price as low as $85,946. On the weekly chart, Bitcoin has now tapped the 100-week moving average (green line), a historically important support level during bull-market retracements. This line acted as a springboard in previous cycles, but the current bounce remains weak and indecisive, reflecting the fear dominating the market. Momentum has clearly shifted bearish. The breakdown from the $110K–$100K consolidation zone triggered accelerated selling, confirming a loss of market structure on the weekly timeframe. Candles over the past three weeks show high-volume distribution, with sellers overwhelming demand each time Bitcoin attempted to reclaim higher levels. The steep slope of the 50-week MA turning slightly down is another sign that trend strength has softened. Related Reading: Bitcoin OG Owen Gunden Deposits Final 2,499 BTC ($228M) to Kraken – Details However, the reaction at the 100-week MA is critical. Bulls aggressively defended this area in prior macro corrections, and holding above $83K–$86K keeps the long-term bull structure intact. A weekly close below this zone, however, opens the door to deeper downside toward the 200-week MA near $56K–$60K. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin is struggling to find support after losing the $85,000 level and plunging to $81,000, marking its weakest point since early spring. Bulls have clearly lost control of the trend, and fear now dominates the market, with sentiment rapidly shifting from caution to outright panic. Many traders are calling for a confirmed bear market, while others argue the move is an orchestrated shakeout designed to flush out weak hands before the next macro leg. Related Reading: Bitcoin OG Owen Gunden Deposits Final 2,499 BTC ($228M) to Kraken – Details Amid the chaos, top analyst Axel Adler shared new insights that highlight a structural shift beneath the surface. Until just yesterday, short-term holders (STHs) appeared relatively stable despite the correction. However, the situation has now changed dramatically. The Realized P/L component — which measures whether investors are selling at a profit or loss — has fallen to –1, signaling broad loss realization across the STH cohort. This metric turning negative for the first time in weeks confirms that capitulation among recent buyers is accelerating, a dynamic that historically increases pressure on the spot market. Although the sell-off is severe, some analysts argue that these conditions resemble previous manipulation-driven liquidity grabs, where deep corrections eventually set the foundation for sharp rebounds. STH Panic Mirrors Past Cyclical Bottom Signals Adler explains that the latest spike in short-term holder (STH) panic is not an isolated event — it closely resembles patterns seen during previous market bottoms. The chart clearly shows that similar surges in STH loss realization occurred in July 2021 and again throughout the 2022–2023 bear market, each time leading to accelerated selling, liquidity stress, and deeper short-term corrections. These phases were marked by fear-driven capitulation, where recent buyers dumped coins rapidly, often exaggerating the downside but ultimately exhausting available sell pressure. Today, that same structure is reappearing. With STH Realized P/L dropping sharply and the STH-MVRV ratio sitting below 1, fear has pushed many recent entrants into loss, triggering panic moves. Adler notes that this kind of forced selling tends to cluster near the end of corrections, not the beginning. Once STHs capitulate, the market often shifts into a period of stabilization as long-term holders absorb supply. Despite extreme sentiment across social and derivative markets, several analysts argue that this setup could create the conditions for a recovery. Historically, when STH panic peaks and long-term holders remain steady, Bitcoin has often staged strong rebounds in the weeks that follow. Related Reading: Bitcoin Mean Reversion Oscillator Prints First Green Oversold Bar in Months – A Classic Bull-Market Bottom Signal BTC Testing Key Demand Levels Bitcoin has entered a steep downtrend, and the chart clearly reflects the intensity of the current sell-off. BTC has dropped to the $83K–$84K range, marking one of the sharpest declines of this cycle. The breakdown accelerated once price lost the $92K and $90K supports, and the chart now shows a near-vertical move to the downside — a classic sign of capitulation-driven selling. On the daily timeframe, BTC is trading well below the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages. All three have begun sloping downward, forming a full bearish alignment that signals weakening momentum across multiple time horizons. Price is currently attempting to stabilize around the 200-day moving average (red line), one of the last major trend supports in a macro bull structure. A clean close below this level could open the door to deeper downside. Related Reading: Bitcoin Capitulation Deepens Around $90K Level: Classic Late-Stage Fear Structure Emerging Volume has spiked aggressively over the past sessions, confirming panic participation. Unlike earlier corrections, this one shows sustained distribution without meaningful bounces, suggesting forced selling from short-term holders and large entities. However, the chart also shows early signs of selling exhaustion. Candles are printing long lower wicks, and intraday volatility has increased — conditions that often precede a temporary bottom. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin continues to struggle around the $90K level as the market battles intense selling pressure and widespread fear. Short-term sentiment remains fragile, with investors reacting to rapid price swings and mounting downside volatility. Yet, beneath the noise, key on-chain metrics are beginning to show signs that the correction may be nearing exhaustion. Related Reading: Nearly 7M Bitcoin Now Sitting At A Loss: Highest Unrealized Pain Since January 2024 According to analyst On-Chain Mind, Bitcoin’s Mean Reversion Oscillator has just printed its first green oversold bar in months, a signal that has historically aligned with late-stage retracements during bull markets. This oscillator measures how far price has deviated from its cyclical mean, helping identify when Bitcoin becomes overstretched to the downside. Each time this indicator dipped into its green oversold zone in previous cycles, Bitcoin was either forming a macro bottom or preparing for a significant rebound. The fact that this signal has appeared while BTC consolidates above $90K — despite severe profit-taking, forced liquidations, and structural fear — suggests that strong hands may be quietly absorbing supply. Historical Bottom Signals Align as Macro Tailwinds Strengthen On-Chain Mind explains that Bitcoin’s current Mean Reversion Oscillator reading aligns closely with historical patterns seen during bull market retracements. Each time the oscillator dipped into the green oversold zone while the 35 line held, Bitcoin formed a cyclical bottom before resuming its upward trajectory. This line has acted as a structural support level across multiple market cycles, and the fact that it is holding once again reinforces the idea that strong hands are stepping in as weaker participants capitulate. According to On-Chain Mind, when this indicator flashes green during an ongoing bull market, it often marks textbook accumulation territory — the kind of opportunity that appears only a few times per cycle. The current setup resembles previous late-stage pullbacks rather than the beginning of a prolonged bear trend. Adding to this outlook, NVIDIA’s blowout earnings delivered a major confidence boost to U.S. equities. With revenue and guidance far exceeding expectations, the results signal that AI-driven demand remains strong. In broader macro terms, such strength in tech leadership often spills over into higher-risk assets like crypto, improving liquidity and investor sentiment. Related Reading: Bitcoin Capitulation Deepens Around $90K Level: Classic Late-Stage Fear Structure Emerging Testing Support as Momentum Begins to Stabilize Bitcoin’s latest daily chart shows price attempting to stabilize after a sharp multi-week decline, with BTC currently trading near $92,000. This level is acting as a temporary support zone following the breakdown from the $100K area, where sellers aggressively dominated order books. The chart reveals a series of lower highs and lower lows — a classic short-term downtrend structure — but the recent candlesticks hint at reduced selling momentum compared to the peak pressure seen earlier in November. The 50-day and 100-day moving averages have both turned downward, reflecting weakening short-term trend strength, while the 200-day MA remains far below price, highlighting that the broader bullish cycle may not be invalidated yet. Importantly, the current candle structure shows smaller bodies and longer lower wicks, suggesting buyers are beginning to absorb sell-side liquidity around the $90K–$92K region. Related Reading: XRP Supply In Profit Falls to 58.5% – Lowest Since 2024 Despite Higher Price Volume profiles also support this shift. While capitulation-like spikes occurred during the heaviest drop, trading activity has now normalized, indicating panic selling is cooling off. Historically, such deceleration after a steep leg down often precedes a relief bounce, even if volatility persists. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin is trading at critical price levels as the market enters one of its most tense and uncertain stages of the year. The crypto market is showing clear signs of stress, and new data from CryptoQuant confirms that Bitcoin is now moving into one of the most severe short-term capitulation phases of this cycle. According to the latest on-chain metrics, short-term holders (STHs) are realizing losses at a scale typically seen only near major market turning points. Related Reading: XRP Supply In Profit Falls to 58.5% – Lowest Since 2024 Despite Higher Price The key indicator driving this analysis is STH-SOPR, which has plunged to deeply depressed readings around 0.97. This means STHs are selling coins at a clear loss, often driven by fear rather than strategy. Even more importantly, this metric has spent several consecutive weeks below the critical 1.0 threshold, forming what analysts refer to as a structural “capitulation band.” Historically, whenever STH-SOPR remained under 1.0 for extended periods, it signaled heavy emotional selling—typically from the most reactive and least informed market participants. These episodes have repeatedly aligned with late-stage corrections, market reversals, and shifts in long-term holder dominance. With Bitcoin now sitting at a crucial technical and psychological zone, the next phase could determine whether this becomes a deeper bear trend or a major reset before recovery. Short-Term Holders Under Extreme Stress as Capitulation Deepens According to XWIN Research on CryptoQuant, the current selloff is being amplified by the behavior of short-term holders, with the STH-MVRV ratio now sitting far below 1.0. This indicates that nearly all recent buyers are holding Bitcoin at a loss, placing short-term profitability in one of the weakest conditions in the entire dataset. Historically, these deep unrealized-loss phases are extremely rare and tend to compress selling pressure quickly, as weak hands eventually run out of coins to sell. This pattern is clearly visible in real market flows. A striking 65,200 BTC were recently sent to exchanges at a loss, showing that fear is not an abstract sentiment but is materializing in real, loss-driven capitulation. This kind of behavior aligns with classical capitulation structures: unrealized losses surge, panic selling intensifies, and eventually selling pressure becomes unsustainable. Once that happens, stronger hands begin absorbing supply quietly in the background. While this setup doesn’t guarantee an immediate rebound, the broader structure is shifting toward conditions that have historically preceded cyclical recoveries. STH losses remain at extreme levels, STH-SOPR is still below 1.0, and the pressure fueling exchange inflows is rooted in panic rather than fundamentals. Volatility is likely to persist, but the ongoing cleansing of weak hands is a process often seen near the end of major corrections — not at the start. Related Reading: Galaxy Digital Dumps 2,800 BTC as Bitcoin Crashes Below $90K Testing Weekly Support as Momentum Weakens Bitcoin’s weekly chart shows the market approaching a critical turning point as price trades just above $91,000 following a sharp multi-week decline. The recent breakdown from the $110,000–$105,000 range has confirmed a loss of bullish momentum, with sellers gaining control and pushing BTC toward its next major weekly support cluster near the 50-week moving average around $88,000–$90,000. This zone has historically acted as a key pivot level, often signaling whether a corrective phase deepens or stabilizes. Volume adds important context. The past several weekly candles show rising sell-side activity, reflecting panic-driven exits rather than orderly distribution. However, this surge in volume also indicates that the market may be approaching a capitulation threshold, where forced selling begins to exhaust itself — a setup often seen before stronger hands step in. Related Reading: Ethereum Approaches Historical Accumulation Level – Just 8% Away From LTH Cost Basis Structurally, Bitcoin is still trading above the 100-week and 200-week moving averages, both of which continue to trend upward. This suggests the aggressive downside move has not yet broken the broader macrotrend. But the loss of mid-term support levels and the sustained downward pressure highlight a market struggling to find confidence. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin is now holding ground around the $90K level as the market transitions into a new and uncertain phase. Sentiment is sharply divided: some analysts argue that the breakdown below $100K marks the beginning of a new bear market, while others believe Bitcoin is setting the stage to break its traditional four-year cycle and rally harder than ever in the months ahead. This tension reflects a market struggling to price in fear, macro pressure, and structural shifts in liquidity. Related Reading: XRP Supply In Profit Falls to 58.5% – Lowest Since 2024 Despite Higher Price According to new data shared by top analyst Darkfost, more than 6.96 million BTC accumulated by investors are now sitting at an unrealized loss. This marks the highest level of unrealized loss since January 2024, even though the current correction has not yet surpassed the steepest drawdown seen earlier in the cycle. The implication is clear: a massive portion of supply was accumulated near Bitcoin’s previous all-time highs, making recent selling pressure especially emotional and reactive. Despite this, Bitcoin continues to defend the $90K region — a sign that demand is absorbing extreme stress. Whether this marks the early stage of a bear market or the final flush before a major rebound remains the central question dominating the market. Rising Unrealized Losses Signal a Classic “Change of Hands” Phase Darkfost explains that the spike in unrealized losses reflects a simple but critical reality: a massive amount of Bitcoin was accumulated near the previous all-time highs, meaning many recent buyers are now underwater. This is especially true for short-term holders (STHs), who tend to react quickly to volatility. Their elevated cost basis — clustered near cycle tops — makes them more vulnerable to panic selling, which is exactly what the market is witnessing as BTC hovers near $90K. This phenomenon helps explain the intense selling pressure seen in recent days. STHs, driven by fear and deteriorating sentiment, have been sending coins to exchanges at a loss, amplifying short-term volatility. But Darkfost notes an important historical pattern: during bullish market structures, rising unrealized losses have consistently produced strong buying opportunities. Related Reading: Galaxy Digital Dumps 2,800 BTC as Bitcoin Crashes Below $90K These phases often mark the transition where weak hands capitulate and long-term, conviction-driven buyers absorb supply. This is the defining moment of the “change of hands” narrative — where Bitcoin shifts from emotionally driven participants to strategic holders who shape the next major move. BTC Price Analysis: Testing Major Support as Momentum Weakens Bitcoin continues to trade under heavy pressure, holding just above the critical $90K region after a sharp multi-week decline. The 3-day chart shows a decisive break below the 50-day and 100-day moving averages, signaling a loss of short- and medium-term momentum. Price is now sitting directly on the 200-day moving average — a level that historically acts as the final line of defense during deep corrections in bullish cycles. The recent candles show long lower wicks, suggesting buyers are attempting to defend this zone, but the rebound strength remains limited. Volume has increased on downside moves, confirming that sellers are driving the current structure. This pattern resembles previous late-cycle shakeouts, where high volatility clusters near major moving averages precede a trend reset or further breakdown. Related Reading: Ethereum Approaches Historical Accumulation Level – Just 8% Away From LTH Cost Basis Structurally, BTC is forming lower highs and lower lows on this timeframe — a clear sign of short-term bearish conditions. A sustained break below the 200-day MA could accelerate downside momentum and expose lower liquidity pockets around $85K–$88K. However, if bulls manage to stabilize the price above $90K and reclaim the 100-day MA in the coming sessions, it could signal seller exhaustion. Right now, Bitcoin sits at a pivotal crossroads, with market sentiment fragile and direction dependent on how this support zone holds. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin has officially slipped into dangerous territory after losing the $90,000 level for the first time since early spring, triggering widespread fear across the market. The drop has intensified concerns that BTC may be transitioning into a full bear market, as momentum weakens and buyers struggle to absorb the aggressive waves of sell pressure. Related Reading: Ethereum Approaches Historical Accumulation Level – Just 8% Away From LTH Cost Basis According to top analyst Darkfost, one of the driving forces behind the latest downturn is persistent selling from major institutional players. Data shows that Galaxy Digital has been offloading significant amounts of BTC. This steady stream of institutional selling has added weight to an already fragile market structure, likely accelerating last night’s drop. While sentiment is undeniably fearful, the combination of forced liquidations, institutional selling, and panic-driven exits may be creating the final stage of a broader reset — one that historically precedes major cycle reversals. Galaxy Digital’s Selling Accelerates Market Downside Darkfost reports that Galaxy Digital has been exceptionally active over the past several hours, adding considerable pressure to an already fragile Bitcoin market. According to the data, the firm moved more than 2,800 BTC, a sizeable amount given the current environment of fear and declining liquidity. A particularly notable portion of this activity is the 1,474 BTC transferred to Coinbase Prime, equivalent to roughly $135 million at recent prices. Such large inflows to an institutional exchange are typically interpreted as preparation to sell, and this wave of supply appears to have coincided with Bitcoin’s accelerated move below the $90,000 level. This type of selling activity from a major player like Galaxy Digital carries significant market implications. When large, sophisticated entities reduce exposure during a period of heightened volatility, it often intensifies fear among retail traders and shorter-term participants. The timing of these transfers — occurring as Bitcoin was already slipping through critical support zones — likely amplified the downside impact, contributing to the sharp overnight drop. However, while the immediate effect is clearly negative, analysts like Darkfost emphasize that such phases of heavy selling and forced repositioning are also characteristic of late-stage corrections. Once large sellers finish distributing, markets often stabilize and rebuild from stronger hands. Related Reading: $14B In Stablecoins Minted Since October Crash: Liquidity Returning To Crypto BTC Price Analysis: Testing Key MA as Fear Peaks Bitcoin’s price action on the 3-day chart shows a decisive breakdown, with BTC now trading around $90,400, sitting directly on top of the 200 moving average (red line) — a level that has historically acted as a final line of defense during major corrections. The rejection from the $110K–$115K zone triggered a cascade of lower highs, shifting market structure firmly into a short-term downtrend. Momentum has deteriorated quickly, and the clean break below both the 20-day (blue) and 50-day (green) moving averages confirms bearish control. Related Reading: Massive Bitcoin Bid Walls Spotted On Binance: Bulls Step In With 2,800 BTC Cluster Volume has spiked noticeably during the most recent candles, indicating forced selling and liquidation-driven moves rather than organic distribution. This aligns with the broader fear-driven environment and recent data showing large entities, including Galaxy Digital, offloading significant amounts of BTC. The high-volume flush suggests capitulation behavior, especially as Bitcoin revisits levels not tested since early 2025. If buyers defend this level and the price stabilizes, it could mark the beginning of a base formation. However, a clean breakdown below the 200 MA would expose the next major support near $82K–$85K, signaling deeper downside risk. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin has slipped below the $100,000 mark, now trading around $97,000 for the first time since May, as selling pressure intensifies across the market. Bulls are struggling to defend critical support, and sentiment has turned decidedly fearful, with traders scaling back leverage and rotating into stablecoins amid heightened volatility. Despite this weakness, on-chain data suggests that large buyers may already be positioning for a potential rebound. Related Reading: $1.33B Ethereum Whale Just Moved Another $120M USDT to Binance – Details According to CryptoQuant analyst Maartunn, massive bid walls have been spotted on Binance Futures, signaling that aggressive buyers are stepping in to absorb the recent wave of selling. Historically, such large-scale bids have often coincided with local bottoms, as whales and institutional traders accumulate into weakness. This emerging liquidity pattern may suggest growing confidence among deep-pocketed players that Bitcoin’s downside could be limited. However, with macro uncertainty still weighing heavily on the market, traders remain cautious. Aggressive Buyers Step In As Bid Walls Signal Dip Accumulation According to CryptoQuant analyst Maartunn, recent order book data reveals a strong layer of support forming on Binance Futures, where two major bid clusters have emerged — one around 800 BTC and another stacking up to 2,000 BTC. This concentration of buy orders suggests that large traders, often referred to as aggressive dip buyers, are actively accumulating Bitcoin at current levels around $97,000. Bid walls of this size are significant because they indicate a willingness among deep-pocketed investors to absorb selling pressure and defend price levels perceived as undervalued. In practice, such large orders create a temporary price floor, making it harder for BTC to fall further without massive selling volume. This behavior is often observed in early phases of market reversals. Smart money begins building positions while retail sentiment remains fearful. Maartunn notes that these clusters reflect renewed confidence from high-volume traders who see long-term value despite the recent correction. If these orders remain active and continue to absorb liquidity, Bitcoin could stabilize above the $95,000–$97,000 range. Historically, periods of strong bid support have preceded short-term relief rallies, suggesting that the current dip may be setting the stage for a broader recovery. Related Reading: BTC Leverage Cooldown Signals Market Reset: OI Drops 21% As Excess Risk Is Flushed Out Bitcoin Tests Key Support After Losing $100K Bitcoin’s price action has turned increasingly fragile, with the asset now trading near $96,800, its lowest level since May. The three-day chart shows a decisive break below the $100,000 psychological threshold, confirming a short-term bearish shift as sellers dominate. Volume has spiked notably in recent sessions, suggesting panic-driven liquidations as traders unwind leveraged positions. The 50-day moving average has crossed below the 100-day, signaling fading momentum, while the 200-day moving average — currently near $88,000 — stands as the next central support zone if selling pressure persists. Despite the breakdown, price is showing early signs of stabilization around current levels, hinting that dip buyers may be stepping in. Related Reading: Ethereum Whale Adds $105M To His ETH Position – $1.33B Bought Since Nov 4 Market structure remains corrective but not fully bearish. Bitcoin has repeatedly found support above its 200-day MA during previous mid-cycle retracements. A pattern that often precedes recovery once selling exhausts. The RSI (not shown here) is likely near oversold territory, reinforcing this view. If BTC can reclaim and hold above $100,000, a short-term relief rally toward $105,000–$108,000 could unfold. However, failure to defend $95,000 may accelerate the decline toward $90,000. Overall, the chart reflects a market in consolidation, balancing between capitulation risk and early accumulation. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin continues to consolidate below the $105,000 mark, maintaining stability above the key $100,000 support level despite ongoing market uncertainty. Bulls appear to be losing momentum, yet sellers are showing signs of exhaustion as the price resists further decline. According to top analyst Darkfost, the market has entered a clear deleveraging phase following the major liquidation event on October 10 — a structural reset that is removing excessive leverage from the system. Related Reading: Ethereum Whale Adds $105M To His ETH Position – $1.33B Bought Since Nov 4 Data shows that open interest — the total value of active futures contracts — has fallen by 21% over the past 90 days, marking one of the steepest declines of the cycle. This drop reflects traders reducing risk exposure and liquidations steadily clearing overleveraged positions. Darkfost notes that leverage usage is gradually cooling down, with the current drawdown echoing previous cleansing phases seen in September 2024 and April 2025. Historically, such periods of forced unwinding have preceded new market strength as liquidity stabilizes and speculative excess fades. Deleveraging Signals a Potential Turning Point for Bitcoin Darkfost explains that the current deleveraging phase bears striking similarities to previous corrective periods that ultimately paved the way for major recoveries. During the September 2024 and April 2025 corrections, open interest fell by approximately 24% and 29%, respectively — deep enough to flush out excessive speculation and restore balance across the market. With the current 21% decline in open interest over the last three months, Bitcoin is now approaching those same historical levels of leverage reduction. According to Darkfost, these phases are not necessarily bearish; instead, they serve as healthy resets during bullish market cycles. By forcing overleveraged traders to exit and cooling down speculative behavior, the market is able to rebuild on a stronger, more stable foundation. In past cycles, such unwinding events were often followed by trend reversals once selling pressure eased and new demand emerged. The reduction in leverage also tends to attract long-term investors and institutions seeking lower-risk entry points. If Bitcoin continues to hold its ground above $100K through this period of structural cleanup, it could signal that the worst of the correction is over, setting the stage for a potential new impulse phase once confidence returns. Related Reading: Bitcoin Inflows To Binance Surge: Daily Average Hits 7,500 BTC BTC Tests Support As Consolidation Continues Above $100K The weekly Bitcoin chart shows that BTC remains in a tight consolidation range between $100,000 and $105,000, testing key structural support. The price has repeatedly defended the 100-day moving average (blue line), indicating that despite sustained selling pressure, buyers continue to step in around this psychological zone. The overall trend remains bullish on higher timeframes, with the 200-week moving average (red line) trending upward and well below current price action — a signal that Bitcoin’s long-term market structure remains intact. However, momentum indicators reflect weakness, as BTC struggles to reclaim the $110,000 resistance level that capped previous rebound attempts. Related Reading: Bitcoin STH-MVRV Rebounds From Local Low – Potential Recovery Toward $115K–$120K Trading volume has decreased since the October liquidation event, aligning with Darkfost’s observation that the market is undergoing a deleveraging phase. This lower volume environment suggests investor hesitation but also indicates that forced selling may be nearing exhaustion. A decisive weekly close above $106,000 could confirm renewed bullish momentum, while a breakdown below $100,000 might trigger deeper corrections toward $92,000 — the next major support zone. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin is entering a consolidation phase, holding steady above the $100,000 mark but struggling to break past $105,000. The market appears to be stabilizing after weeks of volatility, yet on-chain data signals that profit-taking remains active. According to top analyst Darkfost, since the exceptional liquidation event in early October, many investors have started to secure profits and scale back their exposure as the current cycle nears its end. Related Reading: Bitcoin STH-MVRV Rebounds From Local Low – Potential Recovery Toward $115K–$120K Data from CryptoQuant reveals a notable uptick in Bitcoin inflows to Binance. The 30-day moving average of daily inflows has climbed sharply throughout October, showing that, on average, roughly 7,500 BTC are being transferred to Binance every day. This is the highest inflow rate since the March correction, indicating renewed selling pressure and cautious positioning among traders. While such inflows often reflect profit realization and short-term selling, Bitcoin’s ability to consolidate near the $100K level suggests resilient underlying demand. Buyers continue to absorb the supply entering the market, preventing a deeper breakdown — at least for now. As the cycle matures, this phase may prove critical in determining whether Bitcoin stabilizes for another leg up or faces a more prolonged correction. Short-Term Holders Add To Selling Pressure As Bitcoin Consolidates Darkfost explains that the recent surge in Bitcoin inflows to Binance and other exchanges reflects growing selling pressure across the market. Despite this, Bitcoin’s price continues to consolidate relatively cleanly around the symbolic $100,000 level — a sign that existing demand remains strong enough to absorb the increased supply. This balance between distribution and accumulation indicates that the market is undergoing a structural reset rather than a full-blown capitulation. Adding to this dynamic, short-term holders (STHs) have become a major contributor to the ongoing selling pressure. These participants are typically the most reactive segment of the market, responding quickly to volatility and sentiment shifts. With a realized price near $112,000, many STHs have been underwater for about a month, prompting them to send significant amounts of BTC to exchanges at a loss. Historically, this type of behavior has coincided with late-stage corrections — what analysts often call a “cleansing phase.” During such phases, speculative capital exits the market while long-term investors quietly absorb the supply, setting the foundation for renewed stability and potential future growth. If demand continues to offset this wave of short-term selling, Bitcoin could soon form a stronger base above $100,000 — paving the way for a gradual recovery as selling pressure fades and confidence returns. Related Reading: Uniswap Founder Submits Governance Proposal To Burn UNI — Token Jumps 50% Weekly Chart: Holding the Line Above Key Support Bitcoin continues to consolidate within a tight range between $102,000 and $107,000, showing resilience around the critical $100K psychological level. On the weekly chart, BTC remains supported by the 50-week moving average (blue line), which is acting as a strong dynamic floor for price. Despite multiple retests over recent weeks, bulls have managed to defend this level, signaling that underlying demand remains intact even as profit-taking intensifies. The broader structure still points to a healthy long-term uptrend. The 100-week (green) and 200-week (red) moving averages continue sloping upward, confirming that Bitcoin’s macro bias remains bullish. However, the lack of strong volume during recent rebounds suggests that market participants are cautious, awaiting confirmation of renewed momentum before adding to positions. Related Reading: Anti-CZ Whale Flips Bullish On Ethereum: Now Up $15M On A $119.6M Long Position If Bitcoin manages to reclaim the $110K region, it could invalidate short-term bearish sentiment and trigger a recovery toward the $117K–$120K resistance zone. Conversely, a weekly close below $100K would mark a significant technical breakdown, potentially opening the door to a deeper retrace toward $92K–$95K. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin has regained footing after a turbulent week of selling pressure, reclaiming crucial support levels and signaling early signs of recovery. Bulls are cautiously stepping back in, though conviction remains limited as the $110K resistance — a key psychological and technical barrier — has yet to be tested. Related Reading: Anti-CZ Whale Flips Bullish On Ethereum: Now Up $15M On A $119.6M Long Position According to CryptoQuant data, underlying market dynamics suggest that a continuation of current momentum could fuel a potential surge toward $115K. The rebound follows a period of heightened liquidations and bearish sentiment that briefly pushed Bitcoin below $100K, triggering panic among short-term traders. On-chain metrics now show improving stability across several fronts. Spot exchange outflows have increased, suggesting that investors are once again moving BTC into self-custody, a sign of renewed holding behavior. At the same time, derivatives market data indicates cooling open interest and reduced leverage — conditions that historically precede healthier, more sustainable uptrends. Short-Term Holder MVRV Suggests Potential for Bitcoin Recovery Top analyst Axel Adler highlights that Bitcoin’s Short-Term Holder (STH) MVRV ratio has shown early signs of recovery following last week’s sharp correction. On November 7, the metric reached a local low of 0.9124, nearing the lower boundary of its historical range — a zone that has often aligned with short-term market bottoms. As of today, the STH MVRV has climbed to 0.9514, signaling that selling pressure among short-term holders may be easing. This stabilization suggests a potential shift from capitulation to recovery, as traders who bought at higher levels begin to reduce loss-taking behavior. Historically, when the STH MVRV holds above 0.92 and begins trending upward, it often precedes a renewed bullish impulse. Adler notes that if this pattern continues, the metric could rise toward the upper boundary of its range, typically associated with price levels between $115K and $120K. This trend aligns with Bitcoin’s recent technical rebound and improving on-chain sentiment. While further confirmation is needed, maintaining the MVRV above this critical threshold could indicate that the market has absorbed much of the short-term selling pressure — laying the groundwork for a potential recovery phase in the weeks ahead. Related Reading: Ethereum Trading Volume On Binance Surpasses $6 Trillion: A Speculative Frenzy Unfolds Reclaiming Ground After Sharp Correction Bitcoin is showing early signs of recovery after a volatile drop below $100K, reclaiming key technical levels and stabilizing near $105,000. The daily chart shows a short-term bullish reaction following the bounce from the 200-day moving average (red line) — a critical dynamic support level that has repeatedly marked the bottom of corrective phases throughout this cycle. However, the broader trend remains cautious. The 50-day (blue) and 100-day (green) moving averages are above the current price, and both are flattening, signaling that momentum remains weak. A decisive breakout above the $108K–$110K resistance zone is needed to confirm a potential trend reversal and shift sentiment. Related Reading: SharpLink Gaming Wallet Moves Freshly Redeemed Ethereum to OKX – Details If Bitcoin maintains support above $103K and consolidates with rising volume, the next target could align with the $115K region — in line with on-chain signals pointing to a recovery. Conversely, a breakdown below $100K could reopen downside risk toward $95K. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin is once again at a pivotal moment after briefly dipping below the $100,000 level on Tuesday, testing one of the most important psychological and structural supports of the cycle. The market remains tense as bulls attempt to defend this zone amid rising volatility and persistent selling pressure. Momentum has clearly slowed, and traders are now looking for signs of stabilization as the next directional move takes shape. Related Reading: ‘Bitcoin $100K Break Was Emotional’ – On-Chain Data Shows No Structural Damage According to top analyst Darkfost, a major shift is unfolding beneath the surface — Bitcoin’s open interest across major centralized exchanges continues to struggle to recover. Since the mass liquidation event on October 10, when over $10 billion in leveraged positions were wiped out, the use of leverage has cooled significantly. This has resulted in the largest 30-day decline in open interest of the entire cycle, signaling a widespread de-risking among futures traders. While this sharp decline reflects shaken confidence, it may also serve a constructive purpose. The unwinding of excessive leverage often precedes healthier, more sustainable price action, helping to flush out speculation and rebuild stronger market foundations. Leverage Flush Deepens as Exchanges See Billions in Open Interest Wiped Out Darkfost highlights that Binance has been at the center of this leverage unwind, recording a massive $4 billion decline in Bitcoin open interest over the past month. Other major platforms have faced similar drawdowns, with Bybit losing over $3 billion and Gate.io more than $2 billion. This widespread contraction underscores how aggressively leverage has been removed from the market following October’s liquidation shock. Back on October 10, global open interest dropped by more than $10 billion within hours, one of the most severe leverage resets of the cycle. Historically, after such dramatic events, traders rebuild positions quickly as volatility cools. However, this time the rebound has been notably absent — open interest remains depressed, suggesting that market confidence is