Altcoin season was widely anticipated for 2025, but the reality has unfolded very differently. Instead of a broad-based rally, most altcoins suffered deep and prolonged drawdowns, erasing years of gains and forcing many investors out of the market. As 2026 approaches, sentiment around altcoins remains fragile. A growing number of analysts now warn that the worst may not be over, arguing that structural weakness, declining liquidity, and fading retail participation could drive another leg lower across the sector. Related Reading: Ethereum Liquidity Rebuilds On Binance: December Inflows Signal Strategic Repositioning Market data reinforces this cautious outlook. The Crypto Total Market Cap, excluding the top 10 assets—commonly referred to as the OTHERS index—has collapsed by more than 50% since December 2024. Market capitalization has fallen from roughly $451 billion to around $182 billion in just twelve months, highlighting the scale of capital destruction across mid- and small-cap tokens. This sharp contraction reflects aggressive de-risking, weak demand, and sustained selling pressure across the altcoin market. However, not all analysts are convinced the altcoin cycle is finished. A smaller group points to historical precedents, arguing that periods of extreme underperformance and investor capitulation have often preceded powerful altcoin recoveries. From this perspective, 2026 could mark the delayed arrival of an altcoin season—if liquidity conditions improve and capital rotation resumes. Altcoin Trading Activity Remains Elevated Despite Price Weakness A recent CryptoQuant report challenges the widely held belief that this cycle has produced “no altcoin season.” According to the data, centralized exchange trading volume for altcoins—excluding the top five assets—has reached levels significantly higher than those seen in previous market cycles. In other words, altcoins are being traded more actively than ever, even as prices remain deeply depressed across much of the market. This divergence between volume and price helps explain the prevailing confusion. While many tokens have lost a substantial portion of their value, on-chain and exchange data show that activity has not disappeared. Instead, the market has undergone a structural shift. Retail participation has largely faded after months of losses, with many smaller investors capitulating and exiting positions. Their absence, however, has not resulted in lower overall trading activity. CryptoQuant’s analysis suggests that altcoin dominance has increasingly concentrated among larger players. Whales and professional participants now account for a growing share of altcoin volume, using periods of low liquidity and weak sentiment to accumulate positions or actively rotate capital. From this perspective, the current phase may not signal the absence of an altcoin cycle, but rather its transformation. If whale-driven positioning continues and broader market conditions improve, these participants are likely to push prices higher to maximize returns. Related Reading: Bitcoin Miner Distribution Re-Emerges: BTC Enters A Fragile Price Phase OTHERS Market Cap Shows Prolonged Compression The OTHERS chart, which tracks the total crypto market capitalization excluding the top 10 assets, highlights the depth and duration of the ongoing altcoin correction. After peaking near $450 billion in late 2024, the market has lost more than half of its value, stabilizing around the $200–210 billion zone. This sharp contraction confirms that the altcoin market has experienced a full reset rather than a shallow pullback. From a technical perspective, the structure reflects prolonged compression. Price is currently oscillating around the 200-week moving average (red), a level that historically acts as a long-term equilibrium zone during transitions between bearish and recovery phases. The failure to reclaim the 100-week and 50-week moving averages suggests that upside momentum remains weak and that buyers lack conviction at higher levels. Related Reading: Bitcoin Supply In Profit Sets The Stage For Bullish Cross In Q1 2026 Volume dynamics reinforce this view. While periodic spikes appear during sell-offs and relief rallies, there is no sustained expansion in volume that would signal broad-based accumulation. This implies selective positioning rather than widespread risk appetite. Importantly, the market is no longer making aggressive lower lows, indicating that forced selling may be largely exhausted. However, the absence of higher highs keeps the structure neutral-to-bearish. For a meaningful altcoin recovery, OTHERS would need to reclaim the $260–280 billion range and hold above key moving averages. Until then, the chart suggests consolidation, dominance by larger players, and a market still searching for a durable bottom rather than the start of a classic altcoin season. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
There’s been a major shift in profitability since the Bitcoin price crashed from $126,000, and altcoins have borne the brunt of it. With major altcoins down between 30% and 80% from their all-time high values, calls for an altcoin season have gone down drastically. This has been reflected in the performance of the Altcoin Season Index, falling to one of the lowest recorded levels in 2025 as the year draws to an end. Altcoin Season Index Says Losses Are The Order Of The Day The Altcoin Season Index Chart on the CoinMarketCap website, which tracks the performance of altcoins against Bitcoin, has now fallen below 20 again. This index collates the performance of the top 100 altcoins in the market, comparing their 90-day performance to that of Bitcoin, in order to pinpoint whether the market is currently experiencing an altcoin season. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Remains Stuck Inside This Range, But A Breakout Could Follow The index ranks the performance on a scale of 1-100, depending on how many altcoins out of the top 100 are outperforming Bitcoin, and uses that to score the market. At the time of writing, the Altcoin Season Index was sitting at a score of 17, which means only 17 of the top 100 altcoins have seen a better performance than Bitcoin in the last 90 days. With the index’s score sitting this low, it suggests that altcoins are currently in a bear market. Additionally, Ethereum, which is often the altcoin leader when it comes to an alt season, is still underperforming compared to Bitcoin. The second-largest cryptocurrency has recorded a 28.30% decrease in the last 90 days, while Bitcoin is down 21.10% in comparison. How To Know If Altcoins Are In A Bull Run? To know if the altcoin market is experiencing an altcoin season, the index would have to read at a score of 75 or higher. This is when the majority of altcoins are outperforming Bitcoin in a 3-month period, and their combined market cap surpasses that of the leading cryptocurrency. Related Reading: Pundit Shares Why XRP Will Become Expensive And A $1,000 Price Tag Is Possible Scores lower than 75 suggest that the market is yet to enter a full-blown altcoin season, and the lower it goes, the higher the chances that altcoins are experiencing a bear market. However, the higher the Altcoin Season Index score is, nearing 100, the more likely it is that the altcoin market may be experiencing a top. Altcoin seasons are often characterized by rapid increases in price, with 100% rallies on a daily basis being the norm. The last major altcoin season was back in 2021, and while the expectation was that another altcoin season would begin in 2025, this has not been the case. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin’s recent movement has left many traders waiting for signs of an altcoin season, and a post shared by crypto analyst Crypto Nova offers a different way to understand when this will actually begin. The explanation, supported by charts from 2017 and 2021, shows that altcoins have historically performed their best while Bitcoin’s price action was already climbing, not after it had reached its peak. The charts she shared show how those earlier cycles unfolded and why the timing of Bitcoin’s surge has been the important factor each time. Altseasons Form During Bitcoin’s Strongest Surges This outlook goes against the projection of many crypto analysts, who have been waiting for a downturn in the Bitcoin dominance characterized by outflows from Bitcoin and into the altcoin market. Related Reading: Altcoins Struggle, But Technical Analysis Says A Major Opportunity Is Forming However, careful technical analysis shows that the largest and most explosive altcoin seasons did not occur after Bitcoin had completed its run. Instead, they developed while Bitcoin was already pushing to new price highs. The 2017 cycle illustrated this the most clearly. Bitcoin dominance began to decline during an altcoin season, even as BTC surged from around $1,000 to nearly $20,000. The chart shows a waterfall-like collapse in dominance from 95% in early 2017 to below 40% in early 2018, happening at the exact moment when Bitcoin was rising massively. Altcoins were already outperforming the leading cryptocurrency long before Bitcoin topped just below $20,000. A similar pattern played out in 2021. Bitcoin dominance peaked in January of that year and started falling while the Bitcoin price climbed from roughly $30,000 to its mid-cycle high above $60,000. Although altcoins took a little longer to increase compared to 2017, the bulk of their performance still arrived during Bitcoin’s rapid upward trajectory, not after it had stalled or reversed. The charts below highlight this synchronicity clearly: dominance moves lower while Bitcoin candles continue to stretch higher. Bitcoin Needs A Confirmed Bottom And A New Surge Nova noted that traders are making a mistake by focusing solely on Bitcoin dominance without considering Bitcoin’s broader market structure. It is important to note that dominance does not drop simply because Bitcoin moves sideways or reaches a peak. Related Reading: Altcoin Season: Here’s What Happens If The Bitcoin Price Sees A Parabolic Move To $200,000 Instead, dominance mostly declines when Bitcoin is in a strong, sustained uptrend, but the altcoin niche is witnessing more inflows compared to the leading cryptocurrency. This means an altcoin season is unlikely to start until Bitcoin prints a confirmed bottom and its rally convinces inflows into altcoins. As noted by the analyst, Bitcoin is currently in a downtrend, and without a shift in trend, dominance metrics alone cannot trigger altcoin momentum. This viewpoint challenges the frequent claims circulating online that altseason is here or just about to begin. As it stands, the crypto industry is still logged into a Bitcoin season, with the CMC altcoin season index sitting at 19 and the CMC Bitcoin dominance at 58.7%. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
The Bitcoin dominance has remained quite high over the last year, holding firmly above 50% and preventing altcoins from making any meaningful recovery. Even now, the dominance has climbed close to 60%, showing that Bitcoin is still determining the direction of the entire market. However, there has been a development that could change the trajectory of the Bitcoin dominance and put altcoins in the spotlight once again, highlighted by crypto analyst Unichartz. Bitcoin Dominance Breaks Below 50 EMA Since 2023, the Bitcoin dominance has remained firmly above the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), showing immense strength around this level. Even through market crashes, the digital asset has maintained its dominance, and with each passing year, the trendline has continued to rise. As long as the Bitcoin dominance stayed above the 50 EMA, it showed it would continue to dominate, but this is changing now. Related Reading: Shiba Inu Derivatives Market Is Taking Off Again, But What Does This Mean For Price? According to the post by Unichartz, it shows that the Bitcoin dominance has now crashed below the 50-Day EMA for the first time in almost one year. This comes as the dominance lost its footing above 60% and has failed to reclaim its position above it. Naturally, there has been an attempt to reclaim the 50-Day EMA once again. However, this attempt failed after the brief surge above 63% in early October was thwarted by the market-wide crash on October 10. Since then, the dominance has remained below the 50 EMA and has now spent a full consecutive month below this critical level. What This Means For The Crypto Market Historically, the altcoin season has only begun when the Bitcoin dominance has seen a decline. This trend has held strong through the years, and even through the current cycle, has prevented the rise of another altcoin season. Related Reading: Dogecoin Does Not Have Potential For A Strong Move Upward, Analyst Says However, with the crash below the 50 EMA, the analyst predicts that the Bitcoin dominance is about to see a massive crash. It shows that the dominance will fall below 40% if it fails to reclaim the 50 EMA soon. Such a crash would give room for altcoins to actually run as the focus moves away from Bitcoin. With the Altcoin Season Index sitting at a low 31 at the time of this writing, it shows that a crash in the Bitcoin dominance is sorely needed for altcoins to rise again. However, the analyst explains that if the dominance does reclaim the 50 EMA, then Bitcoin’s lead may be extended for longer before attention rotates back to altcoin. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
