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#altcoin #altcoin season #altcoin analysis #others #altseason #altcoin news #altcoin volume

The altcoin market is gaining strength as a growing number of assets beyond the major names have begun pushing higher, drawing attention back to the broader ecosystem after months of Bitcoin-dominated price action. GugaOnchain has identified a specific signal in the volume data that suggests the shift may be more structural than it first appears. Related Reading: Ethereum Is Going Up While Shorts Are Piling In: Find Out What Usually Follows A closer examination of the CEX Volume Ratio — which tracks trading volume across all altcoins excluding the top five assets: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, XRP, and Binance Coin — reveals what the analyst describes as an Altcoin Volume Increasing Trend. The signal is generated when the 30-day moving average of altcoin trading volume crosses above its 365-day moving average — a condition that filters out short-term noise and identifies sustained, trend-level increases in altcoin participation rather than isolated spikes driven by a single asset or event. That crossover is happening now. The yellow bars on GugaOnchain’s chart mark the periods when this condition has been active historically, and the current reading places the market in one of those periods. The significance of the signal is not simply that altcoin volume is rising. Volume rises and falls routinely. What matters is that the shorter-term trend has now exceeded the longer-term baseline — which suggests the increase in altcoin activity is broad-based, sustained, and significant enough to change the structural picture of where market participation is flowing. The Last Time This Signal Appeared at Scale, Altcoins Exploded. It Is Appearing Again The GugaOnchain analysis places the current volume signal in a historical context that gives it its full weight. When the yellow bars — indicating sustained short-term volume growth above the long-term baseline — appeared in clusters during the 2021 bull cycle, they coincided precisely with the most explosive altcoin seasons of that period and with Ethereum’s peak price levels. The signal did not merely precede the moves. It marked them in real time as capital rotated out of major caps and flooded into mid and low-cap altcoins that had been waiting for exactly that liquidity. The current reading suggests that rotation is beginning again. Retail and institutional interest is expanding beyond the top five assets — the CEX volume ratio data confirms that participation is broadening in a way that the 30-day versus 365-day crossover specifically identifies as sustained rather than temporary. The condition the analysis attaches to the forward outlook is the one that separates a genuine altseason from a false start. If the volume momentum holds and Ethereum’s price remains stable or continues rising, the combination provides strong confirmation that a broader altcoin rally is underway rather than a brief rotation that reverses quickly. The metric to watch is the purple line — the Volume Ratio itself. When that line breaks out above its established range, GugaOnchain identifies it as a leading signal for high-volatility, high-opportunity phases in the altcoin market. The yellow bars say the conditions are building. The purple line breakout would confirm that the opportunity has arrived. Related Reading: 14,600 Bitcoin Sold in Profit in One Day: Here Is How BTC’s Own Structure Broke It Below $80K Altcoin Market Structure Begins Recovering From Capitulation The total crypto market cap, excluding the top 10 assets, continues to stabilize near the $200 billion level after months of persistent weakness across the broader altcoin market. The chart shows that altcoins remain well below the euphoric peaks reached during the 2024 expansion phase, but recent price action suggests the aggressive capitulation that defined late 2025 and early 2026 is beginning to lose momentum. One of the most important structural developments is the defense of the $160–$180 billion region. That zone acted as support multiple times throughout the recent correction and continues absorbing downside pressure despite repeated attempts to break lower. Buyers are gradually stepping back into the market, preventing a continuation of the broader downtrend. Related Reading: Bitcoin Found Support Where Recent Buyers Can’t Afford to Lose: Discover the Mechanics At the same time, the recovery remains incomplete. The total market cap still trades below the declining 50-week and 100-week moving averages, confirming that the broader altcoin structure has not yet transitioned back into a sustained bullish phase. Every recovery attempt into the $220–$260 billion region has faced renewed selling pressure, showing that supply remains active across the sector. Volume trends, however, are beginning to improve. Participation has stabilized after the sharp contraction seen earlier in the year, suggesting speculative interest is slowly returning to the broader market. A confirmed reclaim of the major weekly moving averages would strengthen the case for a broader altcoin rotation later in the cycle. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

#bitcoin #btc price #bitcoin price #btc #altcoin #bitcoin news #altcoin season #btcusd #btcusdt #btc news

Bitcoin has been holding above $65,000 for over a month now, and this price level is starting to carry more weight than it seems on the surface. The current structure is no longer just about short-term volatility, but a question about whether the market is building a base or setting up for one more lower move to as low as $40,000 before any real rally begins. Another question now is not just where Bitcoin goes next, but how its next move shapes the timeline for an altcoin season. Analyst Warns Of Bear Case That Could Delay Altcoin Season A recent technical analysis from a chartist highlights a less favorable path for Bitcoin, one that could push the price action into another extended leg down. Related Reading: Signal That Led To Last 2 Altcoin Seasons Has Returned, And Here’s How Bitcoin Fits In The analyst describes this setup as a bear case scenario, noting that it is not the expected outcome but still a realistic possibility. In this structure, Bitcoin’s price action first moves higher into a resistance zone around the $78,000 to $82,000 region, where a previous breakdown occurred in late January.  That optimism, however, could be short-lived. The projection shows price failing at that resistance and reversing sharply, leading to a deeper decline that sweeps previous lows and pushes the Bitcoin price below $40,000. According to the analyst, such a move would delay the formation of a macro bottom and push any meaningful altcoin season further out. There’s also a liquidity zone around a wick low in February. That wick is situated just above $60,000, where the Bitcoin price bottomed on February 6 before being quickly bought back up. The outlook is that this level still needs to be taken out cleanly before a sustained rally can begin. Without that sweep, upside moves will still be vulnerable to failure.  A quick bottom from current levels would allow capital to rotate sooner into altcoins. A delayed sweep to levels, on the other hand, will keep liquidity tied up in Bitcoin for longer and postpone that rotation. A Drop Below $40,000 Looks Unlikely Even with that bearish scenario on the table, the price structure of Bitcoin is still against a sustained breakdown below $40,000. According to the analyst, there is only about a 40% probability that this scenario plays out. Related Reading: The 8-Year Ethereum Convergence That Says An Altcoin Season Stronger Than 2021 Is Coming On-chain data is showing strong support layers well above the $40,000 price level. For instance, Bitcoin’s realized price is still around $54,000, and this would act as a support even if Bitcoin were to fall below $60,000 and into the $50,000 range. Speaking of support, the Bitcoin price has managed to hold above $63,000 since the early February crash, despite macro headwinds like the war in the Middle East, oil prices rising, and multiple predictions of a further bottom below $60,000 and even some below $50,000 over the past two months. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

#bitcoin #bitcoin price #btc #fomo #bitcoin news #altcoin season #btcusd #btcusdt #btc news #distribution phase #nehal

A crypto analyst has presented a new roadmap for Bitcoin (BTC), outlining his interpretation of past events and forecasting the market’s next possible moves in the coming months. The analyst also shared insights into the market’s psychology during key periods in the current cycle. While he reveals how to trade in this shaky environment, the analyst also projects that Bitcoin could hit a new all-time high of $215,000 soon. His overall analysis suggests that Bitcoin may still be in a bull market despite recent price crashes and analysts’ claim that it has entered its cyclical bear phase.  A Look At Bitcoin’s Past Cycle Moves In an X post on April 5, crypto market analyst Nehal shared his Bitcoin roadmap for 2026 and several strategies for trading and navigating this cycle. The analyst presented a psychology chart that captures investors’ sentiment stages for each month in a bull and bear market, highlighting how these emotions can drive trading decisions as the market moves.  Related Reading: Analyst Who Called Bitcoin Top Says Price Is Going To $200,000, But Should You Buy Now? Starting in February, Nehal described the month as a classic bear trap phase. He noted that during this period, Bitcoin’s price remained low as many investors remained in disbelief, doubting that any emerging rally would hold. At the same time, smart money quietly accumulated positions while others hesitated, seeing any small price bounce as fake. As March unfolded, the analyst noted that the market experienced a final shakeout. Here, weak hands were forced to sell their bags amid the downtrend, even as momentum began to shift upward. By the end of the month, the chart shows that optimism had grown among investors, who began to believe the rally was real, setting the stage for a broader bull run.  Now in April, Nehal believes that the long-anticipated altcoin season is taking hold, signaling a capital rotation from Bitcoin into other cryptocurrencies. The chart shows that during this period, thrill and FOMO are expected to dominate the market as investors take longer positions and confidence slowly peaks before BTC’s projected all-time high. What’s Next For The Market Looking ahead to May, Nehal has projected that Bitcoin could reach its next peak near $215,000, marking a more than 200% increase from its current price above $69,000. During this period, early holders may begin taking profits while late buyers rush in. The chart shows that euphoria would be at its highest at this stage as greed spreads and many traders, unfortunately, end up buying near the top.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Price To $80,000: How The February Bullish Trend Can Push It 20% Higher In June, Nehal predicts that a bull trap will likely emerge, giving late buyers the illusion that the rally is continuing. His chart indicated that while prices may rebound briefly, anxiety will increase as leveraged positions face possible pressure. Essentially, Bitcoin traders who entered the market near the peak will probably start realizing losses, signaling the start of a downturn. Finally, during July and August, the market is expected to shift into a distribution phase that could lead to a bear market. Nehal’s chart shows that denial may fade at this time as investors place the blame on external factors. Around the same time, Bitcoin could finally hit its price bottom as late buyers likely sell their holdings and exit the market in frustration.  Concluding his analysis, Nehal emphasized the importance of trading smartly and maintaining liquidity. He also advised traders to prepare in advance and position themselves strategically, warning that failing to do so could result in major losses. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

#binance #stablecoin #altcoin #altcoins #coinglass #altcoin season #coinmarketcap #lookonchain #altcoin news #altcoins news #neel #cryptorank #sto #usd1

