Bitcoin is testing uncharted territory after breaking past its previous all-time high of $112,000 last Thursday, igniting a powerful new phase in the bull market. With the price currently hovering above $117,000, bulls are firmly in control as optimism spreads across the crypto market. The breakout comes after weeks of tight consolidation, signaling renewed confidence among investors and traders. Related Reading: Bitcoin Dominance Continues Historic Climb – Altcoins Struggle To Gain Ground On-chain data from CryptoQuant adds further support to the bullish narrative. The Coin Days Destroyed (CDD) metric—used to assess whether long-term holders are selling—has returned to a relatively low average despite the rise in price. This suggests that experienced holders are not offloading their positions, but instead continuing to hold through the rally. With long-term holders largely inactive and momentum accelerating, Bitcoin appears to be entering a decisive phase. As macroeconomic conditions remain favorable for risk assets, and with institutional demand rising, all eyes are now on how BTC behaves at these new highs—and whether the rest of the crypto market will follow its lead. Bitcoin Prepares For A Massive Surge Bitcoin continues to trade above key psychological and technical levels, signaling that the market is entering an expansion phase with the potential for a massive surge. After clearing its previous all-time high and consolidating around $117,000, Bitcoin’s structure looks increasingly bullish. Analysts and traders are closely watching on-chain indicators to confirm whether long-term holders are beginning to exit, but so far, the data suggests they are not. Top analyst Darkfost shared relevant insights regarding the Coin Days Destroyed (CDD) metric, a key tool used to assess long-term holder activity. CDD calculates how long a Bitcoin stays unmoved before a transfer, revealing long-term participants’ behavior. Recently, the metric saw a sharp spike, raising initial concerns about possible distribution. However, it was later confirmed that the move involved 80,000 BTC in an internal transfer — no actual selling occurred. Since that event, the CDD has returned to its previous low range, especially when compared to Bitcoin’s soaring price. This signals that long-term holders are still sitting tight, showing no urgency to sell into strength. Their conviction reflects growing expectations of higher prices ahead, supported by macro conditions, increasing adoption, and rising institutional interest. With strong hands holding firm and momentum building, Bitcoin appears poised for continuation. As long as key support levels are maintained and long-term holders remain inactive, the setup favors an explosive move that could redefine price discovery in this cycle. Related Reading: Crypto Founder Pushes Ethereum As ‘World Reserve Asset’ – Details Price Discovery Kicks In: Momentum Accelerates Bitcoin’s three‑day chart shows a textbook breakout from eight weeks of compression. Thursday’s candle closed firmly above the former record cluster at $109,300, opening the door for a vertical push that carried price to $118,800 on the very next print. The candle body towers well above the 50‑period SMA, while the 100‑ and 200‑period averages slope higher beneath, confirming a bullish long‑term structure. The old resistance band between $105,000 and $109,300 now flips into first demand; any orderly retest that wicks into that zone would likely attract sidelined buyers. Below it, $103,600—the mid‑range support that capped drawdowns all spring—remains the line in the sand for the current trend. Related Reading: Ethereum Targets Liquidity Above $3,000 – Price Magnet Forming Upside projections derive from the height of the year‑long range (~$15 k). Adding that measure to the breakout point targets $124–125 k as the next logical objective, with the psychological $120 k round number a potential interim stall area. Momentum oscillators on medium time‑frames are stretched but not at extreme levels, suggesting room for continuation before a cooling period becomes necessary. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
Data shows the 14-day Bitcoin Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped into the oversold region. Here’s what this could mean for the asset. Bitcoin RSI Has Breached Below The 30 Mark In a new post on X, analyst Axel Adler Jr has talked about the latest trend in the RSI of Bitcoin. The “RSI” refers to an indicator from technical analysis (TA) that measures the speed and magnitude of changes occurring in any given asset’s price over a specific period. In the current case, the period is 14 days. This metric is generally used for spotting oversold or overbought conditions for the asset. When the RSI is greater than 70, it can be a sign that the price is heating up and may be due a correction to the downside. On the other hand, it being under 30 can imply the asset is becoming underbought. Related Reading: Solana’s Old Hands Are Moving—Is Trouble Brewing? Now, here is the chart shared by the analyst that shows the trend in the 14-day Bitcoin RSI over the last couple of