The crypto market is beginning to display early indications that a new altcoin season could be approaching, as analysts reference historical patterns and technical signals hinting at a rebound after a lengthy slump. Although altcoins have recently lagged behind Bitcoin, bullish factors from data and macroeconomic parallels are building optimism that a change in liquidity conditions might trigger a strong market-wide rally for altcoins. Altcoin Dominance Hits Record Oversold Levels According to crypto analyst Javon Marks, altcoin dominance has entered oversold conditions for the first time in history. Marks highlighted in his post that the indicator, which measures the market share of all altcoins, is now the most oversold it’s ever been. The OTHERS.D chart shows the market dominance percentage of all cryptocurrencies except the top 10 by market capitalization. It is a measure of the combined market share of smaller altcoins and can be used to identify broader altcoin rallies. His long-term chart of the OTEHRS.D movement spans over a decade, with each major low followed by an extended period of recovery and massive market gains. The chart reveals that dominance has declined sharply since its 2021 peak of around 20%. At the time of writing, the OTHERS.D dominance is around 7%. A wave trend indicator at the bottom of the chart is in deep negative territory around negative 50%, which is its lowest in history. Marks noted that such oversold conditions often precede strong reversals. It means that selling pressure has been exhausted and that a major rebound could soon begin. If this pattern repeats, altcoins may be entering one of their most attractive accumulation phases in years. Crypto Total Market Cap Excluding Top 10 Dominance. Source: Javon Marks on X Fed’s Monetary Shifts And Their Impact On Crypto Liquidity Another technical perspective came from analyst Ted Pillows, who compared current market conditions to the 2019-2020 cycle when the Federal Reserve ended quantitative tightening (QT) and later resumed quantitative easing (QE). His chart of the crypto total market cap excluding Bitcoin shows a 42% decline following the end of QT in late 2019, followed by an explosive recovery after the Fed initiated QE in March 2020. Pillows explained that while ending QT may ease financial pressure, it does not directly inject liquidity into the economy, something altcoins need to rally. In contrast, QE or Treasury General Account (TGA) releases flood the market with liquidity and allow inflows into cryptocurrencies. He noted that ending QT isn’t enough for alts to rally. It is either the Fed starts another QE or the Treasury releases TGA liquidity into the economy. The most feasible option right now is the second one. Crypto Total Market Cap Excluding BTC. Source: Ted Pillows On X With the US government currently in a shutdown, he suggested that a TGA-driven liquidity release may occur once the fiscal impasse is resolved, and this will serve as the next major driving force for the altcoin market. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
As the Bitcoin price continues to navigate market headwinds and consolidate above $108,000, analysts forecast that its next explosive move could trigger a full-scale altcoin season. Experts are now targeting a potential rise toward $200,000, identifying this new all-time high level as Bitcoin’s potential cycle top while suggesting that the cryptocurrency has yet to establish a definitive bottom. Bitcoin Price Explosion To Ignite Biggest Altcoin Season Ever According to digital asset analyst CrediBULL Crypto, Bitcoin’s next parabolic surge could catalyze the biggest altcoin season the market has ever seen. The analyst shared an Elliott Wave chart analysis, showing that BTC is in the early stages of its final fifth wave, a phase that has historically delivered some of the most explosive price rallies in bull markets. Related Reading: Is The Bitcoin Supercycle Still In Play? Wave 3 Tells A Story Of A Surge Looking at the chart, the first subwave of Wave 5 has already produced a 37% gain, suggesting that the upcoming third and fifth subwaves could be significantly larger, potentially driving Bitcoin well above $150,000 and even toward the $200,000 mark. CrediBULL Crypto argued that such a bullish move will not be grounded in logic or fundamentals but in market psychology, specifically speculation, greed, and euphoria. He revealed that this emotional environment often leads to extreme volatility, which fuels liquidity rotation into alternative cryptocurrencies. Historically, when investors begin redirecting capital away from Bitcoin into altcoins after a BTC top, it typically sparks a full-blown altcoin season. Many smaller-cap assets experience rapid, exponential gains during this time, especially as the Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) declines temporarily. CrediBULL Crypto emphasizes that this phase of irrational exuberance is a natural part of the market cycle. When the Bitcoin mania peaks, the resulting FOMO often drives investors to seek higher and faster yields in other assets. The analyst further added that as long as BTC continues to climb, altcoins are likely to follow suit. Analyst Recommends Locking In Ahead Of The Rally In a prior analysis on X social media, CrediBULL Crypto reaffirmed his belief that the current market cycle top has not yet been reached. Despite recent volatility and market crash fueled by the devastating liquidation event on October 10, the analyst maintains that Bitcoin remains structurally bullish on High-Timeframes (HTFs). Related Reading: Expert Says ‘The Time Has Come’, What Could Drive The Next Explosive Altcoin Season He noted that the recent market pullbacks could offer opportunities for traders affected by the liquidation cascade to rebuild positions ahead of the next explosive leg. He stated that even a small allocation, about 10% of their previous holdings, could yield substantial returns if the projected parabolic move unfolds. CrediBULL Crypto has highlighted a critical invalidation level near $74,000, suggesting that as long as the Bitcoin price holds above this zone, its long-term uptrend remains intact. He doubled down on his bullish projection, insisting that the next major rally could propel BTC significantly above $150,000. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com
For the first time in 2025, the United States Federal Reserve is preparing to cut interest rates while the S&P 500 is trading at all-time highs, and according to The Kobeissi Letter, the time has come for an important shift in markets that could usher in the next crypto market bull run. As it stands, record stock valuations, resilient GDP growth, sticky inflation, and cracks are forming in the labor market, leaving the stage open for volatility in traditional markets that could spill over into the next explosive altcoin season. Fed Rate Cuts At Record Valuations Expectations are also high that the Fed will keep lowering rates at the next interest rate decision on Wednesday, September 17, 2025 and through the end of this year. According to a lengthy thread that was posted on the social media platform X, this could have long-term bullish effects on the crypto industry. Related Reading: Altcoin Market Completes Highest Monthly Close Ever: What This Means For Alt Season The Federal Reserve usually cuts rates in the face of economic weakness and depressed equity markets, but this time is different. As noted by The Kobeissi Letter, valuation metrics tracked by Bloomberg show US stocks are more expensive than ever, having surpassed even the 1929 pre-Depression peak and the dot-com bubble. Furthermore, the S&P 500’s price-to-book ratio hit 5.3x in late August, its record level. Despite these extremes, policymakers are expected to cut by at least 25 basis points this week based on weakness in the labor market. History shows that when rate cuts occurred with stocks within 2% of all-time highs, as shown in 2019 and 2024, the S&P 500 delivered strong gains over the following year. This unusual mix could once again amplify capital flows into high-growth assets, including cryptocurrencies, in the last quarter of 2025. A Perfect Time For Altcoins Cutting rates into hot inflation adds liquidity fuel just as investors chase risk assets. That backdrop has always caused powerful surges for Gold, Bitcoin, and other major cryptocurrencies, as the return of these assets thrives when fiat returns come under question. Related Reading: Altcoin Season Index Sets New 2025 High, What This Means For The Crypto Market As The Kobeissi Letter framed it, the time has come. The Fed’s decision to cut rates with stocks at record highs, amid a 3% GDP growth and hot inflation 110 bps above the Fed’s long-term target, could be the driver of the next altcoin season. Gold and Bitcoin have already been priced in this new era of liquidity, as both are now up by 450% and 105%, respectively, since 2023. The setup is even better for altcoins like Ethereum, XRP, Chainlink, and most especially cryptocurrencies involved in the growing AI niche. There could be more immediate-term volatility, but long-term asset owners will benefit the most from the rate cut. However, if the Federal Reserve opts for a slower pace of cuts than markets are currently pricing in, the disappointment could ripple through both equities and cryptocurrencies and cause short-term declines this week. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
In a market update on August 19 titled “Key Altcoins To Watch Right Now,” crypto analyst Cryptoinsightuk argues that conditions are improving for a fresh leg higher in altcoins as Bitcoin dominance shows signs of easing. “The last few days and in the newsletter I’ve discussed my long-term thesis around Bitcoin dominance dropping [and] that altcoins are going to take the next leg up,” he said, adding that, at current levels across majors, “risk–reward for long positions is very good here.” He anchors the view in a recurring intraday structure he says is visible across Bitcoin and multiple large caps: a range forms, the lows are swept, the highs are swept, price returns to the range lows, and momentum begins to base. On Bitcoin specifically, he notes that “RSI on [the] 4-hourly looks like it could turn up,” while acknowledging that short-term direction could still be shaped by the US equity open and broader macro headlines. Top Altcoins To Watch In Crypto Right Now Avalanche (AVAX) tops his tactical list. He outlined a limit-bid plan at $22.75, citing a local liquidity pocket down to roughly $22.70, while emphasizing that the more material liquidity sits overhead: “There’s more dense liquidity above us all the way up to $27… on the daily… up to about $28.4, even towards $30 for AVAX.” He framed the trade as asymmetrical because “if we don’t get [the fill] then that’s fine,” whereas a push into the upper liquidity bands could accelerate. Dogecoin (DOGE) is his highest-conviction swing. He disclosed two concurrent longs—one in a DOGE perpetual and one versus USDT—with an average entry around $0.225–$0.227 and modest leverage on the larger position. The technical map, he argued, has already progressed through the stop-sweep and retest phase: “We had this range… we swept the lows and… back-tested this… little cluster here, bounced off it as support so far.” Related Reading: Crypto Braces For Impact As JPow’s Jackson Hole Speech Looms In the near term, the crypto analyst is watching the reclaimed range floor as resistance that must flip; beyond that, he sees “much more dense” resting liquidity above current price “all the way up to about 30 cent,” with a broader discussion zone in the mid-$0.40s: “We’ve got red liquidity all the way up to 47 cent, and when we’re up to that level, I’ll start to consider maybe deleveraging.” His longer-term target framework references Fibonacci extensions: “My take profits [are] at the 1.618 fib… all the way at like $1.19,” while stressing he would adjust sizing “depending on what the market looks like at some of these different levels.” Cryptoinsightuk also flagged what he called a sentiment-sensitive Fartcoin long carried with higher leverage. The stake is intentionally small given volatility—“we’re 10x on Fartcoin, so we could get liquidated if we come down to like 86 cent… 81 cent I think is a liquidation”—and intended only for a move back to range highs. On XRP, the crypto analyst describes a similar range-construction to DOGE and AVAX with an initial target at the top of the band. “Primary target would be like this top of the range… structure is similar,” he said, noting that his focus there remains on reactions as prior highs and visible liquidity are approached. Cardano also made the list with visible liquidity around prior swing highs “up here at this $1–$1.10,” implying a first checkpoint near the $1.10 area, with continuation risk skewed to the upside “once you get to that swing high.” Related Reading: Biggest Crypto Bull Run In History Is About To Ignite: Top Analyst He devoted more structural nuance to Flare (FLR), calling out a potentially completed or developing corrective sequence that could seed a stronger impulse. “This could be the start of an impulsive move. This could be one, two, three, four, five. This could be like an ABC correction or W-X-Y-Z… triangle… in wave twos… which could then obviously lead to a wave three which would be quite aggressive,” he said, framing FLR as an “interesting structure” rather than a call for immediate participation. Ethereum, he argued, is trying to repair short-term trend signals even as a nearby liquidity pocket lurks below. “ETH is trying to break this short-term downtrend… challenging this key cluster… You can see… bullish divergences on the hourly time frame,” he said, citing a sequence of lower lows in price against higher lows on RSI. That constructive micro-setup underpins his broader positioning stance: if Bitcoin rotates to the top of its range and retests all-time highs, “you’re probably going to see the most aggressive part of the cycle move when you enter price discovery.” He rounded out the watchlist with Mantle (MNT), noting he holds a spot allocation and would consider taking profits near $2 if a clean range break materializes. “MNT is at the top of a range… if we do get that range break, it could be quite an aggressive move to the upside. I will be taking profits maybe around the $2 mark,” he said. At press time, ETH traded at $4,175. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Analysts are increasingly calling for the start of altseason as Ethereum posts massive gains and a wave of altcoins surges across the market. Over the past days, bullish momentum has pushed many digital assets higher, with price structures showing clear signs of strength. For many traders, this is the moment they’ve been waiting for—the long-anticipated shift where altcoins outperform Bitcoin and deliver outsized returns. Related Reading: Bitcoin–S&P 500 Correlation Hits 80%, Tying Crypto To Stocks Ethereum’s recent breakout above key resistance levels has added fuel to the narrative, with large-cap and mid-cap altcoins following in its footsteps. The market’s renewed optimism has sparked speculation that the altseason cycle, where capital rotates from Bitcoin into the broader altcoin market, may already be underway. However, not all experts are convinced. Some point to Bitcoin’s continued dominance and the fact that most altcoins remain well below their all-time highs as reasons for caution. Historical altseasons have typically seen aggressive outperformance across the board, something the market has yet to fully confirm. Altseason Still Waiting For Its True Breakout According to top analyst Darkfost, the much-anticipated altseason hasn’t truly begun. By examining a comparative chart of Bitcoin, large caps (top 20), and mid/small caps, Darkfost notes that the current cycle is showing the weakest altcoin performance so far. While altcoins have made notable moves in recent weeks, their gains still pale in comparison to Bitcoin’s dominant run. The last instance that resembled a genuine altseason occurred in early 2024, when altcoins—particularly mid- and small-cap projects—outpaced Bitcoin over a short but intense period. That surge marked a clear capital rotation away from BTC into the broader market, delivering outsized returns for altcoin holders. However, the present market conditions suggest that kind of broad-based outperformance has yet to materialize. Even though Ethereum has broken above multi-year highs and several altcoins are posting impressive gains, the rally appears selective rather than widespread. Large caps are recovering steadily, but mid- and small-cap coins—often the hallmark of an explosive altseason—are still lagging. This disparity suggests that institutional and retail capital remains concentrated in more established assets. For a confirmed altseason, analysts will be watching for a sustained breakout in mid- and small-cap performance relative to BTC. Until that shift occurs, the current market may be better described as a strong altcoin rally within Bitcoin’s dominant phase rather than the start of a full-scale altseason. Related Reading: Ethereum Exchange Balances Decline To 18.8M ETH: Smart Money Drains Supply Altcoin Market Nears Key Resistance The Total Crypto Market Cap excluding Bitcoin (TOTAL2) is showing strong bullish momentum, currently sitting at $1.57 trillion after a sharp 13.21% weekly surge. This rally brings the market close to retesting its 2025 highs around the $1.6 trillion level, a critical resistance zone that has capped altcoin gains in previous attempts. The chart reveals that the market has been in a sustained uptrend since early 2024, with price action consistently holding above the 50-week moving average (blue line) and maintaining bullish structure. Both the 100-week (green) and 200-week (red) moving averages are trending higher, reinforcing long-term support and signaling healthy market conditions. Related Reading: Bitcoin Futures Bias Turns Neutral As OI Net Position Hits Zero – Details If the breakout occurs, TOTAL2 could target the previous all-time high zone near $1.75–$1.8 trillion, marking a potential acceleration in capital rotation from Bitcoin into altcoins. Conversely, failure to clear this resistance could lead to a short-term pullback toward $1.4 trillion support, which aligns with the 50-week MA. The coming weeks will be crucial for determining whether altseason truly ignites. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
A closely watched technical analyst says the outlook for altcoins will remain precarious until Bitcoin breaks through a well-defined ceiling between $120,000 and $123,000, arguing that the weekly chart still commands caution while momentum lags. Why Altcoins Are Still In The Danger Zone Kevin (@Kev_Capital_TA) framed the current setup bluntly: “This weekly BTC chart remains the most important chart out there for us to examine. While below the 120–123K zone and the weekly downtrending resistance on the weekly RSI I have to remain cautious.” He added that he would be “the most bullish person on the timeline” once those levels are cleared, but “until then we treat it for what it is and that is major resistance.” Kevin’s read ties the altcoin path directly to Bitcoin’s ability to punch higher. In a follow-up post, he warned that sentiment had flipped at precisely the wrong places: “Most of the #Crypto timeline got max bullish at 4 year historical resistance and was max bearish at major support back in April and even June.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Correlation To Altcoins Is Collapsing: A Warning Sign? The implication, he suggested, is to avoid chasing optimism under resistance and to “air on the side of caution while #BTC and Total 2/#ETH remain under these major levels.” By referencing Total2—the market capitalization of crypto excluding Bitcoin—and Ethereum, Kevin effectively argued that the broader risk-on impulse for altcoins is unlikely to sustain without a decisive Bitcoin breakout. Macro conditions are a swing factor in his framework, but not yet a catalyst. “The July FOMC was always going to be lack luster with not much stake,” he wrote, noting that two more rounds of data arrive before the September meeting and that “projections are roughly 50/50.” He pointed traders to Core PCE as the next waypoint, while reiterating that he’ll “be the most bullish” only if price and momentum confirm above the highlighted band. Until then, he plans to “manage risk properly and sit back and watch the show unfold.” Related Reading: Ethereum Open Interest Explodes To $28 Billion—Altcoin Rotation Begins: QCP Market structure and volatility may force the timeline. “#BTC getting ready to make a move soon after volatility has dropped off a cliff over the last week,” Kevin observed, underscoring that compressed ranges typically precede directional expansion. In his view, that expansion must come with a break of both price resistance and the “downtrending resistance on the weekly RSI” to unlock the stronger bullish case. Without that confluence, he sees the set-up as a classic trap for altcoins, which historically underperform when Bitcoin is capped and dominance grinds higher within ranges. Kevin’s stance, delivered across posts on July 30–31, amounts to conditional optimism: the structural bull case for the asset class remains intact only if Bitcoin proves it by clearing the $120,000–$123,000 zone and reversing its weekly momentum profile. “Just be careful who you follow folks,” he cautioned. “There is some good ones but a lot of bad ones.” For now, he remains explicitly cautious on altcoins while Bitcoin and the major breadth gauges sit beneath those levels, with the next decisive tests likely to be driven by the data cadence into September and a volatility breakout that finally chooses a side. At press time, the total altcoin market cap (TOTAL2) stood at $1.48 trillion. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Crypto markets awoke on Wednesday to the first meaningful bout of selling in more than a month, and Kev Capital TA did not sound surprised. In a late-night livestream, the analyst told viewers that Bitcoin’s failure to clear the “brick-wall” band between $120,000 and $123,000 had made an altcoin shake-out “the most obvious pullback spot ever,” capping four straight weeks of euphoric gains across Ethereum, Solana, Dogecoin, XRP and the rest of the sector. Crypto Bulls Crushed: Why Altcoins Ran Out Of Gas “Daily RSIs were at ninety on everything, including ETH, while Bitcoin was pinned under one-twenty,” he said. “That is a textbook sell wall. You don’t blast through that after running straight up for a month.” His chart of Total-2—the market-cap index that strips out Bitcoin—showed the gauge banging into the exact horizontal ceiling that had turned back altcoins in May, August and November 2021, again in December 2024, and once more in January this year. Each rebuff, he reminded the audience, had sparked corrections of 30-to-60 percent in the majors and far larger drawdowns in the speculative tail. Kev’s core message was that nothing in the current tape resembles a lasting top for the cycle. The move, he argued, is a pressure-release that clears excess leverage and restores “risk-free long exposure” for disciplined traders who skimmed profits on the way up. The fulcrum remains Bitcoin. Until the largest asset can establish weekly closes above the 1.0886 Fibonacci extension at $119,964, altcoins will “run out of gas.” He located initial Bitcoin support at $116,400, with deeper cushions at the $112–113k band and, in a worst-case flush, the $106.8k shelf. A break below the first of those levels “isn’t necessary” in his view, but he warned new entrants against treating a ten-percent dip in their favorite microcap as a buying opportunity: “If Total-2 drops another thirty percent, your altcoin is going down a lot more than ten.” Why, then, does he remain upbeat? Kev cited a confluence of on-chain and macro tailwinds that, in his back-testing, have never failed to resolve higher. Bitcoin’s weekly Hash Ribbons flashed a buy signal nine weeks ago and has advanced only eight percent since—far below the historical mean of thirty-eight to one-hundred-one percent that materialises two to nine weeks after the trigger. A second, still-pending buy signal is “coming within the next week or two,” stacking probabilistic odds in favour of a leg higher. Related Reading: Crypto Market’s Fate Hangs On The Last Days Of July At the same time, he noted, the Federal Reserve’s quantitative-tightening program is “barely selling anything on the balance sheet,” while Truth Inflation’s real-time gauge pins headline CPI at 2.0–2.1 percent. A spate of tariff de-escalations—including a tentative, across-the-board fifteen-percent cut in EU-US duties announced moments before he went live—suggests that inflation risks are skewing lower rather than higher. “As long as the macro stays quiet—low inflation, steady labour market, dovish policy projections—valuations can march north,” he argued, adding that upcoming earnings from Google, Tesla and the rest of Big Tech will feed directly into crypto multiples because “the guidance is correlated whether you like it or not.” Seasonality is the wild card. August and September are notoriously fickle for risk assets, a period he likened to “the biggest vacation month of the year and then back-to-school.” Yet he stressed that cyclicality alone cannot trump a supportive macro backdrop. Instead, he expects a period of choppy consolidation—anchored by Bitcoin’s tussle with $120k and the golden-pocket bounce in Bitcoin Dominance—before the market’s next sustained advance. “We are like the running back; the offensive line has opened the hole, but we haven’t burst through it yet,” he said. “If macro stays resilient, this is the year it finally happens.” His forward timeline therefore hinges on two visible catalysts: A decisive Bitcoin breakout above $123,000. When that prints on a multi-day close, he believes the four-year Total-2 ceiling will snap, unleashing capital rotation back into ETH and the broader alt market. “Everything leads back to Bitcoin,” he said. “Crack that wall and the catch-up trade reignites.” Related Reading: House Passes Major Bills During ‘Crypto Week,’ But Significant Changes May Take Time Second is the continuation of the benign macro mix through Q3. Should inflation hold near two percent and the Fed confirm an end-to-QT schedule in its September meeting, Kev projects the next Hash-Ribbons signal will “play out as violently bullish as the model has ever shown,” delivering what he calls the “last six-month window” of the cycle. Asked in chat “when this pullback will be over,” the analyst refused to pin a date on it. “I’m not looking at the clock,” he replied. “Time doesn’t matter; the levels do.” Still, his body language betrayed optimism: he plans no further sales, sees no need to add until volatility subsides, and—despite acknowledging August’s chop potential—spoke repeatedly about “riding what I have” into the final quarter of 2025. In other words, the cool-down now underway is less a bear-market omen than the mandatory breather before a potential breakout. Traders who missed the July run are advised to watch Bitcoin’s $116k and $112k buffers for signs of an exhaustion wick, monitor Bitcoin Dominance for a failure rally below sixty percent, and keep an eye on the next CPI print. If those dominoes fall in line, Kev Capital is confident the real fireworks—an altcoin surge that carries Total-2 into price discovery for the first time since 2021—will begin “sooner than most people think, and definitely while everyone’s still on summer holiday.” At press time, TOTAL2 stood at $1.44 trillion. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Ethereum’s derivatives market has erupted in the past seven days, and the trading desk at Singapore-based QCP Capital argues it is the clearest evidence yet that a long-anticipated altcoin season is finally under way. In a note to clients on Monday, the firm says total perpetual open interest (OI) in ether futures has vaulted from “under $18 billion to more than $28 billion in just a week,” a jump large enough to drag the composite “altcoin-season index” above the critical 50-point threshold for the first time since December. Altcoin Season Ignites As Ethereum Outpaces BTC While it’s no surprise that retail may be chasing the momentum, it’s becoming increasingly clear that institutions are leading the charge this cycle, driven by a shift in narratives and structural developments,” QCP writes, pointing to the unusually large sizing of recent block trades on CME and Binance. Related Reading: Ethereum Set To Hit $10,000, Elliott Wave Analysis Predicts QCP singles out last Friday’s signing of the GENIUS Act as the pivotal spark behind the rotation. The law creates a comprehensive federal regime for dollar-backed stablecoins, forcing issuers to hold 100 percent short-term Treasury or cash reserves and submit to Bank Secrecy Act oversight. The White House cast the statute as “historic legislation that will pave the way for the United States to lead the global digital-currency revolution.” With regulatory clarity finally in hand, corporate treasuries “are racing to build their stockpile,” QCP says, treating ether and other smart-contract platforms—Solana, XRP Ledger and Cardano among them—as the infrastructure layer that will benefit most from an explosion in stablecoin issuance. The desk compares the emerging strategy to the hard-money playbook adopted by publicly listed bitcoin bellwethers such as MicroStrategy and Japan’s Metaplanet. The note argues that the policy tailwind is already reshaping capital flows. Spot ether ETFs attracted $602 million on July 17, out-pulling bitcoin ETFs’ $522 million and marking the first daily flow victory for ETH in the eighteen-month history of US crypto ETPs. BlackRock’s iShares Ethereum Trust recorded the single largest subscription and, according to QCP, is “broadcasting confidence” that its pending amendment to allow on-chain staking will secure SEC approval later this year. Industry analysts concur: the agency is widely expected to rule on the batch of staking amendments before year-end despite BlackRock’s late filing. Related Reading: Tom Lee Predicts $30,000 Per Ethereum As Treasury Frenzy Begins Derivatives positioning mirrors the spot-market exuberance. QCP highlights “aggressive” demand for out-of-the-money call spreads such as the ETH-26 Sep 25 $3,400/3,800 and ETH-26 Dec 25 $3,500/4,500 structures, along with a persistent bid for call-side risk reversals across all listed tenors. Implied volatility skews now favour calls by their widest margin since the April 2024 meme-coin frenzy, signalling traders’ willingness to pay up for upside exposure through the fourth quarter—precisely the window in which ETF staking approval could drop. The Ether surge has already carved four percentage points out of bitcoin’s market-share lead, driving BTC dominance down to 60 percent while lifting ETH’s share from 9.7 percent to 11.6 percent, QCP notes. If that trend holds—and the firm stresses that sustained follow-through in the options market is a key litmus test—“the next leg of altcoin season may already be in motion.” For now, QCP is monitoring three metrics: perpetual OI growth, the altcoin-season index, and relative ETF flows. A decisive break of bitcoin above $121,000 could delay rotation, the desk concedes, but the structural forces unleashed by the GENIUS Act and the prospect of yield-bearing ether ETFs give institutions a tangible reason to diversify. As QCP puts it, “we’ll be watching these signals closely—and if anything else confirms the thesis, you’ll be the first to know.” At press time, ETH traded at $3,846. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Altcoins are flashing fresh bullish signals as momentum returns to the broader crypto market. Leading the charge is Ethereum, which has surged above the $3,450 level, marking its highest price since mid-January. The breakout signals growing confidence among bulls and is sparking renewed interest across the altcoin sector. Related Reading: Bitcoin Retail Demand Rebounds – $0–$10K Transfer Volume Turns Positive Many altcoins have posted impressive gains in recent days, bouncing sharply from their April lows. The recovery is not just isolated to top names like ETH and SOL; mid- and small-cap tokens are also showing signs of strength, supported by increasing volume and improved market structure. A key technical development is adding weight to the bullish case: the altcoin market has once again pushed above a key daily moving average. This historically significant level often marks the transition from downtrends to sustained uptrends. Altcoins Reclaim 200-Day Moving Average Altcoins are showing renewed strength, and according to top analyst On-Chain Mind, the technical landscape is beginning to shift in their favor. In a recent chart shared on X, he highlighted that the altcoin market has once again broken above its 200-day moving average, a level that historically separates bearish phases from sustained uptrends. However, On-Chain Mind cautioned that this development has occurred multiple times during this market cycle, often followed by weeks of sideways chop and volatility rather than immediate upside. Still, this time may be different. With Ethereum rallying above $3,400—its highest level since mid-January—and Bitcoin consolidating above key support zones, conditions appear more favorable for a broader altcoin breakout. What makes this moment particularly important is the price structure across many altcoins, which has turned decisively bullish after months—and in some cases, years—of deep consolidation. Tokens across sectors such as DeFi, Layer 1s, and infrastructure are forming higher lows and showing clean breakouts on higher timeframes, indicating growing demand and fresh capital rotation. Related Reading: SharpLink Gaming Buys Another $19.5M In Ethereum: Institutional Accumulation Continues Altcoin Market Cap Breaks Out Past $1.4 Trillion The Total Crypto Market Cap excluding Bitcoin (TOTAL2) has rallied to $1.42 trillion, posting a +9.68% weekly gain and reaching its highest level since March 2025. This powerful move confirms a breakout above the 50-week, 100-week, and 200-week moving averages, signaling broad-based strength across the altcoin market. One key technical milestone is the bullish crossover of the 50-week SMA above the 100-week SMA. Meanwhile, the 200-week SMA—now positioned near $880 billion—has acted as strong support during previous corrections and continues to provide a solid foundation for the current uptrend. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bears Strike Back After ATH: Long/Short Ratio Flips Negative Ethereum’s breakout above $3,450 has been a key driver, supported by renewed retail activity and bullish sentiment. If TOTAL2 holds above $1.4 trillion, the next resistance target is the $1.6 trillion level, last tested earlier this year. A sustained move toward that range could confirm the beginning of a long-awaited altseason. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
Renowned crypto analyst Josh Olszewicz has declared what many crypto traders have long been waiting for: Altcoin Season has officially begun. In a market breakdown released on July 16, Olszewicz dismissed any lingering doubt about the current market structure, arguing that the conditions for outsized altcoin performance are firmly in place. Crypto Alert: Altcoin Season Is Here “For years, you’ve had people telling you, ‘It’s an alt season.’ The funny thing is, when alt season is actually here, you don’t need anybody to tell you—it’s obvious,” Olszewicz said, emphasizing that current price action across major alts and risk assets leaves little room for ambiguity. Related Reading: Crypto Relief: House Advances GENIUS, CLARITY, Anti-CBDC Bills After Narrow Vote According to Olszewicz, Bitcoin remains the backbone of the crypto market, consolidating near $120,000 at the yearly pivot with “plenty of room to go” on technicals. He acknowledged that BTC’s strength underpins the entire market cycle, but the focus has shifted to the explosive moves underway in altcoins. “Let’s be honest—you’re here because you want to outperform BTC by 2x to 5x. That’s the goal,” he said. Ethereum sits at the center of this rotation, breaking out decisively from $2,200 to above $3,200. “ETH has had quite the breakout. It’s above the next pivot at $3,200. I don’t need the cloud to tell me this is bullish,” Olszewicz noted, pointing to technical tailwinds and regulatory clarity surrounding staking and ETFs as additional catalysts. While ETH advocates have renewed confidence, Olszewicz cautioned against overconfidence: “Be careful drinking the Kool-Aid. ETH could go to $10K, but I think it’ll struggle at $5K. For July, $4K looks realistic—but that’s already nearly 4x from the April bottom.” The analyst also flagged Solana as a key player for those who missed the early moves in BTC and ETH. “Sol is starting to look better and better here, approaching the yearly pivot. If it breaks above $177, watch out,” he said, although he warned that the SOL/ETH chart still shows weakness. Other strong setups include Sui, Avalanche, and meme coins like Dogecoin and Pepe, which have already logged triple-digit percentage gains in recent weeks from their respective bottom. Still, Olszewicz urged traders to temper expectations for an uninterrupted melt-up. Historically, August and September have been weaker months for crypto, and he anticipates potential sharp corrections in alts. “Maybe we don’t see huge continuation in those months. We could even get negative 25% days on alts—just randomly, for whatever reason. You know that’s coming,” he said. Related Reading: Crypto Bulls Rejoice: Congresswoman Confirms Powell’s Imminent Firing Despite these caveats, the broader outlook remains decisively bullish. “It’s hard to throw a dart and miss at this point in the market. Everything looks good. If you’re in positions that aren’t working here, you need to ask yourself why,” Olszewicz added. He highlighted that even NFTs, long considered a proxy for speculative appetite, are surging again, with collections like Pudgy Penguins and Bored Apes seeing multi-week highs. As for the much-debated ETH/BTC pair, Olszewicz reminded traders that relative value matters. “This is why everyone came here—for this chart. We’re still far below the cloud, at levels last seen in 2020. The target for mean reversion is 0.038. Until ETH/BTC is above the weekly cloud, don’t get carried away with the ETH-maxi stuff,” he said, adding that the long-term bear trend could persist into 2026 despite short-term strength. Olszewicz closed with a note of caution for overleveraged traders. “This is a marathon, not a sprint. Don’t lose your shirt on 50x leverage when there’s so much market left to trade,” he warned. With total altcoin market capitalization approaching critical resistance near $1.5 trillion and sentiment flashing risk-on across the board, the message from one of crypto’s most followed analysts is clear: Altcoin Season isn’t coming—it’s already here. At press time, the total crypto market cap surged to 3.75 trillion. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