The StakeStone (STO) price has surged by over 500% in the past week, drawing attention to the token’s ecosystem. The altcoin’s rally comes ahead of a significant token unlock, which could put selling pressure on the token and drive its price down.  Why The StakeStone (STO) Price Is Surging The StakeStone (STO) price has surged by over 500% in the last week amid bullish fundamentals in its ecosystem, as noted by market analyst Neel. One of these developments includes StakeStone’s launch of version 2.0 of its protocol earlier this year. The staking protocol version enables gasless transactions, social login, and AI-powered yield optimization across 20 blockchains.  Related Reading: Greatest Wealth Transfer Is about To Happen For Altcoins, Analyst Warns Neel further mentioned that the StakeStone (STO) price has surged because of the protocol’s partnership with Trump’s World Liberty to provide cross-chain liquidity infrastructure for the USD1 stablecoin. This represents a huge positive for the token’s ecosystem as USD1 has a circulating supply of $4.3 billion. StakeStone will act as a liquidity rail that moves the stablecoin across different networks.  Neel pointed out that another reason why the StakeStone (STO) price is surging is that the liquid staking and yield narrative is gaining momentum again this year. As such, smart money is rotating into this sector and investing in altcoins like STO. On-chain analytics platform Lookonchain drew attention to a fresh wallet that withdrew 25.5 million STO, 11.32% of the circulating supply, from Binance earlier this week.  Activity in the futures market is also driving the StakeStone (STO) price surge. CoinGlass data show that top traders on Binance are currently bullish on StakeStone, with the traders’ long/short ratio above 1. The altcoin’s derivative volume has surged by over 500% to $3.44 billion, while open interest has climbed by almost 300% to $332 million.  Price At Risk Of A Decline With Upcoming Unlock The StakeStone (STO) price is at risk of significant selling pressure due to an upcoming token unlock. Cryptorank data shows that 20.17 million STO tokens, 2.02% of the total supply, will be unlocked tomorrow. At current prices, these tokens are worth $18.22 million and represent 8.95% of the altcoin’s market cap. Meanwhile, it is worth noting that almost 70% of the token’s supply is yet to be unlocked.  Related Reading: Signal That Led To Last 2 Altcoin Seasons Has Returned, And Here’s How Bitcoin Fits In Most of the tokens that will be unlocked tomorrow will go to investors, while the Foundation and Team also have some allocation from tomorrow’s unlock. Crypto analyst Anti-Moon opined that the team and investors were likely pushing the StakeStone (STO) price up since they will want to sell the altcoin at higher prices.  At the time of writing, the StakeStone price is trading at around $0.8465, up over 285% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

#binance #bnb #altcoin #altcoin season #bnb price #coinmarketcap #bnbusd #bnbusdt #bnb news #bnb price prediction #fibonacci level #crypto patel #fvg #cryptopulse #batman

Crypto analyst Crypto Patel has predicted that the BNB price could break $3,000, marking a new all-time high (ATH) for the Binance-linked coin. The analyst shared a game plan for exactly how this move is expected to play out by 2028.  How The BNB Price Rally To $3,000 Could Play Out In an X post, Crypto Patel said that the BNB price could drop to $400 before hitting $3,000. The analyst noted that the altcoin has bounced perfectly from the near 0.5 Fib Retracement level and now climbed 21%. As to what is next for BNB, he said that if price holds above the 0.5 Fib level, then a new ATH setup would be in play.  Related Reading: Analyst Drops ‘Realistic’ Price Predictions For Bitcoin, Ethereum, LINK, BNB, And Aptos However, if the BNB price breaks below $526, then it could lead to a drop to the second accumulation zone (the first being $600) at between $450 to $380, a range which Crypto Patel described as the best discount zone. The analyst said his personal target for BNB is $3,000, which he believes could be reached during the altcoin season. However, he reiterated that he won’t be surprised if a retest of $400 comes before the massive run to $3,000.  The BNB price, along with the broader crypto market, is currently facing downward pressure due to the U.S.-Iran war, which is entering its fourth week. Crypto prices had crashed yesterday as oil prices rose to new highs after Iran and Israel attacked key energy sites in the Middle East. Escalating tensions are raising concerns that the war could drive inflation higher, which is bearish for the BNB price and the broader crypto market.  Analyst Says BNB Seeing A Notable Shift In Structure In an X post, crypto analyst CryptoPulse noted that the BNB price is showing a notable shift in structure. This came as he revealed that price attempted a breakout to the upside but failed after trading within an ascending channel. The analyst added that BNB has now broken below the lower bound of this ascending channel. CryptoPulse warned that if this level turns into resistance, further downside pressure could follow. Related Reading: Crypto Market Holds Breath Ahead Of FOMC Meeting, Will The Fed Ease Interest Rates? Crypto analyst Batman said that a rally remains on the table for the BNB price. He noted that the altcoin was holding up relatively well and that the price hasn’t made a significant move yet. The analyst also revealed that the token was holding above a key confluence, a bullish FVG, and the 0.618 Fibonacci level. As long as the price holds above $610, Batman said BNB could still rally.  At the time of writing, the BNB price is trading at around $642, down in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

#ethereum #eth #altcoin #altcoins #altcoin season #cryptocurrency market news #altcoin news #benjamin cowen #altcoins news #javon marks #blockchain center #falling wedge formation #cw #crypflow

Crypto analyst CrypFlow has revealed that the signal that started the last 2 altcoin seasons has returned. The analyst pointed to bullish indicators of the ‘Others’ chart against Bitcoin, which signal that capital may be flowing to lower-capped tokens.  Signal Points To Another Altcoin Season as Capital Flows From Bitcoin In an X post, CrypFlow stated that the signal that started the last two altcoin seasons is forming again. He explained that every major altcoin expansion has started the same way, with the others/Bitcoin chart breaking out of a falling wedge, and that then the Squeeze Momentum turns green.  Related Reading: Expert Says There Will Be No Altcoin Season In 2026, Here’s Why The analyst remarked that when these two indicators align, altcoins start to massively outperform Bitcoin, as seen during the 2017 and 2021 altcoin seasons. However, he noted that this cycle was different as the Squeeze Momentum stayed red for years after the 2021 bull cycle peak.  CrypFlow noted that this meant a prolonged Bitcoin dominance, with no real altcoin season happening since the last one in 2021. That could change soon, though, as the others/BTC chart has broken out of another multi-year falling wedge and momentum is rising again. The analyst added that if the Squeeze Momentum flips green, the same conditions that triggered previous altcoin seasons could return.  CrypFlow also mentioned that when that happens, the biggest moves usually start when nobody expects them. Blockchain Center data shows that it is not yet altcoin season, with the index currently at 49. The altcoin season index needs to hit 75 to be classified as an altcoin season, with 75% of the top 50 coins by market cap outperforming Bitcoin during that period.  Bitcoin continues to lead the way at the moment, with altcoins mirroring its price action. Notably, BTC’s dominance is currently at 58%, a level it has maintained since the start of the year. Crypto analyst Javon Marks also echoed CrypFlow’s sentiment, noting that similarities and macro trends in altcoin setups continue to point to altcoin season being in its early stages.  Another Sign That Points To An Altcoin Season In an X post, crypto analyst CW revealed that Ethereum is forming an 8-year-long convergence and will break through it during this bull market. The analyst declared that this altcoin season will be at the level of the 2017 cycle, not the 2021 cycle. “Investors do not remember how strong the 2017 altcoin season. The 2026 Alt Season will be stronger than 2021,” he added.  Related Reading: The 8-Year Ethereum Convergence That Says An Altcoin Season Stronger Than 2021 Is Coming Amid predictions of an imminent altcoin season, market expert Benjamin Cowen has suggested that the focus should be on Bitcoin. In an X post, he said that over time, everything in the cryptoverse eventually bleeds back to Bitcoin. He added that after people have engineered all sorts of different things, but that after a cycle or two, it all just bleeds “back to the king.” Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

#ethereum #bitcoin #ethereum price #eth #btc #altcoin #eth price #altcoin season #eth/btc #cryptoquant #cex #ethusd #ethusdt #ethereum news #eth news #cw

A crypto analyst has identified an eight-year convergence pattern on the Ethereum (ETH)-Bitcoin (BTC) trading pair chart, suggesting it could signal the long-awaited onset of an altcoin season. Although rumors of an altcoin season have circulated in the crypto space since before 2025, such a phase has yet to materialize, underscoring the persistent volatility in alternative cryptocurrencies throughout this bull market. Despite this prolonged delay, the analyst argues that the new convergence structure could become a catalyst that fuels an altcoin season even more powerful than the one observed in 2021.   Ethereum Chart Structure Signals Powerful Altcoin Season Crypto analyst CW has presented a new technical analysis suggesting a major altcoin season in this cycle. Supported by a multi-year chart structure, the analysis centers on the ETH/BTC trading pair and outlines a unique convergence pattern that has been developing since mid-2017.  Related Reading: Bitcoin And Ethereum Prices Are Struggling Again, And Here’s What’s Behind It In his post on X, CW predicts that this convergence pattern could break during the current bull market cycle. The structure is visible on the weekly chart as a large descending triangle or wedge that started when ETH/BTC reached a peak around 0.16. Since that high, the pair has been compressing between a descending resistance line and a flat horizontal support level near the 0.020 zone.  Price action in the chart shows that ETH/BTC hit this peak during the 2021 bull market but failed to break the upper descending trendline of the converging pattern. Following this, the pair dropped back sharply and has continued to trend lower, now pressing into the very tip of the convergence pattern near the 0.029 level.  This suggests that ETH/BTC is approaching its final stage near the apex of the descending triangle pattern. The narrowing distance between the resistance and the support suggests the market could be at a critical juncture. CW suggests that a breakout from this point could end the trading pair’s eight-year compression within the convergence pattern. If this happens, it could signal a major shift in strength from BTC to ETH, and finally to the broader altcoin market, marking the potential onset of an altcoin season in 2026.   2026 Altcoin Season To Surpass 2021 Boom CW emphasized in his post that the altcoin season he anticipates in this bull cycle could exceed the strength of the 2021 cycle, mirroring the explosive scale of the 2017 cycle. He argued that many investors underestimate how powerful the 2017 bull run was, noting that it delivered wider, more aggressive gains across the altcoin market than the more selective rally in 2021.  Related Reading: Is The Altcoin Market Dead? Why These Cryptocurrencies Have Failed To Move In a previous analysis, CW shared a separate chart from CryptoQuant, adding further weight to his outlook for a 2026 altcoin season. The chart, which tracks the CEX volume ratio of non-BTC assets versus Bitcoin, excluding stablecoins, compares the current market setup to the 2021 altcoin season.  In both periods, altcoin trading activity on centralized exchanges was consistently higher than Bitcoin’s volume. However, CW notes that this activity has been running for much longer in 2026 than in 2021. He believes this sustained volume, coupled with a potential breakout from ETH/BTC’s current convergence pattern, strengthens the case of a powerful altcoin season in 2026. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com

#dogecoin #doge #altcoins #altcoin season #altseason #dogeusdt

Data shows social media mentions related to “altseason” have hit a low recently, something that has often been relevant for Dogecoin in the past. Altseason Social Volume Has Plummeted In a new post on X, analytics firm Santiment has talked about the latest trend in the Social Volume of “altseason.” The Social Volume refers to an indicator that tracks the weekly total number of posts/messages/threads on the major social media platforms that contain mentions of a given term or topic. Related Reading: Solana’s Next Major Support Levels Sit At $50, $22, And $10: Analyst Since Santiment has filtered the metric for altseason here, its value would provide a look into the amount of comments that are discussing the possibility of an altcoin season. As the below chart shows, this indicator’s value has declined recently, indicating that interest in the altcoin market has gone down. In the same graph, the analytics firm has also attached the data for the Dogecoin price. Santiment’s reasoning behind doing so is that “‘altseason’ is synonymous with FOMO and greed toward more speculative, emotionally driven assets like $DOGE, meme coins, or hyper-volatile and often mid to lower cap altcoins.” As such, the Social Volume of the term altseason can contain hints about interest around DOGE itself. Historically, digital asset markets have often tended to be affected by the sentiment among the retail crowd. The relationship between the two, however, has generally been an inverse one, meaning that hype can lead to tops while despair to bottoms. This same pattern has emerged in this chart as well. It would appear that a high value on the altseason Social Volume has been bearish for Dogecoin during the last two years, while low levels have acted as local bottom signals. With the recent decline in the altseason Social Volume, its value has dropped to an extreme low. Considering the past pattern, it’s possible that this market disinterest could allow the memecoin to rebound. It only remains to be seen, however, how Dogecoin and other altcoins will develop in the near future. Santiment has cautioned that the metric isn’t a perfect trading signal, noting that “disinterest in altcoins doesn’t always necessarily justify an imminent alt surge.” Related Reading: Bitcoin LTH Selling Cools: Is Months-Long Distribution Finally Ending? In related news, social media sentiment related to Bitcoin saw a sharp surge just before the asset’s Monday rally to levels near $70,000, as the analytics firm has highlighted in another X post. While Bitcoin initially rallied, that specific run fizzled out, which could be a potential consequence of it being fueled by retail greed. DOGE Price At the time of writing, Dogecoin is floating around $0.093, down 1% in the last seven days. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com