years: As displayed in the above graph, the 14-day Bitcoin RSI has plummeted recently and is now below the 30 threshold. This naturally suggests the cryptocurrency is becoming oversold, at least from the perspective of this indicator. “Other metrics are also showing alerts,” notes Adler Jr. “I think now all conditions are in place to start testing the ATH.” Though, while bullish developments may have occurred on the RSI and other indicators, BTC has actually declined during the past day. On-chain data may provide hints about where the next potential support zone could be located for the asset. As the analytics firm Glassnode has revealed in its latest weekly report, the average cost basis of the short-term holders is located at $97,100. The short-term holders (STHs) refer to the Bitcoin investors who purchased their coins during the past 155 days. The cost basis of this group has often been a relevant level for the cryptocurrency, taking turns as support and resistance. In the chart, the analytics firm has also shown two other levels: the +1 and -1 standard deviation bands. Currently, the latter is situated at $83,200, so it’s possible that if BTC’s bearish momentum lasts for long enough to push it under the STH cost basis, this value could prove significant. However, before this level, there is another on-chain level that could be important. The level in question is part of the Spent Supply Distribution (SSD) Quantiles model, which basically tells us which price levels the investors selling their coins right now initially purchased them. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Key Investors Double Down, Buy Another 79,000 BTC The 0.85 quantile is located at $95,600, which is quite close to the STH cost basis, so a retest of the zone could be a particularly vital one for Bitcoin. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is floating around $101,000, down almost 5% in the last seven days. Featured image from Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com, Glassnode.com, chart from TradingView.com
On-chain data shows the retail interest in Bitcoin has been waning as small-holder volume has gone down during the past month. Bitcoin Retail Investor Demand Has Seen A Negative 30-Day Change In a CryptoQuant Quicktake post, an analyst has talked about the latest trend in the “Retail Investor Demand” of Bitcoin. This indicator provides an estimate for, as its name suggests, the amount of demand that the smallest of investors, the ‘retail,’ have toward the cryptocurrency right now. The metric does so by referring to the transaction volume associated with this cohort. Considering the small wallet size attached to these holders, their transfers would typically remain under a value of $10,000, so the volume related to them can be separated from the rest of the market by only restricting to transfers below this size. Related Reading: Bitcoin 3–5 Year Holders Slow Selloff—Waiting for Higher Prices? Now, here is the chart shared by the quant that shows the 30-day percentage change in the Bitcoin Retail Investor Demand over the past year: As is visible in the above graph, the Bitcoin Retail Investor Demand saw its 30-day change enter into the positive territory when the latest bull rally first started, suggesting that the small investors increased their transfer activity. The 30-day change continued a gradual rise as the run played out, but after the cryptocurrency set its new all-time high (ATH), it noted a reversal in direction. Today, the metric has declined enough to dip back into the negative territory, meaning that retail investor volume is now going down on the monthly timeframe. From the chart, it’s also apparent that even at its peak, the 30-day change in the Retail Investor Demand never actually touched a high level this rally, which is in sharp contrast to the run from the end of 2024. Thus, it would appear that the recent price surge not only failed to ignite any notable level of interest among the small hands but also failed to maintain the attention that it did gather. The switch to a negative monthly change for the Retail Investor Demand could be down to the bearish action that the coin’s price has seen since the ATH, but the fact of the matter is that Bitcoin is currently still very much in range of this record, so it’s interesting to see this sentiment among the group. Related Reading: Bitcoin Could Go ‘Bananas’ If Price Closes Above This Level, Top Analyst Says Speaking of transaction volume, the institutional DeFi solutions provider Sentora (formerly IntoTheBlock) has talked about the latest trend in the volume share of the Bitcoin miners. As displayed in the chart, the Bitcoin miners have seen their volume share sharply go down recently and drop to the lowest level since 2022. This implies these chain validators have seen their activity plummet relative to the rest of the network. BTC Price Bitcoin has taken to sideways movement recently as its price is still trading around the $105,200 mark. Featured image from Dall-E, IntoTheBlock.com, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin pierced the $111,000 threshold for the first