The altcoin season has remained elusive because Bitcoin has continued to dominate the market. Even now, the largest cryptocurrency by market cap is still in the lead and continues to determine the direction of the rest of the crypto market. However, there is a turn in the tide coming as more altcoins begin to play catch-up. In particular, the coins in the list of Top 100 altcoins by market cap look to be on the verge of ushering in the next altcoin season. Altcoin Season Index Fires Into The Green The Altcoin Season Index is an index that charts the performance of the Top 100 altcoins by market cap against the performance of Bitcoin to determine when the altcoin season is in full bloom. This index, which goes from 1-100, is ranked by how many top 100 altcoins are outperforming BTC over a 90-day period, and when this figure rises to the 75% mark, it often signals that the altcoin season has begun. Related Reading: Bitcoin Is Not Stopping At $123,000 — Technical Indicators Point To $140,000 Top Over the last few months, altcoins have performed quite terribly in comparison to Bitcoin, and this has led to the Altcoin Season Index dropping toward peak lows. The index hit a score of 12 back in June 2025, showing that only 12 altcoins had outperformed Bitcoin over the 90-day timeframe. During this time, the Bitcoin dominance also rose rapidly, reaching as high as 66%, and signaling that most of the attention was on BTC during this time. However, the month of July has come with good tidings for the altcoin market as the index has seen its score more than double from its June lows. According to data from CoinMarketCap, the Altcoin Season Index has now crossed a score of 30. It also shows that during this time, 32 coins have outperformed Bitcoin’s 40% increase in the last three months. Interestingly, the meme coins are once again leading the rally with the likes of PENGU and MemeCore rallying over 500% in the 90-day period. HyperLiquid’s HYPE has also performed quite well, with CoinMarketCap data showing it has risen more than 230% in 90 days. Bitcoin Dominance On The Verge Of Collapse? So far, the Bitcoin dominance has maintained its position in the 60th percentile, and this has remained so for the last 90 days. However, over the last two weeks, there has been enough decline in the dominance to spark a ray of hope among investors, and that is a 3% drop toward 63%. Related Reading: Prepare For ATHs: ‘XRP Train Has Left The Station – Analyst Going by historical performance, though, the Bitcoin dominance would need to drop much more than this for altcoin season to begin in full bloom. For example, back in 2017, the Bitcoin dominance crashed from above 95% to around 50% before the altcoin season began. Again, in 2017, the dominance fell from above 70% to around 41% before the altcoin season began. Going by this trend, the Bitcoin dominance would need to see a drop back into the 40% region, and possibly the 30% region, for the altcoin season to really take hold. But as long as the dominance remains high, then Bitcoin would continue to lead the market, and altcoins could continue to struggle. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin’s price is holding firm despite growing chatter about the end of its market dominance. However, analysts are turning their attention not to Bitcoin’s price but to its waning market share as signs that altcoins may finally be ready to take center stage in what could become a full-blown altcoin season. A post on X has highlighted a specific breakdown structure in BTC dominance, which is linked to nine factors indicating that the altcoin season has begun. Technical Factors Showing Fall Of Bitcoin Dominance According to the analyst, Bitcoin dominance reached a peak of exactly 66% on June 27, 2025, a date he calls significant for its esoteric code 434 and its occurrence on a new moon. From a technical perspective, the 66% mark coincided precisely with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, a region many traders consider a reversal zone. More importantly, several warning signals are flashing for Bitcoin traders. Related Reading: Altcoin Season Not Remotely Close, Bitcoin Dominance Still Too High: Market Expert Says The analyst’s post on the social media platform X features a few price charts to emphasize how the Bitcoin dominance might be fading, alongside nine factors. From a purely technical lens, the dominance chart looks increasingly exhausted. The first factor is the most recent highest monthly RSI in the history of the Bitcoin dominance chart. This event has created an overbought condition, and the next outlook is a possible crash of the RSI. The MACD, in fact, has already crossed into bearish territory. Furthermore, the histogram has turned negative, and the faster line has moved below the slower one, which is a classic signal of an impending downtrend. Another interesting factor is that Bitcoin dominance has now broken a key diagonal support line that held firm through much of 2024 and 2025, which is another possible structural breakdown. Fundamental Factors Show Strong Rotation Into Altcoin Pairs While the technical picture is deteriorating, the fundamentals are also stacking in favor of altcoins very quickly. The first fundamental factor is the importance of upcoming altcoin spot ETFs, which have the possibility to redirect institutional flows from Bitcoin into Ethereum, XRP, and others. Related Reading: Time To Forget Altcoin Season? Bitcoin Dominance At This Level Is This Only Hope ETFs such as the Spot XRP, Dogecoin, and Solana ETFs could rapidly increase inflows into the rest of the crypto market, similar to how Spot Bitcoin ETFs caused massive inflows into Bitcoin. The analyst also highlighted the likelihood of upcoming U.S. Federal Reserve rate cuts, which would tilt market conditions in favor of altcoins over Bitcoin. Momentum has also begun to shift in some trading pairs, particularly XRP/BTC and ETH/BTC, both of which are showing reversal signs from critical levels. The XRP/BTC chart displays repeated failed attempts to break above 0.0000215 BTC, a horizontal resistance that has now been tested five times on the daily candlestick timeframe chart. At the time of writing, the XRP/BTC pair has returned to this level yet again, and based on this pattern, any clean breakout here could confirm a decisive rotation into XRP. Likewise, Ethereum has begun to recover from long-term oversold conditions when measured against Bitcoin. The rounded bottom pattern forming on the ETH/BTC weekly chart shows a reversal from undervaluation, which in past cycles has caused substantial gains for Ethereum relative to BTC. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
With one week already gone in the month of July, Ethereum has already begun to perform better than Bitcoin. While the gap is still very close, the outperformance of Ethereum over Bitcoin for only the second time this year could signal the entrance of better things for the altcoin market. If this continues, then an altcoin season might be on the horizon, as historical data shows it always begins with ETH outperforming BTC. So, let’s take a look at how both assets have been performing. Ethereum Barrels Ahead Of Bitcoin In July So far, in the month of July, the Ethereum price has been putting in more green candles, suggesting that bulls are making their move again. This has led to a small outperformance when compared to the Bitcoin price over this time period and could be the signal that altcoin season could be starting soon. Related Reading: Shiba Inu Price Could See 180% Explosion As This Indicator Flashes Bullish Divergence Data from the CryptoRank website shows that Ethereum is already up more than 2.50% since the start of July. Meanwhile, the Bitcoin price, while having seen some price increases, is up only 1.20% at the time of this writing. Thus, Ethereum is already performing better in the month of July. If this outperformance continues, then this would be only the second time that the Ethereum price will be doing better than the Bitcoin price so far in 2025. The first was back in May, when the Ethereum price rallied by over 41% in one month. This was major compared to Bitcoin’s 11.1% move in that month. However, while the Bitcoin rally in the month of May saw its price reach new all-time highs, Ethereum continues to struggle and remains below its $4,800 all-time high levels. Nevertheless, Ethereum’s rally did translate to bullishness for the altcoin market as the likes of PEPE and BONK rallied by more than 100% in response to this. Related Reading: Bitcoin To Repeat Parabolic Phase From 2017 And 2021? Here’s The Target Given that Ethereum has led the altcoin season in the past, its outperformance of Bitcoin at this level remains a positive. If it continues, then the altcoin market could start to see further increases in price. And if Ethereum rises another 41% from here, it would put it right on the path to $4,000. However, the month of July has not historically been the best month for Ethereum, with an average return of +5.13%. The whole of the third quarter of the year is also a mixed bag for the altcoin, with an equal number of green and red closes over the last decade. Thus, it remains to be seen how the ETH price will perform this quarter and if it can successfully outpace Bitcoin. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com
The altcoin market is flashing a familiar signal that preceded its most explosive rallies in the past. After months of uncertainty and price consolidation, a new analysis suggests that altcoins have just reclaimed a critical trendline—the same one that marked the beginning of the 2017 and 2021 bull runs. With market patterns aligning and fractals emerging, analysts are now questioning whether the conditions are once again ripe for a massive altcoin breakout. Altcoins Eye Vertical Move As Bear Trap Ends The altcoin market may be on the brink of a historic breakout, according to a recent chart analysis by crypto expert Merlijn The Trader. The analyst draws parallels between the current cycle and those of 2017 and 2021. The analyst’s chart, published on X social media, shows that the total altcoin market capitalization has reclaimed a long-term ascending trendline that had preceded previous vertical expansions during major bull runs. Related Reading: Altcoin Season Not Remotely Close, Bitcoin Dominance Still Too High: Market Expert Says In earlier cycles, altcoins briefly broke this trendline in what was identified as a “bear trap” before swiftly reversing and launching into explosive growth phases. Merlijin The Trader reveals that this pattern appears to be repeating in this cycle, as the current market structure mirrors previous setups that triggered rapid valuation increases across the altcoin sector. The ascending trendline recovery is framed within a red box in the chart, consistent with the zones that marked the end of prior downtrends. In each instance, the reclaim was followed by aggressive upward movement, highlighted by green boxes that represented parabolic gains in the total market cap. Merlijn The Trader suggests that the recent rebound indicates the completion of another bear trap, signaling renewed bullish momentum. Green arrows placed below the price curve, matching the timing of previous breakouts within the analyst’s chart, imply that the altcoin market could be preparing for another phase of expansion. If the historical fractal holds, the analyst forecasts a sharp vertical rally for altcoins, with valuations possibly reaching the $10-$16 trillion range. Altcoin Market Mirror 2016-2018 Breakout Setup In another fresh analysis, Merlijn The Trader noted that the altcoin market cap is showing signs of repeating a historical pattern that previously led to a major bull rally. A comparison between the 2016-2018 market cycle and the current one reveals an almost identical structure playing out, albeit on a much larger scale. Related Reading: Bitcoin Dominance Holds Altcoin Season At Bay, Analyst Says No Upside Until This Happens The market appears to have formed a Double Bottom, followed by a mid-cycle correction and consolidation within a descending broadening wedge pattern. This same fractal unfolded before the explosive altcoin rally in 2017. The analyst’s chart also illustrates that in the previous cycle, altcoins broke out of this same wedge pattern, resulting in a massive surge in market capitalization, which he referred to as “Pump 2.0”. With the same breakout now confirmed for this cycle’s market structure, Merlijn The Trader predicts that the altcoin sector may be entering its next parabolic expansion phase. This development could mark the end of the altcoin market’s current bear phase and the beginning of a second macro pump similar to what occurred between 2017 and early 2018. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com