#ripple #xrp #altcoin #xrp price #altcoin season #rsi #coinmarketcap #xrp news #xrpusd #xrpusdt #dark defender #relative strength index #fibonacci level #cup and handle pattern #casitrades #cryptobull

Crypto analyst CryptoBull has highlighted a bullish pattern that could send the XRP price to as high as $60. This ultra-bullish prediction comes as the altcoin continues to struggle below key resistance levels amid the current crypto market downtrend.  XRP Price Could Reach $60 With This Cup and Handle Pattern In an X post, CryptoBull revealed that a Cup and Handle pattern is unfolding on the monthly chart and that the measured target for XRP is $60. In another X post, the analyst suggested that the altcoin’s downtrend may be over soon and that it could begin a run into double digits.  Related Reading: Analyst Predicts XRP Price Will Reach $13 In 3 Months As Accumulation Ends This came as he drew attention to the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the weekly and monthly timeframes, noting that it is below the 2020 bottom of $0.11. He added that the upside for the RSI is huge and that this will put the XRP price well above $10 very soon. Interestingly, the analyst declared that XRP, not Ethereum, will lead the altcoin season. He added that the chart shows a rounding bottom and that the next move is up.  Crypto analyst Dark Defender also predicted that the XRP price could reach double digits at some point. In an X post, he stated that the altcoin has been proceeding in an ascending trend channel since 2017 and that the W Pattern is intersecting the Fibonacci level at $18. He added that nothing can stop what is coming. His accompanying chart showed that the altcoin could reach this $18 price target this year.  XRP Is Still Facing Resistance At The Moment Crypto analyst CasiTrades noted that the XRP price is still facing resistance at the $1.65 level. The altcoin had rallied to this price level over the weekend but faced resistance there, leading to a sharp decline below key levels. With the price now below $1.53 again, CasiTrades stated that this suggests that the altcoin is losing momentum.  Related Reading: XRP On The Verge? The Major Bullish Structure Shift That Could Send Price Soaring The analyst further remarked that with the strength of the selloff a few weeks ago, it is unlikely that the market pivots straight into macro Wave 3 without one more wave down to fully exhaust sellers. As such, there is the likelihood of XRP dropping to new lows before any potential bullish reversal to a new all-time high.  CasiTrades stated that on the subwaves, there is alignment for a double bottom near $1.11, with a further drop to around $0.90 also still possible. She added that what matters now on the next low is seeing strong bullish divergence and momentum shift. On the bullish side, she noted that if the XRP price reclaims $1.65 and holds, it would be the first real sign of strength.  At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $1.47, down in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com

#ethereum #bitcoin #bitcoin dominance #ethereum price #eth #btc #altcoin #eth price #altcoin season #eth/btc #ethusd #ethusdt #ethereum news #eth news #jonathan carter #descending trendline

The cryptocurrency industry went under intense pressure last week, with Bitcoin and Ethereum leading the crash and multiple cryptocurrencies hitting new multi-month lows. The crash was more pronounced with Bitcoin, though, and the imbalance in selling pressure is quietly shifting the relationship between the two assets.  The interesting imbalance is relayed in Ethereum’s performance relative to Bitcoin. A technical analysis of the ETH/BTC ratio shared on the social media platform X by Jonathan Carter indicates that Ethereum may be approaching a critical breakout point against Bitcoin, following an extended period of compression on the 2-week candlestick timeframe chart. Long-Term Triangle On The Verge Of Break According to technical analysis of the ETH/BTC 2-week chart, Ethereum is nearing an important point against Bitcoin after years of consolidation beneath a descending trendline. This long-running pattern originates from a major peak in relative valuation in July 2017, when 1 ETH was worth 0.154 BTC in Bitcoin terms, and has since formed a series of lower highs to form a falling resistance trendline. The lower boundary of this pattern is a long-tested support zone around 0.02 that has repeatedly drawn buying interest for Ethereum in relation to Bitcoin. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Is Not Going To Keep Falling Forever, Analyst Says At the time of writing, the ETH/BTC ratio is trading around 0.030. However, the most recent 2-week candlestick has flipped green, and this development is important to the bullish outlook of Ethereum’s performance against Bitcoin. The bullish projection is based on a full playout of the green candlestick with a push towards the descending triangle’s resistance trendline. If the pair can convincingly break above the descending triangle’s upper trend boundary with sustained momentum, then this would allow Ethereum to enter a phase of sustained outperformance against Bitcoin. How High Could ETH/BTC Go If A Breakout Happens? Crypto analyst Jonathan Carter outlined a series of potential upside targets should the ETH/BTC pair break free from its downward trend. The first target is around 0.040 BTC, which would represent a clear departure from the compressed range seen across recent months. If momentum continues, higher potential objectives include 0.060, 0.085, 0.105, 0.124, and all the way up to the 2017 peak of 0.154. Related Reading: Here’s Why The Bitcoin And Ethereum Prices Are Still Trading Sideways Translating these ratio-based targets into absolute price levels is less straightforward, as the projections are based on Ethereum’s performance relative to Bitcoin and not standalone price moves. Such a performance can happen in two major ways: either Ethereum receives more inflows than Bitcoin, or Bitcoin could crash more than Ethereum during a market-wide correction. The former scenario would most likely translate into a sustained rotation into Ethereum and the wider altcoin market, setting the stage for an altcoin season. Nonetheless, both scenarios will see the otherwise strong Bitcoin dominance dropping massively. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

#avax #ada #altcoins #alt season #altcoin season #dot #cryptocurrency market news #total crypto market cap #crypto market recovery #crypto analyst #fil #gracy chen #total #crypto bear market #crypto market correction

While some consider the altcoins season may never come, others believe the altcoin market has changed, suggesting that a different version of the highly anticipated rally is in its early stages. Related Reading: Ethereum Targets April 2025 Lows As Price Drops Below $2,000 – What’s Next For ETH? ‘Inverted Altcoin Season’ Just Begun On Friday, the market recovered 15% from its multi-year lows, with most cryptocurrencies bouncing in the short-term timeframe. Amid the recent crash, investors’ sentiment has sunk to its lowest levels since 2022, with many expressing concerns about the future performance of altcoins. Market observer Ali Martinez discussed how the long-awaited altcoin season might have started, but not in the way most investors expected. In an X post, the analyst highlighted that after Bitcoin bottomed in November 2022, a nearly three-year bull run began, which carried the flagship crypto to its October all-time high (ATH). “During that entire period, many traders kept waiting for a traditional altcoin season: the familiar phase where Bitcoin rises and capital rotates broadly into altcoins, lifting nearly everything together,” he noted. However, unlike a traditional alt season, the market didn’t see altcoins rally all at once this cycle. Instead, many altcoins have been simultaneously breaking down structurally, with “channels that held for years (…) failing, support levels (…) giving way, and downside expansions (…) accelerating.”  To him, “we are witnessing what I would call an inverted altcoin season.” Martinez noted the performance of cryptocurrencies like Filecoin (FIL), Polkadot (DOT), Avalanche (AVAX), and Cardano (ADA), which have either completed or started the breakdown from their macro channel supports. He considers this to be where new opportunities emerge: For traders willing to shift their bias, this environment has created meaningful opportunities — especially on the short side. (…) What’s important is that this pattern isn’t finished playing out. As a result, the analyst affirmed that the new inverted altcoin season is in its early stages, concluding that this cycle, it “didn’t arrive as a broad rally. It arrived as a selective unwind.” No More Broader Altcoins Rally? During a Thursday panel at the Ondo Summit 2026, Bitget’s CEO Gracy Chen discussed what crypto will look like in 2030. The executive predicted that the Real-World Asset (RWA) sector will grow significantly in the next four years, with “everything tokenized.” However, she also shared the “controversial opinion” that the highly anticipated alt season “may never come” and that altcoins could never rally all at once again, which would be “a little bit tricky” for crypto businesses, she added. Others have previously discussed market changes and whether the “old cycles” for Bitcoin and altcoins still hold. Last year, analyst Altcoin Sherpa asserted that the crypto market is in a “hyper-accelerated regime.” He explained that the earlier cycles consisted of euphoric, corrective, and accumulation phases before the start of a recovery phase. Meanwhile, the market now experiences short-term uptrends followed by mid-term downtrends under the new regime. “We have 1-3 months of pump followed by 2-6 months of downtrend and rinse repeat,” he wrote. “There is no more euphoria where things go berserk for an entire year. Just 1-3 months and then down.” Related Reading: Solana Eyes Deeper Correction As Bearish Pattern Confirmation Targets $40 Based on the new system, he advised traders not to expect 2021-like market conditions for most altcoins or a traditional Alt season. Instead, Altcoin Sherpa suggested that investors should capitalize on shorter rallies while being aware of their limited duration. Nonetheless, he noted that, unlike previous cycles, altcoins will also recover faster and won’t take over a year to bottom and accumulate before a fresh leg up begins. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com

#altcoin #altcoins #altcoin season #macd #altcoin news #altcoins news #ash crypto #cryptollica