time in history on May 22, printing an intraday high of $111,867 on Binance, giving the asset a market capitalization of roughly $2.22 trillion, or two-thirds of the entire crypto market. The latest leg of the rally is being propelled by a tight confluence of catalysts that span institutional flows, corporate balance-sheet accumulation, and mounting macro-economic stress. #1 Spot Bitcoin ETF Inflows From Wall Street to BlackRock’s vaults, US spot Bitcoin ETFs have turned into a one-way conduit of fresh capital. Farside Investors tallied $607.1 million of net subscriptions on 21 May, of which a blockbuster $530.6 million flowed into BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT). That pushed the 11-day haul to more than $2.7 billion and lifted cumulative net inflows across the complex past $42 billion—an unprecedented pace for a six-month-old asset class. Related Reading: Bitcoin Breakout Narrative Explodes As Japan’s Bond Market Collapses “Over $500mil into iShares Bitcoin ETF…Nearly $2 bil just over past week or so. Inflows 26 of past 27 days. *$7+bil* in new $$$ overall. Given trading volume today, expect these inflow numbers to increase,” ETF Store president Nate Geraci posted on X. Bloomberg’s Eric Balchunas added that IBIT is posting “its 2nd biggest volume day ever today. Classic feeding frenzy in effect, new ATHs will do that, e.g. last time traded this much was 1/23 (last ATH). All the btc ETFs are elevated, most gonna see 2x their average. Flows incoming.” #2 Bitcoin Treasury Companies Parallel to the ETF torrent, a new cohort of listed companies is adopting Bitcoin as a primary treasury asset. Besides Strategy and Metaplanet, these companies bought billions of dollars in Bitcoin in recent weeks. Cantor Fitzgerald’s $3.6 billion SPAC deal will take Twenty One Capital public with more than 42,000 BTC on its books, backed by Tether, Bitfinex and SoftBank. Strive Asset Management is merging with Asset Entities on Nasdaq to create what it calls the first publicly traded asset-manager-led Bitcoin treasury company, equipped with a live $1 billion shelf to keep buying coin. Battery-tech firm KULR Technology Group lifted its stack to 800 BTC this week after a fresh $9 million purchase. Elsewhere, India’s Jetking Infotrain, Indonesia’s DigiAsia Corp, Brazil’s fintech Méliuz, France’s state lender Bpifrance and David Bailey’s Nakamoto Holdings, now merging with KindlyMD to build “the first decentralised Bitcoin treasury network,” among others, all unveiled accumulation strategies within the past month. Collectively these firms represent billions of dollars in spot, largely price-insensitive demand. #3 The New Narrative: A Brewing Macro Storm The macro backdrop is pouring fuel on the fire. Japanese super-long government bonds—once synonymous with near-zero yields—have gone bid-less, sending the 30-year JGB yield to a record 3.14 %. The move tightens the feedback loop linking Tokyo and Washington: Japanese institutions have been among the largest foreign holders of US Treasuries, and analysts warn that disorderly JGB liquidations could force sales of US debt just as the Treasury must refinance roughly $8 trillion this year. Related Reading: Bitcoin All-Time High Propels It Past Amazon, Google To 5th Place Among Global Assets With the WSJ Dollar Index down more than 10% from its January peak and CFTC data showing the biggest speculative short position since mid-2023, investors are casting around for alternatives to sovereign paper. Macro guru Raoul Pal said: “Bond yields are going up. Normally that’s not a good thing… But inflation is falling all the time. The story is liquidity. There’s a lack of liquidity in the bond market, and when yields get too high the government’s reaction function is always and in every case to print more money.” Global liquidity dynamics add to the case. Global M2—aggregating the money stock in the US, euro-area, China and Japan—bottomed late last year and has risen 3–4 % year-to-date, according to multiple trackers. Bitcoin price inflections typically lag global-M2 turns by about three months; the current rally arrived almost on schedule. As crypto analyst Kevin (@Kev_Capital_TA) observed on X, “Dollar goes down, global liquidity rises, BTC goes higher.” For some market veterans, the price action signals a deeper behavioural shift. “We are watching BTC transform from a risk-on asset to a risk-off asset,” Multicoin Capital co-founder Tushar Jain wrote after Wednesday’s bond rout and dollar sell-off. “Today we saw further proof that the government cannot cut the budget deficit. The market reacted by selling US treasuries, selling USD, selling equities, and buying BTC. The transformation is not yet complete. It will take more days like this to convince the market that BTC is a risk off asset. Like most big changes, this will happen slowly and then suddenly,” Jain added. At press time, BTC traded at $ Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