still fragile. The ongoing correction continues to discourage over-leveraged activity, forcing traders to adopt more conservative positioning. While this has amplified short-term downside pressure, Darkfost notes that these deleveraging phases are ultimately healthy. They wash out excessive speculation, allowing stronger hands to reaccumulate and laying the groundwork for the next sustained rally. In the medium term, this compression of leverage tends to create a more stable, organic market structure — one driven by spot demand rather than derivatives-driven momentum. Related Reading: Anti-CZ Whale Flips Bullish: Now Long $109M In Ethereum While Holding Massive Meme Shorts Bitcoin Retests Key Support After Heavy Selling Bitcoin is showing signs of stabilization after a sharp sell-off that briefly pushed prices below the critical $100,000 level earlier this week. As of now, BTC trades around $103,000, attempting to recover but facing persistent resistance from the short-term moving averages. The chart shows that Bitcoin remains well below the 50-day (blue) and 100-day (green) moving averages — both now acting as dynamic resistance zones around $110,000. The 200-day MA (red) near $102,000 currently serves as the key support level, and a sustained close below it could open the door to deeper downside, potentially toward $95,000. Related Reading: Balancer Hacker Now Converting Loot to Ethereum: Stolen Funds Surge To $116.6M The recent bounce reflects short-covering and some dip-buying activity, but momentum remains weak. The market structure suggests a shift from bullish to corrective, as lower highs continue to form. For bulls to regain control, Bitcoin would need to reclaim the $110,000–$112,000 region — where heavy liquidity and previous breakdown levels align. Focus remains on whether buyers can hold the $100K–$103K zone. Losing this range would likely trigger another wave of liquidations, while a successful defense could provide the base for a mid-term recovery rally. The market remains fragile, with sentiment still leaning cautious. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin has officially lost its footing below the critical $100,000 level, rattling markets and fueling a wave of fear-driven selling. The move comes after a sharp surge in bearish sentiment, with CryptoQuant data indicating that Bitcoin’s latest decline is largely psychological rather than fundamentally driven. Related Reading: Anti-CZ Whale Scores Nearly $100M On ASTER And Altcoin Shorts As Market Sells Off Over the past several days, the market has shifted from confidence to panic at remarkable speed. The Fear & Greed Index plunged to 21 — deep in fear territory — just days after BTC briefly tapped $107K. Bullish narratives calling for a $150K–$200K breakout have vanished from social platforms, replaced by anxiety, disbelief, and calls for deeper downside. Google search trends for Bitcoin interest cooled significantly after October highs, mirroring weakening retail enthusiasm. Meanwhile, altcoin sentiment collapsed to extreme lows, hitting -81 as traders capitulated across the board. This emotional swing is not unusual for crypto. With a relatively small market structure and large speculative participation, crypto assets remain highly sensitive to sentiment shocks. In many cases, price movements are influenced more by crowd psychology than by on-chain fundamentals. While the sell-off has been intense, analysts note that network data remains resilient — raising the question of whether panic, rather than macro reality, is driving this correction. On-Chain Data Shows Strength Beneath the Sell-Off Despite Bitcoin’s sharp drop below $100K, on-chain data paints a very different picture beneath the surface. According to a CryptoQuant report by XWIN Research Japan, there is no evidence of structural weakness or network deterioration — only a sentiment-driven correction. Key network metrics remain solid. Exchange withdrawals have surged, suggesting investors are moving BTC into self-custody rather than rushing to exit the market. Meanwhile, UTXOs in loss have risen to roughly 12%, signaling discomfort — but still far from levels associated with true capitulation phases in past cycles. This indicates that most market participants remain positioned for longer-term upside. At the protocol level, Bitcoin continues to show strength. Hashrate remains near all-time highs at approximately 1.1 ZH/s, reinforcing network security and miner confidence. Whale ratio has trended lower, pointing to reduced sell-side pressure from large holders. Liquidity dynamics also support a potential rebound. Over $10.7B in stablecoins has recently flowed into Binance, providing substantial dry powder for future accumulation. Realized cap data shows long-term holders trimming some profits, but importantly, incoming demand continues to absorb supply. Overall, the pullback appears sentiment-driven rather than fundamental. On-chain signals suggest the broader uptrend remains intact — making this volatility a test of conviction, not the start of a structural reversal. Related Reading: Balancer Hacker Now Converting Loot to Ethereum: Stolen Funds Surge To $116.6M Key Support Under Pressure, Short-Term Trend Weakens Bitcoin continues to trade under heavy pressure following its breakdown from the $110,000 range, slipping below the psychological $100,000 level before stabilizing near current support around $101,800. The 4-hour chart shows a clear transition into a lower-highs, lower-lows structure, confirming short-term bearish momentum. Moving averages reinforce this weakness: price is trading below the 50-, 100-, and 200-period moving averages, signaling that bears remain in control. The sharp impulse move down was met with a spike in volume, suggesting panic-driven selling rather than a slow, distribution-based decline. Since then, volume has normalized as price attempts to consolidate above the $100,000 region. This zone now serves as a pivotal demand area — a break below it could expose deeper downside toward $95,000–$98,000, where stronger historical liquidity sits. Related Reading: Whale Piles Into ASTER Shorts After CZ’s Comment – $52.8M On the Line Despite the selloff, Bitcoin is showing early signs of stabilization. The wick below $100K indicates buyers stepped in aggressively at that level, preventing further liquidation cascades. However, bulls need to reclaim the $105,000–$107,000 band to neutralize short-term downside pressure and signal a potential recovery. For now, the trend remains fragile as market sentiment cools and traders reassess positioning. Price stability above $100K is critical — losing this range could trigger another wave of forced selling, while defending it may set the stage for a relief bounce. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin (BTC) tumbled below the $110,000 level in a sharp move that rattled markets and triggered a wave of short-term panic selling. The sudden decline followed an initial post-Fed volatility spike, as traders reacted to the US Federal Reserve’s 25bps rate cut and announcement of an impending end to quantitative tightening. With uncertainty still lingering, BTC briefly slipped into a risk-off spiral, testing investor conviction and flushing out leveraged positions in the process. Related Reading: $780M Worth of Ethereum Pulled From Exchanges – Biggest Withdrawal Spike in Weeks Despite the market turbulence, several analysts argue this move may represent a classic shakeout, rather than the beginning of a larger breakdown. Historically, Bitcoin has often seen sharp pullbacks immediately before renewed upside momentum, especially during early liquidity-expansion phases. For now, all eyes are on whether Bitcoin can stabilize and reclaim the $110K zone, a level that has repeatedly acted as a pivot throughout the past month. As markets digest the Fed’s decision, the focus turns to whether Bitcoin can wake up from this sudden sell-off and reclaim strength heading into November. PoC Becomes Critical Battleground as Market Signals Indecision According to top analyst On-chain Mind, Bitcoin’s current price structure is being defined by a major volume cluster centered around $117,000, which now serves as the Point of Control (PoC) in the local market profile. This level represents the price zone with the highest traded volume in the recent range — effectively the point where buyers and sellers have shown the strongest interest and where the market has spent considerable time balancing liquidity. In practical terms, the PoC functions as a fair value zone for market participants. When the price trades below it, bulls need to reclaim the level to regain trend strength; when the price trades above it, the zone tends to act as support. Today, BTC remains beneath the $117K PoC, signaling that the market has yet to re-establish bullish dominance after the recent shakeout. On-chain Mind notes that reclaiming $117K would likely trigger renewed momentum, opening the door for a retest of the $120K–$123K range. Until then, however, the structure remains indecisive, with price hovering in a neutral zone where neither bulls nor bears hold a clear advantage. This aligns with broader market behavior: reduced leverage, mixed sentiment, and trader caution following aggressive liquidations earlier in October. The market is digesting macro shifts, recalibrating position sizes, and waiting for a clearer signal. If Bitcoin can stabilize above recent support and begin rotating back toward the PoC, reclaiming $117K could mark the moment the next leg up begins. Related Reading: Bitcoin Records Over $300B Spot Volume In October – Investors Shift Away From Leverage Bitcoin Attempts Rebound Above $110K Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading near $110,180 on the 4-hour timeframe, attempting to stabilize after yesterday’s sharp drop. The price managed to reclaim the $110K level, suggesting buyers stepped in at intraday lows around $108,500, an important local demand zone that has repeatedly supported the price since mid-October. However, the recovery remains fragile, with BTC now approaching a cluster of short-term resistance levels. The 50-period EMA sits just above the current price, and the 100- and 200-period moving averages remain overhead, stacked bearishly. This alignment indicates that momentum has not fully shifted back to the bulls yet. To regain control, BTC must break above $112,000–$113,000, where multiple moving averages converge and prior support now acts as resistance. Clearing this zone would open the path toward the critical $117,500 Point of Control — the key level bulls need to reclaim to re-establish medium-term strength. Related Reading: Ethereum ICO Whale Awakens After 8 Years – 1,500 ETH Sent to Kraken After 8 Years If Bitcoin fails to hold $110K, support lies at $108,500, followed by the deeper liquidity zone around $106,000, where buyers strongly defended price during the October 10 flush. For now, BTC remains in a neutral recovery posture, trying to build a base while navigating overhead pressure from macro uncertainty and recent leverage unwinds. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin (BTC) has seen heightened volatility following the US Federal Reserve’s decision to cut interest rates by 25 basis points and announce the official end of quantitative tightening (QT) by December 1st. The move marks a pivotal shift in US monetary policy as the central bank signals the beginning of a more supportive liquidity cycle after months of restrictive financial conditions. Traders reacted sharply across risk assets, with Bitcoin initially spiking before retracing as markets reassessed the implications of renewed liquidity and shifting economic expectations. Related Reading: Bitcoin Breaks Above STH Realized Price For The First Time In Weeks – What’s Next? Meanwhile, fresh data from CryptoQuant highlights a powerful underlying trend in the Bitcoin market. October has witnessed a meaningful surge in spot trading activity, particularly on Binance, where participation has climbed sharply. Across major centralized exchanges, Bitcoin spot volume surpassed $300 billion this month, with Binance alone accounting for $174 billion. This makes October the second-highest spot volume month of the year, underscoring renewed trader confidence and a shift toward direct Bitcoin exposure rather than leveraged speculation. This strengthening in spot market flows signals improving market structure and growing conviction among participants. With liquidity expected to increase heading into year-end, investors are positioning for what could be the next major phase in Bitcoin’s macro-driven cycle. Bitcoin Spot Market Strength Signals Healthier Market Structure According to top analyst Darkfost, the recent surge in Bitcoin spot volume underscores a growing wave of participation from both retail traders and institutional players, who have become increasingly active outside leveraged markets. This shift is most visible on Binance, which continues to dominate spot trading across centralized exchanges. Its deep liquidity, global retail base, and institutional pipelines remain unmatched, reinforcing its position as the primary venue for real Bitcoin demand. One key catalyst behind this pivot toward spot exposure was the historic liquidation event on October 10th—the largest