A technical perspective shared by crypto analyst Cryptollica is pushing back against the belief that the altcoin era is over. This perspective is based on the outlook that the current environment may be less about the decline and more about preparation. Decade-Long Structure Is In Rotation Zone Bitcoin and other large-cap cryptocurrencies are dominating market attention, and many traders have written off altcoins as a lost cause. Extended underperformance, fading arguments, and months of sideways action have led to the belief that the altcoin era is over. Related Reading: Bitcoin Analyst Reveals How Long It Usually Takes For Altcoin Season To Happen Taking to the social media platform X, crypto analyst Cryptollica pointed to the OTHERS/BTC ratio, which tracks the total crypto market capitalization excluding the top ten assets relative to Bitcoin.  According to the analyst, this ratio is now sitting directly on a trend support that has held for nearly a decade. Interestingly, the long-term chart shared by the analyst shows repeated historical interactions with this rising channel, where previous touches of the lower boundary led to major rotations into altcoins. At the time of writing, the OTHERS/BTC ratio has been compressing for the past few months without any clear sign of a directional breakout. Altcoin dominance has been drifting lower within a narrowing range, approaching the lower trendline while volatility continues to dry up.  However, instead of interpreting the current compression as weakness, the analyst noted that price is respecting a decade-long geometric structure without a breakdown. Cryptollica described this setup not as a graveyard but as a rotation point rather than a graveyard. Therefore, traders declaring altcoins dead are reacting to fatigue, not structure. The market is behaving like a loaded spring and storing energy. Momentum Indicators Quietly Flip In Favor Of Altcoins A separate analysis of the OTHERS/BTC ratio shows that boxes may already be ticking beneath the surface for an altcoin season. Crypto analyst Ash Crypto noted that the monthly MACD on the OTHERS/BTC chart has just delivered two consecutive green closes for the first time in four years.  Related Reading: Here’s When The Altcoin Season Happens Following The Bitcoin Cycle Not only that, but the Others/BTC MACD bullish cross has now been confirmed. History shows this kind of signal has always corresponded with the earliest stages of altcoin recoveries, especially when it appears after extended periods of underperformance. Ash Crypto also pointed to the ISM index moving back above the 50% level as another bullish sign for altcoins. This ISM moving back above 50% is notable because this macro indicator has repeatedly coincided with improving conditions for altcoins in past cycles.  The confirmation of momentum on OTHERS/BTC and a hold above a decade-long support strengthens the case that the current altcoin lull may be less about weakness and more about positioning ahead for an incoming altcoin season. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

#dogecoin #xrp #doge #meme coin #altcoin season #doge price #coinmarketcap #doge news #dogecoin news #dogecoin price #dogeusd #dogeusdt #javon marks #sosovalue #charting guy #dogecoin etfs

Crypto analyst Charting Guy has predicted that the worst may be over for Dogecoin, with a potential rally to $0.8 on the cards. This comes as meme coins like DOGE dominate the crypto market at the start of this new year.  Dogecoin Eyes Rally To $0.8 As The Worst May Be Over In an X post, Charting Guy shared a chart showing that Dogecoin could rally to as high as $0.8, marking a new all-time high for the foremost meme coin. Based on this, he remarked that the worst may be over if the meme coin was following a chart pattern he had mapped out earlier. The analyst had earlier raised the possibility of DOGE entering a long-term consolidation, similar to XRP, and then breaking out, with a rally to as high as $1.  Related Reading: Dogecoin Price On The Brink Of A 9,000% Rally To $10? What Historical Performance Shows Charting Guy’s accompanying chart showed that Dogecoin could trade sideways until mid-2028 and then break out to this $0.8 target, with the possibility of even reaching the psychological $1 level. With the worst being over, the drop to $0.11 last month could mark the bottom for the meme coin, especially seeing as it has regained its bull market structure.  Dogecoin has begun the year with a rally of almost of 30% as meme coins lead the current crypto market rally. Thanks to this, DOGE is the top gainer among the top 10 cryptos by market cap. The rally has also reignited institutional interest in the meme coin, with the DOGE ETFs recording significant inflows. SoSoValue data show that these funds recorded net inflows of $2.30 million on December 2 and $1.60 million yesterday, marking the first time they have seen consecutive inflows since December 3, 2025.  How Things Could Play Out For DOGE In The Short Term In another X post, Charting Guy shared a chart highlighting his lower-timeframe speculation for Dogecoin. The chart showed that DOGE could sustain this rally and reach $0.2 at the start of February. Once that happens, the meme coin could experience a sharp pullback, dropping to as low as $0.12 in March, which could mark the bottom. Dogecoin will then see another impulsive move to the upside, breaking above $0.2 this time around and potentially reaching $0.22.  Related Reading: Dogecoin Price Could Rally To All-Time Highs If It Breaks This Resistance Level Crypto analyst Javon Marks provided a more bullish outlook for Dogecoin, stating that the next seemingly modest targets are $0.6533 and $1.25111. However, he added that altcoin seasons have shown that DOGE can have upside potential beyond the imagination of many people, and his accompanying chart indicated that a rally to $11 was possible.  At the time of writing, the Dogecoin price is trading at around $0.15, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Peakpx, chart from Tradingview.com

#altcoin #altcoin season #altcoin analysis #altcoin news #altcoin season news #altcoin volume #total 3

Altcoin season was widely anticipated for 2025, but the reality has unfolded very differently. Instead of a broad-based rally, most altcoins suffered deep and prolonged drawdowns, erasing years of gains and forcing many investors out of the market. As 2026 approaches, sentiment around altcoins remains fragile. A growing number of analysts now warn that the worst may not be over, arguing that structural weakness, declining liquidity, and fading retail participation could drive another leg lower across the sector. Related Reading: Ethereum Liquidity Rebuilds On Binance: December Inflows Signal Strategic Repositioning Market data reinforces this cautious outlook. The Crypto Total Market Cap, excluding the top 10 assets—commonly referred to as the OTHERS index—has collapsed by more than 50% since December 2024. Market capitalization has fallen from roughly $451 billion to around $182 billion in just twelve months, highlighting the scale of capital destruction across mid- and small-cap tokens. This sharp contraction reflects aggressive de-risking, weak demand, and sustained selling pressure across the altcoin market. However, not all analysts are convinced the altcoin cycle is finished. A smaller group points to historical precedents, arguing that periods of extreme underperformance and investor capitulation have often preceded powerful altcoin recoveries. From this perspective, 2026 could mark the delayed arrival of an altcoin season—if liquidity conditions improve and capital rotation resumes. Altcoin Trading Activity Remains Elevated Despite Price Weakness A recent CryptoQuant report challenges the widely held belief that this cycle has produced “no altcoin season.” According to the data, centralized exchange trading volume for altcoins—excluding the top five assets—has reached levels significantly higher than those seen in previous market cycles. In other words, altcoins are being traded more actively than ever, even as prices remain deeply depressed across much of the market. This divergence between volume and price helps explain the prevailing confusion. While many tokens have lost a substantial portion of their value, on-chain and exchange data show that activity has not disappeared. Instead, the market has undergone a structural shift. Retail participation has largely faded after months of losses, with many smaller investors capitulating and exiting positions. Their absence, however, has not resulted in lower overall trading activity. CryptoQuant’s analysis suggests that altcoin dominance has increasingly concentrated among larger players. Whales and professional participants now account for a growing share of altcoin volume, using periods of low liquidity and weak sentiment to accumulate positions or actively rotate capital. From this perspective, the current phase may not signal the absence of an altcoin cycle, but rather its transformation. If whale-driven positioning continues and broader market conditions improve, these participants are likely to push prices higher to maximize returns. Related Reading: Bitcoin Miner Distribution Re-Emerges: BTC Enters A Fragile Price Phase OTHERS Market Cap Shows Prolonged Compression The OTHERS chart, which tracks the total crypto market capitalization excluding the top 10 assets, highlights the depth and duration of the ongoing altcoin correction. After peaking near $450 billion in late 2024, the market has lost more than half of its value, stabilizing around the $200–210 billion zone. This sharp contraction confirms that the altcoin market has experienced a full reset rather than a shallow pullback. From a technical perspective, the structure reflects prolonged compression. Price is currently oscillating around the 200-week moving average (red), a level that historically acts as a long-term equilibrium zone during transitions between bearish and recovery phases. The failure to reclaim the 100-week and 50-week moving averages suggests that upside momentum remains weak and that buyers lack conviction at higher levels. Related Reading: Bitcoin Supply In Profit Sets The Stage For Bullish Cross In Q1 2026 Volume dynamics reinforce this view. While periodic spikes appear during sell-offs and relief rallies, there is no sustained expansion in volume that would signal broad-based accumulation. This implies selective positioning rather than widespread risk appetite. Importantly, the market is no longer making aggressive lower lows, indicating that forced selling may be largely exhausted. However, the absence of higher highs keeps the structure neutral-to-bearish. For a meaningful altcoin recovery, OTHERS would need to reclaim the $260–280 billion range and hold above key moving averages. Until then, the chart suggests consolidation, dominance by larger players, and a market still searching for a durable bottom rather than the start of a classic altcoin season. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

#crypto #altcoin #altcoins #crypto market #cryptocurrency #altcoin season #crypto adoption #cryptocurrency market #crypto news #altcoin news #altcoins news

There’s been a major shift in profitability since the Bitcoin price crashed from $126,000, and altcoins have borne the brunt of it. With major altcoins down between 30% and 80% from their all-time high values, calls for an altcoin season have gone down drastically. This has been reflected in the performance of the Altcoin Season Index, falling to one of the lowest recorded levels in 2025 as the year draws to an end. Altcoin Season Index Says Losses Are The Order Of The Day The Altcoin Season Index Chart on the CoinMarketCap website, which tracks the performance of altcoins against Bitcoin, has now fallen below 20 again. This index collates the performance of the top 100 altcoins in the market, comparing their 90-day performance to that of Bitcoin, in order to pinpoint whether the market is currently experiencing an altcoin season. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Remains Stuck Inside This Range, But A Breakout Could Follow The index ranks the performance on a scale of 1-100, depending on how many altcoins out of the top 100 are outperforming Bitcoin, and uses that to score the market. At the time of writing, the Altcoin Season Index was sitting at a score of 17, which means only 17 of the top 100 altcoins have seen a better performance than Bitcoin in the last 90 days. With the index’s score sitting this low, it suggests that altcoins are currently in a bear market. Additionally, Ethereum, which is often the altcoin leader when it comes to an alt season, is still underperforming compared to Bitcoin. The second-largest cryptocurrency has recorded a 28.30% decrease in the last 90 days, while Bitcoin is down 21.10% in comparison. How To Know If Altcoins Are In A Bull Run? To know if the altcoin market is experiencing an altcoin season, the index would have to read at a score of 75 or higher. This is when the majority of altcoins are outperforming Bitcoin in a 3-month period, and their combined market cap surpasses that of the leading cryptocurrency. Related Reading: Pundit Shares Why XRP Will Become Expensive And A $1,000 Price Tag Is Possible Scores lower than 75 suggest that the market is yet to enter a full-blown altcoin season, and the lower it goes, the higher the chances that altcoins are experiencing a bear market. However, the higher the Altcoin Season Index score is, nearing 100, the more likely it is that the altcoin market may be experiencing a top. Altcoin seasons are often characterized by rapid increases in price, with 100% rallies on a daily basis being the norm. The last major altcoin season was back in 2021, and while the expectation was that another altcoin season would begin in 2025, this has not been the case. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

#bitcoin #bitcoin dominance #btc #altcoin #altcoins #altcoin season #altcoin news #altcoins news #altcoin market #altcoin season index #crypto nova