The Bitcoin Network Value to Transactions (NVT) Golden Cross could indicate that the asset isn’t overheated yet, despite its price marching to a new all-time high (ATH). Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross Still Outside Of Overbought Zone In a CryptoQuant Quicktake post, an analyst has talked about the latest trend in the NVT Golden Cross for Bitcoin. The NVT Ratio is an on-chain indicator that keeps track of the ratio between the BTC market cap and transaction volume. If the utility of the network (measured in terms of the transfer volume) is considered as a reflection of its ‘true’ value, then this ratio can be used for judging whether the price is undervalued or overvalued. Related Reading: $3.8 Billion In Capital Inflows Behind Ethereum’s Post-Pectra Surge, Data Shows When the value of the indicator is high, it means the value of the network (that is, the market cap) is high compared to its ability to transact coins. Such a trend may be a sign that the asset is becoming overpriced. On the other hand, the indicator being low could imply room for growth in the cryptocurrency’s market cap, as its value is low when compared to the transaction volume. In the context of the current topic, a derivative form of the NVT Ratio is the indicator of interest. This metric, known as the NVT Golden Cross, is a signaling indicator for the NVT Ratio similar to the Bollinger Bands, telling us about whether the ratio’s value is near a top or bottom. The NVT Golden Cross compares two moving averages (MAs) of the NVT Ratio in order to determine this: the 10-day MA to gauge the short-term trend and the 30-day MA for the long-term one. Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross over the last few months: As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross has been on the rise recently as the cryptocurrency’s price has rallied to a new ATH. At present, the indicator is sitting at a value of 1.5. In the chart, the quant has highlighted two zones for the metric that have been of significance in the past. The region beyond 2.2 (shaded in red) corresponds to the territory where tops generally occur for BTC and that under -1.6 (green) to the bottoming zone. Related Reading: Is Bitcoin Ready For New ATHs? What The Charts Say Clearly, despite the recent uptrend, the NVT Golden Cross hasn’t yet broken into the red zone, a potential sign that the cryptocurrency may still not be too overpriced. Naturally, this could allow room for the run to continue further. BTC Price Bitcoin set a new record earlier today as its price briefly went to $109,400, surpassing the previous ATH around $109,200. Featured image from Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com
On May 21, Bitcoin (BTC) achieved a remarkable milestone, reaching a new all-time high (ATH) near the $110,000 mark. This surge was fueled by significant buying pressure, elevating Bitcoin’s market capitalization to over $2.1 trillion. As a result, the market’s leading cryptocurrency has now positioned itself among the most valuable assets globally, ranking fifth in market capitalization and surpassing major firms like Amazon and Google. Will Bitcoin Surpass Gold? According to the Companies Market Cap web page, Bitcoin’s price surge pushed its market capitalization to approximately $2.182 trillion. Currently, Bitcoin trails only behind tech giants Apple, NVIDIA, and Microsoft, as well as the traditional safe-haven asset, gold, which holds a staggering capitalization of over $22 trillion. Rob Nelson from The Street reported insights from Gracy Chen Chen, Bitget’s Managing Director on a roundtable discussion back in February, highlighting the transformative nature of the cryptocurrency market. Related Reading: Shiba Inu Bulls Roar To Life After Breakout—Next Price Targets With increasing institutional adoption, evolving regulations, and new real-world applications, Chen expressed optimism about Bitcoin’s future. “Bitcoin will definitely surpass gold in terms of market cap, at least for a while, maybe this year or in the upcoming few years,” she stated, suggesting that Bitcoin has the potential for another two to threefold increase in price. Historically seen as “digital gold,” Bitcoin’s role has evolved significantly. Initially perceived as an anti-risk asset, it has become more correlated with traditional financial markets, especially following the anticipated approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs in 2024. “In the early days, Bitcoin was much considered as digital gold. Right now, it’s still digital gold in my opinion, but now it’s more like a risky asset,” Chen explained, noting its increased correlation with the US stock market. Analysts Predict Potential Surge To $150,000 Positive regulatory developments in the US have further bolstered investor sentiment, fueling expectations for price discovery phases for BTC. Antoni Trenchev, co-founder of the digital asset trading platform Nexo, commented on the current market landscape: Now that January’s high has been surpassed—and the 50 percent upside from April’s lows has been achieved—Bitcoin enters blue sky territory with tailwinds in the form of institutional momentum and a favorable US regulatory environment. Related Reading: Litecoin Eyes $117.50 As Price Rebounds From Key Support – Analyst Trenchev also emphasized that the market’s still in the fourth year of Bitcoin’s price cycle, traditionally seen as a pivotal period following a halving event—when miner rewards are cut in half. Historically, this phase has led to significant price increases. “While macro uncertainty and the threat of further volatility remain, a target of $150,000 in 2025 is still very much on the cards,” he concluded. At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $109,570, which is up by 3% and 25% on the 24-hour and 30-day time frames, respectively. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