Altcoins have spent the past few years under the shadow of Bitcoin’s dominance, struggling to reclaim relevance as capital and attention largely concentrated on BTC. But the tide may be turning. Since April, the Total 2 — a metric representing the market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies excluding Bitcoin — has climbed 35%, signaling a potential shift in momentum toward altcoins. This recovery marks one of the strongest altcoin performances in recent years and has reignited hopes of a broader market expansion beyond Bitcoin. Related Reading: No Room For Bears: Bitcoin Bullish MACD, Monthly Close Fuel Bullish Outlook Top analyst Daan has weighed in on this development, highlighting a key technical formation: a higher low on the Total 2 chart during the recent market bounce. This structure is often seen as a bullish signal, suggesting that investors are stepping in to accumulate altcoins at increasingly higher price levels. If confirmed with a higher high in the coming days or weeks, this could mark the start of a sustainable altseason. As macroeconomic conditions stabilize and risk appetite returns, altcoins could see renewed interest from traders and investors. The next key test will be whether bulls can reclaim higher levels and flip the broader altcoin market structure definitively back to bullish. Altcoins Prepare For A Breakout Altcoins remain about 50% below their all-time highs, but bulls are setting the stage for what could be an expansive move in the coming weeks. After months of underperformance, the broader altcoin market is beginning to show early signs of structural recovery. Ethereum — the market’s leader among altcoins — has been consolidating between $2,400 and $2,700 since early May, and many analysts believe that a breakout in ETH could serve as the catalyst for a broader altcoin rally. Daan recently highlighted a key technical development: the Total 2 Altcoin Market Cap has made a higher low during the latest bounce, a structure that often precedes bullish continuation. This higher low suggests growing demand and reduced downside pressure, both of which are critical to establishing a sustainable uptrend. The key area to watch is the 2024 high setback in May. If bulls can push Total 2 above that level, it would confirm a higher high — the final piece needed to flip the high timeframe structure decisively back to bullish. That breakout would likely usher in renewed momentum across mid- and small-cap tokens, fueling what many hope will be the long-awaited altseason. For now, the market remains in a holding pattern, but signs of accumulation are growing stronger. If Ethereum can break out of its multi-month range, the altcoin market could rapidly reprice, erasing months of losses and opening the door to a new wave of capital rotation out of Bitcoin dominance. As long as key levels hold and risk appetite improves, the foundation is in place for altcoins to make a significant move higher. Related Reading: Solana Tests Rising Channel Support – Breakdown Could Send Price To $128.50 Level ETH/BTC Chart Signals Turning Point The ETH/BTC chart reveals a critical moment for the altcoin market. After a prolonged downtrend that began in late 2022, Ethereum has stabilized near the 0.023 BTC level, forming a potential bottom. While the pair remains well below the 50-week, 100-week, and 200-week moving averages—indicating continued bearish pressure—momentum appears to be shifting. Since bottoming out in mid-June, ETH/BTC has held its ground and is attempting to build a base, with early signs of accumulation. However, without a clear breakout above resistance zones, particularly around the 0.025–0.027 BTC range, bulls will struggle to confirm a trend reversal. A decisive move above these levels would be the first major confirmation of strength for Ethereum relative to Bitcoin. Related Reading: Ethereum Forms Rising Wedge Pattern – $2,200 Support Back In Focus? This breakout is essential for altseason. Historically, altcoin rallies are triggered when ETH outperforms BTC, drawing capital into mid- and small-cap tokens. Without ETH leading, altcoins tend to lag as Bitcoin dominance remains high. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
The wait for altcoin season continues as the crypto market is still showing signs of bearish movement. Expectations are high that the altcoin market will begin to rally soon, but not everyone is optimistic that the altcoin season is coming. One of those is market analyst and expert Stockmoney Lizards, who has said that it is not happening soon. Altcoin Season Is Not Happening Soon In an X (formerly Twitter) post, Stockmoney Lizards informed their over 160,000 followers that the altcoin season could not be happening anytime soon. The analyst said that it is “not even remotely close”, pointing to the rising Bitcoin dominance as the reason why the altcoin season is still far off. Related Reading: Analyst Says Cycle Is Not Finished Amid 2 Years Of Bitcoin Sideways Movement Analyzing the chart, the market expert explains that despite the Bitcoin dominance having fallen by around 2%, it still doesn’t mean much. This is because the dominance is still very strong and continues to trade inside the channel. This channel also charts a possible increase in the Bitcoin dominance from here, which would be detrimental for altcoins. So far, the Bitcoin dominance has also managed to hold above 65%. While this is not the highest it has ever been, it is still incredibly high, with previous altcoin seasons not happening until the dominance had fallen toward 40%. The analyst doesn’t entirely rule out the possibility of an altcoin season, saying it will still come. However, for now, Bitcoin continues to dominate, as he explains that “BTC is the measure of all things.” Altcoin Dominance Reaches 2021 Levels As the Bitcoin dominance has risen and the altcoin dominance has fallen, they have gone toward levels not seen in years. For example, the last time the Bitcoin dominance was above 65% was back in 2021 before it crashed to usher in the altcoin season, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Related Reading: AI Founder Puts XRP Price As High As $20-$30 Even worse is the Ethereum dominance, which has dropped to 5-year lows. Sitting at only 8%, it is now at levels recorded back in 2020 before the market rebounded from the COVID-19 crash. This has greatly diminished Ethereum’s ability to pull the altcoin market up with it. In the same vein, the altcoin dominance, excluding Ethereum, has now dropped to 26%. The last time that the OTHERS dominance was this low was in 2021. However, this was right around when the altcoin season was starting, suggesting that the current market could be at the cusp of another altcoin run. Nevertheless, for there to be any sustainable altcoin season, the Bitcoin dominance must first crash. Going by what happened back in 2017 and 2021, at least a 40% crash in the Bitcoin dominance is required to usher in the altcoin season. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from TradingView.com
The Bitcoin dominance remaining on the high side has been one of the major hindrances for the altcoin season. Going by past performances, the Bitcoin dominance would have to crash for altcoins to have a chance to rally, but with the dominance still climbing, the chances of an altcoin season remain slim. As this trend continues, a crypto analyst has predicted a possible turn in the tide for the Bitcoin dominance, predicting a crash that could give altcoins a chance. Bitcoin Dominance Rejection From Trendline Is Key Over the years, the Bitcoin dominance has been following a trendline that has often marked the point of resistance. This trendline rises from 2017 and has sloped down past 2021 and now into the year 2025. The significance behind this is the breakdown from the trendline and the Bitcoin dominance receding sharply from here. Related Reading: Pundit Warns Bitcoin Is Setting Up Liquidity Traps As It Campaigns For New ATHs Presently, the Bitcoin dominance is still sitting high above 65% at the time of this writing, but this recent rise has seen it touch the resistance trendline. According to crypto analyst CoreCrypto, this is a critical inflection point, especially on the weekly chart. More importantly, this is usually the point where dominance recedes, giving rise to altcoin dominance. Some major developments that the analyst tells investors to watch on the dominance chart include a rejection from the resistance trendline, where the dominance currently lies above 65%. There is also support for the dominance, as shown by the yellow line in the chart below. A break below this support is critical for the fall in the dominance. Another development to watch out for is for rising Ethereum strength. In the past, the Ethereum price starting to outperform the Bitcoin price has often signaled the start of the altcoin season. So, as the ETHBTC chart begins to strengthen and Bitcoin succumbs to sideways movement, it opens the door for altcoins to rally into the next altcoin season. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price At $145,000 In September? Bullish Dojis Suggest Upward Move In the event of a break from the resistance trendline, the analyst sees the possibility of a sharp decline. CoreCrypto predicts a 36.91% drop to the 42%-45% levels. This is lower compared to previous altcoin seasons, but follows the declining trend of a 50.79% drop in 2017 compared to a 45.10% drop in 2021. “If BTC.D gets rejected from this resistance again, it could mark the start of the long-awaited Altseason 2025,” the crypto analyst explained. “A breakdown from this wedge would likely result in capital rotation from BTC into altcoins — just like in previous cycles.” Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com
As geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to impact cryptocurrency prices, with Bitcoin (BTC) recently dipping below the $105,000 mark, market analyst VirtualBacon has shared insights suggesting that altcoins are gearing up for a potentially robust summer. Emerging AI Memecoins In a recent update on social media platform X (formerly Twitter), he highlighted several promising developments within the altcoin space. VirtualBacon pointed to an emerging wave of AI-focused Layer-1 blockchain projects, many backed by prominent figures in both the cryptocurrency and traditional finance sectors. He mentioned several names to watch, including Sahara Labs, Sentient AGI, and Gaianet, among others. While these projects have yet to release tokens, many are expected to conduct airdrops or early access rounds, presenting opportunities for early investors. Related Reading: On-Chain Analyst Warns: Bitcoin Peak Expected, Altcoins Facing -95% Plunge For those seeking “higher-risk, high-reward investments,” VirtualBacon noted the impressive performance of artificial intelligence (AI) agent memecoins. He cited the launch of IRIS, which skyrocketed from a $220,000 fully diluted valuation (FDV) to $120 million, representing a 600x return. Platforms such as Virtuals, CreatorBid, and SeedifyFund are turning user engagement into allocation opportunities, likening this phenomenon to a form of airdrop farming on steroids. In addition, VirtualBacon highlighted a relatively overlooked area: Bittensor subnet tokens. He mentioned that seasoned investors can now acquire early-stage subnets directly on Bittensor’s chain, with projects like SN65_TPN and inference_labs raising capital through token auctions at valuations below $4 million. Stablecoins Take Center Stage Turning to real-world assets (RWAs), VirtualBacon advised focusing on mid-cap infrastructure projects with tangible revenue streams. He pointed to CHEX and CPOOL, which has shown consistent upward movement, as examples of promising investments. Another emerging narrative is the merger and acquisition activity involving public companies and crypto projects. VirtualBacon noted that Tron is set to go public through a Nasdaq reverse merger, while Mixie has been acquired by Netcapital, which boasts a team that includes notable figures like Tim Draper and a co-founder of Helium. A particularly intriguing development is World Liberty Financial (WLF), co-founded by Eric and Donald Jr. Trump, which aims to become a major player in the decentralized finance (DeFi) space. With plans for its own stablecoin, USD1, and expected to launch in October, the token could have an estimated FDV of $10–15 billion, a conservative projection given its potential. VirtualBacon also pointed out that stablecoins are becoming central to macroeconomic strategies. Tether now ranks as the fifth-largest holder of US Treasuries, highlighting the increasing need for buyers in the market. The analyst urged investors to keep an eye on stablecoin projects that integrate artificial intelligence technology and yield generation, such as USD1, Circle’s USDC, and others. Liquidity Shifts To Altcoin Platforms In the gaming sector, liquidity is coalescing around BlackholeDex, a decentralized exchange (DEX) backed by the AVAX Foundation. With a fee-sharing model similar to Aerodrome and Shadow, BlackholeDex has launched veNFT staking, aligning long-term incentives for users. Related Reading: Ethereum Slows Down In June: Historical Data Says More Losses To Come Lastly, in the Solana ecosystem, Saros DLMM is emerging as a strong competitor to existing platforms like Jupiter and Meteora, utilizing similar bucket-based liquidity pools but with lower fees. It also plans a RADY meme airdrop for SAROS stakers, which could attract early adopters and fuel rapid growth, thus closing the list of highlighted altcoins. As of this writing, Ethereum, the market’s leading altcoin, is trading at $2,521. It has consolidated above this level after dropping sharply from its two-week high of $2,878. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