Bitcoin’s recent movement has left many traders waiting for signs of an altcoin season, and a post shared by crypto analyst Crypto Nova offers a different way to understand when this will actually begin.  The explanation, supported by charts from 2017 and 2021, shows that altcoins have historically performed their best while Bitcoin’s price action was already climbing, not after it had reached its peak. The charts she shared show how those earlier cycles unfolded and why the timing of Bitcoin’s surge has been the important factor each time. Altseasons Form During Bitcoin’s Strongest Surges This outlook goes against the projection of many crypto analysts, who have been waiting for a downturn in the Bitcoin dominance characterized by outflows from Bitcoin and into the altcoin market.   Related Reading: Altcoins Struggle, But Technical Analysis Says A Major Opportunity Is Forming However, careful technical analysis shows that the largest and most explosive altcoin seasons did not occur after Bitcoin had completed its run. Instead, they developed while Bitcoin was already pushing to new price highs.  The 2017 cycle illustrated this the most clearly. Bitcoin dominance began to decline during an altcoin season, even as BTC surged from around $1,000 to nearly $20,000. The chart shows a waterfall-like collapse in dominance from 95% in early 2017 to below 40% in early 2018, happening at the exact moment when Bitcoin was rising massively. Altcoins were already outperforming the leading cryptocurrency long before Bitcoin topped just below $20,000. A similar pattern played out in 2021. Bitcoin dominance peaked in January of that year and started falling while the Bitcoin price climbed from roughly $30,000 to its mid-cycle high above $60,000. Although altcoins took a little longer to increase compared to 2017, the bulk of their performance still arrived during Bitcoin’s rapid upward trajectory, not after it had stalled or reversed.  The charts below highlight this synchronicity clearly: dominance moves lower while Bitcoin candles continue to stretch higher. Bitcoin Needs A Confirmed Bottom And A New Surge Nova noted that traders are making a mistake by focusing solely on Bitcoin dominance without considering Bitcoin’s broader market structure. It is important to note that dominance does not drop simply because Bitcoin moves sideways or reaches a peak.  Related Reading: Altcoin Season: Here’s What Happens If The Bitcoin Price Sees A Parabolic Move To $200,000 Instead, dominance mostly declines when Bitcoin is in a strong, sustained uptrend, but the altcoin niche is witnessing more inflows compared to the leading cryptocurrency. This means an altcoin season is unlikely to start until Bitcoin prints a confirmed bottom and its rally convinces inflows into altcoins.  As noted by the analyst, Bitcoin is currently in a downtrend, and without a shift in trend, dominance metrics alone cannot trigger altcoin momentum. This viewpoint challenges the frequent claims circulating online that altseason is here or just about to begin. As it stands, the crypto industry is still logged into a Bitcoin season, with the CMC altcoin season index sitting at 19 and the CMC Bitcoin dominance at 58.7%. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

#bitcoin #ripple #xrp #altcoin #xrp price #altcoin season #rsi #xrp news #xrpusd #xrpusdt #relative strength index

The XRP price is rebounding sharply as the broader crypto market slowly recovers from a months-long downtrend. Although XRP is still more than 43% below its all-time high, a market analyst has outlined what needs to happen before the cryptocurrency can rally again. The analyst has shared a rather blunt assessment of XRP’s recent performance, highlighting its vulnerability and weakened price action.  XRP Price Rally Hinges On Bitcoin’s Recovery A crypto market expert identified as ‘Guy on Earth’ has issued a fresh warning on X, highlighting that the XRP price is currently sitting at precarious levels and “hanging on for its dear life.” His outlook was cautious as he stated that the cryptocurrency is barely maintaining a crucial monthly bull market support level.  Related Reading: Brace For Impact: XRP Price Has Formed A Bullish Cross On Its Weekly Stochastic RSI In his view, a potential XRP price rally now depends on a shift in Bitcoin’s behavior. The analyst explained that the altcoin market has suffered from maximum stress in recent months and will only begin to recover once BTC stages a rebound. He highlighted that the cryptocurrency needs to trigger a recovery rally while its dominance levels decline, giving altcoins enough room to regain former momentum and stage a rally.  Without this change in Bitcoin, the pressure on XRP is likely to continue. Recently, BTC climbed roughly 7% and is now trading above $93,000. Within the same period, the XRP price has surged more than 9% to $2.19. This trend highlights a correlation between Bitcoin’s positive price action and XRP’s upward movement.  Despite the recovery, Guy on Earth has warned investors and traders to stay realistic and manage their exposure carefully, given the market’s fragile state. His accompanying chart supports this caution. It shows that following a sharp impulse move that pushed XRP into a multi-year high zone, the price has stalled beneath a clear ceiling marked by repeated monthly rejections. Below the price structure, XRP’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) has declined, reflecting fading strength.  XRP Price To 10x In 2026 Crypto Super Cycle Presenting a more bullish outlook for XRP, crypto analyst Amonyx has examined its price potential within the broader altcoin market cycle. He suggested that the crypto supercycle in 2026 will be massive. His analysis places XRP at the centre of this bullish expansion, predicting a powerful price surge. Related Reading: Warning: XRP Price Is Forming A Death Cross That Previously Led To A 15% Crash Amonyx shared a chart illustrating three distinct altcoin seasons during past bull market cycles, each marked by explosive performances relative to Bitcoin. The first two cycles show a massive surge followed by prolonged cooldown periods. The current cycle highlights a larger structure, suggesting that the upcoming altcoin season in 2026 could be more powerful than the last two. If this trend holds, the analyst predicts that XRP’s price could skyrocket 10x from its current level of $2.19 to approximately $22. Featured image from Pngtree, chart from Tradingview.com

#solana #sol #altcoins #alt season #bonk #altcoin season #cryptocurrency market news #crypto analyst #altcoins performance #crypto cycle #total #altcoin cycle #total crypto maket cap

As the market bleeds red and most altcoins lose crucial levels, some have suggested that investors must reshape their expectations of the crypto market this cycle and the long-awaited “alt season.” Related Reading: BitMine’s Unrealized Losses Hit $3.7B As Ethereum (ETH) Price Struggles Below $3,000 Old Crypto Cycle Is Gone – Analyst Over the past month, the crypto market has wiped out over $1 trillion in market capitalization due to a series of large-scale liquidations and strong selling pressure since the October 10 pullback, which has sunk investors’ sentiment to its lowest levels in months. Amid this performance, the early Q4 rally buzz has faded, and most altcoins have lost the ground gained during the Q3 market breakout. Market observers have shared their outlook on how the crypto market has changed and what to expect in the future. In October, Nic Carter, crypto investor and partner at Castle Island Ventures, weighed in on the shift in retail sentiment regarding most altcoins. As reported by NewsBTC, he affirmed that the bearish sentiment means the space has matured significantly. Carter explained that crypto is “boring” now because most of the uncertainties that drove much of the historical volatility have been resolved, adding that the industry has also largely derisked as a technological substrate. The investor considers that “crypto natives no longer control the narrative, there’s more serious businesses (which don’t require tokens), there’s less chaos, the whole space has matured significantly.” In a Friday thread on X, the Altcoin Sherpa also discussed the market changes, affirming that the “old cycles” have been “dead” for a while. As he explained, the previous cycles consisted of an euphoric phase, a corrective phase, and an accumulation phase before the start of a recovery phase. He highlighted the performance of Altcoins like Solana (SOL) between 2020 and 2024, noting that “this market environment is gone.” Instead, the analyst believes that the market is in a “hyper-accelerated regime.” Altcoins In A ‘Hyper-Accelerated Regime’ Under this new regime, the market experiences short-term uptrends followed by mid-term downtrends, similar to the price action of altcoins like BONK since late 2023, Altcoin Sherpa added: We have 1-3 months of pump followed by 2-6 months of downtrend and rinse repeat. There is no more euphoria where things go berserk for an entire year. Just 1-3 months and then down. Look how many cycles BONK had in a year or 2. The analyst suggested that investors should not expect 2021 conditions for most altcoins or a traditional “Alt Season,” where most tokens experience massive gains at once. He advised to capitalize when the “good times” arrive and be aware that “price can still die in 3 months.” “Reframe your brain in how you think about alt pumps and ‘alt season’. Coins will still downtrend, just not in a slow bleed. More [of] an accelerated destruction + carnage, Altcoin Sherpa detailed. Related Reading: This Altcoin Soars 20% In One Day Following Major Saudi Arabia Partnership He also noted that, unlike previous cycles, altcoins will also recover “a bit quicker than before,” and won’t take over a year to bottom and accumulate before a new leg up begins again. However, Sherpa affirmed that the lack of an accumulation phase will mean that “the overall coins will NOT have as strong of pumps like they used to,” as that period is what makes the rallies strong. “We aren’t seeing anything close to that anymore,” he concluded. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com

#bitcoin #btc price #bitcoin price #btc #altcoin #altcoins #bitcoin news #altcoin season #btcusd #btcusdt #btc news #altcoin news #altcoins news

The Bitcoin dominance has remained quite high over the last year, holding firmly above 50% and preventing altcoins from making any meaningful recovery. Even now, the dominance has climbed close to 60%, showing that Bitcoin is still determining the direction of the entire market. However, there has been a development that could change the trajectory of the Bitcoin dominance and put altcoins in the spotlight once again, highlighted by crypto analyst Unichartz. Bitcoin Dominance Breaks Below 50 EMA Since 2023, the Bitcoin dominance has remained firmly above the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), showing immense strength around this level. Even through market crashes, the digital asset has maintained its dominance, and with each passing year, the trendline has continued to rise. As long as the Bitcoin dominance stayed above the 50 EMA, it showed it would continue to dominate, but this is changing now. Related Reading: Shiba Inu Derivatives Market Is Taking Off Again, But What Does This Mean For Price? According to the post by Unichartz, it shows that the Bitcoin dominance has now crashed below the 50-Day EMA for the first time in almost one year. This comes as the dominance lost its footing above 60% and has failed to reclaim its position above it. Naturally, there has been an attempt to reclaim the 50-Day EMA once again. However, this attempt failed after the brief surge above 63% in early October was thwarted by the market-wide crash on October 10. Since then, the dominance has remained below the 50 EMA and has now spent a full consecutive month below this critical level. What This Means For The Crypto Market Historically, the altcoin season has only begun when the Bitcoin dominance has seen a decline. This trend has held strong through the years, and even through the current cycle, has prevented the rise of another altcoin season. Related Reading: Dogecoin Does Not Have Potential For A Strong Move Upward, Analyst Says However, with the crash below the 50 EMA, the analyst predicts that the Bitcoin dominance is about to see a massive crash. It shows that the dominance will fall below 40% if it fails to reclaim the 50 EMA soon. Such a crash would give room for altcoins to actually run as the focus moves away from Bitcoin. With the Altcoin Season Index sitting at a low 31 at the time of this writing, it shows that a crash in the Bitcoin dominance is sorely needed for altcoins to rise again. However, the analyst explains that if the dominance does reclaim the 50 EMA, then Bitcoin’s lead may be extended for longer before attention rotates back to altcoin. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