An analyst has explained what some charts related to Bitcoin could say regarding whether the current run can lead to a new high or not. Bitcoin Momentum May Be Stalling According To These Signs In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has talked about some technical analysis (TA) signs that could reveal if it’s time for Bitcoin to reach a new all-time high (ATH). Related Reading: This Bitcoin Level Could Be To Watch In The Short Term, Glassnode Says Here are the charts that the analyst has shared: The first graph shows a TA pattern that Bitcoin has potentially been trading inside for the last few months. The pattern in question is a “Parallel Channel,” which emerges whenever an asset’s price observes consolidation between two parallel trendlines. There are different types of Parallel Channels, but in the context of the current topic, the most ordinary version is of interest: the one with the channel parallel to the time-axis. This case naturally corresponds to a completely sideways movement from the cryptocurrency. From the chart, it’s visible that BTC has recently observed a rise to the upper line of the pattern. During previous retests, the coin ended up finding rejection at this mark. Thus, it’s possible that it may also face resistance here during the current retest. This isn’t the only trend that could make a break to the ATH a tricky one. As is visible from the second graph, the RSI has shown divergence from the Bitcoin price recently. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) here refers to an indicator that keeps track of the speed and magnitude of changes that the asset’s price has witnessed recently. This metric is generally used for judging overpriced and underpriced conditions for the token. BTC’s RSI formed a peak in the overbought region earlier in the month, but while the price has gone up since then, the indicator has only managed to form a smaller peak. This type of divergence between the asset and the RSI is often considered to be a bearish signal. Lastly, there is also a bearish development in the MACD, displayed in the third chart. The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is another TA indicator that’s used for gauging momentum. It involves two lines: the MACD line calculated by taking the difference between the 12-day and 26-day exponential moving averages (EMAs) of the price and the signal line determined as the 9-day EMA of the MACD line. Recently, the MACD line for Bitcoin has dipped under the signal line, which is usually considered as a bearish crossover. Related Reading: Bitcoin At $103,000 Relatively Cool Per This Indicator, Quant Says Based on all these patterns, Martinez has noted that momentum is stalling for BTC. It now remains to be seen how the asset would develop in the coming days and if a reversal to the downside would happen. BTC Price Following another attempt at a sustainable break beyond $106,000, Bitcoin has seen a pullback to the $105,300 level. Featured image from Dall-E, charts from TradingView.com
On-chain data shows the large Bitcoin investors have continued to buy as the coin’s price has been approaching its all-time high (ATH). Bitcoin Investors With 10 to 10,000 BTC Have Expanded Holdings Recently In a new post on X, the on-chain analytics firm Santiment has talked about the latest trend in the supply held by Bitcoin’s key investors: those holding between between 10 and 10,000 BTC. Related Reading: Bitcoin Near ATH, But Still No Extreme Greed: Green Sign For Bull Run? At the current exchange rate, this range converts to $1 million at the lower end and $1 billion at the upper end. Thus, the only investors who would be able to qualify for it would be the ones with substantial holdings. Generally, the influence of any entity in the market goes up the more supply that they control, so the holders belonging to this range would hold an important place in the ecosystem. Collectively, these investors are popularly known as the sharks and whales. Now, here is the chart shared by the analytics firm, which shows the trend in the Supply Distribution for the sharks and whales, an indicator that tracks the combined supply held by members of these cohorts: As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin sharks and whales have seen their Supply Distribution go up recently, which suggests these large investors have been expanding their holdings. More specifically, the investors falling in the 10 to 10,000 BTC range have added around 83,100 tokens to their wallets over the past month. This accumulation hasn’t come in a