Crypto analyst InvestingScope has drawn market participants’ attention to a major occurrence that hints at an imminent altcoin season. The analyst also revealed how high the crypto market could reach as altcoins outperform Bitcoin during this period. Altcoin Season May Be Imminent As Golden Cross Flashes In a TradingView post, InvestingScope revealed that altcoins have made a 1-day Golden Cross, the first since just right after the US elections. He noted that the rally that followed made new highs for these altcoins, indicating that another altcoin season may be on the horizon. The analyst also predicted that the total crypto market can reach at least $4.03 trillion on this rally. Related Reading: Positioning For Altcoin Season: Analyst Reveals When To Buy As Bitcoin Dominance Rises He noted that since the Bear Cycle bottom, this is the fourth 1-day Golden Cross and that the minimum the market has surged around such a formation was just over 73%. As such, the crypto market cap, currently valued at $3.39 trillion, can reach the $4 trillion target during this altcoin season rally. Altcoins have again rallied following the recent Bitcoin run close to its all-time high (ATH). The Ethereum price hit $2,900, coming close to the psychological $3,000 level. Additionally, the Solana price also hit $170, its highest level over the last 90 days. With two of the top major altcoins making these runs, this has further fueled optimism that altcoin season may be around the corner. Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas told investors to get ready for a potential Altcoin ETF summer with Solana likely leading the way. This development could be the catalyst that sparks the altcoin season, with the SEC already asking issuers to amend their S-1 filings. Meanwhile, the Ethereum ETFs just hit a four-month high of inflows, with $240 million flowing into these funds on June 11. These funds have also witnessed 18 consecutive days of inflows as optimism grows about the SEC approving staking for these funds. This could be another catalyst for altcoin season as the Ethereum price usually leads the way. ETH/BTC Breakout Is Imminent In an X post, market expert Paul Barron indicated that the ETH/BTC breakout was imminent, a development which would usher in the altcoin season. He declared that Altseason is preparing for a face-melter and that the ETH/BTC breakout is “committed”. The expert added that with market sentiment up 2.8%, ETH will be the leader. Related Reading: When Will Altcoin Season Begin After Bitcoin Price Hit ATH Above $111,000? Crypto analyst Mikybull Crypto has also made a case for Ethereum to lead the altcoin season. In a recent analysis, he stated that from a technical perspective, ETH is looking solid at its current levels. The analyst claimed that $2,800 is the next resistance to clear out before a rally to a new high of $3,900. He added that Ethereum usually performs well near the peak of the cycle. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
As Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) rises in the crypto market, analysts are closely watching for signs of the long-awaited altcoin season. In a recent analysis, a crypto market expert shared key insights on the best time to buy altcoins, offering strategic guidance for traders looking to position themselves ahead of the next potential market rally. When To Position For The Altcoin Season As the Bitcoin price continues its upward trajectory, the speculation about an impending altcoin season remains a recurring theme across crypto communities. However, a Bitcoin Dominance chart shared by ‘Stockmoney Lizards,’ a pseudonymous crypto analyst on X (formerly Twitter), challenges the narrative that an altcoin season is imminent. Related Reading: The Return Of Altcoin Season: Why Bitcoin Dominance Must Fall To 62% Drawing on personal experience and market cycles, Stockmoney Lizards explains that the repeated cries of “altcoin season is here” are often premature and misleading. The analyst revealed that the true altcoin season, the period where even the lowest-quality coins tend to skyrocket, is often the final phase of the crypto bull run. It begins when Bitcoin Dominance breaks below the 60% support level, signaling a market-wide shift into altcoins. Notably, the analyst has shed light on how and when to position ahead of the altcoin season. Instead of buying altcoins based on hype or assumptions of immediate gains, Stockmoney Lizards suggests a more disciplined strategy: accumulate only at extreme oversold levels. This is typically when the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour or daily time frame drops below 25-30, reflecting capitulation. According to the market expert, these moments offer the best entry points for short-term rebounds, where altcoins deliver explosive moves of about 50% to 200%. The analyst further highlights that the primary objective is to take profits and rotate them back into Bitcoin. This approach not only maximizes gains but also minimizes exposure to prolonged drawdowns that usually follow the euphoric phase of the market cycle. Bitcoin Dominance Influence On AltSeason According to Stockmoney Lizards, the current behaviour of BTC.D, trading firmly between a well-defined channel, indicates that the market is still in the early to mid-phase of a bull run. Typically, this phase is dominated by Bitcoin, not altcoins, and history shows that institutional capital prefers to build positions in the flagship cryptocurrency before moving to riskier lower-cap assets. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price At $200,000 And Ethereum At $10,000? Analyst Says Altcoin Season Is Coming Notably, Bitcoin’s rising dominance in the market is not seen by the analyst as a bearish signal for altcoins in the long term. Instead, it is perceived as a healthy sign of a maturing bull market. He disclosed that the real altcoin season doesn’t begin until BTC.D decisively breaks down from its channel and drops to historical lows. Until then, Bitcoin’s strength reflects institutional accumulation and market confidence. Stockmoney Lizards reveals that retail investors often misinterpret this as a signal to chase altcoins, only to be caught holding bags as BTC continues to outperform. The analyst concludes that the altcoin season breakout will eventually come, but only those who position smartly by letting Bitcoin lead and waiting for alts to reach oversold extremes will be best prepared to capitalize on the market rally. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
Despite Bitcoin’s historic rise above the $100,000 mark in early 2025, a growing number of crypto investors are left wondering when the long-anticipated altcoin season will begin. At the time of writing, the altcoin season index from BlockchainCenter has now dipped to a reading of 20, far below the 75 threshold typically required to confirm the start of an altcoin season. In a detailed post on social media platform X, van de Poppe addressed what is one of the most frequently asked questions in the crypto industry today: “When altseason?” Altcoin Season Missing Despite Bull Market Conditions According to analyst Michaël van de Poppe, this cycle has deviated significantly from historical patterns. His response to the growing question of an altcoin season relays the fact that while Bitcoin has made gains, the altcoin market continues to lag significantly behind, raising doubts about whether a true altseason will even arrive this cycle. Related Reading: Certified Analyst Says Bitcoin Dominance Could Reverse At 64% – Is It Time For Altcoin Season? In past cycles, altcoins followed Bitcoin’s rally within weeks or months. However, 2024 and the early part of 2025 have proven to be different. This, in turn, has been many investors expecting this cycle to play out the same getting hammered and losing their patience. Although some new meme coins had their brief moments of explosive growth in late 2024, the broader altcoin market has been largely suppressed since late 2021. Van de Poppe explains that most older altcoins failed to match Bitcoin’s performance in 2021, and that trend has only worsened in the current cycle. This has somewhat changed the expectation of a typical four-year cycle rhythm. The tables have turned and other variables need to be taken into account for investors looking to get a significant return in those markets. Bitcoin Dominance And Sentiment Imbalance Holding Altcoins Back One of the clearest reasons for the delay in altseason is Bitcoin’s overwhelming dominance. As the Altcoin Season Index indicates, the metric remains significantly below the 25 threshold line and firmly entrenched in Bitcoin Season territory. Van de Poppe attributes this not just to price action, but also to macro-level shifts, such as interest rate regimes and monetary policy from central banks. For now, there’s still much upside potential for Bitcoin, especially if the Fed interest rates were to go down from their current 4% levels. Related Reading: Is Altcoin Season Over Or It Never Started? Here’s What Historical Data Says In his view, the current market is divided into two camps: those expecting a bear market and those who believe the bull run is just beginning. Both could be wrong, he warns, because the game has changed. If there are so many factors going into negative sentiment, that’s actually a sign to allocate funds into altcoins. Keeping this in mind, the best time to invest in altcoins would be now, when the altcoin season isn’t showing any signs. Van de Poppe concludes that altseason isn’t just a timeframe but a phase where patient investors accumulate undervalued cryptocurrencies before the rest of the market catches on. When the altcoin season eventually rolls in, it will come unannounced. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
Crypto analyst Astronomer has provided insights into when the altcoin season will likely begin following the Bitcoin price’s rally to a new all-time high (ATH). His analysis indicated that BTC’s dominance is about to top, which will pave the way for altcoins to outperform the flagship crypto. Altcoin Season To Begin Soon As Bitcoin Price Hits New ATH In an X post, Astronomer predicted that the altcoin season is imminent, seeing as BTC’s dominance (BTC.D) has hit 65% following the Bitcoin price rally to a new ATH. The analyst remarked that BTC’s dominance will roll over slowly first, before dropping rather quickly after the flagship crypto loses momentum. Related Reading: Is It Time For Altcoin Season? Bitcoin Dominance Rises To Major Rejection Zone He is also confident that the altcoin season is coming soon because BTC.D is up seven weeks in a row and all green from the bottom, which means the Bitcoin price-led move is stretching long. From a counting perspective, Astronomer remarked that BTC is coming to the end of the transition period, and altcoins will likely make their bigger moves soon. The analyst noted that BTC.D has also nicely retested the quarterly breaker open. For now, he believes sentiment is certainly not ready for an altcoin season, seeing as only the Bitcoin bulls are loud. Astronomer added that the ETH bulls are quiet and that only coins that are Bitcoin liquidity-driven are talked about, including HYPE, WIF, and the Bitcoin price itself. He is confident that 65% is the top for the BTC.D despite calls for 67% and 70%. With the Bitcoin price dominance currently at almost 63%, Astronomer affirmed that he is well-positioned for the top, with altcoin season coming after. The analyst stated that soon, these altcoins will put in their big moves until they are forced to become the narrative again, where they top out. Crypto analyst CrediBULL Crypto is also confident that the altcoin season is imminent amid the Bitcoin price’s rally to a new ATH. In an X post, he stated that where the market is headed in the coming months, every lagging altcoin is an opportunity to be thankful for, not a problem to be frustrated about. BTC Is Forming A Top At Current Price Levels In an X post, crypto analyst CryptoVerse stated that the Bitcoin price is likely forming a top at its current levels. He admitted that the flagship crypto could still rally to between $112,000 and $118,000 but warned that it could mark the cycle peak. The analyst also stated that he is not expecting an altcoin season before the fourth quarter of this year. Related Reading: Bitcoin Dominance Chart Remains Very High Despite Crash, What This Means For Altcoins CryptoVerse remarked that based on global liquidity trends, the altcoin season should begin in the fourth quarter and wrap up by the second quarter of next year. He noted that there could be short-term bounces, but a full-blown rally is unlikely to happen before then. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