#bitcoin #bitcoin dominance #bitcoin price #btc #altcoin #altcoins #fomo #bitcoin news #altcoin season #altcoin news #altcoins news #elliott wave theory #credibull crypto #btc.d #htf

As the Bitcoin price continues to navigate market headwinds and consolidate above $108,000, analysts forecast that its next explosive move could trigger a full-scale altcoin season. Experts are now targeting a potential rise toward $200,000, identifying this new all-time high level as Bitcoin’s potential cycle top while suggesting that the cryptocurrency has yet to establish a definitive bottom.   Bitcoin Price Explosion To Ignite Biggest Altcoin Season Ever According to digital asset analyst CrediBULL Crypto, Bitcoin’s next parabolic surge could catalyze the biggest altcoin season the market has ever seen. The analyst shared an Elliott Wave chart analysis, showing that BTC is in the early stages of its final fifth wave, a phase that has historically delivered some of the most explosive price rallies in bull markets.  Related Reading: Is The Bitcoin Supercycle Still In Play? Wave 3 Tells A Story Of A Surge Looking at the chart, the first subwave of Wave 5 has already produced a 37% gain, suggesting that the upcoming third and fifth subwaves could be significantly larger, potentially driving Bitcoin well above $150,000 and even toward the $200,000 mark. CrediBULL Crypto argued that such a bullish move will not be grounded in logic or fundamentals but in market psychology, specifically speculation, greed, and euphoria. He revealed that this emotional environment often leads to extreme volatility, which fuels liquidity rotation into alternative cryptocurrencies. Historically, when investors begin redirecting capital away from Bitcoin into altcoins after a BTC top, it typically sparks a full-blown altcoin season. Many smaller-cap assets experience rapid, exponential gains during this time, especially as the Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) declines temporarily.  CrediBULL Crypto emphasizes that this phase of irrational exuberance is a natural part of the market cycle. When the Bitcoin mania peaks, the resulting FOMO often drives investors to seek higher and faster yields in other assets. The analyst further added that as long as BTC continues to climb, altcoins are likely to follow suit.  Analyst Recommends Locking In Ahead Of The Rally In a prior analysis on X social media, CrediBULL Crypto reaffirmed his belief that the current market cycle top has not yet been reached. Despite recent volatility and market crash fueled by the devastating liquidation event on October 10, the analyst maintains that Bitcoin remains structurally bullish on High-Timeframes (HTFs).  Related Reading: Expert Says ‘The Time Has Come’, What Could Drive The Next Explosive Altcoin Season He noted that the recent market pullbacks could offer opportunities for traders affected by the liquidation cascade to rebuild positions ahead of the next explosive leg. He stated that even a small allocation, about 10% of their previous holdings, could yield substantial returns if the projected parabolic move unfolds.  CrediBULL Crypto has highlighted a critical invalidation level near $74,000, suggesting that as long as the Bitcoin price holds above this zone, its long-term uptrend remains intact. He doubled down on his bullish projection, insisting that the next major rally could propel BTC significantly above $150,000. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com

#bitcoin #btc price #bitcoin price #btc #bitcoin news #altcoin season #btcusd #btcusdt #btc news #mister crypto #jelle #uptober #ardizor

After months of uncertainty and sideways trading, fresh technical analysis suggests that Bitcoin (BTC) may have finally exited its bear trap phase. A leading crypto pundit indicates the market has entered a classic cycle of emotions, transitioning from fear to optimism. If this trend continues, the next phase could spark a major rally, with altcoins set to explode.  Bitcoin Bear Trap Ends, Altcoins Next Crypto analyst Ardizor posted on X social media on Wednesday that Bitcoin has officially reached the end of its bear trap stage. He argued that the recent downturns were not signs of further collapse but a final shakeout before the next stage of the cycle.  Related Reading: Analyst’s Prediction Plays Out As Bitcoin Price Rebounds, Here’s The Full Forecast To support his view, the crypto expert shared a chart illustrating the classic psychology and emotional transitions of a market cycle. From early momentum building to euphoric peaks and painful capitulation, the chart identifies where traders currently stand in the market. Ardizorn’s chart also emphasized that the declines and false breakdowns that rattled investors and caused extreme fear in recent weeks have concluded, and now, the market is at the stage of “renewed optimism.”  Interestingly, this shift has led the analyst to believe that altcoins could soon start outperforming as traders rotate their capital from BTC. Based on this trend, Ardizor boldly predicts that altcoins will explode next, with many potentially reaching new all-time highs.  His outlook is reinforced by another market analyst, Mister Crypto, who argues that September was merely a bear trap for Bitcoin, and that October, often dubbed “Uptober” in trading circles, will spark a new bullish phase, with altcoins poised to outperform dramatically. Adding further weight to the bullish case, crypto expert Jelle pointed out that both of Bitcoin’s last two cycles lasted exactly 1,064 days. If history repeats, the current cycle could peak around October 27, giving altcoins extra room to perform strongly into late November.    Altcoin Season On The Horizon With the broader altcoin market already recovering from past declines, market analyst Chiefy paints a similarly bullish picture for these assets in 2025. His chart demonstrates a series of breakouts, each marking a significant surge in altcoin valuations relative to Bitcoin. According to the crypto expert, altcoins could reach their breakout stage on October 5, ushering in what he calls “the biggest altseason in history.”  Related Reading: Expert Says ‘The Time Has Come’, What Could Drive The Next Explosive Altcoin Season The analyst’s chart highlights past breakout points that have multiplied prices by 120x, 175x, and 150x, with the next stage projected to reach as high as 200x. This exponential growth pattern mirrors what traders witnessed in previous cycles, reinforcing the idea that the crypto market trends to rhyme, if not repeat.  Chiefy has stated that the unfolding altcoin season could push prices to new ATHs and deliver massive opportunities for traders. He highlighted that, after months of consolidation and endless shakeouts, the market momentum has officially shifted toward a clear uptrend phase, with low-cap cryptocurrencies poised to kick off rallies. According to him, back in 2017 and 2021, traders who accumulated altcoins in this stage saw life-changing gains. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

#bitcoin #dogecoin #doge #altcoin season #doge price #coinmarketcap #doge news #dogecoin news #dogecoin price #dogeusd #dogeusdt #m&a #moving averages #mikybull crypto #cas abbe

The Dogecoin price may be preparing for what an analyst calls a “face-melting rally,” as fresh bullish technical patterns indicate a potential breakout. A crypto analyst notes that DOGE is entering a critical stage, similar to historical setups that have preceded significant upward moves. If the pattern plays out as expected, it would bolster the market expert’s confidence in the meme coin’s outlook.  Rare Setup To Ignite Dogecoin Price Rally  Market analyst Mikybull Crypto has drawn attention to a key chart formation that traders rarely encounter, the Bump & Run Reversal Bottom (BARR). According to his technical analysis shared on X social media, Dogecoin has recently completed its “Lead-in” and “Bump” phases, and now sits at the critical “Throwback to Trendline” stage, which typically precedes a steep uphill bull run.  Related Reading: Dogecoin Price Could Break Into Double-Digit Rally From This Fibonacci Level The analyst noted that Thomas Bulkowski famously documented this textbook chart formation in his Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns (2005), with the pattern carrying a historical success rate between 64% and 68%. On the weekly chart, DOGE appears to have retested its former downtrend line, now flipped into support, after months of consolidation. If the structure plays out as outlined, Mikybull Crypto predicts that the next leg higher could see Dogecoin experiencing a “face-melting rally,” with its price potentially extending toward the $0.70 – $0.85 range.  While the crypto expert’s forecast is ambitious, considering Dogecoin is currently trading at $0.23, it is still consistent with the way this rare pattern has historically unfolded after the “bump” phase, when momentum typically shifts toward buyers. According to Mikybull Crypto, traders should take note, as rallies emerging from this structure often accelerate quickly, leaving late entrants at a disadvantage.  Golden Cross And Breakout Potential Point Toward Altseason In other news, crypto market expert Cas Abbe highlights short-term signals on Dogecoin’s daily chart, noting an impending Golden Cross formation. On his chart, the DOGE price action has been moving within an ascending channel and is now approaching the upper resistance band around $0.33. A breakout above this level could act as a major trigger for the broader altcoin market. Related Reading: Dogecoin Price Skirts Potential Demand Zone, What Happens If It Hits Right? Cas Abbe emphasizes that when Dogecoin begins to surge, it often marks the start of the altcoin season, during which capital flows away from Bitcoin into alternative cryptocurrencies, sparking widespread rallies across the sector. Due to this, the analyst notes that the $0.33 resistance remains a critical threshold. A decisive push above it could unleash rapid upward movement in DOGE toward the $0.37 area on the chart.   Priced at $0.23 at the time of reporting, Dogecoin is sitting near key Moving Averages (MA), with momentum possibly building. The cryptocurrency has been experiencing its own fair share of price declines following the recent market downturn. CoinMarketCap’s data shows that DOGE has declined by over 4.3% in the last week, and risen by only 5.6% over the past months. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

#ethereum #bitcoin #federal reserve #s&p 500 #gold #xrp #altcoin #gdp #altcoins #fed #altcoin season #chainlink #cryptocurrency market news #altcoin news #the kobeissi letter #altcoins news

For the first time in 2025, the United States Federal Reserve is preparing to cut interest rates while the S&P 500 is trading at all-time highs, and according to The Kobeissi Letter, the time has come for an important shift in markets that could usher in the next crypto market bull run.  As it stands, record stock valuations, resilient GDP growth, sticky inflation, and cracks are forming in the labor market, leaving the stage open for volatility in traditional markets that could spill over into the next explosive altcoin season. Fed Rate Cuts At Record Valuations Expectations are also high that the Fed will keep lowering rates at the next interest rate decision on Wednesday, September 17, 2025 and through the end of this year. According to a lengthy thread that was posted on the social media platform X, this could have long-term bullish effects on the crypto industry. Related Reading: Altcoin Market Completes Highest Monthly Close Ever: What This Means For Alt Season The Federal Reserve usually cuts rates in the face of economic weakness and depressed equity markets, but this time is different. As noted by The Kobeissi Letter, valuation metrics tracked by Bloomberg show US stocks are more expensive than ever, having surpassed even the 1929 pre-Depression peak and the dot-com bubble. Furthermore, the S&P 500’s price-to-book ratio hit 5.3x in late August, its record level.  Despite these extremes, policymakers are expected to cut by at least 25 basis points this week based on weakness in the labor market. History shows that when rate cuts occurred with stocks within 2% of all-time highs, as shown in 2019 and 2024, the S&P 500 delivered strong gains over the following year. This unusual mix could once again amplify capital flows into high-growth assets, including cryptocurrencies, in the last quarter of 2025. A Perfect Time For Altcoins Cutting rates into hot inflation adds liquidity fuel just as investors chase risk assets. That backdrop has always caused powerful surges for Gold, Bitcoin, and other major cryptocurrencies, as the return of these assets thrives when fiat returns come under question. Related Reading: Altcoin Season Index Sets New 2025 High, What This Means For The Crypto Market As The Kobeissi Letter framed it, the time has come. The Fed’s decision to cut rates with stocks at record highs, amid a 3% GDP growth and hot inflation 110 bps above the Fed’s long-term target, could be the driver of the next altcoin season. Gold and Bitcoin have already been priced in this new era of liquidity, as both are now up by 450% and 105%, respectively, since 2023.  The setup is even better for altcoins like Ethereum, XRP, Chainlink, and most especially cryptocurrencies involved in the growing AI niche. There could be more immediate-term volatility, but long-term asset owners will benefit the most from the rate cut. However, if the Federal Reserve opts for a slower pace of cuts than markets are currently pricing in, the disappointment could ripple through both equities and cryptocurrencies and cause short-term declines this week. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