constant manner, however, as these investors in fact reduced their supply for a period earlier in the month. This selling from the cohorts followed BTC’s recovery beyond $97,000, so it’s likely that the motive behind it was profit-taking. From the chart, it’s also visible that this selloff resulted in a pullback for the cryptocurrency. During the latest renewal of bullish momentum, the sharks and whales have again resumed their Bitcoin accumulation and have notably surpassed their holdings from the earlier peak. So far, the groups have shown no signs of profit-taking, which can naturally be a bullish sign for the rally’s sustainability. Related Reading: XRP Target Could Be $15 If This Pattern Is In Play, Analyst Says In the same chart, Santiment has also attached the data for the Supply Distribution of the investors carrying less than 0.1 BTC. Interestingly, these investors have been selling while the sharks and whales have gone through accumulation. This could be an indication that the shrimps believe the top could be in soon. Given the accumulation from the large investors, though, the analytics firm notes, “it may be a matter of time until Bitcoin’s coveted $110K all-time high level is breached, particularly after the U.S. & China tariff pause.” BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $103,800, up 11% in the last seven days. Featured image from Dall-E, Santiment.net, chart from TradingView.com
Data shows the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index has remained outside the extreme greed zone even after the price surge above $104,000. Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index Is Still Inside Greed Territory The “Fear & Greed Index” refers to an indicator created by Alternative that tells us about the average sentiment present among the investors in the Bitcoin and wider cryptocurrency markets. Related Reading: New Bitcoin Whales Sitting On 185% Higher Cost Basis Than HODLer Whales, Data Shows The metric makes use of the data of the following five factors to determine the trader mentality: trading volume, volatility, market cap dominance, social media sentiment, and Google Trends. To represent the market sentiment, the index uses a numeric scale running from zero to hundred. All values under 47 suggest the dominance of fear in the market, while those above 53 imply that of greed. Values lying between these cutoffs correspond to a net neutral mentality. Besides these three main sentiments, there are also two special regions known as the extreme greed and extreme fear. The former occurs above a value of 75, while the latter below 26. Now, here is how the latest value of the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index is like: As is visible above, the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index has a value of 70 at the moment, which suggests the investors as a whole share a sentiment of greed. This greedy mentality is also decently strong, as it’s only a few units away from the extreme greed territory. Earlier in the month, the trader mentality declined to a neutral level as the price surge took a pause, but with the latest continuation to the rally, the market mood has improved once more. Interestingly, though, despite Bitcoin approaching its all-time high (ATH), the investors have still not become extremely greedy. If history is to go by, this could actually play into the favor of the asset’s price. The reason behind this is that the cryptocurrency has often tended to move in a direction that’s opposite to the crowd opinion. The probability of such a contrary move taking place has only gone up the more sure the investors become of a direction, so the extreme zones, where sentiment is the strongest, is where major tops and bottoms have formed. Related Reading: Bitcoin Derivatives In The Driver’s Seat For $100,000 Rally, Data Shows The Fear & Greed Index still staying out of the extreme greed region could be an indication that an excess of hype hasn’t developed among the investors just yet, so Bitcoin could potentially have more room to run before a top. BTC Price Bitcoin briefly managed to cross beyond the $105,000 level earlier, but it seems the coin has seen a small pullback since then as its price is now back at $103,000. Featured image from Dall-E, Alternative.me, chart from TradingView.com
According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post published earlier today, Bitcoin (BTC) may not have reached the peak of the current market cycle just yet. A key on-chain metric suggests that there could be one final leg up for the leading cryptocurrency before this bull market concludes. Bitcoin To Hit New Peak Soon? Data from CoinGecko shows that Bitcoin has dropped more than 23% since reaching its most recent all-time high (ATH) of $108,786, on January 8. The top digital asset has largely been affected by ongoing global macroeconomic uncertainties, particularly those related to US President Donald Trump’s new tariff policies. Related Reading: Analyst Identifies Key Bitcoin Demand Zone For ‘Substantial Gains’ – Details Despite the pullback, CryptoQuant contributor Crypto Dan believes Bitcoin