In the last month, there have been multiple ups and downs for the crypto industry, but Fartcoin is the one altcoin that has stood out through all of it with major recoveries. In less than one month, the Fartcoin price has risen by more than 230%, placing it at the top of the leaderboard for cryptocurrencies that have recovered in the last month. Now, as its popularity spread, the question remains, is it still a good time to get in on this AI play? Fartcoin Price Headed For Major Resistance Fartcoin is currently one of the trending cryptocurrencies on the Internet after staging a rapid rally in April. Its daily trading volume has risen to more than $350 million at the time of this writing and it continues to garner attention from investors. It has risen to $0.88 after touching a low of $0.23 back in March. Now, it looks like it is on its way to trying another all-time high above its previous $2.61 peak from January. Related Reading: Trump’s Tariff Pause Could Push Bitcoin Price Above $100,000, Pundit Reveals Exit Point Crypto analyst MyCryptoParadise has chimed in on Fartcoin’s recovery, mapping out where it could be headed next. While the analyst does see the price rising higher from here, it is not all good news, especially as Fartcoin seems to be headed toward a major resistance. They explain that the altcoin is currently completely the third wave of a classic Elliot Wave impulse, which is a bullish wave. With the price having risen so much, it means that the end of the bullish third wave could be ending and about to usher in the more bearish fourth wave. Not only is the bearish fourth wave on the horizon, the analyst says that Fartcoin could probably enter a corrective ABC wave during this time. What this means is that the altcoin could be headed for major resistance, where the power of the current uptrend would be tested. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Rebound: Breakout To $1,800 With These Two Supply Zones There is very strong resistance for Fartcoin at $1.05, which is still around 15% away from where the price currently is at the time of this writing. However, if the price were to successfully close above the extended resistance zone of $1.1361, then the uptrend could continue from here. “This is the point where the weak hands get shaken out and smart money reloads,” the crypto analyst explains. “If you’re aiming for long-term success, wait for high-probability setups and protect your capital.” Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com
Crypto analyst El Crypto has raised the possibility of an altcoin season happening soon. The analyst alluded to Bitcoin’s dominance rising to a major rejection zone, which could be bullish for altcoins. Altcoin Season May Be Imminent As Dominance Hits Major Rejection Zone In an X post, El Crypto suggested that the altcoin season may be imminent as Bitcoin’s dominance hits a major resistance zone. He revealed that BTC’s dominance again touched a zone that has led to rejection every time in the last one and a half years. He added that the Stochastic Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also in the overbought area, while a bearish cross has now happened again. Related Reading: Waiting For An Altcoin Season? Analyst Says A Weekly Close Above This Level Would Trigger A Rally Based on this, the analyst remarked that the market looks to be in for some fun, hinting at an altcoin season. Crypto analyst CryptoElites also affirmed that Bitcoin’s dominance has reached its peak. He further affirmed that next up is a massive altcoin rally, which will usher in the alt season. In another X post, the crypto analyst alluded to the USDT and USDC dominance ratio. He claimed that the market was at a critical trend reaction point right now. CryptoElites then mentioned that if the stablecoins’ dominance breaks down, then the altcoin season will officially begin. Crypto analyst Kevin Capital also looked to provide a bullish outlook towards the altcoin season. In an X post, he highlighted the global liquidity index overlaid with the Dogecoin price. In line with this, he remarked that it might be time for market participants to start paying attention to this. So far, altcoins have been mirroring Bitcoin’s price action, suffering a similar downtrend amid the trade war. However, if the altcoin season were to kick into full gear, these altcoins could easily decouple from the flagship crypto and outperform. Ethereum is known to lead this altcoin season, but that may not be the case this time, as ETH has underperformed throughout this cycle. Still Bitcoin Season For Now Blockchain Center data shows that it is still Bitcoin season for now, as the flagship crypto continues to outperform most altcoins. In the past 90 days, only seven out of the top 50 coins have outperformed the flagship crypto. These coins include Mantra, GateToken, Monero, LEO, Tron, and FastToken. Related Reading: Altcoin Season: Crypto Expert Reveals Why $425 Billion Is Important For it to be altcoin season, 75% of the top 50 coins would need to outperform Bitcoin over the last 90 days. Although almost all coins have witnessed declines within this timeframe, BTC has suffered a 22% drop, which is less than what these altcoins have seen during this period. At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $80,900, down over 1% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
The crypto market is still trying to recover from its crash in early March, and sentiment is currently fluctuating. Although the Fear & Greed Index is still in the fear zone, the Bitcoin price is now slowly pushing back toward $90,000, which has been slowly changing the sentiment among altcoins. Rekt Capital, an influential analyst on X, reignited hope for an incoming altcoin season with a key technical signal. According to the post, a breakout in the altcoin market cap could soon take shape if one critical condition is met. The analyst shared a chart and commentary suggesting that the next major rally may already be in motion, provided that the altcoin market cap can secure a weekly close above a particular level. Weekly Close Above $250 Billion Could Be The Game Changer The altcoin market cap reached a multi-month low in the first week of March after the crash that saw many cryptocurrencies shell out weeks of price gains within a short period. This crash briefly pushed the altcoin market cap below $200 billion, although it eventually closed the week above this threshold. However, this market cap has steadily been inching upwards in the last two weeks since the crash. Related Reading: Crypto CEO Calls Start Of The Altcoin Season With A Caveat At the time of writing, the altcoin market cap has risen back to around $249 billion. Technical analysis from crypto analyst Rekt Capital emphasized that a weekly close above the $250 billion mark would mark a significant technical shift for alts. This level, highlighted in blue on the chart below, will be an important resistance level for crypto investors waiting for the altcoin season. The analyst noted that a decisive close above it would likely precede a breakout rally toward the $315 billion level, marked in red. That move wouldn’t just signal short-term bullishness; it would also serve as confirmation that the bottom for altcoins has already been established. However, even if the altcoin market cap were to surge quickly towards $315, there would still be some work to do to return in order to the recent high of $451 billion set in December 2024. Shallow Correction Points To Stronger Momentum Ahead For Altcoin The nature of the current correction from this $451 billion altcoin market cap adds more weight to the possibility of an altcoin rally. According to the analyst, the ongoing correction has only reached a 55% drawdown from its local high, notably shallower than the previous major altcoin bear market retracements of 69% and 85%. Related Reading: Altcoins Season: Recent Crypto Dip Shows Decline May Be Over And Bulls Are Taking Charge The shallower decline in the current retracement is interpreted as a sign of growing market maturity among altcoins. This implies that the selling pressure may be waning and that bulls are preparing for a stronger push. It also means that the $425 billion altcoin market cap resistance is weakening as a point of rejection, which in turn increases the chances of a breakout at the next visit. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
In a series of posts shared on X, crypto analyst Kevin has mapped out a bullish scenario for Dogecoin and altcoins should the US Federal Reserve shift its monetary policy toward easing later this year. Pointing to both fundamental and technical indicators, Kevin contends that current Federal Reserve policies will define the exact moment altcoins begin to decisively outperform Bitcoin (BTC). Dogecoin Season Depends On The Fed In one of his updates, Kevin explained the crux of his position: “Everything is continuing to go exactly as planned. We never hopped on the #ALTSEASON bandwagon that the gurus have been pushing for 6-12 months that got people wrecked. I have continued to let my altcoins guidance be backed up by facts and fundamentals […] Based on all my evidence gathered I do still believe that between March-June we will see Powell come out and say that bank reserves have hit levels to where they feel it is necessary to end the run off of the balance sheet which in turn will end QT.” Related Reading: Dogecoin Breakout Alert! This Pattern Could Trigger A ‘Parabolic’ Surge He further emphasized that this potential pause—and eventual reversal—of quantitative tightening (QT) should initiate a new cycle of rate cuts and broader financial easing. According to Kevin, that combined macro shift would signal the beginning of a sustained altcoin rally: “This will then start a new cycle of easing along with further rate cuts and the combination should mark the beginning of Altcoins out performance and BTC Dominance durably heading lower. That is my call based of Macro Fundamental and Technical analysis being combined into one form of Analysis.” Digging deeper into market structure, Kevin forecasts a drop in Bitcoin dominance, a metric that measures BTC’s market capitalization relative to the entire crypto sector: “All the data I have been analyzing is telling me between March – June QT will end. Then altcoins durable out performance will begin and BTC Dominance will durably fall below 54.51%.” He notes that inflation would need to “skyrocket” for the Federal Reserve to continue QT, a scenario he views as unlikely based on his research. Related Reading: Dogecoin Forms Explosive Cup And Handle Pattern With $4 Target Pointing to similarities between current market conditions and 2019, Kevin also explores a somewhat unconventional approach—performing technical analysis (TA) on the Fed’s balance sheet itself: “If we take a look at Total Assets held by the US federal Reserve […] we can see that similar to 2019 we are getting close to re-testing the 2W 200 ema and 2W RSI and LMACD are in the same spot they were before the Fed ended QT.” He anticipates that balance sheet levels could mirror 2019 conditions within the next 126 days—leading up to around the Federal Reserve’s June policy meeting, give or take a couple of weeks. Should the Fed’s total assets hit that threshold, he believes it will confirm the timing he has been advocating. While Kevin references the broader altcoin market, Dogecoin, in particular, features in his strategic outlook. Last week, he underscored the importance of overall market fundamentals and chart positioning when it comes to purchasing DOGE: “If #BTC holds up and Macro Economic Data and Monetary policy adjust then you just got your last opportunity to buy Dogecoin relatively cheap. A lot of factors at play and lots of work to do. But the risk reward at this level is superb given the circumstances.” At press time, Dogecoin traded at $0.17. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com