#ethereum #bitcoin #btc price #eth #bitcoin price #btc #bitcoin news #altcoin season #coinmarketcap #btcusd #btcusdt #btc news #ash crypto #falling wedge pattern #blockchain center #bullish megaphone pattern

Crypto analyst Ash Crypto has revealed when the Bitcoin price is likely to reach $150,000, while Ethereum rallies to $8,000 and the altcoin season begins in full force. This comes as the crypto market looks to rebound, with BTC attempting a successful break above $112,000.  On Bitcoin Price and Ethereum Rally And Altcoin Season Timeline In an X post, Ash Crypto declared that the Bitcoin price will rally to $150,000, Ethereum will rally to $8,000, and the altcoin season will happen in the fourth quarter of this year. During that period, he expects altcoins to pump between 10x and 50x. In line with this, he urged market participants to relax and be patient. Related Reading: Fair Value Gap Suggests Bitcoin Price Is Going Higher, But Watch Out For This Crash In another X post, the analyst stated that the Bitcoin price will likely bottom this month. Ash Crypto remarked that he is expecting BTC to form a low between $94,000 and $100,000, making everyone believe that $124,000 was the top. When that happens, he predicts that the flagship crypto will then record a massive breakout in October and reach between $150,000 and $180,000 by December.  Crypto analyst Stockmoney also indicated that market participants can expect significant moves from the Bitcoin price and Ethereum in Q4 of this year, while an altcoin season could be on the horizon. In an X post, the analyst stated that BTC is following the same pattern throughout the bull market.  Based on this, he remarked that impulsive moves happen in the fourth quarter, and this is where most pumps historically occur. Stockmoney noted that these rallies are usually preceded by a longer consolidation period in the form of a falling wedge or bullish megaphone. His accompanying chart showed that the Bitcoin price could reach as high as $180,000 by year-end.  Altcoin Season May Already Be Starting Market commentator Milk Road suggested that altcoin season may already be starting, even as the Bitcoin price and Ethereum find their footing. In an X post, Milk Road noted that ETH has outperformed BTC over the last two quarters. ETH is up around 110% in the second and third quarters, while BTC is up 34% during this period. Related Reading: Interest In Altcoin Season Crashes 88% In August As Ethereum Price Tanks This represents an over 300% return for Ethereum over the Bitcoin price. In line with this, Milk Road declared that historically, this kind of flipping often marks the start of altcoin season. Blockchain Center data shows that the market is currently closer to altcoin season than Bitcoin season. More altcoins have continued to outperform BTC over the last 90 days. However, 75% of the top 50 coins by market cap still need to outperform BTC for it to be considered officially altcoin season.  At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $112,000, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

#xrp #crypto market #bitcoin etfs #altcoin season #james seyffart #altseason #cryptocurrency market news #corporate adoption #xrp etf news #ethereum etfs #total3 #altcoin etf #bitcoin treasury companies #spot crypto etfs

Bloomberg Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) analyst James Seyffart shared his perspective on the long-awaited altcoin season and how it may differ from previous cycles following the boom of Digital Asset Treasuries and institutional adoption. Related Reading: WLFI Token Controversy: Justin Sun Denies Selling Rumors Following Address Blacklist Altseason Already Here? In a recent interview with Jay Hamilton from Milk Road, James Seyffart, senior analyst and ETF expert at Bloomberg, reaffirmed his stance that the four-year cycle theory has “lost a lot of value,” at least for this cycle. “I’m one of those people not necessarily saying this time is different, but I don’t think we’re going to, you know, peak in later this year and then drop 80%. I just don’t think that’s going to happen anymore,” he stated. The analyst previously explained that with institutional adoption and treasury companies, the cycle’s amplitude will reduce significantly, adding that this theory has gotten “muted” and “It won’t be as strict as on the money, where everything collapses in November or December.” During the Thursday interview, he affirmed that, unlike the previous cycle, the market appears to be experiencing what could be considered a “corporate” altcoin season, driven by institutional adoption, Digital Asset Treasury Companies (DATCOs), and Initial Public Offerings (IPOs). Seyffart considers that DATCOs are “taking a lot of steam” from any potential traditional altcoin season, as “they’ve been on absolute fire.” Based on this, he suggested that in the short term, the highly anticipated altcoin season is occurring on public markets through institutions: The thing is, I just think right now this market is becoming a little more institutionalized (…). I just don’t think altcoins are going to run in the same way it has in years past. Largely because the money that’s mostly driving the performance of things like Bitcoin and ETH right now is institutional money. Altcoin ETFs Demand Won’t Match BTC, ETH The ETF expert asserted that neither institutional money nor the long-awaited approval of multiple altcoin-based ETFs will fuel a rally like the BTC or ETH-based products had at launch, despite the evident interest in the investment products. “Anyone who thinks like, ‘oh, Bitcoin ETFs took in 40 billion, (…) XRP ETF is going to take in the same amount’ or whatever. That’s just not how this is going to work. These are longer tail assets,” he added. Recently, Canary Capital CEO Steve McClurg claimed that the XRP spot ETFs could hit $5 billion worth of inflows in their first month. He pointed out that after BTC, XRP is the most recognized token among Wall Street investors, which could drive significant adoption from the start and even outperform Ethereum ETFs. Related Reading: Cardano (ADA) Redemption Controversy Over? Hoskinson Shares IOG Audit Results Seyffart explained that there will be demand for the altcoin-based investment products, and “there will probably be multiple products for each of these assets to do well.” He pointed out that they will not capture the same institutional capital as Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, “but they’ll be trading vehicles.” However, the Bloomberg analyst expects basket products that combine multiple assets to attract significantly more interest from institutional capital, arguing that investment advisors prefer asset diversification. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com

#crypto #altcoin #altcoins #cryptocurrency #altcoin season #crypto news #cryptocurrency market news #total3

Crypto analyst Kevin (Kev Capital TA) argues that altcoins are replaying the same structural script that preceded the 2021 “altseason,” this time on the ratio of the altcoin market cap excluding Ethereum and stablecoins versus Bitcoin (often proxied as “Total3/BTC”). In a video posted late on September 2, he contends that confluence across weekly and monthly timeframes—on both linear and logarithmic scales—shows a Wyckoff-style bottoming process culminating in a “spring” and range reclaim, with momentum and breadth indicators lining up the way they did ahead of the 2021 surge. Altcoins Gear Up For Major Run Kevin frames the current moment as a direct analogue to the last cycle’s transition from despair to acceleration, emphasizing that the structure, not headlines, came first then as now. “We are seeing weekly time frame, monthly time frame historical setups,” he said, adding that the weekly linear chart of Total3/BTC has retraced into an accumulation range, pierced support in a capitulation-style flush, and then reclaimed the range—what he calls a “spring phase” that “led to the 2021 alt season.” The sequence, he argues, is strikingly similar to the 2018–2020 base that ultimately exploded higher in 2021 after the market “gave up” on altcoins. The analyst is explicit that this setup is conditional on macro “ingredients” that enable risk to be repriced. “We are going to need to see lower inflation or flat inflation, a softening labor market but not a crashing labor market, and softening growth but not crashing growth,” he said. That mix, in his view, would allow the Federal Reserve to shift the balance of risk toward employment, pull down the two-year yield, lift rate-cut expectations, and perhaps curtail the “last little bit” of quantitative tightening—“maybe even have a neutral to expanding balance sheet.” With “a lot of macro data coming over the next three weeks” and the FOMC set for September 17, he argues Q4 is the critical window. “It’s all lining up right now… we just need that last push.” Related Reading: Over 100 Crypto Companies Join Forces To Protect DeFi In Market Structure Bill On the weekly linear timeframe, Kevin points to indicator symmetry with the 2021 liftoff. He cites a fresh weekly buy on Market Cipher and says its “money flow” profile is tracing the same contour as the prior cycle’s spring. He adds that “whale money flow bottomed out at the exact same level as it did in 2021,” the MACD “crossed to the upside at the exact same level,” and the stochastic RSI has already surged to 96. In 2021, he notes, “once we broke the 80 level and stayed above it… you got your most aggressive price action.” The implication is that a push toward the “100 level” could coincide with the period of maximum upside impulse, as it did during the last cycle’s early thrust. He then zooms out to the monthly log chart of Total3/BTC, where he locates what he describes as an eight-year support band around “the 0.27 to 0.24 area,” a long down-trendline of resistance now meeting “a higher low structure,” and a momentum backdrop he characterizes as classically divergent. On Market Cipher’s monthly momentum waves, “higher lows, higher lows, higher lows, while price action made lower lows… that is a bullish divergence,” he said, stressing that this signal is most potent at major historical supports. The monthly RSI, he adds, appears to be “peeking our heads out” of a multi-year downtrend channel for the first time since the 2021 top. Meanwhile, the monthly stochastic RSI has carved a “full-blown V-shaped turn” up from near zero but has “hasn’t even come close to breaking the 80 level yet,” which in his framework is precisely when “you will not see your most bullish price action until you break the 80 level.” Related Reading: Crypto Bull Run Dead? Analyst Says The Real Top Isn’t Here Yet Kevin places particular weight on a double-bottom motif in his monthly L-MACD read, calling it “the same exact bottoming pattern” that formed between June and December 2020. “When you double bottom and make a basically a double bottom… game on,” he said, arguing that the renewed cross echoes the momentum inflection that preceded the altcoin surge into early 2021. He also notes that July and June printed a two-step low similar to the June/December 2020 pair that marked the prior regime shift. Crypto’s Biggest Run Ever? The through-line is that breadth is beginning to turn at a structural level while momentum gauges transition from deeply negative to positive across timeframes. He underscores that the signal is appearing in tandem across linear weekly and log monthly views, which he describes as unprecedented in its alignment. “There’s never been a time where these two charts have looked the way that they look in tandem on log and linear on the weekly, on the monthly,” he said. If that symmetry holds, he expects “the altcoin market cap to start stealing dominance away from Bitcoin at a higher faster pace than we’ve seen since the previous altcoin season.” Although his thesis centers on Total3/BTC, Kevin frames it within his earlier, well-telegraphed Ethereum calls from May/June, arguing that “ETH… has hit a new all-time high” and that “the bottom is in on ETH versus Bitcoin, ETH dominance, and obviously the ETHUSD chart.” He presents the altcoin rotation as a sequel: “Very similar to how ETH versus Bitcoin and ETH dominance and even ETHUSD were setting up before it made its big run against Bitcoin,” with Total3 now showing “two months in a row of outperformance” from a major support band—a combination he had highlighted in Ethereum before its advance. Even with the technicals aligned, Kevin is careful to caveat timelines and seasonality. He characterizes September as “usually weak,” with the more forceful phase of any rotation likely contingent on macro confirmation into Q4. “The charts can precede the news,” he said, “however, that’s never guaranteed.” For now, he sees a maturing base, a reclaimed range after a capitulative spring, and momentum structures that, in prior cycles, marked the boundary between grinding bottoms and impulsive advances. “If there was ever going to be a time that it was going to happen… now’s the time,” he concluded, while reiterating the dependency on incoming data: “I don’t know what the macro data is going to look like, but I know what this chart looks like… watch out for Total3.” At press time, TOTAL3 stood at $1.04 trillion. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