may still have room to run. In a recent Quicktake post, he pointed to the ratio of BTC volume traded over a six to 12-month period as a crucial indicator of the current market cycle’s progression. This ratio reflects the amount of new capital entering the crypto market during the cycle and has historically been tightly correlated with market movements. According to Crypto Dan: Typically, this ratio first declines, signalling the end of the early phase of the bull cycle. After some time, it declines again, reaching a lower level than the first drop, marking the end of the bull cycle. Following the first decline in the ratio, the market often regains bullish momentum. Subsequently, the second leg of the rally tends to attract latecomers and retail investors whose participation sends BTC to new highs. Finally, as market euphoria begins to peak and distribution phase begins, the volume ratio experiences a second, sharper decline. Finally, the second drop in the ratio marks the end of the bull cycle and precedes a significant market correction. According to the following chart, BTC hit a critical midpoint in March 2024, when the six to 12-month volume ratio experienced its first notable decline – consistent with patterns observed in previous cycles. The ratio now appears to be entering its second and final dip, potentially leading Bitcoin toward this cycle’s ultimate peak. BTC Holders Seeing Current Pullback As Temporary Multiple indicators suggest that Bitcoin holders see the ongoing market correction as short-term. For example, recent analysis by CryptoQuant contributor Onchained revealed that short-term BTC holders are continuing to hold their coins despite being in a loss – possibly in anticipation of an upcoming bullish reversal. Related Reading: Bitcoin Whales Make Big Moves As Bullish Momentum Resurfaces Additionally, exchange net flow data points toward a potential price rally, indicating reduced selling pressure. At press time, BTC is trading at $82,086, down 1.5% in the last 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com
Data shows the stablecoins USDT and USDC have been seeing capital inflows recently, something that could turn out to be bullish for Bitcoin. Top 2 Stablecoins Have Seen Their Market Caps Grow Recently In a new post on X, the on-chain analytics firm Santiment has discussed about the latest trend in the market caps of the top two stablecoins: USDT and USDC. Below is the chart shared by the analytics firm, that shows the data for the 30-day change in the market caps of the two cryptocurrencies. As is visible in the graph, the 30-day percentage change in the market cap of USDC has spiked to sharp positive levels recently, implying that the stablecoin has been growing at a rapid rate. Unlike USDC, which has seen sustainable growth for the last few months, USDT kicked off the year 2025 with its 30-day market cap change dipping into the negative territory. Since bottoming at around -2% earlier in the month, though, momentum has returned for the asset as the indicator has just turned back green. Related Reading: Bitcoin HODLer Selloff Extends To 1.1 Million BTC As Profit-Taking Continues This means that at present, both of the two stablecoin giants are enjoying an increase in their market caps. Historically, growth in these fiat-tied tokens is something that has been bullish for Bitcoin and other volatile cryptocurrencies. The reason behind this is the fact that investors who store their capital in the form of stablecoins generally plan to invest into the volatile side of the market eventually. When they buy BTC with their stables, its price naturally receives a positive effect. The most bullish scenario for the sector occurs when both Bitcoin and the stablecoins witness a rise in their market caps. Such a setup implies both sides of the market are getting net capital inflows. When only one rises while the other goes down, it means capital is merely seeing a rotation between the two. The recent inflows into USDT and USDC have come while BTC has been consolidating sideways. This suggests the capital entering into the stables is fresh, as BTC would have gone down if it was otherwise. At the same time, BTC itself isn’t seeing any direct inflows, hence the flat price action. Related Reading: Ethereum MVRV Forms Signal That Last Led To 40% Price Crash Usually, stablecoin holders deposit to centralized exchanges when they want to purchase the volatile cryptocurrencies. Thus, the number of stable deposits into these platforms can tell us about whether large-scaling buying of this type is happening or not. An analyst has shared the data for the metric in a CryptoQuant Quicktake post. From the above chart, it’s apparent that the indicator is following a flat trajectory right now. An increase in it, like the one witnessed earlier, may provide fuel for a further rally for Bitcoin. Bitcoin Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is floating around $104,800, down 1% in the last week. Featured image from Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com
AI agents saw a 322% surge in market capitalization in Q4 2024, hitting $15.5 billion.