in crypto history. The magnitude of that wipeout forced many traders to reassess risk. It became a clear reminder that excessive leverage can amplify losses far more quickly than it generates gains, especially in a market as volatile and structurally reflexive as Bitcoin. In response, market participants appear to have shifted toward a more conservative posture. Choosing to accumulate BTC directly rather than chase high-leverage positions. This trend is meaningful for Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory. A market driven primarily by spot flows instead of derivatives tends to be more stable, more sustainable, and less prone to sudden liquidation cascades. Elevated spot participation also signals genuine organic demand, rather than speculative interest reliant on borrowed capital. Historically, periods where spot volume leads have aligned with structural accumulation phases and strengthened market bottoms. This could be laying the foundation for durable bull cycles. If this rotation continues, Bitcoin may be entering a phase defined by healthier price discovery and stronger investor conviction. Supported by growing liquidity and improved market resilience. An encouraging backdrop as the macro environment shifts in favor of risk assets. Related Reading: Ethereum ICO Whale Awakens After 8 Years – 1,500 ETH Sent to Kraken After 8 Years Bitcoin Price Pulls Back Toward Key Support Zone Bitcoin (BTC) is trading near $110,800 after facing firm rejection at the $117,500 resistance level earlier this week. The 4-hour chart shows BTC rolling over from this supply zone and dropping below the 50-period moving average. Signaling weakening short-term momentum. Price is now testing a critical support range between $110,000 and $111,000, which previously acted as a key demand zone in mid-October. Below current levels, the 100-period (green) and 200-period (red) moving averages sit around $109,500–$108,500, forming a critical confluence of support. If Bitcoin can hold this region, it may reset and attempt another push higher once market volatility settles post-Fed. A decisive break below $108,000 would likely expose BTC to deeper downside. Opening the door to a move toward $105,000 or even $102,500. Related Reading: Tron Shows Bullish Divergence As Active Addresses Surge To 6.2M – Network Demand Explodes On the upside, bulls must reclaim the $113,500–$114,500 area to regain traction. A sustained move above this zone would put $117,500 back into focus. With a breakout, there is potential to fuel continuation toward the $120,000–$123,000 range. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin (BTC) is showing renewed strength, reclaiming the $115,000 level after weeks of volatility and uncertainty. Bulls are attempting to build momentum for a potential impulse move higher, aiming to confirm a sustained bullish structure after the recent consolidation phase. Related Reading: Ethereum OG Drives $500M Liquidity Flow Into ConcreteXYZ & Stable Vaults – Details On-chain data continues to reveal a clear and repeating pattern tied to investor behavior and market cycles. Historically, when the percentage of Bitcoin supply in profit climbs above 95%, the market tends to enter an overheated phase, often leading to sharp corrections. These pullbacks serve as natural cooling periods, resetting sentiment and liquidity before the next major leg up. Interestingly, each correction cycle has shown consistent bottoming zones around the 75% threshold, where long-term holders reaccumulate and market confidence begins to rebuild. More specifically, data highlights profit supply lows of 73% in September 2024, 76% in April 2024, and a recent rebound from 81%, signaling a potential mid-cycle recovery phase. Bitcoin Supply in Profit Rises to 83.6% — Momentum Rebuilds Ahead of Key Threshold According to top analyst Darkfost, the percentage of Bitcoin supply in profit has started to climb again, currently standing at 83.6%. This steady rise indicates that a growing share of Bitcoin holders are once again sitting on unrealized gains — a trend that often reflects improving sentiment and renewed market confidence. Darkfost notes that this level can be interpreted as encouraging, suggesting that investors are willing to hold their BTC instead of realizing profits, anticipating further upside in the near term. Historically, such behavior has been characteristic of mid-cycle recovery phases, when fear starts to fade and accumulation resumes across both retail and institutional segments. This stage of the cycle is considered healthy for rebuilding momentum, as it allows the market to stabilize after large corrections. Holders who previously capitulated often reenter at this stage, while long-term participants strengthen their positions, creating a more resilient market structure. However, Darkfost cautions that once the supply in profit surpasses 95%, it typically signals overheated market conditions — a point where euphoria tends to replace rational conviction. In such phases, Bitcoin historically faces increased volatility and sharp corrections as overleveraged traders and short-term speculators take profits. Related Reading: Bitcoin Heat Macro Phase Signals Accumulation Before Next Growth Wave BTC Retests $115K Resistance: Bulls Regain Momentum Bitcoin (BTC) is showing renewed bullish momentum, trading around $115,443 and successfully reclaiming key short-term support levels after weeks of consolidation. The daily chart highlights a strong recovery structure, with BTC breaking above both the 50-day and 100-day moving averages, signaling a shift in short-term market sentiment. The next critical test lies at $117,500, a historical resistance zone that previously rejected multiple attempts in September and early October. A clear breakout and daily close above this level would likely confirm an impulse continuation toward $120K–$125K, opening the door for a more sustained uptrend. Related Reading: Chris Larsen Cashes Out: $764M In XRP Profits Since 2018 Momentum indicators suggest strengthening buying pressure, while the recent bounce from the 200-day moving average near $107K underscores the market’s resilience. This level acted as a springboard for the current rally, aligning with the broader pattern of accumulation seen on-chain, where investor profitability is rising steadily. However, BTC remains within a range-bound structure, and rejection at $117.5K could trigger short-term consolidation back toward $111K–$112K. Overall, Bitcoin’s technical outlook appears constructive — if the bulls can sustain above $115K and confirm strength above $117.5K, the market could transition into a new bullish leg, supported by improving investor sentiment and on-chain health. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin continues to trade around the $110,000 level, unable to reclaim higher ground after weeks of volatile price action. The market is still digesting the impact of the October 10 flash crash, which erased billions in open interest and sent shockwaves across altcoins. Despite a gradual recovery in on-chain metrics and institutional inflows, sentiment remains fragile, with traders hesitant to take new long positions. Related Reading: Bitcoin STH-SOPR Falls Below 1.0 for the First Time Since April – What This Means According to top analyst Axel Adler, the Bitcoin Heat Macro Phase — a key indicator used to measure speculative pressure and market overheating — has now entered the Bottom or Accumulation zone. This signals a cooling-off period in speculation, suggesting that short-term trading activity is fading while long-term accumulation quietly resumes. However, Adler warns that this phase requires stability to play out effectively. For Bitcoin to initiate a sustainable rally, volatility must continue to decrease, and no major macro shocks — such as a surge in gold or US bond demand — should disrupt the current equilibrium. The coming weeks may define whether BTC consolidates or slips into renewed risk-off territory. Bitcoin Accumulation Signals Strength, But Stability Is Key Axel Adler explains that when the Bitcoin Heat Macro Phase drops into the Bottom or Accumulation zone, it often represents a pivotal moment within a broader bull market. Historically, such readings coincide with periods where speculative pressure fades, leverage resets, and market participants begin quietly accumulating positions ahead of the next growth phase. These zones tend to appear after major corrections, when weak hands exit and the market regains structural balance — a necessary condition for sustained recovery. This phase reflects a shift from emotional trading to strategic accumulation. During these stages, on-chain activity typically shows increased wallet balances among long-term holders, while short-term traders reduce exposure. However, for this accumulation to translate into a meaningful rally, one critical condition must be met: volatility must decline. High volatility implies uncertainty and risk aversion, discouraging new capital inflows. A gradual cooling of volatility creates the stability needed for market confidence to rebuild. The analyst emphasizes that Bitcoin’s current setup requires at least a short stretch — roughly a week — without major negative global catalysts. External shocks such as surging bond yields, geopolitical tension, or renewed macro risk-off sentiment could easily disrupt the fragile recovery process. In essence, the market appears to be in a delicate balance: the speculative cycle has cooled enough to allow accumulation, but stability remains the missing piece for momentum to return. If volatility continues to decline and macro conditions hold steady, this accumulation phase could serve as the foundation for Bitcoin’s next major rally, mirroring previous transition points seen in past bull cycles. Related Reading: Chris Larsen Cashes Out: $764M In XRP Profits Since 2018 Price Action Details: Testing Key Level Bitcoin is currently trading near $110,936, struggling to gain momentum after several failed attempts to reclaim higher levels. The 4-hour chart shows a period of consolidation following the sharp recovery from the October 10 crash, with BTC moving in a tight range between $108,000 and $112,000. This structure reflects indecision in the market as buyers and sellers battle for short-term control. The 50 EMA (blue) is attempting to cross above the short-term range, signaling some recovery in short-term momentum. However, Bitcoin remains below both the 100 EMA (green) and the 200 EMA (red), indicating that the broader trend is still under bearish pressure. The $111,000–$112,000 zone is acting as immediate resistance, while $108,000 serves as critical short-term support. Related Reading: Bitcoin Trapped On Binance: The Battle Between $107K and $119K Heats Up If Bitcoin manages to break above the $112,000 resistance with volume confirmation, it could trigger a push toward the $117,500 level — the key horizontal resistance aligned with previous liquidity clusters. Conversely, rejection at this level may lead to another pullback toward $106,000 or lower, especially if volatility increases. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin is showing signs of renewed weakness as short-term investors begin to fold under selling pressure. According to the latest data from CryptoQuant, the Short-Term Holder Spent Output Profit Ratio (STH-SOPR) has fallen to 0.992, its lowest level since late April. This key on-chain metric tracks the average profit or loss realized by Bitcoin holders who have owned their coins for less than 155 days — a group often associated with speculative or reactive behavior. Related Reading: Kadena Shuts Down Operations – Team Confirms Immediate Cease Of All Activities When the STH-SOPR dips below 1.0, it indicates that these holders are selling their coins at a loss, signaling a wave of capitulation and rising fear among newer market participants. The current value implies an average loss of 0.8%, reflecting a notable shift in sentiment after weeks of volatile price action. Historically, such phases of short-term capitulation often mark moments of emotional exhaustion, where retail traders give up amid uncertainty. While this can reinforce short-term bearish pressure, it also tends to precede market stabilization — as weaker hands exit and long-term investors absorb supply. Bitcoin STH-SOPR Signals Short-Term Weakness and Long-Term Opportunity According to CryptoOnchain’s latest insights shared on CryptoQuant, Bitcoin’s Short-Term Holder Spent Output Profit Ratio (STH-SOPR) remains below the crucial 1.0 threshold, reinforcing a bearish short-term outlook. As long as both the STH-SOPR and its 14-day moving average stay under this key level, the indicator acts as a form of resistance — reflecting that short-term holders continue selling at a loss. In such conditions, every price rally risks being met with renewed selling pressure, as these investors look to exit positions at break-even or with minimal loss, creating a ceiling for upward momentum. However, this same behavior can also plant the seeds for a long-term bullish setup. Historically, extended periods of loss realization by short-term holders have coincided with the final stages of market corrections. This process — often described as a “cleansing” phase — shakes out weak hands and redistributes Bitcoin to long-term holders who are less sensitive to short-term volatility. When capitulation reaches its peak, it often signals the market is approaching “maximum pain”, a point that tends to precede strong recoveries. While Bitcoin’s current structure suggests ongoing weakness, this phase could also mark the foundation of the next uptrend. Traders should closely monitor the STH-SOPR for a decisive reclaim above 1.0, as that would confirm a shift from loss-driven selling to profit realization — signaling renewed market strength and the potential start of a new bullish phase. Related Reading: Bitcoin Trapped On Binance: The Battle Between $107K and $119K Heats Up Bears Defend Resistance, Bulls Struggle to Reclaim Momentum Bitcoin is currently trading around $109,400, showing a modest rebound but still facing strong resistance at higher levels. As seen in the 1-day chart, BTC remains trapped below both the 50-day and 100-day moving averages, which are now converging near $112,000–$114,000 — a zone that has repeatedly acted as supply during recent recoveries. The 200-day moving average, positioned around $106,000, continues to provide short-term support. However, the repeated retests of this level suggest weakening buyer strength. The inability to sustain a close above $110,000 highlights persistent selling pressure, with traders preferring to de-risk amid broader market uncertainty. Related Reading: Hyperliquid Futures Indicator Signals Whales Are Going Long – Details If Bitcoin manages to reclaim $112,000, momentum could shift toward $117,500, the key horizontal resistance and previous range high. A decisive breakout above this level would invalidate the recent bearish structure and open the path toward $123,000. On the downside, failure to hold the $106,000–$107,000 support range could expose BTC to further downside risk, with potential targets near $102,000 or even $98,000 if selling accelerates. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin is struggling to establish a clear direction as volatility tightens and traders face increasing uncertainty. After weeks of indecisive movement, short-term price action remains choppy, leaving both bulls and bears without conviction. According to new insights from CryptoQuant, a comprehensive analysis combining Price Action, Volume Profile, and Liquidation Heatmap data from Binance reveals that Bitcoin has been locked in a well-defined trading range for the past 120 days. Related Reading: Hyperliquid Futures Indicator Signals Whales Are Going Long – Details The report highlights that this range is centered between $107,500 and $119,300, with the Point of Control (POC) — the level where the most trading volume has occurred — sitting near $117,500. Despite several attempts to break higher, BTC has repeatedly failed to sustain momentum, falling back into this range each time. Analysts suggest this pattern reflects a market in balance, waiting for a catalyst to break decisively in either direction. Within these boundaries, Bitcoin traders are closely monitoring liquidity clusters and key volume zones to anticipate the next big move. Whether BTC reclaims higher ground or tests lower supports, the breakout from this 120-day range could define the next major phase of the cycle. Bitcoin Faces a Crucial Test at the Point of Control (POC) According to CryptoOnchain’s latest analysis on CryptoQuannt, Bitcoin’s recent breakout attempt above its 120-day trading range has failed to gain traction, forming what analysts call a classic “Look Above and Fail” pattern. The move initially triggered a short squeeze that liquidated many sellers on Binance, briefly pushing the price higher. However, the rally quickly lost strength due to insufficient follow-through buying, leading BTC to fall back into its established range — a sign of underlying market weakness. At present, Bitcoin is hovering just below the critical Point of Control (POC) near $117,500 — the price level where the largest trading volume has occurred. This level now acts as the key battleground for the next major move. In the bullish scenario, a confirmed breakout above the POC could turn this zone into support and pave the way for a retest of the Value Area High (VAH) around $119,300. Such a move could also trigger short liquidations, driving BTC toward the buy-side liquidity zone sitting above $120,000. In the bearish scenario, continued rejection from the POC would point toward renewed selling pressure, targeting the Value Area Low (VAL) near $107,500 — where significant stop-losses and long liquidations remain clustered. Related Reading: XRP Whales Flood Binance With Massive Deposits – Selling Pressure Mounts Bitcoin Bears Defend the $110K Zone Bitcoin is once again struggling to reclaim momentum after failing to break through resistance near $111,000. The chart shows that BTC remains trapped below key moving averages, with the 50-day SMA acting as a dynamic ceiling around $112,000 and the 100-day SMA near $114,000 reinforcing bearish pressure. Meanwhile, the 200-day SMA, currently positioned around $107,000, is providing short-term support — a critical line that bulls must defend to avoid deeper losses. The market structure indicates that BTC continues to trade within a defined range between approximately $107,000 and $117,500. Recent price action has been characterized by failed breakout attempts and sharp pullbacks, highlighting indecision and low conviction among both bulls and bears. Related Reading: The Bitcoin OG Is Back – Opens Massive Short After $30M USDC Deposit A sustained move above the $111,000–$112,000 zone could open the path for a test of $117,500, which has repeatedly acted as a major resistance level since August. However, a breakdown below $107,000 would likely accelerate selling pressure toward the $103,000 area — the flash-crash low from earlier this month. For now, Bitcoin remains in consolidation, with market participants awaiting a decisive breakout to confirm whether the next major move will be a bullish reversal or a continuation of the current downtrend. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
While Bitcoin (BTC) has declined more than 13% from its fresh all-time high (ATH) of $126,199 recorded earlier this month on October 6, CryptoQuant contributor PelinayPA is confident that there is a 55% chance that the BTC top for this market cycle is not in yet. Bitcoin Top Not In Yet – More Upside Ahead? According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor PelinayPA, there is a 55% probability that the Bitcoin top for the ongoing market cycle is not in yet. The analyst highlighted BTC’s recent on-chain flows to support their claim. Related Reading: Bitcoin Cycle Score Turns Negative With Trend Below $106,780 – When Will The Correction End? In their analysis, PelinayPA noted that although BTC’s price has tumbled from more than $126,000 to around $109,000 in the second half of 2025, there has been a noticeable increase in 0-1 day BTC inflows to exchanges. A rise in 0-1 days BTC inflows to exchange typically has two implications – short-term traders are taking profits, and there is a temporary phase of repositioning of liquidity as traders transfer their holdings to exchanges, anticipating price volatility. The analyst added that BTC held for more than six months is largely inactive, indicating that long-term holders are likely not selling despite the recent market crash. This signals market confidence among long-term holders, minimizing the possibility of another major sell-off in the near term. PelinayPA remarked that such behavior typically occurs in the mid or maturing stages of a bull cycle, where any dip in price is seen as an opportunity to accumulate instead of a trend reversal. Currently, the Bitcoin market is in a natural consolidation phase within an ongoing uptrend. The analyst added: In the short term, Bitcoin could revisit the $102K region as short term traders continue to take profits. However, since this selling pressure originates mainly from newer holders, it is unlikely to disrupt the broader bullish structure. These dips may offer attractive entry opportunities. Concluding, Pelinay commented that the lack of selling activity among BTC holders in the 6-months to 10-year time-band range shows that there is a 55% probability that the bull market top has not yet formed. BTC Could Dip To $102,000 The CryptoQuant contributor noted that, although it is likely that the BTC bull market top is not in yet, it does not mean that the top cryptocurrency would not see further temporary decline. If selling persists, BTC could once again test the $102,000 support level. Related Reading: Bitcoin Market Feels “Too Efficient” As Arbitrage Opportunities Vanish – What It Means For Price? Similarly, crypto analyst Elliot Waves Academy remarked that BTC has likely finished the bullish leg of the ongoing market cycle. The analyst added that BTC is likely to consolidate around its current levels. That said, a fellow CryptoQuant contributor noted that BTC has entered the ‘disbelief phase,’ and may take the bears by surprise with a sharp surge in price. At press time, BTC trades at $108,472, down 2% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com
Bitcoin continues to hover around the $112,500 level, with volatility persisting across the market following last week’s historic crash. According to on-chain data, short-term holders (STHs) remain under heavy pressure, showing clear signs of panic. The STH realized price, a metric that tracks the average cost basis of recent buyers, indicates that many traders are still reacting emotionally to price fluctuations. The latest liquidation event seems to have deeply impacted market sentiment — even a small pullback yesterday was enough to trigger another wave of panic selling. Related Reading: Bitcoin Handles $14B OI Drop As Spot Volume Surged To $44B: Controlled Reset? Yet, while some investors capitulate, others are seizing the opportunity. The famous Bitcoin OG whale, who gained widespread attention for shorting BTC and ETH right before the crash, has reportedly closed his position, locking in more than $197 million in profits. This move marks the end of one of the most successful short trades of the year. As Bitcoin stabilizes within a tight range, the market remains divided between fear-driven sellers and opportunistic players positioning for the next major move. The coming days could determine whether BTC finds stability or faces renewed selling pressure from nervous short-term holders. Bitcoin Whale Moves Cause Speculation Lookonchain has tracked a series of high-stakes moves from the trader known as BitcoinOG (1011short) — one of the most closely watched whales in the market right now. The trader reportedly closed all BTC short positions on Hyperliquid, securing more than $197 million in profit across two wallets after last week’s crash. Just hours later, the same wallet transferred $89 million USDC to Binance, immediately sparking speculation that the trader could be preparing to reopen short positions. Coincidentally, Bitcoin open interest on Binance surged by $510 million shortly after the deposit, adding fuel to theories that the whale may be behind the move. While no direct link has been confirmed, analysts are split on whether this signals another round of aggressive shorting or simply capital repositioning. Some suggest the whale may be betting on further downside after Bitcoin’s failure to hold above $115K, while others believe the funds could be used for market-neutral strategies like hedging or arbitrage. Still, the timing has left traders uneasy. The market remains fragile, and the whale’s actions — whether strategic or coincidental — could influence short-term sentiment as Bitcoin fights to defend support around the $110K region. Related Reading: Matrixport-Linked Wallets Pull 4,000 Bitcoin From Binance Within 20 Hours – Details BTC Consolidates Below Pivotal Level Bitcoin continues to face selling pressure as it trades around $112,500, hovering just above its short-term support zone. The daily chart shows that BTC remains trapped between the 50-day moving average (near $115,000) and the 200-day moving average (around $108,000), signaling an indecisive market. The repeated rejections near $117,500 — a level that acted as both support and resistance throughout the year — confirm it as a key supply zone. The recent bounce attempts have been weak, with volume thinning and momentum indicators suggesting consolidation rather than a strong reversal. Bulls are struggling to reclaim control after the sharp sell-off that briefly sent BTC to $103K, and failure to hold above $110K could expose the next lower liquidity pockets around $107K and $105K. Related Reading: Binance Stablecoin Supply Surges To Record $42B: Liquidity Flows Back Into Markets On the other hand, holding above this range would stabilize market sentiment, allowing BTC to rebuild a base for a potential retest of the $115K–$118K area. For now, price action remains cautious — range-bound and reactive to broader risk sentiment. Traders are watching for a breakout above $115K or a decisive drop below $110K to confirm the next major directional move in the aftermath of last week’s volatility. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin is facing a pivotal moment after last Friday’s flash crash briefly sent prices tumbling to the $103,000 level, shaking market confidence before a swift recovery. The leading cryptocurrency has since stabilized, consolidating below the $115,000 mark as traders and institutions reassess short-term momentum. While volatility has returned, on-chain and institutional data continue to show underlying strength in Bitcoin’s fundamentals. Related Reading: Bitcoin Handles $14B OI Drop As Spot Volume Surged To $44B: Controlled Reset? According to a new report from Bitwise, institutional demand remains robust — with 72 publicly known companies collectively holding more than 1 million BTC, valued at roughly $117 billion. This includes major corporate holders, ETFs, and investment funds that continue to view Bitcoin as a long-term strategic asset despite the market turbulence. This growing accumulation reinforces the idea that Bitcoin’s macro trend remains intact, driven by institutional adoption and long-term conviction. As the market digests recent volatility, the strength of these treasury positions could play a key role in stabilizing prices and setting the stage for Bitcoin’s next major move. Corporate Bitcoin Adoption Reaches Record Levels in Q3 The latest Bitwise report highlights a striking development in Bitcoin’s institutional landscape: 176,762 BTC were purchased during Q3 by publicly listed companies and funds. This steady growth in corporate treasuries underscores how Bitcoin continues to evolve from a speculative asset into a recognized component of the global financial ecosystem. At the forefront of this movement remains Strategy, which retains its position as the largest corporate holder with 640,031 BTC, equivalent to tens of billions in market value. The firm also added an impressive 40,000 BTC during the third quarter, demonstrating persistent conviction despite recent volatility. Other institutions and ETFs have followed suit, expanding their Bitcoin exposure as part of broader digital asset strategies aimed at hedging inflation, diversifying reserves, and participating in a new phase of global liquidity cycles. This expanding corporate adoption suggests that Bitcoin has entered a more mature and globally integrated phase. No longer seen solely as a speculative trade, it is increasingly recognized as a strategic asset within the balance sheets of financial institutions and multinational corporations. In essence, this trend reflects the institutionalization of Bitcoin—a movement that stabilizes demand, reinforces market confidence, and reduces the dominance of short-term retail speculation. As regulatory frameworks evolve and traditional finance converges with blockchain technology, Bitcoin’s presence in corporate treasuries could become as routine as holding cash or government bonds. Related Reading: Matrixport-Linked Wallets Pull 4,000 Bitcoin From Binance Within 20 Hours – Details Bitcoin Consolidates Below Key Resistance Amid Market Uncertainty Bitcoin continues to face pressure as it trades around $112,870, struggling to reclaim the critical $117,500 resistance zone highlighted in the chart. This level has acted as a key supply area over recent months, and each failed breakout attempt has reinforced it as a strong ceiling for the price. After the flash crash to $103,000 last week, BTC staged a moderate recovery but remains trapped between the 50-day moving average (blue) and the 200-day moving average (red)—a zone that often defines medium-term trend direction. Bulls have managed to protect the $110,000–$111,000 support area, but repeated tests of this range show weakening momentum and growing uncertainty. Related Reading: Binance Stablecoin Supply Surges To Record $42B: Liquidity Flows Back Into Markets The moving averages are currently flattening, suggesting market indecision. If Bitcoin fails to retake the $115,000–$117,500 range, further downside toward $108,000 or even $105,000 remains possible in the short term. Conversely, a successful daily close above $117,500 could confirm renewed bullish momentum and open the door for a move toward $122,000–$125,000. BTC appears to be in a consolidation phase, digesting recent volatility while traders wait for clearer direction. Institutional flows and on-chain signals will likely determine whether this zone becomes a base for recovery or the beginning of another leg lower. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
After a remarkable start to ‘Uptober,’ Bitcoin (BTC) has recently seen significant volatility, retesting multiple crucial levels. As the price bounces from the $110,000 mark, some analysts have suggested that BTC’s rally won’t restart until a key area is reclaimed. Related Reading: Chinese Investment Bank Eyes $600 Million Raise For BNB Treasury Company Bitcoin Needs Key Reclaim For New Highs Over the past week, Bitcoin’s price has fluctuated between its range’s lower and upper boundaries, hitting both a new all-time high (ATH) of $126,000 and a three-month low of $102,000. Notably, the crypto market saw one of the largest liquidation events in history on Friday, which briefly sent BTC’s price below $107,500. The flagship crypto quickly bounced from the lows and reclaimed the $110,000 barrier as support over the weekend, attempting to reclaim the $116,000 level twice since Sunday. Analyst Ted Pillows noted that holding the crucial $110,000-$111,000 zone could set the stage for a bounce back to the high of its three-day range, but warned that losing this area could send the price to the $107,000 support before a reversal. Similarly, Daan Crypto Trades highlighted that despite the pullback, BTC’s range between $107,500-$124,000 has held and the key horizon levels have been respected, with “many large pivots and moves happening from these areas.” The trader suggested that Bitcoin will likely continue to “chop” within the range’s mid-zone, where most price action has occurred since Q3, until it reclaims and retests $117,000 as support. To achieve this reclaim, analyst Rekt Capital pointed out BTC must show continued stability around the $114,000 area as it has “historically preceded upside into at least $117.3k.” He noted that on the previous occasions when the price Daily Closed above this level, Bitcoin was able to rally to at least $117,300, even if the bounce eventually led to more downside action. Nonetheless, “for bullish bias, it’s important $117.3k doesn’t turn into a resistance on this current move and so Bitcoin will need to Daily Close above $117.3k to continue towards $120k over time,” the analyst warned. BTC’s Macro Structure Shows Strength Rekt Capital highlighted that BTC managed to maintain its macro bullish market structure, continuing to “print progressive Higher Lows despite the drastic downside, which is a sign of strong continued premium-buying behaviour on price pullbacks.” He also noted that Bitcoin has been consolidating within the $108,000-$116,000 levels in the monthly timeframe, upside wicking beyond the range high and downside wicking below the range low since July. The analyst suggested that the downside wicks could be a positive sign since “it signifies a liquidity grab at lower price levels that could add the necessary fuel to attempt a Macro Range breakout.” “As a matter of fact, Bitcoin has been upside wicking beyond the $116k Range High far more frequently in recent months compared to the downside wicking below the $108k Range Low, which is a testament to the Range Low’s role as a stable higher timeframe support,” he explained. Related Reading: Analyst Sends Message To XRP Investors: If You Don’t Do This, You’ll Get Wrecked Rekt Capital added that a downside wick below the range low was inevitable, as the price had not experienced such volatility in months. He concluded that holding the $114,000 support in the weekly timeframe is the key level for a new challenge of the Range Highs. As of this writing, Bitcoin is trading at $112,610, a 2.7% decline in the daily timeframe. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin is testing a critical support level near $110,000 after being rejected from the $116,000 supply zone, a level that has now become a major point of contention between bulls and bears. The market remains fragile following the historic volatility from Friday’s crash, which erased billions in leveraged positions and triggered widespread uncertainty. Related Reading: Binance Stablecoin Supply Surges To Record $42B: Liquidity Flows Back Into Markets While the price has managed to stabilize above key moving averages for now, momentum appears to be weakening as buyers struggle to absorb continued selling pressure. Some analysts warn that if Bitcoin fails to hold this zone, a deeper correction toward the $105,000–$107,000 region could follow, marking another shakeout before a potential recovery. Top analyst Axel Adler shared new data shedding light on the magnitude of Friday’s event. According to his analysis, spot trading volume surged to $44 billion, nearing cycle highs, while futures volume hit $128 billion. More notably, open interest declined by $14 billion, yet only $1 billion of that was from BTC long liquidations. Adler explains this was a controlled deleveraging event, not a liquidation cascade — suggesting that market participants reduced risk manually rather than being forced out. Still, volatility remains elevated as Bitcoin fights to maintain structural support. A Controlled Reset Amid Growing Fear According to Axel Adler, the recent market crash revealed an important yet underappreciated aspect of Bitcoin’s maturity. Data shows that 93% of the $14 billion decline in open interest (OI) during Friday’s sell-off wasn’t forced — meaning it wasn’t the result of automatic liquidations. Instead, traders and institutions chose to reduce leverage manually, closing positions to protect capital. Adler describes this as a “controlled deleveraging”, a stark contrast to previous cycles where similar crashes often triggered chaotic cascades of liquidations. This behavior marks a turning point in Bitcoin’s market structure. It indicates that participants — especially institutional players — are managing risk more prudently, reinforcing a more stable and mature trading environment. In past cycles, sharp liquidations often caused extreme volatility, magnifying losses across the board. This time, however, the market handled unprecedented stress with relative discipline. Still, despite this sign of structural maturity, the emotional landscape has shifted dramatically. As Bitcoin loses value and hovers near the $110,000–$112,000 support zone, fear is spreading across the market. Many short-term traders are exiting positions, while long-term holders are reassessing exposure amid rising uncertainty. Adler notes that this phase — where fear peaks and confidence wanes — often defines the next market direction. If demand returns at these levels, Bitcoin could confirm a healthy reset before the next rally. But failure to hold support may test investors’ conviction, potentially pushing BTC into a deeper corrective phase before broader accumulation resumes. Related Reading: Ethereum OI Jumps +8.2% As Traders Chase The Pump: Leverage Fueling ETH Again Bitcoin Holds Key Support, But Momentum Weakens Bitcoin is currently trading around $110,300, sitting directly on a key support zone after another round of selling pressure hit the market. The 4-hour chart shows BTC struggling to maintain upward momentum after failing to break above the $116,000–$117,500 resistance range, a level that previously acted as strong demand during earlier rallies. The rejection from this area triggered a sharp pullback, pushing BTC below both the 50 EMA (blue line) and the 200 EMA (red line) — a sign of weakening short-term structure. The price is now testing horizontal support around $110,000, which aligns with the late September consolidation range. A clean breakdown below this level could expose Bitcoin to further downside, with the next potential support around $106,000–$107,000. Related Reading: From $254M To $78.5B: Tron USDT Growth Drives Network Valuation Despite the bearish tone, oversold signals are beginning to appear on lower timeframes, suggesting that a temporary rebound is possible if bulls defend this zone successfully. For a sustainable recovery, Bitcoin must reclaim $114,000 and re-establish itself above the short-term moving averages. Until then, the market remains in a fragile equilibrium — with bulls defending key support and bears maintaining control of short-term momentum. The next few sessions will be decisive for BTC’s direction. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin continues to trade with high volatility following Friday’s brutal crash that sent prices as low as $103,000. Over the weekend, the market has struggled to find a clear direction, with bulls and bears locked in a tense battle around the $115,000 level. Sentiment remains divided — some analysts expect a consolidation phase before another leg higher, while others warn of a deeper correction if selling pressure intensifies. Related Reading: Binance Stablecoin Supply Surges To Record $42B: Liquidity Flows Back Into Markets Adding to the uncertainty, new data from on-chain analytics firm Lookonchain has revealed massive withdrawals by wallets linked to Matrixport, a major crypto financial services platform. The move has sparked heavy speculation across the market, with investors debating whether this represents institutional accumulation, treasury reallocation, or preparation for potential selling. Matrixport, founded by former Bitmain co-founder Jihan Wu, is known for managing large-scale digital asset operations. As such, its actions often draw attention from analysts tracking institutional flows. For now, Bitcoin remains in a delicate position — consolidating near support, while large-scale whale movements keep traders on edge. Institutions Adjust Positions as Market Enters Choppy Phase As Bitcoin struggles to reclaim its recent all-time highs above $125,000, institutional activity has started to reflect a more cautious tone. The market appears to be entering a choppy, directionless phase — one defined by profit-taking, reallocation, and controlled derisking rather than panic. Long-term holders, who have accumulated substantial gains throughout the year, are beginning to trim positions, locking in profits as volatility remains elevated and macroeconomic uncertainty grows. The recent Matrixport activity fits neatly into this broader institutional trend. On-chain data from Lookonchain revealed that wallets linked to Matrixport withdrew 4,000 BTC (roughly $454 million) from Binance within 20 hours, a move that quickly caught the attention of traders and analysts. Such large transfers from exchanges are typically interpreted as a sign of strategic repositioning — either moving assets to custody, deploying them for institutional clients, or reallocating capital in response to shifting market dynamics. This follows a pattern seen across major crypto players in recent weeks. Institutional entities appear to be rotating funds, managing risk more proactively, and rebalancing exposure amid the heightened volatility triggered by Friday’s market crash. The broader context suggests not an exodus, but rather a strategic phase of recalibration. In essence, the Matrixport withdrawal underscores a market in transition — one where large players are still active but far more selective. As Bitcoin hovers between $113K and $118K, the coming days could define whether this cautious accumulation transforms into renewed confidence or if continued derisking keeps BTC trapped in consolidation before its next decisive move. Related Reading: Ethereum OI Jumps +8.2% As Traders Chase The Pump: Leverage Fueling ETH Again Bitcoin Price Analysis: Consolidation Deepens After Rejection Bitcoin continues to show signs of weakness after failing to reclaim the $117,500 resistance level — a key zone that has now acted as a rejection point multiple times over the past months. The daily chart shows BTC trading around $111,800, down roughly 3% in the last 24 hours, as volatility remains elevated following last week’s sharp correction. The 50-day moving average (blue line) has started to flatten, signaling a potential short-term shift in momentum, while the 100-day MA (green line) is acting as dynamic support near $111,000. A decisive breakdown below this area could expose Bitcoin to a deeper correction toward the 200-day MA (red line), currently sitting around $106,000 — a level that has historically served as a strong accumulation zone. Related Reading: Bitmine Receives 23,823 Ethereum From BitGo As Institutional Accumulation Continues On the upside, bulls must reclaim $117,500 to regain control and reestablish a bullish structure. However, the repeated failures to sustain above this range reflect growing indecision and possible profit-taking by institutions and long-term holders. The market appears to be consolidating within a broad range, with traders awaiting confirmation of direction. A clean push above $117,500 would open the door for recovery, while a close below $110,000 could increase bearish momentum in the short term. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin is entering a critical phase, preparing for a decisive move that will determine its short-term trajectory. After weeks of volatility and record-breaking highs, BTC now faces a pivotal test — it must either reclaim its all-time highs and enter a new phase of price discovery, or continue its correction to establish a stronger base of consolidation around current levels. The market appears finely balanced, with traders watching closely for signs of direction. Related Reading: Grayscale Stakes 32,000 Ethereum Worth $150 Million – Institutional Demand Grows Recent onchain data highlights a surge in new buyers, marking one of the strongest inflows of fresh capital seen in months. This trend suggests renewed bullish momentum, as investors increasingly view Bitcoin’s current range as an opportunity rather than a peak. According to key metrics, the supply held by short-term holders has grown substantially, reflecting the entry of new participants eager to ride the next major impulse. While short-term volatility remains a concern, analysts agree that the underlying structure of the market remains strongly bullish. As long as Bitcoin holds above its major support zones, the stage could be set for another breakout — one that propels the asset beyond its previous highs and into uncharted territory once again. Short-Term Holders Signal a New Phase for Bitcoin Top analyst Axel Adler shared key insights revealing that over the past quarter, short-term holders’ supply has increased by 559,000 BTC, climbing from a low of 4.38 million to 4.94 million BTC. This rise marks a clear influx of new participants entering the market, a pattern often seen during the early stages of bullish expansions. The growth in short-term holder supply suggests that fresh demand is building up — as new investors accumulate Bitcoin, older coins are redistributed, creating a healthier market structure. Historically, periods of rising short-term holder activity have coincided with momentum shifts, as fresh liquidity enters the system and fuels upward volatility. This dynamic reflects renewed market confidence following Bitcoin’s recent push to new all-time highs. More importantly, it shows that retail and short-term investors are re-engaging, positioning for what many analysts expect to be the next major impulse in the cycle. While some caution that high short-term holder activity can also lead to faster profit-taking and volatility, the broader outlook remains constructive. With long-term holders maintaining strong conviction and institutions continuing to accumulate, the combination of new inflows and resilient fundamentals supports a bullish continuation setup. Adler notes that this expansion in short-term supply typically precedes a new phase of market acceleration, as liquidity and optimism return in tandem. If Bitcoin manages to reclaim and sustain levels above its previous all-time high, the growing base of active short-term investors could provide the momentum needed for another breakout. In short, the data suggests that the market isn’t exhausted — it’s recharging, setting the stage for the next leg of the bull cycle. Related Reading: Ondo Secures SEC-Registered Infrastructure With Oasis Pro Acquisition Bitcoin Holds Above Key Support Amid Healthy Pullback Bitcoin is currently trading near $122,600, showing resilience after a sharp rejection from the $126,000 area earlier this week. The 12-hour chart highlights that BTC has entered a consolidation phase following its explosive breakout, with the $120,000–$121,000 range now acting as a short-term support zone. The yellow line at $117,500, a previous resistance from earlier in the cycle, continues to serve as a key structural level that could define the next move. The blue 50-period moving average is trending upward, reinforcing bullish momentum, while the 200-period moving average remains far below the current price, confirming that Bitcoin is still in a strong uptrend. Despite the recent correction, the price structure remains constructive — higher highs and higher lows continue to form, suggesting that bulls are maintaining control. Related Reading: BNB Keeps Printing New ATHs, Breaks $1,200 For The First Time Ever A decisive rebound above $124,500 could mark the beginning of a renewed push toward all-time highs, while a breakdown below $120,000 could open the door for a deeper retest of $117,500. Overall, this chart reflects a healthy cooldown after an aggressive rally, allowing momentum indicators to reset. As long as BTC holds above its key supports, the broader trend remains firmly bullish, setting the stage for another attempt toward price discovery. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin faced a swift correction below the $125,000 level after reaching a new all-time high of $126,200 on Monday, triggering widespread volatility across the market. The price retraced over 4% to around $120,000, liquidating millions in leveraged positions as traders anticipated further upside. The move caught many off guard, especially after days of strong momentum and renewed optimism that Bitcoin was preparing to enter another price discovery phase. Related Reading: Grayscale Stakes 32,000 Ethereum Worth $150 Million – Institutional Demand Grows Despite the pullback, key on-chain data reveals a contrasting trend beneath the surface — a massive accumulation by US investors. Analysts note that while short-term traders faced liquidations, spot demand from US-based buyers continues to grow, particularly through regulated platforms and ETFs. This steady inflow of capital provides a strong foundation for long-term market strength, even amid short-term volatility. The correction may have flushed out excessive leverage, resetting market conditions for a healthier continuation. As Bitcoin consolidates around the $120,000–$122,000 range, analysts are watching closely to see whether institutional accumulation can offset the selling pressure. For now, the broader trend remains bullish, with growing evidence that US investors are using every dip to increase exposure to the world’s leading digital asset. US Demand Surges As Coinbase Premium Gap Signals Accumulation Top onchain analyst Maartunn shared new data revealing a sharp increase in US-based Bitcoin accumulation, driven largely by activity on Coinbase, one of the most influential exchanges for institutional and retail investors in the United States. According to his insights, the Coinbase Premium Gap — which measures the price difference of Bitcoin between Coinbase and other global exchanges — has surged to its second-highest level since the ETF launch earlier this year. This spike signals an aggressive buying spree from US investors, suggesting strong spot demand that is outpacing global averages. Historically, similar jumps in the Coinbase Premium Gap have coincided with phases of major market expansion, often preceding new highs as US capital flows into Bitcoin-led rallies. The data indicates that US traders are willing to pay a higher premium compared to their counterparts on platforms like Binance or OKX — a clear expression of localized demand. Analysts interpret this as a bullish signal in the context of Bitcoin’s current consolidation near all-time highs. After a brief correction from $126,000 to $120,000, strong institutional interest could provide the liquidity needed for a new breakout. Many market watchers believe that such robust accumulation is rarely random; it often precedes a significant expansive move, as buyers position themselves before another upward leg. If this buying pressure sustains, Bitcoin could soon reclaim its highs and enter a new phase of price discovery. Combined with growing ETF inflows and steady US accumulation trends, Maartunn’s data reinforces the narrative that the market’s next major impulse may once again be led by US demand — the same catalyst that ignited Bitcoin’s previous all-time high breakout earlier this year. Related Reading: Ondo Secures SEC-Registered Infrastructure With Oasis Pro Acquisition Bitcoin Consolidates After Sharp Rally Bitcoin is currently trading around $122,500, showing signs of stabilization after the recent surge to an all-time high near $126,000 earlier this week. The chart highlights a healthy pullback from the highs, with BTC finding support just above the $120,000 level — a zone that previously acted as resistance and has now turned into a short-term support range. The 8-day and 21-day moving averages are trending upward, confirming the continuation of a bullish structure. Meanwhile, the 50-day moving average remains below the price, indicating that momentum still favors the bulls despite short-term volatility. If Bitcoin manages to hold above the $120,000–$121,000 region, the setup could attract renewed buying pressure for another attempt to break above the $125,000 resistance. Related Reading: TRX Repeats Its 2021 Setup: Volume Cooldown Signals Smart Money Accumulation However, failure to maintain these levels could open the door for a retest of the $117,500 area, where the next major support lies. This would still be within a healthy correction range following the recent 15% rally. Overall, Bitcoin’s structure remains bullish, with strong higher lows forming and institutional demand — led by Coinbase inflows — continuing to support the market. A decisive move above $125,000 could signal the beginning of a new price discovery phase. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com