#ripple #xrp #xrp ledger #altcoin #xrp price #altcoin season #xrp news #xrpusd #xrpusdt #us sec #barric #sec-ripple lawsuit

A new prediction from crypto commentator BarriC has drawn attention to the long-term future of XRP. According to him, the token’s price has so far only been shaped by altcoin seasons and the four-year cycle, leaving an entirely different scenario still unexplored. He believes that when XRP eventually enters a utility run, its value could rise far beyond the levels seen today, moving to $100 first and finally settling at $1,000. XRP Has Never Experienced A True Utility Run Like many other cryptocurrencies, XRP has been subject to cycles of hype, corrections, and quick inflows of capital. Its rallies in previous bull markets, particularly in 2018, were based largely on investor sentiment rather than on widespread real-world use. However, many crypto analysts have argued that the dynamics of XRP are changing, especially now that the SEC-Ripple lawsuit, which has dragged the natural growth of its price down, has ended. Related Reading: XRP Takes On Live TV: Analyst Predicts Surge To $13 If This Happens According to BarriC, no cryptocurrency, including XRP, has gone through what he calls a utility run. A “utility run,” as he describes it, would be based on adoption across banking networks, remittance companies, and global payment systems. In such a scenario, XRP would move away from being valued purely as a speculative asset and instead gain a price level backed by constant, large-scale demand for transactions.  Furthermore, no data exists to describe what happens when trillions of dollars start flowing directly through XRP. The absence of precedent leaves room for dramatic upside that cannot be measured by prior cycles alone, and the idea is that there’s no way that the XRP price stays between $3 and $4 if millions, billions, and trillions of dollars start flowing through the XRP Ledger. Why $1,000 Is Not Out Of The Question The possibility of XRP reaching well above double digits at $10, triple digits at $100, and four digits at $1,000 has been a well-discussed topic among XRP supporters and critics this cycle. Proponents like BarriC argue that XRP is well on track to reach $1,000 and stabilize above this level. However, critics say this isn’t possible, considering the market cap it would need to achieve this price. Related Reading: XRP Price At $36: 7-Year Bottom Breakout Could Trigger Repeat Of 2014-2017 Addressing those who argue that XRP can never reach $1,000, BarriC countered by pointing out that such claims are not based on evidence. Since no cryptocurrency has yet experienced a true utility-driven cycle, dismissing four-digit targets for XRP is premature. Once XRP starts to see millions in inflows and becomes the backbone of global financial transactions, then it is entirely possible to reach such levels. “That’s when we see prices for $XRP exceed $100 and settle comfortably at $1,000,” he said. At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $2.97, down by 4.8% in the past 24 hours. Right now, the first thing would be to maintain a position above $3. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

#ripple #xrp #altcoin #gdp #xrp price #altcoin season #apple #coinmarketcap #ripple news #xrp news #xrpusd #xrpusdt #barric #tony severino #vincent van code

Crypto pundit XRP Avengers has declared that XRP can’t hit $1,000, a price level that has been discussed among community members. The pundit explained why he holds this belief, alluding to the altcoin’s market cap.  Why XRP Cannot Hit $1,000 In an X post, the crypto pundit said that XRP cannot hit $1,000 based on the market cap. He noted that if the altcoin were to hit $1,000, which is impossible, its market cap would be 100 trillion, which is like 10 times the global GDP. XRP Avengers added that $10 is the max price that the altcoin can reach and that it would take ages for that to happen and require banks to almost solely use it for transactions.  Related Reading: Pundit Reveals What Will Happen When XRP Price Hits $100 And $1,000 In line with this, the crypto pundit revealed that he is simply waiting for XRP to hit between $5 and $10 before selling, as reaching $1,000 is “genuinely impossible.” Market expert Tony Severino also explained that XRP cannot reach this price target even by 2030. He noted that a rally to $1,000 would make the altcoin four times Gold’s market cap and 15 times Apple’s market cap, which he considers impossible.   Meanwhile, software engineer Vincent Van Code disputed XRP Avengers’ claim that the altcoin cannot reach $1,000. He stated that if holders purchased 99% of XRP for $1, for example, then the 1% being purchased for $1,000 each is indeed possible.  The software engineer added that it doesn’t mean that the altcoin’s total supply needs to be multiplied by $1,000, but only the relatively small number of tokens that were purchased for this amount. Vincent Van Code remarked that anything in the world, including XRP, can have any value, as all that matters is there being a market for it.  Analyst Doubles Down On $1,000 Prediction Crypto analyst BarriC has doubled down on his prediction that XRP can hit $1,000 following XRP Avengers’ remarks. In an X post, he noted that the altcoin’s price action has only ever existed within the parameters of an altcoin season and the 4-year cycle. The analyst added that there is no historical data on what a utility run will look like for any crypto.  Related Reading: Analyst Says XRP Price Could Explode 44,000% To Cross $1,000 Therefore, BarriC remarked that claims that XRP can never hit $1,000 are completely false. The analyst further claimed that it makes logical sense that the altcoin could reach this price level if every bank around the world adopts and utilizes it. When that happens, he expects trillions of dollars to flow directly into and through XRP.  At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $2.98, down over 4% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

#ethereum #bitcoin #xrp #altcoin #altcoins #altcoin season #altseason

Over the past weeks, the altcoins’ season (or the altseason) seems to be the biggest narrative in the digital asset market, leading virtually all conversations amongst the crypto crowd. This narrative is beginning to feel even more organic due to the strong performances of the largest altcoins, ETH and XRP, in recent weeks. Ethereum, the “king of altcoins,” has been on a relatively significant run in the last two months, reclaiming the $4,000 mark for the first time since December 2024. Meanwhile, the price of XRP has returned above $3, surging by more than 10% in the past week. However, the latest on-chain observation points that the altcoin season might only just be warming up and has not kicked in full gear just yet. The altseason, a period when mid/small-cap altcoins outperform BTC, is often marked by capital rotation from the largest cryptocurrency to the rest of the market. Last True Altcoin Season Was In Early 2024: Analyst In a recent post on the X platform, an on-chain analyst with the pseudonym Darkfost postulated that the altseason “has not really started yet.” This hypothesis comes despite the relatively improved performance of the altcoin market over the past few months, with various non-BTC assets leading the sector in gains. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bull Run At Risk? Binance Whale-To-Exchange Flow Signals Price Correction The rationale behind this Darkfost’s theory is based on the performance of various asset classes relative to Bitcoin over the last few months. The analyst compared the market cap growth of Bitcoin, large-cap altcoins (the top 20 largest altcoins), and mid-to-small-cap altcoins by calculating the difference between their 365-day and the 30-day moving average (MAs). Typically, the difference between the 365-day moving average and the 30-day moving average can be considered an indicator of growth momentum. Rapid market cap growth is witnessed when the short-term moving average (30-day MA) rises faster than the long-term moving average (365-day MA), while a lagging 30-day moving average indicates slow growth momentum. In their post on X, Darkfost noted that the altcoin market is having its weakest performance in this cycle relative to the premier cryptocurrency. As shown in the highlighted chart, the Bitcoin market capitalization currently outpaces the top 20 largest altcoins and the other mid-to-small-cap assets. According to the crypto analyst, this similar performance pattern was seen earlier in the year before the general market experienced a severe downturn. Nevertheless, Darkfost noted that the strongest action, which resembled a “true” altseason, happened back in the first quarter of 2024. Altcoin Market Capitalization  As of this writing, the altcoin market is valued at over $1.55 trillion, reflecting an over 12% increase in the past seven days. Related Reading: Here’s Why The $4,000 Level Is Important For Ethereum From An Options Point Of View Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView

#ethereum #eth #altcoin #altcoins #altcoin season #altseason #ethusdt #alts

On-chain analytics firm CryptoQuant has highlighted six indicators that could point to growing momentum in the altcoin market. These Altcoin Metrics Are Observing Positive Developments In a new thread on X, CryptoQuant has discussed about how the altcoins have been heating up since Bitcoin’s breakout to the new all-time high (ATH) in mid-July. Related Reading: PENGU Down 11%, But These TA Signals Could Point To Rebound At the forefront of this alt push has been Ethereum, the cryptocurrency second only to Bitcoin in terms of market cap. Since BTC’s high, ETH has broken out above the $3,000 level and has neared $4,000. The coin is still a distance away from its ATH of $4,800, but it’s getting closer. The hype around the cryptocurrency has been accompanied by major buys from Sharplink, the Strategy equivalent of ETH. the firm currently owns around 438,190 tokens of the asset. Since the altcoin rally has begun, BTC has only shown sideways action. A natural consequence of this has been that the number one digital asset has lost market dominance. As is usually the case, the bullish momentum in the market has brought in speculative interest from the investors. From the below chart, it’s apparent that the futures volume associated with Ethereum and the altcoins has seen a strong surge. The combined futures trading volume of the altcoin sector has recently hit the $223.6 billion mark, which is the highest level in five months. While attention has poured into the alts, it has shifted away from BTC. “Altcoins and ETH now make up 83% of total futures volume, with Bitcoin accounting for just 17%,” notes the analytics firm. Earlier in the year, BTC was sitting at a peak futures volume dominance of more than 50%. Most of the 424 futures pairs on cryptocurrency exchange Binance have seen a positive percentage change since BTC’s ATH. The final metric shared by CryptoQuant is the Bitcoin Retail Investor Demand. It measures, as its name suggests, the amount of demand for the asset that exists among the retail cohort. Related Reading: $141,000 Could Be Next Key Bitcoin Resistance If Price Breaks Higher, Report Says Since these holders tend to have relatively small holdings, the indicator uses the transaction volume associated with transfers valued at less than $10,000 as a proxy for the activity among them. As displayed in the above graph, the 30-day change of the Bitcoin Retail Investor Demand has turned positive recently, which suggests small hands are showing interest in the market. The analytics firm describes the trend as a “signal we’ve seen before major rallies on both Bitcoin and Altcoins.” ETH Price At the time of writing, Ethereum is floating around $3,770, up around 2% over the last 24 hours. Featured image from Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com