On-chain data shows the Bitcoin mining hashrate has recently been closing in on a new all-time high (ATH). Here’s what this could mean for BTC. Bitcoin Hashrate Has Remained High Despite Market Downturn The “mining hashrate” refers to an indicator that keeps track of the total amount of computing power that the miners have currently […]
Crypto lawyers, Bitcoin hodlers and memecoin entrepreneurs were some of the biggest winners of 2024.
On-chain data shows the Bitcoin Hashrate has been on the rise recently, an indication that the miners are expanding their mining farms. Bitcoin Mining Hashrate Has Returned Close To Its All-Time High The “Hashrate” refers to an indicator that keeps track of the total amount of computing power that the miners as a whole have […]
Bitcoin’s historic $100,000 milestone comes despite sluggish momentum in oil, gold and the S&P 500 index.
Based on its correlation with the liquidity index, Bitcoin may reach a local peak of above $110,000 by January.
Even above $100,000, Bitcoin offers a revolutionary platform for financial inclusion, particularly in developing regions with no banking infrastructure.
Bitcoin’s price action has historically benefited from economic concerns and issues in the banking industry.
On-chain data shows the Bitcoin Hashrate has surged to a record value as the coin’s price has continued to explore new all-time highs (ATHs). 7-Day Average Bitcoin Mining Hashrate Has Shot Up Recently The “Hashrate” refers to a metric that keeps track of the total amount of computing power that the Bitcoin miners as a […]
Bitcoin has set a new all-time high (ATH) beyond the $98,000 level today, as on-chain data shows cryptocurrency inflows have rocketed up. Crypto Market Capital Inflows Now Sit At Almost $63 Billion Per Month According to the latest weekly report from the on-chain analytics firm Glassnode, the cryptocurrency sector has been observing the injection of […]
Bitcoin’s record monthly gains come eight days before the end of November — historically the most bullish month for Bitcoin returns.
Data shows the hype around Bitcoin has stayed low on social media recently despite the asset’s latest record. Here’s what this could mean for BTC. Bitcoin Sentiment On Social Media Is Still Just Mildly Positive In a new post on X, the analytics firm Santiment has discussed about the recent trend in the Positive Sentiment […]
Expectations of improving economic policies under the Trump administration may drive Bitcoin’s price above $100,000 before the end of the month.
The analyst’s predictions come shortly after Bitcoin staged the best weekly return since the 2023 US banking crisis.
Data shows the cryptocurrency derivatives market has suffered a lot of liquidations as Bitcoin has gone through volatility in the past day. Bitcoin Has Gone Through A Bit Of A Rollercoaster Over The Last 24 Hours Bitcoin has seen some wild price action over the past day in which it has not only set a […]
In comparison, Bitcoin’s second-best daily gain occurred in August 2021, when the price rose over $7,576 in 24 hours, from $38,871 to $46,448.
Bitcoin price is now just 17% away from surpassing the $100,000 mark, which could occur before the end of 2024 due to Trump’s presidential victory, analysts told Cointelegraph.
Data of the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap could hint at which part of the market has been behind the bullish price action over the weekend. Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap Saw Negative Dips During Weekend In a CryptoQuant Quicktake post, an analyst has discussed about the recent trend in the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap. The “Coinbase […]
Increasingly more analysts expect Bitcoin to breach the $100,000 mark before the end of 2024 as investor appetite was bolstered by Trump’s presidential victory.